The Lakers enter into Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder 129-120 back in late December and now the Thunder will be primed to get some pay back. OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Also  Oklahoma City has great momentum entering this tilt as they have notched victories in nine of its past 11 games and are off a 112-100 win vs the Orlando Magic at home Saturday for the Thunder's fourth straight victory . Meanwhile, the Lakers are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum having lost two straight and 6 of their L/8 overall. Advantage Thunder.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-9 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging  23 or more assists/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-8 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 25-5 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover /win

The Pacers played yesterday in a loss to the Nuggets in the Mile High City and now on tired legs in another high altitude game will be vulnerable to another defeat vs a Utah side with revenge on board  for a  134-118  beatdown the last time they played . UTAH is 11-1 ATS   in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff registering at +9.1. 

Pacers  3-14 ATS L/17 non conference battles and are fade material in this spot play in Salt Lake City tonight. UTAH is 8-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking at +11. 

Play on the Jazz to cover

The Warriors have lost seven of 10 and the Grizzlies and are not viable favorites even against a short handed Grizzlies side .

GOLDEN STATE is 4-19 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 6-14 ATS   as a favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-19 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 

 NBA  Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 77-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

MEMPHIS is 7-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Luka Doncic (Ankle) - Doubtful [01/10/2024] - Doncic is dealing with an ankle injury and is unlikely to take the court for the Mavericks. This one headline alone has me taking the road  short favorite . Even with their super star in the lineup they would have been underdogs according to my projections and were out played on Saturday by the Pelicans 118-108 and rinse and repeat situation is in play tonight. Even if Doncic  plays and is less than 100%  this  makes Dallas vulnerable. NBA Road favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 33-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 28-6 ATS L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. DALLAS is 2-11 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Kidd is 4-15 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite as the coach of DALLAS.

Play on Pelicans to cover

Portland is in rebuild not doubt about it, and don't seem much better than a new franchise type team . When looking at this set up its interesting to note that this seems like a total mismatch as  Blazers were blasted  108-88 at Phoenix a couple of weeks ago and are off a complete alley way beatdown  after that via a  139-77 smash down at Oklahoma City where they looked asleep at the proverbial wheel and than another DD beatdown last time out vs Minnesota . However, Im now betting that total embarrassment  will have the  Blazers  ready compete here in redemption mode at home. Also it will be easy for the Suns to overlook tonights bottom feeder, and look for defacto night off. This situation gives credence to us getting value with the underdog and bankroll expansion. 

PHOENIX is 0-10 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season. PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 55-93 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Blazers to cover

Miami is off a off a hard fought win vs Orlando on Friday night by a 99-96 count and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot.  Also the MIAMI has not been a reliable choice for bettors as they are just  3-15 AT  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is also  16-34 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Advantage Hornets to cover.

CHARLOTTE is 33-17 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Hornets to cover

I know the Magic played last night in a 99-96 loss to instate rivals Miami , covering as 3.5 point dogs, but this is a very well conditioned team that must not be underestimated in their ability to compete on back to back nights. 

ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home win, in January games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 25-6 ATS L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando Magic to cover

Heats Tyler Hero is not 100% and the other two key cogs Lowry and Butler are expected to miss this game, giving the hungry young Magic an advantage getting points  tonight in their instate rivalry. Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami. Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Miami is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home. 

ORLANDO is 17-5 ATS  sub standard  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse  this season. ORLANDO is 35-20 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 26-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover

 Dallas, fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and had a three-game winning streak snapped in a 120-103 defeat at the  the hands  Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Im betting the Mavs had a emotional and physical letdown after taking out the Minnesota  Wolves in their previous tilt.  Now after that embarrassing effort Im expecting huge bounce back effort here at home tonight vs the red hot NY Knicks. 

DALLAS is 19-8 ATS   after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Kidd is 35-19 ATS off a loss against a division rival in all games he has coached since 1996.

DALLAS is 24-11 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 85-140 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 25-14 SU L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover

Two evenly matched bottom feeders go head to head tonight in a game that favors the home dog. Detroit ranks 30th in SRS with a -10.65 while , San Antonio ranks 28th with a -10.09 . Factoring in home court advantage of about 4 points  for Detroit the wrong side  is favored here, thus taking points according to my projections makes for a viable wagering opportunity. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

SAN ANTONIO is 16-32 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Detroit to cover

Charlotte just upset Sacramento last week on the road by a 110-104 count which ended a 11 game losing run. Now Im betting on the  Kings to be  out looking for  revenge and also redemption for a ugly effort at home vs the Pelicans game before last  as favs losing by a 133-100 count and then having to make a big run last night to get by Motown .  The Kings need to save face  should in all probabilities have them playing a killer game with little pity despite of playing last night.   

SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.. SACRAMENTO is 17-5 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 29-14 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more. Brown is 11-1 ATS   in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

Lakers often injured Davis is expected to miss this game and LeBron James is questionable. After upsetting the clippers last time out I wont be surprised if James sits especially considering they play a non conference visitor that is below .500 on the season. Meanwhile, Toronto has covered 5 of their L/7 overall and 4 of their L/6 on the road and  are off a upset win vs Golden State last time out by DDs and according to my projections more than capable of covering this spread here tonight with or without James in the lineup for the Lakers. Note: The Raptors are 7-1 SU/ATS L/7 on the road vs the Lakers. 

NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - in non-conference games, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more are 22-49 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

Memphis has played mostly competitive ball of late winning 7 of their L/11 overall and have cashed 5 of their L/7 road games overall ATS. Im betting the Grizzlies will be motivated here tonight to get revenge for a 120-113 loss at home to the Mavs back in December.  MEMPHIS is 44-28 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

Meanwhile, the Mavs despite of three straight wins ( 2 vs the Blazers) are a side that according to my projections is being very over rated in this game . After upsetting the Wolves last time out Im betting on them being in a letdown spot and vulnerable to being upset vs a under rated side off two straight road underdog wins vs the Suns and Lakers. 

DALLAS is 4-13 ATS  in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 20-36 ATS   after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 17-29 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, in January games are 19-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

NYK is running hot right now having won 4 straight games with 3 of the DD variety. Meanwhile, Portland despite a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out is highly inconsistent. With the Knicks knowing about the Blazers upset of their cross town rivals will be not over looking this opponent and ready to run and gun their way to victory . NYK has already beaten the Blazers by DDs on the road this season, and now a rinse and repeat scenario is on board vs a exhausted side that is playing their 5th straight road game. 

Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

This is Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd straight road game in 5 days and Im betting they will be on tired legs here vs their underdog opponent the Washington Wizards. The Thunder lost the fiorst two games of this road trip, and previous to that played Denver, Minnesota and Boston and fatigue could be an issue here. Advantage Washington to cover

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 16-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. 

NBA Road favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - a very good team (7 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 7-24 ATS L/27 seasons for  a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Washington to cover

Detroit thanks to their ugly 3-32 SU record are  cashing of late brining home the cash to their backers in 5 of their L/6 overall. Thanks to their very bad season huge DD lines are being offered up to the public . Thanks to those market abnormalities their has been value backing the faltering men from Motown. With the Nuggets playing on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights, Im betting they wont have the enthusiasm or legs to put forward a big effort vs a side I'm sure their over looking. Advantage Detroit on the line.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 5-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 69-34 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The New Orleans Pelicans suffered their most lopsided home loss in more than two months in their last game and will be primed for a big bounce back effort vs a side they matchup well against vs Kings side that  my power rankings suggest the Pelicans  match up well against. The Pelicans are a perfect  3-0  against the Kings this season, having won in New Orleans 129-93 on Nov. 20 and 117-112 on Nov. 22, then taking them out  in an in-season tournament quarterfinal game Dec. 4 in Sacramento. Rinse and repeat now on board.

SACRAMENTO is 7-18 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS versus sub par  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pelicans to cover

 Atlanta was off a ugly 150-116 loss in Indiana to the Pacers on Friday and now after that embarrassment will be ready to play an all out game vs a Orlando side that after a fast start to their season having lost 5 of their L/7 and 11 of their L/16 overall SU. 

NBA team (ATLANTA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons and have won 4 of the L/4 meetings here in the Magic kingdom. 

NBA team vs the money line (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 34-9 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Houston has played their best hoops at home this season winning 14 of 19 games and won at home last time out for their 2nd straight win.  HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS  after playing a home game this season. Udoka is 12-1 ATS off a home win as the coach of HOUSTON. Meanwhile, the visotrs tonight are on a down mode at the moment after a   117-106 home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, their third loss in five games. Current momentum and their top tier level of play at home has me recommending we take the hosts to cover.

NBA  Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after playing 4 consecutive home games are 24-13 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Houston to cover

The Suns are shinning bright right now after 4 straight wins and have the ability to pull off the upset vs the red hot LA Clippers tonight in the desert. I know that Kevin Durant is expected this miss this game but Bradly Beal has really stepped up his play and feels confident taking a leading role for the Suns. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Phoenix Suns to cover

Both these sides enter this game in top form. The Thunder have won four straight  games and seven of their last eight, entering Tuesday's matchup with the second-fewest losses in the conference. Oklahoma City is 22-9 this season. Meanwhile,   Boston has won 11 of its past 12. So this will be a clash of the titans, but Im betting the home court advantage for the Thunder will be the difference maker in a place where the home side has won the two most recent meetings.

BOSTON is 1-10 ATS  in road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-3 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS   in non-conference games this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

The Thunder are 4-0 ATS L/4 meeting in this series.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

The Bucks are back home after a four-game road trip, most recently defeating the Cavaliers in Cleveland on Friday by a 119-111 final and have won 9 of their L/10 overall SU. Meanwhile, Indiana has won 3 straight, and before that run started they lost 6 of 7 Considering the Bucs play their best hoops at home where they are 16-1 SU while covering 12 of those games it will be an easy decision to back the home side that has one more day rest as compared to the visitors. . Indiana can really light up that score-bard and thats their opus operandi  but  Milwaukee is equally explosive offensively.  These are the top two offensive teams in the NBA in points per game (126.6 and 125, respectively) and offensive rating (122.3 and 121, respectively). the difference maker comes on the defensive end of the floor via efficiency ratings - Indiana ranks 28th (120.9) in defensive  while the Bucks rank 16th (116) . Note: Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 posessions.

MILWAUKEE is 55-42 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 20-46 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors .

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 23-53  ATS L/27 seasons for a  go against 70%  conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 55-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bucks to cover

The Suns have won two consecutive tilts to move above .500 but have been major underachievers so far this season. Phoenix lost nine of 12 games before the consecutive victories and according to my power rankings are being over rated in this spot play at home. Note: PHOENIX is 4-12 ATS  in home games this season. From a matchup perspective the Magic look good here as they are  13-4 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. ORLANDO is 32-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 2-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 0-7 ATS  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Advantage Orlando. 

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Orlando Magic 

 This is the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 nights and they are coming off an exhausting 4 game road trip that saw them lose their last two tilts. Sacramento is off a road win vs Atlantan last time out and has momentum entering this game . Im betting it takes some time for the Grizzlies to acclimated to home cooking and for the Kings to grab the win. 

 SACRAMENTO is 19-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 23-10 ATS ( when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 37-21 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Boston's most recent win was a 120-118 slugfest at home against Toronto. The truth of the matter was the Celtics looked a little tired after playing all out winning hoops for what has been an extended period of time which believe it or not can be exhausting both physically and mentally. With this being the Celtics 3rd game in 4 nights the young Spurs who have been fairly competitive at home could easily stay within this offered underdog number. The Spurs have procured a -8.2 ppf at home this season. 

BOSTON is 15-27 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are 4-23 L/27 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Spurs to cover

Dallas super star Doncic has been on a tear  of late, recently putting up  39-points and a  50-point explosion Christmas Day in Phoenix in a victory versus the Suns. He was  given Thursday off on the second night of a back-to-backs and should be fresh and ready to run and gun tonight against the over rated and inconsistent Golden State. 

Kidd is 22-10 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of DALLAS.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Saturday games are 47-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mavs to cover

NYK has lost 3 of their L/4 games , but this is a resilient well conditioned side that is more than capable of bouncing back. Note: NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. This will be the Knicks 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned sides as is evident by HC Thibodeau  26-12 ATS mark  in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of NEW YORK. We all know the Pacers can shoot the lights out both their defense is atrocious.  With that said it must be noted that NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  this season.NEW YORK is also 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.( lost in Orlando 118-107 - going under a total of 226) Meanwhile, Im betting Indiana after two straight underdog wins on the road could easily be in a letdown spot here which seems to not be uncommon for them as they are  5-17 ATS L/22 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog . INDIANA is also  0-8 ATS  after a division game this season.  ( Took out  division foe Chicago 120-114 last time out) 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 25-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Pistons continue their ugly season tonight against the Raptors as they try to grab a victory for the first time in 28 games . Despite of not winning they have been mostly competitive and played a great game vs the Celtics last time out after taking a big lead.Despite playing an grueling heart breaking game in a overtime contest on Thursday, the Pistons will be the fresher team on Saturday vs a Toronto side playing in back to back games. Im not saying the Pistons grab the win here, but taking points with them is a viable option. note: The Pistons have grabbed the cash the L/3 times they have faced the Raptors at home in Motown.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 25-12 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams (DETROIT) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Denver Nuggets,  would be riding a 10-game winning streak if not for Oklahoma City. The last time these teams played the young never say die Thunder came out on top and their ability to be relentless will be the difference maker tonight. 

The Thunder rallied to win at Denver on Dec. 16, and now they return there for another matchup against the reigning champions on Friday night.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS  in all games this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 41-12 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Thunder to cover

Atlanta enters this home game against Sacramento dumping money for their betting backers at an astounding rate , as is evident by cashing just 2 of their L/15 overall including SU losses in 9 of their L/12 overall. I know Atlanta has won 4 straight meetings in this series but that was than and this is now. Advantage Kings 

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  over the last 2 seasons

ATLANTA is 2-13 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 8-32 L/5 seasons for. a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento 

  Cleveland came through in the crunch in  a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Entering this game with a big scoop of confidence Im betting the Cavs give the visiting Milwaukee Bucks all they can handle. Cleveland has won the L/4 meetings in this series a at home and have an edge taking points at home.

CLEVELAND is 28-14 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Bulls according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs a Indiana team that pays little attention to D. Note: CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or more this season. Right now the Bulls are a ATM machine for their betting backers cashing 11 of their L/13 ATS and are off a underdog victory vs the Atlanta Hawks last time out. That good news considering they are a bankroll expanding CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons .  HC Donovan is 18-2 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog as the coach of CHICAGO.CHICAGO is also 7-0 ATS  after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. The Pacers won last time out against Houston, but that was only their 3rd win in 9 games, and Im betting against them here tonight, mostly because of their lack of defensive discipline, something the Bulls have in spades. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more  PPG) are 40-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Cleveland has played very competitive ball and according to my projections matchup well here vs a Dallas Mavs side that  is 15-28 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and just 10-24 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Considering Cleveland is well rested after last playing Saturday in a 109-95 win at Chicago, they look to have an edge here taking points vs a side that played Christmas day in a win vs the Suns on the road - behind Doncics 50 point out put. Regression from the Mavs should be expected. 

NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 45-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland  to cover

The Chicago Bulls have shown alot of consistency and competitive recently winning 8 of their L/12 SU while covering 10 of those games. They did lose to Cleveland late time out but are a resilient bunch that Im betting will bounce back vs a Atlanta side that does not travel particularly well as is evident by their 8-9 away record that has seen them fail to cover 11 of those tilts and 10 of their L/14 overall SU(home/away). With the Hawks expected to be  without forward De'Andre Hunter who will undergo a non-surgical procedure and already missing key component Johnson, Trae Young becomes the sole arbiter of the Hawks, and despite his prowess is not a one man team. Advantage Chicago. 

ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA team (CHICAGO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more  PPG) are 39-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

Boston owns the No.1  SRS in the NBA with. a 11.50 mark, while the Lakers are ranked 20th in SRS at -0.13. Even with home court advantage there is a clear cut edge for the top tier Celtics telling me this line is tainted based on Lakers brand name recognition. I know the Lakers grabbed a elite  win vs the Thunder last time out on the road, but history does not bode well for the aging Lakers to put out another big time effort in this spot, as HC  Ham is 6-19 ATS  off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

BOSTON is 19-9 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Boston team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight game are 39-10 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Celtics to cover

After winning the in season tournament the Lakers old legs look like they have cramped up as is evident by losing 5 of their L/6 including four straight. Meanwhile, the Thunder are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, and just off ending the Clippers extended win streak while  having won 5 of their L/6 and three straight and will be primed to take down the visitors tonight as they are one of the best conditioned sides in the league. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Thunder to cover

 Atlanta rallied late for a 134-127 road win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday and have momentum and confidence entering this game against inconsistent Miami side. that is  15-33 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is  also 18-32 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.Friday's game will be the second of the season between the teams, as the Heat won in Atlanta 117-109 on Nov. 11 and now Im betting on a top tier revenge effort from a Hawks side that grabbed a victory here the last time they visited. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

The Clippers enter this game in red hot form winning 8 straight games, but Dallas is the type of team that can make like difficult for even the hottest of teams. Los Angeles split two games with Dallas earlier this season, but what stood out to me in those games, is not the Clippers star Leonard, but the Mavs top man Doncic  who averaged 37 points in the two games against the Clippers. He had 44 points on 17-of-21 shooting in the Dallas victory and 30 points in the loss only because he shot 1 of 8 form downtown. Im betting bhe will be key tonight in a Mavs cover. 

LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS  after playing a road game this season.(Beat Indiana last time out by a 151-127 count and now Im betting on major regression)

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 38-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

Utah seems to reserve it best hoops for top tier teams like Cleveland. Note: UTAH is 37-17 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. After a top tier effort in a  125-108 underdog win vs the Brooklyn last time out Im betting that the momentum of that victory has them playing with confidence here tonight in Cleveland. UTAH is 14-1 ATS  off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog. 

Utah is 3-1 L/4 and the play of Sexton who has averaged 25.6 points and 4.0 assists in the past five games has been key the Jazz' recent resurgence. Im betting he will alos be to us getting the cover in this spot play situation. 

Utah is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is also  8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - struggling  team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after scoring 125 points or more are 61-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

There is  enough calculated mathematical value here for us to a take a flyer on the points.  Make no mistake the Spurs are losing team, but this line value is something that cannot be ignored. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 19-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Spurs to cover

Memphis gets their  star point guard Ja Morant  back after a  25-game suspension and Im betting his team feels his energy here tonight in what Im betting will be a cover in the Bayou. Yes I know the Grizz have lost 5 straight including a road loss vs the Thunder last time out. But Jenkins  seems to rally his troops in road games off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS as is evident by covering 18 of this L/24 bounce back efforts.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 15-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Dallas is not easily intimidated and have won 9 of their L/13 road games this season and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete in this Mile High showdown against the Nuggets. I know Denver beat the Mavs earlier this season , but HC Kidd always seems to make the adjustments needed in  avenging rematches as is evident by. a 34-20 ATS record revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of Dallas he average ppg  clicking in at +2.2 . 

DALLAS is 33-16 ATS L/47 in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher .

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 92-56 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Pacers after a nice in tournament run are in a bit of funk right now as is evident by three straight losses, all on the road by DDs. Now back home I expect they will be primed to upset the visiting LA Clippers who have procured 7 straight wins but just one of them on the road vs the short handed  Utah Jazz. The Clippers have done sub optimal work on the road this season, losing 7 of 11 and have lost their L/2 visits here. 

Carlisle is 20-7 ATS in home games after a non-conference game as the coach of INDIANA.

NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 23-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Golden State after a strong performance and win last night, look vulnerable in this pot pay on tired legs. Note:  The Warriors have not won back to back games in almost 6 weeks and if they get the victory tonight Im betting it wont come easily.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-34 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 2-18 ATS  in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 130 points or more are 10-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Blazers

The Celtics beat up on Orlando group by DDs, the day before yesterday for their 13th straight home win.Sunday marks the third meeting of the season between the teams. The Magic beat Boston 113-96 as hosts on Nov. 24 and must not be underestimated in their ability to bounce back here with a competitive performance.ORLANDO is 31-17 ATS   as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Bean-town. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Thunder rookie Chet Holmgren,, along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, are dangerous foes for all comers including the Denver Nuggets. Yes Denver has played well lately, but are 12-24 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Advantage Thunder taking points. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-6 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.Daigneault is 32-17 ATS  in road games off a road loss as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.Daigneault is 67-43 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder

With the offensive fire power that the Pacers have there are is a very good chance here they stay within the offered underdog number. INDIANA is 17-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS L/30 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game . 

NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - an explosive offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Im sure the Bucks are looking at this like a defacto night off vs the the league worst team. Meanwhile, the Pistons will play with absolutely no pressure as they cant sink any lower than their current form. When the Pistons visited Milwaukee earlier this season they lost by a 120-118 count, but covered as 12.5 underdogs. Rinse and repeat in play here this evening. 

NBA team (DETROIT) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 59-18 ATS L/5 seasons and a perfect 8-0 ATS this season. 

Play on Detroit  to cover

Houston has been almost  unbeatable at home this season but are just 1-8 SU on the road  and are being over rated here in the favorites role.I know they have beaten the Grizzlies twice this year  both times at home  but  it must be noted that  MEMPHIS is 23-7 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons and Im sure knowing how well HC Jenkins can adjust to opponents give me credence in backing a Grizzlies side that has won their L/4 meetings at home in this series.  Jenkins 29-16 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of MEMPHIS.MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS  in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover

This game is a rematch of a 105-98 Kings home victory in the early stages of the NBA in-season tournament last month. Entering this game  the  Brooklyn, the Kings were  smashed  119-99 on the road against the Los Angeles Clippers on the second night of a back-to-back Tuesday. The Kings took out the Brooklyn Nets in the first game of the consecutive tilts , but looked very tired in the followup. Now rejuvenated and going up against a side they matchup well against Im betting on a rebound performance. 

SACRAMENTO is 15-4 ATS  in home games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

Brown is 35-18 ATS  vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more  of their attempts in all games he has coached

NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Sacramento to cover

Sacramento is 4-0 SU L/4 at home in this series and are 7-1 SU L/8 overall meetings. 

Utah played last night but they are well conditioned and offer value vs a weak favorite that has lost 4 straight games. UTAH is 42-23 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

Utah has not had a great season, but they have won their L/6 home games and are never easy to face here in the high altitudes of  Salt Lake City. I know the Jazz have struggle of late, but it must be noted that they are Hardy is 15-3 ATS   after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of UTAH. I know NYK is a quality side, but they have lost 3 of their L/4 games and are in my opinion being over rated here against the Jazz tonight. Note: Jazz top scorer Markkanen has missed the past eight games for Utah, but he's been ramping up his participation in recent practices and is on the verge of a return, possibly even tonight. 

UTAH is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less on the opening line  over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 17-5 ATS  as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 43-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jazz to cover

The Rockets home-court  11 game winning streak may not be in jeopardy tonight vs the  the inconsistent  Memphis Grizzlies, but the line in my humble opinion is just a little bit over done. by around 1 possession giving us an edge here to cover according to my projections. The Grizzlies have covered 6 of their L/9 road games, and have won 4 of those games SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.8 in their L/11 away tilts this season. 

NBA Home teams (HOUSTON) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Watching the Milwaukee Bucks play of late, has me wondering if this team is currently over rated. They honestly look slow and old and their super star the  Greek Freak looks a little slow ( knee issues) as does the team overall. With that said, Im betting the run and gun Pacers offer up some issues for the Bucks giving us an edge with the underdog. Note: The Pacers have won and covered 6 of their !0 road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1. 

From a SRS perspective : Milwaukee ranks 12 with a 2,77 mark, while Indiana ranks 11th with a 2.89 , even with home ciurt advantage factored in we still according to my projections have a one possession edge.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Miami is one of those teams that reserves their best hoops for top tier teams, but against sub par opponents like Charlotte they have a tendency of living up to the lines makers projections as is evident by their  3-15 ATS mark  when playing against a below .500  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. Add to that  MIAMI is 2-15 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and you get the picture  These teams played a close game here a couple od days ago with the Heat pulling off a 2 points win and Im now betting on another hard battle that favors the underdog cashing .

Spoelstra is 6-17 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival as the coach of MIAMI with the average ppg diff clicking in at just 0.2 in those 23 tilts.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Charlotte to cover 

Monday marked the Raptors' first regulation defeat in team history when scoring 130 points.All five Toronto starters scored in double figures for the seventh time this season. Im now betting on immediate regression off a demoralizing result. Toronto has now failed to win or cover in four straight. 

 NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 45-20 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 13-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover

Cleveland lost 104-94 to the Orlando Magic Monday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. The linemakers expect a tired side to play against one of the leagues top teams,  the Boston Celtics and thats why we have a nice double digit line to bet into with the viable underdog. Considering the Cavs are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA Im betting we get the cover in this spot with a talented group on the rise. 

CLEVELAND is 26-13 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover

After winning the NBA in season tournament Im betting on some let down regression here effecting the Lakers overall energy levels giving the home side an advantage .

Dallas has won 6 of the L/8 meetings in this series straight up. 

NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover

The Thunder are coming off a 138-136 overtime win over Golden State on Friday where they forced 29 turnovers, leading to 35 points and even though they are on a couple days rest Im betting they feel a natural letdown from that affair here tonight vs a Jazz side Im sure their over looking . I know the Jazz are without leading scorer Lauri Markkanen , but are capable of being competitive here tonight as they have had sufficient time to adjust to his absence. 

UTAH is 17-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.Hardy is 41-22 ATS  as an underdog as the coach of UTAH. UTAH is 30-17 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (UTAH) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, first half of the season are 99-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Jazz

The Kings are off a  127-117 loss  to the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Monday during the in-season tournament quarterfinals, while the Suns were beaten by a  106-103 count to the host Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday in another  quarterfinal matchup. From a matchup perspective the Kings from my viewpoint stand a better chance of a bounce back, knowing that HC Brown is 17-4 ATS off a home loss as the coach of SACRAMENTO and. 11-2 ATS in road games vs. division opponents as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

Meanwhile,  ,Vogel is 1-10 ATS   versus good shooting teams -like the Kings that convert 46% or better  of their shots as the coach of PHOENIX. The Suns have failed to cover in 4 straight. 

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are just 5-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 42-12 L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Kings are 3-1 SU L/4 vs Suns.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Detroit is mired in a nasty slump to start their season losing 17 of 19 games, but Im not worried about that as a pretext to me taking them to cover. After-all Im in the business of picking advantageous situations against what the linesmkaers are offering. In this situation the Magic despite of being a team on the rise are a little banged up on the injury front, and have lost two straight while the Pistons, despite of their ugly numbers have covered at a 5-1-1 ATS rate in their L/7 games as underdogs of 9 or more points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

Philadelphia is on extended rest , as they have not played since Dec 1. There is a such a thing as too much time off, and thus getting back into game flow is not an easy transition. Im betting the  rust could cause a lack of continuity  for the 76ers and for an Atlanta side on two days rest to come out here in give the 76ers all they can handle. I know the Hawks have not been viable bets of late, failing to cover in 5 straight and 9 of their L/10 but 6 of those games were as favorites and 5 of those losses were by 2 points or less. 

ATLANTA is 21-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Snyder in 16 games  against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of ATLANTA has ween a ppg diff of -6.2.   Snyder in 14 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of ATLANTA has seen a average ppg diff of -5 ppg. Snyder in 102 games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in all games he has in his carrer has seen an average ppf diff of -5. .

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

After two hard fought games and losses vs New Orleans and Boston the Sixers are on tired legs and in a bit of a letdown situation, which bodes well for us covering this offering with the home dog Washington Wizards. Also the 76ers after. fast start to their campaign have failed to win 6 of their L/10 and are being a little over rated here in this situation. Note: Washington has covered 4 of their L/6 and get my support getting points in this spot play. 

NBA  Home underdogs of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - a very good team (7  or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7  or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 5-25 L/27 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover

The Magic had a 9 game win streak snapped last time out and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs the Cleveland Cavs here tonight. Quote:"The last couple of games, we've been slipping," Magic forward Franz Wagner said, per the Orlando Sentinel. "That's how we set the tone during the game, that's how we get out and run, and get easy points in the transition. "We got to make sure we get back to that." End Quote: I concerted effort from this very well conditioned and focused Magic side is the bet Im recommending. ORLANDO is 31-15 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover

Lakers future HOFer James helped the Lakers to a 4-0 record in group-stage play of the inaugural event and the top seed in the West heading into the win-and-advance quarterfinals and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight her vs a Suns side that the Lakers have dominated of late winning 4 straight meetings. The Lakers opened their in-season tournament group-stage schedule with a 122-119 victory at Phoenix on Nov. 10. Los Angeles and according to my projections a rinse and repeart situation is once again in play. Note: PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is also just  1-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

Winners in nine of their past 11 tilts, the Bucks will host the Knicks in an NBA in-season tournament quarterfinal battle on Tuesday. Milwaukee has won their L/8 home games and are 7-1 L/8 overall vs the Knicks and get the nod again here this Tuesday night.

MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 19-46  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 19-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover

Boston destroyed Indiana by a 155-014 count when they met back in November as their side open  style of play back fired on them against a team with a far superior D, and and even more lethal balanced offense. The Pacers despite of looking for revenge, Im betting dont have what it takes to beat the Celtics and more importantly even cover the number. Mazzulla is 23-7 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams -  allowing a shooting pct defense of 48% or more  as the coach of BOSTON with a average ppg diff of +10.3 ppg. 

Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win by 10 points or more are 3-39 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppf per game diff clicking in at -11.5 which easily qualifies in this ATS offering. 

Play on Boston to cover

Miami took the first game of this back to back series by a 142-132 count, but Im betting they wont come out of this one so easily vs this run and gun Pacers side. That was a big output for the Heat and now regression is expected. However, the Pacers offense never seems to slow down as they are the highest scoring team in the NBA. Advantage Pacers. 

MIAMI is 17-29 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 20-32 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (MIAMI) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 19-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

Orlando is on a roll having won 10 straight games, and have the young legs and ambition not to let up here in Brooklyn tonight. Yes, the Magic played last night in a 130-125 win last night  but they are one of the NBAs best conditioned teams and deserve respect here as underdogs. Note: ORLANDO is 13-2 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS  in all games this season.ORLANDO is 10-1 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 23-44 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 22-10 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando to cover

The Nuggets are expected to be almost fully healthy tonight as Jokic , and Murray are expected to play . The Nuggets have dominated their opposition when healthy and are 7-1 when Murray plays. I know the suns have played well, but are just 1-8 ATS versus good shooting teams like Denver  - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. The Suns couldn't stop the Nuggets in last years play offs and Im betting nothing changes today.

Play on Nuggets to cover

Orlando took out Washington by a 139 -120 count in the first of these back to back games in this series, but I saw enough in the first game to believe that the Wizards can be more competitive in rebound mode. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Wizards to cover

Philadelphia was hitting on all cylinders in their last game vs the Lakers, and Im betting with that momentum on their sides will continue to push forward here tonight vs a streaky  Pelicans side that has lost 2 straight SU/ATS. 

Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NBA in SRS with 10.18 mark while, ranks 18th with a 0.45. Considering this the linesmakers in my humble opinion are over estimating the 76ers regression probabilities off a huge game . 

PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS   on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Houston has struggled with explosive offensive sides like Dallas recently especially on the road where they are here tonight. Advantage Dallas.HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS ) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. I know Houston has been an ATM machine for their backs of late, but now the market has adjusted and laying under 5 at home with the Mavericks according to my projections is viable investment option. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 4-38 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

Minnesota has won 12 of its first 16 games to jump to the top of the conference standings. That includes a 2-1 record in West Group C of the in-season tournament. The Wolves have played their best hoops at home this season winning 7 of 8 games, with the average ppg diff at more than 13 points. I know Oklahoma State has played well, also but my matchup power ranking suggest the Wolves are the superior side by 5+ points as hosts.

The Wolves rank 3rd in the NBA in SRS with 7.70 mark while the Thunder are ranked 4th with a 7.69 mark. When taking into consideration the home court edge where the Wolves are almost always in top form we have a line as mentioned above that should be closer to 5, thus giving us value laying lumber here with the home fav. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-31 L/5 seasons for. a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Atlanta can run and gun with anyone in the NBA and despite of tnheir defensive failures recently are side that must be respected getting points especially the way their star Trae Young is shooting the ball.Young's most recent top teir  offensive effort  came on Sunday in a 113-103 loss to the Celtics, when he connected on a  team-high 33 points and added seven assists in the second game of a back-to-back.Meanwhile, the market was slow to catchup with Cleveland as this season began , but now they have caught up and are starting to over adjust giving us value with this underdog selection. Advantage Atlanta. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

 .Atlanta has won five of seven games over Cleveland, dating to the beginning of the 2021-22 season.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

Denver is 11-6 on the season but just 3-6 on the road, but Im betting those numbers will turn around to upside in Nuggets away games, as they are just to talented to not get into a groove even away from the Mile High City. DENVER is 8-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons and according to my power rankings have an edge here taking points. I know the Nuggets played last night, but they are a well conditioned side, that will be ready to play here tonight in LA even without Jamal Murray in the lineup. 

The Clippers rank 9th (3.62) in /SRS while the Cliipers ranks 13th with a 1.31 mark. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NBA  team vs the money line (DENVER) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

Brooklyn is on tired legs as they play their 2nd back to back games this season and are vulnerable .The Nets earned a 109-107 win in Chicago during an in-season tournament game on Nov. 3 and Im betting on another close game here with the points to be golden. 

BROOKLYN is 11-24 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 21-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.Vaughn is 11-25 ATSin home games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on Chicago to cover

Knicks have looked a little lethargic offensively in back to back games . The first tgame came at the end of a exhausting 5 game road trip and the 2nd was when they played their first game at home after that for-mentioned away rodeo. Now acclimated to home cooking and well rested Im betting on the Knicks will be  primed and motivated  to play at an optimal level, against a Phoenix Suns squad on a 5 game win streak.  NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS  after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

The Suns beat Memphis last time out by DDs,  but this is not a favorable spot from a historical standpoint for the Suns as Vogel is 12-26 ATS (- in road games off a road win by 10 points or more in all games he has coached.

Key injury updates: Beals still out for Suns and Durant(foot) is questionable tonight and if he plays is less than 100%. 

PHOENIX is 26-44 ATS L/70 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game . 

NBA Favorites on the opening line  of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

Dallas 10-5  is the fresher team here entering this tilt against a LA Clippers (6-8)  side that played last night. The Mavs rank 15th with. a+0.83 rating  in the NBA in SRS while the Clippers, are ranked 21st with a -0.01 rating. Factoring in exhaustion adn performance  levels the 
Mavs have the edge. SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. The last time these teams played on No. 11 the Mavs came a away with a 144-126 victory at home. Note:LA CLIPPERS are 7-17 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -5. 

Play on Dallas cover

The Golden State Warriors have struggled out of the gate this season and now have an opportunity to take on their frustrations out on a San Antonio  team  on a 10 game losing run and  that they have beaten up pretty easily in recent meetings with 37,31, 15 points deficit victories in their L/3 meetings. I know Golden State has not covered any of their 7 home games this season, but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here with the DD fav. Note:GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS  in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in Phoenix. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 16-31 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 12-28 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road loss against a division rival, on Friday nights are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

Miami has played some decent defensive ball of late , while winning at Cleveland and Chicago. But from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their betting backers as they are  2-11 ATS  after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, NYK after a extensive 5 game road trip looked flat in tired in their final game of the trip with a 117-110 loss to Minnesota. However, they have now been off since Nov 20th and with extensive rest and back on home court Im betting on a big effort from the Knicks. . NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS  after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Note: Underdogs vs the money line (MIAMI) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering.  Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 35-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff registering at +11.5 which qualities on this ATS offering. 

  MIAMI is 18-32 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.( Heat beat Cleveland 129-96 last time out)

NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 18-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rte for bettors. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

 The Mavericks are scoring 122.8 points a game, which is second-most in the league, in wide open run and gun fashion, and that makes them viable options against a Lakers side that is due for offensive  regression after last nights 131 output vs the Jazz. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing with 2 days rest are 95-84 L/5 ATS for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA  team vs the money line (DALLAS) - an explosive offensive team (118  or more PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game are 25-6 L/27 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a average ppf diff clicking in at +8.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Dallas to cover

The Timberwolves have won 10 of their first 13 games to jump to the top of the Western Conference standings and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the Philadelphia 76ers here tonight with home court advantage on their sides. The Wolves rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency which is important in game that features the 76ers top ranked offensive efficiency. Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins  against  the New Orleans Pelicans and New York Knicks, and it has won nine of its last 10 trips to the hardwood and have momentum on their sides, vs a Philadelphia side on a short rest after taking the Cleveland Cavaliers last night in a tilt that went to OT in a   122-119 loss at home.  Now exhausted and off a red eye to get here the 76ers are at a disadvantage. 

Finch is 13-3 ATS   in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more as the coach of MINNESOTA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.9. 

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover

The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents  Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count  last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it  should not come as a surprise that they could also be  over looking a  lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34   after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

The Jazz,  host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where  alot of teams have  have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. 

UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Utah to cover

The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap  a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS  after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a  116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. 

ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons

PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4; 8-3 ATS) have gone 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five trips to the hardwood  and have momentum on their sides.  Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a four game losing run and are fade material in their current form especially with the explosive  Curry and tough man Green out of the lineup. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS   revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS  vs. sub pard rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at +14.4. 

Play on Thunder to cover

MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS  in all games this season and have failed to cover 7 straight games overall. Their marker value has been consistently over rated by the lines-makers and tonight looks to be no different against what looks to be a tenacious hardworking group of Raptors. Key injury Note: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Calf) is not 100% despite of being expected to play tonight.

Raptors are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. 

The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (-19.55 Units / -17% ROI) dating back to last season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 PPG or more) are 35-5 L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

The Celtics have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Sixers last week by a 106-103 count, and will be primed for pay back here tonight in the rematch. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Sixers  play again tonight after seeing their eight-game winning streak snapped last night vs Indiana . Now on tired legs against a talented and  redemption minded squad Im betting the 76ers  are in trouble. 

BOSTON is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 23-5 L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking  at +13.6. 

NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.6. 

Play on Boston to cover

Lakers are off two straight wins and look to be in sync entering this tilt vs the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. I know the Grizzlies are off a win vs the Clippers on Sunday, but Im not impressed by the Clippers so far this season, so Im betting that the 2-8  bad news Bears revert back to the inconsistent type of play they have exhibited this season. MEMPHIS is 1-18 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 10-28 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an sub par defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team 14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5 TO's or more )are 24-2 L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which esaily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

The Knicks enter this game giving up 103.2 per outing (second in NBA) and here against the explosive Celtics Im betting they will be very physical and tenacious  which will in turn take away the home teams positive flow. Based on a short list of early season results the line may not seem out of place, but after watching the Knicks on a few occasions this seasons it become obvious this a proud hard core type of team, that deserves alot more respect than they are getting tonight. 

NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS   after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 19-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Knicks  to cover

The New Orleans Pelicans will be primed  to bounce back from a 0-3 road trip when they host the Mavericks on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Mavs are off a hard fought win vs conference rivals the Clippers last time out in what turned into a physical game and could easily be in a emotional let down state here in the Bayou tonight making them vulnerable to a hungry home side. 

NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Green is 15-4 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more  as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover

This  will be the final stop on a four-game road trip for Toronto nd Im betting they will be on tired legs in a nasty home environment against a superior side the Celtics. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons which is the case here tonight. Note: against this type of team in a cover situation you need to be able to make charity stripe conversion something  Toronto isa not doing well as they  rank last in the NBA in free-throw percentage at 69.6 percent.

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Celtics to cover

Detroit had seven players sidelined by injuries or illness on Monday when it faced a fully healthy Golden State squad and still played cohesively for 90% of that game but faded late losing by 11. Im betting their young legs will keep them in this game as well, vs a Milwaukee side that Im sure will be over looking them and or showing less than desirable  motivation, especially after taking part in a emotional thriller in Brooklyn last time out as they barley walked away with a  129-125 victory. Advantage Motown on the spread. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pistons to cover

Philadelphia is in top form entering this home game against the Celtics as is evident by having won 5 straight games, with four straight coming by DDs. Meanwhile, the Celtics started strong with 5 straight victories , but that was suddenly snapped last time out vs Minnesota. This is obviously going to be a hard fought game between two eastern conference rivals , and for me that means taking points with the side honing home court advantage. 

PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better ) are 15-42 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

 The Sixers will try to land their fifth consecutive victory when they host the Washington Wizards on Monday. Because of thier lofty run they are also being over rated here on this line making the underdog a viable proposition. I know the Wizards have lost 5 of 6 but now in desperation mode against a top tier opponent I expect them to put forward a big effort as they search for early season redemption and momentum. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - team that had a winning record last season, after 4 or more consecutive wins are 9-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more  on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 26-3 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.\

Play on Washington to cover

After a grueling Mile High city trip and loss at Denver  Im betting the Mavs are in letdown situation and  also gassed  after their high altitude track meet. Meanwhile, Charlotte has shown some flashes of brilliance vs Atlanta in. opening season win and a victory vs Indiana as underdogs on the road last time out and are according to my early season power rankings a value underdog option this Sunday. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 11-26 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-21 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 4-27 SU/ATS  L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate with the average point per game diff clicking in at -5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering by DDs.  

Charlotte is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 overall vs Dallas.

Play on Charlotte to cover