After playing the fist part other season in balls to the walls fashion, the  run and gun Sacramento Kings look like they have not paced them selves well and have run out of gas at the worst possible time as they have lost 6 of their L/8 . Today after having travelled from the West coast to the East coast, their biological clocks combined with jet lag and  exhaustion  Im betting factors into what will be a much closer game then many anticipate vs a lowly side, trying to play for their jobs in the NBA after some ugly embarrassing efforts.  Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

he Knicks are 19-3-1 ATS L/23 at home when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. The Kings are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 with more than one day of rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Kings are 3-18 ATS L/21 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home dog.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

The Thunder had lost five of six before winning 129-121 in char fought overtime at Portland on Thursday night. However, now on tired legs in a back to back situation the Thunder are at a disadvantage. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS after a division game this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on a 3 game win streak and have captured victories in 4 of their L/5 overall, and have momentum coming into this game with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder back on Dec. 15th of this season. 

The Clippers are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 91-46 L/5 seasons SU for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Detroit has won 10 of its last 12 games and are in good form but from a matchup power ranking system vs system ranking algorithm I use I m betting they're getting to much love here tonight from the lines makers. Meanwhile, Motowns home dog opponent Chicago is a team that is playing alot better of late as was evident in a win vs Philadelphia 76ers 108-107 on Wednesday and now deserve respect getting points as they go for their 7th win in 10 games . Heres what HC Lavine said of his young Bulls team. QUOTE: When you are rebuilding, you have to take your bumps and understand you have to build your way up," LaVine said. "We're a young, exciting team. We have elite firepower. We have some of the best players in the NBA on this team, I feel like. And we're going to change it around really fast." END QUOTE.

Chicago has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Illinois. 

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. ( Their young legs buoy them)

DETROIT is 8-21 ATS  in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are 0-16 ATS/SU on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Bulls are 6-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 21-55 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate and 2-14  SU this season.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Raptors  are coming off a 107-95 home loss to Houston on Tuesday and are currently in their worst form of the season as they embark on a 3 game road trip.  Thats not a good omen for Dino supporters here tonight, as in the past the the Raptors are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 with rest off a loss when they are at the start of a three game road trip. Hey I  know New Orleans is not a side that will inspire many bettors but from a mathematical standpoint Im betting we have value and an advantage with the home side here tonight. Also believe it or not the Pelicans are a more cohesive group without Anthony Davis in the lineup. It just so happens Davis will probably be side lined from now until the end of the year (injury) , which will lift this team up instead of demoralize them. because of his refusal to want anything to do with this group going forward. NO is off a home loss last time out to Utah snapping a 3 game win streak. From a trends perspective that is also good news as  NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 ATS off a home loss this season. Bounce back time.

TORONTO is 11-23 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Take the points with New Orleans to cover 

Oklahoma City enters this game on a 0-8 ATS run with the 2 wins during that streak coming by 4 points and 1 point respectively. All 8 games however, saw the Thunder struggle, and they are in struggling form, against a team playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, as Portland comes homes off a 6-2 SU road trip and have been money in the bank for their backers for a while now cashing tickets 7 of their L/8 trips to the hardwood. I know Oklahoma City has won all three games in this series this season, but now with triple revenge on board Im betting on a big effort from the home team and subsequent cover.

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  after a division game this season. PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS  in home games this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS  versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Milwaukee Bucks after a 7 game win streak have endured 2 straight losses including a shocking one to the Phoenix Suns last time out  and will now be ready to bounce back here in a big way at home after 3 days rest.The Bucks are 13-2 ATS /14-1 SU with rest off a loss. The Bucks are 12-0 ATS  at home when their last four games are WWLL.MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season.  Bucks are also  6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central and  are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Meanwhile, the Pacers are off a hard fought win vs Chicago last time out but  are 0-12 ATS  as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite after a game that was tied 5+ times.  Back in February the Bucks went into Indiana and beat the Pacers by a 106-97 count and proved they matchup well vs Indiana, and get the nod again laying DDs here. Note: The Pacers are 0-10 ATS/SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. 

NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Milwaukee to romp

The Jazz, one of the hottest teams won the first meeting this season in New Orleans  vs the Pelicans 132-111 on Oct. 27 and get the nod again here in this spot. I know Utah lost late time out ending a 4 game losing streak, but they have proven themselves proficient in the bounce back roll going 17-8 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. 

UTAH is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Utah Jazz are 20-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite of two-plus points with less than two days rest when they are off a game as a favorite in which they had a baskets-assisted-percentage at least 10 points higher than  their opponent and do not play tomorrow with every win coming by 4 point or more. The L/19 games under these peremiters have all come by 5 points or more. 

Play on Utah to cover

San Antonio is playing much better ball of late winning 3 straight, but Atlanta are no pushovers, and are up-trending especially for bettors as is evident by cashing 6 of their L/7 for their supporters. Im betting on the home dog Hawks to keep the money train rolling for their backers again tonight.

SAN ANTONIO is 17-30 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 30-43 ATS   in road games over the last 2 seasons.

The Hawks are 18-4-1 ATS L/23 as a dog after they allowed their opponent to exceed their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.The Spurs are 1-11-1 ATS ( on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Detroit enters this game having won 9 of their L/11 games and are up trending and still in the hunt for. play off spot.  Tonight against a Minnesota team on tired legs playing their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and  off playing last night at home win to the Thunder Im betting the Pistons have an advantage.  Note: The Timberwolves are 0-14-2 ATS L/16 on the road off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field which was the case last night. 

 MINNESOTA is 17-31 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  DETROIT is 14-4 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

The Pistons are 22-5 ATS /23-4 SU  as a favorite off a game as a dog after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in an impressive win vs Toronto last time out.The Pistons are 7-0 ATS/SU L/7 as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a win.

Detroit is 7-0 SU/ATS in the last seven meetings against Minnesota.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Hornets won both meetings vs visiting Miami this season, back in October. They won 113-112 in Miami and 125-113 at home and matchup well from a system vs system players vs players system I use at this point in the season.

MIAMI is 2-10 ATS  vs. division opponents this season. CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite with rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are 60-114 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. 

Play . on Charlotte to cover 

The Raptors enter this game at 2-2 in their L/4, but tonight at full strength with Kawhi Leonard playing Im betting they have an edge, and with newly acquired  will Marc Gasol getting back into form after having to adjust to a new team I expect the young men from TO will be cohesive and explosive. Since Gasol arrived the Raptors have smashed opposing starting lineups by an average +36.9 point diff. This is important since Houstons bench is even weaker than then the 20th ranked bench of the Raps, as the Rockets depend solely on their starting 5 and in particularly  James Harden the one man band. With that said , lets lay the points with the home team.

 TORONTO is 17-4 ATS  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

NBAHome favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 115-30 SU L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Portland Blazers will play their 7th straight road game tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies on tired legs. Meanwhile, Memphis embarrassed after blowing a 13 point lead vs Oklahoma City last time out with 6 and 1/2 minutes left in the game, and losing 99-95 will be out hell bent on getting redemption and will be ready to play. Believe me pros don' t like to be embarrassed and considering the Grizzlies have looked competitive of late its not a stretch , to bet them getting points tonight in a advantageous situation. 

The Grizzlies are 22-2 ATS L/24 as a dog with less than two days rest after they held their opponent under their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.

The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

Play on Memphis to cover

Indiana  has won its first three meetings this season against the Bulls, however, each of those contests  were hard fought affairs with the games being decided by single digits. Meanwhile, In a recent hard-fought back and forth  loss to the Orlando Magic by a 117-112 count the Pacers  their 3rd loss in 4 games they looked out of sorts and were constantly arguing with the officials. Their lack of concentration got them in trouble and could easily see them humbled here  again tonight .Note: The Pacers are 1-14 ATS L/15 as a home favorite with rest after a game as a home favorite in which a game that was tied 5+ times which qualifies after the battle they had with the Magic in their last home game. I know the Bulls might not inspire bettors, but they are playing alot better of late  winning 5 of their L/7 overall and  in revenge mode and will be motivated here to upend their opponents. The Bulls are 9-0 ATS  as a road dog after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

Indiana is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a fav of 5 points or more vs a side with triple revenge. 

CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, on Tuesday nights are 20-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Spurs have won 2 straight and Denver has lost two straight at home as they enter this game in Texas tonight. With the Spurs up trending and in revenge mode for a loss to the Nuggets back on Nov 28 in Mile High City Im betting the Spurs will be reved up for revenge . Note: The Spurs The San Antonio Spurs are 17-0 SUATS at home with conference revenge.

The Spurs are 15-0-1 ATS /16-0 SU with rest off a 10+ win in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

DENVER is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more  of their shots this season.

Spurs have won 5 straight at home in this series over the L/3 seasons.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Boston had been struggling of late , but snapped a 4 game losing streak with a win vs Washington last time out, and now have some momentum entering this game against  the Houston Rockets side that has lost 19 of their 30 road games this season. I know alot of pundits don't feel confident in the Celtics in their current form , but this is still a quality team overall, and will be primed to play there very best vs a top tier opposition in front of their own fans where they are 24-9 SU this season. 

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 10-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. 

The Celtics are 13-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with rest off a 10+ win in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throw.

 Houston is 4-15 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more this season as was the case in a 121-118 come from behind win vs Miami last time out in Texas.  he Rockets are 0-12 ATS/1-11 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. The Rockets are 0-9 ATS /0-9 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 115-28 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, second half of the season are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston Celtics to cover 

The up-trending New York Knicks a team that has won 3 of their L/5 games , enters a game vs a Clippers team that they actually matchup well against as they  go for a season sweep of Los Angeles when they visit the Clippers for a tilt on Sunday afternoon. The Clippers are coming off a big win at Sacramento as they chase  a playoff spot in the Western Conference, and Im betting they will be in a natural letdown spot here vs the under valued Knicks. 

The Knicks are 14-1-1 ATS  with more than one day of rest after a game as a home favorite in which a game with 8+ lead change.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Milwaukee has an NBA-best 48-14 record and have won 13 of their L/14 overall and 9 straight road games SU. Meanwhile, their hosts  the Jazz have won three straight games and 17 of their last 23 after recording a 111-104 road win over the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. The Jazz put out a high level of energy in that game and may have difficulties replicating the same kind of effort vs the Milwaukee Bucks tonight in an emotional let down situation.Note: 

Snyder is 6-17 ATS  in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread as the coach of UTAH.

The Bucks are 10-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint .

The Jazz are 1-11 ATS /0-12 SU L/12 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

I know the Bucks have played a heavy road schedule of late but they are a well conditioned team, that is a bankroll expanding 10-1 ATS  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is also 11-3 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season and are very dangerous underdogs in this spot vs a team they beat by 12 points back in January. A 16+ point turnaround , while not being out of the question, has  a fairly high probability negative outcome making getting points with the elite road dog a value situation. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

***Thunder key cog Paul George is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs San Antonio ( Shoulder ) and that is key here for me backing the Spurs as short home chalk. Also the Spurs were defeated by the Thunder on Jan 12 of this season by a 122-111 count and now the Spurs are revenge minded and will be motivated to get payback. Note:The San Antonio Spurs are 17-0 SUATS at home with conference revenge and get my support in a redemption effort vs a short handed side. 

The Spurs are also 15-0 SU/ATS with rest off a 10+ win in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. ( They beat Motown 105-93 last time out)

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average failing to cover by more than 13 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team and are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Magic are coming off Thursday's come-from-behind 103-96 home victory vs defending NBA champion Golden State. The Magic also beat Eastern power house Toronto, while losing to Chicago and the New York Knicks, two of the worst teams in the league. Needless to say their Magic spells won't be catching the Pacers by surprise, as the home team will be wide awake here knowing they can't take the night off , like the Raptors and Warriors probably did. The Pacers also have revenge eon board for a 107-100 loss to Orlando the last time they visited the Magic kingdom this season and will be primed for payback. Note: The Pacers are 14-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. 

INDIANA is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season. Indiana has won 4 straight meetings at home in this series.

INDIANA is 31-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

 Magic are 0-12 ATS/SU with rest after their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts which was the case vs Golden State.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 193-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind .

Play on Indiana to cover 

Portland is on a 5 game win streak that started with a DD shellacking of Golden State and than continued with 4 straight road wins, vs Brooklyn, Philadelphia, Cleveland and Boston. Its been a long east coast adventure for the Blazers, but this well conditioned team is  showing little to no sign of exhaustion as they head into this tilt vs the explosive Toronto Raptors. With that said, and with  my own system vs system line, projecting a pickem type affair, Im recommending we take the Blazers plus the points here tonight. Note: PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS  after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and is 12-2 ATS  in March games over the last 2 seasons.The Trailblazers are 17-2 ATS  L/19 on the road with rest off a win as a dog which was the case vs the Celtics last time out. 

Portlands SRS is 4.10 and Torontos is 5.35. Which translates to an adjusted 1 possession tilt according to my use of these numbers.  ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

The Trailblazers are 12-0 ATS/11-1 SU with rest off a win in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the one SU loss coming by 1 point. 

 Trail Blazers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games playing on 1 days rest.Trail Blazers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. Eastern Conference.The Trail Blazers are 18-4 SU against teams from the Eastern Conference. Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.TORONTO is 11-21 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

The Trail Blazers defeated the Raptors 128-122 in Portland on Dec. 14.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Jazz played a hard fought game against the LA Clippers ;last night and escaped with a narrow win, as they failed to cover as 10 point chalk, and now go into the high altitudes of the  Mile High City on tired legs. This is not a good situation for the Jazz against a team that has been dominant at home this season, winning 27 of their 31 games as hosts. Add to that the Nuggets are flying high right now winning 5 straight including 5 straight SU/ATS in this series at home and in revenge mode for a 114-108 loss at Utah back in late January. With the underlying factors now in place I expect for the Nuggets to hand out a vengeful minded beatdown on the tired Jazz here in the Rockies tonight. 

DENVER is 20-9 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. DENVER is 9-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season and is 11-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.DENVER is 20-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 181-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Philadelphia without Joel Embiid in the lineup will be at a disadvantage here tonight vs a Oklahoma City side that will primed to end a 2 game losing streak. The Sixers got clobbered by Portland  in a DD fashion ) 130-115) in the first game that Embiid was out  and then barely scratched by a rutterless New Orleans last time  out by a 111-110 count.  What makes things even worse here, is that they will also be without another front court guy as Boban Marjanovic is also  out.Without its two big men, the 76ers will rely on rookie Jonah Bolden and Amir Johnson in the middle which is not a good situation for this banged up short handed team here against this type of explosive side. 

76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.76ers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Thunder are 13-1 ATS /SU L/14 as a favorite with rest after playing as a road dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

The Seventysixers are 1-15 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Seventysixers are 0-11 ATS 1/10SU  on the road with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

The Celtics got man handled by the Toronto Raptors last night, for their 3rd straight loss ( all on the road) and will now be out looking for redemption  tonight back in Bean-town in front of their own fans where they always seem to play their best hoops , especially against upper tier teams like the Blazers. Note:  BOSTON is 14-3 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

I know these teams look to be playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Portland on a 4 game wins streak, and the Celtics on a 3 game losing streak, but in the NBA , momentum and bad runs can disappear quickly. With Boston feeling a little embarrassed, I expect sulking egotists like Kyre Irving to come out here and to up their performance levels and  increase their  production levels and for the Celtics to get their mojo back at least for now vs a team they have marked for payback for a loss they suffered in Oregon back in November. There is precedent for the Celtics rebounds as they  are 12-0 ATS/SU L/12  as a favorite off a loss when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points( they gave up 126 to Chicago and 118 last night) The Celtics are 12-0 ATS/SU L/12  at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

Meanwhile, the Trailblazers are 2-19-1 ATS /0-22 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes which was the case vs Cleveland last time out by a 123-110 count.

BOSTON is 10-1 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 201-136 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Boston to cover 

Chicago is playing some very good hoops of late and despite of having a 3 game win streak end vs Milwaukee last time out . The Bulls in their current form are a  team that has to be respected getting points here today vs a Memphis side that has shown almost no consistency this season other than a penchant for losing. I know tha the bad new Bears have a couple of new cogs in their lineup and are off a win vs the LALA land  Lakers last time out , but Im not sold on them as favorites at more than a pickem against 99%  of the teams in the this league, including the Bulls. Chicago has had success here in Memphis in recent meetings going 2-0 in their L/2 visits and have won the last three overall meetings in this series  and get the nod again to be competitive and cover. Note: CHICAGO is 16-3 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

The Bulls are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

 Bulls are 16-0 ATS /15-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog when they won 3 straight vs current opponent with the one SU loss coming by 1 point. 

The Grizzlies are 1-13-1 ATS 2-13 SU L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the 2 wins coming by just 1 and 2 points respectively. 

NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight game are 47-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Nuggets have been over powering at home winning 26 of 30 games as hosts this season. Also when the Nuggets are in a groove like they are now as is evident by a 4 game win streak they are a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. DENVER is also 11-2 ATS  in home games versus teams like Oklahoma City who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Tonight Im betting the Nuggets home court advantage to be golden again as they make it 5 straight wins in this series and more importantly get us the cover.

The Nuggets are 12-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.The Nuggets are 17-2 ATS /18-1 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS /SU at home with rest off a 10+ win when they won 4 straight vs current opponent. 

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU on the road with more than one day of rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Thunder are 1-11 ATS /0-12 SU as a dog with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA team (DENVER) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5  or more TO's) are 90-52 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Magic, with eight wins in their past 10 games are playing top tier basketball at the moment, while the NY Knicks a team that despite of a couple of recent wins, are 5-24 at home this season, and according to my own power rankings and matchup stats do not match up well against this  up trending Magic team. 

Orlando has won four consecutive road games, all by at least 15 points. In the last 10 games, Orlando's average margin of victory is 17.3 points.Orlando has won its last four visits to New York and earlier this season the Magic recorded its widest margin ever in New York in a 115-89 victory.

ORLANDO is 11-1 ATS  in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons and s 11-1 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. 

The Magic are 8-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest with a combined average cover coming by more than 19 ppg. 

The Knicks are 1-16 ATS/SU as a home dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the average point differential clicking in at -11.5 ppg.

More of the same here, as Orlando cruises to victory and cover.

The Pelicans have shown some life recently with wins vs Oklahoma City and the LA Lakers and must now be respected as short home favs vs a Philadelphia team playing without their top player the injured Joel Embiid (knee). Yesterday the Sixers got crushed by the Blazers by DDs, at home, as ,  they struggled on the boards without Embiid; as Portland held a 53-33 rebounding edge that included 19 offensive rebounds.Look for Pelicans star Anthony Davis ,despite of seeing limited floor time of late, to lead the way as he takes advantage of the room he will have vs a group on tired legs and without a key cog in their lineup. 

The Seventysixers are 0-16 ATS /1-15 SU on the road after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Pelicans are 14-1 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they scored a least 18 fast break points. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Kings came in and outplayed a  very good Oklahoma City side this past  Saturday night by beating the  Thunder by a 119-116 score. However, tonight , Im betting that the Kings. playing their fourth straight road game on tired legs and a letdown situation after that above mentioned big win wont be as fortunate vs a team that beat them by a 132-105 count here on Dec 17th the last time these teams played.

The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range .The Timberwolves are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 129-28 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a +7.7 point differential. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

San Antonio  concludes a  sub par 1-6  annual rodeo trip vs a Brooklyn team that  they have beaten in the last 7 meetings. The Spurs recorded a 117-114 win in San Antonio on Jan. 31, and get the nod again here. Desperation here is a key factor in me backing a good but frustrated Spurs side in tonight confrontation. Note: Brooklyn after a torrid mid season inning run, have cooled off, and is 4-7 in its last 11 games and looking vulnerable at the moment in their current form. SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

The Spurs are 26-5 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a favorite which happened last time out.San Antonio  lost 120-117 at Toronto.The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

The Nets are 0-11 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 75-32 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the San Antonio. Spurs to cover 

The Nuggets have owned opponents at home this season winning 20 of 24 games here in the Mile High City which includes a 121-100 win vs todays visitor the LA Clippers back on Jan 10. I know the Clippers will be out to bounce back and be more competitive in the rematch, but my power rankings system vs system matchup analysis  suggests  that this is not a good matchup for the Clippers and avoiding a more than 9 point loss, is not a high probability occurrence. With that said, Im recommending we lay the points with the home side.

The Nuggets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.The Nuggets are 17-2 ATS/18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite. The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

DENVER is 20-9 ATS  in home games this season and  14-1 ATS   in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season.DENVER is 7-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The Clippers are 1-15-1 ATS /1-16 SU as a dog with rest off a win in a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field the average point differential was -11.8 ppg. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 The Jazz were absolutely embarrassed and smashed by Dallas the last time these teams met earlier this season by a 118-68 count. It was the Jazz’ worst loss in franchise history. Tonight Im betting pay back is on the agenda and if recent history repeats itself like I think it will the Jazz will increase on a  3-0 ATS record when seeking revenge from a 40-point or more loss. The Jazz have  also won and covered  4 straight in same-season non-divisional revenge this season and from a league wide NBA data base it must be reported that sides playing with revenge from a loss of 50 or more points are 4-0 ATS against teams playing on back to back nights like Dallas is. Its not often I lay DDs, but this situation warrants laying this many points.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA  Home favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-19 ATS L/5 season for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Jazz to cover 

With Kevin Love back in the lineup Cleveland is becoming very competitive and deserve respect here as short favourites vs a Memphis side that has lost 15 of their L/19 games overall and playing without without star rookie Jaren Jackson Jr.. 

 The Grizzlies are 2-16 ATS on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 108-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Dallas looked a little flat going into the all star break and will be out looking to get back on track here tonight against visiting Denver. The Cavs have been strong at home this season going 20-9 SU while, Denver has been a .500 road team, but are sub par from a all important betting perspective as they have failed to cover 18 of their 28 road games for a 36% ATS conversion rate. Dallas has won and covered 3 of their L/4 as hosts and Im recommending we take the points in this spot play.

Denver HC Malone is 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in all games he has coached since 1996 ( The Nuggets won their L/2 before the all star break)

DENVER is 8-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog this season.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, in February games are 25-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential of the 36 game sample size clicking in at +1.1 ppg. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Detroit was red hot winning 4 of their L/5 with the lone loss coming to Boston at the all star break. However, despite of their up trending play , this Motown group have not been very good overall on the road this season losing 19 of their 26 away tilts.

Meanwhile, their opponents Atlanta lost their last game at home before the All star break but are capable of bouncing back as they continue their rebuild and have shown flashes of brilliance, this season. The last time they played the Pistons the Hawks upset them 98-95 as 9 point road dogs back in December  and despite of  Detroit looking for revenge it must be noted that  HC Casey is 8-25 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996. 

DETROIT is 11-24 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons and   is 16-25 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

.Note:  NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 47-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Timberwolves are 8-20 on the road and just don't sit well with me as road chalk by this much, yes not even against the lowly Knicks. The Knicks will be attempting to win consecutive games for just the second time this season. New York after ending a ugly 18-game losing streak with a 106-91 win at Atlanta on Feb. 14 look use the momentum of that win here tonight.  With that Knicks incorporating some new blood into the lineup Im betting they will be competitive tonight. NY is 2-0 ATS L/2 vs Minnesota at home.

The Knicks are 12-1 ATS /SU at home off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the one straight up loss coming by 1 point. 

MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS   in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS /2-11 SU on the road after they shot over 50% from the field. with the two victories coming by 4 points and 2 points. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Spurs entered the all star break in a slump, and many believe Toronto will be out looking for retribution for a DD loss to the Spurs earlier this season. Yes, the Spurs were slumping and yes the Raptors have revenge on board, but because of this the price being asked on the line a is a little bloated according to my projections. The line I have set clicks in a 4.5 so according to my estimates we have value with a talented San Antonio team that desperately needs to get back on track and won't be easily run over here. Note:  TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Spurs are 13-3 SU L/16 overall meetings and are 5-0 ATS L/5 battles.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 69-31 ATS L/22 season for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are the type of team that matchup well vs the explosive Dubs, and are very viable underdogs here on the road. Sacramento has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in gets the nod again in this spot play. Note: The Kings are 4-0 ATS L/4 with more than 5 days rest. Golden State is 4-14 ATS L/18 after 5 days rest. 

GOLDEN STATE is 9-22 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

The Warriors are 1-12 ATS at home with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

The Kings are 12-0 ATS/10-2 SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s a game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

After a big mid season run Brooklyn has six losses in its last nine games and according to my matchup stats are over matched here vs a side that can easily run with them.The Blazers went into the all star break showing how under rated they are when they dominated the fourth quarter in their 129-107 win over the Warriors at home behind. Damian Lillard scored 29 points. Im betting he will be the key again here tonight in a road victory for the Blazers.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season.

Note: Portland owns a 9th ranked  +3.71 SRS compared to Brooklyns 21st ranked -1.22 SRS. ( 

SRS stands for Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Portland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Nets and has won their L/2 visits to Brooklyn.

NBA Home underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 12-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Two NBA bottom feeders go head to head tonight in Cleveland with the Suns visiting the Cavs.  . The Suns have lost 15 straight games  , while the Cavaliers dropped 23 of their past 27 games. If th Suns lose they will have broken a franchise record, and tonight because of their embarrassing scenario will be extremely primed to get a win.  QUOTE:"Fresh start. We have a stretch of games, very winnable games for us," Suns shooting guard Devin Booker told reporters. "Cleveland, Atlanta, Miami -- so we're about to go out East for the last time and hopefully come out with some big wins." END QUOTE. If there is a game that the Suns can win its this one and and they as a group will be hell bent on getting the victory making them a viable side to back. 

 Cleveland in 19 non conference games this season has seen a averagepoint differential of 14.4 ppg.CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 12-39 SU l22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 25-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Phoenix to cover 

I have analyzed the rosters and matchups for this contest and Im now releasing a very viable point-spread selection. I will say its been a while since I bet a All star fromat game, but this one has enough value that Im willing to recommend we pull the trigger. 

Alot is being made of Super star LeBron James side, but the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo and center Joel Embiid and Thunder forward Paul George,Stephen Curry and Kemba Walker (playing at home in Charlotte) are a big strong group with heaps of athletic prowess and will not make life easy for James and company.With Russell Westbrook and Middleton coming off the bench this Giannis group is dangerous and a good bet in my opinion getting points. 

Take the points with Team Giannis

The Pelicans looked horrendous in a ugly effort vs Oralndo last time out, as the team as a whole stunk out the place as they showed their displeasure in having tp play alongside  super star Anthony Davis , a ego that isn't  really interested in being a part of this group.   Davis himeslef had the second-lowest point total of his seven-year career in games in which he has played 20 or more minutes. He had two points in 20 minutes against Toronto as a rookie.Davis had just three points on 1-of-9 shooting and in 24 minutes of the Pelicans nasty 118-88 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. However, now after being embarrassed I expect Davis will come out here like his hairs on fire and in effort to keep pace with Westbook and company tonight, and for his teammates at least temporarily come to life behind him in an effort to take down a red hot Oklahoma City team. The Pelicans have covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and my choice getting points tonight.

It must be noted that the Pelicans are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a loss in a home game. 

Donovan is 8-21 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Hornets have beaten the Magic 13 times in a row, including six straight at Orlando and Im betting if they lose tonight they won't go down without a fight and actually matchup well vs a Orlando team that despite of playing well at the moment are far from consistent. It must also be noted that the Magic: 1-16 L17 as division home favs and just don't inspire me.The Magic  in their two meetings this season vs Charlotte were horrendous from down beyond the arc going a combined 16-for-66 (24.2 percent) and Im betting their inability to pop and  stop from downtown vs this Hornets group will be their downfall again. Note: ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 0-10 ATS/1-9 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with the only SU win coming by 2 points.  The Magic are 0-11 ATS/SU at home with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Denver plays its best basketball at home  and are 24-4 SU &  20-8 ATS as hosts  this season coming into this tilt vs Sacramento. Meanwhile, the Kings while looking very competitive this season do not match up well on the road vs teams that can run and gun with them like Denver can as is evident by the following trend.SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with the average point differential -14.3 ppg. Also DENVER is 18-8 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average differential of +12.1 ppg. 

DENVER is 15-2 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season (Denver beat Miami 103-87 here in the MileHigh City last time out)

The Kings are 0-15 ATS /0-15 SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/ SU as a home favorite off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

 Miami has been struggling of late , but must not be underestimated in their ability to cover or pull off an upset here vs a Dallas team that is highly inconsistent despite of of the accolades it gets from the media for having a rising star in their lineup , Luka Doncic. With this being both teams last game before the all star break I expect a spirited affair that will see getting points to be a golden proposition. 

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 31-17 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 16-4 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 31-19 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 19-7 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 17-7 ATS on the road in non conference games. Spoelstra is 23-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI.The Heat are 9-0 ATS  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 45-19 ATS for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

The Chicago Bulls will be motivated to avoid a winless home stand vs a side that they matchup well against when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.The Grizzlies will be playing on short rest after losing 108-107 to the visiting San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night and now exhausted and in a letdown spot are susceptible to a down effort vs a Chicago side that went 2-0 against the Grizzlies last season, with both wins coming by single digits. The lines-makers once again expect a close game, but my own projections estimate that the Bulls should be 3 point chalk here at home, which give credence to me backing the Bulls in this spot play. Note: Mike Conley's status for this game is questionable as he suffers with a undisclosed illness. 

MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

 The Bulls are 18-0 ATS /16-2 SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 105-26 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Orlando is playing decently and have won their first two games of their current 3 game road trip and 3 in a row, but are still a team that is far from being considered a upper tier team, and not a group that have proven long term consistent upward trajectory status. Meanwhile, their hosts tonight the Pelicans, are off a loss last time out, to the Grizzlies, in a ugly game (99-90), on the 10th of Feb, but should now be well rested and ready to rebound, as they become acclimated to having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Magic are 0-16 ATS/SU  with rest off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.

Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

 Milwaukee's star player Giannis Antetokounmpo is suffering with some knee pain, and despite of  being expected to play tonight is less than 100%. The last time out the Bucks struggled in a home loss to the Orlando Magic and blamed it on tired legs. Well Im sure that was true, but another truth is that the Bucks have come at opponents relentlessly this season and are not pacing themselves and I wont be surprised if that comes back to haunt them again tonight. 

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are just 7-26 L/5seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Mavs  are exhausted after a tenacious come from behind win vs Portland last night  which is not a good omen vs a Houston side hell bent on revenge for a earlier loss to the Mavericks this season. It must be noted that the Mavericks have lost 10 straight games when playing without rest against same-season avenging side and are just 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS as a road dog without rest after facing the Blazers. With that said, a combination and exhaustion and revenge will be the key  us getting the cover here laying DDs. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Im betting on Miami hanging tough here vs this explosive Golden State team, based on my power ranking projections. There is value on this underdog line and we must always follow long term edges, win or lose. Look for  Hassan WhiteSide who has recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and is shooting 67.3 percent from the floor in these tilts to be a key factor here tonight in making this alot more physical than the Warriors would like.

 MIAMI is 32-17 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-5 ATS  in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS   after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Spoelstra is 41-25 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI. 

The Heat are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 1-13-1 ATS  at home off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 0-9-1 ATSL/10 as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

Play on Miami to cover 

 The Lakers looked good in a win vs the Boston Celtics 3 days ago as underdogs, and now with some momentum on their sides, Im betting Philadelphia will have to play hard to take the Lakers out here , especially if  key player Joel Embiid does not play because of illness. Thus getting points here with the Lakers is a viable opportunity to cash a ticket. Add to that the Lakers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered in LA 121-105, and we have a nice revenge situation to bet into.

 The Lakers are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a game as a dog in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws and are are 11-0 ATS on the road with rest off a win as a road dog after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

The Seventysixers are 1-14 ATS L/15 with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers.

LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS  in road games after allowing 120 points or more this season

LA LAKERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free or less throws/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.

Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 153-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers to cover 

These two teams are evenly matched according to my power rankings but , home court advantage favours Houston to pull this one out vs the Thunder making it 7 wins in their L/8 tries at home in this series. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-17 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 1-10 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game when the line is at least 10 points higher than their last game.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, on Saturday games are 25-3 L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 14-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

 The Bulls carry the momentum  of their impressive effort vs Brooklyn last night notching a 125-106 win. Newly acquired  Porter shot 7-for-9 overall and 4-for-5 on 3-pointers, helping the Bulls convert 50.0 percent of their 28 attempts from three point land. Porter got the start alongside Lauri Markkanen in both looked to mesh well together as does Guard Zach LaVine. This group looks to have chemistry and must be respected here as dogs tonight vs a poor travelling Washington team that have lost 21 of 28 road games. The Bulls won 101-92 at Washington in December in the clubs' only previous meeting this season. The win was the Chicago's second straight over Washington and a third straight win is not out of the question tonight. 

Washington also won last night in a 119-106 victory vs Cleveland, but are just 1-12 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 0-12 ATS (in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. WASHINGTON is 6-21 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

The Bulls are 20-3 ATS L/23 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Wizards are 4-23 ATS/SU on the road facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 . or less  free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% . or better  on the season are 84-129  over the last 5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Bulls to cover 

There was a vibe around the Pelicans last night against the Minnesota Wolves that was not a positive one despite of team winning. It seems to me , that this group isn't thrilled about having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Yes, they pulled off the victory but , it seemed like their was a real awkward adjustment having the self centered star back in the lineup , knowing that he doesnt want to be there, making them fade material tonight vs a much hungrier Grizzlies team  with a more positive vibe after some players were traded  .Coach Alvin Gentry didn't play Davis in the final 15-plus minutes even though Minnesota made it a one-possession game several times while Davis sat. 

The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break.The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS/SU on the road with no rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are 35-80 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 39-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Memphis to cover 

 Two Southeast division rivals to battle tonight in Atalanta. The Hawks are a team that I have as moving upward in my rankings on a consistent basis. Their youth both hinders them and aids them, and must be respected here vs a inconsistent Charlotte team getting points.Atlanta had its two-game winning streak broken on Thursday night by the Toronto Raptors in a 119-101 home loss, but for the first part of that game the Hawks looked like upset possibilities before Toronto put the hammer down.ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Note: Charlotte will be without veteran Tony Parker, who left the Tuesday game against the Los Angeles Clippers with a back injury.

The Hawks are 18-3-1 ATS as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Hawks are 12-0 ATS/11-1 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game and it is before the All-Star break.

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.The Hornets are 2-17 ATS /3-16 SU with rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts and it is before the All-Star break.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Anthony Davis is expected to play tonight for the Pelicans after it was learned that he would not be traded and might not be as injured as he thought. With Jeff Teague expected to miss or be at less than 100% if he does play  the Wolves now on tired  legs after playing last night definitely look to be at a disadvantage. Note: The Timberwolves are 1-23 ATS /0-24 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average margin of victory coming 16.4 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 18-47  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

This is the final meeting between Minnesota and New Orleans this season. The home team has won each of the previous three meetings and Im betting the home team holds serve again. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Bucks are an explosive team , and look like viable threats to Golden States supremacy. But teams like Dallas must not be underestimated when playing at home in front of their own fans. HC Carlisle is top tier coach, and has instilled a never say die attitude into his now talent laden playing personnel.  Overall the Mavs have played teams like the Bucks well, as is evident by DALLAS going  7-0 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is also 22-10 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average point diff clicking in at minuscule 0.2 ppg. Carlisle in 265 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of DALLAS has seen the average point diff click in at 4.2 ppg.

The Mavericks are 14-0-2 ATS at home after a game with 8+ lead changes which was the case in a 99-93 win vs Charlotte last time out. 

Bucks are 1-9-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Dallas has covered 8 straight games overall, and Im betting on another cover here as they add to a 9-1 ATS record  as a home underdog this season. 

Play on Dallas to cover

Washington as this big a favorite against anyone in the NBA just does not sit well with me, even though they are on their own home court vs a struggling lower tier team. The Wizards are just 3-9 ATS L/12 vs a sub .500 team, and have failed to cover 8 of their L/11 vs the NBA Central. Meanwhile, the Cavs are starting to show some upward trajectory from a betting perspective and have covered 4 straight vs NBA eastern foes, and are 5-2 ATS L/7 vs Southeast division opposition. The Cavs are also 4-1 ATS L/5 in their series and the underdog has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings and once again the away pup looks like a viable option a DD line that Im betting is bloated. 

The Cavaliers are 10-1 ATS L/11 as a road dog with more than one day of rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. The Wizards are 0-12 ATS/1-11 SU with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by 3 points.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48%  or better on the season are a long term profitable bet, going 58-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Oh boy the Knicks a storied NBA franchise is completely in a disarray and now embarking on a rebuild, but with some stable bodies and minds guiding the way as guards Dennis Smith Jr. and Wesley Matthews as well as center DeAndre Jordan are inserted into the starting lineup. The Knicks current 14 game losing streak tells a story of a team that had no chemistry and very little will to win. However, thanks to these trades and overall house cleaning, the Knicks Im betting will show some fight here in the 2nd of back to back games vs the Detroit Pistons. ( Motown won the first game in this b2b) 

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Road team is 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series.DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasonsThe Pistons are 0-15 ATS L/15  as a favorite off a 10+ win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS L/11 at home with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Raptors are off a big win vs the Philadelphia 76ers last time out in a start to finish victory. That impressive outing, also came at a price as this team exerted alot of energy and will now be  emotionally drained, even with a couple days rest, against a young Atlanta team that loves to run and gun.The Hawks  are an up trending team that must not be discounted, having gone 12-12 since Dec. 18. and have won two in a row. Note:The Raptors are 1-13 ATS  L/14  with rest off a road game.The Raptors are 3-17 ATS  with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers which happened vs the Sixers. 

The Hawks are 6-0 ATS /5-1 SU with rest off a win in which their turnovers decreased by at least 10 from the game before. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Clippers will be without leading scorer Tobias Harris,  key chemistry cog Boban Marjanovic and their top bench player Mike Scott after all three were traded to the Philadelphia 76ers in a deal that was made official Wednesday. Considering their new lineup, Im betting the Clippers will have their hands full with a Pacers team off a 42 point diff beatdown of the LA Lakers last time out and suddenly on a 3 game win streak, after initially looking downtrodden,  when their leading scorer Victor Oladipo (knee) was lost for the season. Now feeling confident I expect the Pacers with momentum to come out here and lay down another beatdown on a LA team. I also know that the Clippers are supposed to have Gallinari back in the lineup tonight, but after a long lay off he is rusty, and far from being the kind of player that can carry a team on his back. With that said , its Pacers all the way here. 

The Clippers are 1-20-2 ATS on the road with rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 104-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Houston looks like a viable short favorite here vs a Sacramento Kings team that they matchup well against according to my system vs system analysis charts. Houston has won 3 of their L/4 visits here and gets the nod again.

HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Rockets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after a win in which they never trailed which was the case in Phoenix last time out.The Kings are 2-16 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-38  ATS L/22 years for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Its not very often lay this much lumber with an NBA game, but the truth is Phoenix is just a bad team, and their banged up and short handed as their  best player Devon Booker will be out the the lineup tonight as is forward Dragan Bender (thumb) is day-to-day, while forward T.J. Warren (ankle) is out until the All-Star break. After being humiliated by Houston in a 125-98 loss on Saturday you can bet the Jazz on extended rest will be ready to run here tonight and what Im betting will be an easy win and cover. 

PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg differential clicking in at around 15 ppg. 

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU as a 8+ favorite off a home game after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with all the wins coming by 15 points or more. 

Play on Utah to cover ( LATE STEAM)

Dallas on 4 days rest behind their revamped line-up that will feature new additions, Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee from the New York Knicks (trade) will  Im betting will be ready to roll in a big way here tonight vs a Charlotte team on tired legs after playing last night. 

The Hornets are 0-7 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 . 

NBA  Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-111 for a 61% conversion rate over the L/22 seasons.

The Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS L/15 at home off a road game after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened 4 days ago in their Last outing vs Cleveland. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Both these teams enter this game a little banged up, and are looking forward to the all star break. Both teams have looked good this season, but Denver according to my power rankings is the superior side. It must be noted that his  Brooklyn team  is suddenly in a funk and on a 3 game losing streak and are pooched and in an emotional letdown spot after tangling with Milwaukee last time out, which makes them susceptible to being possibly upset here right in their own backyard. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the Nuggets.

The Nets are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field and it is before the All-Star break and are 1-18-1 ATS / 1-19 SU  at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field. 

The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter which was the case in a defeat vs Detroit last time out on the road.The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU  when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field and it is before the All-Star break.

 NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - sub par defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 99-147 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

These are two talented teams  Toronto and Philadelphia , but Im betting the home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. Add to that Raptors star Lowry is less than 100% and questionable and we have enough edge here vs some short chalk to consider this a value call. Note the home team has won the L/5 meetings in this series.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS  in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons. 

The Seventysixers are 21-1 ATS /SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and won 12 Straight SU all by more than the spread here being asked.The Raptors are 4-18 ATS and 2-19 SU  as a road dog with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-110 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Sacramento is on a 7 game home winning streak, but all good and bad runs must come to end. Tonight Im betting the Kings winning streak comes to an abrupt end vs a  Spurs team in top form and off a win Saturday night that has them entering this tilt with the momentum of a  five-game  winning streak. San Antonio has thrived in the recent past against teams like the Kings. SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and is 20-9 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Add that the Spurs will be very motivated here as they seek revenge for a loss here back in December.  SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and is is 16-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

The Kings are 2-19 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.The Kings are  also 3-19 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  

The Spurs are 16-1 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a home game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break. 

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

Indiana and New Orleans two teams playing without key players go head to head tonight in the Bayou. Indiana is without Victor Oladipo and New Orleans without the often injured Anthony Davis who is asking to be traded. Both are struggling to an extent without those key cogs, but Im betting the Pelicans have the edge here tonight at home as I really like how this team has played without Davis, staying competitive vs Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in the last two games and losing by an average of just 5.5 points.Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

New Orleans took both meetings last season and one more winner Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

The Pacers are 1-18 ATS/SU L/19 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened vs Miami last time out. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 68-117 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Indiana upset Miami last time out in Florida)

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The lines-makers have valued this line based on a  Philadelphia 76ers win vs Golden State last time  as road dogs vs a Sacramento team on a 5 game home winning streak. The public and lines makers are expecting a letdown situation, but Im betting this 76ers team has matured enough to be ready to play tonight and could be even more energized by that win and bring some real swagger into this game. 

 The Kings are 0-17 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed by double digits. 

PHILADELPHIA is 33-11 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot.

BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. 

The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better  team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. 

TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or better of their shots.

Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks  and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101)

NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

DALLAS is 4-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

The Timberwolves  with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies  back on Nov 18 at home, will  now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a  team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver.  Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \

The Grizzlies 0-10  SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: 

New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. 

Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out,   and will be out looking for  redemption  and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a  121-98 on New Year's Day  beat down. It must be noted that the   Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. 

Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . 

The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers   are  0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs  .550  or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. 

Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors. 

 The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent.

BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game  run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected  home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. 

GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Denver will go against a 76ers team playing without key cogs Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler tonight. That puts the 76ers at a big disadvantage vs a side that has revenge on board for last seasons 123-104 loss at Philadelphia. I know Denver played last night, in a 132-95 win vs Phoenix but they did not over use any of their players with no one seeing more than 29 minutes of playing time. Their much fresher than the the back to back efforts might indicate and get the nod here as fairly hefty home  favs .DENVER is 13-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-14 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and HC Brown is 3-15 ATS  off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of PHILADELPHIA which was the case in a hard fought 122-120 win vs San Antonio last time out. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Ill take -3 or less with the Spurs  on the road any time its available  vs a side like New Orleans that is expected to play without their  super star Anthony Davis, even though they themselves will play without DeRozan.  I know the Pelicans play a team orientated style  of hoops and move the rock around with consistency but the  Spurs do well against these types of teams and  are 10-0 ATS L/10 going against  an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.San Antonio owns a 44-18 all-time mark against the Pelicans and has won 18 of the 31 games between the teams in New Orleans and lost to NO the last time they played here, but it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 14-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 23-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Houston is a team that needs James Harden to play at an optimal level at all times. He is off a game vs NYK where he scored 61 points and barley got his team in the win column by a 114-110 count. Im now expecting a natural letdown situation to occur and for Harden to just be above average rather than play a super man role. To beat Toronto you have to have a complete team effort, and his supporting cast is not playing up to par, which makes them fade material in this spot, mostly because of their shaky defensive play that has seen them allow 112.2 ppg at home this season. Note: Chris Paul and Clint Capela are less than 100% and if they play may see very limited time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are expected to be a full strength. 

D'Antoni is 7-18 ATS ) against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON overall  is 3-12 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

 The Rockets are 1-15 ATS/SU   as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Rockets are also  0-8 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 27 points from 3s.The Raptors are 13-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Washington foolishly  got  themselves involved into a run and gun affair with Golden State on Thursday night, and are now completely exhausted going into a back to back situation. The banged up Wizards exhausted three starters at least 39 minutes and come into this game with an empty tank, something that the inconsistent Magic should be able to take advantage of on their own home floor. 

The Magic are 20-0-2 ATS /22-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Wizards are 0-11 ATS/SU as a road dog with no rest after they had 3+ players with 20+ points. 

WASHINGTON is 3-15 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and 0-10 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

 Denver has lost their L/7 trips to the Salt Lake  City to play the Jazz and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Look  for a very motivated effort from a revenge minded Jazz side that  lost an embarrassing  103-88  road battle in the Mile High City back in November. Note:  Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 78-16 L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. (Utah lost to Portland last time out, and were thumped  by DD vs the Nuggets the when they played earlier this season)

Home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.Favorite is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Utah is 15-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 8-22 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 2-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons

Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.Jazz are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Jazz are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

 Home teams (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

This will be the second of four meetings between the Hawks and Bulls. Chicago took the first game 97-85 in Atlanta on Oct. 27. The Bulls have now won the past five games against Atlanta and  the Hawks are one of the few teams that they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of playing better of late, still have not found a consistent way to win on the road where they have lost 19 of 25 games and are once again fade material. 

ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are101-22 L/5 seasons and 7-0 100% perfect this season.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

he Indiana Pacers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Raptors earlier this month as road dogs it was their 2nd loss to the Raptors. The Pacers have been good bets in the past when they have same season double revenge on board in this series  cashing 3 of their L/4 . Tonight against a tired Raptors team that played last night against run and gun Sacramento Im betting the angry home team will avenge those earlier defeats. Note: Indiana is 6-0 SU/ ATS L/6 at home vs teams playing back to back nights like the Raptors.

After a 120-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday, Pacers forward Thaddeus Young had a message for his teammates.

QUOTE"If we want to consider ourselves an elite team or one of those top-tier teams, it starts with beating them," Young said Tuesday after practice. "I told them, 'We don't beat them, then everyone is going to continue to look at us the same way they do now: not in that class. In order to be in that class, we have to beat those teams. And we haven't done it yet. Not lately.' END QUOTE 
With that said, look for a Indian team with alot to prove to be in top form tonight looking for revenge and statatement win. 

NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 29-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more. are 2-29 SU L/5 seasons 94% conversion rate with the average point diff clicking in at 12 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The struggling Orlando Magic, visit the up trending Atlanta Hawks in a holiday matinee Monday afternoon in a tilt that Im betting favors the home team.Atlanta is currently  in 12th place in the East, one spot behind Orlando, but has been the better of the two of late, going 8-8 SU in its last 16 games. 

ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46%or less  on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are just 32-86 L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 32-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Oh boy how far the Cavs have fallen since the departure of their superstar LeBron James. Just take a look this line, and you will see their down quite a bit in the eyes of the public and lines makers. But pros don't like to be embarrassed, and now the NBA has embraced and accepted betting lines, you can bet that all the Cavs are aware of how thye are being perched tonight in the Mile High City and will be out to prove their detractors wrong and at least be competitive. I know the Cavs took it on the chin last night in Utah by a 115-99 count, but their well conditioned and young enough to push tonight and get us the cover on a slightly bloated line.

 Denver exploded on the ChicagoBulls last time out after being humbled by the Warriors in their previous game, but now after back to back all out efforts could be an a natural letdown spot here.The Nuggets are 0-12 ATS at home after they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and are 6-6 SU in those games with non coming by more than 7 points.

DENVER is 0-7 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - excellent offensive team (102 PPG or better ) against a sub par defensive team (102 PPG or more) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 23-51 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 Atlanta is up trending in my power rankings and are 7-7 SU in their L/14 games and deserve my respect here in this spot vs Boston on their own home court. The market thanks to the public money has pushed this line up  giving me an edge here with the home dog Hawks.  I know the Celtics have beat up on these kids in DD wins so far this season, but Atlanta as mentioned above is playing much better hoops of late and improving . Meanwhile, Boston is off playing last night vs Memphis  in a hard fought home win and on tired legs. This situation is a good omen for us here behind the young legs  of a Hawks group that is 4-0 ATS as dogs against unrested opposition this campaignvand that are  3-0-1 ATS at home when playing with 3 or more days of rest.  It must be noted that the Celtics are  just  0-6 ATS and 1-5 SU as road favs without rest.

Stevens is 2-15 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.BOSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Oklahoma City played a hard fought tilt last time out, and than lost in OT by 10 points to the Lakers , which is a huge drain on a team both emotionally and physically. Now travelling from West to East going against a Philadelphia team that is starting to uptrend both from a talent and maturity level, and that plays their best hoops at home Im betting the Thunder will be on the wrong end of this score when the final buzzer goes off. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Even if J Embild does not play today for the 76ers Im betting they find a way to win. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 59-9 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Golden State is playing some top tier basketball at the moment , but their hosts the LAClippers have proven themselves to be very competitive group vs strong units,  and  are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 with the underdog recording a  4-0 ATS record  in the last 4 meetings. Earlier this season, the Warriors beat the Clippers by a 129-127 count at home, and now with revenge on board, are ready to spring an upset and be very competitive again. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 25-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-21 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Warriors are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

GOLDEN STATE has failed to cover 19 of their L/25  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

Portland comes in off an easy 129-112 home victory over Cleveland and I am betting they will be much fresher than a Pelicans team playing their  4th consecutive road game on what will be a 5 game west coast road trip and also  off a hard fought emotional back and forth loss to the Golden State Warriors last time out. With Portland playing at home where they have won 19 of 26 games this season, they have an edge. Note: New Orleans has lost 18 of 24 road games this season and are 4-13 ATS off a road loss this season and  2-11 ATS after playing two consecutive road game this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.PORTLAND is 39-26 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 59-109 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

These teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With Brooklyn winning 15 of 20 while Orlando has lost 15 of their L/20. However, Orlando after losing a  120-115 overtime road loss against the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday a game that that were leading late, are in desperation mode, and feeling a little humiliated which Im betting makes them dangerous in this spot. Meanwhile, the Nets  exerted alot of energy last time out making big time comebacks in regulation and  then eventually in overtime Wednesday to record a surprising 145-142 road victory over a top tier  Houston Rocket side and could now easily be in an emotional letdown situation, making the home team a viable underdog here. 

The Magic have won 16 of their past 21 home games against the Nets.

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Magic are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Nets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Sixers are a upper echelon NBA team that still has some growing up to do, as their young roster still has not found a way to harness or sustain their energy levels.The Sixers despite of being ultra talented are inconsistent especially on the road where they find themselves tonight in Indiana to play the Pacers. Their futility when it comes to their betting backers bankrolls has been significantly effected as is evident by their sub .500 away record of 10-12 SU and 8-14 ATS. The Sixers also make a habit of following up explosive performances,  like the one they had last time out vs Minnesota ( 149-107)with average at best outputs as is evident by the following trends...PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season and is 2-10 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 4-12 ATS after scoring 120 points or more this season. Tonight against a equally talented Pacers squad, Im betting their in trouble. Note: The 76ers are just 1-5 ATS vs .600 or better opposition on the road this season. With that said, Im recommending we take Indiana to cover as short home chalk. 

INDIANA is 33-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 39-26 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 8-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 6-28 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Golden State came out last night with something to prove and walloped the Denver Nuggets in a start to finish beatdown. Working that hard and exerting that much energy especially in the thin air of the Mile High City , and then hopping on a flight home, will Im betting see the champs exhausted and running on fumes as this game against the visiting Pelicans progresses .With that said, look for a offensively capable New Orleans squad to come out here and actually give the dubs a run for their money in Oakland tonight. 

The Warriors are 1-6 ATS L/7 at home with no rest and are 0-4 ATS when coming off a revenge tilt which they had last night vs the Nuggets for a previous loss.

NEW ORLEANS is 19-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 3-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a negative point diff of 0.7 ppg.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

 Boston and Toronto according to power rankings and  my head to head projections on a a neutral floor  are -2 chalk.  However, with Boston enjoying home court advantage here tonight, the line should be closer to Boston -3 at thus giving us value with this number. It must also be noted that the Raptors: 0-4 L4 in a division road game with the series host  going 7-0 ATS L/7. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

The season series between the Raptors and Celtics is tied at 1, with each team winning at home. The Raptors won 113-101 on Oct. 19, and the Celtics won 123-116 in overtime Nov. 16

Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. .Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Raptors are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

Celtics are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600..BOSTON is 14-3 ATS  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.Stevens is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or more) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON.

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Magic are playing well as is evident by back to back wins vs top tier opponents the Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets. After those victories  Orlando is brimming with confidence, something the group from Motown is not exhibiting .  The Pistons have lost 15 of their L/19  overall and even when they work hard are losing, and now in a state of despair they are fade material.

Tonight despite of going against a lower tier Magic team their problems wont be easily taken care of, as the Magic sport a 7-1 ATS mark here on this floor while the Pistons, are 1-11 home vs .500 or less  non-div conference  opposition. 

DETROIT is 9-21 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA teams(DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-72 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing at a high level lately, especially at home, where they are 18-3 SU and have won their last 12, while the visiting defending champs Golden State have been playing very inconsistent  basketball despite of being healthy and from a betting perspective are just 4-11 ATS L/15 overall and not as ferocious as they once were. The last time these teams played here the Nuggets triumphed and Im betting they get the  cover here in this spot. 

 DENVER is 22-10 ATSwhen playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons

The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a win in which there were eight-plus lead changes and it is before the All-Star break.DENVER is 12-1 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.DENVER is 17-5 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons

GOLDEN STATE is 2-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons . GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Hawks are starting to play much better basketball of late winning 7 of their L/14 SU and have  covered 10 of their L/18 overall  and despite of losing by DDs, to a top tier  Milwaukee side  in their last home game were competitive in that tilt for 3 quarters. Note: 

Hawks are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a double-digit loss at home.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.ATLANTA in their L/24 games  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average point diff of 2.2 ppg.

In 18 home games this season this young Hawks side, has also not been an easy out with the average point differential clicking in at 6 ppg. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is only 12 -10 on the road this season, with the average point differential with coming by an average  roughy 3 ppg.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are just 10-32 SU L/5 seasons  for a go against 76 % with the average point diff clicking in at 7.9 ppg.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Portland Blazers played a hard fought affair in the thin air of the Mile High City last night and lost to Denver. Now on tired legs they go go against the fastest pace team in the league the Sacramento Kings.  Thats not a good situation for them here and Im betting the Blazers are fade material in this spot as they are just 1-7 SU L/8 after playing in the Rocky Mountains against the Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Kings are 15-8 SU at home this season and 11-1 SU/ATS on a totals line of 229 or less.

PORTLAND is 38-61 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 12-43 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Spurs head home after a 122-112 loss to Oklahoma City on Saturday night in a rematch of the two teams' epic double-overtime game, won by San Antonio, 154-147, on Thursday. Im betting the Spurs are now on tired legs and in a natural deflated letdown situation which makes the susceptible to a down game. I know Charlottes struggling, but their also desperate and a league wide trend supports them here on this line as well. Note:NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. With that said, Im betting the Hornets get us a cover here on a value line as underdogs. 

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover

The Trail Blazers have despite of a couple of recent road wins  have overall not travelled well this season and own a  8-10  record on the road this season and  have struggled against the Nuggets of late and have lost four- straight to Denver dating back to last season. Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

Denver has won  17 of 20 home games this season and overall 7 of their L/8 H/A and covered 4 of their L/5 and own a 5-0 SU/ATS mark vs division opponents this season. 

DENVER is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs SU  (PORTLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 159-518 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 7.7 ppg. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover