The Brooklyn Nets get a rare chance for victory when they host the Philadelphia 76ers this Sunday afternoon. I know the Sixers are playing better of late, but Brooklyn according to my own matchup varabilities matches up well , and Im betting will notch the victory.

 The home team took each of the last five in the series. . Nets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Nets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.76ers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Atlantic.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 likBrooklyn - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are a long term 106-67 ATS for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Chicago Bulls have had a very inconsistent season, but their is one consistency they have displayed, and that is an ability to comepte against top tier teams like  the road weary Raptors. It must be noted that the Dinos hasve played only once at home in their previous 7 games, and I'm betting this will effect their play.

The Bulls have beaten the Cavaliers twice this season and San Antonio once, and another upset wont come as a surprise.  Chicago enters Saturday night's game having won two straight games and four of their last six.

CHICAGO is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game dating back to last season. Chicago is a perfect 9-0 SU/ATS L/9 in this series. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Memphis Grizzlies are one of the most tenacious never say die teams in the league, and despite of losing two straight must be respected when getting double digits, even against explosive top tier teams like tonights opponents the Golden State Warriors. I know the Warriors are out to get some revenge for a lopsided loss to the Grizzlies earlier this season but the truth is , Memphis because of their physicality and aggressive ways can slow a team like the Warriors, and actually matchup well against them.MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, while Golden State  when they are hot, like they are now, shooting 47%  FG or better  in 3 or more consecutive games are just 1-8 ATS L/9, in part because of the premium being asked by the linesmakers in their matchups. I know the Grizzlies have struggled on defense in their last couple of games ( losses) but a league wide NBA trend that shows Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Dubs  gives us value with the Grizz - as an explosive offensive team (102 PPG or more ppg) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are just 10-30 L/40  ATS for a go against conversion rate of 10-30 ATS 75% dating back 5 seasons. 

Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Lakers are young and continue to make mistakes, but their talent level is still exceptional in my humble opinion, and they are dangerous opponents for sub par sides like the Miami Heat. Last night the Lakers, blew a DD, lead and fell apart late vs Portland. But now will be ready to rebound , vs a Heat side off a upset win vs the Kings last time out. It must be noted that NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Miami - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 8-31 ATS or a go against betting conversion rate of 80%. 

MIAMI is 1-9 ATS L/10 after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots which happend last time out vs the Kings. 

Play on the LA Lakers 1 unit reg selection

The Knicks enter this game against Milwaukee off losing via a buzzer beater to give the Milwaukee Bucks a 105-104 victory at Madison Square Garden. Now with revenge on their minds they come in here primed to play a top tier brand of basketball. I know the Bucks are hot and the Knicks are not , but from a matchup perspective, look like viable bets getting points in this spot, whether Kristaps Porzingis (achillies) plays or not. 

NBA Road underdogs like the Knicks - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 31-4 ATS for a 87% conversion rate on the line!

Play on the Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The powerful San Antonio Spurs, visit the Pepsi Center in the Mile High City to play the Denver Nuggets this Thursday night. The last time the Spurs visited the Nuggets, they lost by a 102-98 count. Its obvious both sides are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. However, from a betting perspective, there is value taking, a young group that will be primed to upset a legendary NBA franchise in front of thier own home fans.  Note: The Spurs are also off one of their most dominating efforts of the season, against a strong Toronto team by a 110-82 count , and could easily be a in a letdown spot vs much lesser competition.

Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and get the nod tonight getting points. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Suns have won their last three at home, but arrive in Dallas with a six-game road losing streak, and once again look like fade material. vs a Mavs side that is starting to get healthy again, and now has Dirk Nowitizki back in the lineup. It must be noted that Dallas has won four straight meetings in this series.

 .PHOENIX is 0-10 ATS L/10 in road games in January games.DALLAS is 12-1 ATS L/12 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Mavericks - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are a bankroll expanding 52-21 ATS L/72 for their betting backers for a ppwerful 71% conversion rate.

Dallas to cover 

Detroit's defensive issues have been the main reason why the team has struggled this season with consistency.  Motowns HC Van Gundy has been frustrated by his ability to get his team to stop opponents,  even after implementing some lineup changes. CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game. I also know that Charlottes defense, is nothing special either, but Detroit has not shown an ability to take advantage of porous stop units, covering just 5 of 18 games against sides that allow 103 or more points per game. Detroit has lost 11 of their L/15 games overall, and once again look like weak favorites vs a Honets side, that took out  a tough Oklahoma City team last night by DDs.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis  played a ugly game Tuesday in a loss to the Los Angeles Lakers and now I expect this tenacious team will rebound tonight vs the banged up LA Clippers. (MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS L/27 when playing on back-to-back days)The Grizzlies had won four of their last six before their debacle against the Lakers, but got caught over looking their young opponents. Meanwhile, the Clippers, picked up a rare recent win last time out vs lowly Phoenix, but Im betting things won't be as easy tonight/

LA CLIPPERS are 9-22 ATS L/31 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread.MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS L/34 off a road loss.

Home favorites like the Clippers - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are a bankroll depletings 38-75 ATS for their betting backers. 

Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cavs have a tendency to play down to opponents, and are currently banged up with Kevin Love, LeBron James, and Kyrie Irving  all suffering with different health issues. If any of these players can go they will be less than 100%. Chicago has the edge when evaluating these circumstances, which gives us value on the line. 

CLEVELAND is 18-32 ATS L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record and is 7-18 ATS L/25 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%.)

The Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Charlotte hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder this Wednesday night in a battle that I am betting favors the host team to come out of this with a win and cover. The Thunder have not faired well on the road of late losing 4 of their L/ 7  and were knocked down by Giannis Antetokounmpo and Milwaukee Bucks  in their last away venture losing  98-94 in the first of three straight road games. I expecting the Hornets to use, the same blueprint that the Bucks used to slow super star Westbrook, in that game , here in this tilt.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-31 ATS L/47  when the line is +3 to -3  and s 3-15 ATS L/18 as a road underdog of 3 points or less.OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games in January games dating back to last season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hornets - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 104-65 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 61% long-term conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

Memphis has been playing well of late, but they are still a little banged up with Gasol hurting his foot last time and and Conely nursing a sore elbow. Many may not have alot of confidence, in the Lakers, but I saw some good basketball from them, in their last trip to the court , as they made the Toronto Raptors work extremely hard to beat them .Look for emerging star G Guard Nick Young to the catalyst behind a Lakers cover. Memphis took a 103-100 win at home over Los Angeles and I am expecting another closely contested battle tonight , with the points proving to be golden.  This from a league wide NBA trend data base : Underdogs Lakers - lower tier  defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots.

Play on the LA  Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Suns are on tired legs after losing to a banged up team in LA last night ( Clippers). T.J. Warren and Eric Bledsoe played 40 plus minutes, and these two key players will Im betting impact their performance tonight vs the visiting Miami Heat. Meanwhile, the Heat are getting healthier as they begin a lengthy road trip with , Goran Dragic   and Dion Waiters  both expected to play Tuesday night. Miami has beaten the Suns 12 straight times, and eight in a row in Phoenix and Im betting that their is high ;possibility it happens, again. However, with that said, taking the points is even a better investment option.
PHOENIX is 12-23 ATS L/35 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days  dating back to last season.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Denver Nuggets and the Sacramento Kings are two very inconsistent teams. However, with that said, from a matchup perspective, the Nuggets here at home in the Mile High City have the edge according to my own cross reference power rankings data base and SRS numbers (which is a rating system) that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. 

NBA teams- al lower tier defensive team  like the Kings- allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 39-80 ATS for a 67% go against betting conversion rate!

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas  has won four of its last eight games, and are playing competitive brand of  basketball and must not be under estimated  with Dirk Nowitizki returning to the lineup, making the this Mavs team a viable betting option , especially on their own home court. Meanwhile, the The Wizards had a three-game winning streak abrutply stopped Monday night, 101-91 at Houston, and remain one game below .500 and have exhibited some conditioning problems this season losing 5 of their L/6 back to back games. Dallas is also 11-1 L/12 SU in this series and get the nod here in this spot.

DALLAS is 11-1 ATS L/12 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, and 27-10 ATS L/37 after trailing their L/3 games by more than 5 points at the half.

Play on the Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The young inconsistent Bucks are in over their hands full tonight against  Westbrook and Oklahoma City, which has won five of its last six games and is coming off a 114-80 victory Saturday over the Los Angeles Clippers.Oklahoma City's offense has been aided by the return of Victor Oladipo, who was sidelined for the last nine games with a right wrist injury. In previous matchups Oklahoma City has looked superior to the Bucks, as is evident by  sweeping its two meetings with the Bucks last season and have won three in a row against Milwaukee overall.

It must be noted that NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Thunder - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a above .500  record on the season are a bankroll expanding 66% ATS for their backers over a 116 game sample size dating back to the 2011/12 campaign. 

MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games dating back to last season.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both Atlanta and San Antonio enter the game on a winning runs. Atlanta has captured two straight victories  after its 105-98 victory over Detroit on Friday. San Antonio has won four straight after smacking down  Portland 110-94 on Friday. This matchup features, Hawks HC Budenholzer a disciple of Popovichs system in San Antonio, where he was an assistant  for 19 seasons. What makes this relevenat to todays matchup, is that he  runs the same system, as the Spurs, but without the same standout talent and chemistry. So in a head to head matchup, guess who has the edge? While anything can happen, when two NBA opponents clash, my own propieatary programs/ player matchup discrepency charts suggest the Spurs win 9 out of 10 times by 5 points or more as visitors or at home. It must be noted Atlanta is 0-6 against the Spurs in Budenholzer's four seasons behind the Hawks bench and the franchsie  has lost 11 straight meetings in this series, and Im betting nothing changes today. From a long term NBA trends chart: Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are a bankroll expanding 129-66 for a 66% conversion rate for their betting backers (dates back 21 seasons)

SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, winning by an average 13 ppg, which happened last time out vs Portland 110-94. 

The Clippers come into Saturday's contest having lost five straight games, including Friday's 140-116 setback to the Houston Rockets. The team has struggled because of exhaustion, and an adjustment to some injuries. However, this Clippers team must not be underestimated and still pose a threat to opponents, expecially when they get into desperation mode. I know Oklahoma City is playing fairly well, and have super star Westbrook on their side, but he has a tendency to lose his temper, as is evident by 10 technical fouls so far this season.  Disciplined teams like LAC, know how to aggrevate a guy like this, and make life difficult for him , taking flow away from a team that depends far to much on their one man band. With that said, Im betting on the Clippers getting us the cover in this spot. It must be noted that the L/3 meetings in this series have been decided by 2 points. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers  enter this tilt vs  the Charlotte Hornets winning  eight of their last 10 games . The Cavs swept the two home games against Charlotte in Cleveland this season,and overall the Cavs have won eight of the last nine games in this series since James returned to Cleveland. The Cavs during that winning run have beaten Charlotte by an average of 9.6 points in the eight victories.CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS  off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, which has just happened. CLEVELAND is 26-11 ATS L/37 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days .

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas looked tenacious in a come from behind victory vs the LA Lakers last night, and  will be playing a back-to-back for the seventh time this season when it faces the  explosivrWarriors this Friday night. The Mavericks have lost on the second night on all six previous occasions, falling by an average of 14.5 points, but the linesmakers, have decided, that a premium should be added in here because of facing their facing Dubs. Im personally betting this line is slightly bloated, and gives us a slight mathematical edge against the number from an underdog perspective. Also from a league wide NBA trend, it must be noted, that NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - a top tier 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better conversion rate) against a lower tier 3PT defense (36.5% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier rebounding team (5.5 reb/game or less pg) are just 13-45 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate. So with that said, lets not underestimate the Mavs abilities to cover this number. With Dallas, playing solid D, lately, and the fact that they are 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games , Im recommending we take the points. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 7 of their L/11 overall. 

Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Denver enters this tilt against lowly Philadelphia playing decent basketball at the moment , winning 5 of their L/7, but Im still not personally sold on them yet, especially from a bettors viewpoint after they failed to cover four straight games. In recent meetings, the Sixer have covered 3 of the L/4 matchups and 2 straight here in Denver, and Im betting they make a game out of this tilt, and get us the cover in the Mile High City. 

DENVER is 5-19 ATS L/24  in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.

Minnesota enters this game against Milwaukee continuing find ways to lose, thanks to an inability to pace themselves.  This has been evident by losing 10 games so far this season, after at some point in those losses leading by 10 or more points. Until they address their conditioning issues, they remain fade material. I know the Bucks also have their own problems, holding leads, but from a player matchup viewpoint have an edge in this matchup. In the Bucks last trip to the hardwood vs Detroit last time out, they pulled off a 119-94 win and have momentum entering this tilt. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bucks - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 34-9 ATS dating back 20 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS L/52 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season like the Bucks and are 1-8 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.MINNESOTA is 6-21 ATS L/27 in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season.  MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS L/32 in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games, which has just happened. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Earlier this month the Detroit Pistons smashed  the Atlanta Hawks  121-85. and showed me they matchup well in head to head competitions. I know the Motown crew have not played well of late, and Atlanta has been playing better overall since that last meeting. However, with that said,  their are constants that can not be ignored, which include style and player to player matchup descrepencies. I expect HC  Van Gundy of the Pistons  will  know exactly how to neutralize Atlanta center Dwight Howard, whom he previously coached at Orlando. Also by recommending we take the points with Detroit tonight, Im also betting that the Hawks will be tired after their brutally physical battle with the NY knicks last time out. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS  in home games in December games this season.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers are an elite team , but their dealing with some injury problems at the present time, which hinders thier progression, as is evident by losing four straight games. With G Chris Paul nursing a nagging injury, and playing limited minutes, and JJ Redick sidelined recently because of hamstring problems, and Blake Griffin still out with recurring injury problems, this banged up crew does not have the same bang for a bettors buck as they did earlier this season. Thus going up against a top tier team, like Houston , makes for an opportunity to fade the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Rockets are a team that consisently come out on fire and try to take substanial leads, so they can rest players later in games, which makes them even more dangerous because of how fresh they are in closing out games as well.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Los Angeles enters this game in a funk after having dropped five of its last six and 13 of 15 games in December and once again look like fade material vs a hard working Dallas team , that despite of a ugly road record, have already recorded an away win vs the Lakers this season by a 109-97 count back on Nov8. 

A  lack of solid Defense  has haunted the young Lakers this season, as is evident by ranking 27th in points allowed with 110.3  ppg and last in opponents' field-goal shooting at 47.8 percent before Wednesday's games. The Lakers also rank 25th in turnovers at 15.3 per game and once again I feel they are not sharp and sinking further in the abyss.  I must also be noted that Dallas does their best work vs below .500 oppoents as their 14-1 SU record vs losing sides indicates.

LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog and are are 3-17 ATS L/20 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. Dallas has won 5 straight meetings in LA. 

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Grizzlies own a solid 20-14 SU record despite of playing without the injured Mike Conley, Zach Randolph, Chandler Parsons and Vince Carter, thanks a tremendous work ethic and top tier defense. Even  despite of a recent  4-6 record the last 10 games, the Grizz still have shown exceptional overall resiliency and character especially on  defense as is evident by, allowing only 98.1 points per game -- fourth best in the league. Yes, the Grizz have struggled a little defensively of late, but are still very solid and can easily return to top form , when motivated, like they will be tonight. Now in comes, the streaking Oklahoma City Thunder who are on a 4 game winiing run. At first glance the line, because of this looks odd, because of all the media attention super star Wesbrook and the Thunder are getting. But the linesmakers make very few errors , and as can been seen have shaded in the home team as short favorites and rightly so in my betting opinion. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS L/11 in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more, which happened last time out. OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a road underdog of 3 points or less.

Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago Bulls  are in a deep funk and find themselves buried deeply in skid that has seen them lose 6 of their L/7 games overall. They now face a Brooklyn team, that might seem like easy opponent to get back into the win column against. That might be true, in alot of ways, but I personally believe this line is bloated considering both sides current form. Recently the Nets played three straight games, against Golden State, Toronto and Cleveland, and after playing that very high level of competition went out and beat a decent Charlotte side last time out.  Teams like the Nets searching for a winning identity, will benefit greatly from going against top tier teams repeatedly , and than when playing struggling teams will find the sledding much easier. So what Im betting on today, is for Brooklyn to make a game out and s they use their recent experiences from battling the leagues elite to their benefit in this tilt.

From a long term league trends perspective it must be noted that NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Bulls - exhausted team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are just 63-110 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 64%.

CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta and New York continue to play very inconsistent basketball ,  but one team according to current form and my own power rankings, has the advantage in this matchup. New York won the first game 104-94 on Nov. 20 at Madison Square Garden and matchs up very well vs Atlanta in  a player to player discrepancy chart. 

NYK lost to Boston last time out 119-114, snapping a 2 game winning streak, but are a bankroll expanding 12-2 ATS L/14 after allowing 110 points and is 8-1 ATS L/9 after a game where both teams scored 105 points. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Houston enters this road  game vs Dallas with a  12-2 SU record  in its past 14 games. The Rockets  saw their 10-game winning streak end on Dec. 20 with a 102-100 home loss to the San Antonio Spurs and are 2-1 since and Im betting they now start to roll again behind an explosive lineup. Meanwhile, Dallas, despite of being competitive against lower tier teams, are just 1-14 SU this season vs a above .500 teams , and have lost both meetings to the Rockets this season.  HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - allowing 99+ points/game this season, winning SU by 13.2 ppg and averaging 119 ppg in offense. It must be noted that DALLAS is 0-11 ATS  when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season and have lost by an average of 16.7 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play as high as -6. 

It seems the pudits are all giddy, after the Sacramento Kings won their third game in a row. With their super star Cousins under the microscope for another one of his patented tirades, Cousins with a chip on his shoulder came out like a whirlwind, and has helped his team look good of late averaging 36 ppg. But , Im throwing up a caution flag ,  caveat emptor for Kings bettors buying into their recent successes, as this team over the last few years, almost always finds a way to crash and burn, and what a perfect spot for them to do so, here against a team Im betting they over look, the rebuilding and down trodden Philadelphia 76ers.  

76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Kings are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.. 76ers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento.

Play on Philadlphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Indiana has lost two straight and have yet to lose three straight during this current campaign and will primed to make sure that does not happen tonight as they face the very inconsistent Chicago Bulls. Note: NBA teams -Favorites like the Bulls - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 20-44 ATS since the 2011 campaign. Meanwhile, the Bulls have lost three straight and 6 of their L/7 overall and  are on tired legs after traveling to Texas  to play the San Antonio Spurs on Christmas Day. Chicago has really struggled with their flow on offense, as is evident by not eclipsing the 100 point plateau in 5 of their L/7, and this will be their downfall tonight .

INDIANA is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. division opponents.CHICAGO is 14-26 ATS 40 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alanta enters this game getting alot of respect from the linesmakers, despite of looking like they did not mathup well against Minnesota the last time they met, in Georgia back on Dec 21, losing 92-84.  My own propietary programs make Minnesota a -3 favorite here, and Im betting they take this game by at least that amount tonight. ATLANTA is 9-20 ATS L/29 after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, which happened in a upset win last time out vs Denver.

 NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival have failed to covered 23 of the L25 times dating back to the 2011 campaign. 

The Heat enter this game against the Pelicans having swept the season series against New Orleans  last year, winning 94-88 in overtime on Christmas Day , and  took a 113-99 victory in New Orleans on March 22. I know that the Heat have a different makeup now, but what is important from a matchup perspective is that in the two victories against New Orleans, Hassan Whiteside averaged 16.0 points on .722 shooting, 15.5 rebounds and 3.5 block, and is expected to  be in the lineup for Miami tonight. I know the Pelicans Anthony Davis is a great talent, but he cannot carry the Pelicans to wins all by himself, and with that said, Ill take the hard working Heat to get us the cover vs an exhausted one man band. ( NBA Home favorites like the Pelicans - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are just 38-74 ATS over an extended 20 season sample size , for a solid go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season. New Orleans is 11-22 ATS as a favorite dating back to last season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic are playing their worst basketball at home in front o their own fans, where they own a lowly 5-10 record at the Amway Center and have lost 7 straight here. Thats not a good omen for a Orlando team that fell asleep at the proverbial wheel  in a loss to the New York Knicks 106-95 at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night Meanwhile, young and well conditioned Los Angeles will play the second night of a back-to-back to close out a seven-game road trip that started in Sacramento on Dec. 12. Needless to say this team is hungry and should give it their all tonight vs a team they matchup well against.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boston beat Indiana 105-99 here at home back on Dec 12, and now have revenge on board here tonight and I am betting they get it. I know Boston has won three straight but they are far from consistent and has not won more than 3 games in row during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Indiana always seems to play their best hoops at home where they own a 11-4 SU mark, and must be respected playing as hosts on their own court.

INDIANA is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games revenging a same season loss. INDIANA is 35-22 ATS L/57 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pacers - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 23-6 ATS for a 79% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. 

From a trend anomaly stand point it must be noted that the Celtics have lost 6 straight thursday night games.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Houston has played at a very high level for a long time, and previous to last nights heart breaking loss to San Antonio 102-100, had won 10 straight behind a take no prisoners offense. But now in a emotional letdown state, and pretty well exhausted after exerting all that energy during that above mentioned run, a down performance by the Rockets seems like a high probability event tonight in Phoenix. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 after a division game and are just 14-25 ATS L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Suns  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The king of the triple double Russell Westbrook and his Oklahoma City Thunder go into the Bayou tonight to take on the New Orleans Pelicans. Westbrook is averaging 30.9 points (first in the NBA), 10.9 assists (second) and 10.5 rebounds (13th) and Im betting he will once again be a catalyst for a Thunder win and cover here this evening. The Thunder took down the Pelicans 101-92 in Oklahoma City on Dec. 4 with Westbrook recording his fifth consecutive triple-double (28 points, 17 rebounds and 12 assists) and a similar rinse and repeat scenario is on tonights agenda. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans  - off a road win,

(which happened against the lowly 76ers las time out) a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. are just 21-54 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate, .

Play on the Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Washington's been playing better of late, but did have a three game win streak end last time out against Indiana, with a last second score sinking their ship . That heart breaking event I'm betting will have a tired Wizards team playing their 7th game 11 days in a letdown situation this Wednesday vs a Chicago team trying to keep some momentum alive after  a conclusive 113-82 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Monday night. I know the Bulls have been disappointing so far this season , but they do have wins, against San Antonio and upstart Detroit at home of late and must not be underestimated when hosting in the United Center as short favorites. (Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Blake Griffin hurt again, which is bad news for the  Los Angeles Clippers as they begin a three-game homestand Tuesday night against the Denver Nuggets who are on a three game winning streak.Griffin's loss occurs at a time when the Clippers aren't playing well as they are just  6-6 .500 during their L/12 tilts.Meanwhile, visiting Denver, is currently playing at a high level, which is evident  by averaging 125.3 points during their streak. For the season, Denver is scoring 107.4 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the NBA, which makes them dangerous as underdogs of this magnitude.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Nuggets - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, first half of the season are 99-64 ATS for a 61% conversion rate.

DENVER is 14-4 ATS L/18 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game and 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season and 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.DENVER is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games, and 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS L/18 off an upset loss as a road favorite which happened against the Wizards last time out. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Sacramento Kings are not looking good, and their top player Cousins continues to be a walking media freak show with bizarre tirades that are well documented during his career. The Kings were punished in their last outing by a short handed Dallas side, by a  99-79 count on Sunday. The Kings own the leagues worst record, and things are spiraling out of control.  I know the Blazers have not been playing great basketball, and have not lived up to expectations this season, but are more than capable of downing a downtrodden side like the Kings, whether talented or temperamental Cousins plays or not ( possible suspension). 

SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS L/28 in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game dating back to last season.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter into this game  having responded well to their first road loss of the season  on Dec. 8 at Chicago with four consecutive wins by an average margin of 16 points per game .Spurs remain one of the front runners for a league championship if they remain healthy, ranking in the top 10 in both offensive (sixth) and defensive (fourth) rating categories. Meanwhile, the Rockets are also red hot after claiming their 10th consecutive victory on Saturday night in a come from behind victory . They looked completely out of gas, before of gearing up into over drive and getting the victory. Now, the Rockets will have an extremely hard time continuing to play at a very high level  vs a side that can take their flow away. Its hard for any team to run and gun for a such a long time, as the Rockets have and its not uncommon for such teams to hit a wall. That's what I am betting on happening tonight against  the  Spurs of San Antonio. It must also be noted that  the loss of center Clint Capela for the Rockets, who suffered a left knee contusion against the Timberwolves, will also effect the chemistry of the Rockets .

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Both Orlando and Miami do not inspire bettors , but Orlando is the superior side at the moment.  Heat are just 2-7 SU in their L/9 and continue to be hampered by injuries, but even when healthy don't look to be a play off team. In a battle of bottom feeders, the visitor has the edge. 

Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3  like the Heat - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 9-34 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign.

Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection

Detroit enters this game against Chicago off getting upset last time out as 4.5 point favortites vs Indiana by a 105-90 count. The team looked tired but after a couple days rest should be refueled and ready to come up with a big bounce back effort. It must be noted that HC Stan VanGundys Motown crew is 11-1 ATS in road games of an upset loss of 15 points or more as favorite . Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls have lost three straight games, thanks in part to a struggling offense that has not score more than 97 points in those three games, and that has not eclipsed that output in 6 of their L/8. Tonight against a usually responsible Pistons defense, more problems shout be expected. Detroit beat Chicago 102-91 last time they met, on Dec 6th and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Windy City and look like viable wagering options again in this matchup.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 16-40 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 71%.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection  

The Wizards are currently in top form, winning their last three games and five of their last six after a slow start to the season including last nights victory vs the LA Clippers by a 117-110 count. Now playing on back to back nights, and in a letdown spot off of late nights win, the lines-makers have shaded them in a 6 points dogs vs a side that has played well at home during the current campaign. Empirical thinking might have some leaning to the Pacers, but in my usual contrarian fashion, I'm looking at the dog in this spot. Washington is currently playing at a very high level, and running on high octane fuel like they are now, and looking like a play off team,  I am betting they wont be easily disposed of.. Meanwhile the Pacers have shown a propensity to crash in burn on a fairly consistent basis.  Yes, Indiana did win last time out but are just 1-4 ATS L/5 after a SU win.  

Wizards are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.Road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Underdog is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings.Pacers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

Sacramento came into Dallas on Dec 7 and smacked the  Mavs with a 120-89 loss. Needless to say, the Mavericks will be primed to hand out some paybak, despite of being short handed. The Kings are coming off a upset win last time out vs  Memphis as underdogs , but their inconsistencies are well documented  as they they are led by a eraddict super star by the name of Cousins, who despite of his great talents can really stymie the flow of his team with bizarre tyrads against anyone and everyone. ( Cousins may miss today because of suspension, but his prescense is less than a positive for a team that lacks stability)

DALLAS is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games on Sunday games dating bakc 3 seasons.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game for a go against conversion rate of 79% .

Play on Dallas to cover ( LATE STEAM)

The Washington Wizards are finally starting to look balanced thanks to their offense and defense clicking at the same time. The Wizards are currently playing with  confidence as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have covered 4 straight at home. Meanwhile the Clippers despite of winning four straight  have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 games, and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 on the road and have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 against the Eastern Conference sides. Considering the current form of both sides from a wagering perspective, I will back the home underdog in this spot. ( The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings) LA CLIPPERS are 7-19 ATS L/26 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread and are are 11-27 ATS L/38 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games which just happened!

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two teams struggling to keep their heads high, after very slow starts to their campaigns, go head to head tonight in the City of Brotherly Love as the Lakers visit the 76ers. After a promising start the Lakers have dropped eight straight games, and are desperate for a win, one I believe they can get tonight, vs a side they matchup well again, both form a physical and style of play standpoint. Meanwhile, while Philadelphia has covered 3 of their L/4 and recently notched back to back victories before losing last time out are a team in a emotional  letdown spot after playing the Toronto Raptors hard in that above mentioned L. That makes the 76ers vulnerable to even hungrier team then themselves.

NBA Road teams - where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - after 6 or more consecutive losses, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing another  team with a below .500 record are bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS 79% for their betting backers.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Toronto Raptors spanked the Atlanta Hawks a two weeks ago when they visited Canada  by a lopsided 128-84 count. This tale of the tape is of two teams moving in opposite directions, as the Raps have won 10 of their L/11 and a Hawks side that has lost 10 of their L/13 after a 9-2 start. However, despite of these teams current form, Im focusing on a desperate side, ( Atlanta) that was embarrassed in their last matchup vs the Raptors as mentioned above. A measure of a teams fortitude and the quality of their coach, is what sets slumping teams apart from bottom feeders. Even though the Hawks are stuck in quick sand at the moment, it  does not mean they are not capable of playing a big time game in an effort to gain back some long lost dignity. You have to remember that the Hawks, are made up of guys that were stars at every level of basketball they competed in, and pros never like to be embarrassed.

Atlanta 's HC Budenholzer is 86-62 ATS L/148 when playing against a team with a winning record. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Washington Wizards used a physical brand of basketball for an big time  win vs the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing which sets up well for their meeting with Stan VanGundys Motown crew..My won matchup discrepancy charts tell me a story of a Washington team that can compete and beat a team like the Detroit Pistons. Washington has 4 straight here at home in this series, and Im betting on another victory tonight.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Wizards - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are a bankroll expanding 103-59 ATS for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks and  Chicago Bulls  prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown three shots, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. The Bucks have lost three straight but are 21-10 ATS L/31 after 2 or more consecutive losses and get the nod here in this spot as short home favorites.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat conclusively ended  a five-game losing streak by defeating the Washington Wizards 112-101 on Monday night and Im betting they are ready to turn the trick again this Tuesday night versus a very inconsistent Indiana team. I know the Heat are without the injured Waiters and Winslow, but this team is still more capable than many pundits believe. Meanwhile, Indiana has some key injury issues of their own and  will be without starting guard Monta Ellis (groin), who has been ruled out for this three-game road trip. Reserve guard Rodney Stuckey (knee) is questionable and less than 100% after being hurt against the Hornets this past weekend, and he will be missed. From a trends perspective is must be noted, that INDIANA is 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins, this season. ( Indiana won their L/game 110-94 at home last time out) 

Play on the Miami Heat won to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Knicks are coming off wins Friday against the Sacramento Kings and Sunday against the Los Angeles Lakers, giving them four straight wins on the road, and have won 7 of their L/8 games overall. However, with that said, all good and bad runs must come to end, and I won't be surprised if it happens here in Phoenix tonight, as my own proprietary programs actually give the Suns an edge on home court in head to head player to players matchup discrepancy chart.

 NBA Road favorites like the Favorites - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are a bankroll depleting 21-48 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70%. 

Take the points with the Phoenix Suns 

Thibodeau, who went 255-139 in five seasons with Chicago, takes on his  former team for the first time as an NBA coach since the Bulls fired him. You can bet he would love nothing more than to get a little revenge here, no matter what his political correct statement will be to the media. Here is an interesting quote: "He used to tell us in the locker room, 'You got to hate those guys, you got to stick it to them,'" Bulls forward Taj Gibson told the Chicago Tribune. "So, I know he's going to come in here and have those young guys ready and waiting. It's kind of a nerve-wracking feeling because you know that guy knows everything about you. He knows all your moves. It's going to be a good prep. END QUOTE.

 Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 

Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Orlando may not inspire alot of betting support, but they have cashed 5 of their L/7 road games. Meanwhile, Atlanta has shown themselves to be a very inconsistent commodity, and have failed to cover 4 straight at home, and are just 1-5 ATS in their L/6 overall and recently lost 10 of 11 games. Even when well rested like they are here, the Hawks are just 3-9 ATS L/12 with 3 or more days rest. From a series perspective the Magic are 4-1 ATS L/5 in Atlanta and 8-3 ATS L/11 meetings with the underdog in this matchup going a sparkling 20-9 ATS L/29 meetings. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection