The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. 

The Hawks are 1-19 ATS/SU as a home dog off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Hawks  are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on Celtics to cover 

The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 games, including two on the road since pulling off Tuesday night's home victory against in the New York Knicks.The Magic are in a five-game losing streak, coming off Saturday night's 102-89 home loss to the Miami Heat. both have conistently been in the loss column However, I see more promise from the Magic and give them by support here tonight.Prior to last week, the Hornets lost six consecutive home games. In the last seven home outings, they've failed to score more than 107 points in regulation in any of those. Advantage : Orlando. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. When Orlando visited here on Jan 20th they won by a 106-83 count and a rinse and repeat effort is my projection. 

NBA Teams like the Magic are 14-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average ppg diff registering at + 11 ppg. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Thanks to Torontos current 10 game win streak there is a slightly bloated line attached to this tilt involving the Chicago Bulls. When these teams played earlier this season, the Raptors pulled out a 93-92 squeaker, and Im betting on another close tilt here with the Bulls getting my support. Note: From a SRS perspective: Chicago owns a -2.97 marker, while Toronto a 5.72 , which roughly evens out into a -9 true line according to those projections. So we have a one possession edge which qualifies for me to back the Bulls here getting points. SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

TORONTO is 14-29 ATS  after 6 or more consecutive wins. 

The Bulls are 14-0-1 ATS  on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at 1.2 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (TORONTO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Pelicans have an adrenalin rush and momentum entering this game as Zion Williamson makes his presence felt. New Orleans has won 3 straight, and will not be easily defeated by the Rockets here today. 

The Pelicans are 11-0 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two tilts.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-3 L/23 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 36-13 L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127-115 . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort in what should be a start to finish effort.
The Bucks are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a loss in a home game. The Suns are 0-12 ATS/SU as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Blazers are off a huge emotional upset vs the Lakers last night in LA, for Kobe Bryants memorial celebration last night where Lilliard went off for 48 points. The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS /SU with no rest after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -8.9.   

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff registering at +18.9 ppg. 

The Lakers payed tribute to former superstar Kobe Bryant  before their Friday home game against the Portland Trail Blazers, but then they couldn't  get a win  and were punished by Damian Lillard's 48-point Kobe like  explosion in a 127-119 defeat. Now a little embarrassed Im betting they come out here and take their frustration out on the Kings in a start to finish effort. Note: The Lakers are 6-0  SU on second nights, including 4-0 on the road.

The Kings are 0-17 ATS/0-17 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Kings  are 0-18 ATS /SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes (Which was the case for the Kings in a upset win vs the Clippers last time out) 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Kemba Walker is a 50 /50 bet to play tonight for the Celtics which would slightly adjust my projections but not enough not to lay three with a deep home team in an important eastern conference matchup. 

 The Celtics are 19-0-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with none of the L/20 games in this subset coming by less than 5 points a game.

NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Teams like the Sixers  are 1-14 SU/2-13 ATS as a dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

Play on Boston to cover 

The Orlando Magic, losers of four straight games, have been off since their 113-92 loss at the Miami Heat on Monday. That rest may hinder them rather than help them vs a Heat team that is well conditioned and in a flow despite of some recent losses. The Heat are 19-1 ATS with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Mimai beat Orlando at home in their last meetings, but it must be noted that  ORLANDO is 1-14 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

 MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

Teams like Heat are 18-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover

In the teams' first meeting, Dec. 20 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder pulled out a 126-108 victory and Im betting on the Thunders domination last time to continue here. The Thunder come into Friday's game having won six consecutive on the road to tie the second-longest streak in Oklahoma City history. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 on the road.

The Suns are 0-14 ATS/SU with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

The Thunder are 14-0-1 ATS L/15 on the road with less than two days rest.The Thunder are 13-0-1 ATS L/14  on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s all from this season and have won their L/6 SU . 

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Memphis has come a long way and New Orleans is just getting started on the road to bigger and better things as along as Zion Williamson stays healthy. Tonight backing  home court advantage for teams that play similar styles is my recommendation.  The Pelicans are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the ppg diff clicking in at 15.9 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like Memphis are 0-16-1 ATS /1-16 SU L/17  as a dog with less than two days rest off a win . 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Raptors defeated the Pistons 125-113 on Oct. 30 and 112-99 on Dec. 18 and   matchup well vs the Griffin less Pistons who are experiencing alot of inconsistencies with the lineup they have been putting on the floor. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16  or more turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff registering a -9.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.3 ppg. 

The Pistons are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU L/14 as a dog with rest off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of - 14.1 ppg diff.

 The Raptors are 23-4 ATS /25-2 SU L/27 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg including 15 wins and 14 of 15 covers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

LAC Key starters George  and  Patrick Beverley are listed as probable and Kawhi Leonard also expected to play . Note:  In his last eight games, Leonard is averaging 35 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 51.8 percent shooting which  makes for a perilous matchup for a Sacramento Kings team that the Clippers have owned in recent matchups from a ATS perspective as is evident by a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 mark in this series.In their last meeting on Dec. 31, the Clippers earned a 105-87 victory. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight and a Clipper cover.

Clippers have covered 5 straight at home vs opposition playing 2nd of back to back like the Kings ( Kings lost by 20 to Oklahoma City on the road last night and looked exhausted which does not bode well against a now healthy Clippers side)

The Clippers are 20-0 SU/ 18-2 ATS  as a home favorite off a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7 ppg.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The defending NBA champion Raptors are rolling right now,as is evident by a current 8 game win streak. Now because of their run, Im betting we have a slightly bloated line to bet in to here with the home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers. I know the Cavs have looked asleep at the wheel, for most of this season, but if there was ever a time to wake up , it would be at home against the defending NBA champs. Note: Cleveland is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 17-0 ATS L/17  as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.9 ppg. NBA Teams like the Cavs are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a 8+ dog off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff 0f -0.7 ppg.

NBA Teams  like the Raptors are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.9 ppg.The Raptors are 0-11 ATS /3-8 SU L/11 on the road with rest off a win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA team (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Both these teams played last night with the Grizzlies winning and the Knicks losing after holding an early DD lead, which is a confidence buster. Note:  The Knicks are 0-12 ATS SU/ATS  after a game as a road dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first.

NY is up trending but Memphis has shown more consistent flow for a longer period of time and have the explosive offensive guns to get the win here on the road. The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SU  with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.The Knicks are 0-13 ATS SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. 

Play on Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

Denver has been dealing with injuries all season and is down three of its top rotation players. Power forward Paul Millsap (left knee contusion) will miss his 10th straight game, point guard Jamal Murray (left ankle sprain) will sit for the seventh straight and big man Mason Plumlee (right foot injury) has missed three games and Im betting they will be pushed here tonight in Memphis by an explosive Grizzlies team that has revenge on board for two losses in this series this season.

The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS /12-0 SU L/12 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

The Nuggets are 2-17 ATS  on the road off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The Nuggets are 0-9-1 ATS/1-9 SU on the road off a win when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-9 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover

According to ESPN's Tim MacMahon, Harden is unlikely to play on Monday despite being listed questionable. The Rockets are already without Russell Westbrook, who is resting in the second leg of a back-to-back, while Clint Capela (heel) is doubtful. Utah Im betting takes advantage of this tonight and shows very little mercy in this spot play side action.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-40 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover

The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this Motown tilt having lost seven straight games. All but two of those defeats were decided by double digits, including the past three. I know the Pistons may not inspire bettors but they have shown some progression and are an under rated team that can get the job done vs a side that looks  like its going through the motions.

CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS  after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Knicks played a hard fought game vs the league champs last time losing a  118-112  tilt and will be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a desperate Nets side with revenge on board for a loss to the Knicks back in Brooklyn on Dec 26th  by a 94-82 score.That was truly and ugly performance from the Nets and now redemption is at hand. BROOKLYN is 17-4 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NYK is 0-8 /ATS L/8 after facing the Raptors.

NBA Underdogs (BROOKLYN) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-18 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Suns have double revenge on board here for two losses in this series this season and have the talent and capability all be it inconsistent to be competitive and pull off an upset here in Memphis. 

The Suns are 5-0 ATS L/5 as a road dog.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Williams is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of PHOENIX. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 165-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

The Boston Celtics are playing better despite being short-handed while the New Orleans Pelicans have struggled since getting healthy.

The Celtics seek their fourth consecutive victory Sunday when they visit the Pelicans, who are 0-2 since rookie Zion Williamson joined the lineup and Im betting things dont bet much better for the Pelicans here vs a more experienced team. 

BOSTON is 16-3 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out .

Play on Boston to cover 

Toronto ranks sixth in points per game by an opponent, averaging 106. The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5, 24th in the NBA. Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting t 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. The Raptors come in having won six in a row while the Spurs had won three consecutive until Phoenix abruptly  the  with a  win in San Antonio. Toronto has won six straight games on the road, the third longest streak in team history and today Im betting they end a long losing streak of 10 games here in San Antonio. 

SAN ANTONIO is 7-16 ATS  in home games this season.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.  

The Philadelphia 76ers will be searching for their 21st victory in 23 games at home when they host the  exhausted Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday and Im betting if they lose tonight it wont be a walk in the park for the Lakers, with the home team covering. Note: The Lakers wil be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are on tired legs.LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS   when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons and are 3-12 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 29-14 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover

This line is set on public perceptions and media attention towards super star Doncic. My own projections make Utah, a 6 point home favorite here .With that said, Im betting we have value with the home team, vs a defensively deficient Mavericks side, allowing an average of 111.2 ppg.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 24-3 L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg on the road this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games 24-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

The Knicks were smashed by the Raptors on Nov. 27, when the defending NBA champions earned a 126-98 victory in Canada. With the Raptors now fairly healthy they are once again going to be a difficult force to deal with here tonight for a NY team that is in an emotional letdown spot after battling the LA Lakers and leaving everything on the court  last time out (100-92).Knicks are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Raptors 9-2 away in a 1/1 rest situation. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors 

Charlotte was obliterated by the powerful Milwaukee Bucks earlier this season, by a 137-96 count  and Im betting they overlook the Hornets here tonight on the road, as they Im betting they  look at this as a unscheduled rest day at an exhausting point in the season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 30-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Charlotte is 3-0 ATS L/3 at home in this series.

Charlotte to cover 

Portland is off a huge their super star Damian  Lillards  franchise records of 61 points and 11 3-pointers and now Im expecting a huge letdown performance vs the Dallas Mavs tonight . 

The Mavericks are 16-0 ATS L/16 and 11-0- SU/ATS L/11 on the road off a home game. ( Lost to Clippers 110-107 count last time out)

NBA Home underdogs (PORTLAND) - excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

Indiana got clobbered last time out but it was a bad scheduling loss in my opinion against a red hot  Utah side that had revenge on board form multiple losses to the Pacers. The Pacers had played in Denver the night before in a high altitude game and were on tired legs, which is not the case here tonight as Indiana looks to bounce back behind a tenacious work ethic . With that said the Pacers  get my support vs a Suns here tonight in Phoenix.  Pacers: 5-0 L5 vs Phoenix and get the nod again.Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Play on Indiana Pacers to cover 

The Miami Heat, who have the best home record in the NBA at 19-1, will play host to the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night. Now with revenge on board for a  a 123-105 loss the Heat suffered in DC to  Washington as 11-point road favorites  three weeks ago will have them in merciless over drive here tonight.WASHINGTON is 4-16 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with the a average ppg diff clicking in at -13.1 ppg. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of +14.2 ppg.MIAMI is 8-1 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a  the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.4 ppg. . 

Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdogHeat are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on Miami to cover 

Heading into Wednesday's meeting in Orlando, both the Magic and Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off perhaps their most impressive victories of the season and are currently in top form. However, from a metrics standpoint the superior side is the Thunder.Oklahoma City won the first meeting, 102-94, at home on Nov. 5 in a game and matchup well vs the Magic and get my support here tonight.  Note:  ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

The Thunder 7-1 away vs Southeast division opposition while the  Magic are 3-12 home vs Northwest  Division opposition.OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS as a road underdog this season.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

  Luca Doncic and company continue to impress and very much look like viable investment options to win and cover at home tonight vs the LA Clippers. Yes, I know the Mavs struggle with their D, at times but their offence is a tangible force .  This team also just does not turn the ball over very often and ranks No.1 in that category to this point in the season. Yes, the Clippers are looked at more favorably than the Mavericks by the pundits thanks to having Kawhi Leonard and Paul George in the lineup, but when this team go up against above .500 foes they are just 9-9 SU and just 4-8 ATS vs Western Conference opposition and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. When these teams met earlier this season the Mavs had the wind knocked out of them here on their home home floor, and now Im betting on a revenge factor to be in play here and a very motivated effort from the home side.  . Dallas is 9-3 ATS with same-season revenge in this series. Note : injury update Paul George is out for this tilt. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 

 
Playing in the high altitudes of Denver last night will have the Pacers on tired legs here tonight in Utah in another high altitude game  vs what is the leagues hottest team ( 17-2 SU L/19.  Note: Pacers: 3-17 SU away on no rest .With the Jazz falling twice at the hands of the Pacers last season before losing another  121-102 decision at Indiana in November earlier this season you can bet the Jazz will be ready to take down Indiana tonight. Considering how explosive the Jsazz are at the moment and Indiana's travel situation it will not be a hard decision to lay the points here with the home side. 

INDIANA is 4-13 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Utah is 15-6 ATS at home with a .500 or better record when seeking triple revenge   versus .600 or greater opposition like Indiana.

NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The Rockets are fresh off their big game with the Lakers in Saturday night a tilt which they lost , and Im betting the Thunder catch them in a letdown spot. The Thunder are 10-1-1 ATS in their L/12 as road underdogs and have covered 14 of their L/16 overall so the linemakers are constantly under rating them .Houston has dropped four of its past five games, thanks in part in to an ugly defensive stance and work ethic and in thier current form are fade material.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder 

The Hornets completed a winless four-game road trip Wednesday night in Denver and have lost 6 straight overall and 11 of their L/13 and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of their inconsistencies have been money in the bank against sub par opposition. Note:ORLANDO is 18-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12+ ppg. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

The Nuggets will be without Harris, Jamal Murray (ankle), and Paul Millsap (knee) on Sunday. That directly puts the Nuggets at a disadvantage and has me taking the points with a hard working Indiana  team on a 4 game win streak  that deserves our respect. 

NBA  team vs the money line (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Utah had a 10 game win streak end in OT last time out, and now Im betting they bounce back at home in a big way vs a Sacramento Kings team that they would love to throttle in revenge mode for a 102-101 loss they suffered earlier this season in California's capital. 

UTAH is 8-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 18.6 ppg. 

 NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 36-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 11.7 ppg. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The Hawks (9-32) head to the Alamo City off a rare 123-110 win at home over Phoenix on Tuesday that snapped a four-game losing streak. Atlanta has now won just three of its past 18 games and Im betting they fall here again, vs a up trending San Antonio spurs team that has revenge on board for a lack luster loss on the road  to the Hawks earlier this season.The Spurs' own a  current 21-game home winning streak against Atlanta  and get my support to cover here in their 22nd straight win at home in this series.

ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.1 ppg.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Raptors have won six consecutive meetings with the Wizards, including a 122-118 verdict Dec. 20. Toronto is 20-4 against Washington dating back into the 2013-14 season but only one of the last 6 meetings has beaten this spread. Im not suggesting the Wizards can upset the Raptors, even though anything is possibility, I do believe they can be competitive and get us a cover here as DD dogs. You have to remember the Wizards snatched victories against Denver and Boston recently and with John Beal healthy and in the lineup are and can be dangerous adversaries. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

The Magic have won 4 of their L/5 games and have covered 7 of their L/8 as they are playing their best hoops of the season at the moment as they come off a victory vs Lakers last night. This will be the Magics 2nd straight game in  LA as they now face the mighty Clippers in a back to back situation. I know it might seem like the Magic are at a huge disadvantage , but they are very well conditioned , and will not easily run out of fuel here down the stretch vs a far more talented team, which gives credence to a competitive effort and if need be a back door cover. . Note: Teams playing on back to back nights in LA are a profitable bet , going 82-64-1 ATS  L/147 for a 56% conversion rate for bettors in their escape from LA game. 

ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 14-1 ATS L/15 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Teams like the Magic  are 40-11 ATS L/51 as a road dog off a win as a road dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 54-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

New Orleans is hosting a Jazz team that has won 10 games in a row and currently playing their best hoops of the season.  With Pelicans key contributors Brandon Ingram (knee), Jrue Holiday (elbow), JJ Redick (hamstring) and Derrick Favors (hamstring), all   day to day and less than 100% the home side is at a disadvantage. Note: Utah has won and covered their L/4 trips to the Bayou and get Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in this spot.

The Pelicans are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-11 ATS /SU as a home dog with more than one day of rest off a win as a road dog.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 32-1 L/23 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by +9 ppg which qualifies on a ATS parameter. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Houston played a tough run and gun game vs Memphis last night and lost. Now despite of wanting to bounce back Im betting their tired legs may hinder them vs a Blazers team itching to get revenge for an embarrassing 132-108 loss  back in November. PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS  revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Teams like Houston  are 0-11-1 ATS L/12 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field. 

Play on Portland to cover 

The Denver  Nuggets are listing  Jamal Murray and Gary Harris (adductor) as questionable for Wednesday's game, while Paul Millsap (knee) remains out . Coach Michael Malone was quoted as saying  that his team took it easy in practice on Tuesday with several players banged up and hobbled. Charlotte has a much needed edge here tonight and get my support on a DD line. Yes, I know Charlotte is struggling, but they have played well in these types of situations,  recording a  11-2 ATS  mark  off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 11-24 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Brooklyn played last night and looked out of sync in a loss to Utah  even though they were mostly healthy with Kyrie Irving back on the court. Now on tired legs and lacking flow and  going against a team that plays their absolute best ball at home (18-2 SU), Im betting we have an edge here laying points. The Nets are 0-10-1 ATS /1-11 SU with no rest after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.5 ppg.  

The Nets are 0-8-1 ATS /0-9 SU L/9 on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking at - 12.8 ppg. 

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 32-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg which makes this a qualifier on the spread. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 27-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Golden State was blasted in two straight meetings vs Dallas , allowing 141, and 142 points, and now after those embarrassing efforts will come out here looking for redemption.  GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 23-11 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

The Warriors are 9-0 ATS/8-1 SU L/9 at home off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

Teams are 0-11 ATS L/11 as a 8+ favorite with more than one day of rest off a win. 

 Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 24-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Golden State Warriors to cover ( Late Steam)

Trae Young and DeAndre Hunter are in the lineup tonight for the Hawks at home . Meanwhile, Phoenix despite of being improved this season are not a consistent enough commodity to be this big favorite on the road. Atlanta has won their L/2 games here vs the Suns and get my support to cover as home dogs. Note:The Suns are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.The Hawks are 17-2 ATS L/19 at home off a 10+ loss in a road game in which they had less than 40% of the total rebounds.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

When Kyrie Irving and C Levert are in the lineup for Brooklyn their a more efficient team with a great deal of flow. These two guys make Brooklyn a dangerous underdog here at home vs Utah tonight. Note:Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

The Nets are 20-1 ATS L/21 with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82  or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 32-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Brooklyn to cover 

Coach Alvin Gentry stated that Holiday is more likely to return for Thursday's game, which basically means  Monday he wont play  as he continues to deal with a strained elbow. Derrick Favors (hamstring) and JJ Redick (hamstring) are both questionable to play.  Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram will get added minutes, but they have been far from cohesive and are not reliable starters. I know Blake Griffin is out for the Pistons but here at home vs a banged up Pelicans team that have an edge. The Pelicans are 0-14 ATS /SU l/14 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

NEW ORLEANS is 15-26 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 38-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Danny Green out, LeBron James out and the hobbled  Anthony Davis likely out because this is a back to back . the Lakers will be shorthanded on Saturday and fade material here against a hard working Oklahoma City Thunder side , that would love to put a beating on the Lakers in this spot.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Detroit lost a 115-112 overtime decision to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday. Thats not a good omen for Motown covering here as NBA Teams like the Bulls are 12-0 ATS  L/12 as a road dog off a loss in which their opponent had overtime. The Pistons have also not had much luck vs the Bulls of late, and have lost all 3 meetings. Pistons are 0-14 ATS /SU when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and are 0-7 ATS  when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Bulls are 12-0 ATS L/12 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds.Casey is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game as the coach of DETROIT.

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Celtics are in desperation mode and ready to come out here with all guns blazing as they look to attempt to halt their current 3 game losing streak. With True Holiday and Derrick Favours out  for the Pelicans today the Clovers have a big edge .  The Celtics are 24-1 ATS /25-0 SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digit.The Pelicans are 2-18 ATS L/20/1-19 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Defense has been an issue recently for the Los Angeles Clippers. However, they've had four days to work on it before they host the struggling Golden State Warriors and should be very ready to play a shut down game here on rested legs, which to me suggests a blowout situation. The Clippers hammered the Warriors 141-122 on Oct. 24. Rinse and repeat at hand tonight as teams now have a chance to give back some the nasty medicine the Warriors forced on opponents over an extended period of time in the last decade. No Mercy rule in effect. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS  when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 19-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.9 ppg.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

Sacramento will be short handed and banged up for tonights game against the explosive Milwaukee Bucks with Richaun Holmes and Bogdan Bogdanovic  laready  ruled out, while Cory Joseph and Nemanja Bjelica sat out Thursday’s practice due to bumps, bruises and illness. Advantage Bucks as their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected play.

The Bucks are 19-1 ATS /20-1 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +22.2. 

The Kings are 0-16 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.8. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - excellent defensive team (41.5% or less ) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

This is a young Grizzlies team that is suppose to be rebuilding, but what most pundits are missing is how talented they are and how consistent they have been of late. I know their opponents the Spurs have the bigger names, and respected franchise pedigree but , what they dont have is consistency and work ethic and that  is why Im backing the home side tonight to get the cover. The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85. (Which was the case last time out.The Grizzlies are also 10-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Spurs are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ win in a road game.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Brooklyns C LeVert is getting healthy again and hes now ready tp play a full game, with no minute restrictions, and Im betting we now see more flow from what was clunky Brooklyn offence . Meanwhile, the Heat are showing themselves to be atop tier team this season, but have had issues against lower tier teams , as was evident by recent losses vs Orlando and Washington . Meanwhile, BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70%or better ) over the last 3 seasons.

The Nets are 10-0 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

The Heat are 0-12 ATS /L/12 as a road favorite off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint

The Heat are 1-13 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Philadelphia 76ers will be severely short-handed for their game against the visiting Boston Celtics on Thursday.All-Star center Joel Embiid will miss the game with a dislocated left ring finger. Meanwhile, Bostons star forward Kemba Walker, who had missed the previous three games with flu-like symptoms, played 18 minutes while on a minutes restriction last time out, and should get more time tonight. Tonight Im expecting a Celtics team with redemption and revenge on mind for two losses in this series earlier this season and two current overall losses to have an edge on a value line. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

BOSTON is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 39-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on Celtics to cover 

These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Houston has won 11 of their L/14 SU while, Atlanta has lost 12 of their L/14 overall,  and when these teams met earlier this season, the divergence in talent was on full display as the Rockets smashed the Hawks by a 158-111 count. I know Atlanta has revenge on board, but Im betting they dont have the legs to get redemption as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights against a visitor that is fresh and on 4 days rest. 

ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 30-1 SU L/23 seasons, with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 ppg which qualify as a positive league wide trends situations when applied to  this offered side number. 

NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets 

Play on Houston to cover 

The Raptors are banged up with a boat load full of injuries and fade material in their current condition and form. Team scoring leader Pascal Siakam remains out with a groin injury. The Raptors were also without Fred VanVleet (hamstring), Marc Gasol (hamstring) and Norman Powell (shoulder) on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charlotte despite of a overall dismal record has shown some life of late winning and covering 2 of their L/3 and get my support to get us a cover here tonight.

The Raptors are 0-15 ATS /3-12 SU  off a loss as a favorite in which they led after each of the first three quarters

 Play on Charlotte to cover 

The superior team here is obviously the LA Lakers, but it has also become obvious that the Lakers have a tendency of conserving energy and not going full throttle against most of their lesser opponents which is like to resting players. The Lakers have not seen a more than 13 point margin of victory  in almost a month spanning 12 games and tonight Im betting the Knicks keep this run alive with a cover .  NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS  in road games after playing a road game this season ( they are currently playing their 3rd road  in a west coast trip)

  LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 7-21 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Memphis Grizzlies continue to uptrend in my power rankings as they go for  their  straight win  and 9th in their L/15 when  they open a six-game home stand against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday.  The Grizzlies have momentum and confidence entering tilt behind an explosive cohesive offence that is off an impressive 140-114 rout of the Los Angeles Clippers and followed up by a 121-114 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. As far as this tilt vs a very banged up Minnesota Wolves team is concerned , that matchup very well here, as is evident by two previous victories in this series this season via a 137-121 home win on Nov. 6, and  a 115-107 victory in Minneapolis on Dec. 1. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening in Memphis vs a Wolves side that has lost 8 of their L/10 on the road. Memphis has won 3 of their L/4 meetings at home in this series and 7 of the L/9  meetings overall . 

Play on Memphis 

Cleveland is in complete disarray with key starters like Kevin Love not getting along with HC Altman , and the team as whole showing little or no chemistry. Meanwhile, Detroit despite of playing without Blake Griffin are a team, that gets along and plays hard as a unit and Im betting their work ethic gets them to the promised land tonight and provides us with a cover.

Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Cavaliers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Cavaliers are 22-51 ATS in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 47-93 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

New Orleans has been playing very well of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall,  but that will have Utah wide awake and ready to compete vs a uptrending side. The Jazz are also playing their best hoops of the season , winning 10 of their L/11 SU and have coved 6 straight times.  UTAH is 14-4 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6 ppg. 

Utah is 10-1 ATS L/11 overall and have won and covered their 4 most trips to the Bayou to take on the Pelicans.

Play on Utah to cover

Oklahoma City has been playing some very good basketball of late, and have won  9 of tjheir L/10 and covered 7 of their L/8 behind  a stingy defence that has allowed 101.1 ppg in their L/5 overall all  of which were wins. That Im betitng will be key to them being competetive vs a slumping Phaildephia team that is completely out of rythm and on a 4 game losing streak. Yes, I know the Sixers are desperate and have played their best hoops at home this season ( 16-2), but in their current form cannot be trusted to cover this wide a spread vs a streaking side that is built to throw offences out of their flow.  Oklahoma City is 20-1 SU L/21 in this series and get my support to cover here tonight. 

Play on Oklahoma city to cover

The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing well of late, winning 8 of their L/14 SU and are a vialbe underdog here vs a side that they have already played twice this season. and have notched a v115-108 victory at Phoenix . According to my projections Memphis in their current form matchup very well vs the Suns, and get my support here getting points. PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS  in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /9-4 SU as a dog off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS L/15 as a home favorite off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Sunday games are 46-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover

The Clippers were pounded 140-114 by the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday and are obviously not in a groove. I know NY may not inspire bettors, but if Leonard does not play tonight which is higly likely since he is not played in back to back games, this season, the Knicks can hang here and get us the cover.

The Clippers are 1-18 ATS L/19 at home with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

The Clippers are 1-22 ATS L/23 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 2 straight vs current opponet.

 NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 49-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate flor bettors. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Pistons are banged up and short handed for this tilt vs the Clippers  with Blake Griffin doubtful and Markieff Morris  ruled out.The Pistons are 4-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 14-3 at home. This is a tale of two polar opposites, and Im not going to be shy about laying points here with this spot play. DETROIT is 3-15 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.8 ppg.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU  as a 8+ dog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.2 ppg. 

The Clippers are 13-1 ATS/13-1SU as a home favorite with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

With Caris LeVert and Kyrie Irving out of the Brooklyn lineup with injuries they are looking clunkier by the day , and are struggling with flow and particularly their 3 point shooting which has become a concern. Tonight against a Dallas team off a game where they blew a late lead on the road to Oklahoma City,  Im betting the rebound redemption minded Mavericks will be primed to romp vs a down trending side. The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS /11-1 SU after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 . 

NBA teams like the Mavs  are 24-4 ATS/26-2 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

NBA Teams like the Nets are 2-21-1 ATS L/2-22 SU  with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Thunder head to San Antonio after a emotional   hard fought 106-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Chris Paul scored 17 points -- including 13 in the final 4:31 -- to help erase a seven-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Now in a letdown spot vs a Spurs that  are playing better of late, Im betting the Thunder are fade material in what has been a hall of horrors( AT&T Center)  for them as is evident by 9 straight regular season losses here.

SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

The Thunder are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA Teams  like the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SUL/11 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Wolves have listed seven players on their injury report prior to Wednesday's tilt vs Milwaukee. Karl-Anthony Towns (knee), Andrew Wiggins (illness), and Jake Layman (toe) won't play, Teague is doubtful, Treveon Graham (illness) and Noah Vonleh (glute) are questionable, and Josh Okogie (elbow) is probable. This is a complete whitewash situation, in the making as Im betting the powerful Bucks will romp to an easy one sided victory here today. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

The Kings may not inspire bettors in their current form but they have performed well vs tp tier sides like the Clippers of late. Note: Walton is 11-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

 The Kings are 15-0 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.The Kings are 13-0 ATS L/13 as a dog off a loss as a dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.The Kings are 18-2 ATS L/20 off a loss as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 3-7 SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss after a game that was tied 5+ times.The Clippers are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Sixers  despite of playing top tier basketball at home  as was evident when they recently beat the Bucks, are a team that struggles on the road having garnered a 1-6 SU record vs above .500 sides . Meanwhile the  while the Pacers are 14-3 SU  overall at home and deserve respect here as dogs especially with Malcolm Brogdon back in the lineup today for the Pacers. 

McMillan is 21-8 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of INDIANA.

he Pacers are 17-3 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.

The Seventysixers are 4-20-1 ATS 4-22 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-54 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Boston after getting beaten up and humbled by DDs vs the defending NBA champion Raptors last time out, will be ready to come out here with a start to finish bounce back situation here this evening vs a very inconsistent Charlotte team 5 straight games. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (L/19  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more.

Boston has already beaten Charlotte twice this season by DD deficits and Im betting on a 3rd here. 

NBATeams like the Celtics  are 16-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the ppg diff clicking in a +12.3 ppg. 

Play on Boston to cover 

 The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall  in  offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they  had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup against a Minnesota team that has own just 1 of their L/12 games. 

The Nets are 12-0 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ loss. The Nets are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 as a favorite off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

NBA Teams like the Nets  are 22-2-1 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS/1-10 SU at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Sacramento Kings are struggling in a big way right now and have lost  6 straight games, and are now on tired legs after playing last night  against Phoenix and now going into the high altitudes of Denver to play a top tier team in the Nuggets.Playing in this Mile High venue for top tier teams is hard enough little lone a team like the Kings who proverbially can not tie their own shoelaces in their current form.  The Nuggets  54-14 SU and 44-27 ATS at home over the last few seasons  and are a hard team to face here at the Pepsi Center . It must also be noted that Denver has this circled as grudge match as they seek revenge for a loss to Sacramento back on Nov 30 on the road  and thus I see very little mercy being shown here on their way what Im betting will be a hefty DD win and cover.Sacramento is 0-7  SU and 1-6 ATS L/7 after taking on the Suns. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Hornets enter this game against the Grizzlies  having lost five of their last six games and four in a row and are fade material in their current form.The Grizzlies defeated Charlotte 119-117 on Nov. 13 in Charlotte. My own power ranking suggest they matchup very well against a side that can't shoot 3s consistently and when out muscled struggle because of their need to do most of their scoring from the perimeter. 

The Hornets are 2-20-2 ATS /1-24 SU as a road dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

The Lakers come off a emotional and physically gruelling game vs the LA Clippers last time that they lost, and now in a letdown situation go against a franchise that they have a long history of futility against the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers have won 15 of the L/18 overall meetings  . With Dallas on board for tomorrow night, Im betting the Lakers may not be as focused as they need to be. I know the Lakers smashed the Blazers when they played earlier this season, but the Blazers have been very good in revenge mode from a 20 or point loss, cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities and get my support to turn the trick again. 

Play on Portland Trailblazers to cover 

San Antonio despite of being highly inconsistent gets my support here tonight at home, in revenge mode vs a Detroit Pistons team that beat them, 132-98 earlier this season. It was an embarrassing event for the Spurs, and HC Popovich was steaming after that game, and will now his team ready to play in this redemption scenario.Note: SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /SUL/11  at home with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses .The Spurs are 15-2-1 ATS /18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest after their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before.

The Pistons are 1-20 ATS /SU  as a dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game failing to cover cover by more than 10+ ppg. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Dallas according to my projections is getting to much love here tonight as DD road chalk. I know Golden State played last night, but recently this well conditioned young team is showing life, as has been evident by 4 consecutive wins including one against Houston . Yes, Golden State got clobbered by a ugly 142-94 count by Dallas by in November on the road but it must be noted Kerr is a fine HC with alot of pride, and has lead  GOLDEN STATE to a 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NBA team (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or loss ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are just 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Washington came into NYK and convincingly controlled the Knicks and took the road win. Now in revenge mode the pundits seem to think a inconsistent Knicks team off a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out can grab two in a row behind a revenge scenario.Even if the Wizards  Bradely Beal is less than 100% or cant play, I still feel the Wizards are the right side behind the replacement reliable duo of Troy Brown Jr. or Jordan McRae . Truth is I just don't feel the Knicks deserve their fav status in this rematch , especially here on the road.  NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 3-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11.  

Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side. 

The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent.

BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19  in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 

The Minnesota Wolves have ost 11 straight games, and are once again fade material here on the road vs a Kings team that is struggling but more than capable of rebounding in this spot . 

SACRAMENTO is 15-3 ATS  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Timberwolves are 1-17-1 ATS /1-18  SU  as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this game on a 4 game win streak and have won 7 of their L/9 and have won 11 of their 16 home games this season . Against todays competition the visiting Memphis Grizzlies the Thunder have won 9 straight times here and once again have the advantage vs a side that is highly inconsistent and have lost 13 of 18 road games this season, including last weeks visit to Sooner State where they lost 126-122 count as 6.5 point dog. Note:NBA Teams like the Thunder are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SUL/22 as a opening line 8+ favorite with rest off a game as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies  are 2-33 SU/ 5-29-1 ATS  as a road dog with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.2 ppg. 

The Thunder are 14-1 ATS/15-0 SU L/15  as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking at 14.1 ppg.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU as a opening line  8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.5 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The coaching change of  David Fizdale on Dec. 6 for interim coach Mike Miller has not sparked the Knicks to consistent efforts, and there is just something off about the chemistry of this team, and their work ethic and preparation. Just before the Christmas break, they got clobbered by Miami and Milwaukee , and than got run over by the Washington Wizards  by a 121-115 count at  home on Monday. Now Im betting their lack of proper motivation , fluidity, and upper their talent will see them lose again and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover.

NEW YORK is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15.1 ppg.

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog with more than one day of rest with every loss coming by 8 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. 

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 Milwaukee won 21 of its last 22 games,  but they go against a Philadelphia side that plays their best basketball at home where they are 15-2 SU this season, and wont go down without a fight. Im expecting a hard fought game here which will make getting points golden. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 25-3 L/5 seasons for for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  team (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 

Boston downed Toronto 112-106 at home on Oct. 25  and matchup well once again vs a Raptors team that is banged up and playing short handed. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

The Raptors have also taken part into two straight exhausting games , one where they came from behind from a DD deficit entering the 4th quarter, and one that they took to  OT after trailing by 14 points in the third quarter. A natural emotional letdown is expecting by me here today against a top tier side. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) like the Raptors are 17-59 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

Minnesota now on a 10 game losing streak enters this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights, which gives the depleted Warriors  a chance for a rare victory here tonight. 

The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS/SU l/10 off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS 1/10 SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

 MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 13-34 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

One of Sacramento's biggest moments of the season occurred when it edged the Rockets 119-118 in Houston on Dec. 9 and Im betting the Kings have what it takes to hang tough at home here again tonight.NBA Teams  like The rockets are 1-14 ATS /SU  on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

Houston is off a big shooting effort last time out scoring 139 points in a win vs the Suns and now Im expecting a regressionary effort. The Rockets are 3-20-1 ATS  on the road off a win as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field. D'Antoni is 10-22 ATS  after scoring 130 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home .The Kings are 23-5 ATS L/28 with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Nuggets' two victories vs the Suns this season did not come easily. Denver won by a point in overtime in its home opener on Oct. 15, then by 12 a month later in a game the Suns  were lead in the fourth quarter. Now with double revenge on board Im betting on Devon Booker and company to give Denver fits tonight. 

PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. The Suns are 16-1 ATS L/17 at home with less than two days rest off a loss in which they allowed their opponent to exceed their season-to-date shooting percentage by 10 points.

DENVER is 3-12 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Teams like the Suns are 13-0-2 ATS  off a loss in a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

NBA teams  like the Suns are 1-24 ATS/SU  when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a win as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

NBA Road teams (DENVER) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 21-51 ATS L/5 seasons for. go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

The Knicks had been showing signs of late of late, but then fell back down to earth against superior competition, here against a Wizards team that they can handle I expect a top tier effort on their own home court. 

WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. 

WASHINGTON is 8-20 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 17-1 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average.

NBA. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

The Sixers' offensive flow was disrupted by zone defenses during a recent 3 game losing streak. They averaged 97 points while falling to Brooklyn, Miami and Dallas. Personally I have not liked the flow of the Sixers for a few seasons now, and despite of their talent , are to choppy of a team to garner my respect against the best teams in this league. I know Detroit is not a top tier team, but HC Casey is an astute enough student of the game, to know how to implement a defensive game plan that can slow the Sixers here , making the home team in my humble betting opinion a solid underdog in this spot play.

The Seventysixers are 11-34-1 ATS L/46  as a favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.

NBATeams like the Pistons  are 13-0 ATS L/13 s a home dog off a 10+ loss after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

NBARoad teams (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 21-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Pacers have won 13 of their last 16 games heading into the tilt with Milwaukee (26-4), which has emerged victorious in 20 of 21 contests and is off to its best 30-game start since 1971-72. The Pacers record will have the Bucks wide awake and ready to send a message to the Pacers here at home giving us an edge with one of the NBA most explosive teams at home.

 MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-5 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 36-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE.  The Bucks are 13-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20.2 ppg. 

The Pacers are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.3 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Clippers will  rest leading scorer Kawhi Leonard against the Thunder after he played Saturday night in a 134-109 win at the San Antonio Spurs. With the Clippers on tired legs and   Im betting there  is an advantage for a home side, that has won 3 straight in front of their own fans. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

The Thunder are 20-4-1 ATS L/25 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field.

NBA teams like the Clippers are 3-20-1 ATS L/24 as a road favorite with no rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

Oklahoma City has won 4 straight at home in this series.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Charlotte enters the contest on a back-to-back, losing 114-107 at home to the Utah Jazz on Saturday night , but will not be reserved here tonight knowing they will have a holiday break to rest up coming their way after tonight. Injuries may also slow the Celtics here tonight as  , forward Gordon Hayward (sore left foot), guard Marcus Smart (left eye infection) and big men Vincent Poirier (right pinkie fracture) and Robert Williams III (left hip) all missing the last two games. Hayward is questionable Sunday, as he was Friday, but the other three have been ruled out.

CHARLOTTE is 22-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

The Celtics are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a home favorite in which their assists increased by at least 10 from the game before.The Celtics are 7-25 ATS L/32 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest after they shot over 50% from the field.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

Minnesota arrives in the Pacific Northwest with a nine-game losing streak while the Trail Blazers are starting to get into a rhythm. After playing in the high altitudes of Denver last night, the Wolves , are fade material on this line. Note. Towns a key Woves offensive weapon is expected to miss tonight and if he does play is less than 100%. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS as hosts here in Oregon of late and Im betting on the Blazers getting it done again. 

The Timberwolves are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU as a road dog with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.The Timberwolves are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

The Trailblazers are 16-1-1 ATS /17-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ win after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was less than one.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Suns will have their star  Devon Booker in the lineup tonight here at home vs the Houston Rockets, and according to my projections are viable dogs . Meanwhile, the Rockets are off a very hard fought victory vs the Clippers last Time out and may not have the energy to operate at full steam here tonight vs a side that Im sure their over looking.The Rockets are 2-16 ATS L/18 as a road favorite off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times including 1-9 SU L/10 and 0-10 ATS. 

The Suns have revenge on board for a loss  115-109 loss to the Rockets earlier this season. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Williams is 100-67 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached.

NBA Teams  like the Suns are 36-9-1 ATS -35-11 SU at home with no rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 25-4-1 ATS /  as a dog with no rest off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

I know the Kings played last night in a loss vs the Pacers, but  so did the Grizzlies . I keep my own conditioning charts on on NBA teams, and the Kings rank higher in their ability to perform on back to back games, and get my support here vs a team that they matchup well against in most metrics. SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

Sacramentos SRS ranks 19th in the league at ( -2.76) while the Grizzlies SRS ranks them 25th ( -5.14). Note: SRS is a (Simple Rating System) a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. 

The Kings are 31-3 ATS L/34 on the road off a game as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

The Grizzlies are 2-20-1 ATS /2-21 SU as a dog off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 33-8-1 ATS /33-9 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a loss in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies  are 1-18 ATS /SU as a home dog after playing as a road favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

New Orleans enters this game exhausted and on tired legs against a desperate and depleted Golden State team that still has the advantage of playing at home here tonight.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-29 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons here at home.

The Pelicans are 0-17 ATS /SU L/17 with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point rangeThe Pelicans are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 33-63 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 

The Knicks have gone 3-3 since turning over their coaching reins to Mike Miller, who has been fortunate enough to have a mostly healthy roster at his disposal. The team as a whole is playing with momentum after winning 3 of their L/4  and showing resiliency and more urgency which makes them viable underdogs in this spot vs a Miami team off a hard fought win vs Philadelphia last time out that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. 

The Heat are 2-18 ATS L/20 at home off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 and are 1-14 ATS L/15 at home with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5.

NBA  team (MIAMI) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling  team ( 25% or less) are 67-113 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Sacramento coach Luke Walton has  his floor leader DArion Fox  back on the court which makes the Kings a much more dangerous team with a already never say die chemistry surrounding it.The  Pacers their hosts are playing well with four straight victories and 12 in their past 15 games but they are off a hard fought win vs the Lakers last time out and could find it hard to muster the energy to go against a Sacramento team that won't lie down without a fight.SACRAMENTO is 10-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. 

NBA Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS L/10 and 2-8 SU at home with more than one day of rest off a win as a dog.

The Kings are 13-0-1 ATS L/14  with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game.The Kings are 21-2-1 ATS (L/24 )on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the Kings to cover 

Brooklyn has come a long way over the last few seasons, and San Antonio is now starting to play at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and are not reliable favorites.The Nets are a hard working team with a never say die attitude, something that is missing from the framework and mindset of this current group of Spurs players. Im taking the points here with the visitor. 

NBA Teams like Brooklyn are 12-0 ATS  as a dog with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint. 

SAN ANTONIO is 0-12 ATS L/12 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half.

The Nets are 16-2 ATS L/18 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover