Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1

Im betting on Houston wrapping up this series Tuesday night at home. The Rockets have been has been the superior team  this series despite of not catching fire yet from three point land.  Eventually the Rockets will explode, and tonight is as good a time as any to light a fire and connect on their treys. Bet on the Rockets to romp. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier  team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 40-12 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-23 ATS L/32 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. Houston has won 7 straight at home in this series. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The Raptors made adjustment in game 4 of this series, and somehow found a way to win vs what looked to be a lifeless Milwaukee Bucks side, getting a much needed 87-76 victory. However, despite of the Raptors getting the needed win to tie this series up, I felt that something was not right with them, and continually got the feeling that despite of leading for most of the game, that they still could have blown it at anytime. The same must be said about the Raptors game 2 106-100 win after losing the opener. I kept getting the feeling that , that their is something missing , from their lineup ( grit, heart, rhythm) ie  or all the above.The Raptors  are not receiving alot of respect from me in this series, because of  getting run out of their gym in Game 1 and absolutely crushed in Game 3 in Milwaukee. Last time out the Bucks duo of Middleton and Antetokunmpo struggled mightily, but Im betting they rebound in a big way tonight.

Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Raptors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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The Boston Celtics arrived in Chicago for game 3 of this series and turned their play around by getting themselves back into their Eastern Conference playoff series with the Bulls with a lopsided 104-87 win. The series now stands at 2-1 . However, despite of that big game last time out, Im now betting on the  Bulls coming back and getting back into a groove in game 4. My own numbers alos suggest tthere is value backin the home underdog. 

CHICAGO is 28-18 ATS  as an underdog this season and s 22-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more and also 13-4 ATS  L/17 after scoring 90 points or less. 

NBA Home underdogs the Bulls  - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 122-77 ATS. 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 2-1


According to my own numbers the wrong team is favored here. I know Oklahoma city is at home , and played the Rockets tough in the last two games in this series including a very close win last time out . But after watching the Thunder blow a big lead last time out, and be fortunate enough to get a victory, Im betting their exhausted legs will not deal well with a explosive Rockets side that can run and gun with the best teams in the league.
HOUSTON has covered 13-4 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season and get the nod again today.OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS L/22 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Thunder - lower tier defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are just 27-62 ATS in their follow up game for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.


Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection (LATE STEAM)   

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - SAS Leads 2-1

Now that the Grizzlies have bullied the officials into allowing them to pound away with physical abandon, against the Spurs, without the same repercussions they suffered in the first two game of this series.Im betting they now have the advantage. Although the Spurs had more attempts (28, to Memphis' 20) in the last game at the charity stripe, the Grizzlies were still getting away with alot more than they were allowed to in game 1 and  2. Now  Im betting they have the advantage here tonight behind the the trio of point guard Mike Conley, center Marc Gasol and power forward Zach Randolph.

 MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Game 3 between the visiting Wizards  and the Hawks takes place this  Saturday at Philips Arena, with Washington holding a 2-0 lead.  In the first two games Atlanta played the Wizards tough, but that was not a enough to register a victory. The bottom line here is that The Wizards finished the season as one of the league's hottest sides and have not slowed down in the play offs , while the Hawks have been extremely inconsistent all season long, and have demonstrated their volatility in this series, with huge runs , followed by long lulls of futility. That In my humble opinion is not going to get the job done against a side like the Wizards. 

WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS L/28 off 2 or more consecutive home wins. ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS L/18 vs. division opponents this season. Dating  back to Nov 4 of this season, the Wizards have won 5 straight meetings in this series, including the only game as visitors by a 112-86 count covering as 3.5 point dogs.

NBA favorites Favorites like the Hawks - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 31-51 ATS in their followup games, for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

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According to my own numbers the wrong team is favored here. I know Oklahoma city is at home , and played the Rockets tough in the last three quarters, in game 2 of this series, before the Rockets took control and showed their superiority. I also know super star Westbrook will be the go to guy, again, and the home crowd will help them out, but Westbrooks usage numbers during the regular season were astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets, and had a big game last time out. However,  we all know what the results were in that game. Nothing changes tonight, despite of what will be the Thunders best efforts. 

HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

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    Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0
In their game 2 meetings back in San Antonio the Grizzlies tried to implement their usually physical style of basketball, and to try to slow the game down into an affair that would keep them competitive vs a superior side. However, despite of their efforts the officials refused to allow the Grizzlies to get mucky and slow the game down, as was evident by the huge advantage of free throw fouls in the game. The Spurs were 31 for 32 from the charity stripe while, the Grizzlies, went 13 of 15 with FTs, which paints a picture of which team was being penalized the most. After the game HC Fizdale of the Grizzlies was furious, at the officials, for being so anal, and thus received a $30,000 fine for a screaming tirade, while pointing the finger at the officials , as he called them unprofessional and unacceptable. So not only were the Grizzlies trying to intimidate their opponents, but now are also trying to bully officials in laying off on their aggressiveness. What I'm betting, will happen now is that the Spurs will be even more motivated to respond, and for the league and officials to push back , and remain consistent in their current officiating stance. One of the reasons, why attacking officiating is met with such disdain, is because leagues don't want the officials to be bulied in to changing the way they call a game, which Im sure will be a key to any conference calls between the league head offices and referees. It has become obvious to me, that the Spurs look very focused on a championship run and intimidation will not work.
Also one last thing, with ball hawk Tony Allen not in the lineup its become obvious to me the Grizzlies are not as cohesive or dangerous, making them fade material tonight at home in game 3.


Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like San Antonio - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, top tier team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are a bankroll expanding 32-10 ATS for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.
MEMPHIS is 1-12 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season losing SU by an average of 10 ppg and is 1-8 ATS off a loss against a division rival this season.Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.Grizzlies are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.Favorite is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

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Warriors coach Steve Kerr said Durant may not play tonight against  Portland in the second game of this series, after Golden State took a 121-109 victory Sunday.  Even withut Durant Im betting the Warriors are the superior team, and come out here firing darts against a over rated Portland side that they have beaten   in 11 of the past 12 meetings .GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS L/29  in the first round of the playoffs and get the nod again in this spot as they go for 10 straight wins at home in this series. 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2
The Houston Rockets have been an entertaining explosive offensive entity on the NBA highlight reels this season and cruhed the Oklahoma City thunder in game 1 of this series and I was not surprised by the outcome. This what I said, about game 1 and it still holds true for game 2. The Rockets after a huge run for most of the season , slacked off towards the end especially with their 3 point shooting, but now I expect a upward reversion to the norm, as key catalyst Ryan Anderson is now healthy. With so many weapons, including a motivated veteran James Harden the Thunder I am betting will have problems dealing with their opponents in their own charged up building in game 1 of this series. Meanwhile, the Rockets goal will be to focus their attentions on slowing Oklahoma City's super star Westbrook down, which in turn will alter the flow of the Thunder's attack, since the team has had problems , getting the entire goup involved. Westbrooks usage numbes are astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets. And yes, Westbrook did put up some big numbers vs the Rockets this season, but it must be noted his team still lost 3 of 4 matchups. I know alot of people are focusing on how close some of the meetings this year, but game 1 of this series offers up a completely dfferent set of circumstances and atmosphere than those games, and the Rockets have the advantage as long as they can bang heads with top rebounders Taj Gibson, Enes Kanter, and Steven Adamas, which I very much expect. .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS L/16 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-15 ATS L/17 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season losing SU by ana verage of 10.7 ppg. Houston is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs the Thunder and have won 6-0 straight meetings at home in this series covering 5 of the 6. 

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Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2

Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games,    and than stormed in and took out Boston in game 1 of this series, hauling down an amazing 20 offensive rebounds, something Im betting they won't even close to replicating tonight in game 2 of this series. The question is what makes the Bulls so much better than they were during the regular season. They were a streaky mediocre team to say the least and despite of the late season run are still according to my power rankings the less of the two teams doing battle tonight. Meanwhile, while the Celtics  took out 13 of their L/17 opponents,entering the play offs and despite of  looking like they were  asleep at the proverbial wheel in game one,  are now wide awake and will be playing with immediate urgency .With that said, look for the Celtics  to play a complete game what promises to be an energized home crowd. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS L/31 off a road win over the last 2 seasons and is is 16-30 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog.

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Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0

The Raptors are now 0-9 SU L/9 in opening games of first-round playoff series .  The team came out very flat losing by a 97-83 count  . It was noted that  all star G Kyle Lowry , had flu symptoms and that some players were experiencing fatigue, because a virus or something similar was making the rounds through the locker room.  Whether this was an excuse or rumor makes no difference as I now expect the talented Raptors to come out on fire and ready for redemption in game two of this series.  Now with time to rest and get completely healthy I expect a reversal in the Raptors fortunes here in game two.MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS L/24 after allowing 85 points or less 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0

In the first game of this series the Grizzlies came out on fire exerting a great deal of energy, to roll out to  DD lead , before tiring and scored just 33 points in the second half and missed 9 of its 10 3-point attempts after halftime. It was ugly to say the least , especially considering how they started the game. The Spurs took the opening game of the series  thanks to the Grizzlies exhaustion, and their own 19-0 offensive explosion over a five-minute span  startiing at the end of the third quarter to turn a tightly contested tilt into a 111-82 beat down. I know the Grizzlies are without defensive specialist, Tony Allen, but their inability to monitor and conserve their energy levels was a killer in game 1. Now in true a zig zag theory, recommendation, I am going to back the Grizzlies in game 2. You have to remember Memphis finished 2-2 against the Spurs in their four regular-season games, and in 197 minutes, the Grizzlies finished with a +2.0 net rating and have proven in the recent past they can play the Spurs tough and compete.The Grizzlies stood tall vs Spurs' offense, allowing them a 98.2 offensive rating in a very physical fashion.Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph smothered the Spurs in their 61 minutes on the court together, posting a +18.7 net rating and must not be underestimated based on the first game of this series.

SAN ANTONIO is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games off a win against a division rival this season, while Memphis is 15-7 ATS L/23 off a road loss this season.

Play on the Memphis to cover 1 unit regarding selection

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1
The Houston Rockets have been an entertaining explosive offensive entity on the NBA highlight reels this season. The Rockets after a huge run for most of the season , slacked off towards the end especially with their 3 point shooting, but now I expect a upward reversion to the norm, as key catalyst Ryan Anderson is now healthy. With so many weapons, including a motivated veteran James Harden the Thunder I am betting will have problems dealing with their opponents in their own charged up building in game 1 of this series. Meanwhile, the Rockets goal will be to focus their attentions on slowing Oklahoma City's super star Westbrook down, which in turn will alter the flow of the Thunder's attack, since the team has had problems , getting the entire goup involved. Westbrooks usage numbers are astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets. And yes, Westbrook did put up some big numbers vs the Rockets this season, but it must be noted his team still lost 3 of 4 matchups. I know alot of people are focusing on how close some of the meetings this year, but game 1 of this series offers up a completely dfferent set of circumstances and atmosphere than those games, and the Rockets have the advantage as long as they can bang heads with top rebounders Taj Gibson, Enes Kanter, and Steven Adamas, which I very much expect. .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS L/16 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season losing SU by an average of 10.4 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-14 ATS L/17 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season losing SU by ana verage of 10.7 ppg. Houston is 9-2 ATS L/11 vs the Thunder and have won 5-0 straight meetings at home in this series covering 4 of the 5. 


Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, including a 112-73 beatdown of Brooklyn in their season finale.  I mean this team worked really hard, and must be exhausted by now.I respect their effort, but  what Im betting on now, is that not even the short rest , will be enough to avert a loss on tired legs vs what  my own power rankings suggest is the far superior side and one of the top teams in the East. The Celtics  took out 13 of their L/17 opponents, and once again look strong as favorites on their own home floor. In their L/meeting here on March 12 the Celtics handed the Bulls as 100-80 beatdown. Rinse and repeat in Game 1 of this series. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-32 ATS for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS  L/27 in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more.

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Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The fourth-seeded Wizards (49-33) and No. 5 Hawks (43-39) open their best-of-seven first-round series  in the nations capital this Sunday.  Alot of pundits expect the Wizards to run all over  the Hawks.  But in this  playoff opener. I expect Hawks Coach Mike Budenholzer will have his team playing a tougher brand of defense, and is expected  to have Tim Hardaway Jr. and Taurean Prince starting Game 1, which gives the Hawks a much different dynamic , than the Wizards may have planned on playing against. I really feel the Hawks  must not be underestimated as was the case when they  won four in a row late in the season, including a home-and-home sweep over the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers.With that said,  look for the Hawks to bang their way to a cover in game 1. ATLANTA is 31-16 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) and 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Clippers enter this play off series vs the Utah Jazz having won 11 of their L/13 games  including 7 straight,and are back to playing at a very high level, after a mid season swoon because of key injury issues. Meanwhile, the Jazz are also playing a top tier style of basketball. However, from a matchup perspective my own data suggests the Clippers are the superior overall team when healthy as they are now , especially when playing here at home in the Staples Center. 

Utah is 11-22 ATS L/33 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record.UTAH is 1-10 ATS L/11 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and failed to cover 14 of 19 road games as dogs. UTAH is 2-11 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Jazz are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Jazz are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Jazz are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

P:lay on the LA Clippers to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The goal for the Bulls here tonight is to win this game , and get into the play offs, Its a simple scenario. Bulls win= playoffs.  All that stands in their way is a sometimes explosive , Brooklyn Nets team. that have proven they can be a formidable opponent, for all comers over the last month of the season, and will not easily bow down to the Bulls in this spot. Another thing that must be considered concerning for Bulls backers is that the team, has been playing all out of late, and must be extremely tired. Last time out they played a full game at full speed, beating lowly Orlando 122-75 which sets up these dismal trends. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS L/11 in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons  and  is 1-11 ATS L/12  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. Also the two most recent meetings in this series were were decided by 1 and 2 points respectively, and Im betting on a much closer game than the lines-makers expect once again.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter into this game with their super star Westbrook achieving his statistical goals, and the team guaranteed the 6th seed entering the play offs. With nothing left to play for in the regular season, and staying healthy the main focus, I'm betting against the Thunder  tonight in Minnesota . Meanwhile, a  young Wolves team that would love to end their season on a winning note in their final home game of the season, will be primed to play and play hard . It must also be noted that the team is unveiling a new logo, so getting off on the proverbial right foot is important, and thus we should have a motivated group to back in this spot. 

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tonight Miami needs a win badly to keep their play off hopes alive, and I am betting they will be primed to play hard, against a Cleveland team that may rest key players, for all or parts of this game. I know the Cavaliers have revenge on board, for a 120-92 loss to the Heat March 4th, where the Cavs also rested players, but once again the champs don't have alot of incentives to tire their stars for short term goals, considering they played last night, with super star James clocking 47 minutes . I am betting  HC Lues' focus is on the play offs, and that will be evident tonight. The Heat have won 12 straight games in this series here in Miami and nothing changes tonight. Cavaliers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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The Lakers despite of being eliminated from the post season, and by all accounts having an overall dismal season, have been rolling of late winning three straight games and more importantly have covered 4 straight tilts. QUOTE:"I think we're playing more together," said Lakers forward Larry Nance Jr. . "We're not necessarily caring who gets the points, who gets the rebounds, who gets the steals. Everybody's focused on trying to get some wins." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, the visiting, Minnesota Wolves are looking a little fatigued of late , and that was evident in  a 120-113 loss on Friday to Utah, after blowing a decent lead. With that said, the Timberwolves are 0-3 on their current four-game road swing  and are weak favorites here in spot according to my own cross reference matchup guides. MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS L/34 when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 11-26 ATS L/27 versus lower tier  teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. 

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The Dallas Mavs dont have alot to play for as they have been eliminated from the post season, and look unmotivated in a loss last time out. However they do have to keep their pride intact going into the off season , which  actually means something top pedigree coaches like Carlisle.  Their hosts the  Suns are  bottom feeders in the  Western Conference  and a lowly 1 1/2 games below the Los Angeles Lakers . However despite of that have  won two of three against Dallas this season and actually stunned the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out by a 120-99  count. With that said,  Im now betting the young Suns after their all out, take no prisoners win last time out, will now be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a side that wants revenge for an earlier loss in this series this season. It must also be noted that the Mavericks entered the  fourth in the league in scoring defense (100.5) and Phoenix was last (113.2) Even with a depleted Dallas lineup,  I am betting they can keep pace with this opponent and even pull off the SU upset as road dogs.

Suns are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Suns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

DALLAS is 21-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and is 11-3 ATS L/14 revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS L/22  versus poor offensive teams - scoring or less 98 points/game.

 NBA Road favorites like Dallas - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must be noted seems to like playing on Sundays , as is evident by a  10-0 ATS record in Sunday games this season winning SU by an average of 13 ppg. 

Also NBA Road favorites like the Mavs - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 31-13 ATS for 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Indiana Pacers look suddenly rejuvenated after the addition of former franchise juggernaut  Lance Stephenson. Since his arrival the Pacers took the Cleveland Cavaliers to double ot and than proceeded to win their two following games. Now playing with confidence and also a sense of urgency I expect they will be primed to perform tonight vs a Orlando team out of the play offs and debuting D League prospects. From a matchup perspective the Pacers have owned the Magic this season, winning all three meetings, by an average of 14 ppg, including a 98-88 win here  in the Magic Kingdom on Feb 1.  What we have here is a  Rinse and repeat situation based on head to head and matchup analysis.  

The Pacers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Central Florida to play the Magic.

ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS in home games this season and 25-34 ATS as underdogs losing SU by an average of 8.5 ppg. Pacers HC McMillan is 35-15 ATS L/40 in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 7 ppg. 

Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Jazz enter this game notching wins in  four of their last five games despite of an array  injury woes. I personally respect the Jazzs coach Quin Snyder  and his ability to mix and match lineups while continuing to have players remain disciplined behind his system, despite of his walking wounded . Meanwhile, the   Timberwolves blew  another fourth-quarter lead in Thursday's 105-98 loss to Portland . This young team breaks down on a regular basis as that was their 21st time after leading by double digits that they lost a game, the worst such record in the league. With that said, I expect the home team will be primed to play tonight, and be very motivated to keep the all important fourth seed entering the post season, and to also be focused on reaping revenge for a a 107-80 home loss to the Wolves which ended a five-game winning streak in the series.

Timberwolves are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Indiana Pacers play host to the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night as both teams try to garner post season spots, but Indiana is the more desperate of the two and cannot afford a loss.

The Milwaukee Bucks after a strong run, winning 14 of 17 have now lost two in a row in look exhausted in their last tilt losing by a 110-79 blowout decision vs the Oklahoma City. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, have looked very rejuvenated since the return of Lance Stephenson and rode the energy of the home crowd last time out in a smash down of a good Toronto Raptors team by a 108-90 count. Now with Indiana needing wins to stay alive for the post season and the added incentive of getting revenge for three straight losses in this series this season Im betting we see a take no prisoners attitude and an extremely motivated (performance from the home team . ( The Pacers are 27-12 at home, while the Bucks have held their own on the road at 18-20.) 

It must be noted that he Indiana Pacers are 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 with same season triple revenge as hosts. Meanwhile the Bucks are just 1-11 SU and and 2-10 ATS L/12 away vs a side like the Pacers looking to get revenge for three straight losses in a series. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two teams at the bottom end of my power rankings go head to head tonight in the Magic Kingdom as the Brooklyn Nets play the Orlando Magic. Granted Brooklyn has looked decent of late, but still have alot of problems to deal with in the off season,  as they have a tendency of going into catastrophic breakdown mode when not consistently hitting treys from downtown and a defense that is porous to say the least. Also according to my own cross reference systems and play player to  player matchup scenarios the Magic actually have the edge here on their own home floor. With Orlando playing with better flow, thanks to their wings ability to run and shoot in transition Im betting they matchup well and get my endorsement in this ugly betty spot play . The Magic are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series including a 118-11 win here back on Dec 16th of this season. (Brooklyn shot an amazing 64% from the floor in victory vs Philadelphia last time out,  and now expecting  for a reversion to the mean in a letdown effort scenario). 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers have won four of their last five overall and seven of nine, but one of the losses came  to the Mavericks , a team that has won two straight meetings in this series. The Clippers are just 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record, and look to be over blown favorites in ths spot. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS  in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. With that said,  Im betting on HC Carlisle formulating a game plan that helps his team be very competetive tonight. 

NBA Home favorites like the LA Cippers - a strong  3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 or less reb/game). 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight as the explosive Golden State Warriors visit the desert to play the young Phoienx Suns. The Warriors have won 12 straight SU while the Suns have lost 12 straight.  The bottom line here, is that Golden State has virtually wrapped up the top seed in the West , but are still trying to keep momentum on their side, going towards the play offs, and despite of resting some players will still be primed to win. Im also sure HC Kerr has told his team not overlook tonight's opponent, which gives me confidence in laying points with my own rankings is the best and deepest team in the league. It must be noted that the Warriors have beaten the Suns 10 straight times, including three times this season by 6, 13, 29 points respectively, and Im betting on another conclusive win here.

This from a league wide NBA data base: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Suns - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-31 ATS or a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings are two teams that won't be in the play offs this season. The Kings will miss their 11th straight post season, and the Mavs will miss for  only the second time in 17 seasons. The Kings are rebuilding , while Dallas looks for younger players to replace the old guard. Needless to say this game does not have alot excitement attached to it. However, more importantly it is a bankroll expansion money making opportunity , that has me recommeding we go against a Sacramento side, that meets my criteria as  a weak favorite despite of winning 3 of their L/5 overall. 

DALLAS is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.DALLAS is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is is 9-1 ATS   after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season. SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing with 2 days rest.

This is a key long term trend form a NBA Database: NBA Home teams like the Kings - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier  rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 18-51 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City is slumping a bit of late, and Im blaming that on the one man show Russell Westbrook. Why you say? Westbrook is a super star. Yes, and he has an ego that matches his vast  talents, and has a tendency to be selfish. With that said,  and for now at least the Thunder have lost focus on their post season  goals and  don't seem to be as foused on more important factors, but rather on their super stars records status. Meanwhile, the Bucks ,  are a team fighting for a post season appearence and playoff positioning, and are capable of upsetting the Thunder in their own diggs. Last time out, they looked like the pressure of their current status, effected their play, in a 109-105 loss,  but today I expect they bounce back in a big way. QUOTE: We didn't play hard enough, we didn't do what we usually do," key Bucks cog Antetokounmpo said. "That's the game, and we move on. We know how important these last five games are for us. We're going to play together and try to finish it off strong." END QUOTE

Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Milwaukee has covered 3 of the L/ 4 meetings in this series and won a 98-94 decision at home back on Jan 2 of this season. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Brooklyn has been playing decent basketball of late, and have won two straight, but despite of their better play, are still a team with all lot of deficiencies. The Nets are also on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. Note: BROOKLYN is just 11-27 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days , losing SU by an average of 11 ppg. Meanwhile, Philadelphia their hosts tonight despite of being banged up and depleted, are a side with some great work ethic, and seeing some great contributions from new faces like Alex Poythress who was in the NBA development league. With that said, I like the home team in this spot, from a systems matchup perspective and recommend we plug our noses , hold our breath and pull the trigger on the 76ers side that has won all three meetings in this series this season and 25-11 ATS at home during the current campaign including 5-1-1 ATS vs their division.

PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS  vs. division opponents this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS  after having won 2 of their last 3 games.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 1 unit reg selection 

The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets, both need to get in the win column today, and this will be an important play off type game for both of them as they vie for a post season appearance. Due to tiebreakers, the Chicago Bulls are in seventh place, the Heat are eighth. With that said, the the Heat matchup well vs the Nuggets and  have won three straight games in their series  and once again get my backing here today. It must be noted that the  Nuggets are banged up and  have three players who are questionable for Sunday: point guard Jameer Nelson (calf); shooting guard Will Barton (foot) and forward Darrell Arthur (knee) which I: betting effects their flow. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts and is 13-1 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game and also 12-1 ATS L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.DENVER is 0-7 ATS L/7 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 8 ppg.

Play on Miami Heat  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

When there was no pressure on Milwaukee they looked to be in a flow, and have gotten themselves in a position for a play off spot by winning 14 of their L/18 overall. But now with added pressure , Im wondering about their ability to be as dangerous. Their last effort punctuated my current thought processes , as they struggled to beat a Motown Pistons team that is mired in a deep funk, working extra hard to get a 108-105 OT win after blowing a 18 point lead. Milwaukee is also expected to be without guard Malcolm Brogdon, a Rookie of the Year candidate , and his absence was missed last time out , and Im betting will be missed again. Meanwhile the desperate Mavericks come to Milwaukee looking to stop a four game losing streak  and need wins badly to stay in the play off picture. The odds are they won't make it to post season play, which means I expect they wil be playing loose and dangerous with nothing really to lose.It must be noted that Dallas has won eight of the last 10 meetings with the Bucks, including an 86-75 overtime victory earlier this season. and I'm recommedning we back them  today getting points.

MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS  versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season.DALLAS is 9-0 ATS  in Sunday games this season. MILWAUKEE is just 6-15 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have been hard on Charlotte this season because of their wild inconsistencies, but they are presently playing at a high level, winning 6 of their L/8 SU/ATS  and must be respected. My own player to player and matchup systems analysis also tell me that actually matchup well against their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder . The Hornets beat the Thunder 123-112 on Jan 4 th, and Im betting they will be competitive today vs a team off a hard fought heart breaking loss to the Spurs, last time out by a 100-95 count  that will now have them in a letdown scenario this Sunday. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Two teams on 2 game winning streaks, enter into this tilt in decent form, and vying for a play off spot. The Hawks prior to their wins , had a ugly 7 game losing streak, but have been wildly inconsistent all season long, as have their opponents today the Chicago Bulls, who proved their inefficiencies in a loss to lowly injury riddled Philadelphia recently. From a head to head matchup perspective the Hawks , however, have the edge against a team that depends to much on a hot shooting from downtown, as their coach Hoiberg prefers. I know the the Hawks are playing with out key cog Millsap, but watching their recent adjustments to his absence gives me confidence in them making this a hard fought affair, that gives them the edge taking points. Note: The Hawks own a seven-game winning streak vs the Bulls including three this season and get the nod again with points in hand. 

CHICAGO is 17-32 ATS L50 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less which happened against the Cavs last time out.Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 18-40 ATS in their last 58 vs. NBA Southeast.

 Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Detroit Pistons stopped a five-game losing streak Thursday but nothing comes easy for the Pistons, and its seems they are just plain tired and wiped out as the regular season finish line comes closer.  The Pistons have lost 8 of their L/10 SU and after watching some of their games, it has become obvious to me that things are a mess with Motown hoops. I know the Pistons are still in pursuit of a play off spot, and HC Van Gundy is saying all the right things, but the results on the court are much different than his perceptions. Meanwhile, Milwaukee a team that looks destined for the play offs improved to 13-3  SU in its last 16 games with a 103-100 road victory against a strong  Boston Celtics on Wednesday, and Im betting this tilt we be like a walk in the park after playing a superior side last time out. With that said, and according to my own matchup stats the Bucks are the far superior team in a head to head matchup, and I'm recommending we lay the lumber here with the young men from Wisconsin. 

Milwaukee is 5-2 in the last seven home meetings with Detroit and have crushed them by DDs in their L/2 meetings this season. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. division opponents this season losing SU 22.7 ppg and 1-10 ATS L/11 off a road win, losing SU by ana verage of 15 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Denver after losing last time out to the red hot Portland Blazers 122-113, have dropped out of the final play off spot in the Western Conference. Its not like the Nuggets will now throw in the towel as regaining their post season status is very attainable as long as they can muster up wins. More importantly they are now under pressure to get a victory tonight vs the  inconsistent Charlotte Hornets. With that said, Im betting the Nuggets leave everything on the floor and will not easily be taken down tonight, which makes taking points a viable wagering situation. 

QUOTE: "I've been in the league a long time, and you expect the unexpected," Nuggets coach Michael Malone told the Post. "If we stop believing and letting go of the rope, it could get ugly. I didn't get that sense (Thursday). Our guys are disappointed that we had a bad home loss against New Orleans and a tough loss against a Portland team that is playing very well. We have an opportunity to get back on track." END QUOTE. I like the Nuggets drive , while I dont have the same confidence in the tired looking Hornets , a side that will most likely not make a play off appearence this season. 

DENVER is 14-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival .CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. 

Denver Nuggets to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 Two rivals the Chicago Bulls and the the banged up Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head tonight in a prime time battle that Im betting will be a hard fought one. The Cavaliers have recently been slumping and the players have echoed their frustration , but have not shown any urgency in their tones,  or performance on the court as HC Lue said his long term focus is on  the post season and staying healthy. With that said, look for a hungry and desperate Bulls team to come out here and give it their all ,as they vie for a post season appearance vs what looks to be a Cavaliers team just gojng through the motions. I know the Bulls have struggled, of late but they have matched up well against the Cavaliers, winning all three meetings this season and wont go down easily in this spot, as they are well rested and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

CLEVELAND is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and  are just 15-22 ATS on the road including 1-4 ATS L/5 overall. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two injury-riddled teams  the  Atlanta Hawks and   Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love.  Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis  my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on   my player to player systems matchups which  centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. 

ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA teams  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia  - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Brooklyn has showed remarkable improvements over the last month, and  have been very competitive covering 9 of their L/12 overall and have also  won 3 of their L/4 overall , with the one loss coming to a strong Washington Wizards team. Meanwhile, the visiting Philadelphia 76ers have lost 11 of their L/14 games, and will now go against a team with revenge on board, for a 105-95 loss here at home back on Jan 8. With that said, I'm betting on the Nets getting the revenge they want. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

From a NBA Trends data base: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 9-32 ATS dating back 5 seasons, Favorites like the Nets - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for betting backers.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami has some back court injury issues they are dealing with at the moment. Which is not a good omen for their chances tonight, vs their struggling but desperate hosts Detroit. It must be noted that the Heat have lost three of its last four games with shooting guard Dion Waiters (15.8 ppg) on the sidelines with ankle injury. Guess what he is expected to be out again tonight, which I'm betting effects the Heats flow. Also key cog Hassan Whiteside, has a cut hand that is still healing and other nagging injuries that are slowing him which is another reason for a negative outlook for the Heat tonight. Add to that Dragic is also banged up with a sore hip, and you can see that Heat are getting far to much respect from the linesmakers in ths spot. . With that said, I feel that the Heat are fade material tonight despite of having the superior team when healthy. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS L/10 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit won both games in this series this season and are 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 here in Motown.
 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Milwaukee is a team that has won 11 of their L/14 games. and still looking very much like a side on the rise in the NBA. Yes, they had a bad game last time out, vs the Bulls,  but after their previous two losses they bounced back, and I once again expect another rebound in this spot. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing decent ball at the moment, the Hornets  are still very inconsistent, which was evident last time against the  the Phoenix  Suns. In that tilt, the Hornets ran out to a huge 17-1 lead, and up 22 points at the  half, and were up by  25 in the third quarter. But  than the wheels fell of the proverbial apple cart . Towards the end of the game they  were up just 105-101 before pulling away late for the victory.  that was ugly and told me a story of a team with problems.My own power ranking suggest their wildly erratic play , and player to players systems do not match-up well vs a Bucks side that can perform well vs best teams in the NBA, especially  at their current level of over all play.

CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Milwaukee has covered 5 straight meetings here in Charlotte. The road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It seems the media in general is proclaiming that the Cleveland Cavaliers are on a down trend, and that LeBron James is degrading and has lost a step and that the Cavaliers defense is not of a championship quality. Now with all detractors out in full force, the Cavaliers visit another top tier team the San Antonio Spurs. I have alot of respect for the Spurs, but tonight Im betting on James ,who is now, entering this tilt with a big chip on his shoulder, to rally the troops and come out here with a all out effort in what I expect to be a subsequent cover.

Spurs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Cavaliers are 2-0 ATS L/2 visits to San Antonio. It must be noted that the Spurs are on a 4 game win streak, but are just 5-14 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection

The only two losses Denver has suffered in their L/8 games have come to the explosive Houston Rockets. Since those losses, the Nuggets have shot 50 percent from the field and have missed only three of their 56 free throws in their last two games. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of playing better of late, with Cousins and Anthony jelling, this particular matchup is not a good one for them ,as they will be in a letdown state and on tired legs in a high altitude after running and gunning but losing to the Rockets last time out. The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 107-102 in the season opener on Oct. 26 despite Davis' 50 points and 15 rebounds, and Im betting on a repeat performance here from the Nuggets  and more importantly a cover. DENVER is 15-6 ATS L/21 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 21-11 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game and make 6 or more treys per game.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The explosive Houston Rockets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game between to hot teams that could face each other in the play offs. With that said, despite of the Thunder playing some very good hoops at the moment, I still rank them well below the Houston Rockets in head to head play, especially here in Texas. With the Rockets out looking to establish dominance over a potential post season partner, I expect they will be very primed here at home to make a statement.  Look for key offensive catalyst James Harden  to be the deal breaker today. The stars current streak of four straight games with at least 30 points and 10 assists is the longest since Michael Jordan accomplished the task in five consecutive contests in 1988-89.

This from a NBA team vs team ATS data base: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games of the season, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 39-10 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and s 1-8 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Thunder HC Donovan is 5-16 ATS  in road games versus  Top tier  offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game, losing SU by an average of 7.6 ppg.

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Play on Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, and are getting more frustrated by the day, as their once strong play off hopes slightly fade. Meanwile, Brooklyn despite of getting hammered by one of the leagues top teams last night the Wizards, are playing some overall good hoops and have covered 8 of their L/10 games overall. Nothing comes easy for the Hawks,and Im betting that is once again the case tonight, against a Nets team that is currently capable of running and gunning with some of the better teams in the East . In their most recent meeting on March 8 Atlanta did win 110-105 but failed to cover as 10 point dogs. The linesmakers have lowered the Hawks favorite status here, but it is still bloated in my humble betting opinion. When the Hawks are slumping they have not been a good bet in the past, as HC Budenholzer is 5-18 ATS  after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.ATLANTA is 18-29 ATS  as a favorite this season.

Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In what could be a possible play off matchup, the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers square off Saturday at Staples Center. These teams don;t seem to like each other much, so both should be prepared to play tonight.The Jazz are coming off a 108-101 win on Thursday over the New York Knicks, which ended  a three-game losing string, but while watching that game, the Jazz truly looked a little tired to me. Their tenacious defense first type of play not only tires their opponents but also themselves, and that at least to me is apparent at the moment.With key components Derek Favors and and Shelvin Mack expected to not play tonight, and this being their 5th road game in their L/6 games, Im betting their tired legs will not serve them well tonight. Meanwhile, the Clippers lost 97-95 to the host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday and are now 7-7 in March. Their Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde outputs may be troubling, but this is still a solid overall team,  with the likes of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin patrolling the hardwood.  The Clippers are 23-11 at home in Staples this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 8 ppg. 

UTAH is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 13-28 ATS  as a road underdogs dating back to last season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Cleveland enters this game having lost 2 of their L/3, but they match up very well vs their hosts tonight the Charlotte Hornets, as is evident by winning three straight meetings this season, including a 121-109 beatdown here in Charlotte back on Dec 31. With that said, and as the play offs approach, the defending champions are trying to strategiclly  rest players but at the same time maintain momentum. After their recent mini downturn, Im sure their will be an uregency to get things moving in the right direction again and they will be in top form in this spot, with the core of the team healthy and  expected to play. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing better of late and on a 3 game winning  streak, are a team that is wildly inconsistent, and in the lower tier levels of  my power rankings. 

CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/13 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season  .CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings all as favorites.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The LA Clippers enter this game against their hosts the Dallas Mavericks , with momentum as they chase the down the Utah Jazz for 4th seed in the Western Conference play off race. I am expecting the Clippers who are on a three game winning streak  to be primed on keeping the pedal to metal in this spot vs a struggling  Mavericks team that has lost 4 of their L/6 overall SU/ATS. The Clippers have won the last 2 visits here to Dallas, and get the nod again. 

Mavericks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Brooklyn Nets looked like they had won a champinship when they hit a buzzer beater last time out in a win vs the Detroit Pistons (98-96). Now in an emotional letdown state I expect the Brooklyn Nets to have prblems dealing with another lower tier team the Phoenix Suns. Incidently it must be noted that the Nets have not won two straight games in almost a year, and have failed to make it two wins in a row in their L/13 tries overall. If they do get it tonight, Im betting it won;t come easily and that the vistors cover. I know the Suns do not inspire bettors, but these teams are more evenly matched than the pundits might think, at least according to my own player to player matchup systems indicate.

PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. Phoenix is 21-12 ATS L/23 as a underdog o 3.5 to 9.5 points. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.Nets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings

This is a long erm  league wide ATS trend  from a NBA data base : Road underdogs like the Suns- after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 40-8 ATS L/48 for a powerful 83% conversion rate for betting backers.

Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite of Heat star Hassan Whiteside being less than 100% with a lacerated hand, I still like the Heat at home tonight vs their rivals the Toronto Raptors, who are also expected to be without key component Sege Ibaka (suspension). Last season these teams took part in a closely contested play off series, that the Heat won, and could face each other in the play offs again. With that said, I expect the Heat to be very focused on sending a message to the visitors tonight prior to the above mentioned post season possbilites.
The Raptors have not done well against the Southeast division of late failing to cover in 7 their last 8. Meanwhile, the Raptors despite of winning three straight and off a win last tim out are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Heat are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season and is 13-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.Heat are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection

Golden State looks ready to rev up as the play offs approach, as was the case last night in fairly easy road win in Oklahoma City  vs the Thunder by a 111-95 count. The mighty Warriors after a short slump have now won four straight, and three straight by Double digits blowouts, and must be respected in their current form. Meanwhile, Dallas after winning 5 of 6 games, between Feb 25 to March 10, have since been slumping losing 3 of 5, two of which came against the lowly Sixers and Suns. Right now I'm not liking what I see from the Mavericks, despite of getting a win vs a less than prime time Brooklyn Nets last time out. In my own view the Mavericks look a little ragged and exhausted as  the age of their key players, is becoming an issue here in the stretch drive when a high energy level is needed . Tonight, despite of HC Kerrs propensity to rest starters , I expect Dubs key offensive catalyst Curry to play, because of the matchup between him and his brother has been highlighted by the NBA and their  media pundits. With that said, I am recommending we lay the points with the road Warriors. 

GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS L/24 after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more and  is 44-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Warriors are 9-1 SU L/9 in this series.

Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Pelcians Anthony Davis and his side kick DeMarcus Cousins are currently playing at a very hight level,  and in good form as they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With the twin tower super stars finally starting to jell, and the Pelicans winning 4 of their L/5, Im expecting good things from them here tonight vs a Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde Grizzlies. After losing five straight, Memphis has won four consecutive tilts, including a 104-96 home win on Saturday over San Antonio. That hard fought win against the Spurs however, Im betting will take its toll on the team, and have them in an emotional letdown situation in this spot, even though they are on two days rest. You have to remember the Grizzlies cant rest starters , as they play hard for a play off birth, and with this being their 6th game in 10 days they will still be on tired legs.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls despite of their struggles enter this game against their hosts the Toronto Raptors  playing decently without Dwayne Wade in the lineup, who will miss the rest of the season with assorted nagging injuries. Chicago took out  the Utah Jazz 95-86 on Saturday at the United Center, as they showed some unexpected life, and previous to that played a very good Wizards team tough in a 112-107 loss covering as dogs. Butler scored 23 points against Utah and looks suddenly reenergized which is a good thing for the Bulls going forward and more importantly as far as we are concerned tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto is still trying to find an identity with their star Kyle  Guard Lowry sidelined, alternating defensive strategies and run and gun attack systems  as was evident in recent win vs Detroit, 87-75 and than Indiana 116-91 smack down of the Pacers. In this matchup and according to  my own player to player and systems matchup analysis, the Bulls match up well against the Raptors, making the visitors viable underdogs in this spot.It must be also noted that this Bulls franchise has owned the Raptors in the recent past as is evident by having won 11 in a row against Toronto, including twice this season, and Toronto as mentioned above will be hard pressed to get a victory here and or cover.

CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS  L/36 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Torontos HC Casey is 3-16 ATS  revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite.

Play on the Chicago Bulls  to cover 

. Utah is ending  a four-game road trip tonight at Indiana. They dropped the last two games in their travels to Cleveland and Chicago, falling 95-86 to the Bulls on Saturday night, and looked exhausted in  doing so. The Jazz play a very physical and tenacious style of basketball that not only wears it opponents down, but also has a way of burning them out to . I really like Utah , and their style of play, but Im betting their legs won't support them in this spot. Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game having alternated wins and losses over their L/12 games. All the losses have come on the road . They lost last time out to Toronto 116-91 on the road, and now Im betting on a rinse in repeat situation here tonight, at home sweet home where they are 24-10 SU on the season.

INDIANA is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 or less points/game like Utah dating back to last season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a matchup of the Western Conference's worst club against the Eastern Conference's best.The Lakers lost to the Bucks 107-103 in a physical contest that resulted in the ejection of Young and teammate D'Angelo Russell fro their last game. The kids brought alot of energy into that tilt, as they play for roster positions next year and a attempt to garner some respect from their opponents. I expect these kids will play this game like its for a championship tonight and will not be easily dismantled. Meanwhile, Cleveland looked lifeless in a lopsided 108-78 loss  with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting vs the  LA Clippers last night , and I wont be surprised if one or more of these guys rest again tonight or see  alot of bench minutes during this matchup vs an inferior side. Cavs are  just 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Take the points with the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat continue to be on fire as is evident by a 23-5 SU run , that after a ugly 11-30 start to their season. This Miami team has something referred to by sports pundits as chemistry, and along with their work ethic are a hard team to play against. Meanwhile, their opponents the Blazers are also hot, and off two straight road underdog wins, but are also on tired legs as they played last night  and  playing their 5th straight road game, and 7th game in 10 days. It must be noted that 

NBA teams like the Blazers - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 8-32 ATS for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. With that said, I am betting the hard working Heat take advantage of a tired Portland team tonight and get us the cover.

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts winning SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) winning those tilts by an average of 12.5 ppg.

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS L/11 after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season.PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

Play Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans showed they had some life , last time out by defeating the explosive Houston Rockets by a 128-112 count as underdogs. They won that game without DaMarcus Cousins, who sat  and rested because of injury issues. Some media sources, hinted towards the Pelicans playing better without Cousins. I am sure the sensitive super star heard the rumblings and now with his ego fully bruised, I expect he will be ready to prove the pundits wrong. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Minnesota Wolves, playing with a banged up group, and on tired legs as they play 6 games in 9 days,  have lost 3 of their L/4, and are finally succumbing to the absence of guard Zach Lavine (ACL) and C Niola Pekovic (Ankle). Don;t get me wrong the Wolves , are a team on the rise, but tonight Im betting they are a disadvantage in this matchup in the Bayou. Note:MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, which happened last time out, when they lost 123-105 to the Heat.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this game with a  16-4 SU record  since losing back to back tilts to the New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 27-29. Wednesday's loss was one of their worst games in recent memory vs the Portland Trailblazers in a 110-106 as 11 point chalk, and now Im betting on a rebound effort . Note:Spurs HC Popovich is 20-6 ATS L/26  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, winning SU by 12.5 ppg. Meanwhile, Memphis despite of a three game winning streak  are  still a team that is just 17-16 SU since Jan 1, and have been down graded on my power rankings lists. In their two previous three game win streaks, since the new year, the Grizzlies lost by 15 points  to the Warriors on Feb. 10 and lost by 12 at Oklahoma City to the Thunder  on Feb. 3, and tonight I expect their lack of consistency vs a superior side will once again become prevalent.
The Spurs will also have the extra incentive of payback on their sides as the Grizzlies took the first meeting 89-74 when the Spurs played without Leonard and shot a lowly 36.6 percent in Memphis on Feb. 6. San Antonio has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and are my choice tonight with revenge.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover  1 unit reg selection

The Trail Blazers, coming off a big 110-106 victory at San Antonio on Wednesday will now be in a letdown situation, thanks to the  great amount of energy they exerted in that win. They now play a Hawks team that is off a embarrassing home loss to Memphis last time out, by a 103-91 count, and that will now be primed for a rebound . Recent trends  point to a Hawks victory being a strong possibility as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home, while the Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
In previous meetings the Hawks have dominated  and notched victories in five straight against the Trail Blazers, with the lone victory this season at Portland coming in overtime. With that said, Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover by a hungry team needing redemption for recent lapses. Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 3-12 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

Two young teams with alot to prove go head to head tonight, in Phoenix as the Suns host the Orlando Magic. Orlando looked like they had no energy last night on Golden State and were  crushed 122-92 for their fourth straight SU/ATS loss . Whether their tankning for a future draft pick, or just plain running on empty is of little concern to me. What is more important, is whether they can compete tonight. Which a highly doubtful considering their current form and  HC Voglel probably resting his starters in a back to back situation  .Meanwhile, the Suns are playing better overall hoops, compared to the Magic, and are 4-4 in their L/5 games and are rightully the favored team in this spot. 

Orlandos HC Vogel is 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game like the Suns losing SU by 10 ppg. 

ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in non-conference games this season.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets after taking out the Cleveland Cavaliers in a emotional affair this week, tried to keep their adrenalin pumping by playing  top tier basketball in the follow up by routing the Lakers by a 139-100 count. I don't care what anybody says, there has to be an eventual letdown situation that entails that kind of all out work ethic. I know the pundits are all over the Rockets amazing take no prisoners style of basketball, but it has its limitations. Meanwhile, DeMarcus  Cousins and his vast talents and ego to match , will have an opportunity to be on display in a big way tonight. With that said,  Im betting on  him and his co star Anthony Davis standing  tall and leaving everything on the floor. I have been hard on Cousins, but this is the kind of game he can hang his hat on for a while, and I'm betting he showcases his stuff tonght before eventually having a on or off the court trantum and melt down in the future. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Pelicans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Underdog is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.NEW ORLEANS is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 22-38 ATS L/60 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Andre  Drummond and Reggie Jackson the key cogs in the Pistons faltering machine look worn out and tired of late. Actually  the whole team looks exhausted, Here is a quote from Detroit HC Stan Van Gundy: "We've had six guys start since the All-Star break, four of them have started every game and we've gotten off to one good start. One," Van Gundy said. "Why are you a step-and-a-half slow at the start of every game? I don't know the answer to that.END QUOTE.

That is not a good omen for them as they host the Toronto Raptors tonight.  The Pistons in two exhausting affairs have been blown out by Cleveland and Utah this week, and will now still be in a let down mode this evening. I know the Raptors might not inspire bettors beccause of their current struggles, but Im keying on the return of defensive and rebounding specialist DeMarre Carrol to ingnite a team that has been focusing more and more on playing top tier defensive basketball of late. I also expect for the Raptors to be very focused ,as the last time they played Motown they blew a huge 16 point  lead going into the fourth quarter, finally losing 102-101,which was embarrassing to say the least. So redemption and payback must also be highlighted as motivting factors for the visitors. 

TORONTO is 12-4 ATS L/16 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a game of two teams at the opposing ends of the proverbial talent and perormance spectrum. Golden State is the top team in the west and the NBA , while Orlando is one of the worst teams in the league .The Warriors chalk full of stars, while Orlando is not. But now putting that aside, lets focus on the immediate state of affairs. Golden State as a team is exhausted and off having to work extremely hard to come back  from a 11 point deficit last time out to beat the Philadelphia 76ers. Previous to that they played eight games in eight different cities, three times traveling into multiple time zones between tilts. So now after comparing my line to the linesmakers number, and taking the above info into consideration, I like the option of taking points with an inferior team.Orlando opened a three-game Western swing with a 120-115 loss at Sacramento on Monday night, and look spirited doing it, and I feel we have value taking them in this spot play. One last thing, the Dubs have really struggled, with their shooting lately, and considering a league wide trend that states Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Warriors - after 2 straight games making 39% of their shots or worse are just 4-22 ATS  dating back 21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors, I feel we are looking in the right direction.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS L/13 versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS L/10 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game and s 9-23 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After dismal season and their play off hopes, flushed, the NY Knicks HC Hornacek with Phil Russell's blessings will be giving his young players more minutes. In tonight's encounter with cross town rivals the Brooklyn Nets, I expect the bench will see alot of work, which may not be a bad thing, but not enough of a good thing, for a cover .. It must also be noted  the Knicks despite a victory last time out vs the Pacers have not won two in row since Dec 22. Considering the Nets recent competitive play I feel comfortable recommending we take the points here.  

Brooklyn defeated the Knicks at home on March 12th 120-112 in a game that was not as close as the score might indicate.

NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS L/19 after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons.NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS L/25  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.The Nets are shooting .381 from 3-point range in their 10 games since the All-Star break, compared to .340 prior to the break.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah is a team on the rise, but Cleveland now with an eye on repeating as NBA Champs will ready to send a message to their upstart foes in this tilt in front of their own fans. With the Jazz on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 days, their ability to run and gun will be dimisnhed greatly. With that said,  Im betting on the Cavaliers getting an edge and bringing down the hammer as the game progresses.

UTAH is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season losing SU by an average of 8.7 ppg .CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which happened in a route of the Pistons last time out. UTAH is 7-17 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 13-28 ATS L/41 as a road underdog. Note: The Jazz won the only meeting bwtween the two teams this season in Utah 100-92 but have lost their L/4 visits to Cleveland.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets are coming off a huge emotional win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out by a score of 117-112. Im betting that their energy levels will  now be depleted because of that huge effort. Yes, even though the team and its key players are saying all the right things about be prepared to stay focused in their follow up affair vs the lowly Lakers, it will still be a difficult task to play a complete game. I know the Lakers do not inspire bettors, but if there was ever a time, players had a cahnce to improve their roster positions for next season, its against competition like this, and I expect the young Lakers will be primed to play with enthisiasm and grit. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I have paid alot of attention to the Jazz of late and have gotten a good feel for a side that I'm betting will be a dark horse team when and if they reach the play offs. Here today against a wishy washy Motown side, I believe they have systems and player to player matchup edge, that makes them solid road favorites. Im not basing this selection on how miserable the Pistons looked last night in a lopsided loss in Cleveland but as mentioned above the  SU matchup defeciencies against this type of agressive team. The Pistons were smashed in the first meeting this year 110-77 on Jan. 13 by the Jazz and a while Im not expecting that lopsided type of score again , I do expect the Jazz to cover comfortably.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing with no rest.Jazz are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Indiana Pacers have alternated wins and losses in their L/10 games, and are off a loss last night against a hungry and redemption minded NYK team.  I know the the Pacers  are  not easily handicapped and wildly inconsistent,  hot and cold team , but they still have a decent talent base and must not be underestmated   .  With that said, onight against a Charlotte team that has performed inadequately for an extended time , I feel they have the edge, especially here on their own home floor. (After starting the year 19-14, Charlotte is 10-24 since). Since defeating the Pacers on March 6, the Hornets lost three of their last four games, and now in revenge mode Im betting on the Pacers are primed to even the score. It must be noted tha the Hornets  have allowed 118 points per game in their last six losses, and that their lack of defense will be their demise again.

CHARLOTTE is 2-13 ATS (after playing 2 consecutive home games this season .INDIANA is 12-3 ATS  in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.Indiana's HC McMillan is 28-12 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite in all games , which was the case last night in NY vs the Knicks as 3 point road favorites.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In the eight games since Cousins was traded to the Pelicans   from the    Sacramento Kings, the Pelicans have won just twice. To me it's the same old thing with the talented Cousins. He has yet to make a team better, despite of his expansive talents and right now their seems to be no real chemsitry between himself and  Anthony Davis another super star. HC Gentry actually sat Cousins in the final 17 minutes of their L/game a win vs Charlotte as road dogs, as the team was playing better without him on the floor. Its aslo must  be noted by prognosticators that  New Orleans lacks the perimeter shooting necessary to force defenses to bother leaving the paint. Considering these factors, they are over rated by the linesmakers here, and I feel they do not matchup well against todays visitors the Portland Blazers, a team that has been playing some of their best hoops of season recently, winning 5 of their L/6 with one loss coming by just 1 contested point. 

NEW ORLEANS is 16-28 ATS L/44 as a favorite and 7-19 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog. Portland is 7-2 SU/ATS L/9 in this series.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans - off a road win, a lower tier  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are a bankroll depleting 26-62 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Phil Russell did not look amused when he watched his NY Knicks take on an exhausted Brooklyn Nets on Sunday in a 120-112 loss. You have to think he lit into the team after that tilt. What made the situation so intolerable is that the Nets  just finished a 9 game road trip and were on tired legs. That victory ended the Nets  16 game home losing streak. It was a truely a pathetic effort by the Knciks that left many of their fans completely frustrated. I know the Knicks had also been a short road trip, spanning three  games, but those were fairly close to home( Orlando, Milwaukee, Detroit), and there were no excuses for that kind of sleepy effort. Now embarrassed, I expect the core of Knicks to be ready for a bounce back effort vs a Pacers team that has alternated wins followed by losses during a current 9 game stretch. Prior to this run Indiana had lost 6 straight and remain wildly inconsistent and are far from solid road favs..

INDIANA is 5-14 ATS L/19 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS L/15 in home games after a division game dating back to last season. Knicks have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in NYC.Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings

Play on the NY Knciks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

From a analytical viewpoint the NBA and most sports leagues that we can bet on ,  need a handicapper to  focus his attention in on core matchup situations , and not be swayed by momentum ebbs and flows which are common place in the world of competetive sports.  Especially in a game like this where both teams are playing at the proverbial oppoiste end of the performance spectrum.

Milwaukee has won six in a row, while Memphis has lost five in a row. One side is comfortable and playing well , while one side is struggling and  desperate for wins. With that said, as we all know all good and bad things must eventually come to and end. Yes, I know theirs an old saying that says go with the flow, but common sense tells us all waves eventually crash on the beach. It must also be noted that Memphis has had decent pedigree over the last few seasons, and have shown themselves to be a solid team with quality player personel and hardcore work ethic. Meanwhile,  the Bucks have shown wild inconsistencies and despite of their current run are a sub.500 team that is short handed, with Jabari Parker, and Micheal Beasley out. The Grizzlies are also playing this game in revenge mode for a loss they suffered back in November to the Bucks by a 106-96 count, and will be very primed to perform.  I suppose by now you can see where Im going with todays analysis and reasoning for taking the home team. By the way it looks like the linesmakers agree with my assessments , as Memphis opened as favorites. 

 This from a league wide trends data base: NBA Home teams like Memphis - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite like the Grizzlies are 77-37 ATS  for a 68 % conversion rate for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS L/25 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.Bucks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The very young Phoenix Suns are playing some decent basketball of late, but still have a long way to go for respectiability status in the NBA. Meanwhile, the visiting Portland Trailblazers, despite of having  their 4 game losing streak snapped last night in OT by a 125-124 score vs a excellent Washington Wizards side, are now in top form. Note: The shot that sunk the Blazers last night, showed a video replay  on the arena scoreboard which suggested the  Wizards Morris stepped  out of bounds before hitting the game-winner with four-tenths of a second remaining. However, the play was not reviewable by rule.With that said, and now with a chip on their shoulders  I'm betting after  being robbed and competing at a high level vs the Wizards last night, this Blazers team comes out firing on all cylinders.

NBA Road favorites like the Blazers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 32-8 ATS L/40 for a 80% conversion rates for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Nets enter into this game against cross town rivals the  NY Knicks  having lost 16 straight  home.games. Now on tired legs and jet lagged  after a nine game road trip the Nets losing streak I am betting will  be intact after the final buzzer goes off todayl   The Knicks still playing for a long shot play off appearance  will be primed to play and play well.BROOKLYN is 9-26 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days datig back to last season.

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Wizards  after starting their season with a lowly 2-8 SU have  gone 38-16 since and must be considered one of the top teams in the NBA at the moment. Tonight as underdogs, vs a Portland team that has done well against them in recent home meetings, Im betting the Wizards will be wide awake and very ready to end a 3 game losing streak at the Moda Center. The Blazers may have won 4 straight games, but  tonight Im betting they will hit a wall. ie ( John Wall) PORTLAND is 0-10 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors will have the three main cogs of their offense out of tonights lineup in their road game vs the San Antonio Spurs(Durant, Thompson, Curry). This will obviously cull the Dubs offensive output and will greatly effect  their  ability to compete vs a team that would love nothing more than to put a one sided beatdown on them. Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee has really impressed me lately,  and tonight they go against another team on a uptrend, the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-1 SUL/5).  With that said, this is a  a matchup where I am betting home floor advantage will be the difference maker. The Wolves upset the Golden State Warriors last night, and will now be in a letdown situation vs a Bucks side on a 5 game SU/ATS win streak which included last nights victory vs the Pacers.

Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks  have caught my attention lately as they bring a season-high four-game winning streak to BMO Harris Bradley Center on Friday night vs the Indiana Pacers.  Positive chemistry is one of the reasons for the Bucks surprising play, and despite some previous misgivings about them, because of injuries I now feel they are a solid team to back at home as short favorites. The Bucks took the first two meetings of the season, winning by an average of 17 points, and obviously matchup well vs the Pacers, and are my choice again tonight.INDIANA is 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent dating back to last season.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Houston Rockets will be exhausted as they just played back to back grueling games against San Antonio and Utah, losing both. There is some concern from their coach D'Antoni QUOTE: We just have to get our stuff together," D'Antoni told the Houston Chronicle. Meanwhile,  the Bulls need wins to procure a play of spot and will be motivated to pull of the upset here as home dogs tonight, a place where they have beat the Rockets in their L/2 visits.The Rockets outlasted the Bulls 121-117 in overtime in the first matchup Feb. 3, and  from watching some of that game, it was obvious to me that the Bulls matched up well against them. I know the Bulls have lost 3 straight , but  CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS L/16 after 3 or more consecutive losses 24-10 ATS L/34 versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS L/58 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tonight we have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum as the Spurs visit the Thunder. The Spurs are off a   114-104 win for their 9th straight victory in Sacramento vs the Kings on Wednesday in which two key players  LaMarcus Aldridge (rest) and  Leonard (rest)  did not play. Tonight , however, both are expected to be in the lineup , and very fresh which makes the Spurs a very  dangerous foe in this spot even though the team as a whole has played 8 games in the L/14 days. Meanwhile, the Thunder have lost 4 straight, and have failed to cover all 4 in what must only looked at as a downward spiral. Considering both teams current form, I am recommending we back the Spurs to cover as road chalk.Spurs beat the Thunder 108-94 back on Jan 31 of this season, and a repeat type performance will not come as a surprise.SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS L/52 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams like Oklahoma City - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Grizzlies have been in a slump and have lost 5 of their L/7 overall, including a loss on Monday vs lowly Brooklyn  that was described by their coach, as the lowest point of their season. Now with a few days of rest to contemplate their current state, I expect the feisty Grizzlies to come out on fire tonight vs a Clippers side, that cannot find their stride, even though they are fully healthy. After watching the Clippers struggle last night vs the Minnesota Timberwolves in a loss, its become obvious to me  that there are underlying systematic problems surrounding the Clippers, that must be resolved. Until those issues are successfully addressed  their fade material in spots like this, where the team is exhausted as they play their 8th game in 14 days. LA CLIPPERS are 8-18 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.MEMPHIS is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this tilt against the Sacramento Kings having  won eight straight games, including Monday's 112-110 victory over Houston in San Antonio. That game against Rockets was hard fought, and followed up another exhausting affair vs the Minnesota Timberwolves, a contest that saw the Spurs come from behind in win in OT. Now still tired , and in an emotional letdown situation I expect the Spurs to not be as aggressive tonight, and I also won't be surprised if HC Popovich rests his stars during long stretches of this game, which gives the Kings an edge covering here vs a huge DD line. Yes, I know Sacramento has lost 5 straight, but after a lengthy adjustment period, playing without DeMarucs Cousins , this team Im betting will look a little more cohesive vs  a Spurs side that despite of being one of the best in the league, have failed to cover 4 straight games.. Also the Kings have had some ATS success of late, when in a tail spin, as is evident by a 14-4 ATS mark  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Kings are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

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New Orleans despite of the addition of DeMarcus Cousins continues to struggle, losing 5 of their L/7 games. For at the least the moment, Cousins and the Pelicans other star Anthony Davis are not showing any chemistry, and if anything look even less cohesive as  a team. In my humble opinion, Cousins despite of his vast talents, rarely has made a team better in his  travels around the league, and if anything has made them into inconsistent opponents for all comers. Cousins has become famous for not being a team player, and his circus like outbursts on and off the court. This kind of unwanted attention, makes for a bad atmosphere, and definitely not a winning one. With that said, I am recommending we back a hard working, Raptors side, that has won 5 of their L/7 and recently took out one of the leagues better teams the Washington Wizards on their own home floor.Toronto has won 11 of the last 14 meetings between the teams and the three most recent meetings and are my choice again.

TORONTO is 19-7 ATS L/26  vs. poor rebounding teams like the Pelicans  - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Toronto to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Timberwolves are 6-4 in their past 10 games and are a team on the rise. However, tonight against a talented and experienced foe the LA Clippers, looking for pay back for a 104-101 loss at home earlier this season  Im betting they are at a disadvantage. The Clippers are of two straight wins vs the Bulls and Celtics and are now back into top form with a lineup that is finally fully healthy.

Road team is 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Clippers are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota.Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS L/22 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

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The Hawks enter into this game in a slump and  have lost three in a row and six of their past eight games, and are far from solid favorites , even against the visiting Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets are currently playing some of their best, basketball of the season, winning 2 of their L/4 road games, and showing some nastiness and grit along the way, which makes them hard to deal with, because of their nothing to lose attitude. With Atlanta extremely tired playing their 8th game in 14 nights, I expect a rejuvenated looking Brooklyn team, to get us a cover.

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando is  making a habit of blowing leads. Orlando lost 113-105 at the Amway Center on Monday after a DD lead to the NY Knicks. This is truly a doctor jekyll and mr hyde, team , with a lack of closing abilities. I don;t know if its a lack confidence or coaching inefficiencies , but what ever it is, they are a side that  are on my late season fade list, especially in games the  lines-makers expect to be a close. Meanwhile, the Bulls, despite of faltering of late, and also blowing leads still have some big time players like Butler that can stand tall in key situations and deliver key shots and stops. The Bulls beat Orlando 100-92 here in the not so Magic Kingdom, back on Jan 24, and now Im betting on similar result tonight. Vogel is 2-11 ATS L/13 at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of the Magic.ORLANDO is 10-20 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 Orlando  - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 6-30 ATS L/36. 

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The postseason is something the young  Lakers are not even thinking about , as they enter this game against their hosts Dallas with a 19-44  SU record and are  on a current seven-game losing streak. Things don't look to get much better tonight, against a Dallas Mavericks franchise that has beaten them 13 straight times, and is currently playing their best basketball of the season, and have clobbered teams the Lakers of late as is evident by a  7-0 ATS L/7 record in home games when playing against a team with a losing record , winning SU by an average of 18 ppg. DALLAS is also 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season, winning SU by an average of 20.8 ppg. Back on Jan 22 the Mavericks crushed the Lakers 122-73 and despite of the Lakers wanting revenge, I ll end this with a Rolling Stones rip, " You Don't Always get what you want". 

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 The Detroit Pistons are in position to qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs if they get some key victories down the stretch. With that said, the Pistons chances of a post season appearance become much stronger if they can procure victories during the next two games. The first and obviously most important game comes tonight vs the Chicago Bulls a team that lost to the  Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday night while scoring just 30 points in the second half. With revenge on board for a 113-82 loss to the Bulls back in December I expect the Pistons to be very focused. It must be noted that Motown has won and covered 4 straight with revenge for a 30 point or more loss.

Bulls are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.Bulls are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 SU/ATS L/5 at Detroit. 

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The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat just played each other Saturday with the Heat winning by a lopsided 120-92 beat-down. Cleveland was without LeBron James and Kyrie Irving as well as J.R. Smith and Kevin Love who are still recovering from injuries. In that above mentioned game, alot of feelings got hurt in a physical affair, and tempers flared and now many are expecting the Cavaliers to be out looking for pay back, behind super star LeBron James. Because of the obvious scenario that is expected to play out, I now feel the line is bloated, and have faith in the Heats ability to not go down without a fight , and make a game of this. 

MIAMI is 12-3 ATS off a home win this season.MIAMI is 17-4 ATS L/24 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game and is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams like Cleveland - making 46% or more of their shots.

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The Suns are off two consecutive top tier performances  , thanks to a reserve group that has performed at a hight level. The Suns smashed the Charlotte Hornets 120-103 and the  Oklahoma City Thunder 118-111 on Thursday and Friday. Now with the momentum of those wins behind them, I expect they will be confident enough to play a talented Celtics crew very tough tonight in the desert. Yes, the Celtics are off two straight wins, with the first one coming at home vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. The second win came on the road after the team flew West to the west coast to play the Lakers, as they were still feeling good after their above mentioned win vs the Cavs. But as alot of us know, jet lag has a delay effect, and now I expect the Celtics to be on tired legs in this spot and susceptible to being upset. I know the Suns are also a little tired playing, their 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned teams as is evident by HC Watson Suns  going  17-6 ATS L/23 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days . PHOENIX is  also 15-6 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

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Todays combatants Atlanta and Indiana are coming off close hard fought losses to a couple of the NBAs best teams. Atlanta after a ferocious 4th quarter comeback lost 135-130 heart breaker to Cleveland on Friday, while the Pacers lost 100-99 to San Antonio on Wednesday.
Atlanta in the above mentioned loss were down by 25 points in the second half against the Cavaliers but came back to trim the margin to a point late in the game it showed how talented they were , but also highlighted a lack of consistency, something that has plagued this team this season. However, their opponents this afternoon the Pacers are even more volatile and inconsistent losing 8 of their L/10 overall and especially fragile on the road were they own a sub par 10-20 road record and are just 12-18 ATS. With that said, I expect home court advantage to be golden in this spot. 
Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Pacers are 7-16 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta.
ATLANTA is 27-13 ATS L/40 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) dating back to last season.

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Rockets pounded the Grizzlies 119-95 in their last meeting. The Rockets played a take no prisoners game  as they dealt with the  frustration of two earlier series losses . In those previous match-ups Houston gave up a nine-point first-half lead in a 115-109 loss at Memphis on Dec. 23 and than gave up a 15-point second-half lead in a 110-105 home loss on Jan. 13, to a tenacious never say die Memphis side that must not be underestimated .Memphis, played last night and lost in Dallas,  but are 10-3 SU in the second half of back-to-backs and  is 12-2 ATS L/14 off a road loss this season and from my own player to players matchup systems/matchup very well against the Rockets. With that said, and future play off implications on the line I expect a spirited affair here tonight with the points eventually proving golden.

MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. Memphis has won 3 of the L/5 meetings in Houston.

Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a game for causal fans that could be considered perplexing, because of both sides current form.   One side the struggling Clippers  have lost 4 of their L/5 , including last night as favorites, and now go against another side the Chicago Bulls who are in top form and off a surprising upset win vs the leagues top team the Golden State Warriors. One side the Clippers, are desperate for a win, and the other , the Bulls are in an emotional let down scenario, after the above mentioned upset. So despite of current form, Im going to recommend we back the desperate road side, as Im betting  they will take advantage of a emotionally drained opponent. The Clippers won the first game 102-95 on Nov. 19 at Staples Center behind a double-double from Griffin and Im betting he will be one of the key catalysts again in a Clippers cover.

NBA Home underdogs Chicago Bulls - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-31 ATS L/40.

CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS  in home games after allowing 90 points dating back to last season which happened in the 94-87 upset of Golden State. HC Rivers of the Clippers is 41-22 ATS L/63 in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in all games.

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Both the Bucks and the Raptors played last night and both posted wins. Toronto impressed with a 114-106 win vs one of the NBAs best teams the Washington Wizards. Meanwhile. Milwaukee surprised with a win vs the visiting Clippers last night  and despite of some younger players taking advantage of their opportunities to excel ,   Im betting the Bucks, who are on tired legs playing their 5th game in 7 nights, to finally succumb to key injuries ie Jabari Parker, and Mike Beasley in this spot vs a rejuvenated looking Raptors side. Note: NBA Home underdogs like the Bucks - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are just 79-134 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS L/12 against Atlantic division opponents this season and  is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus poor passing teams, like the Raptors averaging 20 or less assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS L/20  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game this season. The Raptors have won and covered 4 straight trips to Milwaukee and have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bucks are dealing with injury problems will be short-handed this Friday night vs the now healthy LA Clippers , at the Bradley Center (Khris Middelton still less than 100%,- Jabari Parker out for season, and M.Beasely still dealing with a hyper extended knee). Milwaukee has dropped three of its past four games while allowing opponents to score 100 points in each of those tilts. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers despite of losing 3 of their L/4, are a team to be reckoned with as stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are now back in the lineup. It must also be noted that those three losses, mentioned above by the Clippers, came vs the Golden State Warriors, the San Antonio Spurs and Houston. Despite of Bucks being a decent team, they are not of the level of those opponents, and in their current banged up state will not offer up the same resistance. MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS this season versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game like the Clippers.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cleveland Cavaliers after a hard fought  103-99 loss to the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night will now be primed for a bounce back effort. With LeBron James now healthier after a bout of strep throat, I expect to see him at his best. Remember James, has a huge ego boosted by super human talent, and he hates to lose and has revenge on board for  Nov. 8 loss, when the Hawks prevailed 110-106 in Cleveland.

ATLANTA is 15-24 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic come into this game, against their instate rivals the Miami Heat, playing doctor jeckyll and mr.hyde basketball since the all star break. Despite of their inconsistencies, this small ball group is scrappy, speedy and getting better defensively.The Magic gave up 100 points per 100 possessions in the three games since the All-Star Break and despite of 101-90 loss  to the New York Knicks last time out , the Magic still only allowed 41 points in the second half. To me that was impressive and if it continues, their future as underdogs looks bright. Tonight against one of the leagues top Ds, the Magics new found brand of basketball will aid them well, especially with Heat star Hassan Whiteside dealing with a illness/injury , and at less than 100%. The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City enters this game in good form having won three straight since the all star break. However, all three came at home, and two came against the lowly Lakers and Pelicans, with the third coming by 3 points (109-106) vs an exhausted and road weary Utah Jazz that had played 3 away games in 4 nights. Im not trying to slight the Thunders recent run, but just shine a light  on part of the reasoning behind  why Im taking the Blazers a team that has  lost seven of its last nine games. Despite of both teams current records, Portland still has a chance at a play off appearance, and will be very prepared to perform here at home and must not be underestimated, as is obvious by the lines-makers opening line on this tilt. Portland has won 5 straight meetings here in Oregon in this series  and a 6th I'm betting comes this evening. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-18 ATS L/23  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game .HC Donovan of the Thunder  is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games.

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The Chicago Bulls enter this game against the Golden State Warriors in good form and the healthiest they have been all season. The last time the Bulls played the Warriors they were spanked conclusively, 123-92 but their healthier than they were in the first meeting, while the Warriors are not, as they have to endure the rest of the season without star Kevin Durant ( injury) in the lineup. QUOTE: "We have a different roster and we haven't been without (Durant) but one game this year," Curry told reporters in Washington after the loss. "So it will be an adjustment." END QUOTE: I know Chicago was roughed up vs Denver last time out in a DD loss, but I expect they will bounce back with a big effort her vs a Warriors side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 days, and are off a hard fought loss to Washington last time out, in a game they exerted alot of energy.  CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more.GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

GOLDEN STATE has also not done well against teams with defensive deficiencies in the recent past going   4-16 ATS L/20 versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics go head to head with the defending NBA champion the Cleveland Cavaliers this Wednesday night. You can bet they will be primed and ready to perform , especially here at home at the TD Garden in front of their home town fans.  I know the Celtics looked bad in a lopsided 114-98 loss to the Hawks last time out, but that is all the more reason for a concerted bounce back effort here. With Cleveland super star LeBron James, still feeling the effects of a recent strep throat infection, the Cavs could be at a bit of disadvantage, especailly with Kevin Love injured and on the side lines.Cleveland did defeat Boston 124-118 at home back on Dec 29, but now with revenge on board I feel we will see the best of a Celtics side, that looked good and matched up well vs the Cavaliers despite of losing the above mentioned meeting. It must also be noted NBA Home underdogs like the Celtics - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 50-19 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games this season, which they just did. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection