The Raptors have won 4 straight games and are currently playing their best basketball of the season, and now are primed to make it 5 in a row vs a Atlanta side off a big win vs the Suns last night and will now be in a natural letdown spot. I know the Raps played last night as well in a win vs the Chicago Bulls, but they did not exert as much energy getting their victory as the Hawks did based on player data. Raptors are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

Raptors are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games. Raptors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.

Meanwhile, the Hawks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season. ATLANTA is 8-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. TLANTA is 8-19 ATS  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-4 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 53-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover

The well conditioned Bulls will be primed to bounce back here after a 127-120 loss in /Toronto last night.  Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.  Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Chicago has won its last two meetings against Indiana,  and are expected  be without Domantas Sabonis for the third straight game which distinctly puts them at a disadvantage tonight. Note: The Pacers' are also  short handed in the front-court  with Myles Turner (left foot), Goga Bitadze (right foot) and Oshae Brissett (right ankle) all out. 

CHICAGO is 37-18 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 21-35 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 9-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Charlottes run and gun style of play has seen them gassed of late as is evident by 4 losses in their L/6 games. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers remain a steady side, and   are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. and also  9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog. 

CLEVELAND is 17-6 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

 NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 41-16 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 17-45 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Charlotte.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Suns are performing optimally but after 11 straight wins, and maximum energy output, Im betting they are beginning to run on empty and a down performance is not out of the question here tonight vs a Atlanta side that has won and covered 7 of their L/8 overall and 6 of their L/8 at home. 

ATLANTA is 17-6 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 17-11 L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Brooklyn played a hard fought game against the Suns last night, and took it on the chin 124-111, and now on a 5 game losing streak and on  tired legs and also probably  a little dejected I expect a muted effort vs a "nothing to lose"   Sacramento Kings side .  The Kings have quite honestly been on a  dismal run, but seem to pull their proverbial socks up when playing a top tier opponent, as has been the case in recent tilts against Philadelphia , Milwaukee with hard fought close losses and covers. Im betting on more of the same tenacious action from the Kings in this spot play.  Note:BROOKLYN is 7-19 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Nets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA  Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after 4 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games are 24-5 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

Cleveland continues to play cohesive hoops of late, as is evident by having won 9 of their L/11 . The Cavs did have a hiccup against the struggling Pistons recently but that shocker will have them even more aware and wide awake here tonight vs a another below .500 squad that has lost 9 straight home tilts. Advantage Cavaliers.

HOUSTON is 0-10 ATS in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.HOUSTON is 8-24 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Rockets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7  or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 185 points or less are  43-3 L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12. 

Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Denver has been playing exceptional hoops of late, but are in a bad spot here tonight on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game, making them very vulnerable to a up-trending Minnesota Wolves side that ha won 6 of their 10 division games this season. 

MINNESOTA is 16-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots this season.

DENVER is 1-13 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Detroit caught the Cleveland Cavaliers napping last time out and upset them in Motown. Unfortunately for Detroit from a historical standpoint this has not been a good omen for their next game. Note: DETROIT is 0-9 ATS off a double digit win as a home underdog of 6 more since 1996.( More recently DETROIT is also 0-10 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. With that said, Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head for the Pistons, and for a New Orleans side desperate for wins to take advantage of the situation. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 30-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Its obvious which side is the superior group, but HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS   versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons and have enough offensive firepower to stay closer than the line-makers expect or to get us a back door cover. Note:Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite while Houston is 5-2 ATS L/7 vs an above .600 opponent. The Warriors also have a habit of playing down to opponents as is evident by a recent 1-4 ATS run  in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on Houston to cover  

Atlanta is in top form having won 7 straight games after easily handling the Lakers last night. The Hawks are well conditioned so Im not worrying about their ability to play at a high level again tonight against a Toronto side off a emotional letdown situation after a multiple period OT victory against Miami on Saturday. Note:   McMillan is 15-3 ATS in home games off a home win as the coach of ATLANTA.

TORONTO is 1-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Sacramento has lost 6 straight games and 11 of their L/13 and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game. The Kings are frustrated and desperate but at this point most disparaged. What Im betting on here tonight, is for the home side Knicks to take advantage of a reeling side with little or no answers to their current down trending ability to find a way into the win column. Kings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. Meanwhile, the Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and  are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. 

SACRAMENTO is 3-14 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 22-11 ATS   in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 20-9 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Play on NYK to cover 

Orlando is playing a little better of late and have notched wins in 2 of their L/3 , but the most recent win came against Detroit, so it might be premature to think the Magic are uptrending. Today against a top tier Mavericks side , off a DD romp last night vs the Pacers Im betting their negative output issues continue unabated. Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Mosley is 4-15 ATS  as a home underdog as the coach of ORLANDO. Magic are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. Magic are 18-44-3 ATS in their last 65 games as a home underdog.

NBA  team (DALLAS) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (-7 or less  PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 43-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Orlando and are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings overall in this series.

Play on Dallas to cover

Portland has been playing significantly better hoops of late, and are are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and deserve respect here getting points on the road in Chicago vs the Bulls. The Blazers have   received a boost from McCollum, who has averaged 20.6 points in seven games since returning from a collapsed lung.Note: Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Bulls key defensive stalwarts  are injured players ( Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso)   and its being proven that these guys gave the team a part of their identity and makes them vulnerable when their not in the lineup as was the case when they gave up 133 points in a loss to the Spurs on Friday night. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more 11-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

My projections make the Heat -7 point favorites giving us a one possession edge according to my numbers. The Heat continue to find ways to cash for their backers only failing once in their L/ 11 opportunities  ATS.  I know the Heat played last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides, going  8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing with no  rest.

.MIAMI is 17-4 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 88-15 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.9 . 

Raptors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

Play on Miami to cover 

Grizzlies enter this home game going  5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and like Washington and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite

Meanwhile, the Wizards are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and overall are  just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games.

Bottom line the Grizzlies are solid money makers for their backers going  23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall and are a consistent side with chemistry and discipline something the Wizards lack. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 45-92 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

These sides were involved for trade talks for Benn Simmons, but that looks to have faded and now maybe the Kings can concentrate on righting their sinking ship. The young men from Sacramento have been a deep dive of late, but seem to push harder against top tier teams a was evident in a recent game against Milwaukee, pushing the defending champs hard notching a cover for their backers. Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 90 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are just 26-61 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-14 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Lakers played last night in Philadelphia where they suffered a loss, and despite of their negative down effort are more than capable of a bounce back effort as Anthony Davis gets back into game shape. Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.

LA LAKERS are 18-8 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 125 points or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

Lakers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Atlanta are in top form having won 5 straight games and are a viable wager here at home  tonight vs a Boston side that they have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings against. 

BOSTON is 8-25 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less  turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Memphis matches up very well here vs the Spurs. they have cooled off a bit of late but the Grizzlies have still won 13 of their L/16 overall and 15-8 on the road this season and deserve respect as short road favs against this particular opponent. 

MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-25 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road win by 10 points or more, with a losing record are 18-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Kevin Durante is out with an injury and Kyrie Irving wont play tonight in NY because of vax restrictions. This makes the Nuggets who have won 5 of their L/7  a viable side to back here in the Big apple tonight vs a Nets side that  are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. ( the Nets played and lost last night  to the Lakers and will be on tired legs )

. BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS  in home games in non-conference games this season.BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season.

Play on Denver to cover 

Sacramento has lost 9 of their L/11 and are on a 4 game losing skein entering this tilt vs a Atlanta side that is up-trending and are on a 4 game win streak . Its obvious both sides are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial  performance spectrum with the home side having a verifiable edge based on current form. 

SACRAMENTO is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games are 37-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to win /cover

Cleveland has won 6 of their L/7 overall and are currently in top form and well prepared to pull off a upset here tonight as home as dogs.

Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.MILWAUKEE is 12-30 ATS L/42 off 3 or more consecutive home wins .

CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cavaliers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA team (CLEVELAND) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 95 points or less 2 straight games are 23-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Since CJ McCollum's returned to the Blazers  lineup the Portland Trail Blazers, become alot more formidable opponents, and now have an advantage over the visiting  Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night as home dogs.  Finch is 2-12 ATS  after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.

PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS  after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 2-12 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NBA  Underdogs (PORTLAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots.are 35-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the Blazers to cover 

Houston has won 2 of their L/3 and 3 of their L/5 while the Spurs are at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, losing 12 of their L/15 overall. Taking points here is thus a viable wagering opportunity based on current form. Spurs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 37-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

Anthony Davis is expected to play tonight for the Lakers, as the team will be at its healthiest in a long time and motivated to take down a Brooklyn Nets team playing without star Kevin Durant. Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. BROOKLYN is 5-17 ATS in home games this season. BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 66-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 14-4-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Brooklyn. 

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Both these teams are struggling at the moment with the hosts tonight Oklahoma City having lost 5 straight and visiting Chicago 4 of their L/5 overall. However from a SRS perspective the Bulls as the superior side, ranking 11th in the NBA at 1.24 while the Thunder rank 27th in SRS at -7.18. Advantage Bulls. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons

Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a struggling    team (-7  or worse PPG differential) are 46-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a  71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago Bulls 

Cleveland has won 5 of their L/6 and come into this tilt at or near peak performance levels and are well rested after a couple days off  have an advantage vs a NYK  side on tired legs after playing yesterday. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.  

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two sub average  offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff  clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on this this ATS line. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Utah enters this game struggling having lost 6 of their L/8 overall. Meanwhile Golden State despite not being at its peak in performance  ratios at the moment are beginning to show upward momentum towards the upper echelons of my rankings  , as they have won 3 of their L/5. From a SRS perspective the Warriors own the top mark in the league at 7.54 while the Jazz rank 3rd at 6.40. With a strong home court advantage thrown in for the Warriors, backed by the top ppg defense there is a  -6 or more divergence at home according to my projections giving us an edge on this line. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 season

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are  60-11 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering.  

Play on the Warriors to cover 

The Brooklyn Nets are 2 for 3 without Kevin Durant in the lineup and will Im betting get the job done as the substitute backcourt duo of James Harden and Kyrie Irving go to work vs a  improving but not ready for prime time NJ Nets. 

BROOKLYN is 22-11 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 17-6 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS  in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 10-30  L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 Dallas proved it matched up well vs the Grizzlies last week handing them a 112-85 loss. While I don't' believe things will be as extreme in the rematch, but  I do believe the Mavs extremely strong D, will be a difference maker here once again on home court. Note: The Mavs have won 10 of their L/12 overall and had a 4 game streak end last time out as they blew a lead and lost to the explosive Suns. Nothing eases the pain of that kind of loss, like a win. Motivation in bounce back effort will defeat a redemption minded Grizzlies side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 days on the road.Note:  Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-48  SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

The Boston Celtics have double revenge on board for two losses to the Wizards back in October and will be focused on redemption here today. The wizards were hot back them winning 10 of their first 13 games, but have since played under .500 ball and are weak favs here. 

BOSTON is 140-104 ATS  in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent 

Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.Wizards are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

NBA  team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite are 38-16 L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

The Clippers exerted a great deal of energy lat time out after coming back from 20 points down to pull off an upset vs the 76ers on the road. Los Angeles outscored Philadelphia 58-33 over the final 19:39 and shot 52.2 percent in the fourth when it outscored the 76ers 32-21. Im betting they are now going to be in a letdown spot after that effort and the home side Knicks will take advantage of the situation and get us the cover. After 3 straight losses the Knicks will be in desperation mode, and need a victory badly before playing eight of their next 10 on the road. 

NEW YORK is 56-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

Lue is 64-91 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1996.Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

 Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 which qualifies vs this ATS offering. 

NY Knicks to cover 

The Pacers have played competitive hoops on their current western tour, taking out the the Lakers and Warriors with a close loss to the Clippers. With Indiana operating in top form of late, Im betting they once again remain competitive vs the explosive Suns who are off a 3 game road trip and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights.on tired legs  The Suns also exerted alot of energy last time out, at Dallas coming from behind for a big win. 

INDIANA is 11-2 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 28-53 ATS L/81 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in January games are 36-72 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

The Celtics enter this tilt with a  3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are struggling and are in desperation mode, after suffering losses in 4 of their L/5  and have a good side to take their frustrations out on in Orlando to tonight vs a Magic team that has lost 14 of their 15 SU. Lakers are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 

ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS   in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.  ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.ORLANDO is 1-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Magic are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG differential) are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Lakers to cover 

Indiana has not faired well on the road this season losing 15 of 18 games, and Im betting will once again fail in their attempt for a win  here in LA vs the Lakers and more importantly as far as we  are concerned fail to cover as well. 

INDIANA is 5-16 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5. Pacers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Pacers are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

Miami behind a balanced offensive attack  ranked 3rd in offense rating and strong defense, ranked 4th in ppg allowed  matchup very well vs a Blazers side on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game in less than a week.

PORTLAND is 1-11 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or less over the last 3 seasons with the average pgg diff registering in at -13.3 . ( Blazers beat the Magic 98-88 last time out)

 PORTLAND is 6-15 ATS  as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.8 ppg. 

PORTLAND is 6-14 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.7 ppg. )The opening line on this game was closer to the true number as associated with the above trend ) 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 65-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Hornets behind an explosive offense have played some very good ball recently, but this tilt vs Boston is a bad matchup for them according to my system to system matchup analysis.  The Celtics took out the Hornets 140-129 as visitors back in late October and Im betting they get the job done again at home as short home favs.  

Hornets are 12-27 ATS in their last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Hornets are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Boston.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 8-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10. (which qualifies on this offered ATS line)

Play on Boston to cover 

Oklahoma City may not inspire many pundits with their W/L record but what  is impressive is their ability to consistently beat the line, as they have only failed to cover 3 of their L/16 overall games. I know Dallas has been playing a strong brand of hoops lately, but with this being their 9th game in 17 days they may be a little bit lethargic vs a younger very well conditioned side. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less  points/game this season.

DALLAS is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

 NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 95 points or less are 4-28 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 44-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Indiana is really struggling having lost 9 of their L/10 and  are just  1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. I know that the Clippers have not played much better, and have their two top players out ( Leonard, George) but here at home have enough edges to get us a win and cover. Note: Pacers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

INDIANA is 9-19 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

A CLIPPERS are 21-9 ATS  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 . 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Memphis had a 11 game win streak end last time out, but Im betting on a bounce back effort here tonight vs a Chicago side that is struggling as is evident by a current 3 game losing skein and losses in 4 of their L/5 with their only win coming against Detroit. 

MEMPHIS is 14-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MEMPHIS is 14-3 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

NBA Underdogs (CHICAGO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 19-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis Grizzlies 

 Brooklyn has been playing inconsistent hoops  of late and are just 4-6 SU L/10 2-8 ATS L/10  and have not won back to back games since late December. If their recent history mimics their inadequacies lately the Nets after a victory last time out will come out with a down effort vs a side that has is in strong form of late as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 overall. Note: Nets are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

BROOKLYN is 1-9 ATS  after a win by 10 points or more this season.

CLEVELAND is 15-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and  are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Cavaliers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home game

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-47  ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Philadelphia has been playing some strong ball of late but with this being their 6th game in 9 days are on tired legs. Also if Bradly Beal comes out of Quarantine today for Washington I wont be surprised if the Wizards take this game SU. Advantage Wizards taking points. 

WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-23 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 143-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 10-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

We know which side is superior between the Visiting Suns and their hosts the Pistons . However, it it must be noted that the Pistons have won 3 of their L/4 overall and covered 5 of their L/8 and have been playing very competitive ball on their own home floor as is evident by winning 4 in a row in Motown and 5 of their L/6 . The Pistons have  also been showing some cohesion, and from a betting perspective against strong sides have been generally good bets for a while now. Note: DETROIT is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. With this being the Suns 7th road game in their L/9 trips to the hardwood, in a condensed period of time ( Dec 31-Jan 16) it wont surprise me if the Suns are on tired legs and less likely to have enough gas in the tank to easily steam roll the rested Pistons who will play only their 2nd game in 5 days, making getting points here with the home dog a viable wagering opportunity. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 147-87 ATS L/26 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Suns took out the Pistons 114-103 at home back on Dec 2)

DETROIT is 11-2 ATS  in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a terrible team (25% or less ) are 18-45 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Suns are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Detroit. Suns are 9-27 ATS in the last 36 meetings.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Lakers have been playing LeBron at center since Davis went down  and hes been in elite form and tonight Im betting he will be the difference maker vs a Denver side, that according to my projections does not deserve to be this big a favorite. 

Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. 

Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

DENVER is 10-25 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 17-7 ATS  in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 11-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 76-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Lakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Lakers to cover 

 Both these teams played last night, but the Heat according to my own accumulated data on conditioning, suggests Miami will fair better here as the game progresses giving them the edge on home court. Note: Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. 

Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

76ers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record

PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-19 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 87-13 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Atlanta has been struggling and have looked exhausted lately, after playing 9 of their L/11 games on the road, including a grueling 6 game road trip. Now back home, and in desperation mode Im expecting a top tier effort vs a NY Knicks side that despite of showing some upward momentum of late, is still showing some chemistry issues, something that was not a problem last season. 

ATLANTA is 9-0 ATS  in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 105 points or more in a loss to a division rival, in January game are 23-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 156-97 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Cleveland has not been as dominant lately as they were earlier in the season and have now lost  6 of their L/10 and failed to cover 7 of their L/9 overall. Also Bickerstaff is 25-47 ATS   in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots in all games he has coached. Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Spurs. 

SAN ANTONIO is 31-19 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 96-29 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Pistons are playing a little better lately having won 2 of their L/3 and from a historical perspective for whatever the reason have had an edge in games playing the Raptors as is evident by a 4 game win streak in this series SU including a 127-121 win against the Raptors on Nov 11 of this season. I know the Raptors will be out looking for revenge but it must be noted this is a lofty to number for them to cover on as road favs. Note:TORONTO is 0-9 ATS  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Sixers had a 7 game win streak end against a top tier Charlotte squad last time out, and will now be prepared for a bounce back effort. I know the Celtics are doing well, and are on a 3 game win streak but they are at a disadvantage on the road here vs a side that matches up well against them. Note: The 76ers won the last meeting 108-103 back in Boston just  before Christmas and rinse and repeat situation looks like a viable option. BOSTON is 9-21 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 18-31 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or last  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 78-14 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

NBAHome favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 136-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight /ats  against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Golden State and Milwaukee are currently not operating at optimal levels entering this game. Both are struggling for W/L consistency , after both went though over powering runs. However, despite of that both are above average teams with a boatload full of talent and chemistry. From a matchup perspective  the defending  champs home court advantage Im betting will be a prime factor here in what will be a post season type affair. Note: Warriors are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Budenholzer is 42-23 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less  of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-8 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 134-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Atlanta after an exhausting 6 game road trip have had a few of days of rest, to recoup and will be prepared  and very motivated to get back some mojo as they  take on the visiting Miami Heat . With this being the Mavericks 6th straight road game they are on tired legs and at a disadvantage. Note: Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS  in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 season. 

Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 10-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Dallas is hot, having won 6 straight, but according to my power rankings the Knicks matchup well against them and deserve respect as home underdogs. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Kidd is 15-31 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached in his career. 

NEW YORK is 21-6 ATS at home when  the opening  line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 10-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% go against  conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

 Despite of some injuries the Nuggets have still been able to win 5 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile the Clippers after dealing well with the Kawhi Leonard injury started to have major cohesive problems without the injured Paul George in the lineup . From my perspective things wont get much better vs a Denver side that matches up well here at Staples where they have won their L/6 road games vs the Clippers. 

LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 55-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

Neither one of these teams are operating optimally from a win/loss perspective but the one thing that stands out has been the young Thunders ability to be fairly competitive on a consistent basis as is evident by covering 11 of their L/14 overall. When these teams met on Nov 26 the visiting Wizards took a 101-99 decision and Im betting on a fairly close battle tonight as these sides take part in the DC rematch.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Wizards are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

Both these teams are in a down mode lately, and both are exhausted. But the Cavaliers still possesses better chemistry and cohesiveness and are better conditioned. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

SACRAMENTO is 8-20 ATS  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS   when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

 These two sides Philadelphia and Houston are operating at the proverbial opposite ends of the performance spectrum. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets have an edge here at home as DD underdogs. Yes, the Rockets played last night, but it's not conditioning that has been an issue lately, but chemistry. Meanwhile, the Sixers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and could easily use this as a defect game off, and rest key starters as this tilt progresses giving us lots of room for a backdoor cover.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rockets to cover 

This is the Spurs 7th straight road game, and are on back to back games after playing a hard fought game and close loss to the Brooklyn last night. Now exhausted and in an emotional letdown spot, Im betting there will not be alot left in the tank for tonights game against the New York Knicks. It must be noted that back in December the Knicks showed how well they matchup vs the Spurs in a DD road victory (121-109). This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a lower tier  team (25-40%) are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Memphis played last night and are on tired legs as this is their 5th game in 7 nights overall . I have alot of respect for the Grizzlies and they are showing alot of ferocity , consistency and chemistry. But despite of the super human numbers they have put up of late against top tier sides, they are most probably running on empty. With the LeBron James ego at stake you can bet the old super star will be wide awake here and ready to make headlines. With that said, Im betting on the Lakers rallying around him and taking down the Grizzlies . MEMPHIS is 16-32 ATS  L/48 in road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days . Lakers are 4-0 SU L/4 meetings at Staples Center. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Both these sides Dallas and Chicago are currently playing at a very high level with the Bulls on a 9 game win streak and their hosts the Mavs on a 5 game winning run! With that said,  Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening. 

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Houston has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but recently they have fallen into a deep freeze. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets from a style of play perspective matchup well here and are viable home pups vs  a tired Wolves side playing their 5th road game in  their 6 overall trips to the hardwood. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 76-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on Houston to cover

Toronto is playing their best basketball of the season and are currently on a 5 game win streak and have been an ATM machine for their backers covering 10 of their L/11 overall. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite a few flashes of brilliance remain an inconsistent side, with chemistry issues which is hampering their flow. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS in road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.2

NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff -11.7. 

TORONTO is 7-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs this season with the average of +11.7 ppg diff. 

NBA team (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 78-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks are playing their 6th straight road game and are now on tired legs . I know the Clippers have not played cohesive basketball of late, but they are deep enough to compete here even with key cog George expected to miss. Yes, the Clippers played yesterday but after being humiliated by the Grizzlies by DDs, Im betting on a concerted effort fro a side that does not take well to being embarrassed. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.  Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS   versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

This has been a long grueling road trip for Miami , but they have proven to me during this West coast tour is they are a deep team, that is extremely well conditioned and are more than capable of retaining a high level of stamina behind a deep bench. Note: Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. and once again matchup well getting this many points. Yes, even against the Suns in a hostile road environment. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Heat are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix.

MIAMI is 10-2 ATS  as an underdog this season.

MIAMI is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 18-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Orlando is not playing all that well from a W/L perspective and their opponents Detroit are the same form. I know the Pistons have won a couple of games recently and shocked the Bucks in one of those tilts, but according to my power rankings the Magic in desperation mode matchup well here and actually have an opportunity for a rare SU win. Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less  PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 34-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Indiana has lost 6 straight games, and things dont look like they will get much better for them here tonight vs a ferocious Jazz side that has won 14 of 18 road games this   season with the average margin of ppg diff clicking in at +10 . 

From a SRS perspective the Jazz rank 2nd in the league with a 8.53 mark while the Pacers rank 16th with a 0.04 mark.

SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Even if Mitchell does not play tonight the Jazz are still the superior side. 

UTAH is 38-22 ATS   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 8-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

NDIANA is 4-14 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Jazz to cover 

Memphis is in top form having won 7 straight games, and the last time they played the Clippers back in Mid November the Clippers took a conclusive DD victory and deserse respect here as short road favs vs a side that is 4-8 SU L/12 overall. Note: LA CLIPPERS are 3-12 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 season

Grizzlies are 14-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS  in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are  13-41 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 10-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Chicago has won 8 straight games and according to my projections should be -7 or more  point favs here at home, even after taking into consideration who's missing from each line up tonight. Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Bulls are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. 

Wizards are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.7 ppg. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 With their star Giannis Antetokounmpo  upgraded to probable Friday vs Brooklyn Im recommending we take the points. Nets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games.

BROOKLYN is 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. BROOKLYN is 3-14 ATS (  as a home favorite this season.

BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, on Friday nights are 46-10 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Golden State played last night and lost in Dallas, and despite of playing on back to back nights and this bering their 3rd game in 4 nights, Im now expecting a bounce back by this well conditioned side vs a host that is on a 3 game losing streak and just 7-11 at home this season. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. 

GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 46-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Long and Winding Road - the iconic song by the Beatles best describes the Heats woes entering this tilt vs their host the Portland Blazers. This is Miami's 4th straight West coast road trip game and overall their 8th road game in their L/12 tilts overall. This kind of schedule will take a toll on any team, especially with the problems associated with covid protocols. With Jimmy Butler downgraded to not starting tonight for the Heat, the short handed young men form South Florida look to be a disadvantage on tired legs as visitors in Oregon tonight. Note: The Heat are also off a hard fought battle vs the Golden state Warriors last time out they lost in will be in an emotional letdown spot. 

Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Denver had a three game losing streak end last time out, against Dallas . But that was the tail end of a grueling four game  road trip for a Nuggets side that was short handed because of injuries and covid issues.  Nuggets are however,  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I know their opponents the Jazz continue to run over opponents, but from a matchup perspective the Nuggets actually align well in this head to head battle especially with  Jazz key components less than 100%  as Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert playing with nagging injuries. 

Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 71-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Denver Nuggets 

After a brief flash of brilliance from this young Houston group back in late November early December the wheels have fallen off the proverbial wagon, as the rockets have suffered 10 losses in 11 games overall including 8 straight defeats, including 3 straight by DD deficits. Needless to say the Rockets look like weak dogs here vs a Washington side that has won 4 of their L/7 and covered 6 of their L/7 . Even if Christian Wood plays tonight for the Rockets they are at a disadvantage according to my projections making the Wizards my chosen side . 

HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS after 8 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 4-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 which qualifies on the this ATS line offering. 

Play on the Wizards to cover 

We know who the superior side is here, the question is will the Suns be motivated and ready to romp to a big victory on the road? The answer is yes.  After losing 3 of 4 the Suns smashed Charlotte last time out by a 133-99 count and now look rejuvenated after an inevitable mini slump because of their high octane energy draining style of play. The last 4 meetings in this series have seen the Suns win each time by conclusive DD deficits and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here vs a inconsistent side that has lost two straight. note: PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS   in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1. 

Williams is 15-5 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5 ppg. 

Play on the Suns to cover 

The Pacers have lost 4 straight  and 7 of their L/9 while their hosts the Knicks have lost two straight. However, from a overall performance spectrum and head to head matchup analysis the Knicks are the superior side at the moment  playing with home court advantage. 

Pacers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

NEW YORK is 20-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. 

 Thibodeau is 33-17 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 10-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Pacers are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings in New York.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

When these teams played on Nov 15 the Mavs took a 111-101 victory on home court and proved to me they matchup well vs the Nuggets.Note: DENVER is just  8-18 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a  strong defensive effort vs  Oklahoma city lat time out, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Nuggets. 

DALLAS is 18-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

The Nuggets are playing well, recording three straight wins  but they have proven highly inconsistent or over rated when they are on a positive run as Malone is 16-30 ATS  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of DENVER.

Advantage Dallas.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 ppg.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota enters this tilt against the LA Lakers having lost 4 of their L/5 games, while the Lakers have won 2 of their L/3 covering all 3 times including a DD beatdown at home vs Portland last time out. After watching parts of the game against Portland and reviewing the Lakers overall play and the fact the  team  is looking healthier now , Im betting they continue their  upward momentum, with a convincing win here on their own home court vs a Wolves side without key starter Karl Anthony Towns. Note: The Lakers also have the added incentive of having revenge on board for a loss to the Wolves back on Dec 17th in the Land o Lakes. 

MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS  in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 28-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 which qualifies on this ATS Line. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Charlotte is very under rated and matchup well against explosive sides like the Suns. The Hornets rank 2nd in ppg offense in the NBA and are currently on a 3 game win streak where they have shown better defensive capabilities as well. Their current form will aid them well here, which makes them viable home court underdogs. Note: The Hornets are 11-2/ATS at home this season, while the Suns are 11-4 SU but have covered just 8 of those tilts. The Suns are also  0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

CHARLOTTE is 25-13 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24  or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS   as a home underdog this season.  CHARLOTTE is 10-0 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 season. CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

Borrego is 20-8 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are just 18-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on charlotte to cover 

Miami is on the road here and are short handed because of covid protocols and injuries, while Sacramento is unscathed and playing on the confines of their own home building. I know the Heat are deep and well coached which always makes them dangerous , but the Kings despite  of being highly inconsistent have shown flashes of brilliance and are viable underdogs with their team much healthier than their opponents .Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

 Utah enters this game having won 6 straight and 14 of their L/16 games, while the Golden State Warriors have won 6 of their L/8 overall, and are 11-4 in road games this season and are are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. like the Jazz including 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. 

The above trends give credence to an advantage taking points.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

UTAH is 2-13 ATS in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Favorites (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-44 L/25 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

Houston after showing some improvement about a month ago have now fallen back into a deep depression registering 6 straight losses, and 8 of their L/9. I know Denver is still dealing with injuries and covid protocol issues,  but according to my projections still have enough weapons to come out this with a convincing victory. 

Silas is 1-10 ATS   in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. Silas is 8-23 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 49-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-4 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.1 ppg which once again qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or les PPG differential) are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 Washington, meanwhile, welcomed Bradley Beal back from protocol in its 110-93 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday and must be respected as home dogs here vs the red hot but tired Chicago Bulls who play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off playing Indiana last night in a hard fought 108-106 win. Advantage with the home side. 

Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on Washington to cover 

Based on the style of play the Pelicans have settled into of late, I believe they are capable of hanging in against the explosive Bucks. New Orleans has won 5 of their L/6 and have momentum and confidence on their sides. With Milwaukee off a Florida vacation taking down Orlando in two straight they could easily start slowly here back in the chilly climes of Wisconsin as they get accustomed to home cooking again. 

MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 20-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Clippers  are short handed  because of injuries and covid but have some of the best chemistry in the entire NBA and bench depth and must be considered live dogs here vs a Toronto side that is a shell of itself at the moment because of covid protocols. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 at Toronto. 

Take the points with the LA Clippers 

The Celtics have lost 3 straight games and are now in desperation mode and will prepared for a bounce back vs a top tier opponent . The Celtics also have the added motivation of revenging a loss to the Suns in the desert back on Dec 10th . Note: BOSTON is 11-1 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 24-7 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA team (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 97-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Celtics to cover 

Both sides are expected to be short handed tonight because of covid protocols, but based on bench depth, G-league signings  and who is left to play, the Cavaliers are the superior side, which according to my projections makes getting points a advantageous situation. 

Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game this season.CLEVELAND is 15-2 ATS   after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. 

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 11-37  L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. 

NBA team (WASHINGTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 159-243 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Brooklyn has won 6 of its L/7 games overall, and have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings  the 76ers. Meanwhile, I know the Sixers have won 3 of their L/4 overall and have won 3 straight road games, but despite of the current positive traveling data, do not matchup well here vs what my projections say is the superior side. With Kevin Durant expected to play tonight for the Nets, laying a little lumber here is a solid investment option. 

Note: From a SRS perspective the Sixers own a 16th ranking in the league (0.17) while the Nets are ranked 7th with at (2.75). Advantage Sixers with home court edge added in. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS   off a road win this season.PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after scoring 120 points or more are 88-16 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at.+9 ppg, which qualifies on this ATS Line. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Dallas key component Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Sacramento ( Quarantine ) and there are more players being added as I write this. Advantage goes to home side Sacramento. 

DALLAS is 7-17 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

Key component for the Jazz Donovan Mitchell will be out tonight. I know their are missing bodies for the Blazers, but Im expecting a strong effort from the entire group in revenge mode for a DD  loss the team suffered back on Nov.29th .

NBA Underdogs (PORTLAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Portland to cover 

The Grizzlies are off a hard fought 3 game road trip vs the Suns , Kings and Warriors and are now in a physical  and emotional  letdown situation here in their first game back home. After road trips like this it takes teams time to get use to home cooking again, and and jet lag will be have an effect on the Grizzlies over all performance. I know the Lakers played last night, but they looked like they have some swagger back  after a conclusive road win which will suit them well here in Memphis tonight. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 31-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Pelicans have been playing better ball of late and just had a 4 game win streak end. Their chances of pulling off an upset are not particularly strong here as they face a superior Cavaliers side, but getting us the cover is however, a strong ;possibility based on their current momentum and team chemistry. Ill also add to that that this is the NBA and upsets are not out of the norm.    NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS   in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-37 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Jazz have revenge on board for a home loss suffered to the Spurs back on Dec 17th by a  128-126 count and now Im expecting they get their redemption. Previous to the above mentioned defeat the Jazz had won the L/3 meetings in this series by DDs.  

UTAH is 37-20 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-18 ATS  in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 18-50 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 44-19  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid protocols , but still have enough talent to put up a fight here vs the Nuggets and even possibly pull off the underdog victory SU. The Clippers are on three days rest and pulled off a victory as road pups at Sacramento before their rest and must not be underestimated. Note: Denver recently just lost to Oklahoma city and imploded against Charlotte last time out blowing a DD lead going into the final quarter and losing. 

Clippers are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA CLIPPERS are 47-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clippers to cover 

Sacramento enters this home game well rested and fresh after 3 days off from the hardwood and Im betting they will present some problems in revenge mode  for a Memphis side that has now lost three straight games. Note: Kings are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Memphis put a beatdown, on a tired looking Kings team on the 17th of December which will have the Kings motivated for redemption .

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on Sacramento Kings 

The 76ers are consistently weak favorites  as is evident by their    0-9 ATS mark  in their last 9 games as a favorite and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. I know the Wizards maybe without Bradley Beal tonight, but the line justification is off according to me making getting points a viable investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 35-13 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Boston has played Milwaukee tough in the recent past and covered 7 straight meetings including the L/3 here in Wisconsin.note: Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and despite of some key missing players (ie Horford and Williams) they still have enough bench strength to hang here and get us the. cover. Boston  grabbed  a 122-113 overtime win at home versus Milwaukee in the teams' first meeting on Nov. 12.

Take the points with the Celtics to cover

The Lakers have lost 3 straight games, and are short handed,  but with Russell Westbrook and LeBron James available to play tonight, Im betting  there is still enough talent to put forward a  desperate effort from the home side, and subsequent win. 

-NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. (Lakers won both meetings this season home and away and the Spurs are off a 116-92 win vs the Clippers last time out, which has them qualifying on this long term trend) Note: The Spurs are 0-4 ATS L/5 off a ATS win. 

NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 326-223 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. 

LA LAKERS is 7-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the LA Lakers to win 

Charlotte enters this game exhausted as this is their 6th straight road game. Now on tired legs and playing in the Mile High city I can see the Hornets high octane attack sputtering and their usual lack of defence imploding. Meanwhile,  Denver is off loss last time out, but this team under Malone does not take losing lightly as is evident by their  5-0 ATS mark in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Advantage Nuggets.

Hornets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Hornets are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CHARLOTTE is 30-54 ATS  in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

DENVER is 54-31 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 10-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite are 22-55 ATS  L/25 seasons for a  go against 71% conversion rate.

Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.