The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia   in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS .

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

Play on Pacers to cover 

Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. 

DALLAS is 6-18 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover

The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching  a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th)

SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season

SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

The Knicks and Heat  are both put looking for a  top-six finish in the Eastern Conference  in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us  a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. 

Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York.

Play on Miami to cover

Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. 

Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). 

Play on Warriors 

The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak  and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts.  Thunder are currently  secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star  Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . 

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder 

Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road  against the Golden State Warriors  last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and  now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Sacramento Kings to cover 

After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season.

DENVER is 5-16 ATS  after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons

Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. 

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

Home sweet home  is where Golden state plays their best  basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff  margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count  and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. 

GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more  PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover

After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things  up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS  in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland)

Play on Portland to cover 

The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form.  Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing  its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play.

Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.

Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver.

MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons

DENVER is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against  at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their  10-0 ATS  record  as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. 

UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better  of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah.

Play on Utah to cover 

The Clippers lost to Oklahoma city  on March 21st by a 101-100 count as 7 point chalk and will be primed for a big bounce back effort here tonight in the rematch. I know the Clippers are without key player George, but they are a deep group  and have the replacements ie(Eric Gordon, Robert Covington and Bones Hyland  )to excel off the bench. 

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Thunder are 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73 road games.

NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 38-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Philadelphia has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to this same Chicago side at home  few days ago and will now be primed on getting redemption in this home and home series. That defeat ended a 8 game win streak for the 76ers. Philadelphia has won and covered their L/5 trips to Chicago. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season.

NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Don't be surprised if this ends up being a defacto night off for the Bucks as they are highly likely to rest players as this game goes on vs the lowly Spurs.Note: The Spurs have covered 3 of their L/4 overall. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are just 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors,

MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS L/112 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season.

Spurs are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Minnesota have been a inconsistent most of the season, but  almost always  save their best effort for top tier opposition like they will face tonight. With the Hawks off a win vs  Pistons last night scoring 125 points in DD victory and now  playing in a back to back situation Im betting they are a disadvantage vs a Wolves side that needs wins if they have hopes of getting a play in post season spot . Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards are expected to return to the lineup tonight. 

NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 17-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the Wolves to cover 

Charlotte has lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall and are fade material in their current form , even here in their own backyard. Mean while, Indiana has won 7 of their L/11 , and have not dropped back to back games in more than a month.( The Pacers lost to Philadelphia last time out) Both of these sides are not in play off contention but the Pacers seem to be more interested in improving as the season winds down and get the nod tonight as short favs. 

Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Miami has been very inconsistent when it comes to a betting perspective as they have been consistently over rated by the lines-makers  as is evident by failing to cover 13 of their L/18 games overall which includes a DD loss last night in Chicago. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games  . MIAMI is  also 4-14 ATS when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons like Motown.MIAMI is also just  7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MIAMI is 2-13 ATS  versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. 

DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

Atlanta is not a reliable favorite as is evident by a  8-17 ATS record  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Hawks are coming off a home win, but their ability to keep momentum alive after a home victory has not been a good look for their betting supporters as they are 9-24 ATS  after playing a home game this season and 4-14 ATS  off a home win this season and overall are  8-21 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

I know San Antonio may not inspire bettors, but they do offer value on this home underdog line and have been fairly competitive of late. 

 Popovich is 113-81 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS  in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.

AN ANTONIO is 21-4 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs 

The Heat have looked good recently against some top tier teams, with with wins Cleveland , Memphis, and Atlanta and are once again viable opponents for a Bulls team playing back to back games on tired legs. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 2 days rest are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 30-51 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Heat are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Indiana has lost its last five meetings against Philadelphia, including the first three matchups this season. Sixers star Joel Embiid scored 42 points in a 147-143 win over the Pacers on March 6 . The front runner for MVP Im betting will once again be ready to bring down the hammer and help his team to a conclusive victory vs a over matched inconsistent opponent. Im also not worried about this being a back to back situation fro what my power ranking suggest is the best conditioned side in the NBA. 

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-29 L/5 seasons wirh the average ppg diff clicking in at - 11.7. 

Play on 76ers to cover 

The Denver Nuggets took a conclusive   win at Detroit on Thursday night when they snapped a season-long four-game skid and officially clinched a playoff spot. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they will be primed to keep the winning going against a viable opponent. DENVER is 21-9 ATS  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 season. Meanwhile, after a grueling 4 game west coast road trip, and despite having a few days off  Im betting the Knicks will take time to acclimated to home cooking and to also shake of the rust . 

DENVER is 24-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Play on Denver to cover 

Houston has won two straight vs the Lakers and Celtics  and seem to have momentum thanks to an intense defensive style of play that is currently clicking on all cylinders. Considering the Pelicans uneven form, it wont be a hard decision to fade them here as road favs. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Rockets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Houston Rockets to cover 

Golden State is banged up with a huge injury list and personnel  playing at less than 100%. Considering this and the Warriors struggles away from home it is an easy decision to back the Atlanta Hawks at home. GOLDEN STATE is 0-9 ATS   in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS in road games this season.

Kerr is 37-58 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. 

Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Denver will not be taking the tanking and banged up Pistons lightly tonight  Quote: "Right now we're just in chill mode, and you can't be in chill mode with 13 games to go in the season," Malone said. "We've got to try to find a way to get our swagger back." End Quote. Heres another one  -"Maybe we've gotten a little soft with success," Malone said. "We've been on cruise control for so long, No. 1 in the West since like Dec. 15. I just told our players we've gotten away from who we are." End Quote. Im betting on the Nuggets trying to get some lost mojo back and gain momentum towards the play offs with a big effort vs a less superior side tonight. Denver also has the added incentive of revenge for a embarrassing 110-108 loss to the Pistons, Dec 22. Im sure Malone will have his side ready to get some redemption. 

NBA Road teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 49-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

Boston are off a embarrassing loss to the Rockets last time out (111-109 as 13 point chalk), and will now be primed for a bounce back performance vs a side they match well against. The Celtics defeated the Wolves 121-109 earlier this season and covering as 4 point road chalk wont be a difficult prospect here especially after their recent loss to a lower tier side. 

BOSTON is 21-6 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

Finch is 4-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA.

 NBA Home underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 2-28 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Celtics to cover 

Detroit is a highly inconsistent team, and after coming off a surprising 117-97 win last time out vs Indiana , that ended a 11 game losing streak  Im betting  this banged up group will have a down effort . Their opponents the Wizards are in desperation mode after suffering 3 straight losses and in  need of wins if they hope to procure a play in game spot. Note:DETROIT is 1-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.1 ppg. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Milwaukee blew a OT loss Golden State last time out , and lost 125-116 affter making a late comeback surge and erasing 15 points . Thanks to that loss, and they way it happened you can bet the defending champs will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort. I Dont think their is an argument here who is the better team making this an easy choice on a short  chalk line. Sacramento has lost 5 straight meetings against the Bucks. 

MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS   in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less  - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.    MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS   as a road favorite this season.

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

To tank or not to tank, that is the question for Houston. Im betting this young group with a chance to upset a top tier opponent will be primed to play hard here and leave everything on the court. Meanwhile, the Celtics could easily overlook this opponent and rest players as the the game progresses. Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks are in desperation mode tonight as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves. as they look to be included  the play-in tournament  . The Hawks are chasing the  New York Knicks who are ahead of them  by 4 1/2 games in the chase for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs with only 14 contests left. With that said, Im betting the Hawks come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Note: Minnesota is banged up and are  without Karl-Anthony Towns,  . Jaylen Nowell  and Austin Rivers is less than 100% and  missed Friday's game with back spasms. 

MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Grizzlies have not played well on the road this season or more precisely have not been a  consistent side on the road as their 12-21 SU /11-20 -2 ATS road record would indicate . MEMPHIS is  also just 6-17 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Grizzlies are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Grizzlies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.

I know the Mavs are also very inconsistent but they seem to come to life vs top tier oppomnents and deserve respect here at home. Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  

Play on Dallas to cover

Golden States lost 3 straight games, and  getting  are  not the same side that dominated the NBA a few seasons back.Yes, they have played their best hoops at home , but they still have procured 7 losses as hosts and are not invincible.  Meanwhile, MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Im betting on the defending NBA champs to be wide awake here in this spot play situation. Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games.

MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover

Dallas has lost 7 of their L/10 overall and now go against a side that plays their best hoops at home where they have garnered a 27-5 record. With the added incentive of revenge for a  ugly DD loss on the road back in October to the Mavs Im now betting the combo of home court advantage and redemption will have the Grizzlies in top form and ready for merciless  retribution.  Yes, I know Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies and they are a bit banged up, but Dallas is in the same boat with key stars Doncic and Irving also injured and less than 100%.  MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

Charlotte has played alot more consistently of late winning 7 of their L/10 including 2 straight. The same cannot be said about Utah a side that has lost 9 of their L/13 overall and 4 of their L/5 . The performance divergence has me recommending we take the home dog in this spot play against a tired side now playing their 5th straight road game. 

Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win

UTAH is 3-12 ATS  in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 15-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons

UTAH is 43-61 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons

 NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

 Cavaliers held off a late Miami rally in a 104-100 win in South Florida the other night but now Im betting the Heat fight back and get the win in revenge mode.

CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons and are a sub .500 road side this season. 

NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 80-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The current No. 8 Hawks scored a 122-120 win over the Wizards, who were No. 10 entering Thursday's play and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Streaky super star Trae Young, the Hawks' leading scorer on the season at 26.7 points per game, procured  28 points  in Wednesday's win and added 10 assists and Im betting he will be their main offensive catalyst again. Washington now  enters Friday's contest trailing the Hawks by two games and ninth-place Toronto by a half-game through Wednesday's action and Atlanta can put a proverbial  dagger in their  hopes with a win here  and will be very motivated to do so. 

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in home games on Friday nights this season.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 2-26 L/27 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Milwaukee has beaten Brooklyn by 10 ,18 14 points this season and now with their key starters now gone they look like cannon fodder once again. Thanks to the Nets current 3 game win streak the Bucks will not overlook them. 

NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 4-115 L/27 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Memphis has lost both games to the Warriors this season, and are in revenge mode here this evening. The Grizzlies are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 when seeking same season revenge. I know Memphis has been a small funk of late, but they are a resilient bunch,  going  9-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons

GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS  as a road favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season this season.

MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Hawks are being over rated here as road favs vs their hosts the Washington Wizards according to my projections especially considering their current form that has seen them lose 3 of their L/4 overall. I know Washington played last night, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned sides. . Wizards are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 games playing on no rest.

Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (They lost to Miami 130-128 last time out. )

ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 15-26 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 20-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

Both these teams are on two game winning runs, with both getting their wins vs the lowly San Antonio Spurs. I know the Rockets don't inspire bettors, but here against a inconsistent Brooklyn team now playing with a average at best roster  and in rebuild mode Im betting the Rockets  can be competitive.BROOKLYN is 18-35 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 2-14 ATS  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 25-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Heat host the Atlanta Hawks for the second straight game. the Heat took the last game but have been overall very inconsistent this season, and putting back to back top tier efforts in have been rare. Note: MIAMI is 9-21 ATS in home games this season and  are 4-18 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.Trae Young is another example of inconsistency as was evident in the last game as he procured a  season-low eight points on 2-for-13 shooting against Miami on Saturday. Im betting he wont be stopped two games in a row and will be the difference maker in the rematch. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Two bottom feeder who are evenly matched go back to back today after playing each other yesterday. The Rockets found a way past the Spurs in yesterdays tilt, but now Im expecting a bounce back effort from the visitors today. Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.

HOUSTON is 3-15 ATSin home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 101-58 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Spurs have won their L/4 visits to Houston.

Play on San Antonio to cover

Bulls have revenge on board for two losses to the Pacers this season and will be primed for pay back here in this spot play at home. Indianas last four away versus opposition seeking same-season double revenge are  0-4 ATS . 

 Pacers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.

Bulls are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.Bulls are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 14-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against  conversion rate for bettors, 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

The visitor in this  series is 4-1  L/5 . The 76ers are also  5-0 vs .666  or better  non-division  op during this current campaign. Meanwhile, the Bucks are an ugly 0-5 ATS L/5 vs .650  or better  opponents  like Philly. Milwaukee's latest victory, a 139-117 decision over the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks hit a season-high 26 3-pointers in the win and now Im betting on immediate regression vs a much stronger defensive side. The Bucks have split their first two meetings against the Sixers this season, both at Philadelphia. Milwaukee won 90-88 in the season opener on Oct. 20 and lost 110-102 on Nov. 18. Im bettong another hard fought close tilt with the points proving to be golden. 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in March games are just 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 66% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

The last time these teams played   seven days ago, they took part in the  second-highest scoring game in NBA history with the Kings pulling off a 176-175 victory. While I dont expect any where near that offensive production from these teams in the rematch I do expect it to be closely contested. Note: LA CLIPPERS in their L/28 games  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons the ppg diff has clicked in at - 0.9 . Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. 

Kings are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Clippers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Utah according to my head to head power rankings matches up well vs their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder.   Oklahoma City has suddenly gone down hill of  tournament, and are on a current five-game losing streak and are fade material in their current form.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-11 ATS L/12  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Thunder are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 11-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

UTAH is 8-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 SU at Oklahoma City . 

Play on Utah to cover

Big Apple rivalry Im projecting will be alot closer the linesmakers are estimating. The Knicks earned their sixth straight victory Monday when they rolled past the visiting Boston Celtics 109-94 but now Im betting the Knicks are in a letdown spot vs a Brooklyn franchise that has won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series.

Knicks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nets to cover

I know Charlotte is playing winning hoops of late, but Detroit has also looked competitive after the all star break losing by just 2 and 4 points to Orlando and Toronto. My projections make this line closer to -5 giving us a full possession advantage on this offering. 

CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and   in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 25% or less) in all games is just 10-24 ATS. 

DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (DETROIT) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 32-11 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Motown to cover

The Knicks are playing  a back-to-back set after they returned from the break on Friday and overcame a 19-point, first-half deficit to edge the host Washington Wizards 115-109. The Knicks exerted alot of energy io that game and regression must be expected here on tired legs. Meanwhile,  the Pelicans are in a three-way tie for seventh place in the Western Conference with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State and need wins immediately to get them in a position for. aplay off run. NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA team (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 58-103 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pelicans to cover

Charlotte has been playing decent basketball of late winning 3 straight  while Miami has not and lost 3 straight . From a coaching and overall player personal standpoint Im betting the more desperate side flips the tables on both these trends tonight as the road team cruises to a victory and cover. MIAMI is 11-0 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. 

NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 33-71 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA favorites (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover

Golden State is pretty banged up with key starter Curry out. I know the Rockets never inspire bettors but they have frequently played teams tough this season, and must not be underestimated catching 10 points here on rested legs after the all star break. Yes, I know they were annihilated in back to back games before the break, but now this young group with time to stew over those embarrassments will be primed for a bounce back effort. 

HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. 

GOLDEN STATE is 4-15 ATS  in February games over the last 2 seasons

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 32-13 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover

The Bulls entered the all star break with 6 straight losses, and according to my projections a 7th straight loss should be in the cards for them again tonight against a Brooklyn team that will be more focused after unloading players who were not happy with the organization ie Kyrie Irving.Nets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Vaughn is 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of BROOKLYN. Vaughn is 30-13 ATS (in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots in all games he has coached .BROOKLYN is 18-4 ATS   in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Nets to cover 

Both these sides  are rested but have some injuries, but key here is the expected absence of Bucks star  Antetokounmpo  as well as Khris Middleton (knee) and Pat Connaughton (calf) . Im betting the Bucks are at a disadvantage without their big man in the liuneup. 

HC Spoelstra teams are 7-1 ATS when his side is on eight or more days of rest during the regular season. 

Heat are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games playing on 3 or more days rest. 

Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Heat to cover

The Raptors had won two straight and five of their past six games while New Orleans has won 4 of their L/6 overall despite of a lazy outing against the Lakers on the road before the all star break that saw them lose. The Pelicans won at home, 126-108, against the Raptors on Nov. 30 and matchup well here even with the Raptors getting healthier. 

From a SRS perspective the Pelicans rank 11th in the league with a 1.44 mark while, the Raptors rank 13th with a 0.87 . Advantage Pelicans even though the Raptors   have  home court advantage of 4 auto points. My line projections estimate the Raps. should just be 3 point chalk here giving us a full possession advantage on this line offering. 

***SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or better over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 25-41 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 44-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 ATS L/2 here in TO. 

Play on New Orleans to cover

After procuring a 6 game win streak the Cavs lost 118-112 and will now be primed to bounce back after extended rest. The Cavs also have revenge on board for a   a 13-point loss they endured in Denver earlier this season.   The  Cavs have proven resilient this season when coming off a loss going  11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS , and have won and  coved  8 of 12 this season in revenge mode for a loss of * plus points. CLEVELAND is 21-10 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 15-7 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

DENVER is 0-7 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better this season. DENVER is 1-10 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.

NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 134-83 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

After a ugly 1-9 run into the middle of January are now back in the form that fits their talent levels and matchup well vs the Clippers at home. PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons like the Clippers. PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS  vs. division opponents this season. The Suns defeated the Clipper back in Dec by DD as road chalk and get the nod again at home.

LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 60-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Suns 

Wizards enter this tilt as consistent money makers for their backers of late going 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall including 6-2 ATS L/8 away tilts. WASHINGTON is also 11-3 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

Meanwhile, Minnesota has shown a great deal of inconsistencies and not won back to back games since late Jan . They are off a win last time out, so another letdown vs a side that my power rankings suggest is a viable opponent taking points with the road side makes for what Im betting is a profitable option. 

MINNESOTA is 7-19 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for. a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Washington has won and  covered 6 straight meetings in this series including their L/2 visits to Minnesota. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Double revenge on board for Milwaukee tonight from two losses to the Bulls already this season  and Im betting with the all star break on deck, that the Bucks wont worry about pacing or rest and come at the Bulls with e for everything they have.Note:The Milwaukee Bucks are 60-6-1 ATS in matchups they win SU when playing with same-season double revenge. Bucks are 13-2 ATS L/15 visits to Chicago. 

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 34-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Bucks to cover

The Knicks are seventh in the Eastern Conference and hold a 2½-game lead over the Hawks and will be primed to keep that lead intact here tonight as they also play with revenge for a 15 point loss the last time these teams played. NEW YORK is 48-29 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.

NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season.NEW YORK is 31-17 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS   in road games after playing a home game this season.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Philadelphia has revenge on board against Cleveland tonight at home after suffering an embarrassing DD loss playing on the road in Ohio back on Nov 30th, Now with redemption at hand Im betting the 76ers will come out here with their hair on fire and get the cover and the win at home where they are 22-8 SU this season. Cleveland is a sub par .500 road side, and are at a disadvantage here in enemy territory vs a talented side with a chip on their shoulders.CLEVELAND is 26-44 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, second half of the season are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on 76ers to cover

Kings pulled off a 133-128 win vs the Dallas Mavs last time out, and with momentum on their sides are a good matchup for the Suns here tonight . Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. On the flip-side , the Suns despite of playing much better of late, are off a exhausting 5 game road trip and may take time to acclimated to playing on their own home court.Suns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

The Kings also have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns earlier this season, 

Advantage Kings. 

SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Sacramento to cover

Chicago has lost three straight games and look a little tired on the whole, and are vulnerable here against a young well conditioned Magic side. The Magic are 11-4 ATS L/15 but are off a loss last time out. However, they have shown plenty of resilience, as is evident by their  7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 games following a ATS loss which includes a 9-1 ATS run in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. The Magic also have the added motivation of revenge for a ugly 128-109  loss they suffered to the Bulls back in Orlando on Jan 28.

ORLANDO is 16-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.

Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Play on Orlando to cover

Charlotte  is tanking and has lost 7 straight games and are fade material in their current form. The Hawks have been fairly consistent for a while now, winning 4 of the L/6 SU/ATS and have revenge on board, for a 122-118 loss back on Jan 21st. 

McMillan is 26-9 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA.

ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 18-32 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 10-21 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 99-53 ATS L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto is highly inconsistent and cannot be trusted to cover this big of a spread no matter how lowly their opposition may be perceived. I know Detroit may not inspire bettors, but they did show some grit last time out with. alate come from behind win in OT and Im betting that adrenalin filled steam will give them momentum entering this tilt. Note: Detroit is 7-0 ATS L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 ATS L/3 here in Toronto as visitors.Raptors are 31-45-1 ATS L/77 games vsw sub .500 sides like Motown.

Play on Pistons to cover 

Dallas just beat Sacramento 122-114 last night and matchup well enough to bring home the cash again, especially with the added components from recent trades in the lineup. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Kings are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS L/27 in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.

DALLAS is 25-14 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 40-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

Irving and Durante are gone and now the Nets can get down to the business of playing basketball. Meanwhile, Philadelphia after playing last night will be on tired legs vs a team that feels much lighter after shedding some un wanted baggage that was causing major distractions. 

Brooklyn has won 23 of 34 games  this season vs Eastern Conference competition SU. 

BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS  as an underdog this season.Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 47-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Cleveland took the first meeting between these two sides earlier this season by a 113-103 count and a rinse and repeat situation here on the road is high probability outcome once again. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW ORLEANS is 10-20 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the  SU/ ATS offering. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Raptors having won 3 straight while the Jazz have lost 3 straight. With Westbrook being traded , the Jazz are at a disadvantage vs a side playing at home with momentum. 

UTAH is 0-7 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 5-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -8.9 ppg. 

Play on Raptors to cover 

The 76ers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Knicks in NY last week. Im betting home court advantage and the motivation of getting redemption gets us a cover with the Sixers.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Rivers is 30-16 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.

76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

76ers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (Philadelphia ) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on both the  SU/ ATS offering. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

This is one of the few teams that the Spurs matchup well against. The Spurs beat the Pistons on January 6th by a 121-109 count and Im betting will be primed for a rare win here in Motown tonight. Pistons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

DETROIT is 1-18 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NBA road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - ice cold team - having lost 18 or more of their last 20 games against opponent cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games are 48-19 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Suns are finally starting to live up to their talent base and have now won 9 of their L/12 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Indiana has lost 13 of their L/15 overall and are very much fade material in their current form even here at home. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana and get the nod to cover here again tonight. 

Williams is 28-11 ATS  when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in all games he has coached . 

INDIANA is 10-25 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 62-106 L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

This is the second meeting between these two sides, with  Nuggets getting the narrow win at home on Jan. 15 when Nikola Jokic hit a 3-pointer in the final seconds. Orlando proved in that game they matchup well vs the Nuggets. note: The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

ORLANDO is 15-7 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season. ORLANDO is 14-6 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

DENVER is 1-9 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.  DENVER is 4-13 ATS  in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team vs the money line (DENVER) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more over a division rival, in February games are 8-21 L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 136 points or more are 31-10 L/5 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Orlando to cover  

When these teams met on Jan 16th the Jazz got by the Wolves by a 126-125 count, and Im betting on another closely contested affair here again tonight. 
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 11-28 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover

Toronto pounded the Spurs 143-100  in San Antonio on November 2. It was an embarrassing event for Popovich and company and now Im betting he has this group ready to compete in a revenge mode here this Wednesday night. 

NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less. are 28-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

TORONTO is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Cleveland played yesterday and grabbed a road win vs the Indiana Pacers, but are now on tired legs . Note: The Cavs are  1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite with no rest. Meanwhile,  the Wizards are rested and desperate to get back into the win column after suffering 2 straight losses, after a 6 game winning streak. Washington has held their own against the Cavaliers of late winning 3 of the L/4 here in DC as hosts and once again have an advantage taking points.Bickerstaff is 9-22 ATS  in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of CLEVELAND and is 19-35 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or better of their shots as the coach of CLEVELAND.CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Washington to cover 

The Knicks lost a heart breaker in OT ot the Clippers last night, but are one of the leagues better conditioned sides and Im betting they find the energy to compete against tonight at home vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Knicks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games playing with no rest.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, in February games are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Knicks to cover 

The Knicks defeated the Miami Heat last time out, and now with momentum on their sides Im betting they will be competitive once again here tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game.

Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Clippers are  1-5 ATS  in 1/1 rest situations  vs non-conference opposition. 

Knicks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NEW YORK is 46-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Orlando has revenge on board for a home  loss they suffered on Nov 16th this season and will now have revenge on board. Orlando has won their L/2 visits to Minnesota, and are  8-0 ATS overall when seeking same-season revenge vs the Wolves.

Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. 

ORLANDO is 10-2 ATS  versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game this season.ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season.ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Magic are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

Indiana dropped its third straight and 10th in the last 11 games when it lost 112-100 in Memphis on Sunday and are fade material in their current form. The Lakers meanwhile, after a victory vs New York last time out, are now 6-0 ATS L/6 vs Eastern conference foes and get my support to cover as short favs here vs a side they matchup well against. 

LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season

NBA Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 70-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Lakers to cover 

From an SRS perspective the Pelicans despite of their current sub standard form are being under rated here in the underdog role vs a the powerful Milwaukee Bucks. New Orleans ranks 8th with a 1.88 SRS -While Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 1.60 mark. Adding him home court advantage still gives us adequate value with the road pup.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 40-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Bucks will be playing with Portis tonight and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted which will see the Bucks play a more defensive brand of slow down hoops that will turn this game into a grinding affair . That Im betting results in a closer margin than the lines-makers are estimating. I know the Bucks plowed down a 132-116 offensive beatdown of the Pacers back on Jan 15th but now I expect the Pacers to be in big time revenge mode and very ready to compete on. a physical  more conservative level . INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

INDIANA is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss  and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS   after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile,  the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , -  Denver is  6-1 ATS  on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. 

Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and  Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs.  Green is 26-13 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate .

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Nuggets had a long winning streak abruptly end vs Oklahoma City last time out, and Im betting 2 losses in a row are not out of the question. The Pelicans according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets as was the case earlier this season when the Pelicans crushed the Nuggets by DDs. Also we have a Pelicans side that is in desperation mode after 4 straight losses and ready to compete in a big way at home tonight where they are 17-6 SU this season. 

DENVER is 17-33 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Green is 26-13 ATS   after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Charlottes won their L/2 road games  and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Utah side that is finally coming back down to earth after an extremely fast start to the campaign. The Jazz just 5-9 SU L/14 overall. 

UTAH is 7-15 ATS as a favorite this season. UTAH is 22-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 10-26 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Lakers continue to just go through the motions , there seems to be no urgency in this LA team that depends far to much on often injured  aging super stars James and Davis who both not expected to play tonight. The Lakers mediocrity is evident by  ranking No. 27 in Defensive Scoring and 22nd overall in Offensive Rebounds. Yes, they have shown flashes of brilliance , like last time out, against Memphis winning a 122-121 slugfest , but its not uncommon for them to come off a big win with a letdown down effort something Im betting on here today vs the Blazers. LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Dallas has momentum here after a conclusive home win vs the Miami Heat last time out, and now with revenge on board vs A Clippers side that  beat them by DD last week on the road  will be motivated to keep their current energy moving upward and get redemption in the process. 

DALLAS is 26-13 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Brooklyn Nets now playing without their injured star Durant have now lost 4 straight games and are now on tired legs after playing and losing to the Suns last night and are now extremely vulnerable to being beat up on by a Utah side that is 20-7 SU and 19-8 ATS L/27 meetings , including 6-0 ATS when the Nets are playing back to backs.  Meanwhile the  Nets are 0-2 SUATS this season while coming in to a tilt against a non conference opponent  with no rest .BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

UTAH is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 17-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Utah to cover 

After a negative 6 game road trip that saw the Mavs lose 5 of 6 games, Im betting it will take the tired jet lagged hosts time to get acclimated to home cooking again a, mkaking them  vulnerable against a Miami side that is beginning to play a top tier form of hoops as is evident by notching victories in 4 of their L/5 including a road win against the New Orleans Pelicans last time out. DALLAS is 3-12 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

DALLAS is 2-11 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread this season.

Spoelstra is 30-16 ATS ( in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday night are 15-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Cavaliers have gradually put together a winning and viable team, and are playing their best hoops  since the departure of LeBron James. With the Cavs starting to form into a competitive side especially with Donovan Mitchell now in the fold Im betting we see them at their best  tonight agains the explosive Grizzlies  team that the Cavs were built to compete with. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Cavaliers are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or better of their shots are 63-108 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

76ers are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and their 3rd straight road game  and have now played 8 games in 2 weeks making them one very exhausted side.  PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Clippers now have the edge the need to get a win  on their own home court where they have played their best hoops this season.

76ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 34-15 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 53-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the Clippers to cover

The Miami Heat, who are on a three game winning streak and forming in top top tier form, Im betting will extend its recent dominance over the host Atlanta Hawks when they meet on Monday as part of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day festivities. The Heat have won 6 of the L/7 meetings losing only once by 1 point. 

McMillan is 10-24 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of ATLANTA.

ATLANTA is 3-16 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 season.( Beat the Raptors last time out)

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-37 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on Miami to cover

The Thunder can no longer surprise teams that have in the past over looked them. Now with that advantage gone , Im betting on the  Brooklyn Nets being wide awake and ready to really bring the hammer down on their young talented visiting group in decisive fashion. Especially after losing to Boston last time out at home. With that said, Im betting this will be a situation that sees the Nets take out their frustrations on the Thunder. 

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are  31-6 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Both these teams are struggling with the Rockets on a 9 game losing streak while the Clippers have lost 7 of their L/8 overall.  I know Houston has been smashed by the Clippers three times this season, but Im betting this young Houston group will be prepared for redemption today and a competitive showing.  The old adage enough is enough will be the Rockets moto today. LA CLIPPERS are 8-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-10 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover