4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES

Taking TAMPA BAY here. Yes. I had a Top 10* on Tampa last week. Please don't remind me. It hurts after a 7-3 day of Sunday NFL when you drop a loss is a Top Play. That being said, I am back on them here. I know, I know. I said on my Wednesday night podcast that I will never take TB again. Well, the points are too good to resist. We will check out Lovie's bunch one more time here. This line is a bit inflated to say the least. TB was destroyed at home by a rookie QB making his first start. What will future HOFer Brees do to them. Well, the Saints, who had once won 20 straight at home, have lost 5 straight here to end last year. Bucs played NO tough twice last year. Tough not to take a double digit NFL dog. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY 

4* Total Money UNDER Lions/Vikings

Taking NEW ENGLAND here. Look. I really think the Bills are going to be good. I know McCoy out of the back field is better than Williams. The defense is legit and can pressure Brady. But really. You are going to go against Brady on the road with that QB? Belicheat with extra prep time. And let's be honest. It isn't like he hasn't faced a Rex Ryan defense before. Who is stopping Gronk? I know that NE doesn't have great CBs, but I will gladly take a shot with Brady in a spot like this. Maybe there is no let-down after beating Luck and the Colts. Hell, if Taylor can beat Luck and Brady in b2b weeks, then my podcast prediction of Buffalo winning the division looks pretty good. Patriots 21-2 SU last 23 meetings. 9-2 ATS last 11 in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the BROWNS here. I had the Jets as an easy Sure-Shot Winner last week over this Cleveland team. And a lost a big 10* with Tampa to the Titans. So what do we have here. Simply, a huge overreaction to 1 game. Titans went in and beat Tampa while Johnny Football came in and wet the bed. A week later, I am going with the small home dog. Browns have the better defense. And let's be honest. This is a game they should win. As of this writing, I do not know the status of McCown for Cleveland. He will be an upgrade of Johnny Football, but to be honest, I don't care who is behind center. Pretty sure Tennessee won their opener last year and finished 2-14. Now they are laying points? On the road no-less!  Browns played tough at home last year with wins over Saints and Steelers, plus a 1 pt loss to Colts and 2pt loss to Ravens. Tell me why they can't beat a rookie QB here? 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Ok, we cashed with STL as our Free Play last week, while we rode the Dolphins to victory fading these 'Skins. But a look at the numbers shows us that Washington wasn't all that terrible. A punt return for a TD was the difference maker. Morris went for over 100 on the ground vs a tough Miami defense. Which I think is as good as this STL group. Now, Rams off big win over Seattle. Maybe a bit of a let-down spot? Maybe road-dome-team outside? I know Cousins doesn't inspire much hope for a Super Bowl win, but I think this team is good enough to beat St Louis who might be a bit ego inflated coming off an emotional win. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the STEELERS here. I won with SF on MNF and lost a big play with the Steelers/Pats Over on opening night. Look. Right off the bat I have to look at the rest here. Steelers with a lot of extra time to work on things. This is like a first game all over for them. Niners a big home win on Monday night, short week, heading to the East for a time change early game. I said that I thought that everyone was sleeping on SF Monday night. It showed. But here, I will grab Big Ben all day long. Beating a second year QB like Bridgewater at home and beating a Super Bowl winner on the road are two different worlds. Pitt 12-2 SU in home openers. I see them winning this by at least 10. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

5* Best Bet PENN STATE

4* Money Maker SAN JOSE STATE

Taking CAL here. These guys are my surprise PAC 12 bunch. They have a top NFL level QB. The defense has improved. Now, I am not high on laying points on the road, especially against a program like Texas. Even though the Longhorns have been down, they still get players. That being said, it will take HC Charlie Strong to get Texas back to top-flight status. Bears HC Dykes has a couple years under his belt in Berkley, and has his players. I had Texas vs ND and they were destroyed. They came home and took care of business vs Rice. Rice? Come on. Cal is not ND, but they are much better than the Owls. 4* Money Maker CAL BEARS 

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Taking GEORGIA TECH here. Man, ND has been hit with injuries. Even without those, I think they would have been in for a loss. It is one thing getting a QB ready, an entire different animal getting ready for Paul Johnson's triple option. Also, and really the only thing left to say is Paul Johnson is finally going to get to run it up against ND DC Brian VanGorder. In a nutshell, said that his offense needs to come to the 21st century. PJ and GT get to unleash some payback 9 years later. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH 

Taking NAVY here. Ok. I faded ECU last week, it didn't work out. That being said, they are going to have a difficult time here in Annapolis. They haven't done well facing the Midshipmen option over the past few years. Navy is a tough team to prep for. I think we also have a bit of a let down here for ECU after their near upset last week at Florida, plus having Virginia Tech on deck. Navy didn't play last week so they are chomping at the bit here. I think the Navy run game is going to barrel right through this ECU defense. 10* Money Bomb NAVY 

Going OVER the total here. I think that the Navy rush option is going to destroy ECU here. I know ECU doesn't have the offense of years past. But I think they will give up 20+ here. That is perfect because I believe the Midshipmen are putting up a 40+ spot on the board. 5* Total Money OVER Navy/TCU

Taking the TIGERS here. Let's be honest. Cueto has been terrible since coming over from the Reds. He has a 9.57 ERA his last 5 starts. KC struggling lately with just 4 wins their last 14 games. Cueto has given up 5 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. Verlander has given up 3 or more ERs in just 3 times since July 24 (10 starts) moving his ERA from 6.72 down to 3.58. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. We cashed with both of these teams on Sunday, but only will be 2-0 after tonight. And granted, Manning has some incredible numbers vs AFC West foes since arriving in Denver (18-1 SU), but I like the home team here. I said it last week here. KC has a nice balanced attack. Charles can pound you inside. They have Maclin to spread the field. And Kelce is looking like a beast at TE. Oh, did we mention their defense which isn't too shabby? My big concerns with Denver is with Manning. I said last week I would look to fade him later in the season as he wears down. Both teams on the short week, I think helps the Chiefs. KC can bring pressure. I am not a fan of this Broncos rush attack. I think they can negate some of the passing lanes for Manning especially since it doesn't look like he can air it out deep. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS

Taking the RANGERS here. No way Texas sweeps right. The Astros are a good team. Yes, Houston is a good team, but are in a rut right now. Rangers have been pounding these guys. I am not a big fan of McCullers, especially his road splits. Houston 0-8 his last 8 away from home.  He 1-5 4.93 ERA in 9 road starts this year with a .274 BA against and a 1.51 WHIP. The Rangers counter with Colby Lewis who is 7-0 2.57 ERA last 9 starts vs Astros.  Rangers 21-5 last 26 at home. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS 

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Taking the MARINERS tonight. Iwakuma has pitched well lately, going 7-3 3.22 L12 starts. Seattle is 6-1 his last 7 home starts vs LAA and Mariners are 8-3 his last 11 starts overall vs the Angels. Weaver is not the same guy from a couple years ago. That is clear. He hasn't pitched well vs Seattle either as LA has compiled a 3-7 mark his last 10 overall vs the M's and 2-5 his last 5 starts here at Safeco. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS

Going OVER the total here. I think this is too low. Granted, when things look too easy, they probably are. But both these youngsters clearly are going to give up runs tonight. Both teams on Over runs. Owes for Boston has gone over in 6 of his last 7 starts. Baltimore has gone over 7 of their last 8 at home. These two pitchers have ERAs approaching 7 and 10 their last 3 outings and over 5 for the season with 1.40 WHIPs. If we aren't at 10 runs by the 5th-6th, I would be shocked. 4* Total Money OVER Boston-Baltimore 

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

Taking the RANGERS here. We had these guys last night and will look for them to take over first place in the west over the slumping Astros. They are 9-4 vs Houston this season and the 'Stros are 2-5 so far on their road trip. Rangers 7-2 in Holland's last 9 home starts. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the 49ERS here. Yeah. I know that San Fran is suppose to be terrible and everyone, myself including is looking for Minny to take the next step. I like the Vikings. Like their HC. The defense is a top unit. They get back a HOF RB to help out their 2nd year QB. I get it. Not many reasons to find a reason to back the Niners. But I have a hard time backing a young QB on the road who has a losing record. I am not a big Kaepernick lover. You look at what SF has lost on both sides of the ball and the sidelines and it screams rebuilding. But their new HC was on this staff. He knows these guys. From what you read, and I take stuff like that with a grain of salt, the players had grown tired of Harbaugh's act. Well, I remember a Dallas team that grew old of Parcells, then went out and won 13 games for Wade Phillips. Obviously, much different teams. But, the common thread is new coach, players step up for him. Now they are home dogs? Weren't these guys on a NFC Championship Game 2011,2012,2013?  Yeah, 8-8 last year in a crazy season. WR Torrey Smith can spread the field for Kap. I think TE Davis, in a contract year, will show us something. They lose RB Gore, but he wasn't getting any younger. I will take a team with a lot to prove, as dogs, vs the trendy 'it' team of the moment. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

Taking the FALCONS here. I know that Philly is the hot pick. They tore it up in pre-season crushing teams and cruising to victories. But this is the regular season. I will be honest. I do like Bradford. I think he fits Chip's offense very well. The fact of the matter is the guy gets hurt. Falcons defense won't confuse people thinking they are looking Ravens 2000, Bears 85 or the Steel Curtain or Doomsday Defenses of the 70s. But they can't be worse. New HC Quinn takes off and immediately drafted defensive help. Now, Matty Ice has Julio Jones. The Eagles couldn't slow down Dez Bryant last year. How are they slowing down this beast? OK, not really fair to compare like that. But I think the Iggles defense is average at best. What keeps me from making this a stronger play is that I do worry about the Atlanta OL. With Roddy White old, and injured, I really like Hankerson. He had some flashes in Washington. The ex Hurricane is a big target and think is primed for a good season. So the Eagles have Bradford and ex Cowboy Murray behind center. If anyone forgot, the Philly OL was not a strong point last season. I like Murray, but I think he takes a step back here. Not really surprising based on his big year. Ryan and old HC Smith amassed a 33-7 home record before things fell apart the last 2 years (6-10). The offense wasn't the problem. And it still isn't. The new defense gets a tough test here opening night, but I think we pull out a win here. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS

4* Money Maker TB RAYS

Taking the COWBOYS here. Look. I am a Jersey guy. I am in the Giants backyard. I have all the ins and outs of the NFC East. I am also a Dallas fan. That being said. There is a reason this line is where it is. Dallas is the better team. Forget about how will they replace Murray. It won't matter here. The Giants secondary is leaky. They could never stop Witten. Dez is one of the best. They have slot WRs and the best OL in the league. And for all the knocking on Romo, the guy is pretty good QB. Now, Eli has Odell. That kid is good, no doubt. But I think the Cowboys defense is better than the Giants. They can make a stop or two if needed. Dallas has swept the last 2 years and I don't see anything changing here opening night. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking DENVER here. I'll be honest, I was really thinking back in July that the Ravens were going to be a big play for me. But I can't do it. I look at this game and see that the Broncos are the better team. I know that Manning is a bit long in the tooth, but I just have this feeling he comes out here and turns back the clock. This is Game 1, not 14. He hasn't taken a beating yet. Kubiak was the Ravens OC before taking over as HC here. So he knows Flacco's strengths and weaknesses. I can't see Baltimore slowing down Manning and friends much here. I remember him tossing 7 TDs opening night a could years ago..( I had the under!) So game 1. Manning not hurting. Home opener. We go Denver. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking TAMPA BAY here. I can't hide it. I like TB! Last year they cost us, but I think a year under HC Smith has helped this team. He will be taking over the defense and I think will have something special for the rookie on the other side of the field. Yes, we have a rookie behind center as well. But I think we have a bit more going in our skill position players than the Titans. Now playing on or against rookie NFL QBs probably isn't a recipe for betting success, but sometimes opportunity arises. Mariota never played in a system like this. At least Winston played pro-style in college. That takes time to grasp. Now, on the road. Come on. WR Mike Evans, and veteran Vincent Jackson both topped 1000 yards last year. That sure helps out a rookie at home. RB Martin looked like his rookie self this pre-season which also bolsters the young QB. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCS

Taking CINCINNATI here. Last year I thought that Cincy would break through and get into the AFC Championship Game. I still think this team has Super Bowl talent. They win during the regular season. They take care of who they have to beat during the year. And believe me, the Raiders are one of those team. I know there is a lot of love that Oakland will be improved. And they should be. They were brutal last year! Bengals have above average offenses and defenses. And I think that Raiders under Del Rio will improve overall, I don't think even with a new OC that the offense can pull out an upset here. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Going UNDER the total here. Clearly the Texans strength is their defense. I don't see them generating much offensive with their skill position players. For KC, they have some play-maker on the offensive side of the ball. But they aren't going to control and roll through this Houston defense. The KC d isn't bad either. They are a solid unit. I see this game playing to a 20-14, 23-10 type affair. 4* UNDER Chiefs/Texans

Taking KC here and going ML. You can get even or even +5 right now. Look, I think the Texans have a good defense. But I also think they have a poor offense. I like Andy Reid as a HC. I think he has the makings of a decent offense, although not entirely explosive, it will put up points. The KC defense should be able to contain this limited Texans offense. A steady diet of Charles pounding the ball will be enough to loosen up the D so Alex Smith can finally throw a WR a TD! 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BILLS here. Ugh. This is tough one though. Luck is clearly the best player on the field here this afternoon. The Colts though don't impress on the road or outside, and more importantly, playing against anyone other than the pitiful AFC South. Buffalo could have a top 5 defense this year. They are that good. We know that Rex will get the guys behind him early. His act wears thin after a few years, so we know that for now, this team will run through walls for him. I look for the Bills to generate a lot of pressure upfront causing problems for Luck. This might be the biggest gift to the public if the Colts win by 20. But I think the Bills defense is to stout for that. If we get a good showing from Shady at RB, we are primed for an outright win here. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS

Taking the JETS here. I have to say. Everyone think the Jets are getting picked off here and the Browns are a trendy pick. But I'm not buying it. I look at this Jets team like an old Parcells team he had. A journeyman QB (Testaverde) comes in with some angry WR (Keyshawn) and they make some noise. Now, I am not saying Bowles is the Tuna, and Marshall is Keyshawn, but, it is similar. FitzMagic is a decent QB. He is not elite, but he isn't the bottom of the barrel. He has a good RB in Ivory. Veteran duo of WR in Decker and Marshall. A very good defense to help him out. He isn't looking over his shoulder. I think this Jets team will surprise many this season. Now the Brown have a nice looking D. They have a good OL with Thomas and Mack. But their WR corp does not impress me. Their QB, Josh McCown, the guy who went 1-10 SU for Tampa last year, does not impress me. Is RB Crowell going to motor for 150 yards today? Doubt it. They are lackluster for sure. Jets need this win as they have Indy, Miami and Philly up next. New HC will want to get a win, especially since this is a team they are clearly better than. 8* Sure Shot NY JETS

Taking MIAMI here. Ok. I think the Dolphins are 10 points better. I do. They have their cornerstone QB locked up with a huge contract. The Skins benched their QB who they traded away their future for. I really don't want to knock Cousins, but he isn't very good. Washington has a couple guys around him to help, but I think this team is splintered. Bottom-line for me. Miami is the much better team. The offense has some nice weapons. The defense is going to be very good. They will be in backfield all day here on Sunday causing problems. If Miami doesn't win this by a TD I would be shocked. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE here. Am I missing something here? Sometimes when things look too good be to be true, they are. But I can't not back the Bulldogs here. We cashed last week with Southern Miss over this same group. I thought the way MSU buried them last year, will add some extra edge to those home dogs, who covered the number for us. Now we get a powerful SEC team in a home dog role. A place they are 18-3 SU since 2012. They didn't play a cup-cake last week. They had to focus on an in-state rival who was gunning for them big-time. It wasn't a sexy win, the stats weren't overwhelming. But State did what it had to do. LSU on the other hand had their cream-puff game postponed due to weather. Now, LSU, like MSU probably spent time looking ahead to this game. It is a revenger for the Tigers. But LSU does have Auburn on deck. I think the real game-play helps us out here. Won't be shocked for an out-right win, but will be happy with the cover. 10* Money Bomb MISSISSIPPI STATE 

Taking FLORIDA here. Will lay the heavy number here with the Gators. New HC for Florida and the offense looks 100% better. The defense will be just fine. They needed an offensive guy, and have one of the best on their sidelines now.Now, last year I was a big ECU backer. Had them in the bowl game over these same Gators. But that was a different team. The QB situation has taken a drastic step back as the Pirates lost their starter and bring in a back-up. Not a recipe for success in 'The Swamp.' ECU closed last year poorly, and started this year barely beating Towson. Gators big here. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

4* Money Maker MEMPHIS

5* Best Bet CAL BEARS

4* Money Maker WAKE FOREST

Taking PENN STATE here. Gave this winner out on podcast Wednesday night and am using it here Saturday. No way Penn State is coming out flat here. They just were beat by Temple for the first time in 70 something years! Look. They got up 10-0 on the road at Temple then the wheels fell off the bus. Plus the engine caught fire. And their windshield wipers broke. It was an epic loss. 10 sacks allowed. An offense that was extremely predictable. Lots of things working against them in that spot. Owls are improved bunch and clearly playing with a chip on their shoulder vs their big bad, in-state older brothers. And they took out years and years of frustration. Now enter Buffalo. They were 5-6 last year. But they now have a new HC. He ran a dynasty in D111 ball. This isn't D-3 football. This is the Big 10. Even with the scholarship losses that PSU has suffered, they are still a more talented team. Add in the fact they are off a horrible loss and this is a home opener. I expect the staff to add some spice to the offense and the defense to come out strong. They can't afford to take any team for granted when you played like they did last week. 4* Money Maker PENN STATE 

Taking UTAH STATE here. Aggies really laid an egg last week barely getting by Southern Utah. But let's be honest. Their focus was on this game. PAC 12 Utah is off a nice win over MIchigan. Not really a shock. Michigan is down. But none the less Utes not that impressive on offense and need the TO edge to pull out the win. State QB Keeton is a pretty good signal caller. I think the ugly game last week helps them since Utah won't have much film to go on. Plenty of surprises possibly on tap for the Aggies to unleash. Or at least some new looks from their new OC. Just feel this is too many points here. 5* Best Bet UTAH STATE

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker KC ROYALS

Going OVER the total here. Do we really think that Tom Brady won't be looking to run it up here? What happened in the 2nd half of that Colts game after they took his ball? How did he do in the 2nd half of that Super Bowl against the Legion of Boom? This Steelers offense will be able to put up points. Their defense could be one of the worse in football. Brady is putting up a 40 spot here in his sleep. The over is 8-2 last 10 in the series. 10* Total Money OVER Steelers/Patriots 

Taking LOUISIANA TECH here. These guys absolutely crushed WKU last year. Yes, it is a big revenge spot. Yes, some turnovers and ugly play contributed to the blow-out. Now. In any other spot I would be on Western Kentucky here. I would. But coming off a big win over an SEC team, I think they that took some wind out of their sails. LT had a cup-cake and are completely focused on WKU. Again. We cashed on WKU last week. I like this team. But It is just a bad schedule spot for them. A 14-12 game vs the SEC will take some hop out of your step. They might jump out of the box fast, but they will fade. At PK or even -1, we will grab Louisiana Tech here. 4* Money Maker LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking the RANGERS here. Texas is just a game back of Houston for the AL West lead. No way they sweep the M's on the road you say? Look. Texas is a good team. They feast on middle of the road starters which Nuno is. Actually, he is a back of the road in my eyes. Texas has won 7 of 10 and 9 of 12. 8-3 last 11 on the road. Rangers have won each of Perez's last 4 starts vs the Mariners. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the INDIANS here. You know I like this team. We have been on them for most of the year with mixed results. But we should start calling them the WINdians! Look, Sammy has been brutal the last month for the White Sox. They didn't deal him and he has just imploded. White Sox 1-6 his last 7 starts. Tribe 6, Sox 7 back of Texas for the final wild-card spot. So they still both have a glimmer of hope for October baseball. That being said, I can't take the home team here based on the way Samardijza has pitched. Indians 4-1 last 5 here in Chicago. Tomlin in his 5 starts so far has looked very good. A .71 WHIP with 32Ks in 35 innings holding batters to a .173 BA against. We'll grab Cleveland at this price. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the METS here. No way the Nats get swept at home right? Did you see the game last night. Blowing a 7-1 lead. Put a fork in Washington. They are done. They just had their souls ripped out of them. Not a chance they recover to win today. Mets have been playing like a team possessed the last month. 5* Best Bet NY METS

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS

Taking OHIO STATE here. What is there to say in this spot? Hokies came into the Horseshoe last year and won! Now it's time for pay back. I will say it is tough to lay 2 TDs on the road, but the defending champions are talented on both sides of the ball. I will be honest and tell you I really wanted to take Va Tech here. But I can't. VT hasn't been a top team in years. Urban Meyer's team is 38-3 since he took over in Columbus. This is a huge game obviously for both team. OSU has Hawaii, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan and the Indiana coming up before they get a 'decent' team again in  Maryland. This is a test simply because of the cupcakes on deck. Buckeyes are on a the cusp of a dynasty run here. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES

4* Total Money OVER Rangers/Angels

4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS

4* Money Maker TEXAS

4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M

4* Money Maker TENNESSEE

4* Money Maker AUBURN

Taking BYU here. I must be missing something here. Didn't Nebraska just bring in a new HC. A HC who likes to install pro-set offenses? Isn't Nebraska generally, a power run team? Can you really trust a new regime with an old regime players when you are coming in changing the entire offense scheme? BYU is a solid bunch. I just can't back a new HC laying a TD here, even at Nebraska. Especially against a solid team with a HC who is just as experienced in games like this. 8* Sure Shot BYU

4* Money Maker KENT STATE

Taking WASHINGTON here. Washington HC knows a lot of Boise, his old stomping grounds. He has a staff chock full of old Boise coaches and will want to come in and show the old regime that he is on top of his game, even if his Huskies are double digit dogs. Look, Petersen knows Boise. His old OC is the HC. He knows the system. I think they can possibly score an outright win here. Sprinkle some money line at +375. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON HUSKIES

4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES

4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS

Taking TULANE here. A nice revenge spot for Tulane who was blasted in Duke last year. They bring back a bunch of starters. Line has moved even though public money is coming in on Duke. 4* Money Maker TULANE 

Taking TCU here. Look. TCU found themselves on the outside looking in last year come playoff time. There is not a chance that they let Minny hang here. So the coaches are friendly. No coach is getting into a close game when every point and possession will be broken down in a play-off poll. Horned Frogs have high hopes this season. If TCU doesn't win by 15-20, I would be shocked. And frankly, if it less than a 2 TD win, they will be looking at the schedule and hoping for someone to slip up with a full blown loss to get back in the hunt. 5* Best Bet TCU

Taking IDAHO. This is a long road trip to start the year for Ohio who haven't been strong road favorites. Add in they have a much bigger on deck, a revenger vs Marshall, and the Vandals could slip in under the number here, and perhaps score an outright win if they catch some breaks. 4* Money Maker IDAHO

Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY here. Look. These guys are very good. So they are in C-USA. You don't think they are chomping at the bit to take out an SEC team. Even if Vandy is predicted as a last place team. These guys want to make a statement. The offense is very good. They have a QB who passed for over 4500 yards and a RB who rushed for over 1500. They can make you pay in the air or over land. HC Jeff Brohm's team could win the CUSA this year while 2nd year HC Derek Mason across the field is trying to build on 0-8 SEC record last year. He does have a lot of returning starters, but this is a hungry Hilltoppers team. 8* Sure Shot WESTERN KENTUCKY 

4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. This is a talented bunch these Tarheels. I like the experience they bring back on the OL. The have a potential ACC POY in their QB Williams. The defense, which was dreadful last year, can't be worse. But I expect them to be a vastly improved unit as former Auburn National Champion HC Gene Chizik is ready to transform them. Spurrier will be hoping red-shirt sophomore Connor Mitch is the man for the job behind center. The offense returns just 4 starters, the defense better with 8. They will need the D to keep the NC offense limited because they can be explosive. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA TARHEELS 

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* RL Money STL CARDINALS 

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS

4* SF Giants 

4*Texas Rangers

4* Money Maker LAD

4* Money Maker TEXAS

4* Money Maker ANGELS 

4* Total Money UNDER

Taking the SAINTS here. Grabbing another team that hasn't done much this pre-season. I know Brees lost his best option when his TE was shipped out. But I think he will be better spreading the ball around. And that is what I expect to see here. Brees getting newly acquainted with some forgotten receivers. Texans has some question marks at QB that even getting 3.5, wouldn't make me feel confident. Saints historically good at home no matter what the month. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

4* Tampa Bay RL

4* LA Dodgers

Taking the EAGLES here. Well, do we really expect Aaron Rodgers and GB to go hard here. The guy just lost his top WR. He is asking why do we play so many pre-season games. I think we will see him for a half. But the facts are here. Chip Kelly loves to run plays and score. His reserves love the guy because he doesn't sit on the ball. They have put up 76 points this August. Outscoring teams by 49 points! Maybe this is a sucker line laying 1. But I will take my chances with a team whose coach loves offense. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

4* Cleveland Indians 

4* Seattle Mariners

Taking the COWBOYS here. Look. Like everyone I know pretty much Dallas at home laying points is bad business. But the fact is that this team has put up 13 points so far this August. I get it. It's pre-season. Still. Can't like what you have seen. I expect the offense to be Romo led much of the game. VIkings have been cruising this pre-season outscoring foes by 29 points. Not real shocking since they are a perfect 7-0 under Zimmer. On the flip side, Cowboys outscored by 27. They did lose both games on the road, so being home might be a good change of scenery for them. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS here. I will be honest and say I have faded Andy Reid on more than 1 occasion during pre-season action. But this KC team, especially the offense, still has some work today. I expect to see them rise up here, especially playing at home. Alex Smith still needs to get on the same page as Jeremy Maclin to really get this offense up to speed. That being said, the Titans are still rolling out a raw rookie in Mariota. Titans did INT Smith 3 times last year here in a 26-10 win. I look for a better outing by the entire KC team here tonight. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking ARIZONA here. I do like CMart for STL. The guy has made me money this year, both at the window and my fantasy league. That being said, I think he is hitting the proverbial wall. He is has thrown about 60 more innings than last year. You can see in his last 2 months that it might be catching up to him. On the other side of the coin we have Ruby DLR who seems to be turning it on of late. A 2,54 ERA his last 7 games. His ERA was 5.06 on July 12 and now sits at 4.32. He doesn't have the sexy wow-K factor, but I'll over-look that here. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS