All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
10-21-18 | Saints +3 v. Ravens | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 42 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS |
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10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 45 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 13 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. I don't think the Titans can look any worse than that home loss last week. But the offense is rough to watch. Even the proverbial rebound after horrible game won't jet them to hurt this under. Chargers are good. I did that early prop video where I had Allen WR and Rivers QB most yards at their positions. Chargers will score a bit. But this is still a long hike from home. I see something along the lines of 24-13. 4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Chargers |
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10-21-18 | Titans +7 v. Chargers | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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10-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the WIZARDS. So we lost with these guys against the Heat. Will gladly grab them in this spot. We have the Raptors off the Celtics on Friday night. As I write this at about 845EST. I see the Boston up 25-18. This will be a tough game vs heated foe. Now they step down to the Wizards who lost against their home opener. Off a hard fought win, or a tough loss, have to fade Toronto. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON WIZARDS |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. LSU | 3-19 | Loss | -112 | 53 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. So LSU off huge win over Georgia while Bulldogs come in off their bye. Revenge card for LSU after Miss State blitzed them 37-7 last year. But the 2 games before that, 23-20, 21-19. And 34-29 back in 2014. So we do see close games most of the time. Dogs bring a tough defense, an FBS best 12.7 ppg to the table. This is not an easy place to play either. But I can see this being a FG game. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking MISSOURI. Memphis in off their Super Bowl. A loss to UCF. The season is over. It isn't like MizzU is some huge SEC team where they will be extra pumped to face. Missouri comes in off playing Alabama. It was 13-10 in the first, then Bama did their thing. So it isn't like Tigers are all depressed and out of it after a near miss. Let's lay it as I think Memphis has nothing in the tank. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI |
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10-20-18 | Northwestern v. Rutgers +20.5 | 18-15 | Win | 100 | 61 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking RUTGERS -- You can grab 20.5 but I am going MONEY LINE +900. I know it is a big, ballsy bet. We have Northwestern coming in. They are off a huge come from behind win. Down 10 late 4th. 99 yard drive to tie. Win it in OT. I guess they can come in riding high. They get to face Rutgers who has been an absolute joke of a program this year. 2-17 5 INTs last week . 8 yards passing! Northwestern with margin of wins at 3,4,10 -- Granted. No team has been as bad as this Rutgers team. It really can't get any worse than last week can it? With Wisconsin on deck, off that late win, and with Rutgers as bad as they have been, Wildcats can easily be not focused and going through the motions looking for an easy win. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army OVER 48 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 61 h 49 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. I like Army. This is a tough team. Going to still play on Black Knights even as this line has dropped from 11 to 8. They can move the ball and put points on the board. Frankly, I think they get 40 themselves. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week and Army off the bye. Redhawks first time facing this kind of offense. No contest here. 4* Total Money OVER Miami/ Army |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 39 m | Show |
Taking ARMY. Also like the OVER in this game. I know this line has moved down from 11. But I am still on the Black Knights. For all intention purposes, Army with a bye week last week as they won 52-3 over San Jose. This team just improves every week. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week. Redhawks haven't faced the option in years. You think a few days will have the ready for this. All you need to know about Army is this. - They took Oklahoma to the wire only to lose in OT. That is impressive enough. I mean, covering and losing by 20-29, ok, Sooners just overlooking them. But play to OT. Then, to top it off. Coming to Buffalo, a good Bulls team, off said heart breaker. Falling behind 7-0 a minute 10 into the game. And I had Buffalo!! - Falling behind 7-0 a minute into the game and winning 42-13! Army to the races. 45-17. 5* Best Bet ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS |
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10-20-18 | Michigan -7 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. We have Wolverines favored here - But lo and behold, the Spartans, 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this series last 10 game. MSU 17-5 ATS last 22 as dogs overall. Last year, as 13 faves at home, Wolverines fall 14-10 as O'INT, oops O'Korn tosses 3 INTs and Michigan gets nothing going on offense. Not so much of a problem this season. We have Michigan in off of crushing a decent Wiscy team. Michigan State in off a road upset of a good Penn State team. What is the difference for me is the Sparty offense, or lack of - 13 points vs Arizona State, 19 vs Northwestern - Heck, only 21 vs Penn State. Michigan has a pretty good defense themselves. Harbaugh finally getting some wins vs better Big 10 teams. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN |
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10-20-18 | Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 24 m | Show |
Taking SOONERS here. Yes, TCU with double revenge as Oklahoma picked them off twice last year. But Oklahoma in off their bye. Done licking wounds from last second FG by Texas to lose Red River Rivalry. They fire their DC so things can only get better on that side of the ball. Murray is a beast at the QB position. TCU is just having a bad year. I get the defense is still solid. The offense is down right anemic. 16-17-14 points scored their last 3 games. Sooners should win this one by double digits going away. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
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10-20-18 | Tulsa v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 4 m | Show |
Taking ARKANSAS. Ok. At first glance, this line does look a bit short. SEC only minus a TD vs AAC Tulsa squad. But the Hogs themselves just 1-6 with new HC Chad Morris enduring a tough run. Can't discount Tulsa coming in off a brutal loss against South Florida last week. Up 14 in the 4th, allow 15pt on USF final 3 drives for the loss. Ouch. Back to SEC vs AAC. I know Tulsa will want to play up to the big conference. But I can't see it happening. It isn't like we are laying double digits here. QB situation for visitors is rough. Skipper out after tossing 6 INTs to just 4 TDs and 716 yards. Enter Boomer who has been better? just 1 INT but 19 of 52 for 37% Completions. Yikes. Arkansas was competitive in 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. The put up 31 against Alabama for a cover 65-31 (+35). They did choke away a 27-10 lead over Ole Miss last game. But this is probably their last chance at a win. Chad Morris won't have his team overlooking a smaller school especially when his own school has just 1 win. Vandy, LSU at home up next, then 2 road games at Miss State and Missouri to end things. I look for a big win for the Razorbacks today. 10* Money Bomb ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS |
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10-19-18 | Predators v. Flames +103 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Grabbing the FLAMES. I get it. You want Nashville since Calgary beat these guys in the Preds home opener a little over a week ago. But I'm not buying that tonight. If Nashville had more than 1 loss the Flames would probably be a small home fave. Instead, we are getting them at a little bit of plus money. Against the grain we go for the win. 4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES |
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10-19-18 | Dodgers -120 v. Brewers | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS. You know I like Ryu. I think this guy is their ace right now. I know Kershaw is a beast, but this guy has flown undercover for me since joining LA. 2 post season starts this year, .88 WHIP 12Ks 11 innings. Zero walks. At this price, it is really one of those 'no-brainer- type games for me. Miley was more than capable for Milwaukee in his 16 starts. A 2.57 ERA in 80.2 innings of work. Again, can't knock his numbers for the Brewers. That being said though, this LA team is deep and talented. They will play today like it is Game 7. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-19-18 | Celtics +3 v. Raptors | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Rolled with these guys Tuesday in Game 1, will back them nice and rested in their Game 2. Toronto is suppose to be a top team with Boston and Philly - But I am going to hold back a bit and wait to see how their new star gels. For Boston, they are deep. They clearly have a huge edge with their HC on the bench. He knows this team, and how to use his players. Celts get it done. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICS |
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10-19-18 | Hornets v. Magic +2 | 120-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the MAGIC. So, I lost when I had the Heat opening night, and the Miami came back to bite me in the butt again as I had the Wizards. Note to self, stay off the Miami Heat. Tonight though, we will back the home dog. Orlando rebuilding. We get that. But the kids are going to play hard. Charlotte not really one of the better teams in my rankings. I don't think they should be favored on the road. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGIC |
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10-18-18 | Sabres v. Sharks -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 131 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Going SHARKS on the PUCK LINE. Again, won't lay the huge number. And although I think Buffalo is an improved team, this is a tough spot for them. San Jose well rested and will be playing first home game since dropping a 5-2 game opening night. After a 5 game road trip they get the Sabres in game 3 of their own road trip, just lost in Vegas. I think San Jose takes care of the home ice and notch the win. 4* PL Money SAN JOSE SHARKS |
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10-18-18 | Broncos -1 v. Cardinals | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS here. A rough NFL last week. Still at 61% on the year. And quite frankly, normally I am hovering around .500 this time of year as the dogs really don't come out to play for me until December (hello 76% 31-10 last December!!) 76% !! - So, as good as the start of the season has been, it will only get stronger and better as we move forward. Ok - onto Denver. For me. This is it for the Broncos. A couple feel good home loss moral victories to KC and the Rams don't have HC's keep their jobs. Joseph, I think, will be canned if he loses this one tonight. No reason to wait till a bye week or end of the year. So this will it for him. I expect a no holds barred totally effort tonight. Offense letting loose. Risky, ballsy play calling all over the place for the Broncos. - Now, for Arizona. They cost me a win in the Super Contest as they manage to lose by 10 for a push in the contest. A defensive TD hurts. And you can look, and say, hey, this team is playing tough. They are in these games. And yes. We have cashed with Rosen and the Cards as a home dog vs the Bears, and on the road vs San Fran. I just look at this anemic offense and can't see them doing much. I think Von Miller terrorizes Rosen tonight. At least Arizona is breaking in not only a rookie QB, but a rookie HC. Can't see them firing Wilks this season, even as bad as he has made this team look. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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10-18-18 | Red Sox +176 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 176 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX. I know that the Price is wrong nearly every outing in the post-season. But we have taken the Sox before as a dog. This is a 114 win team. They are pretty good. I think the wind is out of the Astros sails. Verlander is special. But they will have to go to the pen eventually today. And that has been a house of horrors this post season. Nobody can get that 3rd out. So many 2 out runs last night. Won't be shocked at another over either. But I will be on the Boston to wrap things up. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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10-18-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | 113-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the WIZARDS. Heat in off b2b. They were a fave last night over the Magic. Rallied back after being down 11 in the 4th, but couldn't seal the win. Washington with Wall and Beal will want to jump out to a fast start. I think this guys can surprise this season. Boston, Philly and to a lesser extent Toronto, the top dogs in the east. But I think the Wizards could have a nice little season. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON WIZARDS |
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10-18-18 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA on the PUCK LINE. I said in yesterday (loss) Washington PL play, we don't lay 250,3-1 with teams. Detroit comes in having given up 7-8-5 goals in their last 3 games. TB has won 11 straight regular season games vs the Red Wings. Tampa should ring up at least 4 goals, minimum tonight. Can't see Detroit getting 3. 4* PL Money TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING |
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10-18-18 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Going OVER here. Pitt has been an over machine on the road, posting 15-5-1 last 21. Series has gone over 4 straight. These guys can score, and the -130 juice reflects that. 4* Total Money OVER Pens/ Leafs |
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10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the ASTROS and going RUN LINE. Yesterday, we went both dogs. Today, both faves and going RUN LINES. Backs to the wall for Houston. I don't like Porcello. Just think in this spot, it is their season, they take care of business. Defending champs live to fight another day. 4* RUN LINE Money HOUSTON ASTROS |
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10-17-18 | Wolves +127 v. Spurs | 108-112 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the WOLVES. Everyone going to be fading these guys with the Butler stuff going on. I am thinking Butler is coming out with something to prove. He isn't going to sulk and suck up the place. He needs to show he is the man. I have the Spurs in a down year. Manu is gone. Parker is gone. Leonard is gone. Minny outright. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES |
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10-17-18 | Rangers v. Capitals -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the CAPITALS on the PUCK LINE. Not ever going to lay 3-1 on a fave. Not on the ice. Not in MLB. Not going to happen. Washington should win this one something along the lines of 5-2. 4-0. Rangers in a B2B, and in off a win. So they have to feel good about that. Probably a back up goalie spot for NY. Caps might get the Over 6 on their own. 4* PL Money WASHINGTON CAPITALS |
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10-17-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 135 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS and going RUN LINE. So we had both dogs yesterday in MLB, and today, both home teams on the RUN LINE. Dodgers pulled it out last night in extra innings. Series now tied at 2-2 and frankly, I think the Brewers have let LA off the hook. You can't give a good team chances like this. Kershaw is not the elite HOFer he was of past years - but, an decent edge on the hill when facing Wade Miley. Dodgers head back to Milwaukee with a 3-2 series edge. 4* RL Money LA DODGERS |
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10-16-18 | Brewers +143 v. Dodgers | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS. Have to say. Thought that LA would be up 2 one here. But this Milwaukee team just continues to grind out wins. Pressure starting to mount on LA. Have to jump on the hottest team playing over the last few weeks. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Everyone will be loving the Sixers and 'The Process.' They are a talented team. Not going to hear me argue that. I just think that Boston is the team to beat in the east. Boston 7-2 vs Sixers last year and 4 games they won by double digits. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICS |
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10-16-18 | Red Sox +121 v. Astros | 8-2 | Win | 121 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX. We are taking both dogs today in MLB. I thought this would be a tough series for either team. Can't overlook a Boston team that despite winning 112 games, is still getting disrespected with some of these lines in the playoffs. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -109 | 101 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Do you think this makes me happy? Laying big numbers like this in the NFL - after having our Top GOW on the Lions fading this Green Bay team? - Well, that week is behind. New week. New teams playing. I think Rodgers is getting ready to bring his fury done on the HC. McCarthy probably on the way out after this season. Favre and Rodgers for 20 years and you get 2 Super Bowl wins. What a disgrace. Cousins, Alex Smith, Stafford all a bit better than CJ Beathard. The defense should be able to do something here at home on Monday Night. Bye week up next so GB must exhibit some kind of life. Last time here, they beat up the Bills pretty good. Should see more of the same vs a banged up San Fran team. I took NE a couple weeks ago laying points at home to Miami. Said, if it's over, I will go down with one last swing on a legend. So, I say again. If Rodgers and this GB is officially on the outs, I will go down with a last swing when they know everyone thinks they are down and out on MNF. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-15-18 | Wild v. Predators -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 175 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking NASHVILLE and going PUCK LINE. Not going to lay the huge number. Would rather shoot for the nice payday on the PL. Tough travel spot for Minny here - Played at home Saturday. Sunday afternoon flight in. Lose tonight 4-1. Then fly home for tomorrow night vs Arizona. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORS |
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10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -170 | 4-0 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS. Ugh. You know I don't like laying anything like this, especially in the playoffs. But for +120/125 on the run line, I think the value does end up in the big number. Brewers strength in their bull pen and that is 100% ready for today. But Buehler for me is the big difference maker. Don't look at that outing vs the Braves. Walks did him in early. And don't forget that LAD came all the way to tie that puppy up. Kid had a .96 WHIP on the year in 137 innings. At home. 1.93 ERA .83 WHIP .174 BA against. He was dealing down the stretch. Again. A couple walks and a GS is a poor inning no matter how you slice it. I like Chacin. He had a nice, strong season. But I am taking the rookie to get it done on Monday. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-15-18 | Stars v. Senators +146 | 1-4 | Win | 146 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking OTTAWA here. So for me, a couple things. First road game for Dallas. New HC this year for the Stars, so this is his first ever NHL road trip. Tomorrow Dallas is in NJ. I will be fading the Stars in both games. 4* Money Maker OTTAWA SENATORS |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Not going to jump on the trending dog in this spot. Going with the veteran HOFer to win this one by 10. I'm not saying KC isn't a decent team or Mahomes isn't good. But beating the Chargers who find new ways to lose every week, a struggling Steelers team, the Niners, pulling out a late win at Denver and getting 5 TOs from the Jags isn't putting them to the top of my charts. Especially with the worse defense in the league giving up over 460 yards a game. Patriots with extra rest last covering for us on Thursday night vs Colts. Also with revenge from opening day loss last year. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS |
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10-14-18 | Hurricanes v. Jets -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 157 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS and going PUCK LINE. Won't lay 2-1 here. Winnipeg home while Carolina comes in fresh from a wild OT win in Minnesota where they launched 56 shots on goal! Fatigue will set in for them after that kind of game. Also, can't be happy, or we should be happy with the Hurricanes goalie play giving up 3 goals in the 3rd period and 4 goals on 27 shots. You out-shoot a team nearly 2-1 and you end up in OT. We will look for a 5-2 win here on Sunday night. 4* PL Money WINNIPEG JETS |
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10-14-18 | Jaguars v. Cowboys +3.5 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS, again. Got a win with these guys last week by a hook. I hate Garrett. You already know this from previous write ups. Draft Zeke and don't go for a win on the road in short yardage. Unbelievable. I nearly put this out +150 on the ML. Because that is what is going to happen. Dallas will be up late. And maybe Garrett pulls a Garret and they lose by 1 on a late FG. But how can you back Bortles laying points. I know he can't be worse than last week. But KC has no defense. At least Dallas has some guys to pressure the QB. Maybe they will get some INTs in the secondary eventually. Dak mobile enough not to be a sitting duck vs this defense. We need him to produce at least 1 TD in the air today. I get it. At first look, you have to play the Jags off that terrible game. But this is a back to back road game, out of conference. Big home game vs Houston up next. We either steal this or keep it close enough to cover. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-14-18 | Sharks v. Devils +112 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the DEVILS. 5th straight on the road for San Jose. Early 1pm EST start. Devils playing just their 3rd game, 2nd home after opening up in Sweden. Have looked good so far and will ride the home underdog. 4* Money Maker NJ DEVILS |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals v. Vikings -10 | 17-27 | Push | 0 | 63 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Have we finally the real deal from these guys yet? A nice road win over Philly hopefully gets them on track. Having a shot to tee off at home vs a pasty like Arizona should really get this team humming. We did have Arizona last week as a nice win at San Fran. I don't see them scoring like that today. 26 points in the final 7 minutes? Minny will not overlook the Cards. Hello. They got trucked here by a terrible Buffalo team 27-6. You think they are taking things for granted? They beat San Fran in Week 1 in a miracle cover for us. A tie at Green Bay. Tough spot short week vs Rams, loser 38-31, before last weeks win 23-21 that seemed closer than it was with a late Eagles TD. At home today, I expect for the defense to finally show some teeth vs a rookie QB. Rosen, and his Arizona teammates in an early time slot. How about 0-10 ATS run at this hour of the day? I had Minny pegged as a Super Bowl contender. Time for them to right the ship. Can't see Arizona getting to 17 points. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins +1.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Public love what is fresh in their minds. And what is fresh is Drew Brees and his record breaking performance last week. Skins walked into a buzz saw on Monday night. We knew that. We had the Saints. That game is what people think of Washington. They don't remember the Panthers sleepwalking against the Giants. We backed the Panthers last week with extra prep time and they need a 63 yard FG to walk out of their home stadium with a win. Giants are bad. I know that. I had them on Thursday night. Washington is a tough team. They knocked off GB (we had Skins) here already. Last game on the road, the Panthers gave the Falcons their lone win on the year. I think Alex Smith leads Washington to victory this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-14-18 | Colts +2.5 v. Jets | 34-42 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I am kicking myself for not taking the Jets last week over Denver. But I will easily fade NY off that game. Colts with extra rest since we faded them in that Thursday night game vs New England. Have to love any defense getting any extra prep time facing a rookie QB. And as much as I like the pick for NY, and think he is a franchise QB, the kid has a long way to go. Yes, Jets rushed for over 300 yards last week - 200+ from Cromwell. He is a 'questionable' with an ankle problem that kept him out of practice until Friday. Darnold 10-22 for 198. 76 on 1 play. So that is 9-21 for 122 - That won't win many games as a favorite. I'm not a fan of the Colts or Luck. But I think they are a decent play on team as the season progresses and he gets back in the swing of things. In this spot, just have to fade NY as small home faves. You know I don't like backing home teams giving less than 3. Being on the road 4 times in 5 weeks is tough for Indy. But the extra time off from the last game I think off-sets some of that. 4* Money Maker INDY COLTS |
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10-14-18 | Bills v. Texans -10 | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Not trying to make a habit of taking double digit faves in the NFL. That isn't healthy for long term bankroll. But I will fade the Bills here. So we Houston win last Sunday (had Dallas +3.5) in a game that both coaches appear to try to lose. I know the Bills somehow knocked off Minny at home. We saw what happened last time they traveled. 22-0 at Green Bay. A defense nothing like this one. Texans still bring the defense. And the Bills sure don't bring much offense. 47-3 in that Ravens win over Buffalo we had in Week 1. I can see something like that today. Same kind of defense. Back to Back OT games is not what the doctor ordered for sure. Add in Jaguars on deck and this good be like Minny looking ahead to the Rams. Rookie Josh Allen is just too erratic with zero NFL quality receivers. 53% completions. 2 TD 5 INTs. 23-10 gets us a cover. I see plenty of short field opportunities for Texans today. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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10-14-18 | Bears v. Dolphins +4 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So, wasn't that long ago we faded the Bears on the road against Arizona. Will do the same today. Can't trust Mitch as a favorite on the road. This Miami team has been pretty good as we try to forget blowing a 17-0 lead on the road last week. Yes, Bears off their bye week. But I think that hurts them as they looked unstoppable in that 48-10 destruction of Tampa. People love what they see. They see Miami blowing leads and the Bears scoring 40+. Have to grab the home dogs. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-14-18 | Chargers v. Browns +100 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -100 | 63 h 2 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. Tough, I know. You look up for a Top Play and it is on a team with 1 win the last 2 years. But we get the Chargers playing on the East Coast clock. They have a game in London up next. Where is the enthusiasm. We had the Chargers last week and they did not disappoint. And I do hate backing this HC. But there is zero quit in the players. Are these guys the cardiac kids or what? Tie vs Pitt. Last second loss to the Saints. Late TD for the win over the Jets. Wild shootout in OT vs Raiders. A OT win with 2 seconds on the clock last week. They sure don't make it easy for the fans. 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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10-13-18 | Colorado v. USC -7 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking USC. Ok. So one of my odd gambling angles is this. When I see a 'ranked' team getting points I like to take the fave. There are little things I do to tweak this with CBB and CFB, but in most cases, this is a play that really doesn't make us sweat when we play it. Colorado, undefeated at 5-0 catching a full TD from an under-performing 3-2 USC bunch. But we have a nice week of rest under out belts. How about USC on a 2-11 ATS runs last 13? Which is why this line is even more shocking! Now, I guess the easy thing to do would just be to grab the dog that appears to be the better team. Washington - Stanford - Alabama - Utah - Texas. Those are the teams USC has lost two recently. Not exactly upstart programs. The ATS number is bad when you historically lay double digits to schools. In this spot, we aren't laying double digits. I like the Buffs. Thought they would be decent this year. And yes, this is a big 'circle the wagon' type game as Trojans have won 8 straight in the series. But I see this being a 10pt win for the home team. Like I always say when we take an ugly dog, or in this case, an ugly favorite. If it looks to easy, it won't be. 4* Money Maker USC TROJANS |
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10-13-18 | Astros +117 v. Red Sox | 7-2 | Win | 117 | 68 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the ASTROS today. Will gladly grab Verlander in this road dog spot. Guy is 12-2 in 15 road starts this year for Houston. .98 WHIP. I know Boston is a good team. Easily won with them the last 2 games in NY as dogs. But as I faded in Game 1 of that series, I will do it again. I am just not confident in him during October. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS |
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10-13-18 | Miami-FL v. Virginia +6.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 76 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA. I do like the Hurricanes. Think of myself as a fan of The U. But this is a terribly spot for the 'Canes. Off a huge, 27-7 comeback win over Florida State - How much do they really have in the tank here? Last year, Va had these guys down 28-14 on the road before Miami rallied back. Cavaliers a better team this year. Plus, off their bye week. This is a big game for the home dogs tonight. And let's be honest with ourselves here. How many regular Joe's right now are saying. Oh man. Who is Virginia- Hurricanes can easily win this by a touchdown. Give me Bronco and the points against Perry making his first road start at QB. 4 TDs last week yes, but 13-32 throwing the ball is a bit uneven for me. Home pups as live dogs. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA CAVALIERS |
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10-13-18 | Missouri v. Alabama OVER 74 | 10-39 | Loss | -108 | 75 h 8 m | Show | |
Going OVER. Yeah. Over the 74. Until I see someone slow this team down, I am going to pencil them in for about 60 points. So they take Tua out at half-time after he tosses 5 TDs and it's 45-7. Will you not be happy when Hurts comes in and tosses 2 more TDs in the first 7 minutes of the 3rd quarter? Drew Lock has decent numbers and Missouri has shown it can score putting up 40-40-35 across the scoreboard. For this to stay under it would mean Bama pitches a shut out and wins 40-0. And that is one scenario I just don't see happening. 4* Total Money OVER Missouri/ Alabama |
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10-13-18 | Dodgers -125 v. Brewers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
Taking Ryu and the DODGERS today. Lost here last night. But I like Ryu a lot. Last night we saw 4 LA errors and the best part of Milwaukee, their bullpen, go for 7 innings. And their best guy, Hader, won't be pitching tonight. A pair of other relievers got hit a bit. Ryu has a 1.96 ERA in 4 career post season starts with a .91 WHIP - this season, 1.97 ERA in 15 starts 1.01 WHIP 89Ks in 82 innings. A clear edge on the hill for us today over Miley. Brewers will gladly take 1-1 back to LA. Give me the Dodgers all day. 10* Money Bomb LA DODGERS |
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10-13-18 | UNLV v. Utah State -27 | 28-59 | Win | 100 | 50 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. So this opened near 20 and has gone up a bunch. But that should be expected with UNLV having zero QB play. Aggies will get their 50 points tonight. I don't think the Runnin' Rebels crack 20. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +145 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 145 | 72 h 45 m | Show |
Taking OREGON. Now. The Ducks crushed our soul with they way they lost at home to Stanford. I mean. Really. How did they end up losing that up 10 with 4 minutes left in the game! So. The did bounce back from the epic loss with a win at Cal. Then they had a nice little break to gear up for Washington who rolled them 38-3 last year. You already know I like this kid Herbert at QB. I think he is the top QB in the upcoming draft. Not that I put stock on 'rankings.' But this Huskies team is just 7-11 vs 'ranked' teams. That shows me they aren't as talented against similar competition as when they beat up as mid pack teams. Give me the home dogs for the outright win this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot OREGON DUCKS |
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10-13-18 | Rutgers v. Maryland -25.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking MARYLAND. Terps, home with revenge in this spot. Rutgers is rarely competitive on the road. Even against a low-level Big 10 team like Maryland, Scarlet Knights just don't have the bodies to compete. Would maybe think this as a flat spot off Michigan. But, it is home-coming. So I can see the Terps really running it up for their fan base especially since they have last years loss hanging over them. 4* Money Maker MARYLAND TERPS |
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10-13-18 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking VANDY today. So Florida 2-7 ATS off their LSU game including 6 Straight Up losses. Gators now with 3 straight SEC wins and play in their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Now, I don't think Vandy is a good team by any stretch of the imagination. Simply a spot-play for me with the home dog and the visitor in a flat-spot. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILT |
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10-13-18 | Iowa v. Indiana +5 | Top | 42-16 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 17 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA here. Ok. first thing. College hasn't been as great as our NFL. Depending on the site, we are either 36-35 or 34-36-1. Again. Sites and lines are different where one game I could get at a better ML price and a site I might take +2. Doesn't matter. Being .500 isn't putting money on our pockets- 2nd week of October, we have plenty of time to get on track - it start here with this High Noon BEST BET - Home dog, sign me up. This is a tough little team. Off an Ohio State loss. On the road at Penn State next. Iowa is a big team for them yes. But I think they believe this is a game they can win. Like I said PSU next. Michigan down the road. Those are games they won't win. Maryland, Minnesota, Purdue are not gimmies. This team wants to go bowling. 2nd year HC Allen has a talented QB/RB combo. Back to back conference road games are tough no matter what program you are. Facing a hungry underdog doesn't help. Might have to sprinkle some ML +170/175 on these guys. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS |
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10-12-18 | Dodgers -151 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -151 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the DODGERS. This really approaches the high point of where I will lay a number and not go Run Line. But for just a +120 take back today, I will just go ML on the websites. Look. I like the Brewers team. We had them taking care of the Rockies. And I thought they would win the NL Central. So this is not a surprise. Their pitching, especially the bullpen, has been rock solid. We can talk about how Kershaw has 'bad' post-season numbers. And in the past I have highlighted his poor innings of work. In this spot, I think he can avoid that vs Milwaukee. We will see a steady stream of arms after Chacin from the Brewers. But I don't know if it will be enough to slow down this Dodgers lineup. I put in a small 100 to win 600 bet on LAD to win the World Series back on 10/2 on my Fan Dual app. Thank you NJ sports betting! - I will look for a good value spot on the Brewers when they travel to LA. 5* Best Bet LA DODGERS |
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10-11-18 | Eagles v. Giants +3 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS tonight. Now. I know you are wondering why we aren't just getting some +130 ML with the G-Men. Well, you should already know that I hate both of these teams. But I don't let my heart or feelings really get in the way of backing teams that make me ill. Plus, these are the Giants. I crashed and burned with them in home dog spot vs the Saints where they failed to show up. Then they rip my heart out last week as they put up a fight vs Carolina. What I am 100% certain of is fading the Eagles. I said this last year after Wentz went down. How could they say he would be ready by the start of the season. It's now mid-October and he still looks out of sync. Their WR situation doesn't help. Nor does the depleted RB field. Home dogs I believe are along the lines of 16-7 so far this NFL season. We have cashed with them plenty of times. Eagles now 1-6-1 ATS last 8 as faves. NYG 6-3 ATS last 9 as division home puppies. Both teams in the proverbial 'must win' spot. But only 1 is the home dog in this bitter rivalry. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
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10-11-18 | Blue Jackets +110 v. Panthers | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking COLUMBUS. Will fade Florida in this spot. One. I think the Blue Jackets are a decent team. And two. Panthers have played just once so far. This is game 4 for CBJ. I think early on it is wise to back teams, especially an underdog who is at least getting into the flow of live game play. 4* Money Maker COLUMBUS |
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10-11-18 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Sabres | 6-1 | Win | 255 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking COLORADO. I am all for the Sabres being an improved club. And I think they are. But them being a small fave or even money tonight? Not something I am comfortable with right now. Avs took 5-2 loss last time out. I think they take care of business and flip that score. 4* PUCK LINE Money COLORADO AVALANCHE |
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10-09-18 | Red Sox +111 v. Yankees | 4-3 | Win | 111 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX, again. So we opened with NY in Games 1+2 and had Boston in a huge win last night. Now, after getting smashed at home you would think it's a no-brainer to back the Yanks. I get that thinking. And I have said this before. I am a Yankees fan. But unlike some crazed fan bases, I can step back sometimes. This team for me, was still a year away. Yes they made some moves. But they were counting on, and received huge contributions from some guys. The starters were always a question mark to me. And still are. Maybe they make a move in the off-season for some front line help. But that is a November write up. This is about there very good season coming to a close. Red Sox just the better team. Normally we see some low scoring affairs, but I think this game will have runs like yesterday, just maybe not as 1 sided. Still will grab the small road dog to close things out. If you read my write up from yesterday, I said I have zero interest in backing Boone that he might do something wrong. - Well, we saw that happen. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas State +9.5 | 35-9 | Loss | -101 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking ARKANSAS STATE. Both teams off byes. I will side with the home dog and might grab +300 on the ML for a bit of change. Appy State will get a lot of love since everyone saw them hang with Penn State and lose in OT on the road. They see 72 points, 49, 52. The offense is shiny. I am not disputing that Appy State is a good team. Probably best in Sun Belt. They should win the East if they beat Troy at home. But the Red Wolves are my pick in the West. This is a lot of points and I have to side with the home dogs. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE |
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10-09-18 | Avalanche v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Sticking to head to head trends here. Under 8-1 last 9 in Columbus, and a 3-1-1 last 5 in series. 4* Total Money UNDER Avalanche/ Blue Jackets |
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10-09-18 | Sharks v. Flyers -101 | 8-2 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the FLYERS. Sharks in a back to back. Shutout yesterday so that does make this a bit tricky. San Jose out-shot the Islanders 35-30 and still came up on the short end 4-0. Looks like back up goalie in net. Philly home opener and the fans expect a good season. And please google their mascot 'Gritty' . LOL. Holy cow Philly. In GIF voice.. what is you doin' baby! -- Alright.. B2B roadies, Back up goalie. Home opener. Let's go Flyers. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA FLYERS |
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10-08-18 | Redskins v. Saints -6 | 19-43 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS tonight. Have to say, and you should know this with me by now. Hate, hate hate, laying less than a TD with the home team. Cause all I used to here from every day sports bettors was, oh man, Saints win by a TD no problem. Now, after sitting in a sports book in Jersey for 14 hours, it is 100 times WORSE!! That being said, I still think New Orleans gets it done tonight. Brees should be able to set some records tonight. The dome will be rocking. As good as the Redskins defense appears on paper (3rd in total defense), facing Arizona, the Colts, who they lost to at home, and then beating GB (and lets be honest people. GB is not that good this year - Top 10* on Lions yesterday and had Redskins over them) is a lot different than Brees at home. I do like Alex Smith. The guy doesn't make mistakes, and we also know that the Saints defense gives up points. I just think we have too many horses out of the stable tonight in what should be a high scoring affair. Also like the Over tonight - 2 winners 1 great price! 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-08-18 | Red Sox +161 v. Yankees | 16-1 | Win | 161 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX. So we had NY the first 2. And look. I like the Yanks. I'm a Jersey guy. But I have no problems making money going opposite of my heart. The value here is on the Sox. Eovaldi sports a 1.93 ERA in four starts against New York during the regular season. He didn't allow an earned run in 3 starts (16 innings) vs Yankees after being traded to Boston. He pitched for NYY. He won't be intimidated of the Bronx. 108 wins for Boston. These guys split all year long. Huge number as a dog. I can't say no. And why should I? Let's look at Sevie lately. Maybe he's turned the corner the last few starts. But he had some rough ones over the summer. Severino made 5 starts against Boston this year going 2-2 3.56 ERA with 31Ks in 30.1 innings. Obviously an all hands on deck game and the pen edge lies with the home team. But I can see Boone making some knucklehead call tonight costing his team. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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10-08-18 | Dodgers -140 v. Braves | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
Sorry for late add. Lost with LAD last night. Back on them today. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-08-18 | Astros v. Indians -116 | 11-3 | Loss | -116 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS. So, we had both 2-0 teams yesterday in the Brewers and Dodgers. Buck that and go with the home team today. Astros look like they should win this series. But I just think that the Indians are too good to get swept out. Keuchel down the stretch nothing special. 4.62 ERA last 7 starts, a 1.62 WHIP. Also sporting a .273 BA against on the road. Clevinger on the other side of those numbers. His last 7 starts a nice .85 WHIP and a 2.13 ERA. Indians hold on for another day. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. A battle for Texas. With arguably the 2 worse coaches in NFL. Though fans of the Browns, Chargers, Broncos and Cardinals might chip in their two cents. Garrett plays scared and what should have been a Cowboys cover for us turns into a loser. But for the Texans, well O'Brian really takes the cake. I will be on the Under 45 here also. Since I think we see a steady diet of Elliot from Dallas. When he isn't pounding the ball, I think we see him catch about 10 passes out to he backfield. Cowboys have a decent defense. Better than the Texans clinging to their history. After their OT win snapped a 9 game slide, Houston now a 2-12 run their last 14. 2-12! (4-10 ATS) I know Watson is suppose to be the savior for the Texans. They need OT at Indy to get to 1-3 this year. Can't trust them as a fave. We are catching a hook which helps the cause. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-07-18 | Dodgers -171 v. Braves | 5-6 | Loss | -171 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
UHHH... I can't believe I am laying this with the DODGERS. Newcomb has a 5+ home ERA. I think LA Closes things out obviously. But there is no value in the RL as you could be laying up to -120. Dodgers Sweep. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-07-18 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 5-8 | Win | 145 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA on the PUCK LINE. Tough spot for Rangers after losing last night in Buffalo. 0-2 on the year. Rest and home edge to a tough Carolina team. 4* PL Money CAROLINA HURRICANES |
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10-07-18 | Brewers +145 v. Rockies | 6-0 | Win | 145 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS. Up 2-0, we will be on them to end thing today. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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10-07-18 | Cardinals +4 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 51 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Going ugly in late action. I'll grab a rookie QB on the road. How do you trust the Niners in this spot? Oh you say. They nearly beat the Chargers last week. CJ Beathard is not going to salvage this season for San Fran. SF with some OL injuries starting to mount. Arizona has actually won 6 straight in this series. Best player on the field, Card RB David Johnson. Rosen gets his first win. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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10-07-18 | Raiders v. Chargers -4.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. So typical Chargers they nearly lose as double digit faves vs SF and a back up QB in his first start of the year. Now they face a familiar foe in division rival Raiders. Oakland got a huge OT win in what should have been a home loss to Cleveland. If an NFL game was 1 quarter, Raiders would be a perfect 4-0. But it's not. They look terrible at times. Chargers 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Probably will see a bunch of points as both defense have to make a stop this season. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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10-07-18 | Titans v. Bills +5 | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Ok. Have to be honest. This line scares me a bit. I was all in ML on Buffalo when they were getting 3. Now it has risen to 5. That isn't Joe Public money coming in. But that edge is gone for Titans backers at a FG. It was a what I thought, and probably many others, a prime let down spot. Upsetting Super Bowl Champs at home in OT. That was a very nice win while the Bills were out getting drilled again. Will probably be on the Under 40 also. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +100 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 62 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. Easy to look at this and say, oh man, Rodgers and the Pack just have to win! Easy money. Look. Not that I think the Lions are some great team. They burned me last week as I had the Cowboys. But the Dallas defense is better than this GB bunch. And let's call it the way it is. If the Bears didn't choke away opening night, Packers can be sitting with 1 win right now. They didn't look good in Washington. Think Stafford takes advantage of his WR edge on the secondary this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS. Had the Giants last week and they laid an egg at home. Now they face Carolina off their bye week. Give me the rested team. Not happy with the line, but will still back Cam and friends. This NYG team has had trouble now for the last couple years scoring. Panthers always bring defense to the party. Should be a 10pt win for the home team today. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-07-18 | Falcons v. Steelers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Late add here at about 930 Sunday morning. Taking the STEELERS. Yeah, we are going 10*. I was tossing and turning on this all week. Simple cause both teams 'need' a win was one of the reasons I chose to try and avoid it. But as I get ready for my sons football game today, I think of his teams advantages. And I just can't not think of how Big Ben has the WRs to destroy this leaky Falcons secondary. We saw it last week in their home loss. We saw it the week before in their home OT loss. Now a dome team is outside vs an always physical bunch coming off being humiliated at home on SNF. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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10-06-18 | Flyers v. Avalanche -105 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking COLORADO. Thought about +250 on the Puck Line. But let's get some bullets in our pockets on the ice before we start firing off on the puck lines. 4* Money Maker COLORADO AVALANCHE |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 | 45-23 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Will grab the home dogs here. Notre Dame off the Stanford win. Hokies 11-3 ATS last 14 as home dogs. This will be a close one. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH |
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10-06-18 | Yankees +101 v. Red Sox | 6-2 | Win | 101 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES. Sorry for the late MLB adds. |
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10-06-18 | Indians +150 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS. Rolling with these guys again. Sorry for late MLB adds. |
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10-06-18 | New Mexico +8.5 v. UNLV | 50-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking NEW MEXICO. Big line move since UNLV lost it's QB. Can't see the new guy coming in and lighting things up in his first start. New Mexico should be able to keep it close. Won't be shocked if they pulled the outright win. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO |
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10-06-18 | San Diego State v. Boise State -14 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
Taking BOISE. Just think this an big mismatch for San Diego State. They are banged up coming to the Smurf Turf. I get they are off a bye week. But when you are down your starting QB, RB and FB, you are walking into a tough atmosphere. This is a good Boise team this year. I know they have terrible ATS numbers as home favorites. Looking back a few years, I see several home non covers in between 4 game road trips, and some early games vs non-con foes. This number just seems high as if they are begging you to grab Rocky Long's bunch. Something tells me Rypian tosses 5 TDs and he climbs the conference all-time passing leader board. 10* Money Bomb BOISE STATE |
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10-06-18 | Oilers -109 v. Devils | 2-5 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking EDMONTON. Thought about +225 on the Puck Line. But let's get some bullets in our pockets on the ice before we start firing off on the puck lines. 4* Money Maker EDMONTON OILERS |
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10-06-18 | Syracuse -3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 37-44 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 30 m | Show |
Taking SYRACUSE today. Yeah. Could be a bit of let-down spot for Syracuse who had Clemson on the ropes. They just couldn't close the deal. But a good coach will have these guys ready to take out that frustration on the next opponent. Orange can't take teams for granted. 5* Best Bet SYRACUSE |
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10-06-18 | Illinois -5.5 v. Rutgers | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking ILLINOIS. I guess you can make an argument for taking Rutgers. They did beat Illinois last year. But there is no way I am coming near Rutgers. They are an auto fade for the rest of the season. No questions, they are bad. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
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10-06-18 | Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 57 | Top | 65-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 29 m | Show |
Going OVER. Look. Alabama can get this by themselves. They will score 50 points. What I am really betting on here is for Arkansas to put something on the board. 5* Total Money OVER |
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10-06-18 | Kansas v. West Virginia -27.5 | Top | 22-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
Taking WEST VA - I am not really a fan of laying huge points like this. But I think this is a statement game for West Va. Grier, if he wants to get more into this Heisman talk, need 6 TDs today. I don't doubt we put up a 50 spot here. Kansas hard pressed to put up 21. I'm looking for a 52-17 type of game today. 5* Best Bet WEST VIRGINIA |
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10-05-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS on the RUN LINE. Will never lay 2-1 on a pitcher or team. Just not good business. Hard enough to win 1, if it goes down, you need 2 games and more to get even. I think that LA is all business right now. I faded them against the Rockies and they took care of business. I didn't want to lay with Ryu yesterday, went under and won, and they handled the Braves. They just look like they are ready for October. Braves were thought to be a year or so away. They arrived early. And it will show in this series. 4* RL Money LA DODGERS |
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10-05-18 | Utah State +2.5 v. BYU | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. This BYU is tough. I get it. They have played some 'bigger' programs and won. But I can't get behind this offense right now. Even as a small home fave. Utah State is going to put up some points. Won't be shocked when the Aggies win this one outright. BYU didn't show up at all last week, so expect a focused group. Utah State off a bye week, and this is a big series for them. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
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10-05-18 | Yankees +165 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES. I know the Sox won a ton of games this year. But Sale hasn't had a quality start since July. Has he been saving himself for tonight? 0-2 8.38 ERA for the lefty in post season play last season. NY couldn't have asked for more from Happ down the stretch. 7-0 in 11 starts 2.69 ERA after the trade from the Blue Jays. A respectable 3.72 ERA in 10 playoff games (3 starts). This year 1-1 1.99 in 4 starts vs Boston. Last year, 2-0 1.90 vs the Sox. Maybe the number is high because Boston is just that much better. But I can't fade the Yanks at this price. 10-9 season series edge for Boston. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES |
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10-05-18 | Rockies v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Call it a gut call. A hunch. Whatever you want. This to me has all the look of a 10 run game. I backed the Rockies vs LA and Cubs as dogs. We had Brewers yesterday. But the way the Rockies did not quit. Coming back top 9. Well, that showed me this guys aren't to be taken likely. I don't like their pen, and think it can be hit hard. We have Chacin for the first time ever on short rest. Now, its playoff baseball. That shouldn't be a problem for a pro. But I'm not shocked to see 4-4 by the 5th today. Hit Parade in Milwaukee. 10* Total Money OVER Rockies / Brewers |
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10-05-18 | Indians +137 v. Astros | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS. Can't pass Kluber at this price. Won't be shocked at the Tribe getting to the World Series. Not saying the Astros as chopped liver. Verlander off a huge season. But he has been more dominate on the road (12-2) than at home. I know wins don't matter in today's day and age. But if your team is 8-11 at home, wins kinda come into play. Kluber again, not the strongest on the road compared to his home numbers. I just have to take this team at this price. He's given up more than 3 runs in a road game just 3 times in 16 starts. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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10-04-18 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 0-6 | Win | 104 | 36 h 49 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. Was thinking of grabbing Atlanta as a nice dog. But will side with the Under. Ryu has been great of late. A .47 ERA his last 3 starts, 1.88 his last 9. In his 9 home starts, 1.15 ERA .90 WHIP .212 BA Against. Folty with a nice year going 13-10 2.85 ERA in 31 starts. Nice road splits help up also in this spot. .199 BA against 1.08 WHIP 2.48 ERA in 15 starts. 4* Total Money UNDER Braves/ Dodgers |
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10-04-18 | Coyotes v. Stars -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 155 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Going DALLAS on the PUCK LINE. Not ever going to lay this kind of number. Not in MLB or NHL. Not high on Arizona. I see this as a 5-2 game. 4* PL Money DALLAS STARS |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots UNDER 51 | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Going to go UNDER the total. My normal thinking here. Short week. Colts banged up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk banged up as usual. For me to be on the over, it would mean I was looking for a 34-20 type game. When I think this game is going to be 27-17. 4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Patriots |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I am also on Under 51 here. And like I said in that write up. Pats working their WRs back into the flow. Gronk a little banged up. But we still have Brady. And I have zero respect for Luck and the Colts on the road right now. They have a ton of guys banged up. And who knows, maybe they all play and everyone is healthy. I still think the Pats put up 27 points. I can't see Indy getting more than 17. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-04-18 | Georgia State v. Troy -15 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking TROY. Will lay it on the short week. 34-51-49. Those are the points allowed by Georgia State prior to last weeks 46-14 win. Did I mention them getting 4 turnovers? Troy puts up 40 a game and will get their points tonight. I think this is a 20 point win. 4* Money Maker TROY |
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10-04-18 | Rockies v. Brewers -138 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS. Tough spot for the Rox. Had them Monday and Tuesday. In LA. Extra innings in Chicago. Now in Milwaukee. Pen the difference maker in my eyes. This is a good team that I still think people are underestimating. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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