All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
11-21-18 |
Jacksonville State v. North Florida +2.5 |
|
83-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTH FLORIDA. All 5 starters back and their 6th man. I do like Jackson State. But will grab the Ospreys as a small dog and if the sites had it, would be on the ML. 4* Money Maker NORTH FLORIDA -- Line is now NF +4.. still a play
|
11-21-18 |
South Dakota State -6.5 v. Colorado State |
|
78-65 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. Lost backing these guys the other day. But will jump on them in this spot. With these early tourneys, we are on or off a lot of the same teams. SDST is a tourney team that will steal a win or two. I have Colorado State nearly at the bottom of the Mountain West. 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
|
11-21-18 |
Texas-San Antonio +1 v. Florida Gulf Coast |
|
76-65 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN ANTONIO. Have to grab the 0-5 Roadrunners. This is a pretty experienced C-USA team. They get their first win this morning. 4* Money Maker UTSA
|
11-21-18 |
St. Louis -4.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
73-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking ST LOUIS. Cashed these guys as a top 10* over Seton Hall as a nice doggy outright. Today, flipping sides as a favorite. Not high on this rebuilding Pitt team. A-10 would love to take out a big Conference school. 4* Money Maker ST LOUIS
|
11-20-18 |
UL-Lafayette v. Toledo +3 |
|
64-77 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking TOLEDO. Will grab the Rockets as a little dog here. This is a pretty even game, but even on the neutral I rate Toledo as the fave. So them getting points is an auto play. ULL loses most of it's big stars from last year. So a bit of a rebuild. I think the Rockets can win the MAC this year. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO
|
11-20-18 |
Bowling Green -3.5 v. Detroit |
|
67-82 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking BOWLING GREEN. Not high on Detroit. It's that simple. Line isn't that steep. I have BG winning this by 9. 4* Money Maker BOWLING GREEN
|
11-20-18 |
Bradley +2.5 v. SMU |
|
75-62 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
First up.. What a brutal day of CBB yesterday. Obviously our worse day out of the gate this season. Not the start to a new week I looking for. 7-16 the last 2 day. Uh. Sick to my stomach. Look - I don't like losing. Taking an L is part of the job. But We have a lot of new weekly + monthly people who join up on weekends. And that is a bad taste to have in your mouth for a Friday to Monday run of plays. I hope that my long term returns for the last 30-60-90 days show everyone that a bad couple is just that. A bad couple days - It's Thanksgiving week. We aren't going to start putting plays on tilt cause a bad couple days. Our numbers are strong and we will bounce back. No matter what site you are getting my picks on - We are still on the leader-boards in NFL, College Football, NBA, NHL and just fell off CBB because of a terrible day. I was #1 or 2 in NFL Money Last year. #1, 2 or 3 in CBB Money last year. As I say on Free Pick Video. Win or lose, ALWAYS the truth. And, when the month ends, we will have a winning month. When NFL ends, I am looking to be #1 Money Leader again. We have bowls next month. Playoffs ahead. Let's get back to grinding out our winners, and build some bankroll. Taking BRADLEY. Might be able to get a bit of better line as I think everyone will come down on SMU. And I think SMU has some talent and should be right there in the AAC Title hunt. Braves are middle tier of MVC. But just think they are deeper and play a bit better defense. 4* Money Maker BRADLEY
|
11-19-18 |
Chiefs v. Rams UNDER 63.5 |
|
51-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
179 h 42 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. I just feel everyone will be thinking this is 45-40. I have to think opposite of that. 34-30 is a winner. How about Gurley for 140 yards, milking the clock for 34-28. I know we have seen some big over games this year. But if you have been following me this year or last year, or ever, you know we go outside the box sometimes. 4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Rams
|
11-19-18 |
Capitals v. Canadiens -105 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking MONTREAL. Caps finishing up a 4 game road trip, 2-1 so far. Canadiens off their own 2-1 road trip. Home here, then back on the road Wednesday for 2 days. Have to think you get a big home effort. I know it looks like a bad spot with Thanksgiving and last day with family. 4* Money Maker MONTREAL CANADIENS
|
11-19-18 |
Loyola Maryland +2.5 v. Detroit |
|
63-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking LOYOLA here. Have these guys favored even on this court. And we get Detroit giving a couple. Detroit is young with a new coach and no major parts back. Give me the more experienced club. 4* Money Maker LOYOLA MD
|
11-19-18 |
Jazz v. Pacers +2.5 |
|
94-121 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking the PACERS. 5th road game in 8 nights for the Jazz. Getting ready to head home. Indiana wrapping up 3 game home stand as a dog. I'll grab them. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS
|
11-19-18 |
High Point v. Air Force -113 |
|
69-62 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking AIR FORCE. So I see these guys at +1 in some spots. Maybe -1. I have them rated as a small fave on a neutral. My ratings show them better than that. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE
|
11-19-18 |
Old Dominion -4 v. Northern Iowa |
|
53-54 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking OLD DOM. Just another team that I am high on. 4* Money Maker OLD DOMINION
|
11-19-18 |
Auburn -10 v. Xavier |
|
88-79 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking AUBURN. One. I think they are really hounding you to grab Xavier and the points in this spot. This is different X team. New HC. Lost 2 of the better players to play at the school. 3 transfers (Columbia, San Jose St, Ferris? D2) not exactly hoops factories. Auburn already made a statement crushing Washington. Auburn is deep. Should run X out of the building and into the Pacific. 4* Money Maker AUBURN
|
11-19-18 |
Georgia v. Illinois State +4 |
|
80-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
Taking ILLINOIS STATE. Taking the dog here in the Caymans. Have Ill-St as a top MVC team. While Georgia will struggle in the SEC. This is the kind of game middies have to rise up for. This line is 4 and I have it basically a PK on a neutral. 4* Money Maker ILL STATE
|
11-19-18 |
South Dakota State -8 v. Tulane |
|
80-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. Have these guys as the kings of the Summit. Mike Daum is a beast. But also has a pretty good wing man in David Jenkins. You should already have had these guys circled as a play-on early this season. Tulane should be one of the worse AAC teams this season. 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
|
11-18-18 |
Weber State -3.5 v. CS Bakersfield |
|
67-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
Taking WEBER. Weber a proven middy out of the Big Sky. They are always at the top of the conference. This year will be no different. They just everything just a bit better than Bakersfield. The Roadrunners reloading a little bit with some part time starters back in the fold. Just have to give the edge to Weber. 4* Money Maker WEBER
|
11-18-18 |
Vikings +125 v. Bears |
Top |
20-25 |
Loss |
-100 |
101 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking the VIKINGS. Going ML. If you want to buy the 2.5 to 3, I guess that is fine. I just don't think we need the points. A nice spot with Minny coming off their bye. Playing better winning 4 of their last 5. Finally getting healthy. This is a great story going on in Chicago. Might be the only time that the Bears face a defense that is probably as good as theirs - Vikes can bring it on that side of the ball. Trubisky having a nice year. But the offense really gets rolling off the defense making plays. Bears missed 2 PATs and FGs last week. That can come back to haunt you vs good teams. This Minny team was suppose to be a top flight NFC contender. Like Zimmer to get it done on the road. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
11-18-18 |
UCF -1 v. Western Kentucky |
|
78-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking UCF. A couple teams that I like facing each other. But have to give it to UCF. Just think they are a tad better. WKU off huge win over West Va. I still think UCF is under-valued in college circles. We'll back them just as we had their basketball brethren cashed as huge 10* last night over Cincy $$ 4* Money Maker UCF
|
11-18-18 |
Lakers +115 v. Heat |
Top |
113-97 |
Win
|
115 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking the LAKERS here. I am a bit annoyed at myself since I had the Magic circled last night. Was so pre-occupied with college basketball that I didn't even bet this game, nor post it on the sites. Terrible by me. So yes, Magic last night. And as I watch the Magic cruise here with 2 minutes left up a dozen, it just cements my thoughts. LeBron goes easy, the rest of the team follows suit. Huge coming home tomorrow in Miami. That is the game he wants to put on a show.. Then, on the Wednesday night- Hello Cleveland. 10* Money Bomb LA LAKERS
|
11-18-18 |
Eagles v. Saints -7.5 |
Top |
7-48 |
Win
|
100 |
118 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking the SAINTS. We faded NO last week and it cost us. Otherwise, we have pegged these guys all season long. This line is moving. Not surprising really. Eagles O didn't look good vs Dallas. And Saints D is not as good as the Cowboys defense. But at home, Brees and the New Orleans will do damage. Golden Tate will probably score a TD this week. There is a nice prop bet if you can find it. But I don't think that Philly can slow down this machine right now. Rush, pass. Doesn't matter. NO finds ways to put points on the board. Take out a 34 game vs the Giants, and the Philly high water mark is 24 points. Not enough bullets for this battle. Scoring 22 a game and giving up 20 will get you exactly what the Eagles are. A 4-5 team. They got very hot and rode it all the way to a Super Bowl Championship. Well - things seem to lining up perfectly for a Saints run as they scored at least 40 in 5 of their nine games. A little luck doesn't hurt either. And they have been falling into their share of breaks along the way. Just 2 losses their last 11 home games. Tough stopping this group in the dome. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
|
11-18-18 |
Raiders v. Cardinals -5.5 |
Top |
23-21 |
Loss |
-107 |
52 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA. Yeah. Tough taking a 2 win team to win by 6 points. But they are playing the Raiders. The Raiders who have score 6,3,3 in 3 of their last 4 games. 5 straight losses of 14 or more points. It really comes down to this for me - Oakland is clearly 'tanking'. They want the #1 Pick. They won't get that by beating a team h2h and tying them with 2 wins. The trades of Mack and Cooper, waiving Irvin. Clear signs this team is done. I think everyone has checkout. For Arizona, a tough year sure. But they have their franchise QB. They also have a new OC who is looking to spice things up a bit. He has David Johnson who is still a stud RB. HOF Fitzgerald who should find some space vs this terrible Oakland secondary. Cards 5-1-1 ATS run shows no quit even with their poor record. *Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS
|
11-18-18 |
Broncos v. Chargers -7 |
Top |
23-22 |
Loss |
-105 |
51 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHARGERS. Had these guys last week. And even sleepwalking they managed to cover double digits. This just seems like a different all around team. Still don't like their kicking game, but man oh man, what a year from Rivers. Let's not forget Gordon either. The RB is having a great year rushing, and catching the ball. First 'home' game for LAC in 6 weeks! Remember London. They are 7-1 here at Stub Hub. Neither of these coaches are at the top of any of my lists. Maybe worse NFL lists. Broncos in the midst of a terrible year. I think Vance Joseph is out the door in January. When I see Denver I see 2 pt loss vs Houston (home0, 7pt loss on road to KC, 3 point loss to Rams (home), 4 pt loss to KC (Home) -- Plus 1 pt win at home over Oakland, 3pt win at home over Seattle. Yes. They are 'in' games. And losing is a reflection on the coach. You think Case is happy about trading WR Thomas? How the heck is he matching big-plays from Rivers today? 34-16 loss at Jets. 27-14 loss at Ravens.. That is what we will be seeing from Denver this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS
|
11-18-18 |
Indiana -3 v. Arkansas |
|
72-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking INDIANA. Man. These guys dropped the hammer on me the other night. I thought they would be good, but wasn't expecting this out of the gate. Tough to lay on the road, especially vs a SEC team. But I think the Razorbacks are a young group. I really have the rated at the bottom of the SEC. Can't see Hoosiers coming in overlooking them. As I said - young. 8 of their top 10 guys are gone from last year. 1 junior - All FR. (8) or SO. (3) Archie Miller should have Indiana ready for this, and take care of the task at hand. 4* Money Maker INDIANA
|
11-18-18 |
Panthers -4 v. Lions |
|
19-20 |
Loss |
-113 |
52 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking the PANTHERS. Have been back and forth with this. Not a fan of laying on the road. But Panthers were humiliated on Thursday night football last week. It was nice as we cashed the over, but they want to move on from that in a quick minute. Lions. Man. What are they doing? I thought they were going for it by trading for Snacks. Then they deal Tate. I like Ron Rivera over Patricia for sure. Better defense with something to prove off that Steelers loss. Lions had covered 5 straight, now 3 straight double digit losses. Short week with Bears on Thanksgiving. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS
|
11-18-18 |
Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons |
|
22-19 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS. Always tough backing this team because not only do you have an entire team on the other side of the field working against you, you have a head coach who is against you for about 40 of the 60 minutes of the game. If, huge if - If Dallas gives it to Zeke, should be a nice easy day. He is a legit playmaker. Kid is very good. He opens things up for Dak. Cooper has caught some balls since he arrived. I expect more of him vs a banged up Falcons defense. I know in the dome ATL can light it up. But the Dallas defense has actually been good. The don't get many TOs, but they don't give up a ton of points either. It is a tough spot as Falcons come in off terrible loss to Browns and the 'Boys upset Philly on the road. I'm still grabbing the points though. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS
|
11-18-18 |
Cowboys v. Falcons OVER 49.5 |
|
22-19 |
Loss |
-103 |
17 h 36 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. So, we are also on Dallas here. I think the Cowboys will get their points. They should at a minimum, put up 27-34 points. Yes. I know the have strong under trends. But I'll toss them against this Falcons defense and favorable field. Dallas does sport a good defense. But they haven't faced this kind of QB and WR combo. ATL, as it does at home, will put up their points. I'm thinking this should be over 30 points by half-time. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Atlanta
|
11-18-18 |
Titans v. Colts OVER 50.5 |
|
10-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 31 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. Thought about taking Indy in this spot. Then I think about their defense and want to take the Titans. We will go over. I like Tennessee. Had them right out of the gate to start the season. This is a tough team. Solid defense. Underrated offense. And this offense should have success vs the Colts. Forget about that Bills game. Indy let rookie Darnold 2 TDs, Bortles 2 TDs Carr 3 TDs Brady 3 TDs. We won't even really dive into the completion percentage (about 75% combined). I don't care how good Luck is. Or that they have a RB or healthy WRs. You need about 35 points to pull out games if your D is giving up numbers like this. 4* Total Money OVER Titans/ Colts
|
11-18-18 |
CS-Fullerton -7 v. Monmouth |
|
87-63 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking FULLERTON. I live in NJ. This Monmouth team is not good. This isn't that fun team from a couple years ago knocking off Power Conference schools. They are at best, a middle of the road MAAC team. CSF at best is the best, or 2nd best team in the Big West. A lot of scoring back. They should be able to pull away to a double digit cover. 4* Money Maker CS FULLERTON
|
11-18-18 |
Ball State -4 v. Appalachian State |
|
94-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking BALL STATE, again. I got nothing to say. 4* Money Maker BALL STATE
|
11-17-18 |
UNLV v. Hawaii -6.5 |
|
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking HAWAII. A good spot to fade UNLV. Big 14 point 4th quarter in a 24-13 comeback win over San Diego State for the Rebels last game. Now they are in gorgeous Hawai'i. Of course they won't be looking past the Rainbows as have state rival Nevada on deck. 4* Money Maker HAWAI'I
|
11-17-18 |
San Diego State +13.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
14-23 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. The ole bubble burst fade. We had Fresno as they blew a 17-3 lead last week and hopes of a New Year's Day bowl get flushed down the blue turf toilet. Now they have to face SDST, who, is also off a disappointing loss. But I do like Rocky Long. And nothing will get an upset loss out of their minds like taking care of Fresno. Aztecs 7-1 ATS last 8 as dogs with outright wins over Boise and Arizona State this year. San Diego State has played 8 straight games decided by one score. Fresno 18-4-2 ATS run, but that is why we are getting extra points with the dog tonight. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE
|
11-17-18 |
Maryland-Baltimore County v. High Point +1.5 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking HIGH POINT. This isn't last year.. MBC has to replace some guard play. That is big early in the season. High Point has played some solid mid-majors already. Did you Tubby Smith is coaching this group? Yeah, That Tubby with the ring from Kentucky. I'm grabbing the Panthers. 4* Money Maker HIGH POINT
|
11-17-18 |
Cincinnati v. Central Florida -7 |
Top |
13-38 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Just think this is the old 'statement' game for UCF. Disrespected again the playoff poll. Only undefeated again. Last year they did everything asked of them including beating SEC Auburn. This is a game they will want to run it up as the powers that be say 'they don't pass the eye-test' or 'who do they play'. I see a 40-50 spot being dropped tonight. College Game Day in town. Huge home game of for the Knights. Cincy D gets a lot of press. But, 1 Top 30 offense faced all year. That was Ohio, who put up 30 points and over 400 yards. Reigning in the #3 offense is a bigger challenge. UCF should win this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL FLORIDA
|
11-17-18 |
St. Louis +6 v. Seton Hall |
Top |
66-64 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking ST LOUIS. Like this bunch. A lot of good talent. If HC Ford can piece it together, this is an NCAA team. Transfers. Isabell from Drexel 21ppg 7boards -- Wiley from Maryland 6ppg . That doesn't include returnees, Goodwin 11ppg 7boards , Bess 13/7, French 9/7, Forman 7ppg, Welmer 8/5. These guys are deep. On the flip side - Seton Hall lost nearly 60% of it's scoring. STL is ready to take a big step. Nearly played them +210 on the ML here on the sites. Pirates with Powell scoring 27 and Nzei 12. After that, it is a loose ball crap shoot of where the points are coming from. Billikens get the call. 10* Money Bomb STL BILLIKENS
|
11-17-18 |
Texas State -101 v. Drake |
|
69-75 |
Loss |
-101 |
16 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking TEXAS STATE. Just think too many new pieces at Drake. Bulldogs have some growing pains to go through. Young team with a couple new transfers. This Texas State team brings back a bunch of experience and upperclassmen. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE
|
11-17-18 |
Syracuse v. Notre Dame -10 |
Top |
3-36 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking NOTRE DAME. So. It looks really nice getting a 'ranked' Syracuse team and double digits. I mean, - these guys almost beat Clemson this year and beat Clemson last year. And Clemson is good right!! Clemson lost their starting QB. They had a 3rd stringing in for the game this year. Who has Syracuse beaten? I see ratings where they are 30th or below. They trailed NC and needed OT to beat a 3 win team. They lost in OT to Pitt. Played LSU tough, Yes played Clemson tough on the road. And this is a tough spot for ND travel wise if you look at their schedule. But yet, 10 points. This line has ticked up. 5* Best Bet NOTRE DAME
|
11-17-18 |
Red Wings +140 v. Devils |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
140 |
2 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
11-17-18 |
Northwestern v. Minnesota -1 |
|
24-14 |
Loss |
-103 |
49 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking MINNESOTA. Gophers with everything to play for today. Need a win for a bowl big. Northwestern comes in as the Big 10 West Champions! Possible let-down spot? Absolutely. This line just is begging you to take the Wildcats. Ranked team, getting points. A 5-5 team vs the Big 12 West Champs. Home team please. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS
|
11-17-18 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Kentucky UNDER 46.5 |
|
23-34 |
Loss |
-107 |
48 h 26 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. So. Thought about Kentucky -16 here. But the more I think about it, the more I am on the total. We know Kentucky will run the ball. Yes, they had their season blow-up with Georgia. Then the let-down bubble of said season contributes to loss last week to Vols. Now they get Mid Tenn State. They win today and vs helpless Louisville, and it is a 10 win football season in town. That is a big deal. Also. Let's look at the Blue Raiders vs SEC teams this year. 35-7 loss at Vandy - 49-7 loss at Georgia. So, with a huge game with UAB on deck for CUSA title, you want me to believe they are coming in here full throttle? No chance. 4* Total Money UNDER Mid Ten St / Kentucky
|
11-17-18 |
Michigan State v. Nebraska +110 |
|
6-9 |
Win
|
110 |
48 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking NEBRASKA. Give Scott Frost some credit. This season could have really went off the rails with their poor start. But there has been zero quit in his troops. 3 wins in 4 games. I know the defense is shaky. But Michigan State offense is the opposing teams best defense. Toss out Huskers 3-7 straight up record. They are better than that. 0-4 in games decided by 5 points or less. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA
|
11-16-18 |
Blues v. Golden Knights -1.5 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking GOLDEN KNIGHTS on the PUCK LINE. I know I will continue to get messages about how you don't like PLs and would rather lay -160. Just like when I take ML dogs, some like the points. It is your choice. But I think the Knights cash this game 4-1. Not high on the Blues. Got to town last night, and, well it's Vegas. First game of a b2b for them, so we will keep on the line for tomorrow also. A nice 2-1 deal for you. STL on a 1-5 road run. 4* PL Money VEGAS KNIGHTS
|
11-16-18 |
Memphis v. SMU +9 |
|
28-18 |
Loss |
-105 |
55 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER
|
11-16-18 |
Memphis v. SMU OVER 72.5 |
|
28-18 |
Loss |
-111 |
55 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking SMU. So neither team really shows up with a defensive game plan. Have to play the home dogs at this price. Somehow tied for 1st in AAC West sitting at 5-5. They beat Houston and Tulane, both teams they are tied with at 4-2 in conference play. Memphis at 3-3 and looking to leapfrog to the top of the West. Not sure it will be that easy. One - We have seen them on the road give up 41-65-40 this year to ECU MizzU Tulane. SMU has put up 63-45 in their last 2. They seem to be finding a groove right now. Memphis has put up 50+ 5 times and got to 47 once. Again the OVER will also be in play tonight. This won't shock me to be at 50 by half-time. Who will be shocked when this is a 55-49 game to start the 4th? 4* Money Maker SMU + OVER
|
11-16-18 |
Towson v. Pepperdine |
|
65-74 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking PEPPERDINE. So. I will tell you. Not a fan of Romar at all. We know the guy can recruit. First round drafts all over the place. But getting Ws is a problem. I though about Towson. But they just have a lot of role pieces back from last year. Waves bring back some double digit scores. I know this is hike from Cali. And, I can't say who's family is affected by the fires, if any. Best case, I have the Waves moving up to the WCC, while I have Towson pegged towards the bottom of the CAA. 4* Money Maker PEPPERDINE
|
11-16-18 |
Connecticut v. Iowa -3.5 |
Top |
72-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking IOWA. Although pegged for a middle tier Big 10 team, I like Iowa in this spot. Everyone real contributor back for them. They beat a pretty good Ducks team last night. Let-down. Nah. Then we would have to say let-down for UConn. Huskies ceiling was about basement level. But with a new HC, they took down old Big East rival Syracuse last night. Think size and experience wins out tonight. 5* Best Bet IOWA
|
11-16-18 |
Syracuse v. Oregon +1 |
Top |
65-80 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking OREGON. Both of these guys were probably thinking they were going to be playing in the 2K Classic Championship Game. Look. This is like a home game for 'Cuse. I think they are ok. I mean -middle of the road ACC team. Will be ranked, and go dancing. I have Ducks pegged for the top of the PAC 12. I like Dana Altman. I think this team is pretty good. And I will grab them this afternoon. 5* Best Bet OREGON DUCKS
|
11-16-18 |
Florida A&M v. Campbell -11 |
|
59-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking CAMPBELL. No interest in Florida A&M. Big South isn't a sexy conference, but they have better teams than the MEAC. And the Camels are right on Radford's heels for the top spot. Campbell should be able to pull away from these guys. 4* Money Maker CAMPBELL
|
11-16-18 |
Ball State +3 v. Alabama |
|
61-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking BALL STATE. Had these guy last game, will do it again. Faded Alabama last game, will do it again. 4* Money Maker BALL STATE
|
11-16-18 |
Oregon State v. Old Dominion +120 |
|
61-56 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking OLD DOMINION. Oregon State not a great PAC 12 team. I will grab the C-USAers today. Ducks young and this is long haul from home. 4* Money Maker OLD DOM
|
11-16-18 |
Central Connecticut State v. Austin Peay -3 |
|
78-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking AUSTIN PEAY. Will grab these guys again. Lost with them vs So. Florida. I know that CCS has a local legend at the helm- And it has translate so far this season. This is a school we should keep an eye on. Beating their local rivals, and playing Georgetown tough- They will have Peay's attention. Both teams on the young side. Still have the Govs rated higher really based on the OVC being better than the NEC. CCS is really a 2 man show right with Kohl 25ppg and Krishnan at 18. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY
|
11-16-18 |
Montana -22.5 v. Incarnate Word |
|
93-66 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking MONTANA. This is a lot of fading of Incarnate Wood. These guys are bad for even Southland Conference standards. 4 So. and 9 Frosh on the roster? Montana was a NCAA team last year. Should be back again this year. This is a veteran team. I know Montana to the Bahamas has to be a great trip in mid November. But I think they take care of business. Size, experience, (especially Guard play which I rate huge early) and the lack thereof for Wood. I'll lay it. 4* Money Maker MONTANA
|
11-16-18 |
Virginia Tech v. Northeastern +5.5 |
|
88-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
Back on NORTHEASTERN. Fading VT again. Nothing changing. We like the CAA experienced team. This is a big game for them. Big, bad ACC. No motivation needed. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN
|
11-15-18 |
Predators -1.5 v. Coyotes |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking the PREDATORS and going PUCK LINE. In off a pair of losses. I think they come focused and angry. Yotes in off their own losing road trip. Difference is, I think Nashville is clearly the better team. They don't want to go home 2-3 on this road trip. Good teams get the job done. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORS
|
11-15-18 |
Packers v. Seahawks -3 |
|
24-27 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking SEATTLE. Had thought about these guys yesterday at 2.5 or the total. I still like the over a bit. We will see some points tonight. GB is not that good. Coach is garbage. 0-4 on the road. This Seattle team. Man, I was wrong. I put out Under their win total way back in July and they have a shot at getting the over right now. Look. Seahawks even off 2 losses are tough, especially at home. They were in these games late vs the Rams and Chargers. We cashed GB last week. Pretty easy as they were off Rams and Patriots and get the Dolphins at home. As I said. 0-4 on the road. Losses at Washington, Detroit, Rams, Patriots. Wilson getting some RB help that just makes him better. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
|
11-15-18 |
Belmont v. Lipscomb +2 |
|
87-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking LIPSCOMB. Everyone probably knows that Belmont is the class of the OVC. But Bisons do a pretty good job taking care of business in the Atlantic Sun. All 5 starters and nearly everyone back from a team that won 23 games last year. In those were 2 victories over the Racers winning both in the home and home. 74-66 away and 69-54 at home. Belmont will be replacing their PG this season. And for a mid-major, they do restock talent. They have just 3 big contributors back from last season. Will grab the home dog here. 4* Money Maker LIPSCOMB
|
11-15-18 |
Panthers v. Blue Jackets -124 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking COLUMBUS. Thought about going Puck Line for +220. But need to string some straight up wins together. Started November with 5 straight losses on the ice before rebounding with wins in 4 of the last 5. So we'll grind it with the small home fave. Florida has reeled off 4 straight since getting back from Finland. But here they are in game 2 of a 6 game road trip. 4* Money Maker COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
|
11-15-18 |
Hartford +2.5 v. Quinnipiac |
|
68-54 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking HARTFORD. So the Hawks won by 2 last year over Q - In 3 of the last 4 years we have seen win margins of 2-4-4. Q lost to Villanova by 33 in their first game of the season. Not sure if that is good or bad. I mean, you would think Nova would go easy on an ex-coach. Then see Nova get trucked by Michigan. So is Q that bad? I don't think that. I mean, Hartford comes in 0-2, losing to Utah State 100-73 and Mississippi State 77-59. I can toss out Utah State, as the Aggies are always tough at home and that is tough place to play. SEC team still an SEC team vs America East. I think this is a good measure for both clubs. Just that I have higher numbers on the dog right now. 4* Money Maker HARTFORD HAWKS
|
11-15-18 |
Delaware v. Cornell -2 |
|
73-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking CORNELL. Just think we are going to see a jump in improvement from these guys. Have both towards the bottom ends of their conferences. Blue Hens do have some scoring punch back- Just think that we score a close win. 4* Money Maker CORNELL
|
11-15-18 |
Alabama v. Northeastern +3 |
|
52-68 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHEASTERN. Another smaller school. Love me my middies. Again. A team that should be at the top of the CAA when things roll around in March. Already played a tough Boston team, and beat Harvard who should be the Ivy NCAA team. Experienced team that plays great defense getting a couple points. I'm in. Alabama is your typical middle of the pack Power Conference team. They will get an invite based on 21 wins and being in the SEC. Give me the hungry dogs. 4* Money Maker NORTHEASTERN
|
11-15-18 |
Ball State +7.5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
64-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking BALL STATE. You know we are dogging up early here. I love my mid-majors who are favored to win their conference stepping up vs the big boys. VT is a very good team. 3 starters back. Deep, experienced bench. But give me the disrespected little guys. Cards bring back their own top 4 scores, plus a couple decent transfers from the SEC(Missouri, Arkansas). These guys beat Notre Dame last year. They won't be scared of another ACC team. 4* Money Maker BALL STATE
|
11-14-18 |
Bruins v. Avalanche -107 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking COLORADO. Just like the Avs in this spot. Boston a tough team. But Avs have the offense to answer. 4* Money Maker COLORADO AVALANCHE
|
11-14-18 |
Marquette +6 v. Indiana |
|
73-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking MARQUETTE. So we get big name action tonight. Have both of these guys almost at the top of their respected conferences. I think that Wojo could be on the hot-seat if this team doesn't move the meter in March. It's a talented bunch. Archie Miller in year 2 for the Hoosiers. Still getting his troops in order. I think at this point in time, Marquette has the edge. With the points, have to grab the dog. As the season moves a long, I will be watching more closely this Indiana bunch. 4* Money Maker MARQUETTE
|
11-14-18 |
Northern Arizona v. Nebraska-Omaha -8 |
|
76-66 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking NEBRASKA. So we had South Dak over the Lumberjacks last game. Ended with a push on the sites, but bettors most likely cashes as the line came down in before tip-off. You know how little I think of Northern Arizona. Omaha isn't any great shakes either out of the Summit. But I think they have more on the shelf than NA. Hate to lay it, but I think this is a double digit win for the home team. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA OMAHA
|
11-14-18 |
Seton Hall v. Nebraska -8 |
|
57-80 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking NEBRASKA. Yeah, I'm in Jersey. Hall in my back yard. Only 5 Pirates have seen significant play. and that was as role players. A pair of transfers, 2 freshmen and a walk-on man the bench. Nebraska in off 22 win season with some high hopes with 4 starters back. Hall have to make up for 4 3-year starters who departed. Cornhuskers with the chip on the shoulder out of the gate should pull away to a double digit win. 4* Money Maker NEBRASKA
|
11-14-18 |
Boston University +4 v. Albany |
|
71-61 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking BOSTON U. Give me a dog who has a core back who averaged 13-10-9-9ppg. Albany with 6 freshmen and 3 sophomores. A slew of new guys trying to make it work. 4* Money Maker BOSTON U
|
11-14-18 |
Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 |
|
17-52 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking OHIO. Easy to think Buffalo is the play. You look at the 9-1 record. Getting a couple points. I'm not interested. Will go the other way. Ohio clearly caught looking ahead last week. Both teams can score. But I'll grab the MAC home team tonight. 4* Money Maker OHIO
|
11-14-18 |
Toledo +3 v. Wright State |
|
74-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking TOLEDO. Now. I like Wright State. Think they are a decent Horizon team. Should be a the top of league play with Ill-Chi. But the Raiders have a lot of new faces. Both teams lost their best player from last year. The Rockets, to me, have the deeper team. Have to grab the points in this mid-major battle. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO
|
11-13-18 |
Hawks v. Warriors UNDER 229 |
|
103-110 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER. Look. Have said it before with the GS team. Gotta pick and choose our spots. No Curry - Off OT - Hawks in town. Zero motivation. This is game they do just enough to win. And in there case, they are still like 10 points better than most teams even on their B game. This total is down from the open, and I wasn't posted on the sites till after it moved a few points. I still think we are the right side. This game will probably get to 222 or so- Should be safe. 4* Total Money UNDER Hawks/ Warriors
|
11-13-18 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tennessee State -6 |
|
83-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking TENNESSEE STATE. Probably don't even know what conference these schools play in. Quick report. Little Rock should be a bottom feeder in the Sun Belt. 22-42 the last 2 years. New HC in NBA coach Darrell Walker. Plenty of turnover on the roster. It was clear in their first game. An OT win over South East Oklahoma State. You need to go to out when you are shooting 56% from the floor vs SE Ok St? Now, Tenn State isn't an OVC juggernaut. In fact, they are a bottom tier team. But, gotta like their coach. Even with a young team he goes into Lipscomb (A-Sun top dog) with all 5 starters back, and puts up a good fight losing 86-79. Had it at 74-73, but couldn't pull it out. Just think that the 2 teams are at different levels right now. And that's the coaching edge. Going to lay it here. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE STATE
|
11-13-18 |
Panthers v. Flyers UNDER 6 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. These guys went 6-5 SO in their first meeting back in mid-October. Can't see that scoring tonight. Under is 9-3-1 last 13 in the series. 4* Total Money UNDER Panthers / Flyers
|
11-13-18 |
Mercer v. Georgia State -11 |
|
60-62 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA STATE. These guys should be dancing this year out of the Sun Belt. Very talented. Size, depth. A stud NBA prospect leading the way in G Simonds. Mercer lost 2 of their top scorers. Not sure who steps up. I can bet that it won't be one of 7 freshman on the 13 man roster. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA STATE
|
11-13-18 |
Rhode Island v. College of Charleston -2 |
|
55-66 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking CHARLESTON. I like this ole College of Charleston squad. Think they can battle for the top spot of the CAA with Northeastern and Hofstra. This is really a fade of the Rhode Island. New coach in place. Yes, he was the assistant to Hurley who left. But only 3 returning rotation players. That is a lot of new parts to fill in with a guy making a big jump in his first coaching gig. Playing another mid-major on their home court not an easy place 5 freshman to learn on the fly. I always tend to favor a home team, in this case, one that is basically in a Pk'em position over a 'bigger' school. Small A10 vs smaller CAA. This is like a big brother / little brother fight. 4* Money Maker CHARLESTON
|
11-13-18 |
NC-Greensboro -6.5 v. NC-Wilmington |
|
82-61 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking GREENSBORO. 4 of their top 5 scored back on a 13 seed from last year. This team is probably the class of the SoCon. They are team I will be looking to back often early on. We have a huge in state game - Bragging rights on the smaller level. Not NC/ NC State, but there is probably enough bad blood here. Wilmington out of the CAA is a nice little team. They have some talent. But I just think in the end, UNG is pulling away for a double digit win here. Home dogs are nice. And I love me some doggies. I have UNW pegged as a middle road level team in conference. NCG will want to make a statement. 4* Money Maker NC GREENBORO
|
11-12-18 |
Predators -1.5 v. Ducks |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking NASHVILLE and going PUCK LINE for the payday. Small schedule on the ice tonight. Was also looking at Dallas Stars, but decided on Preds. Couple things on this - 1 we have Nashville winners of 5 straight over Anaheim. 5 straight road wins on top of that for the Predators who are just rolling along right now. Ducks just don't seem to have the offense to compete here. Also - And this really might not even matter, but an observation -we have some crazy fires in Cali that everyone is aware of. I just have to think, not only for the Ducks, but for any team out in California. How is this really affecting them? I don't know where any of these guys live. Or their families for that matter. But like a hurricane bearing down on a state, this has to weigh a bit on their focus. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORS
|
11-12-18 |
Giants +3.5 v. 49ers |
Top |
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 54 m |
Show
|
Taking the GIANTS. So. Going ugly here. What worries me is this line moving up a half point. I don't really like that too much. I know that SF looked good last Thursday vs the Raiders. But, it was the Raiders. New York in off their bye week. You have to think that they are going to get Barkley more touches. Kid is electric. And that will open things up for Eli to at least complete pass to another unworldly talent in ODB. And I say that as someone who can't stand the G-Men. But those 2 guys are great. I know the race is on for a top pick, but this team has too many veterans and attitudes to mail it in. I saw 2 spots with conflicting SF trends. 2-9-1 ATS last 12 as a fave and 1-12 ATS last 13 as fave. So maybe they used different closing numbers. In taking NYG, I am under the impression that their HC gets away from relying on Eli and moves more to the RB he took at the top of the draft. Rested dog gets the call in Prime Time. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS
|
11-12-18 |
Illinois-Chicago +5.5 v. Duquesne |
|
88-89 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
Taking ILL-CHI. Look. Don't be fooled by 0-2. They lost to Notre Dame and Radford. Who? Radford? Like is that a school named for Robert Redford? - Radford was only in the Big South Championship Game last year, and should do it again this season. As for Ill-Chi. I have these guys right in the fight for the top of the Horizon. This is guard driven team with a lot of experience back. Not sure what to expect out of the Dukes early. They 2 bring back a pair of 14ppg scoreres. Plus, a huge influx of transfers - 3 from the MAC (Akron, Miami O) plus Memphis and Missouri. And 7 freshman. There are a lot of new working parts that will take time to get on the same page. As I said - Flames a bit more experienced, getting a nice number. We'll side with the dogs. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS CHICAGO
|
11-12-18 |
Northern Arizona v. South Dakota -16 |
|
74-90 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTH DAKOTA. This Northern Arizona team isn't very good. Yes, they just won a game. But they were 5-27 last year. 9-23 the year before, 5-25 before that. So is this they year they are 27-7? No. Have them at the bottom of the Big Sky again. SoDak brings back 4 starters. Yes, their star player is gone. But this is still a good team. It is a big number to lay for sure - 4* Money Maker SOUTH DAKOTA
|
11-12-18 |
Austin Peay +1 v. South Florida |
|
70-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Taking AUSTIN PEAY. So, I have these guys pegged for the top couple spot of the OVC. I have South Florida in a dog-fight for one of the worse teams in the AAC. Whenever I can get a small school that I believe is better in game like this. I am on them. Have a good mix of SRs and younger players. USF is in for a long season. A couple of grad transfers to go with 1 returning started and really, a bunch of youth. This is a game Peay must win. 4* Money Maker AUSTIN PEAY
|
11-11-18 |
Dolphins v. Packers -10 |
Top |
12-31 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking the PACKERS. Not a fan of laying double digits that's for sure. Especially with a coach I hate. And this guy ranks up there with his brothers from Dallas, Chargers and Denver. But this QB is a beast. He actually is getting some RB help. I like when A-Aron is angry. This Miami team is like a JV club coming to town after the Patriots and Rams. Miami does have a pretty schedule if you look at records and who they have to play. They are projected to be a AFC 6 seed. GB with Seattle and Minny on deck. They can't overlook an AFC team. They can't overlook anyone when you are 3-4. Dolphins needed a lot of extra help, as in 4 INTs to get a win over the Jets (Miami my Top 10 LW)- And I am grateful for the win. But that shouldn't inspire much confidence as they come to a cold city with Brock leading the troops. If Osweiler keeps Miami in striking distance I will really be shocked. 5* Best Bet GB PACKERS
|
11-11-18 |
Chargers -10 v. Raiders |
Top |
20-6 |
Win
|
103 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHARGERS. Yes. Very tough laying this with the Chargers since I can't stand their HC and I don't think they know they need a placekicker to score points. But it is clear that the Raiders are checked out and looking forward to Vegas. Picking up draft picks and cutting vets. Rivers having a monster year. Gordon back. LAC can name their score. I'm thinking something like 27-6. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS (took me 3 times to write this as I keep putting SD instead of LA)
|
11-11-18 |
Florida Atlantic v. UCF -20 |
|
80-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
|
Laying it with UCF. Just think they want to dominate this game. A lot of points yes. But beating up on an in-state rival is good for recruiting. FAU I have rated near the bottom of the C-USA. New faces for the Owls as HC comes over from Florida to try to give this program some life. Plenty of pain along the way. Knights have some talent and I think they eventually pull away to a 25+ point victory. This is a senior laden team, with plenty of upperclassmen. This is the year for them. 4* Money Maker UCF
|
11-11-18 |
Hofstra +7.5 v. Marshall |
|
72-76 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking HOFSTRA. Marshall had a nice little in showing in CUSA tourney and knocking off Wichita State. But this Hofstra team will have no problem putting up points and playing at the Herd's pace. CAA doesn't get much love, but I think they are over-looked. This Pride will be right at the top of the conference standings come March. And this isn't to sell Marshall short. They should be right in the thick of CUSA. Too many points to pass up. 4* Money Maker HOFSTRA
|
11-11-18 |
East Tennessee State +12.5 v. Creighton |
|
69-75 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking EAST TENN ST. These guys no strangers to playing up for 'bigger' schools. Even though Steve Forbes brings in a bevy of new JUCO talent, the guy wins. Not very high on Creighton this year. This is a lot of points to give to a scrappy program. If we had better 3pt shooting I would probably rise this up to an 8, or even 10* play. 4* Money Maker EAST TENN STATE
|
11-11-18 |
Patriots v. Titans +7 |
|
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking the TITANS. Uh. Going against Brady and friends. Never really a wise move. We did cash with the Patriots over Green Bay last time out and failed to cover as we had Dallas Monday night. (Side note, only loss for me on a 4-1 Super Contest day currently 18th overall out of 3200 people) So we have seen ex Pats in the form of Lions HC get the better of their former mates. We have that again today. Plenty of ex NE's on the Titans side of the field. Tennessee lost 35-14 to NE in last years playoffs. This years team is bad on offense. I get it. But the defense is a top unit. I think they hang here. Have to grab the TD with a home dog who knows their way around the Patriots thinking. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS
|
11-11-18 |
Jaguars +3 v. Colts |
|
26-29 |
Push |
0 |
16 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking the JAGUARS. I get we have 2 teams that look totally different right now. Jax off their bye week. Licking their wounds. Benching QBs. Pointing fingers. Train running off the tracks. While Indy looks like things are great with Luck healthy and back behind center. They have 2 straight beating the Raiders and the Bills. Not exactly NFL royalty. This team gave up 42 points to the Jets and were in the throes of a 4 game losing streak when Buffalo arrived with Derek Anderson at QB who they pulled out of a rest home. This is the Jaguars season. The defense did an awful lot of talking and has produced just 7 TOs after 33 last year. Time to step up and Jax has had success vs the Colts. Jags 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 8-3 ATS last 11 in Indy. Will also be looking at the Under in this game. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
|
11-11-18 |
Jaguars v. Colts UNDER 47 |
|
26-29 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total. Under 11-3 last 14 in the series and has gone under in 7 straight here in Indy. Colts have gone 5-1 under their last 6 in division play. Jax 12-4 to the under last 16 vs AFC teams and 5-1 in their AFC South. 4* Total Money UNDER Jax/ Colts
|
11-11-18 |
Saints v. Bengals +6 |
Top |
51-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
26 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking the BENGALS. Now. We are 6-1 when betting Saints game. Had TB in Game 1, lost our fade of them vs NYG. In this spot, I will again go against them. More a situational spot more than anything. NO comes in winners of 7 straight. A tough come from behind win over Baltimore on the road. And ugly win at Minny. Then, shooting out to a fast lead, only to the Rams tie it up at 35, before winning by 10. That is an emotional run the last couple weeks. And, Super Bowl Champion, Philadelphia Eagles on deck. Losing out of conference isn't a bad loss by any stretch. Maybe a slight look ahead. Cincy in off their bye week. Dome team outdoors. Bengals quietly the most efficient red-zone team in the league. Again. Ravens missed a PAT that would have forced OT. Vikes turned the ball over at the worse time. Rattling off 10 points after a Rams rally. You need some luck to go along with talent to win. But you can't get that every time you suit up. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS
|
11-10-18 |
Northern Iowa -4 v. Texas-Arlington |
|
65-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking NORTHERN IOWA. Total revamp going on for Arlington. So we will see how they mesh with the JUCO influx as the season progresses. Panthers knocked off UTA last season by 4 last year at home, 62-58. Mavs wilted in the 2nd half scoring 2 points in a 6 minute scoreless drought - going from up 50-43 with 8 to play, to down 59-52 with 2 to play. Panthers a bit more experienced. With a new HC and plenty of new pieces, nobody is looking for payback. I have NI near the top of MVC, while Arlington I have rated near the bottom of the Sun Belt. 4* Money Maker NORTHERN IOWA
|
11-10-18 |
Eastern Kentucky +3.5 v. Chattanooga |
|
81-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
Taking EASTERN KENTUCKY. Chattanooga off a bad year, and I think the woes continue. EK has their own small rebuild going on. But they have the best player on the court. F Nick Mayo should carry this team on his own today. 4* Money Maker EASTERN KENTUCKY
|
11-10-18 |
South Florida v. Cincinnati -14 |
Top |
23-35 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking CINCY. Man. South Florida was undefeated 2 weeks ago. Then Houston beat them by 57-36. They followed that up as a 7pt home fave and losing to Tulane 41-15! USF 33-3 last year. We will see that flipped tonight. Cincy in off blanking Navy 42-0. They are licking their chops at a wounded Bulls team. USF 2-7 ATS. So even when they were winning, they were over-valued and under performing. Cincy 6-3 ATS on the year. Bulls defense in for a long night - last 3 road games, 57-24-42 points allowed. Bearcats last 3 at home 42-37-34. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BEARCATS
|
11-10-18 |
San Jose State v. Utah State OVER 64.5 |
|
24-62 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total. Won't be shocked if Utah State nears this on their own. 61-10 on the road over these guys last year. 56-61-59-45-42-73-60.. Aggies can put up some numbers. We need San Jose to muster a score or two for good measure. Because 55-0 just isn't good enough. 4* Total Money OVER San Jose/ Utah State
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11-10-18 |
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -3 |
|
22-52 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
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Taking PITT today. Not liking the VT rush defense at all in this spot. Panthers are on a tidy 4-0 ATS run. VT at 4-4 on the year. Not a nice season at all. But, this is the Backyard Brawl. So we toss records out. That being said, Pitt has been getting better as the season progresses, VT in a tail-spin. I want to say with everything points in Pitt's direction. Upset win over ranked Virginia last week. Close loss vs ND. Leading the ACC Coastal. This line does have me slightly worried. Won't shock me if VT plays this one as their Super Bowl. But I just can't see Pitt letting this slip away. VT has won the last 2 meetings. Pitt off that upset Virginia win, plus, they dropped 54 spot on Duke. If the Hokies didn't score a last (19 seconds) TD vs NC, we are talking about a team that has dropped 4 straight and not looking good at all. Small home fave gets the call. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS
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11-10-18 |
Mississippi State v. Alabama -22.5 |
|
0-24 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
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Taking ALABAMA. How do we not taking the Tide when laying less than 30? Let-down? Not likely. Please let us not forget that this Mississippi State team managed 3 points on the road at LSU (29 there for us) 6 vs Florida at home, 7 at Kentucky. We take LT, ULL and SFA and this team has scored more than 28 points (A&M) just once (Kansas State). This game should be right around the number by half time. I don't see MSU scoring more than 14 points here. 67 points in 5 SEC games works out to be about a little more than 13ppg. Not cutting it against the Tide home even getting a bundle. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA
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11-10-18 |
Blackhawks v. Flyers -1.5 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
225 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
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Taking the FLYERS and going PUCK LINE - You an go ML if you want. I am looking, like I always do, for some extra cash. Chicago with an early coach change. Not sure it helps. This is an old team. Looking at this series, Philly is 16-1 last 17 at home vs Blackhawks. Home team 22-5 last 27 in the series and Flyers 5-2 last 7 in this match-up. 4* PL Money FLYERS
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11-10-18 |
North Carolina +10.5 v. Duke |
Top |
35-42 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
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Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Yeah. A best bet on a 1 win team. NC fighting in every ACC game. This is a Tobacco Road game so I can't see them mailing it in on the season now. Duke not all that sharp on the season- and if they are to lay an egg, coming home off a big win over Miami laying double digits would be the spot to do it. Think this is a 1 score game. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA
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11-10-18 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State UNDER 49.5 |
|
26-6 |
Win
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100 |
16 h 27 m |
Show
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Going UNDER the total. Just not impressed lately with Ohio State. Michigan State is not an offensive machine. Should be a tight low scoring affair. I am saying that Urban is out of Columbus after this season. 4* Total Money UNDER OSU/MSU
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11-09-18 |
Yale -4.5 v. California |
|
76-59 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
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Taking YALE. Normally like playing these guys in dog spots vs Power 5 schools. But to see them laying this, on the road, 3000 miles from home. Cal is apparently going to struggle early. They were pretty bad last year. Yale brings back a deep team and all 5 returning starters. Should be fighting for the Ivy NCAA bid. Cal will be fighting to stay out of the PAC 12 basement. 4* Money Maker YALE
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11-09-18 |
Fresno State -2.5 v. Boise State |
|
17-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 27 m |
Show
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Taking FRESNO. Tedford a mind boggling 18-3-1 ATS on the sidelines and 12-1-1 ATS in conference games! I liked Boise. I had them at Oklahoma State. Opened a dog, steamed to a fave and dismantled by the Cowboys. No idea how Bulldogs lost to Minny. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE
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11-09-18 |
Wolves v. Kings +3 |
|
110-121 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
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Taking the KINGS. Wheels really starting to fall off the TWolves wagon. 4 straight losses on their present 5 game road trip. And they are favored? Why? Kings a young team for sure. Off a pair of losses themselves (Raptors, Bucks) - no shame in losing to those guys. But this team dropped 146 on the road at Atlanta. They can score some points coming in at 5 in the league. They give them up also (28th). I will still take the team over-achieving and playing fun, then the sulking team with their best player trying to get out of town. 4* Money Maker SACRAMENTO KINGS
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