4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Going UNDER the total here. Short week, struggling teams. You would think that I would be calling for a shoot-out here. But on the flip side, I think we see a game that might get to about 40-42 tonight. Dolphins are having some serious issues. Benching 1st round picks. Getting zero rush attack. OL problems. Cincy is a real must win here after dropping games to power houses Pitt and Denver. This is still a talented bunch on defense and I see this shaping up to be a 23-14, 26-16 type of affair. 4* Money Maker UNDER Dolphins/Bengals 

Taking the WHITE SOX here. Sox streaking, Rays free falling. Tampa has dropped 6 straight, 9 of 10 and 10 of 12. Archer looking to avoid 20 losses on the year, but brings a 5.54 road ERA to the hill tonight. He has pitched better in September, but at this price, I will still fade him. Sox will want to get to .500 and avoid a losing season. Jose Quintana gives us a great shot tonight. You can nearly set in stone his games. The guy is good for 200+ innings and a low 3 ERA. We will get about 7 from him tonight with limited run damage. His home splits are very good as he has gone 7-4 2.76 ERA with a .93 WHIP. Chicago 5-2 last 7 in the series and get the sweep tonight. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

Taking the FALCONS here. It would be easy to say Saints at home in desperation mode. 0-2, could easily be 2-0. Both defenses aren't that sharp. I think Matt Ryan has the better weapons though. Julio Jones is a beast, and Sanu isn't a bad #2 guy. The run game isn't terrible. I just think that everyone is thinking, Brees at home, lock it up. Now, I am off the worse NFL week of my sports betting life and couldn't buy a win. You are always going to get the truth with me. I was 67% coming in and got shelled. But let's not sleep on the underdogs here. They have been slowly trying to address the defense with high picks in the draft and the offense is still a fluid unit. New Orleans has had one of the historic bad defenses over the last several years. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS 

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES

4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Taking the BEARS here. Last we saw these guys on MNF, these guys were an absolute disaster for all the betting world to see. Perhaps addition by subtraction as Jay Cutler is out at QB. Brian Hoyer isn't terrible behind center as he has gone 16-9-1 ATS last 26 as a starter. That works out nicely as the Cowboys are 5-25 ATS L30, 2-12 ATS last 14 as home faves! How about Dallas is now 2-14 SU their last 16 without Romo taking snaps? Bears playing for some pride here tonight and John Fox needs to get this train on the right track or he could be left at the station after the season. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

4* Money Maker NY JETS

Taking the BUCS here. Great spot for us here. We get the Rams (who we cashed with last week), off another win over bitter division rivals, the Seattle Seahawks. Last year in an identical spot after they bear Seattle, we grabbed the Redskins as a Top 10* as rolled to 24-10 win. On top of that, and the flight cross country, we have Tampa in off a humiliating loss. 40-7. 4 INTs for Winston. 27-52. Yikes. Ugly. I think Tampa is a playoff type team. They are a talented bunch. The Rams are the Rams. A team that can't even start a guy they take at the top of the draft. The defense is solid, but on the road I have zero faith in the team as a whole. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking CAROLINA here. Tell ya what. Even if AP was suiting up here I would be on the Panthers. Can't underestimate the Sunday night factor especially beating a bitter division rival. Now, we see that the Vikes can play defense well. We know that. Carolina brings a pretty good defense also. I just think that Bradford, as good as a showing that he had, was still under pressure getting sacked 4 times. I had the Vikings winning the North to start the year. But losing your starting QB and HOF RB entering Week 3 for me at least, isn't a recipe for success. I had both Minny and Carolina last week and think I have a decent feel of what I have been seeing from these clubs so far. Panthers with Cam should be able to muster a little bit more offense and get us a 10pt win here this afternoon. 4* Money-Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Going UNDER the total here. Think the Red Rocket is in for another rough outing. Jets, Steelers and now Denver. Those are 3 hard hitting units coming in to tee off on your offense. I am going under based on both defenses and the fact we have a rookie making his first road start. Bengals still a tough stop unit and points will be at premium. 4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/Bengals 

Taking the JAGUARS here. They were tough here at home and probably should have gotten the W. They were taking out on the west coast, but I like this match-up here. Ravens a bit long in the tooth compared to the younger Jags. The offense finally got going against (down 20-2) the Browns, the BROWNS, but they were in danger of losing. They didn't look too fluid in their opener vs the Bills. Same Bills unit that was mauled for 37 by the Jets last week. The seat is starting to get pretty warm now for Gus Bradley. Jags are 12-38 under on his watch. These guys were the off-season darlings. Time to man up. Gut Check. Back to the wall. Whatever cliche you want to throw out there. At 0-2 the time is now. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

OVER the 82! Man. I see 83s in some spots. I have to just put something small out here on this total. What a big number indeed. Cal scores 47ppg - gives up 40... Arizona State scores 48ppg, gives up 32.. So we know that we are basically guaranteed a score of 70. I think this is a wild one that should be at 70 entering the 4th. 4* Total Money OVER 

4* Money Maker ARKANSAS

Taking AUBURN here. Now, I have seen reports of buying out contracts here. Who knows what is true. What I do know is that Auburn can bring some defense to a game. Home dog in the SEC? Sign me up. LSU is working on a new QB. Everything trend wise says LSU is the play. I just think we get a huge effort as Malzahn's job is on the line. 5* Best Bet AUBURN 

4* Total Money UNDER Gators/ Vols

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. Lost badly last week with these guys as the 'U' rolled to a glory day beat-down. But make no mistake, this is a talented crew. Let's cut to the chase though. Akron is off a game for the ages. A 17 pt dog winning by 28 points putting up 65. Yes 65 Points! Down 21-7 entering the 2nd Q and score 5 TDs. They aren't getting that kind of luck today. Not from a much more disciplined club off a beating themselves. A big step down in class for Appy and they should roll to a double digit cover here. 10* Money Bomb APPALACHIAN STATE

4* Money Maker INDIANA 

4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO

4* Money Maker VIRGINIA 

Taking MINNESOTA here. Uh. Hate taking faves, but I will swallow this here. I faded Colorado State in Game 1 (44-7 Colorado rout) and I won't look back. This team is bad. Yes. I don't take stock in their 3rd QB of the year beating Northern Colorado. Road start in Big 10 country? With the Gophers with extra rest? Rodney Smith and Kobe McCary are a pair of bruising backs behind a smash mouth OL. QB Mitch Leider is a dual threat guy who will cause problems for the Rams. 1st road game for Colorado State and I am sold on Minny. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS 

Taking SOUTH FLORIDA here. Have to say this is one of those games that you just have to hold your nose and take. Should have did it with the Patriots Thursday. When you see a line like this, you have to grab the dog. Noles were a Top 5 team before being ambushed in Louisville. Now I see them from a 4-6 fave. Public will be all over them to 'bounce-back'. Maybe this is like my fade again the Hurricanes last week in the same position. But SoFla is on a 10-1 ATS run. Bulls have some talent and a dual threat QB that Florida State appears to have trouble containing. Tough to pressure a guy who takes off instead of takes a beating like Chad Kelly of Ole Miss. Bulls were sluggish to start in Syracuse last week, probably caught in a look ahead but still rolled to a 45-20 win after being down 17-0. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS 

Taking OLE MISS here. Said in my Thursday podcast, have to, in college hoops or college football, grab the team 'ranked' lower and giving to a 'higher' team. So we get it here with the home Rebs laying a TD. Now Ole Miss has had trouble finishing games. But Florida State and Alabama are different than the Georgia. We saw how a freshman on the road fared in that Florida State/Louisville game. I think the same happens here. Not a 60-20 beat down, but I except our experience at QB to be a double digit edge. 4* Money Maker OLE MISS 

Taking IOWA here. Never like laying nearly 2 TDs on the road, but these programs are in different places. Iowa in off a last second loss to North Dakota State! Now, NDST is a FCS school, they are one of the top ones in the nation. I don't think Rutgers would win against them. That being said. Iowa has zero room for a slip up. Maybe if they didn't lose you could say they would over-look the Rutgers. But they aren't in a spot with Northwestern up next. QB Beathard is 15-3 and, as a senior, won't be intimidated playing in New Brunswick. I don't think that the Scarlet Knight offensive, especially at QB, will be able to mount any serious offensive drives. We saw them get hammered 48-13 at Washington. Iowa has the same kind of talent. Howard and New Mexico are not even close to Big 10 talent. 5* Best Bet IOWA 

4* Money Maker USC 

4* Money Maker WYOMING

4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Taking HOUSTON here. I will say flat out that I am not high on the Texans and have been opposite of the Pats both weeks, including my Top play on Miami last week. Normally short week, I am taking home team. I said normally because we cashed in a same state game last week. But the short week I think hurts NE here. How much prep time is a 3rd string rookie getting? Hey, nobody can knock the Pats or Belichick. Who really thought they were going into Arizona and winning? That was suppose to be a tough game with Brady. Texans bring enough defense here to cause some problems. Fuller and Hopkins are nice options for Osweiler and Lamar Miller is solid enough out to the backfield to keep defenses honest. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the PHILLIES here. Will probably be playing these guys for the series especially if we are getting big odds like this. Mets don't have some murder's row lineup. They aren't going to club their way to 9-2 wins or something. And frankly, this franchise has a history of falling apart as September ends. Hats off to the manager though. You lose half of your young studs out of the rotation and half your infield, you should be seen as having a good year having them right in the hunt for a wild-card. Phillies would love to hamper the Mets play-off chances, and I think they will this weekend. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 

4* Total Money UNDER White Sox/ Phillies

Taking the GIANTS here. Have to grab Cueto at this price. Guy has a 2.66 ERA last 7 starts. 16-5 2.86 ERA on the year. 9-2 2.92 ERA on the road. A 1.06 WHIP on the year. Plus a 2.93 career ERA vs LAD in 12 starts and 1.69 his last 3 starts vs the Dodgers. The San Fran bullpen has blown 30 games after giving up Bum's 1-0 nothing gem. I expect Cueto to go the distance here. Giants are 12-4 his last 16 road starts. Rich Hill is a great story at 36 having the year he is having. I can't knock anything on him. This is a pure value play on a team that is a good, veteran club, desperate for a win. That being said, I think we have the small edge on the mound and the Giants are clinging to the wild-card by a thread. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Red Sox/ Orioles

Taking the CARDINALS here. STL plays a lot better on the road (45-30) than at home (33-41) and will need to continue those winning ways if they want to push for a wild-card spot. C-Mart fits the bill as his road stats, 8-1 2.53 fit the bill perfectly. Cards have won 20 of his last 27 road starts and 5 of his last 6 overall. They have won 6 of the last 8 vs the Rockies. Colorado 2-5 in Anderson's last 7 starts. Looking at his numbers, he has good ones at home. But has been up and down his last 6 starts. Have to go with the team with a playoff pedigree to take care of business. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Ugly win for sure last week for Minny. But that should have been expected after the loss of their QB. I don't think it really matters who starts this week. It is about AP breaking things open, and defense that is one of the best in the games. Pack barely escaped last week with a win. Vikes opening a new stadium, which I would normally fade. Just like Thursday when the Bills trot out Bruce Smith. Whenever things like this go down, they seem to be a distraction. That being said though, Minny has hopes for a deep playoff run. It gets real serious here on Sunday night. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

4* Money Maker LA RAMS

4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS

4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Texans

Taking the PANTHERS here. I never condone laying near 2 TDs in NFL. But Carolina with extra rest facing a team that played the later MNF game? And a west coast team playing at 10am body clock time? Sign me up. San Fran beat a bad team. Panthers lost to a good team. Give me the defending NFC Champs looking to get in the win column. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Uh. Don't like the cross country flight. But I am following my gut here. Miami defense is the real deal. Facing Seattle at home, you really can't get on them for mustering 10 points in that 12-10. The defense just couldn't hold on the last 30 seconds. Was I expecting the Pats to win in Arizona? Hell no. I wasn't expecting a win there with Brady. Maybe the Cards just took Garoppolo not being Brady and Gronk not playing and figured they can skate through a home game. I doubt Miami will be overlooking anyone behind center wearing a Patriots helmet. The Dolphins should be able to harass the youngster. Pats OL is not their strength while the pass rush is a huge one for the visitors. Defenses know have a game tape of the new QB, and I am pretty sure he won't be completing 73% of his passes this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Lost with these guys as my Top 10* last week. Nearly came back on them here. Are you kidding with this line? I could have moved earlier on the sites and gotten 2.5. How is that possible? 1 game. Really? These guys were a playoff team last year. Cousins is perfect for Grudens system. They have a great group of WRs. The defense, although terrible on Monday night, is a decent unit. And speaking of MNF, getting humiliated at home is a great way to get people off your bandwagon. The Dallas Dak attack was right there until a bonehead play by Williams cost them a shot at a game winning FG. Now. Dak 'looked' good. No sacks or INTs. But a pair of 50+ FGs and a chance at 3rd won't win you many games. His 227 yards on 45 pass attempts is a little more than 5 a throw. That isn't cutting it. Dez had nothing targeted to him down field. Washington on a 'early' short week since they had the 1st MNF game now has some game film. I think they win this by double digits. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. I know it is easy to fade Stoops. Guy seems to be clueless at times. They never seem to live up to their high rankings, but come out of know where when nobody is watching. And right now, the people watching are waiting for Urban Meyer to have his Buckeyes bury the Sooners at home. As Lee Corso likes to say. Not so fast my friend. OSU a very young team. Yes. Outscoring teams 62.5 to 6.5 is impressive. But Bowling Green and Tulsa at home are not football factories. Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense should have the advantage over a young, albeit, talented defense. And let's go back to the beginning of Summer for a second. Oklahoma was a 9pt fave when this game was first lined. It was then down to 6. And after losing to Houston, now the Sooners a small dog. Wow. Houston is a good club. But not enough to warrant that kind of line move. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

4* Money Maker MISSOURI 

Taking the BREWERS here.(also the UNDER) So the Cubs clinched after losing Thursday night. Coach says we will celebrate after Friday's game. Well. A big come from behind win in 10 innings and I am sure they are having a blast tonight. I think it is safe to say we a couple guys sitting today. Davies has been sharp of late pitching to a 1.93 ERA in September and have given up only 7 runs in his last 4 starts spanning 26.1 innings with 27 strikeouts. Jake Arriera. Nothing else to say about that guy. 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. We had these guys upsetting Northwestern in Week 1 as a Best Bet, and again will look to PJ Fleck's team to get another Big 10 win. Really. the MAC is favored over the Big 10. But looking at some numbers I see that the MAC is 13-4 ATS last 17 on Big 10 fields. Fleck is 5-2 ATS last 7 vs Big 10 here with the Broncos. Zack Terrell is a pretty good QB and has already shown he can get the job down on the road. I like the Lovie Smith hire, and had Illinois last week. But I believe he has work to do. Western Michigan to me, is the MAC fave. And have the talent to beat a low level power conference team. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN 

4* Money Maker FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Taking ALABAMA here. Hopefully 3rd times the charm for the Tide. Ole Miss has won the last two and now we come in laying double digits. I had Ole Miss against FSU and they looked good for a half. Make no mistake this 'Bama defense is as good or better than the 'Noles. I respect that Chad Kelly is the best QB in SEC play. But they lost their starting QB and top CB already. I know the recruit well, but Saban will light into Kiffen to make sure they don't turn the ball over 5 times in this one. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking TCU here. Calling this game a Chalk Monster, because we are laying so much here. But I think it is well deserved, and quite frankly, I think we beat this spread by a TD. Frogs upended last week by Arkansas and needs to take out some frustration and get back on track. Enter the Cyclones who lost at home to Northern Iowa, then was beat down by Iowa 42-3 last week. They simply do not have the offensive horses to march up and down the field, nor the defense to slow down TCU. 4* Money Maker TCU

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. First. Let's just say that the average fan is going to be all in on the Canes. And they should be. I mean, tough to knock a team ranked and with a new HC that is looking to turn the program back to a powerhouse that is was. But let's not sleep on Appy State here. I said on my first podcast of the year to take the points and they can hang with the Vols. They did. This is a veteran team that went 11-2 LY and has a bunch of starters back. Home dogs on ESPN vs a team like Miami? I will sprinkle ML +150 on the home dogs. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking the MARINERS here. I have been critical of King Felix most of the season. That being said, this Seattle team is red-hot at the moment. 8 straight wins, 9 of their last 10 and they have won 7 of the last 8 that Felix has started. Astros have dropped 6 of 10 and are now 3.5 back in the wild-card looking up at Seattle. McHugh has good numbers vs the Mariners in his career. But I can't overlook his 6+ road ERA in 15 starts this season nor that opposing hitters are raking .322 against him in 76 innings. The 1.64 WHIP leads me to believe that Hernandez will get some run support tonight. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Ark St. / Utah St. 

Taking the JETS here. I faded away on the Bills Sunday and will do it again here on a short week. Typically the short week is tough for the road team, but there isn't much travel involved here. Jets looking to avenge 4 straight losses to Buffalo, and twice last year by identical 22-17 scores. New York's defense was on Andy Dalton all afternoon. AJ Green had a huge game, but it was special teams miscues that cost the Jets. Make no mistake, a hobbled Sammy Watkins isn't AJ Green. Bills missing some guys on defense but looked solid in Baltimore. That being said, I like Gang Green to get off the losing slide against their division rival. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

4* Total Money UNDER Pirates/ Phillies

4* Total Money OVER Twins/ Tigers

Taking the ASTROS here on the RL for the extra payday. OK. Right off the bat MLB gets a bit tougher for me in mid, late September. I'm a dog guy. But there are just so many +180, +205 dogs you can grab and cash. Lately it seems I cross half the games off the board. Maybe the Cubs -260 on the road is an easy win. But I can't lay that. Not today. Not really ever. So I have to pick and choose some small faves or dogs. Here. I am going ML. Houston is actually favored over a team that has crushed them all year long. Rangers something like 71-27 in the series. So why now on the 'Stros. This isn't a play on Peacock. This is a fade on Griffin. We have cashed a few times on AJ, but not here. A 5.52 road ERA in 12 starts is just the kind of pitcher the Astros need to face. Griffin has a 10+ ERA in September, coming off a 5.34 August ERA where opposing batters raked him at a .302 clip. Houston breaks through tonight. 4* RL Money HOUSTON ASTROS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Absolutely no respect here. Washington won the NFC East last year. You can say the were a joke, but that's on you. Cousins isn't sexy like Big Ben, but he fits Gruden's system. Their WRs as a group are top flight. None stand alone like Bryant, but this offense will put up points. The defense is solid. And let's talk about the Steelers. They are missing some pieces here in Week 1on offense. Coming on the road and laying points is not an easy task. Opening night on MNF. Skins are looking to prove the doubters wrong. And make no mistake, Pitt has a huge game up next week vs Cincy. That is one physical rivalry that gets more chippy by the quarter. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the CARDINALS here. I would have been on these guys even in Brady was playing. Now who knows what Jimmy Garoppolo will do with the Pats and the infamous 'hoodie' on the sidelines. I do know that the Arizona defense is a very good unit and would be a challenge even to a stud QB like Brady. Plus I think New England is having some problems on the O-Line. That wouldn't be good with a Pro-Bowler behind center. It won't be a pretty site as Garoppolo faces a defense that was one of the Top 5 in the league last year. Do people forget the went 13-3? This is a Super Bowl type team facing a Super Bowl type team without it's HOF QB. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the LIONS here. I think this Detroit teams is a bit under the radar. They went 7-1 after a terrible start last year. Stafford tossed 19TD and just 2 picks after Jim Bob Cooter took over the OC spot. Megatron is gone yes. But Golden Tate had some very good numbers last year. Marvin Jones is a solid #2. Anquan Boldin brings a nice veteran. The guy had 800 yards catching passes in SF LY. I am sure with a real NFL QB tossing balls his way, he will contribute. Colts defense far from healthy with some holes in the secondary. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the JETS here. NYJ has a brutal stretch that if things horribly wrong, could be looking at 0-6 or even 0-7. But, let's not get ahead of ourselves. 1 week at a time. This is a home opener for NY. They have a veteran team that won 10 games last year. They are a good unit. Cincy. Look. I am waiting for this team to take that next step. But it hasn't happened. And you just can't keep replacing coordinators and not have that have an affect on things.  Zim, Gruden, Hue all out the door. They have lost some skill position players. That catches up. Add in that the Bengals have the Steelers up next. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

Taking the RAVENS here. I think Rex could be on the hot seat if things go bad this year, but this is about game 1 here. Baltimore had a ton of injuries last year. Could not be competitive at all. First losing season for Flacco and Harbaugh. The defense should be much improved. I can't trust the Bills right here. They have been hit with defensive injuries. What will Taylor be at QB if Watkins isn't at WR because he always seems to have something going on? Bills with Jets on Thursday night who I know they want to beat more than the Ravens. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the CHARGERS here. I forget that these guys won 9 games in 2 of the last 3 years. Last year they were bad. But Rivers has weapons around him and the OL should be better than the swiss cheese it was last season. Tough laying points like this in a division game. KC is good. I like Andy Reid. He gets the most out of Alex Smith who rarely turns the ball over. Not sure about RB Charles. But they didn't really miss him last year after he went down. Chiefs with play-makers in Kelce and Macklin. But I think SD pulls a surprise here. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the BUCCANEERS here. As I said in my Thursday podcast, after Carolina, you can really shuffle the deck behind them. I like Tampa's talent. That isn't to say that Matt Ryan and Julio Jones are chopped liver. I just like the way the Bucs improved their secondary in the off-season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS last 12 as chalk. We can say, hey, double revenge spot for Atlanta. But they barely were home field -3 fave before the smart money grabbed the number. Bucs new HC was their OC last year and Winston will look to improve off a solid rookie season. As an added knowledge bonus, we have ex Falcons OC as our HC and their old HC, Mike Smith, as our DC. I think we can get a little edge with our defense here. 8* Sure Shot TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the BEARS here. Had Tony George on my podcast Thursday. He told the listeners he had the Texans as his Super Contest selection and gave Houston as a Free Play on the show. I was like wow. The guy hit like 65% last year in the contest, have to respect his opinion. But as I watch this number drop a bit, I see 4.5 in some spots, I had to dig a little. I am not as high on Houston as others. I really haven't seen enough of Brock Osweiler to think he is getting this team 10,11 wins. The defense will be playing with a limited JJ Watt. I think that John Fox is a pretty good HC. Pretty sure he knows a little about Brock since he drafted him in Denver! 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. Have had this game circled since early August. I don't think Cal was going to be very good. I had Hawaii and the 21 when it first opened in Australia. I always like Rocky Long and he's doing a good job here in Mountain West action. First round pick Goff and the Bears blitzed the Aztecs on the road last year 35-7, and I think SDST gets some payback. Aztecs can control the clock and keep the Cal offense off the field. They also have a senior led defense that can keep points off the board. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Give me WASHINGTON STATE here. 10.5/ 11 pts! Are you kidding me? Since 2012, Mike Leach is on a 12-3 ATS road dog run. That includes outright wins over Oregon, USC, Arizona, Cal and Utah. Boise is 99-6 since 2000 on the Blue Turf. But they did drop their last 2 at home last year. The defense isn't strong enough to contain the 'Air Raid' pass attack that the Cougars bring. QB Luke Faulk has 38TD 8INTs last year so he should be able to move the ball vs the Boise. Should be a shoot-out with a total over 70 and I will grab the double digits and smile all the way to the window. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON STATE 

4* Money Maker ILLINOIS 

Taking TCU here. I have said numerous times over the last couple years on my podcast what kind of lines get my attention, and why I bet them. Well, we have the ole 7.5 here. When I see this, I know that the fave is covering by double digits at half and wins going away. You have heard me say it a million times before. Oh, so and so is favored is favored by 6.5? There is no way the don't beat fill in blank by a touchdown. Same as oh, so and so is getting 7.5. Love that extra half point. When I see the half on 3 and 7, I am on the favorite 9 times out of 10. TCU is the better club. Yes, their defense wasn't good last week. But I think that was more of just playing down and going through the motions. Arkansas on the other had all types of trouble generating offense. Not shocking since they only have a few starters back. But this isn't your typical SEC power run team. TCU 14-3 ATS last 17 at home, one loss as 46pt faves! This is much better number to cover. Horned Frogs 7-3 ATS last 10 non-conference games while the Razorbacks log a 1-4 ATS during the same. Look for an improved defensive effort from TCU, and the offense to put up 40 here. 8* Sure Shot TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking WYOMING here. Cashed with the Cowboys as a nice dog outright last week. Now, I don't think we score as a +1300 dogs this afternoon, but we will be in the game. We get Nebraska looking ahead to Oregon. Let's be honest. Cornhuskers can pretty much pick the score here. But Wyoming doesn't want to come in and be totally flat here after a nice win. Say Nebraska is up 30-10. Do we really think they are opening up the playbook? Are they playing starters? They don't want the Ducks to have any kind of film on them. They will be holding back plenty of tricks here. Back door is wide open for us. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking NC STATE here. Just think we have a mismatch of talent here and a short number to boot. ECU has a new HC and like all programs, it takes time to get 'your guys' in place. The Pirates weren't a huge stable of pro talent so it isn't like taking over a power 5 program. State has a pretty stable offense that won't miss a beat putting points on the board. Their QB and OC both are coming over from Boise and should generate plenty of yardage. 5* Best Bet NC STATE 

4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking the ASTROS here. This line drops while the public still drops money on the Cubs and Lester. This isn't a knock on either. Cubs should be World Series bound. Lester has a 1.85 ERA since the break. He is 15-4 2.61 ERA on the year. But he hasn't been as dominate on the road. A 3.40 ERA isn't ugly by any stretch, but he can be hit. Let's not sell Houston short. This is another young, good ball club. Joe Musgrove is a youngster who clearly likes pitching at home. Totally different splits. A .54 ERA in 3 games with a .78 WHIP and .188 BAA with 21Ks in 16 an a third innings. Both teams have dropped 2 straight coming into this series. Cubs 7-3 L10, 'Stors 6-4. But Houston is 6-2 last 8 at home in the series. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS 

Taking FIU here. We'll grab the double digit dogs here. Last week their QB tossed 3 INTs, 2 returned for TDs. This is an experienced team though. I think McGough redeems himself. Guy is a junior in his 3rd year starting. They were up 13-12 on Indiana, another Big 10 team before falling apart. Not impressed by the Terps hammering Howard. Golden Panthers should be able to keep it close and might be position for the outright win if we get some bounces. 4* Money Maker FIU GOLDEN PANTHERS 

Going UNDER the total here. We get a Super Bowl rematch right out of the gate. Look. The defenses are the strengths of both clubs. We have Denver starting a guy who lasted started a meaningful game against the Boilermakers! We will see a lot of run plays to take pressure off the Seimian for sure. The Panthers offense is better, but still has to face a difficult task in the Denver defense at home on opening night. 4* Total Money UNDER Carolina/ Denver 

Taking the ROCKIES here. Historically, DeLaRosa has had super home splits. This year he has been average at best, 5-3 in 13 games (10 starts). Rockies are 10-3 in his last 13 starts vs the Giants. San Fran is 8-18 last 26 on the road. They send out Albert Suarez who has a 5.09 road ERA. Colorado has some bats that should be able to muster enough offense and score us the home win. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking ARIZONA here. Now Shelby Miller is making his 2nd start since being recalled from Triple A. Last time wasn't too bad going 6 and giving up 2 earned on the road to the Giants. He has an ERA at near 7. He by every measure of the word, having a bad year. But I think we get value here. Ross Stripling hasn't been anything fantastic. He allowed hitters to rake at a .280 clip in August. He hasn't struck out a ton of guys. DBacks still have some decent major league hitters. Will take a shot at this price. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 

Taking the CARDINALS here. Pirates have dropped 7 straight. Cards just grinding along doing what they do year in year out. They are 10-4 last 14 on the road. They trot out rookie Luke Weaver who has been solid in all of his outings. Kid missing some bats with 26Ks in 21 innings. Veteran Ryan Vogelsong has been average at best since coming out of the bullpen. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS 

Taking the RANGERS here. We had Texas at home when the beat Felix, and will back them here on the road. Cole Hamels is slightly better than Martin Perez who we backed. All this guy does since coming over is win posting a 21-5 record in (team 31-8) 39 starts. Cole is having another solid year 14-4 with a 2.91 ERA. His road splits are great coming at 9-2 1.91 ERA .203 BAA and 1.90 WHIP. Tough to knock King Felix. Guy has had a great career. But he seems a bit down this season. A little banged up. 104Ks in 121 innings (19 starts). I just think the innings are getting to him. On a side note. Do you know he has won more than 15 games just 3 times? Rangers are just playing great ball, while Seattle is slumping and watching their playoff chances slide away. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking TEXAS here. Why the heck is this line so low. Begging you to take ND. Irish were a legit playoff team right till their last loss to Stanford. Longhorns were throttled in South Bend 38-3 and are looking to redeem themselves. I like Strong. He has another very good recruiting class. The offense should be a heck of a lot better than last years edition. This is Texas. They consistently get talented players. With a couple years and his players at the school, time for the Longhorns to take a step forward for Charlie Strong here. Texas had this game circled all summer. ND has 12 new starters and HC Brian Kelly hasn't been firm on 1 starting QB. Lots of moving parts on the road in a real hostile setting. Add in the revenge and laying points and it is heavy to back the 'Horns. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking WYOMING here. Should have grabbed the 10 when I could, but still think the Cowboys are a live dog here. Tough spot for any team coming up in altitude to play here. Northern Illinois is a good club. They have won 6 MAC West titles in a row. Wyoming won exactly 2 games last year. But coming on the road and laying near double digits is tough for all clubs. This is year 3 under HC Craig Bohl and needs to add to the 6 victories he has garnered. He was a 3 time champion at North Dakota State and I think he knows how to recruit and win. Now is the time with 18 returning starters. They are still a young bunch, but the big spread and the venue give us some nice value here. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS

Taking BYU here. Probably should have locked in when this was a point lower, but still think it shouldn't matter. The Arizona defense was giving up points LY like it was there job. Take away 3 cup cake wins last year and this team is 4-6. BYU actually plays real schools that make bowls and faces them on the road. Oh, and they win. That is why they are favored here. They are going to smash mouth all over Arizona and then use their 30 year old QB (actually 26) and he will abuse the secondary like a father being the steady the QB in a game of street ball with his kids friends. 4* BYU

Taking ALABAMA here. I know there guys are breaking in another new QB. But come on people, Tide just reload. They are always at the top of recruiting classes. For me, this is me thinking that Lane Kiffin is going to pull out all the stops to humiliate the Trojans. Getting canned on an airport runway. You think this guy is over that? Alabama is not the team to be breaking in a new QB against either. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

Taking SOUTHERN MISS here. SEC team can't lay a TD at home? I know it is Kentucky, but I can hear the squares now. They only have to win by 7? Lock. Well, Kentucky has Florida on deck. So maybe they split some summer practice thinking about the bigger Gators. Maybe the fact that Southern MIss has a new OC who was canned by Stoops and Kentucky will add some fire to the offense and defense. Here is a guy who spent nearly every waking moment with players and knows their strengths and weaknesses. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS 

Taking the MARLINS here. I know that Fernandez doesn't have the best road splits, but at this price, we have to take him. 219Ks in 154.2 innings. Trevor Bauer also doesn't have the best home splits with an ERA over 4. But he doesn't miss half as many bats as our guy. For me, I can't knock the overall season of Jose Fernandez. A couple bad starts away from home won't sway me at a Pk'em tag. Marlins should be able to muster a few runs here and get us the W. 4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS 

Taking TEXAS A&M here. And how can we not? Unranked team giving points to the 'better' team, the 'ranked' team. I see games like this, in week 1 no-less, and just shake my head. I like UCLA. I think they can challenge for the PAC 12 title. But I am not backing a team with an offense that returns just 5 starters. Bruins with a pretty good defense and a bit of an edge there. But the Aggies counter that with their new OC who just happened to hold that spot at UCLA the last 4 years. During the year, maybe that wouldn't really translate well. But in Game 1. With an August of prep. He knows the strength and weakness of this team. That tilts the ball into our corner. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. So a big, bad Big 10 team is favored by a little nickel over the MAC? Weren't the Wildcats 10-3 last year? Beat Stanford. But, the numbers show me that Northwestern isn't strong as home faves. 6-13 ATS last 20, 13-24 L37 ATS including 0-7 ATS vs MAC teams. The Broncos have a returning QB, a pair of good RBs who each have 1000 yard seasons under the belt, and a solid WR corp. PJ Fleck has done a great job here as WMU is 11-4 ATS last 15 as away dogs under his watch. I have Western Michigan winning the MAC and I think they come out on fire here to grab a little respect knocking off a power conference team. 5* Best Bet WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking the ROCKIES here. Can't ignore Ruby D's numbers vs Arizona. Guy is 12-1 his last 13 starts vs the Snakes! Now. I do like Robbie Ray. Kid has some great stuff. I mean come on. 181Ks in 145 innings. Talented. That being said, Arizona still 5-14 in Ray's last 19 road starts and 7-16 his last 23 overall. Rox have won 4 of 5 overall and 6 of their last 8 at home. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking the RANGERS here. 11-2. Texas is now 11-2 last 13 vs the Astros. These guys finished strong down the stretch last year, and I expect nothing less here this September. AJ Griffin does enough to keep Texas in games. They are 12-6 in his last 18 starts. Fister does have good road splits for the Astros. Can't knock his numbers away from home. But he has struggled in 3 of his last 4 starts giving up 4 runs in each of those starts. Texas dominance is just to much to ignore, especially at this short price. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking COLORADO here. Uh. So I see this opened at 10 and has come down. Well. At double digits, I can see taking the Rams here. They have covered 6 of 8 on the road in this series. But it isn't 10. I liked Bobo back in his Georgia QB days. But he took over for Jim McElwain and went from 10-3 to 7-6. That was with 15 returning starters. He is down to 10 with 4 on defense. Now the Buffs have some ugly numbers in the PAC 12. But they do have 18 starters back, 9 on either side of the ball. With a new DC and new scheme and all the new starters on defense for the Rams, I think the Buffs can score here. 8 losses by 7 or less points in the last 2 years has Colorado thinking they are just a couple plays away from bowling. 4* Money Maker COLORADO BUFFALOES 

Taking OREGON STATE here. Just trying to figure this line out. I mean, Minny scored 22.5 points a game last year. They do have 7 starters back on offense, but Oregon State has 6 defensive starters returning. Granter, Beavers were 2-10 last year. So I think we are getting a little generous number here. Always tough when a new coach takes over. But HC Gary Anderson is a winner. He went 20-7 at Wiscy in 2013-14 beating these Gophers twice. So he knows the way they play. And make no mistake. With Clayes taking over, not much is changing. He had been with Jerry Kill since 1995! They are bringing in the new OC this year. So the challenges will be more for Minny than Oregon State. Anderson is 17-6 ATS as a road dog and 22-10 ATS in non-con games. That is including last year's 3-9 ATS mark. Last year Minny was favored by double digits twice. 0-2. Laying 24.5, win 10-7.. Laying 10 win 27-24. 4* Money Maker OREGON STATE 

Taking VANDERBILT here. So I do have these two teams pegged for the last 2 spots in the SEC East. But I think Vandy is in much better shape here. Muschamp has said he will use 2 QBs in tonight's game in addition to going with the 'running back by committee.' That is all you need to know about this years South Carolina club. A lot of youth and inexperience. Vandy is 5-1 ATS last 6 September games and a profitable 13-6 ATS last 19 in SEC play. With 8 starters back on offense including all the skill positions, HC Derek Mason's gang should escape with what should be an ugly, low scoring win. 4* Money Maker VANDERBILT 

Taking the FALCONS here. So we cashed our last NFLX game as these same Jaguars rallied for a Best Bet win on Sunday night. Now, a straight fade. Short week. Nothing to prove for them. They will just be going through the motions. Atlanta on the other hand. Well, I think we see a little more determination. They didn't look good vs Miami. I think they rate a huge edge just based on the fact that the Jags are playing on a short week. I doubt we see Matt Ryan. In fact, after Romo was injured, I can't believe that I am reading that the Saints will play Drew Brees! Matt Schaub is a real NFL QB who put up decent numbers before, I don't even how to type it. We all saw it. The guy threw something like 10 Pick for TDs in week! That being said, we will get him at least a bit vs backups. Matt Simms will probably get a long leash here. And he hasn't been bad in his 2 appearances so far. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS