Taking the INDIANS here. Really want to do what we did with Arizona last night and go RL +160. But I am looking for a fast 2-0 start here with early Sox / Stros and this game. So. We all saw NY on Tuesday. This is a play as much on the use of the 'pen as it is on the fact that the Tribe have the best 'pen. Have people forgot that Cleveland is 34-4 their last 38 games. And laying this number? I don't think this is a long layoff from Sunday. They were playing for home field down the stretch. We were on them in the World Series last year and missed by a hair. This is a very good team. I like the Yanks. I am in their back yard. But as I said in earlier write ups. This is their step up year. This is a bonus. This is everyone seeing what they can do. Indians are ready now. They are rested and battle tested. A series sweep would not shock me. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking NASHVILLE. Just like the Preds more. Solid defense. This is a good team. I think last year was a big step for them. Boston is a good challenge on the road out of the gates. 4* Money Maker NASHVILLE PREDATORS 

Taking MONTREAL and looking for big money on the PUCK LINE. You can lay the -130. But I find on the ice, when I am backing a sub 150 fave, I tend to pick a team that wins by at least 2 goals. I think the Canadiens will be a very good offensive team this year. 4* PL Money MONTREAL CANADIENS 

Taking the ASTROS here. Almost want to go RL for +170 in this spot. Verlander has been aces since coming to town posting a 1.06 ERA in his 5 starts with a .65 WHIP and .149 BA against. But this is about Chris Sale. So he has been a -150 or more favorite in 30 of his 32 starts this year. In those other 2 starts as a PK or small -105 fave, he lost. In fact, Verlander out-dueled him 2-1 in April. But the most telling numbers are this. As dominate as Sale is early, the guy is a beast. A sub 2.70 through July. Then it ticks up to 3.22 in August. September and October produce a 11-16 record and an ERA of 3.78. Give me Houston tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS 

Taking the FLAMES tonight. Edmonton won all 4 games last year. These guys a sexy pick to make a Cup Run with their stud youngster, Connor McDavid. We have been pretty solid on the ice the last few years showing nice profit with our dogs. Going to start up the new season the same way. 4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES 

Taking the BLUES. Going to fade the defending Champs. Pitt will raise the banner here on opening night. Not saying the Pens are a bad team, but they lost some contributors from last year. STL finished up last season strong, and are a defensive team. Have to grab them at this price. 4* Money Maker STL BLUES 

Taking the DIAMONDBACKS tonight. So we had the big dog Twins last night, and as I said then, I can't lay big numbers. Normally draw the line at 150-160. So I will take a stab here on the RL. I know some people aren't RL fans, but my thinking is if I backing a team, they are winning easily so something along the lines of 4-0, 5-2 type game. Greinke has been a beat at home this year. 2.87 ERA in 18 starts. 13-1 in those games with a .96 WHIP and .209 BA Against. I can't knock the Rockies or Jon Gray. Guy has been excellent down the stretch. I just think that the DBacks are a really good team. I think they can knock off one of these 'top' teams and be in the World Series. Gray's road splits, a 4.06 ERA and what really brings him down a peg for me, his .281 BA Against. Arizona had a great season at home posting 52 wins, while Colorado was just 41-40 away from Coors. 4* RL Money ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS 

Taking the TWINS here. Well. You know there is not a chance I would be laying 260 or whatever it ends up with the Yanks. I guess a case could be made for either team on the RL. Yanks have the better bullpen which is a clear and decided edge. I know we will hear about the Twins poor postseason record. 2-12 vs NYY in the playoffs dating back to 2003. Bro- that is 14 years ago! That was 2003,2004,2009 and 2010.  Let't try to get a grip. The most recent was 7 years ago. Are Tex, Lance Berkman and Marcus Thames going yard for NY? Look. Santana has bad career numbers vs the Yanks (5.66 20 starts). But in his lone outing this year 2 runs, 5+ off 7 hits is fine. Let's not forget he led the league in CGs and tied for the lead in SHOs and if he is on, he will be go the distance. His road splits this year are promising as he went 10-3 2.71 ERA in 17 starts. 1.05 WHIP and .216 BA Against. Anything can happen here. As good as Severino's year has been. 2.98 ERA 230Ks in 193 innings - He has been average at best at home. 8-5 3.71 ERA in 16 start in the Bronx. 1.04 WHIP and .207 BA against. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS 

Taking KC tonight. Tough one as Chiefs 13-2 ATS last 15 and Redskins on 10-2 ATS run on the road. Last we saw Washington, they were dismantling the then Super Bowl Fave Raiders on Sunday night. Now they face another AFC West team. KC has been a machine lately. They rarely make mistakes and capitalize on opposing teams miscues. I think this RB/WR combo of Hunt and Hill is absolutely deadly. Cousins is still replacing a pair of thousand yard WRs from last year. And yes, I just pointed their awesome road ATS numbers. But KC is a tough place to play. All the short week teams and the London teams came up losers Sunday. Jags faves lose outright. Ravens loser. Dallas outright loser. Cards need OT TD with time running out. Raiders lose the game and QB. I know this is a bit of a hefty number to lay. Just think that the Chiefs defense is a bit better and we can steal a play there that adds 3-7 points on our total. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

Taking SAN FRAN this afternoon. Had these guys last Thursday and we backed into a win. Have to be happy that they are moving the ball. What really lures me in here is this. One, we have the extra rest while Arizona (we had them) played Monday vs Dallas. I had the Colts over the Cards in Indy and I said then that it is tough to get this offense going with out their RB. That is very obvious. Not sure how old-man Palmer responds to a short week. Niners defense was tough in its first 2 games vs Carolina and Seattle. I put this Arizona offense on that kind of level. Nothing exotic or sexy. How can you lay points with ARZ with the way the offense has looked? At worse, the backdoor should be open. I can't see the Cards blowing out the Niners. Hyde will run enough to eat the clock and put up a couple scores for us. ARZ 3-10 ATS last 13 game and 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. Give me the dogs today. 4* Money Maker SF 49ers 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Man this team knows how to lose but we are on them as a Best Bet today. Eagles off huge last second win over hated Giants. Now come cross country to face a win-less and dangerous team. I think the Chargers have a big edge with Rivers going against this Eagles secondary. Think we have an edge at QB too. Eagles will have a hard time running the ball vs Bosa and this defense. A lot of pressure on Wentz to shoulder the load here. They couldn't get a sack last week vs the Giants and that OL and needed a desperation 61 yard FG to win. I think they are in trouble today. Philly 2-8 SU last 10 on the road. 10* Money Bomb CHARGERS 

Taking the UNDER here. This is either the easiest play on the board or going to be a what was I thinking taking the low hanging fruit. Pats defense is crap. Ok. But has anyone seen the Panthers offense? 23-9-13 points. I guess the thinking is they gave up 34 at home to Brees. Brady will score 44 at home. For me, Cam is still hurt or working through his injury. He is down his best target. Can't see the Pats struggling much longer. 30-10 is still a beating. 4* Total Money UNDER 

Taking the FALCONS here. Now. Could be easy to grab the Bills and say.. Man. Falcons should have lost to the Bears and Lions! Now I am getting points with Buffalo who beat Denver last week. Denver crushed the Cowboys!! - Look. Bills have a good defense no doubt. They have a run game this going to pound ATL and try to keep Ryan and friends off the field. But the Bills are also in off a tough physical game. Denver is no joke on defense. That was a grind. Going on the road is tough. The Falcons should pull away to 14-20 pt win here. ATL will get their 34. And, at best,  I don't think the Bills get more than 24. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the RAMS here. We scored a nice back-door last Thursday with the Niners over these Rams. But, with extra prep time and the Cowboys off a MNF win (we had ARZ), we are fading away. Dallas has bad home ATS numbers. We know this. I should have put this out when we could have gotten more points earlier in the week. But honestly, I won't be shocked if the Rams have a shot to win this one outright. Dallas defense do not impress me. This Rams team can take advantage of the Cowboys secondary. Rams defense will get pressure on Dak. Dallas OL is not the same as last year. I think Zeke has put on a few pounds is not running the same. So the 'Boys 0-2 ATS on short rest last year. 0-3 ATS short rest in 2015. 0-2 ATS short rest in 2014. And 0-2 ATS short rest in 2013. You know what hasn't changed in that time. The HC. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGUARS today. Had Jax in blow-out fashion last Sunday, and will back them again on the road. Any other team coming home from London (Baltimore) without a bye and I am fading you. But not in this case. Jags have been a London team for years and will continue to be so. The players are accustomed to the travel. Plus. This is NY. Not a terrible flight home. And by crushing the Ravens they essentially took the 2nd half off. Jags impressive on the road so far crushing 2 defenses that were suppose to be pretty good in Texas and Baltimore. Their defense is not getting the respect it deserves. They will ground and pound and hope Bortles doesn't do something stupid. Let's not forget that Doug Marrone, after quitting the Bills, thought he was getting the NYJ job only to be turned away. A little extra motivation for the players to rally behind their coach. Jets with a big win last week to upset their fans who wanted an 0-16 season. But I think Jags a bit more talented even with Bortles more TO prone than McCowen. NY still lacking talent. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking MIAMI here. Cashed here in England last week with an easy Best Bet Winner on the Jaguars. And just like Jax coming in off getting smoked by the Titans. The Dolphins arrive licking fresh wounds after being flat-out humiliated by the NY Jets. You know the Jets. The team that was suppose to go 0-16? So. 2 week ago we had Miami winning in SD. And I said then, what I will say now. This is a sneaky good team. Yes. They looked absolutely lost this past Sunday. But. The Jets were the team fresh off getting spanked by the Raiders. We had the Jets in Week 1 and Raiders against them in Week 2. These guys are pros. They will step up. NYJ did that at home vs a Jay Cutler led team that fell into what exactly Cutler does to drive his coach, teammates and fans crazy. The defense is a solid bunch for Miami. They will get pressure on Brees, who is coming off a great win over a heated division rival. I think skipping from NJ to England is a good spot for the Dolphins. They get away from any Cutler drama at home. And let's face it. This Saints defense is not that good. Shutting down Cam and the Panthers isn't a huge deal these days. I think Miami holds them in check today. And I think we see Jay Ajayi with a big game. He gets going, and that opens up things up. This WR corp of Landry, Parker, Stills and TE Thomas is talented. Cutler will get better as he gets back into Gase's system. The guy tossed 14 passes in pre-season. He was retired until August! Won't be shocked at all with an outright win early Sunday. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA tonight. What? Laying 4 scores. Inflated line because 'Bama demolished Vandy 58-0 on the road. Final win margins of 5-4-6 the last 3 years. Tide favored by 10-9-5.5 . The 4pt when 9pt odds Tide at home. Ole Miss WON that game and 2 of the last year. -- Now. 27.. Well, Alabama is 15-5 ATS last 20 vs SEC teams when favored by 20 or more. This Saban quote from Wednesday. "The ultimate disrespect sometimes is when someone quietly thinks they got your number." Saw this on Twitter and the The Score. So, he thinks that Ole Miss thinks they can play with Bama. When Ole Miss can in fact play with Bama since they are 2-1 the last 3 years. The real scary thing is that last week, some guy asked Saban how is he preparing to face the best defense in the SEC. Statistically speaking, that person was correct. On the field, Saban unleashed Alabama to show who had the best defense in the SEC. This guy apparently thinks anything can be used to motivate. I'll lay the huge number. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. So their goes the dreams of an undefeated season for the Cowboys. 4 turnovers are costly. Fumble at TCU 37= TD for TCU, INT own 42= TD for TCU, .. Down 27-10 and you have given up 14 on TOs.  37-24 and an INT on the TCU 5 yard line. Then a final INT with 2 minutes to go. Oklahoma State still managed to out-gain the Horned Frogs 499-466 while TCU held the ball for 39 minutes! Nearly 20 minutes less and they still moved the ball. Now. Texas Tech off a big upset of their own knocking off Houston. But I am not putting the Red Raiders defense on the same side of the fence as TCU. Heck, I don't think they are even on the same block. Cowboys know that a 1 loss team can still make some playoff noise. They need to win out and play their game. With a Big 12 Conference Championship Game to be played, they are still alive. 2 years ago this was a 70-53 game - The real crazy part is that Texas Tech led 38-28 at half. And was SHUT OUT in the 3rd quarter. WR James Washington had to 70+ yard TD receptions and there was the pick for 7 to really make it a blow out. Red Raiders won't milk the clock like TCU and the plays into the hands of this prolific offense. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking FIU here. I like Butch Davis. I know the kids love playing for him. What draws me to this game though is this. How is a team that is averaging 15.7 ppg , favored by 12.5 ? Is it a 16-0 shutout win for us? It appears Charlotte is having what they call a 'down year'. They opened a 1pt favorite over NC ATT. NC ATT! Promptly bet up to 13 and lost outright. The best offensive player on the team quit or left or something (RB Washington). Forget about payback for a tough loss last year. FIU with a 4 year starter at QB. Their RB is the school's all time leader rusher. This is the Panther's first home game with the Hurricanes so they should have a decent crowd behind them. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS 

Taking AKRON here. Yes. Bowling Green a perfect 8-0 SU the last 8 in this series and are now a FG home dog. Why is that? Maybe because this Falcons team is a shell of those squads that went to 3 straight MAC Championships 2013-14-15. Forget that fact that for the entire season, they have led exactly 1 game, 3-0 over Michigan State for almost 2 entire minutes before falling behind. And now, 28 day after that Sept. 2 game, are still looking for any lead in a game. They switched QBs going with true freshman last week. Maybe he fares better at home. But the Zips bring a SR. QB looking for revenge. How about this tid bit. Last week, on 29 attempts, BG rushed for 1 yard. ONE YARD. Mid Ten went for 249. Zips have a guy off of Ohio State's bench who has 2 100 yard games already. BG defense is ranked 126th in yards allowed per game, 119 against the rush. No shame in losing 35-10 to Michigan State on the road. But what about dropping a 35-27 game at home as a fave over South Dakota. A game they were down 28-9 in. A game that was in hand before some garbage scores. Again, getting smoked by Northwestern 49-7 on the road in Big 10 country is fine. We mentioned the Mid Ten State loss already. This is not a good team. Zips are not a great team. But I think they are more talented and experienced (15 returning starters) at this time. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE here. Had ND as a free pick video play last weekend. And let's look how that played out. Sparty put up nearly 500 yards of offense only to be done in by 3 TOs that lead directly to 21 Irish points and a 38-18 loss. We have Iowa, who was out-gained by nearly 300 yards against Penn State, but yet lost on a last second TD pass! 2 teams. 2 losses. 2 completely different set of numbers. One team hurt themselves. One team coming in with a world of pain after losing in heart-break fashion. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking TENNESSEE here. Yep. I know we easily cashed as our Top 10* GOW last Saturday. But lo and behold we are on the dogs today. And why wouldn't we be. Vols barely beat UMass last weekend. And really, the only question I have of myself is why I wasn't on Mass? I mean. Tennessee off that horrible last second loss to the Gators. Did we really think there was going to be 100%, focused effort with the Bulldogs on deck? Nope. That is why we are here this afternoon as this is the season for Butch Jones' Tennessee team. And more importantly for him, he needs to extinguish the hot seat fire that is about to be an inferno with a loss. Last 5 games all decided by a TD or less. Vols 8-3 ATS last 11. George rolling out a freshman QB in, to put it kindly, a place with a couple thousand hostile fans. (seating 102K) 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE 

Taking MINNESOTA here. Start of the Big 10 season for the Gophers who off their bye week, get the Terps who are down to their 3rd string QB. PJ will have his boys ready for action and this should be a 10pt lead by the end of the first quarter. Minny won last year 31-10 and I expect to see something along the same lines this afternoon. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA 

Taking FLORIDA here. Ok. I am coming clean. I was like, man, how can we not take Vandy here. Absolutely trucked vs Alabama last week. Never in the game for a hot second. Gators score 2 TDs with under 10 to play and pull another one out of a hat. 13-6 and 9-7 games the last 2 meetings. Pretty sure that Florida hasn't changed much on offense. They struggle. Vandy has a tough defense as always. (except against Bama apparently). Luke Del Rio has a couple guys that can make plays for him. I look at this and think the same thing I though last week with the Wolverines and Boilermakers. How is Michigan covering that? I see the shaping up as a 24-10 type game. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking ILLINOIS here. Nebraska HC Mike Riley has to be hearing footsteps coming to extinguish his hot seat. They canned the AD before last week's win over Rutgers. Now they have a short week away game against the Illini who are off a bye week. Riley has to be looking over his shoulder and know that Scott Frost is coming to replace him. You can't have any faith backing the Cornhuskers here. Their QB already has 9 INTs on the year. Lovie Smith is a defensive guy. And even though he went 3-9 last year, I think he will get this program on its feet. That being said, I have to take an NFL coach, who took a Bears team with Rex Grossman at QB to the Super Bowl ! with the extra prep time. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS 

Taking IOWA STATE here. Both teams rested coming into this game. What is going on with the Texas? I liked the Strong hire. I figured the Longhorns just needed some new blood in there to get guys motivated. Well hello Tom Herman. And what has happened. As big faves, lose at home to a middle tier Power 5 team. Crush a bottom feeder school. Nearly pull off upset as road dog vs Power 5 team. Now, small road faves over a team that isn't a football powerhouse. Cyclones though on a nice 8-3-1 ATS run their last 12. They have put up 40+ in all 3 games. Texas is in a rebuild getting acquainted to a new system. This is a tough spot to play. Iowa State lost in OT to Iowa, and I have to think this is a game they think they can pull out. Cyclones 7-1 ATS last 8 at home. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE 

4* Money Maker BRAVES

4* Money Maker REDS

** Opinion Play **

Have a lot of you guys on seasonal MLB package. But plenty of weekly and monthly package now with NFL and College Football. Not really like much on the bases. I am a big dog guy and as much as I would love to take 5 or 6 big dogs today, that does not help the long term bankroll. We will look to really grind here the last few days of the regular season and choose our spots. MARINERS this afternoon. 

Taking the RAYS here. Fading the Yanks didn't help the pockets yesterday, though we broke through for a small profit as another nice underdog, the Chicago White Sox came through. Maybe I put a bit too much stock in KC playing for .500 when I should have looked at where is the motivation for a make up game. But if I didn't play KC, I would have probably went under and that was a loser also. So getting back to Tampa. I like Snell. This is a pitching match-up that I think we win. First off. Yanks are pretty much content with being the WC team. 4 back with 6 to play. So Snell has really been on his game since July. In those 13 games, a 3.15 ERA. Lowered his ERA from 5.36 down to 4.01. Has given up more than 3 runs just twice in those games. A 3.80 ERA in July, A 2.87 ERA in August. 2.78 in September and that was giving up 6 in one start. I like Montgomery long term over Jamie Garcia in the Yankees plans. But in this spot, I have to side with Snell who 2.73 career ERA in 7 games vs the Yanks. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS

Taking ARIZONA tonight. First. Let's not get too carried away by Denver beating up Dallas. Broncos defense is a pretty serious unit. Fact is, Cowboys defense is not very good. They beat a Giants team that has looked down right awful in 2 games so far. So they get Arizona who scored a bit on Detroit. Then cost us a ML winner last week as they rallied from down 13-3 to win 16-13 in OT. Cards have a solid defense. I can't see a big blowout brewing for Dallas here. In fact, a _135 ML play should be in order on the home puppies. How about Cowboys 3-9 ATS last 12 on MNF! Arizona also 12-3 SU, 14-1 ATS last 15 vs NFC East teams. - Dallas has score 17-7-13-17 in their last 4 road games.  Cards sitting at 1-1 and probably should be 0-2. A solid defense in a dog role in their home. Sign me up . 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the WHITE SOX here. Looks to be all over for the Angels. Dropping 6 of 7 and 7 of 10 all but put the finishing touches on the nail in their coffin. How can you back Nolasco in this spot? 5.03 ERA on the year. 5.38 ERA on the road with hitters raking at .302 clip. Chicago's young team looking to build off a strong September finish. I know that 'Big Game' James (wow, do we remember him getting this nickname!) and his 5.40 ERA doesn't scream back me at home. You know that he is going 6 and giving up 4 runs. But the guy's ERA has been coming down since since the start of August. 9 decent starts for him. Angels just 2-6 last 8 in Chicago. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

Taking the ROYALS here. Well. No playoffs for KC this year. But have to respect the team for not tossing in the towel in July. In this spot, I am playing on the fact I think they want to finish up the season strong and get to .500, they are a veteran bunch - Yanks are locked in to the Wild Card. This is a make up game so not sure if either team is really motivated in this spot. CC has an ERA over a run higher at home 4.55 / 3.18. Junis has pitched well sporting a 2.62 ERA his last 6 starts. He also has a high road 4.50/3.49 home ERA split. But KC appears to back him as he has a 6-2 record away. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS 

Taking the BENGALS. yeah baby. Hold that nose as we grab this stinky diaper. Cincy have yet to score a TD in their 2 home game losses. Packers figure to be in a foul mood after the Falcons crushed them again. I saw a stat that Marvin Lewis is 17-3-2 ATS as an underdog vs NFC teams. Are you kidding me! That alone should at least get you a moving a bit on Cincy. Ok- So I get thinking the Pack roll at home. Last year they won by 7,7,16,8,18,13, -38 (playoffs) at home. Plus a 14 point loss to Dallas and 5pt loss to the Colts. Bengals seem to have a decent defense. It's not like it hasn't performed well this year, or in the past. They gave up more than 24 points just 4 times last year. Just think this is a big number to lay for GB. Trying to not weigh their injuries too much, but it can't help their cause. Finally. At 0-2, canning their OC and their HC on the very hot seat. This is a season breaker for the Bengals. They need to put up 24+ points and if they do that they have the chance at an outright W this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS 

Taking the BEARS here. We cashed with Chicago in Week 1 in what should have been an outright win. We cashed last week by fading them on the road. And I will come back for a 3rd straight week with this team. Look. Bears aren't good. They are already banged up. Glennon TOs were a major reason for the blowout last week. But look. What has Pitt done? You figure they sleep walk over the Browns as they have owned the series and a rookie QB. They get the Vikings without their starting QB. Now they get another young QB albeit one with some starts under his belt. Chicago has a decent defense. Let's not kid ourselves. Laying a TD on the road is tough in the NFL. Steelers have had trouble scoring and their offense is not as prolific as it is at home. Looking back at last year. I see scores of 3,14,15,16,17,18  -- There are 38,28,27,24,24 positive road numbers also. But it is a 50/50 prop they do that. Plus. Pitt has the Ravens on deck. Who .. Tip Alert. Get NO BYE week coming home from London! - Bears going to run the ball. Churn the clock. And Glennon looking to redeem after his 3 turnovers. t's gonna be a last second FG to decide this thing. I will be on the Under here also. Bears on a 5-1-1- ATS run as home puppies. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS

4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/Bears 

4* Total Money OVER Dolphins/Jets

Taking MINNESOTA today. Pretty simple thinking here. I know we don't have our starting QB. But. Do you know that Case Keenum beat the Bucs last year 37-32. 14-26 190 2TDs 1 pick. And he beat them in 2014, 31-23 (31-13 with 10 to play) going 14-17 234 2TDs. I think they guy knows this defense. And speaking of defenses. Minny has one  of the best in the league. Plus a great home field backing them. I cashed easily last week with Tampa rolling the Bears on the road. But Minny is much tougher on defense. They coach is fantastic. They are a tough bunch. Plus. As much I like I like the Bucs and Winston, the guy has thrown 15 and 18 INTs the last 2 years. I can easily see a mistake here being very costly. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the BILLS here. I think Buffalo wins this one outright. I nearly made this my Game of the Week. First off. Every square will be on Denver and this line will probably move by game day. They see the Broncos drop 40+ on the Cowboys and think this is a juggernaut offense. Same people who cashed with Dallas over the Giants and missed New York not do a darn thing at home vs the Lions. The Cowboys have a bad defense and can't play catch-up. Team isn't built that way. Bills with another solid defensive game. Who cares if it was against the Jets and Panthers, who I think are in for a long year with Cam behind center. Taylor is underrated behind center. This team even with their trades still is fielding a talented, and competitive team. This is Denver's first road game and it is an early start time. They have the Raiders on deck. We have 2 teams with drastic outcomes last week. 42 points for Denver at home. Bills with 3 points on the road. #BillsMafia let's get it ! - 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the JAGUARS here. Want to go +170 in the ML as well. But last week that hurt us as the Colts covered after blowing the lead, but our ML play went down in flames. I'll stick to the 'easier' win with the points. For me, this is about the Jags defense. They were terrible in the 2nd half last week. They were fantastic in Game 1. Ravens lose another OL and Flacco is a statue. I know the Ravens have a solid defense. Cincy ended up firing their OC, so maybe it was more Bengals than Ravens. And then they get the Browns would couldn't get in the back door. Bortles is no elite QB. So they are dealt another favorable schedule spot. I just think their own offense is as bad or worse. Can't see laying with them on the road. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE here. Man. This UTEP team is terrible. I had them 2 weeks ago at home over Rice and they were beaten 31-14. Totally destroyed by Arizona 63-16. Sooners rolled them in Game 1 56-7. So they fired their OC. If you give up 50 or more in 2 of 3 you fire the OC? These guys will be close to a 3 TD underdog by kickoff. I can't see anyone pro or joe, coming on the Miners. UTEP has won 8 straight in this series. And they put up points. 38,50,42,42,41,16,42 and 38. Obviously there are a lot of problems. New Mexico State is a perfect 3-0 ATS and look like an improved bunch. I am sure they want nothing better than to run over a team that simple has owned them over the year. This is their chance. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking GEORGIA here. Man. One win over LSU and Mississippi State is a trendy topic. When was the last time LSU had any offense? Didn't this team have ODB and Landry at WR at were still anemic? I get they have a new HC. But with that new HC comes new schemes on both offense and defense. They have talent galore. Lining up against Georgia, who is just as talented, and at home between the hedges. Forget it. The perception is State is some juggernaut. Georgia basically off a bye with win over Samford. Before that, they absolutely shut down ND. They have their own NFL bound RB. The QB looks good. And the defense, as mentioned, is always a very good unit. I thought Miss State would be a dark horse with their new DC. And he looked the part last week. But on the road is a bit tougher. Have to lay the short number 10* Money Bomb GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

4* Money Maker FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE again. Have cashed on the Cowboys twice already in their 3 games and will get on them this afternoon. I have said all along these guys were going to crash the Playoff Party and Mason Rudolph is a legit Heisman finalist. Maybe after he tosses 5 TDs today he will get some traction in his campaign. Now, I like TCU. I'm a Gary Patterson guy. But I a cashed with the Horned Frogs 2 weeks ago on the road in Arkansas. It wasn't pretty. QB goes for 166 through the air. That isn't working on the road, especially in Stillwater. Yeah, they put up points on SMU winning 56-36. What was most concerning there was 2 big plays by the Mustangs. A 58 and a 61 yard TD pass. OKST with 10 plays of 40 or more yards for TDs already this year. In 3 games! If this game was in Ft Worth, maybe I think about TCU. Cowboys haven't been home in 2 weeks and are opening up Big 12 play to what should be a great crowd. I think we really need only 1 stop for a cover here. If this game is withing 2 TDs I would be shocked. I know we probably will be laying extra with the way this offense has been scoring. But it won't stop us from cashing another ticket. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

4* Money Maker APPALACHIAN STATE

Taking NAVY here. What am I missing here? I faded Cincy last week and they needed a miracle to produce a win ripping victory from my hands. If they had problems vs a MAC team. How they heck are slowing down this Navy team that just continues to win games. Cincy with an entirely new regime running things. Navy is a well oiled machine that sticks to what it does. Nothing fancy. Nothing sexy. Just a triple option smash your face in style that will be like Chinese Arithmetic to a Bearcats team that doesn't see it often. Midshipmen also off a bye so they will be totally tuned into taking care of business here. 8* Sure Shot NAVY

Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. Now. Won't lie. Part of me thinks here. UCF has had 2 games cancelled from hurricanes. Rust will be a factor. Why am I getting that half point because everyone would want that I would prefer 2.5 instead. Not going to overthink things. 1 - we have revenge from last year where as a 10pt home dog, we lost in double OT covering the number. 2 - As much as the Terps are improved, they still have a young signal caller. Finally. Knights might be a bit sluggish to start the game. But getting more than a FG is really a gift since I think UCF wins this one outright. These guys are looking to take their frustration out on someone from the last month. They have a cupcake on deck so you are getting fully focused team that is looking have a 'rally around' type game with everything that has happened to them. 4* Money Maker UCF KNIGHTS 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA early. This Kansas team is absolute trash. I mean, man. I remember their Orange Bowl team from like 2007! That team was ranked as high as #2.  Not that they were a mighty football factory, but holy cow. Why even field a team? You would think an 11 win team would get respect at home and not be a 3 TD dog. Well, that is 11 wins over 6 years - From 2011-2016 .. 2-1-3-3-0-2=11 wins - 10-11-9-9-12-10=61 losses. They just lost to MAC Ohio by 12 on the road and at home to MAC Central Michigan by 18! This is a Big 12 school right? 467 yards and 5 TDs to a MAC QB from a team picked to finish middle of the pack. West Virginia is slightly better and more talented. They are in off 50+ point games vs Delaware State (59-16) and East Carolina (56-20). They have a bye next week before facing TCU. I can't see the starters getting pulled after a half. They will go 3 quarters at least. And just because this is a Power 5 school, is it far fetched to see Kansas scoring 14-20 points like the last 2 opponents? WVA should easily get to 45-50 points here unless they are filming a Jericho sequel we don't know about and the power goes out. 4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA 

4* Total Money UNDER Utah/Arizona

Taking the GIANTS here. Ok. Huge dog. no way that the Dodgers keep losing right? I mean, SF has played these guys tough this year going 7-9 against them. In Samardzja, we have a guy who will strike out a ton and walk nary a soul. Hill has been up and down at best. Dodgers still trying to find themselves with this slide they have been on. Giants just swept the Rockies who are in desperate Wild Card hunt mode. I am sure they would love nothing better to knock off the divisions first place team. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS 

Going UNDER the total tonight. Cashed in this spot last Thursday, and will do it again here. We get 2 teams, 2 teams that are, and let's be honest, not very good. A pair of teams with a 2nd year QB and another one with a journeymen. A pair of teams with new HCs. A pair of teams who will probably rely on their RBs to generate the offense. And finally, a pair of teams that have decent defenses. I think the SF defense has been very good so far this year. Rams have been ok. SO on the short week, with run heavy type O's, I have to lean under. 5 of the last 6 of these have gone under this posted today. And it would have been 6 straight if San Fran didn't score with 30 seconds left. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/Niners

Taking SAN FRAN tonight. Rams now favored in 3 straight games! Wow.. Raise your hand if you saw that one coming. Have had LAR the last 2 weeks, but will fade them here. So. Rams looked like world beaters vs the Colts. I thought they would get past the Redskins with their new HC knowledge of the offense. Close, but no cigar. The Niners have been very impress on the defensive side of the ball. The roughed up a, who I think, not so healthy Cam Newton and the Panthers. And more than held their own vs Russell Wilson and the Seahawks. Now they get a 2nd year QB still learning the league. Edge to our veteran journeyman QB with a pair of rookie HCs on the sidelines. I think SF has the better defense. We arguably have the better RB in Hyde over Gurley. And finally, sitting at 0-2 and in what will be a long year. This is a winnable game for the home dogs. You can take the +3 or go for that +130 ML.  4* Money Maker SF NINERS 

Taking the ROCKIES, again. Lost last night here and am back for me. Tough taking these guys as they seem to be slipping out of the wild card hunt trying to catch the Brewers (a winner for us last night) and Arizona who is sitting atop the NL West. But again, this is a decent price for us to lay. You know I don't like numbers up over that 150 range. First off. The Giants got a win. So that takes care of their week. Matt Moore has been brutal. I thought he would do well after his trade to the NL. Against the Rockies, Moore is 1-3 with a 9.64 ERA in six career starts. He is 0-2 with a horrible 13.51 ERA in three starts this year. At least Chatwood has some positives working for us. He has a 1.97 ERA on the road this year and a respectable 1.23 WHIP away from home. He has a .66 ERA since coming back to the rotation. This is it for the Rox. A perfect 7-0 in Chatwood's last 7 starts vs SF.  4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES

Taking the TIGERS today. Yes. We pulled out a miracle win on the A's last night. And yes, I said how I though that Detroit was done for the year. But I look at Sanchez and his 7+ ERA and I gotta jump on the small home dog. Oakland wrapping up a 9 game road trip. A wild one last night. I know you will here me say . no way so and so sweeps right.. Well, in this scheduling spot, I am taking the home team with a pitcher who is trying to everyone he can still play at a MLB level. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS 

Taking the ROCKIES. One. Colorado clinging to that 2 game lead over the Brewers for that last Wild Card spot. So every game a must win. And I will take a team battling over a team like San Fran who has been lost all year. Giants nearly 40 games under .500! This is far from vintage Cueto. A 4+ ERA since the start of September and coming off the DL. He can't get out of the 6th. The numbers are just not there this year. I do not expect him to 'flip the switch' tonight and go 8 striking out 9 giving up a run. Marquez could be tiring a bit. Approaching his innings from last year in the minors. I think this is a good park for him to pitch it. The Giants offense is anemic at best, and absolutely dreadful on most occasions. Rockies have some very skilled hitters that should be able to take advantage of a down Cueto year. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking the TWINS, again. Lost a tough one last night but will come back with Minny. Just a nice price on the 2nd Wild Card team. I know they have trouble vs NY. That could be a major understatement. I have been waiting for CC to regress, much like Santana last night to no avail. Berrios has been better at home (2.45 ERA) than on the road (5.14). But we can say the same about CC who has been worse at home (4.71) than on the road (3.18). I'll again take the dog. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS 

Taking OAKLAND tonight. This Tigers team has officially mailed it in. I think they have a lame duck coach. I think they are clearly in a rebuild without any pieces to contribute right now. I think the A's are a young bunch, but are looking to build for next and it shows as they are 9-3 their last 12. Not a terrible price to lay on the road, so we are in on the small road faves. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's 

Taking the BREWERS, again. Cashed these guys last night and am going back to the well again. As I said yesterday, this Pirates team continues to slide. At this price, we have to take Milwaukee who is just 2 games back for the Wild Card. Also going to be on the under here. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS 

4* Total Money UNDER Brewers/Pirates

Going UNDER the total here. We saw how bad the Giants offense is without ODB last week. But what people fail to realize is that even with him, they can't even score more than 20 points a game. NYG hasn't done that since last August! I believe the New York D is probably the best in the NFC East and arguably one of the Top 5 in all of the NFL. I think the Lions will have some problems here tonight. Dome team outside. Just one of those things like having the Bears over the Falcons in Week 1. Lions defense is nothing to write home about. So the Giants will put up some scores. But I think we are looking at a something like 23-13 tonight. 4* Total Money UNDER Lions/Giants

Taking the GIANTS tonight. I have been locked in on the under here, but am moving on NYG. For me. Look. The GMen need this game. If they can't get this one, they will be staring at 0-3 because I think the Eagles are beating them next week. So we have the Lions as a small dog. Stafford the highest paid QB. But I can't remember the last time he, or Detroit has beaten a good team on the road. As I said in my total write up. This NYG defense is very good. That to me, is the difference maker. ODB plays, He doesn't. It won't make a difference to me. I think New York scores in the mid 20s tonight. 24-13 seems like something around that kind of final. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking the TWINS here. I have to grab the dogs here. I will be first to say I am still waiting for a Santana regression. But the guy has won 15 games this year and is 9-2 2.74 ERA in 14 road starts including 3 complete games! This Minny team is I think, still a bit under the radar. And they are the #2 Wild Card team!  They have pop. 3 guys are going to hit 30 HRs. Another 3 should get to 20. And Garcia is the type of guy who gives up some long balls (17 so far). Minny won 2 of 3 back in July at home. I think we having the pitching edge tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS 

Taking the BREWERS tonight. Should probably go +145 on the RL for a little extra cash in our pockets. If I like Milwaukee at basically even money, then I think they win by at least 2 runs. Fact is, Pirates are just playing out the string. Eliminated from any playoff thoughts, they have now lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11. Brewers have won 7 of their last 9 and still are fighting for the last WC spot sitting 2.5 games back. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Taking the FALCONS tonight. It is easy to grab Rodgers and the Pack with double revenge from last year. 33-32 win for Atlanta, then a blistering 44-21 beat down in the NFC Championship Game. That game was 31-0 before GB did anything. Now, Falcons in off a game they should have lost to the Bears. (We cashed the home pups) But that was a walk-through wake up call. GB (who we also cashed) had a tough physical game vs Seattle. After playing the Seahawks, teams always have a tough time. Now the Falcons open up a new billion dollar stadium. I know they have a new OC. But the offense will be able to move on the Pack. The defense is what is so improved for Atlanta. Pack lost to Minny, the Redskins and Titans on the road last year. That is what happens without a RB to help your All-Word QB. They still don't have a RB. I think ATL wins this one by double digits. 8* Sure Shot 

Taking the RAMS this afternoon. Had these guys last week and had them at + points since we were way ahead of the curve knowing in August that there was no chance Luck was playing at least until October regardless of what was coming out of Indy ahead of time. This one comes down to coaching for me. And the Rams new HC just happened to be the OC in Washington the last 3 years while their LB coach was the Redskins DC for the last 2 years. Safe to think that they will have a slight idea to what each player across the field brings to the table. I think the LA has a better defense with wiz Wade Phillips at the helm. I like that they aren't having Goff do anything crazy. The Skins turned the ball over 4 times last week which makes the loss look worse. Just as the Rams getting some points on defense inflate their final. Washington still lost a pair of 1000 yard receivers. Cousins will have to find his comfort receiver. Goff seems to have found his in Cupp. I really can't see LAR HC McVay overlooking this game. In fact, I would say this is the game his team will be really pumped for, while someone losing to a 49ers bunch next week. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the RAIDERS here. Now. Normally I am shying away from double digit NFL favorites. But I am going with a small play on Oakland here. I had the Jets last week. And if the HC knew how to be a coach, we probably should have pulled out a cover even though the Bills outplayed us. Jets are now flying cross country to take on the Raiders. Raiders a trendy SB pick. Looked great last year till they lost Carr. Last week they won pretty easily (I had the Titans) and I don't even think they played that well. Titans are a tough club. Jets are not. The Jets I thought would take all the 0-16 talk from the pre-season and apply to a big effort in Game 1. I do not see that here. Will 34-10 really be a shocker to anyone? If you think Oakland won't score more than 17, I guess you are a huge Jets fan or part of their ownership. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the DOLPHINS this afternoon. Short week as they were Game 2 of the MNF double header. Then we take into account they flurry of action to get them to the point of them missing out on tying the game. That will take a toll on the body. Now they face a rested Miami team. And they have division rival, KC Chiefs on deck. I know it is there home opener. But really. In LA? What kind of crowd will be here? I am not worried about Cutler. Guy looked pretty good in preseason against the Eagles. He is familiar with the system. That is why he is here not Kap. No team is signing that guy to revamp an offense for him. Not happening. Cutler has some decent toys to play with. Love Thomas at TE. Landry can stretch things out. A capable RB behind him. Plus, what I feel is the better defense. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking TAMPA today. Tough to take a team without a game under their belt, but I'm all in. This line was bet up by the sharps and I am sure we could see some buy-back if it moves to 7.5 - Perception vs reality people. I had the Bears last week. Should have that one outright as a nice home dog over the reigning NFC Champs. Not to be. A bad team finds ways to lose. Bucs on the rise. Now I did lose taking the Texans thinking they get a big emotional boost from the hurricane and the fan supports. I was dead wrong. Again, we have hurricane action. But unlike the Texans, the Bucs have a real QB behind center. They have some decent play-makers he can get the ball to. Chicago has Glennon who the Bucs let walk. They might know his tendencies a bit. 4* TAMPA BAY BUCS

Grabbing the COLTS here. I can't get the +250 on the ML on this site, but that is my lean on this game. Look - Indy is bad. They looked just awful last week vs the Rams. But let's not forget that Palmer wasn't good vs a bad Lions defense. They also lost their key offensive weapon who was pivotal to that side of the ball. After being humiliated last week, Colts will give an inspired performance today. 4* Money Maker COLTS 

Taking TEXAS TECH. A little revenge on the agenda tonight for Tech as they lost 68-55 on the road last year. ASU RB Ballage had 8 TDs! Well he hasn't done much this year as the Sun Devil rush attack has amassed less than 150 yards in their 2 home games. I know Tech isn't known for defense, but this ASU team is a mess. The offense should be able to drop a 45 spot on them. Devils eked out a win over New Mexico State and promptly lost against San Diego State. Sign me up for the Red Raiders at home with a week to prep a revenge meal. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS 

Taking TROY tonight. Have to say, maybe this is the too good too be true line of the day. Troy won last year 52-6 laying 20. 52-7 in 2015 and 41-24 in 2014. So we have a much shorter line here on the road which is understandable. I guess coming off another upset off of rival New Mexico shaves another point or 2 off the number. But a game like that is expected. Aggies have now won the last 2 in that series as dogs. Barely holding on they will be a bit flat while Troy is ready finally ready for their 'A' game to come out having lost at Boise and a walk-through win over Alabama State. Did you know that the Aggies have had 4 winning season the last 49 years and no post season action in 56! They have 5 conference games the last 3 years with 2 being in OT and 2 over the only team worse than them in Texas State. I'll lay it with the road fave. 10* Money Maker TROY

Taking MIAMI O tonight. MAC favored over the AAC tonight and in-state big brother Cincinnati. Sign me up! Redhawks the more experience bunch on the field. They have covered 4 straight years. I think, and obviously so do the lines-makers, that now is the time. New regime on the sidelines for Cincy. That means new schemes. Players learning new things. And we have a 4th year HC who has taken his lumps in the series and is 21-11-1 ATS in his lined games here. Homecoming weekend. Should be a big night for us. 5* Best Bet MIAMI OHIO 

Taking WYOMING here. Ok. Lost with the Cowboys back against Iowa. They have not looked good with a guy many though would be one of, if not the top QB taken in this year's NFL draft. So we are getting 2 TDs at home. I'm in. This is a tough place to play. Not easy to get to Wyoming. Oregon scored 42 in the first half against Nebraska. Then forgot their was a second half. Safe to say Ducks look a little shaky on defense. Still a new HC for the Ducks. And I never take 1 game as gospel. This is tough first road game for Oregon who opens up PAC 12 play next week. Wyoming should have a great crowd on their side taking on a Power 5 school. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking MISSOURI here. Yeah. So, I was like man, Purdue getting 7, 7.5 from a team that gave up 43 points to Missouri State! Then they put up 13 points, while allowing 31 (3 TOs and a KO return hurt) to South Carolina after they scored 73 !! 73 over those state rivals. Missouri cans their DC and expects a quick improvement. I like Brohm. Purdue looked good against his former club. Not that his old coach would take him behind a woodshed even though Louisville can run it up. Then they beat Ohio. Things are looking up. But the players are still mostly the same that had been 3-30 in Big Ten play  with a combined 9-39 SU record the last 4 years. It will take more than 2 games to change the talent level. MizzU still is an SEC team that is more talented then the Boilermakers. Purdue juggling QBs already. Blough had 21 INTs last year and 2 already this year. Sindelar has more pass attempts this year (41) than all of last year (32). That is not a recipe for road success. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. We opened up with the Cowboys in a big way in their Game 1 beat-down. I will jump on them again this afternoon. Look. These guys are going to get a lot of action. Everyone loves offense. I said they can win the Big 12 at the start of the season. Nothing has changed. They are going to put up at least 40-45 today. Will Pitt score more than 20-24? I can't see them getting to 30. I think this is a 3 TD win for us. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking AIR FORCE here. Man. Have to grab the Falcons and 4 scores. Right off the bat they run an unconventional offense. As I said with my Florida loser against Michigan. Wolverines have to replace nearly everyone on defense. Do we think they are getting fancy with their Big 10 opener on deck? I can't see them running up the score here. Air Force should get their 20+ and I think at worse, we get a back door cover. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE FALCONS 

Taking MEMPHIS here. Now. I had UCLA opening up the season and they needed an A&M QB injury and a miracle to pull out an outright win which they had no right getting. If I am going down ATS, then the entire team should suffer with me. Then they come back to beat Hawaii. So after 2 home games, the Bruins still have zero run game as they have been out-rushed 663-119. Call me crazy if you want. But I don't think you win or cover road games, when you leave your defense on the field vs an offense that can score. Memphis will put points on the board. They will pound the ball with their RB. They will put the ball in the air with their near 3500 yard QB. This is a veteran team led by seniors. They have 9 starters on offense, 6 more back on defense. Off a bye week with a cancelled game. They should battle for the AAC Championship. You don't think they want to knock off a Power 5 UCLA team out of the PAC 12 with a Heisman hopeful QB? Live dog alert. 5* Best Bet MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking the ASTROS here. Seattle just 3.5 back in the Wild-Card hunt. And I think Paxton is the better pitcher. They come in winners of 3 straight. But Paxton hasn't pitched since early August. Mariners say he will go 50 pitches. I don't like the Seattle bullpen that much. Astros need to start playing better as the playoffs approach. Getting it done at home is a good start. 4* Money Maker 

Taking the REDS and going RUN LINE. I know the Reds are 1-7 in Homer's last 8 starts. Reds 1-7 his last 8 starts vs the Pirates. But I will ignore those ugly numbers. Pirates are sinking. Where is there motivation to play out the string? At least Cincy has some young bats that are exciting. Pirates have dropped 7 of 8 -- 10 and 21 their last 31 games. Send in the clowns. Pitt 16 games under .500 on the road. I'm looking for a big payday heading into football weekend. 4* RL Money CINCINNATI REDS 

Taking the PHILLIES tonight. Philly playing with some pep in their step reeling off 3 straight sweeping the Marlins. The youngsters getting a chance, and man oh man is Rhys Hoskins enjoying things. 18 HRs in 34 games! I think Philly continues their hot hitting tonight vs the A's. Oakland loses their DH which is nearly an automatic out with this AL pitchers at the dish. Going to also be on the over here. Think we see runs early and we win a wild one. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 

4* Total Money OVER A's/Phillies

Going UNDER the total. Cincy now under in 20 of their last 28. Texans have a pretty good defense off a bad game. Their QB situation is terrible which will aid the cause tonight. Rookie QB on a short week. What could possibly go wrong? I mean, I guess he can throw 3 INTs and 2 go for TDs. Then we will be pulling for a 31-3 final. That being said. Bengals offense was turnover prone last week. I think we get an improved effort tonight. They can't start 0-2 at home. At 3,3.5 Cincy would have been a play. But this line has shot up and I have to think we see another low scoring affair. 4* Total Money UNDER 

Taking NEW MEXICO tonight. So short week for both teams. Both in off crazy games. Boise blowing a huge 4th quarter lead. And New Mexico rally coming up short. I just think this is too many points. Simple thinking. Boise rolled these guys last year with Rypien tossing 5 TD passes. He left last game early with an injury. So he is at best, not 100%. Lobos mixing up the offense a bit. But this is still a team that is tough to prep for with their run game. Lobos have covered 5 straight in this series. 4* Money Maker NEW MEXICO LOBOS

Taking the ROYALS tonight. Will step in front of a the runaway win train that is the Cleveland Indians. Not that they are due for a loss, just I think Tomlin is their weakest starter. Junis has pitched pretty well lately a 2.48 ERA his last 6 starts which puts him on pair with Tomlin who is at 2.57 ERA his last 7. This is it for KC. 4 back in the wild-card hunt. If they fail to make the playoffs, they could at least look at ending their division rivals monster win streak as something positive. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS 

Taking the WHITE SOX this afternoon. Tough backing Shields and his ugly numbers. Just think that the Sox want to get out of last place. They are a young team looking at next year. Tigers in semi rebuild mode since they still have Miggy and CMart. But the dealing of Verlander clearly signals rough times ahead. Chicago has won 4 of 5, while Detroit is 1-6 last 7 at home. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

Just an OPINION here on the White Sox. My MLB has been slipping this month. Not really a shock since I won't lay huge numbers with faves, and pick some bigger dogs. But with NFL and College 5 days a week, we might just really pass on the bases until playoffs.  So I like Giolito. The guy has been really dominate in day games. So this is his 5th start. His first one away from home. But. A 2.84 ERA on the year, .91 WHIP, 23Ks in 25 innings. - The day splits are even better though. A .64 ERA, .71 WHIP .128 BA against. Skogland has a 10+ ERA on the year. I will take the shot with the CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

Taking the YANKEES here. Lots of huge faves on the board and we will either dog it up, like we did with the Tigers yesterday, or just pass. But this is closer to my limit any time of year on the bases. Gray pitching well of late. Yankees seem to be getting hitting throughout the lineup. Tampa, playing in Citi Field in NY have to have their minds on other things right now. They are playing out the string. 4* Money Maker NY YANKKES

Taking OAKLAND tonight. Will grab Manaea a this price. Guy has been pitching well, 2.55 ERA his last 3 starts. Rodriguez come in with a bloated 6.11 ERA his last 3. A's going nowhere but we have a solid arm on the hill. A's have won 4 of the last 5 in the series. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's

Taking the CHARGERS tonight. I know that you have heard me say many times how I like to take the fave when the line sites at 3.5 and 7.5. But I just can't in this case.  Saw this fine little tidbit. Under Elway since Manning has left, the Denver QBs have produced a 22-17 record. Found that on Twitter August 22, and here I am later that night propping up the Chargers as a play. Not only that. We have some nice trends working in our favor. Road team 10-3-1 ATS last 14, and Chargers 8-2-4 ATS last 14 at Denver. Broncos have a great defense. But the offense is not scary. Rivers is a very good QB and I won't be shocked if we pull out the upset here on Monday night. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS 

Taking the TIGERS - More than 3-1 odds. Have to play this just on principal. Small Opinion Play for my seasonal and monthly members. 

4* Total Money UNDER Giants/Cowboys

Taking the GIANTS here. Look. I like the Cowboys. I am a Dallas fan. But I am not sold on this defense at all. The offense is fluid, no doubt. But I believe that the NY defense is the best in this division. Cowboys of a great year. Better than anyone expected after Romo went down. Part of me wants to just grab the GMen at +170 and forget the points. I will sprinkle some on that but cash by taking the points as the easier money. 8* Sure Shot NY GIANTS 

Taking the PACKERS here. Not sure if I really hate a team more than I hate these 2 teams. Maybe the Giants. That being said, tough to go against Rodgers at home laying this short price. I know everyone loves the Seattle defense. And that chubby bastard Lacy is coming back to face his old team. He will want to do something special to prove a point. But this Seattle OL is still a mess for me to take seriously. Wilson is a solid QB. I can't knock the guy. He just wins games. But the talent behind center on the other side is off the charts. I think he can find some chinks in this secondary. Am I expecting 5 interceptions from Wilson like he gave us in 2016. (38-10 GB rolls) No. Will it be a little closer to 27-17 (GB win) of 2015. Probably. It won't be GB blowing a 16-0 lead in NFC Championship Game that's for sure. Give me the Pack. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS

Taking the RAMS here. I have been down on the Colts for years. I know everyone loves Andrew Luck. But the guy is a .500 QB vs everyone but his own division. And what does that say. He had been beating up on the Jags and Titans. Even the good Texans had QB issues. I think the coach is on the hot seat. I think that they are wasting what was suppose to be a great career for Luck. The line still stinks. I don't like anything about the entire group. Give me the new look Rams. New HC. A guy who knows a thing or 2 about QBs and has a year removed from being the top 1 or 2 QBs available. I think Goff should drastically improve under the new regime. The defense has been solid. Won't be shocked one bit when the Rams win this one outright. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS 

Taking the JETS here. I should probably just load up +330 on the ML in this spot. I mean really. The Jets are tanking this year right? Worse team ever? 0-16! - Suck for Sam is on! Holy cow people. You don't think these guys have an ounce of pride. You think they want to come out and be a winless, worse team ever group of players. Bills are laying near double digits with a rookie QB. Or. They are starting a guy barely out of the concussion protocol. This should end well for Taylor. He either, literally, shakes out the cobwebs and lights up the Jets. Or. His timing is off. He gets his bell rung and is replaced. Then loses at least a quarter of the season dealing with the concussion thing to a 5th round rookie on a team that is looking towards the future. Tell me again who the pressure is on? Bills will a lot of changes lately with August trades. Something tells me NY shows up and actually wins this one outright. 4* Money Maker NY JETS 

Taking the BEARS today. Going ugly baby. Maybe not the way to go right out of the gate. But even if people weren't saying that Chicago is awful, I would still be on the home dogs this afternoon. One. The whole Super Bowl loser hangover 2-15 ATS run. Two. We have a dome team outside. Three. Said team breaks in a new OC after their old OC forgets running plays are allowed. I know that HC Quinn is suppose to be a defensive guy. But I know the old 28-3 is every where like the 3-1 lead non-sense. But this guy was also the DC of Seattle when Brady went 13-15 in the 4th quarter tossing 2 TDs erasing a 10pt Seattle lead. Forget about the Wilson pick. The Legion of Doom. The team that humiliated Elway and the Broncos 41-8. The best defense ever! He has basically been in command of 2 of the most epic Super Bowl collapses of all-time! Bears aren't going to be a playoff team. I get it. But they have a solid run game and a decent defense. Give me a hungry home dog and the points. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS

Taking TENNESSEE here. Everyone and their grandmother will be on the Raiders. In fact, the public loves them yet the line has flipped from +2 to as high as -2 in some spots. Raiders had a great run last year. The were catching lighting in a bottle most of the year. Do we forget Week 1 TD and 2pt conversion with under a minute left on the road to beat the Saints? The scored with a little over 2 minutes left to beat Baltimore. They won in OT over Tampa after a TD with under 2 to play. A pair of nail-biters over the Chargers. I know Carr broke his leg, but these guys got a lot of breaks last year. Like Alabama scoring a dozen defensive TDs last year, there will be a regression here. Titans are a solid bunch. Everyone loves the Texans to win this division. I say Tennessee takes it. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the TEXANS here. Only thing going through my head right now is how the Saints beat the Falcons in Game 1 after Hurricane Katrina. Blocked punt for New Orleans in that one. But I expect to see a defensive TD for JJ Watt and friends. Fact is, Bortles in 0-6 vs the Texans. He hasn't done much. He nearly lost his job to Chad Henne this August. Yes, they drafted a stud RB. Yes, the defense is a decent unit and facing Tom Savage. I will be really honest with ya. Before Harvey arrived, I was eyeing up these Jaguars. The aforementioned QB issues. The fact they are 2-22 SU L24 as road dogs, 1-10 SU (4-7 ATS) L 11 roadies. 24-21 and 21-20 wins last year for the Texans. Just think with high emotions, and this defense, they win this one by 10. 10* Money Bomb HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking WASHINGTON STATE tonight. Last year, we had these guys + the points and ML and nearly pulled out both. Boise is not the same Boise. Hello! 10pt dogs. These guys have been dogs like once the last 40 games. But we have a big experienced team on both sides of the ball. We have a senior QB who owns Leach's Air Raid system. No Blue Turf miracles here. Boise benched their starting QB last week so he Rypien could be jittery and make some questionable plays early. I think the Cougars win this one going away. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON STATE 

Taking USC tonight. Man. All I hear is that Stanford is going to roll these guys. Stanford has won 7 of the last 9 in the series. Stanford has covered 10 of the last 14. Stanford 14-2-1 ATS last 17 on the road. Stanford HC Shaw 8-2-1 ATS last 11 as dog. Stanford too physical. Stanford beat them last year, 27-10. Stanford with extra week off. SC couldn't handle Western Michigan. And yet, they are getting 5. Man. How can we not back the Trojans! The QB doesn't toss a TD pass and they still put up 49. The old perception vs reality play. Perception. Oh Stanford wins 62-7. Oh USC holds on to win 49-31 over MAC Western Michigan. Stanford owns these guys lately. Easy winner. Yeah. They build those billion dollar buildings in a desert because they make it so easy for everyone. 5* Best Bet USC TROJANS