Taking the RANGERS here with Hamels. This guy can pitch under pressure. We are perfect in this series. Rangers twice on the road. Jays twice on the road. I think I know the way these teams play. Toronto looked into Hamels. They wanted him for this spot. They got David Price. No slouch. But he's on the bench in this Game 5. And make no mistake, they can say they needed him out of the pen, but the fact is, his post-season numbers are garbage. So Hamels, a LCS MVP and World Series MVP, is no stranger to big October games. 11 straight wins for Texas with the big lefty on hill. At this price, how can we not take him. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking ARKANSAS STATE here. Will fade South Alabama here. Red Wolves bring the much more experienced squad to this game. They rolled the Jags last year at home, and should be able to produce a double digit win on the road here. South Alabama 1-7 ATS last 8 at home. With just 5 returning starters, the Jags will be hard-pressed to slow down a pretty good Red Wolves offense. Wolves a little questionable on the defensive side of the ball, but should be able to easily out yard and score these guys. Sometimes, when things look to easy, they are. But in this case, I am not going to over-think things. Arkansas State should be battling for a Sun Belt title, while South Alabama should be a bottom tier team. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE 

4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

4* Money Maker SAN JOSE SHARKS 

Taking the CARDINALS here. Will grab Lackey on short rest. The guy has been a beast vs the Cubs all year.  Has given up 0,0 and 2 runs in his 3 starts vs them (1.25 ERA) this year. He won a World Series Game 7. Safe to say, this guy is an experience, dare I say, clutch, post-season bet. Hammel gave up 7 runs in 11 innings vs STL (1-1 5.73) this year. He has posted a 5.10 ERA in 14 starts since the All-Star break. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS 

Taking the DODGERS here. I know Harvey is a beast. The guy has great numbers at home. But, I am an East Coast guy. I know the Mets and Yankees well. We had the Mets Game 1 as big dogs. I am not scared of names. I have seen Harvey over pitch on emotion and get beat up vs the Nats. Now, if they didn't lose Game 2 and Tejada to a broken leg, I would be on the Mets, probably RL here. But I can see him going up and in and eventually clipping a guy. Won't be shocked to see him ejected. Sometimes, too much emotion is not a good thing. At this price, we will take a shot with the nice dogs here. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS 

Taking the STEELERS here. I had these guys last Thursday night, blowing leads for me and a cover. But that was with a QB in Vick with limited practice reps. Now, extra prep time. Count me in. If I was a real degenerate and not disciplined in my ways, I would probably unload on Pittsburgh tonight. Their defense is questionable at best. Rivers will probably move this team up the field often. But Pitt has some good offensive players themselves. I like the run game to really open things up here for Vick to get the ball to the talented WRs. The half point is nice and might save us from a push, but I won't be shocked if the Steelers pull an outright win here. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking the CUBS on the RL here. I don't lay 150-160, not going to laying over 2-1 even with Arrieta on the hill. What is there to say about this guy? I can bombard you with his numbers, but everyone knows them already. He has been lights out for the last couple months. When a guy doesn't give up a run, it is hard to beat him. Cards are no push-overs, but Jake has been just been pitching on a totally different level. 4* RL Money CHICAGO CUBS

Taking the BLUE JAYS. Right back on the Jays. We cashed Texas in 1&2, now look for the Jays to take 3&4. Dickey has been excellent since the All-Star break posting a 2.80 ERA in 15 starts going 8-1. For me, it is about the way Donaldson and Eddie E have hit Holland. Both with a pair of homers. Texas has fared as well vs Dickey. With Beltre still out, and Choo and Fielder (2-25 1 hit apiece .80 BA) struggling, the Rangers run is about to be snuffed out. 5* Best Bet TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Total Money OVER Royals/Astros

Going OVER the total and taking the ASTROS here. KC with their backs to the wall. I think both teams get runs here. Astros just playing the better game for me right now. So I think we see about 10 total runs. I don't think either starter comes out and throws up zeros for 5 innings. Houston advances. 4* OVER and the ASTROS 

Taking TAMPA BAY -1.5 here. Will lay the goals instead of the money. Will look for a bigger pay-day here. Bruins have great, great numbers vs TB at home. 29-4-10 is nothing to shake a stick out. But I am going to fade that here. No way Boston loses 3 straight at home right? This Bruins team is struggling now. Injuries and chemistry will be in play again this afternoon. TB can score and will today. 4* PL Money TAMPA BAY 

Taking the ISLANDERS here. NYI opened with back to back losses vs the Blackhawks. Not a stretch to say that, that's a pretty good team right there. Winnipeg with a pair of road wins under their belt already. I like fading games on road trips, and this being 3 in a row against a team that dropped their first two games is a profitable spot. 4* Money Maker NY ISLANDERS 

4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS

4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the PATRIOTS here. Look. I will be the first to say that laying more than a TD on the road is not a recipe for success in the NFL. But there are times when we must. Patriots off a bye week. Absolutely. Tom Brady looking to humiliate every defense he faces and make the league look silly for 'deflate-gate'. Just another reason to jump on board. No Romo, Dez, or Sean Lee? I might get into 1989 Pro-Line Dr Ron Bash mode and start hyping this play like a used car salesman. Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain are great pieces for the Dallas D to have return. But make no mistake Lee is the heart. But, saying he is injury prone is an understatement. Bottom line here is pretty simple. How is Weeden and the Cowboys slowing down Brady? The simple answer, they aren't. I am not expecting to see 200+ yards of rushing offense from the 'Boys keeping Brady on the sidelines. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

4* RL Money HOUSTON ASTROS

Taking the BROWNS here. Ok. I am sure the public is like, What.. Baltimore easily wins this by a TD. Ok. Now. Who exactly have the Ravens beaten? Steelers last week on Thursday night when the kicker was missing FGs and QB Vick had 3 days to practice? Browns aren't world beaters. But they play tough and keep things close. Ravens already had trouble scoring before losing veteran Steve Smith. This kid Benjamin for Cleveland has 3 50+ yard TDs catching and goes for nearly 20 a catch. Browns 5-2 ATS last 7 on the road. 4-1 ATS last 5 here in Baltimore. And the road team is 8-2-1 ATS last 11 in the series. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

4* Money Maker EAGLES

Taking the CHIEFS here. I'll be the first to say this is a big number for me to be laying. Especially with a KC team that has let me down week after week. Call me crazy, or insane. But I am back on them here. Losers of 3 straight, but those teams are 12-0! Denver, GB and Cincy. Not exactly chopped liver. Bears have some issues without a doubt. They edged Oakland last week, which, even as a home dog, they should have. Raiders haven't been road faves since when, 2002? Marcus Allen and Kenny Stabler! KC has their back to the walls. Alex Smith doesn't throw many INTs, while Cutler seems to enjoy it. The Bears defense doesn't impress, nor scare offenses. This is a clear step-down in class for KC. And you don't say that much at the NFL level. But Chiefs need to really cut loose on someone. They should have beat Denver. They had no problem moving the ball on the road against a very good Bengals defense. I can see their defense knocking Cutler out and getting at least 2-3 turnovers here. A frustrating 3 week stretch should be taken out with a vengeance against the Bears. A double digit win is mandatory here. I think that KC top 30 and I don't see Chicago getting more than 17-20. 10* Money-Bomb KC CHIEFS 

Taking the BENGALS here. Cincy is ready for this game. If there is one game out of division to be 100% ready for, this is it. The rugged, Seahawks, Super Bowl Champs and Runner-Up the last 2 years come to down. Now. We know I like fading this over-rated bunch, especially on the road. We cashed Rams outright over them, then GB pulled away late. Here they find an Andy Dalton who has been nearly perfect. I read somewhere that him getting booed at the All-Star game really motivated him in camp. He is tired of hearing how he can't do it, and is a game manager, blah, blah blah. Well, with Lynch banged up, he easily has the 2 best backs on the field. And the best WRs. This is a dangerous Bengals team. The bend don't break of giving up FGs last week didn't hurt them. I think Seattle is down a bit. They are not the same team as the last 2 years, especially when playing on the road. Bengals 15-3-1 ATS last 19 at home. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS 

4* Money Maker DALLAS STARS

4* Money Maker MIAMI FLORIDA 

Taking BYU here. Look. We lost with SMU over ECU last week. But we have also cashed on ECU over VT as 10pt dogs, and rode Navy to a big win over the Pirates. ECU is on the road for the 4th time in 5 weeks. This isn't an easy road trip. Like I said, I had SMU who after taking a 23-7 lead, proceeded to get blitzed 42-0. No such luck of that happening vs the Cougs who are a better program. BYU with a better defensive, a physical offense  that has size at WR and a good HC. Tough venue and the altitude will be too much for the Pirates to handle. 10* Money-Bomb BYU

4* Money Maker MONTREAL CANADIENS

4* Money Maker DETROIT RED WINGS

Taking MICHIGAN here. I said on my podcast Wednesday night that this line is a bit odd looking. Guest Capper Tony K agreed. Why do we have Northwestern, the higher ranked team getting a TD here? They shut down Stanford, who went on the road and dropped 40 on USC. Northwestern went to Duke, who is a capable football team, and won there. They are off a shut-out. And we get this big number. Now Michigan hasn't been a powerful football school in quiet a bit. Both teams bring solid defenses. Northwestern giving up 7ppg, Wolverines allowing 184 yards total offense a game. Total sitting at an old school 35. Yet, the line is a TD. Something has to give here. I mean, isn't it easy to grab a good defense like the Wildcats getting the points. They played a bit of a tougher schedule. I think this line might drop a bit by game time. Again, I know the purpose of a line is to get 2 way action. But all I see is Northwestern money all day long here. So I think the Wolverines get a 10pt win here. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN

Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY here. What a great scheduling spot for the Hilltoppers. They get Mid Ten St in off a tough loss to Vandy blowing a 10pt win with 6 minutes left. And that is on the heels of losing on a late FG to Illinois. Now, Vandy and Illinois aren't SEC and Big 10 royalty. But a pair of games that they got up for. WKU have eaten cupcakes the last 2 weeks getting ready for this revenger. 8* Sure Shot WKU

Taking the METS here. Look. We cashed the Rangers yesterday in a similar spot. Kershaw is a great pitcher. But the fact is he spits the bit in the post-season. A 1-5 5.12 ERA in 11 games, 8 starts. He has been great posting a 1.22 ERA last 17 starts.But the Mets have their own stud on the hill. DeGrom can match zeros here with Clayton. A 2.54 ERA on the year, .98 WHIP. I am not a fan of his road splits for sure. That being said, I think the NYM line-up is better than LAD even if Puig plays. Cesepedes has transformed the entire team around him. If  we get home-style DeGrom all we need is a Kershaw mistake for a 1-0, 2-1 win. Runs will be at a premium for sure. So let's take a dog with a solid starter and a good 'pen behind him. 4* Money Maker NY METS 

4* Money Maker 

Taking the CUBS here. I like STL. This is the franchise that everyone should emulate. They just churn out pitchers and young hitters. But I don't trust John Lackey here. So I will fade him in favor in favor of his ex Boston mate Jon Lester. Both guys have pretty solid post-season numbers. Lester 6-4 2.57 ERA, Lackey 7-5 3.08 ERA. Both guys excel here. Lackey with much better home splits and Lester with better road splits. But Cubs won 6 of the last 9. They are playing with a little edge to them right now. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS 

Taking the ASTROS here. Wanted to grab these guys last night also but passed. Was waiting for this match-up with Cueto. He hasn't been sharp since his arrival. Kazmir has had missed results also, but has better road splits. Plus. I look at KC as the favorite here. They don't have the hunger like last year. Now down 0-1, this young team might panic a bit. What happens when Cueto gives up 4 in the first 3 innings? Are they rushing to the pen? This Houston team looks pretty confident right now. Houston 8-2 last 10 vs KC in the series. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS 

4* Total Money OVER Astros/Royals

Taking the RANGERS here. Will come back to these guys again after cashing them as huge dogs yesterday. And why not. It isn't like Cole Hamels is an inexperienced arm. He has loads of post-season experience(7-4 3.09 ERA). This is why he is here. Well, more for next year since I am sure nobody thought Texas would make this run. But here we are. Now, Stroman has been nearly unhittable since coming back. I can't say a negative thing about the kid. But anything is possible in play-off action. And maybe the Jays feel a little bit of pressure here down in the series. Hamels at this price, worth the shot as we are playing with house money from yesterday's easy win. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA WILD

4* Money Maker DALLAS STARS

Taking the TEXANS here. Ok. What is up with this line? Texans favored? Colts have won 5 straight vs Houston and 15 straight vs AFC teams. This tells me that Luck is not even close to being 100%. He is injured more seriously then they Colts are letting on. Look. I lost with this bunch last week getting mauled in Atlanta. And I lost with the Chiefs last week. The Chiefs? Yeah. They were getting 4 from Cincy and I thought to myself.. Man, this line looks very low. Well 7 FGs don't help us. Not that this is the same, but it my eyes it is close. A line that looks too good to be true if you like the other way. I am at 59% in the NFL. Take out my putrid 1-5 totals and I am 66%/  - I know this league. I know this game. I said on my Live Podcast last night I was moving on this game. If you listen every week, you get plenty of free winners. Enough of that.. Last year on Thursday night, the Colts came here and put up a 24 spot in the first quarter. I don't see that happening tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking the RANGERS here. I like the Jays. I think they can win the whole thing. But. David Price post-season, is different then David Price regular season. The Price isn't right unless we are taking the dogs here. Maybe Price has his stuff straight mows down the Rangers. But getting 2-1, I will put some eggs in Gallardo's basket. 5 games 1-2 2.08 ERA in 26 innings with 20Ks.. Worth a shot for sure. He also has 13+ scoreless innings vs Jays (2-0) this year. Again, Price 1-5 4.50 ERA in 10 career starts 40 innings. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

4* Money Maker VANCOUVER CANUCKS

4* Money Maker NY RANGERS

Going UNDER that total here. Man, how can you not. Arrieta was just a flat-out beast this year. He should be the NL Cy Young Winner. 13-1 1.60 ERA on the road this year. 3-1 .75 ERA vs Pirates this year. A 1.77 ERA and .86 WHIP on the season! 236Ks in 229 innings. And Gerritt Cole is no slouch. 2-1 2.13 ERA vs Cubs this year. 2.60 ERA 1.09 WHIP on the year with 202Ks in 208 innings. So, right off the bat we have over 400 innings and strikeouts between a pair of guys who won 41 games this year. Looking at the last games these guys have played.. I see finals of total runs at 4,4,5, 15(Hendricks, Morton), 5,3,9 (Hammel, Cole),12 (Haren, Locke),5,3,5,21 (Hammel, Locke). Not looking at April since I use April as extended Spring numbers. But looking at these box scores, I see a huge winner on the board tonight with 6 runs. Cold, October play-off baseball. A couple of hard-throwers. I am going under. 5* Total Money UNDER Cubs/Pirates

Taking the ASTROS here. with Keuchal on the hill. This guy just might edge out David Price for the AL Cy Young Award. Obviously, he has very impressive numbers at home, but his road splits aren't very sexy. Doesn't matter to me though. This Yankees team will have a hard time getting their bats on the ball here. At home, he tossed a SHO 6 hitter with 12 Ks back in June vs NYY. In the Bronx, 7 innings 3 hits 9 more Ks. The big names for the Bombers are older guys who will have trouble catching up to this kid. I just don't see it happening. Even on short rest, I expect a big performance based on what a monumental feat this is for Houston. I will say Tanaka surprised me since his arm didn't explode. He had a solid year, but let's be honest, the guy ins't healthy. They skipped a start for him because of his hammy and he comes back to give up 4 runs in 5 innings. Astros torched him in Houston for 6 earned in 5 innings. Let's give Giardi and the Yanks some credit for getting here. No Tex. Arod a huge come-back year. But really, Ellsbury and Beltran weren't that good. Gardy and McCann had solid years. But this team clearly over-achieved. Astros advance. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON ASTROS 

4* Total Money UNDER

4* Total Money UNDER

4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS

4* Money Maker  STL RAMS

4* Money Maker GB PACKERS

Taking the JAGUARS here. Ugh. Yeah. An ugly team for sure, on the road. But what have the Colts done this year. They look terrible so far. Luck is banged up. The OL isn't holding up for him. Jags can bring some pressure. I will take a young, hungry team here getting these points. They were ambushed by the Pats who have a vendetta vs the league. Their numbers, like everyone here in the South are poor vs Luck and the Colts. But the big dogs look a little down here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the REDSKINS here. Looks like some rain might be heading our way. Slight drizzle! Look. Eagles have looked lost on offense. Yes, they beat the Jets last week. But that was a great situation for them. Jets off short week MNF win over Andrew Luck. Eagles win-less with people ready to burn Chip at the stake. I have seen Murray a few times. A slippery ball won't help. Sproiles will be limited. Not a fast surface. Washington has a pretty solid run defense that is underrated in my eyes. They have a nice RB combo of Morris and Jones. 3rd roadie in 4 games for Philly. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking HOUSTON here. I though the Cowboys would pick off the Falcons last week. And it looked good for a half. Fact is, Atlanta took advantage of a Philly team that hasn't looked particularly good. They had to come from behind with help from the Giants. They needed a huge game from a RB averaging 2 YPR to beat a team without Romo or Dez Bryant. Texans haven't looked that terrible. Their QB situation looks stabilized with Mallet who seems to have found a nice target in WR DeAndre Hopkins. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking KANSAS CITY here. How many times are these MFers going to bury us? I guess I am insane since the definition of insanity is doing something over and over again expecting different results. That being said, YES, I am nuts! Look, this KC team shoots itself in the foot no doubt about it. But they have plenty of talent. People knock Alex Smith, but the guy wins games. Basically, I see this line and think, are you kidding me! Why is this line so low? You know from my podcast this year, and last year, that I am high on Cincy. I thought they were knocking Denver out 2 years ago to face Seattle in the Super Bowl. I know they are a very good team. But this does not pass my 'eye' test. Line is way too low. Off a short week, and another loss for KC. Cincy red-hot doing everything right. Yet, 4, 4.5? Not buying it. Bengals off tough game vs Ravens. Dalton hasn't been picked yet. Something tells me Chiefs get some pressure and Andy makes a mistake or two. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

Taking MIAMI here. We cashed easily with the Bills as our Top 10* last week. Now we are taking the struggling Dolphins to right their ship. What better place to be for a struggling team than crossing the pond for an early game vs division rival NYJ. Jets in off a loss. Not a surprise based off their MNF win over the Colts. I think we see an improved Miami defense and rush attack. I like Tannehill. He is better than FitzMagic who is likely without Decker again. Tannehill has a couple nice targets in WR Landry and Matthews. Revis is banged up a bit. Maybe he plays a half. Maybe not at all. I am not a Philbin fan. I think he gets canned this year if these guys aren't in the playoffs. We will ride him here though. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS 

4* Money Maker CLEMSON

analysis to follow 4* Money Maker

Taking ARKANSAS here. Both teams off tough losses, but this is becoming a regular thing with the Vols. Now, normally not a fan of teams like the Razorbacks who have dropped 3 straight, but Tennessee, my oh my, dropping games with double-digit 4th quarter leads. Ouch! Arkansas has controlled this series lately and I think the Vols have trouble recovering after the loss at the Swamp. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS 

Taking SMU here. Last week we cashed an easy 10* winner on ECU over Va Tech. A perfect spot for them, and they delivered. Now the Pirates are on the road after that huge win. And laying points? Good luck with that. A super spot for SMU. Off a loss to James Madison. This SMU team can air it out. And I have little faith in ECU secondary. James Madison put up 700 yards of offense last week! I think we see improvement there. SMU can score. ECU might be playing the old rotating QB game. Another (our 3rd CFB) dog-out right winner here with our Top play. 10* Money Bomb SMU

4* Money Maker ALABAMA

4* Money Maker NAVY

Taking IOWA here .Quite frankly, not sold on this Wiscy team. Melvin Gordon isn't running the rock here. We have a pair of backs splitting time doing an ok, not super job. Iowa has one of the better rush defenses in the land. Badger QB doesn't scare me while our QB is quietly leading a team putting up nearly 38ppg. Points too good to pass up here. Another live dog for us. 10* Money Bomb IOWA 

4* Money Maker CHARLOTTE

Taking the STEELERS here. I would say this is eerily similar to my Dallas home dog loser last week. A team, minus their beast QB, at home, vs a good signal caller. (Ryan v Flacco). But what is the big difference maker for is that this is a tough conference game. Vick is nothing like he was granted, but he does a stud WR and a beast RB to help ease the pain here. Ravens are as desperate as an NFL team can get sitting at 0-3. They could be 3-0, but, they aren't. I wasn't as high on these guys as others coming into the season. Would it be shocking if they lost 4 in a row? Steelers were lazy last week. I had the Rams. I figured Bell would be eased into his role as they get ready for their hated division rivals here. I had the Ravens in this spot back in January. The rolled Pitt in that play-off game. You don't think Tomlin has this circled? Home dog on a real short week in a rivalry game. Call me a sucker, but I'm in. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

Taking CINCINNATI here. I must be missing something here. Fr. QB Moore looked pretty good on the road last week. Why not at home vs a 'Canes D that was torched by Nebraska. Hurricanes crushed these guys 55-34 last year, but Miami hasn't been world beaters on the road (3-9 ATS L12). Bearcats need to stop turning the ball over. I see this line and immediately think the lines-makers have Cincy -3 in TOs for the game. We hold on to that ball and we get an outright win here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking the DODGERS here. Now normally I am fading teams after they clinch a division. But in this case, I will ride them. Dodgers a game back of NYM for home-field. And let's be honest. Everyone wants home field. I will say that I said last Wednesday on my podcast, (9pm EST live find it) that I thought the Dodgers were going to collapse and SF was going to sweep them here. Well, it was the Giants who collapsed. I expect to see many youngsters today for SF as they go through the motions. I hated seeing their respect the rivalry nonsense. That is crazy. The players are done. LAD is looking for momentum. LA 5-1 last 6 in the series. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS 

4* Detroit Tigers

Taking KANSAS CITY here. I had the Chiefs in that epic failure last Thursday. Man, they literally gave that game away. The red-zone turnovers. Penalties. Charles slippery digits. A pair of TDs 9 seconds apart! It was a brutal loss. That being said, with extra rest and that looming over their heads, I expect a crisp game here, even in Lambeau. I know that GB gets an extra too. But they just had a huge win last week on Sunday night. Beating a Seattle team that they had on the ropes, on the road, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. So maybe they are in a little let-down spot. I think that KC has the better defense. Even with Lacy 100%, I think Charles is the better back. Kelce is a match-up problem. The big anchor that nulls most teams chances is Aaron Rodgers. And lets be honest, Alex Smith is not remotely near this guy in talent. Oh we have the subplot. What if the Niners took A-Aron first and not Smith? That was 11 years ago. Let's talk about the now. Both teams have lofty expectations. Again, KC off a bad loss, I expect a big bounce-back here. How many people opened up the paper last week, saw GB -6.5, 7 and say to themselves. No way GB can't be KC by a TD! Did you how they beat up Seattle last night and the Chiefs choked at home vs Denver. I'm taking the points here and think this will come down to a late FG to win it. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the RANGERS here. Colby Lewis pitching very well with a 1.71 ERA his last 3. In case you missed it. He's a 17 game winner on a team looking to clinch the AL West. Tigers are closing shop on a wasted, lost year. Verlander is a shell of his Cy Young self. He has pitched better lately, but I'm not sold on him, or his line-up. And especially that bullpen. Rangers are 4-1 last 5 times facing the Verlander. One final thought. Texas winds up the year with a series vs the Angels. There is no way, no way, they want that series to dictate what happens in their own play-off scenario. Look for them to take care of the Tigers early here. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Jays looking to wrap up the AL East and get a great shot tonight vs the slumping Orioles. Baltimore actually had a shot at perhaps a wild-card spot, then fell flat on their faces getting shut-out three straight vs the Red Sox. Put a fork in them people. In 19 career starts vs Toronto, Tillman spots a 6.00 ERA and a 4-10 record including 0-5 last 5 at home and 1-6 last 7 vs Jays. 10* Money-Bomb TORONTO BLUE JAYS 

Taking the BILLS here. So, Rexy's big bad D gets absolutely shredded by Brady last week. Is that really a surprise? We cashed with Pats on the road, as we cashed with the Bills over Luck in Week 1. So, a week of reading their own press clippings and they are eating crow. So we have a team that got scorched at home vs a team that just lost a team that, quite frankly, if it weren't for the Raiders have been the worse team in football. We have a couple buts though, big ones!! First, Pats have owned Buffalo. now 22-2 SU last 24 meetings! This defense will be fired up. Tannehill is not Luck or Brady. And fired up is not in the Dolphins vocabulary. This is a chronic under-achieving bunch at home as evident by their 8-15 SU record. This team has scored 3 TDs in 2 weeks vs a pair of teams, who, are not suppose to be very good this year. Do we even have to get into Suh actin' the fool and going rogue with the DC play calls? 3 games into a huge contract this guy is going off the reservation already. Wow. Gladly fade the home team who barely rates as a home favorite. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the RAMS here. We are 2-0 with STL, fade last week, win over Seattle. Look. Rams took a half to get ready last week. Makes sense, most teams after facing the Seahawks are bruised and battered and not ready to go on Sunday. But they will be ready here. What is up with this line? Steelers dropped nearly 50 last week running 2pt conversions. Rams lose to a 'lowly' Washington team that nobody thought would be any good with Cousins behind center. The old, what have you done for me lately, and eye test from the week before. Steelers get Bell back here. But I don't think we will see a lot of the RB. They have a big division game up next vs the Ravens. Are they 100% focused especially coming off a rout? STL at home, big crowd behind them. We'll bite here. 8* Sure Shot STL RAMS 

Taking the COWBOYS here. Yeah, I will back Weeden. Witten might be out. No Dez. No Murray. Didn't they lose to Arizona in a spot just like this with those guys? No way they are beating Matty Ice and Julio Jones. Well, I know Dallas is 2-0 because the teams they played are 0-4. But lo and behold, the Falcons faced the same two teams. Look. This is b2b roadies for ATL vs a non-division foe. I wish they had a bigger game on deck vs the Saints or Panthers, but they don't. That being said. The Dallas defense has not been the problem. It is a sluggish offense. It will get ugly here for sure. No way they want Weeden trading passes with Flacco. So look for this OL to grind out long drives and milk the clock. The second half of that MNF game, the Eagles were moving the ball vs this unit. Quinn is a defensive coach, and the Falcons will improve. But this is a tough spot for them. A full week of reps helps Weeden. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the PANTHERS here. Even before hearing Brees is banged up I liked Carolina here. The thing with the Panthers, they win. They aren't a sexy team. They are Cam and a bunch of lunch-pail guys. But they are 10-4 ATS last 14 in division games. The looked good last week beating Texas. Know who didn't look good? The Saints. I cashed Tampa easy. This NO team is in trouble. They have been trending downward and might be circle the drain. The defense is not good at all. The offense doesn't look much better. They are a dome team playing outside, albeit, not in the snow or crazy weather, but they are a turf team. Plus, Brees might be a little banged up. And, he's closer to 40 than 30 anyway. He isn't getting younger. Finally, Panthers 10-4 ATS last 14 in this series and 5-2 ATS last 7 here at home. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS  

***---- If you didn't get down on this game when it was at 3.5, you have nobody but yourself to blame. It has been up for days. The reported Monday that Brees was injured ----***

Taking the RAIDERS here. Will take my shot here with these guys again. We cashed both of these teams last week, Oakland as our Free Play and the Browns as a premium pick. So, Cleveland decides to bench Johnny Football. The kid is exciting to say the least. Wednesday night on my Podcast with fellow capper Tony George, we were both shocked at this move. Yes, the Browns drafted Manziel high so you think he should keep his spot. He has 3 TD passes on the year, all of them over 50 yards. He is exciting. Why take him out? Does the locker room love McCown? We know what he is. A serviceable back-up QB. We don't know what Manziel is. We know that Carr looks like is going to be special. He led a nice 4thQ comeback last week vs a decent Ravens team. After being humiliated by the Bengals, the Raiders easily could have folded up late. They didn't. Now they are on the road with a very winnable game. Why can't they break an 11 game road winless streak? Cooper and Crabtree are pretty good WRs, Cooper might be very special. The have a good enough defense. It isn't a sexy match-up by any stretch of the imagination. But, we are here to make money. Go ugly and win. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS 

Taking the COLTS here. Yeah. It is looking like a total Joe Public play here. But how can we not back Luck here. Off 2 bad games. The guy is MUCH better than that. And he is facing the Titans. Luck is 7-1 SU-ATS on the road in the South. Why is everyone so high on Mariota? Yes, they surprised Tampa Bay. They just lost to the Browns. The Browns. How do people feel about those teams? Now they are going to out play the Colts. I will be the first to say this OL looks shaky. But, like my Giants winner on Thursday night. This is a the old 'circle the wagons' game for Indy. A big MUST win. I look for an adjust big time here by the Colts. Luck, and even Frank Gore with his fumble, played poorly. They get right here. Indy 7-0 ATS last 7 in the series. No let down concerns off the short week, instead we are in desperate win mode. And being that Luck is 12-0 SU vs his division, we will lay the short number here. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking ARIZONA here. Wildcats might get a big boost with the heart of their defense, Scooby Wright suiting up here. UCLA played down last week with this game on deck. Perfectly understandable. Arizona a tidy 11-3 ATS as PAC 12 home dogs. Sprinkle in some Triple-Revenge and we have a recipe for success in my eyes. Can't over state the loss of UCLA LB Jack. He was the 3rd starter lost on that side of the ball. A big loss for them there. Arizona 5-1 ATS last 6 here at home. 8* Sure Shot ARIZONA WILDCATS 

Taking ARKANSAS STATE here. 63-44 .. That was last year's Go Daddy Bowl when Toledo rolled this bunch. But they don't have huge extra prep time to prepare. They have their MAC opener next week. Rockets just beat Arkansas and Iowa State, a pair of Power Conference wins. Arkansas State? We beat your 'real' state school already and crushed you last year. We will surely over-look here. The line is down a couple points from the opener. I think we have a live dog here. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE 

4* Total Money OVER Arkansas State / Toledo

4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH

Going OVER the total here. Man. You drop 80+ on a team, you better be ready when you travel to their field. I have no doubt Heisman hopeful QB Boykin will put up 5 TDs today. Tech is going to score their 40. To be honest, I can't believe this total isn't close to 100. The TCU defense is showing some dents in the armor. I see this as a back and forth game. Won't be shocked if Tech pulls out a win here. 5* Total Money OVER TCU/TT

Taking UMASS here. Feel bad for ND. These guys looked like a legit team this year. Eventually the injuries are going to catch-up to them vs better teams. But this number, I have to take the points. A tough sandwich game for the Irish basically. Georgia Tech last week, and a big game vs Clemson next week. I am not saying UMass picks these guys off, but 4 TDs is a nice start. This is a Super Bowl for UMASS facing big, bad ND. 4* Money Maker MASSACHUSETTS 

Taking EAST CAROLINA here. So last week we faded this crew and rode Navy to a Top 10* win. We will flip the script here. One, ECU played Florida tough on the road. (I lost with the Gators) Then off that emotionally draining game, the face the Navy option which is not easy to prepare for. And, they know they had this game on deck! VT has the revenge angle. But laying double digits on the road? Eh, I'll take the Pirates with that. They are 16-3 SU at home last 19 games. ECU is 5-2 ATS last 7 vs Va Tech. Tech 2-9 ATS last 11 on the road. 10* Money Bomb EAST CAROLINA 

Taking BAYLOR here. A large number for sure. But right off the bat we have to fade Rice here. We get them in their 3rd straight road game, and it is a non-conference game for them to boot. They have a more meaningful, and for all intention purposes, a more winnable game in their eyes next. My worse case here is that after cruising to a 37-10 lead by half-time, Baylor eases up and wins something like 63-30. We do have Baylor with rest so they might really run it up early to get some game reps. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR 

Taking LSU here. Now, it isn't a long term money-maker laying 4 scores on the road. But looking at this match-up, I have to wonder why this line isn't even higher. This is one of those games that a Heisman hopeful, I'm looking at you Fournette, that the RB goes for over 230 and 4 TDs. I have no scenario that has Syracuse scoring more than 10 pts. Well, if  LSU only suits up 12 guys total, maybe, but otherwise, the Orange are going to be hard-pressed to find some offense. Granted, LSU is off a pair of Big SEC wins. Let-down spot. Possible. But Syracuse really doesn't have the talent here. Orange defense is allowing 46 yards rushing per game. Somehow, I think that number will be surpassed in the first quarter. 4* Money Maker LSU TIGERS 

Taking NAVY here. We rode the Middies to a nice 10* Money-Bomb WINNER last week, Today, we will pull back a few chips, but Navy should again get us the cover. Now, this line has dropped. I think that is far considering Navy rolled and UConn lost a tough one to Missouri. About that game. How much wind did that take out of the sails here? A fake FG to win on the road. The game was extremely ugly. From what I have been told by my sources, this Missouri team is pretty inept on offense. Now the Huskies face the rush attack of Navy. Never an easy task. 4* Money Maker NAVY 

Taking the INDIANS here. Can't even remember the last time I put out b2b Top 10s, especially when I am off a loss like the White Sox last night. That being said, this is a prime spot for us to win. Royals wrapped up their first division title since 1985 last night. I really can't see them being full-force today. A let down is in order. Carrasco has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. He is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA vs the Royals this year. Volquez has a 6.49 ERA his last 4 starts. Indians 7-3 last 10 vs KC - 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking VIRGINIA here. Great value spot for the home dogs. They are off an ugly win vs William & Mary. People are thinking, these guys barely beat W&M, Boise plays on Blue Turf and I saw them beat Oklahoma on a Statue of Liberty Play!! Easy money. Well, the Cavs were off a tough, loss to ND and before that played UCLA. Boise, now without their QB will be starting a freshman or sophomore on the road. A little bit of step-down for Virginia. Again, tough asking a young kid to make a start on the road in a TV game. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

Taking the GIANTS here. Terrible loss last night by these guys for us. This is my limit for laying with pitchers. I can't not back the Bumgarner here. He's a beast, plain and simple. The Giants are better. Ian Kennedy has been horrible this month, a 6.35 ERA in September and an 8+ ERA last 3 starts. SG 7-2 in Bums last 9 starts Giants 6-1 last 7 vs Padres. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS 

Taking the GIANTS here. Week 3 and NYG are in circle the wagon mode at home vs the Redskins. That is what happens when you blow to double digit leads late, and I mean LATE in the 4th quarter of games. People want to blame Eli for that fumble vs the Falcons. Was he playing defense? Atlanta proceeded to move from their own 9, 91 yards! for a TD! Then the Falcons go 70 yards to take the lead. Granted, at that point the air is out of the Giants sail. That being said. Short week. At home. MUST win in every sense of the word. MLB Beason should be back and that is a big boost for the defense. So, the Redskins. I had faded them week 1, cashed with them week 2. That was a gift win for me backing Miami. Redskins out-played them. Then they beat the Rams. But, off of a big win at home over Seattle, a let-down was imminent. Cousins vs Eli. Really a no-brainer for me. Cousins is something like 2-8 SU as an NFL starter. Winning on the road is touch as is. But a short week. Historically, this has been where home teams dominate. And the Giants really need some positive traction. Washington 4-10 ATS last 14 on the road and 3-7-1 ATS last 11 here in Jersey. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS

Taking MEMPHIS here. Uh. Not a fan of laying basically double digits in a conference game, but this is how we do it here Thursday night. Memphis has won 10 straight going back to last year. Their offense has been, in a word, prolific. I know Cincy has revenge from last year, but if Kiel isn't playing, or near 100% I don't think the Bearcats will be able to keep it close. Cincy secondary will have time matching up here, plus the Memphis rush attack isn't to be over-looked. I don't think Cincy will be able to control the clock running the ball all night. Tigers will eventually make a stop or two, and this should be a 40-24 type game. Both teams off close games, but I with this game on deck, I can understand a bit of a look ahead. That being said, Cincy being down a QB doesn't bode well. Tigers get a chance on ESPN to show the country what the AAC is all about! 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking the WHITE SOX here. Moving a Top Rated 10* as we back Chris Sale. I know he doesn't have the good ole numbers the 2nd half of the season, but Sale has owned the Yankees. 3-0 .72 ERA 143 BA against. Yanks lost again to the Jays, they know they are a wild-card team. They are going through the motions here. Now Sale. Well he has lost 3 straight and win-less his last 5. I see him coming here and mowing down 10-15 hitters. Pineda made it to the 6th last time out. But since coming off the DL he has an ERA of 4.67, nothing spectacular. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

Taking SAN FRAN here. Are we really shocked that with the season winding down, the Giants are 6 back of the 300 million dollar Dodgers and have 4 games left with them h2h. You are getting extra value with this purchase because I am telling you now, SF catches LAD. That being said, SF is hot right now, on a tidy 7-3 run last 10. Flip that for the 3-7 stretch of the Padres, and 2-6 last 8 at home. Peavy has been rock solid since July lowering his ERA by 2 full runs + some extra. Giants have won 6 straight in the series. Padres 1-4 in Cashner's last 5 starts vs SF including sporting an ERA approaching 8 vs them this year. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS 

Taking the RANGERS here. We cashed with these guys last night, and will come back again at this short price. Texas is sitting atop the AL West and are looking very good lately. The A's are just playing out the stretch. Rangers winners 7-2 their last 9 have taken care of business when they have to going 8-3 last 11 on road vs losing teams. Oakland 6-13 last 19 overall and 2-7 last 9 at home. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the PHILLIES here. I'll go ugly here tonight. Sure, Verlander and Kluber, Greinke and Scherzer are sexier names, but I am looking to continue to build your MLB bankroll for the play-offs. Who the heck is Miami to be laying this? The Phillies have removed the 'interm' title from the manager. The Marlins, not so much. So one team knows who their leader will be, and will fight not to lose 100 games. While the other bunch, is ho-hum, let's end this season already. Marlins have lost 4 straight so we will continue that fade. The Phillies have won 4 straight in the series and 4 in a row here in Miami. 4* Money-Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS

4* Money Maker WHITE SOX

Taking the COLTS here. So, cashed nicely last with the Jets and the Bills. Now I am flipping the script so to speak. I wanted to really take the Jets here. I said on my podcast I thought these guys could surprise and win this division. Their defense is a top unit. They have a veteran, game manager behind center and some solid weapons around him. But I think this is a tough spot. On the road. Dome. Colts off loss in home opener. One thing I am sure of is this. Luck is head and shoulders better than whatever the Browns trot out. And let's look at that Jets win. If McCown doesn't fumble going in, who knows what happens there. I do think that Indy does beat up on the Jags and Titans and pads their record. But we saw today, the Bills get throttled at home by NE. Maybe they were gung-ho for Rex last week. Because they must have read there press clippers vs Brady. Colts ran into a buzz-saw at home with a new HC. Now they are home facing another first year HC. We went 8-1 yesterday (GB pending)  by taking the team that nobody thought had a shot at winning. Now tonight, we look at the games last Sunday. The Jets dominate, the Colts were dominated. People think the Jets defense is as good or better than the Bills. Why won't they sack Luck 5 times and Revis pick him off twice. Not so fast my friends. Indy gets it done by double digits. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

4* Total Money UNDER Tampa/Boston

Taking the PACKERS here. It what is probably going to be a game that everyone and their grandparents are on, we will take GB in payback mode. Look. I had Seattle in the NFC Championship Game. I had no right winning that. Packers were in control of that game. Now they get a weaker Seattle team in Lambeau. Up 16-0 and clearly outplaying the Seahawks, Packers had months to sit and stew over that. Seattle has some issues. First a loss at STL. We cashed Rams as our Free Play. The big thing after the Super Bowl was how can you not use Beast Mode? Well he couldn't get a yard last week. Maybe Seattle can't pick up a yard in any situation. I know this. They lost last week on the road. They lost last September in San Diego on the road. They eked out a couple close wins at Carolina and Washington. They are a different team away from home.   Now they come face a team as dominate as they are on their own turf? 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

4* Total Money OVER Cowboys/ Eagles

Taking the COWBOYS here. We didn't get the cover last Sunday night with Dallas, but salvaged some of that rare Sunday loss fading the Eagles Monday night. So, no Dez. I get it. He is a big target and abuses this Philly secondary. The 'Boys have won by an average of over 13ppg the last 3 times these guys have played. I get Murray is going to want to have a huge game vs his old teammates. Maybe he will. Say he goes 100+ and a pair of TDs. I can live with that. Since I know Romo is good for 3-4 TDs. I am looking at Escobar to really step up here. People forget that he was a 2nd round pick. He has 7 TDs on 20 catches. With Dez down, I think everyone steps up a spot and this kid makes a difference. Let's be honest here. The Cowboys OL is better than the Falcons on any field, home, away, London, the moon. You don't think the Dallas RBs want to make a statement here? Getting points to boot? Sign me up. Neither defense excites me, but I think the Cowboys have the better unit. Should be points a plenty. Might sprinkle a little ML here, +175, 180 just for giggles. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS