Mets -111 (4.5* MLB POD) Ching Ming Wang will make his debut for the first time since 2009 and I think he's going to have all kinds of trouble he has not been good at all in his rehab starts and the Mets are just red hot right now. Mets hit righties better #7 in the league with a .743 OPS this year and are scoring 4.90 runs per 9 on the road vs. RHP and are ranked #7 with a .730 OPS in road games this year where they have played above .500. They send Dillon Gee out there with 2 starts vs. Washington 14.2 IP 4 hits 6walks 1 ER. Mets are hot right now Bay has started to come around with extra base hits and David Wright is red hot since coming back and Lucas Duda quietly is replacing Beltran quite nicely with a .441 average and .558 obp over his last 15 games.

Rangers -152 (4.5* MLB POD); The Rangers lost yesterday and it's a perfect spot to take advantage of some value on a bounce back game. Rangers have averaged over 6.5 runs per 9 over their last 10 games combined and go up against a strong righty in Scott Baker who has a 0 ERA over his last 3 starts. Twins are being cautious with him as he just came off DL going 5 IP in last two starts so that means bullpen for the Twins and they are among the worst in the league in bullpen ERA. Baker has 3 starts at Texas over his career and gave up 12 ER in 16.2 innings. Texas is #2 in the league in OPS vs. RHP with .787 OPS while the Twins face a lefty and are ranked 19th .690. Harrison had a good start at Minny earlier this year 6 innigns 5 hits 1 ER and will try to continue what he's been doing of late. Texas is 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a RH starter while the Twins are 8-18 in Baker's last 26 as a road under dog. Beltre/Kinsler/Cruz are a combined 20-61 off Baker with 3 HR. Today's home umpire Muchlinski has umped a home team win 38 out of his last 52 games.

Dbacks +105 (4.5* MLB POD) Well unbelievably errors were the cause for our MLB POD loss yet again last night as Chacin gave up just 1 ER and the Rockies lost 3-2. Frustrating that's 4 games in a row, but we really can't predict the fielding errors. Tonight we go with the Dbacks who continue to play well. They'll face Cory Luebke who has been great so far, but I think I know why. He's faced the Giants twice, Braves, Mariners, and Phillies all who are among the worst in the league in OPS vs. LHP. Actually put them all together and they average 26th ranking with none of them in the top 20 in OPS vs. LHP. Now he faces a Diamondbacks team that has scored 25 runs in their last 3 games and are #9 in the league in OPS vs. LHP and 7-3 in the last 10 match ups. They also throw Ian Kennedy out there who has 19 K 0 ER in 12 IP in two career starts at San Diego and has a 2.25 ERA overall in 4 starts vs. the Padres with 32K's in 24 innings. Oh by the way the Padres are awful vs. RHP especially at home with a .202 average and 2.68 runs per 9 this season. They are 16-35 in their last 51 home games vs. a RH starter. Padres are 30th in the league in OPS vs. RHP with a .616.

Rockies +145 (4* MLB POD) Love the Rockies in this spot. Chacin has absolutely dominated the Dodgers in his career over his last 5 starts vs. LA they have a 0.77 ERA and just a .632 OPS lifetime. Kershaw over his last 3 starts vs. the Rockies has not been good giving up 13 ER and 17 hits over 16 innings pitched to go along with 8 walks. Colorado is one of the more patient hitting teams in the league ranked in the top 5 in walks so it's no wonder Kershaw has had issues. Also Kershaw can't possibly keep up what he's done over his last 3 starts with a 0.00 ERA. Rockies are the #8 team in OPS vs. LHP .734 and are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. LHP. In the last 10 games the Rockies are scoring 5.40 runs per 9 vs. LHP while Dodgers are at just 2.98 vs. RHP. In general Dodgers are 24th in OPS vs. RHP this year with a .672 OPS. I give the edge to the Rockies in this one.

Angels -123 (4* MLB POD) Got to love the Angels here as Haren is in a bounce back start and the Indians are struggling with the bats a bit here. IN his last 3 starts he has a 1.58 ERA and 0.83 WHIP vs. the Indians. I also like the Angels bullpen advantage i the last 10 games La has a 2.56 ERA out of the bullpen while the Indians have a 5.48. Carmona looked good in his return, but now goes up against an Angels team that's playing well and are 17-5 in their last 22 as a favorite. Carmona is 6-18 in his last 24 vs. the Al West and has a 6.00 ERA in July starts over the last few years compared to Haren's 2.74 ERA in July starts.

Jays +150 (4.5* MLB POD) Love the Jays in this spot they are the #1 OPS team vs. LHP this year with .818 and they are scoring 6.28 runs per 9 over their last 10 games so their offense has been clicking while Texas has been super hot they have scored 5.44 over last 10 and they also face a starter in Villanueva who they have never seen before and that's the main reason I like the Jays chances even more. Toronto has the better bullpen 3.78 on the road compared to the Rangers 5.00 at home. Also Harrison who has been just great of late has faced an average LHP OPS of 21 out of 30 meaning he's been facing the teams who struggle to hit lefties during his hot streak. Actually the two mids Baltimore ranked 10th had 11 hits off him and the Astrost 14th had 5 ER off him. Toronto has killed him in the past he's got two starts with a 15.42 ERA 3.14 WHIP. Jays are 18-8 in their last 26 road games as a dog to +150 and are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. the Rangers on the road. Also noting Harrison is bound to have a rough start he's got 6 straight starts now with 100+ pitches and I think it catches up to him as he faces his first top 10 offense vs. LHP today since Detroit knocked him out early of a start.

Cardinals -131 (4.5* MLB POD) We head with the Cards for our POD backing Carpenter once again. Carp has a 1.66 ERA since June 23 and has been dominant in his starts vs. the Pirates going 11-2 in 16 starts with a 2.09 ERA. Cards are 14-2 vs. Pirates in his 16 career starts. Carp struggled early on the road but has been dominant over his last 2 starts going 17 IP giving up 2 total earned runs. Pit is 24th in the league in OPS vs. RHP with a .670 OPS. So while they are playing well it's not their offense and they'll need their offense to come up big here and I don't htink they will as they struggle at home to score runs vs. RHP. Maholm goes for St. Louis and that's good news for Pujols and the Cardinals who beat up on another lefty yesterday. I always like playing a team that hits lefties well and are facing lefties on back to back. Cards are 7th in the league with a .743 OPS vs. LHP and Pujols is an incredible 19-33 vs. Maholm. Theriot also has success and Holliday adds 2HR. Cards are scoring over 5 runs per game on the road this year and are hot vs. LHP in their last 10 with a .289 average and 6.10 runs per 9. Also worth noting is that Carpenter comes in with 5 days rest and is 39-15 when on 5 days rest while Maholm and the Pirates are 7-22 when he's an under dog

Brewers +102 (4.5* MLB POD) Love tonight's match up partially because the Brewers have the advantage in all aspects of this game and are an under dog and that just doesn't happen very often. They have the better offense, pitching and bullpen here and I'll tell you why. Zach Greinke has been the unluckiest pitcher in baseball and if you look at his core stats he's only leaving 49% of base runners on base on the road this year. That's just amazing his .344 BABIP is just unlucky especially since he is K'n 12 batters per 9 which is better than Ian Kennedy and he's only walking 2 per 9 also better than Kennedy. Kennedy always seems to struggle in July in 8 career starts in July he's got an ERA nearing 6 and that includes his 5.79 through his first 3 this month. I expect that to continue tonight against the Brewers who are hitting well and a have a righty heavy line up. Kennedy as a righty untraditionally struggles more with righties over his career than lefties and Mil has 32 AB .281 average and .878 OPS. Brewers also have the better bullpen as the Dbacks bullpen ERA at home is nearing 5.00.

Marlins -140 (5.5* MLB POD)
Well the Marlins are coming off a loss as they were shut out last night and I think it's the perfect time to strike on a hot team as they are 9-2 in their last 11. Mainly I love the pitching match up in this one and the Padres have not been a good team this year despite the success of their starter on Wednesday Aaron Harrang, but I think things are going to start to go sour for him. For one thing his ERA 3.81 on the road is a run higher than his home ERA and July believe it or not is his worst month over the last three years. He was 0-5 from 2008-2010 with a 6.69 ERA during the month of July. He also has struggled big time vs. the Marlins who have a combined .368 average and a 1.108 OPS led by Hanley Ramirez who is 9-23 with 4 HR off him. Hanley has been playing well of late too as he's 9-21 with a HR over his last 7 days and has a .400 average for the month of July. The Marlins overall have beaten up on Harrang at home scoring 17 runs in 18 IP while collecting 35 base runners. That's an ERA of nearly 9 and a WHIP nearly at 2. Harrang has been on fire of late with 7 ER over his last 7 starts and he's just not this good we expect that hot streak is way over due to blow up in his face and there is no better time than vs. the Marlins who he has struggled against in the month of July and on the road. Lastly we must talk Marlins starter Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco has a 3.13 ERA at home 3.23 ERA at night this year very solid. His best month during 2008-2010 is his best month he's 9-4 with a 3.38 ERA during that period. He's red hot right now as he has a 1.04 WHIP and 0.78 ERA over his last 3 starts over 23 IP. Padres over their last 10 games are hitting .127 before last night's win vs. RHP scoring just 1.73 runs per 9 while the Marlins were hitting .290 with 6.79 runs per 9 vs. RHP. One thing that would worry me is Padres bullpen advantage however the Marlins have a 2.78 bullpen ERA at home while the Padres are over 3 on the road so another advantage for the Marlins. Umpire Carlson is behind the plate and the home team is 36-15 in his last 51 Wednesday's behind home plate.

Jays -118 (4.5* MLB POD) We'll continue to fade the Mariners vs. LHP. They are approaching embarassment now with a .602 OPS vs. LHP. Brett Cecil had success in his start over them last year and collectively they have a .552 OPS vs. Cecil. Cecil has looked good in his last few starts and I like his stuff in a game vs. the Mariners who are just 13-38 in their last 51 vs. LH starter, 17-45 in their last 62 as a dog and 10-27 in their last 37 meetings in Toronto. Not only are they last in OPS in the league vs. lefties but they are hitting .195 with just 0.98 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games combined while the Blue Jays are hitting .310 with 7.11 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Pineda has been great all year but it looks like he's starting to approach the unknown zone where he's not used to pitching this many innings. We have already seen it with a 6.23 ERA in his last 3 starts. He will make his first start on turf tonight where the Jays are 22-7 in their last 29 following off days.

Twins -105 (4* MLB POD) Twins lost game #1 earlier and it's not often a team can come back and lose game #2 especially a hot team like the Twins who are 17-6 in their last 23 home home games and are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. the Indians. Especially when they have dominated Fausto Carmona 2-8 in his last 10 starts vs. the Twins posting a 7.41 ERA and 1.68 WHIP during that period. Carmona is fresh hasn't pitched since 7/2 which I believe will make him a little rusty here tonight. He also hates pitching at night this year and away 6.14 and 5.87 ERAs. July has also not been his favorite month he has a 6.00 ERA over 2008-2010. Twins last 10 games they have hit righties .336 with 6.35 runs per 9. While the Indians face a lefty in Scott Diamond who has not been that great in AAA, but none of the Indians hitters have seen him and they are playing their second game of the day. This team got off to a hot start vs. lefties and was in the top 5 in OPS, but since have gone ice cold now ranked 24th wiht a .688. IN their last 10 games they are hitting .242 with 2.64 runs per 9 vs. LHP. I think Diamond will give the Twins what they need to get by and even up the series. Offense is down this year and we have seen it time and time again where a pitcher who is pretty unknown making his MLB debut and throws a gem.

Rangers -132 (4.5* MLB POD) The Mariners are just 11-16 during day games this year and the Rangers are scoring more than a run per game during day games than the Mariners who are 30th with just 2.81 runs per day game. Mariners face another lefty they are also 30th with a .607 OPS vs. LHP this year. They have scored just 1.58 runs per 9 in their last 10 while the Rangers are at 7.21. Matt Harrisson has pitched great away and during day games with a 2.86 away and a 1.70 during day starts and he's had plenty of success vs. the Mariners with a 2.14 ERA over his last 3 starts. Texas just kills RHP and surged to #2 in OPS vs. RHP. They face rookie Beaven making his 3rd start. Beaven faced Angels and Padres not exactly slugging teams. He had a 4.45 ERA in AAA so I'm not impressed as he's been extremely lucky in his first two starts posting a .167 BABIP and 97.8 left on base percentage both will surely go up today vs. the Rangers who are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with the Mariners.

Red Sox +132 (4.5* MLB POD) Lackey says his arm feels good and with a couple of extra days with the All Star break I do believe him. Last night it was a rare loss for the Sox but they still put up 6 runs. Boston is flat out dominant during day games for whatever reason and we have said this before. They are scoring more than 2 runs per game during day games than the Rays 6.48 vs. 4.34 and are the #1 team by far wtih a .875 OPS during day games. Now they face Shields who has been dominant in his own right and in his last start vs. the Red Sox he pitched a complete game shut out at home. That should be the Sox motivation. Gonzalez, Ortiz and Pedroia have ridiculous numbers vs. the righty who is playing above his actual talent and I believe that will start to come back to earth. Shields is also receiving the least amount of run support at home of any other team with just 1.92 runs per game. Look for that to continue today Lackey is 11-4 with a 3.75 ERA in 16 starts vs. the Rays. Back to Shields bc he is the main reason this is our POD today with a lot of value. Take out his last complete game start and he's 3-6 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over his previous 9 starts vs. the Sox. In the last 10 games the Sox are hitting .302 scoring 7.07 runs per 9 and have a 2.11 ERA out of the pen. Tampa just .257/4.97/4.07. Rays really are not on the same level as the Sox vs. RHP as they are ranked 18th with a .713 OPS and the Sox #1 .816 ops. Rays at home just a .227 average and 3.34 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Red Sox on the road .261 5.46 runs per game. Look for the Red Sox to improve to 22-8 during day games.

Twins -120 4.5* MLB POD It's kind of hard not to back this team right now they are 16-5 in their last 21 home games and are on a roll right now. Blackburn makes the start and has been awful of late, but I still feel confident he has the pitching advantage over Luke Hochevar who also has an ERA over 9 over his last 3 starts and the Twins hitters are way hotter right now with the bats hitting .402 vs. RHP over their last 5 games scoring 10.18 runs per 9 while KC just .237 and 2.91. KC is 15-41 in their last 56 as a dog. Hochevar has been awful at night and away with 6.21 ERA away and a 1-7 5.68 ERA during his night starts. IN 9 career starts he's 3-6 with a 5.43 ERA vs. the Twins and a 1.51 WHIP. Twins hitters have 116 AB with a .336 average and .947 OPS while KC which has had success int he past off Blackburn have just 100 AB with .240 average and .580 OPS. Twins are just one of those teams that dominate within their division and that's what we have here. Last July these teams went in opposite directions and I see it happening once again. Last July Twins were #1 with a .847 OPS and #2 with 5.69 runs per game while the Royals were #23 with a .703 OPS and 3.76 runs per game during the month of July. That just tells you where their players focus is during the dog days of the summer and right now the Twins are the hottest team in baseball.

[b]Twins -142 (4.5 * POD)[/b]
I love the Twins here. Liriano looks for revenge lasttime he faced the Royals he gave up 7 ER. We backed Chris Carpenter on two max plays like this too before the break and won both as Carpenter bounced back. Chen may have a 3.26 ERA on the year but Twins hitters are hitting .319 off the lefty and in his last 3 starts vs. the Twins he has a 2.06 WHIP over 17 IP as he's given up 6 walks 29 hits and 14 ER. Royals have just a .653 OPS vs. Lirano and July is Chen's worst month by far over the last 3 years where he has posted a 6.36 ERA over 10 starts. in every other month he has an ERA in the 4's or lower.

4* mlb pod

4* mlb pod

Cardinals -137 5.5* MLB POD Cardinals have not lost 4 in a row at home all year and I don't think it will start today with their ace on the mound in Chris Carpenter. We backed him in his last start as our last max play and I"m confident doing it again. He's got a 2.61 ERA at home a 0.75 ERA in his last 3. He has extra motivation like he did in last start as he gave up 7 ER on the road to the Reds he won at home pitching 8 shutout innings. Today he faces a Dbacks team that roughed him up for 8 ER on the road and now he's back home to prove the same thing. His previous 10 starts vs. the Dbacks he has a 2.58 ERA. Cardinals continue to slug and Daniel Hudson has not been the same pitcher on the road as he is at home with a 4.58 ERA on the road.

Brewers -130 (4.5* MLB POD); Twins +150 (3* DOD) Love the Brewers tonight despite missing Ryan Braun. They have plenty of players who have a lot of success against the Young Leake. Morgan, Betancourt, Fielder, and Weeks combined are 14-25. That's a huge chunk of this line up that has had success against a road pitcher. The Brewers are 31-13 at home for a reason they hit and we get great value here with Greinke because he's made some mistakes in big moments and has been the most unluckiest pitcher this year. I still think he's going to have a huge second half and in two starts vs. the Reds he's got 18 K's over 15 IP. He's #1 in the league in K/9 ratio for starting pitchers and his xFIP is 2.17 which is much lower than his actual. Brewers are 7-0 in his home starts despite his home ERA he's kept them in games and it doesn't hurt that Milwaukee is scoring 5.43 runs per 9 vs. RHP and their bullpen has a 3.51 ERA at home too. Cinci just 3.92 runs per 9 vs. RHP on the road and they are also in a bit of a slump batting just .245 wtih 3.52 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10. Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 road games vs. a winning team. They have a combined .333 average without Braun over 45 at bats vs. Leake. Twins keep getting it done. While I think Blackburn continues to struggle because he just isn't that good he's been excellen in two starts vs. the White Sox and Floyd well it can't get much worse. Over his last 4 starts vs. the Twins he's given up 50 base runners in 25.1 IP along with 23 ER. Minnesota has 121 AB collectively a .331 average and .926 OPS. Twins are really hitting as of late and the White Sox are not. 5.36 runs per 9 vs. 2.85 per 9 tells the story over the last 10 games. Also in division games. The Twins just dominate they have dominated the White Sox and it's because of their pitching. Floyd is 3-14 in his last 17 vs. AL Central while Blackburn is 16-5!

4.5* mlb pod

Red Sox -115 (4* MLB POD); Love the Sox they are #4 in the league in OPS vs. lhp this year and Romero has been hot and is due to come back to earth at some point. He has not enjoyed pitching in Boston over his career with an ERA over 5.5 in his career. Also July is his worst month with a 5.01 ERA over the last 3 years combined. Boston has a collective 121 AB with a .380 average 1.072 OPS vs. Romero. Those are unheard of numbers in a large sample size. He's got an ERA over 7 in his last 4 starts vs. them.

Angels +104 *4.5* MLB POD I like the Angels they have been hot winning 9 of 11 and have a major bullpen advantage here as Detroit continues to struggle out of the pen with a 5.65 ERA on the road while the Angels have a 2.13 at home. Over the last 10 games Detroit's bullpen has been terrible with a7.59 ERA. LA has been doing a lot of things well and they have a solid history vs. Verlander that gives me the confidence to take the Angels. Angels over 148 AB have a .324 average and .828 OPS vs. Verlander and the way he's going just can't keep up a 0.79 ERA over his last 7 game starts. We saw it with Cliff Lee over the weekend and I believe this is the start we see it with Verlander. 2009-present Verlander has made 9 starts out west mostly vs. the Angels, Mariners, and the A's and he has posted a 5.55 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and his last 3 at LA resulted in an 8.62 ERA. He opposes a pretty good starter in Dan Haren who has a 3-3 record and a 2.12 ERA and is very capable of getting a win today. Tigers are 7-17 in their last 24 road games as a favorite -110 to -150 and 16-35 in their last 51 games at the Angels.

Cardinals -115 (5.5* MLB POD) Cardinals and Reds do not like each other that is one thing that's obvious last time they faced off the Reds swept the Cards at home and the series ended with Pujols on the DL after getting hit with a pitch. Benches have cleared in this series and it is obvious that these teams don't like each other. Carpenter struggled in his last start vs. the Reds, but over his previous 9 starts he was 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA. Pitching at home will help him in this one and he's been great of late going 16 innings giving up just 14 base runners and 2 ER. He is 20-6 during home starts from 2008-2010 and will look to continue to pitch great in July something the opposing pitcher can not state. Carpenter from 08-2010 has a 2.70 ERA in July starts while Cueto's worst month is July posting a 5.34 ERA in his career in July with a 4-6 record over 16 starts. More on Cueto he has a 1.84 ERA, but he's been extremely lucky with a .211 batting average with balls in play which is well below his career average and I expect that to start coming back towards the mean. Why wouldn't it happen today? The Cardinals have a 139 AB a .331 average and .975 OPS vs. Cueto. Cueto has been better as of late vs. the Cards, but I think it will only take a run or two for the Cardinals to win this one as i expect Carpenter to be dominant in this one ast he Reds have 224 AB with just a .215 average and .619 OPS vs. Carp. Reds have lost 9 of 15 and 8 of those games they only managed 3 runs or less. Cardinals are 14-2 in Carps last 16 Monday starts, and 47-16 in his last 63 game 1 starts while the Reds have really struggled in St Louis going 18-43 in their last 61. They are also 2-7 when Cueto is on 5 days rest and 10-24 in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

PHI/TOR U8 4.4* MLB POD Well it's pretty hard to lose when you have a 7-0 lead but if we are on the side that blows the lead anything is possible as it happened last night with the Twins, but anyway it's one play a day for us for a while and today we go with the under. Something just is not right Lee has thrown 3 complete game shutouts in a row and the blue birds bats have been struggling for over 2 weeks now yet the line is shifting toward Jo Jo Reyes?? I guess they are expecting the Phillies bats to continue to struggle vs. the lefty and this one to be a close game so we'll roll with the under in this one as we expect Cliff Lee to continue his brilliant pitching.

Tigers -170 (5.5* MLB POD); Tigers RL +124 1.5* Last Sunday we gave you the Tigers as our POD for their success vs. LHP and we gave you a win for the 37th time in our last 51 5.5* max plays going back to the NFL season. Today it's based on the same reason that the Tigers have absolutely dominated left handed pitching. Now they got a tough start against Bumgarner last night, but I fully anticipate them to bounce back getting Barry Zito a pitcher they are very familiar with. Victor Martinez is 8-22 vs. the lefty and the Tigers remain the #4 team in the majors in OPS vs. LHP. Zito is also on 3 days rest in just his second start back from the DL and that to me spells trouble. He has a 6.69 ERA in inter league games vs. the AL since 2007 with a 3-10 record. Detroit is 43-20 in their last 60 home games vs. LH starters and Max Scherzer is 16-5 in his last 21 home starts as a favorite. Scherzer who has a 2.60 ERA in 3 starts vs. the Giants will enjoy going up against a struggling offense that has a .218 average and 3.19 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games. Scherzer has a 3.13 ERA in 10 home starts with a 5-1 record he has definately pitched better at home and he is capable of much more than his ERA suggests as his xFIP is a lot lower. His problem has been giving up the long ball and luckily the Giants are 25th with just 39 HR on the year.

[b]Braves -174 (4.5* MLB POD)[/b]
Guthrie in his last two starts has gone 12 IP giving up 24 base runners for 2.00 WHIP and 9 ER. Braves winners of three straight games will look to make it #4 when they send their ace to the mound. Braves have been hitting vs. RHP they are .259 with 6.44 runs per 9 in their last 5 games overall while the Orioles are .277 3.79 runs per 9 vs. RHP. They are 7-19 in Guthrie's last 26 road starts while the Braves in inter league play are 16-5 with the spread is between -151-200. Guthrie has not pitched more than 6 innings in over a month which could be a major problem as the they have 27th ranked bullpen while the Braves have the #1 bullpen. Braves are 8-5 following an off day while the Orioles are 9-25 vs. winning teams this year. Braves win this game. Orioles are just 3-12 vs. teams with a top 6 bullpen ERA.

[b]Jays -140 (4* MLB POD)[/b]
Brett Cecil was the Jays best starter last year and he started this season with some major control problems. Now he returns after righting the ship a bit in AAA going 8-2 in those starts and faces a Pirates team that is 27th with a .663 OPS vs. LHP this year and are 21-53 in their last 74 road games vs. LH starters. Jeff Karstens makes the start for the Pirates and he has been pretty lucky this season his Xfip is +1.10 higher than his actual ERA and he's been lucky with a .246 BABIP. This would be a higher play if the Jays were hitting I"m looking for them to snap out of it tonight against Karstens though and they should be fired up to have Cecil back on the mound. Karstens is 3-15 in his last 18 game 3 of a series starts. Jays take the rubber game.

4.5* mlb pod

4* MLB POD

Tigers -137 (5.5* MAX POD) Detroit is #4 team in runs per game during day games which has led to their 18-12 day record They are also among the leaders in OPS during day games while Arizona is towards the bottom with a .698 OPS during day games and they are 25th with a 4.57 ERA. Joe Saunders takes the ball and he's 2-4 with a 5.58 ERA during day games and he faces a tough task against the Tigers who are #6 in OPS vs. LHP with a .773 along witha .272 average. They are 42-18 in their last 60 games at home vs. a LH starter and 41-10 in their last 50 inter league home games. Arizona really struggles to score runs on the road and collectively they have seen Brad Penny 114 times and they have just a .603 OPS. While the Tigers have 95 AB vs. Saunders a .305 average and .837 OPS. Perhalta and Ordonez are 17-38 with 3HR both have well over 1.000 OPS's and .400 average. Miguel Cabrera also red hot vs. Saunders and lefties in general. Saunders usually keeps his team in the game, but his raw stats don't impress me his 5.08 XFIP is higher than his actual ERA and he averages 3.68 BB/9 and just 5.08 K/9 His last 4 starts vs. the Tigers dating back to 2009 resulted in just 18.2 IP and 16 ER that's an ERA over 8. Arizona just 11-23 in their last 34 Sunday games and 2-11 with Saunders on the mound on the road.

White Sox -153 (4.5* MLB POD) Tom Gorzelanny makes the start for the RED HOT Nationals and I'm afraid that's not a good thing. It's his second start since coming off the DL and the first one was no good either as he went just 4.2 IP giving up 10 hits and 4 ER vs. the Orioles. Now he makes another start on the road and during the day against the White Sox who are 38-14 in their last 52 inter league games. Gorzelanny has a 5.01 ERA in day starts from 08-2010 over 134 innings pitched while John Danks over 2008-2010 has a 2.76 ERA over 36 starts. It's clear Danks has learned to prepare for day games and he's got a 3.09 ERA during his June starts over the last 3 years which is his next best month after April. He's got a 1.23 ERA over 3 starts this month and he faces a Nationals team although hot right now that is among the worst in OPS vs. LHP at just .656 and they are 26th with a .665 OPS during day games where they average just 3.51 runs per game while the White Sox are scoring 4.71 runs per game during day games and are 7th with a .762 OPS during day games. I hate to fade the Nationals in consecutive nights, but it's really the best play on the card.

White Sox -113 (4*POD) Riggleman now gone in an odd way may end the Nationals hot streak. They now go on the road after barely scoring any runs in the last two games which shows me some signs of their hot streak coming to an end. Edwin Jackson has a 2.89 ERA in his home starts and the Nationals struggle vs. RHP they are 24th in the league with a .685 OPS vs. RHP. Jackson also has an xFIP that may have the largest differenc ein the league his actual ERA at 4.47 and xFIP is 3.36. His .352 BABIP is very unlucky. Expec that to start to turn around while Zimmerman who starts for the Nationals is in a different situation. He's also been lucky facing the Orioles twice, Padres twice, Giants twice and the Braves. None of those teams are inside the top 10 in OPS vs. RHP so he's bound to come back to earth as he steps up in competition starting tonight as the White Sox are the best hitting team vs. RHP he's faced in over 10 starts.

Cardinals -110 (4* MLB POD) Oswalt has been in a slump as of late with an ERA over 5 over his last 3 starts what concerns me more is his K/9 ratio is down over 2 k's per 9 on his career average and he's been lucky with a 3.38 ERA as his Xfip is at 4.06. Cardinals have not gotten swept by the Phillies at home in 5 years and they are too good to get swept here today. Carpenter has had a lot of success vs. the Phillies in 63 AB the Phils have a .203 average vs. Carpenter as he went 8 IP 5 hits and 1 ER in a start last year. The Phillies score under 4 runs per game on the road and the Cardinals are 18-8 in their last 26 game #3's and 52-19 in Carpenter's last 70 as a home favorite. Philly may be hot right now but I think they are running into the wrong game 3 against the wrong pitcher and team. Cardinals were winning when Pujols was slumping through the first two months of the season and I think Berkman/Holliday can carry this team while he's out.

Angels -129 (4.5* MLB POD); Nations -130 3* play; SF/MIN U6.5 +100 1.5* The sample size is too large for Vazquez to put up a solid game and the Marlins have been just awful getting 2.27 runs per 9 in their last 10 games while the Angels are the #1 inter league team at 54-25 since 2007 including 25-8 in their last 33 road games and 35-19 in their last inter league vs. a RH starter. Marlins are 19-47 in their last 66 as a home dog. Angels have also seen Vazquez before they got 25 base runners in 14 innings over 3 starts with when he pitched for the Yankees in 2010 with a 9.00 ERA. He's got an ERA nearly at 7 at home he's coming off a decent start, but I'm sure he'll be back to his old ways on Tuesday night.

4* top play

Rockies +129 (4* MLB POD); Love the Rockies as Aaron Cook will make his 3rd start for them and he's backed by an offense that is starting to hit thanks to Carlos Gonzalez. Rockies over their last 10 games have a .346 average and are scoring 7.27 runs per 9 vs. RHP which they will face in Justin Verlander. Verlander is largely due for an off start and I think it comes here today vs. a hot Rockies team. Verlander has thrown 100+ pitches in all of his last 10 starts including 132 just a couple games ago. For a power pitcher that has to take it's toll at some point and I think the Rockies will be patient enough to get him out of this game early so they can take advantage of Detroit's 5.97 bullpen ERA on the road. Tigers have never faced Aaron Cook and are 1-9 in their last 10 in Col and 17-42 in their last 59 road games vs. a rh starter. Colorado on the other hand is 23-5 in their last 28 inter league starts vs. RH pitchers.

Rangers +104 4.5* MLB POD Dog of the Day/ Dbacks +108 3* MLB DOG of the day Love the Dbacks at home vs. Danks. Danks is 0-6 in his road starts with a 6.50 ERA. He goes on the road to face a solid Dbacks hitting team that has hit lefties hard a 5.42 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home while the White Sox who are also facing a lefty have just a .690 OPS vs. LHP. They are just scoring 3.66 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the road which is nearly 2 runs less than what the Dbacks are doing at home. Dbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 home inter league games vs. lhp. I love the Rangers Harrison has been money on the road with a 2.37 ERA and the Braves have not been able to hit lefties they are now 29th vs. LHP this year in OPS with a meager .638 and over their last 10 games they are hittng just .144 1.37 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Lowe has had some success against the Rangers before but he had one start he gave up 7ER. He's got a 4.98 ERA at home which is nothing impressive against a Rangers team that is 10-3 in their last 13 inter league games vs. RH starters while the Braves 4-11 in their last 15 inter league vs. LH starters.

Twins -132 (4.5* MLB POD)
Duensing only threw 54 pitches in his last start and I expect him to rebound in a big way against a Padres team that is dead last in the league in hitting not to mention the Twins bullpen is rested and they have won 11 of 13 games. Add in that they are starting to get healthy with Mauer coming back tonight and I

[b]Tigers -127 4.5* MLB POD[/b]
Love the Tigers in this one. First of Fausto Carmona is down on his velocity and has been falling apart. He's got a 6.64 ERA on the road this year and he faces a Detroit team that is hot right now with the bats. They are averaging 5.5 runs per game over their last 10 overall and are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a RH starter. Penny takes the mound for the Tigers and has pitched great at home with a 2.83 ERA. Most of the Indians lineup hasn't seen him they have 88 AB 63 have come from Orlando Cabrera and they have a collective .193 average against him. Love the Tigers to stay hot here they are 20-7 in their last 27 home meetings with the INdians.

4.5* MLB POD

Marlins -130 4* MLB POD Nolasco should be able to help end the losing streak at home for the Marlins as he's 5-1 lifetime vs. the Dbacks with a 3.38 ERA. Zack Duke makes the start for the Dbacks and the Marlins have a history of killing left handed pitching. They have 49 AB .347 average and a .828 OPS vs. Duke and they are #9 team vs. LHP with a .735 OPS. Last year they were in the top 5. Dbacks have been hot, but every hot streak must come to an end and with Nolasco pitching excellent at home 3.01 ERA in 8 starts this year and a 3.15 during night starts and his success vs. the Dbacks I believe this to be the best bet of the day.

4.4* nba pod

Mets +101 4* MLB POD; Jays +154 2* dog of the day Capuono is far better than his numbers suggest and the Pirates struggle big time vs. lefties they are 27th in the league with a .654 OPS vs. lefties. They score just 2.83 runs per 9 vs. lefties at home. Kevin Correia has been solid but pitching way over his abilities in my opinion with a 3.64 ERA. He's been lucky with a .271 BABIP and I expect that to start to come back to the norm for him. He hasn't pitched well at home with a 5.76 ERA and the Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with Pit. Jays value play big here they are the #1 team in the league in OPS vs. LHP at .859. They have beaten up Lester in the past. This would be a larger play if the Jays weren't so hot right now.

Tigers -119 4.5* MLB POD
Scherzer posts a 12.51 ERA over his last 3 starts, but we will chalk it up to facing hot teams at the wrong time. Here today he goes up against the Mariners and their stud rookie Pineda who posts a 1.64 ERA over his last 5 games, but his xFIP (trending ERA) is +1.03 ERA away from his actual ERA he is by far over due to come back to reality. Why not today against the Tigers who are seeing him for the 2nd time and are 18-8 in their last 26 home games vs. a winning team. Tigers are hot right now scoring 6.14 runs per 9 over their last 5 games while the Mariners continue to struggle with consistently putting runs up on the board just 2.54 in their last 5 games. Ichiro is hitting .149 over their last 21 games. Scherzer is a dominant pitcher at home before his two poor performances he had an ERA under 2.00. He had a span of three straight shut outs at home vs. the White Sox, Blue Jays and Yankees. I think we can expect him to be dominant here and bounce back from his recent struggles. He's 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA vs. the Mariners.

Padres -150 *5 MLB PODLove the Padres Latos is on a role as of late with a 2.37 ERA and 3-0 record in his last 3 and he's 3-0 vs. the Nationals who are managing just 2.73 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games while the Padres are over 4 runs per 9 over that span. Marquis also has not been good on the road with a 5.09 ERA though I think he'll pitch a quality start in the big ball park it won't be good enough. Nationals are just 6-23 in their last 29 visits to Washington.

Heat +1.5 4.4* NBA POD; Under 185 -120 3* play, Heat -1.5 +160 2* play Heat have been more dominant in this series than most remember. I think they really come out with some authority tonight. Although Lebron has not really shown up in this series it will be interesting to see what he does here tonight. Still this is a very inconsistent offensive team in Miami which is why I like the under yet again. Miami's defense though is one of the best so expect a tight game down the stretch yet again with the Heat pulling out the victory.

BlueJays +108 (4* MLB POD) Can't help but back the Jays who are #2 in the league in OPS vs. LHP vs. a young unexperienced lefty like Duffy. Duffy has some good stuff, but still 13 walks in 4 starts is not going to get it done at this level. Blue Jays are a patient team too they are #6 in the league in walks and have been on fire with the bats of late. ON the road they average .295 with 6.33 runs per 9 vs. LHP. in their last 10 they are hitting .287 with an average of 7.99 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Kansas City has really struggled on the home stand just 3-6 and they have dropped 8 of their last 28 since opening up the season hot. I think this is a game the Jays get with Villanueva pitching decent baseball.

4.4* nba pod

Dbacks -113 (4.5* MLB POD) Love the Dbacks and we get a great line based on how well Correia has pitched, but in my opinion he's pitched over his head and his trending ERA says that it will be moving in the other direction. A 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts gives me the idea that happens tonight against a team that knows him very well 201 career collective AB with a .860 OPS. Dbacks faced him 5 times last year and managed 32 hits while he pitched just 25.1 innings. Corriea just 3.99 K/9 innings is extremely low and if these Dbacks put the ball in play it's going to be along night. Also the Pirates are the 2nd worst hitting team at home with a .606 OPS. Hudson is spotty, but has been extremely unlucky with a .338 BABIP that will start to regress back to the norm and he has a great start against the Pirates in his career. Correia just 1-3 5.47 ERA at home expect that to continue as Arizona remains hot on the road tonight.

Brewers -132 (4.5* MLB POD); Greinke holds a significant pitching match up and I think the Brewers get the win. Greinke has the leagues #1 Xfip OR trending ERA and I like his ERA to continue to lower starting with the Marlins today as he faces off against Vazquez who continues to struggle despite moving back to the NL his problem of late is the long ball and the Brewers #2 in the NL in hitting HR so I expect him to struggle yet again today. These are excellent odds because Greinke hasn't pitched up to his potential but his trending ERA says he's due and he's had bad luck in the past.. Expect that to even out over time starting today.

Heat +3 -120 5* NBA POD; Over 188.5 2.5* play Heat really have dominated this series and I just think the Mavericks are going to continue having difficulties stopping the Heat. I don't see the Heat letting their collapse in game 2 roll into this game. That game gave Dallas a couple of points. If Dallas lost I think we'd have more of a pick em here. I also see the over again with both teams putting up points.

Dbacks -160 (4* play);
Diamondbacks are playing well at home 20-12 this year while the Nats are 11-21 ont he road. Jason Marquis has finally started to come back to life with an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts combined and he's got a 5.75 ERA on the road this year. Ian Kennedy has been consistent all year long and I like the advantage the Dbacks have with their bats as they have hit Marquis hard in the past he's got an ERA at 9.00 over his last 3 starts vs. ARizona and Arizona in their last 10 games are putting up more than 6 runs per 9 vs. RHP while the Nats are at just 3.19 over their last 10. Look for Kennedy to throw a gem while Marquis battles and gives up 1 or 2 home runs.

Yankees -139 4.5* MLB POD We just missed with the Yankees as big under dogs last night, and I have a good feeling they'll bounce back to win tonight with CC Sabathia on the road as he's been great with an ERA under 3 this year on the road. Ervin Santana makes a start vs. the Yankees in his last 4 vs. the Yanks he's pitched at home in 3 of them giving up 18 ER over 24 IP. Jeter has a .452 batting average and overall Yankees have an OPS of .865 vs. them. I think they'll have the advantage here.

Royals -144 (4.5* MLB pod) I love the Royals Dan Duffy has been effective in 3 starts keeping his team in the game. He had an impressive performance on the road vs. Texas who just kills lefties and now he has the confidence going back home vs. the Twins who are 27th vs. LHP in OPS. Twins have never seen Duffy before so I think they'll really struggle while Pavano has pitched against the Royals countless times including at Kaufman earlier this year where he gave up 7 runs 12 hits in 5.1 IP. Collectively the Royals have a 117 ab and a .308 average with a .861 OPS vs. Pavano.

Rangers +115 (4* MLB POD); Dal/Mia Over 186 (4.4*play) 1.5* Mavericks +175 Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings with the INdians. I fear the Indians will start to spiral downward they have remained .500 since losing Hafner, but the Rangers got their lefty bat back in Hamilton and they are just a different monster. Over their last 10 games they are putting up more than 6 runs per 9 innings vs. rhp and are hitting .287. They beat up Carrasco last time who has an ERA over 7 at home this year. Rangers take this game and the value is on the dog for sure. See both Dallas and Miami picking it up tonight offensively, both under 40% last game. Miami may have just gotten really cocky and feel they have this series won, but I believe they will have a shot to win in the end. The fact that the Mavericks held the Heat under 40% shooting has to prove something to you about their defense on the road giving thema solid shot at winning.

Rangers +115 (4* MLB POD); Dal/Mia Over 186 (4.4*play) 1.5* Mavericks +175 Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings with the INdians. I fear the Indians will start to spiral downward they have remained .500 since losing Hafner, but the Rangers got their lefty bat back in Hamilton and they are just a different monster. Over their last 10 games they are putting up more than 6 runs per 9 innings vs. rhp and are hitting .287. They beat up Carrasco last time who has an ERA over 7 at home this year. Rangers take this game and the value is on the dog for sure. See both Dallas and Miami picking it up tonight offensively, both under 40% last game. Miami may have just gotten really cocky and feel they have this series won, but I believe they will have a shot to win in the end. The fact that the Mavericks held the Heat under 40% shooting has to prove something to you about their defense on the road giving thema solid shot at winning.

4* MLB pod

4.4* nba pod

Phillies -162 (4.5* MLB POD); Braves -114 (2.5*) Greinke -129 3.5* play DET/MIN Over 8.5 3.3* PLAY Phillies bats have really heated up and it's hard not to take them with Lee on the mound who has back to back complete game shut outs vs. the Nationals. Nats also in thier last games scoring just 3 runs per game and have struggled vs. the Phillies just 13-44 in their last 57 meetings. Marquis has been solid but starting to come back down to life with an ERA near 5 over the last 3 starts. also the Nationals at home have a .183 average 2.97 runs per 0 vs. LHP. I like the Braves simply because Latos has struggled on the road and at night and the Padres are terrible vs. LHP which they will face tonight. Padres .153 with 0.62 runs per 9 last 10 vs. LHP and are just 10-23 in their last 33 vs. the Braves. Brewers have struggled vs. the REds this year and last. but Greinke has a complete game 12 K performance that should give him some confidence vs. the Reds. Greinke's numbers don't jump out, but he's been extremely unlucky his ERA is over 5 but his XFIP is 1.58 meaning that he's due to be trending the other way. 13K/BB ratio tells part of that, but the .348 BABIP is one of the unluckiest. He also goes up against Reineke who is over achieving in the minors. I think Brewers get back to what they were doing at home tonight.

Reds -113 (4.5* MLB POD) Although this line continues to drop in our favor I like the Reds at home. All season long they have been one of the most dangerous teams vs. LHP. In fact they lead the league in OPS at .880 and they'll face Chris Narverson today which should get their bats clicking a little bit we hope. The Brewers have been red hot but now they face a team on the road where they have been just awful. The Reds are 21-5 in their last 26 meetings with the Brewers and the Reds are 27-9 in their last 36 home games vs. LH starters. This season vs. LHP at home they are hitting .306 average and 7.36 runs per 9. Brewers are not even averaging 3 runs per game on the road and vs. lefties it gets worse with just a .207 average and 1.56 runs per 9. I still like the Brewers as favorites of this division but I don't think they can take care of business today against Travis Wood as Wood has a trending negative ERA as he's been a bit unlucky thus far this season. His XFIP is over a run lower and the .321 BABIP tells a bit of the story so I expect some good stuff from Wood who in 3 career starts vs. the Brewers has a 2.95 ERA and 0.76 WHIP! Naverson on the other hand gave up 7 ER in just 2.1 IP vs. the Reds earlier this eason. Bonus Plays Jays -107 3.5* FL/ARI U9.5 +102 3* DOG of theday

Angels -138 (4.5*MLB POD) Dodgers/Marlins Over 6.5 3.3* play Dan Haren has been lights out he's got a 2.06 ERA on the road and faces the worst offensive and worst home team in the Twins today. He's also holding onto a 1.45 ERA during day starts while the opposing pitcher has really struggled in those situations posting a 6.04 ERA in his day starts. What has me most confident is the differences in bullpen. Angels have a 1.52 bullpen ERA in their last 10 games while the Twins have a 7.43. They are last in the MLB with an ERA near 6 on the season. Expect a close game, but for the Angels to hold onto an early lead throughout the game.

Brewers -124 (5.5* MLB POD)
Marcum has been insane for the Brewers 6-1 with a 2.37 ERA and the Giants who are struggling to score runs will struggle even more now after losing Buster Posey their clean up hitter. To make matters worse they haven't faced Marcum really and I think the Brewers are just rolling right now. They do have Tim Lincecum though, but Lincecum is off his 2nd highest pitch total of his career with 133. He has not been that successful with a 2-3 record and 4.62 ERA in 7 starts vs. the Brewers as Ryan Braun leads the way 6-18 off him with 2 HR. I think LIncecum who has been hot this month with a 0.91 ERA is due in a big way to struggle and I think it happens after he threw 133 pitches in his last start.

Bulls -3 (4.4* NBA POD) The Heat really are too cocky at this point and I'd love to see the Bulls who dominated them in game #1 at home return to make this a game 7 series. I think the day off for the Bulls players who played many minutes on Tuesday was critical but now they are at home with extra energy and ready to really shut down the Heat. Expect to see Lebron on Rose again, but expect Rose to be able to beat him in transition and be more of a passer in the half court taking advantage of match ups.

4.4* play

4.4* TOP PLAY

Rockies -118 4* MLB pod * Rockies and the Dbacks split the first two games just like they should in a double header. Now they come back on Wednesday to play the third game of the series and Jason Hammell is certainly thankful they are playing at night where he has a 2.53 ERA in 7 starts this year compared to his 7.94 day ERA. He

4.4* on Bulls +5; 2* on Bulls +180

4.5* play

Padres +115 (4* MLB POD) Pineda has been great and it's looking more and more like he's the real deal.. But he has not been as good on the road and his margin for error is even less right now as he faces off against Clayton Richard who is dominant at home with a 1.71 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP over 4 starts. He's got 3 starts vs. the Mariners 20 IP and just 3 ER. Mariners are 26th in the league in OPS vs. LHP and are 18-39 in their last 57 road games vs. LH starters. NOw the Padres have played poorly at home this season, but they are way past due to break out of it. Their bats have been a little better due to Ryan Ludwick who is hitting .457 with 4 HR over his last 9 games. San Diego also has a huge advantage in the bullpen if this game goes extras at it is very likely to be a close game.

4.4* NBA POD

4.5* MLB POD

Brewers -110 (5.5* MLB POD) Narverson has pitched surprisingly well and his XFIP is backing it up ranked #24th. The Padres have taken a dive since their hot hitting road trip just 3 runs in their last 2 games so they look like they are back to normal. Harang who started the season on fire is now coming back to earth in his last 4 starts he has 22 IP 21 ER on 29 hits and more importantly 7 home runs. Brewers have hit him hard in the past with a .323 lifetime average and an OPS over .800.

4,4* NBA POD

Heat +3 -120 3* play

4.4* nba pod

Reds -150 *5.5* MLB POD; Indians +118 (3* play) Reds are hot right now hitting .307 vs. RHP in their last 5 with 8.24 runs per 9 and they are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a RH starter while the new Charlie Morton is 4-18 in his last 22 road starts. He had a complete game last time at Cinci and I suppose he is expected to do the same, but I'm not buying it. His previous starts in Cinci he's gone 0-3 with an ERA over 9.00. Reds at home are scoring 6.26 runs per 9 vs. RHP and with Arroyo on the mound I"m confident he'll put a quality start out there. Over his last 7 starts vs. the Pirates he has a 2.56 ERA over 45.2 IP. Indians are hot right now scoring 31 runs in their last 3 games and it's hard not to back them going up against a White Sox team that is playing better but still struggling offensively. Jake Peavy is a big name and there is your reason why they are marked as favorites here today but that's incorrect it's going to take him a while to get used to pitching again and Masterson has been masterful this year with a 1.86 ERA on the road. He's had success agaisnt the White Sox too 1-0 in 3 lifetime starts @CWS with a ERA under 2. White Sox are 0-4 in Peavy's last 4 vs. the Indians and they are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.

4* nba pod

4* MLB POD

due to rain out on our previous pod

Brewers -125 (4.4* MLB POD); Cubs +146 (2* play) Brewers have been awful on the road just a .218 average but they are coming off a hot streak at home and are hitting it's bound to carry over to the road and they have who I consider their ace in Shawn Marcum going tonight. Plus they face the Dodgers who in their last 8 home games are hitting just .198. Expect Ryan Braun to continue his hot hitting streak despite his .100 average difference from home to away he's hit really well in LA with an average over .400. He's 2-5 with a HR off Garland and the Brewers have a .286 average in 105 AB vs. Garland. Ethier has cooled off for LA and is just 1-11 in his last 3 games.

4* NBA POD

) Blue Jays -131 (4.5* MLB POD) Twins continue to struggle just 2.93 runs per game over their last 5 they are among the worst vs. RHP and they have never seen Brandan Morrow who is due for some luck as his XFIP shows a 2.71 ERA over a point from his actual ERA. He has been a bit unlucky with a .327 BABIP and I think that starts coming back. Coming off a tough outing I think he'll dominate against hte Twins today. I like Brian Duensing but today I fade him as the Jays have their full squad in there today and they are 4th in average .295 vs. LHP and 3rd in OPS .815. They have gotten a lot of hits off Duensing int he past. Enjoy!

4.5* nba pod

Yankees -108 (4.5* MLB POD)
1ST Time the Yankees our going to be out POD but I have good value here and we

Cubs -121 (4*MLB POD); Nationals +191 (2* DOG) Cubs will put Garza out there who has been the unluckiest pitcher in the game with a .388 BABIP he's only left 59.4% of runners on base considering his 11.69 K/9 ratio and 1.37 WHIP we feel he is more capable and up until his last start he was showing it. HIs last start he gave up 5 ER, but before that he had a string of 3 starts with a 1.80 ERA over 20 IP giving up just 15 hits and 26 K's. He's got 58 K's in 44.2 IP on the year and the Cardinals have limited experience with just 38 AB's a .211 average and .548 OPS. Cardinals start Westbrook who also has been unlucky with a .331 BABIP, but he has just a 5.68 K/9 ratio and it's closer to his career averages than Garza's. IN two starts vs. the Cubs he pitched 11.1 IP and gave up 5 ER. Nationals - JOhn Lannan has pitched well vs. the Braves and in his last 3 he has a 3-0 record and 2.76 ERA. Hanson has struggled vs. the Nationals so I think we get excellent value here. Lannan has been a bit unlucky with a .322 BABIP and he faces a Braves team that is 29th in average vs. LHP and 27th in OPS vs. LHP with a .216 average and .624 OPS.

Reds -132 (4.5* MLB POD) Myers has not pitched well against the Reds and with Votto back in the line up and his ability to give up HR's as of late at least 1 HR in his last 6 starts I do not like his ability to pitch a perfect type game. Myers last 3 starts against the Reds has produced an ERA near 9 with 5 HR's given up. Astros bullpen has been awful especially at home so there is not much help behind Myers either. I like Homer Bailey in his second start after pitching well in the first. Astros have a .158 average and .466 OPS off him in nearly 40 ABs.

Bluejays -110 (4.4* MLB POD); Reds RL +126 (2* BONUS) Love the Jays in this spot. Morrow is 8-1 with a 2.27 ERA in his last 13 home starts. Torontos bats have been cold of late but they just got Bautista and HIll back yesterday who should make a huge difference especially at home. Scherzer is night and day form home and away and I think he struggles on the road. He's got a 6.67 ERA on the road and what makes matters worse is the Tigers bullpen has struggled 6.56 ERA over last 10 starts while the Jays bullpen remains solid on the year. Tigers just 14-37 in their last 51 road games vs. a RH starter 18-49 last 67 games on turf. Morrow struck out 9 in 6 innings the last time he faced them. Jays have 36 collective at bats and a .306 average vs. Scherzer I think their bats come alive tonight. Reds runline.. Wood has been the 2nd unluckiest pitcher with a .365 BABIP second to Garza only. Houston will send Rodriguez to the mound for his second start a nd it will come against the same team. This spells trouble because Rodriguez faces a team that is starting to put its offense back together. Wood has been solid vs. Houston in the past and again the key here is HOuston's bullpen they'll likely have to turn to it early with Rodriguez on a strict pitch count. It's got a 8.87 bp era over the last 10 games.

4.4* nba pod

Lakers +2 (4.5* NBA POD) Love the Lakers in this spot. I think Kobe has one more game where he can motivate his teammates to rally and get a win. In all honestly the difference in this series has been the team that can close. The Lakers have even controlled 2 of 3 of these games, but for some reason has not been able to close which is unlike them. I expect them to get up in this game and have the intensity to hold on late and send it back to LA.

Cardinals -136 5.5* MLB POD Cardinals have the #3 OPS vs. LHP ON THE YEAR SITTING AT .814 WITH A .274 AVERAGE. I believe they get it done after losing yesterday as the Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 game #3's while the Brewers are just 4-8 during day games and have averaged just 2.18 runs per game in their last 10. They broke out of that with a 4-0 win last night, but Mclellan looks to put two poor outings behind him. Narverson makes the start vs. Cards and he has allowed 15 hits in his last 2 starts over just 8 innings. He's really come back down to earth here. Cardinals collectively have a .348 average and a 1.072 OPS. Lance Berkman is 4-7 and PUjols is 4-10 with 2 HR. Looks like another long day for the Brewers.

Reds -133 (4.5* MLB POD) Runline +126 1.5* bonus! Arroyo has been his same consistent self and vs. the Cubs he's 4-2 with a 1.34 ERA in his last 6 starts. Cubs collectively have a .555 OPS .199 average in 199 at bats vs. Arroyo. He's got to be careful with Byrd, but other than that Arroyo dominates this line up. The Reds face Coleman who they roughed up at home last year 8 hits in 6 IP and 4 runs. Coleman has been struggling and I think that will continue today vs. the Reds who are the #1 day team as far as runs scored. They are 9-5 averaging 6.4 runs per game with a .903 ops and .311 average. Cubs are 6-9 with a 5.10 ERA during day games and they are just 6-9 at Wrigley this year. Reds are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and Arroyo is 17-5 in his last 22 road games vs. a losing team.

4* MLB POD

Rays -137 betonline 5.5* MLB POD
Rays have been hot although they lost last night 3-2 they send their ace to the mound in a day game where he is 12-3 in his career.

4* POD

4.4* NBA POD

Royals -122 (4.5* MLB POD); White Sox RL +156 (2.5* DOD) The difference in this game is simple, bullpen. The Royals bullpen has been strong with a 2.70 ERA over their last 10 games while Baltimore is struggling of late 7.88 over their last 3 games alone. Also Baltimore goes up against a lefty in Jeff Francis who has struggled in his last two starts thus the nice value at -122 for us today. He faced the two two hitting teams vs. LHP this year in the Rangers and Indians so him struggling was not a surprise to me. The Royals are the #1 home team in runs scored with 96 and I believe they beat Baltimore wh is #17 vs. LHP and 26th in average .226 and 23rd in OPS vs. LHP with .670. They have not faced Francis in years and in his 3 starts at home he has a 2.70 ERA. Brad Bergessen is 7-19 in his last 26 starts vs. a winning team and 4-13 in his last 17 on 4 days rest including 5-17 in his last 22 on the road. Alex Gordon is hitting .388 at Kaufman Stadium and should enjoy another big game as he has a 15 game hitting streak vs. the Orioles and 2-4 agaisnt Bergesen.

4.4* NBA POD

Red Sox -106 4* MLB POD
As bad as Bucholz has been and as good as Weaver has been why are the Red Sox favored. Well Weaver is 1-4 in his last 5 at Fenway and his ERA here is over 7. He

4.4*

Magic -120 (4* NBA POD);

Mets -104 (4* MLB POD); Cardinals RL +118 (2.5* BONUS) The Mets now winners of 6 straight send Chris Capuono to the mound who was effective with the exception of giving up 2 HR in his first start vs. the Nationals. I don't see that happening this time around without Zimmerman in the middle of that line up. Right now things are clicking for the Mets and they'll face an old friend in Livan Hernandez who has some distractions with the law and I think he's due for another struggle here vs. the Mets who since Jason Bay has come back have been red hot. It starts with Reyes and Daniel Murphy and the rest of the crew continue to hit. Capuono will face the worst team in the league vs. LHP and that's where I think the Mets can win. They are hitting .182 at home vs. LHP this year. Also Mets are scoring 8+ runs in their last 5 games per 9 innings vs. RHP with a .356 average. Cards continue to hit they were up big all game and nearly gave it away but held on. Kyle McLellan is another reliever turned starter to dominate. Houston struggles vs. the righties this year but dominate lefties. They face another righty and Figuero gives up hits and puts runners on which is never a good thing facing a hot team like St. Louis that has 3 guys that are starring down 30+HR seasons in Pujols, Holliday and Berkman. Cards role in this one.