Yankees -111 3* MLB POD
I have got to take the Yankees here today with Andy Pettitte on the hill with a ton of value. Pettitte has pitched extremely well over the years in Minnesota where the Yankees have simply dominated (39-13 L52 meetings). Yankees offense is clearly struggling, but they should hit well against Scott Diamond who has a 6.21 ERA at home while lefties and righties have an OPS over .800. Pettitte meanwhile has a 2.81 ERA in 6 road starts and has a 1.77 ERA in his 3 road starts on 4 days rest. Diamond meanwhile is 5-11 in his last 16 starts on 4 days rest and 3-10 in his last 13 home starts while Pettitte is 49-23 in his last 72 as a road favorite. Yankees still have plenty of veteran leadership and I expect Pettitte to be one of those veterans to step up tonight as the Twins just are not very good against winning teams going 15-38 in their last 53 home games. Yankees still fall into that category with a 42-39 record.

Braves -142 3.5* MLB POD The Braves are ranked 6th in OPS and 3rd in ERA during day games where they are 15-10 while the Diamondbacks are 21st and 19th. Arizona also sends Trevor Cahill to the mound for just his 2nd road start on 4 days rest all year long. Over his last 4 starts on 4 days rest he posts a 7.71 ERA and in his 2 career starts vs. the Braves he's allowed 8 ER in just 10.2 IP while giving up 3 HR. The Braves are an amazing 43-9 whent hey hit a HR this year and they have the leagues best home record where they have beat the Diamondbacks 8 of their last 9 visits. Cahill has not pitched on the road posting a 4.74 ERA while Maholm has been great 1.80 ERA on the year at home and comes into this game on 6 days rest and is supported by the best bullpen in baseball that posts a 2.17 ERA at home. Arizona is scoring just 2.90 runs per 9 on the road vs. LHP so this is a good match up for the Braves with plenty of value at -142.

U8 DET/TB -120 2* This was an intense extra inning game yesterday with us getting a loss as we backed the Tigers, but after Fernando Rodney threw at MIguel Cabrera I know we would get some value here on Sunday. The Tigers will most certainly return the favor and the hitters today should be a little tense. Also both starters have had success against opposing teams with both having 4 career starts. Porcello posts a 2.33 ERA in 4 career starts vs. the Rays who are without Longoria again and scoring just 2.84 runs per 9 over their last 10 while Hellickson posts a 1.95 ERA vs. the Tigers who really are not the same during the day and road games offensively.

[b]Orioles -123 3.5* MLB POD[/b]
Phelps has struggled in his two starts against the Orioles who are able to get him in good counts and hit home runs. Baltimore should be able to do the same today while Zach Britton has looked okay in his last two starts, but the thing I like about him today is he knows he's probably the odd man out and I'm expecting a solid start against a beatable Yankees line up.

[b]Tigers -138 2* bonus[/b]
No Longoria this is simply too much value with Verlander on the mound who has been very unlucky this year with a .350+ BABIP. The Rays won't have Longoria who left last night's game and they have been hitting 2.75 runs per 9 VS RHP last 10 games. Verlander 9-3 in his 12 starts vs. the Rays. Tigers 25-12 in their last 37 vs. a starter with a WHIP > 1.30. Chris Archer is walking over 5 batters per 9, Tigers should be able to take advantage.

Rangers -120 3.5* MLB POD
The Reds have gone into a bit of a slump while the Rangers are coming off a hot road trip. I'm banking on the Rangers to continue their success when they send their young pitcher Martin Perez to the mound. Perez has averaged aroudn 94mph on his fastball as a lefty. The Reds have struggled on the road vs. lefties scoring just 3.15 runs per 9 and 2.38 over their last 10. The Rangers are also backed by a bullpen that has a 2.62 ERA at home and 2.65 ERA over their last 10 so they should be in good shape. The Reds send Johny Cueto to the mound, but he's coming off one of his worst starts and really has not looked the same of late as he posts a 4.57 ERA. Texas is scoring 5 runs per 9 at home vs RHP and are 23-4 in their last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more. Reds have been consistently good the last few years, but when they take their game against a good AL team they are 14-37 in their last 51 vs. winning team in inter league play. Texas falls under the category of a "good" team and they have won 8 of 10 games while the Reds have lost 4 of 5 on their current road trip while getting out scored 29-15.

[b]Twins -127 3.5* MLB POD[/b]
Right now there may not be a more streaky pitcher in MLB than Jeremy Guthrie and right now he's struggling. Now he goes on the road to face the Twins where the Royals are just 9-21 in their last 30 in Minny. Guthrie has an ERA over 6 in June starts over the last 3 years so there is not a coincidence that he's struggled this month and against the Twins he has struggled to in 104 AB they have a .298 average and a .981 OPS. The Twins bats are also heating up right now ranked 4th in OPS .830 over the last 7 days. KC on the other hand are ranked 20th.

KC has had a difficult time against RHP and they'll face Sam Deduno who has an ERA at home under 3.00 in his career. He's a ground ball machine and hardly gives up home runs which means you have to work and get consecutive hits to score off him. I don't think the Royals can do that right now as they have a .561 OPS off Deduno who has given up 1 ER in 2 starts against them. Guthrie on the other hand is giving up nearly 2 HR per game and caries an xFIP OF 5.14.

Oakland A's -145 3* MLB POD; SEA/PIT U7 2* PLAY Oakland really need the day off yesterday as they just capped off 30 games in 31 days and I think they will come refreshed at home where they have been dominant winning 45 of their last 61 games against RH starters. Bronson Arroyo continues to put up solid numbers, but I will continue to fade as he is bound to resort back to the mean as he has a 4.24 XFIP which is more than a run higher than his ERA. Arroyo has just 5 road starts and 10 at home and posts a 4.45 ERA on the road. Arroyo has a 1.45 WHIP over his last three games alone, but posts a 2.18 ERA so he's clearly been lucky, but the A's have been one of the more clutch teams all year and I expect him to be fighting from behind for most of the night as Tommy Milone continues to pitch well. Milone has a 2.48 ERA in 6 home starts this year and a career ERA under 3 over 23 home starts. Expect more of the same against the Reds who have struggled big time of late especially against LHP where they are hitting .203 and scoring 1.95 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games. They are 12-25 in their last 37 road games in inter league play vs. a LH starter

[b]Giants +104 3* MLB POD[/b]
I see a ton of value here on the Giants despite how nasty Ryu has been at home. The Giants have now faced Ryu twice and they should have a solid idea on how to approach him as they got 18 hits off him through his two starts. Pence, Posey, Scutaro and Torres are a combined 12-23 against him which is better than what the Dodgers have done against Bumgarner who they have a .450 OPS against in 113 AB with a .186 average. LA continues to struggle at the plate and are scoring just 2.20 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games. The Giants meanwhile have scored more than 4 and clearly have the more established pitcher and bullpen as Bumbgarner has given up 1 run or less in 4 of his 5 starts in LA.

[b]A's -143 4* MLB POD[/b]
Oakland has the better pitching and they have the better hitting ast hey are scoring nearly 2 runs more per 9 innings. Seattle's available bullpen has a 12.54 ERA over their last 3 starts combined each and the Mariners are 5-15 in their last 20 as an under dog. Jeremy Bonderman however has pitched well and is giving us good value on the A's because of that. Bonderman however has feasted on luck and bad competition. Those two things will run out today.

Despite only 2.92 K/9 he's got an ERA well below 4 because he's stranded 85.5% of base runners and has gotten lucky with a .215 BABIP. His ERA should be closer to 5. On the flip side Jarrod Parker keeps getting better. He had a 7.36 ERA in April, 3.62 in May and followed it up with a 1.91 ERA in June so far. I think he keeps it going as the Mariners have a .537 OPS against him in 85 AB.

Angels -112 4* MLB POD I see a ton of value here today in the Angels bouncing back from a loss last night. After all they are 41-20 in their last 61 home games in inter league play while the Pirates are 13-53 in their last 66 inter league road games, combining for a 94-33 trend which is a 74% winning percentage and we get them at -112. Angels are also scoring 5.5 runs per 9 over their last 10 games while the Pirates are at just 3.87 with a 4.25 ERA out of their bullpen. They'll start Francisco Liriano who continues to pitch well, but I don't see the light at the end of the tunnel for Liriano. Liriano on just 4 days rest now hast to go on the road out west and face an AL team in a ballpark he has a 7.06 ERA in 4 career starts. Not to mention Liriano has a 1.33 WHIP on the road which certainly does not go with a 2.70 ERA on the road. My opinion he's been lucky at times and his control was good early in the season but 10 BB's over his last 3 starts won't get the job done tonight. The Angels are 5-0 following a loss in their last 5 home games and are 42-19 in their last 16 inter league games vs. a LH starter. They will send Jerome Williams to the mound who has a 2.63 ERA on the year at home between his 4 starts and 10 overall games covering 37.2 IP where opponents have just a .190 average. He mixes 4 pitches well and the Pirates who are 20th in OPS vs. RHP and 21st on the road should have a hard time considering they have never faced him.

Dbacks +106 3* MLB POD
I see a ton of value on the Dbacks here tonight as under dogs at home with Wade Miley on the hill. First of all Johny Cueto's numbers are not as good as they seem. He's gotten extremely lucky in a small sample size since he's been up and down with injuries. He's got a 86.8 LOB% and a .189 BABIP along with a 2.70 BB/9 which is not that impressive. In addition the Diamondbacks hitters have a .835 OPS against him and Prada and Parra are a comibned 8-21 with 2 HR and 7 RBI. The Diamondbacks are actually 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

Miley has struggled in his last two starts at home, but he comes into this game with an extra day of rest. The Reds are hitting just .189 and scoring 1.21 runs per 9 over their last 10 vs. LHP and just 3.04 on the road this year. With the Reds struggling against LHP along with the Dbacks success against Cueto making just his 2nd start in the month of June I am think the Dbacks can pull this win off in their own building.

Spurs +6 4.4* NBA POD; Spurs +230 2* bonus; Spurs/Heat U189 2.2* bonus We got robbed in game 6 on the total with it going to OT as we covered the under in regulation. Tonight I expect the defenses to be even more intense in this game. The Spurs really have dominated this series at times or at least have been in control the entire way. I don't see a blow out here in Game 7 and the Spurs are a close team with a ton of veteran leadership that went 23-5 after a loss this season, 17-11 ATS. This series has been up and down and once again everyone is counting the Spurs out. The coaching advantage is still huge as Greg Popavich had his team rally together after the game instead of head to their rooms in disgust after blowing a 10 point 4th quarter lead. The fact of the matter is the Heat laid it all on the line and should have lost. They got so lucky with offensive rebounds in the closing minutes and clutch three pointer by Ray Allen. The Spurs are more motivated in my opinion to take this game because it really could be their last time around. I think they will fuel on being the first team in 35 years to win a game 7 on the road.

Tigers -114 3* MLB POD The Red Sox may have the best record in the AL, but the Tigers have the most talent and the most wins at home. Lackey has shown signs in his last two starts of unraveling and this making his 3rd start on just 4 days rest facing a solid offense like the Tigers is the start I bet he does. 3-6 hitters in the line up are 26-71 against him. In 141 AB he's allowed an OPS of .842 to Tigers hitters. Tigers are scoring over 6 runs at home while the Red Sox are struggling vs. LHP especialy on the road just 3.55 runs per 9 and 1.64 over their last 10 games. The Tigers will send Jose Alvarez to the mound who was impressive in his first start against the Indians who are ranked 3rd in the league in OPS vs. LHP and now he faces the Sox who are 15th. IN the minors Alvarez has shown he's a 4 pitch pitcher with good control. He's got 9.33 K/9 and just 1.78 BB/9. He should be able to duplicate that early on in the majors until teams start to figure him out. Tigers are 37-14 in their last 51 home vs. RH starter.

[b]Heat/Spurs U192 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I like the the under in this game after some high scoring affairs in San Antonio. Whenever the Heat have won they have won with their defense and I think that is where they buckle down in tonight's game as they force a game 7. I think you will see less of the Heat's small ball philosophy which has not worked which should slow down the game and get Tiago Splitter more playing time for the Spurs too. The total has gone under 16 of the Spurs last 21 road games where they just are not the same offensively. They scored 92 and 84 in Miami in games 1 and 2 and I expect a lower amount. Look for the Heat to keep them in the 70's or low 80's and San Antonio will do all they can to avoid a game 7. Both games in the series in Miami went under and I think this game will too.

Braves -180 4* MLB POD RL +116 1* BONUS
Braves won't lose two in a row to the lowly Mets especially at home where they are 49-18 in their last 67. It's a high price to pay, but there is some value because the media hype is on Zack Wheeler who has not been that great in the minors. He's got nearly 4 BB/9 which should get him in trouble with the Braves who are 5th in the league in walks. Meanwhile Paul Maholm has not given up an earned run in 3 straight starts against the Mets and has a 1.64 ERA at home this year.. Mets just scoring 1.93 runs per 9 with a .156 average vs. LHP over their last 10 games and have a clear disadvantage from the bullpen where they post a 5.55 ERA on the road compared with the Braves 1.83 ERA at home.

Astros -104 3* MLB POD
I like the Astros to complete the 4 game sweep they have been winning a lot lately something the White Sox can not claim. White Sox have dropped 14 of 18 and have scored 4 runs or less in 14 of those games. Bud Norris takest he hill where he has a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts and a 2.28 ERA at home. He'll face a White Sox team that is 17-39 in their last 56 games as a road dog and are scoring just 3.43 runs per 9 vs. RHP and among the worst in OPS vs. RHP. Meanwhile the Astros for whatever reason have beat up on LHP at home.

White Sox send Jose Quintana to the mound and he'll facet he Astros who are scoring 5.78 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home. Look for that success to continue again tonight as the Astros stay hot and the White Sox move to 12-25 on the road.

Braves -156 3.5* MLB POD I love the Braves in this spot as they are 38-14 in their last 52 home games vs. RH starter. They'll face Tim Lincecum who has a 5.40 ERA on the road this year. The biggest advantage the Braves have in this game is Tim Lincecum is on 4 days rest. Over his last 18 starts on 4 days rest dating back to last season he has just 5 quality starts and posts a 6.30 ERA. Lincecum is clearly not the same as he was when he was a perenial Cy Young winner and we know that and he's fade material on the road where the Braves are scoring 1 more run per 9 vs. RHP than the Giants on the road, and their bullpen is nearly 2 runs better than the Giants as well. Atlanta will have to be patient they are 5th overall in BB's and Lincecum has struggled to go deep into games because of his control issues as he' walking 4 guys per 9 and that's without facing top 10 teams in BB's as he's got just 3 starts vs. teams in the top 10. The Giants line up meanwhile is beat up too and that should bee good for TEheran who has a 2.97 ERA at home this year as he won't have to face Pagan, Sandoval and possibly Scutaro.. Giants are just 3-9 in their last 12 as a road dog and after tonight they should be 3-10.

[b]Spurs +1.5 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I like the Spurs in this game as everyone is over reacting once again to the previous game. We saw it after the Heat won in convincing fashion in game 3, then after game 4 with the Spurs blowing out the Heat, and again now everyone thinks the Heat will win the series because they looked so good in game 4. There was a lot of sloppy play by the Spurs in game 4 that should be cleaned up tonight in my opinion. 2 days off will leave the Spurs fresh for this game and once again the coaching edge and preparation on the Spurs side gives them a tremendous edge. The Spurs are also 22-5 on the season following a loss and 17-1 following a loss at home. That only loss at home after a loss came at the end of the season when the Spurs were resting up. This team has not lost more than 2 games in a row at home all season and even if the Heat are the best team I don't see Tim Duncan and his veteran led Spurs going down that easy. Spurs should take this game sending it back to Miami where they hope to get one win. The Heat are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win while the Spurs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 on 2 days rest, and 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a SU loss of 10+ points

Yankees +105 3* MLB POD
The Yankees offense has been abysmal lately, but their pitching continues to be a strength especially the bullpen (2.63 ERA road, 1.99 Last 10 games). Today they will send David Phelps to the mound who has been great on the year he's got a 1.16 WHIP on the road with a 3.66 ERA. He's getting 9.1 K/9, but walking 3.9 guys. He should be helped by the fact that the Angels are 27th swinging at 32.7% of pitches outside the zone. He's never made a start against the Angels but has faced them in 20 AB and only allowed 1 hit to Erik Aybar.

On the other side we have Tommy Hanson who continues to try to get back to his quality pitching days with the Braves. He's got a 1.70 WHIP at home and a 5.28 xFIP. His ERA could be worse, but he's got a 82.3 LOB%. He's only getting 23.8% outside the zone swings which is a big red flag. I see the Yankees offense thriving a bit and coming out of their slump tonight. I looked up their games against starters who struggle to get guys to swing at stuff outside the zone and they have won 90% of those games and put up some big runs. Yankees are smart they should be patient and work themselves into good counts and break out of their 4 game losing streak.

WSH/CLE U8 -120 3* Play
This spread opened up at -129 and has gone down to -120 with Zimmermann on the mound for the Nationals who has been arguably the best pitcher in baseball with a 2.00 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. He faces a Indians team that's struggling to score runs just 3.68 runs per 9 over their last 10. They will also face Scott Kazmir? Why aren't they -150 or better?

Actually watching a few of Kazmir's starts I saw much better velocity and control over his pitches and even though he's off to an unlucky start with an ERA over 5 I expect good things from him. He has a 3.96 xFIP and faces a Nationals team that is scoring just 3.14 runs per 9 vs. LHP with a .200 average. He's backed by the Indians bullpen that has a 1.82 ERA over their last 10 games. I expect a low scoring game the Nationals are under the total 15-5-2 in their last 22 interleague games vs. LH starter. The Indians are 10-4 on the under in their last 14 interleague games as an under dog.

Brewers +135 3* MLB POD
We are getting good value here with the Brewers with Kyle Lohse on the hill who is coming off a great starts looking like his old self going 8 innings allowing just 1 ER against the Phillies. Lohse has great numbers against the Reds too as they have managed just a .637 OPS in 123 AB against himwhile he's posted a 1.69 ERA in his last 6 starts against them.

Brewers offense has been hot lately and it's the reasonw hy they have won 5 of 6. They will face Bronson Arroyo who they have decent numbers against including 13 HR in 297 AB. He's got a 4.10 ERA in his last 9 starts against them and the fact that he's making a night start is not good he's always posted an ERA's in the 4's during night starts. The Brewers bats have been working and there is a lot of value with Lohse on the mound so I'm going with the Brewers.

Heat +1 4.4* NBA POD Lets not over react here the Spurs hit an NBA Finals record 16 three pointers in game 3 in their blowout win. I expect the Heat to turn that around tonight and there is no way the Spurs can will shoot that way again tonight. Expect the Heat to come out and win with defense tonight by defending the perimeter. I also expect Lebron James to be more aggressive. The media is flipping out on this game and it appears like the Heat have no shot, but remember this team has won 11 in a row following a loss and have not lost 2 in a row since January. After game 2 we thought the Spurs were done, so it's hard to imagine that this game won't be much different. The Heat are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 revenging a loss to a team while the Spurs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points in their previous game. The Heat absolutely need this game and I don't see the best player in the game losing this game.

[b]Rays -120 3* MLB POD[/b]
Rays kept hitting on Tuesday and I don't see how they won't keep hitting on Wednesday. Alfredo Aceves takes the mound for the Red Sox and has walked 5.47 runners per 9 innings and has allowed 25% HR/FB and 2.95 per 9 innings. The Rays have 8 HR in the last two games and are among the most patient teams in the league. Aceves does not get anyone to swing at his pitches outside the zone and I don't see how that will change tonight against the Rays who are #1 in the lowest outside the zone swing %. They area lso ranked top 10 vs all 4 of his pitches. Meanwhile Chris Archer who does not have electrifying stuff by any means has a 2.84 ERA in 3 career home starts and faces a Red Sox team that's ranked 17th and 19th vs. the slider and change up, pitches Archer will throw enough. Boston can hit, but they have not been good against good competition going just 19-40 in their last 59 vs. a winning team and are 17-38 in their last 55 as an under dog. Rays should have an advantage in the bullpen as well as they have posted a 2.31 ERA over their last 10 games while Boston is at 4.41 and have worked hard to get there with Boston's starters unable to go deep in this series. This series has been like a playoff atmosphere and I"ll take the home team.

[b]Spurs -2 -107 4.5* NBA POD[/b]
The Spurs are 41-7 at home this season and are outscoring opponents by double digits. The Heat dominated game 2, but we have seen time and time again where opponents have made adjustments after getting beat big by the Heat. Once again Eric Spoelstra will be out coached and the Spurs will make the right adjustments to win at home. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. The Spurs are a determined bunch who still are the fresher team because they swept the Grizzlies and I think their defensive adjustments and the ability of Leonard to rebound will be the overall difference in this one. I don't expect the Heat to get any wide open three's like they did in game 2 that allowed them to pull away late in the game.

Pirates -123 3* MLB POD Gerrit Cole makes his debut against a banged up Giants team that is scoring just 2.61 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games combined and are now without Pagan and Sandoval which will continue to hurt them especially against an elite pitching staff like the Pirates who have the 3rd best bullpen and post a 2.01 ERA at home. Gerrit Cole has 183 K's in 200 innings in the minors and has held opponents to a .190 average this year. He's facing the Giants at the right time being at home and against a banged up line up. Meanwhile the Pirates are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a RH starter and Tim Lincecum has been awful posting a 5.67 ERA ont he road and only a 4.45 ERA in 5 career starts against the Pirates. The Giants are now 7-15 in his last 22 starts vs. a winning team.

[b]Rays -139 4* MLB POD[/b]
This is an interesting match up, but I will go with the home team with the better pitcher every time. The Red Sox have been red hot with the bats but I think now they go on the road and will be slowed down by Tampa who is 11-1 at home against teams with a winning road record better than .600. They are also 17-5 in Alex Cobb's last 22 overall starts who has a 1.91 ERA at home this year and a 2.01 ERA at night along with a 2.77 ERA in 2 starts vs. the Red Sox.

Red Sox hitters have a .198 average and a .591 OPS vs. Cobb who is quietly in the Cy Young race and has really stepped up big in David Price's absence. Boston is just 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. winning team so their winning road record on the year is a little deceiving. Boston will start John Lackey who has 4 quality starts in a row, but I think he will falter here as he has never had great success against the Rays or on turf for that matter. He's got an ERA over his last 10 starts on turf and he's allowed 28 ER in just 30 innings over his last 6 at Tampa. Lackey has been getting by with a 33% oustide the zone swing %, but the Rays are #1 in plate discipline only swinging at 25.8% of their pitches outside the zone. This should get them in good counts and if it does Lackey has not pitched well against these hitters as they have a 152 career at bats with a .296 average and a .842 OPS. The Rays are 7th in OPS at home and are averaging 5.5 runs per game while going 18-6 in their last 24 vs. a RH starter.

Cardinals -105 4* MLB POD
The Cardinals have not lost a series since April and that's because they have been great on the road winning 20 of their last 27 games and they are also great at turning a loss into a win the next day as they are 35-16 in their last 51 games following a loss. They have 4 hitters that are riding 9+ game hit streaks and have dominating RHP which they will face on Sunday night in Bronson Arroyo who is 8-15 with a mediocre 4.54 ERA in 35 games vs. the Cardinals over his career. The Cardinals continue to have hot bats hitting .313 and scoring 6.03 runs per 9 over their last 10 games vs. RHP while the Reds have been struggling .228 and 2.83 runs per 9. Lance Lynn will get the nod and he's been great this year vs. the Reds only allowing 2 runs over 13 innings over 2 starts.

Heat -5.5 2.2* bonus, Heat/Spurs O187.5 4.4* NBA POD
The Heat have bounced back from losses better than anyone this year so I do think they will take this game, but it will be close in the first half. I think we are getting great value with the total as it was 190 in game 1 and it was looking like it was on pace to easily go over the way the game was going, but then both teams started missing shots in the 2nd half and the Spurs missed plenty of wide open threes. I don't expect that to happen here. Miami has been great offensively after losing their first game of a series scoring 115 and 114 in their last two series and the Spurs are good enough offensively that the Heat will let them do what they want this is a team that scored over 100 points on the road and have plenty of offensive options. I expect this to be very much like game 1's first half throughout as both teams play their best going up and down the court and the Heat can play some of their normal line ups that allow them to spread the court vs. the Spurs defense.

Giants +121 4* MLB POD
Cain has really struggled on the road this year, but it really has been more bad luck than anything else he has an ERA over 5 this year, but a WHIP of 1.21 which tells me he should be in the 3-4.00 ERA range. He's been really unlucky with a 62% LOB on the season, but the Diamondbacks are 27th in OPS with RISP and 2 outs and are batting just .190 in that spot so I think he can have a great game here tonight. It also helps that the predictive line up has a .213 average against him and he has a 2.84 ERA over his last 13 starts vs. the Dbacks. Cain also is June which is his strongest month over the last 3 seasons where he posts a 2.44 ERA.

On the flip side Patrick Corbin has started to come back down to earth with back to back subpar outings. Facing the Giants whoa re 50-26 in their last 76 games vs. a lh starter won't be easy. Corbin has been lucky with a .255 babip and a 84% lob percentage but the Giants over their last 10 games have a .338 average and are scoring 5.82 runs per 9 vs. LHP and have been among the leaders in clutch hitting all year especially on the road.

Spurs +5 4.4* NBA POD; U188.5
I really like the Spurs to win the series and if they are going to do so they must steal game 1. I really do not anticipate them to be too rusty, but I do anticipate the Heat to have a let down off a grueling 7 game series with the Pacers. The Spurs pose some of the same challenges the Pacers did in the conference finals only the Pacers are a bit stronger on the front line, but the Spurs still have Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter is 6'11 and 240 and should be a handful in this series. What the Spurs do have is better back court play and a true point guard in Tony Parker who can take over a game. We saw it all series against the Pacers that when the Pacers got output from their guards they won the game.

On the flip side the Spurs defensively match up wellas Kawhi Leonard is 6'7 and young and quick enough to at least tire Lebron James out and should offer a challenge much like the Pacers were able to do. Greg Popavich is a tremendous coach and he's got 9 days to prepare for this game. This is a veteran group and I don't see them coming out flat if anything I see the Heat who are not as hungry as the Spurs coming out in a let down spot. They have not played well in game 1's all post season and lost game 1 last year after beating the Celtics in a grueling 7 game series.

[b]Rockies -128 4* MLB POD[/b]
Rockies are on fire scoring 12 runs yesterday as Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki dominated. Now they come back home without rest which is great for them as it does not break their rhythm. They have hit Andrew Cashner hard in the past especially at home as Cashner has allowed 8 runs and 3 HR in just 4 innings of work in relief. His last start vs. the Rockies came at home where he allowed 6 ER on 10 hits in just 3.2 innings. The Rockies are 3rd in OPS vs. RHP and are even more dangerous at home while the Padres are ranked 21st and will face a pitcher they have struggled against big time.

Jhoulys Chacin has a 2.21 ERA against the Padres in 6 career starts 5 of which came at Coors Field. He is only allowing 3.6% HR/FB which makes him a dangerous pitcher at home meanwhile Cashner is 12.5%. Both pitchers throw a fast ball, slider and change up and the Rockies are ranked on average 7th combined against those three pitches while the Padres are ranked 18th. The Rockies also have pitched well out of the bullpen with a 2.54 ERA at home while the Padres could struggle here and have a bullpen ERA over 4 on the road. The Padres have lost 18 of their last 26 road games as an under dog +110 to +150

[b]Yankees -138 3* MLB POD[/b]
I like the Yankees in this spot as the Indians have started to cool off offensively especially against RHP batting just .246 and scoring 3.96 runs per 9 vs. RHP ont he road this year. They will face David Phelps who had a nice start allowing 1 ER in Cleveland earlier this year and won't have to face Asdrubal Cabrera who headed to the DL yesterday. The Yankees bats have been cold, but yesterday back at home they woke up with Teixera leading the charge with a grand slam. I expect Phelps to pitch well after all he is striking out nearly 9 per nine innings and has a low 8% HR/FB ratio which is good for Yankee Stadium. Indians have also relied on the home run quite a bit so this is a bad match up for them.

On the other side we have Scott Kazmir who pitched a gem his last time out, but I'm still not sold on Kazmir's resurgence on the road. Now that the Yankees have a couple of guys back in the line up with power Youkilis and Teixera I see them going on a nice run here. Either way I don't see Kazmir going deep into the game and the Indians bullpen has struggled posting a 10.61 ERA over their last 10 games. Indians are just 16-38 in their last 54 games at Yankee Stadium while the Yankees are 42-19 in their last 61 home games vs. a LH starter.

Pacers +7 5.5* NBA POD; Pacers +305 1*
I have watched all 6 games in this series and I have been right in 5 of the 6 games on POD's. It is obvious the Heat are not the same team right now because of a few reasons. #1 Wade is clearly not 100%, and #2 match up issues. I said from the beginning this would be a tough match up for the Heat because of the Heat's weakness inside and how Indiana has the strongest front line in the NBA and they have clearly showed that in this series. Their rebound advantage has been remarkable and they have been in all three of the games in Miami. The one game we had the Heat -7.5 was in game 5 and I will even admit we were extremely lucky when George Hill got into foul trouble because up until then the Pacers controlled that game as they did in game 1 and game 2.

Once again with everyone doubting the Pacers I will back them this is a team with a huge chip on their shoulder. If you disagree just youtube Roy Hibbert's response on defensive player of the year comment by the press. This entire team knows they are not getting respect and they would love nothing more than to beat Miami in their own house tonight. I was there for game 7 against the Celtics a year ago when the Heat should have ran away with the game, but the Celtics hung tough for all 4 quarters and I expect the Pacers to do so as well controlling the game like they have controlled this series.

Indians -119 3.5* MLB POD I really like the Indians here today not only are they 37-18 in their last 55 vs. the Rays at home, but they are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a RH starter who they'll face in Jeremy Hellickson. Hellickson has struggled lately with just 1 quality start in his last 7 appearances while he has posted an overall 5.59 ERA on the road. Hellickson will primarily throw a fastball and change up, but he'll face an Indians teamt hat's ranked 4th vs. the FB and 1st vs. the CH. The Indians are also 2nd in the league in OPS during day games while the Rays are ranked 29th. The Rays will run into Zach McCallister who has been very consistent for the Indians. Rays have gone into a little bit of a slump hitting .195 and scoring 2.89 runs per 9 in their last 5 games. They also are -.72 runs per 9 overall on the road compared with the Indians at home. McCallister has a 2.16 ERA in home games this year with a 2.84 ERA during day starts. He should have the advantage as the Rays hitters have just 45 AB wtih a .561 OPS and Longoria, the Rays most dangerous hitter is in a major slump going 6-39. Cleveland is the more clutch team right now and has won 16 of their last 21 home games and lead the majors in average with 2 outs and runners in scoring position.

Cubs -137 4* MLB POD
The Cubs have quietly been hitting the ball at home all season ranking 3rd in OPS for a .822 OPS at home. They have been clicking scoring 36 runs over their last 5 games while their bullpen has also come together. Cubs are scoring 5.57 runs per 9 vs. RHP at home this year while they will face Ian Kennedy who has struggled with a 4.85 ERA on the road this year and has a lifetime 6.94 ERA vs. the Cubs. Cubs hitters have a .884 OPS against Kennedy and should have a significant edge here with the Cubs throwing their ace out there.

Jeff Samardija has been spectacular this season with a 2.88 ERA at home he's only had one start vs. the Dbacks, but I think he comes out and throws another great game. Samardizja will mix 4 pitches with 70% of his pitches being fast ball and slider. The Dbacks according to fangraphs are ranked 28th vs. the slider and 13th vs. the fast ball. They do best when hitting change ups and curve balls which Samardijza will not throw. Kennedy on the other hand does not mix as much with 83% of his pitches being a fast ball change up and those are the two pitches the Cubs like the most ranked 10th and 11th in the league. I look for the Cubs success to continue once again tonight.

Pacers +3 4.4* NBA POD
I love the Pacers in game 6 here this has been a resilient group all season long and they should be in this game. If it was not for Lebron completely taking over the third quarter they could easily be up in the series as they led at the half on the road again. The Heat can not win with Lebron being the only viable scorer and it is clear the Pacers defense has taken the other Heat shooters out of the series. The Heat are actually playing to what the Pacers do and have gone away from their regular rotation for the most part with guys like Allen and Battier getting less minutes. Now the Pacers don't have Birdman for game 6 which will hurt their rebounding even more. I expect Haslem to play a key role, but just like in game 4 the Pacers did not let Haslem hurt them after they killed them in game 3. The Pacers are also 27-12 after a loss and 18-2 at home. If the loss was between 10-19 points which it was they were 13-1 this year.

Heat -7.5 3.3* NBA POD/ Heat 1H -4 2.2* bonus
We saw how the Heat responded in game 3 after a loss and a chance at losing their grip on the series. Now back at home where they have not come close to playing their best game against the Pacers I expect them to come out with a lot of intensity and win and cover the spread. I really expect the Heat's defense to play extremely well while Lebron and his supporting cast should take the game over in the 4th to cover the spread and win by double digits sending it back to Indiana for Saturday.

Pacers +3.5 4.4* NBA POD Sportsinteraction
I am not backing off the Pacers now. The Heat made a clear strategy change in game 3 to get home court back. They put Lebron in the post and they ran the court every chance they got. Expect Indiana to have a response for this whether they double team Lebron in the post or come out in a zone they should be able to limit the Heat shooting over 60% again. After all this Pacers team was among the best in FG% defense. Expect this defense to rebound in a big way and for their offense to continue to produce as they did in game 3. This to me is just far too many points and I'll gladly take it. Remember the Pacers have a huge advantage on the boards and their front line is a match up advantage.

GRIZZLIES -143 5.5* NBA POD

ANGELS -109 4* MLB POD

Pacers +1.5 4.4* NBA POD I backed the Pacers in game 1 and 2 and will continue doing so in game 3. I think the Pacers have a real chance at upsetting the Heat as they seem to have the main ingredients to pull off the upset because their strengths are also the Heat's weaknesses. Now Paul George is continuing to solidify himself as a star in this league that even saw Lebron James take notice in game 2. The Pacers are 6-0 SU and ATS at home in the playoffs this year and they have are 2-0 against the Heat during the regular season here at home and I expect them to win yet again.

[b]Brewers -119 4* MLB POD[/b]
Wandy Rodriguez is on one day less of rest and has an ERA of 6.11 ERA on the road this year he also has a 5.06 ERA in his last 5 starts at Miller Park while Yovani Gallardo is 10-3 with a 2.52 ERA in his career vs. the Pirates.

Several of the Brewers hitters have big numbers vs. Rodriguez while Gomez and Braun have been leading the majors in avg vs. LHP Gomez has a .362 average and a 1.083 OPS vs. LHP while Braun has a .388 average and an OPS well over 1.000 too. Braun joins Aoki, Ramirez and Weeks who are a combined .357 average and 8 HR in 157 AB. Milwaukee is also backed by a bullpen that has produced a 1.69 ERA over their last 10 games and they have dominated the Pirates at home going 45-9 since the start of the 2007 season.

Grizzlies -5 3.3* NBA POD The big question is after 3 days off who has the advantage? Some will say the Spurs and others the Grizzlies who even though are the younger team came off a heart breaking loss in OT after they made a huge come back. Let's be honest the Spurs have dominated 7 Quarters in this series. What that means is the Grizzlies have a lot to look at and change and I believe they will have the advantage of the time off and extra preparation. Trends agree, going back to 1991 home teams in a game 3 after 3 days off are 40-23 SU and 36-27 ATS and if that team is down 2-0 they have gone 20-10 and 18-12 ATS. I really like how the Grizzlies played in the 2nd half and the refs seem to favor the home teams while the Grizzlies took care of business all year going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Tony Parker has a calf issue but will play, but there is no reason to really stretch him when they are up 2-0. Expect that once the Grizzlies have this game in hand in the 4th for the Spurs to really take the foot off the pedal and look toward game 3. I still think we have a great series ahead.

[b]Giants -123 4* MLB POD[/b]
The Giants have lost 4 straight to the Rockies which is weird since they are 20-6 in their last 26 home games against them. The Rockies will have their hands full Saturday afternoon with Barry Zito as they are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. LH starters and on the road they are scoring just 2.80 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Zito meanwhile has dominated the Rockies for many years at home going 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA in 12 career home starts against. This year has been no different as he pitched a 7 inning shutout and in 5 home games this year he has a 0.55 ERA and a 1.60 ERA during day games this year.. Zito has dominated both Todd Helton and Troy Tulowitzki.

Giants offense will look to rebound after being shut out at home for the first time all year at home last night. Juan Nicasio was just getting ready to be heading to the minors when he had a decent start against the Dodgers at home, but Nicasio has a career ERA over 5 during day starts and road starts. The Giants are scoring 4.58 runs per 9 vs. RHP and they are backed by the better bullpen as well. Nicasio is 0-2 in two career starts in San Francisco with a WHIP nearly at 2 and a 5.73 ERA. Look for the Giants to rebound here today from last night's loss and get a big win.

Pacers +7.5 -105 3.5* NBA POD
I think we still have value in Game 2 with the Pacers. As I mentioned in my analysis in game 1 the Pacers match up extremely well with the Heat. They have defenders in George and Stephenson who can match up pretty well with the Heat's top two scorers. Indiana's biggest strength is Miami's biggest weakness - rebounding, and front line play and when you have match up advantages like the Pacers do 7.5 points seems like an awful lot.

I also believe the Pacers will come out in this game with everything they got in order to get this series back to Indiana with the series tied. This has been a resilient group all year and could have easily won this game on Wednesday. The Pacers were never down by more than 5 throughout the entire game and they still did not play their best game defensively. I expect them to come back in game 2 with a better effort with another chance to come away with an outright win. The Pacers are 23-13 ATS in their last 36 following a loss and 18-7 ATS after a road loss. The Heat are 2-4 ATS in the playoffs at home this year.

Yankees -101 3* MLB POD
The Yankees have lost 13 of 16 in Tampa Bay, and because of that I think we are getting good line value considering the pitching advantage the Yankees will have during tonight's game. Phelps has been impressive over his last 3 starts with a combined 1.83 ERA against 3 solid hitting teams who rank 11th, 6th and 4th in OPS vs. RHP. He'll face the Rays who are 9th, but he's handled them pretty well as they have a .156 AVG and .469 OPS in 32 AB.

Roberto Hernandez on the other hand had been pitching well until Baltimore hit him hard last weekend. I see more of the same tonight with Curtis Granderson back and going going 3-3 in his last game and Cano hitting 3 HR over the last 7 days they are a combined 28-62 against Hernandez who will also have to get by plenty of lefties in the Yankees line up. That should be an issue because lefties have a .940 OPS off him this year. Hernandez biggest problem is giving up the home run as 25% of his fly ball have resulted in HR and that comes out to nearly 2 per 9 innings on the year. It just so happens that the Yankees continue to be a team relying on HR's. They lost their last two games facing the Orioles starters who both had HR/FB ratios at 11%. I expect the HR to fly again tonight along with the Yankees complete game effort as they also have a major advantage in the bullpen and even Fernando Rodney has 4 blown saves on the year for the leagues 29th ranked bullpen.

Pacers +8 4.4* NBA POD; Pacers +4.5 1H 2.2* bonus The Heat have had an easy road playing the only team in this years playoffs with a losing record in the Bucks and then facing the banged up Chicago Bulls. In that same situation they had a long lay off and came out in Game 1 against the Bulls very rusty. I expect the same thing and the Pacers are very much under valued here. First of all they have all of the ingredients of a team that gives the Heat trouble. They have the biggest front line in the NBA in HIbbert, George and West and it's the reason they are #1 in rebound margin while the Heat are last. They also have very under rated defenders who can guard Lebron and Wade in Stephenson and George. I really like the value we are getting here with the Pacers and I think they could steal game 1 or game 2. The Heat have also been a 2nd half team in many games this year and I expect the Pacers to play well early. The 3 refs for tonight's game seem to also favor the road dogs as home favorites 5-9.5 points on the season are a combined 28-47 ATS. Pacers should be in this game because of their defense and their offense continues to improve as they are able to spread it out.

Diamondbacks -155 4* MLB POD
Even at this price I see us getting value. Aaron Miley comes off a rough start, but it was vs. the Braves a solid hitting team ranked 8th in OPS vs. LHP. Miley will face a Marlins team that's dreadful ranked 29th vs. LHP and at home they are hitting .165 scoring 1.17 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Miley has 2 career starts vs. the Marlins both coming last year he went 14.1 IP gave up 8 base runners total and no earned runs. He has a 1.78 ERA during 7 career day starts and he's on a full 5 days rest after only throwing 86 pitches. He's also backed by a bullpen that has a 2.82 ERA on the road and is super fresh only throwing 1 inning over the last 3 days combined. Miami is 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a LH starter while the Diamondbacks are 20-6 in MIleys last 26 vs. a losing team.

The Marlins will send a veteran to the mound in Ricky Nolasco but in his last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks he's given up 19 ER in 21 innings while allowing 39 guys to reach base which is nearly 2 per inning. Montero, Prado and Ross are a combined 22-58 against Nolasco so plenty of success as the Diamondbacks are 9th with a .756 OPS vs. RHP and are scoring over 5 runs per 9 innings on the road vs. RHP. Arizona is also 7-2 during day games this year while Miami is 2-11 ranking 22nd with a 4.30 ERA

Knicks +5.5 4.4* NBA POD A lot has changed since game 5 in Indiana, but the spread has not. The Pacers are due to lose their first game at home and I think it happens tonight. The Knicks were in striking distance for much of the game in Indiana despite shooting 35% and getting out rebounded by 18. A lot of those rebounds were long rebounds that were just unlucky. As Reggie Miller said many times during the broadcast the offensive rebound is the Pacers best offense. The Knicks will have a game plan to avoid that situation and if they can do it they should win this game. What else is different? Well Pablo Prigioni and Chris Copeland saw significant more playing time. 25 minutes more than in game 4 combined. That's a different ball game for the Knicks as Copeland can stroke the 3 and Prigioni can distribute and make an occasional 3. JR Smiths hot the ball 10 less times and overall the Knicks played better defense without double teaming as much. I expect the same things here tonight and the Pacers are also likely without their PG George Hill (concussion) which is a huge loss. Stating all of that I don't see how the spread is the same as it was for Game 4 so I think we get value on the side of the Knicks.

Braves -160 3.5* MLB POD Atlanta before last night's rally against the Dodgers at home had played 26 of 34 on the road. They had a day off before this series started and it seemed to be worth it as they rallied to win 8-5. The Braves will send Kris Medlen to the mound who has not been as nearly as dominating this year, but he's 2-0 in 6 games vs. the Dodgers with a 2.30 ERA and he has a 2.84 ERA at home. He goes up against a Dodgers team that is 29th in OPS vs. RHP while the Braves will face a LHP where they are ranked 6th in OPS with a .782. Capuano has had a lot of success in the past vs. the Braves, but he still does not seem to be in the groove of things this year and I also think he'll have a hard time now having to face Justin Upton int his line up who is 5-14 off him and hit a grand slam on Friday night. The Braves are scoring 6.87 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home this year where they have won 39 of their last 56 games. Braves are scoring 1.5 more runs on the season vs. LHP than the Dodgers are vs. RHP and their bullpen is nearly 2 runs better. Those stats are only more in favor of the Braves when we look at home and away splits as the Braves have a 2.40 ERA from their bullpen compared to the Dodgers 5.21. Last but not least Jerry Lane is behind the plate and the home team has won 7 of his 8 behind the plate this year

Orioles -115 3* MLB POD
We took yesterday off in MLB after losing 2 consecutive days with the Orioles after a blown save and an 8-4 loss. However, the Orioles also had the day off and they come into this game 23-7 in their last 30 games following a day off. They are also still 36-15 in their last 51 following a loss and 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with the Rays. I think overall they have the total pitching advantage.

The Orioles have the 4th best bullpen ERA while the Rays are 27th and have the 25th worse ERA on the road this year. Jeremy Hellickson has pitched well at Camden Yards in the past, but Jones and Davis have hit him hard going 18-49 with 4HR. The long ball has fueled this Orioles team and Hellickson has struggled giving them up especially against LHB who he's given up 8 HR to as they have a .918 OPS against him. The Orioles line up will feature 5 lefties. While the Rays line up features 6 lefties.

Jason Hammell is actually pitching better vs. LHB than RHB which is rare considering he is a RHP. The same case was true last year as lefties had a .586 OPS against him compared to RHB with a .692. He'll benefit in this match up and he's also on an extra day of rest. Tampa is 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a RH starter and have had more success vs. lefties this season. Hammel has held Longoria to 0 hits in 4 AB.

Warriors +2 3.3* NBA POD
The Warriors had not lost 2 times in a row at home all season and it nearly happened in game 4, but they escaped in OT. That tells me how resilient this team is and they are 26-13 ATS on the season following a SU loss, 14-3 ATS in their last 17. I think there is value in this line considering the Warriors were 3 point favorites earlier in the series at home. Curry and Thompson had just 13 points combined and Andrew Bogut had series lows of just 2 poitns and 6 rebounds. Expect much better play while the Spurs have been wildly inconsistent shooting wise in this series, L4 they have shot 36%, 39% 51% and 52% I think the Warriors defense steps up tonight again. The Warriors have also dominated the boards in this series +9.4 margin despite losing the margin by 2 in their last game. Point being they couldn't play any worse in San Antonio.. Now they host the Spurs to force a game 7 in Oakland where the crowd will be wild. The Spurs also have not played well on 1 days rest all year and have gone 5-13 ATS in their last 18.

Orioles -148 5.5* MLB POD
Baltimore lost a tough one last night as they blew a save in the 9th and lost 3-2 after holding a 2-1 lead. This has been a very resilient team under Buck Schowalter and I think we see that come full circle on Wednesday afternoon when they face the Padres again. The Orioles are 36-15 in their last 51 following a loss and they

BALTIMORE -140 4* MLB POD

knicks +5.5 4.4* NBA POD

Bulls +8 3.3* NBA POD; Bulls +320 1* bonus I think the value is on the Bulls clearly they have been underestimated and if you had the Bulls in game 3 you know you were moosed when this was a 1 possession game for most of the 4th quarter. I expect the Bulls who are 8 point under dogs against to be in this game again throughout the 4th quarter. The Bulls who have been running with the short line up have 2 days rest now and have been at home meanwhile Miami has been on the road still. I have said all along Miami does not match up well against the Bulls because the Bulls have post players in Noah and Boozer who can dominate the boards and score. That's really where the Bulls strengths lie and now they continue to play physical. The Bulls have a lot of hungry leaders and I don't see them letting this game get out of hand. Nate Robinson has also been extremely impressive with his passing skills and timely shooting. Though he was just 1-7 from three in the last game I expect that to change enough to get the Bulls the win. Chicago is 13-4 ATS off a home loss this year and 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more games.

Warriors +2.5 4.4* NBA POD; Spurs/Warriors Over 197 2.2* bonus
I am going against the line movement today I think there has been significant line movement to find value in these lines right now. The total has been set 201-205 all series long and though I've played the under I have been nervous at times because both teams like to shoot early in the shot clock. Now that the total is at 197 and both teams are on shorter rest I think the defenses will suffer.

I like the Warriors because they hung in there last game despite the Spurs having there best shooting % game and the Warriors having their worst shooting % performance. At one point they were down 1 late in the 4th quarter and now I see nearly a 6 point swing in the spread because of 1 game? Steph Curry will play and will have the same type of impact so I'm not worried about that. The Warriors win with defense and they haven't lost 2 in a row at home all season long and I don't expect it to happen now. The Spurs will suffer form the energy they expended in the last game. They are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 on 1 days rest and just 2-8 ATS after scoring 100+ points in their last 10 while the Warriors are 13-3 ATS following a SU loss and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after their opponent scored 100+ in previous game. Take the Warriors and the over here today.

Twins +100 4.5* MLB POD
Scott Diamond's only bad start was his first start of the year against the Mets. He still posts a 3.03 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP to boot. Baltimore is 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a LH starter and they have only hit .220 and averaged 3 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the road this year. In comparison the Twins have hit .292 and have scored 7.60 runs per 9 vs. LHP this year with a strong bullpen at home 2.89 ERA. Baltimore too has had a strong bullpen this year, but they come into this game 3 having already pitched 10 innings in this series and I think that could be a huge factor on Sunday. Baltimore has also struggled more of late with the bats hitting just .143 and scoring just 1.83 runs per 9 over their last 10 games when facing LHP.

Diamond has been solid at home over his career of 17 starts he posted a 3.58 ERA and during day games 3.23 ERA before this year in 14 starts. Diamond is having an excellent year as a ground ball pitcher he's only allowing 0.61 HR/9 which is bad news for the Orioles who rely on the HR ball quite a bit to get their runs. Wei Yen Chen's numbers are down this year his K/9 are down to 5.10 and his walks are at 2.55 and it's mainly due to the fact that he's not getting hitters to chase outside the zone as his O-swing% is down to 26.4% from 31.9 a year ago. That's a major difference and the Twins are 8th in BB's and 9th in plate discipline. To put things in perspective Chen recently faced the Mariners who have struggled vs. LHP and are 7th in plate discipline and they were able to get to him early. Baltimore is also 21st in ERA during day games at 4.31 while the Twins who are 10-5 during day games have the 4th best ERA at 2.98.

Yankees +130 4* MLB POD
I can not pass out on this value we have today with the Yankees with Andy Pettitte on the mound. Not only is he on an extra day of rest where the Yankees are 44-21 in his last 65 on 5 days rest, but they are 70-28 in the last 98 meetings with the Royals. Pettitte has had a very tough schedule of starts facing 34 teams in the top 10 in OPS vs. LHP. Today he faces #11 which does not get much easier, but he's had a history of success against the Royals and at Kaufman Stadium where he posts a 2.47 ERA going back to the 2000 season. Overall he's 14-3 in 22 career starts vs. the Royals with 3.36 ERA and the Yankees have won 11 of his last 12 starts against them. The Royals over their last 5 games are only scoring 2.95 runs per 9 vs. LHP.

The Royals send James Shields to the mound who has pitched like the ace they thought they acquired. However, he's done so against weak competition. Despite facing 2 teams in the top 5 in OPS vs. RHP he's faced 5 in the bottom 15. The Yankees are 2nd with a .815 OPS vs. RHP and have hit even better on the road scoring 6.17 runs per 9 vs. RHP this season. Shields started 6 times vs. the Yankees last year posting a 6.03 ERA and despite the Yankees missing a lot of their great hitters they are still putting up great numbers vs. RHP. There are a few guys in this line up that have good numbers vs. Shields who is way over due for a poor start. Gardner is 9-31, while Cano has huge numbers going 31-75 with a .413 average. The Yankees will be well prepared because they know Shields pretty well and given the fact that they are a big dog I like the value we are getting.

Grizzlies/Thunder U187.5 4.4* NBA POD
I really like the under and expect it to drop. A few books have it around 187.5 if you can grab it at 187 you are in great shape. I think we are getting good value with the under in this game today. The more these two play the more familiar they are and the more the defenses step up. Both teams know they need the defense to step up in order to win. The Thunder do not have as many scoring options since losing Westbrook, and the Grizzlies are a half court team and they should dictate the pace in this game. I do not see Michael Conley going off like he did in Game 2 and the Thunder have had 3 days to prepare a defensive scheme. The 3 days off also helps both teams really be ready for this game defensively where they know they have to win the game.

Both teams are ranked 2nd and 3rd in effecient FG% defense. When facing the other top 5 teams this season on the road the Thunder are under the total 5 out of the 6 games while the Grizzles are under the total 4 out of the 6 games at home. Making it a 9-3 under situation. 1 of the overs came in an OT game for the Grizzlies, and when these teams met in Memphis during the regular season the game went under the total despite going to an OT. The Thunder are under the total 12-4 this season when playing on revenge and they are also 9-4 on the under in their last 13 with 3 or more days of rest.

[b]Spurs +3 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
Everyone is jumping on the Warriors now, but I think the Spurs will use their veteran leadership to take back home court advantage on Friday night. Their defense has not lived up to expectations so far in this series and considering they are well rested playing just 3 games in the last 10 days I expect them to come with a full effort tonight. The Spurs also bounce back from losses pretty well including an 11-1 ATS record over the last 2 seasons after an upset loss as a home favorite. You also have to think the Warriors will be in a hang over spot here after winning in San Antonio for the first time in 30+ trips or since the Chris Mullin days which is pretty substantial. I don't expect Klay Thompson to shoot like he did in game 2 and the Spurs in back to back games have come out in the 2nd half with a defensive tenacity. Expect it to happen from the start. I would also like the under in this game, but the fact is both teams have decided to push the pace and take shots early in the shot clock.

Rays -169 5* MLB POD; Rays -.5 1st 5 Innings 2*, Rays RL +130 1* I really like the Rays in this spot today going up against the San Diego Padres and Edinson Volquez. Volquez has always been a pitcher who has struggled on the road and this year is no different he posts a 6.97 ERA in 4 road starts. We are getting a ton of value here because Mr. Volquez has a 2.33 ERA over his last three starts, but he faces his most challenging task here today. Why? Well I've studied Volquez the last few years and his biggest weakness is his control. He gets behind in counts and now he's not getting as many hitters to swing at things outside the zone which leads to good hitting counts especially on the road and he's getting hit hard. In fact when you take a look at his starts vs. top 15 teams in the league in BB's he's actually got a 8.05 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP. The Rays are 10th in BB's (1st in 2012), but what is even more impressive is there ability to get into good hitting counts. The Rays are 1st in outside the zone swing % at 23.8%. That's the least amount of swings at pitches outside the zone in the entire league. That's going to put them in great position tonight against Volquez. The Rays are also 3rd in OPS over the last 7 days and are sending a pretty good starter to the mound Friday night. Alex Cobb has a 2.74 ERA over his last 15 home starts for the Rays and his xFIP is at 3.22 which tells me he is pretty close to what his ERA is telling us for this season. Cobb has actually posted better numbers this year at home 1.17 ERA over 3 home starts and 2 of the 3 was against teams ranked in the top 5 in OPS vs. RHP (Yankees and Indians). The Padres are ranked 22nd so he gets his easiest start of the year at home tonight. The Rays are 13-4 in his last 17 starts and 40-19 in their last 59 games as a favorite -151 to -200. I know -169 is not a ton of value to be chasing, but I still feel under normal circumstances this game would be more like -200+.

Spurs/Warriors U205 5.5* NBA POD
Game 1 went into double OT and I think that has increased the total to 205 where it was 201 in game 1. 63% of the public actually still like the over yet you see the total dropping in some places. I think this is a great spot especially since the Spurs showed they can defend this team limiting them to 14 points in the 4th quarter. I think the Spurs will continue to want to turn this into a half court game and I don't see the Warriors shooting 51% again. I expect the Spurs to be up in the 2nd half and slow it down even more while playing excellent defense. The Spurs are 8-1 to the under in home games after scoring 110 points in their previous game. They are also 12-2 to the under at home when facing a team ranked in top 10 in efficient FG% defense and 205 is the highest total on the season in this situation which included two home games against the Warriors at home with both going under the total.

A'S +105 4* MLB POD
I think the public is spot on here with this one. I feel there is great value here fading Cleveland as they tallied just 1 run last night in a nice win which showed signs that their offense would be coming back to the norm and quick. They have been a team that has struggled vs. RHP anyway and they'll face A.J. Griffin who has been excellent on the road this year. The Indians are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. a RH starter and Griffin had two impressive outings throwing 15 innings allowing 1 ER 13 base runners in a pair of road wins vs. the Yankees and Angels. He's backed by a bullpen that has a 2.74 ERA on the road which is better than the Indians 3.16 at home.

Indians will throw Justin Masterson out there who will face an Oakland team that is averaging more than 5 runs per 9 vs. RHP on the road. Now that they have Cespedes back in the line up I think things will start to click for them again and they have dominated Masterson who got off to a fast start and has started to struggle like he has in years past. He's got a 10.36 ERA in 6 career starts with a 2.12 WHIP vs. the A's, who are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings and 17-5 in their last 22 overall with Griffin on the mound. I like the dog line here.

4* NBA POD Thunder -135
I think it will be hard for the Grizzlies to duplicate there performance from game #1. First of all the Thunder have found an answer for missing Russell Westbrook and that's Kevin Martin. People forget how good this team was on defense this year and it has held up since losing Westbrook. I definitely think the Thunder will win this game as the Grizzlies played there best game and still came up empty. Look for the Thunder to keep scoring and for the Grizzlies to struggle offensively here tonight.

Rockies -115 3* MLB POD
I like the Rockies to beat the Yankees who are 7-16 in their last 23 road games vs. a winning team. The Rockies will have a big advantage in the bullpen tonight and they never hesitate going to it as they have posted a 1.01 ERA over their last 10 games combined and a 2.60 at home this year while the Yankees have a 5.72 bullpen ERA on the road. Hiroki Kuroda has struggled in Colorado in the past and I see the Rockies who are scoring 5.38 runs per 9 vs. RHP at home this year getting to him early and getting to the Yankees bullpen as well. On the flip side the Rockies are 25-4 in Jorge De La Rosa

Under 8.5 +110 4* MLB POD
I think we are getting a ton of value here on the total which moved down from 9 total runs to 8.5. The reason is Vance Worley has struggled posting a 7.22 ERA on the season, but if you take out his 2 poor starts he is posting a 3.91 ERA. The Red Sox are in a little bit of a slump right now scoring just 7 runs in their last 4 games combined and Worley had a gem in 2011, his only start vs. the Red Sox 7 innings 1 ER. He's on an extra day of rest after throwing just 76 pitches. Meanwhile he's backed by one of the top bullpens as the Twins pen posts a 2.56 ERA overall and 2.93 ERA on the road.

The Red Sox will pitch their ace in Clay Bucholz who has a 1.17 ERA in 4 starts at home this year. That should continue on Monday facing the Twins who are 25th with a .681 OPS on the year vs. RHP. Bucholz has given up just 2 ER in three home starts in his career against the Twins and I expect another similar performance. The under is 33-16-4 in his last 53 starts following a quality start in his last start. While the Twins are 18-7-1 in favor of the under in their last 26 vs. a RH starter.

Brewers -115 4* MLB POD Brewers have lost three straight and will try to avoid the sweep on Sunday. I think they will get the job done against Jaime Garcia who has been one of the best pitchers at home over the course of his career (2.33 ERA last 3 years at home), but on the road he's been completely different posting a 4.46 ERA and he's actually struggled big time in Miller Park. Over his last four starts here he has gone just 19 innings allowed 18 ER with 35 base runners, which is nearly 2 per inning. The Brewers have hit lefties hard all season .289 average 5.79 runs per 9. At home they are even better .306 and 7.39 while in their last 10 games they have a .281 and 8.44 runs per 9 vs. LHP. With Aramis Ramirez back in the middle of the line up this team will continue to hit lefties especially at home. Marco Estrada on the other hand has had a 3.03 ERA at home over the last three years and I think we are getting good value with him. He's got 8.66 K/9 with 1.78 BB/9 this year with a 3.58 xFIP. He's pitched decently enough to win all 3 of his starts vs. the Cardinals going 6 innings in each game with a 4.00 ERA. The Brewers are 21-7 in their last 28 as a favorite -110 to -150 while the Cardinals are 5-16 in their last 21 road games with Garcia ont he mound facing a team with a losing record.

Grizzlies +3 4.4* NBA POD The Grizzlies are red hot after winning 4 straight over the Clippers and now they go up against a Thunder team that barely got by the Rockets. The Thunder were able to get by the Rockets without Rusell Westbrook because the Rockets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Now that the Thunder have to play one of the best defenses we will really see what they are made of. The Grizzlies beat the Thunder twice int he regular season and they seem poised to make a run to the NBA Finals. Memphis is 26-17-1 ATS on the road this year and 31-16-2 ATS on 1 days rest. I expect Mike Conley to play a major impact in this series without Westbrook guarding him.

3.3* NBA POD

Royals -142 4.5* MLB POD I think we are getting really good value here when we look at the facts. Jeremy Guthrie has been outstanding and the Royals have not lost in his last 16 starts while he's posted a 2.44 ERA. He's been dominating with the Royals against the White Sox over 5 starts he's walked only 3 guys and has a 0.50 ERA. The White Sox have a .200 average and .610 OPS against him in 215 combined at bats. The White Sox are 12-28 in their last 40 vs. a RH starter and 6-22 in their last 28 on the road vs. a team with a winning home record. The Royals bullpen is also well rested after a game got called early on Thursday so look for them to be strong on the back end of things as they have posted a 1.36 ERA over their last 10 games while the White Sox bullpen has had troubles. White Sox bullpen has a 6.12 ERA and it's a direct result of their starting pitching being weak because of injuries. Axelrod has been decent posting a 3.95 ERA on the year, but on the road he's allowed 8 ER in 9.2 innings and roughly 2 base runners per inning he's pitched. He's been lucky with a .241 BABIP. He's feasted on some weak competition and I think the Royals will be able to scratch some runs off him early which should be all they need.

Indians -153 4* MLB POD Indians are on fire right now and they have the right match up facing a lefty in Pedro Hernandez who does not have anything special in his repertoire. An average 88mph fast ball he's gotten lucky with a .250 BABIP and a 92.1 LOB% with just 4.11 K/9 and 2.35 BB/9. I expect the Indians to stay hot as they are hitting .321 with 8.50 runs per 9 over their last 10 games vs. LHP while their bullpen has been pretty darn good over that period as well with a 1.26 ERA. They are 4th in the league in OPS vs. LHP so this is clearly something they are doing well on the season. Twins on the other hand are not as good vs. RHP with a .214 average and just 3.09 runs per 9 over their last 10 games and are ranked 27th in OPS on the season vs. RHP. Justin Masterson has been solid at home and posts a 2.57 ERA. He's had quality starts in 4 of his last 5 home starts vs. the Twins and should have another one here tonight.

Knicks -130 5* NBA POD The Knicks are in serious trouble, but only 3 times this year did they lose 3 or more games in a row. And in the NBA Playoff history only 3 teams in 103 attempts have forced a game 7 after trailing 3-0. We have seen the Knicks come into Boston and win in dominating fashion in 2 of their last 3 trips. Their only loss was in game 4 which they lost in OT. Don't be surprised if the Celtics feed off the crowd and go up early in this game again, but the Knicks will have the youth and the legs in the end to pull off the victory. Celtics only went with 7 players in their last game as they logged some serious minutes. Rivers knows he can't do that again and if he does he'll be in serious trouble on Sunday. I don't think it will come to that as the Knicks will wrap it up tonight with Anthony having a huge game.

Braves/Nationals U7 -105 3* MLB POD
I really like this play when you look at this match up both teams are struggling to score runs as the Nationals are ranked 28th in baseball over the last 7 days in OPS .606, and the Braves 29th .597. You would think the Braves could score today against Dan Haren, but their struggles are well documented with just 2.67 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games. Haren put together a nice start his last time out and has pitched better than his ERA shows. He has been unlucky with a .386 BABIP and that will come back down towards the mean. I like his K/BB ratio which is around 5:1. He's backed by a bullpen that is starting to put things together as the Nationals are 2nd in the league over the last 7 days with a 2.83 ERA.

Atlanta sends one of their most promising young starters in Kris Medlen who is coming off a tough start, but at least he is back home where he has only 2 starts on the year posting a 2.25 ERA. In fact over the last 3 years in 127 IP at home he has a 2.26 ERA which includes 13 starts. He was dominant allowing just 1 ER in 14 IP while striking out 20 National hitters in 2 starts last year and the Nationals have just a .599 OPS in 81 AB against him. I think he'll come up with a great performance after facing two teams on the road who are top 10 in OPS vs. RHP. Now he gets to face a banged up Nationals team that is ranked 19th and scoring just 2.93 runs per 9 vs RHP over their last 10 games. He's also backed by a bullpen that is #1 in baseball with a 1.99 ERA.

[b]Diamondbacks -115 3.5* MLB POD[/b]
I think there is value to be had as the Diamondbacks look to avoid the sweep. Brandon McCarthy has not pitched as bad as his ERA says in fact he has a 3.85 xFIP, but his .396 BABIP and 54.6 LOB % has really hurt him. He'll face off against Tim Lincecum who has a 6.00 ERA in his last 5 starts at Chase Field. Lincecum is allowing 5.16 BB/9 on the season and is lucky to have an ERA under 4 right now. He'll face the Diamondbacks who are 7th in OPS vs. RHP and are backed by a better bullpen which is really rested after pitching a combined 3 innings over the last 2 games.

Royals -145 4.5* MLB POD
The Royals will send Wade Davis to the mount here today against the Indians who struggle vs. RHP scoring just 3.22 runs per 9 vs RHP on the road. They score about double that vs LHP and it showed yesterday when teir team put up some runs. Davis won't go deep into the game but he's backed by a bullpen with a 0.86 ERA at home. Davis raw numbers are pretty good as he has a 3.88 XFIP which is lower than Ubaldo Jimenez who will make the road start for the Indians.

Jiminez in 2 career starts at Kaufman Stadium has a 5.79 ERA and he has not been able to get out of the 5th. Allowing 16 hits and 6 walks in just 9.1 innings it could actually be a lot worse. I look for KC to win this game because JIminez continues to be over valued and even though he's an under dog he should be a bigger one. Indians are also just 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs RH starter and 4-17 in their last 21 as a road dog with Jiminez on the mound.

Pacers/Hawks U187.5 3.3* play
This is a critical game for the Hawks and I anticipate them to dictate the pace once again today and force this game under the total like they finally did in the last one. These are two top 10 defensive teams and the longer this series goes the more we see them take over.

Athletics -142 4* MLB POD
Bartolo Colon keeps getting it done as he is 3-0 through 4 starts with a 0.92 WHIP and 2.42 ERA on the year. Gonzalez on the other hand has a 1.46 WHIP and a 5.55 XFIP as he's walking 4.5 guys per 9 and only striking out 4.88. He's gotten lucky with a 76.4 LOB % and a .268 BABIP as he has faced 4 opponents ranked int he bottom of the league in OPS with runners on (27th, 24th, 18th, and 18th). The A's offense is ranked 4th with runners in scoring position and 6th with runners on so this should be a different type of game. Meanwhile Colon does not give up the long ball just 6.5% HR/FB and that's what the Orioles rely on for scoring runs. In 125 AB he's held them to a .583 OPS with a .216 average. Look for Oakland to avoid the 3 game sweep at home where they are awfully good.

4.4* NBA POD BUCKS +9

Diamondbacks -150 3.5 * MLB POD
I like the Dbacks to take the series tonight against Jeff Francis and the Rockies. Francis has not pitched well this year walking 5 guys per 9 and he will be pitching on 3 days rest here today as he did a few times last year but I dont trust him in this spot vs a team that has traditionally hit lefties well at home. Rockies bullpen has a 4.74 ERA on the road as well while the Dbacks have a 2.02 at home. Wade Miley will look for another quality start and in 3 career home starts vs the Rockies he has pitched well allowing 6 earned runs in 21.2 innings. Rockies have a .235 and are only scoring 2runs per 9 vs LHP on the road while the Dbacks are backed with a 2.02 bullpen. Arizona is 16-7 in their last 23 home meetings wiht the Rockies. Colorado is 7-19 in their last 26 road vs. a LH starter.

Under 4.4* play

[b]Nuggets -1 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I think the Nuggets won't play a third poor game in a row and the Warriors won't shoot 65% from the field again. The Warriors will finally feel their loss of David Lee tonight as Faried will play a more critical role for Denver as they will dominate the boards and steal home court advantage back. The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS this season on revenge following a double digit loss and I think they also have the better coach who knows how to motivate his players and win a road playoff game.

Under 179 Clippers/Grizzlies 4.4* NBA POD
I see a ton of value here on this line despite it going over in the first two games. Not only is it due to go under, but the line has not changed and with the game being in Memphis that makes a huge difference as the Grizzlies should be able to dictate the pace of the game which they want to turn into a half court battle where they hold an advantage. The last 4 meetings here have gone under between the two and as a series goes on the defenses tend to take over as both realize what they need to do to stop the other. Memphis is also 9-2 on the under at home when playing a team ranked in the top 10 in 2 point defense.

Pacers/Hawks U187 3.3* NBA POD
We had the under in game 1 and I'm backing it up again like I should have done with the Bulls + the points. Pacers played fine defensively, but the Hawks need to wake up. This is a playoff game and they need to show that they are alive and I think they will show it tonight against the Pacers. These are two top 10 defensive teams with a pretty high total.

Phillies -116 4.5* MLB POD
I think we are getting a bargain here with Halladay on the mound who is 4-1 with a 0.98 ERA lifetime against the Pirates. Halladay started the year cold, but has looked like his old self in his last two starts giving up just 3 ER over 15 innings. He's backed by a bullpen that has posted good numbers of late as well including a 2.84 ERA over their last 10 games. Halladay's main issues have been walks and home runs and the Pirates are ranked 23rd and 22nd in both categories so I think he is set up nicely in this game.

Wandy Rodriguez meanwhile will face a Phillies team that's hitting .236 and scoring 5.14 runs per 9 over their last 5 vs. LHP. Rodriguez last start in Philly he gave up 7 ER in just 4 IP. 1-4 in this line up have solid numbers off him going 18-55 with 2 HR. Rodriguez stats are a bit misleading because he's been lucky with a .119 BABIP on the year. I expect that to revert to the norm here shorly.

Giants -145 5* MLB POD
Patrick Corbin has been great to start the year with a 1.42 ERA over 3 starts including a dream start last time out at Yankee Stadium with 7 innings 1 ER. I see a let down for the 23 year old today, also the Yankees are ranked 28th vs. LHP in OPS to start the year. Also just how good has Corbin been? Well not very good when you look at his stats he's got jsut 6.16 K/9, 3.32 BB/9, .226 BABIP, and 91.8 LOB% The .226 and 91.8% go hand in hand in saying he's been a little lucky. His xFIP concurs at 4.09 so I think he comes into this start with too much value thus we have value on Matt Cain. Corbin also had 2 starts in San Francisco last year and he had two bad starts allowing 10 ER in 8 IP. Cain meanwhile only allowed 7 ER in 4 starts with 3 of the 4 being in Arizona last year. His home start he only allowed 4 hits and 0 ER over 7 innings.

Giants are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Dbacks with Cain on the mound. I also like the way their bullpen has been dominating of late with a 2.33 ERA over their last 10 and a 1.26 ERA at home where they are scoring 6.31 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Posey is also heating up which should help greatly vs. LHP as he has 2 HR in the last 2 games.

Celtics +7 (3.3* NBA POD)
Game 1 was played close the entire with the Knicks pulling the trigger late to win by 7. I see more of the same as the Celtics can easily win this game considering the Knicks are a 1 man shooting shop. Yes, JR Smith can catch fire, but generally not against the better defensive teams. The Knicks were extremely lucky that Carmello had some wide open three point shots he was able to step into. I don't anticipate that happening again with Doc as the coach. I also think the Celtics will use their bench more in this game which should lead to a more balanced game.

Reds -155 4* MLB POD
Travis Wood is very under rated, but he rolls into a very tough task on Monday playing the Reds who have overall great numbers vs lefties including 6.36 runs per 9 with 7.05 at home. His only road start in Cinci he gave up 6 ER in just 5 innings. On the flip side Mike Leake has been great vs. the Cubs where the Reds are 7-3 in his 10 starts in his career where he posts a 3.56 ERA. More importantly is he has a 2.12 ERA in his 4 home starts in his career.

Cubs right now are struggling to hit and on the road they are hitting just .199 vs. RHP with 2.75 runs per 9. Their bullpen on the road is 1.53 runs worse than the Reds at home. Travis Wood has not fared well vs the Reds line up in 43 AB they have a .302 average and a .938 OPS. Cubs are 5-17 in his last 22 starts as an under dog and the Reds are 36-16 in their last 52 meetings with the Cubs. I expect the Reds to take this game.

Indians -113 5* MLB POD
I like the Indians to continue their scorching offensive run from a day ago and to take game 3 from the Astros who are 18-53 in their last 71 game 3's. I think this is excellent value considering the Indians are better vs. LHP and they'll have Jiminez on the mound who tends to pitch well against these type of teams.

Jiminez main issue has been home runs and BB's which kind of go hand in hand, but the Astros are 24th in BB's and are even worse on their home and vs. RHP splits. Same goes for home runs they are 13th, but at home they are ranked 21st. Houston also is ranked 27th with a .589 OPS during day games while Cleveland is #1 with a .955 OPS. Houston is also ranked 29th in ERA during day games and are 0-4. Jiminez has had 2 starts vs. Houston over the last three years and posts a 0 ERA holding them to a .108 average and .375 OPS in 37 combined at bats.

Erik Bedard on the other hand has allowed an .890 OPS in 87 combined at bats vs. the Indians. Indians have beaten up LHP with 5.77 runs per 9 overall on the season 8.48 runs per 9 on the road. Their bullpen is also 2 runs better than the Astros who had to pitch a bunch of guys in yesterday's blow out loss. Houston has struggled to hit RHP at home with a .185 average and 1.97 runs per 9 at home. This is exactly the type of game Jiminez can have a quality start in and I think he will after two rough performances.

Bulls +4.5 4.4* NBA POD
The Bulls took 3 of the 4 match ups this year and are used to playing without Noah. This is a gritty tough team that has played all year with injuries and I expect them to take this game against the Nets. The Bulls win with defense and were ranked 5th in 2 point defense. The Nets were just 2-4 and 1-5 ATS at home this year vs. teams ranked in the top 5 in 2 point defense. The Bulls won on the road here without Noah this year and they lost the other one by just 4 points after leading by 4 entering the 4th quarter. I expect a game that comes down to the last minutes once again as the Bulls have kept Joe Johnson in check as he averages just 13ppg vs. the Bulls this year. The Bulls also were 12-4 SU and ATS vs. teams ranked in the bottom 10 in 2 point defense as the Nets are.

Rays -129 4.5* MLB POD
I love the Rays in this spot. I thought the A's were going to be in trouble without Cespedes and it is slowly catching up to them as they are only hitting .218 in their last 5 vs. RHP. Rays are slowly heating up with the bats led by Evan Longoria who has 4 HR in his last 5 games and I hope I will start to heat up with some winning picks. The Rays have 20 runs in their last 3 games and will host the A's who have made their first road trip to the east coast and lost their first game last night. I think that continues here today with Hellickson on the mound who in 34 home starts before this year has a 2.84 ERA. He'll go against Jarrod Parker who had an awful spring and is parlaying that into an awful start with a 2.66 WHIP and an ERA over 10. I do think Parker will be okay, but he has a 4.54 ERA on the road and has just 3.05 K/9 and 6.17 BB/9 to start the year. That's not something you can turn around quickly and it won't likely be until he goes back to Oakland. TB has 38 AB vs. Parker and a .864 OPS and I think they will continue to rake today. I think we are getting great value on the Rays here because Oakland has been so hot, but that's about to flip as they lose their second game in a row.

[b]Phillies +109 4* MLB POD[/b]
Call me crazy, but I see all the value on Cole Hamels and the Phillies despite just getting swept. They return home and they face Adam Wainwright who is coming into this game in a rough spot this early in the season. He just pitched 115 pitches in a complete game shut out and he's only on 4 days rest. I think he'll struggle here because of his last effort. Meanwhile Cole Hamels is about to heat up. Hamels faces a Cardinal line up that has struggled vs. lefties hitting .174 this year on the road while the Phillies are hitting .298 vs. RHP at home while scoring 7.14 runs per 9. Philly will have a ton of lefties in the line up and I don't anticipate that Wainwright will be able to go super deep into the game this early in the season after his last outing. I expect 7 innings to be the max which will turn this game over to the bullpen which the Cardinals have struggled with a 6.08 ERA on the year mainly due to depth because of injuries. I think the Phillies are happy to be home and will improve on their 7-3 record vs. the Cardinals when Hamels pitches.

Giants +107 3.5* MLB POD
I think we are getting excellent value here with the Giants. Ryan Vogelsong is due for a quality start after his awful start and facing the Brewers is just what he needs as the Brewers have hit just .150 and scored just 1.63 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Their cleanup hitter is Rickie Weeks who is 2-30 in his last 7 games combined. The Giants meanwhile have hit righties well all year and that

Bulls -8.5 3.3* NBA POD
The Bulls seem to have the most motivation and are playing the worst team today. The Wizards whose defense was their strength all season has faded as they have allowed 100+ poitns in 4 of their last 5 games. I expect them to give that up here again today to the Bulls who looked really healthy the other night. The Bulls defense will also strangle the Wizards who have no motivation to be in Chicago. The Bulls on the other hand win and they get the 5 seed, lose and a Hawks win they get the 6th seed. The difference will be playing the Pacers who they have lost 3 of 4 or playing the Nets who they have won 3 of 4. I think they match up much better against the Nets and would prefer playing them.

4* MLB POD Orioles -125
As bad as Jake Arieta has looked Roberto Hernadez has also looked just as bad. The Orioles at this price are a bargain considering they have the better line up and the better bullpen. ON the year their bullpen has a 2.25 ERA and at home they have a 0ERA compared with the Rays 5.28 overall bullpen ERA which they will absolutely need here today. Roberto Hernandez has yet to prove he can go past the 6th inning in a major league start. The Rays are also hitting .193 vs. RHP and Arieta has been mostly unlucky if anytinhg after posting a 6.20 ERA a year ago as he had a 3.65 xFIP. I see Arieta turning it around here tonight against a Rays team that's really struggling to hit the ball and is hitting even worse ont eh road .139 with a 1.24 runs per 9.

Phillies -146 5* MLB POD
Are the Marlins a MLB team? You could have fooled me and they'll be sending their soon to be ace to the mound on Saturday night in Jose Fernandez who has electrifying stuff. However, he's young and they will not stretch him and the Phillies veteran line up know this. Expect the Phillies to make him work so they can get into that bullpen which posts a 6.07 ERA this year. I don't expect Fernandez to pitch more than 5 innings again. The Phillies have had a lot of success vs. RHP this year scoring 5.75 runs per 9. Miami on the other hand has a .138 average and is scoring 0.73 runs per 9 at home this year. They'll go up against Cole Hamels who should be a bit angry after his two first starts.

Hamels has never had 3 games in a row with 4 ER or more in his entire career. He's had just 1 2 game stretch of 4 ER or more in back to back games not counting his first two starts this year over the last 3 years. I fully expect him to bounce back today against the Marlins who he has 2.42 ERA in his last 12 starts. He pitched well in the Marlins new park with a 1.57 ERA over 3 starts last year and should be motivated going up against Fernandez. He also won't have to face Stanton who is doubtful and MOrrison and Kotchman who have also had success against him are also out of the line up. Hamels had a 0.95 ERA in the spring and all of his pitches are at his normal speeds so all signs point to him just being a bit off his game. I expect him to fully dominate here on Saturday night. Phillies are 17-5 in his last 22 road starts as a favorite -110 to -150 while the Marlins are 6-21 in their last 27 vs. a LH starter. We are getting great value at this price.

Nets/Pacers U187 4.4* NBA POD
I think there is a ton of value considering the total has gone under this number in the last 4 meetings between these two. This will also be a playoff type atmospher as the Pacers who are known for their defense any way are just two games behind the Knicks for the #2 seed while the Nets are trying to also stay in the #4 spot to keep home court advantage. The Nets on the road playing a good team has usually resulted in the game going under the total in fact 20 times in the last 28 meetings vs. teams with a home record of .600 or better.

Angels -124 3* MLB POD
We were robbed last night with the Red Sox blown save and 2 errors, but we look to rebound today with just 8 games on the board. There is just one play I like and it is the Angels. They've gotten beat up here the last few days and now I see value in their line so I'm jumping back on them. The issue has been their pitching not their hitting as they have a .360 average and are scoring over 5 runs per 9 vs. RHP at home. Jason Vargas will take the mound and they are hoping he can provide some veteran leadership.

Vargas has outstanding numbers against the A's with a 2.01 ERA over his last 7 starts while the line up has just a .665 OPS in 148 combined AB collectively. Vargas has also been great at Angels Stadium in the past as a member of the Mariners posting a 1.82 ERA in his last 5 stops. He faces off against the young A.J. Griffin who has a 3.06 ERA in 16 career starts in the majors. He posted great numbers on the road last year through 7 starts with a 2.90 ERA, but teams started to pick up on him down the stretch as in his last 2 road starts he gave up 9 ER in 9 combined innings while giving up 15 hits and 4 HR to the Yankees and Tigers. The Angels have that type of line up and Albert Pujols is heating up. I'm selling stock on Griffin right now as he was lucky last year with a .264 BABIP with a 81.3 LOB %. His xFIP was 4.02.

Red Sox

Louisville -4 4.4* NCAAB POD
I've faded Michigan this entire tournament and I've gotten beat but I'm sticking with it I don't think Beilein is a good coach despite being here. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are not going to play as bad as they did last game and they have shown they can beat teams that don't turn the ball over. Duke and Colorado State were top 30 in turnovers per possession % and Louisville took care of them 26 and 22. Louisville has a very good defense in the half court when they are not getting turnovers and I think that combination with their own offense will be the difference. Louisville has guys who can score in the post and take it to the basket where Syracuse was just more limited on their offensive style as they really only had CJ Fair to rely on and nearly pulled out the victory. We saw just how much better Louisville is than Syracuse when they dominated the second half of the Big East Championship and I think we see more of the same tonight against Michigan.

Cardinals -110 (5.5* MLB POD)
I like the Cards here today with 2011 World Series MVP coming back to a line up that already is averaging 6.36 runs per 9 vs. RHP. They'll face Mat Latos here today who has not pitched well agaisnt the Cardinals particularly in St. Louis. In 4 starts in St. Louis he has a 2.44 WHIP with a 13.50 ERA. Molina, Jay, Freese and Beltran are 23-52 with 4 HR against him. The team collectively has 110 AB with a .345 average and a .955 OPS vs. Latos. Latos also struggles in his April starts posting a 5.73 ERA over his last 13 April starts. He did not have a good spring posting a 5.49 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. The Cardinals were also #3 in OPS during day games where they went 33-24 last year.

Cardinals will send Jaime Garcia to the mound who has a 2.09 ERA in his last 6 home starts vs. the Reds. The Reds have 145 at bats collectively agaisnt Garcia with only 2 HR and .608 OPS. He has a 2.03 ERA in his last 14 April starts, 2.33 ERA in his last 38 home starts and a 3.19 ERA in his last 22 day starts. He's a GB picher and only allows 7.2 HR/FB. I expect the Cardinals to take game 1 ast heya re 50-23 in their last 73 home games vs. the Reds.