The Blue Jays send  right-hander Ross Stripling (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the hill Monday. New York will start left-hander Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 2.70).Stripling went against the Yankees twice last season, going 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA. In five career games (2 starts) against the Yankees, he is 0-4, 4.50 and is fade material here vs a Yankees team that has won 11 of their L/12 games. 

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

I know the Jays have played well, but so have the Yanks.Yankees are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. I like the way the entire Yankees team is contributing and that Im betting will be the difference maker here at least in game 1 of this series. 

Play on NYY to win 

Marlins had a seven-game winning streak   broken Sunday with a 7-3 setback against the visiting Seattle Mariners. Now Im betitng this under rated team rebounds vs Arizona in this spot play.The Diamondbacks own a ugly  (.181 BA ) and one of the worst fielding percentages and are fade material. 

Arizonas starter GALLEN is 1-10   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 1-21  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Lopez  whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Miami to win 

Zach Eflin (1-1, 3.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies against the Mets' Max Scherzer (3-0, 1.80) in a battle of right-handers. Eflin is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 13 starts against the Mets. Scherzer is 15-4 with a 2.47 ERA in 26 career starts against the Phillies. Advantage NYM. 

Mets starter SCHERZER is 19-3  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Phillies qualify. PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

SCHERZER is 12-1  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  SCHERZER is 25-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies starter. EFLIN is 1-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets qualify. 

Phillies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Phillies are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 Sunday games.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 45-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

The Marlins will start right-hander Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.78 ERA). Seattle will fire back with right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 0.40), who leads the American League in ERA.  Gilbert will enter Sunday's game on a streak of 17 1/3 scoreless innings. 

GILBERT is 13-2 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 10-0  against the money line after giving up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ALCANTARA is 2-12 against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

With the Mariners top hurler on the hill they have an edge, via. value moneyline offering. 

Play on the Mariners to win 

On Sunday, the Twins will start rookie right-hander Josh Winder (0-0, 3.48), who has never faced the Rays. Im betting the kid is in over his head here according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.

TAMPA BAY is 34-12  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win 

The Mariners batting order has done their best work against southpaws like Luzardo this season averaging 5.8 rpg .  Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Marlins  are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. The Marlins have average just 2.7 rog via a lowly .180 BA vs lefty starters and are fade material here in this spot according to my early season power rankings. 

MIAMI is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 4-19  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Mariners to cover 

After starting the season 6-2, the defending American League Central champs have lost 10 of 11 and in no shape or form playing a decent enough brand of baseball to easily upend a red hot Angels side that has won 6 straight and that also owns a 8-2 record here in Southside Chicago . According to my power rankings the Halos matchup well Right-hander Vince Velasquez (0-2, 6.75 ERA)  who prepares to  make his fourth start of the season for the Pale Hose. VELASQUEZ is 14-4 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.

Play on LAA to win 

Astros bats woke up late night and took a 11-7 win. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting on another Astros win here today. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and  are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Astros are also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Astros starter GARCIA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 0.923. With Vlad Guerrero not 100% with a foot injury the Astros have an edge on the hill. 

Right-hander Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season for Toronto on Saturday. the righty is  3-3 with a 5.46 ERA over six career starts against the Astros and according to my batting order vs pitching power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Houston roster. 

Play on Houston to win 

ARIZONA is 0-16 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cards starting right-hander Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21).  Advantage St.Louis. 

Note:  Arizona stater Kelly has pitched against the Cardinals twice in his career, both times in 2019. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 against St. Louis, giving up nine runs (six earned) in 11 innings.

ARIZONA is 46-109  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 94-25 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on Cardinals to win 

Cleveland is faltering of late but this is a great opportunity for them to get back into the win column vs a Oakland side that has almost no offensive consistency . Note: Guardians starter CIVALE is 10-3  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

FRANCONA is 105-65  against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Yankees will hand the ball to Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.15 ERA), while Kris Bubic (0-1, 14.14) will start for the Royals in a matchup of left-handers. One pitcher is in good form the other is not, and the same goes for the Yanks or hot and the Royals who are not, Advantage Yanks. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35  or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000  or worse over his last 3 starts are 6-33 L/26 seasons. 

Play on NYY to win 

Phillies starter NOLA is 2-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 3-12  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-15  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Mets matchup well here and Im betting on a bounce back performance here after yesterdays loss. 

Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

Play on the Mets 

Marlins starter Hernandez throws his fastball 49% of the time and it has been beaten around like a rag doll as is evident by a opposition .323 batting average. The Mariners matchup very well here. Meanwhile, Matt Brash the Mariners starter has some vicious action on his curveball and breaking stuff, and deserves respect here against a inconsistent Marlins batting order. 

MIAMI is 1-15   against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 49-10 L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to win 

 The Braves won the first game of the series 3-1 and the Cubs rebounded to win the second game 6-3 in 10 innings. Im now betting the  Braves  get their first series win of the season. 

Note: Braves starter Wright (2-0, 1.06) has allowed only two runs this season  . He's KOd 26 batters in 17 innings and walked only two. Wright struck out a career-high 11 batters in his last start against the Marlins on Friday. This kid is magic and gets my support to help his team garner a victory. 

Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-15 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 21-53 in their last 74 games as an underdog.

Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.

Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 49-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cubs are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Tigers southpaw starter Skubal (1-1, 2.30 ERA) matches up well against the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings. Twins are 11-24 in their last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Twins are also just  7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know the Twins have won the first two games of this series, but the under rated Tigers have proven resilient in the recent past when losing the first two games of a series going  5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

DETROIT is 11-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 47-31 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after a game where they had 2 or less hits are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to win 

Bruce Zimmermann (1-0, 1.20 ERA), who shut out the Yankees in five innings of four-hit ball on April 17 in Baltimore, takes the hill for the Orioles here today and gives his team an edge on this ML offering. 

BOONE is 29-31 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game as the manager of NY YANKEES.

NY YANKEES are 27-36 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 77-38 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Right-hander Zach Plesac (1-1, 1.53 ERA) will make his fourth start of the year for , coming off his best start of the season last Thursday and today Im betting on the sleepy streaky bats of the Guardians to wake up and support him vs a inconsistent and overly propagandized arm belonging to Japanese duel threat phenom Ohtani..

Note: Plesac is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two starts against the Angels in his career.

Ohtani went 1-for-4 with a run scored and one strikeout on Tuesday and is now hitting .213 with a .645 OPS. 

Guardians are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 52-36 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

Mets are playing top tier baseball heading onto the this 3rd game of their series at St.Louis and deserve respect on a value money line offering . Note: Cards starter  MATZ is 6-12   against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile,The Mets will counter with Carlos Carrasco (1-0, 1.47 ERA), who took down the San Francisco Giants 6-2 in his latest start. He allowed the two runs on just four hits in 7 2/3 innings on Thursday, striking out seven with no walks  and an edge vs a St.Louis side, that has scored just 14 runs in their past seven games.

Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Play on NY Mets to win.

Angels southpaw starter  Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his third start of the season Tuesday, opposing McKenzie.Sandoval is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in two career starts vs. Cleveland and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current Guardians batting order. I know the Guardians are struggling at the moment losing for straight games and were shut out yesterday but this is a under rated team, that offers us value on this money line offering  in this spot play.CLEVELAND is 12-2  against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons. Note: Cleveland starter MCKENZIE is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429 and has pitched relatively well this season and is a viable hurler to back as a starter. 

Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League West.

Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 7-15 in their last 22 home games.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

Todays itching matchup features Phillies starter Eflin who has struggled in five career starts against the Rockies, going 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA. Meanwhile, Rockies starter Marquez, a first time All-Star last season, is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies. My pitcher vs batting order projections estimate a rinse and repeat situation here giving us an edge with the road dog. The Rockies lost game one of this series but are 4-1 L/5 after a loss and  are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are also 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog and get my support in this series spot play in the city of Brotherly love. 

MARQUEZ is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 16-9    against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 18-7 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

COLORADO is 21-8  against the money line when playing against a sub .500 team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Colorado to win 

Mariners  enter this game with a  6-1 record  in their last 7 overall and  are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series and offer value here on this line vs a very inconsistent Tampa Bay side. 

Mariners man on the hill Gilbert (2-0, 0.54),  has allowed one earned run over his first three starts covering 16 2/3 innings. Note: GILBERT is a perfect 9-0  against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

GILBERT is 8-1    against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ILBERT is 7-1  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 45-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Mariners are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.

 Play on Seattle on the ML

The Guardians were humbled in a 3 game sweep at Yankee Stadium this past weekend and were also physically attacked by Yankee fans. Now bruised and battered emotionally , Im now betting on their PTSD to be used as a spring board to a bounce back effort against the Angels here in game 1 of this series. With Shane Bieber starting today for the Guardians Im expecting they have the needed edge to get the job done.BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.831. 

Guardians are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite.Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Angels are 2-10 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home underdog.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

The Brewers have won five of their last six tilts and are off, sweeping Pittsburgh  earlier this  week despite of below average offensive numbers. They succumbed to the  Phillies in game 1 of this series on Friday night, but they bounced back with a 5-3 victory on Saturday afternoon and have momentum entering this tilt and according to my power rankings  are being vastly under rated tonight. I know the Phillies have a load of offense, but its hardly been consistent, and their pitching on all levels has alot to desired. I know big things are expected from the Phillies this season because of upgrades, but that guarantees nothing. Look for the Brewers to find a way to sneak out a victory in prime time Sunday night. 

Phillies starter NOLA is 3-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 7-14  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 12-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 22-7 (against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.Brewers are 22-9 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games.

Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lauer. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

The Cleveland Guardians are a team that is pretty angry right now after losing yesterday as their bullpen blew a 4-3 9th inning lead.  To add insult to injury the Guardians had to take abuse from Yankee fans that prompted media attention after the game,  and now you have a motivated group to back. With Yankees starter Garret Cole(0-0 6.35 ERA) struggling out of the gate this season, the former Tribesman will be ready to come out here and put forth a motivated effort in an attempt to get some revenge and to halt a possible 3 game sweep by the Yanks. COLE is 5-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLE is 4-8 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Guardians pitcher Civale is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. He took the win again them Sept. 18 in New York when he allowed four hits in six scoreless innings of an 11-3 victory.CIVALE is 10-2  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 8-1  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record

Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. 

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

White Sox starter VELASQUEZ is 6-16  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Twins starter  BUNDY is 4-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 0.969.

CHI WHITE SOX are 4-16  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 7-21  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 36-120 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - after a one run win against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

Cleveland lost 4-1 in game 1 of this series and now Im betting on a rebound performance from the Guardians offense tonight. Note: CLEVELAND is 21-6  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.

NY YANKEES are 2-10  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 season.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Giants starter WOOD is 16-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 21-7  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 61-25  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-4  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 42-12 in their last 54 games as a favorite.

Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 27-5  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 9-32  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Nationals are 15-36 in their last 51 games as a home underdog.Nationals are 5-12 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350)or less  against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 220-94 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the SF Giants to win 

Cleveland has scored double-digit runs four times and scored 19 runs in a three-game sweep of the visiting Chicago White Sox and are more than capable of pulling of an underdog win for us here at Yankee stadium, where they took out the Bronx Bombers in a two game set late last season via 20-4 combined output. My power rankings also suggest Guardians starting batting order matches up well vs Yanks starting pitcher  Taillon who is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against Cleveland. Note:Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and in 6 road games this season Cleveland offense has averaged 7.5 rpg. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on Cleveland to win 

St.Louis has now won 8 straight meetings vs the Marlins, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. I know Pablo Lopez has pitched well for the Marlins so far , but its not about the Cards pitching that puts them at a disadvantage  its their extremely inconsistent offense and that will generally continue to be their downfall until they address that situation. Today against an over powering fastball pitcher in Hicks the Marlins look to be in trouble again. 

 ST LOUIS is 19-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

Cardinals are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a win. Cardinals are 12-3 in their last 15 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 26-8 in their last 34 road games.

Play on St.Louis to win 

New York will give the ball to Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 3.24 ERA), while Detroit will counter with Michael Pineda (2021 stats: 9-8, 3.62 ERA)

The Yankees won the first two games of this series, but the tigers  have proved them selves resilient in these types of situations in the recent past as is evident by Motowns  4-0  record in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Tigers are also 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Here today the Tigers have a pitcher in Montgomery that according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings that they match up well against. Meanwhile, Pineda, the former Twin and now Tiger hurler, will go against a Yankees side that has not faired all that well against him overall . Plus with 7  of 9 New York regulars batting below .260 this season, Pineda should be a viable pitcher to support in the starting role. 

Note: Heres an interesting anomaly -  MONTGOMERY is 1-8  against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday in his career. (Team's Record) BOONE is 40-46 against the money line in road games in day games as the manager of NY YANKEES.

Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

MLB team (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-9 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Tigers to win 

Rangers: Dane Dunning (0-0, 5.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, four strikeouts); Mariners: Logan Gilbert (1-0, .90 ERA, .80 WHIP, 11 strikeouts)

Gilbert the Mariners starting  hurler has pitched lights out early on in this camapaign and gets my support here again tonight vs the Rangers. Note: GILBERT is 8-0 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 9-31  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 6-25  against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 1-20  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 4-24  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored a major-league-low 22 runs through 11 games, and. averaged 1.4 rpg of offense in 5 road games  Im betting that  their lack of offensive consistency will be their downfall again today. I know Dbacks starter Kelley has been lights out so far, but in the past despite flashes of brilliance has had some major lapses . Just to many other variables at play that make Arizonas starting pitcher a less dangerous factor than the linesmakers might project. 

ARIZONA is 3-31  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.Diamondbacks are 11-55 in their last 66 games as a road underdog.Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

WASHINGTON is 9-0  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. als are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite.

Play on Washington to win 

St.Louis has now won 7 straight meetings against Miami dating back to last season, and matchup well against their ace Alacantara .

ALCANTARA is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.40, and despite of pitching well never seems to get run support when he has faced the Cards. Now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today in Miami as the inconsistent bats of the Marlins makes them vulnerable as favs.Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a win.Cardinals are 25-8 in their last 33 road games.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Since opening the season on April 8, the Rays have not had a day off. They will get one Thursday , and now knowing that Im betting the Rays  play a invigorated/motivated game, and grab a 2-1 win in this series vs the Cubs and even their trip into Chicago at 3-3 after losing 2 of 3 to the Southsiders. 

Note: Cubs righty starter STROMAN is 5-12  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)STROMAN is 5-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.408. In the  only game he faced Tampa Bay last season, Stroman gave up five runs on six hits in six innings during a 7-1 loss on May 16. My pitcher vs batting order once again suggests the Rays have the edge. 

Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games.Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games. (TAMPA BAY is 22-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons). 

Cubs are 8-19 in their last 27 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 21-52 in their last 73 games as an underdog.Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games as an underdog.Cubs are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 4-12 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 6-22 in their last 28 games as a home underdog.Cubs are 3-11 in their last 14 home games.Cubs are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games.Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Tampa Bay Rays, lot the first game of this series  4-2 Monday night in the opener of a three-game set in  Chicago. The starting pitcher for the Rays is a little banged up, but I expect a joint effort from this group tonight and an effort that evens this 3 game series. I know the Rays bats have not been firing on all cylinders yet, but it must be noted that TAMPA BAY is 30-13  against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 24-7 in their last 31 interleague games as a favorite.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. TAMPA BAY is 21-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons

Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games.Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Rays are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

San Francisco has won 5 straight games, and after a day off yesterday will be fresh and motivated to continue their current positive run that has seen them average 5.2 rpg in road production on the road this season vs their hosts the NY Mets. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-6   against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 25-14 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.SAN FRANCISCO is 17-9 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

Giants are 39-12 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. (Scherzer is a RHP)

Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. National League West.

Giants are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) to the mound against the Phillies' Aaron Nola (1-1, 6.75).Kuhl is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five games -- three starts -- in his career against Philadelphia and despite of the ace of the Phillies taking to the hill today I still like the Coors field advantage for the home side. Note:Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

NOLA is 7-13  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

KUHL is 7-2  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.Rockies are 21-5 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rockies are also 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League East

MLBt team (PHILADELPHIA) - National League team with an excellent starting pitcher whose WHIP was 1.150 or better last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 31-49 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

Darvish the Padres starter opened his season in good form but was blasted last time out, giving up 9 runs and 1 2/3 innings of work. He looked off with his delivery, which is not a good omen against a Atanta side he has not had much luck against in the past as is evident, by his  0-4 record  when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.714.. DARVISH is also just  8-12  against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).....  Advantage Atlanta.

The San Diego offense expected to struggle without injured star Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres manager Bob Melvin has said as much and that Im betting continues tonight. After exploding for 12 runs in the home opener Thursday against the Braves, the Padres have scored four runs on 10 hits in two straight defeats. Note: In their past five games, the Padres have scored more than two runs only once.

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Braves are 22-9 in their last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. National League West.

ATLANTA is 27-9  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 16-6  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego.

Play on Atlanta to win 

 Hernandez has been an average at best MLB pitcher, but here has had quality  performances against the Phillies. In six career appearances versus Philadelphia -- including four starts -- Hernandez is 3-0 with a 4.24 ERA and gets my support here on a value ML offering.  I know Zach Wheeler the Phillies starter is a top tier hurler, but with the way the Phillies inconsistencies at the plate getting enough support here maybe an issue. 

Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. GIRARDI is 2-11   against the money line in road games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 38% or lower ) as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

MIAMI is 21-10  against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Play on Miami to win 

 The Boston Red Sox look for their fourth win in five games as they host the Minnesota Twins on Sunday afternoon and Im betting they have a positive lost and found event here this afternoon in Fenway.  BoSox starter Michael Wacha (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is set for his first Red Sox home start. He allowed one run on two hits and three walks while striking out four in a 4 1/3-inning no-decision last Monday in Detroit and according to my power rankings matches up well here against the Twins batting order. 

Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 81-36 in their last 117 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.

BOSTON is 41-18  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons

MLB team (BOSTON) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win 

The Angels exploded for 9 runs yesterday in a win , but that has not been a recipe for success in the past for the Halos, as is evident by Manager MADDONs   8-16 run against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of LA ANGELS. Angels are also 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win and 3-9 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.MADDON is also just  29-40  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Rangers are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.

Angels starter Noah Syndergaard is off having Tommy John surgery and is vulnerable. 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

The Twins ruined the BoSox home opener yesterday but now the home side will be ready for a rebound against a starting right handed  pitcher  Gray who has struggled in his career against Boston, as is evident by a  1-6 record and a 6.64 ERA in 42 career innings in 10 outings and nine starts . Note: Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Ryu the ace of the Toronto staff goes to the hill today for the Jays , but it must be noted that the As have done well against southpaw pitchers in the recent past as is evident by a 24-10 record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

In his first start of the season on Sunday, Ryu (0-0, 16.20 ERA) allowed six runs, five hits and two walks in 3 1/3 innings in Toronto's 12-6 loss to the Texas Rangers and once again looks vulnerable in this spot. RYU is just  9-13  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Athletics will start right-hander Paul Blackburn (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who was the  winning pitcher Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays at St. Petersburg, Fla., allowing three hits and one walk while striking out seven in five innings. Oakland won 13-2

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TORONTO) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 34-51 L/26 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win 

After 3 game series against a Toronto Blue Jays side that is highly touted Im betting on the Yankees suffering a letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the Baltimore Orioles. The Yanks took the finale vs the Jays yesterday 3-0. Note: Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Orioles starter LYLES is 7-1 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYLES is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. Dating back to last season, the Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Lyles.

NY YANKEES are 2-8  against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.NY YANKEES are 10-12  against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Baltimore to win 

This is the home opener fro the Red Sox so I expect them to be motivated today and supported by a packed house. Meanwhile, the visiting Twins were swept by the Dodgers in two games to finish 2-4 on their opening home-stand and their current lack of momentum in this type of an environment will be a negative factor for them today.Joe Ryan, who is the No. 4 prospect in the Twins organization, will be making his seventh MLB start which is another situation that favors the BoSox, as the intimidation factor of being on the hill on Fenway wont help the Twins cause. 

Red Sox are 37-17 in their last 54 games as a home favorite.

MINNESOTA is 10-19 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. American League East.

Twins are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the BoSox to win 

Padres starter MORTON is 6-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 1.036. He has allowed the Padres only 35 hits and 23 walks while striking out 52 in 56 innings. Add to that he is  a perfect 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three starts covering 17 1/3 innings at Petco Park. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action for the defending champs here tonight. Note: Padres starter Musgrove is 2-1 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts spanning 29 1/3 innings.

Braves are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Padres are 3-14 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/26 seasons for a go against  86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Seattle starter  GILBERT is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-2  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 5-0  against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-3  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

With a strong outing on Opening Day, Ray (1-0, 1.29 ERA) gives credence to me taking the Mariners as underdogs today in South side Chicago. Meanwhile,  Pale Hose starting pitcher  Dallas Keuchel (9-9, 5.28 in 2021) is a thrower that looks vulnerable after posting  a 6.82 mark in 14 games (13 starts) in the second half of last season. 

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Seattle to win 

National League Cy Young Award recipient Corbin Burnes is obviously a top tier hurler, but my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings suggest the Orioles matchup well here. After a strong outing last time out where Burnes struck out 14 , Im betting on a natural regression here .  Meanwhile, the Orioles starting southpaw pitcher  Means is a quality thrower as well, and as long as he can get into the 5th inning which I believe he can , we have value with this underdog ticket. 

Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

MILWAUKEE is 3-8   against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Giants bats exploded yesterday and in a 13-2 win and Im betting they continue to build on that momentum here in game 3 of this series. 

Giants are 43-16 in their last 59 vs. National League West and  are 24-9 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a favorite.

Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record and  are 14-37 in their last 51 games as an underdog.

Padres are also  3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter  like Webb and are 8-22 in their last 30 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L/25 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Giants to win 

BoSox stater EOVALDI is 14-27  against the money line when playing against a below .500 side(Win Pct. 38% to 46%) . (Team's Record) Nathan Eovaldi is scheduled to start for the Red Sox. Eovaldi (0-0, 5.40) gave up three runs on five hits in five innings while striking out seven New York Yankees in his season debut and looks vulnerable here. 

Meanwhile, Motowns starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-2  against the money line in April games in his career (Team's Record) Advantage Tigers . 

Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road game.

Play on Detroit to win 

The Kansas City Royals are in a bounce back mode after allowing 27 runs in their previous two games. Im betting they come through here with a concerted team effort and pull off the underdog win. 

Cardinals are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record

Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. Royals are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 1 of a series.

KANSAS CITY is 17-10  against the money line in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. MATHENY is 14-9   against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better ) as the manager of KANSAS CITY.

Play on KC Royals to win 

Brash the Mariners' minor league pitcher of the year after compiling a 2.31 ERA over 20 outings last season looks like. a viable pitching option. 

Meanwhile,Velasquez, just signed a contract with Chicago and was  3-9 with a 6.30 ERA in 25 games (21 starts) between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres last season and is a fade material hurler. 

Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Mariners are 21-8 in their last 29 road games.

SEATTLE is 11-4  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 51-35  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Mariners to win 

 Alex Wood, the Giants starter went 10-4 with a 3.83 ERA in 26 starts last season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Padres. Meanwhile, Martinez, the Padres new off season acquisition went  17-30 with a 4.77 ERA in his first four years in the majors all with Texas and looks vulnerable here vs what could be another explosive offensive season vs the Giants. 

Giants are 45-18 in their last 63 games as a home favorite.

Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 2-14 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 8-31 L26 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate. 

Play on the SF Giants to win 

Montgomery the Yankees starter today has had problems with  run support after the Yankees scored three runs or fewer in 15 of his starts last season.The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Red Sox and was 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts against them last season. A combination of lack of run support and his ability to be competitive on the mound give credence to an under wager especially considering  Boston starter Houck is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees and gets my support here. Look for both viable bullpens when called upon to help keep this game on the low side of the offered  number. Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings.

MONTGOMERY is 21-8 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 13-4 UNDER  in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 during game 3 of a series.

Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games following a loss.

Play UNDER 

 Arizona took out the Padres in game 1 of this series and now Im betting on a rebound by the Padres.

ARIZONA is 17-38 ( against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (SAN DIEGO) - team who had a very good bullpen last season with a WHIP of 1.250 or better, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 30-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego  ML

In  his last two Opening Day starts, Guardians starter Bieber has combined for 26 strikeouts and has allowed just 9 hits and 3 runs in 12 innings of top tier work and deserves respect here vs the aging Zach Greinke and company.BIEBER is 4-0 in his career when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.288.

Guardians are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite.Guardians are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.

Play on Cleveland on the ML 

Its do or die for the Astros and Im betting they avoid folding just yet and will find a way to win here this evening to tie their World Series  matchup vs the Braves at 3 games a piece.HOUSTON is 19-6   against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. I know the Braves starter Fried is a top tier hurler, but the Astros  are  30-11  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season and 35-14  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.ATLANTA is 9-16   against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Astros are 59-22 in their last 81 games following an off day.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games as a favorite.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games.

Play on the Astros to win 

 Right-hander Zack Greinke will be the Game 4 starter for the Astros and Im betting after seeing very little action is prepared to compete here. The  veteran  has pitched only 2 1/3 innings in two appearances (one start)  during these play offs after seeing his role diminish late in the season. Greinke made two previous World Series starts, both in 2019 for the Astros, and produced a 2.45 ERA in two no-decisions. Greinke is 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 29 starts and one relief appearance during the 2021 regular season and deserves respect in a key situation for the Astros. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.

Braves are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games.

HOUSTON is 32-19   against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

Play on Astros to cover 

Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Braves starter MORTON is 8-12  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record)

Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.stros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff home games. Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.A

TLANTA is 6-14 against the money line in an inter-league game this season.ATLANTA is 3-12  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  

Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Braves are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. 

Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games.Braves are 6-16 in their last 22 interleague games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 0-5 L/5 meetings in this series.

HOUSTON is 28-11  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

All the key edges here at home for Houston make this a viable wagering opportunity on the home favorite. 

Play on Houston to win 

Braves starter ANDERSON is 11-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) 

ANDERSON is 11-2  against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

ATLANTA is 14-4 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season like Scherzer. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs, playing on Saturday are 31-17 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 110-47 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

The Braves up 3-1 in this series are ready to bring the hammer down today .

Braves starter FRIED is 19-3  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 27-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Braves are 5-1 in their last six playoff games and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. 

Play on Atlanta to win

Houston exploded for seven runs in the ninth inning on their way to a 9-2 win in Game 4 of this series, leveling the best-of-seven American League Championship Series at two games apiece and Im betting on the Astros momentum to continue into this tilt behind starter Valdez who has posted a respectable 3-1 record with a 3.19 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). In regular-season outings against Boston, the southpaw is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four total appearances including two starts). Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the flip side,the BoSox starter In nine career playoff games (six starts),  has gone just 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA. Needless to say the top tier hurler, does not perform well under the limelight of post season play and is fade material here in this spot play.Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Boston will start game 3 of this series  with left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 5.40 ERA). The hurler went winless in two playoff starts against Tampa Bay in the ALDS and is 0-1 with a 7.02 ERA in 10 career postseason games (three starts) RODRIGUEZ is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.52 and a WHIP of 1.894. Rodriguez was smashed by the Astros in two regular-season starts going  0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in 9 1/3 innings. According to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order rankings the Astros matchup well vs Rodriguez. 

Urquidy went 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA over 20 starts in the regular season. In his postseason career, he is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in eight appearances (four starts).URQUIDY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.

Boston look the last game played in this series 9-5 but the Astros have proved resilient in the recent past off a loss winning 4 straight redemption situations. 

Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 playoff road games.

Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Atlantas starting pitcher ANDERSON is 10-0   against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Anderson is currently in top form and on a 3-0 run along with garnering a 1.50 ERA and a 0.667 WHIP. Needless to say from my perspective at least he matches up well against Dodgers top tier hurler Scherzer. 

ATLANTA is 21-6 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

Dodgers are 7-15 in their last 22 League Championship road games.

Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff home games.ATLANTA is 21-6 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest 109-47 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win  

The rested  Braves will go against a Dodgers team off an a hard fought emotional victory vs the SF giants in game of their play off series. Now the Dodgers are  in a classic emotional letdown situation after using a big portion of their pitching staff in that game ,  and now Im betting they are at a disadvantage in game 1 of this series vs the Braves

The Braves will go with Fried  who is 1-0 this postseason, pitching six scoreless innings in a 3-0 victory over the Brewers on Oct. 9. FRIED is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 32-10  against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League West.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 33-18 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 1

Astros starter Valdez has permitted two runs and struck out 18 batters in 14 1/3 innings en route to posting a 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season. Meanwhile, Bostons starter Sale, is struggling  was beaten on  last Friday, allowing five runs on four hits in one inning of a no-decision against Tampa Bay. In his L/3 starts he owns a 10.39 ERA and on the road this season has recorded a 0-1 record in four trips to the hill along with a bloated 7.37 ERA. Needless to say Sale is fade material here today vs a potent Houston offensive attack. 

SALE is 4-8 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)   SALE is 1-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)

BAKER is 21-6  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. 

Play on Houston to win 

Starting pitcher WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Dodgers pitcher Urias is a strong hurler but my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Webb and his bullpen when needed have the edge. 

 Giants are 22-5 in their last 27 games following an off day.  Giants are 13-4 in their last 17 playoff home games.

LA DODGERS are 19-33  L/52 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Dodgers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 4

White Sox starter RODON is 10-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) RODON is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season . (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 21-5  against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 155-282 L/24 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3

White Sox starter CEASE is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-7  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.600. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings give the Astros a big edge here today. The Astros have the edge tp clinch the best-of-five series behind right-hander Luis Garcia, who was 11-8 with a 3.30 ERA in 30 appearances in the regular season, including 28 starts.

White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games.

White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games.

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 playoff games as an underdog.

HOUSTON is 7-2  against CHI WHITE SOX this season.

Play on the Astros to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3

Rays starter Rasmussen, who will make his first career postseason start, was 1-0 with a 2.30 ERA in five games (three starts) against Boston this season and gets my support here today in a bounce back game for the Rays who lost 14-6 on Friday night. 

BOSTON is 8-20  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 24-10  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival are 12-27 L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the TB Rays to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2

SF starter GAUSMAN is 12-3  against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.


SAN FRANCISCO is 41-14  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.



MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 71-24 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on San Francisco to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 4-9 (against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 4-10  against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

Braves starter FRIED is 25-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ATLANTA is 23-8  against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 2-1 loss in game 1 of this series.

MLB  team (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 103-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1

Logan Webb is  7-0 in 16 starts with a 2.71 ERA and just 5 home runs allowed in  just under 97  innings of top tier work  and deserves respect here even against Buehler and the dodgers who are in an emotional letdown spot after that big game against the Cards that got them here last time out. 

LA DODGERS are 9-16  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. 

Giants are 12-3 in their last 15 playoff home games.

Dodgers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on San Francisco to win 

The Cards got here by winning 17 -in  a row in September including victories in 11 straight road games and no matter who their opponent is seem to find ways to win and Im betting that continues here this evening in LA vs the Dodgers. We have two top tier hurlers on the hill for both sides with Scherzer going to the hill for LA and the veteran Wainwright stepping up for the Cards. But what is interesting to note, is that Scherzer was smacked around in his final two starts of the 2021 season at Coors Field against Colorado and than vs the  San Diego Padres. He allowed 10 runs in those two starts and his ERA took a direct hit because of it. So he comes in here maybe not feeling as confident as he was prior to those tilts vs a side that seemingly finds way to win on a very consistent basis no matter what the venue and the opponent is. Chemistry and confidence are great attributes to bet into especially on a value line.WAINWRIGHT is 11-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.Cardinals are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on St.Louis to win 

The Yankees played an emotionally draining game yesterday and garnering a 1-0 win. Now in a huge letdown situation Im betting the Red sox have the edge behind their starter Eovaldi who has a   career year and emerged as the ace of the Boston rotation. 

Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog.

CORA is 14-3 against the money line in October games in all games he has managed since 1997. 

BOSTON is 90-64  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. BOSTON is 60-39 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

NY YANKEES are 10-17  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 18-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win

Tampa Bay (100-61) is 7-2 this year in New York and must not be underestimated here even though the Yankees need a win, for various play off implications to take fold. The Rays are also 51-24 against AL East teams this year, including a 26-6 clip since July 29 and wont have any problems trying to make the Yankees lives miserable. The Rays play a merciless hell bent brand of baseball and get the nod here today as value line underdogs.  Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Rays continue their postseason practice and will now attempt to prevent the Yankees from clinching Saturday afternoon when the American League East rivals meet. 

Rookie Shane Baz (2-0, 1.69 ERA), the sixth pitcher in team history to win his first two starts, takes the hill for Tampa Bay. He last pitched Sunday against the Miami Marlins when he retired the first nine hitters, allowed three hits and struck out nine in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. He went 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 10 starts for Triple-A Durham before joining the Rays and is ranked by Baseball America as the 11th-best overall prospect and gets my support here today against the Yankees.

TAMPA BAY is 8-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.TAMPA BAY is 40-19  against the money line in day games this season.

Rays are 23-11 in the last 34 meetings. Rays are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

Play on Rays to win 

 Twins starter Gant has lost seven of his last eight decisions and Im betting against him here today. Lets ride Royals super star Salvador Perez, who leads the majors in home runs (48) and RBIs (121) to be the key contributor. MINNESOTA is 21-41 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

Both these teams lost last time out but KC has proven resilient  after a loss lately going 5-0 after a defeat. 

Play on the KC Royals to win 

Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 10-20  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career( Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 13-27  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 4-12  against the money line in September games . (Team's Record)

TB starter MCHUGH is 40-18 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)

Note: Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (9-6, 5.09 ERA) will be the bulk pitcher for the Rays in the series finale on Thursday. He is expected to follow starter Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.60). Im betting TBS pitching will do just fine vs a Astros side thats suddenly finds itself in a funk having scored  just 12 runs in six games. 

TAMPA BAY is 8-2  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.  

TAMPA BAY is 19-3  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TB Rays to win 

Fried (13-7, 3.12 ERA) will face Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.64) on Wednesday.

Atlantas starter FRIED is 28-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 37-13   against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 16-4 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-6   against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 14-2   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies righty  starter NOLA is 11-21 against the money line in September games in his career. (Team's Record) 

Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 18-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Halos starter Naughton (0-3, 5.23 ERA), a lefty, is not in good form and fade material here vs the Rangers tonight. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Alexy (2-1, 5.00 ERA) has shown flashes of brilliance as he  began his career by becoming the first pitcher in modern MLB history to pitch at least five shutout innings as a starter. Hes got the stuff needed to go long and strong today and help us garner a win.

From a motivational standpoint- Texas first baseman Nathaniel Lowe said he'd like to end the season on a high note.quote:

"We've got a week left, and we can't quit for one inning, regardless of who we're playing, whether it's a 100-win Giants team or a 100-loss Baltimore team," he said. End Quote

TEXAS is 20-14 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 26-44  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

Seattle starter LEXEN is 14-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record)FLEXEN is 15-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)FLEXEN is 9-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 10-1 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, As starter IRVIN is 0-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.56 and a WHIP of 2.160 and is fade material here vs a Mariners team that has beaten the As in 9 of their L/10 meetings and overall are running hot having won 7 of their L/8 overall.

 Play on the Mariners to win 

Motowns starter PERALTA is 13-2   against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. like KCs starter Bubic. Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

DETROIT is 49-46 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. DETROIT is 10-3 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record are 32-72 L/5 seasons for a 69%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win 

White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn (10-5, 2.47 ERA) will look for his first win in two months on Saturday so Im betting he will stretch out and be ready to perform.

CLEVELAND is 2-12  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 36-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0  against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going agains strong opponent. 

SAN DIEGO is 19-3  against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

Boston has won five straight after sweeping the Baltimore Orioles over the past  weekend and bring [positive momentum into this tilt vs the Mets. 

Red Sox starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-3  against the money line in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-21 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

CORA is 18-4  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. ( Stroman of the Mets qualifies)

MLB team (BOSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 43-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Right-hander Kyle Gibson (10-7, 3.49 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Phillies against left-hander Rich Hill (6-7, 3.88).

The Mets have lost 5 straight games and are trying to avoid being swept by the visiting Phillies. But Im betting they wont be successful in stopping the Phillies momentum. NY METS are 1-9  against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. 

The Phillies are in hot pursuit for a play off spot and will have plenty of motivation to be merciless here in NY. 

Phillies are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Phillies to win

Charlie Morton will go to the hill for the  Braves on Saturday. He has been in top tier  form, and has garnered a  13-5 record this season along  with an ERA of 3.49, a WHIP of 1.05  including 192 Ks. He brings enough quality form into this tilt to give credence to me backing him as an underdog. Meanwhile, Alex Wood goes for the Giants, and despite of being a viable hurler, will be in deep here vs a Atlanta side that has feasted on lefty hurlers this season, as is evident by averaging 5.8 rpg of output. 

The Braves lost yesterday in the first game of this series by a 6-5 count, but they have proven resilient in the past after a defeat  going 24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss.

Braves are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Braves are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco.

ATLANTA is 21-8  against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Seattle's starter FLEXEN is 8-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 13-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 12-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-1 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 10-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to win 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Colorado has won five of its past six road games, improving to 13-17 away from home since the All-Star break and have won 9 of their L/10 games here in Atlanta. Tonight behind starter Senzatela,  who has quality starts in each of his last six trips to the hill,  along with garnering a solid  has a 2.54 ERA  in 39 innings during that span, the Rockies look to be the right side on a value line. Senzatela has made four career appearances and three starts against the Braves, going 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA and gets my support here. Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

St.Louis is running hot right now having won 6 of their L/7 games, and setting their sites on post season, ball will have them ready to compete tonight in NY where Im betting they will complete a 3 game sweep of the up and down Mets. Cards starter Lester is 8-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 regular season starts against the Mets and  while pitching for Washington on June 19, he threw six-plus innings of two-run ball agains them. Rinse and repeat.LESTER is 63-31 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)NY METS are 17-29  against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Rockies starter GRAY  in 6 career starts is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.221. He made his return from a stint on the 10-day injured list with right forearm tightness against San Francisco last Wednesday and allowed three runs and struck out eight. Im betting he is much stronger in this spot play. Meanwhile, Atlanta's  Toussaint's last two starts, has seen him allowed seven runs, five earned, in six combined innings of sub par work, an is fade material in his current form. 

Rockies are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win

Peralta vs Peralta The Tigers have won three of their last four games and are viable underdogs here today vs their National league opponents the Milwaukee Brewers behind  right-hander Wily Peralta (3-3, 3.60 ERA) who gave up a run on six hits in four innings at Pittsburgh last Tuesday in his most recent start. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Freddy Peralta (9-4, 2.69 ERA) will start on Tuesday. Peralta has been on an innings limit  and has not exceeded more than 3 2/3 innings in any of his last three starts . This tells me they are saving him for post season play or he is  showing signs of fatigue or both an is vulnerable to getting blasted by a sometimes explosive Detroit offense.  

Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day.

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. 

DETROIT is 8-4  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

MILWAUKEE is 49-100 L/149 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs .MILWAUKEE is 10-17 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Sunday's series finale is scheduled to feature a matchup of left-handers in Arizona's Tyler Gilbert (1-2, 3.12 ERA) against Seattle's Yusei Kikuchi (7-8, 4.32). My power rankings give the edge to the Mariners in a bounce back situation after yesterdays flat loss. 

ARIZONA is 2-14 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.

SERVAIS is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SEATTLE.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 61-20 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Seattle to win 

Cards starter  HAPP is 20-9  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record)

Reds starter GRAY is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.471.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 27-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are  50-81 L/24 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate.

Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-3  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

ARIZONA is 1-13  against the money line against AL West opponents this season.ARIZONA is 33-82 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 8-45 in their last 53 road games.

Play on Seattle to win 

Cleveland's Zach Plesac (10-4, 4.53 ERA) goes to the hill Saturday vs the Milwaukee Brewers. Plesac, is 4-0 in his past five outings on Sunday after yielding three runs in five innings of an 11-5 victory over the Boston Red Sox. Meanwhile, right-hander Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.38 ERA), takes the ball for the Brewers. He is also in good form going  7-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his past 16 trips to the mound . With two strong hurlers on the hill, the advantage according to my power rankings goes to the home side, on a value moneyline offering. I know Cleveland is struggling to score, but they matchup well vs /Burnes according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. 

FRANCONA is 102-60 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 41-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indians to win