| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 06-23-21 | Nationals v. Phillies -104 | 13-12 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
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Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)The Phillies are also 9-0 on the ML L/9 since Jul 30, 2017 when Vince Velasquez starts at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2.00 in his last start. Nationals starter Fede has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs Phillies. Nationals are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 against the money line in home games in day games this season. Play on Phillies to win |
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| 06-23-21 | White Sox -156 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP5-3, 3.99 ERA, 89 SO( has been in good form on the hill this season, plus he adds a live bat to the lineup in inter-leauge action as he went 3 for 3 last time he went against a NL team the the Reds. PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.
The Pirates are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a dog after they scored first and then trailed before coming back to win last game. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 15-38 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
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Seattle starter FLEXEN is 8-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is also 7-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 4-18 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. I know the White Sox have used up alot of innings with their bullpen staff of late, but COLORADO is 4-19 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or worse ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mariners to win |
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| 06-22-21 | Astros -174 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
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Astros starter GREINKE is 62-18 against the opening money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. Baltimores starter LOPEZ owns a ugly 8.23 ERA in his L/3 starts and is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.863. BALTIMORE is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 35-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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| 06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Padres starting hurler Yu Darvish(RHP6-2, 2.57 ERA, 97 SO)The Padres won 11 of Darvish's first 12 starts this season, but they've now lost two straight. Still, Darvish was mostly sharp in those two outings. He's allowed just 59 hits while striking out 97 across 84 innings this season and my support here in what will be a motivated start for the ace of the staff.
The Padres are 8-0 on the ML when Yu Darvish starts as a favorite after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Padres are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 17-35 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on San Diego to win |
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| 06-21-21 | Brewers -114 v. Diamondbacks | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
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Fading the Dbacks has been a lucrative endeavor.Arizona has lost 13 straight and the momentum of their ugly run must be an option to back on this cheap of a line. Arizona has allowed 8.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Note: Brewers starter Anderson is a southpaw hurler , ARIZONA is 3-15 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they scored at least six runs last game. ( Milwaukee scored 7 runs yesterday in a win) Play on Milwaukee to win |
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| 06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants -121 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
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Phillies starter Eflin has pitched fewer than six innings in two of his last three starts and in his current form a good hurler to fade. The Phillies won yesterday 13-6 but now a regression factor comes into play favoring the sf Giants. The Giants are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they did not score after the third inning last game. PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Play on Giants to win |
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| 06-20-21 | Red Sox -116 v. Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
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KCs starter MINOR is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 4-11 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Royals are 6-for-67 with runners in scoring position in their last eight games, and they've lost seven of them, including Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox, in which the Royals were 0-for-11 with RISP. (Fade Material)
The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. Play on Red Sox to win |
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| 06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -105 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
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Rockies starter Austin Gomber( LHP-6-5, 3.54 ERA, 75 SO)Remember when the going wisdom was curveballs were not good at Coors Field? Well, according to MLB Quality of Pitch, Gomber's knuckle curve ranks in the top four percent in MLB in overall quality.Colorados starter GOMBER is 8-1 against the money line as an opening line underdog of +100 to +150 in his career.
The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. COLORADO is 23-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 15-6 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Rockies have won 5 straight and the Brewers have lost 5 straight. Both are currently headed in opposite directions. This is a momentum play. Take the Rockies to win |
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| 06-18-21 | Dodgers -184 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Bauer had a great start to his campaign and is obviously a top tier pitcher, that has looked average of late. But this is a great opportunity to get back into early season form vs a struggling side in Arizona. ARIZONA is 2-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. ARIZONA is 3-22 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. ARIZONA is 1-15 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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| 06-18-21 | Twins -155 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
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Twins starter Jose Berrios ( RHP-7-2, 3.49 ERA, 81 SO) In his last outing, José Berríos went seven innings and limited the Astros to two runs on five hits. Berríos was the winning pitcher in five of his last eight outings. He has pitched seven or more innings three times in that span and now still in top form entering this tilt gets my support on a moderate chalk line. The Twins are 20-0 L/20 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a road favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. TEXAS is 9-28 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 8-33 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 163-110 L/24 seasons for. a60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 06-18-21 | Cardinals +135 v. Braves | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Martínez was sharp in his last start (two unearned runs over seven frames) and owns a 3.90 ERA in 11 games (four starts) against Atlanta. MARTINEZ is 3-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240. ATLANTA is 7-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. ST LOUIS is 18-2 against the money line after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cards to win |
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| 06-17-21 | Brewers -148 v. Rockies | 3-7 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP-5-2, 1.52 ERA, 97 SO) 1.52 ERA and 0.72 WHIP is the best of the Brewers' three aces. He's coming off seven efficient innings last Friday against the Pirates, in which he threw 98 pitches. Im b etting on a rinse and repeat performance here in Coors today. Brewers stater WOODRUFF is 23-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts coming off a start where he got at least seven runs of support. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brewers to win |
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| 06-17-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +109 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
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Yankees starter Michael King(RHP0-3, 3.77 ERA, 28 SO) In three starts since taking the injured Corey Kluber's place in the rotation, has pitched to a 6.35 ERA with two losses, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) in 11 1/3 innings. Im betting the mighty Blue Jays offense tees off here and brings home the W. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-17-21 | Orioles v. Indians -120 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
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The Orioles are 0-18 L/18 on the road and at this price Ill just continue to ride the curse of the Birds. Remember there is no such thing as due for a win.CLEVELAND is 31-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indians to win |
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| 06-16-21 | Rangers v. Astros -215 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
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Astros starter GREINKE is 32-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) The Astros are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after their opponent left 18+ men on base individually last game. TEXAS is 5-28 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (HOUSTON) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team is 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Houston to win |
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| 06-16-21 | Padres v. Rockies +178 | 7-8 | Win | 178 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
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Padres starter SNELL is 0-6 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 3-8 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 0-7 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 when lefty Kyle Freeland starts at home in an afternoon game. Padres are 21-50 in their last 71 road games vs. a left-handed starter. COLORADO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 12-31 L/24 seasons for a 72/% go against conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 06-16-21 | Tigers +132 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 132 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
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Tigers start Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.35 ERA, 74 SO)is unbeaten in his last three starts after racking up 25 strikeouts in 17 innings against the White Sox and Yankees. His slider has become an increasingly effective swing-and-miss pitch, coupled with more consistent command of his fastball. He brings great momentum and top tier form into this matchup and gets my support to help the Tigers get the W here today vs a KC side that has lost 10 of their L/11 games overall. KANSAS CITY is 0-15 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to win |
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| 06-15-21 | Angels v. A's -122 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
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As starter Frankie Montas ( RHP 6-6, 4.37 ERA, 73 SO ) took a tough-luck loss against the Royals his last time out, looking unhittable through six innings before an unlucky sequence in the seventh that led to three runs scored. Im betting he continues his current trend of top tier efforts and that this time will result in a W. Angels starter HEANEY is 3-15 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-0 against the money line in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 23-9 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on the As to win |
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| 06-15-21 | Orioles v. Indians -170 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
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Orioles starter Matt Harvey( RHP3-7, 7.41 ERA, 47 SO) owns a ugly 11.79 ERA in his L/7 starts , with six of them registered as losses. Note: The Orioles are 0-16 L/16 on the road and continue to be fade material here today vs the Indians. CLEVELAND is 8-0 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 29-9 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons Play on the Indians to win |
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| 06-15-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -118 | 6-5 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
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Hyun Jin RyuLHP ( 5-4, 3.34 ERA, 62 SO) hasn't been quite as sharp recently, but he is close to getting back to his ace form and looked great against the Yankees earlier this season, allowing just one unearned run over 6 2/3 innings on April 13. With upward momentum ready to peak he is a prime candidate to get the under rated and explosive Blue Jays into the win column tonight vs a Yankees team that has lost 7 of their L/9. RYU is 48-16 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 41-14 against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOONE is 17-36 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight game are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-14-21 | Rays -107 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
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TB starter GLASNOW is 22-7 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) White Sox success rate vs righties has not been great as is evident by averaging just 4.4 rpg which is a detriment vs a Rays side that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. The Rays are 12-0 L/12 as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 13-2 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - after sweeping a 3 game series at home against a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 34-12 L/ 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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| 06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
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Cubs starter Zach Davies(RHP3-3, 4.45 ERA, 37 SO) logged six shutout innings to beat the Padres on the road on Tuesday, ending with four strikeouts, two walks and one hit allowed. The righty has a 2.16 ERA in his last eight turns, including five shutout frames in St. Louis on May 23. Considering his form and momentum he is a good bet tonight to help the Cubs into the win column. DAVIES is 16-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cubs are 10-0 on the ML past the first game of a series when the opposing starting pitcher has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season by an average of 4.4 rpg. (Martinez the Cards pitcher owns a ugly looking 6.21 ERA) Cubs are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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| 06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
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Dodger stater Walker Buehler(RHP5-0, 2.56 ERA, 72 SO) is unbeaten in his last 21 starts, tying Clayton Kershaw and Julio Urías for the longest streak since the team moved to Los Angeles. Buehler's last loss came on Sept. 21, 2019, against the Rockies. Rinse and repeat .
MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors. Dodgers to win |
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| 06-13-21 | Royals v. A's -189 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
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As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP6-2, 3.44 ERA, 86 SO) Dating back to the start of the 2020 season, Bassitt is 11-4 with a 2.94 ERA in 24 starts. He has walked just one batter in each of his last four outings. He deserves our support here even with the extra lumber being layed. The Athletics are 14-0 L/14 when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 14-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 10-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win |
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| 06-12-21 | Astros -105 v. Twins | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
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Astros starter Luis Garcia(RHP5-3, 2.75 ERA, 68 SO) has been moving upward with effective momentum all season, but now that success is showing up in the win column. After an 0-3 start through his first seven games, he's won each of his past five. He has just two homers allowed in his past 29 innings and gets my support here todays vs a Twins side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings. The Twins are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the second game of a series after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. MINNESOTA is 9-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Twins are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League West. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts with a combined average of 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Astros to win |
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| 06-12-21 | White Sox -165 v. Tigers | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
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Pale Hose starter Dylan Cease(RHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 78 SO) absolutely dominates the Tigers. He has a 7-0 record with a 1.91 ERA over seven career starts against Detroit, striking out 47 over 42 1/3 innings. Cease has 14 scoreless innings in two wins over the Tigers this season. Rinse and repeat . Note: Tigers starter : URENA is 2-19 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 06-12-21 | Angels -112 v. Diamondbacks | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
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Halos starter Alex Cobb(RHP4-2, 4.24 ERA, 49 SO) has pitched well over his last four starts, garnering a stingy 2.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 24 innings and in his current form deserves respect here vs a struggling Dbacks side that has lost 8 straight games.ARIZONA is 2-21 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 06-12-21 | Mariners v. Indians -114 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
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Indians stater McKenzie has already made two starts in the Majors since his demotion to Triple-A, but this time, he'll look to stay with the big league team for good. Two starts ago, he tossed five scoreless innings before fanning 10 batters in his next outing and with experience Im betting will continue to improve.
The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a home favorite off a home game in which Jose Ramirez had multiple hits. Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Indians are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) (AL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 06-11-21 | Royals v. A's -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
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As starter Cole Irvin(LHP4-7, 3.89 ERA, 50 SO) bounced back from what had been a rough stretch , by tossing six innings of one-run ball in a win over the Rockies his last time out and now with momentum gets my support here vs the Royals. The Royals are 0-15 L/15 on the ML as a road dog off a 5+ run road win. OAKLAND is 36-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.OAKLAND is 35-11 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season. Play on the As to win |
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| 06-11-21 | White Sox -155 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
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Tarik Skubal(LHP3-7, 4.33 ERA, 68 SO) pitched well vs the White sox the last time they met, but now after scanning him, Im betting they have an edge against a left handed fast ball hurler. Meanwhile, White Sox starter GIOLITO is 7-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 30-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 87-186 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -109 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
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The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two games. RODRIGUEZ is 22-6 ) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 19-32 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons Road teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 29-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 06-10-21 | Dodgers -209 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP8-2, 3.48 ERA, 80 SO) bounced back well following his worst start of the season with five innings of one-run ball against the Braves on Friday. Since the beginning of May, the left-hander has struck out 48 and walked five over seven starts and gets my support here in this spot. The Dodgers are 27-0 L27 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game. PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-27 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. LA DODGERS is 8-0 against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons. Play on the LA dodgers to win |
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| 06-10-21 | Brewers -111 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
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Brewers starter Freddy Peralta(RHP6-1, 2.25 ERA, 92 SO) came within five outs of a no-hitter last Friday against the D-backs before Nick Ahmed hit a slider below the zone for a single. Peralta's last two starts: 14 1/3 innings, five hits, two runs. Rinse and repeat here and we will back Peralta. Reds starter CASTILLO is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a home dog after they had a comeback win last game. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 against the money line in road games in day games this season MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), playing on Thursday are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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| 06-09-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -143 | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter right-hander Lance Lynn is 6-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a .150 opponents average over his past seven starts. Lynn has 36 strikeouts in his last 39 innings of work and deserves respect here on the M L. LYNN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 8-16 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The White Sox are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a favorite of at least -140 after their opponent scored first last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line vs. a struggling bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White sox to win |
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| 06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
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As starter Sean Manaea( LHP4-2, 3.36 ERA, 70 SO) pitched a masterpiece in his last time out, throwing a shutout with eight strikeouts against the Mariners. In his last four starts, Manaea owns a 1.69 ERA with 25 strikeouts to seven walks and my support here on a big chalk line. MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ARIZONA is 2-19 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (OAKLAND) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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| 06-09-21 | Giants -104 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
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I know Gibson the ace of the Giants pitching staff takes to the hill today, but the way the Rangers bats have shown inconsistency this season, Im fading them here as run support could easily lead to SF finding a way to win in this spot play. GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.000. The Rangers are 0-10 SL/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.TEXAS is 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Play on SF Giants to win |
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| 06-08-21 | Diamondbacks +193 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
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Chris Bassitt RHP5-2, 3.53 ERA, 80 SOis coming off his shortest start of the season, going just four innings against the Mariners in his last outing and looks vulnerable entering this tilt vs a side the As maybe overlooking. ARIZONA is 8-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 11-0 L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. ARIZONA is 26-9 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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| 06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -135 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
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Jays southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57 ERA, 69 SO) has pitched well this season, but hes going against a Pale Hose offense that rips apart left handed pitching averaging 6.8 rpg. Advantage White Sox. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-4 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 06-08-21 | Mariners v. Tigers -125 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
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MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 19-70 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Tigers to win ( LATE STEAM) |
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| 06-08-21 | Brewers v. Reds -132 | 5-1 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
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Brewers starter HOUSER is 7-16 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Reds starter GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 19-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 0-9 L/9 off a win as a favorite in which they scored 3 runs or less. MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the Reds to win |
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| 06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -116 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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Padres starter Ryan Weathers(LHP2-2, 2.06 ERA, 29 SO) suffered through his roughest outing as a big leaguer against the Cubs on Tuesday, allowing four runs over five innings. Still, he's been one of the most effective rookies in the sport, and he's allowed four runs, total, in four starts at home and now Im betting he bounces back in a big wauy here at home in Petco where he loves to pitch. The Padres are 7-0 L/7 on the ML as a favorite when they lost the last two games their starter started. The Cubs are 0-7 L/7 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog after they had a comeback win last game. CHICAGO CUBS are 22-40 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Padres to win |
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| 06-06-21 | Mets v. Padres -136 | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
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Chris Paddack( RHP2-4, 4.24 ERA, 42 SO) At long last, it's time for Paddack's rematch with the Mets and Pete Alonso. Paddack famously called out Alonso before a start two years ago, and the two didn't square off last year during a COVID-19-shortened season. Paddack had a 3.09 ERA in May. Motivation for Paddock makes him and the Padres my choice in this spot play. NY METS are 14-30 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-97 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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| 06-06-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -196 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP3-2, 3.79 ERA, 68 SO) has a proven track record of success against Detroit, as is evident by his 6-0 record with a 2.29 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings over six career starts against them. Rinse and repeat here again today. Note: CEASE is 11-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Tigers starter URENA is 2-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road dog coming off a one-run win on the road. Detroit upset the White Sox yesterday and now Im betting on the Pale Hose to be fully awake in revenge mode here today. Play on the White sox to win |
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| 06-06-21 | Marlins v. Pirates +118 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
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Miami has lost 8 straight games and are fade material .The Pirates are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chad Kuhl starts at home when they lost in his last start. MIAMI is 0-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. Marlins are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 64-110 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate. Play on the Pirates to win |
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| 06-06-21 | Indians -113 v. Orioles | 5-18 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
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Orioles starer Lopez Historically has not done well vs the Indians . His 9.00 ERA against the club is his fourth highest against any team he's gone against. Orioles are 17-40 in their last 57 vs. American League Central. The Indians are 12-0 L/12 on he ML on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs. MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 06-05-21 | Dodgers -120 v. Braves | 4-6 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
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Dodgers stater Clayton Kershaw(LHP7-4, 3.33 ERA, 77 SO) has been slightly better on the road this season, going 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in six starts away from Dodger Stadium. He has struck out 31 over 32 1/3 road innings and gets my support here today. KERSHAW is 7-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.934. MORTON is 0-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.477. The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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| 06-05-21 | Twins -109 v. Royals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
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Twins starter Jose Berrios(RHP5-2, 3.36 ERA, 69 SO) became the Twins' first starter to pitch into the ninth inning during a 101-pitch outing against the Orioles on Monday, allowing one run on five hits with six strikeouts. He hasn't allowed more than four runs in a start all season and gets my support here to slow down the Royals. I know the Royals are hot however, MATHENY is 13-24 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive wins in all games he has managed since 1997.
The Royals are 0-16 L/16 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies +116 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
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Rockies starter Jon Gray ( RHP4-5, 3.71 ERA, 50 SO) is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and he is 8-1 with a 3.06 ERA against American League teams and gets the nod here vs the As tonight. The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Jon Gray starts at home and he had a WHIP of 2+ in his last start in a Rockies lost. COLORADO is 12-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent AL starter (ERA 4.20 to 4.70), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 37-16 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockies to win |
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| 06-04-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -134 | 6-4 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Kwang Hyun Kim( LHP1-3, 3.65 ERA, 33 SO) was in top form facing the Reds on April 23, allowing one earned run in 5 2/3 innings while striking out a career-high eight batters. Rinse and repeat here as the under rated Cards have the edge at home. KIM is 6-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordNote: Reds starter CASTILLO is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-17 L/17 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, then trailed and came back to win. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win |
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| 06-04-21 | Indians -110 v. Orioles | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
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Jean Carlos Mejia (RHP1-0, 0.00 ERA, 7 SO) The Indians are ready to give Mejía, who's made three scoreless appearances in relief, a chance to earn a spot in the rotation and now Im betting he will be primed to perform . The Indians are 13-0 L/13 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game. HYDE is 16-30 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of BALTIMORE BALTIMORE is 2-11 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 06-04-21 | Nationals +105 v. Phillies | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
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Washington starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-4, 2.34 ERA, 95 SO) is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his eight starts in Philadelphia since joining the Nationals in 2015. The Nats are 7-1 in those games. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons. Phillies starter WHEELER is 6-11 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.439. Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nationals to win |
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| 06-03-21 | Mets +161 v. Padres | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
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NY Mets starter Taijuan Walker(RHP4-1, 1.84 ERA, 49 SO) returned from the IL to throw five scoreless innings and strike out eight in a win over the Braves last Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 1.33 ERA in five career starts against the Padres and gets my support here on a value line. I know the Padres starter Darvish has been in top form for most of the season, but he looked worn out last time out as he gave up five runs (four earned) over five innings vs. Houston. WALKER is 8-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WALKER is 15-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 36-90 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play in the NY Mets to win |
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| 06-03-21 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
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Halos starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-3, 5.40 ERA, 45 SO) is coming off one of his better starts, allowing three runs across six innings with seven strikeouts in a win over the Rangers. The right-hander pitched well against Seattle on May 1, yielding no earned runs across 5 1/3 innings and gets my support here again today vs the Mariners. Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The Mariners are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of at least +140 when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 06-03-21 | Red Sox +120 v. Astros | 5-1 | Win | 120 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
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Im betting on the BoSox to salvage a game from this 4 game series vs Houston . BoSox stater PEREZ is 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Red Sox are 10-0 L/10 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog after they lost by one run last game which was the case in a 2-1 heart breaker. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-14 in their last 18 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. BOSTON is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-03-21 | Nationals v. Braves -122 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
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Lefty Nationals starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-4, 6.23 ERA, 41 SO) allowed his fifth first-inning home run of the year against the Brewers on Saturday, which is the second most in the Majors. The most first-inning homers Corbin has allowed in his nine seasons was six in 2017. He owns a 7.45 ERA on the road this season. I dont like his from as of now and more than willing to bet against him in this spot play. The Nationals are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Patrick Corbin starts as a dog when they lost in his last start. Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Davidson. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in June games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-02-21 | Red Sox +135 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
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BoSox starter Nick Pivetta(RHP6-0, 3.86 ERA, 59 SO) is unbeaten since joining the Red Sox last season, going 8-0 with a 3.53 ERA in 12 starts. The righty struck out nine over six innings in his last start against the Braves to get the win. This is his first career start in Houston. Rinse and repeat.
BoSox starter PIVETTA is 9-1 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 on the ML when Nick Pivetta starts after he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start. BOSTON is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season . BOSTON is 27-14 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Red Sox |
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| 06-01-21 | Pirates v. Royals -175 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
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Pirates starter Wil Crowe(RHP0-3, 5.67 ERA, 25 SO)Crowe was pulled after 1 1/3 innings on Wednesday after struggling to locate any of his pitches, though his quick hook led to only three runs going on his line. He's given up seven runs in his past 6 1/3 innings and struggling mightily entering this tilt and is fade material in his current form as is his team as they have lost 10 of their L/13 overall. PITTSBURGH is 4-26 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 season The Royals are 12-0 L/12 as a favorite of at least -135 off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at least four separate innings.
MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 49-15 L/24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KC Royals |
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| 06-01-21 | Nationals v. Braves -133 | 11-6 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
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Atlanta starter FRIED is 28-9 ( against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 20-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Braves are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Max Fried starts after they won as an home favorite in his last start. WASHINGTON is 7-17 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-01-21 | Twins -155 v. Orioles | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
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Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP3-2, 2.62 ERA, 47 SO)looks to be healthy after a abscess that caused him to hit the injured list and miss a turn in the rotation, tossing six innings of one-run ball with a season-high eight strikeouts against Baltimore on Wednesday on 101 pitches. Im betting on more of the same top tier action today from the righty . Baltimore is 0-14 L/14 overall.
The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 in the second game of a series as a dog after a loss where they never led in the first game. Play on the Twins to win |
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| 05-31-21 | Red Sox v. Astros +104 | 2-11 | Win | 104 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
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Astros starter Jose Urquidy (RHP3-2, 3.22 ERA, 33 SO) returns from the IL (inflammation in right shoulder) to make his first start since May 12. He’s 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts, walking just two batters and allowing four earned runs and 15 hits in 23 2/3 innings and gets my support here int his spot vs struggling lefty Rodriguez who has had a rough May, going 1-3 with a 6.48 ERA. The Red Sox are 0-10 L/10 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers. Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.HOUSTON is 37-8 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Houston to win |
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| 05-31-21 | Rays v. Yankees -115 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
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I know the Yanks have been struggling but what I have learned is that you never count this current version of the Yankees out , no matter who the opposition is. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML at home after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led. NY YANKEES are 32-13 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 season. NY YANKEES are 33-14 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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| 05-30-21 | Cardinals -112 v. Diamondbacks | 2-9 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
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The Arizona DBacks are on 13 game losing streak, and completely in disarray. In their current form they are fade material. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 L/9 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game. Cards starter KIM is 11-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-4 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 11-2 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play on the Cards to win |
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| 05-30-21 | Angels v. A's -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
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As left-hander Irvin has allowed nine runs on 18 hits in his last two starts after posting a 2.49 ERA over his previous seven. Hes a quailty hurler and Im betting he bounces back here vs a batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Meanwhile, angles starter Qunitana owns a ugly 12.54 ERA in 3 road starts. The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite on the opening line of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning last game. OAKLAND is 31-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 21-9 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. LA ANGELS are 1-13 against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons. Play on the As to win |
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| 05-29-21 | Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
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The Dbacks are on a 12 game losing streak, and there is little very little light at the end of the tunnel considering their current form. Today against a hurler that my power rankings suggest they do matchup well against the Dbacks are fade material once again. Cards starter Adam Wainwright (RHP 2-4, 3.95 ERA, 51 SO)was let down by his offense, Wainwright earned a no-decision Sunday despite eight shutout innings of one-hit ball vs. the Cubs. It was his second consecutive scoreless home start and he deserves betting respect here as a short favorite.Note: The Cardinals are 11-0 on the ML when Adam Wainwright starts on the road when their opponent is on a 4+ game losing streak. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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| 05-29-21 | Yankees -130 v. Tigers | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
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The Tigers' took a 3-2, 10-inning walk-off victory on Friday and now the Yankees Im betting rebound here in a big way vs Tigers starter TURNBULL who is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600. Yankees are one of baseballs best fast ball hitting teams and with Stanton now back in the lineup despite of a less than stellar 0 for 5 return to the lineup yesterday still matches up well here and could easily be a catalyst for NYY. The Tigers are 0-11 on the ML as a home dog off a home game that went to extra innings. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 32-109 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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| 05-29-21 | Royals v. Twins -165 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
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J Happ the Twins starter has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering a 3.86 ERA and gets my support here at home vs a side that he has won his last 3 outings against. The Twins are 12-0 L/12 on the ML at home in the first 100 games of the season after they lost by 5+ runs last game. (After a 4 game win streak they got blasted 8-3 in the first game of this series and now its bounce back time). Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 59-106 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Royals are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -190 | 8-5 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
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Dodger starter Walker Buehler( RHP3-0, 2.78 ERA, 59 SO) is 2-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium this season, striking out 38 over 33 1/3 innings. He allowed one run over seven innings in his lone start against the Giants this season and gets my support here laying extra lumber on the money-line. The Dodgers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when Walker Buehler starts at home after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday. LA DODGERS are 68-20 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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| 05-28-21 | Cardinals +123 v. Diamondbacks | 8-6 | Win | 123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
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Arizona enters this game having lost 11 straight games and are fade material in their current form. Considering Dbacks starter Madison Bumgarner (LHP -4-4, 4.53 ERA, 56 SO) lost his last start as he allowed seven runs (five earned) over six innings and is also in bad form entering this tilt Im liking the value we have with the visitors in this spot play. ST LOUIS is 14-3 against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons which was the case yesterday in their 5-4 victory vs struggling Arizona.ST LOUIS is 14-3 against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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| 05-27-21 | Angels v. A's -147 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
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As stater Chris Bassitt9RHP4-2, 3.69 ERA, 65 SO) enters Thursday's start on a roll, going 4-0 with a 3.26 ERA over his last eight starts. This will be his second consecutive start against the Angels. He held the Halos to two runs while striking out eight across 7 2/3 innings in a win last Saturday. Momentum and form have us taking him to help his team to the promised land. W ......The Athletics are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a 140+ favorite when they won in his last start.BASSITT is 25-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win
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| 05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox -210 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
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CHI WHITE SOX are 25-3 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. (Orioles starter Zimmerman is a southpaw hurler) The Pale hose have blasted left handers this season averaging 7.8 rpg via a .292 BA. Rinse and repeat here today. BALTIMORE is 3-18against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. CHI WHITE SOX are 30-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game without an extra base hit are 51-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 05-27-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
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The Yanks looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last time they played on and the Blue /jays took advantage of the situation to end a 6 game losing streak and at the same time end of the Yanks 6 game winning streak. The Yankees are 17-0 L/17 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they allowed 12+ hits. Note: NYY starter GERMAN is 11-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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| 05-27-21 | Royals v. Rays -175 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
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TB phenom starter Shane McClanahan(LHP1-0, 4.03 ERA, 26 SO)Most teams haven't seen the rookie McClanahan yet, and that includes the Royals. The league's hardest-throwing lefty starter (averages 97.4 mph on his fastball) allowed one run in five innings his last time out against Toronto. Pull the trigger here with the Rays.
TB is red hot having won 12 of their L/13 and must be respected in this spot play . The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road dog vs a left-handed starter when they won the last three times they faced a left-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 15-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 26-105 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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| 05-27-21 | Rockies v. Mets -128 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
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Mets starter Marcus Stroman (RHP) 3-4, 2.75 ERA, 43 SO----Although Stroman hasn't been quite as sharp in May as he was in April, the right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the month -- six innings, two runs and eight strikeouts in a no-decision against the Marlins. Hes a streaky pitcher and deserves respect here on a short chalk line. Meanwhile, the Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the ML when German Marquez starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start. COLORADO is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 3-18 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 22-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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| 05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays -196 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
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Glasonw the Rays staff ace is still off to a solid start,, averaging nearly nine strikeouts per outing and after a sub par outing last time will be fully focused and ready to perform. MLB favorites with a opening money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or worse) (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 8-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TB to win |
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| 05-26-21 | Rangers v. Angels -111 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
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Angels start Griffin Canning ( RHP3-3, 5.56 ERA, 38 SO) saw his stretch of three-straight strong starts come to an end against the Twins, allowing four runs over two innings. He gave up a grand slam in the first that spoiled his outing. I am now betting on a bounce back. Rangers starter DUNNING is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400. The Rangers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML in the second game of a series as a road dog after they lost by 5+ runs last game. MLB team (TEXAS) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 05-25-21 | Reds v. Nationals -178 | 2-1 | Loss | -178 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
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Nationals starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-2, 2.24 ERA, 76 SO) is 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 55 strikeouts in five starts against the Reds while with the Nationals. He fanned eight over five innings in his last start on Wednesday against the Cubs. Rinse and repeat in play here. Reds starter MAHLE is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 12.14 and a WHIP of 2.099. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 38-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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| 05-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -170 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
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Yankess starter Corey Kluber(RHP4-2, 2.86 ERA, 50 SO) hrew the Yankees' first no-hitter since David Cone's 1999 perfect game in his last start, tossing 101 pitches in his gem over the Rangers in Arlington. The two-time Cy Young Award winner walked one and struck out nine in the effort. In his current form he will be hard to beat . These teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum with the Yankees having won 6 straight while the Jays have lost 6 straight, making the team on a ;positive momentum run the play here.
TORONTO is 0-9 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after they allowed 6+ runs. TORONTO is 3-11 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. Play on the Yankees to win |
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| 05-24-21 | Mariners v. A's -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
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As starter MONTAS is 12-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Athletics are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series. OAKLAND is 59-23 against the money line against left-handed starters like the Mariners Kikuch over the last 3 seasons . OAKLAND is 32-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 road games. MLB team (SEATTLE) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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| 05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers -114 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
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Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP 2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO ) Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start. WOODRUFF is 18-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which Christian Yelich had multiple RBIs. Padres starter SNELL is 5-14 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 104-54 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brewers to win |
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| 05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
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Rockies are inconsistent bunch and even against sub par teams have had problems maintaining any kind of momentum. Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Rockies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML on the road after they scored in at least four separate innings. COLORADO is 1-11 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 5-24 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons. BLACK is 6-19 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of COLORADO. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or worse), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mets |
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| 05-23-21 | A's -107 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
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As workhorse starter Sean Manaea(LHP3-2, 4.41 ERA, 48 SO) pitched around heavy traffic on the basepaths to limit the Astros to just three runs on Tuesday, despite allowing 10 hits over six innings. His quality outing kept the A's in striking distance of what was an eventual 6-5 walk-off win over Houston. He is a nnever say die hurler that deserves respect on a short chalk line. MANAEA is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season which the As have. Angels starter UNDY is 5-22 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-2 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Oakland As to win |
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| 05-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -139 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
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Rockies starter Jon Gray(RHP4-4, 3.48 ERA, 45 SO) has thrived at Coors Field (4-1, 2.00 ERA in six starts), including 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball vs. Arizona on April 8. Rinse and repeat.
The Diamondbacks are 0-8 L/8 on the ML as a road dog after a loss where they never led. ARIZONA is 1-12 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 season. ARIZONA is 4-23 ( against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games are 26-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 51-115 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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| 05-23-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
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The Indians squeaked out a 5-3 win with late inning runs yesterday vs the Twins which is emotionally deflating for a struggling side like the Twins making them fade material here in this spot . Note: Twins starter J.A. Happ (LHP 2-2, 5.35 ERA, 20 SO) has had less than viable starts recently and is on a two-game losing streak that has seen him total seven innings over his last two starts. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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| 05-22-21 | Twins +152 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
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Indians starter Shane Bieber(RHP4-3, 3.17 ERA, 92 SO) Last time, lasted just 4 2/3 innings vs. Seattle. His slider (and command, overall) hasn't been as sharp as it was to start the year, and he is showing flaws in his mechanics which not a good sign, making him fade material on a value line. The Twins are 13-0 L/13 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they shut out their opponent last game. Manager BALDELLI is 29-13 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB team (CLEVELAND) -struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 05-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +105 | 6-7 | Win | 105 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
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DBacks Madison Bumgarner(LHP4-3, 4.15 ERA, 54 SO) exited his last start early after having a spasm in his left adductor muscle and is still not 100%. The left-hander felt the injury during his pregame warmups, but he made it through four innings against the Dodgers before leaving the game. Im betting on his health effecting this out come which favors the rockies collecting the cash for their backers on a value moneyline offering. Rockies starter SENZATELA is 13-6 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 0-13 L/13 on the ML as a dog after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. ARIZONA is 4-22 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 05-21-21 | Pirates v. Braves -180 | 1-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
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Braves starter Ian Anderson (RHP3-1, 3.20 ERA, 47 SO) carried a no-hit bid into the seventh inning of Saturday's start in Milwaukee. The young right-hander has held an opponent hitless through the first five innings of two of his first 15 career starts and is a very viable option to back in this spot play. ATLANTA is 22-9 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. ( T Anderson qualifies) ATLANTA is 14-2 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a dog after they scored first lat game before trailing and coming back to win. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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| 05-21-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -195 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
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Orioles starter Jorge Lopez(RHP1-4, 6.35 ERA, 34 SO) was hit hard in his last outing, allowing five runs in two innings to the Yankees on Saturday. The right hander has completed at least five innings in just two of his seven starts this season and is fade material in his current form. BALTIMORE is 4-20 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 10-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Nationals to win |
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| 05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -145 | 11-3 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
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Red Sox starter Perez is pitching better lately, after some early season struggles, but watching his delivery has me a little alarmed at is overall health. Note: Peréz labored in a start at Philly last season, walking six and allowing five hits and four runs over five innings in a no-decision. The Phillies are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter Aaron Nola starts as a home favorite of -140 or greater when they lost in his last start which is the case here. Nola has ben his best at home this season recording a 2-0 record along with a 1.40 ERA. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 24-10 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win |
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| 05-21-21 | White Sox -101 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
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Pale Hose starter Carlos Rodon(LHP5-1, 1.47 ERA, 49 SO)After five starts and five decisive victories, Rodón lost for the first time in 2021 during his last trip to the mound Saturday against the Royals. Rodón has 49 strikeouts against 12 walks over 36 2/3 innings this season. Im now betting on a bounce back effort today. Note: Rodon is 3-0 on the road this season and has garnered a minuscule 0.56 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees will trot out southpaw Montgomery a hurler my power rankings suggest the White Sox hitters matchup well against. CHI WHITE SOX are 24-2 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.The White Sox are 10-0L/10 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 05-20-21 | Twins -102 v. Angels | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
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Game 1 of Double Header Angels starter Alex Cobb ( 1-2, 5.48 ERA) does matchup well vs the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and is fade material in this spot play. The Angels are 0-11 L/11 on the ML after they lost by one run last game which was the case yesterday. LA ANGELS are 9-21 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. LA ANGELS are 3-12 against the money line with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 158-100 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 05-19-21 | Astros v. A's +105 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
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Astros starter GREINKE is 9-23 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) As starter Frankie Montas(RHP5-2, 4.93 ERA, 39 SO) has been sharp in the month of May, now 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA over three starts. He limited Houston to one run over six innings in a win on April 10 and gets my support turn the trcik again . MONTAS is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win |
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| 05-19-21 | Indians +114 v. Angels | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
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Starting Cleveland starter Aaron Civale (RHP) 5-1, 3.40 ERA, 39 SO ) is coming off his first loss of the year, allowing a season-high five runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Mariners and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a hurler has shown significant effecinchy this season. Considering Angels starter Ohtani has been shown signs of fatigue this season. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game which was the case yesterday. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 05-19-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
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Garret Richards has pitched well lately, but has not had a lot of luck vs the Blue Jays in the past posting a 2-5 record along with a 5.49 ERA in nine career games (seven starts) against Toronto. The Jays have a powerful batting order than can tear apart fast ball hurlers and thats wnhat Im betting on here tonight. Note: Blue Jays hurler STRIPLING is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.186 Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 on the ML on the road off a game as a dog in which they were shutout.TORONTO is 9-2 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. TORONTO is 9-2 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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| 05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -116 | 5-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
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Juston Dunn the Mariners starter has the best numbers on the starting staff, but he is averaging less than five innings per outing. However, Im betting his support crew will help us get to the promised land . DUNN is 6-0 ( against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNN is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 on the road after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually. Play on the Mariners |
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| 05-18-21 | White Sox v. Twins +105 | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
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Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP2-2, 2.79 ERA, 39 SO) consistent Twins career continued on with another strong start in which he allowed three runs over 5 1/3 innings on a season-high 96 pitches against the White Sox on Thursday. He's held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in six of his seven outings this season and must be respected in this underdog role as the Twins Im betting bounce back off a 16-4 drubbing yesterday. Note: Big time regression on board for a White Sox side that is just sub par vs righties. Pale Hose are just 4-14 L/18 vs righties.The Twins are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Michael Pineda starts against an opponent he lost to the last time he faced them which is the WS starter Lynn) Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 05-18-21 | Rays -143 v. Orioles | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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TB Rays starter ( Luis PatinoRHP1-1, 1.54 ERA, 13 SO) will make his second straight start, and he'll likely pitch more like a starter than an extended opener after working four strong innings vs. the Yankees last Tuesday. He has allowed only three runs (two earned) while striking out 13 in 11 2/3 innings and deserves respect here in this spot play. The Rays are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a road favorite off a game as a dog in which they won by 5+ runs.
MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 160-109 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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| 05-17-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -173 | 4-1 | Loss | -173 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
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Seattle starter Yusei Kikuchi(LHP1-2, 4.30 ERA, 45 SO) is coming off a career-high 11 strikeouts, against the defending champion Dodgers, a competitive game in which Seattle's bullpen blew a late lead. He’s pitched into the seventh inning in each of his past three starts and according to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order data has a definitive edge here vs a Detroit offense that is hitting just .209 vs southpaws while averaging just 2.3 rpg. Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 16-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 55-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. \ Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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| 05-16-21 | A's +106 v. Twins | 7-6 | Win | 106 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
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As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP3-2, 3.54 ERA, 53 SO) has allowed just two runs in each of his last six starts. The right-hander is also striking out batters in bunches, recording a season-high 10 punchouts in a win over the Red Sox his last time out and in his current form is an easy take on a value moneyline. Twins starter MAEDA is 9-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 MINNESOTA is 1-11 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-14 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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| 05-16-21 | Cubs -135 v. Tigers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
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Boyd the Tigers starter has pitched well overall despite of tendentious issues. It must be noted however, that The Tigers are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts in the last game of a series when they split the first two games. The Tigers are also 0-13 L/13 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog after they won by one run last game. The Cubs have also been hard on southpaws like Boyd hitting .273 as a team an averaging a whopping 6.5 rpg. DETROIT is 30-63 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Cubs to win |
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| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 06-23-21 | Nationals v. Phillies -104 | 13-12 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-23-21 | White Sox -156 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
| 06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
| 06-22-21 | Astros -174 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
| 06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
| 06-21-21 | Brewers -114 v. Diamondbacks | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
| 06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants -121 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-20-21 | Red Sox -116 v. Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
| 06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -105 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
| 06-18-21 | Dodgers -184 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-18-21 | Twins -155 v. Rangers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
| 06-18-21 | Cardinals +135 v. Braves | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
| 06-17-21 | Brewers -148 v. Rockies | 3-7 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
| 06-17-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +109 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
| 06-17-21 | Orioles v. Indians -120 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
| 06-16-21 | Rangers v. Astros -215 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
| 06-16-21 | Padres v. Rockies +178 | 7-8 | Win | 178 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
| 06-16-21 | Tigers +132 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 132 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
| 06-15-21 | Angels v. A's -122 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
| 06-15-21 | Orioles v. Indians -170 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-15-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -118 | 6-5 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
| 06-14-21 | Rays -107 v. White Sox | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-13-21 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
| 06-13-21 | Rangers v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-13-21 | Royals v. A's -189 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-12-21 | Astros -105 v. Twins | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-12-21 | White Sox -165 v. Tigers | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
| 06-12-21 | Angels -112 v. Diamondbacks | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
| 06-12-21 | Mariners v. Indians -114 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
| 06-11-21 | Royals v. A's -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
| 06-11-21 | White Sox -155 v. Tigers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-10-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -109 | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
| 06-10-21 | Dodgers -209 v. Pirates | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
| 06-10-21 | Brewers -111 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
| 06-09-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -143 | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
| 06-09-21 | Diamondbacks v. A's -210 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
| 06-09-21 | Giants -104 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Diamondbacks +193 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -135 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Mariners v. Tigers -125 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Brewers v. Reds -132 | 5-1 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
| 06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -116 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
| 06-06-21 | Mets v. Padres -136 | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
| 06-06-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -196 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
| 06-06-21 | Marlins v. Pirates +118 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
| 06-06-21 | Indians -113 v. Orioles | 5-18 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
| 06-05-21 | Dodgers -120 v. Braves | 4-6 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
| 06-05-21 | Twins -109 v. Royals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
| 06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies +116 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
| 06-04-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -134 | 6-4 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
| 06-04-21 | Indians -110 v. Orioles | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
| 06-04-21 | Nationals +105 v. Phillies | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
| 06-03-21 | Mets +161 v. Padres | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
| 06-03-21 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 6-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
| 06-03-21 | Red Sox +120 v. Astros | 5-1 | Win | 120 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
| 06-03-21 | Nationals v. Braves -122 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
| 06-02-21 | Red Sox +135 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
| 06-01-21 | Pirates v. Royals -175 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-01-21 | Nationals v. Braves -133 | 11-6 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-01-21 | Twins -155 v. Orioles | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
| 05-31-21 | Red Sox v. Astros +104 | 2-11 | Win | 104 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
| 05-31-21 | Rays v. Yankees -115 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-30-21 | Cardinals -112 v. Diamondbacks | 2-9 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
| 05-30-21 | Angels v. A's -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
| 05-29-21 | Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-29-21 | Yankees -130 v. Tigers | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
| 05-29-21 | Royals v. Twins -165 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
| 05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -190 | 8-5 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
| 05-28-21 | Cardinals +123 v. Diamondbacks | 8-6 | Win | 123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
| 05-27-21 | Angels v. A's -147 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox -210 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
| 05-27-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
| 05-27-21 | Royals v. Rays -175 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
| 05-27-21 | Rockies v. Mets -128 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
| 05-26-21 | Royals v. Rays -196 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
| 05-26-21 | Rangers v. Angels -111 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
| 05-25-21 | Reds v. Nationals -178 | 2-1 | Loss | -178 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
| 05-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -170 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
| 05-24-21 | Mariners v. A's -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
| 05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers -114 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
| 05-24-21 | Rockies v. Mets -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
| 05-23-21 | A's -107 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
| 05-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -139 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
| 05-23-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
| 05-22-21 | Twins +152 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
| 05-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +105 | 6-7 | Win | 105 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
| 05-21-21 | Pirates v. Braves -180 | 1-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
| 05-21-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -195 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
| 05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -145 | 11-3 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
| 05-21-21 | White Sox -101 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
| 05-20-21 | Twins -102 v. Angels | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
| 05-19-21 | Astros v. A's +105 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
| 05-19-21 | Indians +114 v. Angels | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
| 05-19-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
| 05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -116 | 5-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
| 05-18-21 | White Sox v. Twins +105 | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
| 05-18-21 | Rays -143 v. Orioles | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
| 05-17-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -173 | 4-1 | Loss | -173 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
| 05-16-21 | A's +106 v. Twins | 7-6 | Win | 106 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-16-21 | Cubs -135 v. Tigers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
