Tanner Roark(7-8, 4.01 ERA, 124 SO) went too to toe with Justin Verlander and turned in six innings of two-run ball in a win over the Astros on Friday. He's posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts since joining the A's via trade and he gets my support here tonight vs Tanaka and the banged up Yanks. This is a momentum play, the As have won 8 of 9 meetings in this series here in Oakland over the last couple of seasons , and have won two straight here, and a third Im betting on tonight agenda vs a Yanks team that has lost 3 straight and looking fatigued and short handed.

OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-1 against the money line in home games in August games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 29-15 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.54 ERA, 119 SO)has been one of the best starters in the NL since July 1, posting a 2.09 ERA over his last nine starts and now gets my support here this afternoon in Chicago against the Cubs. SAMARDZIJA is 5-0 ( against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) The Giants are 5-0 on the ML when Jeff Samardzija starts as a underdog when they lost in his last start against their opponent.Giants are 7-0 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts. 
Meanwhile,  Cubs are 0-7 in their starters Hendricks' last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games with umpire Nauert behind home plate.

.The Cubs won yesterday vs the Giants in a 12-11 shoutout, but those kinds of games in the followup have not been kind to the Cubs as they are   are 1-7   against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 38-24 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the SF Giants ( Late Steam)

J.A. Happ 10-7, (5.40 ERA, 101 SO) has given the Yankees at least five innings in each of his last four starts, though he has done so with a 6.23 ERA over that span. Meanwhile, As hurler Fiers  has not lost a game since May 1 at Boston. Beginning with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7, Fiers is 9-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 18 starts and deserves our support here tonight at home on a value line. FIERS is 14-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  and is s 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) FIERS is 9-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Athletics are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

 Yankees are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 42-84 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Royals LH Mike Montgomery (3-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49)

Montgomery, has pitched decently of late, but  has a bloated 4.91 ERA in three appearances against the Orioles and from a power ranking pitcher vs batting order perspective does not matchup all that well against the Orioles batting order. His pitching opponent Brooks is fighting for a future rotation spot either here or somewhere else and after some bad efforts will primed to respond like a cornered animal. ( No disrespect intended)

KANSAS CITY is 19-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

KANSAS CITY is 32-60  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Royals are 19-64 in their last 83 during game 3 of a series. 

 Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 20-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Lucas Giolito (13-6, 3.41 ERA, 182 SO)  delivered a quality start against the Angels on Friday, fanning 11 in six innings of two-run ball. The right-hander has reached double-digit strikeouts in each of his last two outings and gets my support here this afternoon. 

The White Sox are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Lucas Giolito as a 150-plus road dog when he averaged more than 3.90 pitches per batter in his last start.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - after a win by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White sox to win on the ML ( Late Steam)

Colorado has been playing a little better of late winning 4 of their L/5 and now they go against a pitcher in Young who has struggled in his past two starts, losing both and giving up a total of nine earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. Thats not a good omen for Arizona backers as the team is just 5-11 (against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies offence despite of being inconsistent this season are averaging 5.2 rpg vs LHP and offer us value here tonight vs this type of hurler.

Meanwhile FREELAND the Rockies stater is 13-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and gets mys upport here on a value line. Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.

MLB team (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season is 37-20 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA) has done well against the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against them this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. I know his presence will not inspire bettors, but what inspires me is not Wacha but the team that surrounds him does . The Cards are a team that finds ways to win, behind usually solid pitching and limited offence. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Gonzalez has not been able to get his team to the promised land against light hitting sides like St.Louis as the following negative trend suggests.GONZALEZ is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is  is 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

ST LOUIS is 16-3  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

Braves starter Keuchel is making his 12th start of the season. He has been inconsistent since signing with the Braves as a free agent in June, and despite of being off a quality effort last time out does not inspire me in this spot, and according to my power rankings vs batting orders he does not matchup well vs the Marlins. Note: Keuchel is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season. KEUCHEL is 4-9  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-7 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, his Marlins pitching opponent Hernandez has had seven previous  outings this season , two of them starts, against Atlanta, going 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He looked good in his most recent start against the Braves on Aug. 8 when he threw six scoreless innings and allowed two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. 

MLB team (ATLANTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 77-150 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Dakota  (11-6, 3.82 ERA, 97 SO)Hudson put together one of his best starts of the season Wednesday, shutting out the Royals over six innings and enters this game vs the Brewers with momentum. HUDSON is 10-0 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Brewers light throwing starter Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA, 78 SO) will return from his two-week stint on the injured list to face the Cardinals. The Brewers thought he needed rest after he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in three starts before going on the shelf. Truth is the guy throws beach balls, and if it were not for his savvy baseball intelligence and ability o pinpoint his stuff, he would be consistent cannon fodder. I respect Davies, but Im not a fan of his overall arsenal (or lack there of), and considering my power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the batting order he  is fade material in this spot.

ST LOUIS is 15-3  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

MIKE is 12-3  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ST LOUIS.

MILWAUKEE is 9-18 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 130-71 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.550 to 1.650) -NL, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 53-97 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Bauer, the Reds starter vs San Diego has garnered a 7.31 ERA in his L/3 starts . He now  goes up against the Fathers  for the first time this season. However his experiences vs the Padres have not been good ones as he is 0-3 with a bloated 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Padres, with batters hitting .348 against him. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Lauer In three career starts against Cincinnati, is 1-1 along with a very stingy  1.93 ERA, and Reds batters are hitting at just a .219  vs him. Padres despite of being without rookie sensation Tatis, are value bets here tonight. 

Note:The Padres are 4-0 l/4 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they hit at least one home run which happened Sunday. 

MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 102-151 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Padres ML

John Means(8-8, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO)After a decent mid season run, has now started to down trend and has  lost his last three starts. He pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, allowing six runs to the Yankees on Aug. 13 and is fade material here today vs the KC Royals. I know Lopez his pitching opponent from the Royals may not inspire bettors, but he  has a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA in one career appearance versus Baltimore.

Baltimore has now has lost 12 of its last 13 games and went 0-7 on a road trip where it also took on the Yankees and while KC is not much better they do matchup well vs the Orioles and my power rankings suggest we have value on this line, making this a green light selection on the Royals. 

The Orioles have been a 200+ underdog in 13 straight games and are now chalk for the first time in while. It must now be noted that the Orioles are 0-11L/11  on the ML as chalk after a tilt  in which they struck out at least ten times which happened last time out. 

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.600 to 1.700) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 25-53 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

The Nationals have a shot at a play off spot and the Pirates are playing for pride and rosters spots next season. However, it must be noted that the Nats have really racked up alot of innings on their bullpen  after some exciting high scoring weekend games, and after some very explosive offensive performances a regression of their out put must be expected as well as they themselves getting lit up because of the above mentioned work placed on their relievers. I know that was a long sentence, but it was a long weekend for the Nats, and a natural letdown scenario vs a non play off side, makes them susceptible in the first game of this series. 

Note: WASHINGTON is less than a break even venture on the ML going  48-51  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with their betting backers down more than 14.4 units. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as  Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. 

BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts.

SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona on the ML

Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording  32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a  9-1 record along  with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins.

TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season.

The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run.  

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

 Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA.

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger,  has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a  perfect 6-0 record along  with a stingy  2.39 ERA  in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase.

Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran  CC Sabathia who was  0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder. 

Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

Twins starter Berrios (10-6, 3.29 ERA) is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts against Texas. He lost his only start at Globe Life Park last season when he allowed five runs on three hits, all of them home runs, in four innings of a 7-4 loss and is fade material here in this spot according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: BERRIOS is 1-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 3-10  against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

TEXAS is 11-6 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-23 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

The Giants will start a rookie hurler (L.Webb) in his first ever outing in the big leagues. Im betting despite of his top tier designation as a prospect ,that being here in a unfriendly environment on the road will not serve him well in his debut.

Giants are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win.

The Giants are 0-10 on the ML when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a home chalk in which they held the lead.( The DBacks lost 10-9 last night)

ARIZONA is 26-11 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Nationals starter Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA, 99 SO) is on a run mirroring the roll he went on in 2018 to help lead the Braves to a division title. Sanchez has won his last seven decisions and has a 2.93 ERA over his last 14 starts. Im betting he buoys a Nats team that has won 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 overall to another win vs Brewers here in this spot. I know his pitching opponent from the Brewers Lyles has pitched well since his trade from the Pirates , but prior to that trade , he registered a nasty 9.57 ERA in his final nine starts and could easily get nailed her vs a side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings.

Nationals are 10-4 in Sanchezs last 14 starts.

rewers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Miles Mikolas (7-12, 4.13 ERA, 101 SO)After a consistent start to the second half, Mikolas regressed on Sunday against the Pirates, allowing five runs on seven hits in five innings. He struggled with command which is not a good omen as he exasperates fthe same problems he exhibited earlier this season. I know the Cards are playing well, and the pitching staff has looked strong, but ST LOUIS is just 1-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. 

The Cards crushed the Reds yesterday, 13-4, but in the past that kind of output has not been kind in their followup game, as they have gone  10-20 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons while scoring an average of just 3.5 rpg over that 30 game sample size. Meanwhile, CINCINNATI is 11-3 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season with margin out put of 5.0 to 2.9. 

ST LOUIS is 7-18 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-34 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

Jays starter Trent Thornton (4-8, 5.34 ERA, 110 SO) is coming off one of his best starts of the season, where he held the Yankees to just one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton's biggest problem in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 on the ML with Trent Thornton when he went six-plus innings in his last start. Meanwhile,Reggie McClain (0-0, 4.50 ERA, 5 SO)The 26-year-old rookie has risen from Class A ball to the big leagues this season and now gets his first MLB start, as the Mariners will go with a bullpen game. McClain is a converted starter who has pitched 3 games in relief since being called up and according to scouts deserves a mlb start. 

Blue Jays are 3-9 in Thorntons last 12 starts on astroturf.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 91-47 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda(8-8, 4.12 ERA, 128 SO) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, when he scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a win over the D-backs last Saturday. Maeda struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk for the first time in four starts. The right handed hurler is looking confident and deserves my backing here tonight on the road vs the Braves.   MAEDA is 2-0 in two outings when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.825.

I know Soroka the Braves rookie hurler has looked tremendous this season, but according to my power rankings the Dodgers batting order matches up well against him.

ATLANTA is 9-21 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 44-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

The Phillies will send right-hander Vince Velasquez (4-7, 4.30 ERA).Velasquez opened the season in the rotation before moving to the bullpen. He returned in June and is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA in nine starts since then. He has pitched more than 5 2/3 innings just once in that stretch and is fade material here tonight vs the under rated San Diego Padres.  Meanwhile,San Diego will send 23-year-old Chris Paddack to the hill. Paddack is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and owns a devastating changeup that pitchers have been laying off on lately, but that good prove fatal as strike zone efficiency could easily increase here down the stretch for Paddock. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and  9-28 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.  

SAN DIEGO is 22-14  against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

Oakland has an edge here tonight  with top tier  starter Mike Fiers (11-3, 3.30 ERA). Fiers will take the mound Thursday riding a 17-start unbeaten streak. He has gone 9-0 with a 2.12 ERA in that run. He  goes against Astros starter  Aaron Sanchez (5-14, 5.60 ERA allowing 74 hits in 60.1 innings ) and never inspires me, making the As my choice in this spot play.

Fiers, own a very solid  home ERA of 2.54 this season, including a 1.66 ERA since the first of May.

Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

This has been a fairly grueling road trip with a couple of marathons  so far for the Astros and Im sure fatigue is taking its toll in them.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 21-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win on the ML

Atlanta's starter Teheran has recorded a quality start in five of his past seven outings and has the ability to keep his team in all matchups especially here at home. Note: Teheran has been pitching at a high level for most of the season, but he has been especially tough on opposition batting orders in his last seven starts -- all in July and August. During that run, he is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA.In his latest trip to the hill this past Friday, Teheran gave up one run and struck out seven in seven innings in an 8-4 vcitory at Miami., his pitching opponent, Stroman In two starts since joining the Mets from the Jays, has a bloated 6.10 ERA.  He is a quality hurler, but could easily get picked apart by one of baseballs most consistent offences. 

I know the Mets have been hot, but I still strongly believe they are over rated, especially offensively, and are also being over valued by the public thanks to the media , who has failed to recognize that much of their current hot run has come against losing teams. Note: 

Mets are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

 METS are 8-22  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

The Mets are 0-21 on the ML as a dog after they had 12+ hits and were not a 150-plus dog and it is not a series opener.

Mets are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Jose Quintana(10-7, 4.23 ERA, 110 SO)Qu beat the A's on Wednesday at home behind seven strong innings. He struck out seven, walked none and allowed one run on two hits. The Cubs are 7-0 in his last seven starts. Quintana is 6-0 with a 3.67 ERA in that span and gets the nod here today vs their hosts the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-23  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

 Merrill Kelly (7-12, 4.52 ERA, 104 SO) After allowing seven runs in each of his previous two starts,  allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits over six innings in a 7-3 loss to the Phillies at Chase Field and in his current form is fade material entering this tilt vs the Colorado Rockies.

Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Kellys last 7 starts.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more  runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 34-15 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

This young and talented Toronto team continues to be undervalued  and tonight we have more the same value . The Blue Jays are 23 games below .500 but are 20-20 over their past 40 games.

Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Toronto.

TEXAS is 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLV as a whole is 0-18 on the ML L/18 in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog in which their starter pitched at least eight innings. The Rangers qualify under these perimeters.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 94-150 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the ML

Arrieta's has bone Spurs and his  ailing elbow makes it difficult to know when to pull him from a game. Thats a dangerous recipe for disaster, and I wont be surprised if he had an unhappy ending to this game here in SF tonight.The veteran  has now gone six straight starts without a win, recording a 0-2 record and 4.34 ERA.

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco.

KAPLER is 9-24 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. 

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Aaron Civale(1-1, 0.75 ERA, 13 SO)will make back-to-back starts for the first time in his Major League career. He allowed one run on three hits in six innings against the Rangers on Monday. Civale threw six scoreless innings in a June 22  start in his only other big league trip to the hill and gets my support here today vs the host Twins. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jose Berrios(10-6, 3.24 ERA, 140 SO)Berrios was crushed for a first-pitch homer by Ronald Acuna Jr. on Tuesday, setting the tone for one  an ugly  outing  in which he allowed a career-high nine earned runs and a season-high four walks in 5 2/3 frames. There were signs of control issues to which could easily signify arm fatigue here late in the season, which could easily  continue to translate in excessive offensive production vs opposition batting orders and the Tribe this Sunday. 

Twins are 0-5 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MINNESOTA has lost 13 of 21 games  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

There is a battle cry being put out by the Manager of the Nats before this game vs the Mets as a post season spot is being battled for "We're fighting to get in the playoffs, they're fighting to get in the playoffs," Martinez said. "I believe in those boys in that clubhouse. People kicked us, we were down and you saw what they can do. Not by any means are we down." END QUOTE: 

The Mets, who were tied for 13th place in the NL and eight games out of the second wild card on July 24, have won 15 of their last 16 games to move within a half-game of the Nationals and Milwaukee Brewers, who are tied for the two wild-card spots and are now huge public favs, giving us value with a Nationals team that is  5-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. Im betting the Nats do not get swept today, and do enough damage vs DeGrom to get a win here as hefty underdogs. 

Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.Nationals are 22-9 in their last 31 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

DEGROM is 1-9  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Norris the Tigers starter has never found much success in Comerica Park. He's 4-16 there in his career with a 5.20 ERA in 34 appearances, including 31 starts. Against Kansas City, Norris is 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA in 11 career outings, including 10 starts and is fade material here today. Meanwhile,Jakob Junis (7-10, 4.88 ERA, 130 SO) has thrown at least six innings in six straight starts. In his last outing on Tuesday against the Red Sox, he pitched six innings with seven hits, one run, one walk and four strikeouts and gets my support here today.

NORRIS is 0-7  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.55 ERA, 36 SO) was plugged back into the Indians' starting rotation last Saturday after the club traded Trevor Bauer to the Reds. Plutko earned the win after holding the Angels to one run on five hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get us to the promised land on a value line here tonight in Minnesota. Meanwhile, Twins stater Jake Odorizzi(12-5, 3.61 ERA, 120 SO)struggled with an elevated pitch count on Monday against the Bravesand Im betting that messes with his effectiveness and freshness in this spot vs and  Indians side  that is  8-0 on the ML as a dog after a game in which they left more than fifteen men on base and it is not a series opener. 

CLEVELAND is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

MINNESOTA is 7-13 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season

Cleveland is 41-16 since June 2 while Minnesota is 30-28 and its obvious to me the  Indians in their current form are the superior team and offer rare true value tonight. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

Tanner Roark 7-7, 4.14 ERA, 114 SORoark's A's debut on Sunday was a success, as he tossed five innings of one-run ball in a win over the Cardinals and now I look for him to have positive results here again today against a group that has never faced him. 

The Athletics are 21-0 on the ML as a road 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starting pitcher is seeking same-season-revenge. ( Lopez)

OAKLAND is 21-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 35-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-3  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 15-4 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. 

Play on the As on the ML

 The Yankees have won their last eight games, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Jays. The Jays can explode with some offence, and must not be underestimated, but the Yanks are even more explosive and have a deeper bullpen making them viable favs here tonight. Note: The Yankees have average 6.7 rpg on the road this season via a 2.80 team BA. 

HAPP is 13-1  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 13-1  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 24-8 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 28-8  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL) are 14-49 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Madison Bumgarner(6-7, 3.92 ERA, 142 SO) the Giants starter has seen his team win seven of his past eight starts, including his past four and gets my support here tonight. I know his starting pitching opponent from the Phillies Nola is also in top form, but Im betting home filed advantage for the Giants will be the difference maker.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-25 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-34 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.

SF are 5-0 in Bumgarners last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarners last 6 home starts. Phillies are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in San Francisco.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in August games are 121-76 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Yusei Kikuchi (4-8, 5.49 ERA, 84 SO)After a solid start to his season, the rookie from Japan has gone 1-7 with a 7.65 ERA over his last 12 starts, with opponents posting a .347/.406/.677 line with 24 walks, 35 strikeouts and 20 home runs and is fade material here vs the Padres tonight. Meanwhile, Padres starter Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against Seattle in his career and gets my support here tonight.

The Mariners are 0-22 on the ML in the second game of a series as a dog of more than 130 when they are off a game as a dog in which they scored in at most two separate innings.

SEATTLE is 11-39 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. SEATTLE is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 0-8  against the money line in home games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games. are 10-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (5-6, 3.93)   is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing no runs and one hit over seven innings in an 8-0 win against the visiting Chicago Cubs on Thursday.He has been red hot since just before the All-Star break. His record is just 1-1 in his past five starts, but he has registered a minuscule  ERA of 1.15 in that span and gets my support here on a value line. Note:Flaherty beat Los Angeles on April 10 as part of a four-game sweep against the visiting Dodgers. He allowed one run and three hits in six innings of the 7-2 win, which earned him his first victory of the season.The Cars righty is now 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers.

I know the Cards are struggling at the moment but it must be noted that they are pretty resileint group, as MIKE is 24-13 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of ST LOUIS. 

Cardinals are 5-0 in Flahertys last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 40-16 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

ST LOUIS is 39-26 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Max Fried(12-4, 4.07 ERA, 112 SO) recorded a strike with nearly 70 percent of the 76 pitches he threw over six strong innings against the Reds on Thursday. His curveball induced a 33.3 percent (7 of 21) swing-and-miss rate during this rain-shortened complete game effort and remains a solid hurler to back for now in this current winning  form. Meanwhile,Martin Perez( (8-4, 4.58 ERA, 100 SO) struggled with the long ball in his last start, when he matched a season high with three homers allowed for five runs in five innings. His current form has yielded eight HRs in his last four starts making him fade material vs this explosive Atlanta squad. The lefty hurler also own s a very bloated 7.80 ERA in his L/3 starts.

Twins are 15-31 in their last 46 vs. National League East.Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 89-160 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Mike Leake9-8, 4.27 ERA, 100 SO was acquired from the Mariners just a couple of minutes before the Trade Deadline. This will be Leake's first start for the D-backs. His last start was on July 30 against the Rangers when he allowed three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Jake Arrieta 8-8, 4.44 ERA, 100 SO is limited because of a bone spur in his right elbow, meaning he typically hits a wall around the fourth or fifth inning, losing velocity and command of his pitches and is fade material in current state of health.

LEAKE is 17-8  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Atlantas starter Mike Foltynewicz(2-5, 6.37 ERA, 50 SO) returns to the Majors for the first time since being demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett on June 23. Foltynewicz has a 1-0 record and 8.74 ERA in three career appearances, including two starts, against the Twins.Meanwhile, Twins starter Jose Berrios(10-5, 2.80 ERA, 133 SO) was over powering  in his last start against the Marlins, striking out a season-high 11 batters without issuing a walk as he allowed just two singles -- including an infield hit -- in seven scoreless innings to lower his season ERA to 2.81 and gets my support here today. 

MINNESOTA is 20-6 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. MINNESOTA is 25-11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Trends  -  Atlanta at MinnesotaRed - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher.  Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower. W/L TRENDSAtlantaBraves are 19-8 in their last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 13-6 in their last 19 games following a loss.Braves are 15-7 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 19-40 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games.Braves are 7-18 in their last 25 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 4-11 in their last 15 Tuesday games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts.Braves are 4-9 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts on grass.Braves are 4-11 in Foltynewiczs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-9 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-10 in Foltynewiczs last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.MinnesotaTwins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 41-18 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 47-23 in their last 70 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 6-0 in Berrios' last 6 Tuesday starts.Twins are 5-1 in Berrios' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Twins are 25-9 in Berrios' last 34 home starts.Twins are 11-4 in Berrios' last 15 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 9-4 in Berrios' last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

The Phillies are 0-9 on the ML in franchise history with starter Vince Velasquez on the road when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start and the Phillies lost. He is off back to back quality starts , but that has not been a recipe for success going forward for his team when he starts .

Phillies are 7-19 in Velasquezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 5-14 in Velasquezs last 19 road starts.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 2-9 in Velasquezs last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.

Phillies are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

Chicago has captured 11 of its last 13 home games since June 27 and 22 of its last 31 after completing a three-game sweep over Milwaukee with Sunday's 7-2 win. The Cubs are now an impressive 39-18 overall at home and get my support here tonight vs the Athletics.

Kyle Hendricks(8-8, 3.07 ERA, 107 SO) logged seven shutout innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving him a 2.25 ERA with 32 strikeouts vs. nine walks in 32 innings in July. The righty has gone 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA in nine home starts this year and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the As.Hendricks' only previous start against the Athletics was Aug. 7, 2016, in Oakland when he allowed one run on three hits in 7 1/3 innings.  .HENDRICKS is 16-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) 

CHICAGO CUBS are 22-5  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 8-0  against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 50-11 L/L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Lucas Giolito(11-5, 3.39 ERA, 150 SO) bounced back from his worst start of the season by allowing just one run over seven innings Wednesday vs. the Mets. This kid has proven his consistency and is a quality pitcher that deserves our support here tonight. Note: 

White Sox are 7-2 in Giolitos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Meanwhile, Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA, 88 SO)is expected to be limited to around 75 pitches in his return from the injured list, having been shelved since July 18 with an upper back strain and rust maybe an issue here making him fade material in this spot. 

GIOLITO is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) 

DETROIT is 4-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.  DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. DETROIT is 2-15 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

DETROIT is 1-16 (against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season. DETROIT is 4-24  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. 

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Brewers starter Lyles will be facing his former club and will have something to prove after they traded him away. Im expecting a top tier effort from a pitcher the Pirates deemed ineffective and expendable. 

The Pirates are 0-15 on the ML in the history of this database in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a game as a home dog in which they drew one or fewer walks.

MILWAUKEE is 22-9 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 32-16 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Sonny Gray(6-6, 3.45 ERA, 130 SO) acknowledged not having his best stuff during Monday's 11-6 win over the Pirates. His streak of five straight quality starts ended, but he's still 3-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last six games and is . viable underdog option this afternoon in Atlanta.  

GRAY is 10-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GRAY is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 of more) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 130-73 L/22 seasons fo a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

Cardinals rookie right-hander Dakota Hudson (10-5, 3.88 ERA) goes against  A's righty Mike Fiers (9-3, 3.54) this Saturday.Fiers will take the mound riding a 15-game unbeaten streak in which he's gone 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA. He's gone 4-0 in his last eight home starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here today.

Hudson has a 4.63 ERA in his last seven games, allowing 18 earned runs in 35 innings, but he has a 5-2 record in that span.

. FIERS is 17-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FIERS is 23-6  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 17-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. 

ST LOUIS is 0-11   against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season

MLB teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 100-148 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Zach Davies(8-4, 3.56 ERA, 76 SO)has allowed 14 runs (13 earned) over his last two starts, including a loss to the Cubs on Sunday in which he allowed seven earned runs in five innings and is fade material here in this spot in his current form.

Brewers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Brewers are 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Brewers are 4-11 in Davies' last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 48-21 in their last 69 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 69-32 in their last 101 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 41-19 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Cubs are 35-17 in their last 52 home game

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 63-17 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs to win on the ML

Right-hander Andrew Cashner (10-5, 4.18 ERA) gets the nod for Boston opposite Tampa Bay rookie left-hander Brendan McKay (1-1, 3.72). Despite of McKays inexperience, Im still betting he does enough to thwart a  BoSox team the Rays have played well against of late.Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games and is 8-6 against the Red Sox this season, with seven of those wins coming in Boston, matching a franchise record (2011).  Im betting on more TB Rays positive momentum action in this spot.

Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. 

Rays are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.

Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

MLB team (BOSTON) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 19-49 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

The Phillies are my choice to extend their 2 game winning streak,  behind right-hander Vince Velasquez. In Velasquez's last start, he thew 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday .

Phillies are 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.Phillies are 7-2 in Velasquezs last 9 home starts.

Meanwhile, Giants starter SAMARDZIJA is 1-11  against the money line against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Giants are 4-22 in Samardzijas last 26 starts during game 2 of a series.

Philadelphia is 7-1 L/8 vs the SF Giants and gets my backing to win again.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 26-52 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

The Royals will start left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-3, 6.09). It will be his third start for the Royals since being obtained from the Chicago Cubs. Both his past two outings were against the Cleveland Indians, and he went 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and Im betting he gets hammered by a under rated Toronto offence.

MONTGOMERY the Royals pitcher  is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 6-17 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7  against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) 

MONTOYO is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game as the manager of TORONTO.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 41-23 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

Price the BoSox starter tonight vs TB comes in off a hard-luck loss against the Rays his last time out, allowing three runs and striking out eight over six innings. However, the Red Sox are also 9-0 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher.

The Red Sox are 21-0 on the ML with David Price as a home favorite when he went six-plus innings and gave up three or fewer runs in his last start and gets my support here tonight vs the Rays. 

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 33-8 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 33-82 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML

Dodgers starter Maeda has pitched well against Colorado , including three starts this season in which he is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Overall against the Rockies, he's 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA in 18 games (13 starts), with seven of those starts coming in Denver. In 10 career games at Coors Field, he is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and he gets my support here on the road vs the Rockies. Meanwhile, Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA, 128 SO) has struggled a bit of late and been unfortunate .Gray, left his last start with a left calf contusion after being struck by a line drive, was cleared to start Monday's series opener against the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three of his last four start and is fade material here today.

Dodgers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 games on grass.Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 7-23 in their last 30 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.

Dodgers are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. Rockies.Dodgers are 5-2 in Maedas last 7 road starts vs. Rockies

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are17-59 L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Astros starter Wade Miley (8-4, 3.18 ERA, 100 SO) carried a shutout into the ninth inning of his previous start Tuesday against Oakland before getting a no-decision. In his last five starts, he's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.88 WHIP as  opposing hitters owns a ugly .159/.236/.295 slash line during that stretch. The southpaw gets my support here today vs the Cardinals vs anyone the Cards can send to the mound.

HOUSTON is 27-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HINCH is 20-7 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (HOUSTON) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Sunday are 133-53 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

Colorado's starter Peter Lambert(2-2, 5.93 ERA, 31 SO)fastball-changeup combination kept him competitive in his last start, when he struck out eight and gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington and has momentum entering this game vs the Reds , making his team a viable underdog investment option. Meanwhile, the Reds starte Alex Wood 0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SOis scheduled to start vs. the Rockies in his season debut. Wood has been on the Reds' injured list all season with a lower back injury. The rust Im betting shows itself here today. Note: In 10career outings vs the Rockies Wood owns a 6.30 ERA.

Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Reds are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.

WOOD is 6-12 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOOD is 9-20 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Gausman the Braves starter has had little success in his career against the Phillies, going 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in three career starts against the club. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter has done well vs the Braves as is is evident In 15 career starts against the Braves, he is 9-3 with a 2.26 ERA. In three starts against them this season, he's 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA including a  eight-inning scoreless effort on July 2 when he outdueled Atlanta's Dallas Keuchel in a 2-0 win. In five starts in July, Nola is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and gets my support here today in the favorite role. 

NOLA is 18-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

GAUSMAN is 18-30  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  of 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies 

Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA, 91 SO goes to the hill tonight. )The Phillies say Eflin is healthy and everything is fine, but Eflin has complained about a "heavy" body recently. He is 1-3 with a 9.38 ERA in his last five starts, and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, southpaw Max Fried of the Braves(10-4, 4.08 ERA, 102 SO)will return from the injured list to start for the first time since developing a blister during a July 15 win in Milwaukee. The young lefty's arm should be fresh. He's totaled just 10 innings in two starts this month.

EFLIN is 0-9  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

ATLANTA is 29-10 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

 Sabathia had a rough outing last time out, but was in top form for a long stretch before that and also notched a quality start vs. Boston on June 2, completing six innings of three-run ball while striking out eight in an 8-5 Yankees loss and gets my support in a contrarian spot here this after vs the BoSox in Fenway. I know Rodriguez has pitched well for the BoSox of late, but my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yankees hitters matchup well against him.

BOSTON is 13-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 67-26 in their last 93 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Saturday games.Yankees are 67-27 in their last 94 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 53-22 in their last 75 games on grass.Yankees are 36-15 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 52-22 in their last 74 vs. American League East.Yankees are 80-36 in their last 116 games following a loss.Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 overall.Yankees are 92-45 in their last 137 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Asher Wojciechowski( 1-3, 3.91 ERA, 31 SO) is coming off the best start of his career. The 30-year-old righty threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings vs. Boston on Sunday, striking out 10 and taking a no-hitter into the seventh. His innings pitched and strikeouts were career highs and has momentum coming into this tilt and gets backing .  

LA ANGELS are 13-33  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 121-81 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win on the ML

Jose Urquidy (1-0, 5.54 ERA, 17 SO ) will make his fourth career start .He earned his first win on Saturday vs. the Rangers, when he allowed one run in seven innings. He's the second Astros pitcher to strike out at least nine with no walks within his first three games. This kids the real deal. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty the Cards starter despite of pitching decently of late has not garnered a win since May 14 against the Braves and is fade material vs the Astros tonight. He is also just  1-2 with a 5.59 ERA over seven career interleague starts, including a 7.63 ERA over three appearances against the American League this season.Note: The Cardinals are 3-15 L/18 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start.

I know the Cards have been hot, but playing against upper tier competition seems to ignite the Astros to playing their best ball.  

HOUSTON is 29-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 19-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON with the average margin of victory coming by 3.1 rpg.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

When I first looked at this game, I was not sold on the Cubs with Hendricks on the hill as he has struggled a bit on the road this season. But after really running the numbers, my projections and power rankings say we do have some value here with the Cubbies vs the Brewers. Note: Hendricks despite of being winless in July still garnered a 3.60 ERA. In 20 career starts against Milwaukee, Hendricks is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA. Meanwhile the Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez will make his second start since a stint on the injured list for left shoulder inflammation and in his first start after the injury threw just 74 pitches, and could easily experience rust. 

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games following an off day. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 30-17  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.MILWAUKEE is 2-9  against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. 

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 37-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

BoSox starter Rick Porcello (8-7, 5.61 ERA, 87 SO)  just cant get himself in a groove . Though Porcello is 3-1 in his last five starts, he has a 10.57 ERA over that span. Porcello's last start against the Yankees was a rough outing on June 29 in London, when he retired just one batter and gave up six runs and Im betting against him and home side today vs the explosive Yankees. Meanwhile, Tanaka is undefeated in his L/7 starts, and is more than capable of getting us to the promised land here in this spot even though he will be backed by a tired bullpen. 

NY YANKEES are 28-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season

Yankees are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 28-9 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Miles Mikolas(6-10, 4.17 ERA, 82 SO) gem got away from him on  Saturday against the Reds with a three-run seventh inning, but he threw six scoreless innings prior to that to continue his good start to the second half. He allowed just three hits before the seventh and struck out four and is rounding into top form and has momentum entering this game. Meanwhile, Musgrove his Pittsburgh pitching opponent, is off a strong effort last time out vs the Phillies, but that has proven to be a negative in the past, as the Pirates are just  5-15 in last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

MIKOLAS is 10-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Cardinals are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.

PITTSBURGH is 1-13 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), playing on Thursday are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis to win on the ML

The Indians will send out right-hander Shane Bieber (9-3, 3.69 ERA) in the rubber match Wednesday against Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-10, 3.06). Stroman is the ace of the Blue Jays rotation, and won his last start , but that has not been a good omen for his team in his career as the following trend indicates. Note: The Blue Jays are 0-17 on the ML as a dog with Marcus Stroman when they won his last start.

TORONTO is 8-35 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season which was the case .

Play on the Indians to win on the ML

Chris Bassitt 7-4, 3.96 ERA, 83 SO  The right-hander pitched well in a June 2 loss to Houston, holding the Astros to three runs over six innings and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Astros batting order and offers substantial value as an underdog in this spot play. BASSITT is 6-0  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The As found a way to win yesterday, and Im betting they stymie the Astros here.

Verlander the Astros starter  is top tier hurler but OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 17-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the As to win on the ML

The Yankees took it on the chin yesterday losing to the Twins in game 1 of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past  under the following perimeters. Note: The NY Yankees are 25-0 L/25 on the ML in the second game of a series when they allowed six-plus runs as a 110-plus favorite in the series opener which was the case yesterday in a 8-6 loss to the Twins in game 1 of this series.

D. German of the starter for the Yankees has won three straight starts since coming back from the injured list, giving up just three runs and striking out 18 batters in 18 innings pitched and is my choice to silence the Twins here tonight. Meanwhile, Twins starter Kyle Gibson allowed five runs at Yankee Stadium earlier this year, though three were unearned and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs this current NYY batting order.

Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 5-0 in Germans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.NY YANKEES are 41-14 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Twins are 0-7 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. Yankees.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 73-22 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA, 77 SO) will make his 16th start of the season in the series opener on the road against AL Central-leading Minnesota. He has gone at least six innings in each of his last four outings and hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of them and gets my support here tonight in Minnesota. SABATHIA is 22-9 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.211. 

  Meanwhile, my power ranking suggest his pithing opponent form the Twins is over rated.Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA, 89 SO) Perez’s results finally caught up to his stellar hard-hit rate and exit velocity allowed Wednesday against the Mets, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits in six frames before the defense and bullpen imploded in a blowout loss.

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 21-9  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 26-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. SABATHIA is 21-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).NY YANKEES are 19-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. 

Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far.  MENGDEN is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

 .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall.

PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but  is just 13-23  against the money line after giving up  2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface.

Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Zach Eflin (7-9, 4.16 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (6-8, 4.31).

Pirates starter Joe Musgrove( .  6-8, 4.31 ERA, 90 SO ) is coming off an odd trip to the hill in which he worked only 4 2/3 innings on 104 pitches as the Cardinals annoyed him with foul balls. He's put together a 3.89 ERA with 39 strikeouts and seven walks in eight starts since the beginning of June and is up trending in my power rankings and gets the nod here today. Meanwhile, Phillies starting thrower Zach Eflin ( 7-9, 4.16 ERA, 88 SO) is 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed six or more runs in three of his last four starts. He was beaten up on  in a six-run fourth inning on Monday against the Dodgers.

Pirates are 4-0 in Musgroves last 4 home starts.

Phillies are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Phillies are 2-11 in Eflins last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. 

HURDLE is 12-3 against the money line when the total is 11 or higher as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Jose Quintana (7-7, 4.21 ERA, 88 SO)  picked up a win vs. Pittsburgh on Sunday after logging a quality start (three runs in six innings). He has gone 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his past three appearances and gets my support here this afternoon vs the Fathers. The southpaw hurler has a 1-0 record against the Padres with a 2.77 ERA in two starts. Note: 

  CHICAGO CUBS are 21-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

SAN DIEGO is 1-7  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 28-9  against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 63-19 L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Danny Duffy 3-5, 4.64 ERA, lasted only two-plus innings on Friday against the Tigers after being struck by a line drive on the pitching hand. Duffy faced three more hitters -- all of whom reached -- before exiting with numbness in his left hand. He is said to be healthy, but Im betting he is still not 100%. Note:  Royals are 0-9 on the ML when Danny Duffy starts at home and he had a WHIP of at least two in his last start.

Meanwhile, Nova  despite of struggling earlier this season is up trending and could easily   have a strong second half Since posting a 7.42 ERA in his first nine starts, he has compiled a 4.14 ERA in his past 10 appearances and showed his abilities by blanking the Chicago Cubs in 5 2/3 innings on July 7 for a win. He gets my support here tonight. 

White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.White Sox are 7-2 in Novas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

KANSAS CITY is 4-16  against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 11-0 win last night. 

Royals are 17-59 in their last 76 during game 3 of a series.Royals are 6-21 in their last 27 games following a win.Royals are 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 starts on grass.Royals are 2-5 in Duffys last 7 Wednesday starts.Royals are 9-23 in Duffys last 32 starts vs. American League Central.Royals are 4-12 in Duffys last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.Royals are 2-6 in Duffys last 8 starts.Royals are 1-4 in Duffys last 5 home starts.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Royals are 0-4 in Duffys last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Royals are 0-5 in Duffys last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

LAA starterHeaney, who was the late Tyler Skaggs' best friend, is coming off an emotional outing in which he allowed two runs over five innings in Houston. His start began with a slow curveball to honor Skaggs and will prepared to honor his close friend again here vs Astros this evening. 

Angels are 9-4 in Heaneys last 13 home starts.

Note: Mike Trout is not 100% and suffering with a calf injury and may miss this game.

 MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - excellent power team (1.5 or more  HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 17-35 for a go against 67% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Under rated Dario Agrazal(2-0, 2.81 ERA, 7 SO)has earned an extended look in the Majors, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over 16 innings in his first three starts for the Pirates and is a viable underdog in this spot play.

The Cardinals are 0-8 on the ML when Jack Flaherty starts and they won in his last start against their opponent. St Louis was the favorite in five of the eight games as they are here tonight.Cardinals are alsoe 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts and are fade material here tonight against the Pirates. FLAHERTY is 4-9  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)ST LOUIS is 4-15  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season.

I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Pirates on a 4 game losing streak and the Cards on a 3 game wining run, but all good a bad things must come to end, and thats what Im betting on here. Note: HURDLE is 31-19  against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 52-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Lynn has owned the Diamondbacks in his career. He is 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) vs. Arizona, including a victory in Phoenix this season. He gave up just one run in six innings on April 10 in a 5-2 victory and gets the nod again here this evening. Note: Rangers are also 5-0 in Lynns last 5 starts and he has garnered a minuscule 0.82 ERA in his L/3 starts overall. LYNN is 15-2 against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LYNN is 9-1 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) LYNN is 17-3 against the money line in home games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) 

Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 Tuesday games.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

The Yankees lost to the Rays yesterday but Im betting on a bounce back here behind veteran starting hurler CC Sabathia. When the Yanks have lost at home against Tampa, they are 11-1 L/12  in their follow up at  home  and when Sabathia has taken to the hill at Yankee Stadium off a team defeat the NYY have proven resilient going  14-3 on the ML. 

SABATHIA is 15-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 15-3  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.NY YANKEES are 26-6  against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Two struggling young pitchers will attempt to get their teams off on a win column in the series opener when Braves left-hander Max Fried (9-4, 4.29 ERA) goes against Brewers righty Adrian Houser (2-3, 4.01). Despite of both hurlers struggling one hurler Fried has shown the abilities needed to win on the road as is evident ,by the following trends: Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Braves are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 road starts.

The Braves are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite after a game in which they scored first.The Braves are 9-0 L/9 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a favorite when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season., winning convincingly  by an average of 5.65 runs per game.
 

ATLANTA is 15-3  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 3-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season.

Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.Brewers are 2-10 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

The Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is set to start the first game for the Giants.

Samardzija (6-7, 4.01 ERA) is coming off seven shutout innings in a 1-0 win against the Cardinals on July 7 and enters this game up trending and pitching very well of late and value dog investment option this afternoon in Colorado vs a struggling Rockies side that has lost 7 of their L/9 overall.

Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts.Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League West.

Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.

MLB team (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800  or better over his last 3 starts are 17-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

 BoSox starter David Price(7-2, 3.24 ERA, 95 SO) beat the Dodgers twice in last year’s World Series, including in the decisive Game 5. He has carried that into 2019, leading the Boston rotation with a 3.24 ERA and gets my support here tonight in Fenway. 

RYU the Dodgers top tier starter  is just 3-12  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 1-10  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. 

PRICE is 17-3   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Dodgers are 1-4 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. American League East.

LA DODGERS are 2-9 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 19-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - average AL hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against an excellent NL starting pitcher (ERA  2.70 or less) are 57-26 L/22 seasons  for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the ML

N. Syndergaard posted a 5.94 ERA with eight walks in 16 2/3 innings over his last three starts before the break and enters this game in struggling form and is fade material here tonight in Miami against a Marlins side that is 21-8  against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NY METS are 17-35 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.

Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA, 115 SO)Coors Field  does not seem to bother this viable Rokis hurler as  Gray maintained a 4-1 record and 3.35 ERA at home in eight games (seven starts). One key is his 44:17 strikeout-to-walk ratio at home. Jon Gray is 4-0 with a 4.37 ERA in four career outings against the Reds and gets the nod again in this spot at home. Note: The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost his last start, winning by an average of 6.5 rpg. 

Reds starter the other GRAY is 1-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

CINCINNATI is 4-19  against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. 

COLORADO is 16-4  against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 2 season. 

Colorado is averaging 6.9 rpg at home this season while Cincinnati is averaging 4 rpg as visitors via a lowly .224 BA.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Left-hander Danny Duffy  goes for Kansas City vs the Tigers. Duffy (3-5, 4.28 ERA) has not been credited with a victory since May 19, though he's delivered four quality outings in his last five starts. He held Cleveland to two runs on five hits in 6 2/3 innings in his last start on July 3  and gets my support here tonight at home.

Royals are 12-3 in Duffys last 15 starts with 8 or more days of rest.

Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Tigers are 0-7 in Turnbulls last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 0-5 in Turnbulls last 5 starts.

KANSAS CITY is 14-4  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 16-6 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - below average hitting team (AVG .265) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

Yu Darvish (2-4, 5.01 ERA, 111 SO) will open the Cubs' second half against the Pirates, whom he faced on July 3. In that no-decision, the righty gave up four runs with six strikeouts and no walks in 6 2/3 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Pirates. . Darvish is 0-6 with a 5.91 ERA in 13 career starts at Wrigley Field and is fade material according to my projections this afternoon. DARVISH is 3-9  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DARVISH is 5-16  against the money line in July games in his career. (Team's Record) 

Pirates are 4-0 in their starters Archers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Pirates are 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts.Cubs are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Cubs have lost 16 of their L/26 overall. 

PITTSBURGH is 28-13  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 51-17 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Colorado starter German Marquez (8-3, 4.38 ERA, 120 SO) Away from Coors Field, Marquez is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts. Home or away hes a reliable hurler (4-1, 5.73 at the launching pad known as Coors Field). Even with the elevated ERA, the contact against him has not been solid and he gives us a solid opportunity to cash a ticket today with the visitors. 

ARIZONA is 17-29 against the money line against division opponents this season. LOVULLO is 10-18 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ARIZONA. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 61-15 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

In the series finale, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.31 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (6-7, 4.13). It's a rematch of a game May 30, also at PNC Park, when Anderson got the better of Musgrove in an 11-5 Brewers win. Im betting on Anderson getting the edge here today again. I know Milwaukee has been slumping offensively of late but it must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

Milwaukee was blasted 12-2 yesterday by the underdog Pirates but the Brewers have proven resilient in this spot in the past as is evident by the following trend. Note: MILWAUKEE is 21-4 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Brewers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Brewers are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts vs. Pirates.Brewers are 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts vs. Pirates.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Maeda the Dodgers starter showed his abilities when he opened his last start with four scoreless innings at Coors Field, which is never easy and deserves respect here at home as favorite. He is 6-3 in his career against San Diego and gets the nod in this spot play. Maeda's 94 strikeouts against the Padres are his most against any team. 

Maeda had a 4.21 ERA over five June starts, but he gave up two earned runs or less in four of those outings and on the season has garnered a very stingy 2.04 ERA at home.

 LA DODGERS are 27-5 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters like the Padres Paddock this season.

Last night the Padres found a way to be the dodgers ace Kershaw by a 3-2 count but tonight Im betting on the Dodgers bouncing back. In the past the Dodgers have proven extremely resilient under these circumstances as the following trend would indicate. Note: The Dodgers are 14-0 on the ML as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they never led. LA has won each of their last seven games  under these perimeters by multiple run counts. 

 LA DODGERS are 19-3  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA DODGERS are 25-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. 

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0  or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 34-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

If  Orioles Cashner veteran righty hander is in top form. He's enjoying a bounceback season at age 32, going 8-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 16 starts. Cashner pitched to a 1.44 ERA in June and gets my support here this afternoon in Toronto. Cashner pitched six scoreless innings in earning the win against Toronto on April 2. He is 2-2 with a 2.68 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Blue Jays.

TORONTO is 1-12 against the money line with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings this season. MONTOYO is 8-30  against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more as the manager of TORONTO.

Orioles are 5-0 in Cashners last 5 Saturday starts.Orioles are 6-1 in Cashners last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.Orioles are 5-1 in Cashners last 6 starts.Orioles are 4-1 in Cashners last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 7-2 in Cashners last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season are 35-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Canning the Halos starter is making his 12th career start after beating Oakland in his most recent outing last Thursday. He threw six innings and allowed two earned runs, while striking out six and is a viable underdog in this spot play vs a Texas side slumping in on a 4 game losing streak. Note: Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Angels are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.TEXAS is 6-18 (against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

In 11 starts this season, the Rays starter today Chirinos is 4-4 with a 2.79 ERA. The right-hander has made three appearances against the Yankees this season, going 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA and is a viable pitcher to back here tonight on a value home dog line. Meanwhile, JA Happ Happ the Yanks starter   looks vulnerable in his current form as was evident when he allowed eight runs in four innings against the Astros last time out. 

TAMPA BAY is 10-4  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 24-14  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. 

Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

MLB team (NY YANKEES) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 13-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

Quintana threw more secondary pitches (51) than fastballs (50) on Saturday in Cincinnati and as result threw six shutout innings. He had struggled . a bit prior to that , but his veteran composure is now guiding him making him a viable pitcher to back against a Pittsburgh team that struggles against southpaw pitching averaging 4.2 rpg on a batting average barely above the Mendoza line of .250. 

Pirates are 0-4 in their starters Lyles' last 4 starts vs. National League Central and are 0-4 in Lyles' last 4 starts.

LYLES is 0-14  against the money line in July games in his career. (Team's Record) 

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, red hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 20 games are 18-38 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Castillo the Reds Starter has not fared well against the Brewers in 2019. The last time against them, on June 22, he threw 96 pitches in only 3 2/3 innings and gave up six runs (four earned) while walking five. Over three starts vs. MIL, he is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA. 

Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.

Meanwhile Brewers fireballer Brandon Woodruff (10-2, 3.79 ERA, 120 SO) will be facing the Reds for the second time in three starts. At Miller Park on June 23, he set a career high with 12 strikeouts while allowing three runs in seven innings and gets mu support here again today.  WOODRUFF is 16-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  

Brewers are 8-0 in Woodruffs last 8 starts vs. National League Central.

Reds are 1-4 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.

Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 43-18 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Tigers have been a bad road team for a while as their  record  28-60 in their last 88 road games suggests . They also have not faired well against right handed pitchers like Lopez recording a  19-48 mark in their last 67 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Add to that the Tigers are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. American League Central and  8-21 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record puts them in my fade material power rankings column. Considering the Tigers starter Boyd has seen his team lose his L/7 starts vs the Pale Hose it will not be a hard decision to go against this Motown crew this afternoon. Note:Lopez is 2-2 with a 2.86 ERA in nine career starts against Detroit. He has pitched effectively against the Tigers in two starts this season, going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA while striking out 22 batters in 12 innings. is a viable hurler to back in this spot play. 

MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

SHAUN ANDERSON (R) vs. CAL QUANTRILL (R)

SF has suddenly gone form zeros to heros of late , as their usually light hitting offense has exploded for 33 runs in their L/3 games and in their current form value based underdogs tonight in San Diego against the Fathers. With up trending starter Anderson, on the hill   the Giants' are a must play team. He has been the most consistent starter in the their rotation, and  delivered another strong performance Friday, holding the D-backs to two runs over 5 2/3 innings. He faced the Padres on June 12 and gave up two runs over six innings and gets the nod again here tonight. Note:SAN DIEGO is 0-7  against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. 

Play on the SF Giants 

Colorados starter Marquez has a positive home W/L record at Coors but  has a 5.70 ERA in nine home starts , and is vulnerable vs a Houston team that can be explosive and that matches up well against him according to my projections and power ranking conversion charts.

HOUSTON is 13-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 70-20 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 14-1  against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 17-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. 

Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.Astros are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

 MLB team (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 61-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

The Mets expect their starter Syndergaard, who has been on the injured list since June 16, to return Sunday night at Citi Field. Syndergaard most recently pitched on a rehab assignment Tuesday for Class A Brooklyn allowing 3 runs in a rusty effort as he rehabbed a strained right hamstring. I know the Mets righty is healthy but rust Im betting hampers him here tonight as will his beleaguered and imploding bull pen support. Fried (9-3, 3.96 ERA) his pitching opponent from the Braves  is 1-1 with a 1.77 ERA in seven career games (three starts) against the Mets. Syndergaard is 0-2 with a 3.49 ERA in seven starts against the Braves.

 .Note: New York has blown a lead in the sixth inning or later five times during its losing streak.

Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 road starts and are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts during game 3 of a series are also 5-0 in Frieds last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 7-0 in Frieds last 7 starts with 4 days of rest and are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 starts..Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 Sunday starts.Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

ATLANTA is 20-7  against the money line in June games this season. 

Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.

Braves are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Braves are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in New York.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 56-26 L/22 seasons for a for 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

We have a situation here today to bet into that shows us two teams that are operating at the polar opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Padres have hit 16 homers during their four-game winning streak. The Cardinals have scored a total of 10 runs during their five-game losing streak. With the Cards starter Mikolas mimicking his teams performance levels, the Cards are fade material here today. Note: The cards former all start pitcher  has worked 89 1/3 innings in 16 starts, giving up 44 runs (43 earned).

The under rated Padres are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a favorite coming off a game as a favorite in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case yesterday.

ST LOUIS is 3-13  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

SAN DIEGO is 16-4  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

Lester the Cubs starter  garnered  a victory on Monday after holding the Braves to two unearned runs in six innings (seven strikeouts, no walks). The veteran lefty has gone 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts (45 K, nine BB, 45 1/3 IP) in Cincinnati and gets my support here today . Meanwhile,  after  opening June with three one-run starts, DeSclafani struggled against the Brewers, getting smacked around for six runs in 4 1/3 innings on Sunday. On May 24 at Wrigley Field, DeSclafani allowed four runs to the Cubs in 3 2/3 innings and is fade material here.

LESTER is 21-6  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LESTER is 9-1  against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cubs are 18-0 on the ML as chalk with Jon Lester when he has less than seven days rest and did not walk a batter in his last start.

CHICAGO CUBS are 17-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI is 11-24 against the money line in day games this season.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.08 ERA) vs. Giants LH Drew Pomeranz (2-8, 6.79)

Greinke, the Dbacks starter will be facing the Giants for the first time this season. Right now the veteran righty is in top form as is evident by a career-best 6.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The right-hander has allowed nine runs over his last two starts (13 innings), and  5-0 with a 1.37 ERA in five career Oracle Park starts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Pomeranz is 0-4 with an 8.53 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts) versus Arizona , including 0-1 with an 8.59 mark in two starts this season and is fade material in this spot.

GREINKE is 16-3  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 
 GREINKE is 31-6  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) 

The Diamondbacks are 7-0 on the ML when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite in June when they won in his last start.

The Diamondbacks are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when 500 on the season.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 3.07 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Jon Gray (8-5, 3.92)

There is a very high total attached to this game here in launching pad known as Coors Field. But its interesting to note that  Kershaw’s starts with an over/under of 10 or higher  have been in away games , and in those tilts the  Dodgers are just 1-4 , losing by 2.6 runs per game. His last two such event back in 2008 and 2009 here at Coors Field saw him get beaten around  losing 10-1 and 10-4 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here, as Kershaw enters this game a little wobbly after getting roughed up in Chase Field last time out . Meanwhile, the Rockies starting ace Jon Gray has steadily has been performing more and more like the staff ace they believe he can be. He's already two-thirds of the way (8) toward matching his personal standard for victories, which he established last year by winning 12 games and gets my support here today on a value home MLine. 

Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts vs. National League West.Rockies are 8-0 in Grays last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.

Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

Colorado snapped a 7 game losing streak vs the Dodgers last night with a 13-9 win and now have confidence and momentum on they're sides.

COLORADO is 9-0 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season.  Colorado is 23-7 money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

The Pirates will send right-hander Chris Archer (3-6, 5.56 ERA) to the mound Friday to take on Brewers right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.88).

The two pitchers faced off May 31 in Pittsburgh, a game the Pirates won 9-4.

Brewers starter Chacin hasn't cleared the fifth inning in either of his starts since a stint on the injured list for back tightness, continuing what has been a excruciatingly disappointing season and is fade material here vs what is currently a hot hitting Pirates team off a 10-0 win vs the Houston Astros last time out and winners of 7 of their L/8 overall. Note: The Brewers are 1-5 in Chacins last 6 starts vs. Pirates. 

PITTSBURGH is 7-1  against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - average hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) -NL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 125-62 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML