AARON NOLA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.27 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.86)

Kershaw the Dodgers ace struggled earlier this season before going on the disabled list, allowing 7 HRS and offenses to hit .234 against him. He is said, to be healthy and strong again, and I expect he gets back to the form that saw the southpaw  hold  opponents below .200 in four straight seasons and a career .206 BA .Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said there isn't a definitive pitch limit for Kershaw, saying, "I think he's fine to go deep, depending on how he's throwing."

I know the Phillies starter Nola is a top quality pitcher, and right now looks like one of the betters hurlers in MLB, but he has a recent history of sub par road efforts, and not getting the support he needs from his teams inconsistent offense  as is evident by the following trends.Phillies are 1-7 in Nolas last 8 road starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

KERSHAWs team when he starts  is 31-7   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last few seasons. KERSHAWs starts have seen his team go  69-24    against the money line in day games in his career. Dodgers are 15-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts during game 4 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games  umpire Little behind home plate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP = 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline

KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

Gibson a usually reliable hurler, who owns  a 2.61 ERA on the road this season, but  has struggled a little bit in has last few efforts. However, it must be noted that the Royals  are less than capable of taking advantage of pitchers in a funk as they are just  3-23 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 plus they struggle vs orthodox pitchers as is evident by a  2-15 record in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Royals starter Duffy despite of a quality effort in his last trip to the hill has seen his team go 0-5 in his followups  after a quality start and  0-5 in his L/5 home starts overall, and is  4-17 in his last 21 starts vs. American League Central . Needless to say Duffys numbers should not inspire anyone, and give credence to me fading him and a KC team that has lost 20 of their L/27 home games.

Twins are 6-0 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Royals.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central Twins are 19-3 in Gibson's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.GIBSONs team when he starts  is 9-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons and is  9-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game during the same time period. GIBSONs team when he starts  is  also 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse dating back to last season. GIBSON is  also 25-8 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season .GIBSON is 11-1  against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last few seasons.

DUFFY is 3-13  against the money line against division opponents dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 8-25  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.KANSAS CITY is 2-14  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.KC has lost Duffys L/3 starts vs the Twins.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00or more over his last 3 starts are 5-34 L/5 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)

Verlander the Astros starter has allowed one earned run or less in all five starts this month and gets the nod today for me vs  Yankees starting hurler Domingo German who   has given up six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. I know the Astros blew a 5 run lead yesterday and succumbed to the Tribe in extra innings, but that I'm betting makes this top tier team even hungrier and anxious for redemption. Yes, the Yankees are also a hot team, but the veteran Verlander according to my power rankings is a viable matchup for the pinstripe 9. Note: HOUSTON is 36-14    against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season and is 47-18  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 during the same time parameters.

 Astros are 8-2 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.Astros are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 12-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

MATT HARVEY (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)

Harvey the Mets starter is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA overall. He went 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight games (four starts) with the New York Mets and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts for the Reds and is fade material here today in Colorado. Harvery is 0-1, 7.94 in one start at Coors Field in May 2016.COLORADO is 7-2  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

The Reds have had a hard time vs RHP like Marquez, going  14-31 in their last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost 12 of 17 on the road vs orthodox pitchers.Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Reds took out the Rockies yesterday by a 6-5 count ,coming from behind for the win, but it must be noted that the Rockies have won 19 straight games as a favorite of more than 125 when they are off a loss as a favorite in which they led the lead, winning by an average of more than 5 runs per game.Reds are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.

Reds are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Colorado.

MLB  favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 51-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35)

Gerrit Cole the Astros starter today is getting all the headlines, because of his top tier start to this campaign (5-1 1.86 ERA), but his pitching opponent and former UCLA teammate Bauer is no pushover and has garnered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is every bit as strong looking as Cole is at the moment. Bauer has not allowed  a run in his last two outings, permitting just  11 hits on just two walks  and  16 strikeouts  in 14 innings of quality work. Yesterday, the Indians showed some positive energy by blasting 4 HRs in a 8-6 win vs the Astros, and I;m betting on them feeding off that today and notch a win.

Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series and are also 47-21 in their last 68 home games.

BAUERs team  is 14-2 in his starts  against the money line in home games against AL West opponents in his career.

BAUER is perfect  7-0  in his career when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.076.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)

Houston has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-4 and once again look like they matchup very well against the Tribe.On May 20 in Houston, McCullers and the Astros beat Carrasco and the Indians 3-1 and a repeat type performance is a strong possibility. Note: HOUSTON is 15-3  against the money line in road games after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which happened yesterday.

CLEVELAND is 4-12 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

The Cleveland Indians are 0-9 on the moneyline  in franchise history with Carrasco at home when their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.  Carrasco has six straight non-quality starts as the Indians lost by multiple runs.

CARRASCO is 1-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA  4.50 or less ), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros on the moneyline

CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R)

Losers of seven straight and 13 of 14 before making the trip to Oakland, Arizona was in a full nose dive  entering play here in Oakland yesterday, until a miraculous complete team effort buoyed them to a win yesterday in the the opening game in this series. However, their inconsistency remains an issue, and I'm doubting they have suddenly found their way out of this slump just yet and I'm betting against them here in this spot.

The DBacks will send former Boston Red Sox starter  out for his  10th career start against the A's. He has a winning record ( 4-2 ) vs the As but has a troubling  6.85 ERA in the first nine.He has not enjoyed pitching at the Coliseum in Oakland, going 1-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, As starter Mengden (4-4, 3.30) has never faced the Diamondbacks, but h has gone 3-3 with a 3.74 ERA in seven interleague starts. The righty hurler has looked to be in top form in May, allowing just four earned runs in 24 2/3 innings over four starts and get the nod again here.

Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OAKLAND is 21-10   against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last couple of seasons.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 45-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline

DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)

Baltimore enters this tilt vs the White Sox experiencing a disappointing season to this point, while the Pale Hose have been exhibiting  an uptick in their performance date as they shake themselves out a funk off their own after having won 4 of their L/5 games and are off a 11-1 smash down of the O's yesterday. Baltimore will now send the supposed ace of their pitching staff right-hander Dylan Bundy (2-6, 4.70 ERA)  out to the hill to make his  11th start of the season. The  power pitcher  has really struggled of late as he mimics his teams lack of success. Since April 26, Bundy is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA in five starts. He has allowed 23 earned runs in 22 innings, including  12 home runs and he  has given up at least three home runs in three of his past four starts. His mechanics are way off and he is  telegraphing his pitches, and once again looks like fade material vs a team that feeling a lot more confident of late and starting to heat up offensively.

BALTIMORE is 0-11  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10  against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. BALTIMORE is 8-23(against the money line against right-handed starters this season like White Sox Starter right-hander Lucas Giolito .
BALTIMORE is 1-10  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season.BALTIMORE is 1-14  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or less) -AL, in May games are 44-28 L/5 seasons  for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 10 runs or more are 33-15 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline

LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Braves starter Gohara, is a big strong 6-foot-3, 265 pounds hurler ,  that made five starts for Atlanta at the end of the 2017 season . In those efforts he registered  31 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. The Phillies thrower is under rated according to my own power rankings and matches up well vs this Philly lineup. Meanwhile, Arietta the Phillies starting pitcher, is in top form of late, but  has seen his team lose 12 of his L/19 starts vs divisional opposition and his L/4 starts overall . ARRIETA is 3-10 L/13  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 .

ATLANTA is 7-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 9-3  against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-5   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and is  11-2   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Atlanta has won seven of its first 11 games against the Phillies this season, and the team is 20-10 against divisional opponents. Braves a perfect 8-0 this season in the rubber game of a three-game series  this seasons and are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (2-4, 4.47 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays against Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 2.88).

The Jays enter this game struggling thanks to their pitching rotation. Their last two wins, one of which came yesterday were with hurler AJ Happ on the hill. Now back in the rotten part of the rotation the Jays are fade material in this spot behind, Aaron Sanchez who finished his last outing tied for the third-most walks in the Majors with 29 walks. He's had difficulty repeating his mechanics after missing all of last year with a blister issue, and command has been the first thing to suffer. I know the Angels are struggling offensively of late, but I'm betting Sanchez will not do himself any favors here thanks to his wild ways vs a Angels side that is still doing their best offensive work on the road this season averaging 5.8 rpg. Meanwhile Skaggs the Halos starter gave up one run over six innings in his last start Thursday against the Rays. The left-hander is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four career starts against the Blue Jays and get the nod in this spot play. Angels are 4-1 in Skaggs' last 5 road starts.

TORONTO is 12-22 L/33 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Sakggs.

LA ANGELS are 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 1-7 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Toronto.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA ANGELS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 58-20 L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline

BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)

I said it before this  season started, that the Atlanta Braves would be a dark horse possibility, and I'm now saying that their recent top tier play is not an anomaly, but their opponents the Phillies, strong performance to this point in the season might be. The Braves have been especially strong on the road where they have recorded 17 wins in 26 games. They lost yesterday to the Phillies, by a 3-0 count, but today I expect the Braves to bounce back.

Note:Braves are 4-0 in their starters McCarthys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game . Braves are also 5-1 in McCarthys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Velasquez has seen his team lose 15 of his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Braves

.Phillies are also just 5-12 in Velasquezs last 17 home starts.VELASQUEZ is 0-8 L/8 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season.Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. Braves. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. ATLANTA is 8-2  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

 Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

 GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)

The Dodgers are on a 5 game win streak, after finishing off a east coast road trip by sweeping the Nationals . But now after travelling all the way back  out to  the West coast last night and now tired and in the precarious situation of having to get acclimated to being home again.  I  now expect the Dodgers will be prone to a let down situation against a Colorado team that travels well as is evident by their 18-11 away record and  are  13-4 record   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Note: LA DODGERS are 7-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the mound Monday . He has pitched his best ball away from the launching pad known as Coors field posting a 2.25 ERA in his five road starts.  He is an under rated hurler who gives the Rockies a great opportunity for a outright underdog victory. Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter .

LA DODGERS are 7-15  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 8-0  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Strasburg the Nats starter today is in top form of late, going 3-0 along with garnering a stingy 2.61 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets my support here today vs a LA Dodgers team tht has  lost 19 of their L/27 games vs a RHP starter. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter is a off a good effort last time out, but that has not been a recipe for continued success as his team is 0-4 when he is  off a quality outing.

STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-0  against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. WOOD is 6-18  against the money line in day games in his career.

Someone seems to like Sunday baseball. STRASBURG teams when he starts are  28-4 against the money line when playing on Sunday .Nationals are 58-18 in Strasburgs last 76 starts. Nationals are 14-3 in game 3 of a series.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more on the opening line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 88-21 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline

MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)

Clevinger the Indians starter is in top form, as is evident by his 3-0 record and stingy 2,70 ERA.  He has pitched some of his best ball on the road recording a 10-5 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 24 appearances (19 starts) . The Tribes right hander will now face a Houston team that has been futile at home from a offensive perspective scoring just 3.9 rpg on a nasty looking  .223 team BA. Clevinger, is 1-1 along with a minuscule  1.04 ERA in two starts versus the Astros. It must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season and is is 0-5   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Clevinger qualifies under both these trends.

Meanwhile, the Astros will return fire with Charlie Morton who is also in top from with a 5-0 record along with a 2.03 ERA. He is looking good , but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings, does not matchup excessively well vs the Tribes hitters.Edwin Encarnacion  and  Jason Kipnis  have Homered in a combined nine at-bats versus Morton, who is a lowly  0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland.

Cleveland has won 24 of the 34 meetings since the Astros joined the AL in 2013, including five of six during this campaign. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 9-16 L/25  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.

MLB Any team (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 43-75 L/5 seasons for a go against  64% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 21-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)

Right-handers Chad Bettis (4-1, 3.12 ERA) of the Rockies and Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94) of the Giants  are the two starting pitchers in this series opener.

Bettis in 5 road starts owns a stingy 1.35 ERA and that is where his 4-1 record has been garnered. Meanwhile, his Giants pitching opponent SAMARDZIJA has not liked pitching at home in AT &T this season as is evident by  recording a ugly 8.30 ERA in two starts, and recently has notched a equally nasty 7.36 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, allowing 12 ERS spanning 14.7 innings of sub par work. Needless to say Bettis is in better form and gets my backing here tonight.

Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

BETTIS is 30-19   against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAMARDZIJA when he starts has seen his team go   15-32 L/47  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

COLORADO is 14-1   against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base dating back to last season, which happened vs SD last time out in a 4-0 loss.   COLORADO is 11-4   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. COLORADO is 10-4   against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.

Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game over the last couple of seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

ERIC LAUER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R) 

 To open the series Thursday, the Padres will send out rookie left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 8.27 ERA) against Pirates right-hander Chad Kuhl (4-2, 4.17).    I don't regularly lay a lot of lumber, but the averages according to my head to head power rankings  are on our side in this spot, and worth the extra outlay. The Pirates have clobbered southpaws like Lauer this season, for an average 5.9 rpg via powerful .286 team BA.  Yes, I know the Padres have been playing decently of late, but that has not been a recipe for success for this  team In the past as is evident by their   8-25 record against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last  couple of seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 20-51  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season. Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series . Padres are 18-40 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pirates are 5-1 in Kuhl's L/6 home starts. Pirates are 20-8 vs a road team with a below .500 record.

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - good NL offensive team (4.7  or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 44-11 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in May games are just 18-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate  for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)

Hammel the KC Royals starting pitcher today is currently struggling as is evident by having allowed 20 ERS in L/3 starts spanning 15 innings on 24 hits and 5 HRS.
HAMMEL team when he starts is  is 0-9  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season dating back to last season and in his current form is fade material.

Meanwhile, 
Faria the TB starter today had a five-game unbeaten streak came to an end last time out when he allowed seven runs on eight hits  in six innings of sub par work in a loss at Baltimore. Prior to that Faria had allowed one run or fewer in five of his first seven starts and is more than capable of bouncing back here vs a struggling Royals offense that has scored just 5 runs in their L/3 games and are averaging just 3.7 rpg at home via a team BA under the Mendoza line ( .249).

I know the Rays are dealing with some nagging injuries, but I'm betting they still have enough offensive weapons to get the job done this afternoon vs a Royals team that  are ranked  last in the majors with a 5.48 ERA, including 5.64 from the bullpen - the second-highest average in mlb..

KANSAS CITY is 5-20  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

KANSAS CITY is 4-13  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 47-17 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the moneyline

TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)

Anderson the Rockies starter  has a eight-game unbeaten streak come to an end Wednesday, when he allowed four runs over five innings in an 8-0 set back to the Los Angeles Angels. I'm expecting he will bounce back here today.Anderson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts versus San Diego, including a 1.50 ERA with no-decisions in two outings this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 road starts. Anderson goes against Padres team off a win yesterday, but in the recent past this has not necessarily been a good omen for the Fathers  as they have lost 7 of their L/9 after notching a victory.

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and 4-1 L/5 here in beautiful San Diego.

COLORADO is 12-3  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. COLORADO is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 11-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.COLORADO is 5-0   against the money line in road games in May games this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to cash on the moneyline

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Sabathia the Yankees starter  is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list April 19, and that includes a top tier effort in his last trip to the hill as threw six scoreless innings and a season-high seven strikeouts against Cleveland on Friday. Sabathia, owned the BoSox last season going  4-0 with a 1.04 ERA in four starts and is my choice tonight vs another strong pitcher in Rodriguez, who despite a s strong start to his campaign has given up 5 runs in back to back trips to the hill. It must be noted that after a strong start to their season , Boston has lost  9 of their L/17 and not operating at a high level , while the Yankees are red hot winning 7 straight and look to be run away freight train that you want to ride and not  stand in front of in their current form.

BOSTON is 3-8   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 20-4  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 12-0 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. NY YANKEES are 9-1  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

SABATHIA team when he starts is  21-9   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game. SABATHIA when he starts has seen his   team go 8-0 L/8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 .

Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts.Yankees are 17-4 in Sabathias last 21 home starts.Yankees are 42-17 in Sabathias last 59 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyliine

Pirates RH Trevor Williams (4-2, 2.63 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43)

Pirates starter Williams  has held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average, and he also owns a viable 3-1 record and an ERA of 1.69 in interleague play, and must be respected here as a short favorite. The Pirates currently own a 7-2 record in interleague play this season, and have the edge vs a struggling  White Sox team has lost 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Pittsburgh also owns a  23-9 against the AL Central dating to June 15, 2015. I know the Pale Hose starter Lopez has been very capable this season, but with a offense that is capable of very little run support he is currently fade material. Note: HURDLE is 34-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

The White Sox are a team that rarely takes advantage of any teams weaknesses because of a inconsistent offense as is obvious by their  4-16 record  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and struggle against strong defensive teams like the Pirates as they are 2-13   against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 1-9  against the money line in home games in day games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 10-41 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)

Lauer, 22, was the third of the Padres three first-round picks (25th overall) in the 2016 draft out of Kent State University where he was named college baseball's Pitcher of the Year off a 10-2 record and 0.69 ERA.
 He was 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts for Triple-A El Paso this April before being promoted to the Padres.Lauer’s career got off to an less than favorable start when he allowed 7 runs in cold and rainy Colorado and 3 in the first inning on Monday in SF. But, he blanked the Giants for four innings after that, and the Padres see lots of potential for the 22-year-old lefty to build on. I think this kid is under rated and gives us a good opportunity for cashing an underdog ticket here today. Meanwhile, Stripling the Dodgers starter gets the spot start after management decided not to activate Rich Hill from the DL. Stripling,, started in Hill’s spot five days earlier and allowed four runs on eight hits in 4 IP vs. Arizona and lost to the Padres the only other time he started against them.

Dodgers Manager ROBERTS is 14-23  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs  which happened yesterday vs the Padres In a loss. LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a for a go against conversion rate of 68% on the money-line.

Play on the SD Padres to win on the moneyline

HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are off to the best start in franchise history, and must be respected a viable investment option on the money-line in this tilt vs the LA Dodgers. Arizona (21-8) has won seven of eight against the Dodgers this season and 13 of the last 14 regular-season games and are my choice again tonight. The Dodgers starter is
HYUN-JIN RYU is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and is 2-9 L/11 against the money line in road games in night games.Diamondbacks are 24-7 in their last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter.

GODLEY is 12-4  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season .Diamondbacks are 9-4 in Godleys last 13 home starts.Dodgers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 15-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline

MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. FERNANDO ROMERO (R)

The Twins are in a horrendous slump and have lost 12 of their L/13 games. They have lost 8 of their 9 vs a right handed starter like Stroman. I know the Twins have called upon their top minor league pitching prospect Romero, but facing a potent Blue Jays lineup in his first big league start does not look like a viable situation for the kid.

The Blue Jays have averaged 5.6 rpg on the road this season, and their bull pen has been in good form as is evident by a 2.23 road ERA. I'm betting Stroman who has struggled so far this season gets enough run support and bullpen support for the Jays to come out of this with a win this afternoon.

Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 6-0 L/6 vs Central Division teams.

MINNESOTA is 4-20  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities dating back to last season.MINNESOTA is 46-76 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons  and is  26-44  against the money line in home games in day games during the same time period.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 34-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

: Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-4, 5.79 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (2-1, 3.10)

Cubs starting pitchers have not allowed an earned run in 33 2/3 innings – and I'm betting on Kyle Hendricks who owns  a1.38 ERA at home this season to be in top form here today vs a Colorado Rockies team, that has scored just 4 runs in their L/4 games. I know the Cubs bats have not been much better, but its just a matter of time before they tee off on a pitcher, and today looks like a good opportunity as Jon Gray remains very inconsistent. Note: GRAYs team in his starts is  is 2-15  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest .

CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 L/17  against the money line after 2 straight games with no home runs.

MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 5 runs or less 4 straight games are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the money-line

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)

Tanaka is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing one run and three hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 14-1 win against the visiting Minnesota Twins on Monday and his team is 4-0 in his career vs the Angels when starts against them and gets the nod here tonight. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Richards in 0-3 in his career vs the Yankees along with a bloated 6..73 ERA, and goes against a hard hitting group this time around that is averaging 6.1 rpg vs right handers. Richards in fade material in this spot despite of his current early seasons successes.

TANAKA is 33-15 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 overall. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a good SLG (.440 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 41-21 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

  Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 2.49 ERA) vs. Giants RH Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.22)

Stratton in just his third career start,   shut out the Nationals on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-2 win while striking out 10 batters the last time he faced them. I'm betting he turns the trick here again this Monday.STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game dating back to last season. STRATTON is 6-0 against the money line in home games over the last couple of  seasons.

WASHINGTON is 1-7 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 6-11 L/17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (38% to 46%), in April games are 13-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the money-line 

BRYAN MITCHELL (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)

Chad Bettis is in top form and has compiled a minuscule 0.90 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets the nod here again in this spot.Rockies are 5-2 in Bettis' last 7 starts vs. Padres.

Padres are 0-4 in Mitchells last 4 starts.

MITCHELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.200.

Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 23-8 in Bettis' last 31 home starts.

BETTIS team when he starts  is 15-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. BETTIS is 17-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last few seasons. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 14-80 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG or less .255) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 19-91 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the money line 

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Taillon the Pirates starter has an advantage vs a Philadelphia side that has struggled against right handed starters this season, averaging just 3.7 rpg on a .207 team BA.  He gets the nod here tonight. Pirates are 7-0 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League East.Pirates are 4-0 in Taillons last 4 road starts.

Pirates starter TAILLON is 11-3 l/14 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 . ARRIETA is 8-13 L/21 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.Phillies are 22-45 in their last 67 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

  Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (3-0, 1.83 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (2-0, 1.69)

The Bosox starting pitcher Porcello has looked strong out of the gate this season, but is  6-7 with a 5.67 ERA in 16 career trips to the hill against Los Angeles and  despite some quality starts recently  at Angel Stadium  is just 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA in six career . Note: The Red Sox are 0-9  L/9 when Rick Porcello starts as a dog when they won in his last start. 

Angels are 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 starts.

The Angels have averaged 6.4 RPG vs right handed starters this season.Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Red Sox are 4-9 in Porcellos last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Red Sox are 3-8 in Porcellos last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcellos last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

I know the Halos got smacked around last night when Japanese Phenom Ohtani faced his first real challenge, but I now expect a red face angels squad to be ready to rebound.The Angels are 13-0 L/13  as a money-line  favorite past the first game of a series after their starter pitched less than 3 innings last game.

MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 32-13  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline

Red Sox LH David Price (1-1, 2.40 ERA) vs. Angels RH Shohei Ohtani (2-0, 2.08)

On a cold night last time out Price said he lost feeling in his fingertips, and was not in top form, but prior to that  allowed just seven hits with 10 strikeouts over 14 innings in his previous two outings and is now motivated for a big time performance  opposite Halos Japanese Phenom Ohtani . Both these quality pitchers face strong offenses, but Price according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings suggests we have enough value to take the  road underdog.

The Angels have the best run differential in baseball at plus-48 with the Red Sox second at plus-42.

PRICE team when he starts  is 35-13  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game.. whether this is an anomaly or not its still worth mentioning that  BOSTON is 22-3  against the money line when playing on Tuesday dating back to last season.Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 games on natural surface

.Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games following an off day. Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.LA ANGELS are 5-16 L/21 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game

The Red Sox are 6-0 on the moneyline L/6 in the first game of a series with rest off a home game in which they had a comeback win, winning by an average of 7.0 runs per game.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline

White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (0-2, 8.68 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (2017: 4-3, 4.93)

Neither of these pitchers inspire me. One has struggled and the other has been in the minors to this point in the season. The edge however I'm betting comes via the rested starter Gonzalez who has not pitched in 8 days, and will be very fresh for this tilt. I know the As are expecting a sell out tonight because of a huge promotion, but  this only guarantees a festive atmosphere, that both teams will feed off. I have enough edge here to take a swing for the fences via viable underdog investment situation.

Athletics are 0-5 in Cahills last 5 starts vs. American League Central.Athletics are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Athletics are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7 OVER  L/24  in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last year.

The Athletics are 0-13 on the moneyline as a home 120+ favorite after playing as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not a series opener.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline

Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (0-2, 4.20 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (0-1, 5.74)

Two viable pitching options go head to head tonight in Seattle as Dallas Keuchel and James Paxton take to the hill for their respective teams. But according to my pitcher vs opposition batting order power rankings the Astros match up well vs the Mariners. Note: Astros are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle and  are 4-0 in Keuchels last 4 starts vs. Mariners.

Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Astros are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. American League West.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Mariners are 2-6 in Paxtons last 8 starts.Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are 1-7 L/8 at home vs a winning side.Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

KEUCHEL is 8-1 L/9  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better),HOUSTON is 43-14 L/57  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and is 29-12 L/41  against the money line in road games against division opponents. PAXTON team when he starts  is 13-20 L/33 against the money line in night games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 44-9 L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

Miami is expected to start, right-hander Jose Urena (0-2, 5.06 ERA), against Pirates right-hander Ivan Nova (1-1, 5.19 ERA).

Nova, Pittsburgh's Opening Day starter,  is off a top tier effort vs the  Chicago Cubs' in their  home opener Tuesday notching a  8-5 win, allowing three runs and seven hits in seven innings, with no walks It was Nova's 11th career start of at least seven innings without allowing a walk .Nova's only two career appearances against Miami, both starts in 2017, were victories in which he did not allow a run and he gets the nod again here today.

MIAMI is 10-31 L/41  against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last couple of seasons.NOVA is 21-7 l/28  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 15-0 SU as a favorite after they shut out their opponent and it is not a series opener.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse ), in April games are 27-49 L/5 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates on the moneyline

Angels RH Nick Tropeano (2016: 3-2, 3.56 ERA) vs. Royals RH Ian Kennedy (1-0, 0.75)

Having two way Japanese star Shohei Ohtani  in their lineup the Angels are fast becoming a public team. He homered in the first three games he started as the designated hitter, but didn't smack a bleacher smash last time out. He is still however,  hitting .364 with a 1.190 one-base-plus-slugging percentage and has already become the talk  of MLB baseball fans and bettors alike. Because of this the Halos are now a public team, which sometimes could taint their lines , which I;m betting is the case tonight, especially with Royals right-hander Ian Kennedy on the hills for the Royals. The RH,  is 1-0  along with a 0.75 ERA in his first two starts. In two starts against the Angels last season, Kennedy was 2-0 with an 0.64 ERA and get the nod again.

Angels are 0-5 in Tropeanos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League Central.Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline

Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (0-0, 2.79 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (0-0, 7.56)

Anderson the Rockies starter did not have  good opening day appearance, but bounced back in a big way in his last effort, , scattering four hits over six scoreless innings in a no decision. He looked great last time out, and get my support in this spot vs a inconsistent Fathers offense. Note: Anderson owns a 1-1 record and 1.50 ERA in four career starts against the Padres.

Padres are 41-84 in their last 125 road games.Padres are 22-46 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Padres are 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Padres are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Colorado.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

 Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (0-0, 0.00)

Hernandez the Mariners starter today looked good allowing just two hits and two walks with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings vs Cleveland on Opening Day. The one-time Cy Young Award winner is 23-9 with a 2.92 ERA in 42 career interleague starts and 3-0 with a 1.86 record in four outings against the Giants and gets my support here in this spot as he goes against a team that had scored a total of 4 runs , and been shutout in back to back games before scoring 4 runs last last night in a 6-4 loss to Seattle in the opening game of this series. The Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandez's last 4 road starts. Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandez's last 4 starts vs. Giants.
Mariners are 20-6 in Hernandez's last 26 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 13-4 in Hernandez's last 17 starts vs. National League West.

Giants are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Cueto also looked very good in his lone start ,but did not look like he enjoyed pitching at AT&T Park last season as is evident by his 2-3 record and slightly bloated 4.60 ERA in 12 home starts last year, producing just one quality start in his last five trips to the hill.

Giants are 1-6 in Cueto's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.

The Mariners have won 14 of the last 19 meetings between the teams and have the edge again on a value line.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline

Indians RH Corey Kluber (0-1, 2.25 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-0, 0.00)

Cleveland top tier  starter today Kluber was a hard-luck loser on Opening Day, allowing two runs on just six hits and one walk over eight solid innings of work  in a 2-1 loss vs Seattle. Today I'm expecting he will be just as strong, but with a different won loss result. Note: Indians are 7-1 in Klubers last 8 road starts and the Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Skaggs the Halos starter also did well on opening day, but according to my own data, and pitcher vs offense power rankings does not matchup well vs the Indians batting order and  is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three career starts against Cleveland.Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

LA ANGELS are 11-24 /35 against the money line against AL Central opponents.

CLEVELAND is 13-1 L/14 against LA ANGELS over the last few seasons .

Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyl

Rays RH Chris Archer (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (2017: 9-7, 3.88) Rays starter today Archer in his first start this season served up four runs and six hits with six strikeouts in six innings against the Red Sox on Thursday. He was 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four starts against the Yankees last season and is fade material here today against the pinstripes. Meanwhile, the Yanks expected starter  Montgomery struck out 144 and allowed 140 hits in 155 1/3 innings during a viable rookie campaign in 2017. He was also  6-3 with a 3.43 ERA in 15 starts at Yankee Stadium where he thrived , including six innings of one-run work vs the Rays in late September. According to my pitcher vs team batting matches up very well against the Rays and get the nod here this afternoon. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Yankees won 12 of 19 meetings with the Rays last season, including eight of 10 in New York.Yankees are 20-6 in their last 26 home games.Yankees are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

 CHRIS ARCHER is 3-16  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last few seasons.ARCHER is 11-22 L/33  against the money line against division opponents . NY YANKEES are 22-8  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last couple of seasons. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

Rangers senior citizen right-hander Bartolo Colon will face  Oakland's  Andrew Triggs, in the series opener of this series.

As hurler Trigg's had surgery last season, and said to be looking pretty fresh . Prior to this operation he displayed some solid skills, and must be respected here tonight vs a Texas team struggling to find their offensive cohesiveness. Triggs has been amazing in his young career against the Rangers as is evident by  allowing just one earned run and five hits in 12 2/3 innings (0.71 ERA) in three outings, including two starts. Meanwhile, Colon, pudgier than ever, and looking completely out of shape takes to the hill for the Rangers, well past his prime. Colon is well respected, but might be better off as a pitching coach at this stage in his life. In his last MLB stint he registered a ugly 2-8 run with a nasty looking  8.14 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 14 starts . When considering the As explosive long ball batting order I suspect the fly ball pitcher will be batting practice participant in this event. Note: Colon will be backed by a tired bull pen. TEXAS is 2-13 L/15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last couple seasons.

Texas Manager BANISTER is 0-9  against the money line after 2 straight losses by 6 runs or more. ( Which just happened)

Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rangers are 1-10 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Oakland.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline

MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (2017: 5-9, 3.77 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.49)

Dodgers No. 5 starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is set to face D-backs' No. 4 Taijuan Walker on Monday.Walker was 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three regular-season starts against the Dodgers last year, winning twice at Dodger Stadium.
Meanwhile, Dodgers starting hurler Ryu, 5-9 last year, lost his only decision in two starts against the Diamondbacks. He gave up 11 hits and eight walks in 10 innings against them and was smashed for three homers in his only appearance in Chase Field, a 6-4 loss on Aug. 30, and according to my pitcher vs team offense data base does not matchup well vs the Arizona batting order. RYU is just 1-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last couple of  seasons and  is 2-8 L/10  against the money line against division opponents.Dodgers are 2-8 in Ryus last 10 starts during game 1 of a series and are 0-4 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. National League West.

Diamondbacks are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Dodgers have allowed 1,1. 0, and 0 runs in their first 4 games, but it must be noted that LAD Manager ROBERTS is 2-12 in his career against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games.

Arizona has won the last six regular-season meetings with the Dodgers by a combined score of 40-13 and get the nod again in this tilt.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline

Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2017: 17-9, 4.19 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Mike Leake (2017: 10-13, 3.92)

The Seattle Mariners after struggling through nagging injuries in spring training, started their season off with even more injuries as DH Nelson Cruz , and Starting catcher Mike Zunino  are now out for a while and I'm betting this will effect the cohesiveness of the team. QUOTE: "When I heard that, I wanted to throw up," Mariners manager Scott Servais said. "I really don't know any other way to put it. Our club has just battled through a bunch of nagging injuries in spring training and early in the season." END QUOTE:

Cleveland starting pitcher Bauer  owns a 2.25 ERA in four career starts  at Safeco Field and gets the nod vs Seattle starter Leake, who despite of being 3-1 after being acquired by the Mariners last season, suffered that lone loss vs Seattle.

CLEVELAND is 28-14 L/42  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125. CLEVELAND is 41-17   against the money line in road games after a win which was the case yesterday.

Indians are 11-4 in Bauers last 15 starts. Indians are 17-6 in their last 23 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 6-38 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors on the blind.

Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyline

 Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (2017: 18-6, 3.29 ERA) vs. Mariners LH James Paxton (2017: 12-5, 2.98)

Indians starter today Carrasco went 18-6 with a 3.29 ERA last season when he tied for the American League lead in victories and finished fourth in the Cy Young voting. He's a quality hurler that deserves our respect in this spot. The Venezuelan was 11-2 with a 2.65 ERA on the road in 2017.  I know his pitching opponent Paxton is also a top quality hurler, but the Indians are a good fastball hitting team, and against the fire baller  Paxton should not be over whelmed. PAXTON is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.406.

Cleveland lost 2-1 to Seattle yesterday, but it must be noted that SEATTLE is just 17-30  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less and are 2-8 L/10 under the same perimeters. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Mariners are 1-4 in Paxtons last 5 starts.Road team is 5-0 in umpires Marquezs last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Seattle.Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games with Marquez behind home plate.Indians are 40-18 in Carrascos last 58 starts.Indians are 23-6 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 6-37 L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (2017: 2-6, 4.55 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (2017: 12-10, 4.37)

Injury prone Tyler Skaggs starts for the Angels tonight vs their hosts the Oakland As. Last season when he came off the disabled list he registered just one win in 11 starts. The kids got great stuff and that's why the Halos stick with him, but he just can't seem to get it all together or garner run support when he does.  Skaggs has never beaten the Athletics - as he has recorded a  0-4 record along  with a  bloated 6.26 ERA in five career meetings and is fade material vs Billy Beans under rated squad in this spot. Meanwhile, the As starter Manaea had a strong spring, going 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 innings  of quality work. He's very hard on LH hitters, who have hit just .207 against him in his career, and has been solid at  home in the Coliseum, as is evident by recording a 11-6 mark along with a solid 3.55 ERA in 27 games (26 starts). Manaea beat the Angles  3-1 last September throwing six innings of shutout ball,  while allowing five just  hits. He gets my support .

OAKLAND is 18-7 L/25  against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less  dating back to last season.Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.

Play on Oakland to win on the moneyline

Indians RH Corey Kluber (2017: 18-4, 2.25 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (2017: 6-5, 4.36)


I'm recommending we lay a little lumber right out of the gate here on opening day. But believe me when I say I won't be making a habit of playing more than -150 chalk on the money-line during this MLB campaign.

Indians Cy Young award winner Kluber had a very strong spring training going 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA in five starts while striking out 25 over 19 innings of top tier work and gets the nod over Seattle veteran Felix Hernandez here in opening day action.KLUBER is 3-1 when starting against SEATTLE in his career with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.967.

The Indians won four of the six meetings last season, including two of three in Seattle.

Dating back to last season the Indians are 22-5 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.Indians are 14-2 in Klubers last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.
Indians are 7-0 in Klubers last 7 road starts.


MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 37-6 L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline ( 0.5 unit selection)

Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (2017: 10-8, 4.14 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (2017: 13-9, 4.24)

Odorizzi will get the call on Opening Day for the first time in his career after being acquired by the Twins in a trade with the Rays. Odorizzi has a great deal  of experience vs. the O's from his AL East days, going 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA vs. them in '17 and he gets my attention and money here today. Meanwhile, Orioles starter Bundy will make his first career Opening Day start against the Twins at Camden Yards. He was regarded highly as the season progressed last season, and finally ended up the ace of the staff, despite of not looking all that great late in the season, as is evident by a 7.54 ERA in his L/3 starts . BUNDY is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA in his career with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333,serving up a total of eight runs on 11 hits and five walks in just 12 innings .Orioles are 1-5 in Bundys last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.

Orioles are 9-19 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MINNESOTA is 34-24 L/58 against the money line in road games against right-handed starters and is  23-17 l/40  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 .

Minnesota won five of the seven meetings last season.Twins are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore.

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are  13-32 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Minnesota to win on the moneyline

Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 2.95 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 4.15)

Darvish the Dodgers starter for game 7  has served up seven homers in 24 2/3 career postseason innings, which includes his tenure with Texas and against this formidable long ball offense is very susceptible. I liked the Astros in game 6 and I'm coming right back tonight with them again.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 0-5 in Darvishs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

The Astros starter  McCullers Jr.s  is 8-1 in his last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.

Road team is 8-0 in home plate  Wegners last 8 games behind home plate.

In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams which post a win order of WLLWLW through six games irrespective of site (such as the Los Angeles Dodgers) have a 0-4 Game 7 record.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

World Series - Game 6 - Best of 7 -

The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 13-runs-12 in 10 innings and now I'm betting they take the World Series here tonight in Los Angeles. Game 6 will go to Motown's Verlander, who's 4-0 with a 2.05 ERA in five games (four starts) this postseason. He allowed three runs on two homers in six innings in Game 2. He's 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) since joining Houston and is the guy I'm backing here.

 VERLANDER team when he starts 18-3 L/21  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career.HOUSTON is 16-4 L/20  against the money line in road games after scoring 9 runs or more.LA DODGERS are 2-7 L/9  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs.HOUSTON is 24-9 L/33  against the money line against NL West opponents.

NOTE:  HOU leads 3-2-Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-5 Game 6 record and a 0-5 series record . The Los Angeles Dodgers and their predecessor entity, the Brooklyn Dodgers, have a combined 0-8 series record upon trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Dodgers  - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 10 runs or more are 10-34  L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Last night I watched the Dodgers find a way past the Astros. I wanted to get a better feel of what to expect before pulling the trigger on any game in  this series. Tonight I'm ready to fire off my first shot . It must be noted that in four appearances (three starts) in this postseason, Verlander the Astros starter  vs the Dodgers this evening owns  a 1.46 ERA over 24 2/3 innings, striking out 24 with six walks. Each  time  the veteran hurler Verlander has gone to the hill this October, the Astros have come away with a victory and I'm betting on nothing changing tonight.

HOUSTON is 12-3  against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season .VERLANDER team record is 12-5  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.HOUSTON is 42-19 L/61  against the money line in an inter-league game .  Astros HC HINCH is 21-8 L/29  against the money line against NL West opponents.

MLB teams like the Dodgers  - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs or more /game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are just 36-69 since 1997 for a go against conversion rate of 665 for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)

I'm betting the Astros will  stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.

The Astros  new ace  Justin Verlander  looked good when facing the Yankees and Severino in Game 2 as he  earned the victory in a complete game.  That was the veteran rightys third win in as many 2017 postseason outings and he's not finished yet. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31 and expect his record to stay untarnished after this tilt is said and done.

VERLANDER when he starts has seen his team go   24-4   against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season  in his career.HOUSTON is 17-5   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season.

NY YANKEES are 8-18   against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season and 19-32  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Houston - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 149-71 L/5 seasons for conversion rate of 60% for bettors.

MLB Road teams like the Yankees - good offensive team - scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 58-94 for a go against conversion  rate of  61% for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

The Cubs will be primed and motivated to get a much needed win here , and I'm betting we see them at their very best in game 3 of this NL series vs the Dodgers. I know both sides have been operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but in this critical game, the ghosts of Wrigely will be out in full force to help out the defending champions notch a win.

The Dodgers have looked good in the first two games of this this National league finals series, and overall in the play offs as  their defense and  pitching are in top form. However in the past this has not been a guarantee that they will continue to produce positive results as is evident by their ,  6-17 mark  against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.  DODGERS are also just 4-11 L/15 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better and are  4-13 L/17 against the money line in road games after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.

A lot has been made of the fact that the Cubs bats have been ice cold of late , but it must be noted that the LA DODGERS are just 22-23  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. There also long term league wide trends that tell us these types of struggling offenses have done well against the moneyline in the past.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are actually good bets going 35-6 over the L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Cubs - ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or better  over his last 3 starts are 43-15 over the L/20 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Clayton Kershaw the ace of the Dodgers staff struggled down the stretch this season, because of back issues, and I don't think he is 100% yet. Kershaw also has a history of struggling in the play offs in the past, and in my opinion is not a strong a favorite as the lines-makers are making him here in game 1. The Dodgers southpaw hurler gave up back-to-back home runs in the seventh inning of his Game 1 start vs. Arizona, and all told, he has a 21.86 ERA in the seventh inning of postseason games. Considering the defending World Series Champion Cubs have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.5 rpg a on a 2.71 ERA , they must not be underestimated here as big underdogs. Meanwhile, Jose Quintana the Cubbies starter has been in top form of late, recording a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill,

QUINTANA team when he starts  is 30-11 L/41  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game.CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6  against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

Cubs are 7-0 in Quintanas last 7 starts.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff road games.Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-14 in their last 19 League Championship games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the Dodgers - good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are 24-43 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Keuchel the Astros starter is 4-2 with a 1.41 ERA over six career starts against the Yankees, In his one  postseason start against the Yankees, Keuchel pitched six superb shutout innings with seven strikeouts in the 2015 AL wild-card game, a 3-0 Astros victory at Yankee Stadium.On May 11, he limited the Yankees to five hits, one walk and one unearned run with nine strikeouts over six innings in a 3-2 win.  Meanwhile, Tanaka the Yankees starter has been hos worst on the road this season as is evident by a 4-7 record along with a bloated  6.48 ERA over 15 road starts in 2017. He is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA over four career starts against Houston. From a starting pitcher perspective the Astros must be respected here, and backed on the money-line.

KEUCHEL team when he starts is 13-3 L/16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game .TANAKA is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.86 and a WHIP of 1.701.Astros are 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. Yankees.

Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 League Championship games and are 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship road games.Yankees are 2-5 in Tanakas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff home games.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 League Championship games.

NY YANKEES are 11-23 L/33  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.HOUSTON is 81-38   against the money line against right-handed starters this season.HOUSTON is 23-8  against the money line after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 11-41 for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Yankees - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 14-52 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (15-9, 2.96)

Lester finished his season in top form as is evident by a  5-1 record in September and is 9-7 in play off action along with a stingy 2.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts). This season he has been in good form vs the Nationals and owns a solid 2.84 ERA in two no-decisions. Meanwhile, Gonzalez   struggled down the stretch, losing four of his last six starts.

The defending World Series champs came away the victory in game 1 of this NL series, and I'm betting they get the win here again today over the Nationals. Watching both teams, its become apparent to me  that the Cubs look calm cool and calculated, while their seems to be an edge or nervousness surrounding the Nationals as they nervously try to avoid their forth straight first round elimination.

Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games.Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff home games.Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Nationals are 4-13 in Gonzalezs last 17 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 0-4 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts vs. Cubs.

Cubs are 8-1 in Lesters last 9 starts vs. National League East.Cubs are 7-2 in Lesters last 9 road starts.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 20-8 in Lesters last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20)

Colorado's starting hurler Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed a total of just seven runs in 30 innings of quality work in his last five appearances and struck out 10 batters  to win at Arizona on June 30 and is more than capable of shocking the DBacks tonight. Meanwhile, Arizona's ace Greinke looked fatigued to me towards the end of the season, and   was hammered in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 as he allowed eight runs in just four innings. I know the Rockies are underdogs here, but I'm betting they matchup well against Greinke and deliver a value line winner behind what can be an explosive offense.

Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 home starts vs. Rockies.

GRAY is 5-0  against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Phillies rookie Nick Pivetta (7-10, 6.26 ERA) goes to the hill to face the Mets here this afternoon . Pivetta is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA, surrendering 18 hits to Mets batters in 16 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, the  Mets will respond with  Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 3.18 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in Sunday afternoon's season finale.He has pitched well against the Phillies, as is evident by a 4-1  career record and a stingy 1.89 ERA against them. This is an important start for Syndergaard as will have direct implications for his future standing with the Mets. I'm recommending we back his motivational intentions today.

NY METS are 8-0  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse this season and 15-4  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season.

The Mets are 7-2 in Philadelphia this season.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.54 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jake Junis (8-3, 4.39)

KC sends Rookie Jake Junis to hill to start for them today. He is 8-3 with a 4.39 ERA with 75 strikeouts in 92 1/3 innings. He lost his previous start to the New York Yankees, ending an impressive personal six-game winning streak.Junis is 2-0 with a 3.49 ERA in six starts and two relief appearances this year at Kauffman Stadium and is a viable  pitcher to back here against a Arizona Dbacks side that has already clinched a wild card birth and looking ahead to post season play. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Walker has been on the wrong end of back-to-back starts to San Francisco and Miami, working a total of 8 2/3 innings, but getting beaten around for early exits. Walker is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Royals.

Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 4-0 in Junis' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

KANSAS CITY is 12-5  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.JUNIS when he starts for the Royals has seen his team go  7-1  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Brewers RH Chase Anderson (11-4, 2.81 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH John Gant (0-0, 3.65)

Anderson the Brewers starter tonight lost to the Chicago Cubs in his last appearance  but won each of his previous four decisions and remains a viable candidate to deliver a winning ticket tonight. With Milwaukee still having a chance of catching the Colorado Rockies for the second National League wild-card spot I expect he will get some motivated support. Meanwhile, also considering the Cardinals are now deflated after  their 11th-inning, 2-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Thursday night eliminated them from the play off race, I expect the Brewers have a edge based on motivation. With that said, I expect the Brewers to beat up on Cardinals'  starter John Gant, who is making only his second start since he was recalled from Triple-A Memphis at the start of September.

Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 9-26 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Brewers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 The Cardinals have lost four of their last five, scoring two or fewer runs three times over that stretch and one more loss would put them out of any play off contention. I know Chicago has clinched their spot in post season play, but would love nothing more than to finish off their opponents hopes in killer fashion which is repeatedly exhibited by championship teams. I expect some of the Cubs young talent to see time tonight, and to want to make a mark, so I don't expect the Cubs to lay down and just the let the desperate Cards roll over them.

It must also be noted that Cubs starter Hendricks who has been very sharp of late is in line to start the Cubs’ playoff opener, and will be primed to make an impression on his coaching staff tonight with a top notch effort . He is 4-4 with a 2.25 ERA in his last eight apperances – all quality starts – and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his 12 trips to the hill since coming off the disabled list July 24.

Meanwhile, cards starter Lynn has only one victory over his last nine starts and  off a very ugly effort last time out, and owns a 13.03 ERA in his L/3 overall. He looked fatigued in the above mentioned outing, which is not a good omen for his teams chances at staying alive after tonight. Lynn has seen his team lose 7 straight vs the Cubs when he starts.

Cardinals are 1-7 in Lynns last 8 starts overall.

Cubs are 22-5 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline

Padres LH Travis Wood (4-6, 6.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (9-12, 3.96)


Yu Darvish the Dodgers hurler tonight is a fine pitcher ,but has not had success in these types of situations in the recent past. DARVISH is 4-9 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons and is 1-5 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season this season.DARVISH team is 7-10 when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 3-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.Dodgers are 1-4 in Darvishs last 5 starts.SAN DIEGO is 15-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season.


The Dodgers have won 3 of their L/4 but recently lost 20 of 25 games, and look like they may have exerted to much energy early on in the season and now running out of gas. I know San Diego does not instill confidence in bettors but they have pulled of big underdog wins in the past and are a value play again here this evening.

Abbots Manager GREEN is 20-15 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. .620 or better )

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline

 Martinez the Rangers starter has not notched a single win in his past nine outings, allowing 28 earned runs in 35 innings. He is 0-3 over the stretch that dates back to June 25 and is fade material here tonight in Oakland against the As.  It must be noted that the Rangers are 0-13 L/13 when Nick Martinez starts on the road when they lost in his last start.
Rangers are also 0-6 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland.

TEXAS is 4-12 against the money line vs. lower tier  speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 9-3 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season.

Right now the As are playing their best ball of the season, and have won 10 of their L/13 including 4 in a row, and here tonight against a struggling pitcher have the edge.

Play on the Oakland A's to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Tanner Roark of the Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves' R.A. Dickey, are two pitchers operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Roark is 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 outings since the All-Star break.Roark is also  6-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his career against Atlanta and  beat them in Washington on Sept. 14, when he allowed two runs and four hits  Meanwhile,  the Braves veteran knuckleballer Dickey is 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA in three starts this month. Opponents have batted .333 in his past six trips to the hill, and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Nationals batting order tonight.Dickey is 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Washington this year and 4-9 with a 4.17 ERA in 20 career games (18 starts) vs. the Nationals.

With the Nationals remaining consistent and on a 3 game win streak, Atlanta looks a little lost and have lost 4 straight. Considering the pitching matchup and both teams current form I am recommending we take the Nationals in this spot play.

ATLANTA is 1-11 L/12 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span.ATLANTA is 0-10 L/10 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Braves - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 11-45 over the last 5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Athletics RH Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-3, 6.42)

The Tigers starting hurler Bell(0-3, 6.42 ERA)  has struggled since joining the Detroit rotation in September. He has allowed 13 runs in 12 innings in three starts in September, and he lasted just 3 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, allowing six runs and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) will go to the hill for the As. The righty hurler  has shown a lot of improvement against two of the majors' best offensive teams in his last couple of appearances.Gossett held the Houston Astros to one run on six hits and struck out seven on Sept. 9 for his fourth victory, then allowed three runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings at Boston on Thursday and being that he is in very good form at the moment while Bell is not the Athletics have the starting pitcher edge.

Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League West.Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

DETROIT is 27-43  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 9-22   against the money line against AL West opponents this season.OAKLAND is 18-11   against the money line against AL Central opponents this season.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Pittsburgh is now completely deflated and just playing out the string, after just getting swept by the Reds, and losing yesterday in the opener of this series the Brewers for their 5th straight loss which includes being defeated in 11 of the L/12 games. Tonight I expect more of the same negative results from the Pirates , as they face the Milwaukee Brewers Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) who beat the Pirates last week 8-2, and matches up well against their batting order.Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates. This season, he is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts vs. Pittsburgh. Anderson faces  against off against the Pirates Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA) who has lost 4 of his L/5 decisions.

MILWAUKEE is 12-3   against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which happened last time out beating the Pirates by a 3-0 count. MILWAUKEE is 11-4   against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 9-3  against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season.PITTSBURGH is 4-18   against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are a long term bad bet 77-192 for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM)

Colorados Anderson (4-5, 5.75) will oppose the Padres Jordan Lyles (1-2, 6.75), who spent just over 3 1/2 years with the Rockies before they released him Aug. 1.

Needless to say Lyles would love to beat his old team today in a place he is used to pitching in.

I''m betting he has a good chance at helping his team notch the underdog win vs a lineup he is very familiar with.

I know San Diego has lost 4 straight , including yesterday opening game in this series, by a 6-1 count  but they have been a positive  bet in the past, under these circumstances as they are 15-5  against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses. Also Colorado is a ugly  0-9 L/9 off a home win in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and never trailed.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

White Sox RH Carson Fulmer (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-4, 7.43)

Sanchez Motown's starter tonight vs the White Sox is winless in his last five appearances and was crushed for seven runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on Sunday. In 11 home outings this season, he is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA..Chicago pounded out 25 hits is 17-7 rout of Detroit in Thursday's series opener and I'm betting this young group will unleash another barrage on a Tigers teams just playing out the string.

 Detroit dropped its last six games and 12 of the past 14.and are fade material again.

SANCHEZ team when he starts  is 6-21   against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game dating back to last season.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

White Sox RH James Shields (3-6, 5.40 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-2, 5.79)

Bell has a 6.28 ERA in 10 games (one start) at home and is fade material here today vs the Chicago White Sox.  Note: Motown has lost 5 straight with the offense only  providing 9 runs in total during that span.

Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The White Sox are a perfect  12-0 on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a 110-plus dog in which they did not hit a home run. Which was the case yesterday.

Play on the Chicago White Sox ( Late Steam)

Astros RH Justin Verlander (11-8, 3.74 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (0-0, 1.13)

Richards now healthy after rehab this season is (0-0, 1.13 ERA) and the Angels face the American League West-leading Houston Astros, as underdogs tonight and are a value selection in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Verlander a former Tiger hurler, gets the call tonight for the Astros. It must be noted that

VERLANDER is 0-7 L/7  against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. VERLANDER is 1-8 L/9  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts.Angels are 30-14 in Richards' last 44 home starts.Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Astros.

MLB Road teams like Houston - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs , are 29-55 66% go against  conversion rate .

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.29 ERA) will go to the hill in his fourth start this season against the Brewers.Hendricks, who is 6-3 in 13 career starts against Milwaukee, hasn't lost since Aug. 4  and is currently in top form and gets the nod in this spot.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Brewers Meanwhile, The Brewers will answer back with right-hander Zach Davies (16-8, 3.77), who has lost two of his three starts against the Cubs this season and is fade material this afternoon. He's a quality pitcher but the Cubs offense matches up very well against him. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Cubs are 24-11 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 114-45 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

SF starting hurler Samardzija (9-12, 4.31 ERA) pitched a three-hit shutout vs the Padres on Aug. 28 and allowed that performance up vs the Cardinals allowing just  one run and two hits in seven innings on Sept. 2. He went 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six starts in August, his best month of the season and enters this game in top form, and a viable hurler to back against a struggling White Sox team that has lost 8 of their L/10 games.The Pale Hose respond, with veteran righty James Shields (2-6, 5.72 ERA) .

SF beat the White Sox 9-2 yesterday and won 11-3 the day before and now with momentum on their side I like their chances again today.

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 L/16  against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more

SHIELDS when he starts has seen his team go 9-27  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.

The White Sox are 0-14 L/14 past the first game of a series as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game.

MLB team like the White Sox - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 24-53 dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the SF giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Friday night pitching matchup has Baltimore left-hander Wade Miley (8-11, 4.91 ERA) opposing Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger (8-5, 3.50). Both pitchers have done well of late, but I'm betting the hotter bats of the Indians and home filed advantage will be the difference maker.

BALTIMORE is 9-26 L/35  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season and is 2-15 L17  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better .CLEVELAND is 21-4  against the money line after 4 or more consecutive wins this season.

Orioles are 11-24 in their last 35 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 7-0 in Clevingers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like Cleveland - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 47-12 L/59 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors spanning 5 seasons.

Play on the Cleveland Indians

Cole Hamels the ace of the Texas staff will make the start for the Rangers here in the 2nd game of this double Header. Meanwhile,  Julio Teheran (9-11, 4.75 ERA) will start for the Braves  , making his first start at SunTrust Park since ending a nine-game home losing streak with a victory over the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 25. Unfortunately for him, and despite of pitching well of late I'm betting he reverts back to his losing ways here at home again. He threw 109 pitches in his last outing, allowing just 1 run in a win and will not be so fresh here and could tire early. Also with that in mind it must be noted that Atlanta is 0-11 L/11 when Julio Teheran starts at home and he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start.

Texas (69-68) has cashed on 16 of its past 25 games on the moneyline including an 8-2 victory over the Braves on Monday, and must be respected here in this spot. TEHERAN is 4-13 L/17  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher.TEHERAN is 1-10 against the money line in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings.

TEHERAN  team when he starts is 8-22 L/30  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game .TEXAS is 13-5 L/18 against the money line in road games in an inter-league game.ATLANTA is 3-15 L/18  against the money line in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more.Rangers are 20-8 in their last 28 interleague games.Rangers are 14-4 in their last 18 vs. National League East.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Mets have lost 17 of their last 23 and are fade material here this evening, vs a Philadelphia team that despite of being bottom feeders still have some fight left in them behind with a fairly young lineup with promise. The Phillies Pivetta the teams starter tonight in his most recent trip the hill allowed one run over six innings Friday as the Phillies beat the Miami Marlins 2-1 and gets the nod here in this spot.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-3  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season and 8-2 after scoring 9 or more runs which happened yesterday in a 9-1 victory vs the Mets. NY METS are 14-37   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.NY METS are 4-15 L/19  against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Phillies - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest are 43-16 dating back 20 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for betting backers of this league wide trend.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Royals LH Jason Vargas (14-9, 3.87 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 6.95)

Sanchez the Tigers starter I'm betting exhibits some rust today after being on the disabled list over the L/2 weeks. Prior to his being sidelined, he allowed  17 runs on 23 hits - nine home runs - over 11 1/2 innings in three trips to the hill. I'm expecting he will be cannon fodder for the royals bats tonight. I know Vargas his pitching opponent tonight, has not been good form since the all star break, but is still a stable commodity compared to his counterpart. With that said, I'm betting the Royals hand the Tigers their 6th straight loss in this spot.

VARGAS has seen his team go  20-9 L/29  when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.KANSAS CITY is 19-6   against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. SANCHEZ team when he starts is  is 5-18   against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.Royals are 13-4 in Vargas' last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.The Tigers are 0-14  as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 12+ hits.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the tigers - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 26-82 over the L/5 seasons for a go against  conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 72-24 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline

 Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27)

Right-handers Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27 ERA) of the A's and Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52) of the Angels will kick off a series this Monday.Smith the Athletics starter today is among my lowest ranking pitcher in my personal power rankings list. It must be noted that LA is 17-0 as a 125-plus road chalk on the moneyline off a road tilt when facing a team that is under .550 on the season whose starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.625 like Smith.

Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 road starts.Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.

BRIDWELLs team is 8-0 when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season and is 9-0   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 7-22 l/29  against the money line in home games in September games over the last few seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher As - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00  or mote over his last 3 starts are just 21-86 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (13-8, 3.94)

Bundy the Orioles starter is coming off his first career complete game, a one-hit shutout vs the Seattle Mariners  in which he registered 12 strikeouts. I'm betting he uses the momentum of that game to take out the NY Yankees to Monday afternoon. Bundy (13-8, 3.94 ERA) went 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five starts in August.  Meanwhile, the Yankees will start rookie Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA). In his latest trip to the hill, Montgomery took the loss against the Cleveland Indians by allowing four runs and six hits over just four innings. He actually looked a little tired in that game, and is fade material here this afternoon in Baltimore in game 1 of this series.

The Yankees I'm betting will also be in a natural letdown situation after beating the ace of the BoSox rotation last night Chris Sale by a 9-2 count. It must be noted however, that the Yankees have not performed all that well in this situation , as they are 4-15  against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season.

Yankees are 2-8 in Montgomerys last 10 starts.Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomerys last 5 road starts.Yankees are 1-8 in Montgomerys last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 7-0 in Bundys last 7 starts.Orioles are 5-0 in Bundys last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore.The Orioles are 12-0 on the moneyline with no rest as a favorite in the first game of a series when playing a team that has a better record.

BALTIMORE is 29-11 L/40  against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline

Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12)

 New York's Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12 ERA) is expected to face Philadelphia's Mark Leiter (2-4, 3.88 ERA) in a matchup of  right-handers at Citi Field this Monday afternoon. In his past 15 games (11 starts), Montero is 3-5 with a 4.27 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 72-30 in 71 1/3 innings. He opened the season by going 0-4 with an 8.24 ERA in his first 13 games (two starts) and had a great outing last time out, but watching this young man pitch I'm betting that was an anomaly and I am going against him here this afternoon.Montero is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in six career trips to the hill (two starts) against the Phillies. Leiter, a left-handed hurler, allowed one run over five innings of relief in his lone appearance against the Mets on Aug. 10 and gets the nod today.

NY METS are 10-17   against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.NY METS are 12-29   against the money line in day games this season.The Phillies are 17-0 on the moneyline  in the first game of a series as a dog off a road game when their opponents starting pitcher has same-season-revenge and it is after the All-Star break.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 1-6 in Monteros last 7 home starts.Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 home games.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Red Sox LH Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14)

 Sale owns a 2.12 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings against New York this season but is just 0-2 in four outings due to poor run support He is off a .dominating effort at Toronto on Tuesday, when he struck out 11 without walking a batter and scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings. Needless to say he enters this game with fire in his eyes, and is a quality hurler to back in this spot. Meanwhile, the Yankees will return fire with Luis Severino who's worst start of the season came in a home game  home against Boston on Aug. 12, when he was crushed for 10 runs ( eight earned ) over 4 1/3 innings of ugly work. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter projections , tells me the BoSox offense should give Sale all the run support he will need tonight.

Red Sox are 5-1 in Sales last 6 road starts.

BOSTON is 37-19 L/56 against the money line in September games.BOSTON is 27-  against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last year.SEVERINO is 5-12  L/17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50) or less  (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 10-38 for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors.

 
Play on the BoSox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 The Blue Jays enter this game vs Baltimore despite of winning yesterdays game having dropped three consecutive road series. Overall, they are 8-16 in their last 24 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 and once again look like fade material here this afternoon in Maryland.

Toronto is also 0-4 in series against the Orioles this season.

Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.

Today I'm betting the Orioles, will tee off on Jays starter Anderson who has still not 100% recovered from a back injury this season that has caused him to miss a lot of time. He posted an 8.18 ERA in six starts for the Chicago Cubs this season before being released July 31. The Blue Jays signed him to a minor-league deal on Aug. 14. I know Tillman the Os starter does not give one a lot of confidence from a pitching perspective, thanks to a down year, but the Jays hardly have a good record vs this kind of pitcher as is evident by a 3-9 record against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse dating back to last season.TILLMAN is also 13-3 L/16 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse. Orioles are 20-6 in Tillmans last 26 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

BALTIMORE is 30-15 L/45 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.TILLMAN is 14-7 L/21 against the money line against division opponents.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 63-28 in their last 91 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 5-1 in Tillmans last 6 starts vs. Blue Jays.

Play on the Baltimore Os to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Reds RH Sal Romano (4-5, 4.91 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Trevor Williams (5-7, 4.37)
Williams the Pirates starter is winless in his last four games despite pitching  tow straight quality starts including a loss to the Cubs on Monday in which he gave up two runs over five innings in Wrigley Field.  I'm betting he continues with the same momentum he exhibited of late, but this time help his team notch a win.

The Pirates took out the Reds 5-0 yesterday which is a good omen for us as they are 17-0 as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent.

CINCINNATI is 7-26   against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 2-11   against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 6-20   against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the  Reds  - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 runs/game or more per game on the season (NL), in September games are just 15-58 over the L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (6-12, 5.09 ERA) vs. Rangers RH A.J. Griffin (6-5, 5.26)

Nolasco (6-12, 5.09) has faced Texas three times this year, recording a less than flattering 0-2 record with an 11.12 ERA over those starts. but that was then and this is now . Last time he faced them he didn't have the offensive support of Mike Trout, who  was not in the lineup for the Angels and now they also have even more offensive fire power with Justin Upton and Brandon Phillips now swinging . bats. Also as far as Nolasco is concerned, I'm betting he starts to figure out the Rangers, as this current lineup does have a lot experience against him. Mike Napoli has the most experience of any Ranger against Nolasco, but he hasn't fared as well. In 18 at-bats Napoli has a single hit, for a .067 batting average.  Meanwhile, Griffin the Rangers starter, won his last start vs the Halos, but that's not a good omen, for him and his team as Angels are 19-0  as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener.

Angels are 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road teams LA Angels - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 63-32 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the LA Angles to win  on the moneyline

Tampa Bays starter southpaw Blake Snell (2-6, 4.29 ERA) will start  today against a White Sox team that are big home underdogs. Last time out Chicago lost 5-4 in walk off fashion as underdogs , but this time around I'm betting they find their way and deliver a pay day vs a, pitcher that despite of some recent good outings is a  very hittable pitcher. Chicago has lost their L/2 games they played vs the Rays but are  solid in that situation  going 10-5  against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.The White Sox are also 6-0 L/6 as a home dog in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a road game and they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost.

Rays are 1-5 in Snells last 6 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Snell has won just two times in 20 career road starts.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-4, 4.25 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78)

Skaggs  the Angels starter tonight vs the Rangers  is 0-3 with a 4.56 ERA since coming off the disabled list .  . Skaggs owns a 2-2 record along with  a 5.66 ERA against the Rangers in his career. I'm betting Skaggs in trouble today vs a Texas side that does their best offensive work at home averaging 5.8 rpg via a .271 BA.  Meanwhile, Texas will respond with  southpaw Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78 ERA), who had a solid August despite a ugly outing last time out. I expect this quality hurler to come back here with  a vengeance. He owns a 4-1 record along  with a stingy 2.47 ERA for his career vs the Halos.Hamels is 6-0  at home this season in 8 starts along with a very stable 3.01 ERA.

HAMELS team when he starts  is 16-2 L/18  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season.LA ANGELS are 3-11  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Rangers - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% are 48-21 during the L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (4-4, 4.19 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.82)

Sabathia is making his third start since returning from the disabled list because of  a right knee injury. Sabathia was on the DL when the Red Sox last visited New York and returned Aug. 19 in Boston when he allowed two runs and four hits.He followed it up by allowing just one run and five hits in seven quality innings in a no-decision in the Yanks heart breaking  11-inning loss to the Seattle Mariners this past Friday. Sabathia is shaping back into form and I expect he will be at his best in this tilt.  . The current Boston roster is hitting a combined .187 (32-for-171) off him. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent,  in nine starts since May 25, Rodriguez the BoSox starter is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.Rodriguez is trying for his first win in over three months.

The Red Sox swept the Yanks the last time they met, and now I expect the Yankees will be amped up to perform here, as they are not only in revenge mode, but in a desperation mode as well, as their play off aspirations, will hinge on their play over the next week.

SABATHIA is 10-2   against the money line against division opponents this season.Red Sox are 0-5 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts vs. Red Sox.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

I almost always like to put a starting pitching matchup analysis up , but when a situation like this arises, momentum plays a almost bigger factor in a projected outcome .Toronto just finished  a six-game homestand with a ugly 1-5 record and have now lost 10 of 12 overall. The Blue Jays sit in last place in the American League East and are regularly playing like bottom feeders and are fade material here again tonight vs a Baltimore team on a red hot 7 game win streak after yesterdays 8-7 win vs the Mariners.The Orioles have been offensively explosive during their winning run, scoring four or more runs in six of the seven victories. With play off aspirations still in play I expect we will see the Os, in top form, again tonight vs a team playing out the string  that they have beaten 7 of 10 times this season.

BALTIMORE is 36-10 L/46  against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).TORONTO is 4-11  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.BALTIMORE is 67-29  L/96 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Os starter HELLICKSON is 7-2  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Jays - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 11-45 over the L/5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Gonzalez the White Sox starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts and  owns a 2.93 ERA in eight starts since coming off the disabled list with AC joint inflammation in his right shoulder. Needless to say he is in top form. Meanwhile, Minnesota's veteran hurler, Colon, despite of being fairly stable , owns a bloated 6.94 ERA at home this year spanning 9 starts. Looking at this games pitching matchup, there is value in backing a visiting White Sox team that has cashed 4 of their L/7 as underdogs and 7 of their L/11 overall, with young rejuvenated lineup. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7   against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival which happened last time out.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) vs. Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 2.89)

Bridwell the Angels starter tonight continued to be in top form last Friday but suffered his first loss in nine starts after giving up two runs and six hits in seven innings against Houston. Today I expect he will bounce back and get his team to the win via his usual solid work.Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Despite the absence of Mike Trout, the Angels have outscored the Athletics 11-3 in winning the first two , games of this series, and  with Trout expected back tonight the Angels will be ready for a bigger output. Meanwhile, Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) has pitched well against Los Angeles this season, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three starts. However, all three of those outings were well before he missed 2 1/2 months with a strained shoulder. He has pitched decently of late, but I still feel he is less than 100% and susceptible to being beaten around. Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts and are 0-6 in Gravemans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.Athletics are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.

BRIDWELL team when he starts is 8-0   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 19-4 l/23  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons.OAKLAND is 17-42  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Giants starter tonight  Matt Moore’s has pitched well recently  with his team winning his last two starts, but the Giants have not performed well in this spot going  0-11 on the road off a road tilt when they won the last two games their starter started, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. Previous too his recent success Moore was just 1-8 from May 24-Aug. 7, so a regression to the norm is not out of the question. Meanwhile Perdomo (6-8, 4.84 ERA)  the Fathers starter, was in top form in his last trip  out at St. Louis on Thursday. Over six innings, he allowed just two runs on seven hits and two walks in a no-decision.In seven career games against the Giants, Perdomo is 1-0 with a 3.94 ERA. He is 0-0 with a 3.63 ERA in three starts vs. San Francisco this year. I like the Padres hurler here to keep his team in the game.

SF took a 3-0 win yesterday but SAN DIEGO is 7-1  against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent this season.

Giants are 1-6 in Moores last 7 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 5-2 in Perdomos last 7 home starts.Padres are 6-1 in Perdomos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125  like the Giants- starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are just 35-70 L/105 opportunities for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Two pitchers who do not inspire all star day dreaming go to the mound to face each other tonight. The Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney (0-0, 8.10 ERA) will make his third start of the season following his return from Tommy John surgery.His last major league victory came against Oakland on Sept. 2, 2015, when he went seven innings and allowed three runs and seven hits in a 9-4 road victory.Heaney has made just 21 starts with the Angels since being acquired in a December 2014 trade. The 26-year-old is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA in his Angels career. He has not been very good after coming off the disabled ,list , but now fully healed and the rust wearing off I'm betting he has enough juice in his arm, to keep the As bats under control tonight. Meanwhile, A's rookie  hurler Gossett hasn't faced the Angels, but he is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA against the AL West this season.Gossett gave up five runs in five innings in his return Wednesday but didn't get a decision in Baltimore.On the season, Gossett is 3-6 with a 5.49 ERA in 11 starts and is fade material in this spot play.

Note:Angels superstar Mike Trout has hit more homers against the A's (24) than against any other team in his career. Trout is batting .308 in 104 games against Oakland in his career.

I know Oakland has played well lately,  but they have not dealt with success well. as they are

OAKLAND is 9-22   against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Angels - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 191-64 over the L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (0-1, 7.40 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-7, 7.75)

Tillaman the Os starter tongiht has had an off year, but the former all star is a very capable hurler , and  has faired well against Seattle in his career as is  evident by a 7-1 record along with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts)  and his team has won his L/7 starts vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Gonzales the Mariners starter  continues to struggle and has not made it past the 5th inning in any of his L/5 starts.

After sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park over the weekend, the streaking Orioles  (65-65) bring a four-game winning streak  into tonight's tilt  vs the Seattle Mariners. Note the  above mentioned weekender vs the BOSox saw them  out score them by a 25-4 count.

BALTIMORE is 20-6 L/26  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. BALTIMORE is 17-4 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.SEATTLE is 3-11  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Orioles - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 33-12 during the last 20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Angels had a very efficient offensive performance yesterday scoring 7 runs in a win vs the Astros. LA ANGELS are 21-7 L/28  against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base . Today I expect Nolasco who is 7-2 in his career against the Astros with a 3.63 ERA in 69 1/3 innings and  1-1 in two starts against Houston this season with a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings to do well and get his team to the promised land. the veteran Halos hurler has won four of his last five outings and must not be underestimated on a underdog line. Meanwhile, Astros starter MORTON's team when he starts  is 14-36   against the money line in day games in his career and fade material in this spot play.

Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

 .HOUSTON is 9-15  against the money line in August games this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Angels - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 78-39 over the L/20 seasons, for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Taillon Pittsburgh Starter today will wear a jersey with "J-Mo" on the back above his number 50 as part of Players Weekend. After he was diagnosed with testicular cancer in May, the Pirates donned wristbands with the hashtag #JamoStrong for their friend and teammate. He has not pitched all that well of late, but this kids been through hell and back, and on a special occasion like today , I'm betting we see him at his best. Yesterday the Pirates shut out the Reds, and must be noted that  the Reds are 0-9 on the moneyline  as a dog coming off a home game in which they were shutout. The Pirates are also 13-0 L/13 against an opponent seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss, with their starters providing 12 straight quality starts in this situation. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starting hurler  is ranked as the Reds' highly in the Reds pipleine of pitchers . The 22-year-old right-hander has a 2.06 ERA between Double-A Pensacola and Triple-A Louisville this season, and a combined 2.85 ERA in 105 career Minor League games, but here making his first MLB start I expect he won’t be as smooth here against top tier pros.  

CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to cover 1 unit reg selection

Left-hander Carlos Rodon (2-4, 3.88) will start Saturday for the White Sox. Right-hander Buck Farmer (2-1, 6.62) will start for Detroit.Farmer hasn't pitched for the Tigers since June 18 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he allowed seven runs in 2 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Rodon owns a 2.49 ERA in his L/3 starts, while allowing just 6 ERs in his L/22 innings of work. Needless to say, these pitchers  indicators are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, making Rodon and the White Sox a viable moneyline investment option.

RODON is 9-1 L/10 against the money line in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings.

White Sox are 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 8-3 in Rodons last 11 home starts.Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games.

CHI WHITE SOX are 7-0 L/7  against the money line in home games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher . Which happened yesterday in a 3-2 Pale Hose win vs Verlander and company.RODON is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in home games in August games over the last few seasons.

Home teams like the white Sox - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 105-64 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Since he came to the Texas Rangers on July 31, 2015, in a trade from the Philadelphia Phillies, left-hander Cole Hamels has gone 31-7 on the moneyline.This season, he's recorded a solid 9-1  record and will take a five-game winning streak into this the second game of the this set with their hosts the Oakland A's.Hamels has a .816 winning percentage in his career with the  Rangers. He's the second pitcher in major-league history with a winning percentage of .800 or higher in his first 60 starts with a team. Needless to say, I'm feeling confident in backing him in the Rangers this afternoon

Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in five career starts against the A's. He's 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts at the Coliseum..After losing the series opener against Oakland and falling two games behind Minnesota for the second wild-card spot in the American League I'm expecting his offense to also be ready to back him in this spot. Meanwhile, Manaea his pitching opponent from the A's is slumping and not in good form as his recent   slump, that  has seen him go-0-3 with an 8.17 ERA in six starts.

HAMELS is 9-0   against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.

TEXAS is 33-17  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Tonight's pitching matchup for the opener of the Mariners @ NYY series will feature a pair of left-handers, New York's CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.99 ERA) and Seattle's Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.78).

Sabathia returned from  the DL Saturday in Boston and was in good form, allowing just  two runs and four hits in six innings in a 4-3 win. He is 3-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.One of those starts came on July 21 in Seattle, as the veteran allowed one run and four hits in five innings of a 5-1 win. Sabathia improved his career stats against the Mariners to 14-6 with a 2.62 ERA in 27 starts.. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Miranda is showing some inconsistencies. He was 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA in his first 18 starts but is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA in his past seven outings and not exhibiting quality form at the moment and is fade material.

SABATHIA is 7-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SABATHIA is 8-0   against the money line after his team suffered al loss this season.Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathias last 16 starts vs. Mariners

Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

The Yankees are 15-0 L/15 as a 140+ favorite off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings , which happened in yesterdays 10-6 loss vs Detroit.

Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Royals starter Jake Junis' is off a bad turn, out the bullpen last time out, but his last two starts for the Kansas City Royals were of a top tier variety and he looks ready to carry that momentum into this game vs the Rockies as KC trolls for the sweep.He limited the Seattle Mariners to four hits and one run over eight innings, walking none and striking out seven, in an Aug. 6 victory and than he controlled the Oakland Athletics on Aug. 14, giving up two runs on four hits over six innings, walking none and striking out two. With Kansas City in red hot form having won three straight and seven of 10 following Wednesday's 6-4 victory vs the Rockies
I have no problem backing them in this spot vs a side that has lost 18 of their L/22 on the road vs a right handed pitcher like Junis. Hey , I know the Rockies starter Germain Marquez has been pitching well, but he has a problem of late allowing HRs, as he has allowed 9 in his L/9 games and could implode at any time Note: .Rockies are 1-4 in Marquezs last 5 road starts.



Rockies are 6-23 in their last 29 road games.Rockies are 16-38 in their last 54 interleague road games.Royals are 25-9 in their last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

KANSAS CITY is 12-1 against the money line in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span dating back to last season.

MLB Road teams like the Rockies - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against an average AL starting pitcher (ERA= 4.70 to 5.70),
with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are just 13-32 L/45 opportunities for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline