Triston McKenzie (1-4, 5.61 ERA) is set to start for the Indians . The righty   is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts this month.McKenzie is also 0-1 with an 8.78 ERA in four career appearances against the White Sox, including three starts, with 25 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings and according to my projections does not matchup well against the White sox batting lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-9  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. 

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 when Dallas Keuchel starts as a home favorite.KEUCHEL is 10-2  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 57-15 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

MLBt eam (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 15-35 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, running up a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting he gets continues those previous efforts and finds a way to take down the Giants at home today. Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. 

Giants are 4-15 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the AStros to win 

The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 when right hander Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.COLORADO is 10-37  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 27-10 in their last 37 home games.

Play on the Padres to win 

The dodgers do their best work against sub par sides, like Arizona as is evident by a  42-11 mark in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Dodgers are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona and get the nod here laying a little bit of extra lumber.

The Dodgers are 17-0 L/17 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game.

The Diamondbacks are 0-10 L/10 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game.

ARIZONA is 2-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season.

Play on the LAS Dodgers to win 

Dodgers starter Price has never beaten the Giants in his career, going 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA in five meetings, four of which have been starts and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

The Giants are 13-0 L/13 after they did not score after the third inning last game.

SAN FRANCISCO is 23-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.

Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the SF giants to win 

Reds starting Right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-3, 3.92 ERA) is scheduled to start Wednesday for the Reds.  Mahle,  this season   has set a career high with 131 strikeouts in 105 2/3 innings.  In 11 career starts against the Cubs, Mahle is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA. He has 18 walks and 70 strikeouts in 62 1/3 innings and gets my support here vs a side my projections estimate is a good matchup for him. 

The Cubs are 0-9 L/9 as a dog after they had more strikeouts than hits last game.

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Davies. Reds are 18-8 in their last 26 vs. National League Central.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

NYY starter Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.95 ERA), who is in the middle of a top tier  2021 campaign gets my support here as an underdog.n 10 games -- two of them starts -- totaling 27 2/3 innings, the Cuban pitcher has allowed just 18 hits and one homer, while striking out  34 while posting a rock solid WHIP of 1.012. Opposition hitters are batting only .182 against the southpaw. Advantage NYY. 

The Yankees are 12-0 on the ML in the second game of a series after they won and never trailed the opening game.

Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on astroturf.Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

NY Yankees to win 

St. Louis left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim (6-5, 2.88 ERA) owns  a five-start winning streak entering Wednesday's action.Hyun Kim has allowed just three runs on 16 hits in 30 innings during that stretch.

Cardinals are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians starter Plesac qualifies. 

Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Indians are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Oakland starter Kaprielian, a first-round pick of the Yankees (16th overall) in the 2015 draft, blanked the Angels on five hits and two walks with seven strikeouts over six innings on July 20. He has a 1.118 WHIP and a .202 opponents' batting average in 12 starts this season. He has a 1.50 ERA in three July starts,. "Kaprielian has been fantastic," A's manager Bob Melvin said after the 6-0 win over the Angels. "He's topped our expectations." He gets my support here on a value line. 

Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

 In nine relief appearances, Angles starter Suarez was 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings and looks like a viable hurler here in this spot play. 

Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games.mRockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Rockies are 17-53 in their last 70 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 11-40 in their last 51 road games.Rockies are 11-41 in their last 52 games as a road underdog.

Rockies are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Rockies are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 3 games are 39-6 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Angels to win 

Twins do not deserve to be this big a favorite here vs the Tigers today  according to my projections and are just  are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. This bet Im making is based on value . 

Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Alexander . Twins are also  1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 ( Alexander qualifies). 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

National League Central-leading Milwaukee has won seven of the 10 meetings against the Pirates, who reside in the Central cellar. For his career, Brett Anderson the Brewers starter is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA in seven starts against Pittsburgh and once again has the edge needed for a Milwaukee victory. 

Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 41-20 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.

The Pirates are 0-12 L/12 on the ML off a game as a dog in which they did not score after the third inning.Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Royals starter minor MINOR is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 1-7  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. KEUCHEL is 7-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.197.

White Sox starter KEUCHEL is 10-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 as a road favorite off a win as a dog.White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Cubs are 10-0 L/10 when Kyle Hendricks starts as a home favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start. CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 28-68 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

White Sox are 0-16 SU since Sep 20, 2020 as a dog when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 3.20 on the season.

Boston Red Sox to win on moneyline 

Gibson was 6-0 with a 1.51 ERA over 15 starts dating to April 7, allowing three runs or less in each appearance before two bad recent performances vs the Tigers. However, he is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 12 career starts against the Astros and has recorded a quality start in all three appearances against Houston this season garnering a stingy 1.89 ERA in 19 innings and today Im betting he helps his team end a 10 game losing streak on a value line. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

Blue Jays top tier  southpaw hurler RYU is 41-15  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse  in his career . RYU is 10-1 against the money line in road games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) The Mets have struggled against lefties this season averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .218 BA. RYU is 5-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 0.954.

TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like NYM starter Walker. WALKER is 0-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.320.

TORONTO is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Right-hander Vince Velasquez (3-4, 5.00 ERA) will start Saturday for the Phillies. For Velasquez's career against the Braves, he's 1-6 with a 4.57 ERA in 15 trips to the hill (13 starts) and is fade material here in this tilt vs the Braves.Velasquez has been inconsistent all season, and is backed by a  bullpen that owns an MLB-high 23 blown saves.

Braves starter SMYLY is 7-0  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SMYLY is 20-9 ( against the money line in road games against division opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

The Phillies won the opener of this series, but now Im expecting the Braves to bounce back here today.Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win.

Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on the Braves to win 

Mariners starter Kikuchi, didn't pitch in the All-Star Game because he wasn't feeling well after being placed on the coronavirus injured list, and  is coming off his worst start of the season. In a 9-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, he allowed seven runs on nine hits in five innings. His current form makes him fade material vs a team that matches up well against him according to my projections. 

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

OAKLAND is 32-18  against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

The Mariners are 0-8 SL/8 on the ML when lefty Yusei Kikuchi starts as a dog after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.OAKLAND is 13-4   against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.

Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Seattle and have won 4 of L/5 meetings overall. 

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Detroit starter, Bubic is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA vs Motown. He has given up just two runs in 10 innings vs. the Tigers this year and offers up enough pitching support for the Royals for them to be successful in this spot vs a streaking Tigers team. 

Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

The Royals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win last game.

 Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Kansas City to cover 

Freddy Peralta (7-3, 2.39) right-hander was named to his first All-Star team and has recorded a 1.91 ERA over his last 11 starts and gets my support in this spot. 

The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 as a dog after their opponent scored first last game. White Sox are 8-21 in their last 29 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-27 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. 

Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 26-13 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Giants starter DESCLAFANI is 1-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.574.  Dodgers starter BUEHLER is 6-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.070.

Im betting on the Dodgers to salvage a game from this series.  Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.

The Dodgers are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

SEATTLE is 16-6 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the As Manaea. Seattle starter FLEXEN is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-2 (  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

SERVAIS is 35-19  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games as the manager of SEATTLE.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 16-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Mariners to win 

BOSTON is 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like NYY starter Montgomery. Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Montgomery took the lone loss in the series against the Red Sox last week, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings in a 4-0 defeat. The southpaw is 0-4 in seven starts since June 2.

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

BOSTON is 17-2 (against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Red Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Yankees are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Dodgers starter  Urias is just 1-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 17 career appearances (11 starts) vs. San Francisco and is vulnerable in this spot vs a batting order that my own projections suggest he does not matchup well against. I know the Dodgers are desperate after losing the first two games of this series, but teams do not always get what they want.Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.

LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 20-5  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 11-5  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Cubs had lost 21 of their previous 29 games before their comeback win yesterday. But its obvious this team is not acting cohesively and fade material until further notice. The Cubs are 0-12 L/12  as a road dog after they scored first before trailing and coming back to win last game.

St.Louis starter WAINWRIGHT is 47-19  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win 

TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

DETROIT is 7-0  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-21 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 54-14 L/5 years for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers 

The Detroit Tigers have come out of the All-Star break playing at a high level. In stark contrast, the Texas Rangers who cannot even score a run.

Dunning has pitched well of late for Texas but the   Rangers are just 0-14 L/14 on the road when they won in each of their starter's last two outings.

The tigers  pitching staff posted its third shutout in four games while improving to 4-0 since the break and get my support here again.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 14-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to win 

The Rockies are 15-0 L/15  when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start.MARQUEZ is 9-1   against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 8-1  against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. (Team's Record)  MARQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.667.

Seattle will send Marco Gonzales (1-5, 5.88 ERA) to the mound at Coors Field. Gonzales is 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA in two career starts against Colorado, including one start at Coors Field as a rookie in 2014 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings and is fade material here in the launching pad know as Coors Field. Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.

Play on the Rockies to win 

Minnesota rookie right-hander Bailey Ober (1-1, 5.45 ERA) is set to oppose White Sox lefty Dallas Keuchel (7-3, 4.25 ERA) on Tuesday. Ober already has started against the White Sox three times in his career, going 1-1 with a 6.57 ERA in 12 1/3 innings. Keuchel is 6-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 10 career appearances against the Twins, including nine starts and has the edge needed on the hill for the Pale Hose in this spot. 

The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

 CHI WHITE SOX are 32-9  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game are 38-75 L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win

Angels starter Ohtani has pitched four times against Oakland in his career, going 2-2 with a 5.21 ERA and despite of having a decent  season, is vulnerable vs this Oakland batting order according to my projections. 

OAKLAND is 19-6   against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.

 LA ANGELS are 29-70  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 92-55 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win 

The White Sox and Twins already have met 12 times this season, with the  Pale Hose owning a  10-2 record against the Twins with a 91-47 run diff . More of the same action Im betting is on board here again today, behind White Sox consistent offence and strong pitching that will see,  right-hander Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.99 ERA) who is coming off his second career All-Star selection  .  Lynn allowed opponents to  hit  just .189 against him with a .260 on-base percentage entering the break. Lynn in three outings this season vs Minnesota , 2-0 record with a 1.59 ERA (three earned runs in 17 innings) during that span.

White Sox starter  LYNN is 12-1  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday in a shutout win vs the Astros.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 22-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Cubs struggled mightily before the all star break, but they have come back looking refreshed and have gotten back to .500 and are more than capable of up-trending here vs a Dbacks side that is extremely inconsistent. ARIZONA is 9-42  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season

The Diamondbacks are 0-17 on the ML this season as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead.

Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.

Play on the Cubs to win

As starter BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  ) BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least -140 when they won in his last start.

The As lost yesterday 3-2, but have proven resilient in bounce back situations.OAKLAND is 13-2 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season.

Play on Oakland to win 

For the White Sox, Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA) will make his 16th start of the season. He is coming off his first selection to the All-Star Game after a stellar first half that included a no-hitter.In 89 2/3 innings this season, Rodon has issued 26 walks to go along with 130 strikeouts and deserves respect on a short line at home. 

The White Sox are 11-0 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 152-278 L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate.

Play on White Sox to win 

Rays lefty starter HILL is 31-10  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Hill owns a 5-0 record with a 1.74 ERA in nine career appearances (seven starts) vs. Atlanta.

 Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games.

ATLANTA is 3-11 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The explosive Blue Jays lineup led by MVP candidate Guerrero  matches up very well vs Ranger starter Allard . Note: Allard, is 1-6 with a 3.95 ERA in eight starts since he was inserted into the rotation. Meanwhile, the Jays top hurler Ryu  offers up stability for the Jays ability to slow down the Ranger offence. RYU is 53-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career . (Team's Record)TEXAS is 1-16   against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. ( Jays beat Texas 10-2 on Friday).  TEXAS is 1-14   against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on the Blue Jays to win

Seattles  southpaw starter  KIKUCHI is 1-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 10.22 and a WHIP of 2.311 and has lost his L/3 trips to the hill vs the Halos. 

Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

Mariners are 18-39 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Mariners are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Angles to win 

HOUSTON is 3-9   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season like Giolito. 

 Astros stater ODORIZZI is 1-7  against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LARUSSA is 20-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX like Odorizzi. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter

The White Sox are 14-0 L/14 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored in fewer innings than their opponent last game.

CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Jose Urena (2-8, 6.43 ERA) is scheduled to start the opener for Detroit. Urena has been in a huge funk  where he has  allowed 30 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last six trips to the hill. He hasn't pitched since July 6, when he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings at Texas.In two starts against Minnesota this season, he's 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and is fade material here in this spot. 

Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Tigers are 16-44 in their last 60 opening games of a double-header. 

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA  3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-30 L/5 seasons for a go against  for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Twins are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Detroit.

Twins are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

As starter BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 18-2  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 18-3  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 11-1  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the flipside, the Indians starter right-hander Eli Morgan (1-3, 8.44 ERA) looks like he is cannon fodder for the As batting order.

Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Indians are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Indians are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Cubs right-hander Kyle Hendricks (11-4, 3.77 ERA) get the start in the opener of the three-game set vs Arizona. The 31-year-old Hendricks is 9-0 over his past 11 starts and gets my support here vs the Dbacks. 

The Diamondbacks are 0-16 L/16 on the ML as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead last game. Diamondbacks are 2-12 in their last 14 vs. National League Central. Diamondbacks are 6-48 in their last 54 games as an underdog.

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona.

Play on the Cubs to win 

  CORA is 23-8   against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON (NYY starter  Montgomery fits these parameters) 

NY YANKEES are 4-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 2-11 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons.Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.

BOSTON is 20-9 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Red Sox are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League East.  

 Boston is 6-0 vs the NYY this season. 

Play on the Red Sox to win 

TONY GONSOLIN the Dodgers starter owns a 1.38 ERA in his L/3 starts and gets my support in this spot. 

The Dodgers are 29-0 L/29 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 after a win where they never trailed.

ARIZONA is 9-40  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-23 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

WOODRUFF is 19-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CASTILLO is 2-8  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)

The Brewers are 12-0  L/12 ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Less than 24 hours removed from one of their worst losses of the season, the Boston Red Sox will primed to bounce back here before going into the all star game. With that said, Im supporting Righty Nick Pivetta (7-3, 4.09)  who will go for Boston against his former team.Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.( Nola is righty)

BOSTON is 11-3  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season ( like Nola). 

Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games as a road underdog.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-7 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

Padres starter Joe Musgrove has pitched his best ball at home this season as is evident by garnering a 2.89 ERA. MUSGROVE is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.750 and gets my support here vs a poor traveling Rockies side.

The Rockies are 0-12 L/12  when German Marquez starts on the road after they won as an home favorite in his last start. COLORADO is 1-15 ( against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as an underdog. COLORADO is 2-19   against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

SAN DIEGO is 24-6  against the money line in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 72-41 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

The Red Sox overpowered the Phillies 11-5 in the series opener Friday and my projections estimate another win here today.  Note:   Boston has won each of Perez's past four starts. Perez has pitched to a 1.86 ERA during that stretch, allowing just four earned runs over 19 1/3 innings an he gets my support in this spot play.

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BOSTON is 11-2  against the money line in an inter-league game this season

Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games.

MLB  Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-22 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on the Red Sox to win   .

James Kaprielian has been one of the better rookie pitchers in the majors this season for the Oakland Athletics and now in his third start against them Im expecting his best effort. I know the As have been in a funk, but today Im betting they get a win vs Texas starter Mike Foltynewicz (2-8, 5.17 ERA).

OAKLAND is 12-2  against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season

Home teams (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300  or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Oakland to win 

 Tampa Bay has not lost since getting beat by Toronto in Buffalo, last Saturday.   Im betting that run continues here, behind starting hurler Yarbrough, who struck out five Sunday, and is unbeaten in his past 11 appearances. During that run, Yarbrough is 4-0 with a 4.03 ERA and gets the nod here on a short moneyline offering.

 Yarbrough,  s 7-1 with a 2.38 ERA in 15 career appearances with seven starts against the Blue Jays.

The Rays are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they scored in at least four separate innings in game one. TAMPA BAY is 11-2   against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Back in June the Rockies swept a 3 game series at home vs the Padres now in revenge mode Im betting the Padres to come out here and get some redemption.

The Rockies are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of over +130 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game.

COLORADO is 0-13 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on the Padres to win 

Pale Hose starter KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.245 and gets my support here on what projections estimate is a value moneyline proposition. 

The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

CHI WHITE SOX are 31-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.  CHI WHITE SOX are 27-8  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 14-35 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

 Reds starter MAHLE is 7-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) The Cincinnati righty has also been brilliant away from home posting a 1.84 road ERA and deserves respect here on this value line. 

Note: The Reds have won 5 straight at Milwaukee. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass. Reds are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games are 35-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

Tigers starter Tarik Skubal  is 4-0 with a 3.40 ERA in his past seven starts for Detroit and deserves respct here on an underdog line. Minnesota has lost seven of its past nine games following a 6-1 setback to the first-place Chicago White Sox on Wednesday and are fade material in their current form even here at home.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 36-16 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

 The Cleveland Indians, are in their longest losing streak under manager Terry Francona, ( 9 game losing streak) entering   Thursday when they open a four-game series against the visiting Kansas City Royals. Needless to say we are backing a desperate team, that will go against a Royals side that has struggled as well losing 12 of their L/15 overall. 

Royals are 7-24 in their last 31 road games.  royals are 0-5 L/5 meetings in this series. 

The Indians are 10-0 L/10 at home off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 games as a home favorite. 

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are 59-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indians to win 

The Oakland As have  12 losses over the past 17 games and an 0-5-1 record in the past six series and are at a disadvantage from a momentum standpoint. The second-place Athletics fell to 3-9 against the first-place Astros this year after yesterdays 4-3 loss, with Oakland 5 1/2 games out in the American League West. 

 Im betting on Astros McCullers who is 5-0 with a 2.38 ERA over his past nine starts to help the home team get another winner today.

OAKLAND is 5-17  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 31-13  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 63-17   against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Houston to win 

OAKLAND is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons like Garcia. 

HOUSTON is 10-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season like As starter Manaea. 

The Astros are 13-0 L/13  at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Astros to win 

Blue Jays starter RYU is 52-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 3-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.137.

TORONTO is 11-1  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons like Orioles starter Harvey. 

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Red starter GRAY who owns a 2.84 ERA in his L/3 starts  is 13-1 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Royals are 0-18L/18 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), in July game are 15-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 715 conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Reds to win 

 Jon Gray has plenty of experience pitching at Chase Field in Phoenix and has looked in top form of late. In two starts since returning from the injured list with a right flexor strain, Gray has allowed just two runs over 11 innings with 15 strikeouts and offers value here as a starter vs a extremely inconsistent DBacks side. Note: This season Gray is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts against them, which includes six innings of no-hit ball in his second start of the season. Meanwhile, Kelly Arizonas stater  is 1-3 with a 7.06 ERA in five career starts against Colorado.

ARIZONA is 3-30   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

The Diamondbacks are 0-13 L/13 on the ML  after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

As stater Bassit is a top tier hurler, but against an explosive Astros lineup  lineup that is 31-18 vs right-handed starters Im betting he will be humbled. Also on the flipside, that Astros starter. Houston's Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.18 ERA) and deserves respect here at home. 

HOUSTON is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. HOUSTON is 15-1   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 10-47 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

 The Pirates blasted the inconsistent Braves yesterday by a 11-1 count . Note: PITTSBURGH is 12-6  against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons

The Pirates are 8-0 L/8 on the ML  when their starter  Chad Kuhl starts at home when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.

 Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 79-39 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pirates to win 

Royals starter MINOR is 22-8  against the money line against NL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

KANSAS CITY is 11-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 30-9 L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Royals to win 

Braves have not been able to keep momentum going this season. ATLANTA is 0-10  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this seasons. Braves are also just  1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Pirates to win 

The Los Angeles Dodgers, the hottest team in the majors with nine straight wins, will visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a four-game series. Lets ride their momentum here and bet on a 10th straight win.

The Marlins are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 MIAMI is 11-29   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.   LA DODGERS are 28-8  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Dodgers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

 Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 9-2 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) 

The Rockies are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.

COLORADO is 21-8  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. COLORADO is 9-2  against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season

COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Rockies are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a favorite. Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.

Play on Colorado to win 

Two underachieving Opening Day starters will take the mound for the finale, as Minnesota's Kenta Maeda (3-3, 5.56 ERA) squares off against Kansas City's Brad Keller (6-8, 6.67). But Im betting the difference maker will be the Twins offense. MAEDA is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200.

The Royals are 0-17L/17 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.KANSAS CITY is 6-13 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

wins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

Play on the Twins to win 

Miami rookie Zach Thompson (2-2, 1.50 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (7-3, 3.74)  . The Marlins have won six of nine games against the Braves this season and will once again be a viable underdog alternative here today.

ATLANTA is 0-9  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

 MLB  Home teams (ATLANTA) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate.

Play on the Marlins to win 

Rangers  right-hander Jordan Lyles (3-5, 5.12)  is 1-5 with a 6.23 ERA in 10 career appearances against Seattle, including eight starts. Seattle has won 13 straight games against the Rangers at home and now Im going to fade Lyles here and ride the momentum of the Mariners home win streak in this series. TEXAS is 0-9 (  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Play on Seattle to win 

Astros  starter  Odorizzi looks to record his fourth straight scoreless outing on Saturday when he faces the host Cleveland Indians. Odorizzi has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Cleveland.  Meanwhile, the Indians will throw out a sacrificial lamb to face the Astros explosive batting order when  they  send rookie right-hander Eli Morgan (1-2, 9.37 ERA)  to make his first  appearance against Houston in his brief career. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Indians are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they drew 5+ walks.

Astros are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Astros are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Astros to win 

Alcantara will make his 18th start of the year and second against the Braves. He beat Atlanta on June 11 when he allowed two runs and struck out six over six inning and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs the Braves. 

ATLANTA is 0-9  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. ATLANTA is 14-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games. are 59-99 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to win 

Pale Hose starter Keuchel (6-2, 3.96 ERA) officially pitched in relief in his last outing, lasting five innings as the White Sox completed a suspended game against Seattle  . He gave up two runs on six hits and wound up with a no-decision and enters this tilt with momentum. His Tigers pitching opponent Skubal has also pitched well lately, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings is at a disadvantage vs a White sox team that rips southpaws apart at the seams averaging 6 rpg. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 33-7 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL). are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 43-18  last 24 seasons. 

Play on White Sox to win 

 The Brewers enter this game on a 10 game win streak including consecutive 7-2 wins in the first two games of this series vs a Pirates side that  have lost five in a row overall and are struggling to score. They have six runs in their funk. With both teams art the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will not be a difficult decision to lay some road lumber here with the hotter team. 

The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 as a favorite of at least -140 after they scored at least five runs last game. Milwaukee  is 13-4  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Brewers are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

PITTSBURGH is 8-25  against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.

Play on the Brewers to win 

Mets starter WALKER is 0-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.448. The Yanks smashed him for seven runs (one earned) and six hits in 1 2/3 innings in a 20-6 win on Sept. 15, when he was with the Toronto Blue Jays.

NY YANKEES are 26-8  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons.

Note: The /Mets are just   6-11  L/ 17 games, the Mets have been blanked four times and have scored three runs or less 11 times, including a 4-3 loss to the host Atlanta Braves on Thursday. More of the same whiffs and soft hits in this spot vs a viable pitcher ( Montgomery) 

MLB Road teams (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 28-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA  3.70 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the NYY

 Rangers starter Gibson has been in good form this season, but he has not faired well against Seattle recently losing his L/3 starts against them. The Mariners,  have won 12 of their past 16 games and have my attention here on a short line, 

TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 0-7 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

The Rangers are 0-10 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored in at least five separate innings which happened yesterday in a upset win of the As. 

Rangers are 16-44 in their last 60 games as a road underdog.

Rangers are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. American League West.

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors, 

 The giants after 4 straight losses will be motivated to get back in the win column and Im expecting them to be wide awake here vs a Arizona side that really does not deserve alot of respect despite of some recent upset wins  vs SF. ARIZONA is 4-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Giants starter Wood. 

ARIZONA is 2-31 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

Gants hav won 7 of their L/9 as road favorites. 

Play on the SF Giants to win 

Cards starter OVIEDO is 2-12  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The righty hurler owns a 6.91 ERA in road starts this season and is fade material here in the launching pad known as Coors Field where the Rockies play their best baseball. 

The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML  as a favorite when they have gotten quality starts in three straight games.  COLORADO is 23-9   against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 15-4  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. COLORADO is 8-0  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.

Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-19 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

Tigers orthodox  starter MIZE is 7-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 0-9  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons. MIZE is 6-1 ( against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)  CHI WHITE SOX are 18-30 (  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters  like MIZE over the last 2 seasons.  

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher are 30-15 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

Last time these teams played the Jays were clobbered 14-8 and now with revenge on boarrd Ill bet on the Jays to get redemption in this spot play.

TAMPA BAY is 0-8  against the money line after aTAMPA BAY is 0-8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Rays are 0-8 in their last 8 road games.

TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 or more runs over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Toronto to win 

 Im betting the Dodgers get their seventh consecutive win tonight , and for the Nationals to lose their  fourth straight in a Scherzer home start on Friday night in Washington as his teams offence  , has totaled just one run while losing each of Scherzer's last three home starts. Scherzer has looked electric but his lack of run support which Im betting continues tonight is his Achilles heel. 

Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Dodgers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. LA DODGERS are 14-1  against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 60-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

DEGROM in 24 career starts  against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.959. The Mets are 10-0 L/10 on the ML Jacob deGrom starts on the road when their starter went fewer than 6 innings their last two games. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), in July games are 45-122  L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on NY Mets to win 

As starter MANAEA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  MANAEA is 9-0  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 6-31 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning.

Play on As to win 

As starter  BASSITT is 9-0  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.03 and a WHIP of 1.622.

The Athletics are 21-0 L/21 on the ML as a favorite of at least -200 on the opening line  off a home game in which they hit multiple home runs.

TEXAS is 0-12 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Rangers are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings in Oakland.

Play on the As to win 

Im betting on the Cubs averting being swept by the Brewers. I know these teams are at the opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment but it must be noted that Arrieta seems to always bring his A game when going against streaking sides. 

Note: The Cubs are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Jake Arrieta starts for the Cubs when their opponent is on a winning streak of at least four games.

Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

The Rays Im betting will avoid a seventh consecutive away defeat on Tuesday when they face a Washington club that has won 12 of its past 15 games overall. Note:  Rays starter Hill, 41, is 3-0 in his last five starts after he overcame five walks to allow just one run on three hits over five innings of an 8-2 victory against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. He recorded five strikeouts. Hill is 3-0 with a 3.55 ERA in seven road starts this season and gets my support here for a motivated Rays side. 

The Rays are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 19-4  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 43-21   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Rays are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. National League East. Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record.

Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home underdog

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rays 

Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)HENDRICKS is 15-4  in his career  against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings .

 Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. National League Central. 

Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 24-9  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HYDE is 18-66 (-34.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of BALTIMORE with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hits are 53-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with a +3.7 rpg diff which qualifies in a run-line wager. 

Play on the Astros to win

 KCs starter DUFFY is 3-17   against the money line in road games against AL East opponents in his career. (Team's Record) DUFFY is 0-6  in his career when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.26 and a WHIP of 1.865.

BOSTON is 8-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 6-37 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Dodgers ace lefty KERSHAW is 81-30 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

 The Dodgers are 28-0 L/28 in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 (on the opening line)  after they won and never trailed last game which was the case in a 3-2 win.  CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. Cubs are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles.

ROBERTS is 51-15 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS. ROBERTS is 85-32  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of LA DODGERS

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against  66% conversion rate.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

 Royals starter SINGER is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 13.51 and a WHIP of 2.402.   Rangers starting hurler  LYLES is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.857.

Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Royals are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings.

Royals are 16-37 in the last 53 meetings in Texas.

KANSAS CITY is 3-15  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the Rangers to win 

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Angles having lost 5 straight and the Rays on a 4 game win streak. Lets fade the negative momentum of the Halos and ride the Rays positive energy in this spot play. 

The Angels are 0-6 L/6 on the ML when Patrick Sandoval starts after their bullpen gave up at least three runs yesterday. 

 LA ANGELS are 18-54   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher like Yarbrough  whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the TB Rays to win 

 Marlins top tier starer ALCANTARA has struggled against the Nats in his career and  is just  1-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.793.

MIAMI is 10-25   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like M. Scherzer.  SCHERZER is 14-5 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.053.

The Marlins are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they had a comeback win last game.

MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 11-31 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Washington to win 

Dodgers southpaw starter Urias has struggled of late as is evident by a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The Cubs have clobbered lefties this season recording an average of 5.8 rpg via a .267 BA.  The Cubs are 12-0 L/12 past the first game of a series when the opposing starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 11-5 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.  CHICAGO CUBS are 10-5  against the money line against NL West opponents this season. 

LA DODGERS are 6-16  against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 59-72 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

 Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record and know how to take care of sub .500 squads winning 20 of their L/26 against struggling sides.

The Rockies are 0-12 L/12 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ win streak.

COLORADO is 4-20  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.COLORADO is 4-20  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

EFLIN is 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season. (Team's Record) .EFLIN is 3-14 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons..... (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games and 15-80 L/5 seasons for a go against  84% conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Mets 

The Pirates enter this game against their hosts the Cards having won five of their last seven games, while the Cardinals have lost five straight games and seven of eight. With both sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will be an easy decision to take the Pirates on a value money-line. 

Cardinals are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.

ST LOUIS is 3-11  against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. ST LOUIS is 6-13  against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6  or less errors/game this season.

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win 

Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lopez of the Marlins .Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall and deserve respect here as underdogs. WASHINGTON is 47-19 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Note: Lester has been  in top form for a while  with two or fewer earned runs allowed in each of his last five trips to the hill. 

Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. (Nats starter Lester is a southpaw hurler) MIAMI is 9-24  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Lester. 

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are just 24-45 L/5 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate.

Play on Washington to win 

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and have the edge here vs a side that just cant find a way to get any kind of momentum going. Blue Jays have the edge. 

 TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons.( Orioles starter Dean Kremer -RHP-0-6, 6.20 ERA,)  BALTIMORE is 0-12  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season.

The Orioles are 0-19 L/19 on the road. 

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 57-117 L/5 seasons for a  go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Blue Jays 

The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a road favorite.BASSITT is 13-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 17-3   against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Rangers starter,ALLARD is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.95 and a WHIP of 1.896. 

The Rangers found a way to get by the AS yesterday but are just 0-5 L/5 after a win. 

Athletics are 53-25 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Athletics are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Texas.

Play on Oakland to win