Miami's starter Sandy Alcantara is a top tier starting pitcher, but the Phillies talented and explosive batting order can make the best of hurlers look average. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-4   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season. I know the Phillies have not looked good in the batters box in their L/few trips to the diamond , but it must also be noted that PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 L/9 against the money line in road games after 2 straight games with at least 7 less hits than their opponent.

Considering the Marlins have scored more than 4 runs only twice in their L/11 games, its not a stretch to suggest they could be outscored tonight even with their all star on the hill. 

 Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Marlins are 17-40 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 22-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to win 

Im betting after losing 7-1 yesterday to the Angels the top tier Astros will be ready to bounce back here behind the arm of Valdez. Note: Angels are 20-42 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.  LA ANGELS are 6-23 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

HOUSTON is 23-9   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Halos Detmers. 

Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Astros are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series.

Astros are 38-18 in the last 56 meetings in Los Angeles.

LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on Astros to win 

White Sox starter CUETO is 6-0   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CUETO is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.115.

Minnesota's righty starter GRAY is 14-22   against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) Note: White Sox are 19-9 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

 Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels starter Ohtani. HOUSTON is 30-12  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season (Ohtani)

LA ANGELS are 16-35  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Astros starter Javier. 

Ohtani the Halos starter has the big name brand on his side, which is tainting this monehyline offering. No matter what the superior talent is on the Astros side of the field including all important team chemistry, something the Angels are lacking. 

Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.

Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on Houston to win 

Pirates starting hurler BRUBAKER is 3-18  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-20 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Marlins matchup well here, and after losing the first two games of this series are going to be primed to bounce back.

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 49-113 in their last 162 road games. Pirates are 19-40 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Marlins to win 

Arizonas starter today vs the Giants ( Gallen)  has not got a decision in  five straight starts, during which he compiled a 4.97 ERA.    In seven lifetime starts against the Giants, he is 1-4 with a 5.50 ERA, including 0-2 with a 6.41 ERA in four starts in San Francisco and is fade material once again. The Giants took out the Dbacks by a 13-0 count yesterday and that momentum Im betting will carry into this tilt. 

Diamondbacks are 14-46 in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-6  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 9-36  against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

Diamondbacks are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco.

Play on SF Giants to win 

NY METS are 35-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Atlanta's starter Morton. 

Mets are 14-5 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

NY METS are 19-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. NY METS are 27-11  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-15 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 17-37 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Cards starter  Liberatore. The Dodgers are batting just .239 vs LHP this season and despite of being in good form are fade material here according to my power rankings. 

Dodgers starter WHITE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.000.

Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West. 

ST LOUIS is 26-18 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 11-2  ) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. ST LOUIS is 29-19  against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Dodgers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis.

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 29-11 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on st.Louis to win

Probable Pitchers: Twins - J. Winder-R vs Brewers - J. Alexander-R

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

 teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

Bostons starter Sale has been off with a while because of injuries, and Im betting he still is not 100% where he was before being sidelines, and is vulnerable vs the Rays batting order that despite of being banged up with injuries showed some explosiveness yesterday Look for the momentum to continue. .

Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games on astroturf.Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

TAMPA BAY is 27-9  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 14-4  against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. CASH is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of TAMPA BAY which was the case yesterday in a 10-5 win vs this same BoSox. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 72-37 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

MLB  Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

The San Diego Padres play their home games at sea level and have developed some series issues winning in the mile-high altitude of Denver and have lost 10 straight games here at Coors field. 

With San Diego expected to start left-hander Sean Manaea (3-4, 4.18 ERA), who is making his third career start at Coors Field, the Padres losing streak according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings will continue.

Note: Manaea lost both of those outings as a member of the Oakland Athletics. He has a 5.06 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in Denver

COLORADO is 38-17 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 2-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (COLORADO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20 or less)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 24-11 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

Cardinals starting hurler Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA) has suffered from poor run support all season. The Cardinals have been shut out in four of his starts and it scored just once in two others and because of this is fade material here today vs a explosive Phillies offense. 

ST LOUIS is 6-17  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season like Phillies starter Nola. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-43 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate.

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win 

After a big series against the NYY this past weekend and big come back victories in back to back games an emotional letdown situation is on todays agenda for the BoSox vs another key rival Tampa Bay.

BOSTON is 1-7 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season. (Boston won 11 -6 yesterday after being down 6-3 early on in the game)

CASH is 51-36  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY.

Play on TB Rays to win 

The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. 

KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.

KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season.

Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

Play on Detroit to win 

Im betting the Boston Red Sox  ride the momentum of a energy charged comeback victory last night into a series split. Note: Yankees starter Tallon maybe starting to show signs of fatigue lately, as he has  allowed 14 earned runs and 23 hits in 16 innings over his last three starts. Advantage Red sox batting order. 

BOSTON is 10-1  against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 Sunday games.

Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, playing on Sunday are 20-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 20-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate.

Play on Bosox to win 

Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.86 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.82) in a battle of right-handers.Walker is a top tier hurler but Miami's Alacantara is a Cy Young award winning candidate, and must be respected as he has now gone 7 plus inning in 11 straight games. Note: Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Yesterday the Mets took a comeback win , but now Im betting on a bounce back situation from the redemption minded Marlins and a emotional letdown situation to be  hamper the Mets. 

Play on the Miami Marlins to win 

Blue Jays starter Manoah owns a bloated 4.38 ERA and has surrendered a .308 on-base percentage in his last four trips to the hill all starts. Meanwhile, former Jay , the Mariners starter today, Ray has been brilliant in his L/33.2 innings of work allowing just  three-runs in his last five starts ,for a minuscule 0.80 ERA. Opp batters have garnered a sub par  .216 on-base percentage over during that span.

The Blue Jays are 1-3 in their starter Manoah’s last four starts while the Mariners are 4-1 in Ray’s last five starts.

The Mariners are red hot having won  six straight  games  and have now won nine of their last 10.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jays  have lost  seven of their last 10 games and are winless in seven of their last eight series and are fade material in this current form. 

SEATTLE is 21-8  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 46-73 L/5 seasons for an61% conversion rate. 

Play Mariners to win

Rodon is off a down outing last time out , but in his four previous starts the southpaw  had allowed two runs on 14 hits and six walks with 30 strikeouts in 27 innings. That's a 0.67 ERA and Im betting on a rebound here today vs the Fathers. Meanwhile, Padres starter Darvish will be facing the Giants for the second time this season. In  first matchup @ San Francisco  he offered up his ugliest start in his  227-start career. On April 12, in his second outing of the season, Darvish gave up nine runs on eight hits and two walks in just 1 2/3 innings and is fade material here again this Saturday Darvish has a 2-2 career record against the Giants with a 7.13 ERA over eight starts.DARVISH is 1-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DARVISH is 9-24 against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Padres are 8-18 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Bosox have lost the first two games of this series vs the NY Yankees but in the past have proven themselves resilient in this situation.  Note: Red Sox are 41-15 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like NYY starter Montgomery. 

Play on Red Sox to win 

Mets starter CARRASCO is 18-25   against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) He is off a top tier effort last time out and is set for regression. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Marlins starter Barrett. 

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

MIAMI is 23-15 against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more  over his last 5 starts, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 35-53 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate!

Play on Miami Marlins to win 

The Mariners are playing some top tier baseball at the moment  having won eight of their last 10 tilts  and  are on a current 5 games  winning streak .  The catalyst behind their top tier performances is buoyed by a  2.66 ERA over the last  2 plus weeks which ranks  second  in the majors during this span while allowing opponents  a .226 batting average. With Jays  Ross Stripling  owning a ugly 11.81 ERA in three career appearances against the Mariners, with one start and a personal power ranking projection that tells me he will be bombed again Im betting on a combination of momentum , pitching and offense offering us up the magic of 3 for a win backing Seattle starter Kirby.

Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 70-37 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on Seattle to win 

The White Sox were upset yesterday as hefty favs vs Detroit, but Im betting on a rebound performance here today by the Pale Hose.

CHI WHITE SOX are 43-18  against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 45-145 L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate.

Play on White Sox to cover 

CEASE is 10-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.158.

 Yankees Cole owns a  5-3 record along with a 4.00 ERA vs the Red Sox. However,  In two postseason starts vs. the Red Sox, including the AL wild-card game last year, he is 0-2 with a 7.86 ERA and my current pitcher. vs batting order power rankings suggest this version of the BoSox offense matches up well against the right hander. Meanwhile,Boston's  starting hurler Josh Winckowski (3-2, 3.12) will make his first appearance against the Yankees. The 24-year-old right-hander recorded victories in three of his past four starts and has allowed just 1 HR. Im betting the Red sox righty keeps them in the game.

Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 games on grass.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win

Atlantas starter Fried is 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against St. Louis. He last beat the Cardinals 6-1 on Aug. 3, 2021, by throwing six scoreless innings. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Mikolas. 

Braves are 25-7 in their last 32 overall.

Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

MLB opening line favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 75-19 L/25 seasons for a for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Cardinals are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

I know the Giants are struggling at the moment, but now in desperation mode, Im expecting them to come out with a strong effort vs Giants starter  Gilbert (0-3, 7.88 ERA). 

SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 23-7  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 39-15 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Twins improved to 4-0 against the White Sox this season with a 6-3, 10-inning win on Monday and overall have won the L/6 meetings in this series. Im betting the Twins continue to garner wins vs the Pale hose as they face   right-handed hurler  Michael Kopech (2-5, 2.78 ERA). He does not have a victory  since June 7, a span of four winless starts. Kopech, garnered a 5.19 ERA in six June starts, and is fade material in his current form.KOPECH is 1-8   against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 5-11  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Baltimore is 2-0 in their L/2 trips to the diamonds, but they have a  recent history of being alertic to long term success. Note: HYDE is 4-20  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins as the manager of BALTIMORE.

Rangers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series.

Rangers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

Padres LH starter MANAEA is 27-9  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

SEATTLE is 3-14  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 30-126 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

SFs starter Rodon has gone 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in six dominating  June starts and Im betting he shuts down the Diamondbacks today as the Giants batting order takes advantage of veteran Left-hander Madison Bumgarner (3-8, 3.63 ERA) who rarely seems to get run support. 

MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 172-63 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Cubs have won 2 of 3 of Steeles last three starts vs the Brewers. The Chicago left-hander has garnered  a 2-0 record along  with a 3.03 ERA last month after allowing one earned run in three of his five trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Lauer, owns a  1-2 record of late along with an inflated  6.83 ERA in June after surrendering 20 earned runs and 25 hits over his last four starts. Lauer is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) versus the Cubs. Advantage Cubbies.

MILWAUKEE is 11-18  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), in July games are 27-15 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 26-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 14-4  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 7-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.140. Wainwright is 7-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 17 career outings against the Phillies, including 15 starts.

Wainwright threw seven shutout innings in his most recent start, a 9-0 victory over the Miami Marlins on Monday and has momentum entering this tilt. 

Phillies starter Wheeler is 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 against the money line in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. (Cards took yesterdays tilt 7-6)

Play on the Cards to win 

SouthpawTarik Skubal goes to the hill for the Tigers. Through 15 starts this season, Skubal is 5-6 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP and despite of the average numbers he has very strong metrics garnering a  .301 xwOBA, .248 xBA and a .403 xSLG. In each of his last two starts against the Royals,  holding them  scoreless through 9 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board here again today.

Play on Detroit 

Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel (2-5, 7.93)  was on the verge of being let go or reassigned by the  Chicago White Sox at the end of May after giving up six runs in back-to-back starts,  which pushed his  ERA to 7.88 on the season .

The Diamondbacks signed him to a minor-league deal on June 6, and he was recalled from Triple-A Reno on Sunday. He than got the call  against the visiting Detroit Tigers, allowing four runs and six hits in 4 1/3 innings of the 11-7 victory. This is a bad matchup for him today against a Colorado side that seems to play their best offensive baseball at the launching pad known as Coors Field. 

Anderson the Dodgers starter is off his first loss of the season last time out and Im betting he may suffer another registered loss here today vs the Padres. With Darvish who own s a 2.14 ERA in his L/3 starts  on the hill for the Padres Im betting they will be a tough out in this tilt. 

Padres have averaged 5.2 rpg on the road this season.

MELVIN is 14-4  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

SAN DIEGO is 18-5  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in July games are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in July games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the SD Padres to win 

As starter BLACKBURN is 6-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 6-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season. Blackburn is 5-0 on the road this season while garnering a 1.44 ERA and gives his team viable edge here on the road on a value moneyline. 

SEATTLE is 7-14  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. 

 OAKLAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Play on Oakland to win 

Halos starter Sandoval is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP and  has been in top form of late allowing two or less runs in six of his last seven starts.  The Angels starter also owns a  viable looking .328 xwOBA, .259 xBA, and .401 xSLG and has the big gun to keep the marauding Astros hitters and offense at bay. 

Houston rocked the Angels yesterday 8-1 but Im expecting the downtrodden Angels to bounce back today.

LA ANGELS are 10-3  against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-9  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this seaso

 MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 42-65 L/25 seasons for a 61%  go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

Both these starters are in top form entering this tilt, however, here at home with a more consistent offense the Giants have the edge. 

Giants starter WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-3   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 20-2  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-14 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 96-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Marlins starter Castano has logged 6 2/3 innings while going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA vs the Nationals in his previous starts against them, and a rinse and repeat type situation is my bet here today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA) goes to the hill for  the Nationals for his fourth career game, all starts. He won each of his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 innings while allowing four runs (one earned) and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a terrible team (38%) or less, in July games are 18-45 L25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Nationals to win 

Orioles right-hander Spenser Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) Im betting could  notch back-to-back victories after beating the Chicago White Sox in his most recent outing. He gave up one unearned run on five hits in five innings and has momentum entering this game and will keep his team in this tilt and give us an opportunity to cash a nice underdog ticket. 

BALTIMORE is 6-0 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season- ( lost to Seattle 9-3 L/time out)

Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 10-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Astros. In his second career start with the Angels, he allowed four runs on four hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in an 8-3 road loss to the Astros on April 18 and Im betting the Astros get to him again.

JAVIER is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.843.

LA ANGELS are 6-19  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. LA ANGELS are 5-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

HOUSTON is 33-14  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. 

HOUSTON is 41-18 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

 NY Mets BASSITT is 18-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 12-1  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 31-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

 Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 3 -38 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with a rpg diff of -3.5 rpg. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

The Phillies offense is hitting on all cylinders right now and scored 15 runs yesterday and in their current form must be respected against all teams and their pitchers making them a viable underdog investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-2  against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 9-17  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five career starts against Tampa Bay, Berrios is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.

Tampa Bays starter Kluber has pitched well of late and owns a 2.08 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gives the Rays the edge they need here in game 2 of this series.

TAMPA BAY is 27-8  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 64-13 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 27-50 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win 

This is probably going to be a bullpen day for the Rays, but this team is well established as a group that has become experts at this approach. On the flip-side, it must be noted that own power rankings suggest that Tampa Bays batting order matches up well vs Jays starter Kikcuchi. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate! 

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 46-71 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Milwaukee is 6-0 against the Pirates this year, having swept a pair of two-game series in April and are picking up speed after dropping 9 of 10 games, and now on a 4 game win streak. I now expect the Brewers momentum to continue here vs a side they matchup very well against . Note:The Pirates have lost eight of their past 13 games. 

Brewers starter , Houser is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.964 WHIP and is backed up  by one of the best bullpens in pro baseball.

Pirates starter  Brubaker  is 0-2 and has given up seven runs on eight hits in 11 innings vs the Brewers in his most two recent starts agains them and is susceptible to being beaten up on again and if he falters he is backed by a bullpen that ranks 20th in MLB. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-38  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like the Brewers starter Houser.

MILWAUKEE is 16-4 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Phillies starter NOLA is 0-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)NOLA is 2-8   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)  NOLA is 11-20  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Braves starter ANDERSON is 13-2  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Braves improved to 21-5 in June  with a 4-1 victory over the host Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. 

Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series.

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Braves are 11-2 in their last 13 road games.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 8-2  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 7-2  against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  MARQUEZ is 5-0  against the money line in June games this season. (Team's Record)

Dodgers starter URIAS is 2-6 (  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)  URIAS is 1-6  against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line when playing against a sub par  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.

Play on Colorado to win 

The Reds won yesterdays game against the Cubs 5-3 and Im now betting on a similar result today. CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.

 Cubs starter STEELE is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.82 and a WHIP of 2.091.

Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 during game 2 of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 overall.

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 road games. CINCINNATI is 9-1   against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 29-45 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

 Reds are 5-2 L/7 meetings vs the Cubs. 

Play on Cincinnati to win 

The Jays found a way to win last night, but despite of all the accolades they are getting I still see alot of flaws and today against a redemption minded BoSox side Im betting their deficiencies are exposed. 

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like \Red Sox starter  Pivetta. The Boston hurler owns a stingy 1.64 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins and Im betting he keeps his team in this one as well. 

Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games following a loss.Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 39-15 in their last 54 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

 Astros top tier hurler Justin Verlander is in top form  as he enters this start with a 9-3 record and 2.22 ERA. Every-time he goes to the hill his team has a chance to win, and here at short chalk deserves respect. Opponents are batting .192 against Verlander, who has posted an 84-16 strikeout-walk ratio through his first 14 starts this season. 

The Astros showed me last week in their 2 game sweep of the Mets that they are the better side, and nothing Im betting changes today. Note: MY Mets will start T Walker, who owns a 5-5 mark and 5.04 ERA in 13 career starts against Houston. my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Mets starter is at a disadvantage vs this very consistent Astros offense. 

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East. Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 11-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

NY METS are 37-71 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Houston Astros to win

The Rays have smashed LHP lately and Im betting Brewers starter  Lauer gets beaten up here today . I know this is a bullpen day for the Rays, but they are one of the teams in pro baseball that does this quite often and it wont throw them of their pace what so ever.TAMPA BAY is 15-6   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 21-5  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 17-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. 

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Beeks. 

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

LA ANGELS are 9-20  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cueto qualifies on these trends. Advantage White Sox. 

Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

White Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on White Sox to win 

Right-hander Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34) will start for Boston. Wacha earned a win on April 27 when he held the Blue Jays to four hits and one run in six innings and Im betting on a similar rinse and repeat situation. WACHA is 9-2   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 59-41 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate! 

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Halos start Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (4-6, 3.86) will be on the mound to face the White Sox. He is 0-4 with a 5.31 ERA in his last four starts and is fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. I know Giolito the White Sox starter is also off consecutive down outings, but he according to my power rankings matches up well here vs the Angels. GIOLITO is 27-13  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 1-7 against the money line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 4-14 in their last 18 home games.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Guardians starter McKenzie is 1-4 lifetime with a 6.39 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. He is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA in two outings against the Twins this season and is fade material here vs the Minnesota Twins again. The Guardians have proved very streaky this season, and after being swept this past weekend are not good bets in their current form, and are bet against investment options instead. Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. FRANCONA is 65-85  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better as the manager of CLEVELAND like the Twins starter Gray.

Play on Minnesota to win 

The Red Sox are red hot and are off a  8-3 victory over the host Cleveland Guardians on Sunday afternoon to finish a three-game series sweep. I know Toronto is an explosive opponent and deserve respect, but this offering on the moneyline is to generous according to how well the BoSox have played and how they can make the best of pitchers look average at best. I know Gausman, has pitched well in two April outings vs the Red Sox already this season , but now that they know what hes offering this very resilient lineup will be primed to perform and get some revenge.

BOSTON is 19-4 against the money line in June games this season.BOSTON is 13-2  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

The Phillies are off a win yesterday vs the Padres, but the home side has proved to be resilient this season, and are very capable of a bounce back today. Padres are 17-7 in their last 24 games following a loss. With the red hot Darvish on the hill for the Padres we have an edge laying lumber. ( Darvish owns a 3-0 recored along with a  0.82 ERA and a .0592 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill). 

Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Phillies Gibson. 

Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series.

SAN DIEGO is 13-3  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 Sunday games.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to cover 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 20-9   against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 18-4   against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record.GILBERT is 9-1 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 12-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) With Gilbert on the mound for the Mariners Im betting we have a solid edge here vs a very inconsistent Angels side.

MLB  Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Chris Archer takes to the hill for the Twins. He owns a  1-3 recored with a 3.44 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season, but despite of the losing record is a  solid hurler . Archer is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Rockies and gets my support here. After getting upset yesterday the Twins Im betting will primed to bounce back. 

Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series

MINNESOTA is 6-0  against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season.

COLORADO is 17-34 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

 MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 50-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota 

Mitch White the dodgers starter today has been solid of late garnering a 1.93 ERA in his L.3 trips to the hill and deserves enough respect here for me to back him vs a talented but  inconsistent Atlanta batting order. I know his pitching opponent from the Braves Fried is a quality pitcher, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitchers look bad. Considering my pitcher vs batting order ranking suggest the LAD side matches up well here its an easy decision for me to back the Dodgers on a value money-line  offering. FRIED is 2-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.294.

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.

Dodgers are 40-11 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.

Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

The Washington Nationals enter this road game off a  7-0 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles in their last matchup.Note: Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Rangers have momentum  and I expect them to  build on back-to-back wins over the Philadelphia Phillies. 

WASHINGTON is 10-30 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.WASHINGTON is 13-33 (against the money line in night games this season.

Nationals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Rangers to win 

From a matchup perspective the  Rays are the overall superior side and deserve respect here even as big chalk.

TAMPA BAY is 14-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 27-6  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 22-6 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Houston enters this game having won their L/ 6 games against a team with a winning record like todays opponent the Yankees and are  4-0 in their last 4 series-opening starts by Valdez and according to my projections have an edge as underdogs here in NY again. I know the Yankees starter Tallion is in top form but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Astros matchup well here. 

HOUSTON is 30-11  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 3 seasons.BAKER is 10-1  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of HOUSTON. BAKER is 26-9 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON.

Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Houston to win 

I know lefty Ray the Mariners starting pitcher may not inspire bettors it must be noted that the OAKLAND As are just  1-10  against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season and overall are just 3-19  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Ray has pitched better of late, going 2-0 along with a minuscule 1.89 ERA and gives the Mariners an edge as viable chalk. OAKLAND is 4-28 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Athletics starter MONTAS is 1-9  against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 66-37 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Seattle Mariners to win 

Rockies starter FREELAND is 14-3   against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 34-16  against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 0.917. Miamis is batting just .222 at home this season vs LHP while producing just 3.7 rpg. 

Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

The Marlins will start left-hander Braxton Garrett (1-2, 4.85 ERA) and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Rockies have an edge in an attempt to avoid being swept by the Marlins. Braxton owns a ugly 10.81 ERA in his home outing  this season.  In his 3 games one was brilliant vs the Astros , while the other two were clunkers - where he allowed a combined seven runs in 7 1/3 innings of sub par work. Advantage Rockies.

Marlins are 9-19 in their last 28 vs. National League West.

Play on Colorado to win

Arizonas starter BUMGARNER is 0-12  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) In the Dbacks current form ( L/7 games .189 Team Batting average I doubt they will give Bumgarner much support making the above trend a strong one. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Clevinger owns a stingy 2.19 ERA along with a minuscule .973 WHIP and gives a pitching edge to the Fathers at home.

LOVULLO is 18-53 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA.

ARIZONA is 2-18  against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday in a 3-2 loss.ARIZONA is 2-17 against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Padres to win 

NY Mets took it on the chin in game 1 of this series by a 8-2 count, but have proved themselves resilient this season going  23-5 in their last 28 games following a loss. Note: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the NY Mets starter Carrasco. 

Astros are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.

NY METS are 32-12  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. NY METS are 30-14 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SHOWALTER is 22-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS.

MLB team (NY METS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 39-14 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Nets to win 

Athletics starter James Kaprielian in  his  L/9 starts owns a ugly 0-4 record along  with a 6.31 ERA. In 41.1 innings he has permitted 43 hits, 29 earned runs and 27 walks. Needless to say he looks vulnerable, and in his current form gives the Seattle Mariners a strong opportunity for victory. 

OAKLAND is 0-15  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.OAKLAND is 4-26 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. OAKLAND is 1-11 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season.

Athletics are 22-47 in their last 69 games as an underdog.Athletics are 16-39 in their last 55 home games. Athletics are 3-14 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

SEATTLE is 12-2  against the money line in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a road favorite.

Mariners are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Seattle to win 

Left-hander Reid Detmers (2-3, 4.25 ERA) goes to the hill for  Los Angeles to make his 12th start. He has no wins since he  threw a no-hitter on May 10 against the Tampa Bay Rays, going 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in five starts since and in his current form is fade material. 

LA ANGELS are 4-9  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 home games.Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Play on the Royals to win 

The Rockies are off three straight underdog wins at home vs San Diego and now head out on the road with momentum on their sides. Note:COLORADO is 14-4 against the money line off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 7-0 against the money line off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Rockies starter: FELTNER is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.

Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Marlins Castano. 

COLORADO is 24-13  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 6-14  against the money line against NL West opponents this season.

Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), playing on Tuesday are 25-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win 

The Royals offense matches up very well against JARED KOENIG at hurler that has seen his team lose both his starts this season by 13-2 and 6-1 counts. Rinse and repeat here as the Royals look like a viable chalk choice in this matchup. 

Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road favorite.

OAKLAND is 7-25  against the money line in home games this season. OAKLAND is 2-17  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

OAKLAND is 3-26  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.OAKLAND is 1-15 (against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

I know the Red Sox will send out a hurler (Kutter Crawford) may not light up a board with top tier stats but he is a useable hurler, and against a batting order that has not faced him before gives us an enough an edge for me to support a BoSox side that has had alot of success against National League teams. CORA is 27-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in all games he has managed like the Cards starter Hudson. 

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.Cardinals are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. National League Central.Red Sox are 60-19 in their last 79 interleague games as a favorite.Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win.Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 overall.

CORA is 16-4 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in all games he has managed since 1997.

Cardinals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on BoSox to win 

Dodgers starter JULIO URIAS is 1-6   against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. CLEVELAND is 13-4  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. URIAS is 0-5  against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)

Cleveland has been playing well of late and have been particularly strong against LHP pitching averaging 5.3 rpg and deserve respect here on this big a value line offering. 

Meanwhile, Quantrill the Guardians starter owns a 3-0 record in his L/3 trips to the hill and offers up a strong opportunity for an underdog victory for the visitors. 

Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

Guardians are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Jays were crushed last night by the Yankees in game 1 of this series, and now after the beating Im betting the home side will be ready for redemption behind their top hurler MANOAH who  is 25-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MANOAH is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 0.887. MANOAH is  also 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 40-17 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series. TORONTO is 34-18 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 87-180 L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

White Sox are heating up and have momentum on their sides after a 3-0 game sweep of their last opponents. White Sox are now 5-0 in their last 5 road games. CHI WHITE SOX are 22-7  against the money line in road games after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival since 1997.

Pale Hose starter GIOLITO is 19-14  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher in his career. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 29-12 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) It must also be noted that the White Sox bullpen in road games this season own a 2.86 ERA and must be respected in a support role here in a game that Im betting is much closer than the offered ML, giving us value on the underdog. 

HOUSTON is 0-8  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season which was the case day before yesterday and their last game before todays series opener against the White Sox.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win 

Wacha (4-1, 2.33 ERA) is very familiar with  the team he will be going against here tonight in Fenway, having come up in the St. Louis organization and pitched parts of seven seasons for the Cardinals. Wacha top tier  2.33 ERA and .195 opponent batting average are No.1  among Boston starters. The righty has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his 10 starts, in which the Red Sox are 6-2. WACHA is 21-9  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) His pitching opponent Wainwright a former teammate is also a viable pitcher, but here at home in Fenway the best of visiting pitchers can be made to look bad. 

BOSTON is 18-6  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League East.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 46-15 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cardinals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Red Sox to win 

Stripling (3-1, 3.14 ERA) will take on Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 2.70).

Blue Jays Starter Stripling in his past two starts, including a six-inning an appearance  against the host Detroit Tigers on Sunday, has allowed a total of two hits and no walks while striking out six in 11 scoreless innings of work and has momentum entering this tilt against the NYY. Stripling is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA in seven starts this season and 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and one save in eight relief appearances. I know the Yankees are hot after 7 straight wins, but the Jays because of their explosive offense and now playing at home must not be underestimated. I know Toronto got blasted by the Orioles 10-2 yesterday, but Im betting they were caught looking ahead to this series. Note: TORONTO is 38-17 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MONTOYO is 15-6  against the money line in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more as the manager of TORONTO.

Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 39-138 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate! 

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 42-21 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

As starter BLACKBURN is 5-0  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)BLACKBURN is 6-1   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Almost every time Blackburn goes to the hill he gives this As team a chance to pull off a victory. He is 4-0 on the road along with a minuscule 0.91 ERA this season. 

BoSox lefty starter Rich Hill (2-3, 4.38 ERA)  is 17-24 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career. (Team's Record)OAKLAND is 28-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Oakland to win 

ANDERSON is 10-1 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

LA DODGERS are 24-3  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 49-6 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dodgers 

Braves are red hot and laying a little lumber with them in their current form is weighted risk factor that is worth taking according to my projections. Atlanta is 13-0 L/13 overall. 

WASHINGTON is 4-15  against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season. like the Braves starting pitcher Strider.

WASHINGTON is 14-45  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. 

Nationals are 14-47 in their last 61 vs. National League East.

ATLANTA is 41-19 (against the money line in road games vs. a team with a sub par bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Braves are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Washington.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Mariners starter GILBERT is 20-9 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 17-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-0 against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 169-295 L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

Play on Seattle to win 

Colorados righty  starter SENZATELA is 12-3   against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Senzatela is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Guardians.

 The Rockies have momentum entering this series vs the Guardians  after beating San Diego last Saturday, then  repeated the feat to win two in a row for the first time since May 4-5.  

Guardians are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. National League West.Guardians are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog. Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Bieber. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 28-10 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Guardians are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.

Seattles Ray is 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against the Red Sox, including a 7-3 loss on May 20 in Boston . The Red sox offense once again matches up well against him according to my projections and power rankings.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-22 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win 

Tampa Bay sends   left-hander Jeffrey Springs (2-2, 1.62) to the hill to face the Twins . Springs is 1-2 with a 2.01 ERA in six starts since joining the Rays' rotation in early May and is a viable pitcher to back in this spot. With the Twins sending Sands (0-2, 8.49 ERA) to the mound, the Rays offense looks ready to avenge yesterdays 6-5 loss. Twins are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.

Rays are 40-19 in their last 59 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 21-10 in their last 31 games as a road favorite.Rays are 92-44 in their last 136 games as a favorite.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Blue Jays starter GAUSMAN is 14-22 ( against the money line when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record)

Note:  Detroit Rookie Brieske still does not have a Major league win but he looked over powering vs New York Yankees lineup  holding them to two runs on three hits and struck out seven in six innings in a 3-0 loss on June 4 and at this price is a viable starter to back in this spot play. 

DETROIT is 19-14  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 43-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against  73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Nationals starter CORBIN is 17-35 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)CORBIN is 1-13   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record.

The Brewers send lefty Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.38 ERA)  to the hill knowing he owned the the Nationals in a  seven inning shutout performance  on May 20.  

Milwaukees been struggling but this is to good a team for them to stay down for long, and today   Im betting the Brewers have an edge to get moving on the right direction again. 

COUNSELL is 27-13  against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

The Pale Hose are playing better ball of late and have won four of their past six games and have an edge here as  Chicago will send right-hander Lucas Giolito (4-2, 3.54 ERA) to the mound to face Texas left-hander Martin Perez (4-2, 1.56). The Rangers own a lowly   team OBP of .295 over the last month vs righties like Giolito. I know the Rangers starter Perez has been hot, but he is a little over rated considering White Sox  trio of  Adam Engel, Yoán Moncada or Yasmani Grandal have hit LHP hard in their careers and if Perez has shown any weakness its been against these type of hitters. 

GIOLITO is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.147.

TEXAS is 11-25  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 36-75 L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Megill (4-2, 4.41 ERA) made a rehab start for Double-A Binghamton on Sunday, allowing two runs and striking out five in 3 2/3 innings but may still be a little rusty and vulnerable against a Halos team that is now in complete desperation mode for wins. Angels will go with left-hander Jhonathan Diaz who comes from the minors to make this start. Diaz (1-0, 1.32 ERA) started two games for the Angels earlier this season and did not allow a run in either contest.  

Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games.

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.

Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League West

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 28-7 L/25 seasons for go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win

Right-hander Drew Rasmussen (5-2, 3.02 ERA), who is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in two career relief appearances vs. Minnesota, will make his first career start against the Twins today. Meanwhile, southpaw hurler Devin Smeltzer (2-0, 1.93) will make his first career start  against the Rays. According to my power rankings the Twins have an edge. 

MINNESOTA is 10-1  against the money line in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 10-7 loss to the Yankees. 

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 17-58 L/25 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to win 

Atlanta sends Spencer Strider (1-2, 2.76 ERA) to the mound to face Pittsburgh's Roansy Contreras (1-0, 1.93). According to the pitching matchup this offer suggest we have  good value on the moneyline . Contreras  has allowed three runs in 15 2/3 innings in his previous three starts. 

Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

PITTSBURGH is 5-1   against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.

Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Baltimore right-hander Jordan Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) and Kansas City left-hander Kris Bubic (0-3, 9.33) go the hill today with Baltimore according to my projections with an edge.Lyles owns a 3-1 record and a stingy 2.25 ERA in six career starts against the Royals and gets the nod tonight. 

Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.KANSAS CITY is 3-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.

Play on Baltimore to win 

White Sox starter Cease has not faced the Dodgers in his career but has had success in interleague play, going 4-4 with a 3.42 ERA in 10 starts, with 67 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings and must not be underestimated here vs a Dodgers team that is just 3-6 L/9 and not scored more than 4 runs in any of those tilts, and averaging just .214 team  BA in 6 games of interleague action this season. 

LARUSSA is 36-13 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX.

White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Dodgers starter  Anderson.

White Sox are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on White Sox to win 

Dbacks starter Davies is making his sixth road start this season . In five previous road starts, Davies is 1-2 with a 3.81 ERA while holding opponents to a .225 batting average. Also according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here and gives us an enough of edge on this value money-line offering to get us the victory.  DAVIES is 17-11  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record)

Reds starter MAHLE is 6-11   against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CINCINNATI is 15-36 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 9-24 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win 

The white Sox starter CUETO is 18-4  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) With the Dodgers currently not in top form after losing 6 of their L/8 the home side look very much like viable bets on a value money-line offering from the books. 

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. White Sox are 14-2 in their last 16 interleague games.White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague home games.

CHI WHITE SOX are 36-13  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Dodgers  Gonsolin.LA DODGERS are 2-8 against the money line in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Astros Right-hander Jose Urquidy (5-2, 4.76 ERA) might have a winning record but hes not in the best of form despite of winning  three of his past four starts he has posted a bloated  5.24 ERA and .939 opponent OPS with five home runs allowed over 22 1/3 innings and is being over rated in this spot vs a Seattle side that matches up well against him according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in  six career outings (five starts) against the Mariners. Both of his losses this season have come against Seattle, with Urquidy pitching to an 11.42 ERA and 2.654 WHIP while allowing 12 runs (11 earned) on 20 hits and three walks over 8 2/3 innings of sub par work. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Note: Mariners Right-hander Logan Gilbert (5-2, 2.22)  goes to the hill for the Mariners. The American League Pitcher of the Month for April, Gilbert ranks sixth in the AL in ERA and gives the Mariners upset dog potential . 

GILBERT is 15-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 16-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-1 against the money line after giving up 2 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 55-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle  to win 

Blue Jays starter KIKUCHI is 2-8   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-10 (  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and also  1-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and  2-8  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 0-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 7.58 and a WHIP of 1.579 spanning 4 starts . Advantage Royals on a value money-line offering. 

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 11-26 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Royals to win