| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -127 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
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The Rangers have won 5 straight games and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt and deserve respect as short home favs . MIAMI is 16-40 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons against hurlers like Texas starter Heaney. ( The Marlins have averaged just 3.9 rpg vs southpaw pitching this season. Miami starter ALCANTARA is 6-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Texas ha averaged 6.2 rpg at home during this campaign. BOCHY is 25-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. MIAMI is 10-36 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI) MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-101 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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| 08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
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The Rays clobbered the Tigers 8-0 in the series opener on Friday night, limiting Detroit to three hits and similar rinse and repeat situation looks to be at hand here. Civale (5-2, 2.34 ERA) Im betting will primed to have a quality start for his new club. Civale, who was surprisingly dealt by the Cleveland Guardians to the Tampa Bay Rays for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo. He has been dominant in his career vs the Tigers as is evident by garnering 7-0 record along with a stingy 2.06 ERA in 10 starts and will once again give his team an edge here in Motown this afternoon. Rays starter CIVALE is 25-10 ) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 22-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 19-11 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter lefty Tarik Skubal (1-1, 4.57 ERA), who will be making his sixth start of the season according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a Rays side that averages 5.7 rpg this season vs southpaw hurlers. Skubal has recorded a ugly 7.24 ERA in his L/3 starts and Im betting he will be cannon fodder again today. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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| 08-05-23 | Astros -134 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Astros are up-trending and are now 13-7 since the All-Star break, after a 7-3 victory vs the NYY on Friday. With newly acquired Verlander on the hill for the Astros, Im betting on the road team cashing here again. Verlander was 61-19 with a 2.26 ERA for the Astros in 102 regular-season starts and posted nine postseason wins, including three over the Yankees and Im sure will be motivated to put forward a top tier effort here again in his return . Veralnder is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last eight regular-season starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile the Astros get to go against left-hander Nestor Cortes (5-2, 5.16 ERA), who is returning from a left rotator cuff strain for his first start since allowing two runs in five innings on May 30 in Seattle. Rust will be a factor here for Cotres vs a Astros side, that has averaged 5.5 rpg vs LHP this season. Cortes is 1-1 with an 8.04 ERA in six regular-season appearances (three starts) against Houston. Note: Astros are v 62-25 v against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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| 08-04-23 | Braves -158 v. Cubs | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
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Braves starter FRIED is 19-4 against the money line against NL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.57 and a WHIP of 0.826. ATLANTA is 12-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like like cubs starter Hendricks. HENDRICKS is 1-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.22 and a WHIP of 1.901. The pitching matchup and overall head to head data according to my power rankings supports a Cubs selection, at a slightly elevated money-line offering. However the edge is significant enough for me to lay a little more lumber than usual. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, in August games are 5-35 L/26 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 63-18 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Braves to win. |
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| 08-03-23 | Orioles +149 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 149 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
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Baltimore leads the season series 7-2 after yesterdays 4-1 loss. They did win the first two games of this series, and are in bounce back mode here today. Orioles newly acquired starter today Flaherty (7-6, 4.43 ERA) has faced the Blue Jays just once in his seven-year career, and it was this season. Back April 1 in St. Louis, Flaherty at that time with the Cards picked up the win, allowing no runs or hits but walking seven in five innings. He stuck out four. Flaherty garnered a very stable 3.45 ERA in his final 12 starts with the Cardinals, including a 3.03 ERA in five July outings and Im betting he matches up well here vs a Toronto side that has slowed down precipitously on offense of late and on the season have only average 4.2 rpg at home . Jays starter today GAUSMAN is 7-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-10 ( against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-4 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Torontos starter Gausman. Baltimore's starter FLAHERTY is 16-6 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 16-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 47-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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| 08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals +135 | 6-7 | Win | 135 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
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The Royals are off a 3-0 sweep of the Minnesota Twins last time out and have momentum entering this home series against the NY mets. Southpaw Jose Quintana (0-2, 3.27 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Royals right-hander Zack Greinke (1-11, 5.49). ( Greinke despite of sub par overall stats, has pitched his best baseball at home this season where he has garnered a stable 3.74 ERA. GREINKE is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Greinke is 5-1 with a 3.49 ERA in nine regular-season starts against the Mets. QUINTANA is 10-17 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) QUINTANA is 6-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) NY METS are 2-9 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 46-11 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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| 07-31-23 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 133 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
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Orioles starter GIBSON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is also a perfect 5-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)Baltimore has won five of six games against Toronto this season and matchup well here again in the first game of this series.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 46-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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| 07-30-23 | Yankees v. Orioles -123 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
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Yankees stater SEVERINO is 0-7 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). SEVERINO is 1-10 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Severino owns a less than pretty looking 6.90 ERA over his L/3 starts , and owns a 0-3 record on the road this season along with a 7.62 ERA and fade material in his current form. Orioles starter KREMER is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-6 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The starting pitching matchup favors the Orioles, and Im recommending we back the home side because of this tonight. BOONE is 27-55 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-40 L/5 seasons for. a against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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| 07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies +102 | 0-2 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
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Oaklands starter Luis Medina has not faired well on the road this season, going 0-4 in 4 starts along with a ugly looking 9.87 ERA. Im betting things will go for bad to worse in their launching pad known as Coors Field. OAKLAND is 6-39 against the money line in day games this season. COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday this season. OAKLAND is 18-61 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. KOTSAY is 18-56 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors as the manager of OAKLAND. MLB team (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -105 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Zack Littell (0-2, 5.11) is the scheduled starter for Tampa Bay on Sunday My power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the Astros batting order. With the Astros offense continuing upward momentum with Jose Altuve back in the line up the home side looks like viable investment option. Note: Astros wRC+ ( 109 )over the last 30 days, Meanwhile, Astros hurler Bielak in four starts since being recalled from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3 is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA. Houston has won three of those starts. TAMPA BAY is 6-16 against the money line in July games this season. HOUSTON is 41-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 21-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 48-18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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| 07-29-23 | Tigers v. Marlins -146 | 5-0 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
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The Tigers rank 28th in MLB scoring (3.9), two spots below Miami (4.1) and Im betting the tigers offense also suffers to produce here today vs Marlins veteran right-hander starter Johnny Cueto who is coming off a top shelf start on July 22, when he held the Colorado Rockies to just two hits. Hes been suffering injury issues of late, but is now healthy and looking strong and deserves respect here. Cueto has faired well against against the Tigers, going 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six career starts covering 42 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board. MIAMI is 13-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Motown starter Brieske. MIAMI is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 71-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -120 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
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. The Angels are scheduled to start left-hander Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38 ERA) and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he does matchup well here. He garnered a no-decision against the Blue Jays on April 9 after allowing five runs, four earned, on five hits in five-plus innings and my projections estimate another down effort. The Toronto Blue Jays took the opener of their three-game series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels 4-1 on Friday and Im betting they grab the cheese again. LA ANGELS are 8-18 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 9-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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| 07-28-23 | Mariners -128 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Logan Gilbert (8-5, 3.88) has won his last three decisions for Seattle and owns a 6-1 record on the road along with a stable 3.26 ERA and a stingy 0.935 WHIP. GILBERT is 12-2 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 21-9 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Diamondbacks left-hander Tommy Henry (5-3, 4.01 ERA) will start. He has lost his last two trips to the hill while lasting just 4 1/3 innings in each time. He is backed by a shaky bullpen, as the over pitching staff have allowed seven or more runs in eight games since the All-Star break and in their current form are fade material. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 3-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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| 07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
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Tampa Bays starter McClanahan despite of great won loss record of 11-1 on the season, is also just 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against the Astros, both of which were down the stretch last season. Note: The Astros have done their best work against lefties like McClanahan averaging 5.6 rpg on a .272 team BA. Meanwhile, the Astros will throw out Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-2, 4.32 ERA) . I know he has not pitched all that well of late, but he is a viable hurler, and must be respected here at home where he owns a 7-0 record against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is also 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 5-15 against the money line in the second half of the season this season MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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| 07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Tanner Bibee (6-2, 3.04 ERA) goes to the hill for the Guardians on Thursday. Bibee, is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four July starts, and is coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. allowing just two hits, in 7 innings while striking out eight. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest their is a strong probability of him having a top tier performance. Cleveland's relievers have pitched just 8 innings in the last 3 games.(Advantage Cleveland) Chi White Sox's relievers have pitched 15 innings in the last 3 games. CLEVELAND is 22-5 against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GRIFOL is 15-32 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Chi White Sox is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games. Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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| 07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
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The Texas Rangers travel to the Houston Astros looking to end a four-game road slide after losing the first two games of this series by 1 run each time. These two instate rivals have played some coin flip games of late, and no matter who happens to be on the hill, the tilts are hard fought. There is simply to much value to pass up on with a hard hitting Texas side that could easily manufacture enough runs to win . BOCHY is 24-12 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 17-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 45-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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| 07-25-23 | Mariners v. Twins -113 | 9-7 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
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Kirby (9-8, 3.23 ERA) limited the Twins to four hits over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none in a 5-0 victory on Thursday in Seattle, but Im betting Minnesota will be ready for him in the rematch and will garner their 5th straight victory. Meanwhile, Twins starter Pablo Lopez who pitches today was the loser last time out. However, Lopez is pitching at a top tier level this season, via a nasty sweeper and a 30.2% KO ratio. Take Lopez in the rematch. SEATTLE is 9-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. SEATTLE is 5-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 37-19 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 9-40 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Jon Gray (6-5, 3.31) goes to the hill for the Rangers on Monday. He is winless over his last seven starts, recording a 0-4 record with a 4.66 ERA during that span and Im betting his fortunes will not change here today vs the Houston Astros.Gray has seen his L/3 starts vs the Astros result in his team losing (two of them in Houston) Meanwhile, the Astros will reply with right-hander Brandon Bielak (5-5, 3.46 ERA) . He threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-1 win over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, allowing one hit and three walks while recording four strikeouts and is 2-1 with a 1.02 ERA in three starts since returning from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3. In his current form Im betting he gives the Rangers batting order all they can handle. BAKER is 45-16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 9-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 25-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Monday are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing on Monday are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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| 07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Boston Red Sox and New York Mets meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1. The Mets have showed a little life of late, but are still playing inconsistent ball. Red Sox: 6-4, .271 batting average, and own a 4.24 ERA in their L/10, and have outscored opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Mets: 4-6, L/10 along with a .188 batting average, 4.40 ERA, and have been outscored by 15 runs. NYM starter CARRASCO is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP of 2.085 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up well vs the BoSox. The Red Sox remain in the postseason hunt and are 2.5 games behind the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays for the third and final wild-card spot and must keep pace so a prime time effort must be expected here in the rubber match of this inter-league series by the home side. In a game they may end up being a bullpen start for the Red Sox they will send LHP B. Bernardino to get things going on the mound. Note: The Mets have struggled mightily against LHP this season averaging just 3.3 rpg via a lowly .214 BA. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
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The Dbacks have lost 6 of their L/8 games while the Reds have won 3 straight and Im betting on both these trends remaining in place after this game has finished. Note: Brandon Williamson, Reds Starter has looked very strong of late as is evident by garnering a 2.57 ERA L/3 starts and deserves respect here on a short line. MLB team (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 30-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
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The Texas Rangers had a six game win streak abruptly end yesterday in the first game of this series, vs the visiting LA Dodgers. But Im betting on a bounce back situation today for a under rated group of Rangers. Rangers starter DUNNING is 11-1 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Dunning is 4-0 at home this season, and has been very stable. BOCHY is 24-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 31-18 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 33-85 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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| 07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
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The New York Mets have hit the Money-line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI) and are starting to play the type of baseball that was expected of them to begin this season. With Japanese hurler Kodi Senga on the hill the Mets once again look like viable bets as underdogs. Senga owns a 1.89 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.947 WHIP. Meanwhile, the NYM offense, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Red Sox starter tonight- Crawford who in 15 innings at home this season in Fenway has recorded a ugly 9.00 ERA via 22 hits and 15 ERS averaging just 3.7 innings per start or appearance. The NYM have done their best offense work against righties this season as is evident by averaging 5 rpg in run production against orthodox hurlers. I know the Red sox have a viable bullpen, but it must be noted that SHOWALTER is 39-23 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS. BOSTON is 2-8 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. NY Mets to win . |
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| 07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Twins are heating up offensively, as is evident by having scored 5 or more runs in all five games coming out of the all-star break including the 10 runs yesterday via a 14 hit output. Im betting on the Twins momentum heading to this game against a light hitting Seattle side that owns a lowly .212 batting average in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 6-14 against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
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San Francisco right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) returns from the 15-day injured list to start against his former team. He was experiencing arm fatigue but says he feels much better now. The Giants righty is 1-1 with a 0.84 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against Cincinnati and deserves respect here in his return. The Giants have won 5 straight and are my choice in this tilt against a Reds side that has lost 4 straight. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 55-18 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
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The Braves had won 11 consecutive series before losing two of three games to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and will now be in a key bounce back situation vs a Arizona side that is now slumping after a fast start to their campaign. Im betting the Braves explosive batting order matches up well vs right-hander Zach Davies (1-5, 6.37),. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in. a 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. ATLANTA is 29-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
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The Padres have lost 12 of their past 15 road games as they visit the red hot Toronto Blue Jays that has won 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Im betting both sides trajectory remain the same today in this matchup. TORONTO is 13-2 ( against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Musgrove whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons TORONTO is 11-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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| 07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
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Im betting on the Red Sox to get their 10th win in their last 12 games, tonight in Oakland against a As team on a 7 game losing streak. Note: Expected BoSox starter Pivetta has made four appearances (three starts) against Oakland, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 27 innings. OAKLAND is 5-22 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 11-0 since 2021 in the first game of a series vs non-AL East teams when coming off a 5+ run win. (Red Sox won yesterday by a 11-5 count vs Oakland). Play on Bosox to win |
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| 07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
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Cubs starter SMYLY is 9-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 17-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.103. Meanwhile, Washingtons starter Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Cubs. He lost to Smyly and Chicago on May 1, when he yielded four runs on seven hits in four-plus innings. Rinse and repeat here today . WASHINGTON is 12-26 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 16-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win |
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| 07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Javier (7-1, 4.34) is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against the Angels and get my support here tonight agains the Angels. Yesterday the Halos came from behind late for a extra innings win, which ended and 6 game win streak, but Im betting they don't make it two in a row in this spot play. Note: Javier has received plenty of run support in his L/3 outings (10,10, 12) .Entering Saturday's game, Astros starters were 5-0 with a 2.44 ERA against the Angels this season and a bounce back in the cards again according to my projections. Angels starter Anderson (4-2, 5.25) does not have a win and nearly a month. He is 0-1 in five career starts against the Astros with a 6.75 ERA. The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI) |
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| 07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
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Miami's starting pitcher will be left-hander Steven Okert (3-0, 2.43) will start his first career start after 201 relief appearances. Today should be a bullpen day for the Marlins, but my pitching vs batting order power ranking still suggest the Marlins have the edge. Yesterday the Marlins smashed out 11 hits and relinquished a early 4-0 lead to lost 6-5, but now Im betting a bounce back scenario. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
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The Halos have lost 6 straight after losing the first game of this series, and Im going to bet against them again today. The Los Angeles Angels have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-13.95 Units / -54% ROI) and are fade material in their current form.Astros starter VALDEZ is 24-6 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 8-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like Valdez. LA ANGELS are 1-10 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on Houston to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Marlins +104 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett (5-2, 3.70 ERA) has won his past four decisions and hasn't taken a loss since May 8 and gets my support here tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. note:The Marlins are 10-1 in Garrett's last 11 trips to the hill. MIAMI is 20-8 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Meanwhile, Orioles starter GIBSON is 6-16 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Red Sox -102 v. Cubs | 4-10 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
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BoSox hurler Left-hander James Paxton (5-1, 2.73 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season.Paxton has been out standing over his last seven starts, going 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the fireballer again today.PAXTON is 18-7 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile the Cubbies starting hurler Stroman is struggling as is evident in his last three outings recording a 0-2 record along with a 7.71 ERA and is fade material in his current form. STROMAN is 18-31 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Tigers v. Mariners -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
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Castillo as member the AL all star team this season, is 2-0 over his past three starts. Last Friday at Houston, he allowed just one unearned run on five hits in seven innings against the Astros in a 10-1 victory and once again looks like a viable bet against a team batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SEATTLE) - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 61-5 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Astros +142 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 142 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
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LA entered the all star break having lost 5 straight times, and 9 of their L/10 overall. Their trajectory is still not a good one, even with big name pitcher/player Ohtani (7-4, 3.32 ERA) on the hill. The Japanese phenom lost his most recent outing, allowing five runs and seven hits in five innings of an 8-5 loss to the San Diego Padres on July 4 and may not be 100% healthy entering this tilt. Meanwhile, Houstons starter France (4-3, 3.26) has won his past two outings while recording a stingy 2.84 ERA over his L/3 starts , and on the season has pitched well away from home as is evident by a 1.95 ERA. Advantage Houston. HOUSTON is 21-8 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season and 1-9 against teams that strike out by an average of more than 7 times a game like the Astros. Play on Astros to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
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Colorados starter Gomber has won his last three starts while garnering a 3.00 ERA. Here against a struggling NYY side that owns a lowly .231 team BA average while ranking 28th in the majors he looks to be a strong underdog candidate. Note: NYY starter Rodon in his only start in the Mike High City , Rodon was roughed up for six runs in 5 1/3 innings. GOMBER is 9-2 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 32-16 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Marlins +113 v. Orioles | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
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Top tier pitcher Alcantara does not have a great record this season for Miami, but is still a viable hurler who finished off his first half of the season , by recording 6 2/3 strong innings by giving up only one run last Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies. Alcantara won his only career appearance against Baltimore, allowing three runs in six innings of a 2021 game at Baltimore and get the nod here today vs the Orioles starter Kremer. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.00 Units / 28% ROI) MIAMI is 10-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.MIAMI is 17-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this seasonBALTIMORE is 6-21 against the money line in home games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Red Sox -116 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
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Boston has won 5 straight entering this tilt and have major momentum entering this tilt. I know . Chicago pitchers have done well of late, but it must be noted that CHICAGO CUBS are 2-9 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Note Bostons starter Bello Bello (6-5, 3.04 ERA) is currently in top form as is evident by his last 12 starts, he is 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and has allowed no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch and gives the Red Sox the edge here. Over his last 12 starts, the 24-year-old has gone 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA. In addition to allowing no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 20-4 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season . MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the BoSox to win |
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| 07-11-23 | National League v. American League -102 | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
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The American League have won the all star game nine straight times and once again deserve respect as slight favs. Alot has been made of Aaron Judge and Mike Trout missing, but my power rankings still suggest the American League has an edge. Starters Garrett Cole of the AL and Zac Gallen of the NL, are making first time starts in the mid season classic , but Cole stands out as more dominating than Gallen, and gives us an advantage through the early part of this game.The NL will be without Clayton Kershaw and Spencer Strider and because of this I project the AL pitching staff to get the nod in the end and help us deliver a winning ticket to AL backers. Expect Felix Bautista (1.95 xERA) of the American League to be the shut down catalyst that get it done in the ned if this game is close. Play on AL to win. HR Derby: I know Alonso is getting alot of support here tonight in the HR Derby, but he has struggled offensively since returning from a wrist injury in June, as is evident by a .153/.265/.361 triple slash line across 83 plate appearances and may not be 100% healthy giving an edge to Rodriguez who has a better average exit velocity (93rd vs. 49th percentile) and hard-hit rate (92nd vs. 52nd percentile). than Alonso. Advantage : Rodriguez to win HR Derby. |
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| 07-09-23 | Orioles +150 v. Twins | 15-2 | Win | 150 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
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Baltimore according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs a Twins starter Ryan who is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA in his past seven starts. BALTIMORE is 20-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. MINNESOTA is 4-17 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 52-69 L/5 seasons. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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| 07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Tampa Bay Rays lost for the fourth straight time at home yesterday to the visiting Atlanta Braves, by. 2-1 count but Im now betting on a bounce back performance here today. MLB Home teams like Tampa Bay cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher like the Rays Bradley who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games on astroturf. Rays are 41-16 in their last 57 inter-league home games.Rays are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. TAMPA BAY is 14-2 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 41-18 in their last 59 vs. National League East.Rays are 132-58 in their last 190 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays have the second-ranked team on-base percentage in the AL at .332. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after a combined score of 3 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games are 32-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Reds +110 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
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Reds: Andrew Abbott (4-0, 1.21 ERA, .88 WHIP, 42 strikeouts); Brewers: Corbin Burnes (6-5, 4.00 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 96 strikeouts) The Cincinnati Reds are in top form as is evident by their current five-game win streak and deserve respect here as underdogs. The Reds have also played well on the road garnering a 26-18 record in away games. With Abbott on the hill the Reds look like the right side. In his last two starts he has gone 13.2 innings giving up just two runs. ABBOTT is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) NOTE: The Brewers are only averaging 3.1 rpg vs LHP this season via a lowly .208 BA. Brewers are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know Corbin Burnes the Brewe crews starter is a quality pitcher going to the hill for the Brewers, but he has been inconsistent so far this season and has garnered a 6.62 ERA in this L/3 starts and owns a sub par 4.27 ERA at home . Needless to say he is currently not a lights out type of pitcher. Meanwhile on the flip-side the Reds are a wrecking ball right now averaging 5.9 rpg in production in their L/7 winning 6 of those tilts. Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Reds are 18-3 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 23-4 in their last 27 games following a win. CINCINNATI is 10-1 against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a shutout loss to opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 10-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. ( On June 5th the Brewers shutout the Reds 2-0) Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Mariners v. Astros -112 | 10-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
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PITCHING PROBABLES: Mariners: Luis Castillo (5-6, 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 114 strikeouts); Astros: Hunter Brown (6-5, 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 103 strikeouts) Note: CASTILLO is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 3-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) BAKER is 77-39 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better as the manager of HOUSTON like the Mariners Castillo. Seattle won the first game of this series 5-1, but the Astros are a resilient group as is evident by a 25-7 record against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Mariners are 7-15 in their last 22 road games.Mariners are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 38-14 in their last 52 vs. American League West.Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starterAstros are 126-56 in their last 182 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 42-19 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in Houston.Play on Houston Astros to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +125 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
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Blue Jays starter Manoah (1-7, 6.36 ERA) recorded only two quality starts in 13 outings this season before he was demoted to work on his mechanics and regain his confidence. He may have temporarily gained some confidence, but Im still betting against him today vs a Detroit side that has averaged 6.1 rpg in production in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and off a 9-0 win vs the As last time out. Note: MANOAH is 3-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) HINCH is 12-7 against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. DETROIT is 12-4 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 87-53 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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| 07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox +124 | 6-10 | Win | 124 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
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PITCHING PROBABLES: Rangers: Nathan Eovaldi (10-3, 2.64 ERA, .99 WHIP, 106 strikeouts); Red Sox: Kutter Crawford (3-4, 3.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 55 strikeouts) Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Crawford.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Crawford .Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 30-14 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - team with a good SLG (.440 or better) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 12-30 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Rangers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Rangers are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Boston. This moneyline offering does not matchup with my own power rankings data. Giving us an edge with the value home underdog. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 07-04-23 | Angels +118 v. Padres | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
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Over his last three starts, Ohtani is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA and gets the nod here from me in a tilt I will be backing the Angels . SAN DIEGO is 7-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Halos starter Ohtani. Yes, the Haos have lost 5 of their L/6 overall, but have proved resilient when in this kind of funk as is evident by a 8-1 mark against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. I know Musgrove has been pitching well of late, but Im betting against him here.Padres starter MUSGROVE is 4-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record).MUSGROVE is 7-17 against the money line in home games in day games in his career. (Team's Record) Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games.Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Angels are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Diego. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 07-04-23 | Phillies v. Rays -107 | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
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Rays lost the last two games of their series against Seattle and are now in a bounce back situation here this evening vs the Phillies . TAMPA BAY is 21-7 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons..TAMPA BAY is 26-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Phillies starter NOLA is 8-18 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 10-24 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 11-21 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 games on astroturf. Rays starter EFLIN is 27-7 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 27-8 against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 18-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Phillies are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Phillies are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.Play on Rays to win |
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| 07-04-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox -105 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
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The Rangers took a back forth slugfest yesterday against Houston by a 12-11 score and that came after a 12-11 loss the day before. Im now expecting the Rangers to be in a emotional letdown spot after those back and forth affairs and a long trip from Texas last night .Im also betting for immediate regression from a offensive standpoint in this tilt against a Boston side that is rested after a day off on Monday and currently on a 3 game win streak. Texas starter DUNNING is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON in his career along with an ERA of 9.41 and a WHIP of 2.022. Advantage Boston. Note: Boston has not officially announced its starting pitcher, but left-hander Chris Murphy (0-0, 1.80 ERA) is among those who could get the start. MLB team (TEXAS) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
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Braxton Garrett in six starts since May 31, has garnered a 2.14 ERA, 1.86 xFIP, and a 45:4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 33 2/3 innings and deserves respect here as a home favorite. GARRETT is 13-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GARRETT is 7-1 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 0-8 against the money line in road games after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. MLB- Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games, playing on Monday are 62-35 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-03-23 | Astros +106 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 106 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-1, 3.72 ERA) goes to hill for the Houston Astros this Monday vs the Texas Rangers . He is 5-0 with a 3.88 ERA over his last nine starts .Javier is 5-1 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career appearances (nine starts) against the Rangers. Javiers counterpart Texas left-hander Martin Perez (7-3, 4.28), has allowed no more than two earned runs in each of his last three starts.,Perez is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA this season in home tilts Im betting on a pitchers duel here and for both starters to go long and strong in a projected lower scoring affair. HOUSTON is 20-8 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 54-29 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 2-0-3 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-3 in Rangers last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-4 in Rangers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Texas. Play under |
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| 07-02-23 | Giants +112 v. Mets | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
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The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1 and Im betting on the Giants in the tie breaker. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings this is a bad matchup for the Mets with David Peterson on the hill. The lefty is just 2-6 with a 7.00 ERA on the season and is fade material . Note: Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. I know the Giants Ross Stripling may not inspire bettors, but the Mets have not faired well against pitchers in sub par form recently going just 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and have lost 6 of their L/8 vs a right handed starter. Giants are 16-5 in their last 21 road games.Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League East.Giants are 60-29 in their last 89 road games vs. a team with a losing record. KAPLER is 30-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO like the NYM Peterson. Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on San Francisco to win |
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| 07-02-23 | Rays +116 v. Mariners | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
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Seattle found a way to beat the Rays yesterday but TB has proved resilient of late after a loss winning 4 straight and thats what Im betting on them doing today. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win and have lost 4 of their L/5 after scoring 5 or more runs. Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 21-7 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mariners are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. American League East.Mariners are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) and is is 4-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 11-16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Rays are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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| 07-02-23 | White Sox -145 v. A's | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
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BLACKBURN is 0-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.370 and his team has lost all 3 of his career starts vs the White Sox. My own projections estimate the Pale Hose matches up well here and that the As bullpen is also fade material giving us an edge with the road fav. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.250 or worse over his last 3 starts are 30-9 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 07-02-23 | Twins -109 v. Orioles | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
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Twins right-hander Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.67 ERA) enters this game in good form much like the rest of the rotation recently as was evidenced by Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober combined who allowed the Orioles to one run and five hits over 13 innings in the first two tilts in this series.The Orioles have now lost four straight and are fade material in their current form. Add to that my power rankings suggest the Twins matchup very well vs Left-hander Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.18) who goes to the hill for the Orioles. BALDELLI is 38-12 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, playing on Sunday are 12-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 07-01-23 | Rays -115 v. Mariners | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
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Glasnow (2-1, 4.45 ERA) will take to the the mound Saturday in Seattle after a dominating 12 Strike performance last time out. Meanwhile, the Mariners Right-hander George Kirby (6-7, 3.26 ERA) who lacks run support on a consistent basis is set to start for Seattle on Saturday and Im betting he will fail to end the Rays current 3 game win streak, as they begin to heat up against after scorching hot to their season . Meanwhile, Seattle who are in a funk and lost three in a row, after blowing a four-run lead in a 15-4 beatdown in the series opener look very much like fade material in this spot. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Kirby. TAMPA BAY is 24-8 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. SEATTLE is 5-17 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Mariners are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. American League East.Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL. Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.Rays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Play on Rays to win |
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| 07-01-23 | Giants v. Mets -139 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
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MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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| 07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
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Atlantas starter today MORTON is 3-9 against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 7-13 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MIAMI is 17-11against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MIAMI is 20-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games. ( Interesting anomaly matches up well with Mortons allergic reactions to playing on the Saturdays. ) Sometimes these kinds of trends seem meaningless, but human biological algorithms and optimal performance cycles are a real thing ) Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Morton. I know the Braves are a great team, but they occasionally lose and Im betting on that in this spot play value money- line opportunity. MLB team (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 12-40 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels -147 | 6-2 | Loss | -147 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
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Griffin Canning the Halos starter today has pitched very well of late , garnering a 2.65 ERA in his L/3 starts while receiving a ton of runs from his offense in support (9, 9, 25 runs in those 3 games. Rinse and repeat is the projection here in what Im betting is a conclusive Angels home victory. Diamondbacks are 9-20 in their last 29 vs. American League West. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ARIZONA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 5-33 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 11-47 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on LA Angels to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Twins v. Orioles -106 | 8-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
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Minnesota right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-5, 4.41 ERA) opposes Baltimore righty Dean Kremer (8-3, 4.50) in the opener. Lopez is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his past two starts and is fade material in his current form.Meanwhile, Kremer is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA over his last three starts - lowering his season ERA by nearly half a run. The Orioles have the advantage on the hill. Baltimores starter KREMER is 15-2 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record)Twins are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Kremer. Twins are 24-50 in their last 74 road games.Twins are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 37-17 in their last 54 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 17-8 in their last 25 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Baltimore to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 5-0 | Win | 126 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
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BoSox starter Paxton (3-1, 3.19) gives his team a strong opportunity to end a 5 game losing streak. Boston swept the visiting Blue Jays in a four-game series from May 1- and actually matchup well vs the Jays despite of their recent struggles. Note: The Blue Jays are 7-17 against teams within their own division like the Red Sox and 38-20 against all other teams. Jays right-hander Jose Berrios (8-5, 3.60 ERA) . In 11 career starts against the Red Sox, is just 1-5 with a 4.15 ERA. He got a no-decision at Boston on May 1, when he gave up five runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings of his team's 6-5 loss. Bosox have the edge on a value money-line offering. TORONTO is 1-8 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Home teams (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), playing on Friday are 19-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Red Sox to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Brewers -136 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
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In the series opener today, Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.65 ERA) is expected to start against Pittsburgh's Osvaldo Bido (0-1, 3.45) in a matchup of right-handers. The Brewers do their best offense work against RHP averaging 4.6 rpg in production, while the Pirates struggle mightily against RHP averaging 3.8 rpg via a .227 BA. the Brewers bullpen also have the edge, as their overall road ERA registers at a stable 3.85 . Note: Pittsburghs Rookie starter Bido has received zero run support in his L/2 outings which is never a good omen for positive results. Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. National League Central. PITTSBURGH is 5-19 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter like Peralta . MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ( against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in June games are 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 11-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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| 06-29-23 | Astros v. Cardinals +102 | 14-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Wainwright (3-2, 6.56 ERA) is coming off of a 9-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Saturday in London, England, where he allowed seven runs on 11 hits in three ugly innings of work. Quote:"It was a perfect storm of horribleness," the right-hander said. "I'm pretty sad about it, honestly. Pitched terrible. Trying to make Cardinals fans, and we didn't make any because of me."It's 2-1 without me in the game. That whole game was my fault. I pitched terrible and I put our team in a bad spot and lost the game because of me. I don't know what else to say; End quote. - With that said, Im betting on the veteran hurler, being ready to bounce back in a big was vs a team he has dominated his his career as is evident by his 13-1 record when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.994. Meanwhile,The Astros will respond t with rookie J.P. France (2-3, 3.54 ERA), who is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA in four starts this month. My power vs pitcher power rankings suggest the Cards batting order matches up well here giving us the edge needed with the home dog.Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 inter-league games. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.(Houston won yesterday 10-7). Play on the Cards to win |
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| 06-29-23 | White Sox +130 v. Angels | 9-7 | Win | 130 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
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Left-hander Patrick Sandoval (4-6, 4.16 ERA) goes to the hill for Los Angeles today vs the White Sox. He is coming off a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies on Friday, when he matched a season worst by giving up 10 hits in five-plus innings of sub par work. He is 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox and my power rankings suggest he is being over rated today . SANDOVAL is 1-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox also hit lefties much better than righties. Meanwhile, White Sox right handed starter Lance Lynn (4-8, 6.40 ERA) is winless in his last five starts, but showed his veracity and velocity when he recorded 16 strikeouts on June 18 against the Seattle Mariners and according to my power rankings matches up well here. Advantage - Chicago white sox full game wager. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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| 06-29-23 | Guardians -147 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
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Guardians starter Bieber has never lost to the Royals. He is 6-0 with a 3.03 ERA in 13 career starts vs. Kansas City and Im betting that perfect mark will remain intact after todays confrontation.Meanwhile, the Royals are , right-hander Zack Greinke (1-8, 5.31 ERA).Greinke is winless over his last nine starts, going 0-4 with a 5.36 ERA during the stretch and Im betting that negative run continues here vs a Cleveland side that is 27-7 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 with Bieber on the hill. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 1-13 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better this season. KANSAS CITY is 0-13 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 6-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 37-132 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +175 | 8-9 | Win | 175 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
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Colorados starter Kyle Freeland pitches his best ball at Coors field where he owns a 3.42 ERA in 9 starts this season and beat the visiting LA Dodgers here when he faced them last July in. a 5-3 victory. His most recent start against the dodgers came on Oct 1 last season where he allowed them just 1 ER in 5.7 innings of work. With that said, my current power rankings suggest he matches up well against the Dodgers batting order and gives is a value edge with the home dog. I also expect the Rockies do get enough backing from their offense vs a struggling pitcher in Mike Grove who owns a 7.96 ERA on the season in 6 trips to the hill. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are just 12-51 L/26 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Tigers +190 v. Rangers | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Tigers are the only team that procured a victory vs Rangers scheduled starter Dane Dunning (6-1, 2.76 ERA )this season. In five career starts vs. Detroit, Dunning is 0-3 with a 5.70 ERA and Im betting against him here again today vs a Tigers side that lost yesterday and now ready to bounce back. DUNNING is 4-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. HINCH is 9-5 (+ against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of DETROIT.
Tigers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Play on Detroit to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Astros +103 v. Cardinals | 10-7 | Win | 103 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Mikolas is 0-3 in his L/3 starts along with garnering a bloated 6.16 ERA. He is also 0-1 in two career starts vs the Astros with his team losing both games. His ERA in those innings vs the Astros is 10.80, and Im betting he does match up well here today. Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 Cardinals are 3-11 in their last 14 vs. American League West. Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. ST LOUIS is 1-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. ST LOUIS is 11-19 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Play on Houston to win |
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| 06-26-23 | Nationals +225 v. Mariners | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
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The Nationals' Trevor Williams (4-4, 4.14 ERA) is expected to start against Seattle's Luis Castillo (4-6, 2.89) in a matchup of veteran right-handers this Monday. It must be noted that Castillo is 0-5 with a 4.81 ERA in six career starts against the Nationals and has lost all four of his starts this month . Castillo is a top tier pitcher, but has a history of down efforts vs the Nationals and is currently in a losing loop. With the Nationals showing some life after recording 2-0 and 8-3 victories over the weekend in San Diego look like viable underdogs in this ML spot play.CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-8 against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 14-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Williams. Play on Washington to win |
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| 06-26-23 | White Sox +120 v. Angels | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
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Left-hander Reid Detmers (1-5, 4.02 ERA) will start Monday for the Angels and with my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggesting that the White Sox have the edge Im betting on the road side with a value line attached to it.DETMERS is 8-18 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, White Sox starter Cease has allowed two runs or less in all four starts this month, while garnering a solid 2.38 ERA. He hasn't lost a decision since May 18 and gets my support here.Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 06-26-23 | Reds +120 v. Orioles | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
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The Reds dropped two of three against the visiting Atlanta Braves after winning 12 straight games to move into first place in the National League Central but Im betting they have a strong opportunity to bounce back here vs the Orioles as they go against starter Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.71 ERA) in the series opener. The Reds have battered lefties like Irvine as is evident by 5.6 rpg production ratio via a .285 BA. Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games. Orioles are 17-38 in their last 55 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. BALTIMORE is 8-45 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (That is the case entering this tilt vs the Reds) Note:Felix Bautista has been on the hill in consecutive days for Baltimore on Saturday and Sunday and is vulnerable here with what could easily be a over used arm. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
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The Dodgers in the series s finale will start right-hander Tony Gonsolin (4-2, 2.92), who had his worst start of the season in his last outing, but now Im betting on a big bounce back effort with a solid mechanical pitcher. GONSOLIN is 13-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) if he does falter all , the Dodgers' bullpen has a current four-game winning streak, the relievers have given up one run in 19 innings and Im betting on another solid effort in a win tonight vs a Houston side that has struggled recently and overall has averaged just 4.2 RPG vs RHP this season. Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. LA DODGERS are 10-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.LA DODGERS are 21-7 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.LA DODGERS are 10-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.LA DODGERS are 70-19 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Astros are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.Astros are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. LA Dodgers to win |
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| 06-25-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
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In eight major league starts Perez the Marlins starter is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA and has a current streak of 15 consecutive scoreless innings. The righty is 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA in four June starts.Right-handed hitters are hitting are just .188 against Perez. Lefty hitters are batting just .177.Nick Fortes has served as Perez's catcher for seven of his eight starts, and that pairing has compiled a 1.24 ERA. Powerful pitching advantage for the Miami Marlins here, and despite of a hefty ML offering still offers value. MIAMI is 26-11 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.MIAMI is 15-2 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 11-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 7-31 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 68-10 L/5 seasons and 6-0 this season. Play on Miami Marlins to win |
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| 06-24-23 | Astros +162 v. Dodgers | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Miller gave up just two runs in his first four starts of his career (23 innings) but was smacked around for seven runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the San Francisco Giants last Saturday and might be dealing with some PTSD at the major league level entering this game against a Houston team that is more than capable of beating up on this kid. HOUSTON is 34-12 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 inter-league road games.Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter. HOUSTON is 61-29 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 45-39 L.5 seasons. Play on Houston to win |
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| 06-24-23 | Red Sox -119 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Lynn like his team has struggled this season and is 4-8 with an ERA of 6.51 in 15 starts this season, and is fade material in his current for vs a Boston side that has won 7 of their L/9 overall. Meanwhile, the BoSox will reply with James Paxton who owns a 3-1 record in seven starts this season, including four quality starts and is 2-0 in his L/3 starts along with a stingy 2.33 ERA including 23 SOs in 19.3 innings of work. Note :White Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Paxton. Advantage Red Sox. White Sox are 8-19 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.White Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League East.
Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-24-23 | Cubs -135 v. Cardinals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
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The Cubs are currently in top form and have won 8 of their L/9 and deserve to be road favs here vs a very inconsistent Cards side. Cubs starter Justin Steele (7-2, 2.71 ERA) has been one of the majors' top hurlers this season, and gives his team the edge they need to get us across the finish line today for a victory. Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.ST LOUIS is 21-30 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in June games are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Diamondbacks +179 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
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SF 10 game win streak came to an abrupt end yesterday in a 10-0 loss to the Padres and Im now betting they begin a new streak here , but it will be a losing one. ARIZONA is 8-0 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Logan Webb. ARIZONA is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.(Webb qualifies ) Diamondbacks are 20-7 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 20-7 in their last 27 road games. Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
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The Dodgers will send right-hander Emmet Sheehan (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the hill vs the Astros this Friday for his second career start. The rookie had a top tier debut last Friday when he did not allow a hit over six innings against the San Francisco Giants and deserves respect here at home behind the usually consistent bats of the Dodgers. HOUSTON is 4-11 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 27-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +144 | 4-7 | Win | 144 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
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Colorado is off losing 8 straight road games and will now be primed to bet back on track here at home in Coors field after. day off yesterday. Note: COLORADO is 26-13 against the money line after 8 or more consecutive losses. Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. COLORADO is 10-5 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Sandoval. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 13-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
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Os starter GIBSON is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattles starter GILBERT is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gibson.Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League East.Mariners are 4-12 in their last 16 road games. Value resides with the Orioles at home. ( The Orioles are 22-13 at home this season, with a a .629 winning percentage that ranks them third in the American League as hosts) SEATTLE is 16-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 56-29 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -115 | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
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New York opened this series with Seattle with a 3-1 victory on Tuesday and followed it up with a 4-2 win on Wednesday and Im betting the Yanks turn the trick again behind the arm of German. The Yanks starter faces a struggling offense that has scored three runs and eight hits in the first two games of this series.German is 3-0 with a 4.22 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Mariners. Meanwhile, the Mariners will reply with rookie hurler Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) who makes his fourth career start . I know the Yankees offense since A. Judge went down has been less than amazing, but this kid will still have his hands full in this intimidating venue. Mariners are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like NYY D.German. Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.Yankees are 41-15 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 4-14 in the last 18 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
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Minnesota sends suddenly struggling right-hander Joe Ryan (7-4, 3.30 ERA) to the hill . Ryan allowed a season-high six runs over seven innings in a 7-1 loss to the Detroit Tigers on Friday.Ryan, after a solid start this campaign has allowed 16 runs over his last four outings covering 23 2/3 innings (6.08 ERA) and is now being over rated on this line offering giving us value with the visiting BoSox. Minnesota ended a winning streak yesterday with a extra inning victory, but that momentum Im betting will be short lives vs a Red Sox team that outscored opponents 50-18 during its win streak, Boston went 3-for-15 with runners in scoring position during the Wednesday loss and immediate bounce back is the call.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 4 of a series. Red Sox are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Braves -105 v. Phillies | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
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Bryce Elder (5-1, 2.60 ERA) will start on Thursday vs Phillies , and Im betting the fireballer gives the Braves who are on a 8 game winning streak a solid chance at victory here vs Nola and the Phillies. The Braves have a lot of momentum on this sides, and after yesterdays cancelled game will be rested and primed to resume their winning ways.Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola. Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East. Braves are 41-14 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 42-16 in their last 58 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +135 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
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Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Julio Teheran (2-2, 1.78). I know Gallens numbers look very viable but he has over achieved and is due for regression. stat cast projects his true ERA at (3.84 xERA) Note: Gallen is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts at Milwaukee in his career. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Teheran is 4-1 with a 2.98 ERA in 11 career starts against the Diamondbacks and has pitched well since returning from the minors. The Brewers have won 14 of the past 17 meetings with Arizona in Milwaukee and get the nod again on a value line. Diamondbacks are 42-87 in their last 129 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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| 06-21-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Marlins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
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Gausman has won his past four decisions and he hasn't lost since May 4 and enters this game with momentum.In seven appearances, including six starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.53 ERA.vs Miami and when visiting south Florida Gausman is 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three appearances (two starts). Gausman has pitched better than Miamis star hurler Alcantara and gets my support today.Marlins are 35-72 in their last 107 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Marlins are 20-41 in their last 61 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 35-16 in their last 51 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like Alcantara. .Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 inter-league games. Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. National League East. Blue Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Padres +100 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
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SF starter DeSclafani is off a win last time out , but he lasted just three innings, allowing five runs in. a 8-5 victory vs . He has been beaten up for 13 runs (12 earned) over just 12 innings in his three June starts and is fade material, even though the Giants are on a 8 game win streak. Remember all winning and losing streaks eventually come to an end.Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.( They lost yesterday in extra innings)Padres are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. Play on San Diego to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Diamondbacks +106 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
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Arizonas starter Nelson, , is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his past three road starts, having allowed just one run in 17 innings and gets the nod here today vs the inconsistent Milwaukee Brewers.The Diamondbacks, have won three of four this season vs. the Brewers, and have won six consecutive road games. Momentum gives the edge to the Dbacks. Diamondbacks are also 18-6 in their last 24 road games.Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -122 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
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Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole (7-1, 2.75 ERA), has allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 15 starts this season and gives the Yankees a solid opportunity for a victory here tonight against Seattle. The Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the NYY to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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Toronto will send Yusei Kikuchi (6-2, 4.31). The left-hander, who has never faced Miami, went 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in April and deserves respect here as an underdog. I know the Blue Jays have lost three straight and four of five, but will be very primed for a bounce back here in this spot play. Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Blue Jays are 11-2 in their last 13 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Marlins are 15-39 in their last 54 vs. American League East.Marlins are 8-17 in their last 25 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Braves -144 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
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Spencer Strider (7-2, 4.12 ERA) gets the start for the Braves.Strider has been effective against the Phillies in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.65 ERA in five games with four starts and gets the nod here again today.The Braves enter this game in Philadelphia on a six-game winning streak, highlighted by a four-game home sweep over the Colorado Rockies and enter this game in top form, and according to my power rankings matchup well here against another hot side.Braves are also 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Suarez.Braves are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-19-23 | Padres -108 v. Giants | 4-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
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Both these sides are playing very good baseball at this time, but the Padres stand out as the superior side, based on their ability to hold down opposing offenses with top tier pitching--- both from their starters and bullpen. Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres Walker. Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Walker. Giants are 9-23 in their last 32 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days which is the case here today after playing the Dodgers and Cards. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wacha and are are 19-46 in their last 65 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wacha. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games Padres are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Play on the Padres to win |
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| 06-19-23 | Red Sox +117 v. Twins | 9-3 | Win | 117 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
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With LHP pitcher James Paxton healthy the Bosox are a dangerous side.Paxton goes for his fourth consecutive top tier start when he takes to the hill in the opener of a four-game series against the Minnesota Twins on Monday night in Minneapolis. Paxton (2-1, 3.09 ERA) allowed just one unearned run in six innings in his most recent outing and Im betting continues his upward momentum.Paxton has made six starts against the Twins in his career and is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA and gets the nod today on. a value line. Quote:"We feel really confident whenever Paxton is taking the bump right now," Red Sox outfielder Rob Refsnyder said. "He's got pretty special stuff, as you see. A high 90s fastball, kind of just bearing in. He gives us ace-caliber stuff." End Quote. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-19-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +132 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
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Todays pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-5, 4.64 ERA) against Washington right-hander Josiah Gray (4-5, 3.19). These pitchers according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched and both batting orders are also fairly even in most of key data points. Thus the line does not match what my own numbers suggest should be near even, with the subsequent home field advantage giving us an edge with the underdog. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. Play on the Nationals to win |
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| 06-18-23 | Guardians v. Diamondbacks -104 | 12-3 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
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Guardians are 1-8 in their last 9 inter-league road games and are 0-7 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter including 0-6 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter. ( Arizona starter Davies is a RHP) Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league games are 5-0 in their last 5 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like the Guardians Bibee. .Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are also 10-1 in their last 11 vs. American League Central. Guardians are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona and nothing changes today. Play on Arizona to win |
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| 06-17-23 | Rays -105 v. Padres | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
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Padres starter Blake Snell continues to be a hard luck pitcher, and despite of pitching decently , has lost five of his last seven starts. Meanwhile, the Rays are 10-2 when Eflin starts this season, and the Padres are just 3-10 when Snell takes goes to the mound. Advantage Rays. Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Snell. Rays are also 22-6 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.Rays are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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| 06-17-23 | Reds +114 v. Astros | 10-3 | Win | 114 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
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Cincinnati starter Greene, is 1-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 38 strikeouts over his past four starts and 24 1/3 innings and is a viable underdog pitcher to back in this spot play in Houston today. It must be noted that the Astros have dropped seven of 10 games since they were last 12 games over .500, and in their current form are fade material. Meanwhile, the Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 overall and are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Houstons starter Bielak. Reds are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings.Reds are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Houston. Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 06-17-23 | White Sox +138 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 138 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Giolito has pitched well lately and over his last 13 innings of work, has only surrendered one run on a solo homer and Im betting on his momentum carrying into this tilt vs the Mariners.Note: Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like White Sox starter Giolito. White Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.White Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 06-17-23 | Marlins -148 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
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Miami's starter Garrett is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA over his last six starts, with 41 strikeouts and seven walks in 32 innings. The Marlins have won five of those games and Im betting he helps them to the promised land again. Meanwhile, the Marlins , go against Nats starter Irvin. The rookie has allowed eight runs (seven earned) over nine innings in his last two trips to the hill while garnering a 8.41 ERA over his last five starts. He has skipped a start to give him some rest, but the rust Im betting beats the rest here and for the Marlins hitters to roll up on the young man.Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 overall.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter like Irvin. Marlins are 28-11 in their last 39 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Marlins are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings and 10-2 L/12 in Washington. Play on Miami to win |
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| 06-17-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
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, Dunning is 3-1 with a 3.29 ERA with 13 walks to 25 strikeouts as a starter this season and gives his team a good chance at victory in the 2nd game of this series vs the Blue Jays. Texas lost yesterdays tilt so you can bet they will be primed to bounce back. Note: Despite of winning 2-1 yesterday the Jays only managed three hits.Rangers are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on Texas to win |
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| 06-15-23 | Nationals +188 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 188 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
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WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% over the last 3 season like Houstons starter Javier.WASHINGTON is 11-5 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. JAVIER is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.997. I know the Astros are playing for the sweep here, but the Nats have an uncanny way of coming to life vs top tier pitching, and offer value on this moneyline offering in a spot play situation. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Javier. HOUSTON is 6-10 against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nationals are 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Houston. Play on Washington to win |
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| 06-15-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
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Phillies right hander Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) gave up a season-high six runs in a 9-0 loss to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday and has been highly inconsistent this season and is fade material here, despite of having a potent offense backing him. Meanwhile, Arizona behind quality starting and bullpen pitching and top tier D, must not be underestimated in the dog role at home today.NOLA is 10-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 2-9 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 28-16 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. NOLA is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 8.41 and a WHIP of 1.672. PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on Arizona to win |
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| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -127 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
| 08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
| 08-05-23 | Astros -134 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
| 08-04-23 | Braves -158 v. Cubs | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
| 08-03-23 | Orioles +149 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 149 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
| 08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals +135 | 6-7 | Win | 135 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
| 07-31-23 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 133 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
| 07-30-23 | Yankees v. Orioles -123 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
| 07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies +102 | 0-2 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
| 07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -105 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
| 07-29-23 | Tigers v. Marlins -146 | 5-0 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
| 07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -120 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
| 07-28-23 | Mariners -128 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
| 07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
| 07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
| 07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
| 07-25-23 | Mariners v. Twins -113 | 9-7 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
| 07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
| 07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
| 07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
| 07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
| 07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
| 07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
| 07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
| 07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
| 07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Marlins +104 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Red Sox -102 v. Cubs | 4-10 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Tigers v. Mariners -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Astros +142 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 142 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Marlins +113 v. Orioles | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Red Sox -116 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
| 07-11-23 | National League v. American League -102 | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
| 07-09-23 | Orioles +150 v. Twins | 15-2 | Win | 150 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
| 07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Reds +110 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Mariners v. Astros -112 | 10-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +125 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
| 07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox +124 | 6-10 | Win | 124 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Angels +118 v. Padres | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Phillies v. Rays -107 | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox -105 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Astros +106 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 106 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Giants +112 v. Mets | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Rays +116 v. Mariners | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | White Sox -145 v. A's | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Twins -109 v. Orioles | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Rays -115 v. Mariners | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Giants v. Mets -139 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels -147 | 6-2 | Loss | -147 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Twins v. Orioles -106 | 8-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 5-0 | Win | 126 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Brewers -136 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | Astros v. Cardinals +102 | 14-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | White Sox +130 v. Angels | 9-7 | Win | 130 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | Guardians -147 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +175 | 8-9 | Win | 175 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Tigers +190 v. Rangers | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Astros +103 v. Cardinals | 10-7 | Win | 103 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | Nationals +225 v. Mariners | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | White Sox +120 v. Angels | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | Reds +120 v. Orioles | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Astros +162 v. Dodgers | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Red Sox -119 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Cubs -135 v. Cardinals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Diamondbacks +179 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +144 | 4-7 | Win | 144 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 13-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -115 | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Braves -105 v. Phillies | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +135 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Marlins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Padres +100 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Diamondbacks +106 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -122 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Braves -144 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-19-23 | Padres -108 v. Giants | 4-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
| 06-19-23 | Red Sox +117 v. Twins | 9-3 | Win | 117 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
| 06-19-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +132 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
| 06-18-23 | Guardians v. Diamondbacks -104 | 12-3 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
| 06-17-23 | Rays -105 v. Padres | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
| 06-17-23 | Reds +114 v. Astros | 10-3 | Win | 114 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
| 06-17-23 | White Sox +138 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 138 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
| 06-17-23 | Marlins -148 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
| 06-17-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
| 06-15-23 | Nationals +188 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 188 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
| 06-15-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
