I know the Detroit Tigers have been tanking and their in a horrendous slump, so forgive me for my never ending and insidious search for value lines with bad teams. Norris the Tigers hurler has been pitching well of late, 25ks in his L/29 innings of work and offers up very good contrarian value here as a AL home team in interleague action. Note: Detroit is 7-1 L/8 vs the Nationals in Comerica  Park.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 25-42 L/22 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. SEAN REID-FOLEY (R)

This young Jays offence has really been generating alot of offence of late (6.3 rpg on a .298 BA in 7 games) and have looked good overall as is evident by winning two of three from the Boston Red Sox before dropping three close games in New York, including an 8-7 loss Wednesday. Im betting the Jays have an edge here today vs a KC team that iss ending Danny Duffy to the hill.Duffy is 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA in seven career appearances against the Blue Jays.  TORONTO is also 10-5  against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. 

Blue

KANSAS CITY is 11-24  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after 2 straight one run losses are 71-39 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

The Giants are 5-1 in Beedes L/5 starts and they  have won each of his last three outings and he gets my support here again. Meanwhile, the Dbacks starter Young was the D-backs’ second-round pick in the 2015 MLB Draft, and he will be making his Major League debut. The lefty went 2-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his eight starts for Triple-A Reno. Im betting hes not quite ready for the bigs, but the DBacks management figured the light hitting Giants would be a good opportunity to show his stuff at the MLB level. With that said, I still expect SFs batting order to do some damage here and get the win.

RIZONA is 14-25  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or better) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 12-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF Giants to win on the ML

Rangers RH Ariel Jurado (4-3, 4.44 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (3-7, 3.29)

Jurado the Rangers hurler today owns a a  7.29 ERA in 4 June starts  and in 21 innings during that span opponents are hitting .280 on the season. In his career he owns a 5.61 ERA in 15 starts. Even though the Tigers are struggling I like their chances here today vs a hurler that is downtrending. 

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 33-72 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

The Rays won 10 of Morton's first 14 starts, during which he went 8-0 with a 2.10 ERA. But Tampa Bay has lost each of his last two starts, butIm betting on a bounce bak effort from a very under rated hurler.Morton, the American League ERA leader at 2.31, is throwing his curve more than any other pitch and holding opponents to a .118 batting average with it. Minnesota is an explosive team that can hit top tier fire ballers, but they have shown some struggles  against hurlers like Morton. I know the Rays have struggled of late, and that they will go against a tough pitcher in Odoirizzi but according to my power rankings matchup well here from a value perspective on this line. 

Rays are 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. American League Central.Rays are 7-2 in Mortons last 9 road starts.

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 164-222 L/5 seasons for a go against 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

Nationals LH Patrick Corbin (6-5, 3.90 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Zac Gallen (0-0, 1.80)

Gallen allowed one run over five innings with six strikeouts in his Major League debut Thursday in St. Louis. The 23-year-old settled for a no-decision, and will now have the momentum and confidence to get his first win here vs the Washington Nationals. Note"  Gallen at Triple-A New Orleans, garnered a powerful 9-1 record and 1.77 ERA in 14 starts before he was promoted .Meanwhile, Corbin had a strong effort last time out, but previous to that has  been beaten up on in his previous three trips to hilll, giving up 20 runs and 22 hits over 12 2/3 innings of sub par work, and could easily return to those negative output vs a up trending Miami team that is very under valued on this this line.Nationals are 0-4 in Corbins last 4 road starts. CORBIN is 2-11  against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  CORBIN is 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Home team is 13-3 in Dreckmans last 16 games behind home plate.

WASHINGTON is 11-22 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons and is 7-18  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.  

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 83-41 for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Rays LH Blake Snell (4-6, 4.40 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (7-4, 4.18)

Snell  the Rays starter tonight vs Minnesota is coming off the shortest start of his career. He lasted one-third of an inning Wednesday against the Yankees and allowed six runs. He has allowed at least six runs in three of his last 10 starts and is fade material here in this spot vs a Minnesota team that owns the most prolific offence in MLB at 5.7 runs per tilt  which includes a major league leading  147 home runs. Note: 

Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 2-5 in Snells last 7 road starts.Rays are 0-4 in Snells last 4 starts vs. American League Central.

Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Tampa Bay is winless in four straight series (0-2-2) and are not playing consistent baseball at the moment despite of a fast start and overall are 4-9 L/13 overall. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

 Pomeranz the giants starter despite of some recent down efforts is still a viable hurler and is  2-0 along  with a 1.89 ERA in five career games (three starts) vs. the Rockies and according to my power rankings still matches up well vs the Rockies batting order. POMERANZ is 9-3  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Gray the Rockies starter ,  started six games in his career in San Francisco, going 0-3 with a 4.55 ERA  and is 0-3 with a 5.18 ERA in seven lifetime starts against the Giants. GRAY is 5-19 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) 

Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing recordRockies are 2-5 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 2.85 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 2.91)

 Greinke the DBacks starter has revenge on board for being smacked around for seven runs - four homers - over 3 2/3 innings versus the Dodgers in his season debut and now today here in the rematch we see him at his best. Meanwhile, Kershaw the Dodgers ace remains in good form, but has had some difficulties as a visitor here , as is evident by garnering a sub par  6-8 record along with a 3.70 ERA in 15 starts at Chase Field.

There is substantial value here with the home underdog in a game that is closer to a coin flip than the moneyline might suggest.

Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Greinkes last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams (ARIZONA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 35-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Astros RH Justin Verlander (9-3, 2.59 ERA) vs. Yankees LH J.A. Happ (7-3, 4.59)

Verlander the Astros starter is a stopper and  is 4-0 with a 1.25 ERA in his last six starts against New York. Im betting on him putting the current Astros losing streak to and end here today in NY. 

HOUSTON is 34-11 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons ( Happ the Yanks starter is a southpaw)

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 65-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

Mike Soroka...RHP.....(8-1, 2.12 ERA, 62 SO)
Soroka th Braves starter may have allowed more than one earned run in both of his last two starts, but he’s only done that a total of three times this season and is a strong All-Star candidate and my choice to back here this afternoon vs the Washington Nationals. Braves are 10-0 in Sorokas last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record and are 6-0 in Sorokas last 6 starts vs. National League East and are 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Meanwhile, the The Nationals starter today Voth is up from Triple-A Fresno to make his 2019 major-league season debut, where he went 3-5 with a 4.40 ERA with 68 strikeouts in 61 1/3 innings in 12 starts. Im betting he will have has hands full here vs the Braves batting order and is fade material. 

ATLANTA is 27-19 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Miley the Astros start has allowed three or fewer runs in 14 of his 15 starts this year and must not be underestimated in his ability to give the Astros a quality start here vs the Yankees tonight. I know Tanaka the Yankees starter is off a brilliant effort, but in the past this has not been a recipe for success as his team is just is 1-6  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) Tanaka is also just 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in six career starts against Houston.

I know both these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, with the Astros on a 6 game losing streak and the Yanks on 7 game win streak. However, it must be noted that despite of recent woes the Astros are still hitting well, just not getting runners home that are in scoring position, something that wont last. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are just  78-96 L/5 seasons.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

Chacin came off the injured list Monday and allowed two runs in 4 2/3 innings in a loss at San Diego. He was a bit wild early and threw 102 pitches, but he found the feel of his out pitch and recorded seven strikeouts on sliders and now looks to have momentum and strength to go deeper here and produce a quality start for the Brewers. Meanwhile, Red Starter Castillo's worst start of the season happened at  Miller Park on May 22 and the lasting impression on that could be still riding in the back of his mind entering this tilt. In that game he  only 2 2/3 innings during an 11-9 Reds loss where he earned a no-decison, the ace gave up four runs on five hits (including two homers) with three walks.Castillo is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in two starts this season against the division rivals and 2-2 with a 3.50 ERA in six career starts against them overall. 

I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment with the Reds on a 6 game winning streak and the Brewers on a 5 game losing streak, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to end, and now today Im betting on those recent biases being busted in this spot play.

 COUNSELL is 16-0  against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

 MILWAUKEE is 15-1 against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 19-3 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 40-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Angels RH Griffin Canning (2-3, 3.93 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-3, 6.00)

I not always a big proponent of backing rookie hurlers like Canning, but there are occasions where I see enough value on the line to get down on an inexperienced hurler. Note: Canning has owned left-handed hitters and held them to a  .163 average and did well in his only career interleague start, holding the Los Angeles Dodgers to three runs over six innings in a no-decision on June 10.

Cards pitcher Wacha has made two starts since returning from a bullpen , and the results were quite contrasting. After throwing six shutout innings against Miami, Wacha was knocked for six runs (five earned) in a four-inning start versus the Mets last week and against a hard hitting Halos team very much looks like fade material. After all Wacha went to the bullpen for a reason that is not positive in the first place, and just does not seem right at the moment. The right hander has garnered a 8.23 ERA in 4 home starts. WACHA is 2-8 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record)

Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterCardinals are 2-5 in Wachas last 7 interleague starts.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Montas  the As starter tonight vs TB continues to strengthen his case for a spot on the AL All-Star team with each start. The A's are 10-4 in games he's taken the mound, and he has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts and gets my support here tonight. MONTAS is 12-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, Charlie Morton despite of a good record, is fade material here vs a batting order my power rankings suggest he does matchup well against.

OAKLAND is 7-0  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 4-10  against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. TAMPA BAY is 6-14  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings this season. 

Home teams (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 43-19 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win on the ML

Mets RH Walker Lockett (2018: 0-3, 9.60 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Tyler Chatwood (3-1, 3.60)

With Kyle Hendricks (right shoulder) out, Chatwood will get the call against the Mets. Chatwood made a spot start on April 21 and delivered six shutout innings against the D-backs. He has a 2.87 ERA in his past 15 games.NY METS are 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Meanwhile, the Mets starter, Lockett will be called up to make his Mets debut Thursday against the Cubs and is fade material. He was beaten around in San Diego last season for 16 runs and 22 hits in just 15 innings.

Cubs are 5-0 in Chatwoods last 5 home starts.Cubs are 6-1 in Chatwoods last 7 starts.Mets are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings.Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 6-20 in their last 26 road games.Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Astros LH Framber Valdez (3-2, 2.77 ERA) vs Yankees RH Chad Green (1-2, 7.54)

The Yankees are expected to use Chad Green (1-2, 7.54 ERA) as the opener for the sixth time and  owns a 3.52 ERA in five starts on the season, compared to a 9.60 mark in 17 games out of the bullpen. The RH goes against a Houston side ,that , has scored just seven runs during a four-game losing streak. Meanwhile, the Yankees are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum having won 5 straight games and are my choice here tonight.

Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Yankees are 6-0 in Greens last 6 home starts.Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

NY YANKEES are 27-9 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.NY YANKEES are 41-17  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.NY YANKEES are 20-6 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Rays LH Blake Snell (4-5, 3.70 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (3-4, 4.42)

Snell TBs starter is not in the same form he was last season and  already has five losses, matching his total from his 2018 AL Cy Young Award season. He is 1-2 with a 3.79 ERA in his past seven starts, even though he has allowed two runs or fewer five times in that span. He is not getting run support, and or timely hitting from his offence which is a unexplained trend that has hampered many pitchers in the past, and must be considered pertinent in this spot play. Note: Snell is 3-5 with a 3.97 ERA in 13 career starts against the Yankees. He is 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA in nine starts in the Bronx. Meanwhile,CC Sabathia (3-4, 4.42 ERA) will make his fourth attempt at getting his 250th win for the Yankees. He has struggled a bit of late, but the veteran is more than capable of righting his ship. 

Yankees are 5-1 in Sabathias last 6 home starts vs. Rays.Rays are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in New York.Rays are 2-7 in Snells last 9 road starts vs. Yankees.Rays are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.The Rays are struggling of late losing 6 of their L/8 while the Yankees have now won 4 straight and have momentum on their sides, making them my play on team in this matchup.

NY YANKEES are 19-7  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.NY YANKEES are 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY YANKEES are 40-17  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. BOONE is 37-15  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record as the manager of NY YANKEES. 

TAMPA BAY is 9-14  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.

Rays are 27-57 in their last 84 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

BRANDON WOODRUFF (R) vs. LOGAN ALLEN (L)

(Brandon Woodruff-RHP-8-1, 3.87 ERA, 96 SO) The up trending pitcher Woodruff has quality starts in six of his last seven outings, including a duel with Astros ace Justin Verlander last time out in Houston. Woodruff has a 2.95 ERA over his last nine starts and gets my support to win on the ML tonight vs the Fathers. WOODRUFF is 10-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)  WOODRUFF is 10-1 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 19-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)

Off 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball against the Rangers, Red Sox starter Porcello takes a 3.83 ERA in 31 career starts against the Twins to Minnesota on Monday. He's looking for season win No. 5 and to continue improving after a rough start to the year. Meanwhile, Twins starter Berrios has never defeated the Red Sox. He is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three career outings vs the Beantown crew.Berrios has never defeated the Red Sox. Berrios has experienced issues with J.D. Martinez (4-for-11), Andrew Benintendi (3-for-7) and Mookie Betts (3-for-9) and despite his top tier record is fade material here tonight. 

BOSTON is 14-7  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - excellent offensive team - scoring 5.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 15-35 L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

"Ryu the Dodgers starter would have been the first MLB pitcher to 10 wins if the bullpen did blow it  for him up in Anaheim Monday night. He wasn’t happy with his change-up that night and allowed a homer to Kole Calhoun, but he still isn’t walking anybody and looks the most consistent that he has in his career and deserves our respect and backing here tonight on a value based run line. Meanwhile, the The Cubs will fire back in the series finale with their own left-hander  Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.89). the southpaw gave up four runs in just 4 2/3 innings in a  loss at Colorado on Tuesday, and is 0-3 over his last four starts with a 5.48 ERA and fade material in his current form. The playoffs  Quintana started against Los Angeles twice in the 2018 NLCS, posting a 10.29 ERA as Chicago lost both games.

Note:The Dodgers have won 5 straight in the last game of a home series when they are off a contest in which they led and left fewer than ten men on base, outscoring their opponent shutting their opponent out all 5 times, with the average margin of victory coming 7.2 rpg game.

LA DODGERS are 22-4 SU line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season winning by an average 2.2 rpg.ROBERTS is 38-8  against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS winning by an average of 2.3 rpg.

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 93-142 L/5 seasons for a go against  61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers on the ML

Atlantas starter Foltynewicz (1-5, 6.02 ERA)  goes to hill in the midst of his inconsistent season.Over his last three starts, Foltynewicz has given up 12 runs in 16 innings, along with five home runs. He has been touched for 15 homers this season, only two fewer than he gave up in 31 starts in 2018 and is fade material here today no matter who starts for the Phillies. Note:The Braves are 0-7 on the ML with Mike Foltynewicz when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games.

Braves are 8-22 in Foltynewiczs last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-16 in Foltynewiczs last 21 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 3-11 in Foltynewiczs last 14 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 2-9 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts.Braves are 2-9 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts on grass.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewiczs last 7 home starts.

Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 26-8 in their last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League East.Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 32-72 in their last 104 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Phillies are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

Trevor Bauer is a top tier hurler but he has struggled for most of this season, and despite of a decent effort last time out, he still threw 119 pitches, which will effect his freshness here today against what can sometimes be a under rated  Motown offence.Bauer had an 0-5 record and 5.52 ERA during a seven-start stretch.Bauers strikeout rate is down and his walk rate is up and he is being over rated on this moneyline. Detroit beat Bauer on April 10 this season, handing him a loss while collecting four runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings. Meanwhile,Spencer Turnbull has been very effective for the Tigers this season, and is off throwing six scoreless innings on Tuesday in Kansas City, and received a no-decision.

CLEVELAND is 3-19  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 19-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-1, 4.58 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (1-0, 2.59)

Nola the Phillies starter is 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA in his last six starts while averaging 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings and giving up 31 hits in 33 innings  of top tier work.Nola is 8-3 with a 2.05 ERA in 13 career starts against Atlanta. He has more wins against the Braves than any other club and gets my support in this spot. 

Braves are 5-11 in their starters Newcombs last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Braves are 1-5 in Newcombs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. 

PHILADELPHIA is 12-1  against the money line after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game over the last 3 seasons which was the case yesterday in a 9-8 loss to the Braves. 

Play on Philadelphia to win on the ML

After earning back his spot in the starting rotation, Wacha threw six scoreless innings against the Marlins on Monday in the Cardinals' 4-1 win. He gave up five hits while walking two and striking out four and is now getting his confidence back and has momentum entering this tilt vs the NY Mets. I know Mets starter Syndergaard  had a top tier start last time out, but in his his three previous starts, he produced a 6.00 ERA , with inconsistency being his key problem. 

Wacha is 5-2 with a 2.53 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets. Syndergaard is 1-3 with a 3.73 ERA in five starts against the Cardinals. 

NY METS are 4-11  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. 

ST LOUIS is 10-2  against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season. 

Mets are 2-5 in Syndergaards last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 2-7 in Syndergaards last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts on grass.Mets are 1-8 in Syndergaards last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cardinals are 20-6 in Wachas last 26 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 11-4 in Wachas last 15 starts vs. National League East.Cardinals are 35-16 in Wachas last 51 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Cardinals are 4-1 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. Mets.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on ML

 Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (7-4, 3.00 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (3-1, 2.50)

Hendricks the Cubs starter has been very good over his last three starts, posting a 2.05 ERA with 20 strikeouts and only two walks over that span and gets my support here tonight. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 15-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. 

CubsMADDON is 91-64  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) in all games he has managed .

Cubs are 10-1 in Hendricks' last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 14-2 in Hendricks' last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. National League West.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 6-2 in Hendricks' last 8 Friday starts.Cubs are 20-8 in Hendricks' last 28 starts.Cubs are 20-8 in Hendricks' last 28 starts on grass.Cubs are 7-3 in Hendricks' last 10 road starts.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 38-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Mariners LH Marco Gonzalez (6-6, 4.77 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (3-2, 3.57)

Gonzales snapped a personal six-game losing streak his last time out with a strong start vs. the Angels, allowing 2 hits and 2 runs in 5 2/3 innings. He last faced the A's on March 20, Opening Day in Tokyo, earning the win with 6 effective innings and gets my support here with momentum on his side.Gonzales is 2-1 with a 3.91 ERA in five career appearances against Oakland, including four starts; Bassitt his As pitching opponent  is 0-2 with a 3.33 ERA against Seattle in five games with four starts.

Mariners are 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. 

Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 59-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Cardinals RH Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (3-6, 3.45)

Cards starter Flaherty garnered a stable  3.45 ERA in five May starts, including a six-inning scoreless outing vs. Atlanta to end the month. He is off a down effort last time out, but is a solid bounce back candidate in this spot vs the NYM. Meanwhile,Mets starter  DeGrom despite of being a top tier hurler , has received two runs or fewer of support in five starts this season, and his team has not one any of his L/5 starts and is fade material here in this spot. . 

Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Mets are 8-19 in deGroms last 27 home starts.Mets are 2-5 in deGroms last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 2-5 in deGroms last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 7-19 in deGroms last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Mets are 2-9 in deGroms last 11 starts.Mets are 2-9 in deGroms last 11 starts on grass.Mets are 1-5 in deGroms last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mets are 1-5 in deGroms last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Mets are 1-5 in deGroms last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 0-6 in deGroms last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.

ST LOUIS is 28-12 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

CALLAWAY is 17-29  against the money line against NL Central opponents as the manager of NY METS. 

 team (NY METS) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 72-135 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

COLE HAMELS (L) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)

Rockies starter today Senzatela out duelled the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner, Jacob deGrom last time out and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs the Chicago Cubs and gets my support in this spot play. SENZATELA is 17-9  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Cubs starter HAMELS is 3-11  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.Cubs are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Cubs are 10-21 in the last 31 meetings in Colorado.Cubs are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings

Rockies are 21-8 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Rockies are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League Central.Rockies are 52-25 in their last 77 home games.Rockies are 5-1 in Senzatelas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 6-2 in Senzatelas last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 5-2 in Senzatelas last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Rockies are 13-6 in Senzatelas last 19 home starts.

BLACK is 91-57  against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of COLORADO. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 111-68 L/22 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win on the ML

 JON DUPLANTIER (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Arrieta the Phillies starter is slumping as is evident by garnering a 1-3 record along  with a 5.45 ERA in his last six. He has allowed nine homers in 34 2/3 innings of sub par work. Thats not a good omen for the Phillies chances here, as the Dbacks have  28 homers in its last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park. 

 Meanwhile, the DBacks  starter Duplantier is making his third start of the season after pitching five innings in each of his first two outings. Last time out against the Dodgers, he struck out a career-high seven batters and is looking much more comfortable at the MLB level and showing important upward trajectory on a performance chart. 

Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

The Diamondbacks have won five in a row overall and 10 of their last 11 here in Philadelphia, and have huge momentum entering this tilt and deserve our backing on a value line.

ARIZONA is 10-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)

The Dodgers will send right-hander Walker Buehler (6-1, 3.69 ERA) to face San Francisco lefty Madison Bumgarner (3-5, 4.05).

Buehler is coming off an top tier quality performance Monday against Arizona, allowing just one run and two hits while striking out 11 in eight innings of a victory. He is 2-0 with a 4.38 ERA in four appearances (two starts) in his career against San Francisco. With momentum behind him I look for him to help his team to a victory this Sunday afternoon.

The Dodgers are 34-0 L/34 on the ML as a 145-plus favorite when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start, had a WHIP of less than one and stuck out more than five batters and it is not a series opener. (Walker Buehler qualifies)

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities are 77-188 for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

Rockies RH Jeff Hoffman (1-2, 7.29 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 4.83)

Syndergaard (3-4, 4.83)  continues to give the Mets quality starts since the start of May but it has not translated into the win column for him and Im betting that trend continues here today vs the Colorado Rockies.SYNDERGAARD is 4-13 ( against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Mets are 0-4 in Syndergaards last 4 starts.

COLORADO is 11-6  against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.CALLAWAY is 8-25  against the money line in June games as the manager of NY METS.

Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.Rockies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Yankees RH Chad Green (1-2, 9.16 ERA) vs. Indians RH Shane Bieber (5-2, 3.57)

Bieber has surrendered five homers in his last two outings and 15 in 13 appearances this season and looks vulnerable entering this matchup vs the Yankees. I know Yankees starter Green many not inspire bettors with recent performances but the Yankees are 5-0 in Greens last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance and are 4-0 in Greens last 4 starts. 

NY YANKEES are 10-0  against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Doubleheader Game #2

The BoSox lost the first game of Saturdays Doubelheader and I now look for them to bounce back behind David Price in the nightcap. 

The Red Sox are 18-0 L/18 on the ML with David Price at home and he went six-plus innings gave up three or fewer runs and fewer than three walks in his last start.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)

Miami's starting hurler Trevor Richards (3-5, 3.53 ERA)in his past three starts is 2-0 with a 1.02 ERA, striking out 19 and walking just four in 17 2/3 innings. Richards,  is holding opposing batters to a .216 average, and locked down the Braves by allowing just two hits in 4 1/3 scoreless innings in a no-decision May 4.

Meanwhile, Atlanta is getting alot respect here today because Teheran their starter has really has garnered a strong ERA of late, but if you really dig more deeply you can see he has not be necessarily been efficient as he's lasted just five innings in three of his past four starts.TEHERAN is 10-26 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Miami had averaged 5.7 runs per game in their past 19 contests, and despite a couple consecutive droughts are poised to get back on track.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35  or less SB's/game on the season, after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits are 47-20 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Margevicius  the Fathers stater owns a 9.17 ERA in his last four outings, and despite of needing to get back on track, just does not have the weapons needed to so at this time. Im betting he gets banged around vs the Nationals and is fade material here tonight on a value line. Note: Margevicius is 1-4 with a 7.09 ERA in six home starts this season . 

SAN DIEGO is 9-15  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)

Lynn is 5-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in his last seven starts.He is 4-0 with a 3.96 ERA in his last four starts at Globe Life Park and had revenge on board for getting beat around by the As earlier this season. Im betting on him being in top form here tonight.

Athletics are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Anderson the AS starting pitcher, has battled some injuries recently and has a 3-4 record with a 4.82 ERA in 11 starts against the Rangers and is fade material in current less 100% healthy form. Note:  

Athletics are 1-5 in Andersons last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 2-5 in Andersons last 7 starts vs. American League West.Athletics are 3-9 in Andersons last 12 road starts.

TEXAS is 9-2 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.  TEXAS is 7-1  against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. (Oakland beat Texas 6-5 back in the Bay area in April of this season the last time these teams played)

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 62-92 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (4-5, 4.41 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Cole Hamels (4-2, 3.62)

Mikolas threw seven innings and allowed six hits and one run Friday vs. the Cubs in a no-decision after the Cardinals walked off in the 10th inning. Pitching his way out of several jams, he completed his seventh quality start of the year. Mikolas has pitched well in seven career games against Chicago , five of them starts  and has garnered a  3-0 record along with a 1.31 ERA.

Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.

HAMELS the Cubs starter is 2-11  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 MIKOLAS is 10-1  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MIKOLAS is 13-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Cardinals are 11-2 in Mikolas' last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 16-5 in Mikolas' last 21 road starts.Cardinals are 12-4 in Mikolas' last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cardinals are 21-7 in Mikolas' last 28 starts.

ST LOUIS is 11-0 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.ST LOUIS is 21-4  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)

This series opens Thursday night with a matchup of left-handers and the Nationals' Patrick Corbin (5-3, 3.46) against the Padres' Joey Lucchesi (4-3, 3.96). 

The Fathers starter hurler according to my cross reference power rankings dies not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order. Luchessi has given up six runs (five earned) on 15 hits  in nine innings for a 5.00 ERA, a 1.889 WHIP and a .366 opponents' batting average in two career starts. Meanwhile,Corbin the Nationals starter  is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.165 WHIP in his last five starts, including a complete-game shutout and gets my support here today. Note: SAN DIEGO is 15-32 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. 

Washington is rolling right now winning 9 of their L/11 and have a great deal of momentum on this sides. WASHINGTON is 31-14 against the money line in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 36-72 L/22 seasons for a 67% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington Nationals on the ML

Braves RH Kevin Gausman (2-4, 5.56 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (3-6, 4.57)

Braves starter Gausman is off a down effort but he matches up well vs the Pirates as last season he allowed one earned run in 14 innings vs. the Bucks last year. With that said, Im backing him to have a solid bounce back effort here today in Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Musgrobe is off a nasty May as he allowed 30 runs in 30 innings over six starts and until he rights his ship is fade material. 

ATLANTA is 12-2 against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-11  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.PITTSBURGH is 7-20  against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) this season. MUSGROVE is 3-13  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-1, 2.45 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Genesis Cabrera (0-1, 7.36)

This kid Genesis Cabrera looked timid in his first start but he established a  99 miles per hour fastball that helped him strike out the side in the second inning of a ugly outing. Cabrera went 32-27 with a 3.87 ERA in 103 minor league games (81 starts), allowing 423 hits with 439 strikeouts in 476 2/3 innings. Lots of promise here by this fireballer who Im betting will fair much better here today, vs a Reds team my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Meanwhile, Castillo the Reds starter , after a fast start has garnered a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form.

The Cards have won 4 straight and bring momentum into this tilt, making them a play on investment option vs a side they matchup well against overall.

Reds are 43-88 in the last 131 meetings in St. Louis.Reds are 10-22 in the last 32 meetings.

 Reds are 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Reds are 7-23 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

ST LOUIS is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.T LOUIS is 11-2 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.ST LOUIS is 25-6  against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

 Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-0, 4.18 ERA) vs. Padres LH Eric Lauer (4-4, 4.45)

Nola is top tier form entering this tilt vs the Padres. He allowed one run in seven innings Wednesday against the Cardinals. After a slow start, he is 4-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last seven starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in any of those outings and gets my support today vs a Fathers team he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.Nola, shutout  the Padres over six innings in a win last year.

NOLA is 17-2  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

SAN DIEGO is 7-14  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

 Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-5, 4.02 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (3-1, 3.27)

Cole the Astros starter  is one of five pitchers with two games of at least 12 strikeouts, and he leads the AL with 112. He also has recorded double-digit strikeouts in six of his 12 starts and has walked three batters in his last five starts (28 1/3 innings). In his current form he is a very viable pitcher to back vs a team my power rankings suggest he matches up well against.  Cole has garnered a 3-1 record and 3.38 ERA with 50 strikeouts over 37 2/3 innings  in six starts vs Oakland.  Cole is 11-1  against the money line in road games in June games in his career. (Team's Record) 

HOUSTON is 6-1  against OAKLAND this season.

HOUSTON is 12-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

 Indians RH Zach Plesac (0-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (7-1, 2.85)

Plesac the Tribes earns his second career start after an impressive Major League debut in which he held the Red Sox to one run in 5 1/3 innings on Tuesday. The right-hander, who is from Crown Point, Ind., will be pitching close to home. He is an under rated hurler who deserves support here vs the Chicago White sox on the ML.Plesac was 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA in nine minor league starts this year, between Triple-A Columbus and Double-A Akron, accumulating 56 strikeouts and seven walks in  57 1/3 innings of quality work.

MLBf avorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better  over his last 3 starts are 64-87 L/5 seaons for a go against 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

 Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-4, 3.83 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.40)

Ynoa gets another turn through the Orioles' rotation in place of Dan Straily, who piggybacked Ynoa to great success on Memorial Day. Ynoa allowed two runs over four innings in that outing, his first start of the season and gets my backing here this afternoon. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Samardzija  posted  a 5.55 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in five May starts and is down trending and fade material in his current form. Note: The righty is 1-3 with a bloated 5.46 ERA away from home. The Giants tarting rotation posted the worst ERA in the majors at 7.32 in May- and the highest mark since the franchise moved to the Bay Area in 1958. 

The Giants won yesterday, but a are 9-24 in their last 33 during game 3 of a series and are 7-19 in their last 26 games following a win.

Home team is 6-0 in umpire Segals last 6 interleague games behind home plate.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (3-6, 2.74 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Jon Gray (4-4, 4.52)

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Jays having lost 13 of their L/17 overall and the Rockies having won 7 of their first 8 games in a 10 game home stand, With said, Im betting on the Rockies momentum to carry into this game and for them to bring us home the cash on a hefty but mathematically acceptable chalk line.  

The Blue Jays are 0-14 L/14 on the ML with Marcus Stroman on the hill as a underdog when they won his last start.

The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML as a home 140+ chalk when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter's last start, winning by an average of 6.9 rpg. 

TORONTO is 3-18 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.

MLB team (COLORADO) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 130-68 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

JEFRY RODRIGUEZ (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

The up-trending  White Sox have won five games in a row for the first time since April 2017. They have pulled into a tie for second place in the American League Central and have a boatload full of momentum on their sides . The south siders have scored at least a 6 runs in each of the last three games and are looking confident. Im betting the White Sox have the edge today vs a slumping Cleveland side that has lost two straight games, five of seven and nine of 12 overall.

The White Sox are 5-0 L/5 on the ML off a five-plus run win as a dog. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 10-2 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. 

CLEVELAND is 2-7  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.CLEVELAND is 7-12  against the money line against division opponents this season. 

Nova the Pale Hose starter vs the Tribe today will be fresh after throwing only 59 pitches during his five-inning start on Monday in a game eventually suspended by unplayable field conditions. The White Sox are 5-1 in Nova’s last six starts. In five career starts against the Indians, Nova is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA. He has tallied 25 strikeouts in 31 1/3 innings. He is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA (two earned runs in 14 innings) in two starts against Cleveland this season.

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%) are 45-17 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)

Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.20 ERA) will start for the Twins while Ryne Stanek (0-1, 2.97) will be used as an opener for the Rays. 

Jose Berrios thanks to the Twins' rotation being given two extra days of rest, will be able to pitch on six days' rest. He has fared well on extra rest in his career, with a 9-5 record and 3.20 ERA and his ability to help a strong Minnesota team notch a win here should not be underestimated. Meanwhile, his pitching opponents data might look good from a cursory look , but a closer look it shows us that Stanek has struggled as a reliever this season, posting a 8.53 in eight appearances and been fortunate to have decent starts which has tainted his numbers. With that said, Im betting he  is very over rated in his current form and is fade material vs a Twins team averaging 6.8 rpg on the season.

Twins are 7-1 in Berrios' last 8 starts.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 road starts.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Twins are 4-1 in Berrios' last 5 starts vs. American League East.Twins are 7-3 in Berrios' last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

 Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-6, 4.19 ERA) vs. Yankees LH J.A. Happ (4-3, 5.09)

Happ (4-3, 5.09 ERA) will make his 12th start of the season and second against the Red Sox. He allowed three runs in 6 1/3 innings against Boston at Yankee Stadium on April 17 in a game the Yankees would go on to win, 5-3. 

Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 starts.Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 starts on grass.Red Sox are 3-8 in Sales last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-4 in Sales last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 0-6 in Sales last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Red Sox are 0-4 in Sales last 4 starts with 6 days of rest. Meanwhile, Sale after a slow start is pitching well, but did falter in his most recent outing and still does not look his usual over powering self. SALE is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

 Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

New York heads into Friday 13-3 in its last 16 games and has scored at least five runs in 10 its last 11 games. Since their 6-9 start, the Yankees are 30-10 in their last 40 games and hold a 7 1/2-game lead over third-place Boston and one game over second-place Tampa Bay and deserve respect each and every time they take to the field including tonight against a  publicly perceived pitching super star. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 14-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win vs the ML

CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)

In Thursday's series opener, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (2-0, 3.25 ERA) is scheduled to start against Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (3-5, 4.27 ERA).

Musgrove the Pirates starter is off a  rough start vs. the Dodgers in which he allowed six runs on 10 hits over five innings.To begin May, he gave up a total of 15 runs in two outings that, combined, lasted 5 2/3 innings. Then he won two straight starts. Saturday, he gave up six runs and 10 hits, with one strikeout and no walks, over five innings in a 7-2 loss to the Dodgers, and is as is evident is highly inconsistent and according to my power projections does matchup well vs this Brewers batting order. Musgrove has no decisions and a 6.94 ERA in two career starts against Milwaukee and is fade material here tonight .

MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

PITTSBURGH is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. PITTSBURGH is 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. 

Pirates manager HURDLE is 16-40  against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game in all games he has managed since 1997. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), playing on Thursday is 51-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or better ), playing on Thursday are 32-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate! 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Phillies starter Eickhoff  started his season very strongly , but has struggled of late as is evident by his massively bloated  9.75 ERA over his last three starts and will be hard pressed to lead his team to a sweep of the Cardinals  in his current form. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Eickhoffs last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.

Meanwhile, the Cards starter Hudson has four quality starts in May, including three straight, and a 3.07 ERA over his last five games and looks like a viable hurler to back on a value line.

The Cards thrive in situations like this where they seem down and out. Note: ST LOUIS is 20-4  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons and are  26-10 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. ST LOUIS is 23-9 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

MIKE is 33-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS

Cardinals are 38-15 in their last 53 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

  Mariners LH Wade LeBlanc (2-2, 7.33)

The Rangers enter this game having struggled against LHP for quite a while now, especially on the road as is evident by going 9-26 L/35 overall vs southpaws. I know the Mariners themselves and starting hurler LeBlanc has struggled a bit of late, but he is still a viable pitcher to support and should be back in form after suffering an oblique injury earlier this season . Note:Mariners are 14-3 in LeBlancs last 17 starts with 4 days of rest.Mariners are 7-3 in LeBlancs last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.

LEBLANC is 16-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Seattle Mariners

MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)

The Rockies have recorded three walk-off wins in their last four games snd enter this game with confidence and momentum making them a viable team to back here at home where they have produced an average offensive output of 6 rpg, and 

Diamondbacks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-32 L/22 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

 Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-3, 3.25 ERA) vs. Braves LH Max Fried (7-2, 2.88)

Fried will be working with an extra day of rest and continues his upward momentum on his way to what Im betting will be his fourth straight victory in his  fourth straight start. He has surrendered six hits over 12 innings since  a May 9 win in Arizona. The Braves southpaw hurler has posted a 2.96 ERA in 10 starts since becoming part of the rotation garnering 51 strikeouts, and a 1.12 WHIP over 54 2/3 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Strasburg his pitching opponent is also in top form, but his team keeps finding ways to lose, and lack consistency makes them fade material in their current form. I also know the Nats have played a little better lately, but their far from a consistent bunch , as is evident by  going  0-6  against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. WASHINGTON is  also 4-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.  WASHINGTON is 2-14  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.

Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. Braves.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 start are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

LANCE LYNN (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L)

The Mariners are in a nasty slump, but all good and bad things must come to aned and tonight Im betting the Mariners getting back into the win column. I know Lance Lynn the Rangers starter has won two straight vs Seattle, but  after numerous looks Im betting they start to catch up to him today here at home tonight. 

The Mariners are 12-0 L/12 on the ML  when they are off a game as a road dog and they are hosting aa team that has lost at least their last two games.

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 17-57 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JON GRAY (R)

 Arizona's Zack Greinke is a top tier hurler, but he will have his hands full with a Rockies  batting order that my power rankings suggest he does matchup well against.

Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Greinkes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 2-9 in Greinkes last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Diamondbacks are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Meanwhile, Colorados starting hurler Jon Gray has looked over powering recently as was evident in a seven-inning, seven-strikeout performance in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start, Gray averaged 97.1 mph on his fastball. That's the first time the heater averaged such velocity in two years  and gives his team a great shot at a ml win here in Coors Field. 

Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 13-3 in Grays last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game

COLORADO is 22-6 against the money line after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 3 straight games since 1997. COLORADO is 60-33 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games since 1997.

BLACK is 38-16  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 39-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

The White Sox lost the veteran right-hander’s first five starts of the year, but in Nova’s last five, the team has a 4-1 record. He has made three quality starts in that stretch and gets . my support here this afternoon. 

Meanwhile, KCs starter Bailey struggled Wednesday against the Cardinals, giving up five runs and four hits in 1 2/3 innings and in his current form is fade material. Note:BAILEY is 5-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY is 2-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

KANSAS CITY is 2-18 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

The Royals are 0-17 L/17 on the ML as a road underdog off a home game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs which happened yesterday.

CHI WHITE SOX are 5-0 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. 

  MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 47-16 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Tigers LH Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.30 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.60)

Detroit just cant find ways to win no matter who their starter is, as  they have lost 11 of their L/12 . I know Baltimore has not faired much better, after suffering losses in 8 of their L/9, but they are lesser of two evils here and get my support on the ML this afternoon  at home in Camden Yard where the visiting Tigers have lost 4 of their L/5. 

DETROIT is 24-42  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. 

Tigers are 1-5 in Norris' last 6 road starts.Tigers are 1-6 in Norris' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 1-8 in Norris' last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Norris' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Tigers are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 15-41 in their last 56 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 14-40 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 overall.

Tigers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

Play on Baltimore to win on the ML

ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)

Los Angeles Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney is expected to make his season debut against the visiting Texas Rangers on Sunday afternoon.Heaney, who threw a team-high 180 innings last season, missed the past two months with inflammation in his throwing elbow. He is 1-3 with a 6.57 ERA in seven career meetings with the Rangers.Today Im betting the Rangers take advantage of his rust in this spot play. 

TEXAS is 6-0 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. Note: Angels won yesterdays game 3-2.

LA ANGELS are 3-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season. LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line against division opponents this season. 

TEXAS is 13-5 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on a natural surface.Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

NYY starter German became the Majors' first nine-game winner last time out in Baltimore, though he completed just five frames. German has won his last six starts since April 23, posting a 2.72 ERA and limiting opponents to a .210 average over that span. Im laying a little bit outside my value borders here but they .10c extra outlay is worth it according to my expectations on this line.

Yankees are 6-0 in Germans last 6 road starts.

Royals are 0-6 in their starter Duffys last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City.Yankees are 88-39 in the last 127 meetings.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)

Verlander despite of his great record is only a .500 pitcher ( 12-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ the BoSox starter despite of some struggles and a defeat last time out  is 21-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

I know Boston lost the first two games of this series, but they have proven resilient in the past under these circumstances,  going 26-6 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.The Red Sox are also  16-0 L/16 on the Moneyline in the last game of a series vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is before the All-Star break. The Red Sox are 8-0 on the ML as a 170+ underdog after a contest in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter which was the case yesterday. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are just 42-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 57.4 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (2-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (3-3, 4.74)

Wheeler the Mets starter is 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA in 14 interleague startsWHEELER is 5-15  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Turnbull the Tigers starter matches up well vs the Mets batting order according to my cross reference power rankings. NY METS are 6-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mets have been playing a little better, but todays matchup does not favor them as compared to the value we have with this line.

DETROIT is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. 

CALLAWAY is 3-9 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the manager of NY METS. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Red Sox LH David Price (2-2, 3.29 ERA) vs. Astros RH Brad Peacock (5-2, 3.59)

Price returned from the injured list for his most recent start in Toronto, and looked comfortable over five shutout innings. His pitch count will be worth monitoring, as he threw just 67 in that outing and will be very fresh here vs Houston tonight and gets my backing.Price is 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 12 career regular-season appearances (10 starts) PRICE is 18-6  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% ro better in his career. (Team's Record) Note: Houstons starting hurler Peacock is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) versus the BoSox. 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, in May games are 14-33 L/5 seasons for go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB  team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games. are 12-40 L/5 sesaons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Rays RH Charlie Morton (4-0, 2.65 ERA) vs. Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (4-4, 4.30)

Rays Righty Charlie Morton according to my cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings Im betting wlll have have success against a lineup of Indians hitters that struggle big time against righties.Note:  Morton, who was 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts against the Indians last year. Meanwhile, Carrasco the Tribes starter can be dominate when hes on his game, and Im betting he will be. Last time out, Carrasco had his streak of 13 consecutive scoreless innings snapped, as he gave up three runs in five innings, and looks like a mortal coming in this tilt vs a tough TB side. Note: Carrasco was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in two games versus Tampa Bay in 2018. 

Rays are 25-11 in their last 36 road games.Indians are 2-5 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-4 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

Jackson struggled a bit in his first start for the Blue Jays last time out, and took a loss but Im betting on him bouncing back this afternoon and leading the Jays to the promised land. JACKSON is 8-0  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 interleague road games.Padres are 11-25 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Padres are 5-15 in their last 20 Saturday games.Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 games on astroturf.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

GREEN is 8-26  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)

SF starter Pomeranz gave up two runs over 4 2/3 innings against the D-backs on Sunday in his first start since returning from the injured list and should be even stronger here as he grades back into game shape. He goes against a struggling Arizona side on a 5 game losing streak and losses in 6 of their L/7 on the road. I know the DBacks will start their ace Ray, but The DBacks have lost 10 of the L/14 in this series and in their current form fade material in this spot . 

Arizona will be without manager Torey Lovullo, who will be attending his son Connor's high school graduation.

MLB  Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-36 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate!

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)

Cleveland starter Bieber became the fourth-youngest pitcher since at least 1908 to record 15 strikeouts without a walk in a complete-game shutout against the Orioles and is my choice today to buoy the Indians to a victory vs TB. 

 TAMPA BAY is 5-16 against the money line in road games after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. 

FRANCONA is 63-30  against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-18 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. TRENT THORNTON (R)

The Padres will start left-hander Joey Lucchesi (3-3, 4,28 ERA) Friday night against Toronto right-hander Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.41). LUCCHESI has struggled on the road this season where he has garnered a 8.10 ERA. Meanwhile, Thornton will head to the mound to open a three-game Interleague set against the Padres, looking for his second win of the season. The rookie right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the year, allowing one run on three hits with four strikeouts over six innings against the White Sox last time out, and gets my support here tonight. 

San Diego is playing well and on a 3 game winning streak, but it must be noted that GREEN is 7-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KYLE MCGOWIN (R)

The Nationals are struggling entering this series vs Miami and are 12 games under .500, after losing 20 of their L/28 games and are fade material in their current  vs a up trending Marlins team on a 5 game win streak. 

WASHINGTON is 2-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Marlins starter Lopez.WASHINGTON is 9-21  against the money line in night games this season

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

 Tampa Bays starter tonight Yarbrough was recalled from the minors for this game . The righty was 2-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five relief outings for the Rays earlier this season. Hes been brought up because TB is resting starters. This is a good opportunity for the Tribe to get out of a current offensive funk and get back to winning after getting swept at home. Meanwhile, Cleveland right-hander Adam Plutko, who will get the start on Thursday, allowed just one hit in six innings in his season debut Saturday during a 4-1 win over the Baltimore Orioles and looks very strong and fresh entering this tilt and gets my support in this spot situation. Plutko (1-0, 1.50 ERA) will be making his 21st career appearance (14th start) overall and first versus Tampa Bay which is an advantage for him, as their batters will take few turns to catchup with this viable hurler.

TAMPA BAY is 2-11  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings this season. FRANCONA is 63-27 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of CLEVELAND. 

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML

AARON NOLA (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)

Cubs starter Lester is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four May starts, with 23 strikeouts and three walks in 24 innings.Lester has a brilliant record against the Phillies, going 8-0 against them with a 1.49 ERA in 10 career starts and gets my support here today. Note: LESTER is 19-3 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-27  against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 23-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - very good offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 138-50 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversi 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)

There are two key negative issues hampering the Nationals this season, No.1 being their bullpen, which is MLB worst as is evident by garnering a ERA of 6.89 , and secondly their offense which is batting.230 as a team on the road. Today the Nats have a top tier hurler to start this game in Stephen Strasburg, but odds are he cant get this done on his own, and will have to rely on run and bullpen support which is not a likely scenario if current trends stay in place. it must also be noted that the Nats are just  2-12  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher like the Mets (Matz) with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season and 4-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

I know the Nats are desperate to avoid being swept here in this the final game of this 4 game series, but their needs may well be outweighed by their ugly performance factors.

WASHINGTON is 11-21  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons and have failed to win 15 of 25 games this season when listed as a fav or -110 or more.

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML

JOSE URENA (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L

The victories may not be there for Urena, but the performances have been quality,  in his last six starts. Despite being 1-3, he has a 2.77 ERA over that span, working at least six innings in each of them and is a value selection here tonight. URENA is 12-4  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Marlins are 10-3 in Urenas last 13 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers have lost 7 straight games while the Marlins have won 4 straight. 

NORRIS  the Tigers starter is 1-9  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)NORRIS is 9-20  against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record) Tigers are 1-10 in Norris' last 11 starts during game 2 of a series. 

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)

After a rough first three starts of the season, Porcello has been stellar ever since, going 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in his last six starts and gets my support here today as the Boston Red Sox bounce back off yesterdays loss to the Jays.

Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts.Red Sox are 9-3 in Porcellos last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 10-4 in Porcellos last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.

Note:  Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez RHP 3-4, 3.88 ERA, 50 SO, exited his last game early with a blister, and may still not be 100%.

Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

BOSTON is 20-8  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML

Frankie Montas ...RHP5-2, 2.67 ERA, 52 SO....Montas is emerging as the A's top pitcher, coming off a career-best performance of 8 2/3 innings and 10 strikeouts in a win over the Tigers. He allowed just two earned runs over six innings in a start against Cleveland at the Oakland Coliseum earlier this month and gets my support here today. CLEVELAND is 3-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 4-0 in Montas' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Montas' last 6 starts vs. American League Central.

OAKLAND is 32-9  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)

NY Mets starter today Wheeler faces the Nats for the second straight start and fourth time already this season  and the results have not been good as is evident by a 9.77 ERA. Last Thursday,  Meanwhile,Fedde the Nats starter will make his first start of the season, joining the Nationals' rotation in place of the injured Anibal Sanchez. Four of Fedde's five outings from the bullpen have been scoreless, and is a viable pitcher with value attached to his performance results.

Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 2-7 in Wheelers last 9 home starts vs. Nationals.

The Mets ended a 5 game losing streak last time out, but it must be noted that the NY METS are 1-9  against the money line in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Blue Jays stater Marcus Stroman is off to a hot start this season with a 2.95 ERA over 10 starts. The problem is that he has just one win to show for it because of a lack of run support. Because of this he is less than a desirable hurler to back vs a BoSox team with a viable offence. Meanwhile, Bostons starter RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 21-4  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CORA is 16-8 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of BOSTON. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

The Mariners starter Leake's worst outing of the year came against the Rangers on April 27 when he allowed 10 hits and 9 runs (5 earned) in 5 innings in a 15-1 loss in Seattle and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs Rangers. Meanwhile, Minor beat the Mariners, 15-1 in that above mentioned April 27 tilt, by holding them to one run in seven innings. He allowed three hits and struck out 13. Minor earned a victory  in his last start last Wednesday, when he allowed one run over five innings as the Rangers cruised past the Royals 6-1 and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs Seattle team that has the worst record in baseball since April 27 . He entered Sunday ranked among the AL's top 10 in both ERA and strikeouts (tied for 10th with 56).

SEATTLE is 1-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

TEXAS is 8-3 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 7-43 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win on the ML

Darvish the Cubs starter is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies and gets the nod and my support in this spot situation.Meanwhile, Phillies starter Arrieta got off to a solid start this season and was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA after four outings, but has dropped his past two starts and is winless since April 27. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Arrietas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

The Phillies are 0-17 L/17 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 2.65)

Freeland won against the Phillies on April 18, when he struck out seven and allowed only two hits in six scoreless innings. In two games against the Phillies, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA. also did not allow a walk. The lefty is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three day games this season and despite of some recent struggles is a quality hurler that matches up well vs thePhillies batting order according to my power rankings and  offers us a viable chance to cash a value line ticket.

EICKHOFF  the Philies stater is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.826.

Phillies are 6-15 in Eickhoffs last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 2-6 in Eickhoffs last 8 starts vs. National League West.

FREELAND is 6-0 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Rockies are 8-0 in Freelands last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

 Colorado is 14-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Colorado to win on the ML

Jose Berrios RHP 6-2, 3.05 ERA, 54 SO.......Berrios the Twins starter struggled for the first time in 2019 on Monday against the Angels, when he was tagged for a career-high 12 hits and a season-high five runs in 5 2/3 frames. It marked the first time in 10 starts that he did not complete at least six innings and gets my support here to bounce back and get us to the promised land.

MINNESOTA is 10-0  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.The Twins are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when playing a team that has a worse record. 

MINNESOTA is 8-0 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. 

The Twins are 19-0 on the ML as a road favorite after a five-plus win if that was not a complete game by their starter which was the case in last nights 7 -1 win vs Seattle.

SEATTLE is 0-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

Dakota Hudson the Cards starter has shown some promise but his hard-hit rate of 45.8 percent is a concern, especially against a Texas team seeing the ball very well at the moment. In . his current form the kid is fade material in this spot. 

The Rangers cruised to a 7-3 victory Friday night vs the Cards and dating back to Wednesday have outscored their opposition by a 26-5 count. Considering how much struggling the Cards have suffered through of late, as is evident by having been outscored 21-6 in their L/3 games.

Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.Cardinals are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.TEXAS is 5-0 against the money line in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.

The Texas Rangers are 18-0 L/18 on the ML in the second game of a home series when they were a dog in the opener and they are facing a starter with a strike-per-ball ratio of 2.05 or less.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games, in May games are 155-100 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)

Twins starter Perez (5-1,3.11 ERA 46 SOs) suffered a contusion after taking a line drive off his left foot in his last outing, but he is expected to make his next scheduled start in Seattle here tonight. His 15-inning scoreless streak was snapped vs. Detroit, but he allowed only four hits in five innings and comes into this tilt looking very sharp and qualifies for an investment option on the money-line  . His pitching opponentGonzales started strongly this season, but he's been roughed up of late after two rough outings in his past three with short stints and high pitch counts against the Cubs and Red Sox. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he just does matchup well here tonight vs the Twinkies and considering his current form is fade material. 

Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Twins are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 12-1 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

SEATTLE is 3-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SEATTLE is 0-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-33 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins to win on the ML ( Best Bet of the Day)

There is more to baseball than just pitching, and while I do focus on starting pitching and bullpen support, sometimes a pitching matchup that might look like it favors a certain team is void. Thats the situation here tonight as the Brewers Chacin, is in better form than Fried the Braves starter, but despite of this I like the home team to come out of this with a victory based on the teams overall form of late that has seen them go 5-1 L/6 and how they matchup vs the Brewers from an array of head to head power rankings that I use. As you can see the lines-makers and  market agree with my assessments. There is public support for the Brewers , but the smarter money win or lose is on the Braves here and rightly so.

Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 road starts.Brewers are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Atlanta.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

GERRIT COLE (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)

The opener of the three-game series will see Houston right-hander Gerrit Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) take the mound opposite Boston righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15).Cole is coming off a start in which he allowed one run on four hits with a season-high 12 strikeouts against the Rangers last Saturday. Over his last four starts, Cole has a 2.39 ERA across 26 1/3 innings, with 42 strikeouts and six walks and gets my support here on the road tonight behind a batting order that has produced 8.1 rpg and a .316 BA in their L/7 overall (wins). 

HOUSTON is 18-5  against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-1  against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 season.

HINCH is 32-11  against the money line in road games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span as the manager of HOUSTON. HINCH is 41-17 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of HOUSTON. 

The Astros are 18-0 L/18 on the ML with rest in the first game of a road series when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 3.4 on the season and it is before the All-Star break.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 38-10 L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston Astros to win on the ML

Thursday's pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Adam Wainwright (3-3, 4.15 ERA) against right-hander Julio Teheran (2-4, 4.26).Wainwright made his first seven-inning start in 13 months his last time out and generated a season-high 23 called strikes. Key to his early-season success has been his curveball and with that confidence is a dangerous hurler at the moment.Wainwright is 9-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 18 career games (13 starts) against the Braves and gets my support again tonight in Georgia. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright! 

Cardinals are 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 road starts vs. Braves.Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Braves

Atlantas starter Teheran has not notched a win in 5 starts and is lacking support in his appearances. 

ST LOUIS is 14-4  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIKE is 35-16  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS.

MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 42-18 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)

 Brewers starter Davies at 4-0 is in top form entering this afternoon tilt. The light throwing righty has allowed  two or fewer runs in each of his eight starts. Only five times this season has a Brewers starter worked into at least the seventh inning. Davies has three of them. With that said, he gets my backing on a value line this afternoon in Philadelphia. 

Phillies are 1-4 in Eflins their starters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Brewers. 
Brewers are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Philadelphia

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 18-44 L/22seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bewers to win on the ML

YU DARVISH (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)

Cubs starter Darvish (2-3, 5.40 ERA) leads the majors with 33 walks in 36 2/3 innings. He has 11 walks and 11 strikeouts in eight innings this month, the main reason he is winless in his first two starts in May with a 6.75 ERA. In his current form he is fade material. Meanwhile, GRAY the Reds starter is  is 14-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) 

Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.

Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

FELIX PENA (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R) 

 Gibson struck out a career-high 11 hitters on Wednesday, when he allowed only one run and two hits to the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. He is 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA, 28 strikeouts and three walks in his last four appearances and gets my support here tonight. 

LA ANGELS are 1-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 season.LA ANGELS are 11-33  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Minnesota is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home.

Play on Minnesota to win on the ML

JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)

Atlanta's starter today vs St.Louis Foltynewicz hasn't had a quality start in his first three outings of the season, going 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA. Now the right-hander faces the Cardinals, against whom he owns an 8.06 ERA in five career starts and is fade material in this spot play.FOLTYNEWICZ is 3-13  against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Card sin their current struggling form dont inspire bettors, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 24-10  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons and get my support today to get us the win.

MIKE is 34-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of ST LOUIS. 

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

Woodruff is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA in eight starts this season. He has allowed just three earned runs over the last 16 innings in three previous starts and enters this game looking like he has top tier momentum, and a viable pitcher to back here tonight in Philadelphia. Note:Woodruff has struck out at least six batters in each of his last seven starts, the most by a Milwaukee pitcher since Zack Greinke had seven in a row in 2011.

 MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

 NICK KINGHAM (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)

Arizona starter Ray took a no-decision in his last outing against the Rays when he threw 5 2/3 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters. He is six strikeouts away from 800 for his career and would be the second fastest lefty in terms of games pitched to reach that mark and gets my support today to over power this Pirates batting order. RAY is 19-4 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Arizona has won all 4 meetings in this series this season outscoring the Pirates by a 30-7 count and matchup well vs this Pirates side.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)

Skaggs is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota with 15 strikeouts in 13 innings and gets y support here today vs a batting order that my pitcher vs power ranking suggest he matches up well against. 

Angels are 6-2 in Skaggs' last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Angels are 7-3 in Skaggs' last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 18-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)

Boyd  Detroits  left-handed starter has won his last two starts and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his eight outings, becoming Detroit's most reliable starter in the process and is a viable underdog in this spot.

Astros are 5-16 in their starters Peacocks last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.

Tigers are 14-3 in Boyds last 17 home starts.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Tigers are 6-2 in Boyds last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Tigers are 9-3 in Boyds last 12 starts on grass.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts vs. American League West.Tigers are 5-2 in Boyds last 7 starts.

BOYD is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BOYD is 8-0  against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-17 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 5.03 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-1, 1.41)

Lester has been stellar since returning from the IL, allowing just one earned run over 18 innings (three starts) with 19 strikeouts and one walk. The southpaw has not faced the Brewers this year, but went 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts (11 2/3 IP) in '18 and gets my support here this Sunday night. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-2  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. 

LESTER is 23-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts vs. Brewers. 

Brewers are 1-4 in Chacins last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.

Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 overall.Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 Sunday games.Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Cubs are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 6-1 in Lesters last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 Sunday starts.Cubs are 10-3 in Lesters last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 11-4 in Lesters last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 38-14 in Lesters last 52 home starts.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 36-15 in Lesters last 51 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 37-16 in Lesters last 53 starts on grass.Cubs are 36-16 in Lesters last 52 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 37-17 in Lesters last 54 starts.Cubs are 39-18 in Lesters last 57 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 19-9 in Lesters last 28 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-1, 2.03)

Dodgers starter Ryu’s last trip to the hill was a 93-pitch, four-hit shutout of the Braves. It was another walk-less start for the Korean hurler , who has 45 strikeouts and only two walks and in his current form is a viable chalk call here. Note: Ryu owns a 1.93 ERA in three career starts versus the Nationals.

Dodgers are 21-6 in Ryus last 27 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Dodgers are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Hyun Jin Ryu starts as a favorite and they scored more than 6 runs in his last start.The Dodgers are 16-0 L/16 on the ML in the last game of a home series when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start.

Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Nationals are 1-4 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. National League West.

WASHINGTON is 0-6  against the money line when playing with a day off this season.

ROBERTS is 36-8 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

 Reds RH Tyler Mahle (0-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2-4, 3.99)

Reds starter Mahle, has  allowed only one run in each of his last two appearances and despite of not showing it with his record is a viable hurler on a value line here today in SF. The Reds have outscored their opponents 15-4 during their three-game winning streak and are showing the upward momentum needed for them to sweep this series and notch a victory in this spot. 

BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Reds are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Giants are 1-7 in their starts Bumgarners last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance which was the case vs Colorado last time out.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

RH Griffin Canning (1-0, 4.66 ERA) Vs. Orioles LH John Means (4-3, 2.48)

Means a long shot to make this roster is a key component in the  Baltimore rotation and held the Boston Red Sox to one run and three hits over seven innings on Monday to earn his third victory in his last four trips to the hill. The rookie has only allowed one or no earned runs in eight of his nine appearances and has garnered  29 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings of quality work. Means is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in five outings at home this season and gets the nod today on a value line. Note: The Orioles are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a 150-plus pup against a team that has won at least their last three games like the Halos. 

Angels are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.

LA ANGELS are 8-26  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 12-28 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

LH Nick Margevicius (2-3, 3.47 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-2, 5.67)

After beginning the year on the injured list with an infected right heel blister, Senzatela  the Rockies starter faced the Padres in his season debut and gave up one run and six hits -- and fanned four -- in 6 2/3 innings of a win at Petco Park and gets the nod again in this spot.

SAN DIEGO is 1-12  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 3-18  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 56-28 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to . win on the ML

Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 3.65 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (2-1, 3.16)

Samardzija will be primed to bounce back after a down effort last Sunday in Cincinnati, during which he gave up four runs over five innings, including three homers on consecutive pitches in the first. Prior to that, he had a 2.53 ERA over his first six starts and Im betting he bounces back.

Reds are 1-7 in DeSclafanis last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.DESCLAFANI is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.384.

Reds are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco.

The Reds are 0-15 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML