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MLB Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
04-01-21	Astros v. A's -105		8-1	Loss	-105	15 h 17 m	Show
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R) Chris Bassitt draws the first Opening Day assignment of his career. The 32-year-old emerged as Oakland’s unlikely ace in 2020, going 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 63 innings. The right-hander looked sharp this spring, posting a 1.74 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, Astros -Zack Greinke will be the fifth Opening Day assignment for Greinke, who started for the Royals in 2010 and the D-backs in ’16-17 and ’19. He’s never won on Opening Day, though, going 0-1 with an 8.20 ERA. That includes two starts with the D-backs in which he gave up seven earned runs. Advantage with As at home behind Bassit as the starter. HOUSTON is 3-12 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 6-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 10-21 in their last 31 games as a road underdog.Astros are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. OAKLAND is 29-13 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Athletics are 90-37 in their last 127 games as a home favorite.Athletics are 50-22 in their last 72 home games.Athletics are 67-32 in their last 99 games as a favorite. Play on Oakland to win
04-01-21	Braves +105 v. Phillies		2-3	Loss	-100	6 h 16 m	Show
Braves starting hurler here today Max Fried loved facing the Phillies last season. In two starts, the southpaw only allowed one run and struck out 11 on nine hits over 10 total innings of top tier baseball with both tilts ending in a W. FRIED is 16-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Nola has not enjoyed his time against the potent Braves batting order over in the recent past as is evident in his 46 2/3 innings of sub par work against the Braves since the 2019 campaign, allowing 23 runs on 42 hits including 23 walks for an ERA 4.00 plus . Advantage Braves. NOLA is 4-10 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on Atlanta to win .
10-27-20	Rays +129 v. Dodgers		1-3	Loss	-100	12 h 1 m	Show
The Rays Im betting will extend their season one more game in Game 6 with left-hander Blake Snell on the mound. Snell had a top tier effort in the Rays' 6-4 victory in Game 2 and gets my support again vs Dodgers starter rookie rookie right-hander Gonsilin who has made three appearances so far this postseason (two starts), giving up eight runs in 7 2/3 innings. Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWLW irrespective of site order (Dodgers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2020 MLB Semifinals: Teams like the Dodgers are 1-7 in Game 6s. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 games following a loss. Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 World Series games. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Rays to win Game 6
10-21-20	Rays v. Dodgers -147		6-4	Loss	-147	12 h 12 m	Show
Ok the Rays have had a nice run, but now against a superior Dodgers side, that can hit their top tier hurlers they are in trouble. Snell according to my projections does not matchup well vs the this Dodgers lineup. Dodgers are 45-17 in their last 62 games following a win.Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. American League East. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 interleague games. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 World Series games. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
10-20-20	Rays +152 v. Dodgers		3-8	Loss	-100	36 h 21 m	Show
The value here on the Rays in my opinion is tremendous, as they may not be the superior overall side in this matchup, but do have the better bullpen and defense which in a play off series is of ultimate importance. Also today against southpaw Kershaw the Rays have an edge as they have smashed left-handed pitching (.343 wOBA). With that said, the value resides with the Rays here in game 1. Play on TB Rays to win
10-17-20	Braves +145 v. Dodgers		1-3	Loss	-100	7 h 19 m	Show
I know how badly the Dodgers want and need this game, to keep their championship hopes alive, but it must be noted that the Braves won this starting pitching matchup in Game 1 by a score of 5-1 and must be respected to close this series out on a value line here and bounce back from their game 5 loss .Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on Atlanta to win
10-16-20	Astros +124 v. Rays		7-4	Win	124	12 h 52 m	Show
The Astros’ some times potent bats erupted during the ALDS against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 average. Now in this series, the Astros have outhit the Rays, by a 34-24 margin, but have not been fluid , as they have left 55 men stranded in this series. Considering TB is a team that can go into long battling slumps, their is an ominous trend taking place, as the Rays offense has gone into refrigeration mode over the last two games of this series, as is evident by a .212 BA with just five extra base hits. With that said, look for the Astros hot bats to keep up with blake Snell while Houstons pitchers control the frozen bats of the Rays and force a game 7. Play on the Astros to win
10-14-20	Rays v. Astros +132		3-4	Win	132	10 h 3 m	Show
The Astros’ offense went in to hyoer drive during the series against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 . However, that was then and this is now as the Rays’ pitching staff have held Houston in check. Now with their best pitcher on the hill, Zack Greinke Im betting on the Astros to extend this series for at least one more game. Greinke is high velocity fastball pitcher, thats lost some of his juice but his accuracy is still top notch and and where TB has had problems this season, has been vs these kinds of hurlers ranking 24th against fastballs. On the flipside, Glasnow the Rays starter is also a fast ball pitcher, but as was evident earlier in the post season the Astros were lighting these kinds of pitchers up. The combination of value and desperation has me on the /Astros tonight. Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on Houston to win
10-13-20	Braves v. Dodgers -155		8-7	Loss	-155	12 h 12 m	Show
Clayton Kershaw will make his fourth career start in the postseason against the Braves. In 14 innings this postseason, he’s allowed three runs and struck out 19. He has a 0.43 career ERA against the Braves in the playoffs and 7-0 in his career overall vs the Braves. With that said, Im betting on him going long and strong and getting us the win in game 2 of this series. Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 playoff games as an underdog.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 League Championship games.Braves are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 47-18 in their last 65 games following a loss. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
10-09-20	Yankees -149 v. Rays		1-2	Loss	-149	12 h 53 m	Show
NYY star starter Gerrit Cole will pitch on short rest for the first time in his big league career, telling manager Aaron Boone, "Give me the ball." The ace fired 97 pitches in his Game 1 victory, permitting three runs on six hits over six innings. He walked two and struck out eight. Im betting he goes long and strong and for the Yankees to get the win here. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win.Yankees are 46-18 in their last 64 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 playoff games as a favorite. Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff games. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 5 of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win
10-08-20	Braves -136 v. Marlins		7-0	Win	100	5 h 6 m	Show
The Marlins just dont offer any value even in a do or die situation.Yes, I know Wright the Braves starter will not inspire bettors but, its obvious to me that the Marlins just dont have the might to take down a up-trending side like Atlanta thats playing like their on a mission. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Braves are 40-16 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series. It must be noted that the Marlins are 0-6 on the moneyline at home against a side that has won at least their last three tilts and are also a bankroll depleting 0-13 as a underdog of more than 110 on the ML in at least the 3rd game of a series when they are off a shutout loss and their opponents starter has an ERA of less than six which Wright has. Play on Atlanta to win
10-07-20	Rays v. Yankees -116		8-4	Loss	-116	12 h 30 m	Show
NYY are 6-0 on the ML L/6 with Masahiro Tanaka on the hill after August when its line is within 20 cents of pickem. Rays are 4-10 in their last 14 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 38-17 in their last 55 during game 3 of a series. Play on NYY to win
10-07-20	A's v. Astros -114		9-7	Loss	-114	8 h 51 m	Show
Urquidy will make his second start of the postseason with Zack Greinke out due to right arm trouble. Urquidy went 4 1/3 innings against the Twins in the AL Wild Card Series, allowing one run on two hits in a no-decision. He has a 1.26 career ERA in the postseason and is worth backing here on what I see as a cheap price on a team that is in a groove. Athletics are 3-8 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.Athletics are 2-8 in their last 10 playoff games.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games. Play on Houston to win
10-07-20	Marlins v. Braves -200		0-2	Win	100	7 h 35 m	Show
These two starters Lopez and Anderson faced each other almost two weeks ago with the Marlins winning by a 4-2 count. With that said, it must be noted that the Braves are a money making 17-0 as a 120+ moneyline home chalk off a home game when they are seeking same-season revenge vs their oppositions starting hurler. Marlins are 11-30 in their last 41 during game 2 of a series.Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games.Braves are 38-16 in their last 54 games as a favorite. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win
10-06-20	Marlins v. Braves -189		5-9	Win	100	52 h 35 m	Show
My projections make the Braves a strong favorite here in game 1 of this series. Braves starter FRIED is 18-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 17-103 L/23 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 56-7 L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to win
10-01-20	White Sox +109 v. A's		4-6	Loss	-100	4 h 52 m	Show

09-30-20	Brewers +210 v. Dodgers		2-4	Loss	-100	40 h 42 m	Show
Brent Suter will start a bullpen game for the Brewers in Game 1, functioning as the "opener" because Milwaukee's starting rotation has been thinned by injury. In 16 appearances (four starts) this season, Suter posted a 3.13 ERA over 31 2/3 innings, with a 29.4 percent strikeout rate. Im betting he goes long and strong here and helps his team find a way to victory over the dodgers and their starter Buehler who has had blisters problems. BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE. MILWAUKEE is 26-13 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season are just 20-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play Milwaukee Brewers
09-30-20	White Sox +118 v. A's		3-5	Loss	-100	5 h 8 m	Show
Dallas Keuchel (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO---After batting through back spasms and back soreness, the veteran southpaw has allowed one run in 10 innings during his two starts since returning. Keuchel is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA in his playoff history.The pitching matchup is strength vs. strength, with Bassitt 2-1 with a 0.72 ERA in six home starts this season while Keuchel has pitched his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.60 ERA in seven starts. White Sox are primed candidates for a wild car win and upset here today according to my projections. MLB team (OAKLAND) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series, after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 11-29 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on White Sox
09-30-20	Reds v. Braves -130		0-1	Win	100	30 h 50 m	Show
Braves starter FRIED is 17-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 30-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 16-3 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds starter BAUER is 3-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.(Which was the case in their L/reg season game) )MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win
09-29-20	White Sox v. A's +115		4-1	Loss	-100	7 h 13 m	Show
Jesus Luzardo (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO--gets his first playoff start after an electric postseason debut of three shutout innings out of the bullpen in last year’s Wild Card Game. The exhilarating left-hander finished second among rookies with 59 strikeouts, and looks to help his team cash a ticket for us as underdogs. Meanwhile, White Sox starter GIOLITO is 2-10 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 50-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 6-0 against CHI WHITE SOX over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the Oakland As to win
09-27-20	Mets v. Nationals +136		5-15	Win	136	5 h 6 m	Show
Even with an expanded postseason field, the New York Mets will not play October baseball for the fourth consecutive year and today will be just going through the motions. Good spot to bet against them.Meanwhile, the Nationals will look to avoid becoming only the third defending World Series champion to finish last the following year when they host the Mets in the finale of the pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign. Needless to say the Nats will be more motivated than their opponents. Play on Washington to win
09-24-20	White Sox v. Indians -115		4-5	Win	100	11 h 32 m	Show
. In seven starts this season, Cleveland starter Plesac has pitched to a 1.85 ERA with 50 strikeouts and a 0.781 WHIP in 48 2/3 frames and get the nod in this spot play. White Sox are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. White Sox are 22-45 in the last 67 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland to win
09-23-20	Phillies -133 v. Nationals		12-3	Win	100	10 h 33 m	Show
Erick Fedde (RHP)(2-3, 4.36 ERA, 23 SO)---Fedde is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts (11 innings) against the Phillies this season. He has allowed three home runs and struck out five in the matchups. Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. WASHINGTON is 3-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 against WASHINGTON this season. Play on Philadelphia on the ML
09-23-20	Angels +170 v. Padres		5-2	Win	170	8 h 14 m	Show
Jaime Barria(RHP)--(1-0, 3.26 ERA, 27 SO)Barria has been solid, and he gave up two runs over 6 1/3 innings with eight strikeouts against the Rangers on Friday. He's yet to allow more than three runs in any of his six appearances and gets my support in this spot play on a value Mline. Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Angels to win
09-22-20	A's v. Dodgers -162		2-7	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
Frankie Montas-(RHP)(3-4, 5.86 ERA, 44 SO)Montas will be making his first start in nine days after going on paternity leave. He hasn’t pitched longer than 5 1/3 innings in his last five starts and has a 10.80 ERA in that time. The tired father in his current form is fade material.Athletics are 18-38 in their last 56 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. American League West.Dodgers are 53-17 in their last 70 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
09-22-20	Angels +152 v. Padres		4-2	Win	152	12 h 60 m	Show
Griffin Canning---(RHP)(1-3, 4.29 ERA, 46 SO)Canning is coming off a solid start against the D-backs, allowing two runs (one earned) over five innings in a win. He's posted a 3.57 ERA over his past four starts with 23 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable hurler that matches up well vs the Padres. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Angels are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Angels to win
09-22-20	Cardinals v. Royals +105		5-0	Loss	-100	11 h 47 m	Show
Brady Singer-(RHP0(3-4, 4.14 ERA, 52 SO)- Singer is coming off two outstanding outings. Two starts ago, he threw eight shutout innings of one-hit ball at Cleveland. Last time out at Detroit, he threw six shutout innings of two-hit ball. Value on the line with this hurler today vs a inconsistent Cardinals side. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. .( Cards starter -Austin Gomber LHP) LHP) Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. Play on the KC Royals to win
09-22-20	White Sox +156 v. Indians		3-5	Loss	-100	9 h 20 m	Show
Reynaldo Lopez-(RHP)(1-2, 5.40 ERA, 18 SO)-After struggling earlier this season, López has hit a stride with three strong starts this month, allowing four earned runs across 12 September innings. He yielded three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his previous outing, vs. the Twins on Sept. 17. He gets my support in this spot play on a value line .White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the White Sox to win
09-20-20	Yankees -180 v. Red Sox		2-10	Loss	-180	3 h 29 m	Show
Deivi Garcia (RHP2-1, 3.28 ERA, 24 SO)--García has won his past two starts, each with seven innings and six strikeouts against the Blue Jays. The 21-year-old idolizes Boston icon Pedro Martinez, which should make it a special experience to touch the mound at Fenway Park. Great night to back this kid vs a Boston side that plays most nights with little or no motivation. Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.( BoSox Starter Houck is a righty) Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Red Sox are 18-43 in their last 61 vs. American League East. The Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 past the first game of a series as a dog after they were shutout. Play on NY Yankees to win
09-19-20	Diamondbacks +152 v. Astros		2-3	Loss	-100	9 h 3 m	Show
DBacks starter Weaver lost to the Mariners his last time out despite allowing two runs on four hits in five innings and after a very slow start to his season is now in top form and gets my support here vs a down trending Houston side. ARIZONA is 8-0 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 23-13 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 6-12 against the money line in September games this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season-NL are 12-24 L/23 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona dBacks to win
09-19-20	Giants v. A's -155		0-6	Win	100	8 h 41 m	Show

09-18-20	Braves -154 v. Mets		15-2	Win	100	8 h 27 m	Show
The Braves will begin their final road series of the regular season by visiting the Mets in the opener of a three-game set between the National League East rivals. Fried (6-0, 1.98 ERA) is scheduled to come off the injured list and oppose Matz (0-4, 8.63), who hasn't appeared in a game since Aug. 29, in a battle of left-handers. This in my humble opinion is a pitching mismatch and worth the extra price of admission on the ML. FRIED is 15-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 55-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win
09-17-20	Rangers v. Astros -230		1-2	Win	100	13 h 51 m	Show
Houston was upended (embarrassed) by Texas last night 1-0, wasting a fine pitching performance and will now be desperate to bounce back making them a viable side to back. Yes, even at these high of a line. TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. TEXAS is 3-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Rangers are 0-17 SU since Aug 26, 2018 as a 140+ dog after they were shut out in the first 6 innings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 3-32 L/5 seasons for go against for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win
09-16-20	Twins +134 v. White Sox		5-1	Win	134	10 h 20 m	Show
Minnesota starter Giolito is 4-6 with a 5.21 ERA this season, including 0-1 with a 9.35 ERA in two starts this season and is fade material on this bloated ML. GIOLITO is 3-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.Twins are 21-10 in the last 31 meetings. Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games. are 51-31 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate . Play on Minnesota to win
09-16-20	Rangers v. Astros -205		1-0	Loss	-205	8 h 52 m	Show
Right-hander Kyle Gibson (1-5, 6.14 ERA) will make his 10th start Wednesday for Texas. He is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA over his previous five starts and in his current form is fade material. The Rangers are 0-22 L/22 on the ML as a 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win
09-16-20	Dodgers -121 v. Padres		7-5	Win	100	4 h 57 m	Show
The Dodgers and Padres own the two best records in the National League. If the season were to end today, they would, respectively, be the first and fourth seeds in the National League playoffs. But today the Dodgers get my support after ending the Padres 8 game winning streak yesterday. Momentum and the value therefore is on the Dodgers side. The Padres are 1-15 L/16 on the ML in rubber match games against the Dodgers. Play on the Dodgers to win
09-15-20	Pirates v. Reds -130		1-4	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
The Reds (23-26) have won three straight after sweeping a doubleheader Monday against the visiting Pirates 3-1 and 9-4 and Im betting we ride their momentum here in this spot play vs the Pirates. Reds starter Lorenzen is 5-2 with a 2.17 ERA in 35 appearances, three of them starts, against Pittsburgh. Slumping PITTSBURGH is 2-18 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 6-23 against the money line in night games this season. The Pirates are 0-21 L/21 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 5+ walks. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win
09-14-20	Twins -130 v. White Sox		1-3	Loss	-130	12 h 1 m	Show
Twins starter Jose Berrios (RHP4-3, 4.40 ERA, 55 SO) has left his shaky start to the season behind. He has held opponents to a .183/.272/.280 slash line across his last four starts, during which he has 31 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable starter to back in this spot play. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dylan Cease RHP (5-2, 3.33 ERA, 30 SO) Cease makes his first start against the Twins in 2020 and third of his career, with an 0-2 record and 16.71 in previous appearances. Cease has allowed five earned runs in 10 innings in September and is in his worst performance zone of the season and fade material in his current form. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog. BALDELLI is 17-6 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of MINNESOTA. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win
09-13-20	Mets v. Blue Jays -140		3-7	Win	100	7 h 2 m	Show
Toronto starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 24-4 ( against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) RYU is 4-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 0.911. Mets starter David Peterson has been struggling. After the Mets bounced Peterson from the rotation to the bullpen back to the rotation, he responded with his worst start of the season against the Phillies. The lefty has a 7.20 ERA over his last three outings.TORONTO is 8-1 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season.( Home teams (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 32-9 L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win
09-13-20	A's v. Rangers +135		3-6	Win	135	3 h 17 m	Show
Rangers ace Lance Lynn owns a (5-2, 2.52 ERA) record and is 3-1 with a 4.36 ERA in six lifetime starts against Oakland. The As are the better overall side, but todays top tier starter for the Rangers is a big equalizer offering us value on the line. TEXAS is 22-9 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win
09-12-20	Astros v. Dodgers -142		7-5	Loss	-142	11 h 28 m	Show
The Astros have lost 7 of their L/8 and enter this game as fade material vs a LA Dodgers team that is 10-2 in interleague action this season. HOUSTON is 6-15 against the money line in road games this season. BAKER is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are 27-5 L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
09-10-20	Giants +167 v. Padres		1-6	Loss	-100	7 h 43 m	Show
Cahill the Giant starter owns a 5-2 record at Petco Park with a 1.74 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) and gets my support here today. Fathers starter Paddock is 1-4 over his last six starts, having given up 20 earned runs on 35 hits (including eight homers) and eight walks over 30 1/3 innings for a 5.93 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and is fade material in his current form. MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games, in September games are 51-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win
09-10-20	Royals v. Indians -192		11-1	Loss	-192	4 h 38 m	Show

09-10-20	Braves -155 v. Nationals		7-6	Win	100	4 h 34 m	Show
In his career against the Braves, Voth is 0-2 with a 5.33 ERA in six career appearances, five starts and is fade material in his current form. ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. WASHINGTON is 0-8 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games 53-20 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Atlanta to win
09-08-20	Rockies +207 v. Padres		5-14	Loss	-100	9 h 47 m	Show
González the Rockies starter has made two solid relief appearances since returning from a shoulder injury, and now replaces Jon Gray (right soulder inflammation) in the rotation. González has shown a knack for getting the double play this season and is a vialbe starter to back here against a team that my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. The Padres pulled off a win yesterday vs the Rockies, with a 1-0 bottom of the ninth heart breaker, but it must be noted that the The Fathers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game. Note: Padres starter CLEVINGER is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 1.750. Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Padres are 7-18 in their last 25 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win
09-08-20	White Sox -125 v. Pirates		4-5	Loss	-125	7 h 43 m	Show
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight. J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees
09-08-20	Yankees +104 v. Blue Jays		1-2	Loss	-100	6 h 15 m	Show
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight. J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees
09-07-20	Rockies +177 v. Padres		0-1	Loss	-100	12 h 34 m	Show
Padres starter LAMET is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LAMET is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.400. Colorado is running hot and are off two straight upset wins vs the LA Dodgers and now Im going to ride their positive flow here this evening vs the Fathers. MLB team (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 37-13 L.23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 30-10 L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockies to win
09-07-20	Diamondbacks v. Giants -116		2-4	Win	100	11 h 35 m	Show
Zac Gallen the DBacks hurler today has been their best pitcher this season, but with his team scoring just 3.5 rpg on the road this season, behind a lowly .218 BA Im betting against him getting the win here today vs a SF offense that is averaging 5.6 rpg at home this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 against ARIZONA this season MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 39-12 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF to win
09-07-20	Yankees v. Blue Jays -125		7-12	Win	100	10 h 31 m	Show
Jays starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Montgomery is returning from the shortest start of his big league career, recording only two outs in a loss to the Rays on Wednesday and is fade material according to my projections. NY YANKEES are 6-11 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.NY YANKEES are 6-23 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or better) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win
09-07-20	Cardinals v. Cubs -172		1-5	Win	100	1 h 59 m	Show
Hendricks the Cubs starter faced the Cardinals earlier this season, losing 3-1 in a seven-inning doubleheader game. He allowed three runs on three hits in 6 1/3 innings. He is 8-3 with a 3.00 ERA in 19 career starts against the Cards. Hendricks has been particularly successful against Paul DeJong (3 for 29) and Matt Carpenter (10 for 48, 14 strikeouts). The Cubs are 12-0 on the ML when Kyle Hendricks starts as a favorite after a quality start in a win last start. The Cardinals are 0-15 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog of more than +135 when playing a team that has a better record. Play on the Cubs to win
09-07-20	Phillies -117 v. Mets		9-8	Win	100	4 h 49 m	Show
Zack Wheeler(RHP)(4-0, 2.20 ERA, 29 SO)Wheeler was brilliant in his last start, shutting out the Nationals over 6 2/3 innings while allowing just three hits. This marks Wheeler's first start back at Citi Field and second overall against the Mets, after he beat his former club with seven innings of two-run ball in Philly on Aug. 16 and gets my backing here again this Monday. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. NY METS are 1-7 ( against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MLB team (NY METS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (NY METS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 10-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win
09-06-20	Rangers v. Mariners -123		3-4	Win	100	7 h 8 m	Show
Justin Dunn (RHP)(2-1, 4.33 ERA, 21 SO) Dunn has been outstanding in his last two starts, throwing 12 scoreless innings with just two hits allowed against the Rangers and Angels. The 24-year-old's two wins have come against Texas (2-0, 1.50 ERA and eight hits in 12 innings). Dunn in his current form gets my support. TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win
09-06-20	Padres v. A's +105		5-3	Loss	-100	6 h 17 m	Show
Angel starter Richards hasn't had much success at Oakland in his career, going 1-3 with a 4.43 ERA in 11 games (nine starts). He's 2-4 with a 4.33 ERA overall against the A's in 17 career meetings (13 starts) and is fade material here today. The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 when their starter Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.Fiers has gone 2-0 in three home starts this season, improving his eye-catching record in Oakland to 14-2 since he was acquired from Detroit during the 2018 season. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or ,less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 12-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on Oakland As to win
09-05-20	Diamondbacks v. Giants -132		3-4	Win	100	11 h 31 m	Show
Madison BumgarnerLHP0-3, 9.35 ERA, 13 SOBumgarner will be making his first start since Aug. 9 when he sustained a mid-back strain and had to be put on the injured list. In his current form and health issues, Im betting against him today. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. (Giants starter Trevor Cahill is a RHP) MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win
09-05-20	Reds -135 v. Pirates		6-2	Win	100	8 h 27 m	Show
DeSclafani is coming off a performance to forget. In his first start being back from paternity leave, he allowed seven runs, seven hits and four walks, with three strikeouts, in 3 2/3 innings Monday in a 7-5 loss to St. Louis. "I think it was just pretty embarrassing overall," DeSclafani said. No pro likes to be embarrassed and Im betting on him bouncing back in a big effort here against the Pirates. Pirates are 8-24 in their last 32 during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CINCINNATI) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 3 games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati
09-05-20	Padres v. A's -105		4-8	Win	100	7 h 49 m	Show
Sean Manaea(LHP) (2-2, 5.64 ERA, 25 SO) appears to be getting back on track, going 2-0 with a 2.35 ERA over his last three starts and gets my support here today. SAN DIEGO is 5-19 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 21-4 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win
09-04-20	Padres v. A's -138		7-0	Loss	-138	13 h 41 m	Show
As southpaw starter Luzardo will finally return to action Friday on 10 days' rest. Over his seven appearances (five starts) this season, Luzardo has posted a 3.74 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 34:13 K:BB over 33.2 innings. His best starts have been at home where he owns a 2-0 record along with a stingy 1.06 ERA. He gets my support here today. Note: SAN DIEGO is 5-18 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 21-4 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win
09-03-20	Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -273		1-5	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (4-1, 1.80 ERA) gets the nod from me today as huge chalk. Its not always about dollar value on a line that counts, but the odds according to my own power rankings that mean the most to me when Im laying down cash on a an event. Yes we are laying a big chunk of our bankroll here, but the odds of return are enormous as compared to our chances of a loss. With Arizona right hander Luke Weaver (1-5, 8.23 ERA) going to the hill for a side that Western side , that has lost 12 of its last 13 games and in free fall this game falls into this type of top tier category.Weaver is 1-1 with a 9.69 ERA lifetime against the Dodgers in four appearances (two starts). He struggled against Los Angeles in an Aug. 1 start, giving up six runs on seven hits and three walks over four-plus innings and is fade material in this spot play. Play on the LA Dodgers to win
09-02-20	Rangers v. Astros -180		1-2	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
The Astros have dominated division opposition at home in the past and nothing changes tonight vs a inconsistent Texas squad. HOUSTON is 61-17 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 42-8 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 11-33 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 12-58 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win
09-02-20	Cardinals +141 v. Reds		3-4	Loss	-100	7 h 48 m	Show
The Reds are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when their starter Tyler Mahle starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start. MAHLE is 1-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 29-11 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games, in September games are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. ST LOUIS is 5-1 (+4.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season. Play on the Cardinals to win
09-02-20	Blue Jays -113 v. Marlins		2-1	Win	100	3 h 47 m	Show
Wednesday's pitching matchup, Toronto left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 2.92 ERA) will face Miami rookie right-hander Sixto Sanchez (1-0, 2.25). My pitcher power rankings favor Ryu vs the Miami batting order. Ryu was scorching hot in August, recording a minsicule 1.29 ERA. Note: in five startsin five career starts against the Marlins, Ryu has a 3-1 record and a 2.23 ERA. He is also backed by a solid bull pen that owns a viavble 3.05 road ERA and has the edge in this matchup. MIAMI is 11-35 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Toronto to win
09-01-20	White Sox -105 v. Twins		2-3	Loss	-105	8 h 23 m	Show
Dallas Keuchel (LHP 5-2, 2.70 ERA, 26 SO )The southpaw finished 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA over five starts in August. He threw 32 2/3 innings and held the opposition to a .530 OPS and gets my support here today. CHI WHITE SOX are 10-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-1 against the money line in road games after a win this season. The Twins are 0-8 L/8 on the ML as a home dog after they hit at least one home run last game. RENTERIA is 20-6 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 70-34 L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games are 62-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White sox
08-29-20	Padres v. Rockies +115		3-4	Win	115	8 h 56 m	Show
Senzatela gave up four home runs in his last start at Dodger Stadium so because of recency bias is being over looked and underestimated in this spot. However, he has good recent memories at Coors against the Padres -- six innings, one run, four hits, six strikeouts on Aug. 2. SENZATELA is 12-5 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SENZATELA is 6-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.992. COLORADO is 8-1 against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB sides like the Padres Since August 2018, are 0-9 off a game in which they had scored 10 or more runs without a home run and with twice as many hits than their opponent. The Padres are 0-10 L/10 on the ML off a road game in which they drew 1 or fewer walks. Play on the Rockies to win
08-26-20	Marlins +235 v. Mets		4-5	Loss	-100	9 h 59 m	Show
Mets starter DeGrom is a top tier pitcher with a fair amount of bad luck attached to his starts overall. Meanwhile, His pitching opponent Hernandez makes his fifth start. He's fanned 25 in 19 2/3 innings this season. A blister issue has been a factor in Hernandez not going past five innings in any start, but the problem is said to be healing. Opponents are hitting .087 vs. his slider and with the Mets a team that hits the fast ball better than junk they Mets are in trouble. DEGROM is 6-13 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DEGROM is 3-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The New York Mets are 0-10 on the ML at HOME with Jacob DeGrom starting, coming off of two games in which the METS went UNDER the total which was the case . ROJAS is 2-8 ( against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game as the manager of NY METS. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 33-26 L/24 seasons for a 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Marlins to win
08-26-20	Cubs -126 v. Tigers		6-7	Loss	-126	9 h 46 m	Show
Cubs starter Lester struggled in his last couple of outings and got blasted four homers in 3 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Friday and was tagged with his first loss in five starts. He has proven himself a great bounce back pitcher in the past and he gets my support and confidence here today vs the Tigers. LESTER is 12-0 against the money line after getting hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 6-26 against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. In the 2020 season away chalk playing in the 3rd game of a series where they split the first 2 games are 15-1 on the ML. Play on the Cubs to win
08-26-20	Twins -100 v. Indians		3-6	Loss	-100	9 h 30 m	Show
Berríos pitched ilke an ace in his outing against the Brewers on Thursday, tossing six shutout innings during which he allowed just one hit with one walk and nine strikeouts. It was a big improvement after previous starts during which he struggled with his command. The kid has talent and when he gets in a groove teams who sometimes struggle with their offensive consistency like the Indians are in trouble. Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 79-23 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. In the 2020 season away chalk playing in the 3rd game of a series where they split the first 2 games are 15-1 on the ML. Play on Minnesota to win
08-25-20	Mariners +180 v. Padres		8-3	Win	180	9 h 12 m	Show
Right-hander Chris Paddack (2-2, 4.26 ERA) will get the ball for the Padres on Tuesday against Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (2-2, 3.34 ERA). Gonzales, has a 0.876 WHIP this year. He has allowed 14 runs (11 earned) on 23 hits and three walks with 26 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings. He has a 36-27 career record with a 4.19 ERA in 90 games (82 starts) and has an edge today. The Padres are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when Chris Paddack starts when they won in his last start which is the case. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 36-16 L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win
08-25-20	A's -158 v. Rangers		10-3	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
MANAEA is 6-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.145. The Athletics are 11-0 L/11 on the ML past the first game of a series after a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs. MLB team (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse ) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 13-38 L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 2 runs or less are 78-23 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Athletics to win
08-25-20	Cubs -120 v. Tigers		1-7	Loss	-120	7 h 22 m	Show
Tigers starter Turnbull, who will be making his first career appearance against the Cubs, has started 19 games at Comerica Park. He has a 1-13 record and a 5.21 ERA at home and is fade material here today. DETROIT is 15-56 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons DETROIT is 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cubs to win
08-24-20	Cubs -123 v. Tigers		9-3	Win	100	7 h 27 m	Show
ALEC MILLS (R) vs. CASEY MIZE (R) DETROIT is 15-55 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 0-16 L/16 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Tigers are 9-50 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Tigers are 2-12 in their last 14 interleague home games. Play on Chicago Cubs to win
08-24-20	Twins -113 v. Indians		3-2	Win	100	7 h 24 m	Show
Kenta Maeda (RHP3-0, 2.27 ERA, 33 SO) Maeda is coming off both the best start (he took a no-hitter into the ninth) and the most pitches (115) of his career. He's been a fantastic addition for the Twins, ranking among the Major League leaders in batting average, OBP and OPS against Maeda has been over powering while the Tribes offence has almost non existent making the Twins the right side in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 6-21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Twins to win
08-24-20	Blue Jays v. Rays -208		6-4	Loss	-208	4 h 30 m	Show
Snell gets the ball for the final game of this wraparound series after he allowed three runs over five innings in a winning effort over the Yankees on Tuesday. The left-hander owns a 2.08 ERA over three August starts and gets my support here today vs the Jays. The Rays are 9-0 L/9 at home when Blake Snell starts at home after winning his last two starts. Play on Tampa Bay to win
08-23-20	Rockies v. Dodgers -220		3-11	Win	100	5 h 57 m	Show
The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ game win streak. The Dodgers are 23-0 L/23 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite of more than -180 after they won by one run last game. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win
08-23-20	Blue Jays v. Rays -132		4-5	Win	100	2 h 4 m	Show
Trent Thornton (0-0, 13.50) will have a quick turnaround after a 32-pitch start over two-thirds of an inning against Philadelphia on Thursday in a first inning that saw the Phillies score seven runs - six charged to Thornton.The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the Rays.In his current form he is fade material. The Blue Jays are 0-16 L/16 on the ML on the road when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 2.50 on the season. Play on TB Rays to win
08-22-20	Angels v. A's -134		4-3	Loss	-134	5 h 23 m	Show
The Angels will start Griffin Canning (0-3, 4.70 ERA), who is looking for his first victory since Aug. 18, 2019.He has faced the A's twice this season among his five starts, losing both while yielding seven runs and 10 hits in 8 2/3 innings and is fade material here again today. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. OAKLAND is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a favorite where they did not hit a HR. Play on the Oakland As
08-21-20	Angels v. A's +107		3-5	Win	107	8 h 41 m	Show
The Athletics are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when their starter today vs the Angels Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. FIERS is 12-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, The Angels are 1-4 in Heaney's five starts, including a 6-5 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers his most recent time out. OAKLAND is 24-5 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. LA ANGELS are 4-14 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games 6-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win
08-21-20	Phillies +100 v. Braves		2-11	Loss	-100	8 h 13 m	Show
Phillies starting hurler Nola has enjoyed great success against the Braves throughout his career, going 11-5 with a 2.82 ERA in 19 career starts against Atlanta. He was excellent against the Braves on Aug. 10 when he allowed only one run on two hits over eight innings, striking out 10. Rinse and repeat here as the Phillies get my support. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 7-31 L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win
08-21-20	Marlins +180 v. Nationals		3-2	Win	180	7 h 16 m	Show
Marlins starter Hernandez has struck out 19 batters in just 14 2/3 innings and is over powering his opposition entering this game, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here today vs the Nationals. I know the Marlins have lost 5 straight and look like fade material, but Im betting they go against public bettors and give us a underdog win here. Note: Marlins Manager MATTINGLY is 19-9 against the money line after 5 or more consecutive losses as the manager of MIAMI. WASHINGTON is 1-6 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB team (MIAMI) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up 3 or more earned runs is 49-20 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami
08-20-20	Rangers v. Padres -166		7-8	Win	100	9 h 36 m	Show
The season finale between the Padres and Rangers will feature a pair of right-handers -- Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 1.59 ERA) for the Padres and Kyle Gibson (1-2, 3.74 ERA) for the Rangers. In his first four starts this season, the 6-foot-6, 215-pound Gibson gave up 12 runs (nine earned) on 25 hits and seven walks with 17 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings and is fade material here. The Rangers are 0-20 L/20 on the ML 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 265-160 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego Padres to win
08-20-20	Tigers v. White Sox -156		0-9	Win	100	3 h 31 m	Show
Tigers starter Spencer Turnbull is off a a rough outing Saturday against Cleveland, when he allowed three runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings with four walks and three strikeouts. In two career starts against the White Sox, Turnbull is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings and is fade material here today against a Pale Hose lineup that matches up well against him. Turnbull is 0-13 L/13 on the ML when facing AL Central opponents. Play on the White Sox to win
08-19-20	Tigers v. White Sox -153		3-5	Win	100	1 h 37 m	Show
The White Sox have won three in a row and five of seven and are looking like contenders with Minnesota and Cleveland for the American League Central crown. This might be the highly anticipated start for young phoneme Mize, but he will face a challenge from the get-go, as White Sox leadoff man Tim Anderson has homered to begin the first two games of the series and went 4-for-5 with three RBIs Tuesday. Considering Motown has lost 7 in a row, it will be easy decision to fade them again here tonight. MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 6-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Chicago White sox to win
08-18-20	Cardinals v. Cubs -178		3-6	Win	100	1 h 38 m	Show
Cubs right-hander Yu Darvish (3-1, 1.88 ERA) is scheduled to make his fifth start of the season and his first against St. Louis. In his past three outings, Darvish has allowed two runs in 20 innings for a 0.90 ERA. He has four walks and 27 strikeouts in 24 innings on the season. Value with Darvish on the hill. Play on the Cubs to win
08-18-20	Blue Jays v. Orioles +112		8-7	Loss	-100	1 h 12 m	Show
On Tuesday, the Jays will give the ball to Nate Pearson (0-0, 5.11 ERA) a right-hander who has pitched in just three major league game. Advantage Baltimore. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or more) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games 8-26 L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore Orioles to win
08-18-20	Mets -155 v. Marlins		8-3	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
New York snapped a three-game losing streak on Monday with an 11-4 win. Miami has lost six of its past eight games, including the past three in a row. With Mets gaining a little bit of confidence and the Marlins continuing to slump I like the Mets in this spot. MIAMI is 25-57 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. MATTINGLY is 11-31 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game as the manager of MIAMI. Play on NY Mets
08-17-20	Padres v. Rangers +124		14-4	Loss	-100	9 h 50 m	Show
The Rangers are still 7-2 over their last nine games after a 3-8 start and get my support here today. On the other hand, the Padres are 4-8 in their last 12 games and have fallen below .500 for the first time in 2020. They've also tumbled to fourth in the National League West. Rangers starterL YLES is 11-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Padres are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a favorite off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Play on the Texas Rangers to win
08-17-20	Royals +157 v. Twins		1-4	Loss	-100	9 h 46 m	Show
Kansas City, which is 4-2 against the Twins this season are undervalued in this spot play. MINNESOTA is 8-13 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday vs the Royals. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 28-16 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Royals to win
08-16-20	Red Sox v. Yankees -149		2-4	Win	100	8 h 15 m	Show
The Yankees are 11-0 \on the ML when JA Happ starts when they lost in his last start. Which is the case here today. The veteran left-hander is 11-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Boston, including 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA against the Red Sox with the Yankees. Note: The Bosox T own a 6.10 ERA this season and a 9.90 ERA during their losing streak. They have used 10 starters. Bostons starter today Mazza made nine appearances and had a 5.51 ERA for the New York Mets last season and is fade material here today vs an explosive NYY batting order. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 19-65 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win
08-16-20	Mariners v. Astros -215		2-3	Win	100	3 h 29 m	Show
Right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1, 6.10 ERA) will start the series finale for the Astros on Sunday.In McCullers' most recent start, on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, he carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning, ultimately allowing one hit over seven scoreless innings.McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA over 12 career starts against the Mariners, amassing 80 strikeouts over 67 2/3 innings and gets my support here as a favorite. HOUSTON is 37-7 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games are 57-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win
08-15-20	Rangers v. Rockies -160		6-4	Loss	-160	10 h 14 m	Show
German Marquez (RHP2-2, 2.08 ERA, 27 SO) The last time he faced the Rangers on Opening Day, Márquez limited Texas to two hits and one run in 5 2/3 innings. He hasn't given up more than two earned runs in any of his three starts since and gets my support here today as a favorite. MARQUEZ is 18-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Kyle Gibson (RHP 0-2, 4.11 ERA, 15 SO)Gibson is making his first career start against the Rockies. He has made 20 career starts against National League teams and is 4-11 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Play on Colorado to win
08-15-20	A's v. Giants +156		7-6	Loss	-100	9 h 52 m	Show
The Giants right-hander Kevin Gausman (0-1, 4.05), a former American Leaguer who has had his fair share of success against the A's goes to the hill today for the Giants.The first-year Giant is coming off his best of three starts this season, having limited the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 6-2 loss last Saturday and more than capable of a top tier effort here.The 29-year-old has fashioned a fine 2.77 ERA in four career starts against the A's. SF manager KAPLER is 26-11 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the SF Giants to win
08-15-20	Braves v. Marlins +176		2-1	Loss	-100	8 h 1 m	Show
Fried the Braves starter has been in top form this season, but he had problems vs the Marlins on the past as is evident in four starts against Miami , going 0-1 along with a bloated 6.16 ERA, allowing 29 hits, including four homers, in 19 innings. Look for the upstart Marlins to get to Fried again and to deliver a nice underdog moneyline win. MLBHome teams (MIAMI) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover
08-12-20	Padres +141 v. Dodgers		0-6	Loss	-100	8 h 23 m	Show
Gonsolin will make a spot start, following the Dodgers' decision to give everyone in their rotation an extra day of rest. Gonsolin threw four scoreless innings in his lone outing at Arizona on July 31, yielding one hit and a walk, with one strikeout. He gets my support here today behind a Fathers offence that is uptrending. Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 14-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego to win
08-12-20	Royals +102 v. Reds		5-4	Win	102	5 h 18 m	Show
Cincinnati starters have given up 32 runs (26 earned) in 93 1/3 innings through 17 games, while the relievers have allowed 50 (44 earned) in 52 2/3 innings and are fde material . MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 77-51 L/23 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate. Play on the KC royals to win
08-12-20	White Sox -125 v. Tigers		7-5	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
Tigers starer Matthew Boyd has allowed 15 runs over his first 14.2 innings of work this season, and very much looks like fade material. On the flip side , the tigers offence now has a big hole to fill with key N0.4 Hitter Cron injured which makes them less than dependable offensively. The Pale Hose have a definite edge here today.DETROIT is 15-50 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Note: White Sox hurler CEASE is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.438. Play on the Chicago White sox to win
08-11-20	A's +149 v. Angels		0-6	Loss	-100	9 h 29 m	Show
The Athletics are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when Mike Fiers starts in August. Halos starter BUNDY is 1-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the As to win
08-10-20	Padres v. Dodgers -159		2-1	Loss	-159	14 h 6 m	Show
Dodgers May has dazzling tools, and he harnessed them in his last start against the Padres, striking out eight in six innings and leaving Manny Machado grimacing over a sinker that defied physics. He gets the Padres again in a test of adjustments. Rinse and repeat situation favoring the dodgers. Padres starting hurler RICHARDS is 1-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 9-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 79%. conversion rate. Play on LA Dodgers to win
08-10-20	White Sox -147 v. Tigers		1-5	Loss	-147	11 h 26 m	Show
Dallas Keuchel Pale Hose southpaw became the first White Sox starter to work into the seventh inning in 2020, fanning eight, walking one and allowing one run over seven innings on Wednesday vs. the Brewers Im betting on his momentum to carry into this tilt. Tigers starter FULMER is 0-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 2-19 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to cover
08-09-20	Indians -129 v. White Sox		5-4	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
Bieber will look to continue his scorching hot start. He's fanned 35 batters over 21 2/3 innings through his first three starts, which is the third-most through three starts in MLB history, behind only Nolan Ryan and Gerrit Cole and gets my support here today. GIOLITO the Pale Hose starter is 0-8 against the money line in home games after July 1 st over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 0-12 SU since Sep 12, 2012 in the last game of a series as a home dog when they won the last two games their starter started. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win
08-08-20	Marlins v. Mets -142		4-8	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
With solid showings in each of his first two starts, Peterson is making a case to remain in the Mets' rotation even after Marcus Stroman returns from the injured list and gives the Mets a solid precense on the mound here and an advantage on a vlue line. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (NY METS) - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, a stuggling team (38% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 29-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 14-44 L/5 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win

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