IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. White Sox

Toronto's Opening Day starter Stroman has allowed 11 runs over his last eight innings while registering just five strikeouts and in his current form is fade material. Nova is one of only two White Sox starters to work at least seven innings this season, accomplishing that goal for a second time on Monday in Cleveland. Nova, who allowed one run in the victory, feels as if his velocity is climbing. Im betting he has upward momentum, while his opponent does not making this a value line situation 

Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stromans last 6 home starts.

 WHITE SOX are 13-8  against the money line in road games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 14-27 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)

New York lost five of six on a road trip to San Diego and Milwaukee and is 4-10 since its last back-to-back wins, so going against them even with under rated Miami is not an issue for me here today. I know the Marlins dont inspire confidence after having lost 10 of 12, but they  have taken become more competitive over the last week. Miami ended a home stand Sunday by losing to the Atlanta Braves 3-1 in 10 innings before beating the Cubs on Monday and suffering walk-off defeats Tuesday and Wednesday. Note: Miami's starter Lopez's only start against the Mets came in his major league debut last June 30, when he started and earned the win by allowing two runs over six innings as Miami earned a 5-2 victory and gets my support in this spot on a value line.

WHEELER the Mets starter  is 1-10  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Mets are 4-11 in Wheelers last 15 starts during game 1 of a series.Mets are 1-4 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

NY METS are 5-20 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are 63-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

Weaver the DBacks starter has allowed more than three runs just once this season, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his past four starts. The righty over powered the Rockies over seven innings his last time out, allowing one earned run on three hits and striking out eight and gets my support here tonight in the desert. 

 ATLANTA is 3-11  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. ARIZONA is 11-4 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a favorite of -150 or more, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 12-31 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 34-19 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona to win on the ML

TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. MATT BOYD (L)

Angles starter Skaggs has been solid since missing two weeks with an ankle sprain, allowing two runs and striking out 10 over his last 11 innings. Both runs came in his six-inning outing against Toronto on Thursday, which was  a win. In his current form he is hard to face, especially against a inconsistent offence like the Tigers own.

 LA ANGELS are 18-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 25-6  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 41-13  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 3.92 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 4.03)

Colorados stater Senzatela,  is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in eight games (six starts) against San Francisco. His team won all 6 starts, and he gets the nod again today vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. The Giants have lost six straight tilts at  the launching pad knows as Coors Field and are 2-17 on the ML in the Mile High City since 2017  , winning one game in each of the last two campaigns and Im betting on the Giants losing another one in this spot.

Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOCHY is 9-27 against the money line after allowing 12 runs or more as the manager of SAN FRANCO. (SF lost 12-4 to the Reds on Monday.)

BUMGARNER the Giants starter is 0-7 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Giants are 0-7 in Bumgarners last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-21  against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Yankees starter  Masahiro Tanaka goes to the hill  Tuesday on five days' rest,  and looking fresh enough to continue his dominance over Seattle. The Japanese hurler is 7-0 with a 2.02 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle and has lasted at least seven innings in seven of those starts.It must be noted that Tanaka is among four active pitchers with an ERA of 2.50 or less and a 7-0 record or better against one opponent. Dominance is the name of the game here and confidence that is carries , as Tanaka's ERA against the Mariners is his lowest against any American League team, as is evident by holding Mariners hitters to a .199 average (42-for-211). He also owns a 12.80 strikeout-to-walk ratio (64 strikeouts, five walks) vs. Seattle, the fourth highest against any opponent by any pitcher with at least 50 strikeouts since 1913.

The Yankees are 17-0  on the ML in franchise history with Masahiro Tanaka as chalk of more than 135 when they used five pitchers yesterday and their starter had at least three more strikeouts than their bullpen.

GONZALES Seattle start is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.53 and a WHIP of 1.422.

Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.

NY YANKEES are 31-7  against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

Lay the lumber here with the NY Yankees on the ML

White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (2-1, 5.32 ERA) vs. Indians RH Jefry Rodriguez (0-1, 2.13)

Cleveland has been steamrolled in back to back games by 10-0 and 9-1 counts and look in disarray as injuries eat away at their starting pitching core and lineup. I know the White Sox dont inspire bettors , but their catching the Tribe at a perfect time, and knocked them around last night and  look like viable investment options on a value ML here again this evening.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.

Note: GIOLITO  the Pale Hose starter is 11-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)

Chacin worked six scoreless innings against the Rockies earlier on this homestand that he delivered a scoreless start and looks to be finally rounding into form after a mediocre start. Meanwhile,Max Scherzer (1-4, 4.08) will start for the Nationals, who played with a mix-and-match lineup Sunday against Philadelphia due to the assorted injuries.The Nationals have lost six of Scherzer’s seven starts on the season, and him and his team are fade material in their present form. 

SCHERZER is 0-5  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) 

CHACIN is 20-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 18-1  against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 21-50 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Kelly the Dbacks starter tonight has proven to be a valuable pickup for the D-backs, who signed him in December after he spent four years in Korea. Kelly allowed one run on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees and is my value choice here this Monday vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Note:The Rays have won eight of 11 series this season but are only 7-8 in their last 15 games following a 14-4 start and do not look as strong as they did earlier this season. Snell TBs starter the defending AL Cy Young Award winner, gave up a career-high seven runs in his last start, when he went three-plus innings in an 8-2 loss to Kansas City on Wednesday and looks vulnerable at the moment.It's the first time in his career he has gone 3 1/3 innings or fewer in back-to-back starts. 

MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - after getting shut out against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Arizona has scored 26 runs in their L/3 while TB has scored 3 runs or less in 6 of their L/9 overall. 

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

Martin Perez takes the mound in search of his fourth straight victory after holding the Astros scoreless over eight innings in his last start. Perez is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA since joining the Twins' who  have won seven of 10 and 11 of 16. Perez and the Twinkies  get my support here again in this start vs the inconsistent Blue Jays. Note:TORONTO is 18-32  against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Perez over the last 3 seasons. 

Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Twins are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a loss.Twins are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

Blue Jays are 17-41 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stromans last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Blue Jays are 3-8 in Stromans last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stromans last 9 starts.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 home starts.Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stromans last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stromans last 5 starts on astroturf.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

 Giants LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 3.48)

DeSclafani is 1-0 with a 0.51 ERA over his last three starts, including back-to-back outings in which he has not allowed a run and deserves our support here as chalk. 

Giants are 19-40 in their last 59 overall.Giants are 11-24 in their last 35 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 17-40 in their last 57 games on grass.Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Giants are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. National League CentralGiants are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Cincinnati.

SAN FRANCISCO is 19-51  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities 50-126 L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML 

Cubs - J. Quintana-L vs Cardinals - A. Wainwright-R

 Cub starter Wainwright is 15-10 with a 4.01 ERA in 45 career appearances (36 starts). This will be his 21st career start at Wrigley Field, where he has a top tier record garnering a  11-3 record along  with a 3.78 ERA.The Cardinals are 12-0 on the ML since 2008 with Wainwright on the hill when he won his last start and they are facing a NL team like the Cubs that has won at least 4 straight. In his last 4 starts under these premiers  he averaged 7 + innings  of work and allowed a total of just one run.WAINWRIGHT is 30-19  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) 

I know the Cards have lost three straight, but this is strong situation for them, as they have shown resiliency of late when on a 3 game losing streak cashing 23- of the 32 times . 

ST LOUIS is 11-4  against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. WAINWRIGHT is 16-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB  team (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team on base percentage of .340 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

 THOMAS PANNONE (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)

LYNN the Rangers starter  is 36-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)Lynn has won three of his last four starts and gets my support here today vs the Jays. 

Blue Jays are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Blue Jays defeated the Texas Rangers yesterday by a 1-0 count, but the the Rangers have proven resilient in this situation recently cashing at  a 12-0 ML clip as a home 140+ favorite when they were shutout yesterday, winning by an average of 7.33 runs per game .

 MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 26-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)

As starter Bassitt has been brilliant  in two starts since coming off the injured list,  The right-hander has allowed just one run over his first two starts with an impressive 16-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 12 innings. The  righty owns a 2.87 ERA in three previous interleague trips to the hill and gets my support here today. 

OAKLAND is 46-18  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons/

Pirates are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games on grass.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games.

Note: American League teams have won +126 + units in interleague play dating back 14 seasons.

MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-0, 4.78 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Yu Darvish (2-3, 5.02) 

Darvish is coming off his best start of the season, one run allowed on two hits over six solid frames against the D-backs on Saturday. After a slow start Im betting he continues to round into form and gets my support here today vs the visiting Cards. Note: His pitching opponent Wacha is 4-8 with a 6.65 ERA in 18 outings (16 starts) against the Cubs, including a 1-4 record and a 5.98 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) at Wrigley Field. Cardinals are 3-8 in Wachas last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Cardinals are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Chicago

MLB eam (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start), with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) are 29-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Athletics LH Brett Anderson (3-2, 4.35 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (1-2, 1.54)

After looking like the A's best pitcher through his first four starts, Anderson has not completed five innings in his past two outings. He has pitched well at PNC Park, though: 1-0 with a 1.38 in two career starts and Im betting on him bouncing back here today. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Musgrove is winless in his last four outings despite recording a quality start in each tilt. He is just not getting support from his team, and Im also betting nothing changes here today.MUSGROVE is 1-8  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record).MUSGROVE is 4-14 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 games on grass.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.Pirates are 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 home starts.Pirates are 1-4 in Musgroves last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Pirates are 2-11 in Musgroves last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 35-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (OAKLAND) - average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win on the ML

Mariners - Y. Kikuchi-L vs Indians - S. Bieber-R 

Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Seattle after a fast start to their campaign ,have struggled of late , but tonight Im betting this matchup vs Cleveland is favorable for them. Note: SEATTLE is 13-3  against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.

SEATTLE is 8-1 against the money line in road games in night games this season. SEATTLE is 29-13 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 22-9  against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - very good AL offensive team (5.4  or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

James Paxton struck out eight and scattered five hits over 5 2/3 solid innings against the Giants for the win in his last outing. He walked two batters in the 106-pitch effort and continues to be in top form and deserving of my backing here tonight. Meanwhile, Gibson  the Twins starter, despite of pitching better of late, after a slow start, does not matchup well against the Yankees current batting order. Note :Twins are 0-6 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Yankees. 

Twins are 2-5 in Gibsons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. 

MINNESOTA is 19-43  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. 

NY YANKEES are 35-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. 

Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 games on grass.Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 57-23 in their last 80 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 64-28 in their last 92 games following a loss.Yankees are 59-26 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Yankees are 55-26 in their last 81 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts.Yankees are 4-1 in Paxtons last 5 starts on grass.

Twins are 19-56 in the last 75 meetings.Twins are 13-44 in the last 57 meetings in New York.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)

Skaggs returned from the injured list to throw five scoreless innings last Friday at Kansas City. Skaggs allowed just three hits  and matches up well according to my estimates vs this Toronto lineup. Meanwhile,  Blue Jays starter Sanchez despite of a good record, has completed six innings only twice during that span and continues to pile up a high pitch count early in starts, and is my opinion in a downward regression slot. This is at the outer limits of the amount of lumber I like to lay, but its a viable enough opportunity to cash a ticket that the outlay outweighs the risk.

Blue Jays are 16-39 in their last 55 games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 7-21 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 Thursday games.Blue Jays are 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 2-9 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.Angels are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Blue Jays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Blue Jays are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings

LA ANGELS are 40-17  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 66-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angles to win on the ML

Rockies RH Jon Gray (2-3, 3.65 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Freddy Peralta (1-0, 7.13)

Gray gave up five runs, eight hits (two home runs) and three walks in 4 2/3 innings of un inspiring work in Colorado's 9-5 victory at Atlanta on Saturday. His mechanics just did not look right, and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs this current Brewers lineup.  Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Peralta made a rehab start Saturday with Double-A Biloxi, striking out seven over 4 2/3 innings and 75 pitches and a key 52 throws for strikes and looked strong and worth my support here today. Peralta allowed one hit and two walks with a career-high 13 strikeouts in 5 2/3 shutout innings of his major league debut - a 7-3 victory at Colorado back in May of 2018. 

Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 57-23 in their last 80 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 20-9 in their last 29 games following a loss.Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 54-25 in their last 79 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Brewers are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 5-2 in Peraltas last 7 home starts.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers on the ML

Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-2, 5.81 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Caleb Smith (2-0, 2.17)

In his last three trips to the hill, Smith has allowed just 2 runs in 18 innings along  with 22 strikeouts. The Marlins  have won all three of those starts. The southpaw also is a difficult hurler to make solid contact off of. His hard contact rate, per Statcast, is 21.5 percent, in the top 6 percent in the Majors. Lots of value here backing him against Kluber and company tonight. Note: KLUBER is 17-26  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 4-11  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. 

Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 7-17 in their last 24 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 6-15 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Marlins are 4-0 in Smiths last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Marlins are 7-1 in Smiths last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Marlins are 4-1 in Smiths last 5 home starts.Marlins are 7-2 in Smiths last 9 starts.

MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 29-9 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are just 12-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R

Miller is 1-0 with a 6.10 ERA in his last two starts after allowing four runs in five innings against the Mariners on Friday. He is 2-7 with a 4.88 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates and is fade material here this afternoon. TAILLON  the Pirates starter is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TAILLON is  also 10-2  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

PITTSBURGH is 18-5  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.HURDLE is 14-3  against the money line in road games against AL West opponents as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Play on Pittsburgh to win on the ML

 C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)

The Yankees have won 11 of 13 since sweeping a two-game series from Boston on April 16-17 and have won four straight series. Arizona has won 10 of 14. However, I like the home team here today behind their starter Greinke  who has made five straight quality starts, winning four, and has 13 scoreless innings in his last two games. GREINKE is 15-4  against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 11-5  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NY YANKEES are 1-11  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are just 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

MLB team (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 11-36 for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Orioles LH John Means (3-2, 1.74 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Manny Banuelos (1-0, 2.51)

Banuelos gets a second starting opportunity after performing very well in spot duty in Baltimore, working four scoreless innings. He threw 71 pitches in that one. Prior, he had allowed two runs over 9 1/3 innings in three long relief appearances and he gets my support here in this spot. 

Orioles are 10-43 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter like Banuelos. 

BALTIMORE is 2-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 15-53 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Yankees RH Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) vs. Giants RH Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54)

 Yankees right-hander Domingo German (4-1, 1.75 ERA) and Giants righty Dereck Rodriguez (3-2, 3.54) will warm up for the series finale.The Yankees are 8-4 on the road this season, outscoring opponents 76-60 while hitting 25 home runs and have the edge again and look like . viable bets to complete a 3 game sweep of the Giants despite of the their injury woes. 

NY YANKEES are 26-9  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

MATT BOYD (L) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R

Boyd (2-1, 3.16 ERA) won his latest start, holding the Boston Red Sox to three runs on three hits in seven innings on Tuesday and matches up well vs the Red Sox lineup. He credits attacking and finding the strike zone early as keys to his success and gets my support here. 

DETROIT is 11-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.

CHI WHITE SOX are 8-26  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB team (DETROIT) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 42-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or less) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 35-13 for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

 Rays RH Tyler Glasnow (4-0, 1.53 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (0-4, 7.43)

Glasnow's breakout has been a big reason why the Rays are off to one of the best starts in baseball. He has 29 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, BoSox starter Chris Sale despite of looking decent in his last  start, delivering 5 innings of work still does not have a win this season, as he owns a 0-4 record along with a bloated 7.43 ERA.  The star hurler just does not look himself yet and until he turns the corner is fade material. SALE is 0-5 ( against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) 

BOSTON is 2-8  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.BOSTON is 3-9 against the money line in day games this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)

Price Bostons starting lefty held his own in last weekend's start at Tropicana Field, holding the Rays to five hits and two runs over five innings while notching 10 strikeouts and here at home Im betting he will even be better and gets my support as chalkvs a team that has lost 5 of their L/7 games. PRICE is 18-5  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better ) . (Team's Record)

PRICE is 21-5  against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

 Red Sox are 9-0 on the ML  in franchise history with David Price at home when he averaged at least 4.20 pitches per batter in his last start.

The Red Sox are 26-0 on the ML L/26 opportunities as a 130-plus favorite off a game as a favorite of 250 or less in which they scored first, trailed, and won and it is before the All-Star break.

Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 32-79 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Yankees LH James Paxton (2-2, 3.10 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-3, 3.66)

Yankees starter Paxton is in top form  has been brilliant  in successive starts, recording 12 strikeouts without allowing a run against both the Red Sox and Royals.  Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has also pitched decently, but whats troubling is his teams lack of run support for him, as he has received just 10 total runs of support in 6 starts.  Im betting things wont get much better for him here tonight. 

Yanks are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Giants are 0-6 in Bumgarners last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarners last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning recordGiants are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a combined score of 4 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R)

Tanaka bounced back from a loss to pitch seven  strong innings of one-run ball vs the Royals in his last trip to the  hill  and has  lasted into the sixth inning in four of his five efforts and looks to be getting stronger . Meanwhile, Cahill his Angels pitching opponent , has some troubling numbers, that indicate teams are seeing the ball well against him. Note: Cahill gave up only eight homers in 110 innings last year but has already equalled that total in 26 1/3 innings  this year. The Yankees despite of being banged up have enough talent in their offensive lineup to really put a deep ball hurt on Cahill and the Halos, making them my choice here on the ML. 

LA ANGELS are 0-9  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. 

NY YANKEES are 23-9  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. 

TANAKA is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.958 and his team has won all 6 of his career starts vs the Halos. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)

Houstons starter tonight Cole, finished fifth in the 2018 American League Cy Young Award voting with an 15-5 record and 2.88 ERA, is off to just a 1-3 start with a 5.22 ERA this season. Thanks to his reputation and that of his teammates he is still listed a hefty favorite despite of going against a top tier hurler in the Tribes Trevor Bauer.Bauer (2-1, 2.20), and finished sixth in last year's Cy Young voting behind Cole, is a perfect 7-0 with a 3.18 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros and gets my support here tonight on a value line. 

HINCH is 6-15  against the money line vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON .

Play on Cleveland to win on the ML

Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (2-0, 5.40 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Cole Hamels (3-0, 2.77)

Dodgers lost last night to the Cubs, but Im betting they bounce back here in this spot and make it 10 wins in 12 games . Buehler had eight strikeouts while limiting Cincinnati to an unearned run and three hits over 6 1/3 innings on Wednesday and gets my support.  Look for a LA offence that  averages a National League-best 5.52 runs per game to buoy their pitcher and deliver the cash to us . 

HAMELS the Phillies starter  is 23-31 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team (4.7  or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 20-50 L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML

MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R)

LYLES the Pirates starter is 13-41 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record) LYLES is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.80 and a WHIP of 1.762. The DBacks  have faired well here in Pittsburgh over the last few seasons winning 7 of their 8 games, and get my support again on a value line.

 ARIZONA is 30-17  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons

ARIZONA is 24-13 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB   favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are  12-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win on the ML

ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)

The  struggling  Orioles smashed  the White Sox 9-1 last night and have an edge tonight vs a team that is just as bad as themselves.  "Means is going to make a lot of starts," Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said of the 25-year-old rookie. "It's something we're going to play with because I do like John in the rotation. He's pitching really well and deserves to stay in the rotation." Means pitched well in his last start, permitting one run on four hits in five innings of a 4-0 setback at Boston on April 14.

White Sox are 5-11 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

White Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

White Sox are 17-42 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

White Sox are 6-18 in their last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Home team is 7-1 in Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate vs. ChicagoHome team is 22-6 in Fairchilds last 28 games behind home plate vs. Baltimore.

White Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 games with Fairchild behind home plate.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

IVAN NOVA (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)

The Chicago White Sox pounded the Orioles yesterday 12-2 and Im betting they come out here and get the job done again behind a up-trending offence. Note:  Baltimore is just 1-10  this season at home and now have dropped four in a row -- losing a three-game weekend series to the Minnesota Twins in Baltimore before the White Sox came in. 

The Pale Hose starter Nova is 8-4 in his career against the Orioles with a 4.98 ERA. He's made 17 starts and pitched in 18 contests and get my support here today.NOVA is 23-8  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 10-5 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like  the Os starting hulrer Cashner. 

The Orioles are 0-28 on the ML when their opponent's starter is a righty and has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season.

Play on the White Sox to win on the ML

ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)

Flaherty allowed five runs on nine hits to Milwaukee last week -- including homers to Lorenzo Cain and Yasmani Grandal in just  2 2/3 innings to take the loss. Im betting the Brewers matchup well against Cardinals starter and get my support again here on a value line. Note: ight-hander Adrian Houser, who will make his first career start in the majors in place of the injured Freddy Peralta (shoulder). The 26-year-old has pitched well with Triple-A San Antonio this season, posting a 1-0 mark with a 1.10 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in three starts (16 1/3 frames).

The Brewers are 8-0 on the ML on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 17-5 in their last 22 Monday games.Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Brewers are 56-20 in their last 76 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cardinals are 2-8 in Flahertys last 10 starts.Cardinals are 2-8 in Flahertys last 10 starts on grass.Cardinals are 1-4 in Flahertys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-5 in Flahertys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-5 in Flahertys last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-4 in Flahertys last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.

Brewers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.Brewers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Cardinals are 2-5 in Flahertys last 7 starts vs. Brewers.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ST LOUIS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 36-50 L/5 seasons .

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 17-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

MAX FRIED (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)

The Braves starter today Fried worked 16 1/3 innings before allowing his first earned run this season. The lefty's velocity was down during his most recent start, but he still managed to complete six innings . But that downgrade in velocity is a concern, and gives me cause in fading him here vs a streaking Cleveland team. Meanwhile,  the Tribes starter Bieber didn’t have his best stuff on Tuesday in Seattle, but he battled through six-plus innings and gave up just one run on four hits. He’s throwing his slider at a higher rate this year, and hitters are just 4-for-29 against the offering which is a plus here vs a Braves group that prefers straight up heat. 

Cleveland has the edge  this Sunday night and Im recommending we take them on the ML. 

Braves are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 17-37 in their last 54 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-17 in their last 22 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.

Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts.Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts on grass.Indians are 7-1 in Biebers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Indians are 6-1 in Biebers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Indians are 5-1 in Biebers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Indians are 5-1 in Biebers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - good NL offensive team (4.7  or more /game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 6-39 /5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win on the ML

AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)

As  Left-hander Brett Anderson (3-0, 2.63) is in top tier form, and gives us a strong opportunity to cash a ticket here this afternoon in Oakland.

SANCHEZ  the Jays starter is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.401.

OAKLAND is 21-9  against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. 

The Athletics are 17-0 on the ML off a game as a favorite in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and it is not a series opener. Toronto is 0-18 ML as a dog of more than 130 in the last game of a road series when they are off a game as a dog in which they had more team-left-on-base.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

DAVID PRICE (L) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)

The Rays’ starter today vs the BoSox,  Tyler Glasnow, has been brilliant and over powering  since being acquired by the Rays in the  Chris Archer deal at last seasons deadline. The righty hurler in 80 innings  of top tier work owns a solid  4-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.01. He offers is alot value here on this line as the public gravitates to the BoSox because of them grabbing the first two games of this series. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter Price, goes against a strong LHP hitting team in the Rays. The Rays have cashed 60% of theirL/52 vs southpaw starters.TAMPA BAY is 15-10  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 2-7  against the money line in day games this season. 

Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win.

Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 Sunday games.Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Rays are 14-4 in their last 18 games following a loss.Rays are 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Rays are 46-19 in their last 65 home games.Rays are 28-12 in their last 40 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 42-18 in their last 60 overall.Rays are 54-24 in their last 78 games on astroturf.Rays are 26-12 in their last 38 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rays are 38-18 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 4-0 in Glasnows last 4 starts.

Play on TB to win on the ML

RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)

Porcello has struggled out of the gate this season, but is still a viable hurler, who has pitched well at Tropicana in his career, going 8-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 15 starts. Meanwhile, TBs Morton who got off to fast start this season looked mortal after is off his shortest outing of the season where he went just 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays last time out. 

Value here on a Red Sox team that will be woken up out of their World Series hangover slumber vs a strong looking Rays team. 

BOSTON is 12-7 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Red Sox on the ML

ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)

Colorado will send left-hander Kyle Freeland to the mound to face righty Zach Eflin in the opener of the series.

Eflin (2-1, 3.94) was  was hit hard in a 10-3 loss at Miami on Saturday. He gave up six runs on 10 hits in just four innings. He is 1-2 in three career starts against Colorado and sports a 9.20 ERA and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rockies and is fade material here today on the road. I know Colorados Freelend has had some issues thanks to blistering, but he is said to be good to go and when hes on he is hard beat.FREELAND is 16-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies are 1-7 in Eflins last 8 road starts.Phillies are 1-8 in Eflins last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 starts vs. National League West.

Rockies are 7-0 in Freelands last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 7-0 in Freelands last 7 Thursday starts.Rockies are 8-1 in Freelands last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 7-1 in Freelands last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts vs. National League East.Rockies are 13-3 in Freelands last 16 home starts.Rockies are 22-6 in Freelands last 28 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rockies are 13-4 in Freelands last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 12-4 in Freelands last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.Rockies are 23-8 in Freelands last 31 starts on grass.Rockies are 23-9 in Freelands last 32 starts.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 27-44 L/22 seasons for a long term go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

MATT HARVEY (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)

Harvey  the Angels  starter pitched to a 5.93 ERA over his last 2 1/2 seasons in New York and Im betting things wont get much better for him here tonight in Texas.HARVEY is 9-22 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 0-7 ( against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season.

The Rangers are 15-0 on the ML in the second game of a home series when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than two on the season.

NBA underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 16-53 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas on the ML

Two quality hurlers go head to head today, but the value attached to road dog makes the Mets my choice this afternoon. I know Wheeler has been subpar out of the gate, but his stuff continues on a upward trajectory. Wheeler the Mets starter this afternoon is 3-0 with a 3.96 ERA lifetime in Philadelphia and 4-1 with a 3.36 ERA in 10 total starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile Phillies starter Arrieta is 2-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 career outings against the Mets.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 17-35 L/5seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML

Two struggling AL rivals go head to head tonight in NY. The Yankees thanks to a lineup dealing with injuries has faltered out of the gate, while the Red Sox deal with a nasty world series hangover. In todays matchup the Yankees have the advantage of playing at home and another edge against a top tier hurler in Chris Sale that is probably pitching his absolute worst at the moment. Sale has said he cant remember being this inconsistent with his location in his career. With that said Im betting Yankees starter Paxton who is 2-0 along with a 2.13 ERA in 4 career starts vs the BoSox to get us the win here tonight.

BOONE is 17-3 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of NY YANKEES

MLB  favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees

The Mariners are off being swept by the Houston Astros and will be primed for a bounce back win here tonight at home vs the visiting Cleveland Indians.

Note: Bauer the Tribes starter is just 1-4 with a 4.60 ERA in eight career appearances against Seattle, including seven starts.

The Mariners are 13-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that has lost at least their last two games. 

SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.

 MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 18-48 L/5 seasons for ago against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle to win on the  ML

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)

Verlander the Astros hurler is a top tier hurler, but the way the Mariners are hitting scoring 66 runs in 7 games going into Friday nights action, any hurler they face right now could end up as cannon fodder. With that said, there is value with the home dog tonight. 

Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 14-2 in their last 16 games on grass.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Astros are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

HOUSTON is 12-18 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62%or better ) over the last 2 seasons. 

SEATTLE is 8-1  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this seasonSEATTLE is 11-1  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. 

MLB  team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games are 48-15 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Seattle to win on the ML

CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)

Pomeranz has never lost to the Rockies, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four meetings, including two starts. He's struck out 18 in 14 innings in those games, allowing seven hits, all singles and gets the nod again in this spot play.While winless, the San Francisco lefty has limited the Rays and Dodgers to a total of four runs in nine innings in his two starts. Bettis, the Rockies starter on the other hand, has been roughed up for 12 runs (11 earned) in 8 1/3 innings.

BOCHY is 33-15  against the money line in home games after shutting out a division rival as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO.

Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 overall.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 1-10 in their last 11 games following a loss.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 games on grass.

Play on SF Giants to win on the ML

JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)

Jose Quintana (0-1, 10.29 ERA), who will also make his third appearance (second start) of the campaign is coming off an ugly start in which he gave up eight runs, all earned, on eight hits in three innings against the Milwaukee Brewers.  Im betting Quintana will be primed to bounce back. Cubs are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Jose Quintana when he went fewer than five five innings in his last start .

Quintana is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in five career starts against the Pirates. He has 29 strikeouts in 28 innings.

MUSGROVE the Pirate starter is 1-12  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record) 

I know the Cubs have struggled but tonight they get my support. Note: MADDON is 23-5 against the money line in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS. 

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, a terrible team (38% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cubs on the ML

JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)

Paxton is 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA over 12 career starts against the Astros and won all four starts against Houston last season while pitching for the Seattle Mariners  and is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts at Minute Maid Park and get smy support here in the road underdog role. PAXTON is 11-3   against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 18-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

The Giants have totaled just five runs in their starter Rodriguez's first  two starts and im betting they have issues scoring again vs N. Margevicius the Padres starter. These two hurlers faced each other already this season, with Margevicius getting the better of the stats but Rodriguez taking the victory when the Giants found a way the promised land by a  narrow 3-2 count. I expect another hard fought affair, but this time for the Padres to get the win. 

The Giants won the last game in this series, but  SAN DIEGO is 28-23  against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons

The Giants are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the last game of a series when playing a team that has a better record.

Play on San Diego to win on the ML

Bauer the Indians starter carries a streak of 10 hitless innings into his third start of the season, a Wednesday afternoon tilt at Detroit, but all good bad things must come to an end. With that said, it must be noted that Tigers starter BOYD is 6-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  and is  s 6-0  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  and also s 9-0  against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) .

GARDENHIRE is 12-7  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of DETROIT.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 16-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Tigers to win on the ML

Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (3-0, 3.20 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (1-0, 4.63)

Starter Marco Gonzales and the Seattle Mariners are in red hot form . The Mariners have scored at least five runs in 11 of their 12 games and are the first team in the majors to reach 10 victories. GONZALES is 14-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, Junis the Royals starter is solid hurler, but unfortunately he is backed by a struggling bullpen. Note: The Royals have lost seven straight games, and  thanks to a under performing bullpen . Through nine games this season, the Royals bullpen has allowed 27  earned runs on 36 hits in 27 1/3 innings of shoddy work garnering a ugly 8.89 ERA. 

 Royals are 0-19 SU off a game as a dog in which they held a multiple-run lead and it is before the All-Star break which was the case yesterday in a 13-5 loss.

KANSAS CITY is 7-27 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 2.31 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Dakota Hudson (0-1, 5.40)

The Cards beat the Dodgers last night and Im betting on St.Louis turning the trick again. I know the Dodgers are strong bunch, but hey dont underestimate the ability of the Cards here in their own back yard. It must be noted Hudson the Cards starter has some nasty stuff, and  received Pitcher of the Year honors in the Texas League in 2017 and the Pacific Coast League last season, and is under rated and a solid underdog in this spot. Meanwhile, Dodgers starter Stripling is 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in five appearances (two starts) against St. Louis. 

ST LOUIS is 17-4  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-45 L/5 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis to win on the ML

Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (1-0, 2.84 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (1-0, 7.00)

Nola had a rocky opening start, but according to my pitcher vs batting order stats (power rankings) matches up well vs the Nationals.Nola, went 3-1 with a 2.14 ERA against the Nationals in 2018 and gets the nod here.  Meanwhile, despite of Starasburg being a top tier hurler, their are issues supporting him from the bullpen. Note: Washington's relievers have surrendered at least one run in all but two games and has recorded  a major league-worst 10.17 bullpen ERA. 

NOLA is 14-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities ARE 12-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win on the ML

Halos star Trout is red hot , has has carried his team to wins in the final three games of their last  series. Tonight Im betting they make it four straight wins as the Milwaukee Brewers visit for a three-game series beginning Monday. Also Angels starter  Cahill is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA in 13 career games against the Brewers, with 12 coming in relief and is well prepared to keep his ERA down in this spot vs the Brewers. 

The Angels are 17-0 L/17 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 36-17 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-0, 2.08 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (0-1, 7.20)

LA played last night in Colorado and then got on a plane to St.Louis, and will now be a on tired legs in the fist game of their series vs the Cards which puts them at a disadvantage. 

Dodgers are 0-4 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.Cardinals are 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 7-1 in Mikolas' last 8 home starts.

MIKOLAS is 23-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) IKOLAS is 25-9 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

ST LOUIS is 16-4  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MIKE is 32-18  against the money line in night games as the manager of ST LOUIS.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Reigning American League Cy Young winner Blake Snell is set to start Monday's game for the Tampa Bay Rays. The Top tier southpaw Snell is 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts in 13 innings this season, with just three walks and 16 strikeouts and gets my support here this afternoon vs the very inconsistent Chicago White Sox. 

Rays are 5-0 in Snells last 5 road starts.Rays are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Rays are 7-0 in Snells last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Snell recorded 13 strikeouts in his most recent start, dominating the Colorado Rockies for seven innings of two-hit, shutout ball on April 2. Note:The Rays are 15-0 L15 on the ML with Blake Snell starts when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 and threw fewer than 110 pitches in his last start.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 game are 10-42 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Yes, we have to lay some lumber here but its worth it considering the matchup. Just a quick reminder on the myth of consistently attacking MLB dogs. Note:  In the last 14 seasons underdogs have gone 14,490-19,499 (42.6%), losing just under   -513 units. (Does not include this season) In other words you have to pick your spots and be diligent doing so. 

Play on TB to win on the ML 

Rangers RH Shelby Miller (0-0, 4.91 ERA) vs. Angels RH Chris Stratton (0-1, 8.31)

The Angels have won seven of the last eight meetings against the Rangers and according to my projections and models matchup very good against this Rangers group. 

Halos starter STRATTON is 14-4  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) STRATTON is 10-3  against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 39-16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 home game

The Angels are 16-0 L/16 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed six or fewer hits.

Rangers are 7-16 in their last 23 vs. American League West.Rangers are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.Rangers are 5-16 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Rangers are 4-14 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on LA Angels to win on the ML

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (0-1, 1.42 ERA) vs. Indians RH Mike Clevinger (0-0, 0.00)

The Jays have dropped six of their last seven and are in a huge funk and fade material here today against Cleveland. 

The Blue Jays are 0-23 SU in the last game of a series as a road 135 dog after they lost by three plus runs.

Blue Jays are 1-6 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 1-6 in Stromans last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Stromans last 4 starts.

Indians are 5-0 in Clevingers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Indians are 7-1 in Clevingers last 8 home starts.Indians are 6-1 in Clevingers last 7 starts on grass.Indians are 5-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Indians are 13-3 in Clevingers last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Indians are 13-3 in Clevingers last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Indians are 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyline 

Red Sox LH David Price (0-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (0-0, 8.31)

Boston got blasted last night in the first game of this series vs Arizona by a 15-8 count, and will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassment here today.  Im betting on Bostons starter Price, who is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA versus the Diamondbacks to help us cash a ticket today. Note: BOSTON is 33-10 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons and  is 36-10  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.

WEAVER Arizonas starter is 1-7 against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record).CORA is 22-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of BOSTON. 

Diamondbacks are 4-11 in their last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 4-12 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 4-13 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 Saturday games.Diamondbacks are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 4-0 in Prices last 4 starts vs. National League West.Red Sox are 7-0 in Prices last 7 interleague starts.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Injury prone Angels hurler Skaggs pitched well against the Rangers last season, recording a 2-0 mark along  with a minuscule  0.82 ERA in two starts, striking out 13 in 11 innings and gets my support here today as a marginally strong  favorite. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Smyly is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in six career games (four starts) against the Angels and is fade material here in this spot play .

Rangers are 7-15 in their last 22 vs. American League West.Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Rangers are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.

Rangers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Rangers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Pittsburghs pitching staff in bullpen are in top form and have shutout the Reds  by identical 2-0 wins in the first two games in this series, which is a good omen for their winning ways to continue today. Note: The Pirates are 20-0 on the ML as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent.

Pirates starter Williams   held the Reds to three hits in six scoreless innings with six strikeouts and a walk on 80 pitches, but he also drove in two runs Sunday in a 5-0 win and is key to us cashing a winning ticket here today. Pirates are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts vs. Reds.

Reds are 8-27 in their last 35 road games.Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 10-3 in their last 13 Saturday games.Pirates are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Rangers RH Lance Lynn (0-0, 11.12 ERA) vs. Angels RH Felix Pena (0-1, 9.82)

My head to head power rankings and pitcher vs batting order estimations and models suggest Texas has a solid advantage here over in a 9 inning game vs an Angels team that has lost 5 straight games including last night by a 11-4 count to the Rangers.

Angels are 0-4 in Penas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Rangers are 6-0 on the ML as a dog in the second game of a road series when they won the opener by five-plus runs, for an ROI of +175%.

LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons and are 1-10  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB team (TEXAS) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games are 46-25 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Texas ML

Cubs LH Jose Quintana (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60)

Cubs starter Quintana is 6-2 with a 1.62 ERA in 11 career starts against the Brewers, including a 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.55 ERA in six appearances at Miller Park and buoys s strong underdog situation here for the Cubs this evening.  Right now the Cubs are desperate for a win as they have come out of gate slowly, which did not surprise me. However tonight Im betting they have an  edge in this spot play. 

Cubs are 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 road starts vs. Brewers.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

The Astros have dropped 5 of 6 games and returned home with a .235/.304/.363 slash line and a .667 OPS that ranks 10th in the American League and are fade material in this spot vs a very under rated Oakland As team. Im betting on right-hander  Frankie Montas  is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season, limiting the Los Angeles Angels to one run on three hits with six strikeouts over six innings in a 2-1 win on March 31 and in 2018  to get the job done here and help us to the promised land . The righty was also 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA over two starts vs the Astros last year and this season he  owned a 16:5 K:BB ratio in 16 spring training innings, which is very impressive.MONTAS is 8-1 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Athletics are 7-0 ML on the road off a home game in which they hit at least one home run, winning by an average of 6.14 runs per game.

HOUSTON is 4-9  against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 4-10  against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Oakland to win on the ML

Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Nick Pivetta (0-0, 7.71)

Phillies starter Pivetta really did not look good in his opening assignment , and in my opinion needs some mechanics adjustments.  In that start he allowed four runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 innings   against Atlanta and today against a sometimes explosive Twins batting order Im betting he does not matchup well. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter today looked good in his first outing, allowing just 1 hit and no runs and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Phillies batting order.

Twins are 5-1 in Odorizzis last 6 interleague starts.

The Twins are 10-0 ML in franchise history off a game as a favorite in which Jorge Polanco struck out at least twice and did not draw a walk.

Phillies are 3-8 in Pivettas last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.Phillies are 3-9 in Pivettas last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 1-5 in Pivettas last 6 starts.MINNESOTA is 31-16  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 games on grass.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 21-36 L/5 seasons for a 63% go against  conversion rate.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 23-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota on the ML

 Mariners LH Yusei Kikuchi (0-0, 2.53 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-1, 9.00)

 The Seattle Mariners are off to a franchise-record 7-1 start as they visit the White Sox on Friday in Chicago's home opener but  Im betting their being over valued here in this spot especially considering this his the White Sox home opener.  The Pale Hose  home opener was originally scheduled for Thursday but was postponed Wednesday because of rain in the forecast. 

Mariners starting hurler this afternoon Kikuchi has limited opponents to a .200 batting average over 10 2/3 innings covering two starts but pitching in this kind of chilly April weather  here in Southside Chicago might not suit him well.  Im fading the public here and taking the motivated home underdog instead. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 6-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Chicago RH Yu Darvish (0-0, 10.13 ERA) vs. Braves LH Max Fried (0-0, 0.00)

Fried the Braves starter  has  1 2/3 innings of relief work in two appearances, garnering just  two walks and no hits or runs.  The southpaw has recorded a 1.15 WHIP with 18 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings during spring training and deserves our respect here vs a Chicago team that Ive been fading early on  the season. Meanwhile, Darvish was smashed around,  in his first start of the season Saturday at Texas, walking seven hitters and surrendering three runs in 2 2/3 innings of sub par work and  owns a   0-1  record along with a 5.19 ERA and six walks in 8 2/3 innings. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 0-8 (against the money line in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.

Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win on the ML

Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 10.38 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Brett Anderson (1-0, 0.00)

The defending World Series champions lost five of their first six games this season, before getting a come from behind victory last night. Im betting that last nights turnaround wont get the Red Sox out of their current World Series hangovers, and instead  will continue to manifest negatively tonight vs the under rated Oakland As. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter today Rodriguez struggled  in his season opener allowing  six runs - five earned - on eight hits and three walks in 4 1/3  and could easily get lit up again vs a batting order that my power rankings really like.  Meanwhile, his As pitching opponent ,Anderson was brilliant  in his season debut against the Los Angeles Angels  in his first start 5 days ago, allowing just three hits over six scoreless innings of top tier work and looks like a viable home underdog to back in this spot play. 

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.As are 7-3 L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the money-line 

Im a little late to the party on this one, as I was waiting on a couple of reports , and Ive lost leverage of about 10 cents on the opening line but I still feel confident in the value of backing Atlanta as short chalk here. 

I like Braves starter Julio Teheran here at home, and feel strongly that Chicago is over rated this season, as was the case when thye were clobbered 8-0 on Monday. Now  after a day off for the Cubbies, Im betting  the rest wont change the facts on the ground and  I recommend going  against them rebounding.

Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games following an off day.

TEHERAN is 10-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better since 1997. (Team's Record).TEHERAN is 15-4 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Play on Atlanta to win on the ML

Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (0-1, 9.00 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (0-1, 6.00 ERA)

Mikolas was 10-0 in 16 starts away from home in 2018 and despite of struggling in his first start of the season a 5-4 loss vs Milwaukee he's still a quality pitcher and capable of rebounding. In five starts last season, he allowed just two runs or less in four of the appearances against them Pirates while garnering  2.90 ERA with 26 SOs and is being under rated here. Note :MIKOLAS is 24-9  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 13-2 in Mikolas' last 15 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 12-2 in Mikolas' last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas' last 6 road starts.Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Cardinals are 21-7 in Mikolas' last 28 starts.Cardinals are 21-7 in Mikolas' last 28 starts on grass. 

Cardinals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

MIKE is 31-18  against the money line in night games as the manager of ST LOUIS. 

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win

Phillies RH Aaron Nola (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Anibal Sanchez (2018: 7-6, 2.83)

Bryce Harper  came back to Washington sptting bullets and showing no respect for his old team , answering a rowdy crowd by belting a two-run homer to highlight his three-hit performance as the Philadelphia Phillies improved to 4-0 on the season.  Im betting now in an emotional let spot Harper and the Phillies may not be as potent today and could struggle against under rated hurler Sanchez who  struck out 135 batters in 136 2/3 innings in 2018. 

Play Washington on the  ML

Angels RH Trevor Cahill (0-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (2-0, 4.76)

Cahill the Halos starter in his first trip to the hill gave up multiple homers in a loss, but it must be noted that  he did not allow multiple homers in any of his 20 starts in 2018 when he  allowed only eight in 110 innings over 21 appearances with the  Athletics. With that said, Im betting Cahill bounces back today and helps his team get the win and us cash a ticket. Meanwhile, the Mariners starter Gonzalez despite of starting his season at 2-0 with on win coming in Japan, he has looked inconsistent  allowing 16 hits over 11 1/3 innings during his appearances, and looks far from fluid and from my power ratings pitcher vs batting order looks to be in a unfavourable situation. 

Mariners are 3-7 in Gonzales' last 10 starts.Mariners are 2-5 in Gonzales' last 7 starts vs. American League West.Mariners are 2-7 in Gonzales' last 9 starts on grass.Mariners are 1-4 in Gonzales' last 5 home starts.Mariners are 1-5 in Gonzales' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 0-5 in Gonzales' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Reynolds behind home plate.LA ANGELS are 9-1  against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.

 The Mariners are 0-4 with  Marco Gonzalez as a home favorite  when they scored more than six runs in his last start , which was the case in 12-4 victory vs the BoSox last time out on March 28th of this season.

Play on LA Angels to win on the moneyline

Red Sox LH David Price (2018: 16-7, 3.58 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Aaron Brooks (2018: 0-0, 0.00)

Slowed during Spring Training by norovirus, Red Sox starter Price makes his first start until Boston's fifth game. In his final exhibition outing -- only his second of the spring -- the left-hander allowed five runs in 3 2/3 innings against the Cubs. With Price still trying to get backin form he is fade material and being over rated on the moneyline more on reputation then facts. 

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 Monday games.Athletics are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Athletics are 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Athletics are 37-14 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 18-7 in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Athletics are 65-29 in their last 94 games on grass.Athletics are 35-16 in their last 51 home games.Athletics are 25-12 in their last 37 games vs. a left-handed starter.

 Red Sox are 16-36 in the last 52 meetings in Oakland.Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

MLB team (BOSTON) - very good offensive team from last season - scored 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more are 23-52 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win on the ML 

 Astros RH Brad Peacock (2018: 3-5, 3.46 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Drew Smyly (2016: 7-12, 4.88)

Houston scored just four runs in the last three games after winning the season opener 5-1 and will be primed to bounce back and get rolling here vs a team they matchup well against. Note: Peacock Houstons starter earned a spot in the rotation after going 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA in five spring-training games (four starts) and looks like a viable choice here tonight. Im recommending we lay the lumber, here, but it wont be a common occurrence going forward. 

HOUSTON is 26-7 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Astros are 5-0 in Peacocks last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Rangers are 3-12 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Astros are 17-4 in the last 21 meetings in Texas.

HOUSTON is 50-16  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons and is 30-7  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.

The Astros are 7-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest as a road favorite off a road game in which they hit at least one home run and it is before the All-Star break, winning by an average of 6.7 runs per game.  

TEXAS is 1-13  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

HOUSTON is 22-2  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  team (TEXAS) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games are 16-61 on the ML L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (2018: 8-10, 4.02 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Frankie Montas (2018: 5-4, 3.88)

 Skaggs the Angels starter today is supposed to be healthy , but I doubt he is in top form after fighting with what was described as forearm fatigue during spring training,  as was evident when he allowed nine runs and  eight earned on  11 hits in just 9 2/3 innings in three starts of sub par work. Meanwhile,  Oaklands starter Montas had an exceptional spiring  allowing  just two runs - one earned - and 11 hits in  16 innings in two starts and three relief appearances. 

I  know the As bullpen has looked a little ragged, but that is an anomaly in my . humble opinion and Im betting we have value with the home side based on starting pitching and a more fluent As offence. 

Angels are 21-46 in their last 67 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 5-12 in their last 17 Sunday games.Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 road gamesAngels are 1-4 in Skaggs' last 5 starts vs. American League West.Angels are 1-4 in Skaggs' last 5 starts.

Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Athletics are 17-7 in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Athletics are 34-14 in their last 48 home games.

Angels are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland

MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (LA ANGELS) - first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games 22-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As on the moneyline 

Today I like Rangers starter Lance Lynn vs Cubs   Cole Hamels. Being a former team mate of this Rangers batting order they know him well and will have an advantage. 

 HAMELS is 0-8  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after allowing 8 runs or more are 22-39 L/22 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 

White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (2018: 7-10, 3.91 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (2018: 9-12, 4.37)

Lopez the Pale Hose starting hurler  today  showed  that he belongs in the big leagues, ranking second on the team in innings pitched (188 2/3) while holding opponents to a .234 average and my own matchup charts suggest he matches up well vs the Royals batting lineup. Lopez won his L/2 starts vs Royals  last season and gets the nod again in this spot on a value line. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - American League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 4.20 to 4.70 last season are 87-105 L/22 seasons for a go against 55% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox on the ML

Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (2018: 13-4, 3.03 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (10-7, 3.74)

Mets starter Syndergaard is 3-5 with a 3.43 ERA in 12 career appearances versus Washington. 

Nationals are 22-5 in their starters Strasburgs last 27 starts during game 2 of a series.WASHINGTON is 45-30  against the money line after being shut out in a loss to a division rival since 1997The Nationals are 10-0 L/10 on the moneyline at home after they had 6 or fewer hits, winning by an average of 5.9 runs per game.

Play on Washington to win on the moneyline 

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)

Snell the Rays starting pitcher here in their home opener, has seen his team win his last three starts vs the Houston Astros. Meanwhile,  Houstons starter Verlander has lost his L/2 vs the Rays. On paper the superior side is of course the Astros, but here in game 1 of the new season in front of their own fans the TB Rays get the nod. Note: The Rays were 5-0 SU last season as a underdog with Blake Snell when they won in his last start against their opponent .

SNELL is 11-1  against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  SNELL is 11-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

TAMPA BAY is 17-4  against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 30-14 L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay on the moneyline 

World Series - Game 3 - Best of 7 - BOS Leads 2-0

The  Dodgers are a good team, but backing a great  team that looks like it has been on a mission from a higher power  all season long, at this price is just to good to pass up . The BoSox are 9-2 this October, and todays starter Porcello has been on the hill for four of those Red Sox wins and gets my support to get the BoSox one step closer to the promised land.

BOSTON is 10-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Buehler whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons. PORCELLO BoSox starter is 20-6 against the money line vs. poor base running teams like the Dodgers- averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. PORCELLO is 9-0  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record

LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) this season.BOSTON is 18-4  against the money line in an inter-league game this season.

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 47-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 47-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox 

NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Tied 3-3

Brewers start Jhoulys Chacin tonight in the a sudden death Game 7 battle . The righty has  allowed only one run over 10 1/3 innings of his first two career postseason starts, and and his and his strong bullpen get my supporter. CHACIN is 10-4  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.

Meanwhile, Buehler  the Dodgers starter  is 4-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record).BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 0.786.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - LAD Leads 3-2

Im expecting the Brewers starter Miley won't be pulled after one batter this time around, and now extremely rested and energized I expect his top tier work to continue tonight at home in game 6 of this series. The southpaw in postseason  action this season has pitched shutout baseball into the sixth against Ryu and the Dodgers in Game 2 last weekend in 10.1 innings of work this October,  has limited the Rockies and Dodgers to just five hits  overall.  Im betting he at home tonight he gives his team an edge.Dodgers starters have had their struggles in the series, combining for a 4.10 ERA through the first five games and I expect the Brewers to get up in the early innings than hold off the Dodgers for a Game 7.MILWAUKEE is 8-1  against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

The Milwaukee Brewers 12 game win streak came to abrupt end last time out after a game 2 loss that saw them blow an early  lead. Now with the Dodgers back in the friendly confines of Chez Ravine they look like a strong candidate to hand the Brewers their second loss in a row behind the arm of Beuhler who has won his L/3  home starts and owned a  1.93 ERA and 84 strikeouts across 74 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium this season. Buehler allowed only one run in seven innings when L.A. hosted Milwaukee on July 31 and according to my power rankings  matches up well against them. With the Brewers most consistent hitter now in a slump ( Yelich) batting just.188 in the play offs I can feel the momentum beginning to shift towards the Dodgers.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers matchup well against the Brewers pitcher Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.50 ERA)  who they faced quite a bit when he was the Padres, which was evident last time he visited here when got blasted for 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of shoddy work. If Chacin falters his usually reliable bullpen is starting to look wobbly as is eviident by allowing 8 runs in the first two game of this series, and Im betting won't provide true relief here . 

Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship games.Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

The Red Sox own the better offence and the Astros the better pitching. Sale the Red Sox starter today is however the best individual pitcher in this series, and the Red Sox know how important it is to grab a win with him on the hill in this series. One mistake and the Red Sox are toast, as Houston is just two deep and has very few if any holes in their lineup. Look for the Red Sox to leave everything on the filed today behind Sales and find a way to win here in the Friendly confines of Fenway Park.Im not  putting down Justin Verlander the Astros starter as he's a fine pitcher but Boston has done their best work vs right handed starters this as is evident by a  88-39 run against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Astros are 2-8 in their last 10 League Championship road gamesAstros are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 11-1 in Sales last 12 starts on a natural surfaceRed Sox are 6-1 in Sales last 7 home starts.

Play on the Boston Red Sox in Game 1

The Milwaukee Brewers are on a 12 game win streak after taking game 1 of this series against the Los Angeles Dodgers and are my choice again here in game 2 with Wade Miley on the hill .Miley had to take a no-decision in an NLDS start against the Colorado Rockies when he allowed three hits over 4 2/3 shutout innings and shut the Dodgers out the last time he faced them in LA back on July 31.

Brewers are 8-0 in Mileys last 8 starts.

The Dodgers currently look unstable, and inconsistent both offensively and defensively. They did show some spark last night after being down 6-1 and came back with 4 runs, before losing, 6-5, but the 4 errors they committed sealed their fate. 

Its all about consistency and right now the Brewers are in a groove with everything working for them, while LAs moving parts are not in rhythm and whether Im  right or wrong  in my assessments Im not going to go against the Brewers in their current form.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

The Brewers enter this game on a 11 game win streak, and even the great Clayton Kershaw will have problems stopping this freight train behind the super hot Christian Yalich who hit .433 (13-30) against Dodgers hurlers during the regular season.

Meanwhile, the Brewers start Gonzalez goes against a Dodgers batting order that despite of finding ways to win has some key players in major funks, as Max Muncy, Manny Machado, and Yasmani Grandal are batting under .200. Chacin when if he falters is backed by a strong bullpen with LA Hitting a Collective .059  against  key reliever Josh Hader. 

With that said, Im backing Milwaukee to keep rolling with a home win in Game 1 of this series.

LAD are 3-11 in their last 14 League Championship road games.

Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff home games.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs, in October games are 43-21 L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline 

Oh boy did the Yankees ever get clobbered yesterday by the Bosox by a 16-1 count. Now with the Yankees in desperation mode and completely feeling embarrassed , redemption and revenge are at hand .  Look for the Yankees to bounce back vs Rick Porcello who is 0-3 with a bloated 5.33 ERA in 12 out season appearances and is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in four postseason outings with the Red Soc. The right hander in seven career starts in Yankee Stadium, is just 1-4 with a hefty 5.56 ERA.

Meanwhile,Sabathia the Yankees starter has pitched particularly well in the ALDS. In 11 appearances (10 starts) he is 6-0 with a 3.32 ERA.Since joining the Yankees in 2009 as a free agent, Sabathia is 8-3 with a 3.26 ERA in 18 postseason appearances (17 starts).Boston hitters garnered just one run in seven innings when they last faced him on June 29 in the Bronx. I know what happened yesterday, but The Yankees’  own a top tier bullpen that has shown their metal in this series, allowing just one run in 10 innings in the first two games of this series and Im also betting they bounce back tonight. 

MLB teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 12-37 L/5 seasons fo a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Im betting last nights Braves celebration , that saw them somehow find a way to win 6-5 on just 4 hits abruptly comes to an end this afternoon vs the LA Dodgers. Im betting on a well rested Dodger hurler Hill, who hasn't worked since pitching seven scoreless innings at San Francisco last Sunday to be well rested and fresh. The southpaw has won his last five regular-season starts to finish 11-5 on the season and is 5-0 with stingy 1.74 ERA in nine games against the Braves.

Braves starter FOLTYNEWICZ is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.725.

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games.Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 after a loss.Braves are 7-16 in their last 23 playoff home games.

Braves are 8-20 in their last 28 playoff games.Braves are 5-14 in their last 19 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 2-5 in Foltynewiczs last 7 Monday starts.Braves are 2-6 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Braves are 1-4 in Foltynewiczs last 5 home starts.Braves are 1-4 in Foltynewiczs last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-7 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. National League West

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 game are 44-17 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

Astros have played their best baseball on the road this season, and once again look like strong candidates here today vs the Cleveland Indians and their inconsistent hurler Clevinger, who has previously garnered a bloated 6.43 ERA in seven innings of post season ball.  In two starts against the Astros this year Clevinger was 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA. Meanwhile,  Houston’s Dallas Keuchel (12-11, 3.74 ERA) in 41.2 innings of  play off work owns  a solid 3.24 ERA. Keuchel  like his team has been his best on the road this season, and his team has won 10 of his L/13 daytime appearances.In eight career appearances against Cleveland Keuchel is 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA.

CLEVELAND is 11-20  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.HOUSTON is 16-3 against the money line in road games after a win by 2 runs or less this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 

Atlanta's offence is slumping at the worst possible time, and Im betting things will not get much better vs Buehler, who had a 2.03 ERA after the All-Star break. He is off  a top tier performance recording 6 2/3 scoreless innings Monday in the NL West tiebreaker against Colorado that gave the Dodgers their sixth straight division title. Buehler beat the Braves in his only regular-season start against them allowing a run and two hits over 5 1/3 innings at Los Angeles on June 8.  With that said, the Dodgers get the nod to take game 3.

ATLANTA is 0-8 against the money line in home games in a playoff game, facing elimination since 1997. ATLANTA is 4-15  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. (Braves were shutout in back to back games to start tis series)

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are just 14-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 

Public money keeps rolling in on Colorado, but Milwaukee is in a groove right now, and feeling the momentum of being up 2-0, and on a current 10 game win streak and  with the reliable Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the hill are capable of taking the Rockies out here in their own back yard.Brewers are 7-0 in Mileys last 7 starts and 6-1 in his L/7 road outings.

Meanwhile, Marquez suffered through one of his worst outings at home against Milwaukee on May 10, when he permitted five runs on 12 hits and three walks in just 4 2/3 innings. The way the Brewers are hitting right now , the righty could once again find himself in trouble. 

MILEY is 12-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) 

MILWAUKEE is 23-6  against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which was the case last time out. 

Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff home games.Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado

MLB team (COLORADO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games are 49-94 L/21seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline

Carrasco  the Tribes starter loves pitching here in  Houston , where he has a 1.17 ERA with 28 strikeouts vs. three walks in 23 innings in his career. In Game 3 of the ALDS against the Yankees last year, Carrasco logged 5 2/3 shutout innings and thrives in this environment. Carrasco pitches his best away from home, as opposition hitters are averaging  .220 against him. If he tires, he is backed with a bullpen that has gotten much better down the stretch and must be respected in their abilities to support him. Meanwhile, Garret Cole the Astros starter despite of his good numbers this season, has struggled bit of late at home where he has allowed 4 runs or more against 2 of his L/3 above .500 opponents . Coles top pitch the fastball is a favorite of Tribes key hitters and I won't be surprised if they tee off on him today in a big way. You have to remember Houston has not played well at home this season, and have lost 8 of their L/12 at home vs an above .500 team like the Indians. We have a lot of value here taking the Tribe to come out of this tilt with a victory. Note: Indians are 20-9 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Cleveland Indians 

Happ has been dominant since the Yankees got him -- he's 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA . That includes a six-inning, four-run win over the Red Sox at Fenway on Sept. 28 and six innings of one-run ball against them in New York on Sept. 18. He was brought over by the Yankees partly because of his ability to deal with the BoSox batting order well, and Im betting he does just that here today in Fenway. It must be noted that Chris Sale the Red Sox pitcher has also pitched well against the  Yanks this season, but that was before he went on the DL. Since than his velocity has diminished and he just does not look as dominant and could easily get in trouble with a power hitting Yankees lineup that leads MLB in Home Runs. If Sale falters, he is backed by a bullpen that is slumping heading into the post season, as BoSox  relievers owna cumulative 4.84 ERA in their last  126 1/3 innings.The Boston bullpen had a 6.75 ERA in 19 games against New York this season.

Play on the Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Both teams come into the series in good form . Milwaukee won seven straight games to finish the regular season tied atop the NL Central with the Cubs, then made it eight straight by knocking off the Cubs for the division title Monday at Wrigley Field. But Im betting the Brewers are much fresher after a couple days of rest as they waited for Colorado ,. The Rockies after  two exhausting emotional games that have them in this play off series their now at a disadvantage . Also Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA)  despite of pitching well of late has gotten tired quickly as is evident In his last five starts,  where he’s averaging less than six innings per outing.  With the Brewers bullpen fresher than the Rockies bullpen they have the advantage as this game progresses. 

Note:Look for Christian Yelich, who is slugging an insane 1.294 in the last week. Milwaukee also matches up well vs the Rockies and have won 5 of 7 meetings this season.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

Every time southpaw JA Happ goes to the hill for his team they have a chance to win. I know the BoSox have a tremendous record at home this season. But NYY needs just one more win to clinch home-field for the AL Wild Card matchup with the Athletics and with with Happ  on the hill this could easily be their best chance to get a win here in Fenway. You can bet we are on a very motivated team here tonight. 

HAPP is 11-2 against the run line  in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

HAPP is 7-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.270.

The Red Sox have lost 18 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

Chicago right-hander Kyle Hendricks (13-11, 3.49)  has been a Dr.Jekyll Mr Hyde pitcher this season but he has been in top form for a while now and has allowed , two earned or less in his last seven trips to the hill. He is 2-0 against the Cards this season, and his team has won his L/7 starts against them overall, and he gets my support here in this critical opener in this series. Meanwhile, Wainwright, who is still feeling the effects of some injuries this season, and suffering something what  I call jokingly Vampire anxiety syndrome asis evident by his   0-2 recored along  with a 5.17 ERA in three day starts this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-95 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Chicago to win on the moneyline 

Oakland’s Edwin Jackson (6-3, 3.18 ERA) has been in top form for a while as is evident by allowing two runs or less in four of his last five starts.  Since last July he has permitted  more than two runs only twice, with both  coming against Texas.  The last time he started against  Seattle he allowed one run against them and matches up very vs their batting order.  Oakland is 7-1 in his starts against division rivals and he once again looks like a viable pitcher to back in the spot play Jackson is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in five career starts against Seattle. meanwhile, former Cy Young award winner, Felix Heranadez continues to struggle  and has not won since June 30, going 0-7 with a 6.14 ERA in his past 10 games. He's o my current fade list and gets  the X marks the spot here tonight at home. 

ACKSON is 6-0 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) 

Play on the As to win on the moneyline 

The Mets' Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.36 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Braves rookie Touki Toussaint (2-1, 4.30 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. with the Mets playing a lot better ball since the all star break, and their top hurler on the hill tonight, I expect we will see them at their best. Mets are 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts.

The Mets are a perfect 6-0 when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season which Toussaint has. 

NY METS are 9-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. 

SYNDERGAARD is 9-0  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 88-27 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Skoglund the Royals starter is winless in his L/8 outings and is fade material here today vs the Reds.  I know the Reds struggled with their offence during their recent 10 game road trip, but here at home in the friendly confines of Great American ballpark I'm betting they rebound enough to notch a victory. Note: The Reds have averaged 4.9 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Harvey the Reds starting hurler despite of being highly inconsistent this season, owns a 5-2 record at home and stable 1.096 WHIP and gets my support in this spot play.

Royals are 0-6 in Skoglunds last 6 starts.Reds are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 home starts.

The Reds are 29-0 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs.

MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 86-52 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline