| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays +100 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
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Rays starter (Josh FlemingLHP2-3, 2.73 ERA, 16 SO)After making his last two appearances as a bulk-inning reliever out of the bullpen, Fleming will make his first start since May 1, when he pitched six innings vs. Houston. The lefty has allowed more than three runs just once in his 13 career outings and is more the capable of helping his team notch a win here vs the Mets. Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. NY METS are 1-10 against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-35 L/24 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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| 05-15-21 | Nationals -117 v. Diamondbacks | 4-11 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
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Nationals starter Joe Ross Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Nationals are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Joe Ross starts as a favorite after he averaged more than 4 pitches per batter in his last start. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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| 05-15-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays +128 | 0-4 | Win | 128 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
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Aaron Nola(RHP3-2, 3.59 ERA, 53 SO) threw a career-low 58 pitches in four innings in Sunday's loss to the Braves. Since he threw a shutout on April 18 against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park, Nola is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in four starts and today Im betting his problems continue vs an explosive Blue Jays batting order that according to my power rankings matches up well vs the righty.Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games. Phillies are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite. Play on Toronto to win |
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| 05-15-21 | Angels v. Red Sox +106 | 0-9 | Win | 106 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
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Dylan Bundy (RHP 0-4, 5.03 ERA, 43 SOD) is winless in his seven starts this season. The right-hander was removed in the fourth inning of his previous start after the Dodgers scored six earned runs on five hits. Rinse and repeat as Im betting the BoSox to pound away here and get us the win. The Angels are 0-9 L/9 after they lost by one run which was the case yesterday. Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 10-30 L/5 seasons for ago against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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| 05-14-21 | Cardinals +166 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
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Padres starter MUSGROVE is 0-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . MUSGROVE is 1-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.92 and a WHIP of 1.377. ST LOUIS is 10-1 against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 20-11 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 8-1 against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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| 05-14-21 | Reds +100 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
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Colorado took a 13-8 win yesterday and now Im betting on a more muted effort from the Rockies. Reds starter Wade Miley (LHP)4-2, 2.00 ERA, 27 SO is , coming off last Friday's no-hitter against Cleveland, in which he tallied eight strikeouts to one walk and threw 114 pitches, gets an extra day of rest for this start and is primed to slow down the Rockies in this spot play. The Rockies are 0-12L/12 on the ML after they had 12+ hits last game. CINCINNATI is 26-12 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 14-3 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) are 14-43 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 05-14-21 | Angels v. Red Sox -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
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Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta(RHP5-0, 3.19 ERA, 35 SO) has been Boston's best and most consistent starting pitcher this season. Pivetta has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Opponents are hitting .190 against him and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here vs a side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-29 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 19-56 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 05-14-21 | Cubs -127 v. Tigers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
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Detroit has been playing well but the Cubs matchup well here and deserve respect on a short chalk line . The Cubs are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter today Jake Arrieta starts when their opponent is on a 4+ game win streak. MLB home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs |
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| 05-13-21 | Indians -114 v. Mariners | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
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Indians starter Zach Plesac (RHP2-3, 3.83 ERA, 31 SO)joined some rare company on Friday, when he ended up on the losing end of a no-hitter for the second time this season, he proved that his progression is far from slowing down. He turned in a gem of an outing, tossing eight scoreless frames, with seven K's. Considering his current form it will be an easy decision to back him here today vs the Mariners. SEATTLE is 9-28 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually which was the case last time out. Play on the Indians to win |
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| 05-13-21 | Yankees v. Rays +126 | 1-9 | Win | 126 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
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Rich Hill(LHP1-1, 5.17 ERA, 32 SO)After a rough start, Hill has been on a roll lately. He has allowed two runs in 15 innings over his past three outings, including a scoreless six-inning start in Oakland last Friday night. Hill struck out seven Yankees in six innings in a win on April 9 and gets my support here vs the NY Yankees on a value ML. James Tallion the Yankees starter owns a 5.02 ERA and a has garnered a 10.23 ERA on the road and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rays strong left handed hitting batting order. TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 games on astroturf.Yankees are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Tampa Bay.Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and are 4-0 L/4 game 3 of a series. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 05-13-21 | Blue Jays +142 v. Braves | 8-4 | Win | 142 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
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Charlie Morton(RHP2-2, 4.98 ERA, 40 SO) matched a career-short start when he recorded just two outs against the Phillies on Friday. The veteran hurler has not found a consistent feel for his curveball and cutter. Consequently, he's allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here. Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games and have cashed 4 straight as interleague underdogs and get my support here today on a value ML. TORONTO is 25-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. Jays have won all 4 meetings this season and have won 5 straight overall meetings. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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| 05-12-21 | Mariners v. Dodgers -237 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP4-1, 3.59 ERA, 46 SO) is coming off his worst start of the year, with a season-high five earned runs in five innings. Contrast that with his April 20 outing in Seattle, when he had a career-best 11 strikeouts in seven scoreless innings -- the best start of his career to date and we have a situation where bounce back motivation and previous head to head success will give us an edge laying heavy lumber. URIAS is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.04 and a WHIP of 0.807.The Mariners are 0-18 L/18 as a road 140+ dog when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.
MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 8-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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| 05-12-21 | Angels v. Astros -124 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
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Astros starter Jose Urquidy(RHP3-2, 3.51 ERA, 29 SO) has thrived in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. He's allowed four earned runs in 20 innings in those starts, with all four runs coming off solo homers. Rinse and repeat situation vs the Angels in this spot play.
Play on the Astros to win |
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| 05-11-21 | Yankees v. Rays +117 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
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TB starter Luis Patino (RHP1-0, 1.17 ERA), 10 SO ) Rather than pairing Patiño with Shane McClanahan on Sunday, the Rays held him back to start vs. New York. He's likely only built up to pitch 3-4 innings, but he's been lights out so far with four baserunners and 10 Ks in 7 2/3 IP over three outings and will take the Rays deep enough for the bull pen cleanup . Meanwhile, Yankees starter MONTGOMERY is 4-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125. MONTGOMERY is 1-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.500. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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| 05-11-21 | Royals -120 v. Tigers | 7-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
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Tigers Brady Singer(RHP1-3, 3.41 ERA, 29 SO) had his best start of the season when the Royals visited Detroit in April, throwing seven dazzling innings while allowing just a run on three hits, no walks and eight strikeouts and gets my support here today.
The Tigers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start. DETROIT is 0-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. DETROIT is 1-18 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 16-4 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on Royals to win |
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| 05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves +103 | 1-6 | Win | 103 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
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Braves starter Huascar Ynoa(RHP3-1, 2.36 ERA, 38 SO)Ynoa has become one of the game's top stories this year. The right-hander has allowed two runs or fewer in five of six starts and he has homered in both of his past two games. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter is just 2-4 with a 3.97 ERA in eight starts at Truist Park in Atlanta.PHILADELPHIA is 17-39 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons
ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings, playing on Sunday are 54-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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| 05-09-21 | Rays +102 v. A's | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
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Rays starter Shane McClanahan(LHP0-0, 2.25 ERA, 10 SO) has unleashed his electric stuff in two starts. In eight innings, he's given up two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out 10. He is now ready to go deeper as the Magick of 3 takes us to a win. The Rays are 11-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a road dog when they are off two losses in which they never led. TAMPA BAY is 21-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 13-6 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on TB to win |
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| 05-09-21 | White Sox -141 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
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Royals starter Mike Minor(LHP2-1, 5.23 ERA, 30 SO) relied heavily on his fastball on Tuesday against the Indians, breezing through five innings before loading the bases and giving way to the bullpen in the sixth for the eventual loss. The lefty despite of that good effort last time out, still has not been consistent this season, and has lacked the ability to go deep which will once again put pressure on the Royals bullpen that owns a 4.77 ERA this season . Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 21-1 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 0-12 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 2 runs or less are 6-27 L/24 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 05-08-21 | Phillies v. Braves -163 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
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Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 1-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.552. The Phillies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog after they scored 6+ runs last game. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 13-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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| 05-08-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mets -135 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
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Arizona starter Merrill Kelly(RHP2-2, 5.79 ERA, 24 SO)is coming off a three-day stint on the injured list for what he said was a COVID-protocol issue. He could be rusty weak or both and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the NYM offense. Considering the Mets current good form that has seen them win 6 of 8 and the Dbacks struggling form that has seen them lose 4 straight it will be an easy decision to back the home side in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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| 05-08-21 | White Sox -155 v. Royals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
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White sox starter Lance Lynn(RHP2-1, 1.82 ERA, 29 SO) earned the victory in his return from the injured list, working five innings during his first start since April 15. Lynn allowed three runs and had a streak of 66 batters faced without a walk come to an end and looks healthy enough to be even more proficient here in this tilt. Meanwhile, the Royals starter Daniel Lynch(LHP0-0, 5.79 ERA, 3 SO will make his second career start, after his MLB debut on Monday against the Indians. The Royals' top pitching prospect was tagged for three runs on four hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings with three strikeouts, and while looking like he has some solid stuff will still be in over his head here vs a Pale hose batting order that likes to dismantle lefties. CHI WHITE SOX are 20-1 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Sox are 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter. CHI WHITE SOX are 24-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. White Sox are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. KANSAS CITY is 0-11 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 72-35 L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 05-08-21 | Mariners -104 v. Rangers | 8-9 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
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Texas starter Kohei Arihara(RHP2-3, 5.76 ERA, 14 SO)After being scratched from his last start with a callus on the middle finger of his pitching hand, he returns to the mound at less than 100 percent healthy. The Japanese pitcher has posted two straight losses. He enters the matchup with a 5.76 ERA on the year. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he does not matchup well vs the Mariners offense and is fade material here. .Mariners are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Play on Seattle to win |
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| 05-08-21 | Rays -131 v. A's | 3-6 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
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Rays starter Tyler Glasnow(RHP4-1, 2.06 ERA, 64 SO0has pitched like an ace all season, working at least six innings in six of his seven outings -- all of them quality starts. Facing the A's on April 28, he struck out 10 and allowed only seven baserunners in seven scoreless innings. GLASNOW is 10-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GLASNOW is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000..Meanwhile, The Athletics are 0-8 L/ on the ML when Frankie Montas starts as a dog when they won in his last start.
TAMPA BAY is 21-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasonsRays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and are 9-2 L/11 on the road. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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| 05-07-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -148 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
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Pirates starter Trevor Cahill(RHP1-3, 7.40 ERA, 24 SO)gave up four of his five runs in Saturday's 12-5 loss in the first inning. The right-hander has had an up-and-down start to the 2021 season: three outings of five or more runs allowed and two outings with one run allowed. His current overall form makes him look vulnerable to me, which has me backing the Cubs here this afternoon.Note: Pirates offense is struggling mightily on the road this season averaging just 3.1 rpg via ugly .201 BA.
PITTSBURGH is 0-12 against the money line in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 3-24 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 57-17 L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 80-28 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs to win |
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| 05-06-21 | Indians v. Royals -125 | 4-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
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The Royals are 9-0 on the ML when their starter Danny Duffy starts as a home favorite when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start and the Royals won.DUFFY is 8-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CLEVELAND is 7-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. Duffys last two starts vs the Indians were shutout wins . Rinse and repeat. Play on the Royals to win |
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| 05-05-21 | Blue Jays v. A's -121 | 9-4 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
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After losing 6 straight to the Jays the As have come back and won the last two meetings and Im betting the third in a row comes today behind the arm of Bassist. Chris Bassitt (RHP 2-2, 3.93 ERA, 36 SO) is racking up strikeouts at a high rate, recording at least eight punch-outs in each of his last three starts.The Blue Jays are 0-16 SU since May 04, 2019 in not the first game of a series as a road dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. OAKLAND is 9-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. OAKLAND is 15-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. Play on the As to win |
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| 05-05-21 | Orioles +111 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 111 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
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John Means (LHP 3-0, 1.70 ERA, 38 SO) was dominant once again in his last outing, beating the A's with seven innings of two-run ball. The lefty ace owns a 1.70 ERA across 6 starts this season and is a value proposition at this price. Mariners are 13-27 in their last 40 games vs. a left-handed starter.Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record./ BALTIMORE is 10-5 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play on Baltimore Orioles on the ml |
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| 05-04-21 | White Sox -102 v. Reds | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
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Pale Hose starter Cease threw his first complete game and shutout Thursday vs. Detroit and has momentum entering this game. The White Sox are 13-0 on the ML L/13 since the 2005 season as a road favorite off a home loss where they never led. White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. CINCINNATI is 3-10 against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 3 seasons. Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 05-04-21 | Braves v. Nationals +118 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
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Nationals starter Joe Ross(RHP2-1, 4.64 ERA, 18 SO)Ross threw six innings of one-run ball against the Mets in his last outing on April 24 and he gets my support here today.
WASHINGTON is 16-3 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 13-24 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. NBA underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (WASHINGTON) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, with a rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games are 27-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 49-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Washington to win |
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| 05-04-21 | Brewers v. Phillies -144 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
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Phillies starter Aaron Nola(RHP2-1, 3.11 ERA, 39 SO) has loved to face the Brewers in his career going 3-0 with a 2.97 ERA in six career starts against Milwaukee. Im betting he notches another W, here or at least contributes his team getting a victory in this spot play. Note:The Phillies are 12-0 on the ML when Aaron Nola starts as a home -140+ favorite when they lost in his last start.Brewers are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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| 05-03-21 | Blue Jays +110 v. A's | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
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Blue Jays starter Steven Matz(LHP4-1, 4.00 ERA, 27 SO) is coming off his first rough outing of the season, but opened the year 4-0 with a 2.31 ERA prior to that. Look for the lefty to bounce back after an excellent month of April, as he should be fresh after throwing just 80 pitches last time out and he gets my support here in this spot play as an underdog. note: Matz in 3 road starts owns a 2.60 ERA and a 3-0 record. Meanwhile, As starter Frankie Montas(RHP)2-2, 6.20 ERA, 25 SO is struggling entering this game a is evident by going 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA over his last two starts. This will be his first career start against Toronto. Toronto is 13-2 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons.TORONTO is 25-11 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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| 05-03-21 | Mets v. Cardinals -119 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Adam Wainwright(RHP0-3, 4.08 ERA, 32 SO)Despite being put on the COVID IL, Wainwright is set to start against the Mets to begin a seven-game homestand. Wainwright is winless in five starts this season, sporting an 0-3 record and a 4.08 ERA. However, he deserves better than those numbers suggest and gets my support here today. The Cardinals are 8-0 on the ML when Adam Wainwright starts when he went 8 or more innings in his last start and the Cardinals lost. NY METS are 7-22 against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 52-91 L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win
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| 05-02-21 | Rockies +131 v. Diamondbacks | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
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Rockies starter Chi Chi Gonzalez(RHP1-0, 3.60 ERA, 12 SO)In three starts, González has posted a 3.00 ERA with his pitch-to-contact, ground-ball style. In his only previous career start at Chase Field on Aug. 19, 2019, González allowed two runs over six innings in a no-decision and gets my support here today vs the Dbacks on a value ML. Meanwhile, Merril Kelly faced the Rockies earlier this year and allowed six earned runs in six innings at Coors Field and according to my power rankings does not matchup well against them. ARIZONA is 0-9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher over the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 5-22 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Diamondbacks are 11-24 in their last 35 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Diamondbacks are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 4 of a series. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 8 runs or more, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 43-64 L/24 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 05-02-21 | Indians v. White Sox -158 | 5-0 | Loss | -158 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
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Indians starter Zach Plesac(RHP1-3, 5.81 ERA, 18 SO)For the third time in his last four starts, Plesac will face the White Sox. And in each of his first two outings against Chicago, he permitted six runs on seven hits and Im betting he will actually regress here vs a side that is now very accustomed with his stuff. Note: Plesac in 2 road starts has recorded a ugly 10.79 ERA. The White Sox are 28-0 L/28 on the ML as a -125 or greater favorite after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 18-71 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA of 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 6-33 L/24 seasons for ago against 85% conversion rate. Play on White Sox to win |
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| 05-02-21 | Royals v. Twins -193 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
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Royals starter Brad Keller(RHP2-2, 9.00 ERA, 13 SO) pushed through back-to-back walks in the first inning against the Tigers on Monday to log six frames for his deepest start of the year. He worked around eight hits for two runs and struck out two, needing 103 pitches in the win. He enters this game exhausted which is not a good omen for him to lower his ugly 9.00 ERA. The Royals are 0-13 L/13 on the ML as a road dog coming off a road game in which they won by 5+ runs. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 12-45 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 05-02-21 | Astros -123 v. Rays | 4-5 | Loss | -123 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
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Astros starter Cristian Javier(RHP3-0, 0.87 ERA, 26 SO) enters the game on a 17-inning scoreless streak, which has spanned three starts. He threw five scoreless innings April 8 and April 22, and threw a career-high seven scoreless, with two hits, on Tuesday against the Mariners. Solid hurler deserves respect and the ability to go deep makes the Astros a solid wagering opportunity. Rays starter HILL is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Astros are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Cristian Javier starts after he averaged more than 3.9 pitches per batter in his last start. Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Play on Houston to win |
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| 05-01-21 | Red Sox -178 v. Rangers | 6-8 | Loss | -178 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
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Red Sox starting southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)(4-0, 3.52 ERA, 26 SO )has been the rotation's most consistent arm, having gone at least five innings in each of his four starts, reaching seven in his last outing vs. the Mariners. In four career starts vs. Texas, Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 4.44 ERA. He gets my support again in this spot. RODRIGUEZ is 17-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Red Sox are 11-0 on the ML when Eduardo Rodriguez starts on the road after he pitched a quality start in his last start. BOSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 11-52 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (BOSTON) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 72-23 L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bosox to win |
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| 05-01-21 | Cardinals -131 v. Pirates | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
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Jack Flaherty (RHP4-0, 3.18 ERA, 27 SO)The ace of the Cardinals' staff is in top form of late , with a 4-0 record, a 1.50 ERA and an opponents' OPS of .475 over his past four outings. Flaherty went 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA against the Pirates last season, with 17 strikeouts against two walks and gets my support in this spot play. FLAHERTY is 6-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 0.895. ST LOUIS is 9-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. Cardinals are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Pittsburgh. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games of 101-38 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Cardinals to win |
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| 05-01-21 | Indians v. White Sox -169 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
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Indians starter Triston McKenzie (RHP 0-0, 4.32 ERA, 23 SO) is winless in three starts this season as he's trying to find his command of the strike zone. The 23-year-old has allowed 14 walks and struck out 23 hitters in 16 2/3 innings this season. McKenzie has given up four home runs, with two coming in his last start against the Yankees and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Pale Hose starter Lance Lynn (RHP 1-1, 0.92 ERA, 27 SO)has been sidelined retroactive to April 17 with a right trapezius strain. But after the White Sox have taken their time with his recovery early in the season, he figures to be back in this series vs. Cleveland.The White Sox are 27-0 L/27 on the ML as a -125 or greater favorite after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 38-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. LARUSSA is 65-27 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - good AL offensive team (5.1 or better runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or worse ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win |
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| 05-01-21 | Royals +125 v. Twins | 11-3 | Win | 125 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
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Danny Duffy(LHP3-1, 0.39 ERA, 27 SO)has been a model of consistency this season. He's coming off another scoreless outing -- his third in four starts this year -- when he struck out eight with no walks in five innings against the Tigers on Sunday and gets my support here in this spot play vs the Twins who have proven very inconsistent offensively this season averaging just .247 BA vs Leftys this season and 3.6 rpg. Meanwhile, Twins tarter Matt Shoemaker(RHP)1-2, 5.49 ERA, 14 SO will make his fifth start of the season in hopes of evening his record. Shoemaker has taken the loss in his last two starts, as he's allowed a combined seven earned runs in 8 2/3 innings. He also recorded two strikeouts and issued five walks in those outings and his velocity is a problem marker. Here against a Royals side averaging 5.2 rpg vs righties the Twins are in trouble.
KANSAS CITY is 13-5 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. The Twins are 0-8 L/8 on the ML coming off a home game in which they held a multiple-run lead which was the case yesterday. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or worse ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or less WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 47-74 L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas city to win |
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| 04-30-21 | Royals v. Twins -140 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
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Michael Pineda(RHP1-1, 2.42 ERA, 22 SO) is looking to bounce back from his shortest outing this season, in which he went 4 1/3 innings and allowed four earned runs against the Pirates. Despite the rough outing, Pineda has been one of Minnesota's best starters this season. His 2.42 ERA and .193 opposing batting average rank second in the Twins' rotation and his overall form givers me the confidence to back him here today. PINEDA is 11-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Twins are 19-0 L/19 on the ML as a -140 or greater favorite after a 5+ run win as a road favorite last game. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 4-36 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 04-29-21 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -149 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
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Antonio Senzatela(RHP1-3, 5.76 ERA, 15 SO) held the D-backs to four hits in eight scoreless innings on April 7, but he is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA in nine career games at Chase Field and after recently showing control issues is fade material in this spot.The Rockies are 0-10 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts as a road dog when their bullpen gave up runs in each of their last two games.Rockies are 8-23 in their last 31 vs. National League West. Play on the Dbacks to win |
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| 04-29-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -134 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Cease has nine career wins, with a 5-0 record vs. Detroit and gets my support here again today. DETROIT is 0-13 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game without an extra base hit are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 7-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 04-29-21 | Dodgers v. Brewers +188 | 1-2 | Win | 188 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
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As a Padre,Brewers starter Lauer was 5-0 with a 2.11 ERA in seven starts against L.A. Brewers Im betting bounce back after yesterdays loss. Note: Milwaukee are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 45-95 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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| 04-28-21 | Rockies v. Giants -147 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
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Giants starter Alex Wood(LHP)2-0, 0.75 ERA, 11 SOWood has given up only one run on four hits over 12 innings in his first two starts of the year, both of which came against the Marlins and has momentum on his side going into this matchup. The Rockies are 0-10 L/10 on the ML when their starter German Marquez starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start. SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Marquez who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Giants to win |
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| 04-28-21 | Red Sox +225 v. Mets | 1-0 | Win | 225 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
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BoSox starter Nick Pivetta(RHP2-0, 3.48 ERA, 18 SO)The righty had a solid last outing vs. Seattle on Thursday, giving up two runs on one hit and striking out four in six innings and my support here on a bloated runline offering. BOSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. DEGROM is 10-14 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Mets top tier starter DEGROM is 10-14 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DeGrom has never beaten the Red Sox in 3 career starts. Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 road games. Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. .MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (NY METS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 04-28-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -201 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw(LHP)3-2, 2.56 ERA, 31 SOAfter allowing five runs on Opening Day against the Rockies, Kershaw is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA over his last four starts and gets my support here today . KERSHAW is 80-28 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) The Reds are 0-16 on the ML coming off a game as a road dog where they scored first, then trailed and came back to win. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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| 04-27-21 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +149 | 1-5 | Win | 149 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
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Padres starter C.Paddack has been shaky, allowing 14 runs across 18 innings, and is fade material in his current form. KELLY the Dbacks starter is 7-0 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Diamondbacks are 10-0 L/10 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. ARIZONA is 10-2 against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 19-4 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Arizona to win |
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| 04-26-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -180 | 5-3 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP3-0, 2.81 ERA, 26 SO) struck out a career-high 11 over seven innings vs. the Mariners in his last start start. The left-hander has not lost a decision since Aug. 9, 2019, against the D-backs. Risne and repeat again today. The Reds are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Tyler Mahle starts as a road dog when they lost in his last start. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. LA DODGERS are 61-18 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts is 67-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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| 04-26-21 | Rockies v. Giants -163 | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
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Anthony DeSclafani(RHP1-0, 2.14 ERA, 21 SO ) gave up three runs over four innings in his last start against the Phillies on Wednesday, which was interrupted by a rain delay. He is 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA over four career starts against the Rockies. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 against the money line rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games over the last 3 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 3 games are 35-6 for a 86% conversion rate. |
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| 04-26-21 | Mariners +155 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
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Justus Sheffield(LHP1-1, 4.86 ERA, 16 SO)has faced the Astros just once in his career, but was impressive in that outing, holding Houston to one earned run across six innings with four strikeouts last season. He gets the nod here on a value ML offering. Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Mariners are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a loss which was the case last time out. The Mariners are 9-0 L/9 on the ML after they drew 0-1 walks last game. The Mariners were a dog in all 9 games.
MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 99-48 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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| 04-26-21 | Cubs v. Braves -180 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
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Atlantas Charlie Morton(RHP1-1, 3.91 ERA, 27 SO) has felt good about his curveball in both of his previous two starts. The veteran will be pitching with an extra day of rest. He limited the Yankees to one run over six innings on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Zach Davies(RHP)(1-2, 8.80 ERA, 10 SO)Davies has a 12.10 ERA in his past three starts (9 2/3 innings), which includes allowing four runs in four innings to the Braves on April 16. He gave up two runs in four innings vs. the Brewers in his last start on Wednesday and is fade material in his current form. CHICAGO CUBS are 4-11 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The Cubs are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a road dog of at least +140 after they were shutout last game. Play on the Braves to win |
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| 04-26-21 | Twins -120 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
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Twins starter Zach Plesac (RHP1-3, 6.75 ERA, 14 SO) has gotten off to a tough start, taking the loss in three of his first four outings. Although he has issued only two walks and struck out 14 in 18 2/3 innings, opposing hitters are batting .299 against him and is fade material in its current form. Meanwhile, Twins starting hurler Jose Berrios (RHP2-2, 3.00 ERA, 30 SO)leads the Twins' pitching staff with 30 strikeouts in 21 innings this season. He took a tough-luck loss against the A's in his last outing due to a lack of run support despite allowing one run in five innings and get my support in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 5-17 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Any team (CLEVELAND) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 04-25-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -179 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
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Michael Kopech(RHP1-0, 1.69 ERA, 17 SO)Kopech will get his second start of the 2021 season during Sunday's series finale against the Rangers. Kopech takes the place of Lucas Giolito, who was pushed back following a cut to the top of his middle finger. This hurler is one of the most under rated hurlers in the majors according to my power rankings and matches up well vs the Rangers batting order. The White Sox are 24-0 L/24 on the ML as a -125+ favorite after they scored in no more than two separate innings last game. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts, cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 9-61 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 04-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays +106 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
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Luis Patino(RHP0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO)The headliner of the Rays' return from the Padres for Blake Snell, Patiño will make his second Major League start in his Rays debut against the Jays. He's stretched out to pitch at least four innings. Lefty Josh Fleming will also pitch for Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, Ryu the Jays starter despite of remaining a top tier pitcher has seen his velocity decrease recently , which might be a troubling scenario that signals some other issues. The Blue Jays are 0-16 L/16 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. TAMPA BAY is 16-4 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 24-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. are 44-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 04-25-21 | Mariners v. Red Sox -189 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
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Nick Margevicius(LHP0-1, 5.40 ERA, 11 SO)is slated to pitch on turn after exiting his last outing early with left arm fatigue. His last start came on one day’s fewer rest than he’s been accustomed to in the six-man rotation. This will be his first career start against the Red Sox and is fafe material vs a batting order that matches up well against him. Note :The Red Sox are 23-0 L/23 on the ML when Bosox starter Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of more than -180.MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 25-108 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
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| 04-24-21 | Marlins +132 v. Giants | 5-2 | Win | 132 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
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Pablo Lopez(RHP0-2, 3.32 ERA, 25 SO) was the tough-luck loser his last time out on Sunday against the Giants. Though he set a career high with nine strikeouts -- all on the changeup -- across six innings, an unearned run proved to be the difference in the 1-0 defeat. Im betting he keeps the Marlins in this game and they find a way to punch past the Giants tonight.
MIAMI is 22-17 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Play on the Marlins to win |
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| 04-24-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -163 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
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Gibson has pitched well for the Rangers this season, but Im betting the way his teams offence has been operating, that he wont be able to win this game on his own. TEXAS is 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 7-31 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 7-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White sox to win |
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| 04-24-21 | Angels v. Astros -140 | 2-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
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Astros Jake Odorizzi(RHP)0-2, 10.57 ERA, 11 SO has made two starts since joining the rotation, allowing five runs in 3 1/3 innings April 13 and four runs in 4 1/3 innings on Sunday. He did retire 10 in a row during a stretch Sunday in Seattle with seven strikeouts overall. Despite of his lackluster overall record my power rankings suggest he matches up well vs the Angels batting order.
The Angels are 0-13 ML L/13 past the first game of a series as a dog off a road game in which they had 12+ hits. Play on the Astros to win |
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| 04-24-21 | Nationals +166 v. Mets | 7-1 | Win | 166 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
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Nationals matchup well against the Mets starter Stroman. I know Stroman has started hot but he is one of baseballs most inconsistent starters despite of his talents. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. NY METS are 4-16 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (WASHINGTON) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, a bad team, winning 38% to 46% of their games on the season are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Nationals to win |
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| 04-24-21 | Pirates v. Twins -192 | 6-2 | Loss | -192 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
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The Twins are a bad matchup for the Pirates according to my power rankings. I look for the Twins to tee off on Trevor Cahill (RHP0-2, 9.69 ERA, 17 SO)who allowed five runs in the first inning of Saturday's loss to the Brewers, which was the third time in three Cahill starts this season that an opponent scored in the first. Cahill will look to end that stretch against the Twins. Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 interleague road games.Pirates are 5-23 in their last 28 interleague games. PITTSBURGH is 0-13,against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 12-1 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 21-8 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons. The Twins are 10-0 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series as a favorite after they scored 3 runs or less and won last game. The Twins are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when Michael Pineda starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-61 5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Play on the Twins to win |
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| 04-23-21 | Angels v. Astros -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
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Zack Greinke(RHP2-1, 2.81 ERA, 16 SO) has three quality starts in four outings, posting a 1.01 WHIP. He threw eight scoreless innings Saturday at Seattle and in his current form deservers respect as a short favorite. GREINKE is 119-63 against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
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| 04-23-21 | Nationals +260 v. Mets | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
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Nationals Erick Fedde(RHP1-1, 5.56 ERA, 15 SO) is looking to ride the momentum of recording a career-high-tying nine strikeouts on Saturday against the D-backs. He is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA over his last two starts. FEDDE is 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record)
The Nationals are 11-0 on the ML on the road when they are off two straight one-run wins with 8 wins seeing their opponents core 1 run or less. NY METS are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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| 04-23-21 | A's -130 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
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Cole Irvin(LHP1-2, 4.60 ERA, 11 SO)looks to build off what was his best outing since becoming a starter after tossing six scoreless innings with no walks and six strikeouts in a win over the Tigers and gets my support in this spot play here today in Baltimore.
OAKLAND is 11-1 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. OAKLAND is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. HYDE is 6-34 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) as the manager of BALTIMORE MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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| 04-22-21 | Yankees v. Indians -109 | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
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Indians starter Aaron Civale(RHP) 3-0, 2.18 ERA, 16 SO will look to secure his fourth win of the season. Last time out, he permitted just one run on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in six innings against the White Sox on April 15, throwing a season-high 99 pitches. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Domingo German(RHP) (0-2, 9.00 ERA, 7 SO ) Germán will be recalled from the alternate training site, having been demoted after permitting four runs and eight hits in four innings against the Rays on April 10. Germán is fade material in his current form. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. NY YANKEES are 0-6 \against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. CLEVELAND is 27-4 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 9-30 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 04-21-21 | Rays +102 v. Royals | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
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Michael Wacha(RHP1-1, 4.20 ERA, 20 SO)is coming off a dominant start against the Yankees in which he struck out nine and allowed just one hit over six innings. He owns a 3-1 record and 3.24 ERA in four career starts in Kansas City and Im betting he helps his team connect on a 3 game sweep of the Royals.Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. TAMPA BAY is 18-3 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 04-21-21 | Rangers +158 v. Angels | 7-4 | Win | 158 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
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Jose QuintanaLHP0-1, 16.20 ERA, 9 SO has struggled with his command, walking seven in five innings. He allowed seven runs (five earned) in 1 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays in his last start and is big time fade material in his current form. Note: LA ANGELS are 3-9 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games against opponent with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 23-10 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rangers to win |
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| 04-20-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -110 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
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Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP2-0, 3.60 ERA, 12 SO)Two starts have equaled two wins for Rodriguez, who missed all of 2020 with complications related to COVID-19. Tuesday will mark Rodriguez's first home start of the season; he is 16-6 at Fenway since '18.
RODRIGUEZ is 16-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 14-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 11-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 04-19-21 | Rangers v. Angels -215 | 6-4 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
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Dylan Bundy(RHP0-1, 3.32 ERA, 22 SO) has been off to a strong start and is coming off a solid outing against the Royals. He gave up two earned runs over seven innings with six strikeouts in a loss. In his current form he is a good bet here even at a higher price than I usually pay. TEXAS is 4-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 17-61 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 04-18-21 | Braves v. Cubs -132 | 13-4 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
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Kyle Hendricks(RHP0-1, 3.00 ERA, 10 SO)The Cubs skipped Hendricks' start in Milwaukee earlier this week when the righty reported feeling under the weather. If he continues to improve, he will start against Atlanta on Sunday. Hendricks spun six shutout innings against the Brewers on April 7 and gets my support against them in this spot again. Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Cubs are 71-31 in their last 102 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Chicago cubs to win
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| 04-18-21 | Tigers v. A's -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
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Boyd is a strong hurler for Detroit but he does not matchup well vs this As batting order. DETROIT is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 19-4 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 9-1 against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 19-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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| 04-18-21 | Blue Jays v. Royals -109 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
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Jays starter Ray according to my projections does not matchup well vs the Royals lineup. RAY is 15-30 against the money line in day games since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 23-17 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 77-42 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Royals to win |
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| 04-18-21 | Rays v. Yankees -225 | 4-2 | Loss | -225 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
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Gerrit Cole RHP(2-0, 1.47 ERA, 29 SO)In his last start, Cole settled in after a rocky beginning to retire the final 15 batters he faced in a 3-1 win over the Blue Jays. Keep in mind that Cole has a 1.52 ERA in nine starts with catcher Kyle Higashioka, including the playoffs, and thats the expected pairing here today. BOONE is 53-18 against the money line in home games after a loss as the manager of NY YANKEES.BOONE is 32-11 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the Yankees to win |
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| 04-17-21 | Dodgers v. Padres +110 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
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Yu Darvish(RHP1-0, 3.06 ERA, 19 SO), who was catch partners with Clayton Kershaw during their 2017 stint together in L.A., faces off against his former teammate. He's been excellent in his past two outings, allowing one run on three hits in each of those starts and gets my support here on a value line at home. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.. ROBERTS is 49-62 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA DODGERS.Play on the San Diego Padres to win
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| 04-17-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 6-1 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
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Dane Dunning(RHP1-0, 1.00 ERA, 11 SO)The rookie looks to continue his early season dominance. After giving up a home run in his first inning of 2021, Dunning has pitched eight scoreless innings and garners support here in his current form.TEXAS is 6-1 against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons.Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series. Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East. Rangers are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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| 04-16-21 | Twins +111 v. Angels | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
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Andrew HeaneyLHP1-1, 7.00 ERA, 13 SOHeaney bounced back from a rough season debut to throw six scoreless innings against the Blue Jays on Friday. He scattered three hits and two walks, while striking out nine. But in this matchup vs the Twins my power rankings suggest he does matchup well vs the Twins batting order. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record and are 5-0 L/5 meetings vs the Halos. LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. BALDELLI is 24-14 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of MINNESOTA. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 04-16-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -118 | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
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Jorge LopezRHP(0-2, 11.42 ERA, 9 SO) last start, vs. the Red Sox, he was hurt by two home runs, and he struggled with walks in the prior outing (April 5). All told, the righty has allowed 11 runs over his first two starts, striking out nine and is fade material in his current form. TEXAS is 21-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons . MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 12-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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| 04-15-21 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
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Garrett RichardsRHP(0-1, 10.29 ERA, 6 SO)recovered nicely from a poor debut for the Sox in his last start, holding the Orioles to two runs -- back-to-back solo shots -- over five innings. He walked three and struck out four. He has pitched well against the Twins in his career, going 2-1 with a 3.02 ERA in seven games (six starts) and gets my support here in the underdog role.
BOSTON is 9-0 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.BOSTON is 8-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 7-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 04-15-21 | Padres v. Pirates +136 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
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This pick is based on value according to current matchup stats. Advantage Pittsburgh. SAN DIEGO is 0-7 against the money line in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a favorite of -150 or more since 1997. PITTSBURGH is 9-3 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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| 04-14-21 | Reds v. Giants +102 | 0-3 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
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Johnny CuetoRHP1-0, 2.51 ERA, 14 SOCueto delivered a gem in the Giants' 2021 home opener, working 8 2/3 innings of one-run ball against the Rockies on Friday. He spent the first eight years of his career in Cincinnati, earning his first career All-Star nod in 2014. He will be motivated here against his old team to continue his current momentum. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. CUETO is 16-4 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 14-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to win |
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| 04-14-21 | Angels v. Royals +110 | 1-6 | Win | 110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
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Brad Keller will look to turn things around against the Angels after two short starts to open the season. He allowed four runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings last week against the White Sox, with three walks and three strikeouts. The righty likes pitching here at home and deserves respect on a value line . KELLER is 6-0 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KANSAS CITY is 21-9 (against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games. Angels are 18-40 in their last 58 road games. Angels are 8-21 in their last 29 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Royals to win |
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| 04-13-21 | Rangers v. Rays -166 | 8-3 | Loss | -166 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
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Over the past three years, Yarbrough has led the Rays in innings (344 2/3) despite making only 29 starts during that span and being introduced as a bulk-innings pitcher in 2018 and must not be underestimated in his ability to long here vs a struggling Texas offence. Since his debut in 2018, no pitcher with at least 300 innings has recorded a lower average exit velocity than Yarbrough’s 84.6 mph mark, according to Statcast. Yarbourgh gets my support. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-37 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on the Rays to win |
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| 04-12-21 | Rangers v. Rays -197 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
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Tyler RHP(0-0, 0.75 ERA, 15 SO)Glasnow will look to continue his excellent start to the season, having allowed just one run while striking out 15 in 12 innings over two starts. He has a career 3.92 ERA with 110 strikeouts in 78 innings over 16 starts at Tropicana Field and gives us an edge here with the home chalk. Tampa Bay is according to my power rankings the far superior side here today and deserve my support on a favorite line that requires laying some heavy lumber. TEXAS is 1-15 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 04-11-21 | Phillies v. Braves -155 | 7-6 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
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Atlantas starter Drew Smyly(LHP) 0-0, 3.00 ERA, 8 SO curveball was effective as he recorded eight strikeouts and allowed just two earned runs in his season debut against the Nationals and looks like a viable option in this spot. Meanwhile, Phillies Matt Moore(LHP)0-0, 5.40 ERA, 4 SO struggled on Monday in his Phillies' debut. After he retired the first seven batters he faced, striking out four, he lost command of his pitches. He exited after just 3 1/3 innings, and now looks like fade material in his current form. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 11-0 ( against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 season. ATLANTA is 70-27 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 04-11-21 | Rockies +116 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
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German Marquez (RHP0-0, 3.60 ERA, 7 SO)After struggling with command on Opening Day, Márquez was better in his second start, at home Tuesday against the D-backs asnd now with momentum looks like a viable selection in an underdog role.
MARQUEZ is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on Colorado to win |
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| 04-11-21 | Padres -161 v. Rangers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
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Adrian Morejon(LHP)0-0, 4.50 ERA, 2 SOThus far, the Padres' decision to convert Morejon into a full-time starter has been a smooth one. He was excellent all spring and was sharp in his start against the Giants. Morejon allowed two runs before he was pinch-hit for in the fourth inning. In his current form he gives the Padres the needed edge to get us a win here. TEXAS is 9-26 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.'SAN DIEGO is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 31-105 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to win |
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| 04-11-21 | Royals v. White Sox -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
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Royals lefty Mike Minor(1-0, 6.00 ERA, 6 SO)made it through six innings on April 3 against the Rangers, but he allowed four runs on four hits in his season debut and Im betting the White Sox strong left handed batting order adjusts and even does more damage in the rematch.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 04-10-21 | Phillies v. Braves -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
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Atlanta has won 3 straight and beginning to heat up putting 8 runs on the board in a 8-1 win yesterday vs these same Phillies. More of the same action coming today. ATLANTA is 11-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - struggling offensive team - scoring 4.0 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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| 04-10-21 | Padres -166 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
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Padres have faired well vs Interlegue righties of late and Jordan Lyles Im betting will be another one of a long line of starters that feels the heat of the Padres consistent offence this Saturday. Padres are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Play on San Diego to win |
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| 04-10-21 | Brewers +102 v. Cardinals | 9-5 | Win | 102 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
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Adrian Houser (0-1, 3.60 ERA, 4 SO) when he is on, he's a ground-ball machine. He did a good job of that in his season debut against the Twins following a shaky first inning. He'll be seeing the Cardinals with fresh eyes; Houser didn't start against them last year. Im betting his style matches up well vs the Cards. COUNSELL is 24-12 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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| 04-07-21 | Orioles v. Yankees -182 | 4-3 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
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New York enters Taillon's debut with a major-league leading 1.76 ERA. The Yankees have allowed three runs or less in the first five games of the season for the first time since 1992 and I will recommend we ride the rightys momentum into this tilt vs the Orioles. He was off last season, after Tommy John surgery but looked brilliant in spring training recording a 1-1 record and a 1.08 ERA in four spring games (three starts), striking out 14 against four walks in 8 1/3 innings. NY YANKEES are 15-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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| 04-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -206 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
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Castillos last start vs. the Pirates was a seven-inning, three-hit, 10-strikeout performance during a 1-0 win on Sept. 16, 2020. Im betting on a strong effort here today and for the Reds explosive offense to buoy him. PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 34-74 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 04-06-21 | White Sox -136 v. Mariners | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
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Lucas Giolito The White Sox ace was solid in his second straight Opening Day start, striking out eight and walking two over 5 1/3 innings. The right-hander’s changeup was especially effective, as he allowed just two runs before leaving and get my support here. GIOLITO is 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, lefty James Paxton who was initially slated to start Game 2 on Friday, but he was pushed back due to what manager Scott Servais summed up to extra rest could easily find the going tough here as his conditioned is in question. Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 17-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 04-06-21 | Pirates v. Reds -148 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
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The Reds can record a fourth straight victory by handing the visiting Pirates their fourth consecutive defeat when the NL Central foes continue their series on Tuesday night and thats what Im betting happens. Pirates Wade Miley Miley dealt with a hamstring issue that briefly halted his spring. The club moved him back to the fifth spot so he could get extra reps on the side, including an intrasquad scrimmage on Wednesday. In 10 career starts vs. Pittsburgh, he owns a viable 3.98 ERA. He and his bullpen get the nod today vs journeyman Cahil who worked just 3 2/3 innings in spring training.PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 2-19 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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| 04-06-21 | Twins -131 v. Tigers | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
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Twins starter J.A. Happ saw some questioning from the media talking heads as to whether he would be fully prepared for the start of the season, due to a positive COVID-19 test at the start of camp, but he appears to be stretched out and ready to pitch and as far as the covid 19 went showed no real symptoms. Happ had a 3.47 ERA for the Yankees last year. HAPP is 33-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter Casey Mize their top pitching prospect had to fight for a spot while battling command issues in Spring Training, but he still struck out 21 batters over 14 innings. Mize faced the Twins three times last year, posting an 8.49 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings and is fade material here. DETROIT is 1-16 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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| 04-05-21 | White Sox -116 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
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White Sox Carlos Rodon was non-tendered by the White Sox this past offseason but brought back two months later via free agency and had a tremendous Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons and Im recommending we ride his momentum today vs another LHP Sheffield. us Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons. Rodon, who is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against Seattle
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 04-05-21 | Cardinals v. Marlins -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
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St.Louis Cards are set to visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a three-game series. The Marlins starter Rogers ranked second in the majors with 29 strikeouts, earning praise from Marlins manager Don Mattingly. Tonight we will ride what could easily be a surprise standout in the Miami rotation this season. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon, 29, has made 33 major league appearances, including 20 starts, and his ERA has risen in each of his three seasons (2.73, 3.70 and 4.96). His walk rate per nine innings has also gone up each year (3.5, 4.8 and 5.5) and is fade material according to my projections. MIAMI is 8-0 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. ( Marlins bats exploded yesterday winning by 12-7 count, and that offenive momentum Im betting will buoy them to a win today) Play on Miami to win |
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| 04-04-21 | Diamondbacks +192 v. Padres | 3-1 | Win | 192 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
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Widener pitched well for the D-backs out of the bullpen last year, and he will take the spot of the injured Zac Gallen in the rotation to start the year. Widener improved his slider this spring, which should help him be even better in 2021. ARIZONA is 20-8 against the money line in road games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings since 1997. SAN DIEGO is 9-17 ( against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less) over the last 3 seasons. Play on the DBacks to win |
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| 04-03-21 | Giants -114 v. Mariners | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
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Webb dazzled this spring, allowing only one run over 17 innings (0.53 ERA) in five starts during exhibition play and I recommend we ride his momentum into this tilt on a short line .Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games. Play on the Giants to win |
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| 04-02-21 | White Sox +106 v. Angels | 12-8 | Win | 106 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
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The left-hander Keuchel begins his second season with the White Sox, and looks prepared to build off a tremendous debut in which he produced a 1.99 ERA in 11 starts. The veteran feels ready to go after throwing 11 1/3 Cactus League innings. KEUCHEL is 12-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.185. Meanwhile, Angels , southpaw, Andrew Heaney was the club's Opening Day starter in 2020 and had a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts with 70 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings. He has allowed way to may homers , and is always susceptible to allowing big innings bv opposition offences. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Play on White Sox to win |
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| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays +100 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
| 05-15-21 | Nationals -117 v. Diamondbacks | 4-11 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
| 05-15-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays +128 | 0-4 | Win | 128 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
| 05-15-21 | Angels v. Red Sox +106 | 0-9 | Win | 106 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
| 05-14-21 | Cardinals +166 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
| 05-14-21 | Reds +100 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
| 05-14-21 | Angels v. Red Sox -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
| 05-14-21 | Cubs -127 v. Tigers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-13-21 | Indians -114 v. Mariners | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
| 05-13-21 | Yankees v. Rays +126 | 1-9 | Win | 126 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
| 05-13-21 | Blue Jays +142 v. Braves | 8-4 | Win | 142 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
| 05-12-21 | Mariners v. Dodgers -237 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
| 05-12-21 | Angels v. Astros -124 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
| 05-11-21 | Yankees v. Rays +117 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
| 05-11-21 | Royals -120 v. Tigers | 7-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
| 05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves +103 | 1-6 | Win | 103 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
| 05-09-21 | Rays +102 v. A's | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
| 05-09-21 | White Sox -141 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Phillies v. Braves -163 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mets -135 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | White Sox -155 v. Royals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Mariners -104 v. Rangers | 8-9 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Rays -131 v. A's | 3-6 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
| 05-07-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -148 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
| 05-06-21 | Indians v. Royals -125 | 4-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
| 05-05-21 | Blue Jays v. A's -121 | 9-4 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
| 05-05-21 | Orioles +111 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 111 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
| 05-04-21 | White Sox -102 v. Reds | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
| 05-04-21 | Braves v. Nationals +118 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
| 05-04-21 | Brewers v. Phillies -144 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
| 05-03-21 | Blue Jays +110 v. A's | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
| 05-03-21 | Mets v. Cardinals -119 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Rockies +131 v. Diamondbacks | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Indians v. White Sox -158 | 5-0 | Loss | -158 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Royals v. Twins -193 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Astros -123 v. Rays | 4-5 | Loss | -123 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Red Sox -178 v. Rangers | 6-8 | Loss | -178 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Cardinals -131 v. Pirates | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Indians v. White Sox -169 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Royals +125 v. Twins | 11-3 | Win | 125 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
| 04-30-21 | Royals v. Twins -140 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
| 04-29-21 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -149 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
| 04-29-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -134 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
| 04-29-21 | Dodgers v. Brewers +188 | 1-2 | Win | 188 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Rockies v. Giants -147 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Red Sox +225 v. Mets | 1-0 | Win | 225 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -201 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
| 04-27-21 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +149 | 1-5 | Win | 149 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
| 04-26-21 | Reds v. Dodgers -180 | 5-3 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
| 04-26-21 | Rockies v. Giants -163 | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
| 04-26-21 | Mariners +155 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
| 04-26-21 | Cubs v. Braves -180 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
| 04-26-21 | Twins -120 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
| 04-25-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -179 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
| 04-25-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays +106 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
| 04-25-21 | Mariners v. Red Sox -189 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
| 04-24-21 | Marlins +132 v. Giants | 5-2 | Win | 132 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
| 04-24-21 | Rangers v. White Sox -163 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
| 04-24-21 | Angels v. Astros -140 | 2-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
| 04-24-21 | Nationals +166 v. Mets | 7-1 | Win | 166 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
| 04-24-21 | Pirates v. Twins -192 | 6-2 | Loss | -192 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
| 04-23-21 | Angels v. Astros -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
| 04-23-21 | Nationals +260 v. Mets | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
| 04-23-21 | A's -130 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
| 04-22-21 | Yankees v. Indians -109 | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
| 04-21-21 | Rays +102 v. Royals | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
| 04-21-21 | Rangers +158 v. Angels | 7-4 | Win | 158 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
| 04-20-21 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -110 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
| 04-19-21 | Rangers v. Angels -215 | 6-4 | Loss | -215 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
| 04-18-21 | Braves v. Cubs -132 | 13-4 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
| 04-18-21 | Tigers v. A's -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
| 04-18-21 | Blue Jays v. Royals -109 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
| 04-18-21 | Rays v. Yankees -225 | 4-2 | Loss | -225 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
| 04-17-21 | Dodgers v. Padres +110 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
| 04-17-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 6-1 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
| 04-16-21 | Twins +111 v. Angels | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
| 04-16-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -118 | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
| 04-15-21 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
| 04-15-21 | Padres v. Pirates +136 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
| 04-14-21 | Reds v. Giants +102 | 0-3 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
| 04-14-21 | Angels v. Royals +110 | 1-6 | Win | 110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
| 04-13-21 | Rangers v. Rays -166 | 8-3 | Loss | -166 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
| 04-12-21 | Rangers v. Rays -197 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
| 04-11-21 | Phillies v. Braves -155 | 7-6 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
| 04-11-21 | Rockies +116 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
| 04-11-21 | Padres -161 v. Rangers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
| 04-11-21 | Royals v. White Sox -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
| 04-10-21 | Phillies v. Braves -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
| 04-10-21 | Padres -166 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
| 04-10-21 | Brewers +102 v. Cardinals | 9-5 | Win | 102 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
| 04-07-21 | Orioles v. Yankees -182 | 4-3 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
| 04-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -206 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
| 04-06-21 | White Sox -136 v. Mariners | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
| 04-06-21 | Pirates v. Reds -148 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
| 04-06-21 | Twins -131 v. Tigers | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
| 04-05-21 | White Sox -116 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
| 04-05-21 | Cardinals v. Marlins -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
| 04-04-21 | Diamondbacks +192 v. Padres | 3-1 | Win | 192 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
| 04-03-21 | Giants -114 v. Mariners | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
| 04-02-21 | White Sox +106 v. Angels | 12-8 | Win | 106 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
