Rockies  right-hander Antonio Senzatela (0-1, 1.80 ERA), faces  opposite Pittsburgh left-hander Rich Hill (3-3, 4.54).Senzatela  has the edge here vs a side  that has lost eight of its past nine games and has garnered  just 12 runs during that span and are  are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Rockies have won 7 of thier L/9 overall and are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are also 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. like Hill.

Advantage Rockies on a value line 

Alek Manoah (1-2, 4.71 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays.In Manoah's last start against the Boston Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and five runs, two earned, in five innings.He has not looked as impressive as he did last season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well against this current version of the Phillies. Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Philadelphia ended their 6 game losing streak last time out, and Im now betting with some momentum back on their sides they come out of this tilt with a victory. 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.possibly out for the Jays with left wrist soreness, the Phillies very much look like the right side.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.

 MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 12-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

I know the Orioles have lost 3 straight and finally lost the opening game of a series this season by a 3-0 count after 11 straight victories . However, Im betting. a bounce back effort today on a value line based on my projections that estimate the Orioles have a better than 53% chance of taking this tilt. Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss.

BALTIMORE is 21-17 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 15-2  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

MLB  team (TAMPA BAY) - good AL offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season are 41-52 L/5 seasons. 

Play on the Orioles to win 

Anthony DeSclafani has pitched well to start off his season, but Im betting he is over achieving after watching him put up horrendous numbers last season, as is evident by a 6.63 ERA .

Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Irvin is an average pitcher who is in call up mode from the minors, but is supported with a up-trending Nationals  bullpen. Irvin (0-0, 2.08 ERA)  helped the  Nationals' with 4 1/3 innings of two-hit, one-run ball in his major league debut on Wednesday at home against the Chicago Cubs and must not disrespected here.

MARTINEZ is 25-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.40 or better as the manager of WASHINGTON.

Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.

Play on the Nationals to win 

Peralta (3-2, 3.63 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 3.38), who is making his third start since coming off the injured list. Peralta is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers, including a 4-0 loss last season at American Family Field and gets the nod here vs a still 100% Gonsolin. 

I know Milwaukee has lost 6 games in a row all on the road , but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting on this current down trend to come to end for the Brewers today vs the visiting Dodgers who traveled on a red eye from the West Coast last night. MILWAUKEE is 21-6  against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

LA DODGERS are 11-21against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. ROBERTS is 21-39  ) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of LA DODGERS.

MILWAUKEE is 15-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

The Blue Jays, who entered the series with a five-game losing streak, have won the first two games of this series, with a  4-0 shutout Friday and an 8-2 beatdown yesterday and with momentum on their sides look very much like viable bets here today against the struggling Pirates who have lost 6 straight . 

Jays starter KIKUCHI is 15-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 23-9 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. Kikuchi enters this game in top form, garnering a 2-0 record along with a 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts including  having  struck out 30 batters in 31 1/3 innings of work.

Contreras the Pirates starter  advanced metrics - 4.32 xERA and a 5.16 xFIP. suggest he is being over rated  against a  explosive Blue Jays offense. Blue Jays are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

TORONTO is 21-8  against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

SCHNEIDER is 24-11  against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game as the manager of TORONTO.

Play on the Jays to win

The finale of this series now tied 1-1 features Atlanta's Bryce Elder (3-0, 1.75 ERA) against Baltimore's Tyler Wells (2-1, 3.34). WELLS is 12-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and have an edge here according to my projections from a mathematical standpoint based on a value underdog line that is bloated.

Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.

BALTIMORE is 22-11 against the money line in all games this season.BALTIMORE is 13-3) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

ATLANTA is 9-16  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 3 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Orioles are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Baltimore to win

The Astros starting hurler  France has been a strong minor league pitcher averaging  2.33 ERA in 19 1/3 innings this year in Triple-A ball , while averaging 12.1 strikeouts per nine innings.  The 28 year old can make you miss, and against a Seattle team that is struggling to hit and score hes a prime candidate to help his team to a victory. Meanwhile, the Astros bats get to face a sub par hurler in Marco Gonzales who has garnered a bloated  4.74 ERA. MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON  -GONZALES is 2-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.459. 

Astros are 44-14 in their last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Mariners starter Gonzales. 

Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Seattle.Astros are 52-19 in the last 71 meetings.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 27-9 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Astros to win 

The Dodgers are rocking and rolling right now with 6 straight wins and a recent   offensive  explosion of 42 runs in their L/4 trips to the diamonds. In their current form they are worth trailing on a value line in a advantageous situation according to my power rankings. 

KERSHAW is 24-9 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 0.964.The three-time Cy Young Award winner has a 0.763 WHIP and a .175 opponents' batting average and looks like he is back in his prime.Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 career starts at Petco Park.

Dodgers are 58-21 in their last 79 during game 1 of a series.

 Dodgers are 70-27 in their last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter and have the advantage here vs the Fathers today like Fathers starter  Darvish. Darvish is 3-5 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 2.47 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 17 walks in 62 innings over 10 starts.

Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. 

Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate.

Dodgers are 66-30 in the last 96 meetings.

Play on Los Angeles Dodgers to win 

The Athletics will send lefty Kyle Muller (0-2, 6.28 ERA) to the mound against Royals righty Brad Keller (2-2, 3.56). Muller has allowed 56 baserunners in 28 2/3 innings. My power rankings suggest this is a pitching mismatch favoring the Royals.One of the few bright spots among Royals starters, Keller has allowed hitters to a .226  BA , in 30 1/3 innings.

OAKLAND is 8-34  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. 

OAKLAND is 1-17  against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games, in May games are 15-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Royals to win 

Freeland (2-3, 4.32 ERA) will square off against Milwaukee's Eric Lauer (3-2, 5.19) in a battle of left-handers.

Milwaukee has struggled against southpaw pitching averaging just 3.2 rpg via .202 BA. 

FREELAND is 33-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in his career. (Team's Record)

Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 39-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Brewers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado.

Colorado Rockies to win 

Texas has averaged 6.4 rpg vs right handed starter like the Dbacks starter  Gallen and 6.7 rpg at home this season, and are a value  home dog here according to my projections. 

Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League West.

Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 25-9 L/5 seasons for. a 74% conversion rate for bettors. (Texas smashed the Yankees 15-2 L/time out). 

Play on the Texas Rangers to win

White Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan. 

 White Sox garnered a victory last time out, but that has not been a recipe for success in the follow up as the White Sox are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. Rinse and repeat is the bet here.

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins to win

Jays had a 7 game win streak end yesterday in a loss to Seattle, and will now be n a bounce back mode here today. Jays starter Berrios owns a stingy 1.42 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is in top form. His team has won his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and my power rankings suggest he matches up well here against the BoSox starter Kluber who has recorded a 6.89 ERA in his L/3 starts including a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA at home in Fenway this season. Advantage Blue Jays. 

BOSTON is 34-54  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Jays starter Berrios.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 61-14 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Im betting that the Phillies will not get the series sweep as the Astros have the edge here, especially with Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50)  starting for Philadelphia. 

Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 20-41 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

HOUSTON is 31-8  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-4  against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-3  against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 25-5 ( against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders as the manager of HOUSTON.

Home teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 36-16 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to win

The Orioles and Tigers split Saturday's doubleheader, with Baltimore pushing through with a  6-4 victory in the nightcap. That marked the Orioles 10th win in its last 12 games and like them to bring home the cash again this Sunday. Note: The Orioles Im betting will get out to an early lead vs Detroit's starter Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.25), who has had more strikeouts than walks in only one of his five trips to the hill this season.Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Turnbull. 

Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradish. Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Os starter Bradish. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Orioles to win 

Tampa Bay outscored Chicago 16-11 to secure a three-game sweep last weekend in Florida and has continued the momentum by winning the first two games  of this weekend series. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

TAMPA BAY is 5-0  against CHI WHITE SOX this season and Im betting they make it 6 in a row in the south side tonight.

TAMPA BAY is 25-2  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season.

CHI WHITE SOX are 4-17  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 6-19 (against the money line in April games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33)or less, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-123 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rays to win 

The last time the Mariners visited Toronto, they overcame an 8-1 deficit Oct. 8 to complete a two-game sweep of the best-of-three American League wild-card series. You can bet the Jays have some redemption in mind. 

Seattles starter CASTILLO is 10-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more.12-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to win 

The Baltimore Orioles swept the Detroit Tigers in a three-game home series last weekend and matchup well against them according to my early season power rankings. 

Orioles starter GIBSON is 22-12  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA)  worked out of a bases-loaded jam in the first inning on Saturday and went on to limit Detroit to two hits and one run in 6 1/3 innings.

The Orioles batting order matches up very well left-hander Joey Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who allowed five runs and six hits in four innings on Saturday.

Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Orioles are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.

BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.

Play on Baltimore to win 

After being held to five hits getting shut out for the fifth time in a 6-0 series-opening loss on Tuesday, San Diego recorded nine hits during a 5-3 win on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt and deserve my betting respect on this line offering.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 5-18  against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 137-53 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

The Reds will vie for the sweep on Wednesday when they send Graham Ashcraft (2-0, 1.88 ERA) to the mound opposite fellow right-hander Jon Gray (1-1, 3.72). Im betting the inconsistent Reds dont get the sweep and instead Im backing the Rangers here to salvage a victory behind the arm of Gray who is 4-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.348 with his team winning 5 of his all time starts vs the Reds.Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Play on Texas to win 

Kansas City lost for the ninth time in the past 10 games yesterday by a 5-4 count to the Dbacks. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as the Dbacks will be wide awake despite of their opponents ugly record so far this season. Quote:"I don't care if it's home or road. It's frustrating to lose, and everybody in there is frustrated," "It's a dangerous thing to start thinking about who you're playing and what their record is because we respect every opponent," Lovullo said. "If we start to look at them as less talented, which they are not, we're in trouble." Quote.

Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Nelson. .Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Neslson. 

Royals are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 22-51 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games.. 

Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Play on Arizona Dbacks to win

Left-hander Tommy Henry will make his season debut on Monday night against Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (2-2, 3.00 ERA).

The Dbacks consider themselves contenders this season, and Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo talked about in spring training when he said his ball-club could be a playoff contender "if we make the most of our opportunities." This is an opportunity they need to take advantage of as the Royals despite of a recent small crop of wins must be considered cannon fodder for a true contender. Ill give Lovullo and comapny the bdenefit of the doubt and take them as short favs here today. 

LOVULLO is 16-5  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like the Royals starter Keller. 

Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win 

Right-hander Colin Rea (0-0, 4.22 ERA), who has been called up from Triple-A Nashville after Brandon Woodruff went on the injured list, makes his third start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.50) gets the nod for Detroit. Note:Boyd is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA in two career starts versus Milwaukee, allowing 12 runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings, including five homers.

Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers Rea. 

DETROIT is 7-26  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.(Tigers are struggling with their offense)

MILWAUKEE is 11-4  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Boyd. Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.

Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.

Play on the Brewers to win 

The Mets lost yesterday to the Giants, but now Im expecting them to bounce back here in this tilt. SHOWALTER is 51-21 against the money line after a loss as the manager of NY METS. Mets are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mets are 49-19 in their last 68 games following a loss. Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win.

NYM starter MEGILL is 12-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 12-31 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like NYM starter Megill.

MEGILL is 8-0  against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)( The Mets righty lost to the Dodgers last time out) 

Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. like Ross Stripling of the Giants. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the money-line 

Braves starter WRIGHT is 26-6   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 19-0  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 20-4  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 25-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Wright scored the win in his only career start against Houston, going six innings with six hits allowed, two earned runs and seven strikeouts against the Astros last August. Im betting he gets the job done again in his third start of the season.

Houston kicked off the series with a 6-4 victory Friday. Atlanta scored four first-inning runs, then was held scoreless for eight as the Astros chipped away at the lead and will be primed for a bounce back effort here at home. 

ATLANTA is 26-15  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better like Valdez. VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 19.27 and a WHIP of 3.212.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 41-10 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. American League West.

Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.Astros are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Giants, who have lost six of seven and are not in good from,  and my power rankings suggest they are being over rated here today . Giants starter DeSclafani,   recorded a 6.63 ERA while being limited to five starts last season due to a right ankle injury, and despite of being a solid pitcher overall, is a go against option for me today against a solid NY Mets side that are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like  Desclafani . Note: DeSclafani is 0-4 with a 5.91 ERA in eight career games (seven starts) against the Mets.

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Mets Lucchesi .Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

  .Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 42-25  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 22-5 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Mets to win

Things don't look cohesive in Dodger town right now, and after a losing 3 of 4 at home to the NY Mets, bouncing back will not come so easy with jet lag a tailing factor in tonights Wrigley Field tilt after a late night flight in from the West coast. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2  against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Grove. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.

LA DODGERS are 6-13  against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or better ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 48-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win

 Nestor Cortes (2-0, 2.60 ERA) goes to the hill  for the Yankees as he bids for a franchise record. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine straight starts, and gets my support here to go long in this tilt and help his team to victory. Cortes is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career games (one start) against the Angels. He earned a win vs. Los Angeles last June 2 in New York when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings.Rinse and repeat on board. 

LA ANGELS are 7-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons like NYY expected starter Cortes. LA ANGELS are 22-43 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 30-8  against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 106-37 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NYY to win

Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/4 games overall and Im betting they struggle here again today vs Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) who  will look to extend the streak of Pittsburgh quality starts. . The Cuban right-hander allowed just one run and struck out 10 over seven innings in his latest start, but he has no run support vs  St. Louis Cardinals, losing  3-0 .

Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gets to go against a lefty Gomer. The Pirates have lit up lefties this season for an average of 5.7 rpg and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation this afternoon in the Mile High  city.

Rockies are 9-25 in their last 34 overall. Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Quantrill, a 15-game winner last season, is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career outings against the Tigers, including five starts and according to my power rankings matches up well vs this version the Tigers. Meanwhile, Turnbull (1-2, 9.00 ERA), who was sidelined all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, had allowed 12 runs in eight innings during his first two starts of the season and once again looks like cannon fodder. Guardians are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

QUANTRILL is 18-9  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-121 L/26 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Guardians to win 

Texas has won 6 of their L/8 while their hosts KC have lost 7 of their L/8. Its obvious these teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum. With that said, Ill ride the Rangers momentum here to what my power rankings suggest will be a victory.  KCs starter KELLER is 1-10   against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five lifetime appearances (four starts) against the Rangers, Keller is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA.

Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter Eovaldi. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings. are 55-14 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win

Twins starter GRAY has a had a good start to his season but  is just  15-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Twins right hander has also struggled agains the Red Sox in his career and owns   1-7 record  when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.13 and a WHIP of 1.488.

Twins are 13-31 in their last 44 road games.Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Sale.

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go 89% against conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Red Sox to win 

The Orioles won three of four games against the Nationals last season, outscoring the inter-league foe 17-8. My power ranking suggest they still matchup well vs this current Washington squad and have the edge here as road favs. 

Orioles are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league road games.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league home games.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

WASHINGTON is 9-23  against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. ( Washington did not play yesterday)

WASHINGTON is 8-26 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

MARTINEZ is 2-14 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of WASHINGTON.

Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

 My projections make the NYY a viable fav here this evening vs a inconsistent Angels team that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games. 

NY YANKEES are 33-8  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.

NEVIN is 12-35   against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. American League East.

Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NYY to win

The Mets have played better overall ball than the Mets early this season, but in this one instance (game) the Dodgers look to have the advantage with May on the hill. The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) to the mound in the series opener a hurler that the Dodgers matchup well against according to my power rankings.

Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 19-39 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 88-26 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 103-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rare for bettors.

Mets are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Dodgers 

The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Reds starting righty hurler GREENE is 5-20 (  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GREENE is 4-20  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the Rays have absolutely demolished right handed pitchers like Green, averaging 7.8 rpg in offense  via. a.284 BA. TAMPA BAY is 14-1  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Angels will look to avoid a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox today when they send Japanese phenom Ohtani out to the hill . Ohtani has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in Fenway.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 8-54 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-11 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Halos to win 

NYY starter Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020) and is once again ready for a shutdown performance against a batting order he matches up well against. MINNESOTA is 14-34  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 17-37against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. COLE is 4-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143 and his teams have won all 5 of his starts vs the Twins in his career.

NY YANKEES are 32-8  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYY to win

Atlanta enters this game having won 4 straight games, and have momentum on their sides entering this game vs a struggling KC Royals side that has lost 4 of their L/5 and 10 of 14. I know Bubic the Royals starter has looked solid so far this season, but run support has been hard to come by for the Royals southpaw, as Kansas City scored scored just one run in each of his first two outings of the season. Run support behind a side that averages just 2.5 rpg will once again be the Royals undoing. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 118-34 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Saturday's pitching matchup will feature Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA) and Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91). The key here will not be the starting pitchers but Miami's bullpen which has been strong with A.J. Puk (1.50 ERA) and Dylan Floro (0.00).  The Marlins won 5-1 yesterday and look like viable shot home favs in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter lie Garrett.

Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 91-43 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win

After getting swept in four games by the undefeated Rays in St. Petersburg, Fla  and now with  no momentum on their sides the BoSox are vulnerable to another defeat. My power ranking suggest that with  Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.64 ERA) going to the hill  for the Angels that they have an edge. Red Sox are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Note: Red Sox righty starter Houck is 1-1 with a 14.54 ERA against the Angels in two career starts, both in relief last year. Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.

BOSTON is 15-34  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 11-33  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Angels to win 

The Rays own a 13-0 record  and are  12-1  against the run-line, as they’ve won all but one game by multiple runs. That one game was a 1-0 shutout. Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Berrios and have an edge here as short road favs.BERRIOS is 7-21  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) TBs starter RASMUSSEN is 15-4  against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

After the first two weeks of the 2023 season, the Brewers are off to an 8-4 start. The Padres are 7-6. The Brewers according to their win loss record are also playing a more consistent brand of baseball and deserve respect here as road dogs. I know the Brewers lost yesterday to Arizona by a 7-3 count but they have been resilient recently after suffering a defeat as is evident by going 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game while registering a  4-0 record  in their last 4 games following a loss. Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

MILWAUKEE is 12-3  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 39-19  against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Milwaukee to win

Yankees matchup well here vs the Twins in the opener of their 4game series according to my early season power rankings. The Yankees are averaging 5 plus runs while their pitching staff is giving up 2.75 runs per game.

Ryan has pitched well for the Twins, but Yankees expected starter Johnny Brito owns a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.90 and is in top form. RYAN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.750. ( Ryan's one start was here at Yankee Stadium in a 7-1 loss last season in September)

NY YANKEES are 30-6 (against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 6-22 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 8-24 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record.

Twins are 11-44 in the last 55 meetings in New York.

Twins are 12-39 in the last 51 meetings.

Play on NYY to win 

 Stroman (2-0, 0.00 ERA) is 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his past six starts. In his five home starts going back to last season.   Stroman has yielded just two runs, with 17 hits and 11 walks, while striking out 32 in 32 innings to earn five consecutive victories and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today vs the visiting Mariners. .

Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of their L/7 road games. 

 Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

  Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. cubs are 5-1 L/6 overall. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 31-16  against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Mariners are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on Chicago to win 

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 straight games and have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and roll into this game with offensive momentum and deserve respect here as home underdogs. It must be noted the Dbacks starter Kelley has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Brewers and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today. Especially considering the Brewers starter Burnes has struggled so far this season as is evident by garnering a bloated 9.65 ERA so far this season. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Brewers are 7-18 in their last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Kelly.

MILWAUKEE is 9-16 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

 Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.

Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Play on Arizona to win

  On Monday versus the Mets, San Diego had just two hits in a 5-0 loss and Im betting their offense struggles to be consistent today vs Mets starter Peterson 

Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in their last 25 at home versus a southpaw starter and 46-22 in their last 68 at home vs lefties like the Padres starter Weathers. 

Mets are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

NY METS are 23-5   against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 47-20  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Yesterday the Phillies put 15 runs on 20 hits, including nine runs and 10 hits against  top tier hurler Alcantara. This is an explosive Phillies lineup and Im betting on another top shelf effort today against a lesser pitcher in Luzardo. 

Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola.

Marlins are 12-32 in their last 44 vs. National League East.Marlins are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series.

PHILADELPHIA is 32-8  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phillies to win

The Royals enter this game against Texas  with a  41-88 record  in their last 129 vs. American League West and  are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series. Royals are also 16-35 in their last 51 road games and are fade material here at Texas tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers ,  are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Greinke and  are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Rangers are also 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and according to my projections have multiple edges in this tilt. 

Rangers starter HEANEY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.887.

KANSAS CITY is 2-15  against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base.

Play on Texas 

My power rankings suggest Kikuchi the Blue Jays expected starter does not matchup well vs the LA Angels batting order. KIKUCHI is 4-12  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). KIKUCHI is 1-6  against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.61 and a WHIP of 2.222.

Meanwhile, Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos starter Detmers. 

Detmers pitched at a top tier level in his lone start against the Jays ,  allowing just  four hits and no runs in 5 plus innings while striking out five batters. Rinse and repeat situation on board.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

The Angels have won four of their last seven games and are in a groove   offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four trips to the diamonds. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

In the series finale, right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 8.31 ERA) gets the start for Seattle. The Guardians counter with right-hander Zach Plesac who is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.533.

These teams have played each other 6 times already this season, with Seattle winning 3 of 4 in Seattle. Now here in Cleveland the Mariners took the first two games of the series, but now Im betting on a bounce back scenario for the Guardians. FRANCONA is 36-14 (against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of CLEVELAND.

CLEVELAND is 27-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 95-36 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Red Sox will  send right-hander Kutter Crawford (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who was battered in his season debut by Pittsburgh on Monday, giving up seven runs in four innings . My early season  power rankings suggest he does not matchup well here vs the Tigers batting order. Advantage to the Tigers. 

HINCH is 19-12  against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. Boston pounded Motown yesterday 14-5)

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing recordTigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home game.

Play on Detroit to win 

LAA southpaw  starter ANDERSON is 16-9   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and according to my early season power rankings matches up well here vs the Jays.ANDERSON is 25-10  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 14-22  against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Note:Anderson was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and  named to the All-Star team for the first time in his career last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jays starter BERRIOS is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.598.  Berrios (0-1, 12.71 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays after a poor performance in his first start of the season. 

Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West.

Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

Advantage LA Angels to win 

Baltimore is one of the American Leagues most under rated teams, and thanks to what has been so far an explosive offense look to be underrated in this spot play vs the NYY.  Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Irvine and with my early season power rankings suggesting he has an edge against this NYY batting order especially with Josh Donaldson expected to miss. Im also betting on this hardcore offense of the Orioles having a good day against a rookie hurler in Brito. 

Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the Orioles to win 

The Orioles have 11 home runs so far this season -the same amount as the Yankees -- and their 34 runs scored are five more than the Yankees' total. So from a offensive perspective the Orioles must not be discounted here as underdogs. Im betting that they get a decent start from Kremer today, which put them in a great spot to cash a underdog ticket for us. KREMER is 14-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

 MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 94-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win 

Marlins starting pitcher today ALCANTARA despite of being one of MLBs top hurlers  is just  5-17  against the money line vs. teams like the Twins  outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ALCANTARA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 13.49 and a WHIP of 2.355. The Twins have won 4 straight out of the gate this season and deserve respect here as road dogs. vs a Miami side that has lost 4 of their first 5 home tilts. 

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter dating back to last season.

Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague home games.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.

MIAMI is 20-46  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-29 ( against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Minnesota to win 

In the first series of the season vs Baltimore, The Red Sox restructured  batting order looked like it would be an explosive offensive group  and that what it was . The offense scored nine runs in each of the first three games and now with momentum on their sides look like a side on a mission here vs the light hitting Pirates today. 

Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.

Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

PITTSBURGH is 11-37  against the money line in road games against AL East opponents since 1997. Pirates are 8-26 in their last 34 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 7-24 in their last 31 interleague road games.

SHELTON is 3-21  against the money line in road games when playing on Monday as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 48-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play on Red Sox to win 

New York Mets right-hander Kodai Senga is set to make his major league debut on Sunday when he faces the Miami Marlins and Im betting he gives the edge on the mound to the Mets with an extremely motivated effort. Meanwhile, Trevor rogers the Marlins starter has seen his side lose his L/3 starts vs the Mets and Im betting that run continues. Rogers struggled against right-handed batters last year, allowing them to hit .299 with an .886 OPS : the Mets matchup well in that category. 

ROGERS is 4-13  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.

Marlins are 11-28 in their last 39 vs. National League East.

Mets are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Play on NY Mets to win

Gray has pitched well against the Royals in his career, owning a 7-2 record in 10 starts with a 1.66 ERA and my early season power rankings suggest he still matches up well and should keep the Twins in this game and give them an edge vs a light hitting KC Royals group. Twins are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Flaherty was 2-1 with 4.25 ERA last season in nine appearances (eight starts), after recovering from a shoulder injury. He was 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 2021, but he was limited to 17 appearances (15 starts) by an oblique strain that season. He is now said to be as healthy as he has been in a few years and is ready for a rebound. Quote: "At the end of the day, we are counting on him to be a dude," Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said. "And he has prepared in a way to do exactly that." END Quote.

Toronto's starter GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.482.

Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TORONTO) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 17-32 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis Cards 

Dodgers blasted the Dbacks last night 8-2 in the opening game in this series and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario in game 2. 

Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

DBacks starter Kelly, was 13-8 last season with a 3.37 ERA in 33 starts. In his recent starts with Team USA he went 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA. Kelly does not have a victory against the Dodgers in 12 career starts, garnering a  0-9  record along with a 5.97 ERA over 63 1/3 innings and Im betting his less than stellar starts vs the Dodgers will continue today. Rinse and repeat as the Dodgers win for the 18th time in the L/21 meetings in this series.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

Seattle really had Cleveland's number last year, winning six of their seven matchups in a home-and-home split down the stretch. But most of those games were incredibly close, headlined by their final matchup in what became a weather-impacted matinee and now  Im betting on things turning around starting tonight/ 

Clevelands starter BIEBER is 21-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 CASTILLO is 5-13  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)Current Cleveland batters own an .838 OPS against him.

CLEVELAND is 24-13  against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Guardians dating back to last season are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

Play on Cleveland to win on the ML ( Late Steam) 

Theres blood in the water and Houston Im betting will be ready to finish off their opponents here today. This is a championship side with lots of experience and are capable of top tier efforts in situations like this while the Phillies under pressure have a better chance of succumbing to having their backs up against a wall. 

Astros starter VALDEZ is 21-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)VALDEZ is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.883.

Phillies starter WHEELER is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800. 

HOUSTON is 44-18  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Play on Houston to win - 

Astros starter Verlander World Series history has been less than faltering as is evident by garnering a  0-6 record in eight starts along  with a bloated 6.07 ERA.   Thats the worst ever recorded among pitchers who threw at least 30 innings in the Fall Classic. Needless to say, Im not betting on a sudden turn around performance. Meanwhile,Philadelphia sends Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA regular season; 0-0, 1.69 postseason). He is well rested and under rated in his ability to control this Astros batting order.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-9  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 World Series games.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

After a flat performance yesterday the Astros will be keen on a big rebound  and Im betting they get it . The Astros starter Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA regular season; 1-0, 1.35 ERA postseason) will help  pivot the momentum back to the Astros side.

Javier has allowed only one run in 6 2/3 innings in the playoffs.

Phillies starter NOLA is 7-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

HOUSTON is 30-10 ( against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.HOUSTON is 41-17  against the money line after a loss this season.

Play on Astros to win 

The Phillies came back from a 5-0 deficit to win 6-5 in 10 innings in Game 1 and then were taken out by 5-2 count in Game 2 Saturday. I know the Phillies are 5-0 at home this season, but Im betting that comes to end in game 3 of the World Series. Houston will send Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA regular season; 0-0, 2.45 ERA postseason) to the hill here and my data suggests he matches up well here vs the Phillies .

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games.Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 20-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. BAKER is 39-17 against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of HOUSTON.

HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.

Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series games.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games.

Play on Houston to win

Astros southpaw starter VALDEZ is 19-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) VALDEZ is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.600. Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 interl-eague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like  the Phillies starter today Wheeler. Astros in certain desperation mode and now wide awake have the edge vs upstart Phillies who may finally start to feel the pressure . 

HOUSTON is 42-17  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague road games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 World Series games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Astros 

Houston Astros right-hander Justin Verlander, in  seven career World Series starts with two franchises, is 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA and here today vs a upstart and very under rated Phillies baseball team the veteran star hurler Im betting is in trouble again 

Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter for game 1 of the World Series was the pitcher of record when Philadelphia took out the Astros 3-0 on Oct. 3, a victory that cemented the Phillies' first postseason appearance in 11 campaigns. Nola was in top form in that tilt, allowing  the Astros just two hits while garnering  nine strikeouts and no walks over 6 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat is the call in the opener. 

Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 against the money line in playoff games this season and on the season are  15-11 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175.

Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 World Series home games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 47-77 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win

The Astros smell blood in the water and have an edge here to sweep this series 4-0 and advance to their fourth World Series in six seasons Sunday night when they take on  a Yankees  team that has struggled on and off since Aug. New York is batting .161 (40-for-248) in the postseason and .128 for the series and against a strong pitcher on Mccullers up-trending will be a difficult proposition.McCullers went head to head with the Yankees two times in the 2017 ALCS when he allowed one run in 10 innings.  Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. 

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 League Championship games.Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the NYY starter Cortes. 

Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 League Championship games.Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Astros to win 

Houstons starting pitcher VALDEZ is 18-5  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Valdez set a major league single-season record by recording 25 consecutive quality starts during this campaign. 

NYY SEVERINO is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.254. In three career postseason starts against the Astros, Severino is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA

NY YANKEES are 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. 

NY YANKEES are 6-1 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.

HOUSTON is 17-2  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 18-4  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on Astros to win 

Houstons starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-22  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) This is great opportunity for Seattle to make a series of this and Im betting they will be primed to perform. 

SEATTLE is 25-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. SEATTLE is 31-16   against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle 

Game 3  is expected to have right-hander Tony Gonsolin ( 16-1, 2.14 ERA regular season) starting for the Dodgers against Padres left-hander Blake Snell (0-0, 5.40 ERA postseason; 8-10, 3.38 ERA regular season).Gonsolin was 2-0 in two starts against the Padres this season with a 0.71 ERA and a 0.632 WHIP and is 3-0 in his career vs the Fathers with his team winning all 5 starts he had made against them. Advantage on the mound gives us a solid opportunity to cash with a short fav. 

SNELL is 4-12  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 5-10 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

SAN DIEGO is 4-19  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games.Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 Divisional Playoff games.

Dodgers have won 15 of the L/21 in this series in San Diego. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Cleveland goes with right-hander Shane Bieber (1-0, 1.17 ERA postseason; 13-8, 2.88 regular season). He began the playoffs by allowing one run and three hits in 7 2/3 innings against Tampa Bay in the wild-card round and must be respected here to keep Cleveland close enough out of the gate for us to pull off an upset underdog win,Clevelands starter BIEBER is 10-0  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BIEBER is 20-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yes, the Yankees Cortes has looked good, but it must be noted despite of a lack off offense of late the Guardians were averaging 5.0 runs per game in their final 30 regular-season tilts and are more than capable of getting things rolling offensively and have hot southpaws like Cortes well. .Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series. Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on Cleveland 

Mariners starter CASTILLO is 11-21v against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 13-25  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Astros are 14-2 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff home games.

Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.

HOUSTON is 26-7  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season. HOUSTON is 20-3 against the money line in home games after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Phillies top tier hurler Wheeler has a solid history facing the the Braves. He made three starts against them during the regular season and went 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA. He struck out 25 and walked only one in 20 innings and he gets my support here vs a viable pitcher in Wright. My power ranking suggest Wheeler matches up very well vs the Atlanta  batting order. Both bullpens are tired after yesterday so thats a wash. Whats left is two solid offenses and one pitcher that slightly better than the other. Considering the value on the line, Ill be recommending we take the underdog.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff road games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 46-74 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

Clevelands starter Quantrill was 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA and finished his regular season by going 11-0 with a 2.95 ERA over his final 17 trips to the hill and deserves respect here in his ability to control the explosive NY Yankees bats.  QUANTRILL is 10-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 16-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile,NYY starter COLE is 4-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLE is 1-6   against the money line in home games after a loss this season. (Team's Record) He lost his last trip to the hill.  

Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day.

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games.

Guardians are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.

 Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

 Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win 

Chris Bassitt (15-9, 3.42 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. Bassitt is 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three career starts against the Padres. Both losses came  this season, recording a ugly 7.84 ERA in two starts. Advantage Padres. 

Padres starter MUSGROVE is 12-2  against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) (Mets won 7-3 yesterday)

SAN DIEGO is 18-6 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season.Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 road game.

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff home games.

Play on the San Diego Padres 

Phillies starter NOLA is 2-10   against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) He lost his only start against the Cardinals on July 11 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in seven innings. My projections and power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the now desperate Cards. 

Cards starter MIKOLAS is 25-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MIKOLAS is 11-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mikolas has been very effective at Busch Stadium this season, garnering a solid  6-3 record along with a 2.38 ERA in 14 starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against the Phillies this season and he is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA in five career outings against them, including four starts.

Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.

Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Cards held a 2-0 lead in the top of the 9th inning yesterday and than lost control late and were taken out 6-3 in a bizarre finish to what was  a tight game. Im betting they rebound here. Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 50-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 44-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Toronto came into the play offs on fire, and have not slumped for a while, which sometimes gives off alarm bells. Being that hot for an extended time quite often results in a team cooling off at some point and that was what we saw yesterday as the explosive Blue Jays bats  took suddenly went silent losing by 4-0 count in the series opener.The Mariners, with a victory here today can  advance to the ALDS and will feel confident with last season  AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray to the mound(He knows this Blue Jays batting order well as he was with them last season). With the Jays quite possibly hitting a bump in the road at the worst possible time, are vulnerable here despite of their desperation. Real value with the underdog  in a contrarian stance here today in this Seattle vs Toronto play off headliner. 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gausman has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs the Mariners. 

I know the Mariners starter Ray has not done all that well of late, but Im betting he stands tall here and frustrates the Jays today. TORONTO is 11-17   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

Play on Seattle to win 

Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since  returning from the injured list three starts ago.  During that time he has surrendered  just one run on  nine hits with opposition batters hitting just  .177  over a span of  15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times. He gives the Mets a strong edge on the hill past on past performances vs this Cards lineup. 

Play on the Phillies to win 

The Rays (86-73)  have dominated the Bosox this season, winning 12 of this season's first 16 head-to-head meetings with Boston. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. both sides has struggle of late, but TB gets the nod in this spot play. Rays are also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TAMPA BAY is 9-0  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games this season.

BOSTON is 3-25  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 19-44  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or ,less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 8-21 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 7-29 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Baltimores starter KREMER is 6-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 11-1  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Jays starter Jose Berrios (11-7, 5.37 ERA), is on a  two-game personal losing streak, and in his current form is fade material. 

The Blue Jays after a big weekend series and sweep against the BoSox this past weekend Im now betting on an emotional letdown scenario to give us an edge taking a viable home underdog in this spot. 

TORONTO is 3-8  against the money line off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), playing on Monday are just 14-30 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 25-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.29 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Braves against Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.27) in a battle of veteran right-handers. 

The Braves now have a one-game lead with four games to go and now with blood in the water Im betting on Atlanta to keep rolling tonight against a slumping rival. ATLANTA is 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  SNITKER is 26-16  against the money line in October games as the manager of ATLANTA.

NY METS are 26-40  against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 41-12 in their last 53 home games

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Houstons starter VERLANDER is 21-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 15-44 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons like Verlander. 

HOUSTON is 13-2   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% over the last 2 seasons like Arizonas Z. Gallen. 

 ARIZONA is 11-47  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 44-4 L/25 seasons.

Play on Houston 

The Yankees (94-59) will start right-hander Jameson Taillon (13-5, 3.90). Taillon is 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays. He is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts against Toronto this year. Berrios has faced the Yankees three times this season, all in New York, going 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA. 

NYY starter TAILLON is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) TAILLON is 22-7   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 22-8  against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

The Yankees had a 7 game win streak end last night in a extra innings loss to the Jays but Im betting on them to rebound tonight 

Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Yankees are 66-29 in their last 95 during game 2 of a series.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

Pirates starter KELLER is 1-11  against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) KELLER is 0-10  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.795. Against Cincinnati, this season he is  0-1 with a 10.00 ERA in two starts this year. 

Greene lost his last start vs Pittsburgh by a 1-0 count, and with little help from his offense looks like a viable hurler to get redemption. Greene will be making his third start since spending six weeks on the injured list because of a shoulder strain. He is 0-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his two starts and just needs his offense to help him out. Something I bet he gets today. Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 home games vs a right hander. 

I know the Pirates have won 5 straight in this series but all good and bad runs eventually come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here in this spot play. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-20  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Pirates are 4-15 in their last 19 home games.

CINCINNATI is 16-10  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.CINCINNATI is 18-10  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Play on Reds to win 

After an extended last season slump the Yankees are back in a groove and have won 7 straight games and Im betting they will continue that flow into this tilt against the Blue Jays. Yankees are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League East.

The Yankees are scheduled to start right-hander Luis Severino (6-3, 3.36 ERA) on Monday. Severino is 6-3 with a 3.94 ERA in 17 career games (14 starts) against the Blue Jays and gives is am edge against Gausman who has a 4.91 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. 

Yankees are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

The San Diego Padres have lost 13 of their past 14 games in Colorado, including six of seven at Coors Field this season and Im betting those negative numbers will continue to intensify. 
I know Manaea who owns a ugly 10.80 ERA and 0-3 record in his last 3 starts saw his team take that that lone win in Coors by a 6-5 count, but the lefty was lucky to get out of that game with a W , and Im betting he wont duplicate the effort here. 

Padres starter MANAEA is 0-9  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)

Rockies starter Feltner holds a 3.72 ERA and a pair of no-decisions vs the Fathers this season, and will Im betting keep his team in this matchup as they find a way to squeeze out another win in this series. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rockies to win 

Cleveland (81-67)  holds a five-game lead over the White Sox (76-72) for first place in the AL Central with 14 games left for both teams. Needless to say after losing the opener of this series you can bet the Pale Hose will now be in desperation mode. They need this game, and will leave it all on the filed here tonight making them a viable hungry team to back. 

Chicago veteran Lance Lynn, who has victories in  his past four starts with a 1.03 ERA .Lynn (7-5, 3.99) most recently beat the Guardians in a one-game makeup on Thursday, allowing two runs and six hits in 6 1/3 innings of an 8-2 win in Cleveland. Overall, he's 5-0 with a 1.43 ERA in his past seven starts and gets my support here tonight in a key contest. 

White Sox starter LYNN is 39-17  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)  LYNN is 45-18 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) LYNN is 49-19   against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 187-309 L/25 seasons for a go against  62% conversion rate. 

Play on White Sox to win 

The Rockies will send Chad Kuhl (6-9, 5.33 ERA) against Jakob Junis (4-6, 4.15) in a battle of righties on Monday night. Junis has faced Colorado twice in his career -- both of them starts -- with a 3.00 ERA in those outings and my projections tell me he matches up well here again in this matchup.

KUHL is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.12 and a WHIP of 1.560.

SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.

KAPLER is 80-37 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO.

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Giants to win

Bradish’s four-starts against the Blue Jays this season,  has seen him garner a  7.27 ERA in a ugly 17.1 innings of work and Im betting nothing changes today.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Berrios (10-5, 5.07 ERA) is a stellar 7-0 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 career starts against Baltimore and gives the Blue Jays the edge here today on the hill. Overall the Jays are the better team playing at home with alot of post season future motivations. 

Play on Blue Jays to win 

The pitching matchup for the opening meeting will feature Texas left-hander Martin Perez (11-6, 2.77 ERA) and Rays right-hander Corey Kluber (10-8, 4.36). Kluber was roughed up by the Yankees in his last outing, but he has been a stable presence in the Rays rotation and  is 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Rangers and my projections make him a solid fav here today.

Texas starter PEREZ is 3-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.457.

TAMPA BAY is 32-9  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 22-7 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 20-7  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB road teams (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 18-62 L/5 season for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win

Detroit starter Manning is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox with his team losing all 5 of those tilts. Today Im betting we see a rinse and repeat situation manifest. 

White Sox starter GIOLITO is 22-9   against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 33-14   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)

White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 14-42 L/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate.

White Sox are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Play on Detroit to win 

Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 13-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 9-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 15-3  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Marquez  is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last five road starts.

Cubs starter STROMAN is 4-10 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 2-10  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 1-8 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Stroman is 0-5 with a 7.11 ERA in nine starts at Wrigley Field this season and is fade material in this spot play. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

The Pirates send Roansy Contreras (5-4, 3.29 ERA) to the mound in the series finale. The 22-year-old right-hander will be making his 15th start of the season for the Pirates, and second this year against Cincinnati and according to my projections gives the Pirates a edge on the hill. 

CINCINNATI is 12-21 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

CINCINNATI is 8-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

CINCINNATI is 7-23  against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse ), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dodgers star hurler and expected starter today KERSHAW is 39-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

LA DODGERS are 41-15 against the money line against division opponents this season.

Meanwhile, Kelly the DBacks starting hurler despite of a strong season is off a 6-5 loss in his last out vs San Diego, and has shown some chinks in his proverbial armor of late, by allowing 4 HRs in his L/3 starts.KELLY is also just  0-7 in his career when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.567.

Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Diamondbacks are 10-45 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA  3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 59-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

White Sox starter CUETO is 8-14 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The White Sox clobbered the As yesterday 10-2 out hitting them by a 20-3 count. Note:CHI WHITE SOX are 2-9  against the money line after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent over the last 2 seasons. Regression now expected by the Pale Hose and a bounce back effort is at hand for a redemption minded As squad. 

MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland As to win 

Diamondbacks are 28-64 in their last 92 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rockies Urina. Rockies are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Colorado has won 3 straight while the Dbacks have lost 3 straight Im betting on the trend continuing tonight. 

COLORADO is 31-16  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 31-21  against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.

Diamondbacks are 39-91 in their last 130 road games

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-9 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win 

Cubs starter Cessa has not faired well against the  Cubs this season allowing five runs, six hits and three walks over 3 1/3 innings spanning four relief appearances. In eight lifetime outings vs. Chicago, Cessa has no decisions and a 6.14 ERA. Im betting the Cubs take advantage of him again today and get us the victory. Note: The righty hurler has allowed five runs  over his L/11 11 innings of his previous three starts including giving up four homers.Cubs are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win