New York Im betting at least temporarily ends their current slide and  and beat the Tampa Bay Rays when the American League East rivals  conclude a three-game series Sunday afternoon in St. Petersburg, Fla. New acquisition Montas is 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Tampa Bay and according to my projections gives the Yankees the edge on the mound today. Note:Tampa Bay is expected to begin Sunday with Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.72) as its opener before using Ryan Yarbrough (1-8, 4.87) as its bulk reliever.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Pirates starter Contreras, is a young gun that management are high on. In 15 appearances (12 starts) this season, he twice has pitched at least five scoreless innings including his last trip to the hill where he registered a  a 5-0 win Sunday against Philadelphia, striking out seven in five shutout innings of top tier baseball. 

Pitching advantage goes to the Pirates 

The Yankees won five straight after manager Aaron Boone smashed his hand down on the table in the Yankee Stadium interview room following a 5-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 20. Since its 3-2 win in Oakland on Aug. 26, New York is 1-5, has scored just 15 runs and gone 3-for-30 with runners in scoring position. Im betting hell broke loose again last night after their game 1 loss to the Rays  in the confines of the lock room and that the Yanks will come out here and get themselves out a late season slump here today with a motivated redemption minded effort. 

Note: Yanks starter Schmidt, New York's first-round pick in 2017, is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in four career appearances against Tampa Bay.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 23-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Alcantara (12-6, 2.13 ERA) will face Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (6-5, 4.10) in the opener. With that said, Im betting we have value with a possible Cy Young award winner on the hill here this evening. We know how potent Atlanta is but Alacantra and make the most powerful offenses look mortal. He is fifth in the National League in opponent batting average (.205) and strikeouts (167).He threw his league-leading fourth complete game of the season in his last start, on Aug. 27 against the Los Angeles Dodgers which proves my point.Alcantara has made two starts against Atlanta this season garnering a 2-0 record along  with a minsicule  0.53 ERA, giving up four runs (one earned) with 21 strikeouts over 17 innings. He is 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA in nine career starts and has never allowed a home run to the Braves. 

ATLANTA is 6-14  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season.

Play on Miami to win 

The Rays  Jeffrey Springs (6-4, 2.76 ERA) has pitched well lately  but according to my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings the  left-hander does not matchup well here and was roughed up in his latest trip the hill by the Red Sox who smashed him  for five runs on eight hits in six innings. 

I know the Rays are in top form , but now the Yankees after a last season slumber will be motivated and now  Im betting and ready to perform behind a very talented lineup. 

Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. Yankees are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 1 of a series.

Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games following an off day.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 101-66 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Seattles starter CASTILLO is 0-5  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-10  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 2-8  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Cleveland's starter is right-hander Zach Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA), who  was  winning pitcher last time he faced Seattle going  seven innings and allowing just  three runs last Saturday in Seattle. Im betting on. RINSE and REPEAT situation here and a value line victory. 

Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Guardians are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Dodgers took the first two games of this series, and now in desperation mode Im betting we see a motivated bounce back effort vs Kershaw and company by the Mets. 

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. NY METS are 16-3 against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.Mets are 24-6 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series.Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 NY METS are 34-17  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 55-108  L/25 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less  over his last 5 starts are 20-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

 Arizona has  won seven straight home games against Philadelphia including a come from behind 13-7 victory. 

Arizona  has pushed 45 runs across the plate during their current  five-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks had a season-best 17 hits on Tuesday and more of the same action Im betting is on board this Wednesday vs Phillies starter Falter (2-3, 4.41)  who has struggled to keep the ball in the park, allowing  up 12 homers in just 51 innings of sub par work . ARIZONA is 23-11 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

 MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arizona to win 

Paul Goldschmidt looks like a sure bet to win the  NL MVP if he stays healthy down the stretch. He has owned Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Minor  during his illustrious  career, going 8-for-14 against the southpaw including  three home runs. His slashline against Minor is absolutely impressive ringing in at .571/.600/1.286.

The Tampa Bay Rays have defeated the Miami Marlins in six straight games and Im betting nothing changes today. Tampa Bay, which leads the American League wild-card race, will start right-hander Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.77 ERA) on Wednesday and he matches up very well here vs the light hitting Marlins batting order according to my power rankings.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 17-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

Cards starter QUINTANA is 0-5 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more in his career. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 4-13  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Cardinals  will trot out southpaw Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.45 ERA) to the hill  in the rubber match of the series.  In his last outing  Quintana suffered his first loss with the Cardinals since coming over from the Pirates at the trade deadline. He allowed four runs (two earned) and seven hits over five innings against the Atlanta Braves and Im betting with his momentum broken he continues to get hit around by a Reds side that averages 5.1 rpg vs lefties this season.

CINCINNATI is 13-7  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) are 32-23 L/5 seasons. 

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

Odorizzi (5-5, 3.95 ERA) threw a solid six innings in a 2-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last time out . He allowed the one run on four hits while striking out seven batters and stopping 14 of the final 15 batters he went against .He is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals. Cards offensive stars Albert Pujols (0-for-10, three strikeouts) and Paul Goldschmidt (0-for-3, two strikeouts) have  not faired well against the righty. I know the Cards Adam Wainwright has pitched well of late, but this version of the Braves matches up well against him giving us value with the Braves as road dogs. 

Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-23 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

Braves are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Astros righty starter URQUIDY is 26-9   against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 22-7  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 71-162 in their last 233 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 51-27  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Orioles starter Kremer. 

HOUSTON is 32-16  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 34-15  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB  Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

The pitching matchups are a toss up, but this is game that favors the Nationals to grab a win based on pitcher vs batting order power ranking projections.

Reds are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East. Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 16-39 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series.

CINCINNATI is 10-16  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL are 49-22 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to win 

Rays starter nJeffrey Springs owns a 6-3 record along  with a tight 2.46 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.  The  left-hander is in top form of late as well garnering a   3-0 record while registering  a 1.66 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his L/4 trips to the hill. Im betting his recent success will continue vs a very inconsistent BoSox batting order. Meanwhile, Rich Hill the Red Sox starter has garnered a 7.20 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and on the season, 7.12 ERA at home in 30.3 innings of sub par work. The Rays also according to my own data matchup well against him and the tired looking Boston bullpen. 

BOSTON is 2-12 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 17-35  against the money line against division opponents this season.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Angels crushed the Blue Jays yesterday by a 12-0 count and  now the Jays will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassing outcome. Note:TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line in home games after a loss by 12 runs or more since 1997.

Note: In two career outings against Toronto, Ohtani is 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA. He took a loss against the Blue Jays on May 26 when he allowed five runs in six innings, though he struck out 10.

I know the Blue Jays starter  Manoah has suddenly gone cold, but this big man still is a top tier pitcher and deserves respect here to help his team get some redemption today. Manoah owns a 1-0 record and a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Halos.

LA ANGELS are 7-22  against the money line against AL East opponents this season.

Play on Toronto to win 

NYY starter COLE is 0-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Cole has also struggle of late as is evident by his gone 0-4 record along  with a fairly bloated 4.62 ERA in his last six starts. 

Meanwhile,A's, starter JP Sears (5-0, 1.93 ERA) has gone  2-0 with a 1.76 ERA since a recent trade from the Yankees. Im betting he makes the Yankees wish they never traded him here this evening. 

I know the Yankees blew out the As yesterday but it must be noted that the NY YANKEES are just  8-15  against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less  over his last 5 starts are 23-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland As to win 

The Braves will open the series by starting Spencer Strider (7-4, 2.95 ERA), who has held opponents to one run in four of his last five starts. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Qintana despite of pitching well overall for the Cards since coming over in a trade, had a bad outing last time out, and   lost the last time he faced the Braves, when he allowed four runs in five innings on June 12 while still with the Pirates. He is 2-2 with an 8.37 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta. Note:  Braves are 42-19 in their last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter.

ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Royals will send Kris Bubic (2-8, 5.29 ERA) to the mound in the opener, and the Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove (8-6, 2.91 ERA).  The pitching matchup favors the Padres. Musgrove the San Diego-area native is a first-time All-Star this season, currently holding a career-low ERA, and has delivered quality starts in each of his last three trips to the hill.

Meanwhile, Bubic the Royals starter has struggled at home this season going 1-4 along with a bloated 5.55 ERA in 11 outings, having allowed 54 hits in 48.7 innings of sub par work. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 36-6 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

MLBt team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a poor AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.600 to 1.700), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 32-11 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

The Twins bring a season-worst, six-game losing streak into this tilt t following a 6-3 loss to the host Houston Astros on Thursday night and will be extremely motivated to get back on track with   a victory here this evening. Meanwhile, the Giants are off a 6-1 loss to the Tigers, as their inconsistent play continues. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 3-15  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.

Rookie right-hander Joe Ryan, who was born in San Francisco, will be motivated to end the Twins' losing streak. Ryan (9-6, 3.86 ERA) recorded  a solid start in his latest trip to the hill ,  vs the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but his team still lost. A better overall result is expected by me today behind the arm of a viable hurler and a desperate side. Note: Giants are 6-22 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Ryan. Giants are also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter lie the Giants stater Wood who owns a 4.64 road ERA in 13 outings this season. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Twins 

Milwaukee has lost 14 of its past 22 games to plummet six games behind the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals and in their current form look like fade material vs a up trending Chicago Cubs side that have a pitcher on the hill (Steele) who is in top form as is evident by a 0.79 ERA with 33 strikeouts over 22 2/3 innings in four starts this month. 

MILWAUKEE is 4-12  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 52-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate.

Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Tampa Bay visits Boston having won six consecutive games --  which is currently the  longest active streak in the majors including  11 of 13, and a four-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels this week. The Rays are on a top tier  run, allowing just 16 runs in their last eight games overall with their pitchers having allowed three or less runs in 12 of the past 13 games. Tonight we will tail that momentum vs a struggling Boston side playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. 

Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

MLB team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Marcus Stroman has thrown the ball quite well for the Chicago Cubs of late, but at home this season he has generally struggled going 0-3 along with a bloated 6.62 ERA. Cubs starter STROMAN is 9-14  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) After losing yesterday the Cards will be primed for a come back and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here.

The Cardinals' Dakota Hudson (6-6, 4.33 ERA) is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA in seven career games against the Cubs, including four starts and gets my support here today. The St.Louis pitching staff owns a 2.12 ERA in their L/15 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. 

ST LOUIS is 17-4  against the money line in August games this season.ST LOUIS is 26-9  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 73-190 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Cardinals to win 

Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen is in top form and has garnered a  0.92 ERA over his last six starts . He matches up very well against this light hitting Royals side and gives his team an obvious edge in this matchup. Not since  the 3rd week of  July   Gallen has allowed only five runs (four earned) in  39 innings of quality work with opposition batters  registering a lowly .152/.200/.182 slash-line  against  the righty. GALLEN is 6-0  against the money line after giving up 1  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)

LOVULLO is 13-4  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like KCs starter Singer. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more on the opening line  (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 43-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dbacks to win 

Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 13-1   against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 18-3  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter like  Gonsolin. 

LA DODGERS are 31-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Milwaukees starter Burnes. Dodgers are  also 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a starter  with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

LA DODGERS are 16-4  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. 

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 38-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Right-hander Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.63 ERA) will start for the Guardians Tuesday night against Padres right-hander Mike Clevinger (4-4, 3.63).

On the season, Civale has given up 70 hits in 64 innings with a 1.34 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .277 against him and overall has not pitched well away from home, going 0-2 along with a bloated 7.26 ERA in 31 innings of sub par work. In his current form he is fade material. 

Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Guardians are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 15-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

NYM starter Taijuan Walker (10-3, 3.36 ERA)  is not 100% due to back spasms that caused his exit after two innings on Aug. 16 in Atlanta. There are reports of a bulging disc in his back which is not a good omen for him entering this game. Walker despite of positive win loss record still owns a  ugly  6.97 ERA in his last five starts and against a Yankees team that might be gaining momentum with two straight wins looks like he could face some turbulence tonight. When he leaves this game, he will be backed by an average bullpen.

Meanwhile, Bronx Bombers starter Frankie Montas (4-10, 3.87 ERA), who has a 9.00 ERA in three starts since being acquired  from the Oakland A's, makes another start today. Montas allowed six runs in six innings on Thursday against Toronto in his home debut and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings does not matchup well vs NY Mets batters. Montas is backed by bullpen that has struggled mightily of late and is looking tired. 

Everything points to a higher scoring affair that eclipses this offered total. 

Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 games following a win.

Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-5-2 in Mets last 22 interleague road games.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in New York.

Atlanta is off a hard fought series against the Houston Astros this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot on the road this Monday vs the Pittsburgh Pirates making them vulnerable to being upset in game 1 of this series.

 Atlantas newly acquired starter Odorizzi has made three starts for Atlanta since coming over from Houston on Aug. 1 and is 0-2 along with a  bloated 5.93 ERA. He was smacked around in his last start against the  Mets at home this past  Wednesday, allowing five runs on eight hits in five innings. Im betting Pittsburgh takes advantage of his tired arm in this spot. Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.

MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 25-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL offensive team ( 3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-9 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to win +1.5 runline 

Seattles starter CASTILLO is 3-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 5-9 ) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, As new acquired pitcher Sears has been impressive in two starts for the A's, allowing two runs and seven hits over 10 1/3 innings. The southpaw is    of a five inning  shutout performance  on the road against the Texas Rangers in a 5-1 win on Tuesday. The kids got a good slider and Im betting he gives the Mariners all they can handle. 

Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -175 or more (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 22-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate with a average 0.2 rpg diff which qualifies on a run-line offering. 

Play on Oakland  to win 

The Royals Zack Greinke has not pitched well on the road this season where he has garnered a 0-6 record along with a  bloated 6.48 ERA and 1.600 WHIP . My projections once again see a non quality start and a situation where the home side has the edge.

The Royals as a team have generally  not played well away from home and   are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. I know the Royals found a way to win on Friday  , by a score of 3-2  but lost yesterday by a 5-2 count and  todays outcome Im betting will be similar to yesterdays Rays victory. Meanwhile, the Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. Rays are also 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game

Royals are 16-35 in their last 51 games on astroturf.Royals are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Royals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Royals are 8-19 in the last 27 meetings.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 25-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-13   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Atlantas starter WRIGHT is 14-0   against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Houston exploded for 21 runs yesterday in a win vs the Chicago White sox. Im expecting big regression here vs a viable side in tonight matchup in Atlanta. Note: HOUSTON is 0-6  against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.

ATLANTA is 18-7 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 11-3  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Toronto is within nine games of the Yankees, the closest the Blue Jays have been since they also trailed by nine on June 15. Needless to say this is a big game and series for them. Expecting the Blue Jays to leave everything on the filed here this weekend and at least open this series with a win.

TORONTO is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Toronto Blue Jays 

 Milwaukee despite of offensive production problems showed some life this week in a series vs the Dodgers , and yesterday homered three times and pulled out a 5-3 home victory to salvage a four-game split with the powerful Los Angeles Dodgers. Now with momentum on their sides Im betting they find a way to get the win in Chicago this afternoon. 

COUNSELL is 15-6  against the money line in road games after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

San Francisco Giants starter WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WEBB is 21-3   against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Arizona starter GALLEN is 1-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.261.

LOVULLO is 19-57  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA.

Diamondbacks are 17-56 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Giants are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 19-2  against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Francisco to win 

Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Dodgers starter   T. Gonsolin. MILWAUKEE is 33-17 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Note: Brewers starter Lauer owns a 6-0 record when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.101 and is currently in top form recording a 4-1 record and a  2.65 ERA at home  this season.

I know the Dodgers have been hot but the value here on the moneyline is out standing and worth taking on a bet with the Brewers. 

 . 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Scherzer (8-2, 1.93 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80) on Wednesday. Scherzer did well against the Braves earlier this season, but you can bet the Braves are now better prepared for the right hander and motivated for revenge. Note: Braves are on a 8 game winning streak and have strong positive momentum on their sides. 

NY METS are 2-11  against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 54-25  against the money line in night games this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, in August games are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Yankees are in a 2-11 skid and are 8-17 since registering a 64-28 record at the All-Star break and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has outscored its opponents 19-4 during a four-game winning streak and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings vs NYY starter German, Note: German despite of a a  3-1 record has still put together a bloated  6.40 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Rays. 

TAMPA BAY is 50-18  against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 13-22 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 11-21 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 1-7  against the money line in home games off 3 straight losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 20-48 L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Blue Jays Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13 ERA) is scheduled to start for Toronto on Monday. He is 1-3 with a 6.14 ERA in four career starts against the Orioles.

KIKUCHI is 2-7 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Orioles are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Tonight Im betting the under rated Orioles have success against the Jays starting hurler and tired bullpen  and help get us an underdog win. It must also be noted that Jays star slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was 0-for-4 with an RBI on Sunday to end his hitting streak at a career-best 22 games. In his past six games, he is 5-for-26 and this to me a fore bearer for bumpy road for the streaky Jays . 

Play on Baltimore to win 

The Padres, who are coming off a 6-0 win over the Washington Nationals on yesterday and will start right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-5, 2.91). The Padres are 13-7 this year when starting Musgrove. The right hander  leads Padres starters in ERA, has 15 quality starts out of his 20 appearances. MIAMI is 3-11  against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MUSGROVE is 3-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.135 and his team has won all 4 starts. 

Meanwhile, the Padres' heavy-hitting lineup now in top form are well prepared   to  face Marlins right-hander Sandy Alcantara (10-5, 2.01 ERA), the favorite to win the National League Cy Young Award.

MIAMI is 0-10  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

MIAMI is 4-16  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season this season. MIAMI is 3-17 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego Padres to win 

After losing yesterday the Twins have now lost 4 in a row and 4 of their L/5 on the road and are fade material in their current form. Twins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos  Davidson. 

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

Right-hander Shane Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA) will be Cleveland's starting pitcher on Sunday. He is 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four career starts against Toronto and my projections tell me he matches up well here against the Blue Jays batting order.The Guardians have moved into first place in the American League Central with their recent surge and now with momentum on their sides are a team that must be respected especially on a value underdog offering. 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 3-10  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 9-20   against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

CLEVELAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Guardians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Cleveland to win 

 Cards are playing better ball than the Brewers at this time, but this matchup favors the Brewers. Note: Cards starter Wainwright has gone 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA in three previous outings against the Brewers this season.

ST LOUIS is 3-15  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season like Brewers starter Burnes  (8-5, 2.45 ERA). Cardinals are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Burnes. 

MILWAUKEE is 49-29 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games 64-168 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Seattle left-hander Marco Gonzales (7-11, 3.98 ERA) will look to record his second straight victory when he takes the mound on Saturday. Im betting he is in good enough form to help his team get the W here vs the Rangers. Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 0-8  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)

The Mariners posted their ninth straight win vs. the Rangers and the 12th in 14 meetings this season with a 6-2 victory in the series opener on Friday. Rinse and repeat on board for Saturday is my bet.  . 

Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 22-5 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 road games.

SEATTLE is 21-7  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

WOODWARD is 16-33  against the money line vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS.

Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 home games.Rangers are 2-14 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on Seattle to win 

NY METS are 9-0 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite this season.NY METS are 17-1  against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY METS) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 54-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. 

Colorados righty starter Senzatela is 3-9 with a 5.80 ERA in 20 career games (16 starts) against the Diamondbacks and Im betting he gets lit up again here today vs the under rated visitors.Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are also 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Rockies are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. Rockies are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. National League West.

Play on Arizona to win 

Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (7-7, 3.57 ERA) will go to the hill in the series opener against Braves right-hander Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.76).Odorizzi is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA in six career starts against the Marlins.Lopez has had problems  in his career against the Braves. He is 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 12 career starts versus Atlanta.

Braves are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Braves are 39-14 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 home games. Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Braves are 67-32 in the last 99 meetings in Miami.Braves are 51-23 in the last 74 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Braves Pivetta . Braves are 8-17 in their last 25 vs. American League East.

BoSox starter PIVETTA is 6-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.267. He has won his most two recent starts vs the Braves. 

Red Sox are 102-44 in their last 146 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wright. Red Sox are 77-34 in their last 111 vs. National League East.

Wright took the loss earlier this season vs Boston 9-4 and is fade material here vs the Red Sox today in Fenway. 

MLB team (ATLANTA) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-44 L/25 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Clevelans starter Civale put forward one of his best outings of the season against Detroit on May 20. He didn't allow an earned run in 6 1/3 innings  Civale has owned the Tigers in his career going  7-0 in eight   starts against the Tigers with a 1.94 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. He's been really hard on Willi Castro (1-for-17), Jonathan Schoop (1-for-15) and Miguel Cabrera (2-for-16). More of the same action is on board today for at least the amount of time he pitches with his capable bullpen waiting to clean up after him. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Hutchison is 1-1 with a 6.85 ERA in six career outings against the Guardians.

CIVALE is 12-5  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

DETROIT is 11-34 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Yankees looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last night in a 13 inning loss to the Mariners that featured base running mistakes and consistent brain farts all night long. There is some good news from last nights 1-0 loss, and that is the Yanks should be very awake for this tilt and ready for redemption. Motivational factors as well as a pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggests the Yanks starter Cortez has an advantage vs a now struggling Mariners starter Ray who has garnered a ugly  7.81 ERA run in his L/3 and a 0-3 record in his L/3 vs the Yankees .

Yankees are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a left-handed starter like Ray. 

RAY is 22-35 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 runs/game or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33. or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 9-33 L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

. Right-hander Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.05 ERA) will start for the Giants against Padres left-hander Sean Manaea (6-6, 4.74).

Padres starter  Manaea,   is struggling mightily entering this tilt vs the giants . His last start  he gave up eight runs on 10 hits and a walk in just four innings vs the Dodgers and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Giants starter Junis also took  the loss in his last start against the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up three runs on five hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings but in his previous two starts ,  he allowed just  one run on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings. The Giants are 6-4 when Junis starts. He has a 1.097 WHIP and a .230 opponents' batting average and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Giants are 43-21 in their last 64 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Neither of these teams inspire bettors, but  Im betting we have a value edge here backing the As and righty Paul Blackburn their starting pitcher. The As hurler after a fast start to his season, has slowed down lately, but  did notch a win last time out, and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Halos. Note: Angels are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter. NoteBlackburn is 2-0 along with a .2.74 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Halos with all the games ending in Athletics win. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board.

Athletics are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. American League West.Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels Sandoval. 

Play on Oakland to win 

 The Astros right-handed starter  Jose Urquidy (10-4, 3.62 ERA)  is off a top tier effort last time out pitching seven scoreless innings Wednesday in a 6-1 victory vs the Boston Red Sox, allowing two hits while garnering 10 strikeouts in what was his ninth consecutive quality start.Urquidy is 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA and .492 opposition' OPS during that nine-start stretch, with 47 strikeouts against 12 walks. Note: Urquidy is 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against Texas and gets my support here again today vs instate rivals the Rangers. 

URQUIDY is 21-6  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 25-8  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 18-48  against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 53-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

HOUSTON is 16-3 against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons at home in Houston. 

Play on Houston to win 

The Yankees enter this game in struggling form as is evident by losing 5 straight games.The Mariners took two of three games from New York last week in the Bronx, which set in motion the Yankees downward momentum. Now Im betting at least for now the Yankees bad run will continue while the hungry Mariners keep up their fight for a post season spot. NYY starter Taillon allowed six runs (five earned) over 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 loss to the Mariners on Tuesday and while Gilbert the Mariners starter dod not do much better still found a way for his team to get to the promised land and a rinse and repeat situation Im betting plays out tonight on the west coast. GILBERT is 11-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons like J. Taillon.

Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 30-12 in their last 42 overall. NY YANKEES are 1-7  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Yankees are 0-9 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 21-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to win 

 Wood the Giants starter tonight vs Padres owns a  4.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in three starts vs the Padres this season. He has 18 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings. Key here tonight is how Wood faired in his   career   against the Padres (19 appearances, 13 starts) .During those trips to the mound he has garnered  a 3.12 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. And in San Diego, Wood is 3-1 in nine games (six starts) with a 1.56 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP. Tonight Im betting he keeps his top shelf action going against a Padres side, that is off getting swept by the Dodgers this past weekend and getting shutout last night.The Dodgers outscored the Padres 20-4 over the weekend and now reeling don't look like viable bets here with downward momentum firmly in place. I know after a slow start that the Padres starter Snell has pitched well recently but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Giants matchup well against him. 

WOOD is 14-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SNELL is 3-8 against the money line after giving up 2 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 23-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-35 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Francisco to win 

 Toronto has been red hot before yesterdays 7-3 loss to Minnesota, and Im betting they lose again here . Note. Jays starter Gausman is 0-4 with a 7.30 ERA in eight career starts against the Twins and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here as Blue Jay regression looks imminent. GAUSMAN is 1-7  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 8-20  against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or better  over his last 3 starts are 44-27 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win

Right-hander Spenser Watkins (4-1, 3.80 ERA) goes to the mound for  Baltimore's Sunday. He has won three of his last four starts, giving up just one run in each of the victories.The Baltimore Orioles as a team have won five games in a row and Im betting they extend that run here today vs the generally light hitting Pittsburgh Pirates. Note:The Pirates will send right-hander Bryse Wilson (1-6, 6.20)  to the hill as their starter. Wilson is 0-3 with a no-decision in his last four road starts. The righty in his current form is fade material. 

WATKINS is 9-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)

SHELTON is 7-27  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Pirates are 14-43 in their last 57 during game 3 of a series.Pirates are 6-22 in their last 28 interleague road games.Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East. PITTSBURGH is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.

BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season.

Pirates are 1-11 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore to win 

KC Royals starter LYNCH is 6-0  against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 9-4  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 8-3  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, BoSox starter Eovaldi owns a 7.20 ERA in his 3 most recent trips to the hill, and is showing signs of a tired arm. 

Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, playing on Saturday are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Royals to win 

Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking  98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In  two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner. 

Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking  98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In  two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner.  With that said, Vlad Guerrero has gone over  this offering in 11 of his last 15 games owns a slash line of  .441/.500/.729 . More of the same action now on board. 

Left-hander Carlos Rodon (9-6, 3.00 ERA), will get the start on Saturday against right-hander Adam Oller (1-4, 7.68).

RODON is 18-5  against the money line in August games in his career. (Team's Record) and has the edge today in this matchup vs the As. 

 With Brandon Crawford (knee), outfielder Joc Pederson (concussion) and utility infielder Thairo Estrada (concussion) expected to return from injuries the Giants current bad run could easily come to an end today vs OAKLAND. 

OAKLAND is 17-34 against the money line in home games this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Giants to win 

DETROIT is 0-8 SU in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Pittsburghs starter BRUBAKER is 3-20   against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 0-13  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-21  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Pittsburgh are ranked No. 29 in team batting average (.221)

The Pirates were shutout 1-0 yesterday. Note: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Pirates are 8-23 in their last 31 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 interleague road games. Pirates are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore.

PITTSBURGH is 0-10  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.

BALTIMORE is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season.

Play on Baltimore to win 

LA Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 22-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 0.750 in 4 starts with the Dodgers winning all 4 games.  He has pitched his best baseball at home in dodgers Stadium this season garnering a 7-1 record and stingy 1.67 ERA and deserves respect in this tilt on a mid ranged chalk line. 

Dodgers are 42-17 in their last 59 games vs. a left-handed starter like Manaea. MANAEA is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.

Dodgers are 54-17 in their last 71 home games.

The Padres  despite of being on a run of late have struggled at  Dodger Stadium recently. They've dropped nine of their last 10 there and Im betting nothing changes tonight in this hardcore rivalry. Note: LA DODGERS are 16-1  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season

LA DODGERS are 22-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Padres starter Manaea.LA DODGERS are 13-1  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

SAN DIEGO is 16-34  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Cardinals have won 6 of their L/7 and are  not an easy out. Cortez the Yanks starter has been fairly strong lately, but in his last win vs KC their was alot of traffic and he was lucky to get out of that tilt mostly unscathed. The way the Cards are seeing the ball lately in general, gives credence to some value here as them cashing for us as home dogs. 

Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.

Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Hudson.

NY YANKEES are 9-12   against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 3-10   against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Cards to win 

Bubic in his only start vs the Sox saw his team get clobbered 15-1 and is fade material vs this batting order according to my power rankings.

BOSTON is 16-5  against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 9-29 against the money line after 2 straight games with at least 7 less hits than their opponent .

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (BOSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win

Toronto’s is on fire and Vlad  Guerrero has been a key contributor . Since moving up to the No. 2 spot in the batting order,  the phenom has really lit up the scoreboard, batting .352 BA , .493 SLG%. .453 OBP.  Tonight vs Gray who owns a 5.92 ERA in his L/ 24.1 innings pitched Im betting he goes over the runs total. 

 Colorado Rockies starter Snell is 3-0 in his last five starts, while garnering fewer than two runs in four of the five games along with registering  with a 2.81 ERA. He has 40 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings and Im betting he gets the job done again tonight vs the San Diego Padres. 

SHOHEI OHTANI lost all three of his starts last year vs Oakland while, Oaklands starter KAPRIELIAN is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.02 and a WHIP of 0.792 in three starts with his team winning all 3 of those outings. 

Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League West.

Athletics are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles.

MLB team (LA ANGELS) - struggling  offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

CHI WHITE SOX are 3-10   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like the Royals B.Singer. The Royals righty  starter also owns a 0.95 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is a viable pitcher to back in his current form. Note" The White Sox struggle against right-handed pitching (94 wrC+, 21st). 

Meanwhile, the White Sox starter Lynn has struggled more than usual in this campaign, as his velocity is down as is evident by a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 and a 5.40 ERA at home in 2022. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 9-15  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

 Royals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or better  WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Royals to win 

The Braves will send Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.34 ERA) against Wheeler (9-5, 2.77) in a battle of veteran right-handers. ATLANTA is 26-11  against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons.(Wheeler qualifies) Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wheeler. 

The Atlanta offense looked explosive Tuesday by collecting 14 hits and now Im betting on that momentum continuing here today against the Phillies again. 

Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.

Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, in August games are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

KC starting hurler KELLER is 6-17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

White Sox starter Giolito, who is 8-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 18 career starts against Kansas City.

Royals are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 17-36 in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.Royals are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 9-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Arizona, which is making its first trip to Progressive Field since 2014, will send right-hander Zach Davies (2-4, 3.94 ERA) to the hill in the series opener. Cleveland is off an extensive road trip, and despite of some teams taking time to get used to home cooking again, the resourceful Indians , Im betting are well coached enough to be wide awake enough to deal with this lower tier national league opponent. With Arizonas clubhouse on edge knowing moves are coming and have already been made Im sure they may not be as focused as usual making them vulnerable vs a up-trending team. Diamondbacks are 15-53 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 58-154 for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

CORBIN is 0-10  against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) CORBIN is 2-15 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

WASHINGTON is 8-36 against the money line against division opponents this season.WASHINGTON is 3-23  against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 106-18 L/5 seasons for a  86% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Cubs enter this game in top form  having garnered wins in six of  their last eight since the All-Star break, including sweeping the Phillies in Philadelphia. The pitching  rotation has also stepped up  and in that span  has delivered a minuscule  1.01 ERA. With SF struggling  and missing key players from their lineup with injuries(Brandon Crawford, Evan Longoria, and Joc Pederson ) they look vulnerable to being upset here tonight. I know a top tier hurler for the Giants  in Rodon will be on the hill here tonight but he has not done particularly well on the road this season, where he owns a 3.88 ERA, and overall he has struggled against strong LHP hitting lines-ups . Chicago may not be explosive against lefties, but are equipped to deal with Rodon. RODON is 2-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)  RODON is 4-9  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Rodon is winless in his last three starts, having served up 10 runs in 11 innings in his last two.

Giants are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.

Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.

Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.

CHICAGO CUBS are 16-13  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. 

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Brewers starter Ashby who owns a 5.72 road ERA and  has lost his L/2 starts  also threw a career-high 111 pitches, 81 for strikes in his last trip to the hill, which Im betting sees him a little tired here today at Fenway and vulnerable.Note: Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, desperate Boston send out Winckowski (3-5, 5.18) who despite of recent struggles went 3-0 in three starts in June with a 2.12 ERA.

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Red Sox are 130-63 in their last 193 interleague home games.

Red Sox are 94-46 in their last 140 interleague games.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

BoSox starter Pivetta (8-7, 4.35 ERA)  had his best start in the past  month on Monday, holding the Cleveland Guardians scoreless until the fifth inning and totaling six strikeouts while allowing  one run in 5 2/3 innings. Im betting he gives the desperate Red Sox an edge here at home today in Fenway.BOSTON is 103-67  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better like the Brewers Lauer. BOSTON is also 16-7  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Lauer has not won since June 17 in Cincinnati.

Play on Red Sox to win 

 Baez has owned Stripling over the course of their careers. Baez has seven hits, including four doubles and a home run, in 10 plate appearances against the righty, according to Swish Analytics. His .700 batting average against Stripling is the best of any hitter vs. pitcher duel on Saturday with at least five previous plate appearances.

Stripling has also been struggling lately, which is another factor working in Baez’s favour. The 32-year-old has allowed 36 hits over his last 35.1 innings pitched. That’s a noticeable drop-off as he only allowed 35 hits across his first 43.0 innings pitched this year.

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 5-12  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 6-13  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Woodruff has not pitched all that well on the road this season is as evident by his 5.26 ERA and Im betting the BoSox get to him here at home in Fenway. Note: CORA is 28-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in all games he has managed since 1997.

I know B. Bello the Red Sox starter might not give us alot of confidence but my power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs this Brewers batting order.

Red Sox are 102-42 in their last 144 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter

Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - with a  bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 90-70 L/26 seasons.

Play on Boston 

Cubbies starter Justin Steele has registered  just one loss in his last nine starts, going 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA and gives the visitor the advantage vs a Giants side that has lost 7 straight. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 7-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a  against 70% conversion rate.

Astros starter Urquidy is 2-3 with a 5.50 ERA over eight career appearances (seven starts) against the Mariners, including a 1-3 record and 7.58 ERA over four starts this season and is fade material against this group of Seattle hitters. 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 13-3 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-1 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) and  is 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three starts against Houston this season

SEATTLE is 16-4  against the money line in July games this season.

SERVAIS is 8-1  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of SEATTLE.

Play on Seattle to win 

The Giants are slumping but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Im betting on the current ugly outings, will come to end behind righty Webb is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. He took out the  Diamondbacks on July 12 when he struck out eight and gave up five hits and two walks during six scoreless innings. Webb is also  2-0 with a 1.38 ERA over his past four starts and deserves respect here as a short favorite.

 WEBB is 11-0   against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Arizonas starter are 1-4 with a 5.05 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco.

SAN FRANCISCO is 24-9 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Tigers starter Yu Darvish (9-4, 3.28 ERA) in  five of his last eight starts,has allowed one or no runs. He's worked long and gone  six or more innings in 16 of his 18 starts. Im betting a on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: DARVISH is 7-0 in his career when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.178. 

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Padres are 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Tigers starter Skubal.

SAN DIEGO is 18-11  against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.

Play on San Diego to win 

The Angels,  offensive production is and has almost non existent during July as they are averaging just 2.7 runs per game and have scored two runs or fewer in 12 of their 18 games this month. Their solid inconsistent ineptness was on display yesterday in a 7-0 loss to the Royals and that ugly betty output Im betting gets them into a rinse and repeat situation in this tilt vs the Royals this Tuesday.  

Angles starter SUAREZ is 2-12   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in his career. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 4-17  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.NEVIN is 9-22  against the money line in night games as the manager of LA ANGELS.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 36-16 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

The Cincinnati Reds Im betting will continue their home dominance of the visiting Miami Marlins when the clubs meet Tuesday.With their 11-2 win on Monday, the Reds have routed the Marlins 53-12 in eight straight home wins. Miami hasn't won in Cincinnati since 2018 and has dropped 12 of its past 15 overall to the Reds. This is a rinse and repeat situation at play here in this spot play behind Greene the Reds starting pitcher. Note: Marlin have been shutout in 4 of their L/7 and have scored one run or less 5 of their L/8. 

Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.

Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (6-5, 3.14 ERA) hs had  poor stats vs. Cincinnati: 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA in two starts, and is fade material again.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

GREINKE is 118-51 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) The veteran hurler owns a 1.86 ERA at home this season where he has pitched his best ball.  Meanwhile, Los Angeles' Noah Syndergaard (5-7, 4.00 ERA) has won only once in his last seven starts and is fade material in his current form. 

NEVIN is 4-19  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of LA ANGELS.NEVIN is 2-14  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of LA ANGELS.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 31-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 125-82 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Royals to win 

Pittsburgh's starter  BRUBAKER is 3-21 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Note:From 2019 to 2021, Pittsburgh batted .239 and posted a ugly looking  6.54 ERA while going 3-19 against the Cubs in Chicago and Im betting that ugly run continues here today.

The Pirates have averaged 2.9 runs while going 2-6 after winning four in a row, and are fade material entering this game vs the Cubs.

Pirates are 50-117 in their last 167 road games.Pirates are 21-51 in their last 72 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cubs starter Sampson.

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Southpaw Sean Manaea (5-4, 4.11 ERA) will start Monday's game for the Padres. Manaea has won his last two starts  vs  Colorado where he held them  to two runs in 6 1/3 innings on July 11, then gave up three runs in six innings against Arizona on July 16. Im betting he continues to being upward momentum into this tilt vs a very inconsistent Tigers side that has lost 10 of their L/12 games overall.MANAEA is 16-2  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

The Rays starting hurler does not matchup well vs the Orioles batting order. The O’s have a .320 OBP and 17 RBIs against Kluber in 124 at-bats and Im betting they continue their success today. Meanwhile, Voth the Orioles starter who already saw his team win his lat start this season vs the Rays has an edge here vs TBs projected batting order. 

Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rays starter Kluber. Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 home game

BALTIMORE is 17-11  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.BALTIMORE is 6-1  against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season. (Yankees won 6-0 yesterday vs Orioles) BALTIMORE is 12-6  against the money line in July games this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - after a loss by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 91-49 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orioles to win 

 The Padres have won four of the past five meetings  with the Mets and my projections show me they have the edge again with all star Musgrove  (8-2, 2.42)  on the mound.  it must be noted that Mets continue to falter, and with Carrasco on the hill look to be at a disadvantage. The righty  ended the first half  in bad form despite of one shutout vs the inconsistent Cubs . He put up a 5.66 ERA and a very ugly  1.65 WHIP over his final seven starts and is fade. material in his current form. CARRASCO is 3-14 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN DIEGO is 7-0  against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.

SAN DIEGO is 19-12  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 43-18 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

Oakland right-hander James Kaprielian (1-5, 5.09 ERA), has made two starts against the Rangers this season,, but he didn't get a decision in either after allowing seven runs in 9 1/3 innings of sub par work. Im betting the Rangers get to him again today. 

Rangers are 14-4 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series.

OAKLAND is 8-19  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. OAKLAND is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less this season (As won 5-4 yesterday)

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 100-51 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Rangers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Rangers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Texas to win 

Philadelphia will hand the ball to right-hander Zack Wheeler (8-5, 2.89 ERA) on SaturdayPhillies starter WHEELER is 23-8  against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Cubs are 18-55 in their last 73 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman (2-5, 4.69) is scheduled to start for the Cubs on Saturday. STROMAN is 6-16  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies are 21-9 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter like Stroman. 

Cubs are 10-21 in their last 31 vs. National League East.Cubs are 31-65 in their last 96 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.Cubs are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

The Toronto Blue Jays obliterated the Bosox yesterday 28-5 and now a regression performance from the Jays must be expected which Im betting coordinates with redemption the home team intends to feed on here. Note: The runs were also the most allowed by the Red Sox in club history.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 12-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

The Marlins lost  8-0 yesterday, extending their losing streak to four games and their scoreless streak to 34 innings and now in a state of complete desperation Im betting they find a way to put runs on the board here and grab a win vs the Pittsburgh Pirates. 

Note: Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett (1-3, 3.70 ERA) is scheduled to start Friday. Garrett is coming off his first career start vs the Pirates but did  not get a decision in the Marlins' 3-2 victory July 14, but he set a career high with 11 strikeouts over six scoreless innings, with two hits and two walks. Rinse and repeat scenario at play here. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a struggling team (38-46%) are 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win 

 On May 11 Louge the As starter shutout the Tigers in his teams 9-0 win. He matches up well here vs the Tigers batting order and gets the nod again in a rinse and repeat situation.

  MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

We start the 2nd half of the season off with a key ML investment option centering around the NY Yankees @ Houston Astros. My power rankings suggest we have very good value here with a Yankees wager. New York is off losing game 1 of their last series before the all star break to the Boston Red Sox in  extra-innings  in the opener before roaring back in the last 2 games of the series and  outscoring the Red Sox 27-3 to take the series. Im betting that explosive offense momentum continues here vs the Astros vs C Javier the Astros expected starter. In his last three starts, Javier is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP. 

Note: Expected starter for Yankees not named yet. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate!

Rangers hurler Gray is a solid pitcher but my own pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Lopez the Marlins starter has the edge. Pablo Lopez has garnered  a record of 6-4 in his 18 starts this season including. a solid  2.86 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in those trips to the hill. 

Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Rangers are 14-40 in their last 54 games following an off day. Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 39-12 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 111-51 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Seattle Mariners have won 13 straight games, two short of their franchise record, and Im betting that run continues into the all star break behind the arm of Flexen and a viable bullpen. Flexen hasn't faced the Rangers this season, but he's 4-0 in five starts against Texas in his career with a 2.53 ERA. FLEXEN is 12-1  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 27-8 in the last 35 meetings.

Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.

Seattle according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matcxhes up well vs the Rangers,  right-hander Glenn Otto (4-5, 5.50 ERA) . Otto is 0-3 in four starts . 

 Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 15-3 in their last 18 vs. a team with a losing record.

SEATTLE is 7-0   against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season.SEATTLE is 11-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. 

SEATTLE is 13-1  against the money line in the second half of the season this season.

Mariners are 27-8 in the last 35 meetings.Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.

Play on Seattle to win 

Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cubbies starter  Sampson. Meanwhile, Cubs are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a left-handed starter and are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the NY mets starter Peterson. 

These are two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum as is evident by the Mets having won 4 straight while the Cubs have lost 9 straight. With that said, Im betting the Mets momentum continues into the all star break, while the Cubbies downward momentum also continues. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-16  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-21  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 4-19 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (NY METS) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 232-99 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter today Howard. Spencer Howard the Rangers starter has garnered a ugly 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks to be cannon fodder in this spot play. 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 7-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 16-4  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.033.

SEATTLE is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.SEATTLE is 12-3   against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SEATTLE is 11-1  against the money line in the second half of the season this season. Mariners are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on Seattle to win 

BUNDY is 5-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 0.929. in 7 career starts with the White Sox winning all of those games. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today. 

BALDELLI is 33-10 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA like the White Sox Lynn (6.97 ERA). 

Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 16-7 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

White Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

White Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 43-19 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

Both these teams look tired entering this final series before the all star break, but Im betting the Yankees home field advantage and overall superior offense get the job done here tonight . Im betting on a redemption minded Yankee group that blew two leads and suffered losses in the last two games of their previous weekend series against this same Bosox side will be a key motivating factor.

Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 home games.Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter like BoSox starter Eovaldi. .

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 175-302 L/25 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Red Sox are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings in New York.

Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.

Play on NY Yankees to win