Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league road games.Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter like the Royals starter Lynch and are currently in top form and deserve respect here as short favs. Note: Reds have won their L/4 road games. 

Meanwhile, KC has lost 8 straight and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation manifesting itself again. 

KANSAS CITY is 9-33  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. KANSAS CITY is 9-30 against the money line in night games this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 11-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Reds are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on Reds to win 

Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 overall and deserve respect here as underdogs in this current form. 

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

Meanwhile, the Rangers after a fast start to their current campaign, have looked sub par of late as is evident by  losing 5 of their L/ 6 overall and are fade material in this current form.Previous to yesterday game the Rangers in. a 7 game span were hitting just .235 as a team, and Im betting they have not bottomed out yet. 

TEXAS is 0-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% over the last 2 seasons like Detmers. TEXAS is 40-51 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season are 33- 48 L/5 seasons. 

Angels are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on LA Angels to win 

Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-4, 3.91 ERA) will start on Tuesday.

ARIZONA is 16-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like the Phillies starter Wheeler.  Note: Wheeler is supported by a bullpen with a 5.25 ERA, and the Dbacks are the kind of team that can make shoddy bullpens pay a high price in later innings. 

Meanwhile, the Dbacks send  Right-hander Zach Davies (1-1, 4.68 ERA) to the hill. He took down the Washington Nationals in his most recent outing when he gave up two runs, five hits and one walk in 6 2/3 innings while striking out  eight in a quality start and has upward momentum entering this tilt. Considering Arizona has won 6 straight they look like viable underdog selections here vs what is a over rated Phillies side, that is just 13-22 on the road this season. Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Diamondbacks are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 21-7 in their last 28 overall.

PHILADELPHIA is 2-11  against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Oakland has won 6 straight games and with momentum on their sides look very much like viable underdogs here tonight at home vs TB left-hander Jalen Beeks  (2-3, 6.12) who is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA in three appearances this month, all in relief.  By the way this a As group playing with a chip on their shoulders, as the pundits smash them on a regular basis for being so darn bad. Well the Bad news As get the nod again on a value line.

Play on the Oakland As to win

Cubs starter  Jameson Taillon (1-4, 7.02 ERA) on the season and  is 0-2 with an 8.27 ERA in four home starts and in his current form is fade material. After opening 11-6, Chicago is 17-31 and has averaged 2.5 runs in the last 13 contest and no way shape or form deserve to favs , even here at home in Wrigley at this time . 

PITTSBURGH is 16-6 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.PITTSBURGH is 10-4  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more  over his last 5 starts, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 43-67 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pirates to win 

Marlins left-hander Jesus Luzardo (5-4, 3.79 ERA) is expected to start against Mariners rookie righty Bryce Miller (3-3. 4.46) on Monday night.

Luzardo, who is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Mariners, and is off a quality start last time out  against Kansas City. He allowed one run on two hits in seven innings of top tier work, with no walks and eight strikeouts, in a 6-1 win. With momentum on his side, against a Seattle offense in a funk he gives his team the edge Miamis starter LUZARDO is also 8-0  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

MIAMI is 12-2 (against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.MIAMI is 14-3  against the money line in an inter-league game this season.MIAMI is 13-2  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. 

SEATTLE is 8-13  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. SEATTLE is 18-26  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

MLB team (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win

Right-hander Brayan Bello (3-4, 3.97 ERA)takes a three-game losing streak Sunday night against the NY Yankees and Im betting his streak will continue on the negative side.Bostons starter BELLO is 0-8  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bello lost both of his starts against the Yankees in 2022 He allowed three unearned runs in five innings of a 5-3 loss at Boston on Sept. 14 and allowed an earned run in six innings of a rain-shortened 2-0 loss in New York on Sept. 25 and seems to be one of those pitchers that lacks run support from his offense on a consistent basis and is fade material. 

Yankees are 40-14 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 54-25 in their last 79 vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 61-29 in their last 90 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

BOSTON is 41-68  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons.

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

Rangers starting pitcher PEREZ is 22-7  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 8-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 10-1 against the money line in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) Perez won both of his starts vs. the Rays last season-  pitching seven scoreless innings with five strikeouts in a 3-0 home win on May 31, and then allowed three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in a 4-3 road victory on Sept. 16.

TEXAS is 9-2  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like the Rays starter Mcclanahan. The Rays hurler is a top tier pitcher, but the Rangers have annihilated LHP this season averaging 7.2 rpg via a .294 BA. Rangers are also 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

TEXAS is 13-4  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL), averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season are 15-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win 

The Blue Jays' scheduled starter is right-hander Kevin Gausman (5-3, 2.63). In 10 career starts against Minnesota, he is 1-4 with a 5.88 ERA,  After losing the first two games of this series, the consensus is that Toronto will bounce back here, but Im going the other way in true contrarian fashion. It must be noted that the Twins have won 12 of their past 15 games in Toronto and are being disrespected here on this line. I know Gausman had a tremendous outing last time out against Houston recording 13 SO in a victory, but now Im betting on immediate regression in an emotional and physical letdown situation. 

GAUSMAN is 3-7  against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 12-21  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

SCHNEIDER is 17-23 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TORONTO.

Play on Minnesota to win 

In the series finale, New York right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 5.94 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (7-2, 3.60 ERA). The pitching advantage goes to the Pirates and their bullpen is stable enough to clean things up when need be. I know Keller has been roughed up in his l/2 starts but hes a viable pitcher and a bounce back is a favorable option. Meanwhile, Corrasco seems to be on the downside of his career as his SO ratio is way down this season, (10% below his career average). 

PITTSBURGH is 17-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. 

Pirates are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.

NY METS are 2-11  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.

Play on Pittsburgh to win

Boston has lost 8 of their L/11 and look to be adding to that negative column tonight against Yankees starter German who has seen his team win his L/3 starts. Meanwhile Boston's Tanner Houck (3-5, 5.46 ERA) will  bring a  seven-game winless skid into Saturdays action. Im betting his current negative run continues even though he will not have to face the injured Aaron Judge. 

Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Red Sox are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 172-114 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NYY to win 

The Astros right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.44 ERA) goes to the hill on Saturday. The  rookie received a no-decision after allowing three hits over seven innings of one-run ball against the Los Angeles Angels this past Sunday. He had a no-hitter for the first 5 1/3 innings of that tilt and enters this game with momentum making the Astros a viable underdog.France owns a  29-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first six career starts spanning 34 innings and is a under rated hurler at his time.HOUSTON is 40-26 (against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

Cleveland has won three straight, while Houston has dropped a season-high four consecutive games, but it will be the desperation of a hard working Houston group that will the difference maker tonight.

CLEVELAND is 16-23 against the money line in night games this season.

Play on the Astros to win 

San Diego beat Colorado 9-6 on Friday in the opener of a three-game series at Denver, but that has not been a good omen in the past for the Fathers as they have lost 5 of 6 after a victory. 

Padres starter WEATHERS is 0-7  against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLORADO is 9-3  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Weathers. Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.69 ERA in his four career appearances (three starts) against the Rockies, all of which came in his rookie year of 2021. More pain to come here today is my bet.

The Rockies stater FREELAND is 34-16   against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 41-23  against the money line in day games in his career. (Team's Record) note: Freeland, who will face the Padres for the second time this season threw six scoreless innings in the second game of the season to get the victory. 

Play on Colorado to win

SAN DIEGO is 3-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Padres are 17-35 in their last 52 road games with the total set at 11 or higher.Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.

Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.

Cubs starter Stroman is on a tear right now winning his L/3 games while posting a minuscule  0.78 ERA. In his current form he gives the Cubbies a strong chance of victory tonight in SF. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 15-35 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Stroman whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Giants are 17-45 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Houstons offense has done their best work vs lLHP this season as is evident by averaging 5.5 rpg on a .276 BA and and should one again fair well vs Cleveland's  southpaw hurler Allen. Also my pitcher vs power rankings suggest Christian Javier the Astros starter has the edge here, as is evident by a solid 2.84 overall ERA and a recent 1.59 ERA in his L/3 starts all victories. Both sides, have solid bullpens, but the difference maker comes on offense, where Cleveland owns a ugly .233 BA at home where they average just 3.1 rpg. 

Guardians are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.

 HOUSTON is 30-15  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like Allen. Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter like Allen. Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 road games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

The Twins have lost 5 straight and are fade material in their current form. 

MINNESOTA is 4-16 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Jays lefty starter KIKUCHI is 17-9  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Minnesota has struggled against LHP this season averaging just 3.5 rpg via a nasty looking .224 BA and are a disadvantage tonight that has won 7 of their L/8 games overall while allowing 2 runs or less in 6 of those tilts. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 8-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Angels left-hander Reid Detmers (0-5, 5.15 ERA) will make his 11th start of the season on Thursday and is fade material in his current form. I know he has a decent bullpen behind him, but he is the type of hurler that can implode and put his team in the hole quickly. DETMERS is 7-16 ( against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Cubs   left-hander Drew Smyly (5-3, 3.56 ERA) goes to the hill for the Cubs. SMYLY is 49-33 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record)

SMYLY is 21-13 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons like Smyly. 

Note:Angels outfielder Hunter Renfroe will miss this game as he is off with  paternity leave.

Cubs are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Cubs are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Cubs to win 

Chase Anderson owns a stingy 1.72 ERA at home in Coors Field this season, and is a viable underdog hurler to back here today . Meanwhile, Giants starting pitcher COBB is 2-8   against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-18  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Rockies starter Anderson. 
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-25 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Rockies starter Anderson. 

 Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on Colorado to win 

The Dodgers pitching staff is not as strong it has been in recent seasons, and their starter today Noah Syndergaard has not looked as dominating as he did in the past as is evident by his 6.45 ERA and a 9.90 road ERA in 20 innings of sub par work. With that said, their is to much value here to pass up fading Syndergaard in his current form. Note: Dodgers bullpen owns a bloated 5.73 road ERA. 

CINCINNATI is 21-7 L/28 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher. 

LA DODGERS are 11-19  against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

The Rays go with a  bullpen game on Monday led by Shawn Armstrong. However,  with that said my data and power rankings suggest not only is the Twins starting  pitcher Lopez under rated but their bullpen has also proven to be of the top tier variety early on this season as is evident by a solid  3.45 overall ERA. Lopez has won his L/2 starts vs Cleveland and Toronto and gets my support here on a value line.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Rays are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 15-4  against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-1) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). GILBERT is 19-7 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Seattles starter Gilbert. Im betting Gilbert has a decent night, vs a    Padres squad that has the seventh-lowest scoring offense in the majors, averaging 4.10 runs per game while rankings) 21st in OPS+ 96. 

I know the Mariners are not much better, but it must be noted the Padres starter Musgrove,  is just  3-10  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)SEATTLE is 25-10  against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. 

Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 games following an off day.Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

SAN DIEGO is 6-12  against the money line in home games in night games this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 37-13 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners 

The Red Sox will send left-hander fire baller James Paxton (1-1, 4.26 ERA) to the hill in the series opener. He allowed one run and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last week. Paxton had pitched a total of 21 2/3 innings in his  previous three seasons due to a number of injuries, but looks now to be back in top form and health. He has allowed two or fewer runs in three of his first four outings this season, while recording 27 strikeouts in 19 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well against the light hitting guardians.BOSTON is 18-4  against the money line vs. sub standard power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons.

Note:Cleveland starting right-hander Shane Bieber (4-3, 3.72 ERA), enters this game in a bit of a funk after allowing seven runs over four innings against the Baltimore Orioles last week.Bieber has  recorded a  3-3 record along with a bloated 5.50 ERA in six career tilts  (five starts) vs. BoSox and is fade material here today.The Red Sox offense rank  top-eight  against right-handed pitching.

Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.

Guardians are 1-11 in their last 12 Tuesday games.

Red Sox are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

The Cardinals will be facing Texas left-hander Martin Perez (6-1, 4.43) and despite of not pitching at home in over a month showed he enjoyed being on the hill at home going 3-0 along with a stingy 1.93 ERA. Im betting on home cooking being favorable to him again and for the Rangers to bring home the cash.PEREZ is 15-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is 21-7  against the money line in June games in his career (Team's Record)

Cardinals are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League West.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. 

 Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.

Cardinals are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

NYY starter German is in good form so far this season, garnering a 3-3 record along with a 3.98 ERA in 10 starts. He’s struck out 53 in 54.1 innings . His 0.98 WHIP is of the top tier variety and he must be respected here in LA on a vleu line  tonight .GERMAN is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. I know Miller the young Dodgers right handed  hurler, has been strong since coming up from the minors because of rotational  injuries, going  2-0 along with a  1.64 ERA in his first two MLB starts, however, Im betting  regression is imminent against an explosive veteran Yankees lineup that could easily make this kid look mortal. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 34-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NYY to win 

The Jays won the first two games of this low scoring series , but Im betting their vaunted but recently struggling offense will have problems today dealing with the ghost forkball  a pitch used by Mets right-hander Kodai Senga (5-3, 3.44 ERA) . The pitch has accounted for 39 of the 70 strikeouts Senga has in 10 starts this season, according to information provided by the Mets. 

NY METS are 36-19  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. SHOWALTER is 29-13 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 as the manager of NY METS. TORONTO is 11-18 against the money line after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons. 

NY METS are 45-33  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

Rays right-hander Taj Bradley (3-2, 3.60 ERA) will start against the team he opposed in his MLB debut on April 12. He struck out eight in five innings of three-run ball, helping the Rays in their four-game series sweep and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to manifest itself here today in Fenway. 

Rays are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like BoSox Starter Houck. 

TAMPA BAY is 37-13  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Tampa Bay to win

Yankees starter COLE is 10-0  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record)COLE is 16-3  against the money line in road games in June games in his career. (Team's Record)Cole (6-0, 2.93 ERA) has not lost a game this season in 12 starts and gets the nod again. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with  M. Grove (0-1, 8.44 ERA) has been out since April 21 with a strained right groin and fade material until he can get himself back in a regular rotational groove. Note:Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter and are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague games.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on NYY to win 

On Saturday, St. Louis left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-6, 4.48 ERA) and Pittsburgh right-hander Luis L. Ortiz (1-2, 4.35) are expected to start.

Montgomery is tied for the team lead with five quality starts but is 0-6 with a 5.03 ERA over his past nine starts and Im betting his luck will continue to be bad here today vs a under rated Pittsburgh side off a win vs the Cards yesterday and playing at home. 

Cards  lefty starter MONTGOMERY is 0-6   against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 1-9  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-9   against the money line in the first half of the season this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-7   against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pirates are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.

PITTSBURGH is 14-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.

ST LOUIS is 7-12   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.MARMOL is 6-17  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) as the manager of ST LOUIS.

Play on Pittsburgh to win

After an extremely fast start to their season the Rays have finally cooled off as is evident by losing 8 of their L/11 games. Im betting on that regression to continue here today in Fenway vs a Red Sox team averaging 6 rpg at home this season. It must be noted the Boston's starting pitchers have allowed four or fewer earned runs in 12 of the past 14 games . Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bos sox starter Whitlock. 

BOSTON is 9-2  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.

TAMPA BAY is 8-19  against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games and are 11-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Boston to win 

Kremer went 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in five May starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gives his team a very good chance at pulling off an underdog win here vs the Giants and their top tier starter Logan Webb tonight. Orioles starter KREMER is 8-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 9-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

BALTIMORE is 12-2   against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 17-22  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 43-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orioles to win 

LA dodgers starter Kershaw (6-4, 3.32 ERA) will make his fifth career start against the Yankees. He does not have a win against them  despite of a  1.67 ERA over 27 innings. Im betting he does not stay in tune with his previous efforts, as this version of the Yanks batting order own a .870 OPS against Kershaw in 140 plate appearances, With the Yanks sending right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.59), to the hill for his third start of the season after a lat injury Im betting the Yanks have an edge on a value money line offering. 

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NYY to win 

Right-hander Shohei Ohtani (5-1, 2.91 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Angels on Friday. He leads the majors in opponent batting average (.155), ranks second in WHIP (0.95) and fourth in strikeouts (90) and offers value as an underdog vs a defending World Series Champion side that does not look as potent as it has in recent seasons. The Angels after a out control event yesterday, that saw Manager Nevin ejected fro arguing balls and strikes will be primed to for a bounce-back effort after losing 5-2 yesterday. Motivation factor will be key for a Halos victory. HOUSTON is 2-8  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Astros starter Valdez. 

Play on the LAA to win

Pittsburghs starter CONTRERAS is 10-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CONTRERAS is 9-1  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cardinals are 7-20 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.

Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Advantage Pittsburgh Pirates ( play to win)

The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee (1-1, 2.88 ERA) on Thursday giving the Guardians a good chance of cashing here as underdogs. Bibee will be opposed by right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-3, 4.11), a hurler that my power rankings suggest the Guardians batting order matches up well against. Note: The Twins are also in an emotional letdown spot after taking 2 of 3 from the defending World Series Champs the Houston Astros. Im betting a motivated group of Guardians that are now 3.5 games behind the Twins will be primed to claw out a win here in this spot play situation. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win and are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. 

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20) (AL), after 2 straight games with no home runs are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.Guardians are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.

Play on the Guardians to win 

The Diamondbacks will send Zach Davies (0-1, 5.68 ERA) to the hill to face the Rockies this afternoon. I know the Rockies won the first 3 games of this 4 game series but Im betting they don't get the sweep. This will be Davies 2nd start since coming of the injured list, and he still does not look 100% and is  vulnerable .  In four starts vs. Colorado last year, Davies had no decisions and a 4.05 ERA and looked average at best. Also veteran Charlie Blackmon returns from a stint on the bereavement list, and should boost the Rockies sometimes doormat offense giving us an edge with a value based dog. COLORADO is 12-6 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Play on Colorado to win 

Neither the Jays or the Brewers have been playing top tier baseball of late. But the one thing that stands out about the Jays sub par performances is a sudden lack of offense more often than one would expect with this type of lineup. For example in yesterdays 4-2 loss the the Brewers the Jays went 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position. With that said, Im betting on the Brewers to win this game in what is a coin flip event. The price does not match the situation or data thus giving us value with the underdog. 

Jays  righty starter GAUSMAN is 3-8   against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GAUSMAN is 1-7   against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.

MILWAUKEE is 20-7 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 inter-league road games.

The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers starter  Peralta. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.

Play on the Brewers 

The Yankees are up-trending in top form as is evident by their  5-0 record  in their last 5 vs. American League  including a  6-0 record  in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starterKirby .Yankees are also 6-0 in their last 6 road games and they get the nod again vs a Seattle side that is  3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.SEATTLE is 7-12  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 39-58. L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Yankees to win 

Cubs starter Steele started fast this season in top form but has regressed lately going   1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Steele. Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the  CHICAGO CUBS are 14-24  against the money line against right-handed starters like Eflin this season.TAMPA BAY is 35-12 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. 

EFLIN is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.326.

STEELE is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 13.48 and a WHIP of 2.247.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a  go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

Texas starter Dunning has pitched well this season so far but is do for regression. Note: DUNNING is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.125.DUNNING is 2-12  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 2-14  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-10  against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-7  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Motown.

 MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% are 25-9 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Detroit Tigers to win 

Yankees left-hander Nestor Cortes (4-2, 5.30 ERA) is scheduled to start Tuesday against Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.60). My power rankings suggest the Yanks have the edge here. Note:Gilbert is 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. 

GILBERT is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East. SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

Yankees are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.Yankees are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Seattle.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 10 runs or more are 11-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Yankees to win 

The Reds are expected to start right-hander Ben Lively (2-2, 2.65 ERA) on Tuesday night . It must be noted that the Bosox are below .500 vs ( 15-19 )against right-handed starters this season.

 Jays starter Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his past three starts. He started this  season off fast but now he is fade material in his current form. KIKUCHI is 3-8   against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Recor

Meanwhile, the Brewers are expected to start right-hander Adrian Houser (1-0, 2.25) who according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs a Jays side that is 4-10 L/14 overall. It must be noted Houser has pitched much better against right handed hitters than southpaw batters in his career, and considering the amount of righty hitting stars in the Jays lineup that is a good omen for us backing the Brewers on value line in this matchup.  

MILWAUKEE is 19-6  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 28-13 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. COUNSELL is 25-13   against the money line against AL East opponents as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

MLBRoad underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 26-13 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.82 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Twins and gives the Twins a strong opportunity to notch a victory at a value price. He leads the majors in ERA, adjusted ERA-plus (236) and fielding independent pitching (2.02), and has yet to give up a home run in  54 1/3 innings  of quality work this season. His opponent, Rookie right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.43 ERA) has looked  very viable at times but according to my power rankings this is a bad matchup for him. 

Houston is also set for major regression today after a season-high seven home runs the   in their 10-1 road win over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday. Note: HOUSTON is 3-10 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 1-7  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Play on Minnesota to win

Detroit will send left-hander Matthew Boyd to  the hill vs the Rangers. Boyd (3-3, 5.74) has a win and a no-decision in his last two starts but hasn't gone deep in those games and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs a Rangers side that has hit lefties hard this season as is evident by averaging 7.7 rpg via a 290 BA. Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi has overpowered opposing offenses in his last five starts. Eovaldi is coming off a complete-game victory at Pittsburgh 6 days ago. He held the Pirates to one run on six hits and one walk while striking out five and throwing 104 pitches. In three of his previous four starts before the above mentioned top tier effort vs the  Pirates, Eovaldi (6-2, 2.60 ERA) held his opposition scoreless and lasted at least eight innings. Overall during the five-game span , the veteran righty has allowed four runs and 22 hits while garnering  35 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings of lightning work. Advantage on the hill goes to Texas. 

Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 21-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.

Tigers are 20-41 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 51-111 in their last 162 vs. American League West.

MLB team (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 29-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win 

Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has  lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER  vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER   after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Cincinnati starter Ashcraft is 0-3 with a 12.98 ERA in his last four outings and  0-4 with an 11.88 ERA in four career starts against the Cubs and is fade material here once again in Chicago today. Meanwhile, the Cubs will send left-hander Drew Smyly (5-1, 2.93) to the hill . The Cubs hurler, has allowed two or fewer runs in nine straight starts, posting a 2.13 ERA during that stretch and deserves respect here as a favorite. SMYLY is 31-18 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-4  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Reds are 9-24 in their last 33 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 27-9 L/5 seasons for  a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

NYY starter Cole (5-0, 2.53 ERA) is on a run of six straight no-decisions,  since winning five of his first six trips to the hill. Of late , he has looked ordinary at best as is evident by a  4.67 ERA including allowing  six HRs in 27 innings of mediocre work and as a result the NYY are being over rated today. Meanwhile, the The Padres will start Yu Darvish (3-3, 3.67), who owns a  3-1 record along  with a 1.64 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees, and is a viable underdog selection that is backed by a solid bullpen and viable enough offense to find the win column. 

Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like the NYY starter Cole. 

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres starter Darvish..Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

Play on San Diego to win 

Future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw (6-4, 2.98 ERA) takes to the mound after being away from the club a few days due to personal reasons and Im betting the veteran is now rested and fresh enough to give the Rays batting order all they can handle. 

KERSHAW is 4-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.846.

KERSHAW is 93-34against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record). KERSHAW is 150-55 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the  Rays will reply with starter who Glasnow has been sidelined by injuries. Im betting he will take some time to get back to viability giving the Dodgers an edge.  Glasnow doesn't have much history facing the Dodgers. In four innings, all in relief, he has allowed six runs, leading to an bloated 13.50 ERA.

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 72-24 in their last 96 during game 2 of a series.

Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 8-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win

Scherzer has not pitched well in his career at Coors Field. In six career appearances in the Mile High city the veteran has gone  0-3 along  with a bloated  6.39 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP and is fade material on a value line. 

Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 road games. NY METS are 1-8  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.NY METS are 3-8  against the money line in road games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.

Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.COLORADO is 61-49  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a sub par starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or higher ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 13-34 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Colorado to win 

I like the Royals today as they had the day off and their bullpen should be fresh and able to support Lyles if he gets in trouble. The Royals also got to rest at home during this extended home stand and will be ready to play.  Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Washington starter CORBIN is 4-19  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Royals starter LYLES is 12-7  against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter like KC starter Lyles. WASHINGTON is also 1-10 L/11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse  

Nationals are 6-13 in their last 19 inter-league games. 

Play on the KC Royals to win

Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.75 ERA), , goes to the ill for the Padres. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Yanks matchup well against him and haver an edge playing at home .Meanwhile, the Yanks will start international signee Randy Vasquez  who makes  his major league debut, he is being called up from the minors because of Germans suspension for using foreign material on balls. I actually betting this is more a bullpen pitching affair for the Yankees and Vasquez will be closely monitored and allowed to go til he gets in trouble. Bottom line the Padres despite of beating up on the lowly Nats in this last series, have not played consistent baseball this season and are being over rated in this tilt vs a the Yankees.

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.

Yankees are 58-27 in their last 85 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Yankees are 73-35 in their last 108 home games.

Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.SAN DIEGO is 7-13   against the money line in May games this season.

Padres are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

Play on NYY to win 

.

Padres southpaw  starter SNELL is 4-11   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-8  against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-14  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Nationals have done their best work against lefties this season garnering 5.1 rpg via a .289 BA and deserve respect here as home underdogs in this spot play. 

Meanwhile, the Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Nats starting hurler Irvin. 

Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win 

Todays pitching matchup features:  Toronto's Alek Manoah (1-4, 5.15 ERA) opposite  Tampa Bay's Zach Eflin (6-1, 3.45) in a duel of right-handers.

Jays starter MANOAH is 9-15   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rays are 124-51 in their last 175 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Manoah and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings is fade material here vs the Rays . 

Rays starter EFLIN is 24-7  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Elfin has looked good this season, and shown great consistency with his breaking stuff, and deserves respect here as a favorite. 

Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. American League East. Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. 

TAMPA BAY is 22-5  against the money line in home games this seasonTAMPA BAY is 55-28 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 9-4 in their last 13 during game 4 of a series.

Blue Jays are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on the Rays to win 

The Cardinals, have dropped two of the first three in the series and Im betting against them here again today as their starter Mikolas makes his 17th career appearance  and 15th start  against the  Cincinnati Reds . The Cards righty hurler  has just one victory in his last 12 appearances against the Reds, recording a  0-3 record along  with a bloated 7.94 ERA in his last six starts in Cincinnati and is fade material here this afternoon, 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less  hitters each of his last 2 outings are 31-16 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.( Reds Starter Weaver qualifies) 

CINCINNATI is 21-7 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher since 1997.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

Baltimore's starter. Wells is 3-0 with a 2.52 ERA in his past six starts, but has not had any luck facing the NYY as his 0-4 record along with a 4.68 ERA would indicate.

Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Wells.

Meanwhile, Cortes the Yanks expected stater who is off a strong effort last time out for a win has momentum entering this tilt vs a Orioles side that he has had success against as is evident by a    4-0  record along with a 1.37 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts). 

BOONE is 106-42  against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of NY YANKEES

Orioles are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in New York.

Play on the NYY to win 

Alcantara is a top tier hurler, but this season for some reason hes giving up plenty of hard contact and alot of line drives which is never a good omen when especially here in the Coors Field launching pad.  The line is just to off, according to Alcantara's current form. 

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. 

Marlins are 1-11 in their last 12 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on Colorado

Cards lefty  starter MATZ is 0-6  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 8-0  against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season. Cincinnati has clobbered LH pitchers this season averaging 5.3 rpg game via a .274 BA and are being under rated tonight. Cardinals are 20-41 in their last 61 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Reds Starter Lively. 

ST LOUIS is 3-9  against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

Houser is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career appearances, including one start, against the Astros, allowing one earned run in 6 1/3 innings. He is according to my pitcher power rankings and under rated hurler. Houser is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two career appearances, including one start, against the Astros, allowing one earned run in 6 1/3 innings and get the nod here vs a Houston side expected to be without Jose Altuve .

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Astros Bielak. Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league home games.Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Play on the Brewers to win 

Gallen is the superior pitcher in this matchup vs the Phillies Suarez, but the Phillies have the superior bullpen and a more explosive offense. SUAREZ is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SUAREZ is 11-6   against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

THOMSON is 15-6   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA like the Dbacks Gallen. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Phillies to win. 

I cant see how the Rangers are road favs here. There is not that much of a difference in the pitching matchup according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Rangers Perez. Also the Pirates have the superior bullpen and deserve respect here as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 23-12  against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 20-40 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

Rangers are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.

MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 92-76 L/5 seasons. 

Rangers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Pirates to win 

Chicago has been struggling but with  starter Drew Smyly (4-1, 2.86 ERA) on the hill they have a strong opportunity for success in this tilt vs the Mets. The lefty allowed a run on four hits and SO eight in six innings at Houston on Wednesday, but the Cubs choked on  a  6-1 lead and eventually lost by a  7-6 count . The Cubbies southpaw,  has allowed just  three runs over 12 innings of his last two starts, and  is 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in four career starts against the  New York Mets and get the nod vs a inconsistent Mets offense. SMYLY is 33-19  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)

Note: Senga the Mets starter  is 1-1 along with a 7.98 ERA, with opponents batting .323 on the road this season.

Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. NY METS are 1-6  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.Mets are 20-41 in the last 61 meetings in Chicago.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Veteran hurler Adam Wainwright no longer seems imposing and very much looks to be on the downside of his career, as his velocity has dropped significantly. With that said, my pitcher vs betting order power rankings also suggest we have an edge . 

Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.ST LOUIS is 11-21 against the money line in night games this season.

Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

Cincinnati Reds to win 

The Rangers lost to the Pirates yesterday, but have proven resilient in the past as is evident by going  5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.

Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter like Hill and matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Note: The Rangers own a top-three offense against both righties and southpaws this season.

Meanwhile, Pirates are 26-59 in their last 85 interleague games and are 17-39 in their last 56 during game 2 of a series.

The Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Eovaldi who owns a 5-2 recored on the season including a solid .283 ERA and a 3-1 record and a stingy 1.83 ERA on the road.

Everything points to a conclusive Rangers win in game 2 of this series.

MLB team (TEXAS) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent NL starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games are 26-8 L/seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas Rangers to win

The Braves sill have some issues Im betting against rookie Gavin Stone, who will make his second MLB start after an impressive spring including Triple-A action. It must be noted that Gavin Stone garnered 24 swinging strikes while generating a season high 10 strikeouts for OKC. With a fastball that averaged 94.4 - t96.3 Braves hitters could end up taking time to figure this kid out. Meanwhile the LA DODGERS are 28-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Morton whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons .MORTON is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.396. Advantage Dodgers on the money-line 

Dodgers are 60-24 in their last 84 during game 1 of a series.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Rays are 27-12 in their last 39 games vs. a right-handed starter like Jays starter  Bassitt. Rays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 39-12 in their last 51 home games.Rays are 23-8 in their last 31 during game 1 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 15-2   against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game this season.

Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rays Kelley.Blue Jays are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf. TORONTO is 0-6 (against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season.

Blue Jays are 18-37 in the last 55 meetings in Tampa Bay. 

MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 17-42 L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rays to win 

Ortiz has not looked great from a data standpoint early on this season, but this young Pirates starter has above average stuff, and must be respected here on a value line. Meanwhile, the Rangers Dunning is a capable mid rotation pitcher, but not at this level of favoritism, making the Pirates a viable underdog. DUNNING is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-14  against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 2-13  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like Ortiz.Rangers are 3-9 in their last 12 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 inter-league road games.

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Rangers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

Pittsburgh Pirates to win 

The Tigers won the opener 8-6 on Friday night and once again look like viable bets with momentum on their sides and now going against a very inconsistent Nats hurler Left-hander Patrick Corbin (2-5, 4.65 ERA) . He had a good outing last time out, but has shown very little ability to stay hot for very long over the last few seasons and is fade material in this spot play opportunity.  

Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Motowns  starter Faedo. 

Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

.DETROIT is 6-1  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. DETROIT is 11-3 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Tigers have won 3 of their L/4 games.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Colorados starter FREELAND is 26-13  against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings. When hes running hot the Rockies are viable bets . To much value to pass up on here in this spot play. In three career starts vs. the Rangers, Freeland is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA. I know Texas starter Texas starter Jon Gray (3-1, 3.15 ERA) has pitched well , but the Rockies batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings match up well here.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win 

Keller (5-1, 2.38 ERA) will face Diamondbacks rookie right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 8.59) on Saturday.

ARIZONA is 12-46  against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons like the Pirates Keller. 

 Pirates starter Keller in his L/3 starts has garnered a minuscule 0.43 ERA and 0.714 WHIP. Keller has already matched his win total from last season. He has not given up a home run over his past five starts. He is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA in four home outings.and gets the nod here. 

PITTSBURGH is 10-3  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 38-75 L/6 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Miami starter Alcantara reigning NL Cy Young Award winner has yet to win on the road this season, going 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA. With the Giants,,  offense in high gear as was evident  during a three-game home sweep over the Philadelphia Phillies to start the week, totaling 17 runs in the victories Im betting that momentum carries on into this tilt against the Marlins. This is also an interesting anomaly or trend:  ALCANTARA is 1-12   against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Giants  offense ranks top 7 against righties like Alcantara. 

SFO starter DESCLAFANI is 22-9   against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9   against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Red Sox starter Paxton is throwing heaters at a very high velocity right now ( 96.3 mpg on average) which is his highest since 2019. Whatever he is doing-  the veteran  is successfully turning back the clock and must be respected here on the road as an underdog. Note: Paxton in three career starts against the Padres, owns a  1-1 record along with a 1.98 ERA, a 1.527 WHIP and a .241 opponents' batting average.

Padres starter SNELL is 1-7  against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 1-13  against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record

key trend:The Padres are struggling to hit in the clutch, possessing a majors-worst .196 average with runners in scoring position, while the Red Sox's .294 average in those situations ranks second behind the Texas Rangers' .331 mark.

SAN DIEGO is 0-8 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Veteran right-hander Zack Greinke (1-4, 5.01),  is coming of a strong outing last time out ,as  he allowed two runs on three hits in five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers last Saturday, striking out five without issuing a walk. He actually looked close to the pitcher who was hard to beat in his prime and gets my backing here on a value line. 

Meanwhile, Kopech is preparing to make his first start against Kansas City this season after going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three trips to the hill against them last season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here. 

Pale Hose staeter KOPECH is 0-6   against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 9-21  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 2 straight one run wins are 38-17 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Royals to win

Seattles starter Bryce Miller is absolute fire. His fastball is of the top tier variety and Im betting the Braves will have a hard time catching up with the flame throwers over powering stuff. He has the lowest WHIP (0.421) in any pitcher's first three career starts in MLB history.

I know Elder has looked really good for the Braves, but this line according to my projections offers great value as the pitching matchup is being undervalued in relation to the dog. 

SEATTLE is 41-32  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 94-68 ( against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 12-2 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Seattle to win 

Mets right-hander Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 8.56 ERA), is expected to come off the injured list to pitch against his former team for the first time. The veteran hurler  hasn't pitched for New York since April 15 due to right elbow inflammation and Im betting his rust despite of some minor league rehab will not help his situation. Note:Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like Carrasco.Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 inter-league road games.Guardians are 25-9 in their last 34 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Mets did get a win yesterday bit that has not been a omen for success so far this season as is evident by  a 1-7 record in their last 8 games following a victory.

QUANTRILL is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 7-1against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 11-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons

NY METS are 3-9  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season

MLB team (NY METS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are just 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win

Cards starter Wainwright is now said to be healthy after injuring himself during training for the World Baseball Classic. This will be his 3rd start off a lay off and now Im betting like the thoroughbred he is will be ready to pitch at a high standard. 
Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 36-11   against the money line in home games against NL West opponents in his career. (Team's Record) Wainwright is 7-6 with a 2.79 ERA in 19 career appearances against the Dodgers, including 16 starts.

Meanwhile,  the Cardinals are 41-18 in their last 59 games vs. a left-handed starter like Urias.

St.Louis to win 

The Red Sox hit southpaws well, and are  33-18   against the money line against left-handed starters  like the Mariners starter Gonzales over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 28-10  against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Brian Bello the Bosox starter has pitched well of late garnering a 2-0 record along with a solid 2.81 ERA in his L/3 starts with his team winning all 3 games . Advantage Boston. 

Red Sox are 15-2 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Mariners are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Reds starter Ashcraft owns a   53.7%  career ground-ball rate while allowing just 0.91 home runs per nine innings (HR/9) which is important here in the launching pad known as Coors Field.  Meanwhile, the  Rockies will send  left-hander Austin Gomber (3-4, 6.30), to the hill . 

The pitching  advantage goes to the Reds. 

The  Reds Starter ASHCRAFT is 8-3   against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ASHCRAFT is 11-5 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rockies are 7-22 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record.

Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on Cincinnati to win 

Tigers starter Eduardo Rodriguez has been in top form this season and his D, has played extremely well behind him. In 8 starts this season the lefty has garnered a 1.57 ERA and very much gives his team an edge in this tilt vs a Pirates side is 1-16 ( against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is also an ugly 7-44 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 3 seasons.

MLB team (DETROIT) - bad AL offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-9 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Tigers to win 

The Mets are battered and beaten and tired after a long road trip and may take some time to get used to home cooking which is not a good omen against an explosive Tampa Bay side that deserve alot of respect. I know Verlander is a top tier pitcher , but the Rays are currently MLB top offensive side and have equally smashed lefties and righties with astonishing fire power. 

The Mets were outscored 64-39 over the previous 13 games.. New York starting pitchers have pitched more than five innings just twice during that span and are fade material in this current form no matter who's on the hill for them. 

TAMPA BAY is 16-2  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

NY METS are 2-8  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. NY METS are 0-6  against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more this season which was the case last time out.

MLB Home teams (NY METS) - after 4 straight games with no home runs, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 42-72 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win

 Gausman the Jays starter is a durable top tier pitcher, but the Yankees bats can make the best of hurlers look sub standard. GAUSMAN is 1-5  against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, German the Yankees starter , must also not be underestimated as is evident by garnering  a stingy 1.89 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. 

Considering the pitching matchup and the viable offenses its obvious to me that the line is bloated as compared to the true odds giving us value with the dangerous underdog. 

TORONTO is 12-19 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons. 

 .Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 77-35 in their last 112 during game 2 of a series.Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 127-83 L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on the NY Yankees

Padres starter WACHA is 4-11   against the money line in home games in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record)

Royals righty starter Keller according to my power rankings is a pitcher that is very under rated and must be respected here on this bloated underdog line. He has recorded a 2-0 record and  .2.91 road ERA this season, and gets the nod on a value line. Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

SAN DIEGO is 6-12  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 39-17 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Royals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.

Play on the Royals to win 

Taillon will make his third start since returning from the 15-day injured list on May 4. He looked a little rusty so far, but now should find himself in a groove here vs a lineup that he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. TAILLON is 16-2  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile,  Left-hander Framber Valdez (3-4, 2.38 ERA) has the starting assignment for the Astros today . With the Astros offense not looking as powerful as it has the last few seasons, he has not been getting sufficient run or bullpen support as is evident by his stingy ERA but sub par record. VALDEZ is 0-5  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Considering the Cubbies have done their best work against southpaws this season averaging 6 rpg it is an easy decision to fafe the Astros in this matchup. 

HOUSTON is 6-10 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - average NL hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against an excellent AL starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 23-11 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - average NL hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 36-17 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and have won the first two games of this series at Fenway and must not be underestimated in their ability to make it 3 in a row here with Mikolas on the hill. The Cards right hurler owns a 2.20 ERA in his L/3 starts and is in top form. Meanwhile, BoSox starter Corey Kluber has really struggled under the shadows of the Green Monster and posted a 7.72 ERA in 4 starts here this season, which is not a good omen for his side tonight. 

Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Red Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague home games.

BOSTON is 5-13 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - very good offensive team - scoring  5.4 or more  runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring 4.5  or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cards to win 

Oakland not played well this year, but the implied odds of this tilt to not matchup well as compared to my projected outcome giving us value with the underdog. Heaney the Rangers pitcher has lost his L/2 starts here in this venue, and is being over rated today. 

TEXAS is 25-33  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Rangers are 21-44 in their last 65 during game 4 of a series.

Rangers are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Oakland.

Play on the As to win 

Cleveland's  right-hander Tanner Bibee (1-1, 4.30) posted a 3.75 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first three outings covering 14 2/3 innings and deserves respect here on this line offering. The Halos who have lost 10 of their 12 here at Progressive Field will counter with left-hander Patrick Sandoval (3-1, 3.41 ERA) in the finale. With the Halos winning the first two games of their series the Guardians will be hell bent on salvaging something from this series and will play hard today behind a viable hurler making them my choice in this spot play. Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Guardians are 15-5 in their last 20 during game 3 of a series.Guardians are 13-5 in their last 18 vs. American League West.

Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.. NEVIN is 2-8 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Play on Cleveland to win

Phillies starter Ranger Suarez, who will come off the IL on Saturday could easily be rusty here in a hitters ball park, making the Rockies a viable underdog at his implied price. The Rockies also hit lefties well, and deserve respect at home to pull of the upset in this spot play. Colorado has won 8 of their L/11 overall.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter like Suarez.Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Phillies are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Colorado.

Play on the Rockies to win 

Twins starter Joe Ryan is a top tier pitcher and deserves a great deal of respect. Considering his performance charts this season, this is not to high of price to ask on this offered line . 

Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 inter-league home games.

Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Twins starter Ryan. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 11-46 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less ), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 110-39 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Twins to win 

Jays starter BERRIOS is 15-1  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 15-1  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BERRIOS is 16-2  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 TORONTO is 15-3  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

I know Elders the Braves starter has pitcher very well out of the gate, but according to my projections this kid could in for a tough outing against explosive Blue Jays batting order.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB home teams (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 25-7 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to win 

McClanahan (7-0, 1.76 ERA) can become the first eight-game winner in the majors and hes performing an exaggerated level just like the rest of the team. Regression is obviously coming and Im betting it starts today against the Yankees. Note:McClanahan is 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cortes was 2-2 with a 3.28 ERA in four starts against Tampa Bay last season, including a victory on May 26 at St. Petersburg, Fla., when he hurled eight innings of one-run ball. My pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Rays and at these implies odds is under rated. Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 71-33 in their last 104 home games and are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter like McClanahan. 

TAMPA BAY is 24-35  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 33-9 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5  or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 49-24 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NYY to win 

Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Nelson. SAN FRANCISCO is sub .500 61-70 against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons and according to my projections being over rated here today vs the Snakes. Value resides with a hungry home side on a 3 game slid. 

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West

.Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.ARIZONA is 20-17  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-13  against the money line vs. a team with a struggling  bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.

Play on Dbacks to win 

Burnes, who won the Cy Young Award in 2021, has not been as sharp thus far as he was the last two seasons and is being over rated here. With that said, there is to  much value to pass up with a Royals side that has won four of their last five games and that has homered in 10 consecutive games. Also the Brewers have lost 8 of their L/10 and are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Royals Taylor. Brewers are also 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Royals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

Paxton off a long lay off after getting injured back in April is being over rated here based on what Ill describe as rust. The Cards  despite of some very inconsistent baseball early this season, are team that has generally hit lefties like Paxton hard, and once again look like they will do damage. Note: Cardinals are 23-10 in their last 33 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games.

Play on St.Louis to win 

NY METS are 3-8 against the money line in May games this season. Mets are in a funk and fade material in their current form. NY METS are 4-16 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. 

Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Nationals Gore. 

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a rested bullpen - threw  2  or less innings in each of the last 2 games are 78-25 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Advantage value with the Washington Nats to win 

Cincinnati will have the pleasure of going against a fresh rookie just coming from Double A. Hes a talented kid but he goes against much tougher competition here and him stepping up wont come easily vs a Reds team, off winning two of three from the Mets. Meanwhile, the Marlins face a hurler in  Graham Ashcraft (2-1, 3.82) who matches up well against them according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.  In two career starts against Miami, he has garnered a  1-0 record along  with a  stingy1.80 ERA. 

Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Ashcraft .Marlins are 34-73 in their last 107 during game 1 of a series.Marlins are 15-36 in their last 51 games following an off day.

Reds are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

My projections estimate that Boyd matches up well here vs the Seattle Mariners. Boyd is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the Mariners. It must also be noted that Motown has momentum entering this tilt against Seattle as is evident by having won seven of their past nine games.  

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like Seattles Gonzales. 

DETROIT is 12-4  against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 86-47 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Giants starter Cobb has pitched well so far this season. However, he is   2-2 with a 6.10 ERA in six career starts against Arizona, including 0-1 with an 8.36 mark in three outings at Chase Field.  COBB is 13-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Henry the Snakes starter does not have great numbers this season, but he is undervalued here according to my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.

Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West.

Play on the DBacks to win 

 Im betting the Rays will soon regress offensively, after a very fast open to their season. Yankees starter German while viable is not as viable a pitcher as Rasmussen, but Germans bullpen is better and Im betting the Yankees will hang tough in this tilt and at this offering are viable underdog selections. Note: Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. 

NYY starter GERMAN is 18-4 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) GERMAN is 10-2   against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more  runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 35-11 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts 44-17 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Rays are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Play on NYY to win 

The White Sox won yesterday but thats not always a good omen for this underperforming side as is evident by going  2-11 in their last 13 games following a win.Note: White Sox starter LYNN is 10-16  against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. The White Sox are also  3-13 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series and are are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Royals expected starter Keller. 

White Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City and Im betting they go down in proverbial flames tonight.

(MLB Team's RecordMLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season are 9-28 L/26 seasons for a go against for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on the Royals to win 

The Mets are vulnerable at moment and in a bit of a funk and  even with Verlander on the hill their favorite status is bloated. NY METS are 2-7 against the money line in May games this season.NY METS are 3-15 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.

Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 road games.

NY METS are 3-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 46-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cincinnati to win 

Right-hander Merrill Kelly (3-3, 2.75 ERA) will start for Arizona on Wednesday and power rankings suggest he is a sub par opponent for the Marlins batting order.Kelly is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his three appearances against the Marlins and faced them one last season, Meanwhile, the Marlins with reply with starter, Edward Cabrera (2-3, 4.78 ERA),  He may. not catch many pundits eyes with a  regular data search , but  he owns a strikeout rate of almost  30%, along with a  53.2% ground-ball rate and is a viable starter to back in this situation on a value line. 

MLB team (MIAMI) - terrible offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in May games are 24-13 L/5 season for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win