25* graded play on Kansas as they take on Baylor set to start at 2:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by fewer than 17 points and that this game will be extremely close throughout. Over the 18-years I have been handicapping sports, you all have seen some of the plays in CFB that are 10 plus dogs actually win the game. This is potentially one of those situations, however I have not seen any money lines posted. If you do have a chance, place a 3* amount on that line, which obviously will be extremely high. Supporting the 10* 'Over' play is a system that has produced a 29-7 record for 81% winners since 1992. Play 'over' with any team against the total after scoring and allowing 30 points or more last game and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 24 total points or less were scored. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that Kansas will have an easy time scoring 28 or more points. In past games where Baylor has allowed 28 or more points they have gone a horrid 5-14 ATS the past three seasons and 39-92 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Baylor is a weak 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. I do believe Kansas will be very successful running the ball against the Baylor run defense that ranks 104th in the FBS. Another key component to this game is that I expect Kansas to have a commanding edge in time-of-possession and this keeps the 5th ranked Baylor passing attack off the field. Baylor's very weak defense has been masked by the strong offensive output. The stats are skewed that in many games Baylor had a big lead and the opponent was made into a one dimensional passing attack. In their last game they defeated Missouri 42-39 and allowed 578 total yards. Of those total yards, 253 were gained on the ground in 40 attempts. In four of the last five games, Baylor has allowed 200 or more rushing yards. Baylor ranks 113th in the FBS allowing 36.8 points per game. In the past teams that have allowed more than 30 points per game and allow more than four yards per rush on the season and are off a game allowing more than 30 points are a dismal 11-31 ATS. If this team is a double digit road favorite and the 'dirty' home dog is seeking revenge those teams have gone just 1-14 ATS. Granted, Kansas' defense ranks slightly worse, but they have the much better running game that will sustain drives. Moreover, Kansas played their best defensive game of the year losing to Iowa State 13-10 last week and that positive momentum will carry over to this week's game. I truly believe that the 48th ranked Kansas rushing attack will dominate the Baylor defensive front that is vastly under sized and has been dominated in all conference games this season. Take Kansas as a 25* Titan play and 'over' as a 10* Titan Play.

15* graded play on the Oakland Raiders as they take on the San Diego Chargers set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Oakland will lose this game by six or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a a 43-16 ATS mark for 73% winners since 2005 and has gone 24-7 ATS over the past three seasons. Play against home favorites that are average rushing team gaining between 3.5 to 4.5 yards per rush against a poor rushing defense allowing >=4.5 yards per rush after 8+ games. Here is a second system that has gone 48-22 ATS for 69% winners since 2005. Play on dogs to pick with a poor scoring defense allowing 24 or more points/game and after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that the Chargers are on three game losing streak and turnovers have been a problem. Norv Turner is just 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. Moreover, SD is juts 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The Raiders a re a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Take the Raiders

15* graded play on Temple University as they host Miami (ohio) in a must-win situation for the Temple Owls. This game is taking place at Lincoln Financial field, home of the Philadelphia Eagles and a larger than normal Temple crowd will in attendance. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Temple will roll in this game and win by a minimum of 15 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-5 ATS for 83.3% winners since 1992. This system has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS over the past three seasons. Play against a road team that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games, competing now against a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG and after 7+ games have been played. Of the 30 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 20 of them or 69% do them covered the spread by seven or more points. The sim shows a high probability that Temple defense will hold Miami to 21 or fewer points. IN past games where Temple

25* graded play on the Baltimore Ravens as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that the Ravens will win win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 33-8 ATS record for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Of the 41 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 23 of them or 55% covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 131-70 for 65 winners since 1983. This system si a perfect 3-0 ATS this season and has gone 15-5 ATS the past three seasons. Play against any team off an upset win as a home dog, with a winning record on the season. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that head coach Harbaugh is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of the Ravens. Ravens are also a near perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. Last week Baltimore feel behind early at Arizona and used a big offensive rally to get a very important 30-27 road win. In the last two games against JAX and Arizona, the Ravens pass defense has not allowed more than 100 passing yards. It is unreasonable to expect them to hold the Steelers to under 100 passing yards, but it does show how well they are playing right now. They won the first meeting in blowout fashion. Much media attention has brought this game to light and the need for the Steelers to enact revenge on their divisional rival. Yet, the same matchups that the Ravens were able to dominate in the first meeting are present in this meeting as well. Take the Ravens

15* graded play on New England as they take on the Giants set to start at 4:15 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that NE will win this game by a minimum of eleven points. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting a high probability that NE will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where the Patriots have scored 28 or more points in a game they are 4-1 ATS this season, 18-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 89-25 ATS since 1992. There is a high probability that NE will gain eight or more net passing yards per attempt. In past games where they have achieved this level of success they are 3-1 ATS this season, 13-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 54-16 ATS since 1992. The Giants are 0-9 ATS the past three seasons and 11-50 ATS since 1992 when allowing eight or more net pass yards in a game. Moreover, they are 0-2 ATS this season, 2-13 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-68 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points. Brady will have a big day and the Giants pass rush will be minimized in this game. Unlike the Steelers defense, the Giants cannot afford to risk bringing pressure too many times and leaving the Patriots receivers in isolated man coverage. Take the Patriots

25* graded play on Oregon State as they host Stanford set to start at 3:30 PM ET.

15* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on Texas A&M Aggies set to start at 3:30 PM ET

15* graded play on Colorado as they take on Southern Call in Friday Night Pac-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will lose this game by 20 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 76-27 ATS for 74% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 103 plays made based on the criteria of this system 48 of the or 48% covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is 5-1 ATS for 83% winners. Adding a criteria that has this home dog coming off a game where they allowed eight or more passing yards per attempt has produced a 43-15 ATS mark over the past 11 seasons and has gone 3-1 ATS this season. Colorado has been decimated by injuries this season, but WR Paul Richardson and RB Rodney Stewart will be playing in this game. Richardson is the leading receiver on the team with 29 catches and five touchdowns on the season. Stewart is the leading ground gainer with 473 rushing yards and a 4.1 yards per carry average and is the second leading receiver with 28 catches for a 15.5 yards per catch average. This is the key to Colorado competing against the Trojans. Usig Stewart out of the backfield or in the slot position and hitting him with high percentage ball control pass plays. He has the quickness to be difficult to bring down in space. Moreover, these drop-off passes serve to minimize the SC defensive blitz pressure. Take the Buffalos.

15* graded play on Ohio University as they host Temple in a critical MAC showdown set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Ohio will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 22-3 ATS for 88% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an extremely close road loss by three points or less and is a solid team winning between 60% to 80% playing a team with a winning record. Temple is off a devastating 13-10 loss at Bowling Green and were installed as 12

15* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they visit the City of Brotherly Love to take on the Philadelphia Eagles set to start at 8:20 PM ET. I can

25* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 4:15 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by three or more points. Over the past 10 seasons, road favorites playing with two weeks of preparation and rest are 32-8 ATS for 80% winners. NE is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games facing excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=375 yards per game since 1992. Head coach Belichick is a solid 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. The Steelers defense has done well this year against the run and pass, but they are not the same intimidating units of past seasons. Brady picked those units apart to the tune of a 122 quarterback rating the last two times playing in Pittsburgh. The 3-4 defensive schemes have been the ones that have been successful against Brady. Pittsburgh employs a 3-4 and likes to bring pressure from the perimeter and at varying angles. However, OC O

25* graded play on Duke as they host Virginia tech set to start at 12:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Duke will lose this game by 14 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 74-27 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 101 plays made based on the criteria of this system 47 of them or 48% covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores my belief that this will be a single digit game. Adding another criteria to this system has produced a 42-15 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt last game and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The sim shows a high probability that Duke wills core between 21 and 28 points in this game. In past games where Tech has allowed this range of points they are 0-1 ATS this season, 1-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 9-22 ATS since 1992. Duke is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Duke quarterback Renfree will play in this game. He is recovering from a hip injury noted Wednesday, but not one that is going to prevent him playing at his best. He has completed 68% of his passes for 1800 yards and five touchdowns. He has very good accuracy on short ball control routes and these plays will eke the Hokies pressure at bay. Duke ranks 28th best in the FBS gaining 286.9 passing yards per game and I believe they have the favorable matchups to make this a very close escape for the Hokies. Take Duke.

25* graded play on BYU as they take on TCU set to start at 8:00 PM ET. I also like splitting this 25* amount into a 20* getting the points and a 5* using the money line. Have to admit, not many sports fans will be tuning into this game except during the commercials of the World Series Game 7. Yet, this is a very strong money making opportunity that can take care of itself while you enjoy Game 7. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that BYU will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-32 making 50.4 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that are out gaining their opponents by 75 or more yards per game and after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game. This is a tremendous system that has averaged a +285 DOG play. BYU is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after out gaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. The opponent was Idaho State, but BYU did win 56-3 and covered the 43 points spread making all of the aforementioned situations valid as outlined. Moreover, BYU has gained 200 or more rushing yards in four straight games and have held four of the last five opponents to less than 81 yards rushing. TCU had a scrimmage last week defeating arguably the worst team in the nation, New Mexico, 69-0 and covered the 44

15* graded play on Rice as they take on Houston in C-USA football set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Rice will lose this game by 27 or fewer points. Houston has now moved to 7-0 ATS and is ranked 17th in the nation. The public has gotten on board this band wagon and this is simply just too many points to be giving in this matchup. Rice is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992. Houston is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. Head coach Summon is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a 2 game home stand as the coach of HOUSTON. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 62-24 ATS for 72% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs off a home loss by 14 or more points and with 17 or more total starters returning. Rice has nine starters including their quarterback returning on offense and eight starters on defense. They are coming off an 18 point loss home versus Tulsa 38-20 and failed to cover as 10 point dogs. Take Rice

15* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Jacksonville set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by 13 or more points. Jacksonville is just not a good team and the matchups heavily favor the Ravens on both sides of the ball. JAX is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Harbaugh is a solid Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of Baltimore. Conversely, Del Rio is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of JAX. Baltimore

15* graded play on the Arizona Cardinals as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 4:15 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Arizona will lose this game by fewer than three points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 94-52 ATS since 1983. Play against road favorites after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games and now facing an opponent after a loss by 14 or more points. Whisenhunt is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games when facing good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards per game as the coach of the Cardinals; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when facing excellent punt coverage teams allowing <= 7.5 yards per return. Arizona has lost three consecutive to the number and are a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992; 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1992. Cardinals have a poor defense by many NFL stats, but Pittsburgh has take these opponents lightly. Pittsburgh is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams allowing >=350 yards per game over the last three seasons. WR Fitzgerald will be a bigger part of the offensive scheme for the Carnivals in this game. Although he will be matched up against a strong corner in Ike Taylor, Fitzgerald will have significant advantages against him in man coverage. Quarterback Kolb is a very accurate short range passer and he can get the ball to Fitzgerald in stride will allow him to create in space. Short

15* graded play on San Diego as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game convincingly. Far too much credit is being given to East Coast teams playing a traveling West Coast team. Moreover, the Chargers have had two weeks to prepare for this critical AFC matchup. Yes, I have heard the facts that SD has not played any strong team this season and the one they did play was a solid loss to the Patriots. Yet, this SD Chargers team is vastly under rated because of the weak opponent schedule. The Jets running game has all but vanished ranking 31st gaining just 80.8 yards per game. San Diego is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor rushing teams averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992. SD has won three straight games and gained 206 rushing yards on 43 carries in a 29-24 win at Denver October 9. SD is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992. Head Coach Norv Turner is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game while being at the helm of the Chargers. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 50-20 ATS for 71% winners since 2005. Play against dogs or pick after a win by 10 or more points and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. Ryan Matthews has been excellent as the lead running back of the Chargers this season. He will force both Jets inside linebackers Scott and Harris to pinch towards the middle of the field. This will open up more space for Rivers to go after Chromate in man situations. The Jets can choose to stop one of the Charger weapons, but not all of them. Take the Chargers.

15* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Texas Tech set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 31 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-5 ATS for 85% winners since 2005. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points and is a strong team outscoring opponents by 10 or more points per game and after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. Of the 33 plays made based on the criteria of this system 17 of them or 53% covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is 2-0 ATS this season and 15-3 ATS for 83.3% winners the past three seasons. Here is a second system that has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 81% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points and are quick starting teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points per game in the first half and after scoring 42 points or more in three straight games. This system is 1-0 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS the past three seasons. Moreover, Stoops is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts as the coach of Oklahoma. Take the Sooners.

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Florida Atlantic set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that MTS will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 41-15 ATS for 73.2% winners since 1992. Play on any team off a close loss by seven points or less to a conference rival facing an opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite. This system has posted a 7-1 ATS record for 88% winners spanning the past three seasons. MTS comes into this fray 36-33 losers at home to Western Kentucky and failed as 10

15* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Clemson set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. UNC has not done well losing four of the past six to the spread. However, they are a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. The large majority of teams fall into this successful role. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-7 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play against any team off a big road win scoring 38 or more points in the second half of the season. 21 of these plays or 54% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Over the past three season this system has produced a 13-2 ATS mark for 87% winners. The sim shows a high probability that UNC will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where UNC scored 28 or more points they are 3-1 ATS this season, 10-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 65-24 ATS since 1992. In past games where Clemson has allowed 28 or more points they are 4-5 ATS the past three season, but just 15-46 ATS since 1992. Take North Carolina.

15* graded play on Kansas as they host intra-state rive Kansas State set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-41 ATS for 66.4% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 41% of them have covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores the fact that this will be a very close game and one that Kansas can post the big upset win. The sim shows a high probability that Kansas will score 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 61-24 ATS since 1992. K-State is just 17-49 ATS when the have allowed 28 or more points since 1992. Take Kansas

15* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on South Florida set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Cincinnati will lose this game by fewer than three points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Bearcats have always brought their best efforts when facing strong opponents and have posted an impressive 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) when facing good teams outscoring opponents by 10+ points per game on the season since 1992. Cincinnati defense is playing well limiting Louisville to 16 points in their 25-16 win last week and pitching a shutout in their 27-0 win at Miami (Ohio). Cincy is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-16 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 inclusive and after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Take Cincinnati.

15* graded play on Louisville as they take on Rutgers in a significant Big East game set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by three or more points. Rutgers leads the nation in turnover margin at +2.2 turnovers per game. This is the ONLY reason they are 5-1 SU and ATS as their offense is extremely weak and over rated. Even with the turnovers, they rank just 48th scoring 30.3 points per game in the FBS. Moreover, they are a terrible rushing team gaining just 91.8 yards per game ranking 111th in the FBS. The Rutgers offense has converted 22 of 27 red zone scoring opportunities for 81.5%. However, they have scored a touchdown on just 55% of these opportunities. The Louisville defense is playing their best now and have held their last to opponents to offensive season lows. Louisville lost both of these road tests, but easily covered the spread. They lost 14-7 at UNC and held them to just 86 rushing yards on 38 carries and allowed 178 passing yards on 12 for 19 passing. They lost their last game 25-16 at Cincinnati, but covered the 13 point spread. Fore those of you, who like playing the money line you will certainly like the fact that Louisville is 8-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) versus terrible rushing teams averaging <=2.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992. Although, a money line situation, I strongly believe that Louisville will core this spread and win the game comfortably.

15* graded play on on UCLA as they take on Arizona in a Pac-12 matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than four points. Arizona has fired Mike Stoops and now begins the new era under former defensive coordinator Tim Kish. This is not a good team and I do not think the quality of the team play will change. What is so ironic is that defense has been the dominant reason that Arizona is 0-4 in the PAC-12 and 1-5 overall. The defensive unit ranks 117th in the FBS allowing 37.5 points per game. UCLA has a very strong running game ranking second in the PAC-12 and 28th int he FBS gaining 194.5 rushing yards per game. The UCLA defense is better than their 97th FBS ranking allowing 32.2 points per game. They allowed 49 points in a loss to Texas and 45 points to No. 6 Stanford. In two of their three wins they allowed less than 20 points. Moreover, UCLA has returned nine starters on offense including quarterback Brehaut. However, he suffered a leg injury and is expected to miss 3 to 6 weeks. Kevin prince will start in this game. So, even with the new quarterback there are eight players with the chemistry and experience that will serve them well against a struggling Arizona team. The sim shows a high probability that UCLA will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Arizona has allowed 28 or more points they are 5-10 ATS over the past three seasons and 17-67 ATS for 20% winners since 1992. Take UCLA.

25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Dolphins will lose this game by six or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 80-43 ATS for 65% winners since 1983. Play on road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points and is a team outscored by opponents by 7 or more points per game and after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games. The Miami defense has not done well this season and rank 30th in the NFL allowing 414.5 yards per game. However, the Jets have not well against these types of units posting a 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams allowing >=375 yards per game since 1992. The Jets are off a 30-21 loss at NE last week and are just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) off a road loss against a division rival since 1992. Given the team

15* graded play on the Rams as they take on Green Bay set to start at 1:00 PM ET. This may seem to be a big reach upon initial

15* graded play on Washington State as they take on Stanford set to start at 7:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WSU will lose this game by 21 or fewer points. WSU has had injuries to both quarterbacks on their roster. The news has improved with Marshall Lobbestael expected to be the starter for this game and his back-up Jeff Tuel, who had a collarbone injury, is available to play in this game. Tuel entered the season as a third year starter. So, I am not concerned in the least by any lack of offensive chemistry attributed to these injuries. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-4 for 86% winners since 2000 and has gone perfect 13-0 ATS over the past five seasons. Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is an elite team winning >= 80% of their games and playing a team close to .500 posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%. The matchup I love in this game for WSU is wide receiver Wilson against any of the Stanford defenders. He has elite speed and quickness and at 6-4 he has big time size advantages. He has caught 31 balls for 638 yards averaging 20.6 yards per catch and five touchdowns. Take Washington State.

15* graded play on Maryland as they host Clemson set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-39 for 68% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 42% of the total plays made based on the criteria of this system have covered the spread by seven or more points. The key to this game based on the sim projections is for Maryland to reach 28 points or more. In past games where Maryland has scored 28 or more points they are 61-14 ATS for 81.3% winners since 1992. Clemson is 14-46 ATS for 77% losers when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Maryland is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Clemson is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992. The public is all over this game betting Clemson nearly 80% of all bets. The flash stats and records surely make Clemson look invincible, but now you know exactly why this is going to be an extremely difficult game for Clemson to even win. Take Maryland.

25* graded play on Mississippi as they host Alabama set to start at 6:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Mississippi will lose this game by fewer than 24 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-16 for 73% winners since 1992. Play against any team that is an excellent rushing team gaining >=4.8 YPR and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games and now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing 4.3 to 4.8 YPR. This is a common theme in CFB where teams get on a roll and simply cannot sustain the pervious level of excellence. Even more common when analyzing SEC conference games where it is difficult for any team to win on the road consistently. I will never forget the game where Mississippi went into Gainesville and defeated the TEBOW Gators, which led to his inspirational speech that led his team to the Championship. I truly believe based on the matchups and situations that this game could end up being a single digit nail-biter for

15* graded play on Texas as they host Oklahoma State set to start at 3:30 PM ET. Add a 5* amount on the money line playing Texas. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Texas was scorched by Oklahoma last week and allowed 367 passing yards in a 55-17 Sooner route. Texas, however, is well coached and they have posted a 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-39 ATS for 68% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 42% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Supporting my belief that there will be a Texas upset win is a money line system that has gone 24-10 making 28.3 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a road team using the money line after a game where they committed no turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse. The most dominant reason that I see Texas winning this game is that they will have a huge day on the ground. The sim shows a high probability that Texas will rush the ball for 200 to 250 yards. In past games where Texas has attained this level of performance they are a remarkable 24-1 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992. Take the Longhorns.

15* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Air Force set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that SDS will lose this game by fewer than six points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Consider a combo bet using a 10* amount with the points and a 5* amount on the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 38-37 using the money line for just 50.7% winners, but has made a whopping 53 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a home team using the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and has won 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games. AF is coming off a 59-33 drubbing at Notre Dame and did not cover as 14 point dogs. AF is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992. Take San Diego State.

5* graded play on the Chicago bear as they take on the Detroit Lions in MNF set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My neural based simulator shows a very high probability that Chicago will lose this game by fewer than five points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 25-6 ATS record for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs or pick with a poor scoring defense allowing 24 or more points per game after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games. Here is a money line system that supports the possible road win by the bears. It has gone 43-19 making 37.6 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play on any team using the money line with a terrible passing defense allowing 255 or more passing yards per game and after allowing 7 or more passing yards per attempt in 3 straight games. This system is 6-1 this season. Detroit

15* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game by Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-4 ATS for 86% winners since 1983. Play on home teams off a upset win as an underdog and in a game involving two teams winning 75% or more of their games. Here is a second system that has gone 45-18 AYS for 71% winners since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and are mistake prone teams getting mailed for 60+ penalty yards per game and after dominating the time of possession last game having the ball for >36 minutes. The Bucs defense has been struggling against the pass and SF is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing struggling passing defenses allowing 7 or more passing yards per attempt over the last three seasons. The 49ers struggled in the first three games to get the running game established, but running back Gore had a break-out game against the Eagles last week. The Eagles are certainly not the best defense, but I do strongly believe that the 49er offensive line has the confidence and the athleticism to open holes for Gore. The running game then makes play action very effective whenever TB tries to sneak an eighth defender into the box to stop the run. Smith will have man coverage on the perimeter and will not just relegated to

15* graded play on the Buffalo Bills as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Bills will lose this game by three or fewer points and a shot at winning SU. The money line does not offer any improvement in my risk/reward analysis so get the Bill +3 for this game. The sim shows a high probability that the Bills will rush the ball for 100 to 125 yards and will gain between 300 and 350 yards. These levels work solidly against the Eagles noting they are just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards since 1992; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. The Eagles offensive line is pathetic and I believe Buffalo will be able to pressure and contain Vick without the use of the blitz. This allows them to defend and react to the play without exposing any part of the defense. They can show man coverage and then once the ball is snapped moved into a bracket type of coverage. Vick has struggled against bracket coverages and I fully expect him to have trouble making these reads in this game. The Eagles defensive front was shredded last week by Gore and the 49ers and Buffalo will be able to run the ball today. Moreover, the public now believes that the

25* graded play on Texas A&M as the take on Texas Tech set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that A&M will win this game by 10 or more points. The sim shows that A&M will use a pounding running game to establish dominance at the line-of-scrimmage (LOS) and will then open up play action pass and attack the back-end of the TT defense. The sim also shows a very high probability that A&M will score 28 or more points. Note that 77-32 ATS (+41.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Texas Tech is just 33-66 ATS (-39.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards since 1992. A&M is coming off a tough game against one of the best offenses in the country. They lost 42-28 home versus Arkansas and were installed as 1

15* graded play on the Florida Gators as they take on LSU Tigers in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Florida Gators will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Florida will be starting a freshman, but do not for one minute under estimate his ability. He is 6-4 and 235 pounds and has pro caliber arm strength. He also has the size to take on the LSU blitzing defenders and has the field vision to get through several progressions quickly and before the blitz pressure gets to him. The sim shows a high probability that Florida will rush for 3 to 3.5 yards per carry and 150 to 200 rushing yards in the game. Florida is a solid 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt since 1992; 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards since 1992. LSU has not done well against teams like Florida. They are just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=6.25 yards/play since 1992; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992. The Gators will be strong in two areas to put up enough points to pull the upset. First, an offensive line that allowed too much leakage last week must be better in pass protection. The LSU front will present a challenge, though. DT Michael Brockers flashes quickness and power to collapse the pocket from the interior, while Montgomery and Mingo are smooth and fast off the edge. Take the Gators.

15* graded play on FSU as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. EJ Manuel is back this week and his athleticism will be evident on the field today. These two teams are the Top-2 passing teams in the ACC. The problem for Wake Forest is that they have not played a team with the defensive speed and quickness like the FSU unit. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by 10 points or more. I do believe FSU will win the turnover stat and those turnovers will lead to scores. FSU has had four scores of 50 yards or more in each of their first four games. This will stretch the Wake defense and it will then allow FSU to execute high percentage pass plays using underneath crossing routes. Once in space the FSU wide receivers have elite speed and are difficult to bring down. The running game will emerge for FSU as well, with the Wake safeties having to defend the back-end of the defense and not be able to help at all in run support. FSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. Take FSU.

10* graded play

15* graded play on Maryland as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will lose this game by 15 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-8 ATS for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games with the game taking place in the first half of the season. 25 of these games or 63% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 101-44 making 52.6 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play on dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games facing an opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. I am not a believer in the triple-option offense run by Georgia Tech. To defend this scheme the defense must be disciplined and not over pursue and must have strong contain on the perimeter to force ball carriers to cut back into the middle of the field. Maryland has the skill players on defense and they have had FIVE game films to study in preparation for this ACC showdown. Moreover, head coach Eds. Is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. Take Maryland.

15* graded play on Western Kentucky as they take on Middle Tennessee State set to start at 7:30 PM ET. I also like a 5* amount using WK on the first half line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WK will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-8 ATS for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games in the first half of the season. The sim shows a high probability that WK will gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards. This is not good news and supports a possible upset noting that MTS is just 9-18 against the money line (-14.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. Supporting the first half line play is a system that has gone 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 6 to 11.5 points using the first half line in conference games with 5 or more defensive starters returning than opponent. Take Western Kentucky.

25* graded play on the Tampa Bay Bucs set to start at 8:20 PM ET on Monday Night Football. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Tampa bay will win this game by 11 or more points. The Colts were a big winner for me last week against the Steelers, but I just do not see them putting on another massive effort this week. Teams, who play against the very physical style of the Steelers are just 23-40 ATS in the next contest. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-5 ATS for 82.1% winners since 1983. Play on favorites off a home win against a division rival when playing on Monday night. More impressive is that 19 of these plays or 70% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. The system has lost just once since 2000 sporting an incredible 11-1 ATS mark for 92% ATS winners. Unlike last week where the Colts defensive front was able to stymie the Steeler running game, the sim shows a very high probability that the Bucs will gain 125 to 150 rushing yards in this game. TB is a solid 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards since 1992. TB is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Moreover, the Colts already without Manning and Kerry Collins dealing with concussion-like symptoms from last Sunday

15* graded play on Seattle as they take on Atlanta set to start at 4:05 PM ET. I also like the

15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Stanford set to start at 10:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 21 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 79-37 for 68% winners since 2005. Play on a road team after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games and with the game taking place in the first half of the season. 57 of the 116 plays made covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is already 3-1 ATS this season. UCLA will have their hands full to play in step with the Cardinal, but they are getting 21 points and head coach Heuheisel is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) facing incredible offensive teams scoring 37 or more points per game in all games he has coached since 1992. UCLA running back Jonathan Franklin will be playing in this game after tweaking a hip in last week

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Nebraska set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 12 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game facing an opponent after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Here is a second system that has hit 72% winners since 1992 for a 48-19 ATS record. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after out gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Nebraska joins the Big-10 and they get assigned No. 5 Wisconsin as their incarnation game. My sim shows a high probability that Wisconsin will out gain Nebraska by 200 or more offensive yards. In past games where this has happened to Nebraska they are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. Wisconsin is a solid 31-5 ATS (+25.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. The sim also shows a high probability that Wisconsin will outgain Nebraska by 2.0 yards per play. In past games where Wisconsin attained this performance level they are an incredible 39-5 ATS (+33.5 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992. Take Wisconsin.

15* graded play on Kansas as they host Texas Tech set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by fewer than six points. Kansas is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games since 1992. Moreover, they have had two weeks of rest and preparation for this game. Kansas is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games since 1992. I believe that if my pay here is correct Kansas will win the game. That opinion is founded on my sim showing a high probability that Kansas will gain between 350 and 400 total offensive yards. In past games where Kansas has achieved this level of offensive output they have produced a 11-2 against the money line (+10.2 Units) in home games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards since 1992. Texas Tech may have a strong offense, but their defense is quite poor. Kansas is 8-1 against the money line (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams allowing >=5.9 yards/play since 1992. The Tech defense is extremely weak against the run allowing 5.1 yards per carry and 226 yards per game. Another key actor is that tech is not a strong ball control team averaging 28:10 in TOP. This will allow Kansas, who is a strong ball control offense averaging 31:28 in TOP to control the game tempo and execute time consuming scoring drives. These types of drives will wear down an already weak defense and keep the prolific Tech offense off the field. Take Kansas.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they host South Florida set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game. Supporting this graded play are some impressive coaching angles. Pittsburgh head coach Graham is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1992. The line has been overwhelmingly supported by SF bets and the line has moved up. However, the public has been wrong with line movements involving SF game to the tune of 5-19 ATS for 21% ATS winners. SF is coming off three impressive wins, but they were against weak opponents. Pitt has played a significantly tougher schedule and this

25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on the Carolina Panthers set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that JAX will lose this game by fewer than three points and may win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 27-4 ATS for 80% winners since 2001. Play against home teams off a cover where the team lost as a dog against opponent off a road loss. Of the 31 games played based on the criteria of this system 19 of them or 63.3% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores my belief that JAX is the strong pick here and I would not be surprised to see them win the game. This system has gone 5-0 ATS over the past three seasons and 15-2 ATS for 88% winners spanning the past five seasons. JAX is near the bottom of the NFL in nearly all passing stats, but now we have a breath of fresh air with Gabbert making his first start. I see JAX having a big day on the ground led by Maurice Jones-Drew. The offensive line has a significant advantage against the Carolina defensive front and their middle linebacker, Dan Conner, is not quick enough to tackle Jones-Drew in space. If Conner is seen cheating up to try and meet Jones-Drew in the holes, then this will be the optimal time for Gabbert to use play action. I also believe that DC Mel Tucker has had two weeks of game fill to study Newton and he will dial a defense showing different looks and blitz packages that will confuse the rookie QB. The sim shows that JAX will have a minimum of 175 rushing yards. In past games this has not been good news for Carolina as they are 10-27 ATS when they allow 175 rushing yards in a game since 1992. Moreover, JAX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 6 points or less last game since 1992.

15* graded play on Arizona as they take on Oregon set to start at 10:15 PM. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Arizona will lose this game by fewer than 14 points. If you have been with me for any stretch of years you know that every year we have had a big time dog win outright. Sometimes these dogs have been 24 point dogs as was the case when Mississippi went into Gainesville and defeated the Gators leading to Tim Tebow

15* graded play on California as they take on Washington in Pac-10 action set to start at My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that CAL will win this game. The sim shows a very high probability that Cal will rush for 150 to 200 yards and average 4.0 to 4.5 rushing yards per attempt. It also projects Cal to score between 22 and 28 points. In past games where this level of achievement was attained Cal is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; Washington is just 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992. Cal is coming off a

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech in ACC action set to start at Noon EST. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by 6 or fewer points and has a tremendous opportunity to win the game. Consider an optional wager placing an 18* on the line and a 7* using the Money Line. GT has played some soft competition to attain the number one rushing and offensive team rankings in the nation. They set school records last week in a 66-24 win over Kansas. They part of this game that most observers are missing is that North Carolina will be able to score against GT defense. They also have the type of ball control offense that can keep the GT option offense on the sidelines. UNC has the athletes that can disrupt the option scheme. The sim shows a high probability that UNC will score 28 or more points and will be able to average 4.0 to 4.5 yards-per-rush in this game. In past games where these levels of performance were achieved UNC has posted a 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. GT is just 22-55 ATS (-38.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Moreover, GT is just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992. Take North Carolina.

25* graded play on North Carolina State as they take on Cincinnati set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that NC State will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a reasonable probability to win the game. Consider a combination bet as an alternative to a straight 25* on the line by betting 18* getting the points and a 7* using the Money Line. Simulator shows a high probability that NC State will score more than 28 points in this game and let me be clear this is NOT a reason to bet the

15* graded play on the St. Louis Rams as they take on the New York Giants set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by fewer than five points and have a solid opportunity to get an important road win. Much has been discussed in the NY media and going 0-2 is a big time concern. The Giants did nothing in the off season to improve their team and they still have significant injuries on their defense. Tuck will be back from his neck stiffness and he is the leader of the defense, but he cannot do it himself. The Rams played the Eagles tough in Week 1 and they have the confidence to come into New York and know they are playing a far weaker team than the Eagles and a team that they can defeat. I have heard too that the Giants are a resilient team under Coughlin, however the truth is that he is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. In Week 1 against Washington, the Giants offense consistently failed to identify blitz pressure. The receivers did not make the correct adjustments, blocking assignments were blown, and Manning started looking for the pressure instead of the receiver. The Rams defense is very good at disguising their gap blitz plays by moving personnel all over the field and not showing the same looks. Manning has struggled greatly in his carer against these types of defenses and the Giants just do not have a trustworthy go-to-guy on offense. The Rams will be able to use a strong running game even without the injured Jackson. The Giants backend of their defense is so banged up that they cannot get caught in man coverages on the perimeter as a result of using the safeties for run support. Take the Rams.

15* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Sunday Night Football set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. The sim and my matchup research clearly show that Atlanta will defend the pass first and allow the Eagles room to run the football. Philly is projected to gain 5.0 or more yards per attempt and Atlanta will gain more than 100 yards on the ground. In past games these levels of performance support Atlanta noting that the Eagles are 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards since 1992; Atlanta is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 39-23 using the money line and has made 30.5 units per one unit wagered since 1983. This system has averaged a +137 Dog. Play on any team using the money line off an upset loss as a road favorite facing an opponent off a double digit road win. Atlanta is also a near perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Coach Smith has proved to be a true motivator and teacher of football after a terribly played game by his team. He is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach of Atlanta. Take the Falcons.

15* graded play

25* graded play on Florida State as they host Oklahoma in the marquee game of the year to date. I have several other plays today so make sure you get them and play them all according to their star grading. It is a mistake to ONLY focus on this top rated 25* play and that play the other games that are on the Saturday card. In my 18 years of experience it is the entire card that will

15* graded play on Louisiana Tech as the host Houston set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LA-Tech will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has an excellent shot a possible upset win. Consider making a combination bet with a 12* getting the points and 3* using the money line. The simulator shows a very high probability that LA-Tech will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where they have allowed 28 or more points to an opponent they are 1-9 ATS over the past three seasons. LA-Tech is a solid 50-18 ATS (+30.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. This is game where the strengths will be the Tech power running game facing a strong Houston passing attack. I strongly believe that LA-Tech

15* graded play on Duke University as they take on Boston College set to start at 12:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Duke will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 35-11 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play on a road team after a loss by 17 or more points facing an opponent after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games. Even more impressive is that 25 of these plays or 54% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores the potential for an upset win by Duke. Adding an optional 3* play to the Money Line is something certainly worth considering or you could create a combination bet with a 12* amount getting the points and a 3* amount using the money line. The sim shows a high probability that Duke will gain more total yards than BC. In past games where Duke has achieved this level of performance they are 11-1 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Duke is a near perfect 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after gaining 40 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. Take Duke

15* graded play on Iowa State as they take on Connecticut set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. Iowa State is coming off a big time win over intra-state rival Iowa 44-41 installed as a 6 1/2 point dog.The simulator shows a high probability that their defense will hold Connecticut to less than 21 points and and 4 to 4.5 total yards per play. In past games where theses levels of defensive achievement were attained Iowa State is a solid 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play since 1992. Take Iowa State.

15* graded play on Mississippi State as they host No. 3 LSU in Starksville, MS starting at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that MSU will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. I strongly believe that MSU will be successful on offense and will gain a minimum of 400 offensive yards. In past games LSU is just 8-21 ATS losing 15.1 units when they allow 400 to 450 total yards since 1992. Moreover, MSU is a rock solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Head Coach Les Miles is in one of his weakest coaching situations noting he is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of LSU.

7* graded play

15* graded play on the Miami Dolphins as they host the New England Patriots set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Although this would be as shocking as the near Dallas upset winner I had as a 25* Titan last night there are significant reasons to believe that Miami could win this game. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has produced a record of 59-26 making 30.5 units per one unit wagered since 1983. Play on home teams using the money line in the first two weeks of the year and after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. The simulator shows a high percentage that Miami will gain 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt in this game. In past games where New England has struggled to contain the run they are just 10-17 against the money line (-15.1 Units) in road games when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt since 1992. The Patriots defense appears to be in a state of flux, especially in the safety positions. They released James Sanders and Brandon Meriweather. Patrick Chung take over the safety spot and will be in charge of making pre-snap coverage assignments. Dolphins quarterback will be looking for the Patriots safety location on the field and will react to his post-snap movement. The same can be said for the Dolphin wide receivers. Moreover, I think a no-huddle offense will work very well against the Patriots defense. Tom Brady, like all pocket quarterbacks hates interior pressure and this is what the Dolphins defensive front does best. Moreover, the Patriots do not have a deep vertical threat on offense. Ocho will get man coverage and I do not see Taylor Price as a significant threat. Look for the Dolphins to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and get as big a TOP differential as possible with a solid running game and a ball control passing game. Take the Dolphins.

25* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than six points and also have a great opportunity to win the game. Consider making a 17* wager getting the points and an 8* play on the money line using Dallas. Jets are an imperfect 0-7 ATS as home favorites of 10 points or less facing a non-conference foe. Obvious that the Jets will look to use their power running game that was so successful in 2010 to get things started well in 2011. Although Dallas looked a bit weak on the defensive front in the preseason I strongly believe they will be a formidable wall of defense in this game and during the season. Teams don't always work on schemes that they will use during the regular season in preseason games. The element of surprise is most evident during the first week of the season. Dallas defensive coordinator Ryan will use a lot of interior stunts that have a high percentage of disrupting a power running game. These interior stunts can work well in play action pass plays too. Once pass is identified the interior lineman will alter their angles of attack and instantly adjust to the pass without getting fooled. Dallas can also use seven and eight-man defensive fronts and use that 'look' pre-snap to confuse Sanchez and bait him into some poor reads. Sanchez is not the best quarterback when it comes to making reads and progressions and Dallas has the physicality and team quickness to dominate his play making decisions. Take Dallas.

15* graded play on the Baltimore Ravens as they host the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Ravens will win this game three or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-5 ATS for 82.1% winners since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 in the first week of the season and after closing out last season strong with four or more wins in last five games and with a team that had a winning record last season. Over the last 10 seasons this system has gone 6-1 ATS for 86% winners ATS. Moreover, the loser of the Superbowl is just 1-12 ATS when their first game of the following season is on the road. Baltimore will certainly use RB Ray Rice as the centerpiece of the Ravens offensive scheme. They can and will spread the field which will open up running lanes between the tackles. Moreover, Flacco has developed a

15* graded play on the Chicago Bears as they take on the Atlanta Falcons set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game.The sim shows a high probability that Chicago will gain 125 to 150 rushing yards and will score between 22 and 28 points. In past games where Chicago achieved these performance levels Atlanta is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards since 1992. Chicago is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. There are strong tendencies that can be derived from the preseason and one of them involves winless teams. Atlanta went winless in the preseason and these teams are just 10-19 ATS in Week 1; when favored they are a horrid 2-14 ATS for 88% winners. Chicago won 12 games last season and teams, who have achieved that level of performance and then find themselves not favored by three or more points are a strong 17-5 ATS for 77.3% ATS winners. I expect Peppers to have an outstanding day being matched against Sam Baker, who he can overwhelm in both running and passing downs. Baker will need double team help and this will open up lanes for gap blitzes making it nearly impossible for the Falcons to execute any type of vertical passing play. Atlanta

25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Michigan will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent opportunity to win the first-ever home night game in Michigan history. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-7 ATS for 80% winners since 1992. Play on a home team that was a weak defensive team from last season that allowed 400 or more total yards per game and with 16 total starters returning and the game taking in the first two weeks of the season. The sim shows a high probability that the Michigan defense is going to play extremely well, especially against the pass. The sim shows a high probability that ND will gain less than 300 net passing yards. ND is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992. South Florida ran 42 running splays in their win last week over Notre Dame and Michigan has a far superior rushing attack than South Florida. Notre Dame will be forced to bring seven and eight defenders into the box and this in turn will open up excellent passing situations that will be in man-coverage situations. I strongly believe that Michigan RB Robinson will be successful running the ball and he will be sued in a variety of formations and situations. He will be used under center and out of the shot-gun, He had 502 total yards combined offense and scored the winning TD with 27-seconds left in the game in last year

15* graded play on Tulane as they take on Tulsa set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Tulane will lose this game by 12 or fewer points. Tulsa is going to be vulnerable to the Tulane passing attack, especially in play action situations. The sim shows a high probability that Tulane will gain 250 to 300 net passing yards in this game. In past games where Tulsa has allowed this measure of passing they are just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992. In last week

15* graded play on Toledo as they take on Ohio State set to start at Noon ET. I also like adding an optional 5* bet using the toledo and the first half line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Toledo will lose this game by 17 or fewer points. Toledo returns 18 starters with nine each of on offense and defense and this will be a significant advantage for them to compete more evenly with a reloading Ohio State team. Toledo is also a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. Supporting the first half line is a system that has produced a 114-63 ATS mark since 2001. Play against favorites of 6 to 11.5 facing the first half line after a dominating performance that featured 34 or more minutes TOP and 24 or more first downs. Take Toledo.

15* graded play on Florida International as they take on Louisville Friday night set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that FI will lose this game by less than three points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. Head Coach Mario Cristobal has his Panthers headed in the right direction. Many times when a team posts it's first winning season after becoming a D-1 member they suffer in road tilts. However, I strongly believe that FI is well coached and will not suffer any letdown whatsoever. Further, Louisville may get caught looking to next week's shown for state bragging rights against Kentucky. Further supporting this graded play are game situations that work against Louisville and 'for' FI. Louisville is just

15* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Green Bay Packers set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that the Saints will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. Defending Super Bowl Champions have been excellent bets in recent years, but this has not been a normal off-season. Brees has been working out hard in meaningful situations and I truly believe that they will be the better prepared team. This is obviously a very big game even though it is Week1. The winner of this game could end up with a very important tie breaker at the end of the season. Brees has been excellent bet when installed as a dog sporting a 35-17 ATS mark. GB likes to use a 2-4-5 defensive scheme and you will see that tonight to defend the Brees passing attack. The Sainst, however, have the tow best offensive guards in the league and they also have a new running back in Mark Ingram. His downhill power running will make GB switch out fo the 2-4-5 and into a more traditional 3-4 alignment. When that move is made Brees will simpy counter with high percentage slants and streak type patterns. I honestly do not see how the Green Bay defense will be able to consistently stop the Saints offense. Take the Saints

15* graded play on Maryland as they take on Miami set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will win this game by five or more points. The seven suspensions have devastated the Hurricanes team. Quarterback Harris is out, which is actually the only good thing about the suspensions as Morris is the better quarterback. The positives stop there though and I strongly believe that the Maryland offense that ranked second best in scoring offense in the ACC at 32 PPG will have NO trouble scoring points against the Hurricane defense. There will be true freshman and red shirt freshman filling in on defense and have had limited time to prepare for Maryland and learn the defensive scheme. The suspensions have overshadowed the coaching debuts of two highly respected coaches. Former Temple coach Golden will make his debut for the Hurricanes while former UCONN coach Edsall makes his for the Terrapins. Edsall is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 in all games he has coached since 1992. Making matters worse for Miami is that they are on a 1-5-1 ATS run in road openers. Take Maryland.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on SMU set to start at My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by more than Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-3 ATS for an incredible 89% ATS winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points and was a solid team from last season having outscored opponents by seven or more points per game and with eight defensive starters returning to this year

15* graded play on Louisiana Tech as they take on Southern Mississippi set to start at 10:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LT will lose this game by 11 or fewer points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Consider - if available at your sports book - adding a 3* amount on the money line. Hard to believe that Southern Mississippi does not get more media recognition for having 16 straight winning seasons. They have just TWO teams in this year

15* graded play on LSU as they host Oregon set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by three will win this game. The LSU defense will cause Oregon quarterback Darron Thomas all sorts of problem sin this game. Last year the Oregon offense was as good as was his reads and he did struggle mightily against Auburn and California. LSU has a similar defensive scheme as those two opponents. They are extremely athletic, but very disciplined in their assignments and will not create voids in the line due to over pursuit. LSU quarterback Jarrod Jefferson

15* graded play on south Florida as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that South Florida (SF) will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an excellent shot and winning in South Bend. Given this prospect consider adding a 4* amount using the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-3 ATS for 92% winners since 1992 and has gone a perfect 14-0 ATS since 2000. Play against any team in the first week of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight spread covers and is a team that had a good record last season winning 60% to 80% of their games and playing a team that had a winning record. 72% of these games covered the spread by seven or more points and this under scores by strong belief that this will be a very close game. Although Notre Dame returns eight starters on defense they are going to have their hands full with SF quarterback B.J. Daniels. he had been recovering from a hamstring injury, but based on published reports he is 100% for this game. Moreover, we have SF head coach Skip Holtz, the son of Lou Holtz, who won a National Champions as head coach of the Irish, making a return to South Bend. The key to this game will be exposing the Irish cornerbacks. Daniels will be able to get man coverage for his two elite WR in A.J. Love and Sterling Griffin. If the Irish choose to play cover-2, then Daniels can dissect that defense with a very good TE in Evan Landi. He is 6-3 and 220 pounds and has the speed to be a threat along the seams in play action situations. he has significant athletic advantages over any Irish linebacker that would be forced to try and defend him. Take South Florida.

15* graded play on Baylor as they take on TCU set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than three points and I strongly believe they will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-6 ATS for 82.4% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season and after closing out last season with two or more straight losses and had a winning record last season. Here is a second system that has gone 40-13 ATS for 76% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season that was bowl team from prior season who lost their last two games. Here is a third system that has produced a 28-7 ATS winning mark for 80% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points and is a team that had a winning record last season playing a non-conference foe. My simulator shows high probabilities that Baylor will gain 5 to 5.5 rushing yards per attempt and score 28 or more points in this game. Note that in past games where these levels of achievement were achieved Baylor is a near perfect 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they rush for 5 to 5.5 yards per attempt since 1992. Moreover, Baylor is a solid 41-15 ATS (+24.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. TCU is just 17-46 ATS (-33.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Take the Baylor Bears.

15* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Syracuse set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wake Forest will lose this game by fewer than six points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. With that said, consider adding a 4* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a record of 79-91 for just 46.5% winners, but has made a whopping 71.4 units per one unit wagered. Play on dogs of +155 to +300 using the money line with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent and with the game taking place in the first month of the season. The average play for this system has been a +205 DOG. Here is a second system that has produced a 31-42 record for just 42.5% winners, but has made a whopping 61 units per one unit wagered. Play on a road team using the money line that was a poor team from last season that was outscored by opponents by 10 or more points per game and with six or more offensive starters returning. The average money line play has been an incredible +332 DOG. I cannot over emphasize the advantage that teams have in the first part of the season that have the majority of starters returning from the previous season. The Syracuse defense ranked seventh nationally allowing 301 YPG, but that was against some soft opponents. That defense lost six starters including both defensive tackles, both corners, and their leading tackler Derrell Smith. Wake lost two key players due to off-the-field-conduct in DE Kevin Smith and academic woes in Kevin Johnson. However, Wake returns an ACC high 58 lettermen to this year

25 graded play on the Packers as they take on the Steelers in the 2011 Super Bowl set to start at 6:25 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Packers will win this game by three or more points.The sim shows that the packers will pass for more yards, will rush for more yards, and will lead in time of possession. Teams that rush for more yards are 32-9-3 ATS for 78% winners. Teams that pass for more yards than their opponent are a sold 32-9-3 ATS and teams that have an edge in time of possession are a solid 76% ATS for a 31-10-3 ATS record. The straight up winner of the Super Bowl is 35-6-3 ATS for 85% ATS winners. I like using the Packers on the money line as well.

The biggest factor I strongly believe you will see in this game is the Packers using 4 and 5 receiver sets that will spread the Steeler defense. By spreading the Steeler defense it forces their strong linebackers to lineup further away form the middle of the field. This in turn will open up the RUN lanes between the tackles and is a major reason why I see the Packers establishing a strong running attack.

For the Steelers and their fans the scariest plays will be when Aaron Rodgers uses play action and has

25* graded play on the Bears as they take on the Green Packers in the NFC Championship game set to start at 3:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Bears will lose this game by fewer than three points and have an excellent opportunity to win the game and be the NFC representative in the Super Bowl. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-5 ATS for 83% winners since 2000. This system is a perfect 2-0 ATS this season and 50% of these games played have covered by seven or more points. This under scores the potential for the upset win. Until last year when the Saints failed to cover the four points spread, the winner of the NFC Championship game was also 22-0 ATS. Obviously now a 22-1 ATS record, but also encourages us to consider an alternative wager taking the bears and the points for a 17* amount and then an 8* amount using the money line. Play on dogs or pick revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points and in a game involving two good teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season.

The Bears have not attained incredible

25* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 4:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 10 or more points Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 67-34 ATS for 66% winners since 1983. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a upset win as a dog and with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season including the playoffs. Patriots are a solid 21-5 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992; 24-11 ATS after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992. The Jets fans are excited that they held the great Peyton Manning to just 225 yards, but this is going to be a far more difficult test. The Brady led offense is a horizontally designed offensive scheme. This means that on nearly every pass play there are numerous receivers in crossing routes making a move off the line of scrimmage and then running essentially perpendicular to the sidelines. There are no quarterbacks in the league nor in history that can hit receivers running horizontally with greater accuracy and in stride than Brady.

The Patriots lost in embarrassing fashion at Cleveland 34-14 on November 7. Since then they have run off eight straight wins scoring 31 or more points in each. During the eight game winning streak the Patriots have forced 24 turnovers and committed just one. Brady has not thrown an interception since Week 6 in Baltimore setting an NFL record 335 consecutive passes without an interception. Moreover, the Patriots rushing attack has gained a minimum of 103 yards in each of the eight wins. in the last two games of the regular season they gained a combined 398 rushing yards on 86 attempts.

The Jets can jawbone all they want, but both teams know who the superior team is on this field and I strongly believe this game could end up near the same score as their last meeting on MNF, which was a 45-3 Patriot win.

15* graded play on the Chicago Bears as they host the Seattle Seahawks in the Divisional Playoff Round set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game by eleven or more points. Quite frankly, there is a greater probability of a 27 point Bears win than there is of the Seahawks covering. The Bears rank 2nd in rushing defense allowing just 90.1 yards per game and will have no problem stopping a Seattle rushing offense that ranks 31st gaining a paltry 89 yards per game. Moreover, the Seattle passing attack ranks 19th gaining 208.8 yards per game. So, the game plan is quite simple for the Bears defense. They will need no additional help from safeties to stop the Seattle running game and the secondary can sit back in a variation of cover-2 schemes presenting as many different looks pre-snap as possible to confuse quarterback Hasselbeck. He has been outstanding down the stretch and leading his team into the playoffs and knocking off the defending Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints. Seattle team confidence and chemistry could not be better entering this road affair. However, teams that have defeated the defending Super Bowl Champions are just 1-10 ATS and winless sporting an 0-11 record in the next playoff round.
Seattle has an extremely weak secondary so they will have to decide whether to bring pressure in bunches or try to defend in various man and bracket schemes. However, If they blitz and the pressure does not get to Cutler they are vulnerable in the deep middle of the field and on the perimeter. If the Seattle secondary sits back in zone or bracket coverage schemes Cutler

15* graded play on the Falcons as they host the Packers set to start at 8:30 PM ET. MY proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by three or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 118-27 for 81.4% winners using the MONEY LINE since 1983. Play against road teams using the money line revenging a same season loss against opponent and is off an upset win as a dog. Green bay went into Philadelphia with an excellent defensive game plan and defeated the Eagles 21-16 and were installed as 1 1/2 point dogs. Most recently Green Bay traveled to Atlanta and lost 20-17 installed as 2 1/2 point dogs on November 28, 2010. Green Bay is an excellent ball control team averaging 32:01 minutes per game. However, Atlanta has done even better against teams like Green Bay. Falcons are a perfect 6-0 ATS when facing excellent ball control teams having 32 or more possession minutes per game over the last two seasons. Winning is habit forming and the Falcons are 7-0 ATS after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games this season.
Atlanta ranked third best in first downs made and third best in third down conversions. They earned 353 first downs and converted an amazing 46.7% of their third down conversions. The only teams better were the Saints and Patriots.

Rest is a very important factor for this game and quarterback emerging superstar Matt Ryan only augments that fact. Ryan has posted incredible number as a home starter posting a 20-2 SU record and 15-4 ATS record. Moreover, No.1 seeds have been great investments when hosting teams under .650 winning percentages posting a remarkable 19-1 SU and 16-4 ATS record. These records also reflect the strong discipline and focus that No.1 seeds possess over the course of a season. They don

15* graded play on the Baltimore Ravens as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC Divisional Playoffs set to start at 4:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Ravens will lose this game by fewer than three points and has an excellent to win this game. I fully expect the Ravens to win this game and advance to the AFCChampionship game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 63-27 ATS for 70% winners since 2000. This system has gone 2-0 ATS this season and is 16-4 ATS for 80% winners over the past three seasons. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points. Supporting the upset win is a money line system that has gone 37-36, but has averaged a +261 dog to make a whopping 60.4 units in profits since 1983. This system is an amazing 5-1 making 12.5 units this season. Play against favorites using the money line that is a solid team out gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards per play and after out gaining opponents by 150 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Steelers head coach Tomlin comes into this game sporting two horrid game situations noting he is an imperfect 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 35 points or more last game.

A Key Matchup
Raven fans loved the fact that their beloved defense allowed just 70 passing yards to the Chiefs although the Chiefs were playing from behind for the majority of the game.Terrell Suggs has been a monster against all teams, but has had some of his best career games against Pittsburgh. There is no doubt the Ravens will bring pressure from all possible angles and get Suggs in as few double team situations as possible. Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is far better when he has time to survey the field and make strong accurate throws. When flushed out of the pocket he is below average at best. He is a risk taker and when flushed out of the pocket has a tendency to be a gunslinger and forces throws back into receivers covered in the middle of the field. This is where Baltimore safety Ed Reed will be a Raven

15* graded play on Boston College as they take on Nevada in the Kraft Fight for Hunger Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that BC will lose this game by fewer than 7 1/2 points and has an excellent shot at winning the game.

The Matchups
Senior quarterback Colin Kaepernick has been the best athlete possible to execute the unique pistol offense run by the Wolfpack.. He was supported by senior running back Vai Taua and they have given the Wolf Pack offense a very strong cohesiveness. Kaepernick threw for 2,830 yards and 20 touchdowns and rushed for another 20 touchdowns. Tau has eclipsed the 100 yard rushing mark 26 times in his career. He scored 22 touchdowns, which is tied for best in the FBS with Oregon

25* graded play on Kansas City as they take on the Baltimore Ravens set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that KC will lose this game by fewer than three points and has an excellent shot at winning this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-13 for 66% winners using the Money Line and has made 25.5 units since 1983. Play on home dogs using the money line off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite facing an opponent off a home win. KC has been a solid investment based on scoring expectations for this game. Note that KC is 28-10 against the money line (+16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992. I find it quite ironic that the media talking heads are focusing on whether the Chiefs can stay up with the Ravens. They seem to place the ravens in a league far beyond the abilities and talent levels on the Chiefs team. Yet, Baltimore is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a good team that has won between 60% to 75% of their games over the last 2 seasons. Ravens are also in a poor situation noting they are just 2-11 ATS in road games after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

Chiefs rank first in the NFL in rushing gaining 164 yards per game. As a result, they use the passing attack only to keep a defense somewhat honest and to stretch them with an occasional play action deep vertical route. I truly believe that the Chiefs offensive line can wear down the Ravens defensive front. They will also force the Ravens to use far more safety help making the secondary quite vulnerable to play action pass plays to the tight end.

Running back Jamaal Charles is averaging an amazing 6.4 yards per carry and can break a big run at any given moment. I do believe you will see him lineups up as a slot receiver on occasion serving to get him the ball on slant patterns in space and at the same time stretching the defense. Suggs is really the only linebacker capable to man coverage against Charles and that takes him completely out of the pass rush.

Ravens do not possess a strong and intimidating vertical passing game. The large majority of pass routes are ball control types and this plays right into the strengths of the KC defense. Watch Tampa Hall in blitz situations. In my opinion and based on my research when the Chiefs bring Hall they are one of the best blitzing teams in the NFL and are not making themselves vulnerable to vertical pass routes. Moreover, the Chiefs will use their defensive ends when Hall comes after the quarterback to disrupt screen pass plays.

Take the Kansas City Chiefs

15* graded play on the Seattle Seahawks as they host the defending Super Bowl Champs New Orleans Saints set to start at 4:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a very high probability that Seattle will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. This 10 point line marks the greatest road favorite in NFL playoff history and I think there is tremendous value in taking the home dog. Seattle truly believes they belong and they have been an improving team despite having such a poor record. Supporting this graded play is a proven money making system that has produced a record of 34-11 ATS since 1983. Play on any team after five consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers facing an opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers. 50% of these games covered the spread by 7 or more points and this under scores the simulator projections calling for very close game. Also, note that home dogs hosting a strong opponent winning better than 70% of their games in the regular season are 15-3 ATS since 1980. Saints head coach Payton is just 6-16 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games; 11-22 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game. Take the Seahawks.

25* Titan Play on Arkansas
Background
Ohio State is playing in their sixth straight BCS bowl game while Arkansas is making their BCS debut. Interesting too is that Ohio State has never defeated a team from the Southeastern Conference in a bowl game sporting an 0-9 record. Ending this horrid streak is certainly one of their top priorities entering this game.

This game will feature two of the top quarterbacks in the country in Ohio State

15* graded play on the Washington Redskins as they host the New Giants set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by less than four points and could easily end up winning this game. Coughlin will be fired at the end of the season unless by some absolute miracle wins the Super Bowl. They will only be a wild card with the Eagles winning the division and holding onto the 3 seed so the odds are stacked mightily against the Giants winning the NFC and advancing to the Super Bowl. This weights on the players and although they will be playing 100%, the pressure of the situation can cause mistakes and that is what I see happening in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 19-6 making 14.9 units using the money line and has made 14.9 units since 2005. Play against road teams using the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread and winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season. The day after Christmas the Giants were torched 45-17 by the Packers and allowed 515 total yards. Giants are 0-6 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. The Giants appear to be in losing tail spin. They had the division won and a possible first round BYE all but wrapped up when they led the division rival Eagles 31-10 in the fourth quarter. They squandered that lead in one of the greatest NFL collapses in arguably more than 10 years. For any team to come back from that is nearly impossible and I don

15* graded play on Browns as they take on the Steelers set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Cleveland will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a solid opportunity to win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-11 ATS for 75% winners since 1983. Play on home underdogs or pick after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games and is a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. 44&% of these games covered the spread by seven or more points and under score the probability that Cleveland can win this game. Pittsburgh has not faired well against inferior opponents noting they are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team that has won between 25% to 40% of their games since 1992. Steelers are coming off a a big win defeating Carolina 27-3 installed as 14 point favorites. Head coach Tomlin is just Tomlin is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a win by 14 or more points as the coach of the Steelers.

The Steeler

25* Titan Game of the Year play on TCU. The simulator shows a very high probability that TCU will win this game by five or more points. The simulator also shows and is further outlined below that PSU will have less than 150 net passing yards. Note that TCU is a solid 16-3 ATS when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. No doubt in my mind that TCU will score 28 or more points in this game. Wisconsin is 14-43 ATS (-33.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992.

Two top-5 teams square off in this BCS bowl as Mountain West Champion and No.3 ranked TCU (12-0, 8-0 MWC) takes on Big-10 Champion and No.5 ranked Wisconsin (11-1, 7-1 Big Ten) in the Rose Bowl.

This is an intriguing matchup of strengths with TCU sporting the best defense in the nation going up against a Wisconsin team that has scored 70 or more points on three occasions. However, TCU uses a 4-2-5 scheme used to stop the prolific passing attacks employed by most teams in the MWC. Wisconsin is a polar opposite with a stable of strong powerful running backs. There is no doubt that TCU will confuse Wisconsin with 4-3, 4-2-5, and even 3-4 looks in this game to contain the running game.

National Rankings
Wisconsin is a power run dominated offense that ranks 12th nationally gaining 247.3 points per game. The passing game is quite adequate and under rated ranking 73rd gaining 202.8 yards per game. They have done an excellent job scoring points ranking 4th in scoring offense at 43.3 points per game. The Badger defense ranks 29th allowing 20.5 points per game. The scoring is inflated however, as they scored 70 points against Austin Peay, 83 points against Indiana, and 70 against Northwestern. These were games where, in my opinion, the score did not need to get this out of hand and greater sportsmanship could have been observed. Moreover, given that these three games were against vastly inferior foes gives reason that Wisconsin is not a top-10 offensive team.

TCU, as mentioned, ranks first in scoring defense allowing 11.4 points per game. The rushing attack has been stellar ranking 8th gaining 261.2 yards per game. The passing game has benefitted greatly from the read-option rushing attack ranking 53rd gaining 230.3 points per game. Coincidently, TCU is tied for fourth place with Wisconsin in scoring offense at 43.3 points per game.

Yards per Point Stats
These stats are based on games played against bowl playing teams and give greater insight to this matchup. Generally, readings in the 15 yards per point range reflect the average Division I football squad. Offensively, numbers below 15 reflect an increasingly explosive type of team while numbers above 15 reflect a team that struggles to move the ball and/or sustain scoring drives. Defensively, the inverse is fact, with numbers above 15 reflecting an increasingly dominant defense and numbers falling below 15 an increasingly struggling defense.

The TCU offense has scored 40 points and allowed 14 points per game against bowl playing teams. They have gained 228 yards rushing yards and allowed 103 per game. They have gained 255 passing yards while allowing 147 passing yards per game.

The Wisconsin offense has score 41 points and allowed 27 points per game against bowl playing teams. They have rushed for 235 yards while allowing 155 rushing yards per game. They have gained 183 passing yards while allowing 216 passing yards per game.

Breaking it down to yards per point clearly shows why TCU is the better team. TCU has posted an offensive reading of 12.1 yards per point while the defense has posted an impressive 17.9 yards per points. This means that they need only gain 12.1 yards to score one point on average. They have made offenses work extremely hard having to gain 17.9 yards to score one point on average.

Wisconsin

25* OUTBACK BOWL PLAY ON FLORIDA
Two marquee 7-5 programs will compete in the Outback Bowl with Florida (7-5, 4-4 SEC) taking on Penn State (7-5, 4-4 Big Ten). There is certainly motivation for the Gators to give one last win to Urban Meyer, who resigned for health reasons and a need to spend more time with his family. Ironically, Penn State head coach Joe Paterno is eager to return for his 46th season coaching at Penn State. Paterno was coaching at Penn State when Meyer was an infant showing yet another of the countless examples pointing to the fact that Paterno

This is a marquee matchup of two high profile teams that have fallen on lean times and far too many disappointing seasons. Notre Dame (7-5, 2-2 away) takes on Miami (7-5, 5-3 ACC) for the first time in 20 years and although the game sold out in less than 24 hours, neither team is very excited about being part of the Sun Bowl. It is not that the Sun Bowl is not a great event with great weather and sun drenched skies, but rather that any top level program does not start the season with goals of attending the Sun Bowl.

Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly echoed those thoughts stating

15* graded play on Clemson. My simulator shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game by six or more points. I also like a 5* amount on the

This is a monumental mismatch with No.18 Nebraska (10-3, 6-2 Big 12) taking on Washington (6-6), 5-4 Pac-10) playing each other for the second time this season and will face each for a third time next September. I think it is safe to say that Nebraska will win all three of these matchups. Most importantly, I see Nebraska easily covering the 14 point spread in this game. As an added bet I also like a small play on Nebraska using the first half line.

National Rankings
Nebraska is a run dominated offense ranking ninth in rushing offense gaining 259.6 yards per game and ranking 109th in passing gaining 154.6 yards per game. Their defense has been one of the best in the country and ranks eighth in scoring defense allowing just 17.2 points per game. The Husker defense is even stronger than their ranking as they play in the tough Big-12 conference.

Washington is in a bowl game and their national rankings and quality of play cause wonder why they are in this bowl game or any bowl game quite frankly. The Huskies rank 76th in passing offense gaining 200.3 yards per game and 46th in rushing offense gaining 164.2 yards per game and rank a very poor 93rd in scoring offense at 22.1 points per game. Making matters worse is their defense has been torched on numerous occasions this season and rank 93rd in scoring defense allowing 31.2 points per game.

Previous Game
These two teams met on September 18 and Nebraska crushed Washington 56-21and were favored by just 2 1/2 points. This was a game that had a ton of anxieties for the Nebraska team and their faithful fans wondering how quarterback Taylor Martinez would perform in his first road start. The answer was quickly determined as he ran for 137 yards and three touchdowns. One of these touchdowns was a rookie record for the longest touchdown. On the first play from scrimmage in the second half he darted for an 80 yard touchdown. In addition, he threw for 150 yards with one touchdown.

Nebraska had three 100 yard rushers and marked the first time Washington had allowed this to happen in their school history. Point is that Nebraska is an even better and more mature team then when they played this game against Washington while Washington has not shown any significant improvement, especially on the defensive side.

Nebraska recorded 21 first downs to just 13 for Washington. They overwhelmed Washington in every meaningful game stat and out gained Washington by 287 total offensive yards. That difference is more than double the 246 yards that Washington gained.

Concern regarding the BIG-12 Championship loss
In my opinion, the reason the line appears low to me is the fact that Nebraska is coming off a very emotional loss to Oklahoma in the Big-12 Championship. They were leading 17-0 in the second quarter before turning the ball over four times and essentially giving the game to Oklahoma. However, the team has had more than three weeks to mend and I have no doubt they will come out in this game and play with complete focus and motivation.

One of the dominant themes coaches use is to motivate players in this type of situation is emphasizing the opportunities the players have had by attending Nebraska and the need to win this game so that this year

15* graded play on Baylor as they take on Illinois in the Texas Bowl set to start at 6:00 PM EST

Illinois (6-6, 4-4 Big Ten, 7-4 ATS) had missed the bowl season the past two seasons, but this is the first time in 16 seasons that Baylor (7-5, 4-4 Big 12, 5-6 ATS) has made a bowl appearance. Baylor last played in the 1994 Alamo Bowl losing 10-3 to Washington State.

This will be a very interesting game to watch as both teams have strong offenses scoring nearly the same points per game, but execute in two totally different manners. Illinois is a run dominated offense, while Baylor loves to throw the ball, but in a balanced attack. The proprietary simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will win this game by more than three points.

National Rankings
Illinois ranks 57th nationally gaining 385.8 total offensive yards per game, 115th in passing gaining 154.3 yards per game, 13th in rushing gaining an impressive 242.3 yards per game, and 34th in scoring at 32.1 points per game. Baylor ranks 12th nationally in total offensive yards gaining 478.5 yards per game, 20th in passing gaining 287.3 yards per game, 23rd in rushing gaining 200.5 yards per game, and 29th in scoring at 32.6 points per game.

Defenses are highly suspect
These two teams have used their high octane offenses to offset weak defenses that made a ton of mistakes in each game. Baylor ranks 83rd in scoring defense allowing 29.8 points per game and Illinois

25* play on the Vikings.

In the aftermath of one of the greatest comebacks in Eagles history a huge letdown is in store for them facing one of the best defenses in the NFC. Even without Favre starting, the Vikings would love to knock the Eagles down a peg or two and that starts with the defense. Vikings running back Adrian Peterson will have a huge game running the ball against an Eagles defense that is still highly suspect in my opinion. Rookie Toby Gerhart brings different skills to the running back position and can augment Peterson

15* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Falcons set to start at 8:20 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Atlanta is just 1-10 ATS in home games after three or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992; 9-23 ATS in home games after scoring 30 points or more last game since 1992. Saints are a very resilient team and are coming off a tough loss at Baltimore last week. They are a perfect 8-0 ATS off a road loss over the last three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-6 ATS for 82.4% winners since 2005. Play on road teams after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game and that are average rushing teams gaining between 95-125 rushing yards per game and now facing an average rushing defense allowing 95-125 rushing yards per game after eight or more games have been played in the regular season. 49% of these plays covered the number by seven or more points. Drew Brees has the experience and patience necessary to exploit the Falcons secondary. The Falcons play one of the most conservative and generic defenses in the NFL. They rarely blitz and prefer to rush four and send seven into coverage. Play action does not work well against the Falcons defense, but the Saints running game will be quite effective. The Saints have struggled to run the ball, but the matchups favor them to have a dominating night. This will setup short and third situations where Brees can choose from six or more underneath routes an execute what the Flacons defense gives him. The Falcons will not give up the big play, but will keep everything underneath looking to jump routes. Problem is that Brees is arguably one of the best progression readers and has immense patience. Take the Saints.

15* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on Air Force in the Independence Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by fewer than two points and has a an excellent shot at winning the game. Georgia Tech comes into this game with the best rushing offense in the nation averaging 327 yards per game. Air Force is second best gaining 317.9 rushing yards per game. The major difference between these two teams is the quality of their opponents with GT playing a difficult ACC schedule and Air Force a far easier MWC schedule. GT has a significant size advantage with their defensive front going up against an Air Force offensive line averaging just 267 pounds per player. The AF offensive line is designed to be quick and they use slide blocking attacking the legs of the defender. Air Force did not face a defensive front with the power and size of Georgia Tech. Air Force quarterback Jefferson is not a solid decision maker and is highly inaccurate. Even in play action pass situations the GT secondary led by safety Jerrard Tennant can recover with superior closing speed on the wide AF wide receivers. The Falcons may get 6-foot-5 wide receiver Kevin Fogler back from a knee injury. Even at 100% the GT secondary ash the personnel to blanket him. The GT offense has a size advantage featuring the bruising running of Anthony Allen, who can wear down a defense on his own merit. Give that Air Force is banged up and has two key injuries on the defensive front makes them very vulnerable to fatigue and that is when the big plays will happen for GT. The Yellow Jackets have gained 225 or more rushing yards in five straight games. Head coach Johnson is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-13 against the money line and has made 24.6 units since 1992. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game and is an excellent rushing team gaining more than230 rushing yards per game and is facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing 140-190 rushing yards per game. Take Georgia Tech.

10* graded play on San Francisco as they take on the Rams set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game. Given the skinny line there is no advantage in playing the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-5 ATS for 85% winners since 2005. Play on road teams after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game and are an average rushing teams gaining between 95 and 125 rushing yards per game facing an average rushing defense allowing 95-125 rushing yards per game after eight or more games of the regular season. Here is a second system that has gone 108-60 ATS for 64% winners since 1983. Play against home teams after a loss by 10 or more points facing an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season. As incredible as it sounds the 5-9 49ers have an excellent shot at winning the division. San Francisco can make good on team president Jed York's declaration that it would come back from an 0-5 start to reach the postseason if it wins its final two games and Seattle loses at least one of their final two games. Seattle is at Tampa Bay today and the Bucs are in a must win situation. The 49ers are 10-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Rams are just 1-13 ATS after gaining 3.5 or less yards per play in their previous game since 1992. Take the 49ers.

10* graded play on the Cleveland Browns as they host the Baltimore Ravens set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Cleveland will lose this game and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 26-7 ATS for 79% winners since 2005. Play on dogs or pick off a road loss and is a bad team winning between 25% to 40% of their games and playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. The Ravens play their best offensive football when Rice gets adequate carries and receptions. However, the Browns linebackers are quite good and have the sound fundamental skills, speed, quickness, and football intelligence to contain his impact on the game. Look for Linebackers Eric Barton, Chris Gocong, and Jason Trusnik to make numerous big plays against Rice, especially in space. I also strongly believe that the Browns offensive line can get enough of a push, especially between the tackles, for RM Hillis to have a big day. This will open up easy to read play action opportunities for Brown

15* graded play on Dallas as they take on Arizona set to start at 7:30 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by eight or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 37-13 ATS for 74% winners since 2005. Play on road teams with a horrible scoring defense allowing 27 or more points per game and after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games. 40% of these games covered the spread by seven or more points and under scores my strong belief that this will be a blowout Dallas win. Dallas

15* graded play on Navy as they take on San Diego State in the Poinsettia Bowl being played at Qualcomm Stadium starting at 8:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Navy will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-19 ATS for 69.4% winners since 2000. Play against any team that is a dominant team out gaining opponents by 1.2+ yards per play facing a good team out gaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards per play and after gaining 525 or more total yards per game over their last two games. SDST will be able to rush the ball and the model shows a very high probability that they will gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards in this game. Note that Navy is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. Navy is on several positive runs noting they are 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992; 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) as a road underdog since 1992. Take NAVY.

10* graded play on Louisville as they take on Southern Mississippi in the Beef