25* graded play on the St. Louis Rams as they take on the Tampa Bay Bucs in NFL action set to start at 4:05 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that STL will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and have a great shot at getting an upset road win. Given this favorable projection, I like making this a combination play just as we did in Saturday's Huge 25* Titan play using ECU. Play a combination wager using an 18* play on the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 3-13 mark using the money line and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 1983. Play against any team using the money line (TAMPA BAY) that is off an upset loss as a favorite and in the first month of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight losses. SIM shows that Rams will contain the Bucs to 21 or fewer points. Over the past three seasons, the Rams are a perfect 6-0 ATS when allowing 15 to 21 points in a game. Given the QB situation, the Rams will focus more on the ground attack and will be quite successful in that effort. The Rams are a nice 4-0 ATS over the past three seasons and 26-13 ATS since 1992 when gaining between 125 and 150 rushing yards. Rams were the only team not to score a TD in Week 1, but I believe the matchups favor a solid offensive day for the Rams. The public jumped ship very quickly on the Rams and have bet nearly 70% of their wagers on the Bucs and have completely ignored the Rams. Despite the absence of DE Long, the Rams still have a solid front seven that features All-Pro Robert Quinn. Containing that imposing defensive line may be even more difficult for Tampa Bay given that Pro Bowl guard Logan Mankins isn't even close to 100 percent healthy. Mankins, acquired from New England on Aug. 26, left in the second quarter of last Sunday's 20-14 loss to Carolina with a knee injury and did not return. Coach Lovie Smith isn't sure if Mankins will be able to start, but he said the injury wasn't too serious and the team won't seek out another lineman. So, with a strong ground attack, the Rams can then use Hill in easy to read play action passes and maximize yards after the catch. Now, you can see the matchups that make me a strong believer the Rams will cover this number and may even win the game. Take the Rams.

10* graded play on Colorado as they host Arizona State in CFB action set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. ASU is coming off a big win, at least on the scoreboard, to New Mexico. They are 2-0 on the season, but have yet to play any formidable opponent. Based on my opponent PR ratings, ASU has one of the weakest first two games in the nation. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 146-71 ATS mark for 67.2% winners since 1992. Play on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (COLORADO) in conference games and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Here is one of the best CFB systems I have in the database and has gone 24-10 for 71% winners making 38 units/unit wagered since 1992. It has averaged a +200 DOG line and is truly what makes this system one that you can tack on your own to make even more money for seasons to come. Play against a road team using the money line (ARIZONA ST) that is a good team from last season (60% to 80% in percentage) playing a team who had a losing record last year and with 4 or fewer defensive starters returning and with the current game taking place in the first month of the season. I suggest playing this 10* Titan in the same combination as outlined for the UTSA game above. Take the Colorado Buffalos. 

10* graded play on Texas - San Antonio as they take on Oklahoma State in CFB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UTSA will lose this game by fewer than 13 points. I have played UTSA in their previous 2 games with great success as they upset Houston 27-7 as an 8 point dog and then easily covered in Week2 against Arizona as a 7 1/2 point dog. This will certainly be their stiffest test, but they have played against solid opponents in the first two weeks. They are a very good and vastly under rated team with excellent coaching. I am most impressed with the balanced offensive attack and I fully expect that unit to do very well tonight. The SIm confirms this belief showing that UTSA will gain between 150 to 200 rushing yards and between 350 and 400 total yards. In these situations, they have posted a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. I also like making this a combination wager using an 8* amount on the line and a 2.5* amount using the money line for a total risk of 10.5* units. Take Texas-San Antonio.

10* graded play on Army as they take on Stanford in CFB action set to start at 5:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Army will lose this game by fewer than 25 points. Stanford is coming off a very disappointing loss to USC last week having blown 7 red zone scoring opportunities. I had USC as my PAC-12 Game of the Year and feel quite fortunate to come away with that victory. I fully expect the Cardinal to be completely flat against an inferior foe in Army. That type of loss last week is worse than one losing in OT and it sticks with a team for a long while. Army has the ground attack and offensive that can easily shorten this game and make it far more competitive then the 28 point line currently shown at majority of books. What I also like too is that Army returns 9 starters on offense including the QB and that experience will serve them very well in this matchup. Cardinal just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite since 1992;  7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite since 1992; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored since 1992. Take Army.

25* graded play on East Carolina as they take on V-Tech in CFB action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that East Carolina will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a solid shot at upsetting the Hokies. Given this favorable projection, I recommend making this a combination wager using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. I do see this game as a letdown situation for the Hokies, who are coming off one of their best upset victories in years last week. ECU is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons;  7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games off a road loss since 1992. Supporting this Titan release is a system that has gone 50-17 for 75% winners and has made 46 units/unit wagered since 2008. Play on a  road team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) that is an excellent offensive team (>=440 YPG) and now facing a good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG and after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. The Pirates put forth a respectable effort in their 33-23 loss to South Carolina, as they had a 453-441 yardage edge. QB Shane Carden was 32-of-46 for 321 yards, but had a couple of costly interceptions. I see huge matchup advantages for Carden to exploit on the perimeter getting the ball out quickly with three step drops and with the receivers getting the ball in space to make plays. The dominant key to this game is that I fully expect ECU to have a massive yards after the catch advantage leading them to a chance to win in the fourth quarter. Take the Pirates. 

10* graded play on Buffalo as they host Baylor in CFB action set to start at 8:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 32 points. This is simply just too many points and I live Buffalo to cover this generous number tonight. Baylor knows they are a much better team and can easily win this game. It is also a short week in preparation and the Bears are coming off two dominating performances in their new stadium outscoring their opponents a combined 115-6. However, the Bears have some significant injuries and 'aches' within their starting units. QB Petty has been upgraded to probable, but that certainly does not imply he will play all four quarters. Same can be said of WR Goodley nursing a leg injury. There are four WR and 1 backup RB that will not see action tonight. The last thing the 8th ranked team needs is to have more injuries in a game that can be won with their second units. That is what I fully expect tonight and the second and third units of Baylor will at least give Buffalo a chance to move the ball, score points, and be more competitive. Baylor WR KD Cannon will be playing and he is coming off the second best WR yardage total in school history and did not even play the second half. He scored three TD on 50, 81. and 42 yards in the first quarter. Given his elite speed, you can bet that Buffalo will bracket him in a base cover-2 preventing him from getting behind the safeties. This scheme at least contains quick scores for the most part. Again, he is a starter that has burst on the national stage at the age of just 18 years. So, with the strong belief that Baylor will rest many of their starters once a significant lead is attained gives Buffalo a solid shot at staying with the generous number. Take Buffalo. 

10* graded play on Houston as they take on BYU in CFB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Houston will lose this game by fewer than 17 points. BYU is off to an impressive 2-0 start and have covered both contests very easily. Houston has gone 1-1, but failed to cover in either game. This is going to be a much better test for BYU than their previous two opponents. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark for 78% winners since 2003. Play against home favorites (BYU) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half. 59% of these games covered the spread by 7+ points and this under scores by strong belief that this will be a single digit game. BYU has had two impressive road wins, BUT they are just 7-26 ATS (-21.6 Units) after a 2 game road trip since 1992 and 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off 2 consecutive road wins since 1992. Houston was dominated by Texas - San Antonio in Week1 (a big win as a Top rated Titan release), but don't under estimate the fact they return 8 starters on offense and the quarterback and also return 9 defensive starters. No doubt BYU will look to run the ball and I expect 50 rushing attempts in this game. Houston will be prepared for this scheme and will be able to contain it. I like Houston being able to establish their ground game just enough so play action pass will be very effective. Take Houston.

25* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the Dallas Cowboys in NFC action set to start at 4:25 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game by 7 or more points. Briefly and perhaps bluntly, the 49ers are the better team on both sides of the ball and they certainly have better coaching. The Sim shows consistent and conclusive projections that the 49ers will dominate this game and the following game situations support those projections. SF is 11-1 ATS when they gain 350 to 400 total offensive yards over the last three seasons; 12-3 when they have gained 6.5 to 7.0 Yards-per-play; 8-2 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points; 11-3 when they have allowed 75 to 100 rushing yards 8-2 ATS when they have gained 200 to 250 net passing yards. Dallas is a money burning 2-6 ATS over the past three seasons and 10-46 ATS when they have allowed 150+ rushing yards. Further, 49ers are a near-perfect  9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Take the 49ers. 

10* graded play on the Jacksonville Jaguars as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that JAX will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a shot at pulling off what would be a most amazing upset win. If you can play the money line add only a maximum of 1.5* units on a money line lay on JAX (just in case). Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-12 mark for 77.4% winners since 2008. Play on underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) and was a struggling team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. Simply, this system under scores the Not For Long 'logo' of the NFL. Each season there are 4 to 5 new playoff teams in the fold. I'm not saying that JAX will be a playoff team, but I do believe that they can be a second place team in the Divisional race. So, playing 'OVER' the wins total is an excellent wager as well. I suggest a 5* amount on that play. JAX is thin at wide receiver for this game. Shorts is out officially with a hamstring and then Blackmon is out indefinitely and Sanders out for the first four games of the season due to violation of league's substance abuse policy. Still, Marquis Lee, is an excellent target for Henne. Lee has the size, quickness, and hands to have a huge day against a suspect Eagle defensive secondary. The biggest matchup is Toby Gerhart at RB for JAX. The Eagles failed miserably to stop power runners between the tackles last season and it is quite possible they could be even worse in that category. Speaking of defense, JAX has a much improved scheme and one that I truly believe will cause major 'read' problems for both Foles and the Eagle receivers. Eagle fans may just think this will be a walk in the park, but they may be extremely anxious when JAX has the ball late in the 4th and down just 6 points or less. Take Jacksonville.

10* graded play on the Oakland Raiders as they take on the NY Jets in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Rookie QB and a team that positively no one respects at all, yet this line is less than a score.  The simulator shows a high probability that Oakland will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game SU. Given this favorable projection, I encourage you to make a combination wager consisting of an 8* amount using the line and a 2.5* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% winners since 2008. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND) that was a struggling  team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. Derek Carr will start for the Raiders and rookies traditionally have had poor games in their first few starts. Yet, Carr has several matchup to exploit today. The Jets corners are not lock-down types as they had had in past seasons. In fact, I don't see them being able to play consistent man defense against the Raiders WR corp. Since HC Ryan became the Jets' head coach in 2009, rookie quarterbacks are 1-7 the first time they faced a Ryan defense. In those eight games, the rookies have completed 48.3 percent of their passes (129 of 267) for 1,522 yards, six touchdowns and eight interceptions and have absorbed 27 sacks. So, with this history lesson, the Raiders have an excellent OL and can easily run short passes into the flat and even bubble screens. Carr will no doubt use a quick release and get the ball out quickly. Further, I see the Oakland running game being highly effective against what will be an overly aggressive Jets defensive front. Once the ground game gets going, then Carr will have the luxury of using play action to freeze pass rushers and supporting LB. He has a tremendous arm and the Raiders will look to go deep in vertical pass routes on any down. Raiders will control the clock and that will be a big reason they win this game. Take the Raiders. 

10* graded play on the Buffalo Bills as they take on the Chicago Bear sin NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that the Bills will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at pulling off an improbably upset win.  Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 ATS mark for 83% winners since 2008.  Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) and was a struggling team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. The game projections call for a huge day on the ground by the Bills. The projections call for a 176 rushing yards. In past games, where the Bears have allowed more than 150 rushing yards, they are just 3-9 ATS the past three seasons and 18-56 ATS since 1992. When allowing 175+ rushing yards, the Bears are a money burning 2-5 ATS the past three seasons and 9-36 ATS since 1992. Bills are 5-3 ATS over the past three seasons and a 41-9 ATS since 1992 when gaining 175+ rushing yards. Bills will control the LOS on both sides of the ball and given the ground attack they will have a huge edge in TOP. Take the Bills.

25* graded play on the Southern California Trojans as they take on Stanford in a huge Pac-12 matchup and one that will have major conference ramifications. Stanford has the nation's longest home winning streak at 18 games. All streaks do end, and I completely believe SC will dominate this game from start to finish.  The simulator shows a high probability that SC will win this game. With the line at +3, the ML does not afford an solid investment option. Should the line go to 3 1/2, which is not expected, the ML would then be more attractive. However, I will simply play this as a 25* graded amount using the line only. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 55-23 ATS mark for 71% winners since 2003. Play against a home team (STANFORD that was a poor passing defense from last season allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse and with 5 offensive starters returning and with the current game taking place in the first month of the season. 36 of the 55 winning plays covered the spread by 7 or more points.  The following game situations match the projections produced by the SIM. SC is a solid 22-8 against the money line (+16.3 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992; 17-5 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 15-5 against the money line (+10.1 Units) when they rush for 2.5 to 3 yards per attempt since 1992; 42-10 against the money line (+29.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. No doubt, the SC offense will put a lot of pressure on the Stanford defense, especially in the backend. Another matchup I see as a HUGE advantage for SC is DE Leonard Williams against Stanford LT Andrus Peat. Williams is huge, fast, and very quick for his size at 6-5 300 lbs. Peat is 6-7 and 312 lbs and has excellent technique and will certainly be playing on Sundays in the NFL. Yet, Williams has better technique and can gain leverage with his strong legs and get under Peat to move him laterally. This will be a matchup I will be watching very closely and one that I see Williams winning. Take USC. 

10* graded play on Akron as they take on Penn State in CFB action set to start at 12:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Akron will lose this game by fewer than 14 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-22 ATS mark for 70% winners since 2002. Play against home favorites (PENN ST) in non-conference games with 5 offensive starters returning in games played during the first two weeks of the season. Of the total wagers made, 44% covered the spread by 7 or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 55-23 ATS for 71% winners since 2002. Play against home team (PENN ST) that was a poor passing defense from last season allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse and with 5 offensive starters returning. PSU played well against SFU last week in Ireland. The travel impacts athletes in every sport and CFB is not immune to the 'lag' impacts of traveling that far to play a game. So, I do expect PSU to be a bit 'slow' and quite possibly not taking Akron as a serious opponent. Take Akron to cover ATS. 

10* graded play on Tulsa as they host Oklahoma in CFB action set to start at Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Tulsa will lose this game by fewer than 24 points. This is just too many points. Tulsa returns 10 starters on defense featuring SS Mudoch, who had 133 tackles last season and DE Alexander, who had 6.5 sacks last season. I strongly believe this unit will be up to the challenge that the Sooners offense will bring to the game. Sooners are re-tolling on offense with just 5 starters returning. Sooners are just 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. Oklahoma has been doing some talking this week in the media outlets clearly stating that they believe they have the best front seven in the nation. Perhaps they do, BUT they will be facing a vastly under rated QB in Dane Evans, who has a very quick 'Peyton Manning' release. Oklahoma looks to stop the run first and then get pressure on the QB. Yet, in this matchup, there won't be time for them to get on the QB and Evans is extremely accurate getting balls to receivers in space. Evans sees the field very well and his quick release will frustrate the Sooner pass rushers. Take Tulsa.

10* graded play on the Iowa State as they host Kansas State in CFB action set to start at 12:00 Noon ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than 12 points. If you can get a Money Line for this game, then add a 1.5* amount to the 10* unit line play. I have already nailed Texas A&M and Texas- San Antonio in their respective huge upset wins in Week 1. So, don't be surprised if Iowa State pulls of the same result today. ISU returns 10 starters including the QB on offense and this is a big time advantage for them facing a defensive unit that returns just 5 starters. Team chemistry, especially along an OL, is very critical in the first four weeks of the CFB season. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-12 ATS mark for 77% winners since 1992. Play on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (IOWA ST) after being outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the plays made 51% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points. So, look for ISU to make this a very close game throughout and a strong opportunity to win the game in the 4th quarter. Take Iowa State.

10* graded play on the Green Bay Packers as they take on Seattle in NFL action set to open the 2014 regular season at 8:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that the Packers will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at upsetting the reigning Super Bowl Champions. I like using a combination wager for this game by playing an 8* amount using the line and a 2.5* amount using the money line for a 10.5* total risk amount. Aaron Rogers is the dominant reason I see the Packers upsetting Seattle. McCarthy's west coats offensive schemes till stretch defense vertically and this is clearly where Rogers is exceptional. He is arguably the best deep thrower int he game having ranked second last season in Deep Passing Accuracy over the past three seasons. The ground attack will feature the power attack of Lacy. Nothing has changed really with the Packers ground attack other than Lacy will get even more touches in 2014. The power ground attack is strong enough for even elite defenses to have to respect and this in turn opens up play action for Rogers to add valuable time in the pocket to scan the field. When he has time, his accuracy is undeniably the best in the NFL. Last year was easily the best season of Jordy Nelson’s career. Having the Seneca Wallace-Scott Tolzien-Matt Flynn combination at quarterback for 7 games and without Randall Cobb and Jermichael Finley on the field for most of the year made it all the more impressive. Showing that he can do just about anything, Nelson racked up the fourth-most receiving yards from the slot—an alignment he was rarely utilized in in the past. At the other receiver spot, Cobb was on pace for over 90 receptions and 1,200 yards prior to his injury and his 77.5% catch rate was the highest in the league at wide receiver. Russell Wilson is a contrast in QB form and purpose to that of Rogers. He is highly ineffective on passes of 30 yards or more and is average at best for passes between 21 and 30 yards. Despite his scrambling abilities, he is less effective in that situation than simply executing a drop pass play. On standard drop passes he completed 66% with a 73% accuracy rating. On rollouts he completed 62% and had a 75% accuracy rating. When on the run and scrambling he completed only 51% of his passes with a 53% accuracy rating. So, I fully expect Green bay will bring timely corner blitz pressure on him from the weak side of the offensive alignment. Although Seattle is an elite team, I strongly believe that Green Bay has a ton to prove. Take Green Bay.

10* graded play on Texas-San Antonio as they host Arizona in College Football action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UTSA will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at upsetting a major PAC-12 foe. Given this favorable projection, I suggest making this a combination wager using an 8* amount on the line and a 2.5* play using the money line for a total of 10.5* worth of risk. This combination maximizes the risk/reward profile produced by the SIM projections. I had UTSA last week in their huge 27-7 win at Houston where they were installed as 8 point dogs. That was certainly no fluke as my research report showed and I expect another great effort by this team Thursday night. The defense held Houston to just 26 yards rushing on 23 carries and forced 6 turnovers. They are a dominant run offensive scheme and that wore down the Houston defensive front very quickly. I fully expect that pounding type of game to have the same impact on the ARZ defense. The SIM shows that UTSA will rush for at least 150 yards. In past games where they have rushed for 150 to 200 rushing yards they are a perfect 7-0 ATS over the past three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-6 ATS mark for 83.3% winners since 2003. Play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTSA) and is a team that had a winning record last season and now facing a non-conference foe. Take UTSA. 

10* graded play on the Miami Hurricanes as they take on the Louisville Cardinal in CFB action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by fewer than three points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the DOG projections, I suggest playing this Titan release as a combination wager consisting of a 7* play using the line and a 3.5* amount using the Money Line for a total risk of 10.5* units. The money line is at +150 and a 3.5* wager would return 4.5 units in profits, which combined with the 7* line win adds an additional 15% in total profits earned for the play. Although, this does not seem that significant on the surface, over the course of the season it will certainly add up to a very significant result. Just this past week I had Texas A&M in a monster upset of South Carolina and Texas-San Antonio in another big time upset win with both returning very nice additions by adding the Money Line combination wager to the play. The following game situations match the SIM projections for this game. Miami is a solid money making  23-10 against the money line (+14.8 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992; 20-10 against the money line (+10.6 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt since 1992; Louisville is just  8-10 against the money line (-18.6 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 9-9 against the money line (-27.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards since 1992. The point is that the records may not produce high percentage results, but you and I must always being looking at units won/lost for meaningful insight to game situations. The Hurricanes will dominate the LOS with a pounding ground attack led by Duke Johnson, who you may remember was the starting back in 2013 and had the Hurricanes off to a 7-0 start before season ending injury sidelined him. He had well over 900 rushing yards in 6 games at that point. This ground attack is eactly what any team needs when starting a true freshman and the Hurricanes have a great one under center in Brad Kaaya. Take the Hurricanes.

10* graded play on Massachusetts as they take on Boston College in NCAAF action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that BC will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. BC lost it's three best offensive players from last year's 7-6 bowl season. In fact they return just 3 starters offense and no player had more than 15 catches last season. They have ahd several key additions through transfers, but team chemistry, especially on the offensive line is a critical factor in the first four weeks of the season. Further, BC returns 6 starters on defense, so here again, execution will be inconsistent during games in the early part of the season. UMASS had a horrid season and certainly will look to turn things around. One of the most important decision made was to go to a 3-4 defensive alignment. Given their personnel, this is the right decision and will pay off big for them during the season. This alignment will also let their stud LB Andrey, who had 111 tackles last season, to be an even greater disruptive force. Take UMASS.

10* graded play on Texas San Antonio as they take on Houston in CFB action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that TSA will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. This game mirrors my winning play last night with Texas A&M and like the A&M wager I encourage you to add no greater than 1.5* amount using the money line to the 10* wage amount on the line. UTSA's entire O-Line returns to its run-oriented offense propelled by RB David Glasco II (496 rush yds, 5.2 YPC, 5 TD). WR Kam Jones (345 rec yds, 302 rush yds, 6 total TD) is the No. 1 wideout for new QB Tucker Carter (190 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT), who replaces Eric Soza. The Roadrunners' 4-2-5 defense is strong throughout with DE Robert Singletary (5 sacks), LB Drew Douglas (70 tackles), S Triston Wade (94 tackles) and CB Bennett Okotcha (10 PD). Of the units, TSA returns 10 starters each on offense and defense. This playing experience is a significant factor in matchups during the first four weeks of the season. The Sim projects that TSA will gain between 150 to 200 rushing yards and 350 to 400 total offensive yards. In past games, TSA is a perfect 6-0 ATS over the past three season in each situation mentioned. Take Texas-San Antonio.

10* graded play on the Texas A&M Aggies as they take on the South Carolina Gamecocks in inter-conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that A&M will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. If you have access to a money line I would recommend no more than a 1.5* amount to exploit the potential big time upset. Both teams return 14 starts combined and both have lost key play makers from last year's season. South Carolina returns eight starters on offense, but has a new quarterback under center. Their offense will be featuring scat back Mike Davis, who emerged last season as fantastic playmaker. However, the A&M defense returns 9 starters from last year's unit and will be vastly better this season. They have the experience and discipline not to get caught out of position with poor angles of attack in containing Davis. Forcing Thompson to win the game with his arm is the recipe for A&M to make this a single digit game throughout. Of note too is that Davis is listed as probable for tonight's game. He is enduring a rib injury and that is one that is quite painful on any type of hit at this level of football. SIM projects that A&M will score 28 points. In past games where the Gamecocks have allowed 28 points, they are a money burning 0-5 ATS over the past three seasons and 18-62 ATS since 1992. When they allow 31 to 41 points, they are an even worse 0-2 ATS over the past three seasons and 4-17 ATS since 1992. Take the Aggies.