15* graded play on Kansas as they take on Kansas State set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by fewer than 21 points. Supporting this graded play is a strong first half system that has gone 114-62 ATS over the past 10 seasons for 65% winners. Play against any team off a win against a conference rival and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a bad team winning between 25% to 40% on the season. Some you may remember my play using Kansas as a +26 point dog against Baylor last year. That game went to overtime with RG3 scoring two touchdowns in the closing minutes of the fourth quarter to just get it to overtime. This game shapes up much the same way, but does grade as a 15* Titan so bet it accordingly. The key to my methodology is having the discipline to bet the same amount per * unit for every play I release and resisting the temptation to bet bigger than outlined or to avoid it because you disagree. There will be great winning weeks and there will be losing weeks, but over the course of the season you have an excellent shot at making a significant amount of dough. The Kansas defense is vastly better than advertised and quite frankly, they had chances to win two of the games they lost. The public has certainly inflated the Kansas State line for this game as they are coming off a BYE week and also one of the biggest wins in school history knowing off then No. 6 Oklahoma in Norman. Impressive as that is, this is just too many points to giving a Kansas team that is physical enough on defense to create disruptions in the flow of the K-State scheme. Take Kansas

15* graded play on Navy as they take on Air Force in a game set to start at 11:30 AM Saturday. The simulator shows a high probability that Navy will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 41-34 using the money line and has made a whopping 51.7 units per one unit wagered since 2006 averaging a +210 dog play. Play on a road team using the money line after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games in the first half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 27-10 for 73% winners and has made 30 units per one unit wagered averaging a +147 dog play. Play against a home team using the money line struggling passing team or one that is a dominant run oriented scheme gaining <=130 passing yards per game and is now facing an average passing defense allowing 175-230 passing yards per game and after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt last game. Navy is a solid 18-9 against the money line (+14.6 Units) playing struggling passing defenses allowing 250 or more passing yards per game since 1992; 14-4 against the money line (+9.8 Units) in road games facing struggling defensive teams allowing >=425 yards per game since 1992.

15* graded play on Florida International as they host Arkansas State set to start at 7:30 PM ET, October 4, 2012. The simulator shows a high probability that FI will win this game by a minimum of three points. Despite being 1-4 they have returned 17 starters while AS has just 10 seasons returners. This chemistry will only improve as new freshman quarterback E.J. Hilliard gets more accustomed to the offensive scheme and speed of D-1 Sun Belt football. He has replaced Medlock due to his ineffectiveness in leading the team and completed just 69 of 119 passes thrown. Hilliard has a great arm and he is now teamed with former Miami Northwestern star wide receiver Wayne Times. Hilliard completed two long passes of 54 yards ot Winston Fraser and 58 yards to Willis Wright. With Hilliard under center, it will stretch the Red Wolves defense forcing the safeties to respect pass first. This will open up the ground attack for the Panthers and I expect to see running backs Rhodes and Mallary have their biggest games of the season. Moreover, AS is just 3-12 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses allowing 250 or more passing yards per game since 1992; 6-16 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a 2 game home stand since 1992. Take the Panthers.

25* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the Chicago Bears set to start at 8:35 PM ET on Monday Night Football. The simulator shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game by five or more points. Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte was listed as probable, but has been since downgraded to doubtful with an ankle injury. The consequences of Forte not being in the Bears lineup will certainly make them a one dimensional passing offense and that is certainly not their strength. Even if he plays it will not reduce the strength or validity of this play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-5 for 86% winners since 1983. Play on home teams that are good passing teams averaging seven or more passing yards per attempt and after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. Bears are just 4-16 ATS facing good passing defenses allowing 175 or less passing yards per game since 1992. The Dallas secondary is banged up with several key injuries forcing defensive coordinator Rob Ryan to make some changes. One of the best moves has been placing cornerback Brandon Carr to safety. He then placed Mike Jenkins and rookie Morris Claiborne at the corner positions. This has developed a triangular defensive scheme where the secondary has three excellent man-coverage men on the field for all plays. Dallas is very aggressive along the defensive front in their 3-4 scheme. They rarely ever show a 4-3 look on third down passing situations and like to bring pressure from the perimeter with their elite linebackers. Bears quarterback Cutler likes to attack the perimeter of the field with his physical wide receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery. However, this plays into the strengths of the reformed Dallas defense as Carr has the spped and quickness to roll his coverage and will take out the vertical routes of the Bears passing game. Further, it will force Cutler to hold the ball and go through an additional progression where the Dallas rush will have the time to get to him and record sacks. I strongly believe that Dallas could have as many as five coverage sacks on Cutler in this game. Take Dallas.

25* graded play on the New York Giants as they take on Philadelphia in the City of Brotherly Love on Sunday Night Football. The fans will be lathered up for this one and unfortunately they will be leaving the Lincoln Financial Field with great disappointment and perhaps a new quarterback under center. The simulator shows a high probability that the Giants will win this game. Philadelphia ranks dead last in the NFL by a wide margin with a 26.0 yards-per-point ratio. This simply means that they are highly dysfunctional on offense and require far too many yards to equal a single point on the scoreboard. It also reflects the fact that Vick has made too many mistakes leading to turnovers and missed scoring opportunities. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2006. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off 1 or more consecutive unders and with a poor first half defense allowing 14 or more points per game. Fine tuning this system to include just home teams produces a remarkable 22-3 ATS mark for 88% winners since 2006. Giants are a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 season; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a win by 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Ried is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. Take the Giants

25* graded play on Carolina as they take on the Atlanta Falcons set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Carolina will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot an upset win. Consider creating a combination bet placing an 11* amount getting the points and a 4* amount on the money line. Falcons are out of the gate and posting some impressive numbers with a 3-0 record SU and ATS. However, they are just 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1992. The sim shows that Cam Newton will have a solid day and that the Panthers will score between 22 and 28 points in this game. In past games where they have scored 22 to 28 points they have posted a 6-1 ATS mark the past three seasons and 51-13 ATS mark since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 22-4 ATS for 85% winners since 1983. Play against home teams , who are opportunistic teams getting 2.5+ turnover differential and now facing a team with <=1.25 turnover ratio per game forced and after a game where they forced four or more turnovers. Take the Carolina Panthers.

25* graded play on the Detroit Lions as they take on the Minnesota Vikings set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Detroit will win this game by 10 or more points. The sim also shows that Detroit

25* graded play on Oregon State as they take on Arizona in Pac-12 conference action. The simulator shows a high probability that OSU will win this game. Take the points as the money line does not offer any acceptable risk to include in a combination bet. The sim also shows a very high probability that OSU will score 28 or more points. In past games where OSU has scored 28 or more points they are 8-3 ATS over the past three years and 71-22 ATS since 1992. When Arizona has allowed 28 or more points they are just 3-13 ATS over the last three seasons and 18-72 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 19-15 and has made 38.2 units per one unit wagered since 2002. Play on road dogs using the money line that are off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a dog, and when playing on a Saturday. This simply eliminates about 5% of games played during the week and focuses on the main day of action for College Football. This system has averaged an incredible +280 dog play. Here is a second system that has hit 69% winners for an 18-8 record and has made 24.7 units since 2002. Play on a home team using the money line off a loss against a conference rival and now facing an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. This system has averaged a +189 dog play. Last, but not least, Arizona is just 3-20 against the money line (-26.7 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 1-5 against the money line (-8.9 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Oregon State

25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Georgia set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-6 for 83% winners since 2002. Play on dogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite and is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. This system has gone a perfect 10-0 ATS over the past three seasons. Moreover, 20 of the plays made based on the system criteria have covered the spread by seven or more points. Georgia head coach Richt has not done well in these situations and has posted a 1-9 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team winning > 75% of their games as the head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs. Tennessee has lost three straight to the spread, but have managed to win two of those three games SU. Tennessee is a resounding 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. Take the Volunteers.

25* graded play on the Seattle Seahawks as they host the Green Bay Packers set to start at 8:20 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seattle will lose this game and have an excellent opportunity to win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-7 for 82% winners since 1983 making 35.1 units per one unit wagered. Play on home teams using the money line after one or more consecutive wins against the spread when playing on Monday night. This system has also gone an incredible 15-3 using the money line over the past three seasons. I also like using yards-per-point ratios as a way to grade teams efficiency and effectiveness on both offense and defense. A offense ratio that ranges between 10 and 13 shows a measure of offensive excellence. Simplistically, it shows that it only take 10 to 13 yards of offensive production to get one point on the scoreboard. Teams that post a 15 an higher showing an ability to execute scoring drives and to execute in the red zone. It can also indirectly reflect a team that has an above average amount of turnovers too. Defensively, it is the direct opposite. Teams with numbers above 17 are some of the best defenses in the league and teams sporting a measure of 13 or less are being gouged by opponents. In the case of this matchup, Seattle has the better offense and the better defense and are home dogs to boot. Seattle ranks third best in defensive yards per point posting a 20.3 ratio. By comparison, Green Bay ranks 21st in the NFL posting a 13.6 defensive yards per point ratio. Seattle ranks ninth in the NFL posting a 13.2 yards per point ratio while Green Bay has posted a 14.3 ratio good for 18th ranking in the NFL. Taking this one step further and looking at the yards-per-point differential between a team

30* graded play on the Jacksonville Jaguars as they take on the Indianapolis Colts set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that JAX will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-5 for 82% winners since 2002. PLay on road dogs or pick in a conference matchup that were poor teams from last season posting a win percentage between 25% to 40% and now playing a team that had a losing record last year. This system has gone 6-0 ATS the past three season and 9-1 ATS over the past five seasons. JAX quarterback will be playing and has recovered from a gluteous injury. The biggest factor in this game is that in order for the Colts to win this game they will have to establish the running game. I don

30* graded play on Florida State as they host Wake Forest set to start at 8:00 PM ET. Seminole football is back and they are the best contender to win the BCS, in my opinion. This is a big game for them on their ACC schedule and they know that a huge accomplishment. They are playing with revenge as well. Not, the revenge itself is the factor, but the stakes for this game are so much bigger and I fully expect an even better execution by both offensive and defensive units then we saw against Wake Forest last week. The Seminoles return 17 starters with eight on offense including their QB E.J. Manuel and nine starters on defense. This experience and chemistry cannot be underestimated and will be a dominant reason they win this game in blowout fashion. FSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games since 1992. The sim shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by 17 or more points. It further shows that FSU will score at least 28 points in this game. Clemson is just 3-8 ATS the past three years and 15-51 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points. Further, Clemson is just 1-5 ATS the past three seasons and 7-22 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 29 to 35 points. The FSU defense is just plain nasty and they will hold Clemson to less than 100 rushing yards. In past games, where Clemson has not gained fewer than 100 rushing yards, they are 2-6 ATS the past three seasons and 14-29 ATS since 1992. The simulator shows a high probability that Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 42-12 ATS for 78% winners since 2002. Play against a road team after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game and now facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in two consecutive games. 61% of these plays covered the spread by seven or more points. Take Florida State.

25* graded play on Vanderbilt as they take on the Georgia Bulldogs set to start at 7:45 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Vandy will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Georgia head coach Richt is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when facing mistake free teams posting 42 or less penalty yards per game; 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. The storyline for this game will be the Vandy offense. We already know that the Vandy defense is perhaps one of the best units in the SEC. I firmly believe this defense will give Georgia a tremendous amount of problems being able to execute a consistent ball-control offensive scheme. Vandu is projected to score between 22 and 28 points. In past games, Vandy is a solid 4-1 ATS the past three seasons and 24-8 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 22 to 29 points in a game. I also would not surprised to see Vandy win this game and shock No. 5 Georgia. Supporting this claim is a system that has produced a record of 26-42 for just 38% winners, but has made 82 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play on road dogs of +315 or higher using the money line after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half and facing an opponent after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. The average play for this winning monster system has been a +476 dog play. The line currently for this ML play is +500. Consider making a combination bet placing a 20* amount on the line and a 5* amount on the money line. Take Vanderbilt!

15* graded play on Auburn as they take on LSU in a big SEC showdown set to start at . The simulator shows a high probability that Auburn will lose this game by less than 17 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 68-27 ATS for 72% winners since 1992. Play on a home team off an extremely close home win by three points or less with the game taking place in the first month of the season. of the 95 plays made based on the criteria of this game, 46% of them have covered the spread bys even points or more. This underscores by personal belief that Auburn will make this a single digit game and that LSU will be in for a much more difficult test than currently expected. LSU head coach Les Miles is coming of 63-14 win over Idaho and covered the 42 point spread. LSU has simply not played any opponent of substance and this is going to hurt them in this road SEC matchup. Moreover, Miles is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of LSU. Take the Auburn Tigers.

15* graded play on Florida International (FI) as they take on Louisville set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that FI will lose this game by 12 or fewer points. FI is a team that does match up well against Louisville and I believe can control the pace of the game and gain an advantage in TOP. Louisville is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when facing an excellent ball control teams obtaining 32 or more possession minutes per game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a record of 59-27 for 69% winners and has made 36.4 units per one unit wagered since 2006. Play against road team using the money line in non-conference games and with 8 defensive starters returning in the first month of the season. Moreover, FI has returned 10 defensive starters and that experience and chemistry will pay huge dividends in this ga,e. Take Florida International.

25* graded play on the Missouri Tigers as they take on the South Carolina Gamecocks set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and may actually win the game in stunning fashion. As an optional consideration, a bet comprised with an 18* amount on the line and 7* amount using the money line offers a tremendous opportunity to capitalize on the upset bid by the Tigers. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-4 ATS for 85% winners since 2002. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a good rushing defense allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards per carry and after allowing one or less rushing yards per attempt last game. Of the 27 plays made based on the criterial of this system, 15 of them or 54% covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores just how close I believe this game will be and the opportunity for the Tigers to upset the Gamecocks. I really like the Missouri pass defense in this matchup and believe they will contain the SC passing attack. The sim shows that SC will gain 200 or fewer net passing yards in this game. In past games, where Missouri allowed 150 to 200 net passing yards, they have posted a 28-18 ATS mark since 1992. Of significant note, is that Missouri QB James Franklin, who missed the last game due to a shoulder injury, will start in this game. SC is coming off a 49-6 beatdown of UAB and this game combined with a 48-10 win over East Carolina has served to inflate this line significantly. However, SC is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 9 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Take the Missouri Tigers.

15* graded play on Temple University as they take on the Penn State Lions set to start in Happy Valley at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Temple will lose this game by fewer than six points. I also believe they will win the game, which would be the first time Temple has defeated Penn State in Happy Valley since 1942. What I love about this game is the Temple defense will contain the Penn State offense. The sim shows a very high probability that PSU will score between 15 and 21 points in this game. In past games, where Temple held an opponent to this range of points they are 3-1 ATS over the past three seasons and 18-4 ATS since 1992. The other matchup where I see Temple dominating is their power run game. The sim shows a high probability that Temple will gain between 200 and 250 rushing yards. In past games where Tempel has gained this range of rushing yards they are 15-5 ATS since 1992. Moreover, I don

15* graded play on Kent State as they take on Buffalo in Wednesday Night action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.. The simulator shows a high probability that Kent State will lose this game by fewer than three points and has a great shot at winning the game. The sim shows a detailed projection calling for Buffalo to average between 6.5 and 7.0 passing yards. In past games, this has been good news for backing Kent State as they are a solid 5-1 ATS since 1992. Although a small sample size of two games, Kent State has been far better in the red zone on both sides of the ball than Buffalo. KS has scored on 90.48% of their red zone possessions and the defense has allowed points to be scored by opponents in just 72% of the occurrences. Buffalo has scored on 80% of their red zone possessions while allow opponents to score on 90% of their red zone possessions. The sim also shows that Kent State

25* graded play on the Denver Broncos as they take on the Atlanta Falcons set to start at 8:30 PM ET on Monday Night Football. The simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by three or fewer points and has a great shot at winning a big road game and establishing themselves as a contender in the AFC West. Both teams had solid outings in Week 1. However, Atlanta is not in a good spot for a continuation of that success. They are just 13-32 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in their previous game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-12 for 71% winners and has made 18 units per one unit wagered since 2006. Play on home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 after gaining 7 or more passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 8 or more passing yards per attempt last game. Here is a second system that has gone 49-15 since 2006. Play against all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 after a win by 10 or more points and is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. Head Coach Smith is just 2-9 against the money line (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 as the coach of the

25* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football set to start at 8:20 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SF will win this game by 10 or more points. Detroit

25* graded play on Carolina as they take on the New Orleans Saints set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Panthers will win this game. The simulation for this game shows a very high probability that Cam Newton will have a huge day and the Panther offense will score more than 28 points. In past games, the Panthers are a rock solid 5-1 ATS over the past three seasons and an incredible 54-5 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points in a game. The ground game will be successful too and I expect them to gain 125 or more rushing yards. This in turn sets up play action pass plays for Newton where he will be able to have high percentage opportunities to exploit the Saints suspect cover-2 defense. In past games where the Panthers have rushed the ball for more than 125 yards, they have posted a 9-3 ATS record over the past three seasons and 46-14 ATS record since 1992. Panthers struggled with the running game last week against a solid Bucs defensive front. So, I strongly believe they will be squarely focused on establishing the LOS and getting the running game off to a solid start. Panthers are 19-8 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-4 for 85% winners and has made 19 units per one unit wagered since 1983. Play against road teams using the money line that have a poor passing defense from last season that allowed 230 or more passing yards/game and after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game. Take Carolina.

15* graded play on the Baltimore Ravens as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Ravens will win this game. The Ravens, even without Suggs, have the personnel to pressure Vick throughout his game. They have the speed and discipline to cut him off on the perimeter. For the Eagles to win, they must get LeSean McCoy involved in the game in a major way by running the ball between the tackles and catching

25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Northwestern set to start at 3:30 PM ET. This is an upset alert and I strongly believe that BC will win this game. They have 10 returning starters on offense including their quarterback and this experienced unit will be matched up against a Northwestern defensive unit that returned just five starters on defense. Moreover, BC returns seven defensive starters for a total of 17 of 22 starting positions from last years team. Northwestern returns just five each on offense and defense for a total of 10 starters . The simulator shows a high probability that Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 49-17 ATS for 74% winners since 1992. Play on all dogs of 3.5 to 10 points with 6 or more total starters returning than opponent with the game taking place in the first month of the season. Of the 66 plays made based on the conditions of this system, 31 of them or 47% have covered the spread by seven or more points. The sim shows a very high probability that BC will gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards. In past games, BC is a perfect 6-0 ATS when they have gained 150 to 200 rushing yards in a game spanning the last three seasons. Take Boston College.

25* graded play on Florida State as they take on Wake Forest set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by a minimum of 31 points. They remember last year

15* graded play on the St. Louis Rams as they take on the Detroit Lions set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by fewer than eight points and also have a solid shot at what would be shocking upset to most fans. I expect the Rams running game to be in full force in this matchup. The sim shows a high probability that the Rams will average between 4.0 and 4.5 yards per rush in this game. In past games, Detroit is just 19-47 against the money line, losing 43.3 units when they allow 4 to 4.5 rushing yards per attempt since 1992. The Rams Steven Jackson is a punishing type of power running back and Detroit struggled big last year against similar style attacks. Detroit allowed 5.0 yards per rush and 128 rushing yards per game in 2011. You can bet that OC Shottenheimer will have a steady course of Jackson with different formations and looks pre-snap. With the Lions QB Stafford having a huge 2001 breakout season, his counterpart, Bradford, has the football IQ, arm strength and accuracy to keep a defensive secondary on their heels. This is where I see the game being so much closer than the line indicates. Bradford is not a bad QB. he has had a suspect OL, but one that is much better than in his pro career. He is very adept at using play action and making the correct progressions to find the open receiver. With Jackson the featured offensive weapon and with the Lions playing eight men in the box, Bradford will have time to discect the defense and move the chains. Last, but not least, The Rams new coach, Fisher, is outstanding as an underdog coach sporting a 75-50-1 ATS record and he has won 45% of these games in straight up fashion. Take the Rams.

15* graded play on the Cleveland Browns as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles set to start 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 9, 2012. This is just too many points to be giving any team in Week 1, especially an Eagles defense that is masking huge problems in their linebacker corp.

Nine rookies are on the Eagles roster with Defensive Tackle and first round draft pick Fletcher Cox expected to play significant minutes, if not start against Cleveland. Yet, looking at their roster, additional moves may be possible given the unbalanced nature of the offense and defensive composition of players. Two undrafted free agents made the roster in Running back Chris Polk and wide receiver Damaris Johnson. Despite the veteran leadership on the team, there are 24 players with two or fewer years of NFL experience.

The Eagles are very light in terms of depth and talent on the offensive line and chose to keep an abundance of cornerbacks and running backs. Moves to acquire offensive lineman cur from other teams may be in the works to balance out the roster and add much needed depth along the offensive line. Currently, they have one offensive center and one fullback on the roster.

Michael Vick, as we know, does not need a great offensive line to be a significant playmaker on the field. He does, however, need an offensive line that can protect him that extra

15* graded play on the Miami Dolphins as they take on the Houston Texans set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Miami rookie QB Ryan Tannehill will make his debut in the NFL and I do expect it to be a huge success. The Texans will be working into their second year under DC Wade Phillips

30* graded play on Florida Atlantic as they take on Middle Tennessee State set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Florida Atlantic will lose this game by six or fewer points. FA head coach Carl Pelini returns seven starters including his quarterback on offense and eight starters on defense for the 2012 campaign. They have already matched last year

15* graded play on UMASS as they host Indiana set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UMASS will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 22-8 for 73% winners and has made 20.2 units using the Money Line since 2002. Play on a home team using the money line in the first month of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight losses and is a marginal losing team from last season who won 40 to 49% of their games. Here is a second system working against Indiana and has produced a 33-13 record for 72% winners since 2002. Play against road teams using the money line after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt in their last game and now facing an opponent after gaining 40 or less rushing yards last game. Currently you can get at least +500 on the money line or more, so consider breaking this 15* amount into a 12* amount using the line and a 3* amount using the money line. Take UMASS.

15* graded play on Virginia as they take on Penn State set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by 13 or more points. It is a shame what has happened to the PSU football team and the entire program. I admire their tenacity to march forward and take on all comers. That is a lesson these young men will carry with them the remainder of their lives. yet, they just are not a good team as evidenced by the collapse last week against Ohio University. As much as my heart wants them to win-out despite the losses of some of the best players on the team, it is just not realistic to expect that currently. The sim shows a high probability that UVA will score more than 28 points in this game. In past games where the PSU defense has allowed 28 to 35 points in a game they are 6-18 ATS since 1992. The PSU running game is nearly non-existent going up against this UVA defensive front seven. In past games where PSU has gained between 3.5 and 4.0 rushing yards per attempt they are 0-7 ATS the past three seasons and 7-23 ATS since 1992. Worse is that the passing game is not going to offset the lack of a ground game. In past games where PSU has gained just 5.5 to 6.0 passing yards per attempt they are 0-3 ATS the past three season and 5-15 ATS since 1992. Last when PSU has allowed 28 or more points they are 1-6 ATS over the past three seasons and 8-34 ATS since 1992. Take the Cavaliers.

15* graded play on Utah as the take to the road to battle Beehive state rival Utah State set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game by 10 or more points. The sim also shows a high probability that Utah State will gain between 150 and 200 net passing yards in this game. In past games where the Utah defense allowed 150 to 200 net passing yards they have produced a 3-1 ATS mark over the past three seasons and 31-13 ATS mark since 1992. Utah returns nine players on offense, including their quarterback and seven defensive starters for a total of 16 of 22 starters on both sides of the ball. They will be matched up against an Aggies squad still celebrating one of their first winning seasons in memory, but returning only six starters including their QB on offense and just six more from the defensive unit. The fact that Utah has nine returning starters will clearly show in tonight

25* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the NY Giants set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than four points and have an excellent shot at upsetting the defending Super Bowl Champions on their home turf. The Giants run the ball mainly between the tackles and then use play action to exploit overly aggressive defensive ends, who get out of position. However, Dallas some very good and athletic defensive ends, who have strong football IQ

15* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on Virginia Tech set to start at 8:00 PM ET, Monday. The simulator shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by 6 or fewer points. Sim shows a high probability that GT will score between 22 and 28 points in this game. VT is just 10-22 ATS when they have allowed 22 to 28 points in a game since 1992. GT runs the triple option and although VT has had months to prepare for this offensive scheme, it will not matter. GT is projected to gain between 200 and 250 rushing yards in this game. In past games where VT has allowed 200 to 250 rushing yards they are just 1-3 ATS the past three seasons and 3-14 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-5 ATS for 83.3% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season and is a bowl team from prior season who lost their last two games, but still had a winning record last season. Take Georgia Tech.

25* graded play on Southern Methodist University as they take on Baylor set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will lose this game by eight or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Further projections shows a better than 90% probability that the Mustangs will score 28 or more points. In past games where they scored 28 or more points 42-18 ATS since 1992 and 9-4 ATS over the past three seasons. Another projection shows that SUM will average between 7.5 to 8.0 net passing yards per attempt. In past games achieving this range of passing, SMU is 15-4 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-3 ATS for 89% winners since 1992. Any team in the first week of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight spread covers and is a team that had a good record last season winning between 60% to 80% of their games playing a team that had a winning record. This system has gone a remarkable 15-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. Take SMU

15* graded play on Toledo as they take on Arizona set to start at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Toledo will lose this game by 10 or fewer games. Arizona has a new coach, but I do not see this team making great strides this season. Moreover, thy have been huge money briners when installed as a double digit favorite. Arizona is just 2-12 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992. The si also shows a high probability exceeding 90% that Toledo will score 28 or more points. In past games, Toledo is a solid 68-21 ATS when scoring 28 or more points in games played since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 21-6 using the money line for 78% winners and has made 18.5 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play on road teams using the money line in the first week of the season after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins and is a team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. Take Toledo.

15* graded play on Rutger as they take on Tulane set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rugers will win this game by 21 or more points. The Rutgers defense matches up very well against the Tulane. The sim shows a high probability that they will hold them to 5.0 or fewer net passing yards per attempt made. In past games Rutgers is a perfect 4-0 ATS spanning the last three seasons and 27-5 ATS since 1992 when they allowed five or fewer yards per pass attempts. The sim also projects that Rutgers will score 28 or more points. In past games, Rutgers is 54-18 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-2 ATS since 2002. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points and is a good team from last season outscored opponents by seven or more points per game and with 8 defensive starters returning. This system is 12-0 ATS over the past five seasons. Take Rutgers.

25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Miami (Fla) in ACC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that BC will win this game. If the line does move to three points from its

15* graded play on Boise State as they take on Michigan State in game featuring two hihgly ranked team squaring off for their opening game of the season. The simulator shows a high probability that Boise State will lose this game by five or fewer points and has a very realistic opportunity to proven they belong in the Top-10 nationally with an impressive road win. There has been much talk about key personnel that BS lost starting with their quarterback and how MSU is set to go after the Big-Ten Title and to a BCS bowl game. The line more than reflects this fact and in my opinion based on the simulator projections has overshot it by at least six points. BS has been very well prepared at the start of their last four seasons where they have gone 50-3 SU and are 8-0 ATS in road tilts the first half of the season spanning the last three seasons. Even the home field advantage that Boise enjoys and that he artifical turf color is Sky Blue has been used against them. However, head coach Peterson is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-3 ATS for 89% winners since 1992. Play against any team in the first week of the season after closing out last season with three or more straight spread winners and is a team that had a good record winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a team that had a winning record. Boise take this one.

25* graded play on Vanderbilt as they host South Carolina in the first regular season game and SEC opener for both teams. Football is finally here and this one of the many great matchups for Week 1 of the College Football card. Vanderbilt took a step forward with their football program in 2011. This is arguably one of the best teams Gamecocks head coach Steve Spurrier has had to coach and they are expected to contend in the SEC. Still, this is a sever road test for a Week 1 matchup that will be telecvised nationally with Vanderbilt plenty to prove.

Vanderbilt returns eight starters on offense and seven on defense. Of these eight starters, they have their three best athletes in quarterback Jordan Rodgers, running back Zac Stacy, and playmaking wide receiver Jordan Matthews returning. They did lose key personnel on a defensive unit that ranked 18th in the FBS allowing an average of 323 total yards per game and 29th allowing just 21.6 points per game. Keep in mind these stats were attained the SEC conference.

South Carolina returns seven starters on offense led by quarterback Conner Shaw, but their defense will struggle early on this season with just five starters returning. Spurrier is one of the best offensive minds in the game and he will be leaning on Shaw to improve on his already strong numbers from last season. Shaw had a great second half to the 2011 season completing 66% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He is also a threat to run the ball scoring eight rushing touchdowns over this span. However, I do believe that the Commodores defense will be able to contain him and to force him into mistakes creating opportunities for turnovers.

Simulator Projections and Supporting System
Vanderbilt will look to run the ball first, which in turn will set up the play action pass plays. The simulator shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a solid money line system that has gone 86-103 for just 46% winners, but has made a whopping 71 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play on dogs of +155 to +300 using the money line with five or more more defensive starters returning than opponent in games played in the first month of the season. Team chemistry is a vital ingredient for teams looking to get out to fast undefeated starts and in this case Vanderbilt has that advantage and has a great shot at producing the first significant upset of the CFB season.

30* graded play on New England as they take on the New York Giants in the Super iBowl set to start at 6:29 PM ET, Sunday, February 5, 2012. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that NE will win this game by four or more points. Supporting this graded play is a Money Line system that has produced a record of 22-5 mark for 82% winners since 2001. Play on any team using the money line revenging a loss against opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more points and with a winning record on the season. This system is also 4-1 making 2.5 units per one unit wagered spanning the past three seasons. Here are some game situations supporting NE and then I will present he matchups showing NE to have a major advantage in this game. NE is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when facing excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards per game after 8 or more games since 1992. Giants defense was gashed last week by the 49ers and are just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last two seasons; Patriots 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) revenging a same season loss against opponent since 1992.
The media is completely focused on the hot Giants and the fact that they have 21 players from their 2008 Super Bowl winning team. Do not get caught up with evaluating playoff experience or how first time Patriots players will handle the big-game hype. Belichick and Brady are making their fifth Super Bowl appearance and have the most playoff wins as a head coach/quarterback tandem in NFL history. This leadership will transcend the entire team. The Giants defensive front has done very well down the stretch in the Giants

30* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the New York Giants set to start at 6:30 PM ET in the NFC Championship game. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game by four or more points. Tne sim shows that the No.1 ranked rushing defense of the 49ers will match or better their season average of allowing 75 rushing yards per game. In other words, the Giants will not have a running game and without the running game, the Giants cannot exploit play action pass routes that have been common place in their four game winning streak. In past games where the 49ers have held an opponent to fewer than 75 rushing yards, the 49ers are 6-1 ATS this season, 13-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 71-30 ATS since 1992. In past games where the Giants have not gained more than 75 rushing yards they are a miserable 1-5 ATS this season, 1-9 ATS the past three seasons, and 12-50 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-16 ATS for 73% winners since 2006. Play on any team after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games facing an opponent after a win by 10 or more points. Of the 60 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 23 of the 44 wins, covered the spread by seven or more points. For money line players you will love the following two systems and I have no problem if you consider splitting the bet between a 23* amount on the point spread and a 78 play using the money line. The first system has gone 41-5 making 32.1 units for 89% winners since 2001. Play on home teams using the money line that are quick starting teams outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG in the first half and after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. The second system has gone 39-6 for 87% winners since 2006. Play on dogs using the money line after scoring 30 points or more last game and now facing an opponent after scoring 35 points or more last game. Take the 49ers.

Here are some prop bets for this game based on the simulator projections.
3* amount that SF will score the first touchdown laying -150.
3*

15* graded play on the Houston Texans as they take on the Baltimore Ravens set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The winner of this game gets the unenviable task of traveling to to face the New England Patriots next week in Foxborough. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Houston will lose this game by seven or fewer points. I also like a combination bet of taking a 10* amount using the point spread and then a 5* play on the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 38-11 for 78% winners since 2001. Play on road teams revenging a loss against opponent and both teams are elite teams winning between 60% to 75% of their game on the season. Houston is playing with revenge having lost to the Ravens 29-14 and failed to cover as 6

30* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the New Orleans Saints set to start at 4:30 January 14, 2012. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that San Francisco will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent opportunity to win this game and advance to the NFC Championship game. New Orleans posted a 5-3 road record with a 4-4 ATS mark away from the Superdome in 2011, but none of the straight up wins seemed easy and many required late come from behind heroics by Brees. The Saints rallied from a deficit to beat lowly Carolina 30-27 and failed to cover as 6

15* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons as they take on the New York Giants in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 51-22 ATS for 70% winners since 1983. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that is not a strong defensive team allowing >=370 yards per game and now facing an average defensive team allowing 295 to 335 yards per game. A key to this game is that the two-headed running monster consisting of Bradshaw and Jacobs is not at 100%. Bradshaw is probable for today

15* graded play on Detroit as they take on New Orleans in the Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a reasonable opportunity to pull off the major shocking upset. With that said I would recommend adding a 4* amount to this play using the Detroit on the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29=9 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play against any team off a home win by 10 points or more and now facing an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. Here is a second proven system that has gone 40-15 ATS for 73% winners since 2005. Play on any team revenging a loss against opponent and after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. Of the 55 plays made based on the criteria of this system 24 of them or 44% have covered the spread by seven or more points. This fact serves to reinforce my belief that this is a game that Detroit can cover and possibly win. The most amazing part of this game, is that we have TWO 5,000 yards quarterbacks going head-to-head and the spread is double digits. Moreover, the addition of Calvin Johnson to the Detroit passing aerial attack will make it very difficult for the Saints to double team him or even bracket him without exposing themselves to several areas on the field. I am concerned about Lions CB Alphonso Smith and his ability cover in man situations outside the numbers. I do believe though that you will see him using an inside lean giving him the jump on many

30* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Kansas State in the Cotton Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-10 ATS for 77% winners since 2005. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. There are several game situations that under score the strength of this play. Arkansas is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Of the following historical situations the simulator shows a very high probability that Arkansas will meet or exceed these conditions. Arkansas is 8-1 ATS when they allow 14 to 21 points in a game spanning the past three seasons; 14-4 ATS when they gain nine or more net passing yards per attempt; 8-2 when they have rushed for 100 to 150 yards spanning the past three seasons; 20-7 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points in a game spanning the last three seasons and 7-3 ATS this season; 5-1 ATS this season, 15-5 ATS the past three seasons when they have gained 6.5 or more total yards per play. Arkansas ranks 13th in the FBS gaining 308 passing yards per game, 78th gaining 138 rushing yards per game, and 14th scoring 37.4 points per game. The defense is better than their 38th ranking of allowing 22.8 points per game. Arkansas junior quarterback Tyler Wilson is 6-3 and 220 pounds and has become a mature and elite passer of the football. He has connected on 63.1% of his 407 pass attempts for 3422 passing yards, 22 touch downs and just six interceptions. This adds up to a solid 148 passer rating. Jarius Wright is the elite senior receiver with 63 receptions and 1029 yards gained and 11 touchdowns. The Warren, AR native is 5-10 and 180 pounds, but is lightning quick and his first step in cuts immediately creates space against the best back in the nation. K-State will be forced to use bracket coverage against him and once Wright sees this, they will go to slant and crossing routes in the vacant middle part of the field. I believe Wright could easily have 10 or more catches in this game. Perhaps the biggest problem facing the K-State defense is how to defend junior TE Chris Gregg, who had 40 catches and 492 yards for a 12.3 yards per catch average. Moreover, he gained 12.1 yards per catch against AP ranked teams and he will a menace for the K-State linebackers to cover in space. Take Arkansas.

15* graded play on West Virginia as they take on Clemson set to start at 8:30 PM ET in the Orange Bowl. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WVU will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 41-18 for 70% winners since 1992. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This system has gone a perfect 3-0 against the money line this season. You will see and enjoy one of the most under rated quarterbacks in all of college football. Geno Smith is 6-3 and 214 pounds and has transformed a dominant run based program into nam aerial attack that has drove defensive coordinators out of their minds. The quality that stands out most on tape, though, is Smith's poise. He can hang in the pocket, remain oblivious to the rush and deliver an accurate throw while taking a hit. With more than a month of preparation, the entire offensive unit will perform at a very high level. Their offensive line had suffered injuries and

25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Michigan will win this game by four or more points. Sim shows a very high probability that Michigan will score 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 8-2 ATS this season and 83-38 ATS since 1992. When the Hokies have allowed 28 or more points they are 0-2 ATS this season, 2-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-40 ATS since 1992. Michigan is back to their rich tradition of power football on both sides of the ball. They rank 87th in the FBS gaining 187 passing yards per game, 12th gaining 236 rushing yards per game, and 22nd scoring 34.2 [points per game. Defensively they rank 17th allowing 189 passing yards per game, 32nd allowing 129 rushing yards per game, and are seventh in scoring defense allowing just 17.2 points per game. Virginia Tech has a similar brand of football, but not as strong in the rankings as Michigan. The Hokies rank 63rd in the BCS gaining 227 passing yards per game, 30th gaining 189 rushing yards per game, and 53rd scoring 28.5 points per game. Defensively, they rank 38th allowing 206 passing yards per game, 15th allowing 108 rushing yards per game, and eighth in scoring defense allowing 17.2 points per game. In games where both teams played a similar strength of schedule the team rankings can be compared in a meaningful manner. However, Michigan has played a more difficult schedule than Virginia Tech and this skews the team rankings. In order to make them equal I factor in a strength of schedule quotient that is mathematically applied to the team rankings. On a 0-100 scaling with 100 representing a schedule where No. 1 LSU would play themselves 12 straight games since they are ranked No. 1 in the nation, Michigan comes in with a 75 score while Virginia Tech scores at 65 based on strength of schedule. So, this widens the statistical strength of the team rankings more in favor of the Wolverines. I especially, think that the Michigan defense is superior in all positions to Virginia Tech

15* graded play

25* graded play on Florida as they take on Ohio State in the Gator Bowl set to start at 1:00 PM ET., January 2, 2012. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Florida will win this game. The key projection is that Florida will score more than 28 points in this game. In past games where Florida has scored 28 or more points they are 4-1 ATS this season, 17-4 ATS the past three seasons and 111-42 ATS since 1992. Ohio State got away with poor defensive play this season, but no team can continue to play erratic defense and still win games against elite teams. When Ohio State has allowed 28 or more points, they are 3-0 ATS this season, but 9-23 ATS since 1992. I strongly believe that is is a fluke that OSU (or any team) can go 3-0 ATS given up 29 or more points.Florida started off with four tsriaght wins and covers , but then went 2-6 SU and lost eight straight ATS the remainder of the season. The losing ATS streak does not mean that Florida is simple DUE to win, but it does show an adjustment of the line to an extreme that now favors Florida. I know I am in the minority stating that Florida will control the LOS in this game. The Gators have had more than a month of preparation and Ohio State has not played against a team with the speed and athleticism that Florida has on both sides of the ball. Ohio State will look to pound the ball and can use 252-pound FB Zach oBran for those plays. However, Florida has a vastly under rated nose tackle in Jaye Howard, who will mandate double team from OSU

25* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the NY Giants. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator show a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than three points. Honestly, if I am right on this play it will be like so many of the past dogs plays that have won SU. Utah won as a skinny dog yesterday over GT and although to different brands and styles of football this game shapes up much the same way. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-5 for 85% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game facing opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in last game. Of the 33 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 21 of them or 84% covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is 19-2 ATS for 90.4% winners over the past three seasons. I will make it simple. Dallas will run the ball and run the ball very well in this game. The sim shows a high probability that Dallas will gain between 125 and 150 rushing yards. Dallas and Tony Room are at their absolute best when they have the power running game working as this sets up the play action pass allowing Romo to survey the field. Moreover, it also allows Romo to extend the play and this will put even greater stress on a very weak Giants secondary. Take Dallas.

25* graded play on Utah as they take on Georgia Tech in the Hyundai Sun Bowl set to start at 2:00 PM ET December 31, 2011. Happy New Year! My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game. There is no advantage, however in playing the money line, or making a combination bet with the point spread and the money line. Utah

15* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Northwestern in the Menace Car Care Bowl set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by a minimum of 11 points. The simulator further shows that Texas A&M will gain better than 500 total offensive yards and will average 6.5 or more yards per play. In past games where Northwestern allowed these levels of offensive prowess they have posted an 0-1 ATS mark this season, 1-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 15-33 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 6.5 yards per play; 2-4 ATS this season, 3-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 19-38 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 6.5 or more yards per play. Texas A&M has posted a 3-1 ATS mark this season, 10-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 40-12 ATS since 1992 when they have gained 6.5 yards per play in past games. Texas A&M is getting some great news with their leading running back Cyrus Gray upgraded to probable for this bowl game. He is 5-10 and 200 pounds and has that rare combination of elite quickness and dominating power. He is playing his last game as an Aggie, being a senior, and I believe will be a strong player on Sundays. The Aggie offensive line has a significant advantage against the undersized Northwestern defensive front. Texas A&M runs one of the best balanced offenses in the country and this will be nearly impossible for the Wildcats to defend. If Northwestern has to bring a safety to help stop the running game, then the play action pass will lead to big gain plays and scores. Take Texas A&M.

15 * graded play on Iowa State as they take on Rutgers in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium starting at 3:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will win this game. Iowa State has played a vastly tougher schedule and based on those performances they are the superior team on both sides of the ball. Moreover, the Big east is a vastly weaker conference and the fact is that Big East teams are an imperfect 0-5 ATS when facing a non-conference foe off a SU loss this season. I feel strongly that Rutgers will have trouble moving the ball against the Iowa State defense. This is reinforced by the sim projections showing that Rutgers will gain just 4.0 to 4.5 yards per play. In past games where Iowa State has allowed this range of offensive output they are 16-5 ATS since 1992 and 3-0 ATS over the past three seasons. The sim shows that Rutgers will have at least three turnovers - a rare projection with a high probability. In past games where Iowa State has forced three turnovers they are 6-1 ATS over the past three seasons. Take Iowa State

25* graded play on Washington as they take on Baylor in the Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. I also recommend a combination bet playing 21* getting the points and then a 4* amount using the Money Line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than nine points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-34 using the money line and has made an incredible 48.4 units per one unit wagered since 1992. The average play has been a plus 285 DOG play. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that is a solid team outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards per game and after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game. Sim shows a high probability that Washington will score 28 or more points in this game and will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. In past games where Washington has scored 28 or more points they are 7-1 ATS this season, 14-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 7-34 ATS since 1992. When they gain 6.5 or more yards per play they have posted a 5-1 ATS mark this season, 10-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 26-11 ATS since 1992. In past games where Baylor has allowed 28 or more points they are 5-4 ATS this season, 6-16 ATS the past three season, 41-93 ATS since 1992. When they also 6.5 or more yards per lay they are 3-3 ATS this season, 2-8 ATS the past three seasons, and 17-47 ATS since 1992. This Baylor team is a strong one, but I refer back to my 25* CFB Game of the Year winner where Kansas installed as a 24 point dog tool Baylor to OT and it took a heroic comeback by RG3 to just get the game into overtime. Steve Sarkisian is an excellent preparing of his football team when having more than one week to prepare posting a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Washington quarterback Price is the healthiest he has been than at any time over the last three months. He has a very strong and accurate arm and he has the weapons to assault the Baylor secondary. The best weapon and the one I see as a complete mismatch is with Baylor

15* graded play on Florida State as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 5:30 PM ET in the Florida Citrus Bowl. During the preseason many analysts, including myself, were thinking that this matchup would be a BCS Bowl game. However, both teams have modestly under performed expectations with each team sporting 8-4 records. As is always the case in South Bend, anything short of a BCS bowl game is considered a mediocre season. FSU is on the rise and have had two strong recruiting classes since the transition from the legend Bobby Bowden to Jimbo Fisher. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by four or more points. Seminoles rank fourth in the FBS allowing just 15.2 points per game, 19th allowing 193 passing yards per game, and second allowing 82 rushing yards per game. Kelly is just 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus excellent defensive teams allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992. No doubt, I see FSU defensive front dominating the Notre Dame offensive line and blowing up plays that take more than 2.5 seconds to be attempted. Notre Dame has issues with quarter as Tommy Rees just never earned the starting job this season. Problem is that he does not make good reads and not near quick enough. Coach kelly will be forced to use quick three step drops and then this allows FSU to jump routes. I would not be surprised to see FSU with a pick-6 in this game. The FSU rotates four positions and are able to stay completely fresh long into the fourth quarter and this group will wear down the offensive line. Take The Seminoles.

25* graded play on Texas as the take on California set to start at 8:00 PM ET in the Holiday Bowl. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by four or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-12 ATS for 73% winners since 2005. Play against any team off a big road win scoring 38 or more points with the game taking place in the second half of the season including bowl games. 22 of these plats made based on the criteria of the system, or 49%, covered the spread by seven or more points.
The Texas defense ranks 14th in the nation overall and was first in the Big-12. They were lit up in their last game, but by Heisman Trophy winner RG3 (Robert Griffin III). I think that game simply an aberration and Texas will have had weeks to prepare for a solid California offensive attack. Cal is led by quarterback Zack Maynard and running back Iso Safely, who were largely responsible for the team winning three of the last four games this season. Their offensive scheme will look to take what the Texas defense will give them, which will be underneath routes, slants, and drags. Texas will play a base cover-2 and not allow any deep vertical routes to get behind them. Mack Brown believes the Texas running game will get back to the strength shown in mid -season with the return of many players that were out due to injury. He has them working very hard and will have three straight days of intense strenuous practices Sunday through Tuesday December 20. They will then back off steadily as the bowl game approaches and this shows how serious Mack Brown is to finish the season with a bowl win. I do expect Texas to establish the run and use more varied formations and misdirection running plays looking to get a quick Cal defense out of their gap disciplines. The return of a healthy Malcolm Brown will be key to this execution. The last four weeks of the season, Texas played without many of their offensive weapons. Running back Jaxson Shipley was out for three straight games and returned wearing a knee brace that limited his agility, but he played in pain nonetheless. Fozz Whittaker was lost for the season in a horrific ACL knee injury against Missouri. Freshman Joe Bergeron played well in their absence gaining 327 yards in wins over Texas Tech and Kansas, but then fell to a hamstring injury limiting him to just nine more carries the rest of the regular season.
With all, but Whittaker back in the stable of Texas running backs. The Longhorns will have a strong running game. They then can use play action to attack the seems and the middle of the field with ball control-type pass routes. This will end up being a game of field position.Game situations favor Texas in this game too noting that Cal head coach Tedford is a miserable 4-13 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. Mack Brown is a solid 22-9 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of Texas. Moreover, Cal is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas as second TOP RATED 25* Titan winner.

Merry Christmas! 15* graded play on the Chicago Bears as they take not he Green Bay Packers set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Bears will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. Green Bay

25* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the Eagles set to start at 4:15 PM ET. As we know right now, if the Giants win at 1:00 PM ET, the Eagle playoff hopes are done. Now, this play grades as 25* regardless of the result of the Giants game, but I believe if the Giants win this line will move to possibly as high as three points. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by three or more points. They are also playing with some significant revenge from their horrid 34-7 loss in Philadelphia. The sim shows a high probability that Dallas will gain six or more yards per play in this game. In past games where the Eagles defense has allowed six or more yards per play they are 0-4 ATS this season and 3-11 ATS the past three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-8 ATS for 79% winners since 2000. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game and with the game taking place after the first month of the season. The Eagles

15* graded play on the New York Giants as they take on the New York Jets in a critical game for both teams

15* graded play on the Patriots as they host the Dolphins in an AFC East matchup set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Patriots are playing for something and that is enough to have them focused as if this was a playoff game. The Patriots have a strong history of taking care of business against inferior opponents. The Dolphins have had a very nice run, but it is going to abruptly stop here in Foxborough. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-10 ATS for 77% winners since 1983. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that is an elite passing team with a completion percentage of 64% or better and after gaining 8 or more passing yards per attempt in two straight games. 24 of these plays of 56% of them have covered the spread by seven or more points. Key to this game is that the Patriots will be able to run the ball as Miami defense has to respect the arial attack of the Patriots. Sim shows a high probability that Patriots will gain between 125 and 150 rushing yards in this game. In past games achieving this level of running prowess they are 2-0 ATS this season, 7-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 40-17 ATS since 1992. Take the Patriots.

15* graded play on the Houston Texans as they take on the Colts in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that Houston will allow 15 to 21 points by the Colts, and will rush for more than 125 yards. In past games where they have allowed 15 to 21points the Texans are a solid 1-0 ATS this season, 5-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 23-7 ATS since 1992. In past games where Houston has rushed the ball for more than 125 yards they are 6-1 ATS this season, 11-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 21-5 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-6 ATS for 80% winners since 1983. Play against dogs or pick after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games when playing on a Thursday. The day of the week for this system is critical as it reflects the difficulty of preparing for a short week and being a losing team. This system has gone 8-1 ATS over the past three seasons. Houston is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992. Colts may have won a game last week and that is all well and good. However, they have been terrible stopping the run with a vastly undersized defensive front seven and and Houston has the best power running game in the NFL. Philadelphia and Denver rank ahead of them in rushing yards per game, but that is only because those teams have scrambling quarterbacks and designed quarterback run plays. Houston used Foster and Tate to dismantle defenses. This is a huge game for the Texans and they need to establish the line of scrimmage dominance at the start of the game. I strongly believe that both Foster and Tate may have 100 yards rushing each. Take Houston.

25* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they host the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 8:30 PM ET. 0 My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game by four or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-5 for 85% winners since 1983. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6 points or less last game facing an opponent after a loss by three or less points. Steelers are coming off an uneventful 14-3 win over Cleveland and failed to cover the 14 point spread. The 49ers are coming off a 21-19 loss to Arizona and failed to cover as three point road favorites. The 49ers are in the midst of a perfect 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last three seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after one or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last three seasons. In recent weeks the 49ers have opened up the offense and are extending defenses with more vertical routes. Moreover, they still rank best in the NFL in both red zone defense and have forced 33 turnovers. Steelers, despite their reputation, have forced just 14 turnovers. I strongly believe that the 49ers will force more turnovers than the Steelers tonight and that will have a major impact on the 49ers winning this game. The 49ers wide receivers, Crabtree, Ginn, Williams, and Edwards, run the best and most complete routes in the NFL. None of them take a play off and for that reason alone will put pressure on the suspect back-end of the Steelers defense. I strongly believe you will see the 49ers attack the back-end of the secondary with vertical routes early in this game and even if the fail to be completed, it will open up the running lanes for Gore to have bigger running gains. The sim shows that the Steelers will not gain more than 100 rushing yards. In past games where the 49ers have held opponents to between 75 and 100 rushing yards, they are 3-0 ATS this season and 10-2 ATS the past three seasons. Take the 49ers.

15* graded play on the New York Giants as they host the Washington Redskins set to start at 1:00 PM ET. Dallas won easily Saturday night as a 15* Titan winner and I expect a similar score and result for this game. Giants know if they win out they are in the playoffs and will have won the NFC East crown. Same can be said for the Jets, but ht problem for both teams is that play each other next week. So, with that very difficult assignment on deck and then the Cowboys on the last game of the regular season, the coifs to win this game will be strong. On another note, keep an eye on the Eagles/Jets game set to start at 4:15 PM ET today. A Giant win, will eliminate the Eagles from playoff contention and could even have Vick and some other banged up starters taken out of the game. The total in that game could move as well too. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Giants will win this game by nine or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 40-13 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play on any team revenging a loss against opponent and after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. Of the 53 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 24 of them or 46% have covered the spread by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that Giants will gain more than eight passing yards per attempt. In past games when achieving this level of passing efficiency they are 36-12 ATS since 1992. Giants defense has given up a ton of points recently, but as much criticism as head coach Coughlin takes on in the NY media, he is a solid 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. Take the Giants.

25* graded play on UL-Lafayette as they take on San Diego State in the New Orleans Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET, December 17, 2011. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LA-Lafayette (LAL) will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a record of 38-35 for 52.1% winners, but has made a whopping 41.2 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play against favorites of -175 to -400 using the money line off 1 or more straight

15* graded play on the Dallas Cowboys as they take on the Tamp Bay Bucs set to start at 8:20 Saturday night. If the JAX Jaguars can score 41 points on the Bucs, how many can a playoff contending team score? Of course, this deduction has not valid extrapolation, but clearly Dallas is the vastly better team and one that is now play for their playoff lives. The Cowboys know the Giants will have their hands full the next two weeks having to face the Redskins and then the Jets, so if Dallas can take care of their end and win the last three games they will make the playoffs. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by nine or more points. The sim shows a very high probability that Dallas will score 28 or more points in this game and Dallas is a solid 77-19 ATS in this role since 1992. Many other

15* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on the Atlanta Falcons set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 31-9 ATS for 78% winners since 1983. Play on dogs of 10.5 or more points getting outgained by opponent by 40 or more passing yards per game on the season and after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. This system has gone 7-1 ATS for 88% winners spanning the past three seasons. Of the 40 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 20 of them or 50%, covered the spread by seven or more points. A change in coaching positions had an immediate impact on the Jaguars with last week

25* graded play on Dallas as they take on the New York Giants set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by seven or more points. I also like a 10* additional play on Dallas using the Money Line and a 15*

15* graded play on Cleveland as they take on the Steelers set to start at 8:20 PM ET. I also have a 10* graded play

25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on San Diego set to start at 8:20 PM ET. Sd is a team in a greater mess than the Philadelphia Eagles right now. There is no chemistry and the team knows they have essentially no chance to get to the playoffs even if they win out. Simply, JAX runs the ball well and SD has been largely inconsistent defending the run. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that JAX will lose this game by less than three points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 83-39 ATS for 68% winners since 1983. Play home dogs or pick in the month of December and after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Of the 122 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 46 of them or 39% have covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone 25-7 ATS for 78.3% ATS winners over the past five seasons. Despite having one of the worst offenses in the NFL, head coach Norv Turner is just 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games facing struggling offensive teams scoring 14 or less points per game in all games he has coached since 1992. Now, here is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a 55-21 recored and has posted a 9-0 mark this season making 11.5 units per on unit wagered. Play against road teams using the money line and is a solid passing team gaining between 6.7 to 7.3 passing yards per attempt and now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 passing yards per attempt. Take Jacksonville.

15* graded play on the Giants as they host the Green Bay Packers set to start at 4:15 PM ET. Plus, a 10* play

15* graded play on the Washington Redskins as they take on the Jets set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Washington will win this game. I

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they tame on Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship game. This marks the second time in as many weeks that I have released a 25* Titan play on Wisconsin. In my opinion, they are one of the best teams in the nation right now and actually would be a formidable opponent for any of the Top-5 BCS teams. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-9 ATS for 78% winners since 2005. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are off two straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. Equally impressive is the fact that of the 41 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 27 of them or 64%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my belief that this will turn into another Badger blowout win. My 25* Titan last week saw Wisconsin destroy Penn State 45-7 and this puts the Badgers into another strong system. This system has gone 63-28 ATS for 69% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games that are off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival. If we throw out the betting line range to include all teams the results improve to 37-12 for 76% winners. The sim shows a very high probability that the Badgers will score more than 28 points. In past games where the Spartan defense has allowed 28 or more points they have posted a 1-1 ATS record this season, 2-10 ATS mark the past three seasons, and 23-68 ATS since 1992. Wisconsin is also playing with revenge having lost to the Spartans 37-31 and were installed as seven point favorites October 22. Badgers quarterback Russell Wilson had his worst game the season that day. He has thrown just three interceptions on the season and two of them occurred against the Spartans. The one interception just sailed on him and the second was trying to make a forced throw and get his Badgers into scoring position trailing in the second half. He is a vast student of the game and those mistakes will not be made this time around. Moreover, I do not see MSU having the run stop success they enjoyed in the first game. There are few teams in the nation right now that can stop the Badger pounding running game between the tackles led by Montee Ball. By forcing the MSU linebackers to squeeze toward the tackles for run support will set up

15 * graded play on Clemson as they take on Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship game set to start 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Clemson will lose this game by six or fewer points. The sim shows a high probability that Clemson will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where the Hokies have allowed 28 or more points they are 0-1 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-39 ATS since 1992. In past games where Clemson has scored 28 or more points they are 6-2 ATS this season, 13-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 67-28 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Clemson is 13-1 against the money line (+12.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 86-45 for 66% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. Take Clemson.

15* graded play on Colorado State as they take on Wyoming set to start at 2:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Colorado State will lose this game by five or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 2000. Play against a road team off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog and is a solid team that is winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Of the 39 plays made based on the criteria of the system, 22 of them or 54%, have covered the spread by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that CSU will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Wyoming has allowed 28 or more points they have gone 2-3 ATS this season, 6-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 33-71 since 1992. Wyoming was dominated last week in 36-14 loss to Boise State, but did cover the 32 point dog line. However, they are just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992. Take Colorado State

15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Oregon in the first-ever Pac-12 Conference Championship game. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by 31 or fewer points. This is just two many points given that I am confident that UCLA will get a strong running game established early in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-16 for 73% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs of 21.5 or more points after scoring 9 points or less last game and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. Of the 59 plays made by the criteria of this system 28 of them or 49%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second unique system that ash gone 55-24 ATS for 70% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival and with 6 or more total starters returning than opponent. Of the 79 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 36 of them or 45%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that UCLA will rush for 150 to 200 rushing yards. In past games where Oregon has allowed this range of rushing yards they are 0-2 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-27 ATS since 1992. Take UCLA

25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Philadelphia set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game. I also like a 5* teaser using Seattle and the

25* graded play on the Giants as they take on the Saints in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. I also like using a 21* bet with the points and a 4* bet using the money line taking advantage of the potential for a Giants win. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Giants will lose this game by fewer than seven points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 24-6 ATS mark for 80% winners since 1983. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. Of the 30 plays made based on the specific criteria of this system, 15 of them or 50%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone an impressive 11-2 ATS for 85% winners spanning the past five seasons. Here is a second system that has gone 35-12 ATS for 75% winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite an is a marginal winning team posting a 51% to 60% win percentage and now playing a winning team. This system has gone 10-2 ATS for 83% winners over the past 10 seasons. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that Saints are just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a win by 3 or less points since 1992. Coughlin is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games facing good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better. Th Saints have used Roman Harper, who is the SS, for max pressure efforts and he has gotten an impressive 6

25* graded play on Kansas City as they host Pittsburgh in Sunday Night Football set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that KC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. I also like a combination bet of KC plus the points for 21* and a 4* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 54-24 record for 69% winners since 1983. Play against road favorites that are excellent offensive team gaining >=370 YPG) facing a struggling defense allowing 335 to 370 YPG after 8 or more game of the regular season have been played. This system has produced a 12-1 ATS record spanning the past three years. Roethislisberger will be playing based on the latest injury reports. This fracture on his thumb is on his throwing hand and I have never been convinced that any quarterback can perform at even at 75% with this type of injury. Try hold a football with sun tan oil all over your thumb and you will get a feel for what it will be like for him tonight. The Steelers have been a pass first offense and the inability to establish the run will make matter even more difficult for the Steelers. The Chiefs Derrick Johnson is having a great year and played exceptionally well in the Patriots loss Sunday. He will have big advantages against the Steelers Mendenhall and Miller in coverage and run stop. I also believe Dexter McCluster will have a big day and makes for an easy target for quarterback Palko to hit. Using quick three step drops and hitting ball control pass routes has been highly effective against the Steelers defense. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that the Steelers are just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. KC is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons. Take the Kansas City Chiefs.

15* graded play on New England as they take on the Eagles set to start at 4;15 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that New England will win this game and essentially end the Philadelphia 'Dream Team' playoff hunt. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 26-2 record for 93% winners using the Money Line since 2000. Play on favorites using the money line and is a very good team posting a scoring differential of >=+7 PPG and now facing an average team posting a scoring differential of +/- 3 PPG and after 8 or more games and after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. This system requires several criteria to be me, but they all under score the simple fact that New England is the superior team on both sides of the ball. Yes, it is fact that the Eagles defense stepped up big in last week's critical win over the Giants and it over shadowed greater problems with the discontent of DeSean Jackson and also Young's three interceptions. The sim shows a high probability that the Patriots will gain 6.0 or more yards per play. In past games where the Patriots have attained that level of performance they have posted a 5-2 ATS mark this season, 16-6 ATS mark the past three seasons, and 52-20 ATS mark since 1992. Further, the sim shows a high probability that the Patriots will gain 7.5 to 8.0 yards per pass attempt. In past games where the Patriots have gained this level of passing they have posted a 17-4 ATS mark spanning the past five seasons. Belichick is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a bad team posting a win percentage of 25% to 40% in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992. Take New England and make sure you join Ryan for his Top Rated 25* Titan play going Sunday Night. He has easily won his last TWO 25* Titans with LSU Friday and then Wisconsin Saturday.

15* graded play on UL-Lafayette as they take on Arizona set to start at 4:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that UL Lafayette will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. Arizona has had a disappointing season and their defense has been shredded by many teams. LAL has done well against 'giving' defenses posting a 7-0 ATS in road games facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse over the last three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 34-9 ATS mark for 79% winners since 1992. This system has also produced a perfect 8-0 ATS spanning the past five seasons. Play on road dogs that are poor rushing team gaining 100 to 140 rushing yards per game and now facing an average rushing defense allowing 140 to 190 rushing yards per game and after 7 or more games and a game involving two non-conference foes. The sim projects that Arizona will have at least three turnovers in this game; not surprising for a poor record team. In past games where LAL has forced three or more turnovers in a game they are 4-1 ATS this season and 6-1 ATS the past three seasons. I stronly believe this game will go down to the wire. Take LA-Lafayette.

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they host Penn State starting at 3:30 PM ET. The winner of this game will play in the Big Ten Championship next week. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 15 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 30-6 ATS mark for 83% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Of the 36 plays ,made based on the criteria of this system, 21 of them or 58%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone an amazing 17-1 ATS over the past five seasons and 12-0 ATS over the past three seasons. The sim shows a high probability that Wisconsin will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Penn State has given up 28 or more points they are 1-4 ATS over the past three seasons and 8-32 ATS since 1992. The sim shows that the Wisconsin defense will do extremely well at containing the Penn State rushing attack. The Lions are projected to average just 3.5 to 4.0 rushing yards per carry. In past games where PSU has attained this range of rushing they are 0-3 ATS this season, 0-6 ATS the past three seasons and 7-22 ATS since 1992. PSU defense has played very well this season and have allowed only Alabama, who scored 27 points, and Northwestern, who scored 24 points, to score more than 20 points in a game. However, this Wisconsin offensive line is going to wear down Penn State in this game. I fully expect Wisconsin to dominate the line of scrimmage. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that Wisconsin is a solid 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1992; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games since 1992; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992. Take the Wisconsin Badgers.

25* graded play on LSU as they take on Arkansas set to start at 2:30 PM ET. As we know, the top three team sin the nation based on the BCS ranking snot only come form the same conference. But also the same WEST division of the SEC Conference. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by 14 or more points. LSU is simply going to wear down Arkansas on both sides of the ball as the game progresses. The LSU offensive line has a significant advantage in strength and size. What they do very well in the power running game, and few teams execute this any better, is that their offensive scheme forces the opposing line backers to get off of TWO blocks to get to the ball carrier. The Tigers run a ton of isolation plays out of I-formations with the fullback targeting the middle line backer. On these plays you will see the front-side guard and center will double team on of the defensive tackles and allow the fullback a clean path to the MLB. In other assignments the offensive guard will bump a defensive tackle and immediately get the to the second level and square up against an undersized line backer and then look to block a third linebacker that is converging to the hole. This too, allows the fullback to get the linebacker forcing him to get off his second block of the play. Obviously, with so many defenders constantly having to fight through two blocks is exhausting. The LSU defense is a great one. Arkansas has elite receivers that can gain separation easily and quickly, but when matchups up against the depth of the LSU corners that is all neutralized. LSU will use press coverage to disrupt the flow of the Arkansas offensive scheme and look to force receivers into route changes often. Keep a watch on LSU corner Mathieu as I strongly believe he will be going up against the Razorbacks best receiver in Joe Adams. Mathieu is one of the few in the country that can close on Adams, who is extremely quick and can get clean breaks off the line of scrimmage. If Adams impact on the game is minimized, it could be a complete blowout by half-time. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that LSU is a solid 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game this season; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game this season. The sim shows a high probability that LSU will gaining between 4.5 and 5.0 rushing yards per carry. In past games where they have achieved this offensive level they are 4-0 ATS this season, 6-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 25-8ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 28-6 ATS mark since 2000. Play against a road team after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game and facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. This system is 6-1 ATS this season. Take the LSU Tigers.

15* graded play on Tulsa as they host Houston set to start at noon ET. PM. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game. There is limited opportunity expand this wager and make it a combination bet involving the money line. My strong recommendation is stay with a 15* play getting the points. Enjoying its highest ranking in more than 21 years, No. 8 Houston seeks a single-season school-record 12th consecutive victory as it visits Tulsa on Friday with a spot in the Conference USA title game on the line. Houston's quarterback Keenum, the NCAA's career leader in passing yardage (17,855), total offense (18,771) and touchdown passes (145), broke the FBS record for completions (1,427) last Saturday, completing 30 of 45 passes for 318 yards and a TD in a 37-7 rout of SMU. The SMU game was far closer than the score ended and I believe they provided the recipe to contain the Houston attack. Very few teams in the FBS have the personnel to completely shut down the Cougar offense, but by playing a mix of underneath man/zone and bracketing the perimeter has shown to be effective. The bottom line is that the winner of this game will gain the right to play in the C-USA Championship game next week. Tulsa has a high powered attack of their own and Houston is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when facing good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games facing very good offensive teams scoring 34 or more points per game since 1992. Tulsa has done very well against the elite passing teams sporting a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) facing good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last two seasons. Moreover, Tulsa is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games spanning the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 28-6 ATS mark for 82% winners since 2000. Play against a road team after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in 2 consecutive games. Take Tulsa.

15* graded play on the Detroit Lions as they host the Green Bay Packers set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by six or fewer points and has an excellent opportunity to win this game. I would recommend adding a 3* graded play using the money line and playing Detroit. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-10 ATS for 77% winners since 1983. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going over the total by more than 28 points in their previous game and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Of the 43 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 19 of them or 43%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Moreover, this system has gone 7-2 ATS over the past five seasons. Detroit is off a shootout 49-35 win over Carolina and they themselves eclipsed on the 47

15* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Ohio University in MAC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 85-45 for 65% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. Of the 129 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 52 of them or 40% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my belief that Miami can win this game. With a win the Bobcats can get to nine wins, which has occurred just six times in school history. Even with a loss, they would then have identical records with Temple and kent State, but the Bobcats defeated both of them and as a result would win the three-team tie breaker. This is the 88th time to the two schools have competed in the Battle of the Bricks game. Although it is Senior Day, I am very concerned that Ohio may fall flat in this game knowing that are playing for the MAC Title. Miami is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 75% of their games since 1992. Take the Redhawks.

15* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Kansas City Chiefs set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 20 or more points. This marks the beginning of the Patriots run to the best record in the AFC. They will be favored in all remaining games and Philadelphia next week may put up some resistance to the Patriots goal of winning out. Belichick though is a master coach and always has his troops focused on the game at hand and never getting caught looking ahead. This is clearly a game where with good solid execution of the base offensive plays NE can be leading 21-0 in the first quarter. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 51-20 ATS for 72% winners since 1983. Play on favorites off a win against a division rival when playing on Monday night. Simple enough, effective enough, and it makes a ton of money. 34 of these plays or 49% covered the spread by seven or more points. The sim shows a high probability that New England wills core 28 or more points and this is dreadful news for KC. In past games where NE scored 28 or more points they have posted a 5-1 ATS mark this season, 19-4 ATS over the past three seasons, and 90-25 ATS since 1992. When allowing 28 or more points, KC is a wicked bad 0-3 ATS this season, 1-13 ATS the past three seasons, and 18-57 since 1992. Take New England.

25* graded play on the San Diego Chargers as they take on the Chicago Bears set to start at 4:15 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Chargers will win this game. The line is 3

15* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Cleveland set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Jacksonville will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 64-23 ATS for 74% winners since 1983. Play against home teams that are poor passing team gaining between 5.3 to 5.9 passing yards per attempt and now facing a horrible passing team gaining 5.3 per less passing yards per attempt. This system has gone 2-0 ATS this season and 37 of the 87 plays made covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 40-15 ATS for 73% winners since 1983. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost five or six out of their last seven games with the game taking place in November. This system has gone 6-1 ATS over the past three seasons and 41% of the total plays covered the spread by seven or more points. If we tweak this to losers of 6 or 7 of the past eight games the system improves to a whopping 29-7 ATS for 81% winners and has gone a perfect 9-0 ATS over the past five seasons. Here is the third system that has gone 23-5 ATS for 82% winners since 1983. Play on road teams after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games facing an opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games. 52% of the plays made covered the spread by seven or more points. Moreover, Cleveland is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games facing struggling offensive teams scoring 14 or less points per game since 1992. Take Jacksonville

25* graded play on Texas as they host Kansas State set to start 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-5 ATS for 80% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in conference tilts and are excellent offensive teams scoring >=34 points per game and now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points per game and after 7+ games have been completed in the regular season. 50% of these plays covered the spread by seven or more points. Texas is coming off a tough loss to Missouri where they were missing several key players and the rushing game suffered. Texas ranks 15th in the FBS rushing the ball. Fozzy Whittaker suffered a season-ending knee injury after tearing two ligaments in the first quarter last Saturday. Meanwhile, leading rusher Malcolm Brown (toe) and Joe Bergeron (hamstring) also missed the game. Brown is doubtful for this game and I expect Bergeron to play tonight based on public reports released Friday. Texas is very deep at running back and I am not concerned simply because the Texas offensive line has a massive advantage against K-State

15* graded play on Navy as they take on San Jose State set to start at 4:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Navy will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-10 ATS for 77% winners since 2000. This system has produced a 17-3 ATS record for 85% winners spanning the past five seasons. Play on any team after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games facing an opponent after being out rushed by 150 or more yards last game. Of the 44 plays made based on this remarkable system, 23 of them or 55% covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my strong belief that Navy will win this game by double digits. The sim shows a very high probability that Navy will gain 300 or more rushing yards in this game. In past games where they have gained 300 or more rushing yards they have gone 4- ATS this season, 11-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 56-24 ATS since 1992. The strong running attack will open easy to execute pass plays using play action. Navy may only throw the ball 10 times, but the sim shows that they will average better than 9.0 yards per attempt. In past games where Navy has attained this passing level they have gone 3-1 ATS this season, 13-5 the past three seasons, and 55-16 ATS since 1992. Take Navy.

15* graded play on NC State as they host Clemson set to start at 3:30 PM ET. It certainly looks like the BCS standings are going to be vastly different come Sunday Night with Iowa State knocking off No. 2 Oklahoma State, which was a 15* winner for us last night. This game has the strong potential to add to what will be an upset Saturday to remember for the ages. I also have a 5* graded play on Southern Cal, who I think may win SU at Oregon. Although these upsets may occur, it probably only further cements the rematch of Alabama against LSU in the BCS Championship - unless of course LSU slips up. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that NC State will lose this game by seven or fewer points. I would also recommend a 3* play using the Money line as an optional wager. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 50-19 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an opportunistic defense forcing 2.5 or more turnovers per game and after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers. Supporting the upset bid that I believe will happen in this game are a pari of MONEY LINE situations. Note that Clemson is 1-7 against the money line (-12.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NC State is a solid and impressive 10-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992; 27-11 against the money line (+20.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. Take NC State.

15* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Maryland set to start at 3:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 11 or more points. The sim shows a high probability that Wake will score 28 or more points. In past games where Wake has scored 28 or more points they are a solid 4-1 ATS this season, 8-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 46-26 ATS since 1992. Maryland has been horrible when they have allowed 28 or more points posting an 0-7 ATS mark this season, 4-15 ATS mark the past three seasons, and 25-71 ATS since 1992. The sim shows a high probability that Wake will out gain Maryland by 100 to 150 offensive yards. In this situation, the Terrapins are just 0-2 ATS this season. 1-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 3-16 ATS since 1992. Take Wake Forest.

25* graded play on Central Michigan as they take on Toledo set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that CM will lose this game by 14 or fewer points and I would recommend a 2.5* amount on the money line, if available to you. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 78-30 making 45 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 118 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 49 of them or 46%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Now, here is a remarkable money line system that has gone just 67-77 for 47% winners, but has made a whopping 67.5 units per on unit wagered since 2000. The average play has been a sizable +216 dog play. Play against road favorites using the money line after allowing 9 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game and with an experienced QB returning as starter. The simulator shows a high probability that CM will score 28 or more points and gain 6.0 to 6.5 total yards per play. In past games CM is a solid 11-3 against the money line (+10.7 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Moreover, in past games where Toledo has allowed 28 or more points they have gone 1-4 ATS this season, 5-14 ATS the past three seasons, and 20-53 ATS since 1992. In past games when CM scored 28 or more points they are 1-2 ATS this season, but 10-4 ATS the past three seasons, and a very strong 43-15 ATS since 1992. Take Central Michigan.

15* graded play on Iowa State as they take on Oklahoma State set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than 27 points. This line opened at Oklahoma State favored by 25 points and the public has bid them to as high as 27 at some books. This I just too many points and is vastly under estimated Iowa State

15* graded play on the Denver Broncos and a 3* graded play using the Money Line as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Broncos will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-8 ATS for 78% winners since 2005. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a losing team and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Of the 37 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 15 of them or 42%, have covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone 16-3 ATS for 84% winners spanning the past three seasons. Here is a second system that has geo 37-13 ATS for 74% winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick that are poor passing teams averaging 5.3 to 5.9 passing yards per attempt and now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 passing yards per attempt and after 8 or more regular season games have been played and after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. Although the criteria specific and bit complex, this combination of game factors has stood the test of 28 seasons and the evolution of the gem. These type os systems sever to under score the simulator projections and grading for the game. Jets are coming off a humiliating

15* graded play on the Denver Broncos as they take on Kansas City set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. KC is coming off a humiliating loss to then winless Miami 31-3. Note that, KC has done well after a miserable offensive game. They are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Denver head coach Fox is in a series of strong roles for this game noting that he is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game in all games he has coached since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he coached since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-8 ATS for 78% winners since 2005. 47% of all plays made based on the criteria of this system have covered the spread by seven or more points. Moreover, this system has gone 9-2 ATS for 82% winners over the past three seasons. Play against home teams after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 10 through 13. Chiefs have been dominated in the stats over the last three games and I do believe that Tebow has earned the respect of his teammates. Never forget that any NFL player, or any athlete for that matter, simply wants to win games. I do think that winning culture is beginning to take shape in Denver while KC is beginning to do some serious finger pointing. Take Denver.

15* graded play on Mississippi State as they host Alabama set to start at 7:45 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Mississippi State will lose this game by fewer than 16 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 30-8 ATS mark for 79% winners since 2005. Play against any team after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 game and is an elite team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games. Of the 38 plays made based on the criteria of this system , 20 of them or 53%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 31-10 ATS for 76% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins and after the first month of the season. 22 of these plays or 55% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing the favorable matchups that Mississippi State will enjoy in this game. They are a near perfect s 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games facing good passing defenses allowing 150 or less passing yards per game since 1992. Alabama is coming off the worst of losses and in OT to LSU last week and will find it hard to rebound against an inferior opponent. They are just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse since 1992. Take Mississippi State.

15* graded play on Georgia as they take on Auburn set to start at 3:30 Pm ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 14 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 27-7 ATS mark for 79% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games facing an opponent after a win by 35 or more points. Here is a second system that has produced a 28-10 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2005. Play on a home team that is a solid offensive team gaining 390 to 440 yards per game and now facing a team with a poor defense allowing 390 to 440 yards per game and after outgaining last opponent by 125 or more total yards. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing a very high probability that Georgia wills core 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 12-6 ATS the past three season and 80-31 ATS since 1992. Conversely, Auburn is just 1-4 ATS this season, 5-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 16-41 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points in a game. Take Georgia to the bank.

15* graded play on Texas A&M as the take on K-State set to start at 3:30 PM ET My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has produced a 65-45 making 49 units per one unit wagered since 2005. Play on a road team using the money line in conference games and with 5 or more defensive starters returning than opponent. Here is a second money line system that has gone 49-13 for 79% winners and has made 33.5 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a home team using the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards per game over their last two games facing an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This is going to be a high scoring game and A&m has a very high probability of scoring 28 or more points. First, K-State is just 2-10 ATS when the posted total is between 63 and 70 points. Moreover, in past games where A&M has scored 28 or more points they have produced a 78-35 ATS mark since 1992. K-State has gone a miserable 18-50 ASTS when allowing 28 or more points since 1992. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that K-State is just 9-23 against the money line (-21.9 Units) when facing excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992. Take Texas A&M.