Colts/Jaguars 1:00: Colts in good hands with Minshew at the controls. And now that Jonathon Taylor got his feet wet last week, he'll chime in with overachieving Moss to fuel that run game. Jaguars are a team to reckon with but could still be in a London fog after back-to-back games in the United Kingdom. Colts seeking revenge from opening day defeat at home. Today, they're much more equipped to get even. Colts' defense getting healthy as LBs Shaq Leanard and tackling machine Franklin on the field at the same time. Jacksonville's HC Pederson a money burning 1-8 ATS as a favorite vs an opponent off a SU dog win. And the Jaguars are a brutal 6-20 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins vs division opponent. Jaguars do their best work as a dog. As a favorite: 4-8 SU/3-9 ATS last 12 as chalk. Colts the call. 

Ravens/Titans 9:30: Ravens still have a bad taste in their mouths from their only London experience back in 2017 - a 44-7 waxing to Jacksonville. Baltimore claims to be more ready for today, but not so sure. They're coming off a bad performance last week at Pittsburgh. Turnovers, dropped passes (7 last week), sacks all hampering production. Beckham Jr. can no longer create separation from defensive backs. And 6 lost fumbles. That kind of production, or lack thereof, can't be cleaned up in a few days. They're facing a hungry Titans' team in a must win situation to stay competitive in their division. Hopkins is coming off a monster game and proving to be the go-to weapon Tannehill needs to compliment RB Henry and, better yet, emerging star Spears (4.9 YPC). Baltimore has historically struggled in October in these roles: 1-8 ATS off a division game vs less than .500 foe off a SU loss. And 2-14 ATS as a favorite vs less than .500 opponent off a SU loss. Tennessee the call. 

Broncos/Chiefs 8:15: Looking at the stats reveals a mismatch between these two teams. Denver's defense has been atrocious. They've allowed record numbers on the ground, and they're the lone team to allow over 2000 yards (2253) at a whopping 7.2 YPP clip! Fortunately, the offense is able to generate with Wilson. He's doing a decent job taking care of the football (11 TD/2 INT) and the Broncos' run game is averaging a healthy 4.9 YPC. KC maintains a mid-level defense that usually rises to the occasion when needed under DC Spagnuolo. Chiefs don't give up many points, yet Denver does. But this is a division game and despite the Broncos dropping 15 straight in this series, they've covered 4 of the last 5 including both last year with virtually the same personnel but different coaches. Perhaps an upgrade in the Broncos' coaching staff can carry them through tonight; after all, Payton is 9-3 ATS as a road dog. And KC did lose outright in Game 1 on Thursday night on this very field. Moreover, Reid 4-12 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a non-division game vs an opponent off a SU loss. We'll look for the Broncos to keep it tight. 

Packers/Raiders 8:15: Hard to jump on a Raiders team off three straight losses with a coach (McDaniels) who's not getting it done. Offensive minded McDaniels oversees an offense in the bottom tier of the league. QB Jimmy G, who cleared concussion protocol, leads the league in interceptions (6) despite having one of the best receivers in the league (Davonte Adams) at his disposal. And the running game with Josh Jacobs is not getting generated (2.7 YPC). Raiders are minus 9 in turnover margin - bottom of the league. Packers' defense was not good against the explosive offense of Detroit, which ran all over them; however, they had a few extra days to address those issues under DC Barry. And Packers do have the horses to rush QBs. On the other side of the ball, QB Love will have 4 of his 5 preferred offensive linemen suited up and a full arsenal of skill weaponry. Raiders' secondary has multiple injuries including their top defensive back Hobbs (out). Raiders' do have a great pass rusher in Crosby but his bookend partner Jones is no longer there and Tyree Wilson (#1 pick) has yet to impress. Look for Matt LeFleur to script a solid game plan in designing a script to get the best out of Love and company tonight. GB 10-1 ATS as non-division dog the last 3 seasons including 2-0 ATS this season. As for the Raiders, 1-7 ATS off SU division road loss. Packers the call. 

Eagles/Rams 4:05 Rams came into this season with low expectations from bettors but quickly emerged as a covering machine at 3-0-1 ATS. On the other hand, the incumbent NFC Champion - Philadelphia is covering (2-1-1 ATS) but not in the dominant fashion from last year. The Eagles' defense has allowed nine TD passes and in the bottom tier of pass defense. Rams' QB Stafford will have his top WR Kupp back in the fold today. Stafford sports a 4-1 SU mark vs Philadelphia as a member of Detroit. Rams' defense stepped up its game this season. Hurts not nearly as sharp as he was last season. We'll look for the Rams to stay in this one. Sirianni 1-4 ATS on the road off a division game. Take the Rams. 

Saints/Patriots 1:00: Saints are loaded with talented offensive weaponry. It's just a matter of time before they get it together. We'll look for that time to be today. NE working with a makeshift secondary and star pass rusher Judon on the IR. Surely Kamara will build off his 51 yards off 11 carries last week. And offensively, Patriots stuck in neutral. Saints' defense keeping them in games. We'll look for them to stall out the Patriots. Saints 8-0 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses vs a less than .500 team. And in Games 5 through 8, Saints are money on the road at 10-3 ATS including 6-1 ATS as a dog. Saints the call. 

Saints/Patriots 1:00 Both offenses struggling mightily. Saints have now scored 21 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Patriots, despite the injuries, will surely be schematically sound under Belichick after disastrous game last week. And New Orleans has been solid most of the year defensively. We'll stay "under" here. Patriots 2-14 O/U as a non-conference favorite. Under the call. 

Titans/Colts 1:00: Colts got a boost with the signing of RB Jonathan Taylor. But if he plays or not, not a significant factor; after all, Tennessee sports one of the top run-stop-units in the NFL (2.9 YPC). And Vrabel is excellent at scheming rookie QBs. Richardson should struggle here. On the flip side, not a Tannehill fan, but the run game is starting to cook again with King Henry. And play action off of that with Hopkins or Westbrooke-Ikhine is money, especially without MLB Leonard (groin) manning the low hole. Titans 5-0 SU/ATS in this series and we'll ride them again. 

Jaguars/Bills 9:30: Bills designated the home team today; however, Jacksonville is very comfortable playing in London. The Jaguars have won 5 of their last 8 SU there including 1-0 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium where they play today. I realize that the Bills are one of the hottest teams in the league now coming off blowout wins in their last three; however, Jaguars stayed in London after beating Atlanta in Wimbley Stadium. They're starting to gel offensively and have a swarming defense that's getting better each week. Keep in mind that back in 2021 with the Bills coming off a double digit win at home to Miami, they ran into a hungry Jacksonville team the following week and lost 9-6 with the other Josh Allen (DE Jag's) having a monster game (sack, fumble recovery, interception). Buffalo 0-5 ATS as favorites of more than 3 points vs an opponent off a double-digit SU win. We'll take the points. 

Bears/Commanders 8:15: Both teams struggling. Bears on a 14-game slide dating back to last season. And quick turnaround after surrendering a 21-point lead. Tough process to regroup considering their banged up secondary. Meanwhile, Washington put forth a valiant effort to come up short in OT. Howell had a strong game off a dismal four interception effort in Buffalo the previous week. That's a testament to his maturation. We'll look for the Commanders' offense to stay in rhythm here vs the yielding Bears' defense. On the other hand, Washington defense underachieving considering the talent across the board. That's uncharacteristic of pretty good DC Jack Del Rio. Look for the Commanders to tighten it up on the defensive side tonight. Technically, Washington 8-1 ATS as favorites off back-to-back losses vs opponent with revenge (LY Washington 12-7 win at Chicago). Chicago's Eberflus 0-8 ATS vs an opponent off a SU loss. And Chicago has not done well on Thursdays. 1-11 ATS on Thursdays vs an opponent off a SU loss; moreover, 4-10 ATS as a road dog on Thursday nights. Washington's controlled this series at 4-1 ATS and sport a 2-0 ATS mark as a home favorite on Thursday night. Commanders the call. 

Seahawks/Giants 8:15: Extra rest and home game give the Giants some advantage here; however, not sure they can take advantage of it. Giants have yet to put together a full game of quality football after getting thrashed by Dallas, mounting a furious second half comeback at Arizona, and struggling at San Franscico on the 21st (Thursday). They come into this game with their 4th different offensive line combination and no Barkley (ankle). Interior Seattle defenders: Reed, Jones and Edwards should control LOS. And Daniel Jones has numerous flops on prime time tv games. Cant' trust him here. But I'm not a fan of the Seattle defense either. They're giving up way too many yards through the air. To have as much talent in the secondary as Seattle does, that's got to irk defensive minded Pete Carroll. What the Seahawks do have is a potent offense. After a dismal outing on opening day vs the Rams, Seattle got it together, offensively, with back-to-back good outings at Detroit and last week at home vs Carolina. Seattle has their share of offensive line injuries but working through it as skill weapons Walker III and Charbonnet fueling the run game, and Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba and TE Dissly helping QB Geno Smith get the ball out quickly. We'll look for the Seahawks to outgun NY tonight. Giants a money burning 1-11 ATS vs the NFC West. 

Chiefs/Jets 8:20: Chiefs turned it up a few notches last week when their offense was under scrutiny for lack of production. With a defense (#4 scoring defense) already in surprisingly good form, KC is a dangerous team. Hopefully, Chris Jones (groin) and Nick Bolton (MLB) are able to go, which add significant value to the defense. Actually, thought this line was going to be at double digits given the pathetic nature of the Jets' offense. Without Jones and Bolton, betting line remains tight. Good news is the KC offense is relatively healthy. Last time Mahomes faced this New York Jets team (2020), he scorched it for 460 yards and 5 TDs. Jets' defense significantly improved since but offensive woes and the lost confidence of Zach Wilson stress that defense too much to hold up the duration of a game. A defense that should be a Top 5 NFL unit across the board is reduced to average (12th scoring defense). Technically, Andy Reid a sweet 12-2 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit ATS win. We'll roll with KC

Dolphins/Bills 1:00: Bills have had trouble with the Dolphins recently. You look back to last season in December and in the playoff January when Dolphins were down to Skylar Thompson running the offense. Dolphins not only covered both games but almost won both in final minutes. Fast forward to today and Dolphins in much better shape personnel and coaching standpoint. Tua is healthy and on target with his ridiculous array of weaponry. Moreover, Miami now has a run game with Mostert and rookie Achane (203 yards last week), which opens up the quick pass game even more. Buffalo is a blitz happy team (#2 in sacks at 4 per game) which is playing with fire against this Miami team. Man coverage on Hill and Waddle (good to go), Achane or Mostert will be costly. Defensively, Dolphins still growing into the Vic Fangio defense. It will only get better as the season progresses. LB Jaelan Phillips is out but Van Ginkel a viable substitute. McDaniel now 7-1 ATS vs the AFC East. Dolphins 7-0 ATS after scoring 35+. Dolphins the call. 

Broncos/Bears 1:00: Both teams a pathetic excuse for an NFL team. Broncos the better of the worst here. Russell Wilson starting to get in a groove with his receivers; moreover, he's got more guidance on the sidelines than Fields does. Bears' defense fell off the hinges long before the DC Williams resigned (9/20). Chicago struggling to generate sacks, secondary injuries, and poor run stop unit; consequently, Broncos perfect opportunity to establish offensive rhythm. On the other hand, pride needs to be restored to Vance Joseph's unit after a 70-point Blitzkrieg. Payton 8-3 ATS on the road off back-to-back losses. Eberflus a dismal 0-8 ATS vs an opponent off a SU loss and 2-9 ATS off back-to-back losses. Denver the call. 

Ravens/Browns 1:00: Browns have been consistently inconsistent. They came out of the gate strong opening day vs Cincinnati, crapped themselves on national TV at Pittsburgh, and at home blasted Tennessee. Stefanski is a money burning 2-9 ATS off a non-division opponent vs a division opponent. And versus their division, the Browns are 2-16 ATS after allowing less than 14 points. Ravens are stewing after upended by Indy last week. They were shorthanded but getting a bit healthier this week. Harbaugh is a sweet 10-2 ATS as an over .500 team off a home game vs a division opponent. And having a healthy Lamar Jackson as a dog or favorite of less than 3 points, the Ravens are a sweet 10-2 SU/12-2-1 ATS. Sure, he's missing a few skill guys but still has Zay Flowers, Agholor, Duvernay, RB Edwards and TE Mark Andrews. Ravens usually find a way to make the next man up ready. Browns could be without Watson (shoulder) -GTD. Ravens the call. 

Lions/Packers 8:15: I respect the Lions and Coach Campbell; after all, they're on an 11-2 ATS tear since November 6th of last year (Beat GB at home 15-9 as 4-point dog). As a matter of fact, a majority of those wins came as a dog. Due to their success, lines-makers are now lining Detroit as a favorite. They're just 2-2 SU/ATS in their last 4 favorite roles, including 0-1 SU/ATS as a road favorite (37-23 at Carolina 10/08/22). Sure, they've now beaten the Packers three straight times but now go into that road favorite role. Paying a premium for the Lions against a vengeful Packers team on a short week is a concern; moreover, the secondary issues are glaring. Ever since veteran FS C.J. Gardner-Johnson landed on the IR, Kerby Joseph (hip) and rookie Brian Branch are cast into that role. Packers' QB Love will most likely have deep threat speedster Watson (probable) back in action for the first time this year. And the run game gets a boost with RB Aaron Jones (probable). Defensively, Packers' DC Joe Barry using his personnel well. Gary and Clark are menaces on quarterbacks. And Detroit is banged up along the offensive line which is hurting their run game this year (24th in league). We'll stay at home with the Packers. 

Eagles/Bucs 7:15: Eagles winning but noticeable flaws on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Hurts hasn't been the same under new OC Brian Johnson. Run game is cooking with DeAndre Swift as the now go-to RB but the pass game is 27th in the league. TB has a strong run-stop-unit again this year (#3) allowing just 54 YPG. And the Bucs collected 8 sacks, 19 QB hits and 5 takeaways. Defensively for Philadelphia, their secondary is a concern. Marred by injuries, Eagles' were toasted Mac Jones (NE) for 306 yards and then Kurt Cousins dropped 346 on them. They're 31st in the league defending the pass under new DC De Sai. Mayfield has some quality targets in Godwin, Evans and rookie Palmer. TB at times, will line up Evans in the slot to isolate nickel corners. Eagles' slot corner - Maddox (injured last week vs Minnesota) went on IR. Eagles now going to practice squad secondary players. Bucs should stay in this game. Bowles a sweet 6-1 ATS as a home dog; moreover, TB 8-1 ATS as a MNF home dog. TB the call. 

Colts/Ravens 1:00: Ravens out of the gate strong and QB Jackson continues to be a winner. And Harbaugh is once again facing injury woes. Key secondary players Williams and Humphrey out. Look for very capable QB Minshew to find his rhythm with a number of quality targets, including Pittman Jr., Pierce, Downs and TE Granson. And RB Zack Moss is no Jonathan Taylor, but he's a solid performing back. And defensively, Colts have some dudes, including linemen Paye, Buckner, WLB Shaq Leonard, and a decent secondary. Ravens have two key linemen out which should open the door for a Colts' cover here. 

Titans/Browns 1:00: Really disappointed in Browns' QB Watson. He had several chances to lead the Browns' offense down the field in the late stages of last Monday's game vs Pittsburgh and came up empty. His pocket presence and ability to escape a rush have diminished considerably. And it's not going to get easier without the heart of the offense - RB Chubb (IR). Titans possess a strong run stop unit and Vrabel does a nice job with defensive game plans. On the other hand, Titans getting good work out of rookie RB Spears. Tannehill big improvement last week from Week 1. Browns on a short week with some injury concerns. Stefanski just 1-6 ATS as a favorite off a SU loss vs an opponent off a SU win. Browns 0-4 ATS before taking on Baltimore. Tennessee the call. 

Bills/Commanders 1:00: Respect Washington and Rivera who are 2-0. But Arizona and Denver are not at the same level as Buffalo. And Bills are a sweet 10-2 ATS vs an undefeated opponent in the first quarter of the season (Games 1 through 4). And McDermott is 6-0 ATS after scoring 35+. He's also 7-1 ATS vs non division opponent off a SU dog win. Sack happy Washington (7 sacks) should give up some explosive plays to Josh Allen and company here. On the other hand, Sam Howell meets his toughest defense. Rivera just 1-7 ATS as a .500 or greater dog. Buffalo the call. 

Jets/Patriots 1:00: Jets have lost 14 straight times to the Patriots. Patriots' defense, despite the thinning secondary, should continue to give Zach Wilson problems. Patriots have the flexibility to shuffle defensive backs. They'll use #1 draft pick Gonzalez, who is coming off a great game vs Miami to match up on dangerous Jets' receiver Wilson. Offensively, Mac Jones showing improvement under retreaded OC Bill O'Brien. Belichick 13-2 ATS off a SU loss vs a foe with revenge. Saleh just 3-10 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off a SU loss. 

Saints/Packers 1:00: Packers catching Saints on a short prep week. Saints feeling really good at 2-0. Offense, however, has looked choppy in both games. They really miss RB Kamara. Saints' defense has been stellar though. Today, however, they won't have starting C Adebo (hamstring) and starting S Maye (suspension). And those are big losses. Packers' QB Love possesses the best QB rating in the league at 118.8 with 6 TD passes and no INTs. Run game could get a boost with Aaron Jones (questionable) back. Packers' LaFleur are 5-1 SU/ATS vs undefeated foes and 9-1 ATS before the Lions. Saints are a money burning 1-7 ATS as a road dog of 3 or less off a SU win vs a .500 or greater opponent off a SU loss. Packers the call. 

Giants/49ers 8:15: Short week to heal and prep, and SF is in better shape here. SF defense, which allows 15 PPG, has made life complicated for both QBs they faced thus far. Daniel "Not Ready for Prime Time" Jones won't have his entire left side of his offensive line nor Barkley (ankle) to support him. Nick Bosa is salivating at the mouth to record his first sack along a dominant front line. On the other hand, the SF offense is in early season rhythm. They're the #1 rush team in the NFL (5.6 YPC) and Purdy is managing the game just like Shanahan is calling it. Giants' defense in bottom tier in stopping the run and YPP. Giants have been a strong dog over the years but when faced elite teams (Cowboys, Eagles) under Daboll, they struggled. Word of caution: SF has not been good on Thursdays as a .500 or greater team at 1-6 ATS. We'll tread lightly with the 49ers. 

Browns/Steelers 8:15: History not on the side of the Browns tonight. Steelers have won 20 straight games in Pittsburgh on MNF. And the Browns have not won a REGULAR SEASON game in Pittsburgh since October 5, 2003! Browns well aware of that history and are focused. Cleveland's defense was dominant last week vs Cincinnati. Steelers' offense stuck in neutral last week at home vs SF. Offensive line issues still exist as they still can't get Najee Harris going on the ground. And Pickett was under duress for most of the game. Browns' addition of Za'Darius Smith already paying dividends as he lines up opposite of Miles Garrett. Browns' new DC Schwartz already making his mark on a solid improvement at all three levels defensively. On the other hand, Cleveland's bread and butter offensively is the run game with Chubb. Browns will not have 2 Time All Pro OT Conklin (knee) but #4 draft choice from OSU Dawand Jones gets the start. He'll have a tough assignment vs T.J. Watt (3 sacks last week) but Pittsburgh won't have heart of the interior line Cam Heyward (groin) where Browns like to run football. Pittsburgh surely won't be an easy out but like the playmaking ability of QB Watson who seems to be dialed in this season. 

Saints/Panthers 7:15: We'll go with the home dog here. Saints do not have a good history on MNF as a road favorite at 2-4 ATS. And they're also a money burning 1-8 ATS as a .500 or greater team on the MNF road. And surely Dennis Allen is not to be trusted off a SU non-division win at 2-9 ATS. Carolina's defense played well enough to win last week's game. They stalled out the pass and outran the ground heavy Falcons. And RB Jamaal Williams is no Alvin Kamara (susp). Carolina's defense can get after the QB (4 sacks last week). Offensively, Carolina's Bryce Young going through growing pains (2 INTs last week) but he has a good mentor in a good system under Frank Reich. Panthers' run game pretty solid behind Sanders and Hubbard (5.35 YPC). We'll take the points. 

Jets/Cowboys 4:25: With the exception of SF, these two teams arguably had the best defensive performances last week. Cowboys' pass rush was unstoppable and that doesn't bode well against Zach Wilson and his shaky offensive line. On the other hand, Jets' defense is in great hands under Ulbrich. They're deep in all areas. Cowboys have gone conservative under McCarthy as the new signal caller. Can't see McCarthy giving green light to Prescott to air it out repeatedly against this loaded secondary of the Jets. We'll look for a defensive battle here in a lower scoring game. "Under" the call. 

Bears/Bucs 1:00: Bears laid an egg last week but should bounce back here; after all, Bears have historically been strong as a dog in this price range vs the NFC South at 6-1 ATS. On the other hand, TB is a notoriously pathetic home favorite vs non division opponents in the first quarter of the season at 4-18 ATS. Moreover, they're 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of less than 3 points. And Baker Mayfield is a money burning 9-21-2 ATS in his tenure in the NFL as a favorite, including on an 0-8 ATS run in that role. Bears the call. 

Ravens/Bengals 1:00: Bengals have been notoriously slow starters in the Joe Burrow era. But look for the Bengals to right the ship today; after all, they're catching an injury ravaged Ravens team coming into Cincinnati. Baltimore won't have OT Stanley (knee), C Linderbaum (ankle), RB Dobbins (Achilles), Corner Humphrey (foot) and S Williams (pec). Baltimore does have the "next man up" mentality under Harbaugh but still need to straighten a few things out in their new offensive system. And filling in key positions make it more difficult early. Burrow, who was sluggish last week, has had some huge games vs Baltimore - most notably in 2021 - and we'll look for the Bengals to get it together today. 

Packers/Falcons 1:00: Last week, Packers didn't miss a beat with Love replacing Rodgers as the starting QB vs the Bears. Packers didn't have vertical threat Watson last week and probably not today either; however, others stepping up to fill receiving void. TE Musgrave (#2 draft choice) had a big game as well as Doubs. Packers could be without RB Jones (hamstring) but Dillon is capable of carrying load. Defensively, liked how Joe Barry's bunch stepped up to stall out the Bears. Atlanta is loaded with offensive playmakers, but offensive line was not that impressive. Carolina shot itself in the foot offensively to open the door for Atlanta. GB more disciplined. GB a sweet 8-0 ATS off a SU division win vs non-division opponent off a SU win. They're also 8-1 ATS as a non-division dog. And Lafleur is a sweet 5-0 ATS as a dog off a double-digit win. Packers the call. 

Vikings/Eagles 8:15: Vikings disappointed as a favorite opening day - losing outright to TB. Their offensive line was shaky - not opening holes for RB Mattison. And QB Cousins was under duress most of the game. Offensively, it will not get easier this week. Vikings won't have C Bradbury (out) and T Darrisaw (ankle) is questionable. They take on one of the best defensive fronts in the NFL. And adding Jalen Carter (#1 draft choice), who showed flashes of dominance last week, to the mix should force Cousins to check down frequently. He does have TE Hockenson who adds a short game dimension to the passing game. And Addison (#1 draft choice) fills the void of Thielen (traded); however, they miss versatile RB Cook (Jets). There is a concern for the Eagles defensively. They're without C Bradberry (concussion) and S Blankenship. Fortunately, Eagles are deep in secondary players as second year C Josh Jobe (Alabama) should fill the void. Last year, Vikings' took away top receiver Jefferson. Slay hasn't lost a step. Offensively, Eagles not happy with second half vs Patriots. Sure, RB Gainwell is out but Andre Swift, who is every bit as good, should carry the load. Vikings' defense not at the level of Patriots. Last year, Eagles accumulated 486 yards on Minnesota in a 24-7 win. Vikings' defense doesn't have the wherewithal to stop A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, versatile QB Hurts, and even TE Goedert who should get involved in the game plan this week. Eagles are a strong 10-1 ATS as a home favorite off a SU win under Sirianni. We'll fly with the Eagles.  

Bills/Jets 8:15: Jets played the Bills tough last season. NY went 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS. Sauce Gardner shut down Diggs as Josh Allen struggled below 200 yards passing in each game. Jets' defense should be even more dominant this season with edge rusher Will McDonald IV (#1 draft pick) added to an already sack happy front. On the other hand, the offense will have a significant boost with Aaron Rodgers running the show. And the run game is bolstered with Dalvin Cook, return of Breece Hall (ACL) and shifty #5 draft pick Abanikanda. Rodgers has a ridiculous amount of weaponry at his disposal to help out Rookie of Year winner - Garrett Wilson. If the offensive line holds up, and with Duane Brown back, I believe it will. Sean McDermott, who appointed himself DC after Frazier departed, will have his hands full tonight. Jets the call. 

Dallas/New York 8:20: Daniel Jones finally emerged as a prime-time player last season. It took a new staff under HC Brian Daboll to do so. Jones is now in a good offensive system with a more experienced offensive line, explosive RB Barkley, and a few new weapons in rookie Hyatt and TE Waller (questionable). Dallas defense is stacked and dangerous but Daboll will be prepared. And defensively, Giants' DC Martindale added a few new pieces to an improving defense. He'll utilize speedy hybrid LB/S Isaiah Simmons better than Arizona did. Cowboys' offense probably will be more conservative under new OC Brian Schottenheimer and McCarthy calling plays. Tonight, like the Giants chances of breaking their dubious 1-11 slide vs Dallas. McCarthy 0-3 SU in openers with Dallas. Giants the call. 

Rams/Seahawks 4:25: Tale of two teams heading in different directions. Rams still trying to put the pieces together after a disastrous 5-12 SU season - worst ever by a defending Super Bowl champion. They did have 15 selections in this year's draft; however, few shined in their sluggish preseason. And Stafford is aging ungracefully, Jalen Ramsey is now in Miami, Bobby Wagner back where he belongs in Seattle, and edge rusher Floyd released. McVay will have to figure out how his revamped offensive line will protect Stafford when Seattle unleashes a hungry defense loaded with talent - especially in the secondary, on him. And not having Cooper Kupp (hamstring) is a major loss. On the offensive end for Seattle, they're feeling good. And they should! Geno Smith is equipped with major arsenal - Metcalf, Lockett, Walker III, and #1 draft pick - Jaxson Smith-Njigba (wrist) who is good to go! And the offensive line is meshing well. Seattle has the fire in the belly early and I'm laying the points. 

Dolphins/Chargers 4:25: This is a rematch from last year's 23-17 Chargers' win. A few changes on the coaching staffs should keep this score down under the surprising high total. Dolphins are now led by arguably the best defensive mind in the league - Vic Fangio. He'll have his secondary in the right places and dial up the needed blitzes, drops, etc. to limit explosive plays from a dangerous receiving corps and a great QB Herbert. On the other hand, Fangio's understudy - Staley - promoted defensive backs coach Ansley to DC. He did a solid job with coverage last year (4th vs the pass). And he has a serious set of edge rushers (Bosa, Mack, Tuipulotu) to force Tua into errant throws. "Under' the call. 

Packers/Bears 4:25: Value with the Bears. The #1 rush team in the league last season will have more weapons at Justin Fields disposal. D.J. Moore (via Carolina) was a huge addition, and #1 draft choice OT Darnell Wright and G Nate Davis (free agency) will add to the protection depth. Packers' defense in good hands under DC Barry but the lack of offense should do them in; after all, QB Love won't have vertical threat Watson (out) and Doubs is questionable with a hamstring issue. They'll likely lean on their run game behind Jones and Dillon who ran roughshod over the Bears last year at Lambeau Field for 193 yards. Bears were 31st vs the run last year but addressed those issues in the offseason with good additions along their front seven. We'll look for the Bears to break the dismal 0-8 slide vs their division rival. 

49ers/Steelers 1:00: Steelers took time to gel with Pickett last season. Growing pains in the new offense resulted in a 2-6 start. Then the 7-2 SU stretch run validated the arrival of Pickett as the field general of the future. He's now equipped with an improving offensive line and a really good cast of support players including matchup nightmare George Pickens. Defensively, Steelers bolstered their defense through the draft and in free agency. And I liked what I saw in pre-season with their depth. A healthy T.J. Watt makes the Steelers a dangerous team. 49ers notorious for sluggishness out of the gate in openers under Shanahan at 2-4 SU/1-5 ATS. And Bosa arrived in camp. I'm sure he'll be in shape and do what he does best. Steelers, however, expected him to play and we'll back Pittsburgh here. 

Lions/Chiefs 8:20: This line opened at Detroit +7; I picked it up at +6 on Tuesday. Wednesday, news broke that KC TE Kelce hyperextended his knee; consequently, line dropped to +4'. New that Kelce will try to play; however, KC may take precautions for draining a knee is not best remedy for a long season ahead. Kelce is a big part of what the Chiefs do and surely little used backup TEs Noah Gray and Blake Bell are nowhere near as effective. Mahomes is magical and has Toney, Valdes-Scantling and Skyy Moore - all very good receivers - to go down field with. However, I like what the Lions did in the offseason on bolstering their defense at all levels. Secondary is now a strength with stealing S Gardner-Johnson from Philly. They got C Cam Sutton from Pittsburgh and drafted Alabama's S Brian Branch in 2nd round. In addition, they grabbed Iowa's Jack Campbell at MLB in the 1st round to team up with Barnes and Anzalone on the second level. And the interior is bolstered by #3 draft pick Brodric Martin who is immediately making an impact. And of course, edge rusher Hutchinson (9' sacks last season) is a major force. Offensively, same offensive coordinator - Ben Johnson - did an amazing job developing Goff into a solid QB. He has another weapon added to the arsenal with #1 draft choice RB Jahmyr Gibbs running behind a highly underrated Lions' offensive line. And remember, Chris Jones, who will possibly play Thursday if a deal is struck, hasn't practiced with the team all season. Remember, he accounted for 31 of 55 sacks for them last year! At a technical standpoint, Lions are a miserable selection in openers and early season; after all, they're 0-4-1 past 5 seasons in openers and just 2-14 in Weeks 1 through 9 (2021-22 combined). The team, however, addressed that concern early in training camp and aware they need to get out of the gate strong. We'll back them here. 

Chiefs/Eagles 6:30: On paper, Eagles the better complete team. On the field, with the lights at their brightest, I'll go with the league MVP (Mahomes) and experienced "big game" coaching staff. Chiefs' DC Spagnuolo draws up good defensive game plans post season. He did it with the Giants and has done it well with the Chiefs. Eagles' offense very dangerous but every offense has its weakness to exploit, and Spagnuolo should find it. Andy Reid has been highly effective with additional rest and off bye weeks. Strategizing is a big part of big games and Reid is near top of the heap in that category. Eagles' defense tremendously aggressive and the best sack team since the '84 - '85 Bears. That defensive line gets up the field fast; consequently, look for the Chiefs to work a quick pass game (Kelce/Toney) and establish run game with slasher back Pacheco and newly activated Edwards-Helaire. Coaching experience in big games and proven big game winner Mahomes checks the mark for taking the points here. Chiefs the call. 

Bengals/Chiefs 6:30: I've been on the Bengals in this series and not getting off them now. A few questions that need to be answered: Can Mahomes ankle hold up to allow him to get out of the pocket where he is most dangerous? And can the Bengals' offensive line allow Burrow to get the ball to his plethora of dangerous receivers? To address Mahomes ankle, don't know for sure, but for most athletes, a high ankle sprain takes a minimum of two weeks to start healing at a level where cutting, pivoting and heavy planting occurs. Mahomes is great but not Superman. He has the highest % completions of any QB in the NFL OUTSIDE THE POCKET. Look for brilliant Bengals' DC Anarumo to dial up different secondary looks, like he usually does, while instituting a few exotic blitzes to keep Mahomes in the pocket to force errant throws. On the other hand, Bengals' shell of an offensive line held up well last week vs Buffalo. Realize that was snow and snow can be forgiving for offensive linemen; however, backups to Jonah Williams and Cappa have gotten lots of reps this season and progressing well. Burrow has been the master of quick pass on three step drops. His superior processing skills, locating open receiver and delivering accurately should carry over vs a KC defensive secondary that is yielding. Respect KC DC Spagnuolo around this time of year, but Bengals' receivers Chase, Boyd, Higgins, TE Hurst, RB Mixon on a different level. Bengals the call.  

49ers/Eagles 3:00: 49ers a legitimate top 4 contender with strength across the board. And rookie QB Purdy is no weak link; however, Eagles are arguably the most complete team of the Final Four. Offensively, a machine. Versatile QB Hurts leads a well-balanced attack that can not only move the football up and down the field (#3 Total Yards) but deliver on the scoreboard (#3 PPG) with 28.1 PPG. A.J. Brown and DaVonta Smith are elite receivers, Goedert is a solid TE, and 1200+ rusher Miles Sanders behind the best offensive line in the league is making a nightmare for well-respected DC DeMeco Ryans who leads the top defense in the NFL. On the other hand, 49ers' HC Shanahan most likely will lean on his running game against a mediocre Philadelphia run-stop-unit. Most likely, however, they'll have to throw, and that's when the Eagles' vulturous secondary led by Gardner-Johnson (6 INT) and Slay. What makes the secondary great is the amazing ability of Philadelphia to get to the QB; as a matter of fact, the Eagles have collected the 3rd most sacks in regular season and postseason history - 75 - only behind the '84 Bears (82) and '85 Bears (80). And we know how great those Bud Ryan defenses were! When the Eagles play to their potential, they're unbeatable. We'll grab Philly here. 

Cowboys/49ers 6:30: Cowboys looked good last week. But TB is a mediocre team. Dallas' QB Prescott had no pressure put on him as finding receivers in the secondary became a virtual 7 on 7 drill. Tonight, a different story vs the #1 scoring defense in the league. Bosa (18' sacks) and company will surely bring the smoke while the opportunistic secondary (#2 forcing turnovers) will force Prescott into quick decisions, which gave him trouble this season (15 INTs). Offensively, SF is well schooled under Shanahan. Purdy makes good decisions and has a strong supporting cast on the line and in skill positions. Samuel, McCaffrey, Kittle, Aiyuk make life really good for QBs. SF had an extra prep day, and Shanahan knows how to use it. McCarthy on the other hand, 2-5 ATS off a win of 14+ and 4-9 ATS on a short week. Look for McCarthy to go 0-4 ATS vs SF. 

Bills/Bengals 3:00: Bengals' offensive line missing key bodies as this line is now to +6. Burrow dealt with it last year, sacked the most of anyone in the NFL and still led his team to a cover in the Super Bowl (+3'). Buffalo's defense hasn't been that great this year and Burrow will surely mix in quick pass to his athletic receiving corps (Chase, Higgins, TE Hurst, Boyd, RB Mixon). Bengals dangerous dog and I'm riding them here. 

Giants/Eagles 8:15: On the Giants last week but will fade them here. Daniel Jones was phenomenal vs a soft Vikings' defense but the Eagles' defense is a whole different animal. Philadelphia has a front four that has collectively 40 sacks! That means they can drop 7 into coverage and still get to the QB. And now that Gardner-Johnson is healthy, he and "Big Play" Slay can do lots of damage on the back-end vs an average Giants' receiving corps with overachieving receiver Hodgens. Offensively, when the Eagles get the run game going behind the best offensive line in the league, they're hard to stop. And throw in matchup nightmare - A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith off play action or RPOs, and that spells more trouble. Sure, Giants have Adoree Jackson healthy and he did well against Justin Jefferson last week in the second half, but tough matchup for the rest of the Giants' secondary. Eagles pretty solid in the Divisional Round at 5-0 and we'll ride them here. 

Jaguars/Chiefs 4:30: Great season for Pederson and his Jaguars.  Pulled off a miracle last week but unlikely here. KC is well rested, healthy, and Reid is a master coming off an additional week of prep at an astounding 27-4. They're 3-0 in the Divisional Round off a bye. Chiefs not good as a home favorite during regular season but 6-2 ATS at home in the playoffs. November 13th, the Chiefs lost two fumbles and still won 27-17. Chiefs' DC Spagnuolo usually makes life miserable for opposing QBs in the playoffs. Chiefs have healthy linemen Chris Jones, Frank Clark and Carols Dunlap to wreak havoc on Lawrence while his secondary disguises coverages well. On the flip end, lots of receiving firepower at Mahomes' disposal, including TE Kelce, WR Smith-Schuster, Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore and RB Pacheco. Jag's defense surrendered a generous 1,087 receiving yards to TEs this season with 13.1 yards per reception. That's 3rd worst in the NFL. Kelce should have a big game. We'll lay the wood here. 

Cowboys/Bucs 8:15: All the pressure in this game on Cowboys. And by now, everyone is aware of the futility the Cowboys bring to the post season, including last year's debacle at home against SF. Can't trust them laying points on the road in big games. Bowles did a great job stifling the Cowboys in Week 1. He has the secondary, great LB Corps and solid defensive line to give Prescott and company trouble again. TB surely underachieved this season and their offensive line is a concern vs the blitz happy Cowboys. But Brady, 7-0 vs Dallas, is battle tested and thrives in these games. He'll find a way to get the ball to Evans, Godwin and Fournette. Prescott has yet to prove he's a prime-time player in a big game. McCarthy is 0-2 SU vs Bowles. TB 8-0 as a home dog on MNF and 6-1 ATS on MNF vs a non-division opponent. We'll take the points. 

Ravens/Bengals 8:15: A little pricey at first glance for the Bengals here; after all, Baltimore is dangerous on the road in the playoffs under Harbaugh; however, at a closer look, with Lamar Jackson out, and backup Huntley laboring with a sore shoulder, Bengals' respectable secondary can squat on a lot of the short routes that are anticipated. The Bengals do have a solid run stop unit (7th in the league). And now that confident Joe Burrow is no longer leading the league in sacks, like last year, he's even more dangerous. Like Baltimore's defense, especially with the addition of MLB R. Smith, but because of the lack of offense, don't believe they can hold up for long and trade points with the Bengals for the duration. Bengals went on that magical run last year, mostly as a dog, including covering in the Super Bowl. They're 5-0-1 ATS in January and now in the favorite role and deservedly so here. We'll lay the wood. 

Giants/Vikings 4:40: In the Christmas Eve game, Giants got behind but didn't panic. They stuck to the game plan and gradually wore down the Minnesota defense that allowed them back in that game. Vikings 31st in yards allowed, 31st in pass yards allowed and 28th in points scored. Giants lost that game on a 61 yard field goal in the last seconds. They feel confident going into this one; after all, they're healthy as a team. Amazing transformation of Daniel Jones. A testament on what a coach (Daboll) can do for a young struggling QB. We see the same thing in Jacksonville with Pederson and Lawrence. Jones sports a 15/5 TD/INT ratio and will most likely be contract extended in offseason. His 2nd and 3rd receivers: Hodgins and Richie James surprisingly torched the Vikings' secondary. Even perennial All-Pro cornerback Patrick Peterson had a hard time guarding Hodgins. And Barkley should once again set the tone for Daniel Jones to operate efficiently. Giants are 7-0 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 straight on the road. Vikings lack of defense in second half should allow the hard fighting Giants to stick around again.  

Dolphins/Bills 1:05: Without question, Hill and Waddle are perhaps the most dangerous wide receiver tandem in the league; however, not confident that 3rd string Skylar Thompson can deliver. Thompson sports a poor 27.3 QBR with 1 TD pass and 3 INTs to his credit. He'll have to operate without leading rusher Mostert (broken thumb) who ran roughshod over the Bills December 17th. And the Dolphins' offensive line is thinning out with three noteworthy linemen having multiple injuries. Bills' top tier defense should make the needed adjustments. And offensively, it's a matter of time before Josh Allen and company shred the overworked secondary. Buffalo the call. 

Chargers/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars finished red hot down the stretch on a 5-0 run. Trevor Lawrence made significant strides under first year HC Pederson. Pederson controls a Super Bowl ring on his finger (2017 Eagles) and the Jaguars are in good hands with him. And just when the Chargers' defense was making strides (strong against Miami, Tennessee, Indianapolis and the Rams), they fell off production the final week vs Denver. Offensively, losing Mike Williams (fractured back) is a significant loss. He's a matchup nightmare when healthy. Chargers should be more competitive than they were in Week 3 when Jacksonville ran all over them for 157 yards rushing and controlled the clock for 17 1/2 minutes more! Like the Jaguars opportunistic defense (26 turnovers forced) and we'll stay on the Jaguars here. 

Chargers/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars' offense is cooking under Lawrence and don't believe the Chargers' defense can slow them down here. At the same time, Herbert may be without matchup nightmare WR Williams (back) but he's an elite QB who makes good receivers even better. Palmer, Carter and TE Everett have elevated their game this season. And Ekeler and Keenan Allen are outstanding go-to weapons. Don't see Jaguars shutting them down like in Game 3. Staley 5-1 O/U w/ revenge. "Over" the call. 

Seahawks/49ers 4:35: 49ers coming into this game hot on an 8-2 ATS run. Defensively, they're stifling, and the offense is cooking with Deebo Samuel back in the fray today. Seahawks snuck in the playoffs with help from the Lions beating GB. Nevertheless, Seattle no easy out. They swept this series last year, and sport a 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 vs SF. They're seeking double revenge from this season's regular season sweep. Pete Carrol a dangerous 11-3 ATS as a dog vs a greater than .500 division opponent. Seahawks figure it out and keep this one tight. 

Lions/Packers 8:20: Packers turned their season around following the November 6th loss to the Lions.  Since then, on a 5-2 SU/ATS run. The run game got cooking and Rodgers finally got in rhythm with his young receivers. Moreover, they started winning the turnover battle as the defense is playing lights out in the secondary. Detroit's Goff is a machine at home but just mediocre on the road. He'll be sorely tested vs the #2 pass defense in the NFL Sunday night. Lions' defense still can't be trusted vs this caliber of offense. They're last in the league in yards allowed and in the bottom tier scoring defense.  Green Bay is a sweet 10-0 ATS off a SU division win vs a division opponent off a SU win. And they're 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of more than 4 points vs a .500 or greater division opponent. Lions a shaky 1-10 ATS as division dogs of less than 5 points vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Take the Packers.

Chargers/Broncos 4:25: Regardless of the playoff seeding scenarios for the Chargers, they've clinched a spot. A win by the Bengals in the earlier game gives speculation that Staley will sit a lot of his starters; however, he has no plans for that and wants momentum going into the playoffs. Look for the Chargers to continue their winning surge. The defense has been one of the key driving forces in their winning run down the stretch. Their previous 4 opponents were held to 11 PPG or less. Their defensive efficiency went from #26 to #5. LB Van Noy has been pivotal in their success as he's had a sack in 4 straight games. Chargers' offense now in rhythm with receivers Williams and Allen healthy for machinelike QB Herbert. Broncos gave a strong effort vs KC last week and are on a nice run covering 4 of their last 5. But Chargers are a lot better now than their October 17th OT win over Denver. And the Broncos cannot be trusted in the favorite role. Dog is 5-2 ATS in this series. Take the points with the Chargers. 

Analysis to follow...

Browns/Steelers 1:00: Steelers hanging by a thread for a playoff berth. If they win here, they need both the Patriots (at Buffalo) and Dolphins (vs Jets) to lose. Tomlin, currently at 8-8, has never had a losing season and he should have his men fired up at home today. They're also seeking to avenge the September 22nd 29-17 loss. Browns are starting to get their offense cooking behind QB Watson, who did not play (suspended) in that earlier season matchup. Nick Chubb continues to be a steady running force for Cleveland. But Pittsburgh controls the 7th stingiest run-stop-unit in the league. Offensively, Pittsburgh not explosive, but steady, and even clutch in production. QB Pickett has no interceptions in 6 of last 7 games. Browns' defensive end Clowney, dismissed from practice earlier this week, will not suit up today. Pittsburgh sports a sweet 16-3 ATS mark at home vs a less than .500 division opponent off a SU win. Cleveland is a money burning 2-18 ATS off a non-division game vs a division opponent with revenge. Take Pittsburgh. 

Titans/Jaguars 8:15: Jaguars feeling really good about themselves on a nice run. But don't count the Titans out. They're actually better on the road (5-1-1 ATS run) against the mid-tier teams. And should be very competitive vs their division, especially in a revenge mode and with a playoff berth at stake. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Vrabel is a sweet 10-2 ATS with revenge vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. QB Dobbs is capable of guiding the offense now that Derrick Henry is back in the fray. Dobbs has been decisive and quick in his decision making. Defensively, Titans play the run well (#2) and have gotten a bit healthier in their secondary. Titans have done well in Jacksonville at 4-1 ATS. Look for Tennessee to be competitive here. 

Vikings/Packers 4:25: Really impressed with the secondary play of Green Bay this season (#3 vs pass) especially last week vs elite receivers Waddle and Hill. They'll face some very good ones today in Jefferson, Theilen, TE Hockenson, and RB Cook. We'll look for the Packers' DC Barry to continue to make the right adjustments. Offensively, Rodgers a bit off the mark but got in a groove with his receiving corps and the Pack is rolling on a 3-0 SU/ATS run. Green Bay offense should run through the Vikings' soft defense like a hot knife through butter. Vikings in the bottom tier vs the pass, total yards and points allowed. LaFleur a sweet 11-2 ATS as a favorite vs a .500 or greater team off a SU win. And the Packers are 9-1 ATS vs a division opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Packers can win out and have a good chance at the playoffs. Green Bay should get sweet revenge from Week 1 loss.  

Jets/Seahawks 4:05: Both teams desperate for a win with identical 7-8 records. Seattle has a 27% chance of getting to the playoffs, so they'll need to sweep remaining two and get help from other teams. Jets have just a 15% chance. Like the Seahawks chances here. They've won 4 straight in this series. Geno Smith will have back Lockett (finger) for this one. That's a big plus to take pressure off Metcalf vs a tough Jets' secondary.  A healthy Walker III behind an improving front line should get the run game going. Seattle needs to tighten their defense. Look for it here. Jets' QB White gets back the nod as the starter. Jets' run game hasn't been cooking since Breece Hall (out) went down. Pete Carroll 12-3 ATS off back-to-back losses, should get er done here. 

 49ers/Raiders 4:05: 49ers are rolling yet still have something to play for. They most likely won't secure home field advantage throughout playoffs, for the Eagles will control that; however, they can secure a few home games by winning out. Raiders, on the other hand, are on life support as a playoff team and flat line here. Jarrett Stidham takes over at the helm as Derek Carr is benched for the year. Stidham has played in 11 games with no starts in his career. 49ers' Bosa and Ebukam should give him a rude awakening today. Stidham has weapons such as Waller, Davante Adams, Renfrow and RB Jacobs; however, he hasn't had enough time to establish a rhythm with them, and he's just plain not that good. And facing the #1 defense in the NFL in a variety of categories is not the right setting to go against in a first NFL start. On the other hand, Purdy is well supported and loaded with weapons. Should be able to work a mediocre defense (24th PPG allowed). 49ers 17-4 ATS in January and 6-1 ATS in Week 17. Lay the wood. 

Bears/Lions 1:00: Bears appear to be tanking to secure high draft choice. Defensively, they've hit the skids (32nd in scoring defense). You would think the revenge motive would be there today, but it wasn't against Green Bay, and I doubt it will be here today. Bears 1-7 ATS off a SU loss vs division opponent off a double-digit SU loss. Detroit has a tendency to lay an egg now and then but usually a scoring machine at home. Detroit is 12-4 ATS at home, and 8-4 ATS off a SU loss under Dan Campbell. Goff is half-human-half machine at Ford Field. Lions are now 5-2 ATS after allowing 35+ points, and they're 11-2 ATS vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss. Detroit still a slim hope for a playoff berth and we'll take them here.  

Broncos/Rams 4:30: Both teams highly underachieved this year. Rams did so with numerous injuries, especially along the offense line where they've reshuffled nearly 13 times. The Broncos, however, never meshed as an offensive unit with Wilson as the signal caller. Denver coming off a win over the lifeless Arizona Cardinals but can't be trusted in this spot. They're 1-6 ATS off a SU win and just 1-7 ATS in Week 16. Hackett is no master motivator and I do believe that trend will hold weight here. On the other hand, Rams' Mayfield has had a few weeks to get in rhythm with his receivers: Atwell, Van Jefferson, Powell and TE Higbee. RB Cam Akers has shown some production in recent weeks. And Rams' defense, still has some veteran stars which bring energy to the field, including MLB Wagner. Edge to McVay as the signal caller in creating something out of limited talent. With the home team in this series at 4-1 ATS and the dog at 6-0 ATS, take the points with the Rams.

Packers/Dolphins 1:00: Both teams still alive for a playoff spot. Look for fireworks on the offensive side. QB Rodgers is getting in rhythm with his young receivers, including Christian Watson. Miami defense has given up lots of yards through the air (lower tier of NFL) and points (nearly 25 ppg - 27th in NFL). On the other hand, Dolphins got their run game going last week with Mostert leading the way (136 yards). And GB defense has been vulnerable to the run (149 YPG - 29th in NFL). Effective running game will surely open the lanes for Waddle and Hill. GB has heavy "over" trends while Miami is on a 5-2 O/U run. "Over" the call. 

Raiders/Steelers 8:15: Tomlin has never had a losing record as a coach of the Steelers and should be on his way to maintain that status tonight. A glimmer of hope for each of these teams riding winning streaks coming into this one; however, Steelers have the home field advantage, and extra motivation with the passing of Steelers' legend Franco Harris who will be honored posthumously at halftime. QB Pickett should get the nod but Trubisky proving he can step in and guide the team. Dominant performance by the Steelers last week as they ran the ball well and also continue to defend vs the run well. They held Carolina to a measly 21 yards rushing last week. The #7 run stop unit will need to stop LV RB Jacobs - who is having a career year. LV has covered this series 5 straight times but look for the surging Steelers who welcome the warm weather Raiders to the 7-degree temperature of Heinz Field. Pittsburgh the call. 

Philadelphia/Dallas 4:25: This series has gone 'over' 4 straight and 5 of the last 7 in Dallas. Philadelphia offense shouldn't slow down with Minshew at the helm. He would most likely be a starting QB on at least 3 NFL teams this season. And he's got a lot of skill weaponry at his disposal, including TE Goedert back for this one. Cowboys have injuries on the back end of their defense, and with Dallas LB Vander Esch out, Eagles run game won't miss a beat with arguably the best offensive line in the league leading the way. Cowboys' run stop unit 24th in the league vulnerable. On the other hand, Eagles only soft spot is their run stop unit. They're in the lower echelon of the league stopping the run (19th). And Dallas can run the football when they're devoted to it. With heavy "over" trends for these teams in December, we'll go "over" here. 

Commanders/49ers 4:05: Commanders won the total yards in passing and rushing vs the Giants last week but costly errors (strip sack) and inability to close in the red zone cost them the game. Look for Washington to do well in this spot. They're 7-3 ATS in Week 16 and 3-0-1 ATS at SF including a 23-15 outright win at SF back in Ron Rivera's first year coaching Washington in 2020. SF could take their foot off the gas pedal here after clinching division. Commanders will have DE Chase Young making his season debut to give Brock Purdy trouble. And offensively, the weapons are abundant with Dotson, Samuel, McLaurin, RB Robinson. SF just 3-7 ATS in Week 16. We'll take the points. 

Saints/Browns 1:00: Browns are made to play in the inclement weather on Saturday. Watson is getting comfortable in the system and the run game with Chubb and Hunt behind a rock solid offensive line should be the deciding factor. Saints, 21st in rushing, not utilizing Kamara like they should. And explosive receiver Olave out. Taysom Hill may get significant action to attempt to gain yardage in what should be extremely cold with heavy winds. Browns made for this weather and Saints are not. 

Bengals/Patriots 1:00: Patriots no longer the intimidating force at Foxborough where they've gone 3-3 SU/ATS this season. They've dominated this series, but the trend should flip starting today. Patriots have average offensive personnel coached by questionable offensive minds (DC Patricia/QB Coach Judge). And Mac Jones displays a temperament and pocket awareness not feasible to be a big game winner. NE wants to pound the rock, throw the quick screens but Bengals' defense surely up to the challenge. They have a good run-stop-unit (8th vs the run), limit points in the red zone, and create turnovers. On the other side of the ball, Burrow is sacked less often now and the Bengals' offense is rolling. They're well balanced, limit turnovers and have dangerous weapons (Chase, Higgins, Perine, Mixon, Boyd) that NE defensive backs will have trouble with. And now that the Bengals' offensive line is starting to gel, Bengals should keep it rolling. 

Jacksonville/NY Jets 8:15: Last December, the Jets gashed the Jaguars on the ground for 273 yards rushing en route to a 26-21 home win. Zach Wilson threw for a mere 100 yards but did more damage with his feet (97 yards). Jets lost their rushing mojo when Breece Hall went down at Denver. Jaguars' defense still vulnerable vs the run but have the offense clicking as QB Lawrence coming into his own in his second season at the helm And a healthy versatile RB Etienne is surely helping the successful transition. Meanwhile, Zach Wilson still going through growing pains in his second year running the offense and Jax defense, which has created 21 turnovers, is licking their chops watching film on Wilson. We'll grab the points with the upward trending Jaguars. 

Jaguars/Jets 8:15: This series has gone "over" 5 straight and "over" in 5 of the last 6 overall. I projected about a 39 or 40 'total' for tonight based on the inclement weather, defensive prowess of the Jets, and lack of offense by the Jets. Therefore, a few points of value with the "over" here. Both teams have had turnover issues - which leads to sudden change points. Jaguars have cleaned their turnovers up over their winning streak as Lawrence has been razor sharp as the offense is humming. Jets' offense stuck in neutral with Wilson at QB but did gut the Jaguars last year on the ground with 273 yards rushing en route to 26-21 win on this field. Jax is 8-1 O/U in their last 9 road games and 4-0 O/U in their last 4 overall. They're also 5-0 O/U in December. We'll go "over". 

Rams/Packers 8:15: Rams coming off an emotional high after their epic win over the Raiders last Thursday. Baker Mayfield, claimed off the waiver wire two days prior, capped off the comeback with a 98 yard drive. It was truly a remarkable feat considering he had limited plays to his knowledge, no time to get into a rhythm with receivers, not to mention calling the pass protection and signal count. What was also remarkable, was the ineptitude of the Raiders' defense which made major blunders (penalties) to allow the Rams back in the game. I don't see lightning striking twice in Green Bay tonight. Mayfield was also good in his early outings in Cleveland coming off bench improvising and ripping the ball downfield. Packers more disciplined defensively in all areas of their game and won't make the mistakes the Raiders did. Now that Mayfield had time to settle in a bit, we'll look for the last year's Mayfield, and even this year's Carolina Mayfield to emerge. Not an easy task for the Rams to transition to 20 degrees tonight. They have not had success against Green Bay. Packers have covered this series eight straight times, including four as a favorite of 7 or more. Rams still have a patchwork offensive line, no Cooper Kupp or Aaron Donald. Packers should roll. 

Analysis to follow...

Dolphins/Bills 8:15: The cold weather stigma on Miami in December won't go away, and it shouldn't; after all, in December, they're a disturbing 0-9 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss vs an opponent off s SU win. And after a red-hot start, Tua has been catching flak on his fallout after back-to-back sub-par performances He completed just 45.9% of his passes over the last two weeks, including against the depleted secondary of the Chargers last week. And yes, it's going to be a cold, snowy, windy night Saturday evening. The only other time Tua has played in freezing temperatures was January 2nd at Tennessee last year. He had a horrible day in a 34-3 blowout loss. He and the Dolphins have a lot to prove tonight. They're just 2-7-1 ATS at Buffalo. And without a run game (#29 in league with just 89.8 YPG), Tua will be in for a long night against the #2 scoring defense in the league. Cold weather grown Josh Allen should get his game back on track tonight against a defense that allows 31.4 PPG. Buffalo the call. 

Ravens/Browns 4:30: Browns still mathematically alive for playoffs but face an uphill battle and it starts today. Ravens, 12-3 ATS in December, are playing sound football and winning games despite QB Jackson sidelined. Backup QB Huntley got the nod and got the job done. He's in concussion protocol but did participate in walk through Thursday. He or 3rd string Anthony Brown have, a solid supporting cast with a now deep backfield as J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards back in the fray behind a very good offensive line. And Ravens' offense always more productive with Mark Andrews in the lineup. Cleveland defense underachieving (27th in league) allowing nearly 25 PPG. On the other hand, #8 ranked scoring defense on their game ever since All Pro MLB Roquan Smith was brought on before the trade deadline. The Ravens' defense has been outstanding over last 3 weeks. Cleveland's QB DeShaun Watson still rusty after a few starts and he's got his hands full again today. Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in this series including 23-20 win on October 23rd. Browns' HC Stefanski can't be trusted as a favorite off a SU loss at 3-10 ATS. Solid traveling Ravens should get it done again. 

Colts/Vikings 1:00: Vikings have a hard time putting teams away because of a yielding defense. Sure, Colts' offense is pedestrian but has talented players in RB Jonathon Taylor, WRs Pierce, Pittman Jr., Campbell. And the offensive line has been solid. Turnovers have killed the Colts this year as Matt Ryan has seen his better days; however, there might be some old magic left after a bye week and against a defense that's allowed an average of 30.4 PPG over the last 5 games. A few weeks ago, Colts hung tough with Dallas for 3 quarters until the turnovers started and they unraveled. Vikings don't nearly have the defense Dallas does. Colts are 4-0 ATS after allowing more than 30 points. They're also 5-1 ATS on Saturday and covered 4 straight in this series. Colts' defense has a ball hawking secondary, and a solid pass rush. Vikings just 1-7 ATS vs an opponent off a bye week and just 3-9 ATS vs teams below .500. Take the points with the Colts. 

49ers/Seahawks 8:15: On paper, SF clearly the call; after all, they've won 6 straight (5-1 ATS), coming off blowout win over Tampa Bay. They have the #1 defense in the NFL, and Brock Purdy is taking SF by storm guiding the offense. On the other hand, Seattle has lost 4 straight ATS, has a defense that's been gashed in 3 of last 4 games, and Geno Smith has thrown 4 INTs over last 3 games. Easy call, right? Hold everything. Seattle not an easy out under Pete Carroll. Remember, no other coach holds his amazing prime time record. He's 11-2 ATS at home off a double digit ATS loss, and 10-2 ATS as a dog vs .500 or greater division opponent. He has Kenneth Walker III back in the fray to fuel the run game, pretty healthy offensive line to ward off the smoke SF will bring, and 8-1 ATS as a division dog vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. And remember, Purdy is a rookie, and the Seahawks' ball hawking secondary is talented with C Woolen, C Jackson, FS Diggs. This will be Purdy's first road test at the ridiculously loud Lumen Field with 72,000 screaming fans. And he's short one big weapon in Deebo Samuel. And keep in mind SF is just 2-8-1 ATS in Seattle, 2-5 ATS Week 15, 1-3 ATS as a Thursday Night road favorite, and 0-6 ATS on Thursday night off a SU win. Seattle will be ready tonight to avenge the Week 2 loss.  

Patriots/Cardinals 8:15: Patriots have a bit more stability in their program now. Arizona enduring another Kingsbury flop down the stretch of the season. Cardinals have been a brutal team in December. They've lost 4 of their last 5 December tilts and dropped 9 of their last 12 home games. Cardinals are coming off a bye week so they're healthier; however, with playoffs just about a distant memory, doubt that they took advantage of the extra prep time to their maximum benefit. Arizona has been a disaster on MNF at 2-10 ATS. They're also 0-8 ATS on MNF vs non-division opponent off a SU loss. Patriots are actually 5-0 ATS as a road favorite on MNF. I do realize that the Patriots' offense is brutal with Patricia and Judge as an integral part of it. Mac Jones will have to make do with them for at least the rest of the season. Fortunately, the Patriots have a decent defense (6th in points allowed). Can't say the same for Arizona - 32nd in NFL in points allowed at 27 PPG. And the Arizona offense has been stuck in neutral for most of the season. NE has had trouble with mobile QBs (Justin Fields/Josh Allen/Lamar Jackson) so that is a major concern with Murray; however, we'll look for Belichick to finally figure it out tonight. Belichick 7-1 ATS off double digit loss vs less than .500 team. And he's 12-2 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. Patriots do have something to play for now that the Jets lost. NE the call. 

Dolphins/Chargers 8:20: Chargers have their share of injuries to star players (Bosa, J.C. Jackson, Derwin James, Slater, Pipkins III) and because of that, they're home underdogs - rightfully so. However, as long as Herbert is on the field and he has capable receivers, they're in the game. The good news is Keenan Allen is healthy and matchup nightmare Mike Williams (ankle) will be back in a limited role. Herbert also gets his C Lindsley back. And versatile RB Ekeler (85 receptions and 5 TD catches) is healthy. Throw WR Palmer and TE Everett in the mix and that quick passing game of LA is dangerous. Miami pass defense has been vulnerable (233.5 YPG - 22nd in league). Sure, Miami's explosive weaponry will get their share of points against a yielding Chargers' defense, but Herbert and company should be able to trade points successfully. We'll take the points with the desperate home team clinging on to their playoff hopes by a thread. 

Panthers/Seahawks 4:25: Going into this season, Seahawks' Carroll was 2-10 O/U as a favorite vs a less than .500 foe. That trend has flipped this year as the Seahawks are 3-0 O/U as chalk vs losing teams. Seahawks' defense in mid-October through mid-November actually did well keeping teams out of the end zone. Over the last few weeks, however, they're giving up chunks of yards on the ground resulting in scoring drives. Carolina has a good one in D'Onta Foreman (4.5 YPC). Good possibility he'll help open the pass game for resurging QB Darnold who showed promise last week vs a very good Denver defense. On the other hand, Seahawks' #9 ranked offense is finding the end zone this season. RB depth is questionable Geno Smith still has the explosive receiving weaponry to torch secondaries and Carolina's is a middle of the road one, if that. This series has gone 6-0 O/U in its last 6 meetings and 6-0 O/U in Seattle. Panthers are 5-0 O/U last 5 road vs teams with winning home records. "Over" it is. 

Eagles/Giants 1:00: Eagles clearly playing like a Super Bowl contender with no glaring weaknesses on both sides of the ball. Yet, they have had their difficulties with the Giants, especially at home where NY won and covered the last two. In those two, Hurts threw for just 51.7%. And in his last stop in the Meadowlands, he was picked off three times in a 13-7 defeat. Of course, AJ Brown addition changes the whole scheme of things. He's a matchup nightmare with anyone in single coverage. Giants are a yielding defense but do limit explosive plays and toughen in the red zone. Giants allow 21 PPG good for 12th in the league. Philadelphia defense for the most part rock solid but they've had some issues stopping the run. Washington and Houston were able to outrush them. Giants' 1000+ yard rusher - Barkley (neck) overdue to get on track after averaging a measly 2.8 YPC over last 3 games. And QB Daniel Jones continues to be dangerous on the ground - racking up 522 yards. Eagles are coming off a blowout win but just 2-6-1 ATS after scoring 30+. Giants, on a 7-2 ATS run, have cleaned up turnover problem this season (5th in league) under Daboll. And Eagles not having star S Gardner-Johnson (6 INT, 55 solo tackles) big loss. And offensively, no TE Goedert (IR) stymies the pass game a bit. We'll look for the fighting Giants to hang tough today in the Meadowlands. 

Vikings/Lions 1:00: Lions now 11-4 ATS at home under Campbell. Lions looking to avenge Week 3 loss but cover to Vikings. Vikings are a resilient team that delivers late game heroics, including that September 25th matchup in which they trailed 24-14 entering the 4th quarter. But Lions have learned to clean up their game lately. They've won 5 straight ATS including 4-1 SU. During that run they've cut down significantly on turnovers. Goff has been machine like in precision with 8 TD passes and only 1 INT over last 6 games. Lions are a rare favorite here and that seems dangerous considering the Vikings late game surges; however, Lions have covered 4 straight in this series and are actually 7-0 ATS as home favorites of less than 8 points vs greater than .400 opponent. This is their 2nd favorite role on the year (1-1 SU/ATS) and we'll lay-up to 2 points here or get on money line at a reasonable price. 

Minnesota/Detroit 1:00: Both of these teams have heavy "over" trends. And this series has gone 4-1 O/U in its last 5 meetings and 4-1 O/U in Detroit. Lions on a 10-4 O/U overall run. Not a surprise considering their defense allows 27 PPG (last in the league). But Goff and company have been machine-like this season averaging 26.3 PPG. OC Ben Johnson has done an outstanding job working with Goff and the offense. They should be able to frequent the end zone against the worst pass defense in the NFL that allows 283.6 YPG. We'll go "over" here. 

Raiders/Rams 8:15: Rams' defense getting toasted by the pass. Over the last 3 weeks, the Rams are 1 of 3 teams that have allowed 300+ passing yards per game giving up 2.3 TDs per game. Enter the hot Raiders led by Derek Carr who has multiple TD passes in 5 straight games including against pretty good pass defenses (Denver, Indianapolis, Los Angeles Chargers). What has aided Carr, is the revved up running game of Josh Jacobs behind an offensive line that's found its footing; consequently, that opens the play action game with the always dangerous Davonte Adams - who has been on a tear. On the other side of the ball, Raiders' defense leaves a lot to be desired. Injuries in secondary and on the line. And they yield yards and explosive plays; however, not sure if Rams can take advantage of it. Rams' offensive line still has issues, QB Wolford is questionable with sore neck, which leaves versatile Bryce Perkins and newly acquired Mayfield. Mayfield most likely won't see action. You don't learn a system, signals, line calls in week. Just not going to happen. Nevertheless, still no direction to this offense without Kupp and Stafford. Cam Akers did show promise in the run game last week, but Las Vegas should have that strength well studied. Raiders did show promise in pass rush last week as Chandler Jones finally showed up to help out always hustling Maxx Crosby. Raiders have a tendency to make games interesting and not super confident laying points with them. We'll trend lightly with the Raiders tonight. 

Raiders/Rams 8:15: This series is 1-4 O/U. Rams are 8-17 O/U in last 25 home games. McVay 2-9 O/U at home off SU/ATS loss. We'll stay "under". 

Saints/Bucs 8:15: Both teams in contention for division title. Bucs (5-6) can pull away with some breathing room with a win and they should deliver vs the struggling Saints (4-8). Saints gave TB problems last season with a season sweep. That was under Sean Payton. This season, Saints don't have near the swagger under Dennis Allen. Saints sport a minus 15 turnover margin. Offensively, they've had spurts of offensive success but turn the ball over way too much (21). Defensively, they do get back Lattimore who's given Mike Evans problems in the past; however, he hasn't played since Week 5. TB delivered the win in Week 20-10 at New Orleans. Dennis Allen a poor 0-6 ATS with revenge vs opponent off a SU loss. Look for Brady and company to bounce back strong in this spot. They're 11-2 ATS as favorites of less than 7 points off a SU non-division favorite loss. TB the call. 

Chargers/Raiders 4:25: In recent history, this series has been closely contested with the dog going 19-8 in the last 27 meetings. Chargers are 5-2 ATS when playing on the road vs the Raiders. Sure, Chargers have a few offensive linemen (C Linsley, RT Pipkins III) out, but Herbert's quick release, the return of crafty veteran Kennan Allen, emergence of Palmer, and the ability of RB Ekeler to get open make up for that. LA will have to find a way to chip or slow down Maxx Crosby. I trust they will. On the other hand, Chargers' defense has its problems but have playmakers like Mack and Derwin James who can make big plays. We'll look for the Chargers to stick around and deliver. '

Seahawks/Rams 4:05: It seems ridiculous to lay a TD on the road in a division game with a team that's been gutted by the run in back-to-back games; however, this game dictates to do the ridiculous. Rams without defensive impact player Aaron Donald (ankle) and starting QB Stafford (concussion). Sure, Wofford has proven to be a viable backup but he has limited weapons with no Cooper Kupp (IR) and Allen Robinson ((R). Rams' HC McVay is only as good as his horses will allow him to be. Today, he doesn't have the horses to compete at a high level. On the other hand, Carroll does. Although a flu was going around earlier in the week, the Seahawks are relatively healthy. Defensive minded Carroll will figure out the leaky run-stop-unit especially against a reshuffled Rams' offensive line with a running game 31st in the league. The Rams are a 1/2 yard short of being the worst offense in the NFL. All said and done, Seattle's lost 3 straight to division rival Los Angeles and need a win here to keep pace with NFC West leader SF. Pete Carroll is an amazing 13-2 ATS off back-to-back losses. I won't bet against him in this situation. Seattle the call. 

Commanders/Giants 1:00: Commanders on a 6-1 run primarily because they've won the turnover battle during that run. They're plus-7 in turnover margin the last 7 weeks. They were minus-7 in their 1-4 start to the season. Moreover, they've also won the run game battle in 5 of their last 7 games enabling Heinicke to work successfully his wealth of talented receivers. On the other hand, the Giants, after a hot start, are starting to stumble. They've lost 3 of their last 4 SU in which they lost the run game battle. In the first nine games, Barkley ran for 931 yards. The last two weeks, he's been held to 61 yards on 26 carries. Washington defense plays the run well; moreover, they get Chase Young back today to help feast on Daniel Jones and the beat-up Giants' offensive line. And defensively, Giants' dealing with injuries. Washington relatively healthy going into this one and have a bye next week. We'll look for their roll to continue. 

Titans/Eagles 1:00: Titans a dangerous road team that's won 5 straight ATS on the road (4-1 SU). Eagles are a legitimate NFC contender with a potent Top 3 offense. But Titans have an underrated defense that stiffens in the red zone (18.6 PPG allowed. Eagles on the other hand, have few flaws; however, they're missing their ball hawking S Gardner-Johnson (lacerated kidney), and although Blankenship looked solid in that reserve role last week, he's still just a rookie. Look for King Henry and the play action game of Tannehill and company to get it going this week. Eagles have been vulnerable to strong run games this season. Titans are a sweet 18-7 ATS on the road vs the NFC East including 9-1 ATS in the last 10. Tennessee the call. 

Bills/Patriots 8:15: Patriots in a desperation mode with an almost "must win" scenario. Bills and Miami are tied in the AFC East while New England sits in 4th place behind the Jets. Huge revenge match for NE. They had nearly a year to stew over their blowout loss in the playoffs to Buffalo. Tonight, they're catching the 1-4 ATS Bills. Bills' Josh Allen not the same since that November 6th loss to the Jets. He's dealing with the lingering effects of an elbow (UCL) injury. Even before the injury, he's had uncharacteristic interception problems. Over the last 5 games, he's thrown 7 INTs. It won't help that his RT Dawkins (ankle) is out. Patriots' #4 ranked defense should have an adequate plan on stopping Allen, not only through the air but on foot; after all, he leads the team in rushing too. Let's hope Patriots' defense learned their lesson from getting gutted by QB Power on October 24th by Justin Fields of the Bears. Look for NE' defense to buckle down with Judon (13 sacks) and company. On the offensive end, Mac Jones actually playing pretty well. No interceptions over the last 3 games.  He won't have Von Miller (knee) racing him down off the edge. And Jones gets back his starting center David Andrews tonight. The inclement weather (cold and windy) will most likely have RB Stevenson carrying lots of the load with Damien Harris (thigh) out. Bills have been vulnerable against the run over the last 5 games as well. Patriots have a solid winning history on Thursday nights, and we'll give them the edge here. Take the points. 

Steelers/Colts 8:15: When Indianapolis is committed to the run with Jonathan Taylor, they do well. Under Saturday, they started running the football more; consequently, Taylor ran for 147 vs the Raiders and 84 vs Philadelphia. It surely helped Ryan settle in a bit and not turn the ball over. Ryan has been sacked 29 times this season in nine starts, including 4 last week. Pittsburgh brings to the field a better run-stop-unit than LV and Philadelphia. Steelers are 6th in the NFL against the run allowing 103.4 YPG. Myles Jack has been instrumental in helping in that area this year. Steelers will surely look to neutralize Taylor and, with T.J. Watt having a game under his belt following his injury, look to tee off on Ryan. Last year's Defensive MVP is a an offensive game wrecker. Heyward and improving Highsmith (9 sacks) give Pitt a formidable pass rush. Moreover, ball hawking FS Fitzpatrick is getting healthy again. Offensively, Steelers not prolific offensively, but getting better. RB Harris is starting to find room behind his line. He ran for 90 last week vs a pretty good Bengals' defense. And Pickett has completed a respectable 65.4% of his passes with no interceptions the last two games. Steelers aren't going to pack it in under Tomlin. Tomlin's 5-0 as a less than .500 team off a SU loss vs an opponent off a SU loss. And he's got a solid record as a MNF road dog at 12-8 ATS. Steelers the call. 

Raiders/Seahawks 4:05: Seahawks coming off a bye week after losing to TB in Germany. They're relatively healthy and should get the run game cooking with Kenneth Walker III behind an offensive line that seems to improve every week. And Geno Smith is feeding off the success of Wallker III with 73% completion and 108 passer rating (#2 in NFL). Seahawks' defense has also improved dramatically starting in mid-October. Raiders coming off a win at Denver but haven't won two straight all season. Seahawks won and covered two straight in this series and we'll look for the better coached Seahawks to deliver at home today.  

Denver/Carolina 1:00: Denver is the lowest scoring team in the NFL with just 14.7 PPG but they do have a top tier defense that keeps them in games. Carolina is not much better offensively. They're 31st in total YPG produced and average just 18.8 PPG. And Sam Darnold, who hasn't had success at this level, will get his first start of the season after Baker Mayfield flopped again in his bid to earn the starting QB position. Panthers' defense, which is lower tier in the league (19th), not good enough to overcome Carolina's offensive inefficiencies, including 15 turnovers (27th in league). Russell Wilson overdue to have a decent game despite the skill personnel injuries. Denver the call.