Redskins/Giants 8:25: Giants in desperate need of a victory after collapsing in 4th quarter of each of their games this season. We'll look for Eli Manning and company to roll against a team they've had great recent success against (4-0 SU/ATS). Redskins have a smash mouth run game with Alfred Morris but NY has done well defensively stopping the run (allow 68 Y.P.G.). And NY gets MLB Beason (knee) back for this one. I don't see QB Kirk Cousins racking up big yardage with his top receiver DeSean Jackson out. Sure the Redskins were impressive at home vs St. Louis last week; however, the Giants are a sweet 8-1 ATS off SU/ATS loss against a division opponent off a double digit SU/SU non-division win.

Jets/Colts 8:30: Colts off to a rough start last week but should bounce back strong tonight; after all, Pagano is a dangerous 10-1 ATS off a SU loss. The Colts' defense should generate a pass rush on Jets' QB Fitzpatrick with Mathis and Cole, while the secondary has got to show improvement. On the other hand, Andrew Luck should be on his game despite playmaker Hilton (out). Luck still has good weaponry surrounding him and Andre Johnson still has some juice in him. Indy is 9-0 ATS as MNF favorites of 2 or more points. And keep in mind that Jets' QB Fitzpatrick is 0-15 SU on the road against foes who ended season with a winning record. Colts the call.

49ers/Steelers 1:00: Steelers' defense had many breakdowns last week under DC Butler, who spent years under former DC LeBeau. On the other hand, last week the 49ers came out playing smash mouth football like nothing changed from the last few years under HC Tomsula. The 49ers may have lost guys to retirement and other reasons, but they are equipped with good players: Reid, Lynch, Brooks, Bowman, Bethea and Brock. And Carlos Hyde was a huge addition as he did an amazing job running the ball to complement QB Kaepernick. We'll look for SF to move the football against the Steelers. I do realize that Roethlisberger is as good as it gets at QB and the Steelers' offense remains explosive; however, I like what SF DC Mangini is doing with the defense. And keep in mind that SF is 12-0-3 ATS as a dog of more than 3 points off a non division game. SF the call.

Cardinals/Bears 1:00: Bears have shown improvement defensively but still turnover laden offensively. Sure, the Cardinals' defense will yield yards but make plays when needed; on the other hand, the Bears are learning how to win and haven't arrived yet. Bears are 7-19 ATS at home including 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a winning road team. Cards 9-1 ATS on the road against losing home teams. Arizona is also 14-4 ATS off a SU win; moreover, Carson Palmer 14-2 SU in his last 16 games including 7-0 run. Sure, Ellington is out but Chris Johnson still has some juice especially behind a respectable Cardinals' line. And rookie David Johnson is an underrated back that shows promise. We'll look for QB Palmer to be protected enough in the pocket to hit his talented receivers and get the job done here.

Broncos/Chiefs 8:25: Hard to  go against a Broncos team that is 11-1 ATS on the road against division opponents and 6-1 ATS on Thursday nights; moreover, Denver sports a dominating 13-1 SU mark against KC including 4-0 at Arrowhead! Sure, Manning had difficulty adapting to Kubiak's system but the defense picked up the slack. KC does have a productive offense but with Denver's Pro Bowl Safety T.J. Ward back after a one game suspension, the Broncos' strong pass coverage and pass rush should create problems for a KC offense that rarely stretches the field with its wide receivers and have yet to utilize Macklin effectively. Like Ware and Miller as the bookends wreaking more havoc. I'll take the value and the points with Denver.

Vikings/49ers 10:20 pm: The only thing the 49ers have going for them here is their home field. No longer will they have the coaching of the detail oriented Harbaugh to ensure every aspect of the game is run like clockwork. Defections, retirements and releases should turn SF into a mediocre team. Tonight, I see a turnover laden offense, and poor defensive technique contributing to missed tackles and open receivers: that comes with inexperience and rebuilding. On the other hand, Minnesota showed promise last year under Zimmer and was a strong 10-6 ATS. With a solid draft, good acquisitions (Mike Wallace) over the summer, and the return of Adrian Peterson, the Vikings are in good shape to make some noise. It should start tonight in a win here.

Baltimore/Denver 4:25: I like the value with the Ravens. Harbaugh is 5-2 ATS in season openers although having lost in each of the last two years. We'll look for Baltimore to get out of the gate fast here. Still defensively solid and new OC Trestman can only had to Joe Flacco's production. And Baltimore has covered 8 of the last 11 in this series. We'll look for Baltimore to get after Manning and company here.

Tennessee/Tampa Bay 4:25: Tennessee can go nowhere but up after last year's dismal output. Today, we'll look for the Titans to get out of the gate strong against a TB squad in a rebuilding stage. Tennessee HC Whisenhunt has a good history of developing QBs; after all, Roethlisberger in his rookie year went 14-1. Enter Mariotta who looked good in pre-season and offers lots of fast twitch to go with a pretty accurate arm. He has a good supporting cast with a well coached o-line and tall targets with rookie Green-Beckham and acquisition Hakeem Nicks. And Hall of Fame DC Dick LeBeau should help shore up the Titans' defense. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 in this series and we'll grab the points.

Steelers/Patriots 8:30: Statistically, the Patriots are the call here at 13-5 ATS at home overall run and 4-1 ATS at home in this series; moreover, the Steelers struggle out of the gate in Game 1 at 1-5 ATS. However, games aren't played on paper and reconfigured lineups need time to establish rhythm. Offensively, the Patriots will not have their veteran center Stork -- an important position to set the pass blocking. The Steelers new DC Butler, a longtime LeBeau disciple, should bring heavy zone blitzing/fire zones tonight which should help shore up the worst defensive pass coverage team in the pre-season. On the other hand, the Patriots' defense has multiple defections and new holes to fill. One of the weak links will be C Fletcher, whom the Steelers' OC Haley will attempt to put on an island in one on one matchups with some pretty talented receivers including Antonio Brown. And a healthy Roethlisberger, behind a much improved offensive line under Coach Mauck, can do much damage to the inexperienced secondary of New England. And despite Le'veon Bell's absence (suspension), I believe veteran RB DeAngelo Williams still has some juice left in his tank. With the dog at 9-3 ATS in this series, we'll take the value with the Steelers and grab the touchdown.

Patriots/Seahawks 6:30: Although the Patriots are a formidable foe, I like the Seahawks' game. The Seahawks' defense has a great collection of hungry and well disciplined athletes; guys who were passed over by other teams as high draft picks and yet play very well together with a nasty bite. Their long and fast secondary can effectively choose their spots to take Gronk out of his game. And RB Blount won't have the opportunity to run roughshod over the stingy run-stop-unit of Seattle; consequently, limited in mobility QB Brady won't have an easy time to get the play action pass game going. And Seattle HC Carroll has his men well prepared, as usual, to spot ineligible/eligible receivers and other out of the ordinary formations to counter effectively. On the other hand, the Seahawks' offense, led by Russell Wilson, should be able to gradually wear down the Patriots' defense over the course of the game with the blend of battering RB Lynch and the never ending fight of Wilson. The well rounded Seahawks, with few weaknesses at this stage of the season, including strong specialty teams, should deliver the goods.

Packers/Seahawks 3:05: Tried to build a case for the Packers here, but can't pull the trigger. With QB Rodgers' mobility reduced, he will be a sitting duck among the fire Pete Carroll will bring on him today; moreover, his rocket launch release on one leg was effective against a mediocre Dallas' pass rush but won't cut it past the launch point against the break neck speed of Seattle's defense. Seattle has the secondary speed to man up on hot reads by Rodgers. Dallas was ineffective in doing so. Defensively, the Packers are yielding against the run (123 YPG / 4.3 YPC) and Seattle's Lynch is at his best this time of year. And QB Russell Wilson feeds off the productive Seahawks' run game. Carroll has his men hungry and very attentive to detail. We'll roll with Seattle here.

Panthers/Seahawks 8:15: Not a believer in the Panthers. They skated through their last five opponents but were fortunate to have a favorable schedule. In each of their last five, inadequacies were evident, including Arizona's inept third team QB Lindley. Today, the Panthers' win streak will come to a screeching halt against the well oiled machine of Seattle which has few flaws to exploit. And given that Panthers' star DE Lotulelei (foot) won't be on the field, the Seahawks should keep their offensive mojo. On the other hand, not a fan of Cam Newton in the playoffs. He did not look good last week and should be affected by the Seahawks' 12th man. We'll look for Seattle to roll.

Ravens/Steelers 8:15: Like the Ravens' defense. Dumervil and Suggs are dangerous off the edge and getting Ngata back today helps strengthen the run-stop-unit. The Steelers' offense shouldn't have the pop it had with Le'veon Bell on the shelf. He was the offensive MVP by a wide margin for a reason and it will hurt Pittsburgh's production tonight. On the other hand, I like the Ravens' pass game with the Torrey and Steve Smith. And Forsett has done a bang up job carrying the run load. Pittsburgh has flaws defensively this season and Flacco should be able to exploit them. Remember, the Ravens are a sweet 4-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs and this series has been decided by 3 or less in 5 of the last 7 games. We'll grab the points here.

Arizona/Carolina 4:35: Sure, the Panthers are on a 4-0 run and their defense is playing great; however, they've beaten losing teams in that winning run. The Panthers are a money burning 1-4 ATS as a conference non-division favorite of more than 4 points and tend to flop in January at 1-5 ATS. On the other hand, the Cardinals are a sweet 9-1 ATS on the road against teams with losing home records; moreover, they're 8-2 ATS on Saturdays. Sure, the Cardinals are going against the third team QB in Lindley and he isn't the caliber of Carolina's Newton; however, he has a sound supporting cast and gained confidence with a good effort at SF last week. Cardinals' HC Arians should allow him to manage the game effectively while playmakers -- Fitzgerald, John Brown and Patrick Peterson do their thing. And I like the Arizona defense which can get after the QB and sound against the run. We'll look for Arizona to be the dangerous dog here.

Broncos/Bengals 8:30: Lots of action on Denver forcing line move and I'm going to hop on the Bengals! I do realize they've been a prime time disaster and big game disappointment, but it's overdue to turn in their favor and should come tonight. The Bengals' defense was downright nasty last week in shutting down Cleveland; however, I do realize that Denver is another animal with Manning and the talented receiving contingent and productive run game. Nevertheless, I like the d-line play of Cincinnati -- which can bring heat by itself without the blitz. And the Bengals have yielded 300+ passing yards only twice in their last 23 home games. Moreover, the run-stop-unit of Cincy has yielded less yardage per game than Denver's. On the offensive side, the run game of the Bengals behind Jeremy hill is cooking; consequently, we'll look for momentum to stay on their side as the Bengals have a history of closing strong in December as a home dog with a fabulous 8-1 ATS mark against .600 or greater opponents. They're also a sweet 6-0 ATS at home after allowing 10 points or less. And the Broncos have not been all that great on MNF at 1-4-1 ATS and a money burning 1-6 ATS in its last 7 on field turf. Bengals the call.

Vikings/Dolphins 1:00: This game has strong "under" trends at reasonable value. The once productive Miami offense is sputtering down the stretch with scoring outputs of 16, 13, 13, respectively. The Miami defense, however, remains in the top 10 in points allowed and total yards. Minnesota, the 26th ranked offense in the NFL shouldn't pose a major threat as a traveler here. On the other hand, the Vikings' defense has been solid under defensive minded HC Zimmer and we'll look for points to be at a premium today. Miami is 3-7-1 O/U at home, 1-5 O/U in December. Minnesota is 0-4 O/U in their last 4 road tilts and 1-4 O/U off a SU loss. They're also 1-6 O/U after scoring less than 15 points. We'll stay "under" here.

Chargers/49ers 8:25: Consensus is the 49ers threw in the towel after the Seattle loss but I won't stick a fork in them yet. Sure, there will be no playoffs and Harbaugh has a foot out the door; however, many in the SF organization have much to play for, including QB Kaepernick whose stock has plummeted. And the SF defense remains staunch even without McDonald. On the other hand, the Chargers will be without leading receiver Keenan Allen while QB Rivers is hampered with chest and back injuries. Rivers' production has declined over the last month and given his limited mobility to begin with, he'll have difficulty maneuvering against an aggressive SF pass rush. Chargers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 on grass and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday tilts. SF, under Harbaugh, is 8-2 ATS as a favorite against an opponent off back-to-back losses, and 8-1 ATS as a home favorite against an opponent off a division game. SF the call.

Titans/Jaguars 8:25: Two offensively challenged teams with a history of low scoring games at this location (0-4 O/U) gives pretty good value to the under. Bortles is struggling at the helm and has been sacked 41 times since October 9th. Tennessee, although yielding against the run, can bring QB pressure and keep Bortles and the passing game at bay. On the other hand, the Titans are playing with their third string QB Whitehurst -- who actually had a pretty good game October 12 at home vs Jacksonville; however, his supporting cast is not the greatest and he sports a sluggish 84.9 passer rating. And with RB McCluster out, the Jags' aggressive front will be sure to bring plenty of heat. This series is 2-7-1 O/U in its last 10. Jacksonville is 2-9 O/U at home in division games the last three years. Under it is.

Cowboys/Bears 8:25: Cowboys are playing well on the road and surely have more to play for than the Bears who are on the brink of playoff elimination. However, the Cowboys have that tendency to underachieve this time of year and notorious for falling flat when needing a win. As a matter of fact, the Cowboys are a money burning 3-12-2 ATS in Week 14, and they're 1-5 ATS in December. Dallas HC Garrett is 0-8 ATS against a .500 opponent off a division game.  And this isn't the greatest spot for Dallas; after all, they're 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 4 or more in the first of back to back road games. Remember, the Bears whipped the Cowboys pretty good in Chicago around this time of year last season 45-28. The Bears played their last few games at Soldier Field tough -- winning and covering against the Vikings and Bucs, respectively. And the Bears have the offensive weaponry to dent the Cowboys' defense. The Cowpokes are a mere 2-9 ATS when the O/U is set at 48 or higher. Take the points and the Bears.

Dolphins/Jets 8:40: Lots of action on the Dolphins -- the better football team and one that is still in the hunt for a playoff birth. Sure, one year ago today, they beat the stew out of the Jets in Jersey too. And with the announcement that interception prone Geno Smith is inserted back in the starting lineup, fading the Jets tonight appears to be the trendy choice; however, at a closer look, NY can be competitive here and cover. NYJ has a sweet 5-1 ATS mark as a MNF dog of less than 8 points and sports a 3-0-1 ATS mark in December. And Geno Smith has done some pretty good work in prime time. He does have the opportunity to exploit the inexperienced corners of Miami, which has thinned because of injury. And HC Ryan will look to get the run game going with a variety of looks, including some read option. On the other hand, the Jets' defense stuffs the run pretty well and give disrupt QB Tannehill, who in long yardage situations has struggled. The fair weathered Dolphins will be in freezing temperatures Monday and not exactly money this time of year; as a matter of fact, Miami is a mere 2-18 ATS as a .500 or greater team as a favorite against a division opponent in December. And with the Dolphins poor 0-5 ATS mark in its last 5 MNF tilts, we'll roll with New York.

Redskins/49ers 4:25: The 49ers have turned up their play on a 5-2 SU/ATS run while the Redskins have gone in the opposite direction on a 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS slide. The 49ers' Harbaugh has SF going in the right direction with an improved defense and a run game that's starting to click. And Harbaugh feasts on teams of this caliber this time of year. He is 8-2 ATS as a favorite vs an opponent off back to back SU losses. A year ago, SF pasted Washington 27-6 in Landover. I don't think Washington has made strides in their level of play under RG III and Gruden is in a tough predicament to go to McCoy (2-0 run as a starter for them). We'll look for SF to keep it cranking en route to a playoff birth.

Pittsburgh/Tennessee 8:40: Pittsburgh has underachieved mightily against the NFL's weaker teams and it should continue here. Since 2012, Pittsburgh is 0-7 SU vs NFL's bottom feeders who had a combined 9-36 SU record. And keep in mind that Pittsburgh is 2-8 SU in Tennessee. With Polamalu (knee) out, Pittsburgh is vulnerable again; after all, they're just 2-5 ATS as a road favorite on MNF. Tennessee's HC Whisenhunt is a solid XO coach and should put QB Mettenberger in situations where he can be successful. We'll look for the home crowd to help Tennessee stay competitive here. And remember, Tennessee has covered four straight on MNF!

Bengals/Saints 1:00: Bengals sliding fast as they looked bad on Nov 6th against Cleveland. And though time to stew over it, Cincinnati does not have a favorable mark off bye weeks at 8-16-1 SU. Dalton remains in a funk and the Bengals' defense not nearly as formidable under DC Guenther as they were for last few years under Zimmer (Vikings HC). And the Saints' RB Ingram is hitting stride on the ground, which should open up the passing game for Brees to torch Cincinnati's secondary. We'll look for New Orleans to clean up the turnovers and roll. The Saints are 10-0 ATS off a SU loss vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss during mid November. Marvin Lewis is a shaky 2-11 ATS off a double-digit SU loss vs an opponent off a home game. We will look for the Saints to march to a 5-1 ATS mark in Week 11.

Bills/Dolphins 8:25: Both teams with aggressive defenses and sound in fundamentals on all phases of game; however, I'll give the edge to the Bills here. Miami is coming in to this one banged up on the offensive line with OT Albert (knee) out for the season; consequently, they'll have to reshuffle their offensive line again which should allow the aggressive frontline of Buffalo to take control; after all, Buffalo leads the NFL in QB sacks at 34 and highly opportunistic in takeaways (19). Furthermore, the Dolphins QB Tannehill is laboring with ankle and shoulder soreness and could experience another struggling day like September 14th in which he was sacked 4X in the Bills 29-10 win. On the other hand, the Bills top go-to-guy Sammy Watkins is healthier after working through groin injury last week. Bills have covered 3 of the last 4 in this series and controls a 4-1 ATS mark in week 11. Buffalo the call.

Bears/Packers 8:30: This series has been relatively low scoring at 1-5 O/U. The Packers can surely put some points on the board but are operating with two banged up key offensive linemen Sitton and Lang, which should make sustainable closing drives more difficult to come by. GB is 1-6 O/U after a bye week while the Bears are 2-5 O/U with rest. Sure, the Bears gave up a ton of points to NE October 26th; however, Chicago is 6-14 O/U after allowing 30+. The Bears are also 1-13 O/U as a road dog of 4 or more off a SU loss. NFL defenses have pride and the Bears, which have a history of great defenses, should put out their best effort. And having LB Lance Briggs back will help. As for Chicago, QB Cutler has had 6 INTs and 3 fumbles over his last 5 games. GB defense is yielding but usually play Chicago and Cutler tough. Remember, Cutler is a mere 1-9 SU vs GB. We'll look for this score to stay Under 53'.

Atlanta/Tampa Bay 1:00: TB is seeking revenge from their 56-14 beat down in Week 3 in Atlanta. Atlanta has lost 5 straight since. TB are losing close games but remain competitive. The Bucs are 21-6-1 ATS in November and 4-1 ATS in Week 10; however the Falcons are 1-4 ATS in Week 10. Sure, the Bucs' offense is not good and now HC Smith will go back to McCown at QB. McCown has some weapons to go to including Mike Evans and should be able to work a Falcons' defense that has not been good. On the other hand, Falcons' QB Ryan has been sacked 11 times over the last three games and TB's defense has improved dramatically from September 18th embarrassment. Bottom line is Atlanta is 0-7 SU on the road and 2-5 ATS at TB. With the home team at 5-1-1 ATS in this series, I'm grabbing the points and TB.

Broncos/Patriots 4:25: Like the Patriots getting points here, especially with the revenge factor and that the home team in this series 4-0 ATS. NE has an underrated run game which should come into play with the inclement weather. Brady 42-6 SU below 40 degrees and has Gronk back in the fold after he came off a huge day last week vs Chicago. NE is riding a 13-0 SU mark in the regular season and should keep it going here. They're 7-0 ATS vs the AFC West. Denver is a mere 9-20 ATS on the road vs a winning road record. Sure, I'll take the points.

Cardinals/Cowboys 1:00: Cowboys coming off a short week of prep and Romo (small fractures in lower back) is doubtful. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS off of a Monday night game, 1-5 ATS in November and 0-4 ATS in Week 9. I'm not a fan of Brandon Weeden taking over at the helm; after all, he did not do well in his limited time as a starter in Cleveland. Sure, the Cowboys will roll with RB Murray but Arizona has the leading run-stop-unit in the league at allowing 78 YPG on 3.3 YPC. And C Patrick Paterson's return will fuel the secondary. Bruce Arians is doing a super job with Arizona and their well balanced offense should exploit the Dallas defense void of leading tackler Durant (biceps tear). Cards are a sweet 5-1 ATS and covered 6 of their last 7 road tilts. Cardinals the call.

Eagles/Cardinals 4:05: Arizona has covered 4 straight in series.  Bruce Arians has done a tremendous job in his head coaching career and will have his men ready for the surging Eagles. Arians is 7-1 ATS vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Sure, the Eagles are tremendous off bye weeks but value added because of it. More stock should be given to the better ball security edge Arizona has and the better defense. Carson Palmer is thriving in the Arizona system now that he has support from the run game. With the home team at 5-2 ATS in this series, we'll roll with Arizona.

Seahawks/Panthers 1:00: General public starting to lose faith in Seattle but we're jumping on them here; after all, Pete Carroll is a sweet 7-1 ATS off back-to-back losses. Seattle has covered 3 straight in this series and faces a Carolina team heading south in the standings. Carolina's defense, which was strong last year, allows 5.3 Y.P.C.; consequently, Seattle's RB Lynch should be fed heavily. On the other hand, the Carolina offense is bone thin at RB and had to dig deep on their practice squad to promote Tauren Poole. Moreover, the Panthers have two starters on their offensive line out in Silatolu and Turner. Carolina just 1-4-1 after allowing 30+ points. We'll look for Seattle, which is 12-4 ATS on the road, to deliver.

Chargers/Broncos 8:25: I realize the Broncos are playing really well but catching a pissed off SD team in a spot they do pretty well. SD is 4-2 SU on Thursday nights and 7-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss. And SD is a solid road team against teams above .500 at home at 7-0 ATS. Furthermore, they're 8-0 ATS in Denver. Chargers defensive strength is against the pass and despite the loss of Brandon Flowers, their defensive line strength and quality secondary depth should be able to limit Peyton Manning and company. On the other hand, the Denver defense is much improved this year and book ends Ware and Von Miller are outstanding; however, SD's HC McCoy has done a tremendous job putting QB Rivers in a win/win situation this year with a fundamentally sound run game and quality pass blocking. And a healthy TE Gates is always a big plus. With the dog in this series at 5-1 ATS, we're grabbing the generous amount of points.

Giants/Cowboys 4:25: Just when you count the Giants out, they can be dangerous. 5-2 ATS off a SU loss and 10-4-1 ATS on the road vs teams above .500. The Cowboys are cruising -- on top of the NFC East coming off a huge win at Seattle; however, be careful here: Dallas is a mere 1-9 ATS as an above 500 team off a non division game against a division opponent and 2-9 ATS as a home favorite off a SU win. The Giants had success at Dallas at 4-1 ATS. The dog is 7-3 ATS in this series and the road team has won 6 of 8. We'll look for the Giants to tighten the screws on their defense to stop RB Murray. At the same time, NYG RB Andre Williams is due for a big game against a beat up Dallas defense. And Eli Manning is still an elite QB and should get back to business against a flawed Dallas secondary. With NY seeking double revenge from last year's sweep, NY is the call here.

Seahawks/Rams 1:00: Rams catching the Seahawks in an ornery mood. Seattle is off a loss to Dallas but their 4-0 ATS off a SU loss, 5-0-1 in Week 7, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road tilts. They're also 15-3 ATS off a non division game vs a division opponent off back-to-back SU losses. The Rams are coming off a short prep week after a strong losing effort Monday to SF; however, St. Louis is a poor1-32 SU and 7-26 ATS as division home dogs of 3 or more points. The Rams are also 2-19 ATS vs a division opponent off a SU loss as a favorite. The Rams defense is 26th against the run and should allow Seattle's Lynch to get back on track. And the Rams' offense with inexperienced QB Austin Davis at the helm, should struggle vs the hungry ball hawking Seattle defense. We'll look for Seattle to bounce back in a big way under Carroll here.

Giants/Eagles 8:30: Giants starting to roll and that bodes well for the G-Men here. They're 8-1 ATS as dogs off BB SU/ATS wins vs division. And this time of year NY gets rolling: In the second quarter of the season, they're 11-1 ATS as a road dog off a SU win against a .500 opponent. One of the keys to their success is the run game and it should continue with Andre Williams in the mix. Manning has gotten in rhythm with the new OC and new offense. I'm not a fan of the Eagles' defense and I believe Manning and company will roll. On the other hand, I like the way the NYG defense played them last year and like their chances again here. Giants are 6-2 ATS at Philadelphia. New York the call. 

Cowboys/Seahawks 4:25: I don't like going against the Seahawks at home but get good value here with improving Cowboys team. Dallas is 5-2 ATS vs teams above .500, 5-1 in October, and 9-3 ATS after gaining 350+ yards the previous week. Seattle is on a short week of prep after their MNF road win at Washington. The Cowboys do fare pretty well in this spot at 25-6 ATS against an above .500 non division opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Cowboys have the ground game rolling with RB Murray behind the mammoth OL; consequently, Romo is benefitting from that. Seahawks, however, tend to struggle in week 6 at 3-10 ATS. With Dallas at 5-2 ATS in this series, we'll look for the Cowboys to stay inside the number.

Colts/Texans 8:25: Bill O'Brien is a much underrated coach who will have his men prepared. Sure, Foster says he hates playing on Thursday Nights but the fact is that he has performed very well on Thursday nights and he will be hard to stop. I also know that the mismatch of QBs with Luck clearly the best signal caller in the stadium; however, Fitzpatrick should lock in at home with talented receiving corps. And yes,  the Colts are a dominant 7-0 SU on the road on Thursday nights. However, the Texans are overdue to get untracked after their tight loss but cover last Sunday. We'll look for Texans' DC Crennel to draw up a strong game plan to limit Luck and company. And keep in mind the home team in this series is 7-1 ATS and home teams on prime time (exception Washington on MNF) have been covering. Colts struggle in Week 6 at 0-3-1 ATS. The Texans' crowd will be up for this and we'll take the points.