Seahawks/Eagles 8:20: Going back to the 2006 Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Vince Young -- QB for Texas --turned in one of the greatest performances in collegiate history by shredding, with his arm and feet, a respectable USC defense overseen by now Seahawks' HC Pete Carroll. Tonight, both Young and Carroll will take the same rolls at the professional level against one another and we'll side with Vince Young again.Although both teams sport identical records (4-7), the Eagles have a better offense and should eventually wear out the Seahawks' defense through the course of this game. Seattle is limited offensively, even more so tonight without Sidney Rice (concussion). And QB Jackson is certainly no Tom Brady. Andy Reid is on the hot seat but should have his men prepared; after all, he is an electric 18-2 ATS off a SU/ATS loss against an opponent off a non-division SU loss. And as a road favorite, Reid and the Eagles are 7-0 ATS off a double-digit ATS loss. The road team in this series is 6-0 ATS with the series favorite at 5-1 ATS. We'll look for the Eagles to step up their game tonight.

NY Giants Over (50') for 3 Units ***Giants/Saints 8:30: Strong "over" trends and defensive injuries have me leaning heavily on this play. And with New Orleans at 4-0 O/U following a bye week, value lies on the "over"The Saints are 34-19 O/U in non division play. They're 18-7-1 O/U vs the NFC and 5-2 O/U on MNF. The Ginats are 5-1 O/U against winning teams, 3-1-1 O/U on MNF, 18-7-1 O/U vs NFC teams, and 5-2-1 O/U after scoring less than 15 points previously. The Giants won't have their key LB Boley again and they're paper thin in their secondary; consequently, we'll look for the deep backfield of New Orleans to grind out yardage on the ground against the overly aggressive front of NY; from there, Brees will use his precision passing (70% completions) in an up-tempo mode to wear out NY over the course of this game. Remember, last time NY visited here, NO hung 48 on them.On the other hand, New Orleans has been a middle of the pack defense all season. They too are vulnerable to the pass and Eli Manning is having a great year. Although he doesn't have Bradshaw tonight, he does have Ware, Jacobs (overdue for big game), and Da'rel Scott. New Orleans underrated MLB Vilma is still hobbling on a bad knee and that hurts New Orleans' defense; moreover, Manning's receiving corps is getting healthy with a host of good targets, including Nicks, Cruz, Manningham, TE Ballard. We'll look for plenty of points tonight.

Patriots/Eagles 4:15: The Eagles have covered 7 of the last 8 in this series and I expect an Eagles' cover here in a high scoring game. The Patiriots' secondary is very thin and Vince Young should find a rhythm with his talented receiving corps against it. At the same time, the Eagles should get the NFL's leading rusher McCoy more involved in the run game against the yielding Patirots' defense. On Monday night, KC ran roughshod early on NE but couldn't close. The Eagles athletic and experienced offensive personnel behind veteran OC Mornhinweg should close (end zone). On the other hand, I don't expect the Patriots to be limited offensively. The Eagles' long armed corner Asomugha, who was an important component in helping out on TE Gronkowski when NE goes into its two TE sets, is hobbling and should be limited in action. The Eagles' defense, although improving some under DC Castillo, still has its share of fundamental and technical breakdowns, and there is no one better to exploit those mistakes than QB Tom Brady. NE will score points. Patriots, however, are a scary 1-12 ATS as November favorites off a double-digit win against an opponent off a SU win.The Eagles, however, are a dangerous dog in this spread range at 8-1 ATS and should deliver in a shootout. Patriots are 10-3 O/U after scoring 30+, and they're 10-4 O/U on the road. With a short week of prep, NE's defensive game plan is limited while operating with banged up or very green personnel. The Eagles are 24-8 O/U as a dog and 8-1 O/U as a dog at home. We'll take the home cooking in a high scoring game.

Chicago (+3) for 3 Units ***Bears/Raiders 4:05: Bears have been playing outstanding football and I don't think Jay Cutler's absence will put an end to their winning run. Chicago's reserve QB Caleb Hanie has confidence and prepared. More importantly, he has a good surrounding cast that should rally behind him.The Bears should put Hanie in a good position by having him feed the ball to all purpose back Matt Forte who should dice

Atlanta (-9) for 2.5 Units **'Vikings/Falcons 1:00: The Vikings' defense is showing signs of caving in (31 ppg last 3 games) and that does not bode well going into a strong venue against the no-huddle attack of Atlanta. We'll look for the Falcons to get their run game going with Turner to put Matt Ryan in position to have time to shred the thinning Vikings' secondary. Offensively, the Vikings should have trouble moving the football as their star running back Peterson (ankle) is out; consequently, the Falcons' improving defense (16.7 ppg allowed last 3 games) should make life difficult for QB Ponder. The Falcons have a tendency to dominate teams that are struggling as evidenced by their 8-1 ATS mark against sub .500 teams. Bottom line: Falcons productive offense should wear out the Vikings' defense over the course of this game while Minnesota doesn't have the offensive know how to trade points effectively. Atlanta the call.

San Francisco (+3') for 2 Units **49ers/Ravens 8:20: Much of SF's success has been on account of outstanding defensive play and a ball controlled offense with limited mistakes: the mark of great coaching. We'll see more off that today from SF. The 49ers' defense is terrific in the red zone -- an area where Baltimore's offense has stalled. We'll look for the 49ers' defense, which remains healthy to keep the Ravens' ofense stuck in neutral in this key area. Moreover, SF leads the league in turnover margin at +17 and we'll look for that trend to continue. NFL teams that create turnovers and on the offensive end -- hold on to the ball -- have a tendency to keep that trend continuing throughout the season. The same can be said to a turnover laden team which frequently makes mistakes. And although Baltimore is not at the alert stages of mistakes, they've run into turnover problems more than a team of their caliber - in hunt for a division title -- should. We'll go with the Harbaugh with the more disciplined team that avoids mistakes, creates turnovers and finishes on the road. SF the call.

Miami/Dallas 4:15: These teams are playing solid defense recently and I find value with the "under" today. They're on a short week and when teams have established defensive continuity, it is generally a more challenging task for offenses to design an effective game plan in limited time. Over the last three games Dallas has allowed just 15 ppg while Miami has allowed a measly 7 ppg. .I realize that the Cowboys have strong "over" trends, especially at home; consequently, I feel the 'total' is propped up a few points higher than it should because of this. Value is added to the "under" today with a Miami team that is 6-20 O/U on the road, 0-7 O/U in their last 7 dog roles, and 8-20 O/U off a SU win of 14+ points. Dallas is 2-4 O/U in their last 6 games. We'll stay "under" here.

Detroit (+7) for 3 Units ***Green Bay/Detroit 12:30: Both teams have their share of revenge stories for this heating up division rivalry game. The Packers' offensive line wants to make up for last December's 7-3 loss in which Aaron Rodgers was knocked out of the game. The Lions simply want to break out of their 0-7 funk of getting the stuffing beat out of them on Turkey Day. We'll put more weighting on the latter.To steal a Ric Flair quote, "To be the man you have to beat the man." The Lions have aspirations of winning a championship and to do so will have to knock off the champ. The Lions have been competitive in this series covering the last two, including that outright win last season at home. The home crowd will aid in this today with its fever pitch attempting to distract Rodgers and company. Rodgers has been unstoppable this year and has an incredible supporting cast; however, RB Starks is hobbling and he brings an added dimension to the game not only as a runner but as a valuable receiver out of the backfield and as a pass blocker. GB is not deep in quality running backs. Detroit's defensive strength lies in their front where they've accumulated 27 sacks. We'll look for the deep defensive line of Detroit to disrupt the Packers' offensive game to a certain extent today. Detroit's offense can move the football and GB's defense is yielding. Yes, GB is very respectable defensively in regards to limiting points but Detroit has been effective closing in the red zone and that gives them an edge as a dangerous 7 point dog. Moreover, Kevin Smith has resurrected his career as a finishing runner (strong last week) and Calvin Johnson is a matchup nightmare to any cornerback. Technically, the Lions are 4-1 ATS as a home dog in this spread range. And in November, the Lions control an electric 11-1 ATS mark off a SU/ATS win vs an opponent off a favorite role. Lions the call.

New England (-16') for 1.5 Units *'Chiefs/Patriots 8:30: The Chiefs' injured starting QB Cassel will be replaced by Tyler Palko. In certain situations a backup can rally the troops behind him -- as Vince Young did yesterday with the Eagles; however, young journeyman Palko is not such that guy. Yes, he has big bodies to go to against the vulnerable Patriots' secondary and still pretty good depth in the backfield; however, and it is a big "however": Bill Belichick is well aware of his defensive inadequacies and at this time of year, he usually finds a fix. Palko will have his head spinning with the Patriots' defensive schemes and offensively challenged KC will have its work cut out for them putting points on the board.Defensively, KC will have to deal with the no huddle offense the Patriots unleashed last week successfully vs NY. The Chiefs' have difficulty generating a pass rush this season (9 sacks) and that spells trouble with Brady and his host of talented receivers. Big defensive bodies don't like to run and when under virtual non-stop action, tired against a precision offense like NE equals BIG TROUBLE. Belichick and the Patriots are a blistering 21-3 ATS at home vs an opponent off a SU division loss. Patriots the call.

Philadelphia/New York 8:20: Eagles' HC Reid has been through situations like this before where seemingly the Eagles were down and out and without their starting QB. However, he managed to thrive in those situations and we'll bet on him tonight.Reid and the Eagles are a sweet 18-4 ATS off a SU loss against a conference opponent. They're 15-2 ATS on the road in November with revenge against an opponent off an away game. And throw in the fact that they're 13-1 ATS with division revenge off a double digit ATS loss and we got a play!Sure, Mike Vick is most likely out; however, Vince Young is a capable backup who is also fleet of foot in running the Eagles' offense. It's not always the QB, it's the system that makes the QB successful. And Young fits the Eagles' system well. The Giants have shown vulnerability against the run and should get a heavy dose of the NFC's leading rusher McCoy. Consequently, Young can settle in and work comfortably in and out of the pocket with play action. Defensively, we'll look for the Eagles to contain the Giants' run game, which has stalled without Bradshaw, and force QB Manning into a mistake laden game. The Giants are a sluggish 1-11 ATS at home against a team under .500 on the road and should struggle here.

Seattle/St. Louis 4:05: Seattle has quietly amassed a 5-1-1 ATS mark and we'll stay on them here; after all, they've dominated this series to the tune of 11-1 SU. Seattle does have injuries to two key offensive lineman but will replace them with two experienced veterans that have had many starts over the years. And Seahawks' RB Lynch is running wild -- off two 100+ rush games -- and won't need a whole lot of daylight to slither through against a Rams' run stop unit allowing a generous 151 yards per game at 5.1 yards per carry. Offensively, the Rams are stuck in neutral and Seattle's defense can create turnovers. The inconsistent Rams should get back to their losing ways after squeaking by AFC North lightweight Cleveland last week. The Rams are a poor 1-6 ATS following a non-conference win against a division opponent. Seahawks the call.

Dallas/Washington 1:00: Dallas now has the look of a champion after an impressive blasting of Buffalo. But not so fast in giving them a cover here. Dallas is notorious for November flubs.Dallas is a money burning 1-10 ATS in November against a sub .500 division opponent off an away game. The Cowboys are also 1-7 ATS on the November road against a sub .500 opponent seeking revenge. Washington played them tough in the earlier season matchup and we won't throw in the towel on the 'Skins just yet.Washington's HC Shannahan is 10-1 ATS when coaching a

Dallas/Washington 1:00: Dallas now has the look of a champion after an impressive blasting of Buffalo. But not so fast in giving them a cover here. Dallas is notorious for November flubs.Dallas is a money burning 1-10 ATS in November against a sub .500 division opponent off an away game. The Cowboys are also 1-7 ATS on the November road against a sub .500 opponent seeking revenge. Washington played them tough in the earlier season matchup and we won't throw in the towel on the 'Skins just yet.Washington's HC Shannahan is 10-1 ATS when coaching a

New England/NY Jets 8:20: The Jets have gotten into a nice rhythm and should keep it rolling here against a Patriots' team that's struggling to get back on track.

New England's defense leaves much to be desired as their secondary continues to get torched. It won't help matters that Brandon Spikes (LB) will have to sit
out. On the other side of the ball, the top defensive teams are using "man" style coverages against New England and it's working. The Jets have the athletic secondary personel to man up with New England's receivers and should continue to disrupt Brady's rhythm with his receiving corps.

Like the fact that Ryan is a strong 7-1 ATS off a double-digit SU win and that he has his troops gunning for revenge. And with his player personnel relatively healthy, the Patriots should continue to underachieve here.

Detroit/Chicago 4:15: I've ridden Chicago on their run and I will jump off here. Chicago looked great Monday night, but on a short week of prep and mending injuries, the well rested Lions should roar through the windy city.Detroit, which won the first matchup earlier this season, is 3-0 ATS in this series. They get DT Nick Fairley back to add to the already deep defensive front to severely test the Bears' offensive line, which has improved dramatically but due to cave in here. Cutler is only as good as his offensive line permits and it will be difficult for that banged up offensive front to win the battle today. RB Matt Forte has been outstanding but should also be held in check without a significant push from the Bears' interior. The Lions' defense sports a super 29.4% stoppage rate against opponents on 3rd down (#1 in NFL). Cutler will be hard pressed to bring the 3rd down magic he did Monday.The Lions' QB Stafford is healthy and should find his array of targets, including matchup nightmare Calvin Johnson, against the thinning Bears' secondary. The dog in this series is 17-8 ATS and I won't fight that trend. Detroit the call.

Baltimore/Seattle 4:05: Baltimore is getting overwhelming support from bettors following that huge last minute win against Pittsburgh last Sunday. I'll go in the opposite direction for the following reasons:Baltimore has demonstrated a tendency this season to play down to its opponents as exhibited so apparently against Jacksonville and Arizona. And this is not a spot Baltimore flourishes in; as a matter of fact, Baltimore is 0-5 SU at Seattle; moreover, complacency has hit them on more than a few occasions following consecutive wins: they're a money burning 3-16 ATS as a road favorite off back to back SU wins. Sure, Seattle is struggling to find offensive rhythm and Tarvaris Jackson is surely not going to be long term QB there; however, he should settle in at home, especially with Marshawn Lynch running like he is to help take pressure off him. Seattle is 10-2-1 ATS at home against non-conference foes and should be competitive here.

Jacksonville/Indianapolis 1:00: Hard to jump on the offensively challenged Jaguars -- especially as a road favorite, unless, of course, they're playing the Manning--less Colts.

Indianpolis' HC Caldwell doesn't have a clue -- without his savior -- Manning -- on how to stop the bleeding. Indy has been outscored 120-24 over their last three games. Jacksonville should find plenty of room to operate against the worn down Colts' front with MJD grinding out the yardage. And Gabbert should only get better; after all, with the bye week, he had an additional week of prep to learn how to utilize Mercedes Lewis more into the offense.

The Colts have yet to find a QB that can get into rhythm of the offense. They face a pretty good Jaguars' defense that will keep them out of rhythm.

Indianapolis is a poor 1-8 ATS at home in November off a non-division game against a team below .500. Jacksonville, however, still has a bite left in them. The Jags are 10-1 ATS off a double-digit loss in their last game against a division opponent off a SU/ATS loss. Jags the call.

New Orleans/Atlanta 1:00: We'll look for Atlanta's roll to continue here. Atlanta sports a 6-0 ATS mark in November and has should continue to their run against a New Orleans' defense that is yielding chunks of yardage. New Orleans' top linebacker Jonathon Vilma is nursing a sore knee and that won't sit well against a surging Atlanta run game. Moreover, the Saints' corner - Tracy Porter-- is limited with a neck injury. We'll look for Matt Ryan, who is a "money" as the starter at home, to hook up with his talented targets, including the emergence of rookie Julio Jones. Atlanta is a dangerous 10-3 ATS at home off a non-division game under Mike Smith. We'll buy into the Falcons here.

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati 1:00: The Bengals are the Rodney Dangerfield of the NFL getting no

Oakland/San Diego 8:20: The Raiders' in-house sentiment remains upbeat despite dropping their last two games. They realize their position in the AFC West and optimism prevails. Oakland is a sweet 10-1 ATS as a road dog off a SU division

Chicago (+9) for 2 Units **Bears/Eagles 8:30: The Bears entered their bye week on a nice 2-0 SU/ATS run and we'll grab the generous amount of points here. Chicago has good speed across the board on its defense and sports a history of giving Michael Vick trouble. Vick is 0-3 SU as a starter vs Chicago, including getting sacked 15 times and throwing three interceptions. The Bears' defensive make-up and design of their defense should keep him boxed in tonight; after all, they've had an extra week of prep to scheme, prepare and get healthy.

Pittsburgh (-3) for 1.5 Units *'Baltimore/Pittsburgh 8:15: The Steelers have gradually made the offensive transition from the historical smash mouth run game with play action to a spread formation team with 3 wide and a TE with frequent empty packages integrated too. It proved to be damaging to NE's sluggish pass defense. Roethlisberger and company could do the same here against the formidable run stop unit of Baltimore that completely shut them down Week 1.Pittsburgh is playing well on both sides of the ball and have revenge on their minds. I'll buy into here with a light play. Tomlin is 9-1 ATS at home off a home game. Moreover, the Steelers are 16-2 ATS as a .700 or greater team off a SU win against a division opponent off back-to-back non division games. Baltimore's struggling to find offensive continuity as Flacco and his OC Cameron are on different wave lengths. Today, we'll look for Pittsburgh to not make life any easier for Baltimore's offense.

Packers/Jets 4:15: It's time for me to jump on the Chargers, who are growing out of favor by the fickle betting public. Keep in mind that the Chargers are 7-0 ATS in November and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home dog roles. Moreover, Norv Turner is a sizzling 10-1 ATS as a coach of .500 team at home against a team off back-to-back favorite roles. San Diego's skill players are getting healthy and overdue to get on track with struggling QB Rivers. We'll look for a big game here against a Packers' defense ranking 28th in the NFL in giving up yardage per game. At the same time, as hot as Aaron Rodgers has been, he is human and overdue for a sluggish outing and it should come here against an athletic SD defense that's allowed just 16.7 ppg on their home field.

NYG/New England 4:15: Good value with a NYG team that has been strong as a road dog covering 4 of its last 5 in that role. Sure, injuries have hit them with RB Bradshaw, WR Nicks and their starting center Bass. However, RB Jacobs has his opportunity to shine once again while Cruz and Manningham are dangerous enough to continue to add to the Patriots' defensive woes. NE's defense is yielding over 400 yards per game and should allow Eli Manning to continue his productive season. And even with the return of LB Mayo for NE, the Giants' TE Ballard can rack up some yardage in the Patriots soft underneath coverage that was exposed against Pittsburgh. Defensively, the Giants lead the NFL in sacks and will not let Brady set into a comfort zone in 5 to 7 step drops. NYG's HC Coughlin has covered both games against NE, including, of course, in February of 2008 -- 17-14 outright Super Bowl win. The Giants are a sweet 6-0 ATS vs .666 or greater opposition seeking revenge. With the Giants at a profitable 16-6 ATS on the road against teams with a .500 or greater record, we'll grab the generous amount of points.

Jets/Bills 1:00: New York has covered 8 of their last 11 dog roles and should deliver here. NY's HC Ryan has driven home the importance of this game and should have his boys playing at a high level; after all, the Jets are 6-1 ATS against an opponent off a double digit ATS win; moreover, they're 15-3 ATS on the road against a .500 or greater team, including 10-1 ATS when that team is coming off a SU win. On the other hand, Chan Gailey sports a money burning 2-8-1 ATS mark on a .500 or greater team coming off a SU/ATS win at home. The Buffalo offense is rolling and surely the Jets' coaching staff will come in with an effective game plan. On the other hand, the NY Jets' offense should find its rhythm against a Bills' defense allowing a generous 414 yards per game. I don't expect the Jets to falter here. They have a tendency to keep it real coming off a SU dog win at 5-1 ATS. Jets the call.

Cowboys/Eagles 8:30: The Eagles have underachieved so far but Andy Reid has a tendency to bring out the best in his troops. The Eagles showed progress prior to their bye with a win at Washington. Give Reid an extra week for prep and the results have been impressive. And in October, the Eagles are a blistering 10-1 ATS as favorites with rest. We'll look for DeSean Jackson and LeSean McCoy to play a bigger role. The Cowboys' secondary is thin and vulnerable to be burnt. On the other side of the ball, the Eagles' defense get Trent Cole back after a two game absence to help create pressure on Romo. In October, the Cowboys on the road off a double digit SU win against a team off a SU win are a mere 1-7 ATS.

Browns/49ers 4:15: The 49ers are a legitimate contender in the NFC while Cleveland still unproven. SF has shown good balance on both sides of the ball this season and delivering the money with a 5-0-1 ATS mark. On the other hand, the Browns have three wins over teams with a combined record of 2-16 SU. They control a 1-3-2 ATS mark for the season. Cleveland's offense is stuck in neutral. They have not demonstrated the potent run game from a year ago as RB Hillis battles hamstring injuries and the offensive line suffers through injuries; consequently, QB McCoy is struggling (56% completions) with limited big play skill players to boot. We'll look for the #2 ranked defense in points allowed and fewest rushing yards per game to stymie the Browns' pedestrian offensive attack. As a result, we'll look for favorable field position for SF. SF's QB Alex Smith has a done a solid job managing the game under Harbaugh. He and his solid supporting cast should be put into a position to gradually wear down the respectable Cleveland defense for the win and cover.

Saints/Rams 1:00: We don't see a letdown with the Saints following their demolition of the Colts. They face another team offensively challenged and demoralized. Moreover, the Rams' run stop unit has allowed opposing teams to rush for an average of 200 yards per game (6 y.p.c.!). Brees has been on like radar lately and should have another big game as the Saints' run game adds the offensive compliment. And the offensive woes of the Rams should continue. They weren't in rhythm when Bradford was in and surely A.J. Feeley isn't the answer. St. Louis is a money burning 18-41-2 ATS after scoring less than 15 ppg. Saints the call.

Green Bay/Minnesota 4:15: I don't like going with the majority as a handicapper; however, it's hard to lay off this one. I still see value with a rolling Green Bay team. QB Rodgers has been MVP like with a 70% completion percentage and 17 TD passes. Sure, his LT Clifton is out and the lurking Jared Allen may be licking his chops. But Marshall Newhouse did a nice job last week and a capable fill in. HC McCarthy does a nice job in finding ways of playing to the strength of his players and should utilize the right protection for his super star QB.

The Vikings turn to Christian Ponder as their QB and surely the Pack will have countless fire zone blitzes on the rookie. I do realize that RB Adrian Peterson is dangerous but he's running behind a banged up offensive line. Consequently, it should be difficult for the Vikings to effectively trade points with the Packers' offensive juggernaut.

The Pack is 4-1 ATS at Minnesota and 21-6-1 ATS after allowing less than 15 points. We'll look for the Vikings to fall to 0-6-1 ATS as a home dog.

Seattle/Cleveland 1:00: The Seahawks are flying way under the radar but we like what we see. Seattle's coming off a bye-week after an impressive victory over NY. And in the process, may have found their new starting QB in Charlie Whitehurst who did a fine job leading the Seahawks to the leading score in the final minutes. And the Seahawks' run game is starting to cook behind Marshawn Lynch.

On the other hand, the Browns are stuck in neutral -- unable to spring a banged up Hillis loose and QB Colt McCoy is struggling to find a go to receiver. The Browns' run game is near the bottom of the NFL and we'll look for Pete Carroll's defense to keep it there.

The Browns are finding ways to blow games while Seattle is finding ways to eke out victory. We'll look for winning mo' to stay its course with 4 straight covers for the Seahawks here.

Broncos/Dolphins 1:00: Much hype sewn into the line with Tebow's homecoming. I won't buy into it and take the winless Dolphins who will be fighting for their coach's job. Much speculation that Sparano will be fired following a loss here. We'll look for his men to put forth a strong effort here.

The Dolphins' offense should be able to attack the porous run defense of Denver with rookie Daniel Thomas . And QB Matt Moore does have some speedy and talented weaponry to go to with Bush and Brandon Marshall to put quick points on the board.

On the other hand, the Broncos are in a rebuilding stage and that is usually accompanied with mistakes, especially on the road. And keep in mind that the Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 October tilts and a money burning 16-33-3 ATS against teams under .500.

Miami is 6-0 ATS in this series, including barking as a dog in 4 of them. Miami gets their first win.

Chargers/Jets 1:00: As anticipated, the Chargers got favorable line (odds) movement on
account NY coming off a Monday Night Game (short week prep) and the brash talk by Rex
Ryan and company. However, we like the value. NY is a profitable 12-4-1 ATS on Sundays
following playing on Monday Night. And for two years the Jets have backed their verbal jabs
all the way to the AFC Championship game. SD, on the other hand, like Ryan stated, has
the talent to be "ring" worthy, but can't put it together under Norv Turner. The Chargers
lack total team balance; in other words, they're consistently deficient in at least one area of
team football en route to their underachieving 2-3 ATS mark. Special teams have been
Turners' Achilles heal and the run stop unit leaves much to be desired this season --
allowing a generous 4.6 y.p.c. And the Chargers last two trips to the Eastern Time Zone
resulted in 0-2 ATS.

Sure, SD had the week off to get Antonio Gates (foot) and Vincent Jackson (hamstring) on
the field. But their disturbing 2-12 ATS mark as a .500 or greater team in October against
an opponent off a SU/ATS win is a cause for concern.

Rex Ryan should have his men fired up to go 5-1 ATS before their bye.

NY Jets (-6') for 1.5 Units*'Dolphins/Jets 8:35: Itching to get on the winless Dolphins who have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series; however, the Dolphins' offense, which was stagnant with Henne (out) at the controls, should have more difficulty getting into the end zone with Moore. Moore hasn't taken a snap this year and has had limited success in the NFL. The Jets' defense, which has been underachieving this year, should turn in a strong outing here. On the other hand, the Jets' offense should target Miami's weak secondary that has been burned repeatedly. We'll side with the Jets here to break out of their funk.

Houston/Baltimore 1:00: The Texans will be without their top two players on each side of the ball. WR Andre Johnson and DE Mario Williams are out and that should create more problems for the Texans. Baltimore's defense is in good form and should create problems for Texans' QB Schaub, who at times struggles to find a go to guy. Baltimore's secondary is unforgiving this year and should be a key factor here. Baltimore had an extra week of prep and sports a sweet 8-1 ATS mark following a bye. The Texans should continue their struggles in October (5-12 ATS).

49ers/Lions 1:00: The 49ers have arguably the best defense in the NFL. They're highly opportunistic and are great in stopping teams in the red zone. And CB Carlos Rogers may not stop Calvin Johnson by himself, but the 49ers' defensive scheme, including an aggressive pass rush and bracket coverage, should keep him as a top NFL corner. Harbaugh has done a great job working with Alex Smith. And despite the loss of a few of his receivers (Edwards and Morgan), he has a dangerous two tight end receiving corps in Davis and Walker; moreover, RB Gore is finding room to run (252 yards last two weeks). SF is 9-3-1 ATS as a dog in this price range whereas the Lions have burnt money as a favorite in this range at 8-17 ATS. With Detroit on a short week of prep, we'll grab the value with the surging 49ers.

Washington (+3) for 2.5 Units **'Philadelphia/Washington 1:00: The Redskins are flying under the radar but raking in cash with a 6-1-1 ATS run stemming from last season. The improvement this year is defensively. They're getting to the QB (3.8 sacks per game) and DC Jim Haslett has done a solid job in designing schemes. Today, we'll look for the Redskins, unlike last year's debacle, to create confusion for Eagles' QB Vick and force him into mistakes. The Redskins had an additional week to prepare and should put forth a solid effort. The Eagles are struggling defensively under 1st year DC Castillo whose schemes are questionable; consequently, Washington should expose the holes in the Eagles underachieving defense. The series dog has gone 6-2-1 ATS; moreover, in October, the Eagles are 2-13 ATS against a division foe with revenge. "Skins the call.

Green Bay/Atlanta 8:20: Both of these teams' defenses have glaring weaknesses. And it starts with pass defense. The Packers are giving up a generous 336 ypg through the air (next to last in the NFL) while the Falcons' secondary is having its share of problems stopping offenses frequent the end zone. On the other hand, their offenses' are clicking and should expose each others weaknesses. These teams are a combined 24-8 O/U after accumulating 250+ yards in previous game. They're also a combined 21-6 O/U in week 5. The Falcons sport an 11-5 O/U mark as a home dog in this spread range. This series has been high scoring at 5-2 O/U and we will not fight that trend tonight.

Giants/Cardinals 4:05: The road team in this series sports a 7-3 ATS mark and we will stay on the heating up Giants. The Giants' offensive line is playing better; consequently, Manning is playing well and found a new target in Victor Cruz. Manningham should be back today to give the Giants another passing option. In addition, Ahmad Bradshaw is finding more running room and should find room against a sub-par Arizona run-stop-unit. Osi Unmenyiora's return should add to the Giants' pass rush. Giants 10-2 ATS on the road off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Giants the call.

Tennessee/Cleveland 1:00: Titans' strong defense should be the difference here. Tennessee's top ranked defense should be able to control Cleveland's mediocre offense even with the return of Peyton Hillis. Brown's QB McCoy is doing a respectful job but will be tested today and may struggle, especially with the high winds off the lake projected by game time. On the other hand, the Titans' QB Hasselbeck is doing a nice job directing the offense despite the lackluster performance by RB Chris Johnson. Johnson, who started practicing on September 2nd, should have his legs back against a Browns' run stop unit that is 29th in the league against the run. Tennessee is 3-1 ATS at Cleveland and should deliver again.

Jets/Raiders 4:05: Last week, the Raiders made poor halftime adjustments to blow the game. They're likely to see more problems this week. The Jets are gradually gearing up offensively while their defense remains rock solid. Oakland's receiving corps is banged up and that should make life even more miserable for QB Campbell as the Jets will surely unleash a variety of blitzes from all angles to rattle him. The Jets went to Oakland in October of 2009 and blasted them 38-0. Oakland is a poor 1-9 ATS in September at home against a non-division opponent. We'll roll with New York here.

San Francisco/Cincinnati 1:00: The Bengals have been miserable as a home favorite at 8-21-1 ATS and we won't fight that trend here. Harbaugh has his team going in the right direction and should see continued progress here. QB Alex Smith has completed 70% of his passes. He won't have Braylon Edwards (out) to go to but he'll have Crabtree (probable) and Ginn Jr. to do damage to the suspect Cincinnati secondary. And RB Gore should get untracked here after a sluggish game last week. Defensively, the SF defense should get it together against the Bengals' offense that running surprisingly better than anticipated; however, the well disciplined 49ers had a few weeks of game film to study and should exploit rookie QB Dalton's inexperience. SF is 4-1 ATS following a SU loss and 5-2-1 ATS in September. We'll look for Harbaugh to hold true to those trends. On the other hand, the Bengals are a mere 1-8 ATS as a September favorite following a SU loss. SF the call.

Atlanta (+3) for 1.5 Units *'Eagles/Falcons 8:25: The Eagles aren't as good as they're hyped to be and the Falcons aren't as bad as they're perceived to be after a lackluster week 1 road performance. Atlanta sports a resilient 10-2 ATS off a SU loss and 7-0 ATS as a dog off a SU loss. The Georgia Dome has been a strong venue for the Falcons during the regular season and we'll take the points here.

Jacksonville/New York 1:00: Jacksonville has done well in this series (6-0 / 4-0 at New York) and we're staying on the Jaguars. Jacksonville sports a strong September mark of 12-2 ATS as a dog against an opponent coming off a non-division game. On the other hand, the Jets are a money burning 1-7 ATS as a September favorite against a non division opponent off a division game. Jacksonville's offense was well engineered by Luke McCown (71% completions). We realize McCown will not have a few key targets today; however, RB Jones-Drew is healthy running behind an under-appreciated offensive line. And the Jaguars' defensive run-stop unit looked good last week. They match well with what the Jets' like to do: pound the football. We'll take the points.

Arizona/Washington 1:00: The Redskins jumped out of the gate strong last week and we'll stay on them here. Grossman had a solid outing and should follow up with a good performance here against a young Arizona secondary that needs work. Redskins' Coach Shanahan should have a good offensive game plan created and take advantage of the uncertainty in many situations the Arizona secondary demonstrated last week.

Oakland Over (41) for 3 Units ***Oakland/Buffalo 1:00: Raiders' offense continues to be productive and should dent Buffalo's defense that ambushed an unprepared Chief's squad. Oakland's McFadden, who continues to be a productive rusher, should aid QB Jason Campbell's passing game. And Campbell will have TE Kevin Boss -- making his Raiders' debut. Meanwhile, Buffalo also picked up where they left off last season in solid offensive production. QB Fitzpatrick doing a nice job at the helm. Buffalo's offense is a few notches better than Denver, in which Oakland faced last week; consequently, we'll look for the Bills to put some points on the board in their home opener.The Bills are 6-2-1 O/U as a home favorite in this spread range. Oakland, on the other hand, is 11-4 O/U in September and 9-4 O/U as a dog. "Over" it is.

Oakland (+3') for 1.5 Units *'Oakland/Denver 10:15: The Raiders have had the Broncos' number at 8-2 ATS in this series, including the sweep last year. Sure, Denver's defense should be much better this year with new HC Fox overseeing the operation; however, the Raiders' offense, which improved dramatically last year with the now HC Hue Jackson, coordinating it, should continue to rack up points with added weaponry and in the second year of a successful system; consequently, that offensive stability overrides the new Broncos' defensive system-- input by Fox and company. Simply put: new overhauls with new personnel take time to implement and gell. The Raiders play well as a road dog (5-2 ATS) while Denver has had trouble at home (11-25-2 ATS). Raiders the call.

Dallas/New York 8:20: We look at the Jets as overvalued here based on a few variables, including a sluggish mark of 4-9 as a home favorite of 3' to 10. Cowboys' HC Garrett did a nice job winning or hanging around in defeats (no loss over 3 points) in his 5-3 SU/ATS mark as the interim head coach last year. This year, Garrett has the luxury of starter Tony Romo back and solid off-season moves/acquisitions. Moreover, DC Rob Ryan will add some controlled aggressiveness to his defensive unit against a Jets' ball control offense. Cowboys have covered their last 5 as a dog and we'll look for them to cover here.

Minnesota/San Diego 4:15: San Diego has been notorious for early season sluggishness with dismal 2-3 marks to open the last fours seasons under Turner. We'll look for a mediocre Vikings' team to sneak up on them today. Vikings' veteran QB McNabb gives them a good field general and Adrian Peterson should provide the ground yardage to make life easier for McNabb; moreover, a healthy Percy Harvin and Sidney Rice provides a strong receiving corps. We'll look for Minnesota to do enough to hang around.

Jacksonville (+1') for 2.5 Units **'Tennessee/Jacksonville 1:00: Value with the Jaguars that have more stability than the Titans, which are under first year head coach Munchak. The Titans, which named veteran QB Hasselbeck as the starter, must learn a new offensive system and work their top runner -- Chris Johnson, who's coming off a long holdout, into the system; consequently, we'll look for a stagnant offensive showing from Tennessee. On the other hand, the Jaguars will go with Luke McCown as the opening day starter with Gabbert as his apprentice. The home field and RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who ran wild vs the Titans in last year's road win, should allow McCown to settle in and lead successful drives against Tennessee's defense. The Jaguars are a sweet 10-2-1 ATS in week 1 and we won't fight that trend.

Philadelphia/St.Louis 1:00: We like the value with the Rams on account of their significant improvement on both sides of the ball last year. This year, more stability for a team that is 7-3 ATS as a dog, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Moreover, the home team in this series is 6-2-1 ATS. Moreover, QB Sam Bradford has the great offensive mind of Josh McDaniels as his tutor and OC. And with a healthy Steven Jackson in the backfield, the offense should be able to sustain drives today. The Eagles are over-priced here -- considering they're just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NFC tilts and 0-4 as favorites. Rams the call.

Steelers/Packers 6:30: Fort the very reasons that we mentioned in our side analysis is why this game
should go over. We don't believe Pitt can consistently get a pass rush on the smart QB Rodgers -- who
recognizes blitzes as well as NFL veteran greats --Manning and Brady; consequently, we'll look for
successful check downs and hot reads from the zone blitz happy Steelers. On the other hand, we won't rule
out Pittsburgh scoring there share of points with all the weaponry they have. The last time these teams
played (Dec 20, 2009), they nearly combined for 1000 yards of offense in a 37-36 shootout won by
Pittsburgh. We believe that same kind of offensive firepower exists and should be demonstrated today. The
difference though, is that Green Bay has become a better team on both sides of the ball since, even
despite the plethora of injuries they've suffered this season.

*Best Bet* Green Bay (-2') for 4 Units ****
Steelers/Packers 6:30: When the line came out on this game, we initially thought that Pittsburgh would be in
the small favorite role; however, after further consideration, we find the number to be justifiable for these
reasons: Offensively, any team that had success against Pittsburgh's defense used a formula involving
spreading them out and throwing the football. New England comes to mind in their 36-29 demolition of
Pittsburgh at Hines Field; a game that wasn't nearly as close as the score indicated because of the late
garbage time touchdowns by Pittsburgh after the game was decided. Of course, a strong armed QB with a
high football IQ, stable offensive line, and strong receiving corps is needed. Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers
and his supporting cast fit the bill to tire out the Steelers' defense, which is built to beat down run games but
vulnerable to finesse passing teams. We'll look for the Packers to occasionally resort to a no-huddle
offense and tire them out. On the other hand, the Steelers' offense, which also has big play ability in its
more conservative yet effective methodical run and play-action pass game. It's led by a great QB --
Roethlisberger, but missing a key ingredient - Center -- Pouncey (ankle). Sure backup Legursky did a
decent job against New York but did make critical mistakes, including botched snap near goal line that
resulted in a safety. The Packers have three impact players defensively in CB Woodson, LB Mathews, and
DL Raji who have and should continue their success in this game exploiting areas of weakness on the
Pittsburgh offensive line. Green Bay the call.

Jets/Steelers 6:30: The Jets do a great job scheming as evidenced in the playoffs, most notably last week
against the then seemingly unstoppable Patriots' offense. We're going to look for NY to be extremely
competitive here. NY is a sweet 12-4 ATS on the road and a dangerous dog in this spread range at 10-4
ATS. The Pittsburgh offensive line is still suspect and should have trouble fending off the Jets' multiple blitz
packages. The Jets have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and we'll look for NY to hang tough here.

Green Bay/Chicago 3:00: The Packers have grown into a smart football team under McCarthy. They limit
mistakes, don't panic when they do make mistakes, and are not a heavily penalized team. Defensively,
they're opportunistic, aggressive but technically sound in their scheme; moreover, they give ground but
tighten in the red zone and limit points. The Bears' offensive line still has weak points that should be
exploited today. Cutler carved up a mediocre Seattle secondary last week but will face a more formidable
challenge today. GB's defense creates a lot of confusion with their zone blitzes and the Packers' interior
defense is more adept at covering ground and locating crossers and receivers over the middle of the field
than most teams the Bears played. On the other offensive end, we'll look for Aaron Rodgers to do his thing
vs a more predictable vanilla defense that the Bears' DC Marinelli dials up. And if you're looking for a
revenge theory with the Bears' Lovie Smith sporting a pretty good mark in that department, look at
McCarthy who is 14-2 ATS on the road off a non-division opponent against an opponent with revenge.

Green Bay/Chicago 3:00: This series has gone "under" six straight times and we'll stay on the lower scoring
side. Sure, the Packers unleashed a 48 point assault on Atlanta last week; however, history shows that the
Packers are 0-6 O/U after scoring more than 30 points in previous game. GB is also 2-8 O/U in its last 10
road games and 0-5 O/U as a road favorite. And this series has gone 1-5 O/u in Chicago. Both defenses
are playing at a high level and surely know each others offensive tendencies. We'll look for big plays to be
held to a minimum here.

New England (-9) for 2.5 Units **'New York/New England 4:30: New England finished the regular season as the hottest team in the NFL on a 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS run and history shows the Patriots should maintain their elite status here. NE sports a 45-24 ATS mark off a win against their division. Few coaches can decipher opponent's tendencies and institute a game plan to exploit the weaknesses as well as Belichick. In the last matchup, NE's pass offense torched the Jets' defense over the middle of the field with Welker, Gronkowski and Hernandez. Having two of the best cornerbacks in the NFL won't do a bit of good if you can't cover the middle of the field. Today, the edge of the field may not be that secure for New York with Cromartie (groin) and Revis (hamstring) ailing; moreover, their nickel back --Drew Coleman -- injured his knee in practice Thursday and is questionable; consequently, that's not good against the dangerous passing game of New England. We'll look for another methodical game approach from New England to carve up the Jets here. On the other hand, the Jets' offense can become downright predictable at times and that should cause more New York offensive stall outs here. The Patriots are 13-3 ATS in this spread range at home, and with the home team at 4-0 ATS in this series, we'll stay with New England.

Seattle/Chicago 1:00: It's not so much the strength of Seattle on this play, but the occasional lack of focus and inability to execute for Chicago. Seattle has to feel good about coming off last week's win. Hasselbeck has gotten his mojo back at the right time, a running game is established (Lynch) and MLB Tatupu (concussion) will play. Seattle has covered 3 of the last 4 in this series, including the outright earlier this year at Soldier Field; therefore, psychologically, they know their road woes can be overcome. On the other hand, the Bears' Cutler is frequently inconsistent and the offensive line of Chicago has far too many fundamental breakdowns to lay this kind of wood. Seattle has its share of flaws, but do have momentum and that can be a dangerous thing. With the Bears at 2-8 ATS as a home favorite in this range, we'll fade Chicago.

Green Bay/Philadelphia 4:30: We played the Eagles successfully on a few occasions but will jump off the
bandwagon here. Their defense is a mid-range caliber unit and their secondary is thin; moreover, Philly has
allowed 31 touchdown passes this season --putting them in the bottom tier of the NFL. We don't believe the
inclement weather will stall out Aaron Rodgers and company. And the Packers have a tendency to make
corrective action after sluggish offensive outings as their 7-1 ATS mark following scoring less than 15 points
in previous game indicates. On the other hand, the Eagles have the explosive offense; however, their red
zone struggles continue where they are stuck in the bottom tier of the league. Green Bay's defense gives
up yardage but stingy in the red zone and allow just 15 ppg. GB's veteran DC Capers has the formula on
how to neutralize Vick and it starts and ends with well disguised blitzes from all angles. The Packers can
rush the QB and if sack master Clay Mattews, who goes against the hobbling RT Justice, isn't enough,
doses of Charles Woodson off the corner will rattle Vick. And as much as we praised DeSean Jackson this
season -- for he truly is one of the best in the NFL, he has a tendency to be quieted this time of year. And
with Woodson on him today, we'll look for little noise out of him. Eagles don't play the small home favorite
role well at 3-7 ATS. We'll grab Green Bay here.

Baltimore/Kansas City 1:00: In 2009, the Chiefs got whipped in their season opener at Baltimore 38-24.
Much as changed over that time as the Chiefs shored up their offense under OC Weis to become the NFL's
top rushing team, while Romeo Crennel designed effective game plans throughout the season. We'll look
for Weis's meetings with Florida's athletic department to be the culprit of last week's sturggle; however, we'll
look for KC to be on track in this spot. KC has been a strong home team virtually all season 7-1 SU and
has the Arrowhead Stadium crown revitalized. KC's underrated offensive line has done a great job
protecting QB Cassel and opening holes for Charles and Jones. And we like the matchup with Bowe against
banged up corner Wilson; if Wilson can't go, it gets even better with Fabian Washington who was benched
early this season. We'll look for KC to effectively move the football on a Ravens' defense that has been
suspect at times under DC Mattison. On the other hand, Ravens' offensive production has slid this season:
the running game numbers are down and QB Flacco's been sacked 40 times. The Chiefs' defense has 19
sacks over the past 7 games and should produce more today. Oher is hurting with knee and ankle injuries
and he'll be blocking dangerous rusher Hali (14.5 sacks). Cheifs are a dangerous dog at 7-2 ATS and
we're on them.

Jets/Colts 8:00: The Jets are out to seek revenge from last year's AFC Championship game and have a
real good chance of upsetting the Colts here. The Jets come into this game relatively healthy compared to
the Colts, which have a number of key injuries on both sides of the ball. The Jets' defense, which racked up
40 sacks on the year, got after the QB down the stretch registering 19 over the final six weeks. The Colts
won't have G Thomas (ankle) in and the Indianapolis' offense is all about protecting QB Manning. The Jets
have a good weaponry, including specialty teams star Brad Smith who can also be a productive offensive
force. Jets are 7-1 ATS as a small road dog while the Colts have struggled as a home favorite at 1-4 ATS.
Jets the call.

Saints/Seahawks 4:30: Expectations are high for the incumbent NFL Champions to blow out the
underachieving Seahawks, who got a fortuitous division win by default of the NFC West competitors.
Nevertheless, we'll go with Seattle based on these conclusions: The Seahawks played well at home this
season and their stadium is not an easy place to steal a road win no matter who the competitor. Remember, the Saints are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs teams below .500, and they've underachieved as a road
favorite in this spread range at 2-6 ATS. Furthermore, the Saints are a money burning 1-5 ATS in outdoor
road games from December on. The Seahawks do have an experienced playoff QB in Hasselbeck. Sure, he
had a sub-par season but has the ability and the mindset to make amends for that here on this grand
stage. He'll have a pretty good supporting cast that has gotten healthy recently. On the other hand, the
Saints are not healthy: Their running back corps of Thomas and Ivory is out; therefore, they'll have to rely
on non-durable Reggie Bush to carry the load. And Drew Brees won't have a healthy receiving corps to
effectively spread out the Seahawks' secondary with TEs: Jimmy Graham (out), Shockey (groin) and
Thomas (knee) plus WR Colston (knee) all battling injuries. We're taking the points.

Saints/Falcons 8:30: We realize that the Falcons are rolling on an 8-0 SU run and Atlanta's QB Ryan is
nearly unbeatable (19-1 SU) at the Georgia Dome. Nevertheless, we'll look for them to hit a snag here. If
you recall, the Saints were the last team to beat the Falcons at the Georgia Dome, even though that
was without Ryan. The Saints are dangerous in this spot: they're 16-5 ATS off a SU loss and looking to
avenge the earlier season 27-24 OT loss. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS as a dog with revenge against an
opponent greater than .500. The Saints are also 7-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games.
Moreover, the Saints are in more need of this game than the Falcons. To control their own destiny, the
Saints need to win one of their last two games. And vengeful Tampa Bay is definitely not a given.
Atlanta, however, is in complete control of the NFC South, and with one more win they'll lock up home
field advantage throughout the playoffs with lightweight Carolina on deck. With Atlanta at 9-19-1 ATS at
home vs a team with a winning road record, we're going to play the Saints, who have a bit more urgency
to win this.

Tennessee/KC 1:00: Tennessee got over the hump last week stopping their losing skid (our Best Bet) and we'll jump back on them here. Kerry Collins is a veteran QB that manages the offense well and can surely play at this stadium; after all, Tennessee won last 2 at Arrowhead Stadium. KC doesn't play the home favorite role well in this spread range at 2-5 ATS, and they're just 2-7 ATS in December. With the road team at 4-0 ATS in this series, we're on the Titans.

Patriots/Bills 1:00: The Patriots are looking to clinch the AFC East with a win here and should deliver. NE has covered 6 straight in Buffalo and sports a dominant 12-5 ATS mark as a road favorite in this spread range. Bad weather brings out the best in NE for few teams can match them in snowy conditions, as Chicago found out December 12. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in week 16. Buffalo is a money burning 8-21-2 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. NE the call.

Dallas/Arizona 7:30: Losing a future NFL Hall of Fame QB (Warner) had a detrimental effect on the
Cardinals this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom tier of the NFL in passing and rushing yards. Tonight,
the Cardinals, still unsettled at QB, will face a surging Cowboys squad that's playing hard despite being out
of the playoff picture. We do realize that the Cowboys' defense has yielded 30 or more points in 4 straight
games; however, they are 17-4 ATS after allowing 250 + passing yards in previous game. We're going to
look for the Cowboys' pass rush to be aided by a variety of blitzes to disarm either Skelton or Anderson. On
the other hand, the Cowboys' offense has been able to get into rhythm with Kitna and should once again
manage a solid game against that is on the field more than they should because of a lack of production
from their anemic offense. And Arizona's last prime time experience --Nov 29th-- was an embarrassing
display of football for the Cardinals as they got hammered on both sides of the ball at home against San
Francisco. Dallas the call.

Chicago/Minnesota 8:30: Because of the inclement weather, field conditions should slow the bodies down to make this a physical battle with two pretty good physical defenses. Minnesota's offense may be in a state of flux with QB questions, RB Peterson's ankle, and key injuries along the offensive line; however, defensively they remain solid. The Bears will have to bang Matt Forte and Chester Taylor between tackles to help Cutler settle in. We believe they can create a wearing down effect on the Vikings' defense over the course of this game. The Vikings' offense could very well go with Favre (upgraded to questionable) who, of course has cold weather playing experience. However, the Bears' aggressive front line, including Peppers, won't make it easy on Favre, who hasn't practiced all week. The Bears can clinch the NFC North with a win and should come out firing after getting embarrassed last week. Chicago is 8-1 ATS as an above .500 team vs a division opponent off a double-digit SU loss. The Vikings have not played the dog role well at 0-7 ATS and they're just 2-5 ATS following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Bears the call.

Jets/Steelers 4:15: The media has made a circus out of the bungling Jets after back-to-back losses.
However, we're getting back their horse here. The Steelers have been erratic, especially off blowout wins at
0-4 ATS following a SU win of two TDs or more. The Jets are a solid 11-5 ATS as a road dog and should
work a vulnerable Steelers' secondary without their best player -- Troy Polamalu (Achillies). The Jets have
dangerous skill players in Edwards, Holmes, Tomlinson out of the backfield, and even TE Keller. QB
Sanchez should get back on track with a variety of screens and check down routes against the overly
aggressive Steelers' defense. The Jets covered 3 of the last 4 in this series and covered 6 straight on
natural grass surfaces. We'll look for the Jets to play this one tough

Denver/Oakland 4:15: The Broncos should continue to struggle offensively without McDaniels calling the
plays. Newly appointed OC McCoy doesn't have a firm grasp on play calling and uncertainty remains at QB
with Orton banged up and taking limited amount of snaps throughout the week. Tebow should see action
but shouldn't be a threat vs an Oakland defense that plays the pass well and will most likely spot blitz
repeatedly. The Raiders blasted Denver in the first game and sport a 5-0 ATS mark vs the AFC West. The
Broncos haven't responded well off losses and Studesville is left with a team in a building stage of
development without an identity on both sides of the ball. The Raiders, however, know who they are and
possess a solid run game with McFadden and Bush whose success running helps alleviate the pressure on
QB Campbell. The Raiders have responded well off losses with a 7-3 ATS mark and we'll take them here.