Detroit/Tampa Bay 1:00: The Bucs have been a surprise winning team this year but their money run might
be coming to an end. TB is losing the attrition battle with key injuries mounting on both sides of the ball.
Defensively, they've lost some key personnel on the line and in the secondary; consequently, we'll look for
Detroit's green QB Stanton to settle in during his 3rd start. The Bucs are just 3-8-1 ATS in December and
3-14 ATS at home. The Lions have covered 6 of the last 7 in this series and covered 5 of their last 7 dog
roles. We'll take the points here.

*Best Bet* Tennessee (-1) for 4 Units ****
Houston/Tennessee 1:00: We believe the life was sucked out of the Texans on Monday night when they
battle hard to get back into the game only to fall flat in OT thus killing their playoff hopes. On a short week
of prep, it will be difficult to prepare for the vengeful Titans that got whipped pretty good November 28th in
Houston 20-0. In that game, third team QB Rusty Smith lived up to his moniker with a pathetic 26.7 passer
rating. Today, cagey veteran Kerry Collins should have the Titans back on track. He has some healthy
targets, including Randy Moss who has had time to learn the offense. The Texans rank last in the NFL
against the pass and won't have super Mario Williams (sports hernia) rushing off the edge or crashing down
on backs. We'll look for Titans to have a good offensive balance as Chris Johnson should also have a big
game. Tennessee is 7-1 ATS as a division favorite vs a less than .400 opponent off a non division game,
and they're 16-7-1 ATS as a small home favorite. The Texans, however, are a money burning 2-9 ATS in
the first of back-to-back road games and lost 6 of their last 7 on grass surfaces. Sweet revenge for Tenn.

Baltimore/Houston 8:30: Houston is still in the hunt for a playoff birth in the sluggish AFC South. They have
talent, especially offensively, and because of late game collapses they're sitting at an underachieving 5-7.
We'll jump on them here where they're a dangerous home dog as a sub .500 team. The Texans are 14-2
ATS at less than .500 against an opponent off a home game. And the Texans have a solid history in
December at 9-1 ATS at home off a SU loss and 8-1 ATS as a sub .500 team at home against a .600 or
greater team. Houston has covered 7 of their last 10 as a small home dog. Their offense is potent with
Schaub surrounded by talented skill players (Andre Johnson, Arian Foster) and a pretty decent offensive
line. They'll need the defense, which has been poor defending the pass all season, to step up its game
tonight. Baltimore's offense has struggled in three of the last four weeks to move the ball consistently. And
because of Houston's offensive potency and Baltimore's offensive inconsistency, we'll steer away from the
Ravens, which are 4-11 as a road favorite, including 0-4 in this spread range. Houston is well aware of the
beating the Ravens gave them the last time they hosted this matchup (41-13); tonight, we'll look for a more
focused Texans team.

Giants/Vikings 7:20: The Giants are a good traveling team at 21-8 ATS, including 3-1 ATS. We prefer them
outside as a traveler but grab the revengeful Giants here, on neutral turf at Ford Field in Detroit, as they
had plenty of time to stew over the 44-7 demolition they sustained in last year's season finale. The Giants
are getting healthier as the season progresses and should have available Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks
for extra depth at WR. But the big news is the personnel the Vikings will possibly be without. Percy Harvin,
arguably the Vikings most dangerous versatile weapon, may miss this game because of migraines. And QB
Favre (shoulder) will probably miss or be ineffective if he does play. The Giants' aggressive defense should
be well prepared against mediocre QB Tarvaris Jackson. They certainly had last week's film to study his
tendencies and faults --which are plenty. The Giants are a sweet 8-1 ATS after the Redskins and a strong
22-5 ATS off a SU/ATS division win vs a non-division opponent.

Rams/Saints 4:05: This series is 6-1 O/U and we'll stay "over" here. Last year, the Saints won at St. Louis
28-23. The Saints' dynamic offensive attack has gotten healthier and should give the Rams' secondary
trouble; after all, the Rams' top corner -- Bartell -- is out and Spagnuolo will be forced to use either Quincy
Butler or Bradley Fletcher -- players with limited NFL time. The Saints are 7-1 O/U off a SU win and 19-9-1
O/U at home. The Saints, which are 11-4 O/u in December, have experienced late game defensive lapses
over the last 3 weeks; consequently, we'll look for the much improved Rams' offense to get in the end zone.
The Rams' defense, on the other hand, will have its hands full against a Saints' offense that has produced
4 consecutive games with 30 points or more. The Rams, which clamped down on Arizona last week, holding
the quarterback lacking Cardinals' offense to just 6 points, should have trouble with the versatile and
explosive Saints' offense. The Rams are 19-7 O/U after allowing less than 15 points in previous game.
"Over" the call.

Oakland/Jacksonville 1:00: Jacksonville is rolling (5-0 ATS run) and should catch the jubilant Raiders
sleeping off their upset win and season sweep of San Diego last week. The Raiders,which are 3-7 ATS off a
division game, have a history of struggling as a December dog off a division game against a non division
opponent at 1-11 ATS. Moreover, the Raiders are 0-7 ATS in week 14. The Jaguars are a solid 6-1 ATS at
home after allowing less than 10 points. Jacksonville has the potent ground game with Jones-Drew, which
should give trouble to the Raiders' run-stop-unit that is the weak point of their defense. And Jag's QB
Garrard is back to making better decisions and should have a healthy receiving corps with Sims-Walker to
joing Lewis and Thomas.

Browns/Bills 1:00: The Browns have a tendency to beat up on the NFL fodder with an 8-0 ATS mark against
opponents with a .250 or less winning percentage. Cleveland has covered 3 straight in this series, including
the last two at Buffalo in 2008 and 2009. Buffalo has struggled stopping the run and should see a heavy
dose of bruising Peyton Hillis, which should open the play action for veteran Jake Delhomme, who has some
solid targets to go to, including, and hopefully, Josh Cribbs (foot). The Browns are a sweet 5-0 ATS in
December and sport an impressive 15-2 ATS mark on the road against a team with a losing home record.
The Bills are just 1-5 ATS in December and 5-13-1 ATS at home. Browns the call.

Green Bay/Detroit 1:00: We're going to stay on Detroit as Stanton -- as expected -- did a nice job last week
against Chicago. He'll stay home for the second week in a row facing a Green Bay defense that continues
to have injuries. This week, two key players are banged up: DE Jenkins (calf) -- who has 7 sacks -- is out,
and all everything CB Charles Woodson sprained his ankle Wednesday in practice; however, he'll play.
Detroit's Stanton has Jahvid Best in the lineup and a good cast of weapons, including Calvin Johnson.
Detroit is 6-1 ATS as a home dog of 7 or more against an opponent off a SU/ATS home win. We'll grab the
vengeful Lions, which still got a bite left in them.

Jets/Patriots 8:30: We realize that the Patriots are seeking to avenge September 19th loss. And Belichick is dangerous as an avenger, especially in December. However, the Jets are equally dangerous as a .500+ road dog off a win at 10-0 ATS. Moreover, they're 10-2 ATS in December as a dog playing into revenge. The Jets have managed to maintain health and preserved their key weaponry, including LT, for this time of year. The Patriots' pass defense leaves much to be desired (last in NFL) and offensively could miss that key vertical threat that Moss once brought to the field; after all, the Jets will blitz Brady and will press their fast corners to take away Brady's quick screens and hot reads. We'll grab the points here.

Detroit (+5) for 2 Units **Chicago/Detroit 1:00: Both of these teams have been spread winners this season; however, good spot for the Lions despite using their 3rd team QB Stanton. Stanton, a 2nd round draft pick out of Michigan State, has seen limited action this season in spot roles and received the bulk of the snaps in practice. He has a big arm and is in a position to do well with surrounding skill talent, including arguably the most dangerous receiver in football -- Calvin Johnson -- who can make most QBs look good. Moreover, Stanton is mobile which will be necessary against the hard charging defensive front of Chicago. Defensively, the Lions have one of the best defensive fronts and can give Cutler, who has been sacked 37 times (most in NFL), trouble. But RB Forte, who gave the Lions a load of trouble in last matchup, will need to be kept under wraps by Detroit. The Lions, who had a few extra days of prep (off Thanksgiving blowout loss), are 5-0 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. The Bears are 1-11 ATS on the road in December off back-to-back wins. Detroit the call.

Jacksonville/Tennessee 1:00: The Jaguars should be able to avenge their 30-3 earlier season loss against a Tennessee team wasn't prepared to deal with the loss of Vince Young. Titans' QB Rusty Smith was horrible last week at Houston in his first career start vs one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Tennessee has now been kept without a TD in 9 consecutive quarters. Veteran QB Kerry Collins (calf) should get the nod but not the quick fix. Jacksonville, however, has covered in 4 straight games and was a drive away from upsetting the Giants last week. We'll look for Jacksonville to bounce back in this spot. The Jaguars in December are 11-2 ATS vs an opponent off back-to-back losses. They're also 11-1 ATS in week 13. Tennessee hasn't responded off SU losses well recently at 4-10 ATS. We'll call for the Jaguars to deliver.

Broncos/Chiefs 1:00: It's a bitter cold day in KC and gives the Chiefs the advantage. KC has the run game (179 yards per game) to work over a Denver defense that wears down over a course of a game. And the prolific KC run game should keep QB Matt Cassel successful with play-action. The Broncos' offense, which averages just 79 yards per game on the ground, has been reliant on the pass for most of the season. However, teams have schemed accordingly against the one dimensional Broncos' offense and now Denver is struggling and should continue those struggles in these bone chilling months when running the football is imperative for success. KC does a nice job defensively and should be able to contain the Broncos' offense this time around. As you recall, KC HC Haley didn't take lightly his counterpart --McDaniels -- keeping his foot on the gas late in the game November 14th. Surely the Chiefs have revenge in mind. KC is 10-2 ATS at home with revenge off a SU win. In December, the Chiefs are a sweet 14-1 ATS vs an opponent off a non-division game and back-to-back SU losses. KC the call.

Texans/Eagles 8:20: Eagles should be back on their game in this spot after getting slowed down in
Chicago. The Eagles are 4-1 in December and 11-2 ATS in week 13. We'll look for the speed and
playmaking ability of Vick, Maclin, Jackson, and McCoy to overwhelm a Texans' defense that had a good
situation last week. Houston played against the Titans, which had to break in a new QB and were littered
with controversy for the week. The Texans are 0-8 ATS vs an opponent off a SU/ATS road loss.
Philadelphia the call.

San Francisco/Arizona 8:30: San Fran has covered 4 of last 5 in this series but we don't like the fact
that a shaky road team (SF) is laying points tonight. The dog in this series has covered in 7 of the last 8
games. The Cardinals have not successfully replaced Kurt Warner at QB but do have an advantage
with former All-Pro Derek Anderson at the controls as he is starting to find rhythm with Fitzgerald and
Breaston; on the other hand, SF's Troy Smith starts his first "true" road game for SF on enemy ground.
Smith did not look good at home vs TB last week with a 51.5 rating. We do realize that the AZ defense
has been very shaky and can't strengthen our selection because of it. We do, however, believe that
tonight's spotlight on MNF, revenge mode, and with the chance to, amazingly, stay in the division race
will bring out the best in this bunch, which has some talent. And against their division, AZ is 11-1 ATS off
a non-division game and back-to-back SU losses. They also play the dog role well at 20-8 ATS and
show some resilience with an 11-4 ATS mark at home off a SU loss. Whisenhunt is a sweet 9-1 ATS at
home vs an opponent off a SU non-division loss. SF, on the other hand, has come up empty as a small
road favorite at 0-6 ATS and they're just 2-8 ATS as chalk vs a sub .500 team with revenge off a SU
loss. AZ the call.

Eagles/Bears 4:15: Eagles are looking like World beaters now with QB Vick playing at a stratospheric level with an explosive supporting cast of skill players surrounding him. However, if there is a defense made to counter the Eagles' speed, it is Chicago's. They're physical and fast and we'll look for them to limit the Eagles' production here. On the other hand, the Bears' QB Cutler is having trouble with 5 to 7 step drop passes. He may have to "check down" or go with screens and quick passes to his dependable targets to counter the blitz happy Eagles' defense. The Bears were beaten by the Eagles in Chicago last year 24-20 which sets up a nice play on the Bears here: Lovie Smith is a sweet 9-1 ATS with revenge vs an opponent off a division game. And in November, the Bears are 11-0 ATS with revenge against a non division opponent off a SU win. The dog in this series has covered 6 of 8 times. With the Bears extra prep time to stew in a revenge mode, we'll grab the points here.

Rams/Broncos 4:15: Rams still haven't won on the road but they've been coming close. They're 4-0 ATS as a road dog in this spread range and sport a 6-2 ATS mark on the road against opponents under .500. Sure, they got blasted at Detroit but ran into a revenge wall coming off a big home win against Seattle. The Rams are 6-1 ATS off a SU loss of 14+ points and should be quite competitive here against a Denver team on a short prep week. Denver is 5-11 ATS off a SU loss and punch-less as a home favorite in this spread range at 3-13 ATS. The Rams have the run game going with Steven Jackson and QB Bradford has been outstanding over the last 5 games with 8 TD to 1 INT and good accuracy (65.3%). The Broncos have difficulty rushing the passer with an NFL low of 14 sacks. They consistently leave their secondary hanging out to dry. And the Broncos have yet to establish a run game this season. We'll look for defensive minded Spagnuolo to dial up a good defensive scheme against the pass happy Broncos as Orton continues to take a few steps back in production. Rams the call.

Kansas City/Seattle 4:05: We don't trust the Chiefs, who struggle on the road, laying points. KC does not play the favorite role well at 2-9-1 ATS and just 1-4 ATS as road chalk. The Chiefs offense tends to stall out on the road (75 fewer yards than at home) and face a Seattle defense that nuts up at home (19 ppg allowed). The Seahawks have shown a degree of resiliency at 5-1 ATS off a SU loss and have covered 4 of their last 5 home dog roles. The Chiefs have also struggled in week 12 at 2-8 ATS and sport a miserable November ledger at 2-12 ATS as a favorite against a sub .500 team off a non-division game. We're going to look for QB Hasselbeck to turn his game up a notch here. Seattle the call.

Vikings/Redskins 1:00: Vikings' coaching change came at a good time and should benefit us here. They'll try hard for their new head coach Frazier. Minnesota is catching Washington off an OT win at Tennessee and are 0-11 ATS as a .500 or greater opponent in November off a non-division foe against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss. The Redskins have burnt money at home vs losing teams at 1-10-2 ATS. Washington is ravaged by injuries to their secondary and should allow Favre to have his best game of the season with his still potent weaponry, including Sidney Rice --who came back in the fray last week. The Redskins, however, are thin in the backfield and McNabb has limited weaponry surrounding him; after all, when journeyman Joey Gallaway (released this week) starts for you, it's because no one else is available. We'll grab the Vikings here.

Bengals/Jets 8:20: The Jets haven't been a dominating team ATS and barely squeaking by teams in OT. We do like the way the Jets' defense was pissed off after allowing Houston back in the game in the 4th quarter. They take pride in their unit and should play better tonight. On the other hand, the underachieving Bengals --on a 1-6 ATS slide -- have given up points easily lately (nearly 30 ppg last 3 weeks) and should struggle more tonight; after all, their secondary is ravaged by injuries and the organization was forced to bring in a few defensive backs to see immediate field action. For DC Mike Zimmer, that is a nightmare to integrate new secondary talent into his system at this stage of the season. We'll look for NY to capitalize on it and finally deliver a decisive win. The Bengals are playing with revenge from last year's early playoff exit; however, they're in no shape to avenge anything. They're 3-9 ATS following a double-digit loss at home and 3-10 ATS after allowing 350+ yards the previous week. We'll jump on the Jets that are 5-1 ATS at home vs a non-division opponent playing with revenge

Saints/Cowboys 4:15: Despite the 2-0 SU/ATS run in the Garrett era, we're not entirely sold on the resurgence of Dallas and will fade them here. Dallas still has problems with their offensive line and unstable in areas of their secondary. We'll look for Drew Brees, who had a few game films to analyze the Cowboys' defensive scheme under DC Pasqualoni,

Denver/San Diego 8:30: We believe the Chargers' winning momentum will stall out here; after all, they're 1-5 ATS off a bye week and 1-3 ATS off a bye vs a division opponent. Denver, on the other hand, sports a 6-0 ATS mark as a conference dog vs an opponent with rest. The Broncos have had turnover trouble at times but SD is 23rd in the NFL in take-aways and has their share of trouble holding onto the ball at times and continues to struggle on specialty teams. Denver controls a perfect 8-0 ATS mark in November off a division game vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win. The road team in this series dominated each game last season. SD should again be without key receiving cog - Gates - and RB Matthews. Our concern is the pass rush of Denver (just 13 sacks). SD QB Rivers can carve up a defense if given 3 seconds each play. But Denver has an improved running game that can help feed the already prolific pass game to hang around. We'll take the points.

Colts/Patriots 4:15: Just as we were all over the Patriots last week (Best Bet), we're going to fade them in
this spot. The Patriots in November are just 1-10 ATS as chalk off a double-digit SU win vs an opponent off
a SU win. New England is 30th in the league vs the pass and should have trouble with Peyton Manning now
that he's had a few weeks to work with his make-shift receiving corps. The Colts are 4-1 ATS as a road dog
and sport a 4-1-1 ATS mark in this series. NE is 1-5-1 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record.
We'll take the points with Indy.

Texans/Jets 1:00: The Jets have dominated this series to the tune of 4-0 ATS, including last year on
opening day in a 24-7 beat-down in Houston. The Jets' QB Sanchez should be able to find seams in the
weak secondary of the Texans while continuing to employ their power run game. The Houston defense has
allowed a league worst 410 yards per game. The Jets are 5-1 ATS at home vs a non-division opponent with
revenge. Houston should lose their 6th straight ATS in November.

Baltimore/Carolina 1:00: We always get overly concerned when everyone and their brother talks about "lock
of the week". This is what we've been hearing about Baltimore today. We still believe, however, the Ravens
can cover as value is still there. Baltimore will face a team decimated with injuries to skill players. The
Panthers' entire starting backfield is sidelined with injuries. They'll start 30 year old Brian St. Pierre who has
thrown a handful of passes in his limited NFL career. He has limited weaponry to go to other than Steve
Smith and should have a hard time connecting on deep routes with the Ravens' aggressive pass rush out in
full force today. Moreover, RB Mike Goodson is the last of the solid running backs for Carolina getting
another start. The Ravens have had extra rest coming off that disappointing loss at Atlanta on the 11th.
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS with extra rest and they usually take care of sub .500 teams under Harbaugh at 12-4
ATS; however, this year, they've been shaky in that role (1-3 ATS). We'll stay lay the wood with Baltimore
on account of their 5-1 ATS mark off an ATS loss and an incentive to stay on top of the AFC North. We
don't believe that Carolina can exploit the struggling Ravens' secondary with limited skill talent and a beat
up offensive line. We'll look for Baltimore to effectively run the football and work off that with play action to
wear out the injury riddled Panthers.

Packers/Vikings 1:00: The Vikings are not fond of their coach and have limited incentive with a playoff berth
out of equation; however, like every other NFL team, they are professionals and are playing for their jobs.
In this instance, we see the Vikings showing up to play hard today. Favre has practiced hard all week in
prepping for his last meeting vs his former team. Sidney Rice's return will surely add value to the receiving
corps despite the limited time he'll see. And the Vikings' defense remains solid. The dog in this series is
17-6 ATS and the Vikings have covered 4 of their last 5 home games. The Vikings are looking to avenge
their 28-24 loss from October 24th. Green Bay is a sluggish 1-8 ATS in November vs an opponent off a
double-digit SU loss with revenge, and they're 2-10 ATS as a .500 or greater team on the road vs a division
opponent off a division game with revenge. The Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS in November off a SU loss vs
a .500 or greater opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Minnesota the call.

Bears/Dolphins 8:20: Under Lovie Smith, the Bears have been shaky off a division game vs a winning
team (2-10 ATS); however, what we do like about Chicago and the reasons why we'll override that is
this: they're 7-1 ATS on the road off a double-digit SU win; covered 4 of last 5 as a dog, and sport a 5-2-
1 ATS mark as a small road dog. Moreover, we like teams with strong defenses and specialty teams
playing on the road, which fits Chicago. They're allowing just 16 ppg defensively, and they are in the top
echelon in kickoff returns and punt returns. Consequently, that will pose problems for an opponent that
has to prepare their 3rd string QB (Thigpen) on a short week and whom struggle in kickoff coverage
(30th in league). Miami has been a money burner as a home favorite (6-25 ATS), and they're just 1-7
ATS as a non-division favorite. We'll look for Bears' QB Cutler to limit mistakes this time and for the
Bears to win this one on establishing good field position and creating turnovers. Bears the call.

Eagles/Redskins 8:30: The Redskins are coming off a bye-week with their QB McNabb getting much
scrutiny on if he can bounce back after a lackluster performance October 31st at Detroit. McNabb has
had a history of bouncing back successfully off sluggish performances and we won't discard that notion
tonight vs his former team. He surely has a good supporting cast and a good atmosphere to shine in
tonight. On the other hand, the Eagles are rolling offensively. Vick is flourishing and he has to thank his
supporting cast --offensive line and great skill weaponry -- DeSean Jackson and Maclin to name a few.
The Eagles are 6-1 O/U after accumulating 350+ yards in previous game, 6-2 O/U in November, and 11-
5 O/U after an ATS loss. Washington is 8-2 O/U after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in
previous game. We're going to look for a higher scoring game tonight.

Patriots/Steelers 8:20: The Patriots are a dangerous team off a SU/ATS loss on the road against a winning team as their 10-1 ATS mark in that role indicates. Moreover, they're 13-5 ATS after allowing 30+ points in their previous game. We're going to look for the Patriots' resiliency under Belichick to emerge once again tonight. NE has covered 7 of the last 9 in this series. They're catching the Steelers coming off a short prep week. Pittsburgh has dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS playing on Sunday following a Monday game. We're going to look for NE's Brady to work the overly aggressive Steelers' defense that is 24th in the league vs the pass. And we should see a more physical and disciplined NE defense limiting Pittsburgh's offense.

Kansas City/Denver 4:05: It's difficult this time of year to be successful without a solid running game. Denver is the bad example set on why they're struggling. The Broncos are averaging just 67 yards per game on 2.9 yard per carry. And that won't cut it today vs a pretty good Kansas City defense that plays well in the secondary and has a pass rush. On the other hand, the Broncos' run-stop-unit is allowing a generous 5 yards per carry and they're going to have trouble vs a KC run game pounding out 180 yards per game on 5 yards per carry. And Denver LB D.J. Williams absence won't help matters. KC is resilient off losses at 4-0 ATS and the road team has covered in 3 straight. Chiefs the call.

Cincinnati/Indianapolis 1:00: It should be difficult for Cincinnati to get up for this game following a crushing MNF defeat that deflated their chances of seeing the post-season. The Colts, however, will use their loss to Philadelphia as another wake up call to further their success. Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in this series and Manning has historically put up big numbers against Cincinnati (6-0, 17 TD / 3 INT). Manning still has Reggie Wayne healthy and had time to groom a new receiving contingent. The Bengals have lost 4 of their last 5 as a road dog in this spread range while the Colts have covered 7 of their last 8 as a home favorite in this spread range. Colts the call.

NY Jets/Cleveland 1:00: The Browns are no longer the AFC punching bag. They have underrated talent that's finally getting recognition and remain a value play on a weekly basis. Special teams are solid, the running game with RB Hillis behind a productive offensive line has helped McCoy (probable start today) or Wallace settle in as a passer to some pretty good skill players (Cribbs, Massaquoi). And defensively, Rob Ryan has done a solid job in coordinating and scheming on a weekly basis. The Browns' defense plays hard. And November is a good month for Cleveland at 8-1 ATS against .500 teams or greater. The Jets, on an 0-2 ATS slide, have now failed to cover in 5 of their last 6 November tilts and sport a disappointing 1-4 ATS mark as a favorite. The Brownies have covered 9 of their last 12 as a dog and 9 of their last 11 vs AFC foes. And the 12th man in Cleveland has propelled the Browns to a 6-2 ATS home mark. We'll grab the points here.

Ravens/Falcons 8:20: Both of these teams' are doing the needed things to win. In this spot, however, we'll
opt for Atlanta. Baltimore has had difficulty making the transition on a short week at 1-7 ATS, including
"week 2" at Cincinnati (lost 15-10) after winning at NYJ on MNF 6 days earlier. Hard to fade a Falcons team
with QB Ryan at home; after all, they're 17-1 SU at the Georgia Dome with him as the starter.

Steelers/Bengals 8:30: Up until last week, the Steelers were considered the hottest team in the league.
Tonight, public perception is that the Steelers are in a pissy mood coming off a loss and in a double
revenge state of mind. Moreover, all the talk is Tomblin is 5-0 SU on MNF and Roethlisberger is 6-1 SU
in Cincinnati. That kind of speculation has driven up the line to nearly a TD from an opening of -3'. A
closer look reveals that Tomblin is a mere 8-9 ATS following a loss and just 7-9-1 ATS with revenge.
Furthermore, the Steelers are a money burning 1-5 ATS as road chalk on MNF. What bettors should
know is that Cincinnati is in a desperation mode needing this game to save their season and that they're
5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a home dog -- a dangerous combination for a MNF home dog. The Bengals
have talent and it should favorably materialize tonight in this spot. The Steelers' defense, which is 25th
in the league defending the pass, was exposed last week in New Orleans with Brees effectively finding
seems in the Steelers' secondary. Carson Palmer has the quick release and talented receivers to
counter the Steelers' chaotic blitz packages. On the other hand, Pittsburgh's offensive line has had
trouble protecting Roethlisberger on 5 to 7 step drop passes, which is why the Steelers are 29th in the
league in pass yards per game. Bengals' DC Mike Zimmer should have a solid defensive scheme ready..

Indianapolis/Philadelphia 4:15: The well rested Eagles should once again take advantage of their bye week and deliver against an Indy club on a short week (played Monday). Philadelphia is a sweet 18-4 ATS following a week of rest. They'll have All-Pro wide receiver Jackson back and Mike Vick,who adds the versatility to the Eagles' offense, will be ready to go. Defensively, the Colts' have had problems against the run and Vick's added running ability should create problems for them. And although the Colts' limited arsenal of offensive weapons worked well against the defensive poor Texans Monday, the Eagles should make life for Peyton Manning a bit more difficult. The Eagles, which have an opportunistic defense --4th in the league in interceptions -- have a tendency to bounce back after poor defensive outings and they surely had time to correct the breakdowns they experienced at Tennessee on the 24th. Philadelphia is 22-8 ATS after allowing 30+ points. We'll jump on the Eagles here.

Miami/Baltimore 1:00: The Ravens had a week to iron out the wrinkles in their usually stingy defense. And judging from their past history, we expect the stingy defense of the Ravens to reemerge here; after all, Baltimore, is 3-11-1 O/U after allowing 350+ total yards in previous game. This series has only exceeded 40 points once over the last 10 times played. Miami, which is 0-4 O/U in their last 4 road tilts, sports a 2-10 O/U mark as a road dog and they're 4-10 O/U in November. We're going to look for a lower scoring game here with defense taking precedence.

*Best Bet* San Diego (-3) for 3.5 Units ***'San Diego/Houston 1:00: We faded the Chargers early in the season but will jump on them now on account of their yo-yo seasonal history under Norv Turner.

Houston/Indianapolis 8:30: Houston has played this series tough covering in 3 of the last 4 games,
including week #1 in a 34-24 triumph at home. Indy has not played the home favorite same season
revenge role well at a money burning 1-11 ATS. Tonight, we don't like a team that depends so much on
the passing game yet has a depleted receiving corps. Even the great Peyton Manning needs more than
a few weeks to get in rhythm with his seldom used receiving corps and 3rd team RB Hart. Houston's
defense is poor at the bottom of the league; however, Mario Williams is healthy and versatile LB Cushing
can make big plays. Moreover, the Texans can score! There are few weaknesses to their offensive
game, which is well balanced. They're averaging nearly 31 ppg on the road and that makes them a
dangerous team. Houston is 7-1 ATS as a road dog and covered 6 of their last 8 in week #8. Houston
the call.

Pittsburgh/New Orleans 8:20: QB Brees has had trouble without Bush and Pierre Thomas in the lineup. He and the New Orleans' offense has become rather predictable as of recent. The well coached Saints will get it together eventually but we see the physical Pittsburgh defense delivering tonight. Pittsburgh, with the top scoring defense in the NFL won't have DEs Aaron Smith and Keisel wreaking havoc off the edge but the Steelers have good enough depth and a great scheme in which their well disciplined players fit in. And offensively. Roethlisberger, who sports a 122.4 rating since he came back, should continue his success against a secondary that hasn't thoroughly been tested since week 3 at home vs Atlanta. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record, and covered 8 of their last 9 as a small road dog. The Saints, on the other hand, are a mere 2-11 ATS off a double digit SU loss. Pittsburgh the call.

TB/AZ 4:15; Arizona is dangerous in this spot coming off a loss. Coach Whisenhunt is a super 11-1 ATS at home following a SU loss; moreover, he is 8-1 ATS off a SU loss vs a .600 opponent. TB has been unsuccessful in two attempts in Arizona, and they're 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a small road dog. Cardinals' QB Max Hall, after a horrible game at Seattle, should get back to playing well on his home turf. And we see the running game of Hightower and Wells aiding his production; after all, the TB defense allows a generous 158 ypg (5.3 ypc). AZ the call.

*Best Bet* New England (-5') for 3.5 Units ***'Minnesota/New England 4:15: We don't see the Vikings' offense producing against the improving NE defense. Favre has a weight bearing injury that will undoubtedly make it difficult to execute. His injury has surely been a distraction for the week and the limited prep time didn't help. And surely the Vikings' backup QB Jackson -- who has gotten very little reps in practice all season except this week -- isn't the answer. We'll look for Belichick to dial up another good defensive plan to keep the Vikings' offense sputtering. On the other hand, the Patriots TEs Hernandez and Gronkowski have fit into the system well offering great support to Welker and Branch, who is looking like he did the first time around in New England. The Vikings' defense is tough, but without the support of their offense, we think Vikings will fade down the stretch here. NE can close with a 6-1 mark as a home favorite of 3' to 10, and they're strong in October at 24-7-2 ATS .

Miami/Cincinnati 1:00: Miami has had success going up to Cincinnati with a 5-1 ATS mark and we see more success today. The Dolphins are 9-1-1 ATS in week 8 and 6-1 ATS as a small road dog. The Dolphins are more physical defensively than Cincinnati and should be able to deliver off a tough loss last week. On the other hand, the talented but underachieving Bengals still haven't employed the winning formula. And they're just 3-8 as small home chalk. Miami the call.

Giants/Cowboys 8:30: As we've seen, the Cowboys have been killing themselves with turnovers and
penalties. We know they're a dangerous team and a sleeping giant with immense talent at skill positions;
however, an area they lack is on the offensive line which hasn't opened holes for the Cowboys' backs
nor have they protected Romo well. Tonight, that o-line faces a solid NYG front that gets after the QB yet
maintains a level of discipline vs the run. And the NYG secondary has done a good job over the last
three weeks and should be up for the challenge to contest the talented Cowboys' receiving corps. The
Giants, which are 4-1 ATS in this series, have established a level of consistency the last three weeks
and shouldn't get complacent. Eli Manning is the best October QB in terms of wins and losses at 19-4 SU
as a starter and he is on the same page now with Steve Smith and company. Moreover, the NYG run
game is fueled by Bradshaw behind another solid year by the NYG offensive line. Technically, the Giants
are 7-0 ATS on the road off back-to-back SU wins vs a division opponent off a SU loss. The Cowboys,
which have lost 4 of their last 5 ATS on MNF are a desperate team to turn around their season and we
believe that desperation will be the reason for their loss again tonight.

Dallas/Minnesota 4:15: Cowboys should do well in this spot after falling to Tennessee. Dallas is a healthy
12-3 ATS after allowing more than 30 points in previous game. Dallas has a revenge incentive to add to
salvaging their season; after all, the 1-3 Cowpokes remember getting throttled in the NFC Semi-Finals
(34-3) last year. Today, they should come out firing. Minnesota's Favre is dealing with tendonitis, which is
a lingering injury that should keep him from physically doing what he mentally wants to do. The Vikings are
1-4 ATS as a small favorite and just 2-5 ATS in October. We'll look for the Cowboys to snap out of their
funk here.

Baltimore/New England 1:00: With an extra week of prep, we're going to look for the Patriots' defense to
be much more effective as the young secondary makes a significant leap in grasping Belichick's system.
NE is 3-8-1 O/U following a bye-week. Baltimore's QB Flacco has struggled this season (5 TD / 6 INT /
72.1 rating ) and Foxboro won't be the place to get it untracked. Baltimore is 0-4 O/U in their last 4 road
games and 0-3 O/U after scoring 30+ points. Baltimore's defense has been rock solid and should
continue to limit NE in the end zone, as the Patriots adjust to not having their top vertical threat -- Moss.
"Under" the call.

Falcons/Eagles 1:00: The Eagles blasted the Falcons at Atlanta last year and we're staying on Philly here.
Eagles' QB Kolb has shown poise filling in for Vick and he has a nice set of weapons surrounding him. At
the same time, the Falcons may hit a stumbling block here: Atlanta is just 1-7 ATS on the road following a
SU non-division win and 1-8 ATS following back-to-back wins. The Falcons have also struggled at
Philadelphia at 1-4 ATS.

Vikings/Jets 8:30: We realize that the acquisition of Moss is a major upgrade to the Vikings' pass game;
however, not sure he'll be able to grasp the Vikings' offensive playbook in the limited prep time; after all,
Moss is not your typical Rhodes Scholar. And even if it is simplified, getting in rhythm with Favre will take
more time. The Jets will have a few key players on both sides of the ball back in action, including Revis
(hamstring), who may not be at full throttle with limited prep time. However, the Jets' bring a violent pass
rush that can wreak havoc and lessen the demands of the secondary. On the other hand, the Jets'
offense, which has clicked the last few weeks, has Santonio Holmes back after serving his suspension.
He'll bring a vertical game to the Jets' offense with an already dangerous Braylon Edwards. And we're not
sure that Favre will be distracted with the "sexually explicit message" ordeal going on, but that distraction
sure didn't help with his prep for this one. Jets are 5-1 ATS as a favorite in this range. The Vikings are 0-5
ATS as a dog of less than 7 points vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5
road tilts. Jets the call.

Vikings/Jets 8:30: With the newly added weapons to each club, we find value with the "over". Santonio
Holmes will surely add a vertical dimension to the Jets' passing game. QB Sanchez has made good
decisions thus far (8 TD / 0 INT) and should be able to distribute the ball effectively with his many
weapons. On the other hand, Randy Moss gives Favre his vertical big-play weapon he sorely missed after
Sidney Rice was lost. The Vikings are 4-0 O/U on MNF and 10-1 O/U in week #5. Minnesota has yet to
break out -- offensively -- and it should come here despite the strength in the NY defense. The Jets are
5-2 O/U on MNF and 5-2 O/U off a SU win. NY is also 5-1 O/U after allowing less than 15 ppg in their last
game. "Over" it is.