Seahawks/Panthers 1:05: We've seen this scenario unfold before where an NFL team suffers a demoralizing regular season defeat only to come back in the playoffs and win/cover; as for Pete Carroll, he's a sweet 11-0 ATS as a dog w/ revenge and I'm riding Seattle. The pressure is put on Carolina as a maiden championship contender in the Cam Newton era. Sure, he is every bit the MVP analysts say he is; however, the Seattle defense is healthy and dangerous this time of year. Moreover, the Seahawks are battle tested after playing in frigid sub zero temps at Minn last week; consequently, today's 40 degree climate in Charlotte will feel like paradise. Sure, Carolina is well rested but keep in mind Carolina's HC Rivera is 1-6 ATS with rest. And let's not underestimate Russell Wilson who is often overlooked among NFL elite. He makes big plays when needed at crucial times -- as exhibited last week at Minnesota. And he has enough surrounding talent to put a dent in the Panthers' defense now that Lynch is added to the mix. Seattle the dangerous dog once again.

Chiefs/Patriots 4:35: Both offenses should have trouble getting generated today in Foxborough. KC will most likely be without their top wideout - Maclin . and surely defensive minded Belichick will have a scheme to limit KC's top target TE Kelce while spying elusive QB Alex Smith. Look for New England to get aggressive schematically with their run stop unit to get KC in third and long repeatedly. On the other hand, New England is thin at RB --deep in their rotation because of injuries -- and ranked 30th in the league in rushing. KC has a ball hawking secondary and will be focusing on Gronk and the return of Edelman (foot) who has been out since November 15.  KC is 1-5 O/U off a SU win of 14+, 1-5 O/U in January, and 2-5 O/U in playoffs. The sleeting conditions at Foxborough with the 12 MPH winds won't help the offenses either. This series is 1-4 O/U in its last 5 meetings and we'll stay Under today.

Steelers/Bengals 8:15: I do realize that Cincinnati hasn't won a playoff game in 24 years and second year QB McCarron is taking on future Hall of Fame QB Roethlisberger. I do, however, believe Cincinnati is the more well rounded team and will be more prepared in the spotlight tonight. Cincy has a much better defense than Pitt. The Bengals are only second to Seattle in PPG allowed at 17.4. They can also rush the passer without blitzing behind Atkins and Dunlap while their secondary has held their last six opponents to just three passes through the air. Sure, Antonio Brown is virtually un-coverable but Pittsburgh's lack of run game -- going deep down depth chart with Toussaint and Todman -- gives Bengals defensive flexibility in blitzing and coverage. And Roethlisberger, although rises to the occasion in big games, has thrown 6 interceptions in the last 3 games. On the other hand, QB McCarron is making mistakes and Pittsburgh's defense will attack him multiple ways with blitzes. McCarron handled the spotlight well at Alabama is big games and did a bang up performance on MNF at Denver Dec 28th. The important thing is he is surrounded by a good supporting cast and Pittsburgh has holes in their secondary that OC Hue Jackson can exploit. Cincy the call.

Chiefs/Texans 4:35: The Chiefs have been saddled with eight straight playoff losses but should break out of their post-season funk today. LB Houston's addition will surely give them a boost defensively. The Texans got it rolling in the second half of the season to earn this spot but not convinced they're quite good enough to hang with KC here. KC's Alex Smith is a major running threat in the pocket when he's not finding TE Kelce, RBs Ware or West, and mid-season discovered target Maclin. On the other hand, I like Hoyer as the QB but the run game is questionable without a proven go-to back. Sure, DeAndre Hopkins is a great receiver but KC's defense has risen to the occasion consistently taking away top weapons of opposing teams. We'll look for KC to deliver.

Bengals/Broncos 8:30: Bengals have been a road darling but QB McCarron is only in his third start and in a hostile environment; not a good combination for a young QB. Moreover, he's facing the sack leader (tied with NE) in the NFL and a ball hawking secondary; furthermore, TE Eifort is out! And the conditions (cold and windy) are not conducive for the pass game. We'll look for the Denver defense to stall out Cincy's offensive production. On the other hand, QB Osweiler is probable (non throwing shoulder) and should deliver with solid supporting cast. Denver the call.

Patriots/Jets 1:00: Jets grinding out a good year and need a win here to continue their quest for the playoffs; at the same time, they're looking to avenge the October 25th hard fought loss. Today, they're catching a banged up New England team with key slot Edelman doubtful and Amendola questionable. Moreover, the Pat's are paper thin at RB with reserve James White getting the nod against the strong run-stop-unit of NY. We'll look for NY to use more pass rushing specialist packages to disrupt Brady's timing with his thin receiving corps; moreover, bracket TE Gronk who had a huge game against them in October. On the other hand, Jets' QB Fitzpatrick has grown confident in the offensive system -- having B. Marshall as a target tends to do that. And if RB Ivory can get downhill on the NE defense with some key defenders hobbling (LB Hightower), then we're in business with NY. Jets are a sweet 7-3 ATS home and 9-1-2 ATS in December. They've gone 4-0-1 ATS in this series. We'll take those points.

Bears/Bucs 1:00: Bears 5-1 ATS on the road and in against a beatable foe today. TB is notorious for late season collapses sporting a 17-35-1 ATS mark in December and 0-4 ATS in Week 16. Chicago needs to pick up their defense and surely competent DC Fangio should have his men focused and prepared. Bears' Cutler has a healthier skill set to work with and should exploit a TB secondary that gives up yardage in chunks.

Chargers/Raiders 8:25: If this game were set about four weeks back, Raiders the call; however, this month these teams are going in opposite directions with SD on the rise and Oakland on the decline. The Chargers have stepped up their defense over the last three games -- allowing just 17 to Denver, 10 to KC, and 14 to Miami over that span. That's a significant improvement from earlier in the year when they couldn't stop anybody. On the other hand, the Raiders have shown inconsistency losing five of the last seven to knock them out of the race. Chargers are seeking to avenge the October 25th 37-29 loss. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 6-2 ATS in Week 16 and keep in mind that Phillip Rivers is a sweet 33-10 SU in December! On the other hand, the Raiders are showing a pattern of misfortune at 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home. And keep in mind they're 3-7 ATS in Week 16. With the road team in this series at 7-3 ATS and the dog at 12-1 ATS, the Chargers are the call!

Bears/Vikings 1:00: Bears HC Fox is a sweet 30-11 ATS in his career on the division road and we'll roll with him and the Bears here. Chicago is looking to avenge its earlier season home loss and they're playing well on the road -- 5-0 ATS run. QB Cutler is having his best season ever with a 92.2 QB rating and he has some reliable targets in Jefferey, Royal and versatile RB Forte. Chicago's defense has shown much improvement from a season ago and we'll look for them to be competitive today. I do realize the Bears are notorious for December flops but overdue to finish strong under Fox.

Chiefs/Ravens 1:00: I realize the Chiefs are rolling but should get tripped up here. Harbaugh won't let his team quit and despite all the injuries, the next man up philosophy should once again keep it close for a Baltimore cover. Ravens are 15-6 ATS vs teams above .500 and should battle back strong after a rare blowout loss last week. And they're a sweet 8-0 ATS as a non-division dog  of more than 2 points off a double-digit ATS loss. QB Schaub should be back in action and challenge a KC team that's had its share of injuries too. Baltimore 4-0 SU in series and should keep it tight.

Bucs/Rams 8:25: Bucs still in the playoff hunt and have responded well off losses under HC Smith this year (9-1 ATS off ATS loss and 4-0 ATS off SU loss); moreover, they've traveled well at 5-2 ATS on the road. On the other hand, the Rams, which are coming off that big win over Detroit last week, are poor off SU wins (0-4 ATS) and a worrisome 1-4 ATS in December. Now that the Rams are merely playing for pride, a win becomes less urgent. The Bucs' defense has been respectable this year and should be able to contain the low output Rams' offense -- at the bottom tier of the NFL. On the other hand, the Bucs' QB Winston doing a solid job in his first year managing the offense and getting lots of help from RB Martin and a pretty good O Line! Dog in this series 7-2-1 ATS and I'm jumping on the Bucs.

Giants/Dolphins 8:30: Giants have made some horrific mistakes late in games this year costing them a minimum of three wins. I'm going to believe they'll get it together as the season winds down; after all, they're 5-2 ATS in December, 4-1 ATS in Week 14. Sure, NY's defense leaves a lot to be desired for they give up a ton of yardage; however, they actually allow less PPG than Miami's defense. And we'll look for the two time Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning to shine in the spotlight. He surely has the most dangerous weapon on the field in OBJ. And the Giants are well aware they need to get their sluggish run game going and it could come tonight against the Dolphins' run stop unit which allows a generous 135 YPG. I like the hard hitting secondary of NY and I'm hoping S Meriweather (knee) -- who is questionable -- will play. The Giants' pass rush improved last week and we'll look for continued improvement on Tannehill tonight. Dollphins a money burning 1-7 ATS at home. Giants the call.

Lions/Rams 1:00: Rams have many problems with many on the offensive end; as a result, HC Fisher let go his OC and promoted his TE coach Rob Boras to the job. We'll look for some better offensive play as Case Keenum (cleared concussion protocol)  should rise to the challenge. RB Gurley (just 60 yards on 18 carries last 2 games) needs to get cranking to help fuel passing game. Detroit, which came off heartbreaking last second loss on the 3rd, will have difficulty regaining momentum here. Lions are just 3-8 ATS on the road, 1-3 ATS in series and face a Rams team that's 6-0 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. Standout WR Calvin Johnson's ankle won't help Detroit's chances. Like the Rams' defense at home. Rams the call.

49ers/Browns 1:00: Browns coming off a shellacking by Cincinnati but overdue to get back in the win column. Browns get back a few receivers (Benjamin & Gabriel) and newly acquired Pryor can add depth. Manziel gets his last chance to prove he is capable of running the Browns offense and we'll back him here. He has a decent supporting cast with RB Johnson and TE Barnidge. As for SF, they're coming off a huge win at Chicago; however, now have to play at Cleveland may be too much to ask for the banged up 49ers. They're 1-5 ATS off a SU win and 2-5-1 ATS on the road. Don't trust HC Tomsula to keep this team afloat. We'll grab the Browns here to end their losing drought.

Vikings/Cardinals 8:25: Cards are a dangerous team but do allow teams back in game as their 0-3 ATS ledger in their last three home games indicates. Where they do struggle is as a favorite off a double-digit ATS win against an opponent off a SU loss -- a money burning 0-12 ATS! Vikings have demonstrated resiliency off losses at 8-2 ATS. They're a sweet 11-3 ATS in December, 4-0 ATS in Week 14 and 8-2 ATS against a .500 or greater foe. Minnesota has covered five straight road games. We'll look for Zimmer to coordinate a good plan to slow down QB Palmer and company. Card's are thin at RB with Ellington and Johnson on the rack, which should allow Zimmer to dial up some exotic blitz opportunities. And offensively, RB Peterson should get his carries he was crying about last week and help out QB Bridgewater who's been struggling. We'll look for Minnesota to hang around here.

Jets/Giants 1:00: Giants have been in charge of this series and I see them not relinquishing their dominance here. The Jets still have corner Revis (concussion) out and corner Marcus Williams (knee) didn't practice all week; consequently, two time Super Bowl MVP Manning should work the Jets' weakened secondary as Beckham Jr. should again be principle target. On the other hand, don't think Jets' run game can work an improving Giants' run-stop-unit nor can QB Fitzpatrick burn a pretty solid Giant's secondary. Giants get it rolling in December with a 5-1 ATS ledger and 7-2-1 ATS in Week 13. Giants the call.

Ravens/Dolphins 1:00: Like the Ravens as a dog. They've been in every game this season and  lost their last 8 games by an average margin of 4 points. Like our chances here. Harbaugh is 5-0 ATS vs the Dolphins. QB Matt Schaub did a respectable job last week at Cleveland. And despite injuries to their receiving corps and running back, the Ravens are penciling in the right mix. OC Trestman is calling the right shots putting the scrappy bunch in position to win. On the other hand, the Dolphins are fading fast and don't have history on their side in December (0-7 ATS) and have lost 6 of their last 7 ATS at home. Baltimore the call.

Vikings/Falcons 1:00: The Falcons' turnover problem was a big part of their 0-3 skid. Today, we'll Atlanta is in a good spot to redeem itself. Atlanta is 6-1-1 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back home games and looking to avenge last year's blowout defeat. The home team is 4-1 ATS in this series and Atlanta should make some noise here; after all, QB Ryan will not have to worry about Minnesota's best secondary performer S Harrison Smith (knee). And the Vikings are thin at corners with rookie Trae Waynes still out. Julio Jones is overdue to get back on track and it should come here. I realize RB Freeman being out is a big loss with rookies Coleman and Ward nowhere near his explosiveness; however, we'll look for Ryan to be on his game against the depleted Vikings' secondary; at the same time, the Atlanta defense (#1 vs the run), can create turnover opportunities in the loud Falcons Georgia Dome. Minnesota, off blowout loss to GB, is 2-11 ATS as a .500 or greater team off a double-digit loss during weeks 9 through 12. We'll take value with vengeful Atlanta.

Redskins/Panthers 1:00: Redskins off a strong effort last week at home but can they be trusted on the road -- especially with that porous run-stop-unit? It will be challenging against the well oiled offense of Carolina; however, the Redskins are not ridiculously bad yielding points (23). And on the offensive end, QB Cousins has a solid supporting cast to attack a thinning Carolina secondary with CB Tillman out. The Redskins' WR Jackson and Jordan Reed should see significant targets and if RB Morris can get it going, we're in business. 'Week 11 has been good to Washington at 11-5 ATS and they are 6-2-1 ATS following a win of 2 TDs +. Panthers 2-6 ATS Week 11. Skins the call.

Broncos/Bears 1:00: Two teams heading in different directions: Broncos' football declining as QB Manning benched for mediocre backup Brock Osweiler. And the defense, which was feared throughout the first eight weeks, has given up a generous 56 points over the last two weeks. For Chicago, now that Cutler is back, the offense is producing and Langford has done a brilliant job in for Forte. Defensively, the Bears have held four of their last six foes to 20 points or fewer. The Bears came off a dominating effort at St. Louis last week and that calls for the upset here. Former Broncos HC Fox, now Bears' HC is a sweet 11-1 ATS off a double-digit SU win vs an opponent off a SU favorite loss. As for Kubiak: 1-8 ATS as a .500+ team off a SU/ATS loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win. He's also 1-10 ATS as a road favorite vs an opponent off a double-digit ATS win. Sweet revenge for Fox.

Titans/Saints 1:00: Saints' QB Brees spreading the ball around to multiple receivers including TE Watson. And Colston and Cooks remain big targets that are heating up. Defensively, the Saints were torched last week but DC Ryan should have an easier time with the sputtering Titans' offense that ultimately cost Whisenhunt's job. Titans' DC LeBeau has done a good job with the defense but they remain stressed and on field for long spurts on account of the sputtering offense. Saints are 7-1 ATS after scoring 40+ points and we'll roll with them here.

Packers/Broncos 8:30: Undefeated Broncos look intriguing getting points at home with the #1 defense in the NFL; however, after a closer look, Packers the call. Broncos' DC Wade Phillips has never had success against Aaron Rodgers has torched Wade Phillips as a head coach and DC to the tune of 11 TDs and 0 INTs en route to 5-0 including a 45-7 thrashing in 2010 as Phillips' last game as HC of the Cowboys. On the other hand, GB's defense has 23 sacks with a formidable defensive front that can rush the passer without blitzing. Manning, no longer with machine-like precision passing nor a run game (31st in NFL) to aid him. Packers are a sweet 10-2 ATS off a bye and covered last 4 road tilts. Packers the call.

Detroit/Kansas City 10:30 AM: The Chiefs are more fit to play as the traveler and on grass as these teams meet at Wembley Stadium in London. Chiefs took the 'next man up' approach last week against Pittsburgh as injuries to RB Charles and WR Maclin didn't negatively effect their performance. For Detroit, turnovers and a poor run game cost their OC Lombardi his job. And I'm not sure Jim Bob Cooter has the winning answers. Detroit is a miserable November team at 11-24-1 ATS. KC is 5-1 ATS in this series and a strong 13-5 ATS in Week 8. KC the call.

Ravens/Cardinals 8:30: Ravens not as bad as their record indicates. They've been in every game but failed to finish in five of them. Tonight, we'll look for Baltimore to continue to be competitive and take the generous amount of points. Baltimore is 5-1 ATS on Monday nights and rarely get near double digits. And 30 of the last 45 losses under Harbaugh have been by a touchdown or less, including 15 times since 2013. And keep in mind that Baltimore is 7-1 ATS against a non-conference opponent off a SU loss and 6-1-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Sure, Arizona is tough off losses and dynamic at home; however, their MNF record - 1-5 ATS - is undesirable and do have their weaknesses. Arizona's defense has only 9 sacks on the year. Sure, there secondary is great; however, give Flacco time and he is as dangerous as any great QB in the league. And keep in mind that all of Arizona's wins have come against teams under .500. We'll look for Baltimore to be competitive here. 

Raiders/Chargers 4:05: This series has a tendency to go "under" at San Diego; as a matter of fact, it is 3-13-1 O/U at Qualcomm in its last 17. Both defenses have underachieved thus far but should toughen up here. Oakland is coming off a bye week and actually played Denver tough the week before. Oakland is 1-9 O/U after Broncos; moreover, they're 1-9 O/U as a road dog off back-to-back SU losses. Sure, SD is a top offensive team in the league in terms of yardage but mid level in bottom line putting points on the board. Oakland, on the other hand, is in the lower tier of the NFL in offensive production and also mid-level in putting points on the board at 21.4 per game. In October, these teams are a combined 21-47 O/U. SD is 1-8 O/U as a division favorite of 3+ against a sub-.500 team. I see a handful of value points with the "under" here.

Houston/Miami 1:00: Houston remains competitive but just can't finish games. If you look back over the last few years, the Texans have suffered 16 losses by a TD or less and 8 by a field goal or less. Houston has historically played Miami tough in this series; as a matter of fact, 5-2 ATS the last 7. And I'm not buying into Miami yet after their blowout win over the downtrodden Titans last week. Houston's QB Hoyer is heating up with his receivers and now that RB Arian Foster is healthier, we'll look for the Texans to find the end zone today. And the Texans are overdue to get a talented group of defensive players to actually play good defense. Miami has lost 5 straight ATS at home and can't be trusted off a SU win at 1-4 ATS. Houston the call.

Seahawks/San Francisco 8:25: SF had trouble with Seattle in the Harbaugh years as Kaepernick is a mere 1-5 ATS against them. With Harbaugh off to Michigan, I don't see Kaepernick's chances of winning here under Tomsula and his staff. Sure, the elusive QB is coming off his best performance last week against Baltimore but the Ravens' defense has succumbed to key injuries and Seattle is overdue to get on track. I do realize the Seahawks' Bobby Wagner has a pec tear and questionable; moreover, the communication breakdown in the secondary last week led to their loss; however, Pete Carroll has a knack for restoring the  communication chain and we should see better defense out of the Seahawks tonight. And with SF's RB Hyde (foot) and Boldin (hamstring) hobbling, I don't see SF having offensive success. Seattle's offense, however, is due to improve against the worst pass defense in the league. SF is 1-4 ATS on Thursdays and 1-6-1 ATS in Week 7; on the other hand, Seattle is 5-0 ATS on Thursdays and 5-1-1 ATS in Week 7. With Seattle 17-8-1 TS off a SU loss, we'll grab Seattle but tread lightly on account of Seattle's road woes and Wagner.

Miami/Tennessee 1:00: Change is good if the results have been sub-par with high expectations and the Dolphins employed that option. Unfortunately, I don't think the interim HC Campbell can exact change in the skidding Dolphins this quick. His new DC Anarumo (defensive backs) won't change a defense that's 32nd in the NFL against the run and struggling to press the QB (1 sack) over a two week span. The Titans' HC Whisenhunt does a nice job putting his QB in a position to be successful and Mariota seems to be on course in doing so. After a rough outing last week, we'll look for Mariota to have more success today. And defensively, Hall of Famer DC LeBeau has already infused life in the Titans' defense (NFL Top 5). We'll look for the Titans' defense to choke out the turnover laden Dolphins, which can't generate a run game (69 YPG). We'll grab the Titans here.

Pittsburgh/San Diego 8:30: Pittsburgh offense struggling with Roethlisberger out. Vick was once a dangerous QB but now plays like a back up he is. I'm not a fan of SD's defense but they have to be better tonight. Offensively, the Chargers get back TE Gates and that surely will help QB Rivers improve his stats and create a semblance of a run game. The Steelers' defense depleted -- already without Martavis Bryant and won't have another important cog in the secondary with LB Shazier. San Diego is a sweet 13-2 on Mondays against non-division opponents and 5-1 ATS on MNF. Steelers have not covered 4 of their last 5 MNF games. With the favorite in this series at 7-3 ATS, we'll jump on SD.

49ers/Giants 8:30: Eli Manning playing outstanding football as he is seeing the field better and releasing the ball quicker. He is now getting better support from his offensive line and skill players. We'll look for more success against a SF defense that has fallen off in production since their opening game against Minnesota. SF has had trouble crossing the country at this venue at 1-3 ATS. And in October, SF is a money burning 1-10 ATS as a road dog against a non-division opponent off a non-division game. On the other side of the ball, SF is struggling offensively as QB Kaepernick now realizes how much he misses Harbaugh. He sits in the bottom tier of QB productivity. We'll look for an improved Giants' defense to keep on improving tonight.

Patriots/Cowboys 4:25: Injury riddled Cowboys should struggle in this spot. They're 1-5 ATS in Week 5 and in their last 6 at AT&T Stadium. Now they have to face the hottest offensive team in the NFL with a defense that has been quite mediocre this season. Hardy's addition to the DL will help but, at the same time, added bulletin board material with his quips about Brady to fuel the QB's competitive ire even more. NE's defense has improved virtually every week to land in the top tier of the NFL. And with Belichick given a bye week to exploit the weaknesses of the Cowboy's offense, we'll side with NE; after all, they're 6-2 ATS as a road favorite off a bye and 4-0 ATS off a bye following a SU win. They're also a solid 9-2 ATS in Week 5 and should keep it rolling here.

Seahawks/Bengals 1:00: Bengals are clicking on all cylinders because they're relatively healthy and getting great team contributions across the board. OC Hue Jackson has done a great job with Dalton and company. The offensive line has allowed just two sacks, the running game is productive, and receivers A.J. Green, Marvin Jones, TE Eifert are making plays. And although that Seattle defense has found their mojo, the Seahawks' offense is at the opposite end of the spectrum. With RB Lynch (hamstring) out and an offensive line that has allowed 18 sacks, QB Wilson is in for a rude awakening at a strong venue facing Geno Atkins and company. The Bengals, which are 17-5-1 ATS at Paul Brown Stadium, have produced 56 sacks over that span! Seattle has not been a good October team at 18-39-1 ATS. We'll stay on Cincinnati here.

Colts/Texans 8:25: Colts have dominated this series and have been money on Thursday nights; however, this year's Colts have many flaws to exploit and the Texans' HC O'Brien should exploit them. Indy's pass protection has been poor and receivers are unable to get the separation from defensive backs needed; as a result -- QB Luck has be turnover prone and RB Gore is struggling. Indy sports a minus - 9 turnover margin. It's not going to get easier tonight with Defensive MVP Watt controlling the LOS. And even Clowney could break out tonight. On the other hand, Indy's pass defense has allowed 268 yards per game and registered just 5 sacks. We'll look for Houston to get their run game going with RB Foster tonight to allow Mallet to settle in with his receivers. Texans are 5-0-1 ATS after allowing 35 or more points. Houston the call.

Lions/Seahawks 8:30: Not a good spot for Detroit. They haven't played well in the road dog role on MNF nor have they had success on the road against the NFC West (0-10-1 ATS). Tonight, they're desperate for that season first win but have to compete at the dominant venue CenturyLink Field. The Lions have talent and some good running backs, including Abdullah; however, they've been mistake laden and that most likely will resurface at the loudest stadium in the league. And now that the Seahawks got a few healthy bodies back defensively, they're on the cusp of returning to a dominating force. The Lions sport a losing record as a traveler on MNF whereas Seattle has been money as a MNF home favorite. We'll look for these teams to continue their move in opposite direction tonight.

Panthers/Buccaneers 1:00: Overwhelming amount of bettors on Panthers creating value with the Bucs. This is a division rivalry and TB has no desire to be pushed around for the third time straight in the Lovie Smith era; as a matter of fact, Lovie is 8-2 ATS at home with double revenge against a division opponent over .500. Bucs have enough talent to get it done here. QB Winston has been targeting Evans but could spread it out a bit more. Panthers have top LB Kuechly still out and a banged up corner. Offensively, Panthers are thin along the offensive line having to tap their practice squad after OT Silatolu went down. Bucs are 5-2 ATS off SU loss and a dangerous 9-0 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points after scoring less than 10 points previously. Bucs the call.

Ravens/Steelers 8:25: Realize the Steelers are at home and this series has been ultra competitive; however, fair value with the winless Ravens as a slight favorite with Roethlisberger out. The Steelers' offensive plan changes with Vick not nearly having the pocket presence of his injured teammate. Vick has been vulnerable to turnovers and hasn't had enough time in the system under OC Haley to establish rhythm with receivers. We'll look for the Ravens' respectable defense to limit Steelers' pass production. Sure, Bell and Williams are running well but Baltimore allows just 3.4 YPC and should be on their game tonight. We'll look for Baltimore to play with urgency here; after all, they're 13-1 ATS as a less than .500 team off a SU/ATS loss against a division opponent off a SU win. And Harbaugh is a sweet 11-1 ATS as a favorite off a division game against an above .500 opponent. Flacco has posted some great numbers against Pittsburgh (1194 yards, 7 TD's, 1 INT) and should be on his game tonight. Baltimore the call.

Chiefs/Packers 8:30: Sure, Aaron Rodgers is money at home and the winning streak is amazing; however, the Chiefs should give them trouble here. KC is 5-0 ATS in Week 3, 5-2 ATS off a SU loss. Packers, however, are 1-4 ATS on MNF and in Week 3. And I don't like the way the Packers' O'line blocked for Rodgers last week. KC should find a way to get Justin Houston through a missed gap to keep his sack streak (8 straight games) alive. And the Packers don't have Jordy Nelson around to boost their pass game near the top of the league anymore. KC has a ball hawking secondary and plays the run well. On the other hand, GB's run-stop-unit leaves much to be desired (allow 5.3 YPC) and RB Charles is eager to atone for last week's devastating late fumble. The Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in this series and should play hungry here.

Steelers/Rams 1:00: Steelers rolled last week at home but should find trouble at this location. The Steelers are a poor 1-7 ATS as a road favorite off a double digit SU win and Tomlin is a money burning 3-21 ATS off a double digit SU non-division win against a non-division opponent off a SU/ATS loss. Sure, the Rams were horrible defending the run at Washington and appear vulnerable today as Le'Veon Bell returns to add to a potent run game with DeAngelo Williams. But hold everything. The Rams are a different team at home where they've covered 4 of their last 6. And defensive minded Fisher should construct a solid defensive game plan with veteran DC Williams. On the other hand, the Rams' offense with Nick Foles should give a Pittsburgh defense, which ranks 25th in total defense, fits. With Fisher at 16-3 ATS as a dog off a double-digit non-division SU/ATS loss, we'll roll with St. Louis.

Colts/Titans 1:00: Indianapolis faced two pretty good defenses and offensively were horribly out of rhythm. The offensive line missed pass blocking assignments and Andrew Luck was forced to hurry many throws. If that wasn't enough, the run game behind Frank Gore struggled bad. It's not going to get easier today. Titans' DC -- legendary Dick LeBeau -- will create multiple blitz scenarios to give the Colts' sluggish offensive line more fits. On the other hand, Mariota is well schooled behind Ken Whisenhunt and should continue to  progress. He's got a pretty good supporting cast and the Colts' defense leaves a lot to be desired. Lots of injuries on the line and in the secondary and that usually spells confusion on assignments. With Tennessee at 8-0 ATS off a SU loss with revenge vs an opponent off back to back losses.

Eagles/Jets 1:00: Eagles having trouble getting generated offensively and it will not get easier against a good Jets' defense. Jets' defensive backs (10 takeaways), led by Revis and Cromartie, should mix up coverages and confuse QB Bradford, who is struggling to adapt to the offense. The Eagles' offensive line isn't gelling and the up-tempo speed of the offense is working against them especially on the defensive as defensive players have to spend more time on the field after frequent 3 and outs by their offensive cohorts. And without a run game, we'll look for the Eagles to struggle again here. On the other hand, a long as Jets' QB Fitzpatrick is used conservatively and the run game cooking, big plays could eventually open up with WR Marshall today. We'll stay on the Jets.