Utah State had a fantastic 10-2 season and only a loss at Boise State in their final game prevented them from playing for the MWC title against Fresno State. Take that disappoint and add coach Matt Wells leaving for Texas Tech and having the Aggies as this large a favorite adds consternation. Though North Texas had all the right peripheral numbers like a 9-3 record, all the defeats were in conference play and they never sniffed returning to C-USA title tilt. Though Utah State averaged better than 47 points a game, they were at only 34.8 PPG away from home and the Mean Green only allowed 21.8 PPG. Let's snag North Texas with the points who were the only team in the country to outgain every foe. 

#660 N.C. State -4.5

N.C. State will set the pace and style and win by 7. 

Play On road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (E TENN ST) in a game involving two attempting 60+ shots/game, after two straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less. (30-6 ATS, 83.3%, L21Y)

#684 Evansville +1

The Aces are hard to beat at home, particularly as non-favorites. 

#602  Georgetown -3

This is SMU's first true road game. Hoyas by 8. 

For starters, all my numbers have the Lakers from a Pick to +1.5, that quite a difference. Houston continues to be a team that you never know what you will get from night to night. The Rockets are also the poorer defense team, ranked 26th in field goal percentage defense, compared to 9th for L.A. The deciding factor for me is the Lakers are 6-1 SU when playing two exactly two days rest. 

 #552 Mavs -9

Bigger number than I prefer, which why I dropped in star-rating, but Atlanta is losing by nearly 12 PPG on the road the Mavs are a super 12-2 SU and ATS at home. 

#548 Grizzlies -3

Portland starters played heavy minutes trying to come from behind last night, while Memphis is more rested and 7-2 SU and ATS as a home favorite.

#539 Celtics -3

Boston a little banged up but are on a 6-0 SU and ATS and are dialed in on both sides of the floor. 

Houston has lost seven of nine with a faulty defense and an offense that goes thru dry spells far too often. Portland was playing poorly themselves, but has won and covered two in a row and might be returning to normal. This is too big a number to trust the Rockets and underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Blazers, having won two of their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a losing team, are 26-4 the last five years.

#37 Rangers +220 ML

Tampa Bay is doing everything right on an 11-2 run and is at home. But as I have been talking about, +170 or larger hockey dogs are 23-31, +20.4 units and the Rangers are 8-2 (+10.9 Units) after allowing three goals or more in two straight games this season. The Blueshirts are worth a strong look. 

San Antonio just played at Utah on Tuesday and was clobbered 139-105. On Friday, the Spurs were back home and got revenge on the Lakers who they also lost to this week and I'm looking for the exact same outcome Sunday. San Antonio is 7-1 ATS at home against teams with winning road record and Utah has seldom played well in the southwest with a 7-20-1 ATS mark at San Antonio. The Spurs execute revenge again.

Neither team has been playing great, but I'll back the Bucks with Toronto 15-30 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5  and teams like Milwaukee who are December underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, playing four or less games in 10 days are 40-15 ATS.

Detroit is 1-5 SU and ATS in their most recent games, but they have been elevated from -1.5 to -3 point favorites at Arizona. The Cardinals are off hard to imagine upset of Green Bay but are still the lowest scoring team in the league at 14.6 PPG. However, ask yourself, does backing a team like the Lions sound good knowing they are 11-27 ATS as road faves since 1992? Did I mention the Cardinals are 8-0 SU and ATS at home vs. Detroit since 1999? Now I did, the Redbirds outright!

Denver after three wins and on a 6-1 ATS run has their game plan. The Broncos are looking to run, averaging 140.8 yards rushing in their last half dozen starts. This allows them to use play-action passes to keep the chains moving. We all realize this is not the same Denver defense that won the Super Bowl, but in their last three contests they have a +8 turnover margin and what do you know, San Francisco is -8 in turnovers in those same games. With the spread coming down, the 49ers fading and having a 4-13 ATS record off two road losses and even worse 0-7 ATS mark in home games after allowing six or more YPP in their previous game, ride the Broncos who win by 7 or more.  

Somehow the Buffalo lost last week to Miami despite outgaining them 425 to 175. That has to cause the Bills a great deal of frustration. On offense, Buffalo needs to be smart and have QB Josh Allen keep using his legs and arm to keep the Jets off balance or if New York tries to shadow Allen, get the ball to Shady McCoy in various ways. Defensively, Buffalo has only permitted 17.3 PPG in their last three outings and they are more than capable of stuffing a Gang Green offense averaging 15 PPG in their past trio of games. With the Jets 3-14 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog, it's the Bills by 7. 

Not one bit surprised to see this total chopped from 53.5 to 51. Not sure if it will be Lamar Jackson or Joe Flacco under center, but with how Baltimore has been running the ball at 238 YPG in last three outings and Kansas City 22nd in run defense and 31st in yards per carry allowed, this could speed up the game. The other factor is the Ravens No.1 overall defense. Baltimore is 9-2 UNDER off a road game and the Chiefs are 6-0 UNDER at home after scoring 25 points or more in three straight times.

I'm of the opinion the balloon popped on Indianapolis last week. After watching Jacksonville on Thursday, it seemed the Colts more beat themselves than really losing to the Jaguars. I see plenty of so-called experts continuing to have doubts about Houston but here is the deal. The Texans are 4th in points allowed, they are averaging nearly 30 PPG in their last five contests and they are now playing with the swagger of a team that has won nine in a row. Indy is 5-17 ATS in road games versus teams averaging 130 or more rushing YPG in the second half of the season and Houston is 8-0 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in two straight games. The Texans by 8 or more. 

New England is down to -7 with the Pats 2-6 SU in Dec./Jan. in Miami in last eight outings. Read reports where Patriots players are sick of coming back home and having to deal with why they cannot win in South Florida. The Dolphins won last week despite being out-gained by 250 yards, thus, that would seem to have used up quite a bit of luck. The Brady Bunch is 16-6 ATS on the road and 7-0 ATS off three or more consecutive Under's, winning by 15.3 PPG. That sound about right!

The Lakers are scrambling for ball-handlers with point guards out. Four different Lakers played 37+ minutes in a loss to Spurs (a winner for us), while nobody played more than 35 minutes for Memphis who won at New Orleans. The Lakers are 1-8 ATS against teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers, while the Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS at home off an upset win as an underdog. Memphis by 6.

#803  UConn +9

We are starting to see the same old Florida State teams, win but don't cover. UConn improving week by week and they make this a three-point game. 

The Rockets are really struggling while Dallas is 10-2 SU and ATS at home. Also, when the line is +3 to -3 and the home team is facing a division opponent and is off a road loss by 10 points or more, they are 36-12 ATS. Dallas outright! 

#721 Penn -5

LaSalle is awful, Penn by 10.

#749  Toledo +2

The Rockets have the offense to hang with Marshall and win outright! 

#733 Pittsburgh +10

West Virginia is nowhere close to what they were and they win by 7 or less. 

Winning back to back games against the same foe is never easy, especially when the second is on the road like this one for the Lakers. Though San Antonio has been terrible on defense, look for their pride to show up and they win by 3 or four. 

Every reason to think the Blues should lose but big NHL dogs are +19.8 units this season and Winnipeg is 0-5 having won five or six of their last seven. 

It sure seems strange back Sacramento as a road favorite but the Kings are significantly better than Cleveland. The Kings are 5th in the NBA in shooting percentage and 3rd behind the arc and the Cavaliers struggle in virtually every aspect of shooting. Neither team plays good defense, but the total at around 222, which suits the Kings who are 10-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Sac-Town by 7. 

Since losing Victor Oladipo to a wrist injury, the Indiana Pacers have experienced mixed results without their leading scorer at 4-4 and 2-6 ATS. With this, Indiana has been moved from a Pick to +2 at Orlando. But before you get all excited about the Magic, they have lost seven straight to Indiana (1-6 ATS) and 13 of 14 SU and ATS. That would include a 0-7 SU and ATS mark where Mickey and Minnie live half the year. Orlando has to win eventually, but with those numbers and catching points, I'm good with the Pacers.

It's not every night in the NHL a team has lost 12 of 13, yet are seeing their number drop as an underdog. Vancouver was supposed to be a terrible club and once injuries hit them, they have really turned into one. Yet, tonight against Nashville, the Canucks have gone from +155 to +130. The Predators are also dealing with injuries, with four important players out. In spite of this, the Preds have managed to win six of nine because of greater depth and a stronger roster. That should be enough to carry Nashville tonight and they are 15-3 after playing three consecutive home games.

Maryland's only loss has been to No.4 Virginia by a competitive score of 76-71, but they are a growing underdog at Purdue in Big Ten action. The Terps have crawled from +6.5 to +9 in part for this being only their second road game and the Boilermakers having a much tougher schedule. Purdue, after a fast start has lost three of four and is feeling the effects of only having one starter returning trying to develop chemistry. It is hard to overlook the Boilers, as since 2014 they own a Big Ten-best 32-4 SU home record in the conference play, but they have failed covered against the turtles in three tries at Mackey Arena and the Terrapins are 14-3 ATS having won four of their last five games. 

#56 Anaheim -140 ML

The Ducks are 15-3 at home revenging a road loss by two goals or more the last three seasons. 

#573  Loyola-Marymount +2.5

One of my favorite situational plays. Loyola is off a game in which they shot 29% and CS-Fullerton just connected on 61%. This situation is a frequent winner! LMU wins! 

#509 Hornets +4.5

Charlotte is 8-1 ATS as underdogs this season.

#556  Southern Illinois -2

Took SIU last week (winner) and they are 7-2 ATS at home vs. St. Louis and 8-1 ATS playing just a second time in eight days. 

Michigan is one of the best teams I've seen early and what separates them from past John Beilein I've seen in the first part of the season is their defense. That is why I have no problem giving the points to Northwestern and the Wolverines are 6-0 ATS versus teams allowing 64 or fewer points. Michigan by 8. 

Memphis is getting a lot of fanfare with Penny Hardaway as coach. But the Tigers are far from a cohesive group at this time and is playing lousy defense and cannot shoot the three-ball. South Dakota has a system, plays smart and does not beat themselves. S.D. State is 16-2 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots a game and 8-1 ATS if they take 62 or more shots an outing. 

Dallas is 9-2 SU and ATS at home and playing great in their building. This would have been a 3* play but the line is puzzling to me with Portland on a 0-7 ATS run. The Blazers are 11-23 ATS in road games having lost two of their last three games. Dallas by 5. 

All my power ratings have Orlando winning or at a Pick. Miami is 5-16 ATS after two or more consecutive wins, Magic outright. 

Furman is ranked this week and 8-0. The Paladins come in 18-8 ATS playing against a team with a losing record the last three years and are 12-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Furman by 10 or more.

Denver has a long history of success north of the border at 16-5 ATS and Toronto is 10-24 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins. The Super System Eradicator - December underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing four or less games in 10 days are 36-13 ATS. Toronto by 2. 

Dallas is 8-2 SU and ATS at home and is off a bad shooting game while the Clippers are off a very good shooting game. Mavs win outright.

All my ratings have Delaware winning by 3-5 points over Columbia and they have nearly all the stats in their favor and are 6-0 ATS after playing a game as a favorite. 

When the NFL odds were released on this AFC contest, it was not shock and awe, rather, eyebrows raised, followed by an audible "hmmm". The opening line at most sportsbooks was Houston at -7 and even after their beat down of Tennessee, by late Tuesday morning the Texans were down to -6 and the latest was -5.5. That's right, a team riding an eight-game winning streak, that gets three points for being at home is thought to be less than a field goal better than the Browns. "hmmm". In looking at my various power ratings, they have Houston winning from 6.5 to 11 points. With this, the Texans get the call and the Brownies fall to 3-14 ATS versus teams with a completion percentage of 64% or higher.

Miami has more bad trends at home than Apple's stock at the moment and the Dolphins have dipped from -6 to -3.5 against rival Buffalo. Among the many unsavory angles for the Fins is a 16-36 ATS record after a two-game road trip and 3-13 ATS mark at home versus offensive teams averaging 4.75 or fewer yards a play. This contest could be at 3 by game time which is why to grab the Bills now.

Talk about knowing one another! This will be the fourth time these two Mountain West rivals will do battle in less than 53 weeks. The home team has won each time, covering twice. What has caught our attention is the oddsmakers line. In the game back in early November, Boise State, who normally gives four points for playing on the blue turf, was a two-point home underdog to Fresno State and won 17-14. Four weeks later the Broncos are -2.5, which is rather a large line movement, yet, still below what Boise State regularly is at home. With Fresno State 19-6 ATS the last two years and 6-0 ATS as an underdog, the Bulldogs will be your Mountain West champs as the winner!

Golden State wins but just by 2.

Texas State wins by 3.

Illinois State wins by 3

The last five games between these bitter rivals have been determined by seven or fewer points. Texas won the first game which is why many football bettors will be backing Oklahoma thinking about revenge.  But as good as the Sooners high-scoring offense is, the defense has conceded 47.2 PPG in their last four tries and are 0-3-1 ATS in the process. And let's not forget about Texas coach Tom Herman who is 13-1 ATS as an underdog, which includes 10 outright upsets. Oklahoma might well win the Big 12 title, but it will be by the skin of their teeth yet again.

Aside from one game when they lost their starting quarterback, the Mountaineers have been pounded opposing teams or played very well in putting together a 9-2 season. App. State has the No.5 scoring defense in the country and has +21.9 PPG scoring differential. One game in which they did not go all out was against Louisiana, winning just 27-17 as 26-point home favorites. While some people do not like head to head comparisons, it's hard to overlook App. State has beat teams by 36.2 PPG, while the Ragin' Cajuns are at only +5. Though the New Orleans bowl is not on everyone's wish list, hard to argue a team from West Virginia would love to spend a week in the Big Easy. App. State by 20. 

IUPUI wins by 2.

Dallas is on an 8-2 SU and ATS spurt and is more rested them the Lakers who played last night. In addition, road teams like the Mavs, after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, against an opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, are 36-13 ATS. The Cuban's might win, cover for sure. 

Playing the underdog.

Central Michigan has a solid club that plays well together and is coached by respected Keno Davis. They can shoot, defend and rebound. TCU has better athletes at couple positions, but the Horned Frogs are 1-9 ATS at home after a game where they made 60% or more their shots and the Chips are 10-1 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. Make TCU the winner but by just 6 to 8 points. 

UC-Davis is scoring 55.7 PPG and shooting under 37%, that's horrible. Northern Arizona scores over 80 PPG but allows teams to make better than 50% of shots, they play no defense. Even if they shoot well above their average, is UC-Davis going to score enough to cover a spread like that, unlikely to me. Plus, NAU is 13-3 ATS vs. teams outscored by 12+ points/game. Take the points.

Last week I said getting out in front and trying to slow down New Orleans was a suicide mission. This week I'm bringing that back and just saying you might get hurt, but it's worth looking into. The Saints have not lost since their first game and have covered the spread nine straight times. Since suffering a very ugly loss against Tennessee, Dallas has rattled off a trio of wins and covers and jumped into a first-place tie with Washington in the NFC East. The Cowboys running game has found its footing and has averaged nearly 150 YPG (149.6) in this stretch, which has also helped Dak Prescott be a more effective thrower at quarterback. For Dallas to have a shot at beating the number, they will have to run effectively against New Orleans No.1 run defense to take advantage of their No.30 pass defense. The Cowboys defense realizes they will give up some yardage, but they will have to stand up in the red zone and force field goals attempts. Since last season, Dallas is 6-0 ATS versus defenses allowing 260 or more passing yards a game which should give them a shot.

Having not started that strong in the NHL, I did some research on 80% of the teams and thus far and found underdogs of +170 or higher are up over 17 units on flat $100 bets ($1,700 profit). Let's follow the money and consider Chicago tonight! 

This line does not make sense as New Orleans has lost four in a row, while Washington has righted the ship and is 6-3 SU. So why would the oddsmakers make the Pelicans this large a favorite? Because this is the NBA, you often have to try and understand the odds and Washington has shot over 56% in last two games, which is nearly 10 percentages points over normal. Chances are they return to normal or below. Plus, home teams like N.O. revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are on an 8-3 ATS run. 

The Buckeyes have been very sharp in all facets and face a Syracuse team shooting under 24% from three-point land. The Orange have lost both away games and are 1-9 ATS after a home win by 20 or more. Ohio State comes to play and wins by 12. 

Detroit is 5-1 ATS, thus, I don't mind grabbing the points. The Titans live and die by the 3-ball but they are averaging 16 deep makes a game at home and though Mike Davis is not an elite coach, he's a good one. Two-point game either way.

I'll grab the points with Old Dominion shooting under 39% this season. Both these teams are defense first, but VCU has always been comfortable at ODU and their 13-5 ATS mark proves. The Rams outright! 

Veteran team that knows how to defend and while not shooting well yet, SIU takes good shots. Colo. State give up almost 40% on three-point shooting and is 3-11 ATS off a nonconference clash.

The Badgers are back to playing their brand of basketball and that mentally wears teams out. NC State is 6-0 SU but has not been on the road and in that Madison environment, good luck. The Wolf Pack is  1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a win percentage of 80% or higher. 

Arizona's offense has scored 8 times in their last six games. Minnesota should be rested and ready and is 14-4 when playing with three or more days rest the last three seasons.

Simple here, Tampa Bay is 10-3 at home, Anaheim is 3-7 on the road. The Ducks average 1.9 GAG and the Lightning are 11-1 when they permit two goals or less.

Louisiana Tech has played a somewhat more difficult slate than Delaware. But the Blue Hens have a nice guard tandem, shoot the ball better and are more solid on defense. All my numbers have this as a two-point game either way and the Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog. Grab the points. 

Miami has a better offensive team than Seton Hall, more experienced players and a better defense. The other main reason to back the Hurricanes, they average 5 more made 3's and defend the three-ball better. The Canes by 9.

Predators off a lame loss at St. Louis are in bounce-back mode and are 28-12 off a loss and 23-6 revenging a same-season loss. 

For the Panthers, where did the offense go? Carolina totaled 40 points in the pair of defeats, with various combinations of the run game not working along with the pass offense. The Steelers and Lions both focused on stopping the run to force Cam Newton to have to throw on third and long and brought the pressure in that situation to force quick throws. The NFL odds have Carolina at -3. Back home the 'Cats average 31.6 PPG, which makes it seem that Newton and the offense will get back on track. With this, we also discovered the Panthers are 17-5 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. Carolina by 7. 

This was going to be a higher-rated play but going over 10 has me down-grading this. I still think New England will be angry about last game and they have something to prove to themselves with 2-3 SU and ATS road record. Having a 10-1 ATS record as a favorite of 10 or more points the last three seasons is helpful.

USC has players, Notre Dame has a really good team. The sense in watching the Fighting Irish is they are peaking. There win at Syracuse showed no fear and the belief and willingness that they are that good to be ranked 3rd. With no conference championship, this is Notre Dame's moment and they win by 20. 

The teams play for the Territorial Cup, which is the oldest trophy in college football dating back to 1899. First-year coaches Herm Edwards and Kevin Sumlin will begin learning how blood-thirsty these Grand Canyon state fans are for their team to win and hold the bragging rights. For better than two decades this was another doesn't make sense rivalry, with the visitor and usually the underdog covering over 85 percent of the time. But like all streaks they eventually end, now the home team is trending at 5-0 SU and ATS. Back Zona! 

Since starting 0-3 against nasty competition, SMU is 5-3 SU. The Mustangs come into this game needing a victory to play in a bowl and they have the better offense and defense over Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane has two wins, one over Central Arkansas and against 1-10 UConn. Need one more reason, try my Super System: Play Against teams when the line is +3 to -3 like Tulsa, with a terrible rushing defense allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 125 or more yards in two straight games. Betting against these teams have produced a 33-7, 82.5% record. 

In the deep south, this is known as the Battle of the Bayou. For betting purposes this one of those rivalry's you don't over think when placing a bet, just trust the numbers. That's right, skip the stats and records and trust all the clichés relating to "You can throw out the records books when these teams collide." Well not all of them. The road team in this nasty confrontation is 8-0 ATS most recently and 13-2-1 ATS going back 16 years. Just bet it, we do.

Florida International can wrap up the Conference USA East title with a victory over Marshall and initially, oddsmakers gave them the nod at -1.5, before they were flipped to +3 by the wagering masses. No question the Thundering Herd have the pedigree dating back decades ago. However, here are few betting tidbits to think about. It starts with Marshall having a 19-34 ATS record as a road favorite. That is followed by FIU coach Butch Davis being a sharp 10-5 ATS as a home underdog and the sublet of that is the Golden Panthers are 5-0 ATS under his direction. FIU wins this contest outright and advances.

In most cases, Ohio State has been equal to or better than Michigan in the past, not this time. The Buckeyes have some issues on defense, the running game is spotty and while they pass, the Wolverines can really rush the passer. This is not to say Michigan runs away with this because they Urban Meyer and Ohio State have a ton of history separately and collectively. I'll pay the juice and call for the Wolverines to win. 

Utah is really scuffling while the Lakers have been solid the last couple weeks. Lakers by 5 or more.

This is Washington State's first 10-win season since they did so in 2001-02. As the numbers suggest, this is a far better Cougars team than usual and not as good of a Washington side. What makes this WSU team so good is their defense, listed second in the Pac-12 against the rush and third against the pass. The Washington offense has been spotty all year and against teams that currently have winning records, that have averaged just 23.2 PPG. This time the Cougars have the better team, are 10-1 ATS this season, 10-2 ATS after leading their previous game by 17 or more points at the half and 8-0 ATS at home after a cover as a double-digit favorite. Wazzo by 7. 

Play 2- Teamer - Predators and Sabres $100 pays better than 2 to 1.

The Preds are 10-0 off a home game and Buffalo has won seven straight, while Montreal is 3-18 in road games after two or more losses. 

Chicago continues to struggle and is 3-10 against teams allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, is 10-1 after allowing three goals or more in four straight games the last three seasons. 

When looking this matchup of Marshall and Maryland both have not lost. But the Herd comes in 18-6 ATS after two straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots and 15-4 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in four straight. I'll trust my Power Ratings which have this as a four or five-point win by Maryland, grab the points with Marshall. 

The AAC West title is on the line in this contest.  Houston comes in ranked No. 118 in total defense and faces a Memphis offense that is averaging 51.3 PPG at home. After suffering a lull in the middle of the season, the Tigers are on the prowl and on a 3-0 SU and ATS run. On the tech side, the Cougars are 3-11 ATS off a home win while Memphis is a sparkling 9-1 ATS in last 10 November contests. The Tigers by 14.

Dallas is off two impressive road wins as an underdog. Washington is using a backup QB, a group of backup offensive linemen and has a few playmakers going up against the No.3 scoring defense in the NFL. The Redskins defense was doing an excellent job against the run but not anymore, allowing 132 YPG in the last three outings after being under 90 previously. I 100 percent realize the Dallas is a lousy home favorite, but they are also 10-2 ATS off two consecutive road wins and win by double digits. 

Miami is 3-0, has talent and is always well-coached under Jim Larranaga. LaSalle has really struggled at 0-4 and is 2-10 ATS after two or more Over's and is 3-12 ATS in away games when playing against a team with a winning record. My numbers have the Canes by 17 or 18. 

I liked the Lions anyways before the news of M. Tribusky. I considered this like an NBA, NHL or the NFL game, the quick turnaround fresh in your mind off a loss. Detroit played like garbage for a half at Chicago and that was just 11 days ago. In the NFL, that's as fresh as it gets. Look for the Lions to be hunting for bear (pun clearly intended), and bring the energy against a Bears team off a big win and on a short week on the road and win outright. 

Home teams like the Spurs versus division opponents when the line is +3 to -3, off a road loss by 10 points or more, are 36-11 ATS the last four years. 

This is the Blazers third game in four nights and is in a back to back spot. The Bucks come in 13-4 ATS versus teams averaging 88 or more shots a game, winning by 10.7 PPG.  

The Blackhawks have shown a pulse in the last week, but still are 6-20 in road games against power play teams scoring on 19% or more of their chances. Chicago is also 13-27 off a win while the Caps are 30-10 after having won three of four. 

Both the Aggies and Arizona State are similar, but neutral court teams like the Sun Devils after three or more consecutive Under's, scoring 77+ points a game, are 40-81 ATS. 

The Huskies play a nice 3-2 zone quite a bit and have a great of length on the perimeter. Texas A&M only shoots 22.2% from deep to begin with. Washington by at least 6. 

The Raiders match up well with Penn State and are 11-1 ATS versus teams scoring 77+ points/game the last 2 seasons. A three-point game either way. 

Sorry to be so late, hectic day. Clips playing well, Washington a complete mess and they are 1-12 ATS after allowing 112 or more points. Clippers by 5.

Both teams are playing well but Mavs hanging in and my PR's have this game as  Pick.

Wildcats are playing their usual outstanding defense, while Missouri is shooting under 40% thus far. The Wildcats are 11-3 ATS off a double-digit cover. 

Texas A&M is struggling and all reports out of Minnesota have this team much more cohesive than a year ago. Give the points with Aggies  3-11 ATS  off a road loss the last three seasons. 

Make no mistake, the Bears are a good football team, but they have only faced two teams currently over .500. Minnesota will play it smart and won't expose quarterback Kirk Cousins and the offensive line to too much pressure from Khalil Mack and Chicago's pass rushers. The Vikings will look to use Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray on quick hitters to run the ball. Cousins will use the short passing game to slow the pass rush and receivers Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen are potent running after the catch. Mitchell Trubisky is due for a multiple turnover game and the Vikings defense is capable of producing it. This will be a grinder, but the Vikings win by three or less. 

Washington is simply not playing good basketball. As noted above, their spread record is poor and they are 1-5 ATS when facing winning teams. The Blazers are 22-9 ATS against an opponent that just allowed 100 or more points and they are also 19-9 ATS after they surrendered 100 or more points. Grab Portland. 

There is a lot talk about Denver off a bye and they will be ready for the Chargers on the road. But I find the Broncos are 7-16 ATS the last two years and if they have given up 99 or fewer rushing yards in back to back games, they are 1-9 ATS. The Chargers might be the most complete team in the AFC right now and the defense has allowed 13.2 PPG in their previous five games. I'm not having it, the Bolts by a dozen.

Detroit cannot stop the run, the Panthers are 3rd in running the ball. The Lions are struggling with pass protection and Carolina has a front four that is disruptive. This might have been a game Carolina might have taken lightly, but after losing by 31 to Pittsburgh close down that idea. Carolina is a solid  26-13 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games, while Detroit is 2-15 ATS against teams who commit one or less turnovers a game in the second half of the season. Cats by 8.