All Sports Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
02-28-19 |
Wolves v. Pacers -3 |
Top |
115-122 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
I'm 6-1 taking the Pacers this year and very confident they will cover again, especially now we are off the half point hook. Indiana plays better defense and favorites of 3 to 9.5 points, revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses, are 38-14 ATS, winning by 9.2 PPG.
|
02-28-19 |
Flyers v. Blue Jackets -166 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
Columbus opened up as a -200 ML favorite but have been bet down to -175 by hockey bettors. The original sportsbooks release did seem high considering Philadelphia has won 14 of 18. Additionally, the Blue Jackets are only 3-4 of late and .500 on home ice (16-16 SU). But the Flyers have been flummoxed in Ohio's capital, losers 15 of 17 and they have also lost four straight to the home team. It will be close, but Columbus conquers again.
|
02-28-19 |
William & Mary v. Towson +3 |
|
67-65 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
William & Mary's recent play has helped push them from a Pick to -3. The Tribe (does that refer to Bill and Mary's family?) has won three straight and five of seven (5-1-1 ATS), doing what they do best, scoring many points. Towson scores only 67.5 PPG which is 7.5 less than William & Mary. But the Tribe slips to 70 PPG on the road and permits over 77, thus, I'll grab the points with the Tigers, who are 12-3 ATS revenging a same season setback.
|
02-27-19 |
Bulls +3.5 v. Grizzlies |
|
109-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
#517 Bulls +3.5 Chicago's revamped roster is playing better and the Bulls are 16-3 ATS in road games after covering three of their last four against the spread. One point game either way.
|
02-27-19 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa +2 |
|
56-55 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
#810 Northern Iowa +2 The Panthers are on a 4-0 SU and ATS, triggered by much improved defense. Loyola-Chic.is only 5-8 SU on the road and is not close to last year's amazing group. Going with the hot hand at home.
|
02-27-19 |
Indiana State v. Drake -6.5 |
|
68-80 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
#812 Drake -6.5 One of the best bets at home in college basketball at 12-2 and 9-2-1 ATS, winning by 10.2 PPG, the Bulldogs handle Indiana State by 10.
|
02-27-19 |
Wizards v. Nets -5.5 |
|
125-116 |
Loss |
-101 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
#514 Nets -5.5 Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Nets in a game involving two teams scoring 102 or more PPG after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less, are 47-19, winning by 8.4 PPG.
|
02-27-19 |
Duquesne +6.5 v. St Bonaventure |
|
47-68 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
#805 Duquesne +6.5 The Dukes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six A-10 road games and are 13-6 ATS at St. Bonnie's despite 4-15 SU record. St. Bonnie's after four games in which they were 3-1 ATS, are 4-13 ATS in next outing and win by just 3.
|
02-27-19 |
Oilers v. Maple Leafs -235 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
#26 Maple Leafs -235 ML The Oilers are not be trusted and they are 4-15 at Toronto and the Maple Leafs are 13-1 this month the last two years.
|
02-27-19 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -14.5 |
|
80-84 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
#792 Texas Tech -14.5 I know some bettors think the Red Raiders will be flat after big Kansas win and while they might start a little slow in Lubbock, Texas Tech is rolling. The Red Raiders are on a 5-0 SU and ATS run and when they are home off two wins and covers they on 6-0 ATS, winning by 24 PPG. The only reason I don't have this higher rated is T-squared shot over 61 percent, meaning some regression.
|
02-26-19 |
Temple +4.5 v. Memphis |
|
73-81 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
Temple knows how to handle the rigors of the road and they can play different ways. For example, they are 8-1 ATS versus teams scoring 77+ points a game after 15+ games. And the Owls are 12-3 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more, plus, a super 10-0 ATS away after a combined score of 155 points or more. One point outcome either way with Memphis.
|
02-26-19 |
Toledo +1 v. Ball State |
|
80-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking the Rockets because they are better than Ball State and average four more 3's per game. Also, Toledo is 20-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 and 10-1 ATS in a road game when the total is 145 to 149.5. The Rockets by 4.
|
02-26-19 |
Alabama v. South Carolina -1.5 |
|
68-62 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
After building a 10-point lead as a 9.5-point underdog at Miss. State, South Carolina fell apart. Back home, look for the Gamecocks to rebound where they are 6-1 SU and ATS in SEC, with the only setback to Tennessee. South Carolina is 10-2 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, winning by 6.7 PPG.
|
02-26-19 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145.5 |
|
72-77 |
Loss |
-123 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
It is not surprising in the ACC to see the total crumble in this encounter from 146.5 to 143. Because of Duke's defense, they are 19-7 UNDER. The Blue Devils are also 8-1 UNDER having won three of their last four and an impressive 16-2 UNDER after two triumphs by 10 or more points. Virginia Tech has labored to score since losing a couple key players and are on an 8-2 UNDER run. Backing the lower figure.
|
02-25-19 |
Kings v. Wolves -3 |
|
105-112 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
Karl-Anthony Towns has been upgraded to 'probable' and they will make the difference for Minnesota. Yes, I have been the Kings frequently in this point spread range and won this season. However, the Timberwolves are 10-2 ATS at home versus terrible teams allowing 110+ points a game and 12-4 ATS at home against teams scoring 110 or more PPG. The T-Wolves by 6 or more.
|
02-24-19 |
Flames -1.5 v. Senators |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
Ottawa has been shutout in two straight games and even if you include the seven goals they scored in losing to Chicago this past week, in their last 11 losses, the Sens have scored 21 goals. Ottawa is 0-13 in next game off a shutout and given Calgary's offense, let's back the Flames on the puck line.
|
02-24-19 |
Magic +9.5 v. Raptors |
|
113-98 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
Toronto has a losing spread record at home and despite winning seven in a row they have failed to cover any of their last four spreads. Orlando is 17-11 ATS on the road and conversely, they have been playing good defense. Also, teams like the Raptors revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off a home win by three points or less are 5-14 ATS since 2015.
|
02-23-19 |
Colorado v. Washington -8 |
|
55-64 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
#758 Washington -8 I like this Washington team and I like how they put teams away with their defense, which leads to scoring. The Huskies do it in a similar fashion to Virginia, with a tight game, then the defense take over for five minutes and they go on 10-0 run and that's it. Huskies by 12.
|
02-23-19 |
Montana State +11 v. Montana |
|
83-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
#807 Montana State +10.5 Rivalry game with Montana and Montana State is 7-1 ATS after they failed to cover the spread this season. The Grizzlies win, just by 8 or less.
|
02-23-19 |
Memphis v. Wichita State -4 |
|
88-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
#736 Wichita State -4 After having a terrible season by their standards, the Shockers have covered six straight and won five times. Nothing against Penny Hardaway at this point, but I'll take Gregg Marshall in coaching matchup. Wichita St. by 7.
|
02-23-19 |
South Carolina +10 v. Mississippi State |
|
61-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
#701 South Carolina +10 The Gamecocks keep hanging around and while far from being an elite SEC team, they are 10-3 ATS in the SEC. Miss. State wins, but just by 5.
|
02-23-19 |
Florida State +7.5 v. North Carolina |
|
59-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
#667 Florida State +7.5 Both teams are peaking at the right time. North Carolina has not always brought the focus and after big Duke win, not sure the Tar Heels can do this much heavy lifting and they are only 6-6-1 ATS at home.
|
02-23-19 |
UAB v. Southern Miss -5.5 |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
#764 Southern Miss. -5.5 The Eagles are undervalued IMO here and win by 10 or more.
|
02-23-19 |
Evansville v. Bradley -5.5 |
|
61-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
#630 Bradley -5.5 Braves playing well and win by 9 at home.
|
02-22-19 |
Davidson v. Rhode Island |
|
75-66 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
#863 Davidson Rhode Island is flailing, while Davidson is 7-0 ATS after scoring 25 points or less in the first half of last game and 9-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. The Wildcats by 5.
|
02-22-19 |
Nuggets v. Mavs +5.5 |
|
114-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
#528 Mavs +5.5 If you have been following me, I've taken Dallas at home frequently and why not at 20-9 SU and ATS. The Mavs are also 10-2 ATS catching points at home, plus, it hard to ignore the Denver is 10-18 ATS on the road. One point game either way.
|
02-22-19 |
Wizards v. Hornets -5 |
Top |
110-123 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
#514 Charlotte -5 If the Hornets were not coming off a long layoff, this would be my first 10* of the year in the NBA. Washington is 5-15 ATS as a road underdog, losing by 12 PPG and is also 2-10 ATS in road games versus teams scoring 110+ points a game this season. The Hornets by 10 or more.
|
02-22-19 |
St. Peter's v. Marist -6 |
|
65-59 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
#870 Marist -6 Marist is on a 5-1 SU and ATS move while St. Peter's has stunk all season long at 6-20 SU. The Red Foxes by 9 or 10.
|
02-21-19 |
Cal Poly v. Cal-Irvine -15 |
|
47-74 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
#642 UC-Irvine -15 The Anteaters beat Cal-Poly by 20 if they want to. Here is to hoping they do.
|
02-21-19 |
St. Mary's v. Pacific +8.5 |
|
58-32 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
#636 Pacific +8.5 St. Mary's is struggling on the road and Pacific has given them trouble. The Gaels win by 6 or less.
|
02-21-19 |
Weber State +1 v. CS Sacramento |
|
76-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
I looked very hard and could not find a reason to support why Weber State would go from -2 to +1 at Sacramento State. The Wildcats have not dominated the Big Sky and are only 16-10 overall, still, this is a real rare occasion to see Weber State and an underdog to Sacramento State. The last time that happened was 2006 and it was the year prior when the Wildcats were on the road in that role. Keep in mind, these two play twice a year. Just cannot go that direction will back Weber State, who is 10-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more and is 17-5 SU at Sac. State.
|
02-21-19 |
Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
With the Blues on a 7-3-1 Under ride and Dallas the top Under team in the NHL and 11-2 UNDER after playing a game where seven or more total goals were scored this season, not hard to imagine where what we are taking.
|
02-21-19 |
UCF v. Cincinnati UNDER 129 |
|
55-60 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
Both these AAC teams are known for defense and factor in head to head competition with the two teams 9-1 UNDER, which includes the last five in a row. In fact, only once in ten contests have they surpassed 128 points in their meetings, making the UNDER seem rather safe.
|
02-20-19 |
Nevada v. San Diego State +8 |
|
57-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
#842 San Diego State +8 I'm a huge Nevada fan and love to watch them play, but the Aztecs at home are never easy, especially as underdogs. S.D. State is 20-6 ATS at in the building and fall by only 4 or 5.
|
02-20-19 |
Wichita State v. Tulsa -1.5 |
|
81-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
#826 Tulsa -1.5 Betting the number in the situation. With such a short number, Tulsa is 12-2 SU at home and Wichita State is 3-9 SU on the road. The Golden Hurricanes by 6.
|
02-20-19 |
Xavier v. Seton Hall -5 |
|
70-69 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
804 Seton Hall -5 Xavier has not been good on the road while the Pirates have picked up of late. Seton Hall is 11-3 ATS after two or more covers and wins by 9.
|
02-19-19 |
Bradley v. Drake -4 |
|
68-77 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
#624 Drake -4 Bradley has played better of late, yet Drake has one of the best home court advantages in the country at 11-2 and 8-2-1 ATS and pulls away in the second half to win by 7.
|
02-19-19 |
Rhode Island v. VCU -8 |
|
42-76 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
VCU is tied for first place in the A-10 and has won and covered six in a row. Despite this the Rams have been lowered from -10.5 to -8 home favorites against a struggling Rhode Island crew that is 1-5 SU and ATS of late. One of VCU's conference setbacks was at the "Ocean State". The visiting Rams might only be 2-8 ATS on the road, but they have only lost by 4 PPG in those games. I'll trust VCU wins by double digits and give the points here.
|
02-19-19 |
Rangers v. Hurricanes -198 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-198 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
The Hurricanes have won nine of 12 and picked up points in 10 contests and are just a few points from climbing from 5th place to 2nd place in the Metropolitan if they can keep surging. Carolina is sixth in scoring defense and the offense is finally rounding into shape and they will face a Rangers club that is 10-18 SU on the road. Plus, the Blueshirts are 3-13 after scoring three goals or more in four straight games and are vulnerable to a hot opponent.
|
02-19-19 |
Akron v. Bowling Green -5 |
|
69-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
#612 Bowling Green -5 Akron has historically given Bowling Green trouble, but I don't think so here. Both teams are sound defensively, but Bowling Green score more easily and I think they win this MAC matchup by 10 or more.
|
02-19-19 |
Toledo -3 v. Eastern Michigan |
|
69-76 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
I'm looking for Toledo to put the loss to Buffalo behind them and their coaches to push the big picture, making the Big Dance. The Rockets are 9-3 and 8-4 ATS on the road and they have the defense to contain Eastern Mich. and win by 6.
|
02-18-19 |
TCU -3 v. Oklahoma State |
|
61-68 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
The Horned Frogs hurt themselves with two home losses, shooting under 40 percent in both games. TCU should rectify that at Stillwater against Oklahoma State, who has allowed 49% or higher shooting percentage in five of their last seven games. The Cowboys are 2-10 and 3-9 ATS in Big 12 action and they are 2-12 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3, losing by 6.9 PPG.
|
02-18-19 |
Lightning v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
115 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
When these two get together, it is incumbent upon Columbus to not allow Tampa Bay to control the pace of the game and make it an end to end sprint. The Jackets have been largely successful in making this occur and these clubs are 21-8-1 Under. Of late, coach John Tortorella's club has made this work on home ice with an 8-2 Under mark. Not unexpectedly, the Lightning is favored with the kind of season they are having and the last six times they are listed as road faves, they are 5-1 Under and 5-0 if they just pitched a shutout. With the Blue Jackets off a 5-2 win at Chicago on Saturday, they are 12-2 UNDER in home games after a win by two goals or more.
|
02-17-19 |
Missouri State v. Loyola-Chicago -6.5 |
|
65-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
Loyola lost by 35 at Missouri State last month and no question will want to return the favor. Missouri State is 4-10 SU and ATS on the road, with the Ramblers are 14-2 ATS after allowing 65 points or less four straight games. I would have made this a higher starred game but the ATS adjustment has reduced the value. However, I still like Loyola to cover.
|
02-16-19 |
Memphis v. UCF -5 |
|
72-79 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
#696 UCF -5 Big payback spot for the Knights who were crushed at Memphis. UCF by at least 8.
|
02-16-19 |
Iowa -3 v. Rutgers |
|
71-69 |
Loss |
-117 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
#701 Iowa -3 Similar bet I made on Iowa at Penn State this season. Rutgers hangs around at home but in the last five minutes, Iowa pulls away to win by 6 or more.
|
02-16-19 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan -5 |
|
80-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
|
#682 Central Mich. -5 All my numbers have the Chips winning by at least 10.
|
02-16-19 |
Valparaiso v. Drake -5 |
|
79-84 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
#620 Drake -5 Drake is one of the best home teams in the country this season and wins by 10.
|
02-16-19 |
UTEP v. Southern Miss -9 |
|
47-77 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
#662 Southern Miss -9 UTEP is 0-10 and 3-7 ATS on the road losing by nearly 14 PPG. Southern Miss by 13.
|
02-16-19 |
Detroit v. Green Bay -5 |
|
73-82 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
#620 UWGB -4.5 Too much offense for Detroit, Green Bay by 8.
|
02-15-19 |
Buffalo v. Toledo +4 |
|
88-82 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
The Rockets have lost once in their last nine games and that was by two points at Kent State. They are 7-2 ATS in that span and on the season they are 11-1 SU at home. Buffalo is an excellent team as we know and deserve everything they have earned this year. The Bulls are only 2-6 ATS in their most recent games and granted all them were versus much higher spreads than this. Yet when I look at the numbers, in most cases Toledo is slightly better in many facets and equal in others. The Rockets are aloes playing into 30-point revenge from earlier in the season and have lost three in a row to Buffalo. Now at over three points, we have the hook and Toledo is 7-0 ATS after a game forcing an opponent to commit eight or fewer turnovers this season. A one-point outcome either way.
|
02-14-19 |
Maple Leafs +108 v. Golden Knights |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
108 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
Vegas played like a tired team before the All-Star in dropping four of six. That lethargy has continued after the eight days off as they have again lost four of six and are now on a 4- 8 slide. For the most part, the Golden Knights offense has determined their fate, with a robust 17 goals in four victories and a meager 17 scores in the eight setbacks. With the Maple Leafs an outstanding 18-9 SU on the road and 8-0 in away nonconference games this season, they appear to be a quality short underdog.
|
02-14-19 |
Avalanche v. Jets -165 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-165 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
Whatever Colorado had going on earlier in the season when they were still contending for the Top 3 spots in the Central Division has gone away like the 2-pound box of tasty chocolate's. Why should the Avs be anything less than a +200 underdog? I have no idea. The 'Lanch is 12-18 SU on the road and beside all the defeats piling up, they are 0-9 revenging a loss where the opponent scored five or more goals. Having lost seven in a row to Winnipeg, Colorado makes it eight consecutive defeats.
|
02-14-19 |
Oral Roberts v. North Dakota State -7.5 |
|
73-85 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
#668 No. Dakota St. -7.5 N.D. State has won and covered four in a row, while Oral Roberts has covered four straight. What I don't trust is ORU has shot over 51% in their last two games, while averaging about 45%. I don't see ORU continuing this and they lose by at least 10.
|
02-14-19 |
South Dakota State -3 v. Nebraska-Omaha |
|
84-85 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
#671 So. Dakota St. -3 The Jackrabbits are the best team in The Summit Conf. and know how to win big games on the road. Look for them to beat Nebraska-O by 7.
|
02-14-19 |
Stars v. Lightning -180 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
#58 Lightning -180 ML Tampa Bay has won three in a row again as they have started scoring and they should handle Dallas at home where they are 22-7.
|
02-14-19 |
Texas-Arlington +2.5 v. Arkansas-Little Rock |
|
52-56 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
#621 UTAR +2.5 UTAR is 8-3 and 10-1 ATS in SBC play and is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. UTAR outright.
|
02-13-19 |
Boise State v. Fresno State -6 |
|
63-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
#846 Fresno State -6 The Bulldogs are a good club that knows how to beat ordinary to average competition. This has been Fresno State's time of year, 8-1 ATS the last two February's, while Boise State is 0-8 AT revenging a same season loss the last three seasons. The home team by 10.
|
02-13-19 |
Arizona State v. Colorado -1 |
|
73-77 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
#844 Colorado -1 Buffs are off a nice road sweep in L.A. and are on a three-game winning streak. Arizona State continues up and down performances and they are 1-5 SU and ATS in Boulder. Colorado by 5.
|
02-13-19 |
Grizzlies v. Bulls UNDER 209 |
|
110-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
Gamblers took this total 205 to 209. But is it warranted? In one manner, yes, as Chicago played modern NBA basketball over a four-game stretch with four Over's, shooting well and not guarding before the Bucks slowed them down on Monday. Memphis had a rare Over last night against San Antonio, but they remain the No.1 UNDER team in The Association. I'll stick with the lower score with the Grizzlies 15-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season and the Bulls 18-9 UNDER after playing a home game.
|
02-12-19 |
Magic +4.5 v. Pelicans |
|
118-88 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
Orlando is a solid 16-11 ATS on the road this season and they are on a nice stretch of playing well at 5-1 SU and ATS. New Orleans, up one day, down the next and Pelicans' players know A.D. does not have their back anymore. Let's take the points with the Magic who are 16-5 ATS having covered four of five, with New Orleans 6-15 ATS off a road loss.
|
02-12-19 |
Drake +5.5 v. Southern Illinois |
|
72-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
Southern Illinois has been a major disappointment all season at 13-12, while Drake has been a great surprise at 18-7 and is 17-6 ATS. The Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS on the road and the score differential is dead even. SIU is only 7-5 and 4-8 ATS at home, beating teams by just 2.5 PPG, That sounds about right, take Drake.
|
02-12-19 |
Davidson -7.5 v. Fordham |
|
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
Davidson appears undervalued to me, thinking they should be favored around 9. The visitor fits my Super System which is: Play Against home teams as an underdog (FORDHAM) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. (35-9 ATS, L5Y) Davidson by double digits.
|
02-11-19 |
Sharks -158 v. Canucks |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
If there was ever proof "patience is a virtue" the San Jose Sharks are it. San Jose was the second-lowest future's best of the preseason and the best of the west. After a sluggish start, the Sharks have relentlessly been coming after first place Calgary, winning five in a row and 12 of 15. Saturday, Vancouver beat Calgary in a shoot-out 4-3 and if they can ambush the other top squad in the Pacific, that could be an impetus to a surge of better play for them. That is easier said than done for NHL picks. What I mean is Vancouver has dropped six of seven following a win and lost 25 of 32 to San Jose. Toss in the Sharks are 20-8 at their division rival and this turns into a feeding frenzy for the visitor.
|
02-11-19 |
Hornets v. Pacers -5 |
|
90-99 |
Win
|
102 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
Like where Indiana is at right now having won five in a row. This is a team that decided to overcome Oladipo's absence and play for one another. Charlotte, good luck on trying to figure them out. Also, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Pacers, in a game involving two teams scoring 102 or more PPG after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less, are 45-17 ATS. Indy by 9.
|
02-10-19 |
Blazers v. Mavs +4.5 |
|
101-102 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
Portland's having a fine season, but this looks like too many points for a team that is 10-13 SU and ATS on the road. Dallas is 19-8 SU and ATS at home, 10-2 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more and 16-6 ATS after one or more Over's. The Mavericks winning this game would not be a surprise.
|
02-09-19 |
Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -155 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-155 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Once again Vegas is a stellar home team with a 16-9 SU record and the opening odds had them at -160. This figures to be a tough test for Columbus who has lost eight of 11 versus winning teams and is 0-6 after scoring four or more goals in two straight games. Conversely, the Golden Knights are a perfect 10-0 at home after playing a road game this season.
|
02-09-19 |
Utah State v. San Diego State +3.5 |
|
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
#760 San Diego St. +3.5 UTAH ST. is 0-8 ATS in road contests after three straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. SAN DIEGO ST. is 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread. One point game either way.
|
02-09-19 |
Washington +1.5 v. Arizona State |
|
63-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
#768 Washington +1.5 The Huskies are 10-0 SU and ATS in the Pac-12 and win again, this time in Tempe by 5.
|
02-09-19 |
Pacific v. BYU -11.5 |
|
59-69 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
#756 BYU -11.5 The Cougars have been whipping ordinary teams in the WCC and wins by 17.
|
02-09-19 |
Thunder +2.5 v. Rockets |
|
117-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
#531 Thunder +2 Houston's back home after a 3-1 road trip. Oklahoma City is on fire at 9-1 and 8-2 ATS. In this case, taking the points seems to be the most prudent thing to do with the Thunder who has the better overall squad and wins the game.
|
02-09-19 |
Northern Iowa v. Drake -5.5 |
|
77-83 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
#698 Drake -5.5 N. IOWA is 6-16 ATS playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) the last 3 seasons. Drake by 8.
|
02-09-19 |
Spurs +7.5 v. Jazz |
|
105-125 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
#517 Spurs +7.5 San Antonio comes to play and is 8-1 ATS after two or more consecutive losses this season. Utah wins but just by 3.
|
02-09-19 |
Fresno State -1.5 v. UNLV |
|
83-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
#691 Fresno State -2 FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games, wins by 5.
|
02-09-19 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. South Alabama -3 |
|
73-68 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Appalachian State v. Texas-Arlington -4.5 |
|
68-78 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Ohio v. Miami-OH -5 |
|
59-79 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
VCU -2 v. St Bonaventure |
|
85-55 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Avalanche v. Islanders -140 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-19 |
Wisconsin +7 v. Michigan |
|
52-61 |
Loss |
-106 |
1 h 38 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin is on 6-0 SU and ATS since they beat Michigan five games ago. The Badgers are playing to who they are and controlling the tempo. The Wolverines are still the more talented team but they are just 6-8 ATS at home. Michigan wins but fails to cover.
|
02-08-19 |
Heat v. Kings -3 |
|
96-102 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
Won with Miami on the road the other night but going against them here. Figured they would be focused off three straight losses, but they run into a Kings team that will be ready themselves after a humbling home loss to Houston. Sac-Town is 11-2 ATS as a favorite and 10-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Kings by 6.
|
02-08-19 |
Kent State +4 v. Akron |
|
53-72 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Akron is favored yet is 1-8 ATS in MACtion action and 0-6 ATS after playing a road game. The numbers all point to a very close game and Kent State is 6-2 SU on the road and 18-6 ATS versus teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game, after 15+ games. Kent State outright.
|
02-07-19 |
San Diego v. Loyola Marymount +1.5 |
|
65-63 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
#660 Loyola-Marymount +1.5 I have LMU winning outright by 2-3 points.
|
02-07-19 |
Sharks v. Flames OVER 6.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
#55-56 Sharks/Flames OVER 6.5 Top 4 OVER teams.
|
02-07-19 |
Stars v. Predators -159 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 18 m |
Show
|
#482 Predators ML Good home revenge spot against Dallas.
|
02-07-19 |
Appalachian State v. Texas State -7 |
|
71-74 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
#634 Texas State -7 I have Texas State winning by 10-12 points.
|
02-07-19 |
Tennessee State v. Morehead State -4.5 |
|
81-80 |
Loss |
-104 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
#682 Morehead State -4.5 I have MH St. winning by 8-10 points.
|
02-07-19 |
Western Illinois v. IUPU Ft Wayne -8 |
|
64-79 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
#668 IUPU-Fort Wayne -8 I have IUPU-FW winning by 11-12 points.
|
02-06-19 |
Rockets v. Kings +3.5 |
|
127-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
#570 Kings +3.5 Houston 3-13 ATS on the road vs. teams averaging 110+ points. Kings are 10-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. One point game either way.
|
02-06-19 |
CS-Northridge +8.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara |
|
64-70 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
#833 CS-Northridge +8.5 Northridge is 14-5 ATS this season and 6-0 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival recently. UCSB wins, but by 4 or less.
|
02-06-19 |
Creighton v. Villanova -9 |
|
59-66 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
#818 Villanova -9 Nova on fire and loaded with veteran leadership. Creighton is 3-11 ATS as a road underdog and the Bluejays lose by 12 or more.
|
02-06-19 |
Senators v. Maple Leafs -1.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-119 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
#26 Maple Leafs PL Better offense, better defense and Toronto is starting to play like who they were a month ago. Blowout.
|
02-06-19 |
St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -2 |
|
51-49 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
#804 Duquesne -2 Duquesne is having a nice year at 15-7 and is well-coached with Keith Dombrot. With this short a spread and the Dukes 13-3 SU at home and St. Bonnie's 3-9 SU on the road, only one number beats us on the presumption Duquesne wins. The home team by at least 5.
|
02-06-19 |
Rhode Island v. Davidson -3.5 |
|
53-68 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
#792 Davidson -3.5 Once again going with Davidson's pedigree in A-10 play and the fact they average FIVE more 3's than Rhode Island. Wildcats by 8.
|
02-06-19 |
George Mason -2 v. Richmond |
|
67-81 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
#797 George Mason -2 The Patriots are 22-10 ATS on the road and this is poor Richmond club they will be facing. George Mason by at least 5.
|
02-05-19 |
Vanderbilt v. Arkansas -7 |
|
66-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
#536 Arkansas -7 The Razorbacks are back to playing good basketball and blow Vanderbilt out who has been terrible on the road.
|
02-05-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers -2.5 |
|
119-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
#554 Sixers -3 Big game in the Atlantic Division as Philadelphia tries to climb within two games of front-running Toronto. The 76ers were sent out a four-point favorite, but have been backed down to -2.5 by those betting NBA basketball (now -3). Normally, I consider playing against a team back home like the Sixers off a four or more games road trip. However, that is with one or less days rest. Philly has been off for two days and is 17-6 ATS at home when playing with that amount of time off. Sixers by 8.
|
02-05-19 |
Clippers +3.5 v. Hornets |
|
117-115 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
#547 Clippers +3.5 Charlotte is 6-16 ATS having won three of four and Clippers are 13-3 ATS in February road games. Clips outright.
|
02-05-19 |
Drake +7 v. Loyola-Chicago |
|
64-86 |
Loss |
-102 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
#515 Drake +7 A lot of positives about Loyola-Chicago. Still, Drake is 16-5 ATS this season, 9-1 ATS having won three of four and 7-1 ATS vs. foes making 45% of shots. Drake loses by just 3.
|
02-04-19 |
Rockets -8.5 v. Suns |
|
118-110 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
The combination of inexperience and injuries continues to overwhelm the Suns, who dropped their season-high-tying 10th consecutive game on Saturday to Atlanta. With not enough offense and certainly not enough defense to contain James Harden. In the NBA, take an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (-7 or worse PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a win by 20 points or more and they are 34-11 ATS in next outing. The Rockets by at last a dozen.
|