When Buffalo was slowed down enough to score in the mid-70's or lower, they are 4-1 SU this season, with the only loss to Northern Illinois 77-75. Granted, none of the teams that slowed the Bulls down to this level are in Texas Tech's category, yet, it does present context. However, when diving further into totals, in games where coach Nate Oats squad was listed at 147 or lower, they are 5-0 SU.

There is no question that Texas Tech could play unbelievable defense and suck the life out of Buffalo. With the Bulls, it seems superior talent, not style is what would cause them to lose. We should all be aware of tourney trends, because like what we just saw in the 12 vs. 5 matchups, they continue to be true. In the second round, going into Saturday, the Top 3 seeds are 17-32-1 ATS in last 50 tries, and when they are a favorite of seven or fewer points, that number dips to 9-23-1 ATS. In addition, the gambling gods have not been kind to the 3-seeds, on a negative 3-10 ATS run in this round of action. Take Buffalo.

Not impressed with Texas in the least, who comes into this game on a 1-3 and 0-4 ATS downer. Xavier has played excellent and inspired basketball and is 8-2 and 9-1 ATS with its lone non-cover was by a half point at Butler. Make this a two-point game either way. 

#528 Blazers -5

Portland has not slipped with CJ McCollum out as Seth Curry has stepped in and filled his spot. Despite Detroit's inside size, they are 3-12 ATS versus teams outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, while the Blazers are 21-9 ATS off two or more consecutive home wins. Portland by 8. 

Purdue has a few injury issues that are a concern playing two games in three days. Villanova is 18-4 ATS on neutral courts, that is just too good to pass up and while Matt Painter is a fine coach he's not in Jay Wright's league. Villanova outright! 

Play On a team like Montreal revenging two straight losses by one goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a marginal losing team in the 2nd half of the season. This situation is 25-6 the last five years. 

Boston is 16-7 when visiting South Florida and the favorite in this divisional joust is 7-3. The greatest concern about backing the Bruins is will they be thinking about a trip to Tampa on Monday night? One would think not and besides, the B's are 8-2 versus teams like Florida with a winning home record.

If you watched Murray State and Marquette's game closely, the Golden Eagles missed at least 10 shots within seven feet of the basket they had made at least 70 percent for the season covering 85 percent of their games. Less than half were contested, they just missed. It would seem the chances of that happening again in the Racers favor is limited. Florida State has been too good for too long versus stronger teams that Murray State. I love Morant, but No.4 seeds are 11-3 ATS in this round make it 12-3 against the spread. 

#515  Celtics -3

Boston is certainly not playing great basketball, but Charlotte is flat out fading. With the Hornets 5-17 ATS as a home underdog, it's Boston by 6. 

St. Louis had a miracle win to take the A-10, but their brief hot streak ends here against solid Virginia Tech team that will not go long stretches without scoring. Another big factor is the Hokies average four more 3's a game and if that just alone plays to form and everything else is equal, that's a cover. Add in VT is 10-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, the Hokies are good.

Having seen Utah State three times of late and Washington stagger to the finish, the Aggies are an underrated club that not many know about. The Huskies really struggled to score down the stretch and they will face a quality defensive team and an offense that can score in bunches and is versatile. Utah State by 6 or more.

Dana Altman's team has come together and the offense is now good enough to match the defense. Wisconsin will have a hard time trying to find open looks against Oregon. Though the Badgers are solid defensively, they don't force many miscues and Arizona is 10-2 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals a game on the season. Make it the Ducks outright!

Once again another mentally soft team in Iowa who fell apart down the stretch. I have zero problem backing Cincinnati here and they have the better defense, plus, the Hawkeyes are 3-14 ATS in road games after one or more losses the last three seasons. Cincy by 9.

I've seen Wofford enough to love their offensive execution with multiple players capable of scoring. Seton Hall plays their best at one speed and Wofford can take them out of that and put pressure on the Pirates offense to score. Make it Wofford by 6.

There is too much focus on Ja Morant of Murray State and not the fact that Marquette is 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six. We do not know the status of the Golden Eagles Howard's wrist but suffice to say if he's not 100 percent, his team is in trouble. Murray State is a good defensive unit and is capable of making this an extremely tight contest and I'll say a one point game either way.

#783 1* Northeastern 

I am convinced Kansas will lose today or Saturday. No question I liked Northeastern better at +8.5, which why I downgraded play but have no problem taking them.

Here is what I'm asking you, do you think that Maryland is six points better than Temple? If you do, then this play might not be for you. Having watched both six to eight times this season, maybe the Terps are four points better. Belmont's inside-outside offense is sure to cause problems for Maryland and the Bruins are not just guard-oriented which generates matchup problems. Belmont outright.

Nebraska found a little something late in the season and was 3-1 and 4-0 ATS. I can see that caring over at home against a Butler team that is 5-15 ATS on the road, while the Cornhuskers are 22-8 ATS in Lincoln. The Children of the Corn by 8. 

South Florida has only won one of their last eight games (1-6-1 ATS) and there would seem to be little motivation to play well before what could a 1,000 fans at home against Stony Brook. The Seawolves might be a lower level team but their overall schedule rating was not that much poorer than USF and they held foes to under 40% shooting. SB is  9-1 ATS in road nonconference games and falls by 5 or less. 

#671 Belmont -3

Temple is a good club, but Belmont is a difficult squad to defend and with the big guy Nick Muszynski back after missing OVC Final and losing to Murray State, the Bruins should be ready. Belmont is extremely efficient on offense and their taller players can step out and make three's. The Bruins win by 6 and advance. 

San Diego, there is a good reason why they play twice as money Under's as compared to Over's (22-11). The Toreros are deliberate on offense and play good defense, especially when they are in their zone, which normally takes time off the clock they generate a lot of so-so shot attempts late in the shot clock.

Though basketball coaches are mostly completely unaware of point spreads unless it can be used as a motivational tool, it's not lost in our line of work that San Diego is 12-3 Under after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Memphis also fits some trendy talk with a 13-4 Under mark at home having won three of their last four contests. Finish this off with the Tigers on a 6-0 Under run. 

Simply Philadelphia is the better team against Carolina and they are playing very good basketball in winning four in a row. It also has to do wonders for their confidence to beat the Bucks in Milwaukee. With Charlotte 4-15 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more, it Philly by 5.

#536 Wizards 

Good spot for Washington here, having covered eight of 10 and other than the last Charlotte game, playing with purpose. I think they can force Utah to play at their pace and they are 7-0 ATS in home games after scoring 120 points or more this season. 

Strictly a scheduling play. The Nets have lost badly in first two games of the road trip and are 3-9 and 2-10 ATS having played the night before, losing by 10.9 PPG. That is good enough reason for me to take the Clippers at home. 

Milwaukee is off a historic win (FYI - 1st team trail by 20 at the half and win a game by 15 or more points) and Philly has issues with teams that have multiple ways to score. Also, favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, outscoring their opponents by 9+ points a game, after scoring 105 points or more three straight games, are 18-8 ATS, winning by 8.9 PPG.  

The Bonnies really impressed me yesterday taking down a red-hot Rhode Island team. They have won five straight over St. Louis takes care of business by 6. 

The Volunteers will have several advantages coming in the SEC championship. It starts with having play allowed Auburn to dictate the tempo a week ago Saturday, which should be very fresh on their minds. Tennessee's veteran team was also denied a title a year ago. For players like senior Admiral Schofield and juniors Grant Williams and Jordan Bone who could go pro, this would be a nice conclusion to their SEC careers.

Coach Rick Barnes will hammer home the point about not allowing Auburn to control the pace. He will want Bone to run when necessary, set the half court to get the ball in the paint for inside shots and hopefully drawing fouls. Tennessee is 26-2 SU and 15-12-1 ATS as a favorite, winning by 15.6 PPG. Tennessee opened as a 4.5-point favorite and despite being upset last week, they are 10-4 ATS against the Tigers and the favored club is 18-6 ATS. We see the Vols winning by 8 and possibly snatching a No.1 seed. 

#637  Oregon -1.5

Just red hot right now and Dana Altman can coach. I've like Washington all year, but it stops here, the Ducks by 5. 

#623  Georgia Southern -4

Trusting this system, Play On neutral court teams (GA SOUTHERN), a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.), against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 80 points or more three straight games.(31-8 ATS, L22Y) 

Going with the pedigree here of a team used to winning this time of year. Davidson averages three more 3's a game than St. Louis and has a huge advantage at free throw line of more than 16%. Davidson by at least 5. 

#606  Mich. State -5

Too much power and more scoring option for Sparty over Wisconsin. This will not be simple, but Izzo's guys win by 8 and cover late. 

I get why St. Bonnie's is favored from a power ratings perspective, but the Rams are on a major roll at 6-0 SU and ATS and after they have put together a winning streak of at least 5, the last 18 times they have done this, in the next game they have won by 11.2 PPG. Rhodey by 4. 

#853  Fresno State +4

Excellent contest with the Bulldogs and Fresno State. The last four meetings have decided by seven total points, look for more of the same and we get the benefit of the half point hook also. 

#848  Washington -3

Washington is a bad matchup for Colorado. The key is the Huskies have made more 3's, which had been the difference in them winning twice. The Buffs fall by 8 or more. 

#576  Wizards -3

Washington is surging and playing great at home. Carolina is 9-23 SU on the road, losing by 6.5 PPG, while the Wizards are 12-2 at home playing with revenge, winning by 8 PPG. That sounds exactly correct.

#795  SMU +7

Cincinnati is on a 0-7 ATS streak and the Mustangs have played better and should be able to keep this to around three or four points. 

#844 Kansas State +3

The key here is the total, which is 130. That is the pace K-State is comfortable playing, which is not the case for Iowa State. If the total was 140, the Cyclones would get the call, but it's not. The Wildcats by 2. 

#827  South Alabama +6

The Jaguars are on an uptick while Texas State has lost two straight. This look like more of the three-point game and South Bama is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. 

Old Dominion is not playing well, having shot over 40% once in their last five games. (0-5 ATS) UAB is on a bit of a roll and in my opinion is playing better basketball. The Blazers outright. 

Will Wade was suspended for alleged reports of looking to pay players to come to LSU thru an intermediary. This week Wade refused to talk to NCAA and LSU officials about the incident(s) but has stated he feels he should coach the SEC's top-seeded team. Coach Mike White and his players know what this game means for Florida. The Gators are perched at the top of the NCAA bubble and while they have solid numbers in the alphabet rankings (NET and RPI), they are not a lock. A victory over LSU, no matter if they have institutional problems are not, is huge. If Florida bests the Tigers, they help themselves immensely. Though the Bengal Tigers are on a 16-5 ATS run and the swamp guys are 3-7 ATS after a cover, Florida is fearless of LSU after splitting two OT games wins a close one over the preoccupied No.1 seed. 

#797 Marshall +3

Marshall's playing great out nowhere, grabbing the points.

#688 Seton Hall -3

The Pirates are 9-1 ATS on neutral courts and Georgetown is 5-14 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.

#695 Richmond +6

I'm not seeing where St. Louis is this many points better the Richmond at the moment. 

#566 Raptors -9

Toronto humbled by terrible loss to Cleveland, take it out on the Lakers!

#559 Cavaliers +9

Orlando is not playing well and the Cavs are improved. The Magic by just 5. 

#783* Port. State +3.5

Weber State is not playing to usual standards and Portland St. is on a 7-1 SU and ATS roll, making this a one-point game either way. 

Virginia Tech will try and run, but the Seminoles can match their opponent for getting up and down the floor, as they too are a better transition team than one that works in the half court.

While there is quite a bit to like about coach Williams crew, the versatile Noles go 10 deep and can beat opposing teams a lot of ways. This is exemplified by them winning 12 of 13 (8-5 ATS), with their lone loss at Chapel Hill. Take Florida State to win this one. 

#724  Kansas St. -4

Even without Wade, the Wildcats have too much defense and take out an inconsistent TCU offense and win by 7. 

#682 Villanova 

For the first time all year, Providence has shot 50% on consecutive games. Look for the Nova defense to be stout and the Friars a little off and the Wildcats to win by 9.

UAB has lost twice to Middle Tennessee and yet is a 4.5point favorite on a neutral floor. Something does not add it up and it might be the Blue Raiders are 1-8 ATS on neutral floors losing by more than 10 PPG of late. Lastly, my Game Estimator is 7-2 ATS thus far in the tournaments and UAB fits the criteria. 

Brey's bunch will have a second look at Louisville in just 10 days, having lost to the Cardinals on the road 75-61 as 8.5-point underdogs. Notre Dame will most likely be further short-handed. Freshman Nate Laszewski had caught fire, scoring 23 points in previous outing against Clemson and 14 yesterday in a half against the Jackets, before falling on his tailbone from about 5-feet off the ground and labored to even walk to the locker room and never returned.

Louisville will likely look to pressure Notre Dame early since they only have five players left that contribute regularly and if they can wear the Irish down, who have issues scoring anyways, the Cardinals could turn this into an easy victory and conserve energy for Thursday. With Notre Dame 6-20 ATS after beating the spread and 3-8 ATS if their opponent wins more than 60% of their games, hard to imagine the 'Ville does not win by 12 to 18 points. 

After betting against Washington and frequently winning, the Wizards revamped roster is playing better of late in winning three of five and covering five in a row. Orlando has dropped three of four and not covered one of those. I cannot overlook the fact the Wizards are 11-2 ATS at home after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games this season. Washington by 6. 

The Hokies are at their best when they are running, which forces opposing teams to scramble on defense and Virginia Tech players are well-schooled to drive to the tin to score or force the opposing team to collapse on the ball-handler and find the open shooter. This strategy has worked brilliantly against the Hurricanes which is why Williams squad shot 58.8% and 49.2% in the two meetings.

Miami cannot play at this pace, which forces coach Jim Larranga to attempt to slow down the pace. The problem with that is the 'Canes are not a good half-court shooting team at just 43.6% and at 33.4% from deep. On the presumption Virginia Tech comes to play, they are 15-5 ATS against competitors with losing record, while the Hurricanes are 6-13 ATS vs. losing clubs. The Hokies who are 7-1 ATS against the Canes and win by double digits.

With Towns upgraded to Probable, I'm on Minnesota. Denver is not playing well at the moment in losing four of five as its offense is off kilter, shooting more than three percentage points lower as team than their season average. The T-Wolves have split last four games in Denver and covered each one. The Nuggets win, just by 6.

Indiana has gotten clobbered on the road by the Bucks and 76ers and is back home against an opponent they will handle with ease in New York. This normally might be a game the Pacers take for granted, but all news about Indy finds them very disgusted with the losses and this team is 14-2 ATS at home having lost three of their last four games. With the Knicks 8-19 ATS playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%), it's the Pacers by at least 15! 

When I thought about this matchup last night I was thinking Northeastern as an underdog would possibly a nice play. I was surprised to see them as the favorite and will ride Hofstra instead. Hofstra is a slightly better offensive and shooting team and is 8-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Hofstra wins the Colonial. 

#530  Jazz -3

The Thunder are just playing poorly and I'm not sure they will compete with Utah here, who is 18-8 ATS off one or more losses. The Jazz also fit a system in this point spread range in which home teams off a road loss by 10 or more are 43-15 ATS. Utah by 6. 

#880  Northeastern -3

This semi-final figures to be close, still, Northeastern is 12-4 ATS off a cover and neutral court favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, after three consecutive covers as a favorite, are 26-7 ATS. Northeastern by 6. 

#894  Wofford -7

Wofford goes after a 21-0 SU conference record tonight. This is the best SoCon team I have ever seen and to have a record like in this league this year is remarkable. Though I played and really like Greensboro, they came from behind to win their last two games from a significant deficit. Playing a third game in three days expending that much energy is draining. Plus, Wofford won both games by 30 and 29 points proving they are just a bad matchup for the underdog. Wofford by at least 10. 

#32 Flames  ML

Vegas has won six straight and Calgary has lost four in a row, yet the Flames are this big a home favorite? I'm on Calgary to be motivated to end the streak and serve revenge from Wednesday's loss at Vegas. 

#860 NC-Greensboro +2.5

As I have said, I'm a big fan of the Southern Conference and while Wofford, Furman and E. Tenn. State have garnered most of the attention, Greensboro actually finished in 2nd in the league. I'm convinced this team is a little better than what they are given credit for and they win outright.  

#503  Raptors +1.5

Yes, Miami has won four straight, but against, struggling Nets, Hawks, Hornets, and Cavs. I concur Toronto has not played great of late, but they are still the better team and all they have to do is win. The Heat is 8-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more and Toronto is 20-12 SU on the road. The Raptors by 4.

#760 Furman 

This is simple, Furman is s 8-2 ATS playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) this season, winning by 20.4 PPG. The Paladins are the play. 

#736 Flor. Int. -1

North Texas has fallen off the cliff at 0-6 SU and ATS and they falter again at FIU and lose by 5. 

#758 NC-Greensboro -6

This is an underrated club whose only two recent losses were at Wofford and at Furman, two of the other top teams in the Southern Conference. Samford has early success but is 1-4 down the stretch and is 2-6-2 ATS in last 10 and is coming off a hot-shooting game yesterday at 60.7%. Greensboro by 10. 

#608 Xavier 

Though I lost by a half point on Xavier this week, I still really like this team. St. John's is too inconsistent and they have lost eight straight to the Musketeers and lost by 6. 

#668 Geor. Southern -5

At worst the winner of Georgia State and Georgia Southern gets a share of the SBU title and could win it all depending on results of other games. Georgia Southern is the better offensive team and has more balance and is playing with revenge in a huge game and wins by 8. 

#665 UCF +1.5

The Knights are on a 7-1 and 8-0 ATS winning and covering home and away against the AAC elite. This is an extremely confident bunch that plays great defense and gets more steady offense. They are 11-2 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers and win at Temple. 

#615 Syracuse +5

Clemson is not consistent enough from the three-point line to make shots against the Syracuse zone. The Orange is 7-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, which makes this a two-point game either way.

The Thunder had lost five of six before winning in OT in Portland tonight. They face a Clippers team that won six of eight and covering seven of them. Also, the Clips have been off since Monday and while I expect OKC to be in the game the whole way, LAC takes the fourth quarter as the fresher team and wins by 5. 

I know the Philly is missing bodies but this is too big of a spread from a talent perspective. This season the Sixers might only be 13-18 ATS on the road, but they have only been outscored by 2 PPG and Houston is 10-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Rockets win, just by 5 or less.

The way Florida has played, it's hard to make a case for them. They have lost 17 of 22 to Minnesota and have dumped six straight. And when playing the third game in four days they are 2-8, plus 3-13 when on the ice for the 4th time in six nights.

 The Gaels have won seven straight and covered the last six of them. They are playing like Iona usually does this time of year. The other big difference in the game is Iona can score and St. Peter's labors too, which is why the Gaels win by 10. 

It's Senior Night in Houston and off the upset home loss to UCF, the Cougars are going to be in the mood to pound somebody and it's going to be SMU. The Mustangs are 5-13 ATS on the road and the Cougs are 7-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, winning by nearly 16 PPG. They will beat SMU by at least that much. 

Austin Peay is a good-sized favorite and deserves to be. But not sure about their focus with a date with top-seeded Belmont next. Austin Peay has also allowed their last four foes to collectively shoot over 50%. Morehead State has nothing to lose, give it their best shot and falls by only 6. 

#649 St. Peter's +2.5

St. Peter's has beaten Marist twice this season and is playing better coming in this game, having won three of four while Marist has dropped four straight. The Peacocks outright. 

Toronto arrives in Vancouver with the second-most road points in the league at 20-9-3 and they have thrived against the Western Conference away from home with a 10-2 mark. It's been a lost season again for the Canucks, thanks to a pedestrian defense and a rotten offense. Vancouver is 17th stopping the puck and 27th in scoring, with a broken power play that is 29th. The Canucks have lost eight of 10 and in this stretch, they have scored two or fewer goals eight times, while hanging three zeros in the process. The Maple Leafs on the -180 ML is tempting, but what appears to be a better play is Toronto on the puck line. The visitor has played six straight times that produced a puck line outcome and with Vancouver not scoring, like the value of +130 giving -1.5.

I wish I had a profound reason why Charlotte would go from -1.5 to -3.5 point home favorite over Miami, but I don't. The Hornets have won both meetings this season but those games were in October and Charlotte has lost eight of 11, while the Heat has gotten warmer with a 3-1 SU and ATS surge. With Miami 20-10 ATS as underdogs and 20-11 ATS on the road, they are my choice.

#532  Pistons -4.5

Cannot overlook the T-Wolves are 2-12 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 points or more, while the Pistons are14-4 ATS in home games having won three of their last four games. Detroit by 8.  

With St. Bonaventure's having made a major move in winning six straight to move into a 3rd place tie in the A-10, the Bonnies have slipped from +7 to +4.5 at second place Davidson. An already excellent Bonnies defense has held their opponents to a suffocating 34% shooting in this period. However, Davidson connects on 47% at home and they drain nine 3's a game and we'll say that is the difference in the contest. 

Florida has lost four in a row and barring a miracle, they are all but mathematically eliminated from the postseason. Florida's defense has been missing in action, surrendering 17 goals in their last losing skid and the overall situation could hardly be any worse for the Panthers. Florida is 12-20 SU on the road and in their last seven trips into the Steel City, the 'Cats have left with an 'L'. Though coach Bob Boughner club has not been crushed in dropping four in a row, as all have been by one score each time, they are 1-7 off exactly two one-goal losses.

Rather quietly, CMU has won 20 games and is 12-3-1 ATS in the MAC, with a 9-1-1 ATS record of late. Northern Illinois is on a 1-7 SU and ATS tailspin and hard to imagine the Huskies will play a great game at CMU on Senior Night on the road. The Chipps by at least 8. 

Xavier is red hot, 5-0 SU and ATS, while Butler has lost and not covered three in a row and is 3-7 and 2-7-1 ATS of late. The Musketeers will be brimming with confidence knowing they are 15-6 and 15-1-1 ATS against the Bulldogs including at 6-3 ATS make in Indy. Xavier outright.

#506  Spurs -1

Denver is off two home losses and is 11-18 ATS on the road. San Antonio is off two home wins and is 24-7 and 20-11 ATS in their building. I'm backing the Spurs who are 17-2 ATS revenging a road loss, while the Nuggets are 3-14 ATS away after playing two home games and 2-10 ATS in road games versus teams making 46% or more of their shots this season.

Sharks win.

 Toronto is doing their Golden State impression, winning but not covering. The Raptors have won nine of 10, but are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven. Detroit has won eight of 10 covering seven times and is 13-4 ATS at home having won three of their last four games. Toronto is merely 11-22 ATS against teams averaging 88 or more shots and failed to cover again. 

Vegas wins

Washington took the earlier meeting in Seattle 80-64 as 9.5-point favorites. The Huskies are 6-4 SU and ATS in away games, even after a terrible loss to Cal. I'm counting on the Huskies to show up after they did not on Thursday and they are 12-3 ATS in conference clashes and 9-1-1 ATS facing foes with winning records. Stanford is an unpleasant 1-7 ATS following a spread winner and they fall to Washington.

Once again, a good chunk of the betting world has no faith in Portland and they point to the Hornets home record of 20-12 SU. Do they mention Charlotte has lost four straight home games and are on 16-14-2 ATS at home? Nope. The Blazers are blazing hot covering spreads and are 9-1 ATS versus teams allowing 110+ points a game in the 2nd half of the season. Portland by 6. 

#838  Flor. Int. +1.5

FIU has already beaten Louis. Tech as a home underdog in this season. L.T. is 3-10 SU on the road and FIU is 10-4 SU at home. The clincher, the home team is 6-0 SU and ATS in this matchup. 

#562  Mavs -4.5

Dallas got back on track by beating Indiana at home in their last game, taking them to 21-10 SU and ATS in their building. With Memphis laboring and the Mavs 10-2 ATS at home after one or more wins, they triumph by 7. 

#733 UC-Irvine -9.5

The Anteaters have quietly put together a nice season at 24-5 and they are going to be the Big West regular season champs. Consider road teams with a +3.5 to +8 PPG diff. like Irvine, against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after two straight wins by 15 points or more. They are 20-9 ATS in this spot. The Anteaters by 13.  

#601 Drake +4.5

The Bulldogs are 20-7 ATS this season and 11-2 ATS having won three of four. Drake outright!

#642 Virginia -17

Pitt cannot score and Virginia is not going allow them to. The Wahoos by 23. 

#603 Mich. State 

Sparty is 10-0 ATS from Game 20 out, off an ATS win by 8 or more points, with three or more days rest and playing with revenge. 

#617 N.C. State +8

All of my numbers have Florida State winning by 4 to 5 points and the Wolfpack are a solid 8-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. I'm on it. 

Milwaukee is becoming an increasing fascinating team. And if you follow the comments from the players, they are both trying to be humble, but also suggesting they are not getting enough credit. Going up against LeBron in Tinsel Town should be the extra motivation for a club that is 14-2 ATS in road games playing against a team with a losing record in second half of the season since last year. 

I'm going completely contrarian here in taking Portland. The world is on Toronto and I can understand why, but the Blazers are a better with Moe Harkless back from injury. I'm not saying Portland wins, but cannot ignore they are 8-0 ATS after five or more wins the last two seasons. 

With Rhode Island 4-11 ATS against teams with winning records and 2-9 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a win percentage of 60% to 80%, Dayton fly's by the Rams by 10. 

I've liked the Dons all season and with San Diego's only win in their last five games again Portland (0-14 SU in the WCC), a good revenge spot for San Fran. 

Marshall is 0-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and 6-20 ATS for the season. Louisiana Tech is 15-0 SU at home and 9-1 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season.