At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (368) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (367). Wisconsin (8-0) remained undefeated last week with their 24-10 win at Illinois as a big 28.5-point favorite. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning five straight games. Wisconsin enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin agains the Fighting Illini in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after earning a +2 or better net turnover margin. The Badgers have not allowed more than 13 points in each of their last three games — but they have then failed to over the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight contests. Wisconsin had to be disappointed with their initial rankings in the College Football Playoff poll with their undefeated record still landing them behind a handful of teams with one loss. But that also adds to the pressure as even one loss now likely eliminates them from the playoffs even if they were to go on to win the Big Ten Championship Game.

Indiana (3-5) has lost three straight games after their 42-39 upset loss at Maryland as a 6.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers did pass for 410 yards in that game — and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after passing for at lease 280 yards in their last game. Indiana has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Hoosiers have failed to cover the point spread in each of their last five games but they are playing teams close. Their last three losses were by just one scoring possession which included dates with Michigan and at Michigan State. Indiana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four or five of their last six games. Now their return home where they are outscoring their opponents by +6.8 PPG while outgaining them by a healthy +76.5 net YPG. Lastly, the Hoosiers are 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific36-15-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wisconsin-Indiana ABC-TV Special with the Indiana Hoosiers (368) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (367). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (411) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (412). Florida (3-4) lost their third straight game in a row last week after being blown out by Georgia by a 42-7 score on a neutral field in Jacksonville. That was the last straw for the Florida administration as that led to a quick series of events that saw head coach Jim McElwain dismissed from the program. Defensive coordinator Randy Shannon takes over on an interim basis — and he will be using all his energies to audition to take over this program after previously serving as the head coach at Miami (FL). Expect this team to respond with a big effort this afternoon with the players and coaching staff looking to use this moment to symbolically lay the blame for their disappointing season on the departed McElwain. As it is, the Gators have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 10 points. Florida has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 42 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Gators have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Shannon named Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire as the starting quarterback after Thursday’s practice after not getting the chance to start with two other QBs on the depth chart that had years of eligibility left still for McElwain. It is “win now” for Shannon, Zaire and the seniors on this roster. And while this team has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 31 of the last 47 road games after failing to cover the point spread in 31 of their last 47 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games.

Missouri (3-5) has won two straight games after their 52-12 win at UConn last week. Expect a letdown from the Tigers this week as it has been a Tale of Two Cities for this team when facing Non-Power Five teams versus opponents representing Power Five Conferences. Against Group of Five teams, Mizzou is scorn 64 PPG while totaling 685 YPG. But when the Tigers face a team from the Power-Five, they see their scoring drop to a mere 18.5 PPG scoring average along with 369 total YPG. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, Missouri has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing 14 or fewer points in their last game. And while they gained 583 yards against the Huskies, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-35 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Saturday Afternoon Special Feature with the Florida Gators (411) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (412). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (380) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (379). Kansas State (4-4) snapped their three-game losing streak last Saturday with their 30-20 win at Kansas as a 24.5-point favorite. The Wildcats lost senior QB Jesse Ertz in that game to a knee injury — and he is questionable in this afternoon’c contest. If he cannot go, sophomore Alex Delton will make the start. He is completing only 52.7% of his passes on  52 attempts this season. Kansas State will rely on their ground game in this one after rushing for 202 yards against Kansas — but they are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Wildcats allowed 418 yards in that contest to the Jayhawks — and they are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing at least 280 yards in their last contest. Now this team stays on the road where they are 1-2 this season. They are only managing 337.0 total YPG away from home which explains why they are being outgained by their home hosts by -95.7 net YPG. Additionally, the Wildcats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Big 12 play. 

Texas Tech (4-4) has lost three straight games with their 49-27 loss at Oklahoma last week as a 20.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Red Raiders did see their senior QB Nic Shimonek complete 22 of 36 passes for 322 yards with 4 TD passes in that loss. Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home they are scoring 38.7 PPG which helps them outscore their visitors by +6.0 PPG while they outgaining these foes by +42.2 YPG. The Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home. And in their last 10 games in the month of November, Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests. 10* CFB Kansas State-Texas Tech FS1 Special with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (380) minus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (379). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Memphis (7-1) is a popular play with bettors tonight having won four in a roAt 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Memphis (7-1) is a popular play with bettors tonight having won four in a row with their 56-26 win last Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Tigers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, Memphis is just 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have a prolific offense led by senior QB Riley Ferguson. The NFL prospect passed for 298 yards against the Green Wave defense — but they hare then just 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Memphis defense is a disaster as they rank 117th in the FBS by allowing 468.0 total YPG. This team is getting by with a net turnover margin of +8 which is not sustainable. They have four net close wins determined by one scoring possession. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Golden Hurricanes.

Tulsa (2-7) looks to bounce-back from a 38-34 loss at SMY last week. This team has been wildly inconsistent with a terrible loss at home to Tulane preceding then a surprising upset win over a Houston team that handed the Tigers their only loss this season. The Golden Hurricanes have four net close losses determined by one scoring possession this year — so they are just a few breaks away from a much different record. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They have a potent offense that averages 446.2 total YPG (35th in the FBS) along with scoring 32.9 PPG (32nd in the FBS) which should help keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 114-44-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Memphis-Tulsa ESPN2 Special with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.w with their 56-26 win last Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. But the Tigers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, Memphis is just 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have a prolific offense led by senior QB Riley Ferguson. The NFL prospect passed for 298 yards against the Green Wave defense — but they hare then just 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Memphis defense is a disaster as they rank 117th in the FBS by allowing 468.0 total YPG. This team is getting by with a net turnover margin of +8 which is not sustainable. They have four net close wins determined by one scoring possession. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Golden Hurricanes.

Tulsa (2-7) looks to bounce-back from a 38-34 loss at SMY last week. This team has been wildly inconsistent with a terrible loss at home to Tulane preceding then a surprising upset win over a Houston team that handed the Tigers their only loss this season. The Golden Hurricanes have four net close losses determined by one scoring possession this year — so they are just a few breaks away from a much different record. Tulsa has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They have a potent offense that averages 446.2 total YPG (35th in the FBS) along with scoring 32.9 PPG (32nd in the FBS) which should help keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 114-44-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Memphis-Tulsa ESPN2 Special with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (320) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (319). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Marshall Thundering Herd (317) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (318). Marshall (6-2) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in their 41-30 loss to Florida International despite being a 14.5-point favorite. The Thundering Herd suffered from a -3 net turnover margin in that game which included a 12-yard interception return for a touchdown by the Golden Panthers. Those turnovers overwhelmed the Thundering Herd’s 29 to 21 first down margin as well as their +104 net yardage advantage (505 yards to 401 yards) in that game. Now an underdog on the road, look for Marshall to bounce-back with a big effort. The Thundering Herd are 3-1-1 ATS after a double-digit win at home — and they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Marshall has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Thundering Herd have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest — and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. They are outgaining their Conference USA opponents by +141 net YPG which is a better mark than the Owls +125 net YPG mark in conference play.

Florida Atlantic (5-3) enters this game coming off their 42-28 win at Western Kentucky last Saturday. The Owls benefited from a +3 net turnover margin last night — with two of those turnovers resulting into short drives of 8-yard and 18-yard touchdown drives. FAU lost the first down battle by a 32 to 21 margin while being out-gained in yardage in that contest. Now the Owls return home where they have not retained much of a home field advantage. FAU is 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games at home. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 home games as the favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in eight of their last nine home games when laying 7.5 to 14 points as the favorite. Furthermore, the Owls have played three straight games Over the Total after last week’s game which finished above the 67.5 number. FAU has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after an Over — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Over the Total. 25* CFB Friday CBS-Sports Network Game of the Year with the Marshall Thundering Herd (317) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the New York Jets (308) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (307). Buffalo (5-2) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 34-14 win over Oakland on Sunday as a 2-point favorite. Look for a letdown from this team as they travel on the road for the first time since October 8th. The Bills are just 1-2 on the road where they are scoring just 14.0 PPG while averaging just 226.0 total YPG. Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Bills have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Buffalo rushed for 166 yards against the Raiders defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. And that rushing effort was after they rushed for 173 yards against the Buccaneers the previous week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in two straight contests. Both those games were at home — and Buffalo averages a mere 3.2 Yards-Per-Carry on the road and totaling a mere 89 rushing YPG in those three games. Furthermore, the Bills have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC East opponents.

New York (3-5) has lost three straight games with their 25-20 loss to the Falcons Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Jets had won three straight games before this losing streak where they blew 14-point leads to both the Patriots and the Dolphins before entering the 4th quarter with a lead against Atlanta before letting that game go. The Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, New York has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 25 games at home after a loss. The Jets are playing pretty tough football on their home field where they are outgaining their opponents by +49.2 net YPG. They have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* NFL Bills-Jets NFL Network Special with the New York Jets (308) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (309) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (310). Northern Illinois (6-2) has own four games in a row with their 30-27 win in overtime against Eastern Michigan Thursday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Huskies are then 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up win. Northern Illinois has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. This team lost two tough non-conference games to Boston College and at San Diego State — but the good news for this team is they may have found their answer at quarterback. The Huskies have struggled with vanilla play under center with QBs that have lacked the ability to execute the run and pass aspects of their spread offense. But redshirt freshman Marcus Childers has thrived since taking over. He might have played his best game against the Eagles last week by completing 23 of 40 passes for 283 yards with 2 TDs while adding another 54 rushing yards. For the season, Childers has rushed for 334 yards while completing 61.4% of his passes while averaging 6.9 Yards-Per-Attempt and sporting a nifty 9-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio. Northern Illinois also has an outstanding defense that ranked 15th in the FBS by allowing just 307.1 total YPG while being tied for 16th by allowing only 18.0 PPG. The pass defense is limiting opposing QBs to complete just 53.1% of their passes while compiling 25 sacks and and picking off 13 passes. The Huskies are 34-14-3 ATS in their 50 road games and they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games as an underdog in the 7.5 to 14 point range.

Toledo (7-1) has won four straight games with their 58-17 win over Ball State last Saturday. The Rockets generated a whopping 602 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Toledo surrendered 204 rushing yards to the Cardinals in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 200 yards in their last game. This team has only lost to an undefeated Miami (FL) this season — but there are some vulnerabilities once you scratch the surface. The Rockets are last in the Mid-American Conference in Red Zone defense — and they are not pressuring opposing offenses with just ten sacks and only ten forced turnovers. Toledo stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-28-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, these two teams have seen five of their last six encounters decided by one touchdown or less. With the winner of this game likely advancing to the MAC Championship Game as the winner of the West Division, expect a close game. 10* CFB Northern Illinois-Toledo ESPNU Special with the Northern Illinois Huskies (309) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (310). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Central Michigan Chippewas (305) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (306). Western Michigan (5-3) has won five of their last six games after surviving in Ypsilanti last week in their 20-17 win at Eastern Michigan in overtime as a 2.5-point favorite. The Broncos did receive a blow with sophomore QB Jon Wassink breaking his collarbone in that game which will keep him on the shelf for six to eight weeks. With junior Tom Flacco Joe’s younger brother) transferring to Rutgers in late July, first-year head coach will have to rely on a true freshman QB in Reece Goddard to make his first collegiate start. It will be difficult conditions with rain and wind expected in Kalamazoo tonight. Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, these Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games — and not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 home games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight home games after failing to cover the pint spread in five or six of their last seven home games.

Central Michigan (4-4) has won two of their last three games with their 56-9 win at Ball State last week as a 3.5-point favorite. This blowout win on the road should inject this team with confidence — especially graduate transfer QB Shane Morris who completed 16 of 21 passes for 199 yards and four TD passes. The former Michigan QB leads an offense that averages 254.4 passing YPG and should have success against this Broncos’ defense that ranks 89th in the FBS by allowing 242.9 passing YPG. The Chippewas defense held the Cardinals last week to only 208 total yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The defense also ranks tied for 11th in the FBS by forcing eighteen turnovers which is an intriguing number when combatting a freshman QB in inclement weather. Central Michigan has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog. Lastly, the Chippewas are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Western Michigan. 10* CFB Wednesday MACtion ESPN2 Special with the Central Michigan Chippewas (305) plus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (273) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Denver (3-3) looks to get back to their winning ways tonight in an important divisional game. Fifteen days ago, the Broncos were generally considered one of the top five teams in the NFL. But after their 23-10 loss to the Giants for Sunday Night Football, Denver followed that up with a listless 21-0 loss in Los Angeles against the Chargers as a 1-point favorite. Look for this team to rebound with one of their strongest efforts of the season. The Broncos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses. Denver has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a divisional rival. And in their last 25 games after a straight-up loss, the Broncos have covered the point spread 17 times. Denver has certainly spent time on the offensive side of the football after being shut out last week. Defense is not a problem as this team leads the NFL by holding their opponents to just 258.1 total YPG which is the best mark in the league. This defense is also very familiar with Andy Reid, Alex Smith and this Chiefs’ offense. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to Kansas City. Furthermore, Denver has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog.

Kansas City (5-2) looks to bounce-back from their 31-30 loss in Oakland as a 1-point favorite for last week’s Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs surrendered 505 yards of offense to the Raiders in that game as they continued to struggle and defense with an aging group that really misses Eric Berry who suffered a season-ending Achilles’ injury. Kansas City is 30th in the league by allowing 396.3 total YPG — and this porous defense has actually made the Chiefs get outgained by -3.9 net YPG which betrays their winning record. Kansas City is winning games in large measure because they are not turning the ball over - in fact, they have not committed a single turnover since their first play of the season where Kareem Hunt fumbled the football in New England. That is simply not sustainable and helps to make the Chiefs an unreliable favorite laying around a touchdown against a desperate divisional rival. As it is, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Chiefs have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games are allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. 25* NFL Game of the Month with the Denver Broncos (273) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Detroit Lions (272) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (271). Pittsburgh (5-2) was impressive last week in their 29-14 win over AFC North rival Cincinnati. The Steelers have bow won two straight games — but consistency remains an issue for this team that is susceptible to letdowns. Pittsburgh was very flat in their losses to Jacksonville and Chicago this season. The Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning at least two straight games. They are giving the ball to LeVeon Bell more as he has rushed the ball 67 times for 313 yards over the last two games. The Lions do have a good run defense as they rank 7th in the NFL by holding teams to just 94.3 rushing YPG. And while Pittsburgh has outrushed their last two opponents by 81 and 166 yards respectively, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after out-rushing their last two opponents by at least 75 yards in each contest. Furthermore wide receiver Martavis Bryant is unlikely to play in this game as he was banished to the scout team this week after making disparaging comments on social media about a teammate — so Ben Roethlisberger has one less of his weapons at his disposal for this game.

Detroit (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 52-38 loss in New Orleans two weeks ago as a 6-point underdog. The Lions were a beat up football team entering that game so the extra week to rest and recuperate should be a boon for this team. Detroit has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. The Lions have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit rushed for only 66 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Lions are supported by an intriguing situational angle I find apt for this game. Detroit is 8th in the NFL by scoring 26.8 PPG — and teams listed in the +/- 3-point range who score 23-27 PPG and come off a game where at least 50 combined points were scored now facing a team that allows 14-18 PPG (Pittsburgh defense: 16.6 PPG) have then covered the point spread in 25 of the last 31 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Pittsburgh-Detroit NBC-TV Special with the Detroit Lions (272) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (271). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (269) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (270). All seemed right in the world again at least for a few hours when Dallas (3-3) crushed the 49ers in San Francisco last Sunday with their 40-10 victory as a 6.5-point favorite. But the Cowboys have been consistently inconsistent under head coach Jason Garrett. Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. And while they gained 501 yards in that win over the 49ers, Dallas has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now they travel to the nation’s capital where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games against the Skins.

Washington (3-3) is playing on a short week after their 34-24 at Philadelphia on Monday as 5-point underdogs. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Washington has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when playing with six days or fewer of rest. And while they only rushed for 75 yards against the Eagles, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards. The Skins are a M*A*S*H unit right now with seventeen players on their injured list earlier this week. But this is a crucial game for this team in keeping their wildcard playoff chances alive. The weather will likely be nasty in Washington as well. Look for the Skins to do what is necessary to win an ugly game. 10* NFL Dallas-Washington Fox-TV Special with the Washington Redskins (269) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (263) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (264). Indianapolis (2-5) was embarrassed last week by being shut out by the Jaguars in their 27-0 loss last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 30 of their last 41 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, while Indy managed only 232 yards of offense in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after failing to score at least 15 points in their last game. They travel to Cincinnati to face a Bengals team that is just 1-2 on their home field — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 37 games against teams with a losing record overall, Indianapolis has covered the point spread 27 times.

Cincinnati (2-4) looks to bounce-back from their 29-14 loss at Pittsburgh last week in a game where they managed only 179 yards of offense while surrendering 420 yards to the Steelers. Call me old-fashioned, but I do not trust teams as double-digit favorites after games where they were outgained by 241 yards. Pittsburgh rushed for 152 yards in that game — and the Bengals have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. This Colts team has rushed for 38 first downs along with 8 touchdowns this season so they should find success running the ball against this Cincinnati defense. Forcing turnovers has been the other glaring weakness for this team as they only have four of them this season. Because of that, the Bengals have suffered -2 net turnover margins in each of their last two games —and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after playing two straight games with a -2 or worse net turnover margin. Expect Indy to keep this game close. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Indianapolis Colts (263) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (264). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (259) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (260). The team with the best record in the league faces off against the team that is tied for the worst record in the NFL — and the price is high for bettors to take this Philadelphia team (6-1) coming off a flashy win in front of a national audience on Monday with their 34-24 win over Washington. Let this line continue to the 13 or perhaps even the 14 point range if you can before kickoff. The Eagles suffered two devastating injuries with left tackle Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks suffering season-ending injuries in that game with the Skins — and it will be difficult to replace those two players that played such a vital role in the foundation of their offensive line and front seven on defense. QB Carson Wentz has been impressive — but it is a warning sign that he led the team in rushing on Monday with his 63 yards on eight attempts. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing on Monday Night Football. Philly does stay at home this week but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record overall, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.

San Francisco (0-7) suffered their worst loss of the season last week with their 40-10 loss at home to Dallas as a 6.5-point underdog. If there was a silver lining in that loss for head coach Mike Shanahan, it is that he certainly had the attention of his team this week in practice. The 49ers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. San Francisco may still be winless but they have very competitive in most of their games. In their previous five games before last week, they lost by just a combined 13 points. Five net close losses of eight points or less is brutal — and, ironically, it was the Eagles 0-6 record in games decided by one scoring possession last season that made some pundits so bullish on them this year. The offense looks a bit crisper under rookie QB C.J. Beathard who completed 22 of 38 passes for 235 yards while adding 30 rushing yards and a TD on the ground. The learning curve is sharp for the former Iowa QB right now. The 49ers go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. And in their last 5 games against fellow NFC opponents, San Francisco has covered the point spread 4 times. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the San Francisco 49ers (259) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (140) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (139). Clemson (6-1) takes the field again after losing their first game of the season two Fridays ago with their 27-24 loss at Syracuse as a 24-point favorite. QB Kelly Bryant was knocked out of that game with a concussion but the bye has offered him extra time to recover and he has been upgraded to probable for this contest. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a loss by a field goal or less. Clemson has not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. This team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. The extra week to rest and prepare will also help this Clemson defense prepare for the unique offense of the Yellow Jackets. The Tigers have handled this spread triple option the last two seasons as they have held Georgia Tech to just 91 rushing yards on 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry last season and only 71 rushing yards on a mere 1.7 YPC average in 2015.

Georgia Tech (4-2) has won four of their last five games with their 38-24 win over Wake Forest last Saturday. The Yellow Jackets have forced only one turnover in their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to force more than one turnover in their last game. Georgia Tech has struggled against this Tigers’ defense that has sported an elite defensive line each of the last few seasons under head coach Dabo Swinney. The Yellow Jackets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight trips to Clemson. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-12 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Georgia Tech-Clemson ABC-TV Special with the Clemson Tigers (140) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (139). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (198) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (197). Florida Atlantic (4-3) has won three straight games with their dominant 59-31 win over North Texas last week at home as a 3.5-point favorite. This team has received plenty of attention this season with Lane Kiffin in his first year here as their head coach. The Owls opened as surprising 4.5-point road favorites in this contest — and the public has not been deterred as they have been bet up to a 6.5-point favorite in many spots as of this writing. Well, that is ridiculous — so lets take this solid Hilltoppers team as a home underdog. FAU is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while junior QB Jason Driskel completed 24 of 35 passes for 357 yards in that game, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. But this team surrendered 283 passing yards in that win over the Mean Green — and they are then 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Keep in mind that this Florida Atlantic team has not pulled an upset this season — their 4-3 record is in line with Vegas expectations. Furthermore, this team has also been very fortunate with their +1.29 net turnover margin per game which is 6th best in the nation.

Western Kentucky (5-2) has won four in a row with their 35-31 victory at Old Dominion back on October 20th as a 6.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers have won two straight Conference USA Championships and will be surprised to see themselves as underdogs at home in this game. Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games as an underdog getting a touchdown or less. Look for them to build off their momentum as they have covered the point sprawl din 21 of their last 29 games after winning at least two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after winning at least three straight games against conference rivals. And while the Hilltoppers have scored 79 points over their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 31 points in two straight games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 63-20-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Big Dog Surprise with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (198) plus the points versus the Florida Atlantic Owls (197). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (179) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (180). Notre Dame (6-1) comes off a triumphant 49-14 win over USC last Saturday night in a dominant effort. But the Fighting Irish may be due for a letdown now. Notre Dame has then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after a win by at least five touchdowns. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a win by at least 20 points. And while the Irish have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 29 games after the covered the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while Notre Dame has only allowed 24 combined points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in two straight contests.

NC State (6-1) has had an extra week to prepare for this contest after their 35-17 win at Pittsburgh back on October 14th. The Wolfpack have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. NC State has one of the best defensive lines in the country that will force the Irish’s QB Brian Wimbush to beat them with his arm. The Wolfpack have played four straight Unders — and they have then covered the point spread in 32 of their last 45 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Additionally, NC State has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against teams outside the ACC. The Wolfpack have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on field turf. And in their last 5 games on the road, NC State has covered the point spread all 5 times. 10* CFB NC State-Notre Dame NBC-TV Special with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (179) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (180). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida Gators (196) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (195). Georgia (7-0) remained undefeated two weeks ago in their last game where they defeated Missouri by a 52-38 score. But the Bulldogs are just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while freshman Jacob Fromm completed 18 of 26 passes for 326 yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards. Additionally, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the month of October. And in their last 4 meetings with the Gators in the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread all 4 times including suffering a 24-10 loss to Florida last October.

Florida (3-3) has had an extra week to prepare for this game after their 19-17 loss to Texas A&M two Saturdays ago. The Gators have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after their bye week. This team is also getting wide receivers back after this team has been undermanned all season with some injuries but also dealing with those suspended players to begin the season. But having already played the Aggies as well as Michigan and LSU who they lost to by just a point, this Florida team has faced a much harder schedule than this Georgia team that has only faced Notre Dame as a quality opponent. Lastly, the Gators have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB Georgia-Florida CBS-TV Special with the Florida Gators (196) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (195). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (206) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (205). Penn State (7-0) avenged an embarrassing 39-point loss to Michigan last Saturday night in their “white-out” game with ESPN Game Day with their 42-13 victory over the Wolverines. Head coach James Franklin and the entire Nittany Lions’ nation has been the toast of the town with that victory signaling the program’s return from disgrace after the Jerry Sandusky travesty. We had Penn State in a big play in that game — and that big win sets up a huge emotional letdown “play-against” situation this week as they travel to Columbus for an even bigger showdown. There is plenty of technical support for this expected letdown. The Nittany Lions have been favored by at least 7.5-points in three straight games — and their 29-point win against Michigan was the closest of those three victories. Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after being a favorite of at least 7 points in three straight games. And in their last 11 games after generating at least three straight wins by at least three touchdowns. Frankly, this Penn State team has been a bit overrated in my view since their fluke win over the Buckeyes last October — more on that in a moment. They impressed many with their loss in the Rose Bowl team to a USC team with three losses this season. They barely survived their game in Iowa City to begin the month where a late touchdown eked out a 21-19 win against an Hawkeyes team that also now has three losses. And then Saquon Barkley and company managed to rush for just 39 yards in their next game against Indiana before earning only 95 rushing yards on 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry the next week against Northwestern. They face a dramatic step in quality against this Buckeyes defensive line this week. Penn State is just 4-11-2 ATS when playing on field turf that accentuates their opponent’s speed. The Nittany Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7 point range. And in their last 11 trips to Columbus to face the Buckeyes, Penn State has failed to cover the point spread 9 times.

Ohio State (6-1) has had this game circled for as long as I have when considering that they outgained the Nittany Lions by 97 yards while winning the first down battle by a 19 to 13 margin — and that game was played in College Station. The Buckeyes lost their 21-17 lead with less than 5 minutes to go when they blocked an Ohio State field goal attempt which they returned for a 60-yard touchdown to steal that game. After the Buckeyes loss to Oklahoma earlier this season, this is now a must-win game for Ohio State to keep their National Championship Playoff hopes alive. Despite that loss, the Buckeyes are outgaining their opponents by +272 net YPG while the Nittany Lions are outscoring their opponents by 92 YPG less with their +180 net YPG clip. Ohio State has had an extra week off to rest and prepare for this showdown after their 56-14 blowout win at Nebraska as a 23.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. This team has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after a bye week. Furthermore, you will at some point here the stat that Urban Meyer boasts a 29-4 straight-up record as a head coach after a bye week — and that includes winning twenty straight contests with an extra week to prepare. His staff’s benefit of spending an extra second week scheming against a Penn State team that was completely focused on Michigan last week (did Offensive Coordinator Joe Moorhead use all his best tricks last week?) gives them a distinct advantage. Finally, the offensive struggles this team was experiencing earlier in the season seems to have resolved under their first-year Offensive Coordinator Kevin Wilson. Freshman running back J.K. Dobbins has become the bell-cow running back while QB J.T. Barrett has found his niche in this offense. Against the Cornhuskers, Barrett completed 27 of his 33 passes for 325 yards with 5 TD passes (no picks) while adding another 48 rushing yards and two TDs on the ground. 25* CFB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (206) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (137) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (138). Virginia (5-2) looks to bounce-back from their 41-10 upset loss to Boston College as a 7-point favorite. The Cavaliers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while Virginia allowed 512 yards to the Eagles in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after giving up at least 450 yards in their last game. Now Virginia goes back on the road where they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games.

Pittsburgh (3-5) had lost five of their last six games but they turned that losing streak last week by upsetting Duke on the road by a 24-17 score as a 9.5-point underdog. But the Panthers are just 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. Pittsburgh did allow 283 passing yards to the Blue Devils in that game — and they are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. And while they managed just 149 passing yards themselves, they are then 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games on their home field — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Virginia Cavaliers (137) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Panthers (138). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (128) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (127). This line looks fishy with Louisville (5-3) only laying a field goal or so agains this Demon Deacons team that has lost three straight games. It looks very easy to take the Cardinals with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner in Lamar Jackson after they upset Florida State last week by a 31-28 score as a 6-point underdog. Louisville may be ripe for a letdown, however, when considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinals are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread victory. And in their last 10 games in the month of October, Louisville has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. This Cardinals team is becoming more and more like one of Bobby Petrine’s teams at Arkansas where the offense is powerful but the defense lags. The Charlie Strong recruits that helped construct an elite Louisville defense have moved on. This defense ranks 63rd in the FBS by allowing 383.3 total YPG. That helps explain why the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning record.

Wake Forest (4-3) has lost three straight games with their 38-24 loss at Georgia Tech as a 3.5-point underdog last week. The Demon Deacons have then bounced-back to go 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while Wake Forest gave up 495 yards in that loss, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Now they return home where they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on their home field. Together, these trends produce our specific 38-4-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Bet With the Books (and Avoid the Trap) Special with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (128) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (127). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Tulane Green Wave (113) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (114). Memphis (6-1) rallied from a 38-28 deficit with under 5:30 minutes to go in the 4th quarter last Thursday in their 42-38 upset win at Houston as a 1-point underdog. Expect an emotional letdown from this team now as a comfortable favorite back at home. The Tigers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, they are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Now they return home where they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on their home field. Furthermore, they are only outgaining their opponents by +3.7 net YPG this season despite their gaudy 6-1 record. Four of their victories have been one scoring possession — and there is a good chance this game also will be determined by one score. Memphis is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October. 

Tulane (3-4) has lost two straight games with their 34-28 loss to South Florida last Saturday as a 10-point underdog. The Green Wave showed grit in that game by rallying from a 34-7 deficit to make that game too close for comfort for the Bulls. Tulane has now covered the point spread in 4 straight games in Sun Belt Conference play. The Green Wave have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games in the month of October. This has become a dangerous team in the second season under head coach Willie Fritz who took his unique wishbone triple option after having tremendous success with that offense at Georgia Southern. Tulane returned sixteen starters from last year’s 4-8 team that may have finished 1-7 in conference play but outgained their last three American Athletic Conference opponents. This season, the Green Wave are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 PPG despite their losing record. They held South Florida to just 127 passing yards which is very encouraging when facing Riley Ferguson tonight. Tulane is tied for 28th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 190.6 passing YPG. Moving forward, the Green Wave has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. And in their last 6 games played on field turf, Tulane has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-22 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Friday Night Kick Off with the Tulane Green Wave (113) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (111) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (112). Florida State (2-4) saw their tough luck season continue last week with their 31-28 upset loss to Louisville last Saturday as 6-point favorites. After their opening 24-7 loss to Alabama when sophomore Deondre Francois suffered his season-ending knee injury, the Seminoles have lost three more games to NC State, Miami (FL) and then to the Cardinals with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson by a combined 13 points. Jimbo Fisher’s team has probably endured the most difficult schedule in the nation. Now with four losses on the season with challenging road games at Clemson and Florida still on the docket, the Seminoles do not have much more margin of error just to become bowl eligible. Expect a big effort from this team in this critical game. Florida State is 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Seminoles have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing four or five of their last six games. And while Florida State allowed 293 rushing yards to the Cardinals, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. One of the problems for this team is not having much luck in creating turnovers. The Seminoles have forced only one turnover in each of their last three games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after three straight games when they failed to force more than one turnover in their last game. Florida State is playing outstanding defense still as they are holding their opponents 130 net YPG below their season average for the season. Moving forward, the Seminoles are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. And in their last 5 Friday night games, the Seminoles have covered the point spread all 5 times.

Boston College (4-4) has won three of their last four games with their 41-10 upset win at Virginia last week as a 7-point underdog. The Eagles have scored two straight upset victories — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a victory by at least 20 points. BC did benefit from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. But now they return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games at home. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games as the underdog. And in their last 5 appearances for a Friday night game, Boston College has failed to cover the point spread in all 5 of these contests. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Game of the Month with the Florida State Seminoles (111) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (102) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (101). This play is the simple endorsement of John Harbaugh and Joe Flacco with their Super Bowl pedigrees over Adam Gase and Matt Moore. Baltimore (3-4) needs a win after losing two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 24-16 loss in Minnesota on Sunday. Injuries particularly on offense has decimated this team. But the Ravens have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after losing four or five of their last six games. The Baltimore offense struggled last week against an elite Vikings defense as they managed just 208 total yards. Somehow, I will put faith in Harbaugh to oversee a game plan that will help generate points. They rushed for only 64 yards last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Ravens ended up with only 144 passing yards in that game as well — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Additionally, Baltimore has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 33 home games with the Total set in the low range of 35.5 to 38 point range.

Miami (4-2) has won three games in a row with their 31-28 win over the Jets as a 3-point favorite. That was the best offensive performance of the season for this Dolphins team that still ranks last in the league by averaging 261.8 total YPG. Miami has then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Dolphins have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a home game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Additionally, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by 3 points or less. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, the Dolphins have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games. Matt Moore will be the QB tonight with Jay Cutler out with his rib injury. While Cutler has been a major disappointment, this Dolphins team lacks reliable passing weapons to help the QB so Moore is unlikely to jumpstart this offense. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Baltimore Ravens (102) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (106) plus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (105). South Alabama (3-4) has won two straight games with their 33-23 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. But this Jaguars team has been consistent regarding their inconsistency over the years. Not only has South Alabama failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after a straight-up win but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. The Jaguars surrendered 488 yards of offense to the Red Hawks in that game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 26 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. This team was reeling just a few weeks ago having lost four of their first five games while firing their offensive coordinator Bryant Vincent. An upset win over Troy back on October 11th is the highpoint of their season. But South Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games on the road. And in their last 24 games in Sun Belt Conference play, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of these contests.

Georgia State (3-3) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last week in a  34-10 loss as a 7.5-point underdog to that Troy team that was looking to take out their frustration from their upset loss to these Jaguars. The Panthers allowed 335 passing yards in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. And while that loss came on the heels of their 47-37 win at UL-Monroe, Georgia State has then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after allowing at least 31 points in two straight games. This Panthers’ team returned fifteen starters from a team that was a disappointing 3-9 last year — but while injuries ravaged that team, they actually outgained their Sun Belt opponents by +14.6 net YPG despite losing six of those eight games. They had some growing pains to begin the season under new head coach Shawn Elliott but they have much improved over the last month. This is an important game for this team that is just playing their third game at home this season. This is an opportunity to generate some excitement for their downtown Atlanta fan base in this midweek prime-time game in their new home at Turner Field that they took over with the Braves moving to the suburbs. Georgia State has two games on the road after this game so getting a win against a conference rival for their fan base is critical — and it would go a long way to helping them reach a bowl game. The Panthers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. GSU has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games in the month of October. Lastly, the Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games in conference play. 25* CFB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month with the Georgia State Panthers (106) plus the points versus the South Alabama Jaguars (105). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (477) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (478). The Eagles are the latest Golden Boys for BFL pundits are they upset Carolina for Thursday Night Football back on October 12th. We had Philadelphia in that game — but let’s go against them in this one. Washington (3-2) will be playing with revenge on their mind in this rematch of their 30-17 loss at home to the Eagles back on September 17th. The Skins have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge. They look to build off their 26-24 win over the 49ers last Sunday. Washington’s defense has been a pleasant surprise this season — and they held the 49ers to just 85 rushing yards in that game. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing 90 rushing yards in their last game. Washington is averaging 407.3 YPG on offense over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after averaging at least 400 YPG in their last three contests. Now the Skins go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games. Washington has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog in the 45.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, the Skins have covered the point spread 7 times.

Philadelphia (5-1) did pull off the upset last week in their 28-23 win at Carolina as a 3-point underdog. The Eagles won that game despite losing the first down battle by a 23 to 15 margin. Philly has scored at least 26 points in four straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games. Run defense has been a key to the Eagles this season as they have not allowed more than 80 rushing yards in four straight games. But not only has Philadelphia then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after not allowing 100 or more rushing yards in three straight games but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not allowing 100 or more rushing yards in four straight games.

25* NFC West Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (477) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (475) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (476). Atlanta (3-2) has the opportunity to kill two birds with one stone: bounce-back from a second-half collapse last week against the Bills while avenging their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots where they blew yet another second-half lead. The Falcons were cruising along with a 17-0 score at halftime before getting outscored by a 20-0 score in the second-half to lose by a 20-17 score the Dolphins despite being a 14-point favorite. Clearly this Atlanta offense is not as dynamic as it was last season — but they do get wide receiver Mohamed Sanu who plays a critical role for them by making it more painful for opponents to double-team Julio Jones. But the defense should be better with cornerback Desmond Truant healthy again while the team added free agent defensive tackle Dontaru Poe to a talented young group that should improve as the season goes on. Atlanta has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games on the road — and this includes covering the point spread in five of their last six games on the road with a team with a winning record at home. Additionally, Atlanta has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as the underdog.

New England (4-2) has not playing as good as football as expected after offseason talk speculated about them going undefeated during the regular season. Heh. The Patriots got away with one last week with their 24-17 win over the Jets where they rallied from an early two-touchdown deficit and were later beneficiaries of a crazy goal-line ruling where a Jets touchdown was instead called a fumble out-of-bounds that actually cost them their Red Zone possession. The Patriots defense continued to be a significant problem for this team as they allowed a woeful Jets’ offense to generate 408 yards of offense. New England has surrendered at least 408 yards in all six of their games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread after allowing at least 400 YPG in three straight games. And while Tom Brady has been doing everything to keep his team competitive — he completed 20 of 38 passes for 257 yards last week — the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Lastly, while it might seem dangerous to bet against New England when they are playing on their home field, they have already lost to the Chiefs and Panthers in Foxboro this season. 20* NFL Atlanta-New England NBC-TV Special with the Atlanta Falcons (475) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (457) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (458). Baltimore (3-3) has lost three of their last four games this season with their 27-24 overtime loss at home to the Bears last week as a 5.5-point underdog. The Ravens have suffered a rash of injuries this season but they have been gritty by winning two of their three games in decisive fashion away from home. Baltimore is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home under head coach John Harbaugh. They are likely to get their star defensive lineman Brandon Williams back for this game which will help. He will help a run defense that allowed 231 rushing yards last week to the Bears. The Ravens have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. But on the plus side for this Baltimore defense, they have held their last two opponents to just 137 and 111 passing yards respectively. The Ravens have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after not allowing at least 150 passing yards in two straight games.

Minnesota (4-2) stays at home after their big 23-10 upset win over Green Bay last week as a 3-point underdog. With the news that the Packers’ put Aaron Rodgers on Injured Reserve where he will stay until at least Week 15, the Vikings are feeling pretty, pretty good about themselves in the NFC North race. But this team has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Even worse, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after an upset victory as a home underdog. Furthermore, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games coming off an upset victory as a home underdog by double-digits. The outstanding Minnesota defense has not given up more than 17 points in four straight games. But this team has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after not allowing more than 17 points in four straight contests. Lastly, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of October. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Baltimore Ravens (457) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (461) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (462). Tampa Bay (2-3) has lost two straight games — and three of their last four games — with their 38-33 loss at Arizona last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The score is not indicative of just how awful the Buccaneers played in that upset loss. Expectations were very high for this team entering the season — but this team is in deep trouble to find themselves out of the playoff hunt in the very competitive NFC South. This is a desperate team much like the Raiders were on Thursday. Expect one of the best games of the season from this Tampa Bay team. The Bucs have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after suffering an upset loss as a road favorite. Tampa Bay has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a contest where at least 70 combined points were scored. It does look like Jameis Winston will make the start in this game after being knocked out of that game with the Cardinals. Even if he cannot go (or finish), backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is capable of winning games on the road. Besides, it will need to be a complete team effort to save this season on the brink for the Bucs. They are getting back linebacker Kwan Alexander for this game to help a defense that surrendered 432 yards last week. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Buffalo (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 20-16 loss at Cincinnati as a 3-point underdog. The Bills are playing inspired football behind first-year head coach Sean McDermott as they had won (and covered the point spread) in their previous two games in upset wins over Denver and Atlanta. But McDermott has inherited a franchise that has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 70 of their last 110 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Buffalo has also failed to the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 7 games after a point spread loss, the Bills have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. The team is only averaging 165 passing YPG behind QB Tyrod Taylor which puts plenty of onus on their ground game. But even with LeSean McCoy in the backfield, this team is averaging just 3.4 Yards-Per-Carry. Even with their winning record, Buffalo is being outgained by -51.2 net YPG. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, are being outgained by just -21.4 net YPG. Expect a very close game with Tampa Bay playing with determination given the desperate straits they are in. 25* NFL Underdog of the Month with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (461) plus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (462). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (401) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (402). Notre Dame (5-1) has won four straight games after their loss to Georgia back on September 9th after their 33-10 win at North Carolina two weeks ago as a 12-point favorite. But this Fighting Irish team has been consistently inconsistent in the Brian Kelly era as they typically suffer letdowns just as they start to build some momentum. Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Fighting Irish have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Additionally, while Notre Dame held the Tar Heels to just 265 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing at least 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Irish have failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 62 games after winning at least four of their last five games. And perhaps most telling under Kelly’s coaching in South Bend, Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Granted, the Irish did snap their “big game” losing streak earlier this year with a win on the road against Michigan State which was in prime-time — but more often than not this Notre Dame team eventually sees their head coach screaming bloody murder at them for not playing up to the standards that he brought to the program from Central Michigan. The Spartans were the second-best team they have faced this year to a solid but now wildly overrated Georgia team that handed them their first loss this season. There other wins over Temple, Miami (Ohio), a bad Tar Heels team and Boston College are just not huge resume builders with the tougher part of the schedule backloaded. Kelly’s mediocrity in South Bend has impacted the talent base with his recruiting classes dropping off. Furthermore, I think they are too imbalanced on offense by relying so much on their running game that is averaging over 300 YPG. Sophomore QB Brandon Wimbush will be back under center for this one after missing the North Carolina game. But he is not doing much with his arm as he is completing just 52.3% of his passes while averaging just 5.9 Yards-Per-Attempt. I have zero confidence in Wimbush’s ability move the ball with his arm if that is what is asked of him.

USC (6-1) showed grit and resolve last week by rallying from a 21-7 halftime deficit to a tough Utah team to pull out a 28-27 victory. QB Sam Darnold completed 27 of 50 passes for 358 yards and five touchdowns (no interceptions) to help his team overcome a -2 net turnover margin which included an 18-yard fumble recovery for a Utes touchdown for that big win. The loser of this game will be eliminated from National Championship Playoff discussions — and I want to be on Darnold’s side in that situation as the likely best player on the field. The Trojans are recruiting better than the Irish and will have the talent edge in this contest. Their ceiling regarding quality of play is higher as they showed in their convincing win over a Stanford team that also looked to control the line of scrimmage and run the football. The balance and productivity of what this USC can do on offense will make the difference. They generated 532 yards against the good Utah defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after gaining at least 475 yards in their last game. They averaged 6.41 Yards-Per-Play in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after averaging at least 5.25 YPP. And in their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 6 of those games. 25* CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year with the USC Trojans (401) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (402). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Penn State Nittany Lions (456) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (455). Penn State (6-0) has been licking their chops for this opportunity to avenge an embarrassing 49-10 loss at Michigan last September 24th. The Nittany Lions’ linebacking corps was ravaged with injuries in that game which goes far to explain that blowout. Penn State soon got healthy again at that position and preceded to outscore their opponents in the second half of the season by a whopping 326-130 point margin. Save for their 52-49 loss in the Rose Bowl to USC, the Nittany Lions have won all of their games since that bad loss to the Wolverines. Now at 6-0, Penn State finds themselves in the thick of the National Championship hunt — and they have the opportunity to offer a loud rebuttal to that loss last year to Michigan with ESPN Gameday camped out in Happy Valley for this game and a “White Out” being planned by their fans for this game to be the prime-time game on ABC-TV. The Nittany Lions have the benefit of a bye week after their 31-7 win at Northwestern two weeks ago. Penn State is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Nittany Lions defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the Wildcats to just 265 yards of offense in that game. Not only is Penn State 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game but they are also 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games at home — and that includes covering four straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Michigan (5-1) rebounded from their loss at home to Michigan State to survive a 27-20 win at Indiana in overtime last week. This Wolverines team managed just 329 yards of offense against the Hoosiers defense which begs the question as to how they will move the ball against this stout Nittany Lions unit. The Michigan offense was already challenged to begin the season after losing two wide receivers and a tight end that all went to the NFL. Offensive line has always been an issue for Jim Harbaugh since returning to his alma mater — and fourth-year junior QB Wilton Speight was struggling with an aerial attack before he suffered his shoulder injury at Purdue. Unfortunately for the Wolverines, senior QB and former Houston starting quarterback John O’Korn has not been the answer under center. Last week after a futile effort in the rain against the Spartans, he completed just 10 of 20 passes for a mere 58 yards. While O’Korn is not being helped by a young and inexperienced wide receiver group, he has not shown the ability to make reads off his first passing target — and that might be precisely the reason why he lost his starting job at Houston after being their full-time starter as a freshman. Working under Harbaugh was an opportunity to learn but no guarantee he could grasp these fundamental progression read concepts. The Wolverines are completely dependent on their ground game at this point which will allow the Nittany Lions’ defense to stuff the box. Michigan’s junior Karan Higdon did rush for 200 yards against the Hoosiers’ defense last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game (Michigan: 271 total rushing yards). The Wolverines are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of October. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, Michigan is just 1-4-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Penn State Nittany Lions (456) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (455). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (410) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (409). Arizona State (3-3) pulled a big upset last Saturday night with their 13-7 win over Washington as a 17.5-point underdog. Expect the Sun Devils to suffer a big letdown this week against a good Utah team. Arizona State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Sun Devils won that game despite lacking balance on offense as they ran the ball for only 40 yards. Arizona State has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards. They did hold the Huskies offense to only 139 passing yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards. Now this team goes back on the road where they do tend to struggle. The Sun Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games on the road — and they are just 17-38-2 ATS in their last 57 road gams against teams with a winning record on the road.

Utah (4-2) needs a win after losing two straight games after their 28-27 loss at USC last Saturday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Utes have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Utah is also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread win. And while the Utes’ defense allowed 532 yards against the Trojans, they are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They return home where they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Utah is scoring their guests by +18.7 PPG while outgaining them by +165.7 net YPG due to their defense that limits them to just 295.0 total YPG and only 18.3 PPG. 10* CFB Arizona State-Utah Fox Sports 1 Special with the Utah Utes (410) minus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (409). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (339) plus the points versus the Army Black Knights (340). Temple (3-4) looks to bounce-back from their 28-24 upset loss last week to UConn despite being a 10.5-point favorite. The Owls have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. Temple dominated this game as they outgained the Huskies by a 473 to 248 yardage margin. The Owls allowed a 34-yard interception return for a TD that helped tip the balance the other way. Temple has then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 29 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Now the Owls go back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record, Temple has covered the point spread in 7 of these contests. They will certainly be motivated to avenge a 28-13 upset loss to Army last September where they were laying two touchdowns. This team has 20 seniors and 24 juniors on the roster who will remember well that bad loss from last season.

Army (5-2) looks to build off their 28-27 win over Eastern Michigan last week. The Black Knights are just 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a straight-up win. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights stay at home for this contest — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-22-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Temple-Army CBS-Sports Special with the Temple Owls (339) plus the points versus the Army Black Knights (340). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Longhorns (392) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (391). Texas (3-3) hung tough with the Sooners last week in a 29-24 loss to Oklahoma as a 9-point underdog. Texas has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. This team seems to have found their answer at QB in freshman Sam Ehlinger who passed for 278 yards while adding another 206 yards on the ground. Overall, the Longhorns passed for 289 yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Head coach Tom Herman has proven himself a very dangerous coach when his team is an underdog. His teams have won straight-up five of the last seven games he has coached as the dog with the two losses being this year in close games against USC and then the Sooners. Texas is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Now the Longhorns return home where they are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games. And in their last 3 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points, Texas has covered all 3 contests. The Longhorns have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 home games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. Despite their 3-3 record, they are outscoring their opponents by +9.0 PPG while outgaining their opponents by +76.5 net YPG.

Oklahoma State (5-1) looks to build off their 59-16 win over Baylor last Saturday. The Cowboys held the Bear to just 168 passing yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. That game finished Over the 67.5 point Total — and Oklahoma State has then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after playing a game that has finished Over the Total. That game with Baylor was actually the Cowboys lowest scoring game over their last four contests — yet they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after playing at least three straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Behind QB Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State has the best statistical offense in the nation. He has passed for at least 342 yards in five straight games — but the Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after they passed for at least 325 passing yards in at least two straight games. And while their lowest offensive output this season has been 499 total yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread after failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 475 yards in at least three straight games. 10* CFB Oklahoma State-Texas ABC-TV Special with the Texas Longhorns (392) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (391). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (314) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (313). New Mexico (3-3) looks to bounce-back from an ugly 38-0 loss at Fresno State last week despite being a 2.5-point road favorite. The Lobos mist have been feeling themselves after two straight wins against Tulsa and Air Force as they failed to show up against the Bulldogs. Expect head coach Bob Davie to have had his teams’ full attention all week after that poor performance. New Mexico has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score at least 20 points. Furthermore, New Mexico has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a conference foe — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss to a Mountain West opponent. The Lobos’ pistol spread offense can be tricky for opponents to prepare for — they have covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games against teams with a winning record. This team is also outgaining their opponents by +35.1 net YPG. Back at home in Albuquerque, New Mexico scores 40.7 PPG while generating 473.3 YPG. They are outscoring their visitors by +12.0 PPG while outgaining them by +180.6 net YPG. Furthermore, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as an underdog.

Colorado State (5-2) was a bit listless last Saturday in their 44-42 win at home over Nevada despite being a big 25-point favorite. The Rams now face the challenge of playing this unique Lobos offense on a short week — and this is their fourth game on the road over their last five games. Colorado State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Friday night. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. They may have trouble getting up again for this New Mexico team that was shutout last week when considering that Colorado State defeated them last year by a 49-31 score. But the Rams do have an undersized front four which could make them vulnerable. After allowing 389 rushing yards in two straight road games against Alabama and Hawai’i, Colorado State has not allowed more than 63 rushing yards in their last two games. But the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not surrendering at least 100 rushing yards in two straight games. The Lobos have bowl aspirations once again this season — expect them to play one of their best games of their season after embarrassing themselves last week. 25* CFB Friday Night Game of the Month with the New Mexico Lobos (314) plus the points versus the Colorado State Rams (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (310) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (309). Middle Tennessee (3-4) looks to bounce-back from a disappointing 25-23 upset loss at UAB despite being a 4.5-point favorite. The Blue Raiders have rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread setback. This team suffered a big blow when their junior quarterback Brent Stockstill suffered a concussion against Minnesota and has not yet been cleared to play for the last few games. Redshirt sophomore John Urzua is completing 64.2% of his passes and averaging 6.9 Yards-Per-Attempt but he is throwing too many interceptions. Expect the team that beat the team (Syracuse) who beat Clemson to step up in this critical game for this football program (although, that logic can now be applied to UAB …). Despite their losing record, the Blue Raiders are outgaining their opponents by +19.8 net YPG. They will be motivated to avenge a 42-17 upset loss to what was otherwise a lost year for Marshall last season. Middle Tennessee is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Marshall (5-1) has won four straight games with their 35-3 blowout win over Old Dominion last Saturday as a 12.5-point favorite. But the Thundering Herd have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. Marshall was a likely candidate to bounce-back from their train wreck of a season last year where there was plenty of on and off the field problems that contributed to a 3-9 campaign. But this team has also benefited from a weak non-conference schedule that has featured two Mid-American Conference teams. The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. And in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Lastly, the Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games when laying less than 3 points. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (310) plus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (309). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (302) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (301). My initial thoughts entering Week Seven this week of the NFL season is that I would like the Chiefs playing on a short week coming off their loss to the Steelers (where we had a big play on Pittsburgh). But upon my deep dive into this situation, we want to be investing in this Oakland team (2-4) that will be playing with desperation in a season-defining game for them. Besides, it seems like most of the betting world is following the logic of taking Kansas City off a loss against a Raiders team who have lost four in a row — so let’s be Happy Contrarians with this game as there are still plenty of reasons to consider this Chiefs team overvalued (more on that below). The prospects of losing their fifth game this season and falling three games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West standings might be an insurmountable hole for Jack Del Rio’s team to overcome. And when considering that Oakland lost a key game to Kansas City last December 8th by a 21-13 score, this is a “circle the wagons” moment. The Raiders have lost four straight while failing to meet point spread expectations in four straight games after their 17-16 loss to the Chargers as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. Most observers expected Oakland to take a step or two back from their 12-4 campaign last year even if they were a better football team than last year’s group. But this has been a very unfortunate start for this team that had three of their first four games on the road just before Derek Carr suffered his back injury that kept him out of their home game with the Ravens. Carr returned last week but was limited in completing 21 of 30 passes but for just 171 yards. Then again, Oakland enjoyed the lead for most of that game before the Chargers nailed a field goal as time expired to steal that game. Expect this team to embrace the physical style of football preferred by Del Rio and win this game at the line of scrimmage while taking advantage of the additions they made in the offseason to combat this Chiefs team. That means plenty of Beast Mode by Marshawn Lynch and the tough Raiders offensive line. And expect immediate dividends to be paid from their acquisition of Navarro Bowman who was the leading tackler for the 49ers before they released him this week in a salary cap move with them still winless this season. Bowman is just what the doctor ordered for this team at middle linebacker. Except a strong effort from this team as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after playing a game against a divisional rival.

Kansas City (5-1) looks to bounce-back from their 19-13 loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday despite being a 3.5-point favorite in that game. There are concerns on both sides of the ball that comes out of that game. The Chiefs allowed 194 rushing yards to the Steelers and 439 total yards of offense for a unit that is really beginning to miss Eric Berry who suffered a season-ending injury to begin the year. KC has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards of offense — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after giving up at least 150 rushing yards. The Chiefs defense ranks 29th in the NFL by giving up 378.2 total YPG — and they rank 24th and 27 in run and pass defense respectively. Furthermore, KC managed only 28 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 30 rushing yards in their last game. Perhaps the injury to starting center Mitch Morse is beginning to negatively impact this offense — and the fact that running back Charcandrick West is going through the concussion protocol is not helping matters for this contest. Additionally, this Chiefs team has been very fortunate with turnovers as they have not committed even one since that opening night with in New England. KC has won the turnover battle in each of their last five games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning the turnover battle for at least five straight games. Lastly, Andy Reid’s Chiefs’ teams do not respond well after being dominated in their previous contest. Kansas City lost the first down battle by a 12 to 23 margin while only having the football for 23:21 of that game. The Chiefs have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a game where they did not have the football for at least 26 minutes and failed to gain at least thirteen first downs. 25* NFL AFC West Game of the Month with the Oakland Raiders (302) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (304) minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (303). Houston (4-2) looks to bounce-back from a devastating 45-17 loss at Tulsa last Saturday. The Cougars were a 13.5-point favorite in that game and entered the locker room at halftime with a 10-7 lead but then were crushed by a 38-7 score in the second-half to lose that game. Three Houston turnovers created 21 points for the Golden Hurricanes as they rode the momentum of those miscues to that blowout victory over the Cougars. Now Houston returns home with the opportunity to redeem themselves while also avenging a 48-44 upset loss to Memphis last November. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Houston has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a Thursday night. This remains a good team — with an elite future NFL talent at nose tackle in Ed Oliver — that returned fifteen starters from their 9-4 group under the leadership of first-year head coach Major Applewhite.

Memphis (5-1) survived an important American Athletic Conference clash with their 30-27 win over Navy last Saturday. But the Tigers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. This is a team that has lost only one time to Central Florida — but that was a 40-13 blowout loss on the road. Memphis is just 7-19-3 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Tigers have three net close wins decided by one scoring possession which helps obscure the fact that this team is only outgaining their opponents by +13.2 net YPG. Memphis is just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. 20* CFB Memphis-Houston ESPN Special with the Houston Cougars (304) minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (276) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (275). Tennessee (2-3) entered the season with very high expectations. This team flashed their potential earlier this season with a 21-point win on the road against Jacksonville before defeating one of the blue blood franchises of the NFC in the Seattle Seahawks. But an injury to QB Marcus Mariota slowed this team down and was a significant factor in their 16-10 loss at Miami last week. Veteran Matt Cassel lacks the mobility under center that this offense requires to hum as he completed 21 of 32 passes but for only 141 yards. The good news for the Titans is that Mariota is likely to be under center tonight having passed the hurdle of head coach Mike Mularkey that he will be mobile enough to have success tonight. Tennessee needs to secure a win tonight against a divisional rival to snap a two-game losing streak where they have scored only 14 and 10 points — but they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after scoring 14 points or less in their last two games. Furthermore, the Titans have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on Monday Night Football.

Indianapolis (2-3) has won two of their last three games with their 26-23 win in overtime over the 49ers last week as a 1-point favorite. The Colts have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. Indy has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. QB Jacoby Brissett played his best game as a professional by completing 22 of 34 passes for 314 yards — but the Colts are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But the Indy defense did give up 402 yards to the San Francisco offense — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last contest. 10* NFL Indianapolis-Tennessee ESPN Special with the Tennessee Titans (276) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (275). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (273) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (274). Hold your nose if you need to — I plan on it. But no one wants to bet on New York (0-5) tonight with bets pouring in on the rested Broncos. With the line now offering the Giants +13 in many places (and wait as long you can to bet this game — this thing might move to +14 before kickoff), the sound fundamental play is to take the underdog. I could take about their injuries (short answer: it is worse than you can imagine) but that would only be depressing. Lets put it this way: The Giants still have Eli Manning along with an above average defense. And they are playing desperate having not won a game yet this season. But this does make them the wounded animal that everyone has counted out for this game — and head coach Ben McAdoo is playing up that “us against the world” mentality. New York looks to bounce-back from a 27-22 loss to the Chargers last Sunday — and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up loss. The Giants are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. If there is a bright side for this team, it is their emerging running game after McAdoo made the decision to give up on Paul Perkins. New York generated 152 rushing yards last week behind rookie Wayne Gallman from Clemson who ran the ball 11 times for 47 yards along with Orleans Darkwa who added 69 rushing yards on eight carries. The Giants are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. And whole the New York defense has surrendered 382 and 434 yards in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 375 yards in two straight games.

Denver (3-1) returns to the field after their 16-10 win over Oakland back on October 1st. But the Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a victory — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Denver is just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after not allowing more than 15 points in their last game. 10* NFL Giants-Broncos NBC-TV Special with the New York Giants (273) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (272) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (271). Oakland (2-3) needs a victory after suffering an upset 30-17 loss at home to the Ravens last Sunday. The Raiders have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Oakland’s defense did allow 365 yards in that contest — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Look for head coach Jack Del Rio to have his team increase their physicality as they look to get back to basics. And don’t be surprised if this team that has not had an interception yet and has forced only four turnovers all season sees some bounces go their way when it comes to turnovers. The team also looks to get quarterback Derek Carr back on the field after he missed the Baltimore game with an ailing back. Carr should be in pretty good shape given the return rate of this injury combined with the short-term miracles of modern medicine. The Raiders have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home.

Los Angeles (1-4) enters this game coming off a 27-22 upset win in New York against the Giants. Look for the Chargers to suffer an emotional letdown this week after earning their first victory of the season. Los Angeles has lost 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have lost 3 straight games after a victory on the road. Additionally, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a game on the road. And while the Los Angeles offense gained 382 yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Chargers are an awful 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on grass. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC West foes, the Chargers are just 0-4-1 ATS. Lastly, in their last 14 games in expected close games listed in the +/- 3-point range, LA has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Oakland Raiders (272) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (271). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (270). Pittsburgh (3-2) was embarrassed last week at home in a 30-9 loss to the Jaguars despite being a 7.5-point favorite. In the post-game press conference, Ben Roethlisberger went so far to say that he wonders if he “Maybe I don’t have it anymore.” I suspect that was Big Ben being sheepish and perhaps making a subtle attack on his entire team. He has been outspoken about the culture in the locker room — and perhaps he is inching closer to retirement. But he is also a competitor — and I expect he to lead this team that had such high expectations to begin the season to go out and play their best game of the season against the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL in these Chiefs. As it is, the Steelers have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss. Big Ben did throw for 312 yards in that game — but he also threw a career high five interceptions. Expect Roethlisberger to take responsibility for those miscues by raising his level of play in this game to prove that he is not ready for the retirement home just yet. The Steelers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where they generated at least 350 yards of offense. They need to run the ball more after Le’Veon Bell rushed only 15 times for 47 yards. Bell has suffered a sow start as he seems to get into game shape after his contract holdout. But he looked in prime form two weeks ago when he ran the ball 35 times for 144 yards with two touchdowns against the Ravens tough defense. Moving forward, Pittsburgh has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 32 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Steelers are 22-8-2 ATS.

Kansas City (5-0) remained undefeated last Sunday with their 42-34 win in Houston. But the defense is showing signs of wear after giving up 392 yards in that game. I do expect the season-ending injury to the emotional leader of their defense, Eric Berry, to impact the effectiveness of that unit. The Chiefs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Chiefs averaged 6.25 Yards-Per-Play against the Texans which is actually the least efficient they have been on offense in their last four games. It has been a downward trend in YPP efficiency since they torched the Eagles’ defense at an 8.66 YPP clip in Week Two of the season. Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after average 6.0 YPP in for straight games. The Chiefs return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games with the Total set in then 42.5 to 49 point range. Lastly, this KC team will still have the memory in the back of their mind of their 18-16 loss at home to the Steelers in the playoffs last January 15th. While the revenge angle may be tempting to some, I look for that memory to inspire confidence in this Steelers team that needs a signature victory to re-establish their own momentum. 25* NFL AFC Underdog of the Month with the Pittsburgh Steelers (269) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (270). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (260) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (259). Minnesota (3-2) looks to build off their 20-17 victory over the Bears as a 3.5-point favorite for Monday Night Football. This is a fishy line with the Packers seeming to be locked-in at -3 to -3.5 still this morning despite a vast majority of the money going on their side. Taking the road favorite looks like a trap — especially when considering how effective head coach Mike Zimmer has been in the past in devising defensive schemes to slow down Aaron Rodgers in his career. The Vikings rushed for 159 yards against the Bears in their victory — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And the Vikings have been a very reliable team on their home field. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games on their home field which includes covering the point spread in nine of their last ten home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Green Bay (4-1) comes off their triumphant 35-31 win at Dallas last week as a 2.5-point underdog. Rodgers was spectacular in that game as he engineered a 15-point comeback that was capped by his winning last minute drive. It looks scary to bet against Rodgers in what is expected to be a close game — but, that is kind of the point. The public is all over the Packers on the road yet again this week. Green Bay was saved by a 21-yard interception return for a touchdown last week. And the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, the home team has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 13 games in this series — and the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games between these two teams. The Vikings offers us a solid fundamental play this afternoon. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Vikings (260) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (259). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (220) minus the points versus the San Jose State Spartans (219). Hawai’i (2-4) looks to bounce-back from a 35-21 upset loss at Nevada last week as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rainbow Warriors have bounced-back to win 4 of their last 6 games after an upset loss as a road favorite. Hawai’i has lost four straight games but they were the underdogs in those first three losses before suffering the disappointing loss to the Wolf Pack. Defense has been an issue to this team as they have allowed 610 and then 566 yards in their last two games. But the Warriors have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home to play just their third home game all season. After crushing Western Carolina by 23 points on September 2nd, Hawai’i then lost at home by 30 points to a good Colorado State team two weeks ago. The Rainbow Warriors have still covered the point spread in 22 of their last 37  home games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 62 point range. If Hawai’i was not motivated to stop their losing streak tonight, second-year head coach Nick Rolovich will remind this team of their 34-17 loss to the Spartans last year despite being a 3-point favorite.

San Jose State (1-6) has lost five straight games with their 27-10 loss to Fresno State last week. The Spartans are just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a loss. This team is struggling under rookie head coach Brent Brennan who has not been able to take advantage of the fifteen starters returning from last year’s 4-8 team. Brennan is a high-energy coach but his experience being the wide receivers coach with Oregon State over the last six seasons since working on the Spartans offensive staff from 2005 to 2010 has not produced success with this offense behind sophomore QB Josh Love. San Jose State is scoring only 9.7 PPG along with averaging 304.6 total YPG this season. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. They managed only 205 yards last week against the Bulldogs — and they have failed to cover he point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Now this team goes back not he road where they are scoring just 9.7 PPG with a .298.7 total YPG average. The Spartans have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games as an underdog. Lastly, in their last 7 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 5* CFB Bailout Game of the Month with the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (220) minus the points versus the San Jose State Spartans (219). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UCLA Bruins (177) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (178). Arizona (3-2) looks to build off their 45-42 upset win at Colorado last Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Wildcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after an upset victory. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory — so an emotional letdown is likely. The Wildcats return home where they have failed to cover the point spreading 5 of their last 7 games at home. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games as an underdog. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

UCLA (3-2) enter this game coming off a 27-23 victory over Colorado two weeks ago as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bruins have then covered the point spread in 3 of their 4 home games after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The favorite has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. And UCLA has covered the point spread in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with UCLA Bruins (177) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (178). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Minnesota Golden Gophers (210) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (209). Michigan State (4-1) comes off a huge win for their embattled program with their 14-10 upset win at Michigan as a 13-point underdog last Saturday night. The Spartans won that game in big rainstorm in the second-half of the season with the benefit of a +5 net turnover margin. Michigan State was outgained by a 300 to 252 net yardage gap in their victory which is not a good sign for them moving forward. The Spartans are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games after not generating 275 yards in their last game. It has been a gauntlet for this team with three straight games against Notre Dame, Iowa and then their arch rivals last week — so an emotional letdown is likely. Michigan State now stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Sparty has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games as a favorite.

Minnesota (3-2) looks to bounce-back from their 31-17 loss at Purdue last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Golden Gophers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Minnesota has also covered the points spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Gophers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The final score last week was not indicative of how close that game was as the Boilermakers returned an interception for a 76-yard touchdown when Minnesota was driving late in the game to tie things up. Moving forward, the Golden Gophers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and don’t be surprised if they pull the upset tonight. 20* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with Minnesota Golden Gophers (210) plus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (209). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (194) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (193). Memphis (4-1) looks to build off the momentum of their 70-31 win at UConn last Friday. The Tigers generated a whopping 711 yards of offense in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The team is getting great play from their QB Riley Ferguson who completed 34 of 48 passes for 431 yards and seven TD passes against the Huskies defense last week. Ferguson has a 16 to 5 touchdown to interception ration this season. Now Memphis returns home for the first time in three weeks where they have covered the point spread in 16 of the last 23 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team will be looking to avenge a 42-28 loss to the Midshipmen last October 22nd. The Tigers have struggled on defense after allowing 7.54 and 6.91 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 6.75 YPP in each of their last two games.

Navy (5-0) remained undefeated last week by winning their first Armed Services rivalry game of the season with their 48-45 victory over Air Force. That was a big win for a Midshipmen team that was swept by the Falcons as well as Army last season. This Navy team may be due for a letdown now in conference play as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rattling off at least five straight wins. The Midshipmen spread triple option has been clicking as they have gained 537, 511 and 622 yards in each of their last three games. But Navy has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in each of their last three games. Defense has also been an issue for the Midshipmen who have allowed their last three opponents to average 8.63, 5.98 and 6.36 Yards-Per-Play in each of their last three games. Navy has then failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in three straight games. The Midshipmen go on the road where they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Navy has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Game of the Month with the Memphis Tigers (194) minus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (193). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (208) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (207). LSU (4-2) looks to build off their 10-3 win at Florida last week as a 1.5-point favorite. Now the Tigers return home with the opportunity to play spoiler to an Auburn team that is getting plenty of national attention right now. They will certainly notice that they are the underdogs in this game. LSU is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. And in their last 7 games in the month of October, LSU has covered the point spread 6 times. The Tigers held the Gators to just 108 passing yards in their victory — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 170 passing yards. And while QB Danny Etling passed for only 125 yards himself against the Florida defense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to pass for more than 125 yards.

Auburn (5-1) enters this game coming off their 44-23 win over Ole Miss last week. The Tigers generated 561 yards of offense against the struggling Rebels defense — but they are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, Auburn allowed 346 passing yards in that contest — and they are then 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Auburn won the last meeting between these two teams in last season’s game on September 24th by an 18-13 score despite being a 3-point underdog. The home team has covered the point spread in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two SEC West foes so look for LSU to extract revenge this afternoon. 10* CFB Auburn-LSU CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (208) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (207). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (133) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (132). Virginia (4-1) enters this game coming off a 28-21 upset win at home over Duke as a 1-point underdog. The Cavaliers held the Blue Devils to just 255 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Virginia now goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 5 games against ACC opponents, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games.

North Carolina (1-5) looks to bounce-back from their 33-10 loss to Notre Dame last Saturday. The Tar Heels have rebounded to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a double-digit loss at home. North Carolina managed only 265 yards in that contest — but they are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last contest. And this Tar Heels team is 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. North Carolina stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 20* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the North Carolina Tar Heels (133) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (206) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (205). Tennessee (3-2) has had an extra week off to regroup, rest and prepare for this contest after they were humiliated back on September 30th at home by Georgia by a 41-0 margin as a 10-point home underdog. Head coach Butch Jones had better have used that time to do everything he can to salvage his season since updating his resume will not help him get a job if he can not turn things around this year in his 5th season in Knoxville. One good decision he has made was to bench junior QB Quinten Dormady for redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano. The younger QB has as strong an arm as Dormady but gives the offense more options to move the football with his better legs. Expect Jones to get more out of his offense after being shutout by the stout Bulldogs defense. The Volunteers managed only 142 total yards of offense (84 passing yards) against Georgia — but Tennessee has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to pass for at least 125 yards and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to generate at least 275 total yards in their last contest. The Vols should play one of their best games of the season after entering the year with high expectations with fourteen starters back from last year’s 9-4 team that won their bowl game against Nebraska by 13 points. Tennessee has only covered the point spread once in their last five games but they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss as well as covering the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 57 games after failing to score the point spread in two straight games. And if this team did not need even more motivation, they will be looking to avenge a 24-21 upset loss at South Carolina last year despite being a 15-point favorite.

South Carolina (4-2) is feeling pretty good about themselves after their 48-22 upset win over Arkansas last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. The Gamecocks were galvanized by three defensive touchdowns in that game via two interceptions and one fumble recovery from a charity driven Razorbacks team. That covered up the first down battle closing at a 19-19 draw while South Carolina only outgained Arkansas by 28 net yards. In fact, despite winning four of their six games this year, the Gamecocks are being outgained by -54.8 net YPG this season. Expect a big emotional letdown from this team now on the road where they are averaging just 294.7 total YPG in their three previous contests. South Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games off an upset victory as a home underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in an upset victory by at least two touchdowns. As it is, the Gamecocks are just 2-5-1 ATS after a point spread win. And while South Carolina has covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Gamecocks are 48-13 straight-up in their last sixty-one games on their home field — but this young team is not nearly as good when playing in hostile environments. This season, they are getting outgained by -146.3 net YPG when away from home. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Month on the Tennessee Volunteers (206) minus the points versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (205). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the California Golden Bears (112) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (111). California (3-3) has been ravaged with injuries this season — particularly on the offensive side of the ball where expected starters in running back Tre Watson as well as wide receivers Demetris Robertson and Melquise Stovall all have suffered season-ending injuries. This attrition eventually became too much for the Golden Bears last week in a 38-7 loss at Washington where they managed only 93 yards of offense. Some that performance should be credited to the Huskies defense which is superior to the Washington State defense despite what the numbers might say at this point of the season. But Cal simply cannot play worse on offense even with their extensive injuries on that side of the ball. An extra week of practice with their younger players being asked to take starting jobs will help this offense  — and so will returning home to play for the first time in three weeks. The Golden Bears have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after suffering two straight double-digit loss on the road. Cal has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Sophomore QB Ross Bowers completed 11 of 18 passes but totaled just 80 passing yards against Washington. First-year head coach Justin Wilcox has called for changes on offense — at the very least to reconfigure things for the talent still standing which might mean that backup junior QB Chase Forrest gets some snaps. Why not? The Bears have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Remember, this is a team that was tied with USC in the 4th quarter last month before three straight turnovers helped the Trojans walk away with a 10-point win. Cal has managed only 93 and 263 yards in each of their last two games since that contest with USC — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to generate at least 275 yards in two straight games. The Golden Bears return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games as the underdog. 

Washington State (6-0) remained one of the last of the unbeaten last week with their 33-10 win at Oregon last Saturday. But that was the first road game for the Cougars’ front loaded friendly schedule. And they were facing another injury-ravaged team that was playing a true freshman QB in Braxton Burmeister who was making his first career collegiate start. But this team looks due for a big letdown after playing USC and then at Oregon over the last two weeks. As it is, Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning at least six straight games. The Cougars have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. This team is living off forcing turnovers as they rank tied for 17th in the FBS by averaging a +1.0 net turnover margin this season based on the strength of forcing 15 turnovers so far this year. But while Washington State has forced at least two turnovers in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after forcing at least two turnovers in five straight games. Lastly, the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Friday night. 10* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the California Golden Bears (112) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (104) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (103). Carolina (4-1) looks due for a big letdown after scoring their second-straight upset victory with their 27-24 win in Detroit as a 2-point underdog. That win came on the heels of their upset win on the road in New England the week before. But the Panthers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up victory — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. Cam Newton has been outstanding over his last two games by completing 26 of 33 passes for 355 yards against the Lions. He is completing over 77% over his last two games — but that may mean the Complacent (and bad) Cam may be about to make a reappearance when playing on a short week. Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. And while they held the Lions to just 242 yards of offense, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after holding their last opponent to 250 or fewer yards. Carolina does not hold much of a home field advantage as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. And in their last 8 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread 6 times.

Philadelphia (4-1) is a consistent team from week-to-week that should be prepared to play well on a short week. They might have the best combination of offensive and defensive lines in the league. The Eagles also lead the NFL in Time of Possession. QB Carson Wentz is emerging into a star in this league while veteran running back LeGarrette Blount has averaged at least 7 Yards Per Touch over his last two games. And while the Panthers are converting on an incredible 50% of their 3rd downs, Philly actually tops that number with their 53.4% 3rd down conversion rate. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow NFC opponents. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with the Philadelphia Eagles (104) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (101) plus the points versus the Troy Trojans (102). Troy (4-1) returns to the field after their 24-21 upset win at LSU as a 20.5-point underdog two Saturdays ago. Now with this team a double-digit favorite against their in-state rival in the Battle of the Belts, expect an emotional letdown from the Trojans. As it is, Troy has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after an upset win. The Trojans have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. Despite returning 98.7% of their total yards from last year’s team that led the Sun Belt Conference in scoring, Troy is scoring only 24 PPG this year — and they have not scored more than 27 points this season against any of their FBS opponents which includes mediocre defenses from New Mexico State and Akron. The Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home. Troy has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 12 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points, the Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

South Alabama (1-4) is off to a slow start this season after a 34-16 loss at Louisiana Tech back on September 30th. As usual, head coach Joey Jones has embraced a difficult non-conference schedule in his ninth year with the program as the team opened the season with tough games against Ole Miss and Oklahoma State. This team returned eleven starters from last year’s group that upset both Mississippi State and San Diego State (for the second straight year) — so they will not be intimidated by this opportunity. Jones sacked his offensive coordinator after they lost their opening game in Sun Belt Conference to Idaho — this will be the second game where the offense is run by offensive line coach Richard Owens. The first move Owens made was to bench last year’s starting QB Dallas Davis for former Marshall recruit Cole Garvin. There should be some new wrinkles in this offense tonight with the extra time to prepare. South Alabama has played four straight games that finished Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after playing at least three straight Unders and they have covered their last 2 games after playing four straight Unders. Jones will be looking for his defense to play better after they allowed 479 yards to the Bulldogs — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Jaguars have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 road games as an underdog getting 14.5 to 21 points. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the underdog covered the point spread in 4 of these games with three of the last four meetings being decided by a touchdown or less. 10* South Alabama-Troy ESPN2 Special with South Alabama Jaguars (101) plus the points versus the Troy Trojans (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (476) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (475). Few bettors will want to back Chicago (1-3) tonight after their last game was an appearance on Thursday Night Football where they were humiliated in Green Bay by a 35-14 score as a 7.5-point underdog. A -4 net turnover margin did the Bears in that game — and the mistakes and instability exhibited by QB Mike Glennon under center prompted the organization to use the extra days off to give the nod to their rookie Mitch Trubisky to make his first start tonight. I don’t expect Trubisky to play like fellow rookie Deshaun Watson — but his presence on the field should excite his teammates to raise their level of play tonight. The fans in Soldier Field will certainly be fired up. Chicago has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on their home field. The fact is that this Bears team is not as bad as their record over the last two seasons suggests. They held the Packers to just 260 yards last week. While they were just 3-13 last year, they actually outgained their opponents by +9.7 YPG despite being riddled with injuries all season. This is a physical team on both sides of the football. They just need Trubisky to not make mistakes — and that is what did Glennon in. The Bears have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Chicago has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Bears have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. And in their last 7 appearances on Monday Night Football, Chicago has covered the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (2-2) looks to rebound from their 14-7 loss at Detroit last week despite being a -2.5-point favorite. The Vikings have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after an upset loss — and while that is a small sample-size, it does at the very least mitigate knee-jerk bounce-back expectations. Minnesota does look to get Sam Bradford back at QB but the offense took a big hit last week with the season ending ACL injury to rookie Delvin Cook. The Vikings have not been a great road team under head coach Mike Zimmer. Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games away from home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. The Vikings have also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 28 road games laying 3.5 to 7 points. Additionally, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC North opponents. And in their last 10 appearances on Monday Night Football, the Vikings have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. 10* NFL Minnesota-Chicago ESPN Special with the Chicago Bears (476) plus the points versus the Minnesota Vikings (475). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (474) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). Houston (2-2) is brimming with confidence right now after their 57-14 win over Tennessee last week. The Texans have an elite defense (#1 in Total Defense last season even with J.J. Watt missing most of the season) — but they now look like they have found their long awaited answer at quarterback with rookie Deshaun Watson under center. The former Clemson National Champion completed 25 of 34 passes for 283 yards with four TD passes and he added another 24 yards on the ground with another TD. Watson’s mobility will give the Chiefs problems tonight. Kansas City has already seen Carson Wentz rush for 55 yards and Kirk Cousins scramble for 38 key yards — and neither of them are as mobile as Watson. Overall, the Texans generated 445 yards of offense against the Titans last week — and they are then 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Houston is also 11-5-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Texans stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Kansas City (4-0) pulled out a 29-20 victory over Washington on Monday Night Football. With that miracle back door cover coming from the fumble recovery for a touchdown on the last play of the game, the Chiefs have now covered three straight games while laying the points. But that could signal a big emotional letdown for this team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread as the favorite in their previous three games. Kansas City has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing on a short week after an appearance on Monday Night Football. The offense has been dynamic with Alex Smith and company averaging 8.67 Yards-Per-Play in their opening game against the Patriots and following that up with 9.45, 6.76 and 6.31 YPP marks over their next three games. But the Chiefs have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in each of their last three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after averaging at least 6.0 YPP for four straight games. The Chiefs lost to the Texans last year by a  19-12 with Brock Osweiler under center for Houston. Brock Osweiler! 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Houston Texans (474) plus the point(s) versus the Kansas City Chiefs (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). Dallas (2-2) looks to bounce-back from a 35-30 upset loss at home to the Los Angeles Rams last Sunday. Don’t blame QB Dak Prescott for that loss as he completed 20 of 36 passes for 252 yards and three TD passes against the Rams defense. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Dallas also ran the ball for 189 yards behind Ezekiel Elliott who rushed for 85 yards on 21 carries. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after rushing for at least 175 yards in their last game. Elliott running the ball on first down should put Dallas in the position to win this game. In their two games against the Packers last season, Elliott ran the ball 32 times on first down where he accumulated 216 of the 285 rushing yards he generated against the Green Bay defense. Generating yardage on first down was the straw that stirred the drink for the Cowboys offense last season. They ran the ball 59.4% of the time on first down last year and averaged 5.1 Yards-Per-Carry on those plays which set up short yardage for second and third downs. This took plenty of pressure off Prescott and helped offensive coordinator Scott Linehan be more flexible with their play-calling since they were not in long yardage situations. Look for Dallas to get back to this winning formula against the Packers. It was a -2 net turnover margin that played a big role in their loss to the Rams last week. When the Cowboys get their offense going, they are tough to beat. Dallas had 440 total yards last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month of October.

Green Bay (3-1) enters this rematch of the NFC Divisional Playoffs last year off their 35-14 win over the Bears back on September 28th. The Packers dominated that game because of a +4 net turnover margin after the Bears lost two fumbles and threw two interceptions which helped them go to half time with a 21-7 lead. Those mistakes by Chicago covered up for a host of injuries that Green Bay was dealing with. The Packers’ offensive line situation remains muddled with both David Baktiari and Bryan Bulaga still questionable for this afternoon’s game which may mean that they will have to rely on the 5th and 6th tackles on their original depth chart to start this game. The team will also be without their starting running back Ty Montgomery. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning three of their last four games. And in their last 7 trips to Dallas, the Packers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of those games. Of course, Green Bay upset the Cowboys in that playoff game in AT&T Stadium last January by a 34-31 score in an instant classic — but look for Dallas to avenge that loss amidst criticism that they entered the season overrated. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the Dallas Cowboys (472) minus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (467) plus the point(s) versus the Los Angeles Rams (468). Los Angeles (3-1) returns home after upsetting the Cowboys in Dallas last Sunday by a 35-30 score as a 5-point underdog. The Cowboys generated 412 yards of offense in that game under the seemingly resurrected Jared Goff under center. But the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. But Los Angeles also allowed 440 yards of offense to the Cowboys in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This team is just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games against fellow NFC opponents — and that includes having failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against NFC West foes. This is not much of a home field advantage for the Rams right now with them still unfamiliar with their new field and not many LA residents taking to their new professional football teams. That is not a good sign for a team that is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home.

Seattle (2-2) got their offense going in the second-half for Sunday Night Football last week as they rallied from a 15-10 halftime deficit to crush the Colts by a 46-18 score. The Seahawks have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 30 points as their offense did on top of their defense dialing up two scores of their own from an interception and fumble recovery that both were returned to pay dirt. QB Russell Wilson was outstanding by completing 21 of 26 passes for 295 yards with 2 TD passes while adding another 38 yards and a TD on the ground. Seattle is 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. Lastly, while this team has lost three straight games and has a checkered history against the Rams’ franchise, those games were mostly under the defensive philosophies of Jeff Fisher. This Rams team now under Sean McVay already has a new identity. Cam Chancellor should have a big day shadowing Todd Gurley catching balls out of the backfield. Seattle will be playing with desperation as they cannot fall two games behind the Rams in the NFC West. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Seattle Seahawks (467) plus the point(s) versus the Los Angeles Rams (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (454) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (453). Buffalo (3-1) was the toast of the NFL last week after they traveled on the road to Atlanta and upset the reigning NFC Champions by a 23-17 score as an 8-point underdog. The Bills stole that game despite getting outgained by 108 net yards and losing the first down battle by a 25 to 15 margin. A +3 net turnover margin made the winning difference for Buffalo in that game. Look or the Bills to fall back to Earth in this contest. They stay on the road again for the second straight week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road gams against teams with a losing record at home. Buffalo has also failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games on the road where they are an underdog getting 3 points or less. The Bills are getting it done with defense as they have not allowed more than 17 points in their four games this season. But Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after allowing no more than 17 points in three straight games.

Cincinnati (1-3) seems to have righted their ship under new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor their offense was dominant in a 31-7 win at Cleveland last week. QB Andy Dalton completed 25 of 30 passes for 286 yards and four TD passes against the Browns defense as he thrived under a quicker tempo with simplified routes for the receivers. Since Lazor took over, Dalton is 46 of 57 with 6 TD passes and zero interceptions. Lazor is also rotating his offensive tackles which has led to more success in controlling the Time of Possession. The Bengals have averaged over 34 1/2 minutes on offense over the last two weeks. That has helped their defense play even better — but that side of the football was never the problem. Cincinnati is only allowing 16.8 PPG which is 3rd best in the NFL. The Bengals should build off their newfound momentum tonight. Cincy went to halftime with a 21-0 lead — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after holding a lead of at least three touchdowns. The Bengals have covered the point spread in their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after covering the point spread in two straight games. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 7 of these games. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Kickoff with the Cincinnati Bengals (454) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bills (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Arizona Cardinals plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles. Arizona (2-2) looks to build off their 18-15 win in overtime over the 49ers last week. Carson Palmer seems to be on track again this season as he has passed for over 1000 yards over his last three games. The Cardinals have not allowed any of their four opponents to rush for at least 100 yards this season — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 99 rushing yards in four straight games. Philadelphia (3-1) is dealing with injuries on their defense most notably Fletcher Cox. They allowed Eli Manning and Philip Rivers to pass for a combined 713 yards against their defense — and what those two QBs have in common is that their teams have yet to win a game this season. The Chargers gained 400 yards against the Eagles last week — and they are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Philly is being asked to lay too many points. Take Arizona plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports suffered their first losing in over a week with their 6-7 mark yesterday — but Frank still remains on a SENSATIONAL 65% WINNING STREAK over his last 140 plays in All-Sports (91-49)! Frank GETS BACK TO HIS WINNING WAYS TODAY — and it all starts in the NFL with the 1 PM ET slate of games! Frank begins the day on a RED HOT 29 of 41 (71%) NFL run which includes a 12 of 17 (71%) NFL Side mark — and while he only likes one play for the early slate of games, it is a situation that has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it! BANK on Frank!

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports suffered their first losing in over a week with their 6-7 mark yesterday — but Frank still remains on a SENSATIONAL 65% WINNING STREAK over his last 140 plays in All-Sports (91-49)! Frank GETS BACK TO HIS WINNING WAYS TODAY — and it all starts in the NFL with the 1 PM ET slate of games! Frank begins the day on a RED HOT 29 of 41 (71%) NFL run which includes a 12 of 17 (71%) NFL Side mark — and while he only likes Buffalo-Cincinnati play for the early slate of games, it is a situation that has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it!

Things heat up later today as the Green Bay-Dallas showdown for the second slate of games is Frank's 25* NFC Game of the Month. Frank's 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month goes tonight for KC-Houston. And MLB? OMG ... Frank is on a NEAR PERFECT 9 of 10 (90%) MLB run and he has THREE MORE WINNERS TODAY including his 25* MLB Divisional Playoffs Total of the Year! BANK on Frank!

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (404) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (403). Nebraska (3-2) looks to build off their 28-6 win at Illinois last Friday night. The Cornhuskers have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Nebraska has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. The Cornhuskers flexed their muscles on defense against the Illini by holding them to just 199 yards of offense. Nebraska has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Throw out the Cornhuskers’ season stats on defense as the light bulb turned on for that unit at halftime of their game at Oregon. In their last fourteen quarters of play, Nebraska is allowing only 7.8 PPG. This team will also be looking to avenge a 23-17 loss to Wisconsin in Madison last season. Frankly, this Cornhuskers team is probably better than that team while this Badgers team may have taken a step back despite them still being undefeated at this early point of the season. And Nebraska is very tough at home in night games where they have won their last twenty contests.

Wisconsin (4-0) looks to build off their 33-24 win over Northwestern last Saturday. The Badgers are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And while the Badgers allowed only 25 rushing yards to the Wildcats in that game, they are then just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after not allowing more than 100 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Wisconsin is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on field turf. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Badgers are just 0-4-1 ATS. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Nebraska Cornhuskers (404) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (403). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (378) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (377). Washington State (5-0) pulled off a big upset last Friday night on their home field when they defeated USC by a 30-27 score as a 4.5-point underdog. The Cougars now go on the road for the first time all season — and they looked primed for a big letdown when now facing to playing in a hostile environment for the first time since last November. Even more challenging, this will be a nationally televised game in a tough environment in Autzen Stadium — and at night to boot. As it is, Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a win by a field goal or less against a fellow Pac-12 opponent. And while the Cougars generated 462 yards of offense against the Trojans in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games. A +1.0 net turnover margin — ranking tied for 17th in the FBS — is helping this team remain unbeaten. But the bounces and the mistakes may start going against them now that they are not playing at home. And two of Washington State’s victories were by just a field goal — so this could be a 3-2 team if a break or two went the other way. Tellingly, the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.

Oregon (4-1) enters this game coming off a 45-24 win over Cal. The Ducks are underdogs in this game in large measure because of some early injuries in that game to some important players on offense. Most notably, sophomore QB Justin Herbert is out indefinitely with a collarbone. But note that Oregon covered the -17-point spread even after enduring these injuries against the Golden Bears. Their star senior running back Royce Freeman as well as senior QB Taylor Alie have been upgraded to probable for this game. Ali was capable under center last week by completing 9 of 13 passes for 41 yards while adding another 17 yards on the ground in protecting the team’s lead — but don’t be surprised if freshman Braxton Burmeister gets plenty of action under center. The QB was recruited by first-year head coach Willie Taggart to specifically fit his system and Taggart has described him as a “gym rat.” The Ducks had only 131 passing yards last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Oregon defeated Cal by outrushing them by a whopping 320 net yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after outrushing their last opponent by at least 200 yards in their last game. The Ducks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record. Oregon is also 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games in the October. Lastly, the Ducks have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games as an underdog getting 7 points or less. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Month with the Oregon Ducks (378) plus the points versus the Washington State Cougars (377). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (349 plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (350). Michigan State (3-1) lost always plays the Wolverines as they have covered the point spread in 9 straight encounters for the Paul Bunion Trophy. The Spartans enter this game coming off a 17-10 win over Iowa last week. Sparty flexed their muscles on defense in that game as they held the Hawkeyes to just 226 yards in that contest. That is a good sign for this rivalry game. Michigan State is 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Spartans are also 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games after not allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Michigan State is holding their opponents to an impressive -163 YPG below their season offensive average. Defense travels — and the Spartans are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Michigan (4-0) has had an extra week to prepare after their 28-10 win at Purdue as a 12-point favorite two Saturdays ago. The Wolverines have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a point spread win. This team has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. Now the Wolverines home to the Big House where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. And in their last 6 games in the month of October, Michigan has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 10* CFB Michigan State-Michigan ABC-TV Special with the Michigan State Spartans (349 plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (350). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (407) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (408). Kansas State (3-1) looks to build off their 33-20 win over Baylor last week as a 14.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a point spread loss. And while Kansas State allowed 291 passing yards in that win, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. The formula for success for head coach Bill Snyder’s team has been winning the rushing battle. The Wildcats have out-rushed their last three opponents by +141, +136 and +194 net yards over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after out-rushing their last three opponents by at least +125 net rushing YPG. Snyder always coaxes improvements from his team which explains why they are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games in the month of October. And in their last 30 road games as an underdog, Kansas State has covered the point spread 21 times.

Texas (2-2) enters this game coming off a 17-7 win on the road at Iowa State. The Longhorns have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a game where neither team scored more than 17 points. Texas held the Cyclones to just 256 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Longhorns have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Kansas State-Texas CBS-Sports Special with the Kansas State Wildcats (407) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (408). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Cougars (400) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (399). Houston (3-1) will be looking to avenge a 38-16 loss to SMU last October despite them being 23-point underdogs in that contest. The Cougars enter this game coming off a 20-13 win at Temple. Houston is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This team has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games coming off a win in the road. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Cougars have covered the point spread 4 times.

SMU (4-1) enters this game coming off a 49-28 win over UConn last week. But this Mustangs team risks suffering a big emotional letdown tonight as they play in just their second game away from home all season. SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning four of their last five games. The Mustangs have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a win by at least 21 points against a conference rival. And while SMU has covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. Furthermore, the Mustangs have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range — and this includes nine of their last twelve games with the Total set in the 56.5-63 range. 10* CFB SMU-Houston CBS-Sports Special with the Houston Cougars (400) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (399). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the LSU Tigers (395) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (396). LSU (3-2) has lost two of their last three games after their embarrassing 24-21 loss at home to Troy last week. Running back Derris Guice did not play in that game as he was dealing with a knee injury — but he has been upgraded to probable for this important conference play. Despite their two losses, the Tigers are still very much alive to win the SEC West if they win their rest of their games — including a date down the road with Alabama. So this will remains a motivated team. A -2 net turnover margin helped do LSU last week as that ruined their 65 net yard advantage. They did hold the Trojans to just 157 passing yards — and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. LSU has covered 6 straight games in the month of October. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 meetings with the Gators, LSU has covered the point spread 5 times. They should be very motivated to avenge an upset 16-10 loss to Florida as a 13.5-point favorite last season.

Florida (3-1) enters this game coming off a 38-24 win over Vanderbilt as a 9.5-point favorite. The Gators have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Florida rushed for 218 yards in this contest en route to their 467 total yards of offense — but that may spell trouble for them now. Not only have the Gators failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 450 yards in their last contest. Florida hosts this game in the Swamp — but they have not enjoyed a big home field advantage as of late as they are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on their home field. 10* CFB LSU-Florida CBS-TV Special with the LSU Tigers (395) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (396). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (418) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (417). Florida State (1-2) has National Championship aspirations but an opening loss to Alabama which included a season-ending injury to their sophomore quarterback Deondre Francois along with then some warranted Hurricane Irma distractions and then returning to host a tough NC State team (as Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson found out on Thursday) left this team 0-2. The Seminoles showed result last week by traveling to Winston-Salem to face a gritty and defensive-minded Wake Forest team that would have loved to have upset them too — but Florida State came away with a 26-19 victory as a 7-point favorite. Now this team has the opportunity to ruin their arch rival Miami’s perfect start to the season while keeping their possible ACC Championship Game hopes alive (just win out). Head coach Jimbo Fisher still has an elite defense that held the Crimson Tide to just 269 yards of offense. Nine starters returned from the unit that allowed only 18.5 PPG along with 293.2 total YPG over their last eight games last season. Freshman QB James Blackman was solid under center against the Demon Deacons as he completed 11 of 21 passes for 121 yards and TD pass (no interceptions). Remember that Fisher is the Young QB Whisperer and the team can lean on junior running back Jacques Patrick who rushed for 120 yards and a TD on 19 carries last week. Look for the Seminoles to play their best game of the season this afternoon. Florida State has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up victory — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Seminoles have also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a victory on the road where they did not cover point spread expectations. Florida State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They have covered there point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and that includes three straight winners in that situation when playing at home. And in their last 32 games in expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Seminoles have covered the point spread 23 times.

Miami (3-0) remained undefeated this season with their commanding 31-6 win at Duke two Fridays ago back on September 29th. That game was a bit closer than the final score suggested with the Hurricanes only winning the yardage battle by a 409 to 349 margin while losing the first down comparison by a 24 to 19 divide. That was the most difficult challenge so far on the Miami schedule — but them having to play on the road for a second straight week for head coach Mark Richt’s team. A weak strength of schedule always helps to raise expectations of this team with its storied past — but this team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of October. Their defense on paper looks very good — but they are coached by Manny Diaz who has earned the reputation of perhaps being too gimmicky in his many, many spots as a defensive coordinator. On offense, the team is clicking under redshirt junior Malik Rosier who had only one start under his belt entering the season. While the Hurricanes have averaged 8.0, 9.5 and 9.0 Yards-Per-Play in their three games this year, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in each of their last three games. This will be the best defense that Rosier has ever played against. Lastly, this Diaz-coached defense has been shaky already this season — they allowed 183 rushing yards to Duke while surrendering 344 yards to Toledo in the air. Unfortunate circumstances sees the Seminoles with two losses already this year — but this rivalry game can make some amends for them to this disappointing start. 25* CFB ACC Game of the Year with the Florida State Seminoles (418) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (417). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (335) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (336). Virginia (3-1) has had more than two weeks to relish in their 42-23 upset victory at Boise State back on September 22nd. We had the Cavaliers in that contest — but they looked primed for a letdown now. Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after an upset victory by at least two touchdowns as a road underdog. And while the Cavaliers held the Broncos to just 30 rushing yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in ACC play. And in their last 7 games at home, the Cavaliers have  failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

Duke (4-1) suffered their first loss of the season last Friday in a 31-6 loss at home to Miami (FL) as 5.5-point underdog. The Blue Devils have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, Duke has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Moving forward, the Blue Devils have only forced one turnover in each of their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 45 games after failing to force more than one turnover in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games as an underdog getting 3 points or less. And in their last 30 games in the month of October, Duke is 22-7-1 ATS. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Duke Blue Devils (335) plus the points versus the Virginia Cavaliers (336). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Vanderbilt Commodores (386) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (385). Georgia (5-0) remains undefeated after they buried Tennessee in Knoxville last week by a 41-0 score. Coming on the heels of their 31-3 win at home over a Mississippi State team that had just upset LSU, the Bulldogs are feeling very good about themselves with renewed National Championship aspirations after defeating two of the better teams of the SEC by a combined 71-3 score. Call Hershel Walker — but, in the meantime, expect this team to suffer a big emotional letdown on the road against the book worms over at Vandy. As it is, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a road win by at least four touchdowns. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after a double-digit win on the road. And with their 28-point win over Samford being their preceding game before they ventured into conference play, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after registering three straight wins by at least 17 points. With sophomore QB Jacob Eason now healthy again, there are the seeds of a QB controversy with him on the bench — for now — with freshman Jake Fromm now under center. As it is, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Georgia defense held the Volunteers to just 142 yards of offense (while benefiting from a +3 net turnover margin) — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 8 games in October, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread 6 times.

Vanderbilt (3-2) had the best statistical defense in the country two weeks ago — but encounters with Alabama and at Florida last week have left those claims to waste. The Commodores look to snap their two-game losing streak after their 38-24 loss at Florida against the Gators last week as a 9.5-point underdog. Vanderbilt has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games after a point spread loss. The Commodores have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a road loss against an SEC opponent. This remains a respectable football team for head coach Derek Mason that returned sixteen starters from last year’s 6-7 team that lost in the Independence Bowl. This veteran group began the season with 20 of their projected 22 starters being juniors or older — so this is a mature group. While Vanderbilt has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight contests. And in their last 8 home games as the underdog, the Commodores have covered the point spread in 6 of these games. 10* CFB Georgia-Vanderbilt ESPN Special with the Vanderbilt Commodores (386) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (385). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EDT on Saturday, we will be playing the Northwestern Wildcats (332) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (331). Penn State (5-0) may have a difficult time not looking ahead to the gauntlet of their schedule starting next week where they look to avenge an ugly loss to Michigan before then engaging in a showdown with Ohio State with both those games likely determining the winner of the Big Ten East Division. The Nittany Lions enter this game coming off a 45-14 blowout win over Indiana last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 45 games after a win by at least four touchdowns. And while Penn State has covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after covering the point spread in at least three of their last four games. There are some warning signs for this team as they managed just 320 yards of offense last week with Heisman Trophy hopeful Saquon Barkley running the ball only 20 times for 56 yards. Head coach James Franklin has been running Barley ragged so don’t be surprised if they rest that dude in preparation for these next two weeks. Penn State rushed for just 39 yards against the Hoosiers — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for at least 75 yards in their last game. And in their last 9 games on the road, the Nittany Lions has failed to cover the point spread 6 times — and they have failed to cover the point spread in three of their last four road games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range.

Northwestern (2-2) looks to bounce-back from a 33-24 loss at Wisconsin last week as a 16.5-point underdog. The Wildcats won the first down battle by a 20-13 margin in this game but a 36-yard interception return for a touchdown helped the Badgers pull away on their home field. Northwestern has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. The Wildcats did gain only 244 yards of offense in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Northwestern returned sixteen starts from last year’s team that finished 7-6 including 5-4 in conference play. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Big Ten foes. They also have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of October. And in their last 9 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range, Northwestern has covered the point spread 7 times. Lastly, the Wildcats are dangerous dogs that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games. 10* CFB Penn State-Northwestern ABC-TV Special with the Northwestern Wildcats (332) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (361) plus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (362). Tulsa (1-4) looks to salvage their season on Saturday having dropped three straight games after a 31-21 loss at home to Navy as an 8.5-point underdog. The Golden Hurricanes have endured a difficult schedule to begin their 2017 campaign — opening with Oklahoma State while also playing two other bowl teams in New Mexico and the Midshipmen last week. The defensive numbers for this team are a nightmare right now — but they have not padded their schedule with cupcakes. This is the third straight week that Tulsa will be playing against a spread triple option ground game so they have faced this style of defense as much as one of the armed forces schools as this point. Regression was expected for this team in head coach Philip Montgomery’s third year after returning thirteen starters from their triumphant 10-3 team last year. They lost their QB Dane Evans from that team — but sophomore Chad President has been solid run the Baylor-style offense that Montgomery earned his reputation as the “Quarterback Whisperer.” President completed 12 of 18 passes for 115 yards and a TD pass last week while adding another 151 rushing yards with a TD on the ground. Look for the Golden Hurricanes to play very hard in this make-or-break game for their bowl aspirations. Tulsa has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread loss. They did rush for 229 yards last week against Navy — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Golden Hurricanes have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against conference opponents under Montgomery. And in their last 16 games on the road, Tulsa has covered the point spread 13 times.

Tulane (2-2) enters this game coming off a 21-17 win over Army two Saturdays ago. The Green Wave benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that contest that held them overcome being outgained by 15 yards while losing the first down battle by seven first downs. Tulane has been one of the most fortunate teams in the nation by averaging a +1.25 net turnover margin per game which is 14th best in the nation. The Green Wave surrendered 371 rushing yards in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Tulane has faced an interesting schedule so far this season as they have faced two triple option teams in Army and Navy as well as Grambling while also facing the spread passing attack of Oklahoma that resembles the Montgomery offense at Tulsa. The Sooners tore the Green Wave secondary for 434 passing yards and while I do not expect the Golden Hurricanes to replicate that number, I do look for President to have a good passing game. Tulane has covered the point spread in two of their last three games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last eight games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Month with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (361) plus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (362). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Connecticut Huskies (308) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (307). Memphis (3-1) saw their three-game winning streak shattered on Saturday by Central Florida in a 40-13 loss on the road. It will be difficult for this team to bounce-back to win this game by more than two touchdowns on a shortened week while staying on the road for a second straight trip. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Memphis has also lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road. Furthermore, this Tigers team is an ugly 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on grass. Defense has been an issue for this team after they surrendered 350 rushing yards to the Knights en route to their whopping 603 yards they allowed in that 27-point loss last week. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last contest. And while Memphis has still won three of their last four games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 games after winning three of their last four games.

UConn (1-3) has lost three straight contests with their 49-28 loss at SMU last week. But this Huskies team is a bit better than they appear at first glance — that game with the Mustangs was tied at 28 in the 4th quarter and they almost took their previous game with East Carolina to overtime. UConn has allowed 27 and 21 points in the first-half of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in after allowing at least 17 points in the first-half in two straight games. This team has gotten no luck from turnovers so far this season as they have forced only two turnovers over four games this season (and none since Week Two). This Huskies team is due to see their opponents make some mistakes — and have the ball bounce then their way. Not only has UConn covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not forcing a turnover in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to force more than one turnover in four straight games. 10* CFB Memphis-UConn ESPN Special with the Connecticut Huskies (308) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (307). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (303) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304). New England (2-2) suffered an embarrassing 33-30 loss to the Panthers on Sunday as a 9-point favorite. The team has quickly gone from being discussed in some circles as going a perfect 19-0 to now be being burdened by a “historically bad” defenses. With the Patriots now laying more than 4 points on the road against a Buccaneers team that has won six straight games at home, the oddsmakers are practically begging bettors to take the home dog. Don’t take the bait. New England is a decisive 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after a point spread loss. And while their withering defense allowed 444 yards last week, the Patriots have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. New England has also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Look for the Patriots to run the ball more this week to keep their defense off the field to help them fresher. New England ran the ball only 19 times against Carolina for 80 yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Things are fine on the offensive side of the football overall — and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. The Patriots have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. And in their last 59 games in the month of October, New England is 40-16-3 ATS — and that includes covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games in Week 5 just after the 1/4 mark of the season.

Tampa Bay (2-1) looks to build off their 25-23 win over the Giants last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Buccaneers do get running back Doug Martin back for this game after he finished serving his four-game suspension. But while Tampa Bay has won six of their last eight games with Martin on the field, he is averaging just 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry in those games while scoring only three touchdowns over that stretch — so his impact on this offense may be exaggerated at this point. The Bucs are just 22-45-1 ATS in their last 68 games at home — and while this team has made a point to seize a home field advantage to generate more enthusiasm from their fans, they have still failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, Tampa Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games for Thursday Night Football. 20* NFL New England-Tampa Bay CBS-TV Special with the New England Patriots (303) minus the points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EDT on Thursday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (305). Louisville (4-1) remains on paper one of the best teams in the nation by Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson. The junior was sensational in his last game against Murray State as he completed 18 of 26 passes for 249 yards and three TDs while adding another 100 yards and a TD on the ground en route to a 55-10 blowout victory. But that is the deal with this Cardinals team: they overwhelm inferior teams but fall short against good teams. This team got exposed late last season by dropping their last three contests to Houston, Kentucky and then LSU in the Citrus Bowl. The issue was on their offensive line as that unit was dominant in all three of those games. The Cardinals managed to score just 19.0 PPG over those last three contests after putting up an average of 49.6 PPG in their first eleven games. Too many penalties and too many missed assignments were the main culprits that epitomized this poor play. By the end of the season, Louisville had also allowed 47 sacks and 83 tackles-for-loss which were both 3rd worst in the nation. Head coach Bobby Petrino responded in the offseason by hiring Mike Summers as co-offensive coordinator as well as the offensive line coach to help rebuild a line that only returned both starting tackles. Their biggest test of their offensive line was against Clemson three weeks ago and Jackson was sacked five times in a 47-27 loss where they were outgained by -180 net yards. Now this team faces an outstanding from seven with this Wolfpack team led by defensive end Bradley Chubb that bypassed the NFL last season to return for his senior year. Chubb has 22 tackles for loss last season and already has another 12 tackles for loss this season. NC State returned eight senior starters from the group that 8th in the nation in run defense by holding opponents to 2.7 Yards-Per-Carry last season — more on this team that has already upset Florida State this season. But this is precisely the type of team that has given Jackson and this Cardinals team fits to hand them four losses over their last eight games. While Louisville has feasted on Kent State and the Racers last week representing an FCS school, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in the month of October.

North Carolina State (4-1) has won four straight games with their 33-25 win over Syracuse last Saturday as a 14-point favorite. Besides this elite defense that led them to victory in Tallahassee against Florida State, the Wolfpack also have an underrated QB in junior Ryan Findley who is completing 72.1% of his passes this season. Perhaps more importantly, Findley has not thrown an interception in 192 passes this year. NC State has not committed a single turnover in their four-game winning streak — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not committing a turnover in their last game. The Wolfpack rushed for 256 yards against the Orange last week which helped them control the clock for 36:29 minutes in that game. Not only is that a formula to keep Jackson off the field but NC State has then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The Wolfpack have played two straight Unders — and they have then covered the point spread in 30 of their last 34 games after playing at least two straight Unders. And in their last 5 Thursday night games, NC State has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. Lastly, the seventeen returning starters on this team will be very motivated to avenge an embarrassing 54-13 loss to the Cardinals last season. That was the week after this team suffered a heartbreaking overtime loss to a Clemson team that went on to win the National Championship so this team will not be lacking confidence. They just need focus — and that should not be an issue for them for this prime-time nationally televised contest. 25* CFB Thursday Night Game of the Month with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (306) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (305). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Arkansas State (1-2) begins their Sun Belt Conference season looking to bounce-back from their 44-21 loss at SMU two Saturdays ago on September 23rd. The Red Wolves have rebounded to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Arkansas State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a bye week. The Red Wolves did surrender 580 yards in that game to the Mustangs — but they have then covered the point spread in 38 of their last 56 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Don’t worry too much about the losing start to the season for Arkansas State as they once again embraced a challenging non-conference campaign that started with a narrow 7-point loss at Nebraska in the opening week of the season. Last year, the Red Wolves started 0-4 but then won eight of their last nine games to tie for first place in the Sun Belt before going on to win the Cure Bowl in a 31-13 victory over Central Florida. This is situation normal for head coach Blake Anderson in his fourth year with the program. Arkansas State is 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 games in conference play. And in their last 6 games in Sun Belt play, they have covered the point spread in 5 times.

Georgia Southern (0-3) has also struggled in non-conference play after a 52-17 loss at Indiana back on September 23rd as a 21.5-point underdog. But this looks like a football program taking a step or two back under second-year head coach Tyson Summer after he took a senior-laden team last year but only managed to oversee five victories. This Eagles’ team has shown little ability to bounce-back after bad losses. Not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. And in their last 13 games after a loss by at least 20 points, Georgia Southern is just 2-10-1 ATS. This team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. And in their last 4 games in the month of October last year under Summers, they failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. 10* CFB Arkansas State-Georgia Southern ESPN2 Special with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (301) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

NOTE to subscription clients: I am upgrading Washington from a 10* to 20* play upon final analysis. In terms of money management, I advise that 20* rated plays warrant your typical investment (versus 10* plays that warrant 50% of your normal investment or 25* plays where I recommend a 25* increase in your normal investment). Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (279) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (280). Kansas City (3-0) is the toast of the league right now being one of two teams that is undefeated after beginning the season on that Thursday night where they crushed the Patriots in Foxboro. The Chiefs enter this game coming off a 34-17 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers. Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Now the Chiefs return home to Arrowhead with the reputation that is a very difficult place to play for the visitors — but Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home. Quarterback Alex Smith completed 16 of 21 passes last week against the Chargers for just 155 yards — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game.

Washington (2-1) enters this game with momentum and confidence after their 27-10 upset win over Oakland last Sunday night. Kirk Cousins completed 25 of 30 passes for 365 yards and three TD passes while leading an offense that generated 372 yards of offense. The Skins have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. But was even more impressive was the play of the Washington defense that held the Raiders to just 128 yards of offense. The Skins have allowed only 7 points in the first quarter all season which is a testament to the great planning of this team by defensive coordinator Greg Manusky. The lack of a vertical passing attack of the Chiefs’ given the arm strength of Smith should help Manusky scheme against the KC offense. The Raiders rushed for just 32 yards in that game — and Washington has then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Skins have been capable road warriors that have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games away from home — and that includes covering the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Washington has covered point spread expectations in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of October, the Skins have covered 4 of these games. 20* NFL Monday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (279) plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (280). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (278) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (277). Seattle (1-2) looks to bounce-back from a disappointing 33-27 loss at Tennessee last week. The Seahawks won the first-down battle by a 24-21 margin in that game while also outgaining the Titans by 13 net yards despite losing on the scoreboard. This team should bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss. I don’t usually like to lay double-digits in the NFL — but I do like cashing winning tickets. Seattle usually saves their best efforts for prime-time games in front of their rowdy home fans. Under head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 44-13 at home in prime-time games — and this includes a 12-2 mark against the AFC. Of course, we need a relative blowout to cover the point spread — but take heart that Seattle has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The encouraging aspect for the Seahawks last week was their play on the offensive line improved (as Carroll has expected). QB Russell Wilson played one of his best games as a pro after completing 29 of 49 passes for 373 yards with four TD passes while adding another 26 yards on the ground. When Seattle gets their passing attack going, they are very tough to beat as they are 22-6-2 ATS in their last thirty games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The Seahawks’ defense should be feisty as well after seeing the Titans rush for 195 yards against them — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game.

Indianapolis (1-2) earned their first win of the season last week with their 31-28 upset win over Cleveland. But this Colts team is going nowhere without Andrew Luck at quarterback which does not bode well for them when considering that they typically suffering huge letdowns in situations like this. Indianapolis has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games after an upset victory at home. The Colts have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread win. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game, Indy has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. 20* NFL Colts-Seahawks NBC-TV Special with the Seattle Seahawks (278) minus the points versus the Indianapolis Colts (277). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (259) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (260). Tennessee (2-1) earned a nice win at home last week in their 33-27 win over Seattle as a 2.5-point favorite. But rather than this being a dominant  victory, the Titans were fortunate that the bevy of Seahawks mistakes overwhelmed their 24-21 advantage in first downs as well as being outgained by 13 net yards after surrendering 433 yards to what had been a stagnant Seattle offense. Tennessee is then 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after a straight-up win. The Titans are considered quite fondly right now in many circles despite not playing in the playoffs in recent history — or even winning a game that has playoff implications. Remember that last year, their playoff hopes were dashed in Week 16 of the regular season when they were crushed by the lowly Jaguars in Jacksonville. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Titans now face the (relative) blue bloods of the AFC South in the Houston Texans — and they have lost seven of their last nine meetings with the Texans. Furthermore, Tennessee is 4-21-3 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, keep in mind that teams that come off a game with the physical Seahawks over the years tend to suffer big letdowns.

Houston (1-2) is a proud organization with an underrated head coach that gets the most out of their talent. Bill O’Brien knows that his team needs to win their home games against divisional rivals — so there will be a sense of urgency for them knowing that losing this contest will put them in grave danger already of winning the AFC South. The Texans are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against rival AFC South foes. It does appear the team has the answer at quarterback in rookie Deshawn Watson who completed 22 of 33 passes for 301 yards and two TD passes while adding another 41 yards on the ground in their narrow 36-33 loss in New England last week. Overall, the Texans outgained the Patriots in their building by a 417 to 396 margin which is quite an accomplishment. Houston is then an impressive 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. This team becomes quite dangerous if their offense can begin to come close matching their elite defense that was tops in the NFL last year in yards allowed even without the services of the injured J.J. Watt. The linebacker has not put up gaudy stats just yet but O’Brien claims that his presence on field has been impactful on every single play this season. This will be Watson’s first start at home after playing well in his first two starts in hostile environments — and the Texans have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Month with the Houston Texans (259) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 AM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (252) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (251). New Orleans (1-2) got off the mat from an 0-2 start by traveling to Carolina to shock the Panthers by a 34-13 score as a 5.5-point underdog. But the Saints may be primed for an emotional letdown after their victory over a divisional rival. The disruption of the travel to London may exacerbate a lack of focus that the Ravens’ experienced last week. As it is, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a win by at least two touchdowns. The defense stepped up out of nowhere to hold the Carolina offense to use 288 yards of offense in that game. But after allowing 1025 total yards of offense in their first two games, their performance last week may speak more to the sad state of the Panthers’ offense with rumors that quarterback Cam Newton has deteriorated physically. The Saints have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points. And in their last 13 games as the favorite, New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games.

Miami (1-1) looked awful last week in their 20-6 loss in New York against the Jets despite being a 5.5-point favorite. In hindsight, it appears that the toll that all the travel that has impacted this team given Hurricane Irma finally drained this team. But remember that this team played well in their opening game that resulted in a 19-17 win in Los Angeles against the Chargers the previous week. While this team has received no favors now by having to travel to London after all this, these games across the proverbial pond can be transformative for some teams. As it is, the Dolphins have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after suffering a double-digit upset loss on the road as the favorite. Head coach Adam Gace labeled his team’s play as “garbage” — so expect him to have lit a fire under his group. I do think this team is likely to improve on offense with Jay Cutler under center given his strong arm and experience working with Gace in both their tours of duty in Chicago. Miami has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when played on grass — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral field. Look for the Dolphins to get their running game cranking as they ran the ball only 15 times for 30 yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Miami has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against NFC opponents. 25* NFL London Calling Game of the Year on the Miami Dolphins (252) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (251). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (194) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (193). Virginia Tech (4-0) enters this huge game on their home field for this nationally televised game with the lights on coming off a 38-0 win over Old Dominion as a 28.5-point favorite last week. The Hokies have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. This team will be seeing a dramatic uptick in the level of their competition after their strongest opponent in their first four games was West Virginia in their opening game. But twelve starters return from the team that lost by just a 42-35 margin in the ACC Championship Game to this Clemson team that went on to win a National Championship. This game now is in Blacksburg where the Hokies are very tough. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The team has a new quarterback from last year in redshirt freshman Josh Jackson who has been quite a good fit in head coach Justin Fuente’s system. Jackson is completing 65% of his passes with an outstanding 11:1 touchdown to interception ratio. He is leading an offense that is scoring 40 PPG along with averaging 507 YPG. The Hokies generated 582 yards of offense last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game.

Clemson (4-0) has faced two difficult tasks already this year with their 14-6 win at home versus Auburn followed up with a trip to Louisville where they crushed the Cardinals by a 47-21 score. I was tempted to take the home underdog in that game against the reigning National Champions but ultimately chose to pass with my concerns that the offensive line issues for that team had been exposed which would undermine Lamar Jackson’s ability to succeed. Given that result, it has now been tempting to pass on this game with the Tigers’ ferocious defense facing a rookie QB. But the line movement makes this game enticing with the Hokies getting close to a touchdown at this point. Virginia Tech also has the confidence that they can compete with these Tigers from last year’s close ACC Championship Game played on a neutral field. Defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s defense is outstanding and should keep his team in the game.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (154) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (153). Tulsa (1-3) looks to rebound from their 16-13 upset loss at home to New Mexico last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. The Golden Hurricanes have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread setback. Tulsa will retain a huge situational advantage this afternoon hosting the Midshipmen since they faced a similar offense last week with the Lobos. In fact, the Golden Hurricanes also face the spread triple option offense next week when they play Tulane — so this defense may be in the middle of the deepest dive into attacking this offense that any defense has seen in years given how few teams actually deploy this scheme. The Golden Hurricanes are tough home dogs as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Tulsa has also covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Golden Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games as an underdog.

Navy (3-0) remained undefeated last week with their 42-32 win over Cincinnati as an 8.5-point favorite. The Midshipmen have then foaled to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while Navy allowed just 58 rushing yards last week, they are then just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards. Interestingly, the Midshipmen opened as a 3-point favorite but have been bet up to -8 or so favorites as of now — offering us great value with this home underdog. Lastly, Navy has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 54-16-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (154) plus the points versus the Navy Midshipmen (153). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Maryland Terrapins (141) plus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (142). Minnesota (3-0) begins their Big Ten Conference schedule coming off a 34-3 win over Middle Tennessee State two weeks ago as a 13.5-point favorite. But the Golden Gophers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 6 games after a point spread win, Minnesota is just 1-4-1 ATS. The Gophers rushed for 221 yards in that game — but they are then just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Minnesota has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home.

Maryland (2-1) will be looking to rebound from a humiliating 38-10 upset loss at home to Central Florida last week as 4-point favorites. Head coach D.J. Durkin will certainly have his team ready to go for their Big Ten opener after that rough performance from a non-Power Five Conference school. The Terrapins have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a double-digit loss at home. This team has been ravaged with injuries at quarterback with both Tyrrell Pigrome and now Kasim Hill out the season. But there simply is not much of a decline at the position in sophomore Max Bortenschlager who is not under center. Bortenschlager was one of Durkin’s highly recruited players when he took the Maryland job two years ago. Bortenschlager got his feet wet last week by completing 15 of 26 passes for 132 yards and a touchdown — but he also tossed two interceptions which is an issue that Durkin and the coaching staff addressed. The Terrapins managed only 197 yards of offense last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. If Maryland was not already motivated enough this afternoon, they will be looking to avenge a 31-10 loss to the Gophers last season despite being a 3-point favorite. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Kickoff with the Maryland Terrapins (141) plus the points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (172) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (171). Arkansas (1-2) will be looking to take out their frustrations on a lowly non-Power Five Conference opponent this afternoon after they blew their game last week with Texas A&M in what resulted in a 50-43 loss in overtime to the Aggies. This was a frustrating game to watch — so imagine how head coach Bret Bielema feels now firmly sitting on the proverbial hot seat after his team’s start where they have lost two of their last three games. Bielema needs to get his defense to play better under first-year defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads. The Razorbacks allowed 285 rushing yards in that game en route to Texas A&M averaging 7.26 Yards-Per-Play. Arkansas has then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last contest. The Razorbacks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 as well as 18 of their last 26 games after allowing an opponent to average at least 7.25 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, Arkansas has played 29 of their last 39 games after a game where at least 70 combined points were scored — and that includes covering 3 straight games when they allowed at least 50 points in their last game. The Razorbacks should get their powerful running game going behind their big offensive line that should overwhelm the Aggies — and this team has been a reliable big favorite at home in situations like this. Not only has Arkansas covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games when laying 14.5 to 21 points but they have covered their last three when a home fave in the 14.5 to 17 points (as they are as of this writing).

New Mexico State (2-2) comes off a dominant 41-14 win over UTEP last Saturday as a 17-point favorite. But this team faces a significant rise in competition this afternoon which is not a good sign for this football program when considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams from the SEC. The Aggies did hold the Miners to just 92 passing yards in that contest last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. New Mexico State benefited from five UTEP interceptions last week which led to a +3 net turnover margin. But now the Aggies travel east — and another time zone where their body clocks will consider it 11 AM — while failing to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams who do not have a net winning record at home. New Mexico State has also failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 33 road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread 8 times. This team has played two close games with Arizona State and Troy while upsetting in-state rival New Mexico already this season. But this remains a football program that returned nine starters from a defense that allowed 38.8 PPG last year along with 496.7 total YPG which was 121st in the nation. This team has been led by 5th-year senior QB Tyler Rodgers who is overseeing an offense that is 9th in the FBS by averaging 353.3 passing YPG. But this will be the best defense Rodgers has faced all season — and the Razorbacks rank 21st in the nation by allowing only 159.0 passing YPG. 25* CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month on the Arkansas Razorbacks (172) minus the points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (171). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (112) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (111). USC (4-0) enters this game after their 30-20 win at Cal as a 16.5-point favorite last Saturday. I hate this spot for the Trojans as they are being asked to stay on the road for the second straight week while facing their fifth straight opponent that played in a bowl game last season. As it is, this USC team has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record at home. This is a banged up roster which has impacted their play after a winning a very physical game against Stanford a few weeks ago. They have allowed 11 sacked already — and they face an aggressive Cougars defense that has resisted 14 sacks already. And the greatest quarterback in the world Sam Darnold has thrown seven picks already. Injuries on an offensive line has impacted what was already a thin group with only two returning starters from last year. The Trojans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of September. And in their last 5 games played on turf, USC has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Washington State (4-0) remained unscathed this season with their 45-7 win over Nevada last Saturday as a 28.5-point favorite. The Cougars have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a point spread win. Washington State has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. This team is led by a senior quarterback in Luke Falk who bypassed the NFL last season after passing for 4468 yards while hitting over 70% of his passes. This is a resume moment for Falk in this nationally televised game when dueling with next April’s likely number one overall pick in Darnold. Falk completed 36 of 47 passes for 475 yards and five touchdown passes (no picks) against the Wolf Pack defense last week. The Cougars enjoy a big situational advantage of their own tonight with this being their fifth straight game at home. Lastly, this team has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 23 games in Pac-12 play under head coach Mike Leach. 10* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Washington State Cougars (112) plus the points versus the USC Trojans (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers (107) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (108). Nebraska (2-2) enters this Big Ten game coming off a 27-17 win over Rutgers last Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Cornhuskers have then rebounded to go 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Frankly, Nebraska should have come away from that game with the Scarlet Knights with a bigger win. Not only did they settle for two short field goals but they also allowed a 33-yard interception return for a touchdown. While this is not the Tom Osbourne Cornhuskers anymore with a recruiting base that has been become regional rather than national, this remains a solid football program. Their defense struggled to adjust to new defensive coordinator Bob Diaco’s move to a 3-4. In their first six quarters of play, they allowed 78 points and 886 yards which translates into an ugly 52 PPG and 591 YPG defensive scoring averages. But since halftime of their game at Oregon where they were getting throttled by a 42-7 score, Nebraska’s defense has allowed only 584 yards which translates into a stingy 233 total YPG defensive average. Take away the three(!) pick-sixes that QB Tanner Lee has thrown and the Cornhuskers’ defense has allowed just 21 points which translates into an outstanding 8.4 PPG scoring average over those last ten quarters. Now Nebraska goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Illinois (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their 47-23 loss at South Florida back on September 15th. The Fighting Illini have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Defense is a big concern for Lovie Smith’s team right now that returned six starters from a group that allowed 31.9 PPG along with 405 total YPG. South Florida torched the Illini defense for 680 yards — including 376 yards on the ground — in that loss. Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 31 games after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last contest. The Illini rank 100th in the nation by allowing 433.0 total YPG which is not the style of football that Smith was successful with in Chicago with the Bears. He still needs to upgrade the talent on his roster. Lastly, Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home. 10* CFB Nebraska-Illinois Fox Sports 1 Special with the Nebraska Cornhuskers (107) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Utah State Aggies (110) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (109). Utah State (2-2) is feeling pretty good about themselves with their 61-10 win over at San Jose State last Saturday as a 2-point favorite. Now the Aggies return home after playing two straight games — as well as three of their last four contests — on the road. Utah State typically enjoys a great home field advantage as they are 27-7 straight-up in their last thirty-two games at home. This is an important rivalry game opportunity for head coach Matt Wells team in his fifth year with the program after they were just 3-9 last season. This team entered the season having lost thirteen of their last seventeen games — but seven of those losses were by 7 points or less care of four leads blown in the final 15 minutes of play. But Utah State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a conference rival by at least five touchdowns. The Aggies raced out to a 38-0 halftime lead against the Spartans last week — and they have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after enjoying at least a 20-point lead at halftime. Moving forward, Utah State is an impressive 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on a Friday night.

BYU (1-3) has been dreadful this season. They have an extra week off after their 40-16 loss to Wisconsin at home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Cougars allowed 235 rushing yards en route to surrendering 491 yards to the Badgers in that game. BYU has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards. Furthermore, the team is without their starting quarterback Tanner Mangum who is out indefinitely with an ankle issue. His backup Beau Hoge made his first start against Wisconsin and three two interceptions while completing only 11 of 20 passes for 111 yards. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to pass for at least 170 yards in their last game. Lastly, BYU has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing on a Friday night. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-11-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Friday Night Discounted Deal with the Utah State Aggies (110) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take the Duke Blue Devils plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes. Duke (4-0) will be playing with tons of confidence after they traveled to Chapel Hill and upset North Carolina by a 27-17 score. The Blue Devils have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win by at least 20 points. Duke returns home where they have covered the points spread in 6 straight games. They have two more games under their belt than this Miami team (2-0) that saw two of their September games cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. The Hurricanes come off a 52-30 win over Toledo last week in a game where they generated 587 yards — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now Miami plays their first road game of the season on a short week against a team that they defeated by a 40-21 score last November. Take Duke plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Friday on a SIZZLING 33 of 53 (62%) Football run! Frank also owns a DYNAMITE 60% FOOTBALL TOTALS TEAR with his last 211 Football O/Us (126-85) — and now he UNLEASHES his 25* CFB Friday Night Total of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!

Frank DELIVERED his 25* MLB NL Central Total of the Month last night with the Cubs-Cardinals Under to further a NEAR PERFECT 6 of 7 (86%) MLB TEAR that continues his SCORCHING 11 of 15 (73%) MLB run along with a RED HOT 27 of 41 (66%) MLB run! Now Frank spots ANOTHER OUTSTANDING O/U OPPORTUNITY this week for his 25* MLB Divisional Total of the Year! DON’T MISS OUT!

At 8:25 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (102) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (101). Green Bay (2-1) remains banged up after their 27-24 win in overtime at home to Cincinnati on Sunday. The short week is hard on both teams — but the Packers will be left particularly short-handed. The strength of the Green Bay offensive line is at with David Bakhtiari and Bryan Bulaga — but both have been downgraded to doubtful on Thursday with their ailments. When considering that general manager Ted Thompson had previously made the decision to cut costs at guard after letting Josh Sitton go last season with T.J. Lang following up out the door via free agency last offseason, the resulting offensive line that will be protecting Aaron Rodgers will be rather shoddy. It is telling that Green Bay has already allowed 13 sacks this season — and they are averaging just 69 rushing YPG. Both numbers reflect poorly on their offensive line. The Packers’ defense is a mess as well. Cornerback Davon House has been ruled out for tonight while Mike Daniels — the heart of their defensive line — and their key linebacker Nick Perry are both questionable. This is not good news when facing a divisional rival. As it is, Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. And while they trailed the Bengals by a 21-7 score at halftime last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after trailing at halftime by at least two touchdowns in their last game.

Chicago (1-2) enters this game playing good football after they shocked the Steelers last week by a 23-17 score as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have covered point spread expectations in two of their first three games this season — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Despite their 3-13 record last season, Chicago outgained their opponents in yardage for the year. They were tied for worst in the NFL with a -18 net turnover margin. Head coach John Fox just wants the offense to play it safe and not make mistakes while hoping that his defensive can generate turnovers on more than just 6.7% of their opponent’s possessions which was last in the league. The Bears have forced three turnovers in their last two games. All three of Chicago’s games this year have finished Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Bears have covered the point spread in all 5 games. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Chicago Bears (102) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (104) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (103). Iowa State (2-1) looks to build off their 41-14 win at Akron as a 10-point favorite back on September 16th. The Cyclones have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Iowa State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games in the month of September. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Head Matt Campbell’s team should be fired up to make a statement in his second-year with the program with this nationally televised game at night. As it is, the Cyclones have covered the point spread in 5 straight games played on a Thursday. Led by junior quarterback Jacob Park, Iowa State is 18th in the FBS by averaging a robust 311.7 passing YPG — and this offense should have success against the maligned Longhorns pass defense that allows 248.2 passing YPG (82nd in the FBS). Park’s dangerous arm should help the Cyclones hang around in this game — at the very least. Iowa State has covered the point spread in 7 of their 10 home games as an underdog.

Texas (1-2) earned a moral victory two Saturdays ago in their 27-24 loss at USC in overtime as a 16.5-point underdog. The Longhorns were led by freshman quarterback Sam Ehlinger who completed 21 of 40 passes for 298 yards and two TD passes — but Texas has then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a game where they generated at least 280 passing yards in their last game. That alone was not enough to stay competitive and force overtime as they benefitted from a 38-yard pick-six on defense. This Longhorns team has five non-offensive touchdowns which is tied for the most in the nation. Unfortunately, averaging 1.67 non-offensive TDs per game is not sustainable — and the Texas defense is not stout enough to control games on their own. The Longhorns allowed 468 yards to the Trojans in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Lastly, Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a Thursday. 10* CFB Texas-Iowa State ESPN Special with the Iowa State Cyclones (104) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (490) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (489). Dallas (1-1) will be looking to bounce-back from their 42-17 pounding at the hands of the Broncos last Sunday — and that will make them a trendy pick in many circles. But the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Dallas is also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 5 trips to Arizona, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Additionally, in their last 12 appearances on Monday Night Football, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these occasions.

Arizona (1-1) returns home to play their first game of the season after they eked out a 16-13 win over Indianapolis in overtime last week as a 7-point favorite. The Cardinals have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win on the road. Arizona has also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a win on the road where they failed to cover the point spread. The Cardinals have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a victory on the road by no more than a field goal. This team has not played very well in their first two games this year — but this remains an underrated team. While they finished just 7-8-1 last year, they were held back by going 2-5-1 in games decided by one scoring possession after winning sixteen of their previous twenty-one games decided by 8 points or less under head coach Bruce Arians. Arizona still boasts an elite defense that was 2nd in the NFL last year by holding teams to just 305.2 total YPG. It is not often this team is getting points on their home field — and they have covered the points spread in 26 of their 40 home games getting 3 points or less. 10* NFL Dallas-Arizona ESPN Special with the Arizona Cardinals (490) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (489). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (488) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (487). Washington (1-1) returned home in a good mood after their 27-20 win in Los Angeles against the Rams as a 3-point underdog. The Skins generated 385 yards of offense in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Washington has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Skins should be feisty underdogs tonight — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games as an underdog of 3 points or less.

Oakland (2-0) remained unbeaten by crushing the Jets last Sunday by a 45-20 score. The Raiders may be due for a letdown this week after hearing and reading from everyone about just how good they are. Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the Raiders gained 180 yards on the ground in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games with the Total set at least at 49.5. And in their last 35 road games when laying 7 points or less, the Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of these contests. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington Redskins (488) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (487). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (485) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (486). There has been no more of disappointing team than the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) after they lost the first two games of the season after their 13-9 loss at home last Thursday night to the Texans. Now this Bengals team has been beat up all week in the media and face a must-win game on the road against a divisional rival to salvage their season. Since 2012, teams that started the season 0-3 all ended up with losing records — and the average win total for teams that have started 0-3 in the last five seasons is just 4.4. So Marvin Lewis and his coaching staff (probably — who knows with the Cincinnati ownership) have their jobs on the line this week. This is a team that has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games in the third week of the regular season. The Bengals have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after a loss at home. And while the Cincy offense has been completely inept by scoring just those 9 points against the Texans after being shutout by the Ravens, they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to score at least 17 points in two straight games. And in their last 15 games on the road, the Bengals have covered the point spread in 10 of these games.

Green Bay (1-1) looks to bounce-back from their 34-23 loss in Atlanta for Sunday Night Football last week. The Packers fell behind early in that game and went to the locker room trailing by a 24-7 score. Green Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after allowing at least 24 points in the first half in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after trailing by at least two touchdowns at halftime of their last contest. Usually, these breakdowns reveal systemic problems with this Packers team — in this instance, injuries on the offensive line and a lack of quality and depth at running back has held back their offense. Then again, the defense is less than perfect as well after allowing 34 points last week. Green Bay has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Cincinnati Bengals (485) plus the points versus the Green Bay Packers (486). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (481) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (482). Tennessee (1-1) flexed their muscles last week by crushing the Jaguars in Jacksonville last Sunday. This Titans team looked like the group that won a Super Bowl a few seasons ago and was just that goal-line interception away from winning twice in recent history and cementing themselves as a dynasty team. Oh wait, that’s not Tennessee? That actually describes their opponents in the Seahawks under head coach Pete Carroll? Then why has the line moved from Seattle opening as a small road favorite to now the Titans laying up to a field goal in some spots? This Tennessee was hyped up a ton during the offseason before losing by 10 points at home in their opening game against the Raiders. This remains an unproven team at home that has lost sixteen of their last twenty-two games in Nashville. The Titans are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games at home which includes failing to cover the point spread in ten of their last sixteen games at home. Furthermore, the Titans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games off a win on the road. Additionally, Tennessee are just 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games after a game where they scored at least 30 points. And while the Titans did rush for 131 yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 150 yards.

Seattle (1-1) has struggled with their offensive line this season. They rebounded from a loss on the road in Green Bay with a 12-9 win over San Francisco last week despite being a 13.5-point favorite. The Seahawks have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. And while Seattle allowed 159 rushing yards in their last contest, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game. Offense has been an issue for this team as they have only scored 21 points in two games this year. But the Seahawks have ten covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after failing to score more than 14 points in two straight games. Seattle has also covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 60 games after failing to score more than 17 points in each of their last two games. Lastly, the Seahawks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC opponents. 25* NFL Underdog of the Month with the  Seattle Seahawks (481) plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (470) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (469). Denver (2-0) is a trendy pick this week after their dominant 42-17 blowout upset win over the Cowboys last Sunday on national television during the second slate of games. In fact, it is a little surprising that they bettors can still find -3s with the Broncos this morning. This game screamed trap to me since the line came out — and the betting trends confirm that a vast majority of the money is on Denver. So, lets take the contrarian play (and bet with the books). This is the Broncos’ first game on the road this season. And Denver has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games after an upset victory. Furthermore, not only are the Broncos 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games off a win but they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 5 games played on turf, Denver has failed to cover the point spread all 5 times.

Buffalo (1-1) looks to bounce-back from a 9-3 loss on the road at Carolina last week. They return home where they have won nine of their last thirteen games. This team has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 30 home games as an underdog of 3 points or less. Look for the Bills to find success running the football behind their good offensive line after leading the league in rushing last week. LeSean McCoy ran for just 9 yards on twelve carries last week but should break out this week even against this Broncos defense that slowed down Ezekiel Elliott. Lastly, Buffalo has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. 10* NFL Bet With the Books (and avoid the trap) Special with the Buffalo Bills (470) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (466) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (465). Pittsburgh (2-0) looked great last week in their 26-9 win at home over a Minnesota team without their starting quarterback Sam Bradford. But this Steelers team is much better — and more aggressive on offense — at home than they are on the road. Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Steelers have also failed to cover the point spread in their last 2 road games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range. Frankly, the makeup of this Bears team is similar to that of the Cleveland Browns whom the Steelers played in Week One but only escaped with a 21-18 victory despite being a 10-point favorite on the road. And while Pittsburgh held the Vikings to just 146 passing yards against the Vikings, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game.

Chicago (0-2) will be desperate for a victory after their 29-7 loss at Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point underdog. The Bears have rebounded to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. The Bears return home where they played the Falcons tough in Week One — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at Soldier Field. Chicago has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7 point range. Additionally, the Bears have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. And while Chicago has seen their first two games finish Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing two straight games that finished Under the Total. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Chicago Bears (466) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (465). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (477) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (476). Detroit (2-0) finds themselves undefeated after two games with their 24-10 win in New York against the Giants for Monday Night Football. This is a team that has benefited from the maturation of quarterback Matthew Stafford who has taken this team on his shoulders since the retirement of Calvin Johnson. As a one-time doubter, Stafford’s continued development has been impressive. But he just lacks enough help from his teammates. The Lions were actually outgained by 13 net yards on Monday while managing a mere 257 yards of offense — and it will be very difficult to keep up with the potent Atlanta offense. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing no more than 14 points in their last game. The Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against NFC opponents. And in their last 7 games against NFC opponents, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (479) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (480). New York (0-2) looked awful on Monday in their 24-10 loss at home to Detroit despite being a 3-point favorite. Now this Giants team has been beat up all week in the media and face a must-win game on the road against a divisional rival to salvage their season. Since 2012, teams that started the season 0-3 all ended up with losing records — and the average win total for teams txt have started 0-3 in the last five seasons is just 4.4. So Ben McAdoo and his coaching staff have their jobs on the line this week. This proud franchise has been resilient as they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight up loss — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Giants are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games after a double-digit loss at home. Don’t blame the defense as they held the Lions to only 257 yards of offense on Monday. Only 119 of those yards were in the air in that game — and the G-Men have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing no more than 150 passing yards in their last game. New York needs to get more out of the rushing attack after accumulating a mere 97 rushing yards combined in their first two games. The Giants have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in each of their last two games.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (473) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (474). New Orleans (0-2) will be playing with a sense of desperation having lost their first two games with their 36-20 loss at home to New England last week. Expect a strong bounce-back effort from this veteran team led by Drew Brees. The Saints have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Defense remains a problem for this team that surrendered an incredible 555 yards to the Patriots. There is some reasons for optimism given what the Bills’ head coach Sean McDermott did to Cam Newton last week after accumulating inside knowledge on the quarterback in his time as the Panthers’ defensive coordinator. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing 30 points in their last game. The Saints have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. And don’t worry about New Orleans being away from the Superdome as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Saints have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against fellow NFC South opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against the Panthers.

Carolina (2-0) managed only 255 yards of offense last week as they eked out a 9-3 win over the Bills. That Buffalo defense did sack Newton six times in what could become the blueprint to slow down the former Heisman Trophy winner — stay tuned. Newton will certainly miss his security blanket in tight end Greg Olsen who suffered a foot injury that will put him on Injured Reserve. Expect a letdown here and a close game against a divisional rival. The Panthers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after holding their last opponent to 14 or less points. Furthermore, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home. And in their last 6 games against NFC South foes, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 25* NFL NFC South Game of the Month with the New Orleans Saints (473) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Jacksonville Jaguars (462) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (461). Jacksonville (1-1) is a team bettors do not want to touch after they were throttled by Tennessee by a 37-16 score last Sunday. But while the betting world rides the Ravens, the smart play is to take the underdog in this London contest played on a neutral field. The Jaguars certainly have a situational advantage having played over in London for five straight seasons — and they have won their last two games played in Wembley Stadium. Jacksonville is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Jaguars have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. While Blake Bortles has regressed and does not look long for the starting QB job, this is a team with an underrated defense along with a promising young running back in Leonard Fournette. And this is a group that has already defeated another team with a great defense in the Texans in their building this season. Jacksonville has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against fellow AFC foes.

Baltimore (2-0) enters this game still undefeated after their 24-10 win over Cleveland last week. Yet despite their perfect record, the Ravens are actually being outgained this season by -1.0 net YPG. Baltimore has an elite defense that has forced a whopping 10 turnovers so far this season. But turnovers can be fickle — and this team has failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after winning the turnover battle for at least two straight contests. Furthermore, the vaunted Ravens defense has not been spectacular as they did allow the Browns to average 6.12 Yards-Per-Play — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing an opponent to average at least 6.0 YPP. Furthermore, Deshone Kizer and Kevin Hogan combined to pass for 293 yards against them last week — not actually Joe Montana and Steve Young — and Baltimore is then 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Ravens have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Lastly, remember that this Baltimore team has already been ravaged with injuries this season. 10* NFL Baltimore-Jacksonville London Calling Special with the Jacksonville Jaguars (462) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (461). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (317) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (318). Penn State closed out last season by scoring 45.6 PPG over their last seven games that culminated in an exciting 52-49 loss to USC in the Rose Bowl. That finish along with a soft early schedule has the Nittany Lions a public favorite as well on the short list for much of the sports punditry’s for College Playoff teams. But this will the first road game for this Penn State team this season after playing their first three games at home. The Nittany Lions come off a 56-0 shutout victory over Georgia State last week as a 37-point favorite. That came after their 33-14 win over Pittsburgh as an 18.5-point favorite in a revenge situation from the previous year. This Penn State program has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after two straight wins by at least two touchdowns. This Nittany Lions team has not been tested yet after being favored to begin their season as a 30-point favorite over Akron. But this may spell trouble for this team now facing sky-high expectations for this first time since the Joe Paterno era. Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing at least three straight games as a favorite by more than one touchdown. This is a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 16 games played on turf, the Nittany Lions are 4-10-2 ATS.

Iowa (3-0) remains unscathed this season after their 31-14 win over North Texas last week as a 19.5-point favorite. The Hawkeyes dominated this game by controlling the Time of Possession for over 40 minutes in that game. Iowa will flex their muscles and look to pound the Nittany Lions on the ground behind four returning starters on the offensive line. Iowa did not have senior Akrum Wadley last week — but they displayed their depth with redshirt freshman Toren Young, senior James Butler and freshman Ivory Kelly-Martin all rushing at least eleven times and all accumulating at least 74 yards on the ground. Even better, Wadley is listed as probable for this game to give the Hawkeyes plenty of options in this game. This Iowa run offense can keep the potent Nittany Lions offense that struggled against the run last year — opponents averaged 151 rushing YPG against them last year on 3.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Hawkeyes are playing with revenge on their minds after getting blown out in Happy Valley last year by a 41-14 score. But the home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Iowa is very tough at home — and especially in night games as Michigan discovered last year when they suffered their first loss of the season in November in a night-game in Iowa City. That was the same Wolverines team that humiliated this Penn State physically, mentally and emotionally earlier in the season by a 49-10 score. Moving forward, Iowa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a home game non-cover where they won but failed to cover the point spread. The Hawkeyes did not cover the point spread in the previous week in their rivalry game win on the road at Iowa State. Iowa has covered the point spread in a decisive 52 of their last 79 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Run defense has been a strength for this team as well as they are allowing only 97 rushing YPG while not allowing more than 120 yards in any of their three games this season. Iowa has covered the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in three straight games. The Hawkeyes have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Big Ten foes. And in their last 5 games played on turf, Iowa has covered the point spread in 4 of these games. 25* CFB Saturday Night ABC-TV Game of the Month with the Iowa Hawkeyes (317) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (383) plus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (384). TCU (3-0) remained unbeaten this season with their 56-36 win over SMY last week. The Horned Frogs have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 22 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Despite giving up 463 yards last week to the Mustangs, this TCU defense has held their three previous opponents to -82 YPG below their season average. Seven starters return from the defense that only allowed more than 350 yards twice last season. This year, the Horned Frogs have stepped up on offense as they are outgaining their opponents by +242 YPG. Head coach Gary Patterson will have his group ready to lay considering that they are playing with revenge from a 31-6 upset loss as a 6-point favorite last season. TCU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games with the Total set at 70 or higher. The Horned Frogs have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, TCU has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 road games as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. And in their last 30 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points, the Horned Frogs have covered 20 of these contests.

Oklahoma State (3-0) looks unbeatable right now after they blowout Pittsburgh on the road by a 59-21 score. The Cowboys have generated at least 505 yards in each of their first three games to average a whopping 607.0 YPG — but this may speak more to the wretched states of the Panthers pass defense along with that of Tulsa and South Alabama. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Cowboys have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games in expected high-scoring contests where there the Total is set at 70 or higher. This Oklahoma State team was 7-2 in Big 12 play last year but only outgained their conference foes by +21.8 YPG. Three net close wins in games decided by one scoring possession as well as three net upsets helped propel their winning record. This is a pretty reliable big favorite (we cashed on them in Week One) as well offering to be a dangerous underdog when getting more than a field goal.

At 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the NC State Wolfpack (321) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (322). Florida State (0-1) will be taking the field for a game for the first time since their disappointing 24-7 loss to Alabama way back on September 2nd. The Seminoles have since seen their game with UL-Monroe cancelled due to Hurricane Irma and then their showdown with Miami (FL) delayed and rescheduled for next month while they dealt with the aftermath of that storm in the South Beach area. Expect Florida State to be very rusty with three weeks off early in the season. It is almost a bowl break for the Seminoles — but there is a big difference in getting three weeks off at the end of the season than it is at the beginning of the year. Furthermore, any desire that this team had to get the bad taste out of their mouths from the bad loss to the Crimson Tide has subsided. This team risks being flat with the probability that their ability to make the College Football Playoff is already low. Additionally, the team lost their redshirt freshman quarterback Deondre Francois to a season-ending injury in that game