At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Indianapolis (3-8) looks to avenge a 27-0 shutout loss at home to these Jaguars back on October 22nd. The Colts have covered the point spread in 3 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss at home by at least two touchdowns to their opponent. Additionally, Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three touchdowns against their opponents. Furthermore, the Colts have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when avenging a loss where they failed to score more than 9 points — and this includes covering their last three games in that situation. Indianapolis has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests after their 20-16 loss to Tennessee last week as a 3-point underdog. The Colts have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by 6 points or less. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in a decisive 32 of their last 44 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. The Colts have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after losing three of their last four games. Indy goes back on the road — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Jacksonville (7-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss at Arizona last week despite being a 6-point favorite. While this team has an outstanding defense, the Achilles’ heel of this team continues to be the play of QB Blake Bortles. The embattled quarterback completed 19 of 33 passes but for only 160 yards with zero touchdown passes and an interception. Overall, the Jags produced only 128 passing yards in that game when taking into account lost yards from sacks — and the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to pass for at leas 150 yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Jacksonville returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Jaguars have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. And in their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 25* NFL AFC South Underdog of the Year with the Indianapolis Colts (363) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (364). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) remains the last undefeated football team representing a Power Five Conference — but they have also benefited from a very favorable schedule. The Big Ten West Division is by far the weaker of the two divisions in that conference with Northwestern and Iowa being the most competitive teams to the Badgers. Wisconsin’s non-conference schedule may have appeared more of a challenge when the games were negotiated a few years ago — but in 2017, a slate of Utah State, BYU and Florida Atlantic was not nearly as difficult as it might have appeared even during the summer with Lane Kiffin’s Owls now considered the best team of that trio (by far). So while the Badgers have the second best scoring defense in the nation while allowing the least YPG (236.9 total YPG) in the entire FBS, this light strength of schedule should provide context to those numbers. This will be by far the most powerful offense that Wisconsin has faced all season. They returned seven starters on defense from a group that lost by a 30-23 score on their home field last season to the Buckeyes while giving up 411 yards of offense. Now this Championship Game will be played on a neutral field at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis — and the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral field. Wisconsin enters this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota last Saturday in a game where they went into halftime with a 17-0 lead. But the Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least four touchdowns — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after leading by at least 17 points at halftime of their last game. QB Alex Hornibrook did not throw an interception in that game which was the first time that did not happen in eight contests. The sophomore’s 13 interceptions this season is a significant concern for this team. Hornibrook did lead an offense that averaged 7.6 Yards-Per-Play in that game against the Gophers — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 6.75 YPP in their last game.

Ohio State (10-2) kept their National Championship hopes alive last week by defeating Michigan in Ann Arbor by a 31-20 score. The Buckeyes have won three straight games after their ugly loss at Iowa — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after winning three of their last out games. Senior QB J.T. Barrett will be available to play in this game after he suffered a freak knee injury before their game with the Wolverines which required minor surgery this week. If Barrett cannot go, I do have confidence in freshman Dwayne Haskins. Did you see this guy last week? Haskins competed 6 of his 7 passes for 94 yards while adding another 101 yards with a touchdown on 15 carries running the football against a stout Michigan defense that is probably better than this Badgers group (the Wolverines slightly inferior numbers have been against much better competition). Ohio State entered this season as one of the most talented teams in the nation. They have been the victim of their own mistakes too often than not. But like they overwhelmed Michigan State and dominated Penn State to pull off a miracle comeback after their mistakes put them in a almost insurmountable hole, this team is very tough to beat when playing sound football. Under head coach Urban Meyer, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. And in their last 9 meetings with these Badgers, the Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Night Fox-TV Game of the Year with the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Miami (10-1) suffered their first loss of the season last week in their 24-14 upset loss at Pittsburgh as a 12-point favorite. We had the Panthers in that game as we expected the Hurricanes to struggle in the cold weather up north. This Miami team tends to play up-and-down to their competition — which might be very bad news for the current number one team in the nation. Remember that the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech, Notre Dame and at Florida State by a combined score of 93-38. And while Miami is dealing with injuries on offense, they still have their junior QB Malik Rosier along with their stifling defensive front seven. Look for Mark Richt’s team to bounce-back with a very good effort. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points.

10* CFB play on Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Boise State (9-3) has the rare opportunity to extract immediate revenge an opponent as they host a Fresno State team that defeated them last week by a 28-17 score. That was a strange circumstance as this Mountain West Conference Championship Game was locked-in with only the location of the contest being in doubt. The MWC determines first place based off a mathematical algorithm which deemed Boise State the top team in the league after crunching all the conference results last week. It might be tempting for many bettors to take the Broncos in this revenge situation with them now hosting this rematch — but I am not sure if last week’s game really qualifies since both teams were likely holding some tricks under their sleeve. Furthermore, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on their blue field at home. And the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Boise State has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games in the month of December, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Fresno State (9-3) has an outstanding defense that should keep travel and keep them competitive in this rematch. The Bulldogs are 12th in the nation by allowing 17.3 PPG while ranking 16th in the FBS by giving up just 315.3 total YPG. Look for Fresno State to build off their momentum from last week as they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games on the road, Fresno State is 5-0-1 ATS. 10* CFB Fresno State-Boise State ESPN Special with the Fresno State Bulldogs (323) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Auburn (10-2) registered one of their biggest wins in school history last Saturday with their 26-14 upset win over a previously undefeated Alabama team as a 6-point underdog. This Tigers team will be hard pressed to not suffer an emotional letdown now after that huge accomplishment. Even worse, they will be playing a Georgia team that they crushed less than a month ago in their 40-17 drubbing of the Bulldogs. We had the Tigers as the small 2.5-point underdog in that contest (our SEC Game of the Year) so those were great results for us — and that result also set up this outstanding situation in the rematch. It is human nature for teams to lack just a little bit of edge after their intense game with Alabama when now facing a team that you just easily handled. And as it is, Auburn has failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after an upset victory as a home under. But the effort from that game may take a toll against this fired-up Georgia team. Running back Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 30 times for 104 yards against the tough Alabama defense which is a lot of work. Furthermore, both the Tigers’ wins against Georgia and Alabama were at home. This game will be played on a neutral field in Atlanta in the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both of Auburn’s losses were away from home this season — and they average almost 55 YPG (415.6 YPG) below their season average (470.2 total YPG) when playing on the road.

Georgia (11-1) has that rare opportunity for both revenge and redemption all in one-swoop while most likely earning the right to play for a National Championship with a victory in this contest. The Bulldogs did not suffer from possibly seeing their bubble burst two weeks ago as they throttled their in-state rival Georgia Tech by a 38-7 score last week. Georgia has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are led by two dynamic running backs in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who helped Georgia generate 247 yards on the ground against the Yellow Jackets — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after rushing or at least 200 yards in their last game. But the strength of this team is their defense that ranks 5th in the FBS by allowing 13.8 PPG and 4th in the nation by allowing only 271.9 total YPG. Since that bad loss to Auburn, Georgia has allowed only 20 points in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after not allowing more than 14 points in at least two straight contests. The Bulldogs should have a geographical advantage with this game being played in downtown Atlanta — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when played on a neutral field. Georgia has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of December. And in their last 7 games against Auburn despite their loss to them last month, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. 25* CFB Conference Championships Game of the Year with the Georgia Bulldogs (322) plus the points versus the Auburn Tigers (321). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). TCU (10-2) looks to avenge a 38-20 loss to the Sooners back on November 11th. The Horned Frogs went into the locker room at the half throttled by a 38-14 score. And while the Sooners may have taken their foot slightly off the accelerator in the second half of that contest, lets take note of the fact that TCU held that powerful Oklahoma offense scoreless in the second-half. Head coach Gary Patterson is a defensive guru who makes a great adjustments. In fact, his defense has allowed only six combined points after halftime in their last seven games. Overall, the Horned Frogs are holding their opponents -122 YPG below their offensive season average this season. TCU enters this game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as 24.5-point favorites. Senior QB Kenny Allen enjoyed a great game by completing 26 of 36 passes for 325 yards with three TDs against the Bears — so he should be full of confidence entering this game. The Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. And in their last 4 games played on field turf, TCU has covered the point spread all 4 times.

Oklahoma (11-1) enters this game on fire after their 59-31 win over West Virginia as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners generated 646 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Defense remains an issue for this team — their opponents gained +3 yards above their season average this season. I also have lingering concerns about the inexperienced first-year head coach Lincoln Riley preparing his team for high-pressure situations like this. Lastly, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral field. 10* CFB TCU-Oklahoma Fox-TV Special with the TCU Horned Frogs (333) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). FIU (7-4) enters this game coming off an upset victory over Western Kentucky by a 41-17 score as a 3-point underdog. The Golden Panthers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a win by at least 20 points. FIU has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 32 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Golden Panthers enjoyed a +3 net turnover margin against the Hilltoppers — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a net turnover margin of +3 or higher. Now this team stays at home where they are 5-1 this season with an average winning margin of +7.3 PPG while outgaining these visitors by +73.3 YPG. FIU limits their guests to just 18.3 PPG along with only 352.2 total YPG. And while the Golden Panthers’ win over Western Kentucky just finished Over the 56.5 point Total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their lsat 9 home games after a game that finished Over the Total.

UMass (4-7) has won four of their last five games after their 16-10 upset win at BYY two weeks ago as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Minutemen have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where less than 30 combined points were scored. And while UMass held the Cougars to just 42 rushing yards in their last game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Many pundits consider this team underrated given a host of close losses they endured earlier in the season. But the Minutemen have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range, UMass has failed to cover the point spread 6 times. 10* CFB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Florida International Golden Panthers (330) plus (or minus) the points versus the UMass Minutemen (329). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Central Florida (11-0) looks to win the American Athletic Conference Championship while also clinching the Group of Five slot in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game this afternoon by defeating the Tigers for a second time this season after they easily disposed of them back on September 30th by a 40-13 score. The rematch will be harder sledding for this team. I worry about distractions for this team — particularly with their head coach Scott Frost who seems likely to take the Nebraska head coaching job soon to rejoin his alma mater. The Knights come off a 49-42 win over South Florida as a 10-point favorite last Friday — but they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Central Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Knights were outgained in that contest by +120 net yards to the Bulls. They surrendered  653 total yards to South Florida including a whopping 503 passing yards in that contest — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, UCF is just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games against conference opponents, the Knights are 0-3-1 ATS.

Memphis (10-1) has won seven games in a row with their 70-13 victory over East Carolina last week as a 29.5-point favorite. The Tigers are then 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And this team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Tigers have defeated five of their seven opponents by at least three touchdowns after suffering their lone loss of the season to the Knights by a 40-13 score. Four turnovers did Memphis in for that game. But with Riley Ferguson under center, the Tigers have the offensive firepower to stay competitive with this undefeated UCF team if they do not make mistakes. Lastly, Memphis has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-8-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Memphis-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the Memphis Tigers (317) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (318). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Toledo (10-2) is expected to roll this afternoon in the Mid-American Conference Championship after easily disposing of the Zips back on October 21st by a 48-21 score. Frankly, the Rockets were expecting to be getting a rematch against Ohio in this MAC Championship at Ford Field in Detroit but Akron ruined those plans by upsetting the Bobcats late in the season. Toledo lost to that Ohio team by a 38-10 score. Now as big favorites approaching three touchdowns, this Toledo team risks being overconfident. As it is, they are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. The Rockets are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of December. Furthermore, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games played on a neutral field with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. And while the Rockets have scored 66 and 37 points in their last two games after that loss to the Bobcats, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 31 points in their last two games.

Akron (7-5) has won three of their last four games after their loss to Toledo. The Zips clinched the MAC East Division Title with their 24-14 win over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite. This team will be a dangerous underdog with no expectations in this game under the veteran head coach Terry Bowden. Akron has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a straight-up victory. The Zips have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, while Akron held the Golden Flashes to just 246 yards of offense, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing 275 or fewer yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games against conference opponents, Akron has covered the point spread 7 times. 10* CFB Akron-Toledo ESPN Special with the Akron Zips (319) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). USC (10-2) has the benefit of an extra week to prepare for the Pac-12 Championship Game as they take the field again after their 28-28 win over UCLA back on November 18th. The Trojans not only have a significant situational edge in facing a Cardinal team playing on a short week but they also have a huge advantage at quarterback with Sam Darnold dueling a freshman in K.J. Costello. USC is playing as good of football as they have all season having won six of their last seven games after losing at Washington State. The Trojans have covered then point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Over their last three games, the USC offense is clicking on all cylinders by scoring 38.3 PPG while averaging 527.0 total YPG. The Trojans held the Bruins to just 80 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game. USC did allow 501 total yards against UCLA with the Bruins passing for 421 yards — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last contest. Potent passing attacks are typically the ones that give the Trojans the most trouble (with Notre Dame and their diverse rushing attack being the exception) as they rank 105th in the nation by allowing 251 passing YPG — but that is not the Stanford offensive approach. Against conference opponents, USC is allowing their opponents to complete just 56% of their passes while averaging only 3.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Furthermore, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when listed in the 3.5 to 10-point range. 

Stanford (9-3) will be playing on a short week after they pulled the upset last Saturday at home with their 38-20 win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog. The Cardinal has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Stanford is also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinal did defeat the Irish despite gaining only 328 yards of offense and getting outgained by -87 net yards. Stanford’s +3 net turnover margin was the difference in that contest. But now this team goes on the road to the neutral field of Levi Stadium in Santa Clara — and the Cardinal is getting outgained away from home by -59.7 net YPG. In Pac-12 play, Stanford is getting outgained by -21 YPG. In comparison, USC is outgaining their conference opponents by +93 YPG. Lastly, USC needs as many style points as they can muster to hold out hope that if a bunch of crazy things happen tomorrow, then perhaps they can sneak into the four-team College Playoff. The Trojans will be very anxious to win this game by as many points as possible — so don’t expect them taking the foot of the proverbial gas pedal. 20* CFB Stanford-USC ESPN Special with the USC Trojans (304) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off a 20-10 win over the New York Giants as a 7-point favorite on Thanksgiving last week — but this injury-riddled team has still lost four of their last six games. The Skins have then failed to cover the points spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Furthermore, Washington out-gained the Giants by +153 net yards in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after outgaining their last opponent by at least +100 yards. This team is just 2-3 on the road where they are being outscored by -2.4 net YPG — and they are losing the yardage battle by -68.8 net YPG given their defense that is surrendering 420.8 total YPG.

Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take Washington (as most bettors are) — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Cowboys. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. The Cowboys rushed for only 79 yards against the Chargers last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. And while Dallas surrendered 434 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Dallas Cowboys (302) plus (or minus) the points versus the Washington Redskins (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Houston (4-6) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The consistent characteristic of this Texans team continues to be that head coach Bill O’Brien always has this team prepared and usually gets the most out of his talent despite seemingly always being ravaged with injuries. QB Tom Savage made some very nice throws against the Cardinals defense — he was 22 of 32 for 230 yards with two touchdown passes. Overall, Houston generated 357 yards against Arizona — and they are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while the Texans have lost four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 41 of their last 68 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Additionally, Houston has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games played on turf. And in their last 4 road games as the underdog, the Texans have covered the point spread in 3 of these games.

Baltimore (5-5) has won two of their last three games with their 23-0 shutout at Green Bay last Sunday. The Ravens are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while Baltimore has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. The Ravens allowed 75 rushing yards to the Packers which was actually the highest amount they have surrendered over their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in at least two straight games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Baltimore returns home — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games away from home. This team is not a reliable favorite when being asked to lay around a touchdown. The Ravens are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 10 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points, Baltimore has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Houston Texans (275) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). These are too many points to pass up in this situation — even with Aaron Rodgers not playing for the Packers. Pittsburgh (8-2) finally demonstrated the vast potential that many pundits feel they possess back on November 16th when they crushed the Colts by a 40-17 score as 7-point favorites. Yet they only outgained Indianapolis by 27 yards. It was a +4 net turnover margin that helped the Steelers dominate that game. But Pittsburgh has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. And the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games when installed as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Pittsburgh has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games in the month of November.

Green Bay (5-5) has something to prove after being shutout last week in a 23-0 blanking at the hands of Baltimore. That Ravens team has shut out two other teams this season — so the Packers do have some company in that regard. Green Bay has lost four of their last five games as they continue to struggle without Rodgers — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing you of their last five games. The Pack has only covered the point spread once in their last five games — but they have also covered the point spread in 33 of their last 50 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. I am not sure how they will score points against this stout Steelers defense but that is the job of Super Bowl winning head coach and offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy. QB Brett Hundley three three interceptions in that loss so eliminating those mistakes will go a long way to keep Green Bay competitive in this game. Green Bay needs to commit to running the ball more as well after managing just 75 rushing yards against the Ravens. Remember, in their previous game in Chicago against a good Bears defense, the Packers ran the ball 37 times for 160 yards in a 23-16 upset victory. The Packers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Green Bay defense did limit Baltimore to only 58 rushing yards — and they are then 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Packers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 road games as the underdog. While it certainly looks scary to take this Packers team without Rodgers against the mighty Steelers, it is the sound fundamental play for this situation. Lets embrace the Philadelphia 76ers and “trust the process.” 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Game of the Month on the Green Bay Packers (273) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). New Orleans (8-2) won their eighth straight game this season in spectacular fashion as they rallied from an 18-point deficit at one point along with a 15-point hole with three minutes to go to eke out a 34-31 win in overtime over Washington. The Saints are the hottest team in the NFL but they cannot continue to live life on the edge like that. Now they play this game without their two starting cornerbacks with both Marcus Lattimore and Ken Crawley declared out for this game. Their absence will make things very difficult when facing this high-powered Rams offense that scores 30.3 PPG. The Saints may be due for a letdown here as they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least six straight contests. And while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. Furthermore, the Saints have scored at least 30 points in their last three games but have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after scoring at least 25 points in their last three games. New Orleans has averaged 474.7 total YPG over those three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after averaging at least 450 YPG over their last three contests. And in their last 4 road games when favored by no more than a field goal, the Saints have failed to cover the point spread 3 times.

Los Angeles (7-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-7 loss in Minnesota last week that snapped a four-game winning streak. That setback should have afford rookie head coach Sean McVay a very attentive group of players this week in practice. The Rams had covered the point spread in their previous two games before that loss to the Vikings as a small 1-point underdog. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Rams are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 56-21-1 ATS team trends for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Los Angeles Rams (268) minus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (267). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Arizona Cardinals (270) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (269). Jacksonville (7-3) has won four games in a row after their 19-7 win in Cleveland last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games after a point spread victory. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Defense has been leading the way for this team — they held the Browns to only 184 yards of offense. But the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 200 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Jacksonville has failed to cover the points spread in 8 of their last 9 games against fellow NFC opponents.

25* NFL Game of the Month with Arizona plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Seattle (6-4) has lost two of their last three games with their 34-31 loss at home to Atlanta last Monday as a 1-point underdog. The Seahawks have then gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Seattle has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. This defense is ravaged with injuries with Richard Sherman out the year with his ACL tear and Kam Chancellor out with a neck injury which pretty much dismantles their Legion of Boom. The Seahawks did generate 360 yards against the Falcons defense but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they are just 2-6-1 ATS — and they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Seahawks are also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November. And in their last 5 games against NFC West opponents, Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS.

San Francisco (1-9) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 31-21 win over the Giants as a 3-point underdog back on November 12th. That was not only their first win of the season but also their first point spread victory in their last four games. The 49ers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Rookie C.J. Beathard looked very good as he completed 19 of his 25 passes for 288 yards with two TD passes. In fact, Beathard looked so good that there are no plans to start Jimmy Garappolo in this game — but he is likely available to play in relief (and back door point spread covers). San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The 49ers played the Seahawks very tough in Seattle back on September 17th in a narrow 12-9 loss back in the Brian Hoyer quarterbacking days. San Francisco has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. 10* NFL Seattle-San Franciso Special with the San Francisco 49ers (266) plus the points versus the Seattle Seahawks (265). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Carolina (7-3) is riding high coming off their bye week after a dominant 45-21 win on national television for Monday Night Football against the woeful Dolphins back on November 13th. But with a showdown with the Saints on deck next week, don’t be surprised if this Panthers’ team comes out a bit lethargic. As it is, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Cam Newton completed 21 of 35 passes for 254 yards and numerous Super Man poses — but the Panthers have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Tight end Greg Olsen is returning to the offense for this team — but they lost their rookie slot back Curtis Samuel to a season-ending injury last week which does take away an important weapon for Newton.

New York (4-6) comes off their bye week as well after their 15-10 loss in Tampa Bay back on November 12th. The Jets art then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after their bye week. Head coach Todd Bowles has squelched any talk of this Jets team tanking this season after a host of questionable offseason moves as his group of players play hard every week. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. This season, the Jets have a winning 3-2 record at home while outgaining their opponents by +44.2 YPG. The New York defense is tough when playing on their home field as they limit their visitors to just 19.2 PPG along with totaling just 320.8 YPG. Their defense should keep them competitive in this game. Lastly, the Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-9-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Jets (262) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Atlanta (6-4) returns home after their triumphant 34-31 win in Seattle for Monday Night Football. Don’t be surprised if this Falcons team suffers a big emotional letdown after that victory. The win was huge for this organization considering that head coach Dan Quinn is a disciple of Pete Carroll while playing an integral part in winning a Super Bowl with the franchise as their defensive coordinator. Teams are often flat the week after playing the physical Seahawks — and playing on a short week after the long flight back from the northwest part of the country does not help that situation. As it is, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games at home after scoring at least 30 points. The Falcons have won and covered the point spread in two straight games after their 27-7 win over a free-falling Cowboys team without Ezekiel Elliott two weeks ago — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 home games after winning at least two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 33 of their last 46 home games after covering the point spread in two straight contests. Additionally, the Atlanta run defense is a concern for this team as they are allowing opponents to average 4.5 Yards-Per-Carry — and their last three opponents have averaged a whopping 5.4 YPC. On the other side of the football, the Falcons will be without their top running back Devonta Freeman who remains out due to the concussion protocols. That makes Atlanta precarious favorites laying more than a touchdown. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points.

Tampa Bay (4-6) has won two straight games with their 30-20 win in Miami last Sunday as a 1-point favorite. The Buccaneers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after both a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 28 of their last 39 games on the road after a game where at least 50 points were scored. The Bucs had lost five games in a row before their recent winning streak with Jameis Winston on the bench nursing his shoulder. Tampa Bay has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 32 road games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Lastly, the Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 road games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (259) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (260). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (195) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (196). Notre Dame (9-2) enters this rivalry game coming off their 24-17 win over Navy as a 21-point favorite. The Fighting Irish have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Notre Dame has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing 20 points  or less in their last game. Now the Irish go on the road where they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 52.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 trips to Palo Alto, the Fighting Irish have covered the point spread in 4 of these contests.

Stanford (8-3) enters this game coming off their 17-14 win over California last week. But the Cardinal is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Stanford has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. This Cardinal run defense is not nearly as tough as they have been in previous seasons. They are allowing Pac-12 opponents to average 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry. 10* CFB Notre Dame-Stanford ABC-TV Special with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (195) minus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal (196). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington State Cougars (183) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (184). Washington State (9-2) has had an extra week of rest and preparation for the Apple Bowl after their 33-25 win at Utah back on November 11th as a 1-point favorite. A victory secures them the Pac-12 West Championship and a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game next week — so this Washington State team should be a dangerous underdog. The Cougars have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a point spread victory. QB Luke Falk completed 40 of his 69 passes for 311 yards and three TD passes against the Utes. Washington State has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Falk has always made his team a dangerous underdog with his ability to move the ball with his arm. The Cougars have covered then point spread in 11 of their last 15 games as an underdog — and this includes covering the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games when getting the points. Furthermore, Washington State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Washington (9-2) enters this rivalry game coming off their 33-30 win over Utah last Saturday. The Huskies have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after win by a field goal or less against a conference rival. Washington has also failed to cover the point spread in 42 of their last 67 situations where these conditions applied. The Huskies can only play the role of spoiler in this game as their potential victory here opens the door for Stanford rather than the Cougars to play USC for the Pac-12 Championship. Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games with the Total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Washington State Cougars (183) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (184). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (202) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (201). Fresno State (8-3) returns home after a triumphant 13-7 win at Wyoming as a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs are then 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread victory. This Fresno State team displayed their formula for success to pull the upset in this contest as they controlled the football for 35:32 for this contest. Now they return home where they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in all 8 contests.

Boise State (9-2) enters this game coming off their 44-19 win over Air Force last week in a game where they averaged 7.25 Yards-Per-Play. The Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 7.25 YPP. And while this Boise State has averaged 534.5 total YPG in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after averaging at least 525 YPG in their last two games. Furthermore, the Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Fresno State Bulldogs (202) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (201). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (163) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (164). Kansas State (6-5) enters this game coming off a big 45-40 upset victory on the road at Oklahoma State last week as a 19.5-point underdog. The Wildcats won that game despite losing the first down battle by a 30-18 margin while being outgained by 89 yards. Expect Kansas State to suffer a letdown in this game against a feisty Cyclones team. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Kansas State did rush for 217 yards in that game — but they are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And in their last 10 home games as the favorite rather than the underdog role that head coach Bill Snyder loves to have his team embrace, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games.

Iowa State (7-4) looks to build off their 23-13 win at Baylor last week as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cyclones are then 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Iowa State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 20 points. The Cyclones have been capable road warriors who are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Iowa State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 meetings with the Wildcats, the Cyclones are 4-1-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-9-9 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Big 12 Game of the Year with the Iowa State Cyclones (163) plus the points versus the Kansas State Wildcats (164). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (226) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (225). Alabama (11-0) enters the Iron Bowl still undefeated with their 56-0 win over Mercer last week as a 49.5-point favorite. But the Crimson Tide have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And this Alabama team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last contest. This team is typically overvalued by the betting public given the great success they have enjoyed under head coach Nick Saban. But this year’s group has some flaws. Their defense is banged up a bit. And sophomore QB Jalen Hurts has not shown the ability to offer a consistent threat in their vertical passing game. This lack of diversity on offense will hurt them on the road against a quality opponent (like it did at Mississippi State). It is telling that Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Crimson Tide has failed to cover the point spread 4 times. Interestingly, Saban has lost all six of his games as a head coach — three with Alabama and three with LSU — when facing an Auburn that finishes the year with at least nine wins.

Auburn (9-2) enters this game coming off an easy 42-14 win over UL-Monroe last week as a 38-point favorite. The Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Auburn is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Tigers rolled up 552 yards of offense last week, they are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. QB Jarrett Stidham has been outstanding over his last three games where he has 8 TD passes and just one interception while averaging over 200 passing YPG. The Tigers’ two losses this season were close games against LSU and Clemson. Auburn is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against SEC opponents. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 of these games. 20* CFB Alabama-Auburn CBS-TV Special with the Auburn Tigers (226) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (225). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Nevada Wolf Pack (182) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (181). Nevada (2-9) has lost four of their last five games with their 42-23 loss at San Diego State last week. Now this team returns home to close out their season in a rivalry game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Wolf Pack have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Nevada QB Ty Gangi completed 33 of his 54 passes for 414 yards and three TD passes in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after passing at least 280 yards in their last game. The Wolf Pack have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 12 games in the month of November, Nevada is 8-3-1 ATS.

UNLV (5-6) has won three of their last four games with their 38-35 upset win at Nevada last week as a 2.5-point underdog. The Runnin’ Rebels have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 15 road games after a win against a conference rival. And while UNLV has played two straight Overs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 22 road games after playing two straight Overs. And the Rebels have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after winning two of their last three games. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games against teams with a losing record at home. Lastly, in their last 7 trips to Reno to face Nevada, UNLV has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Nevada Wolf Pack (182) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (181). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (168) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (167). Georgia (10-1) has a date with the Alabama-Auburn winner next week regardless of the outcome of this game — but they risk looking ahead to that showdown in lieu of their in-state rival in a competition that they perhaps do not take quite as seriously as does their opponent. Facing the unique spread triple option of the Paul Johnson Yellow Jackets’ offense is not the attack to take lightly in practice during the week — and that is why many programs with big ambitions like to schedule Georgia Tech with an extra week of practice. The Bulldogs used to schedule Georgia Southern to help them prepare for this game since they used to run a similar offense — but this will be the first spread triple option attack this defense has seen all season. Georgia enters this game coming off their 42-13 win over Kentucky last week — but they are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Bulldogs held the Wildcats to just 262 yards of offense in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

Georgia Tech (5-5) looks to bounce-back from their 43-20 upset loss at Duke last Saturday. The Yellow Jackets have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while Georgia Tech allowed 500 yards to the Blue Devils, they are also 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Yellow Jackets return home where they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record , Georgia Tech is 7-1-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-17-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Georgia-Georgia Tech ABC-TV Special with the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (168) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (167). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Methodist Mustangs (204) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (203). SMU (6-5) looks to bounce-back from their 66-45 loss at Memphis last week. The Mustangs need a win after losing their last three games — but they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. Defense is definitely a concern for this SMU team that surrendered 664 yards to the Tigers last week. The Mustangs do have the benefit of having practiced and played against another triple option team two weeks ago when they faced Navy. SMU has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record, the Mustangs have covered the point spread in 7 of these games.

Tulane (5-6) has won two straight games with their 20-17 upset win over Houston as a 9.5-point underdog. The Green Wave have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Tulane has also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 30 road gams after winning at least two straight games. The Green Wave allowed 220 rushing yards to the Cougars in that victory — and they are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 200 yards rushing in their last game. Now Tulane goes back on the road where they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. 10* CFB Tulane-SMU CBS Sports Network Special with the Southern Methodist Mustangs (204) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (203). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (153) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (154). Michigan (8-3) limps into The Game coming off a 24-10 loss at Wisconsin last week as a 6.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for the Wolverines, they lost their redshirt freshman quarterback Brandon Peters to a concussion in that game (which likely also cost them the point spread cover — and perhaps even an outright victory). Peters has not practiced this week with head coach Jim Harbaugh mum on who will be under center for his offense. The answer is likely John O’Korn despite the fact that the 5th year senior has been completely ineffective operating the passing game after he took over for the injured Wilton Spright. The fundamental problem for O’Korn is his inability to grasp the skills in reading progressions after his primary initial receiver. The book was written on O’Korn by the end of his freshman season at Houston — and it is the reason he was eventually benched his sophomore year. And despite Quarterback Camps and transferring to play for the Quarterback Whisperer in Harbaugh, O’Korn simply has not been able to develop this skill. It happens. But now defenses can cheat in coverage and in stacking the box to stop the run based off his initial movements — and this gives opposing defenses too much of an advantage because O’Korn has not shown the ability to burn them. As it is, Michigan is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. And while the Wolverines managed just 234 yards of offense against the Badgers, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards of offense. The Big House has not been much of an advantage for this team as of late either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Wolverines are 0-3-1 ATS.

Ohio State (9-2) enters this game with plenty at stake with a victory ensuring them a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game against Wisconsin where a victory there will put them in a very good position to find their way into the College Football Playoff. QB J.T. Barrett cost his team with interceptions in their bad loss on the road at Iowa. Not only do I expect Barrett to play better in this rivalry game in his senior season but head coach Urban Meyer will likely emphasize running the football behind a very motivated sophomore running back Mike Weber from Detroit who spurned the Wolverines in a recruiting battle to attend Ohio State. The Buckeyes enter this game coming off their 52-14 win over Illinois last week in a game where their defense held the Illini to just 105 yards of offense. Ohio State is then 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their last game. The Buckeyes are also 45-24-1 ATS in their last 70 games on the road — and they are 37-15-1 ATS in their last 53 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. Lastly, not only have the Buckeyes covered the point spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 trips to Ann Arbor. 25* CFB Rivalry Game of the Month with the Ohio State Buckeyes (153) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (141) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (142). Texas Tech (5-6) has lost five of their last six games with their 27-3 loss to TCU last week as a 6.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders still have plenty to play for in this game as not only would a win make them bowl eligible at 6-6 (after missing bowl game last year) but it would also avenge a 45-37 loss to their arch rival Texas from last season. Texas Tech actually outgained the Horned Frogs by 38 net yards but were done in by fumbling the ball on their 1-yard line that TCU scooped and landed in the end-zone helped turn the tide the other way. The Red Raiders are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after a double-digit loss at home. Texas Tech is also 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring at least 20 points in their last game. The defense did allow 204 rushing yards to the Horned Frogs — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. And in their last 13 games in the month of November, Texas Tech has covered the point spread 9 times.

Texas (6-5) comes off a 28-14 upset win at West Virginia last Saturday as a 3-point underdog. But now officially bowl eligible, this team might suffer a bit of a letdown when facing this team they earned one of their five wins against last season. The Longhorns are not as comfortable as of late as the favorite either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 home games when laying 7.5 to 10 points. Additionally, Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. And in their last 4 games played on a Friday night, the Longhorns have failed to cover the point spread in all 4 contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-37-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (141) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (120) plus the points versus the Virginia Tech Hokies (119). Virginia Tech (8-3) survived a 20-14 win over Pittsburgh last week despite seeing the Panthers on their 1-yard line with a first down late in that game before their defense stepped up to save that game. The Hokies defense surrendered 311 yards to a freshman QB in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now this game goes on the road where their defense is allowing an uncharactertic 409.4 total YPG for a defense coached by coordinator Bud Carson. Virginia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Hokies have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow ACC opponents. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Virginia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these contests. 

10* CFB play on Virginia plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (137) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (138). Central Florida (10-0) remained unbeaten last week with their 45-19 win in Temple — but the game could have been much closer than what that final score suggests. The Knights benefited from a +5 net turnover margin to easily overcome actually being outgained by the Owls in that game. Central Florida carries with them the pressure of not only staying undefeated but the risk of significant disappointment of not even reaching the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with a loss to this dangerous Bulls team. As it is, the Knights are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And while Central Florida has scored at least 31 points in all ten of their games this season, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10g ames after scoring at least 31 points in at least five straight games. Additionally, the Knights are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

South Florida (9-1) has the advantage of two extra days of rest and preparation for this game as they come off a 27-20 win over Tulsa last Thursday. The Bulls have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 home games after a win at home. And while South Florida enjoyed a 24-17 halftime lead against the Golden Hurricanes, they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first-half of their last game. The Bulls are undefeated on the road where they have outscored their home hosts by +18.3 PPG while outgaining them by +172.3 net YPG — so they will be a very tough out for the Knights this afternoon. South Florida has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games against conference opponents. The Bulls have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 9 games on the month of November, South Florida has covered the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 61-27-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB South Florida-Central Florida ABC-TV Special with the South Florida Bulls (137) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (138). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (126) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (125). Arkansas (4-7) will likely be playing their last game for head coach Bret Bielema who may be relieved of his coaching duties with the program after another disappointing season. Bielema is popular with his players so they should be motivated to play well for their coach on the hot seat. The Razorbacks will also have revenge on their mind against this Mizzou team against which they blew a late 4th quarter lead in a 28-24 loss last November 25th. Arkansas enters this game coming off a 28-21 loss to Mississippi State last week — but they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. The Razorbacks only rushed for only 97 yards in that loss to the Bulldogs — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Furthermore, Arkansas has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Missouri (6-5) has won five games in a row with their 45-17 win at Vanderbilt last week. But the Tigers have then failed to over the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win. Mizzou has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. Now the Tigers go back on the road where they are being outgained by -11.5 net YPG this season. Missouri has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games on the road. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points. 10* CFB Missouri-Arkansas CBS-TV Special with the Arkansas Razorbacks (126) plus the points versus the Missouri Tigers (125). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (123) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (124). Ohio (8-3) controlled their own destiny to win the MAC East Division title — but that all went away with their 37-34 upset loss at Akron last week. The Zips then went on to clinch the East with a victory on Tuesday — so this Bobcats team will be playing for pride and for positioning for a bowl game next month. But look for Frank Solich’s team to rebound with a strong effort to close out their Mid-American Conference schedule. Ohio has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. The Bobcats had covered the point spread in their three previous games before their upset loss last week — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, the Bobcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as a favorite laying 3.5 to 10 points.

Buffalo (5-6) enters this game coming off their 40-24 win at Ball State as a 17.5-point favorite last week. The Bulls have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a double-digit victory over a conference rival. Buffalo did average 8.43 Yards-Per-Play in their victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after averaging at least 7.25 YPP in their last game. Lastly, Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played in the month of November. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster on the Ohio Bobcats (123) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Panthers (132) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (131). Miami (FL) (10-0) cannot afford to lose a game or risk losing their spot in the College Playoffs. A loss in this game to a 4-7 Pitt team would like keep the Hurricanes out of the Top Four even if they were to move on to defeat Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. This will be the first game that this Miami team will have played in mild weather since playing in Chapel Hill just before Halloween — and that was just a 5-point win against a struggling North Carolina team. The Hurricanes have since enjoyed a favorable schedule with all three of their games at home. Unfortunately for Mark Richt’s team, they tend to play down to the level of competition. Besides that narrow win over the Tar Heels, Miami only defeated Syracuse by 8 points while winning in the final moments against both Florida State and Georgia Tech. Even in their 44-28 win over Virginia last week, they were outgained by 81 yards and needed a 30-yard interception returned for a touchdown to help them overcome two separate 14-point deficits. The Miami run defense has not allowed more than 109 yards in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games after not allowing more than 125 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Hurricanes are actually being outgained on the road by -7.3 net YPG which makes them precarious double-digit road favorites now. Additionally, Miami (FL) has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against ACC opponents.

Pittsburgh (4-7) has lost two straight games by just 3 and 6 points in their last two games with their 20-14 loss at Virginia Tech as a 14-point underdog last week. Pitt almost pulled the upset in that game as they had 1st-and-Goal at the 1-yard line late in that game but failed to reach the end zone. The Panthers have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing two straight games to conference rivals by 7 points or less. Freshman QB Kenny Pickett had a good showing for himself against a tough Bud Foster-coached defense as he completed 15 of 23 passes for 242 yards in the effort. Overall, the Panthers passed for 311 yards in that game — and they are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Lastly, Pitt is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. 10* CFB Miami (FL)-Pittsburgh ABC-TV Special with the Pittsburgh Panthers (132) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (131). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (121) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (122). Northern Illinois (8-3) still has an outside chance to win the MAC West title and play in next Friday’s Mid-American Conference Championship Game with a victory in this game along with a loss by Toledo in their game concurrently going on with Western Michigan. The Huskies have won two straight games since their loss to the Rockets after their 35-31 win over Western Michigan as an 8.5-point favorite. Northern Illinois has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Huskies rushed for 248 yards in that victory — and they are then 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Northern Illinois averages 191.8 rushing YPG — and they should have success running the football against this Chippewas defense that ranks 98th in the FBS by allowing 195.5 rushing YPG. Ground games travel which is one of the reasons why Northern Illinois is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Huskies have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 road games when favored by 3 points or less. And in their last 21 games in the month of November, Northern Illinois is 14-6-1 ATS.

Central Michigan (7-4) looks to build off their 42-23 win at Kent State last week as a 17-point favorite. QB Shane Morris completed 14 of 22 passes for 297 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. But the Chippewas were outgained by 44 yards in that victory due to giving up 320 passing yards to the lowly Golden Flashes — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Despite their 7-4 record, Central Michigan is only outgaining their opponents by +3.4 net YPG. The Chippewas were fortunate to win all three of their games decided by one scoring possession. Central Michigan has not enjoyed much of a home field advantage either as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, the Huskies will be playing with revenge on their minds from a 34-28 loss at home to the Chippewas last season. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Game of the Year on the Northern Illinois Huskies (121) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (112) minus the points versus the New York Giants (111). Washington (4-6) looks to bounce-back from their heartbreaking 34-31 overtime loss in New Orleans last Sunday. The Skins have rebounded to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. That loss may have cost this Washington team a realistic shot of making the playoffs — but after being riddled with injuries all season, one consistent characteristic of this group which has been epitomized by QB Kirk Cousins has been their resiliency. Look for the benefit of playing this game at home on a short week to help this team tonight where they are outgaining their opponent by +60.4 net YPG. The Skins have played two straight high-scoring games where 65 and 68 combined points have been scored — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least two straight games where at least 30 combined points were scored. Washington did allow 375 passing yards last week to the Saints — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. And while the Skins have not covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then covered the point spread in 36 of their last 59 games after failing to cover the spread in five or six of their last seven games — including three straight. Washington has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in the month of November. The Skins have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. And they will be looking to avenge a 19-10 upset loss to the Giants back on January 1st despite being a 9.5-point favorite in that game.

New York (2-8) responded to personal meetings and pleas from head coach Ben McAdoo last week as they pulled a 12-9 upset in overtime as a 10-point underdog to Kansas City last week. That snapped a three-game losing streak but it looks to difficult for this team to keep up that level of intensity in a lost season when now playing on the road on a short week when they all would rather be celebrating Thanksgiving. As it is, the Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. And while the Giants benefited from a +2 net turnover margin against the Chiefs, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a net turnover margin of +2 or more in their last game. That is not a good characteristic for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. Furthermore, New York has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against fellow NFC opponents. Additionally, the Giants have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Lastly, while the Skins are hit hard with injuries, the situation for McAdoo’s team may be worse with Justin Pugh and D.J. Fluker out on what was already a suspect offensive line headlining their rash of injuries on both sides of the football. 25* NFL NFC East Game of the Month with the Washington Redskins (112) minus the points versus the New York Giants (111). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Mississippi Rebels (113) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (114). Ole Miss (5-6) imposed a bowl ban on themselves to help mitigate the probable sanctions coming from the NCAA in the aftermath of the Hugh Freeze era — so this year’s Egg Bowl is their proverbial bowl game as they close out this season. The Rebels will be looking to take the bad taste out of their mouth last week where they had a 24-21 lead over Texas A&M at halftime before losing to the Aggies by a 24-21 score. Mississippi has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. The Rebels have also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after a loss to a conference rival. This Ole Miss team will be playing with revenge on their minds after getting upset by the Bulldogs last season by a 55-20 score despite being a 10-point favorite. This team can put up points as they rank 20th in the FBS by averaging 472.1 total YPG led by a passing attack that averages 335.8 passing YPG which is 7th in the nation. Junior QB Jordan Ta’amu has been capable since taking over under center for the injured Shea Patterson. He is averaging a robust 9.5 Yards-Per-Attempt while completing 69.5% of his passes. The Rebels have covered the point spread in expected high scoring games where the Total is set at least at 63. Mississippi has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 road games as an underdog getting 14.5 to 21 points.

Mississippi State (8-3) enters this game coming off a 28-21 win at Arkansas on Saturday as a 14-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite Mississippi State has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Bulldogs have failed to over the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a game on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win on the road. This team has a high profile win over LSU as well as a high-profile loss two weeks ago at home versus Alabama — but this team is also the only team Power-Five conference team with only seven opponents against fellow Power Five opponents. This Mississippi State team has played two independents (BYU and UMass) as well as a Group of Five team (Louisiana Tech) and an FCS school (Charleston Southern — so perhaps their ranking as the highest-rated three-loss team speaks more about the Playoff Committees’ desire to prop up Alabama, Georgia and Auburn. This team has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 37 games as a favorite laying 10.5 to 21 points. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on a Thursday night. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of these encounters. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-57 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Ole Miss-Mississippi State ESPN Special with the Mississippi Rebels (113) plus the points versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs (114). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (110) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (109). Dallas (5-5) looks to pick themselves off the mat on a short week after their 37-9 loss on Sunday night against the Eagles. The Cowboys have rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss at home by at least three touchdowns. Dallas endured a -4 net turnover margin in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a game where they had a net turnover margin of -4 or worse. The Cowboys have also covered the point spread in 27 of their last 41 games after allowing at least 35 points in their last game. This loss came on the heels of their 27-7 loss in Atlanta. The Cowboys have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after two straight losses by at least two touchdowns — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to score double-digits in two straight games. I did wait until this morning to make my final call on this game as I awaited the status on left tackle Tyron Smith who has been the last two games. The Twitter Machine gave signs that Smith was planning on playing this afternoon — and the lack of contradicting information makes me think he will take the field to bolster this Cowboys offensive line. His presence will help both the rushing attack as well as protect QB Dak Prescott who has been sacked 12 times in the last two games. It is not often that Dallas finds themselves as home underdogs as they do given the line movement on this game — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 34 games as a home dog getting 7 or less points. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Cowboys have covered the point spread 5 times.

Los Angeles (4-6) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 54-34 blowout win over the Bills on Sunday. The Chargers were the beneficiaries of the Nathan Peterman Interception Show as the rookie threw five interceptions (to my grave frustration still expecting a conservative game plan from the Bills with their strong defense and rushing attack). Now everywhere I turn, this Los Angeles team is the trendy pick to catch the Kansas City Chiefs and win the AFC West. Don’t be surprised if this team suffers an emotional letdown on the road on this short week. As it is, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a straight-up win. Los Angeles is also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Chargers gained 429 yards against the Bills defense — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Run defense is a serious issue for this team as they rank last in the NFL by allowing 138.9 rushing YPG. The formula for success for Dallas is to get back to rushing the football behind a capable veteran runner in Alfred Morris against this suspect run defense that helps their opponents control the Time of Possession for over 31 Minutes Per Game. The Chargers surrendered 393 yards of offense last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. 20* NFL LA Chargers-Dallas CBS-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (110) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (109). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (107) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (108). Detroit (6-4) has won three straight games with their 27-24 win at Chicago on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. The Lions won that game despite being outgained by 46 yards in that contest. Detroit scored on a 27-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown to overcome that yardage differential — and they were fortunate to see the Bears miss a game-tying field goal as regulation time expired. Frankly, the Lions have benefited from facing three of the worst QBs in the league right now in rookie Mitch Trubisky with the Bears along with Deshone Kizer against the winless Browns and Brett Hundley with the Packers. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. QB Matthew Stafford has clearly raised his play to another level over the last few seasons. And the team has a great kicker in Matt Prater. But, man, that is about it. The Lions’ run defense has collapsed with the season-ending injury to defensive tackle Haloti Ngata. Over their last two games, they have allowed 423 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns — and they have allowed six rushing touchdowns over their last three games. The Detroit run defense has also allowed seventeen rushes of more than ten yards in their last two games after allowing just twelve rushes of more than ten yards in their first eight games of the season. The Bears rushed for 222 yards against them last week — and the Lions have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 home games after allowing at least 175 yards in their last game. Then on offense, this team remains completely a mess when it comes to attempting to establish a credible rushing attack. The Lions are only rushing the football in 40% of their offensive plays — and they are averaging just 3.4 Yards-Per-Carry. The lack of a fullback and their reliance on a tight end in Eric Ebron who is not a good blocker has left this team reliant on a thin offensive line and a set of running backs who lack size. This is a terrible mix when now facing a stout Vikings defense that ranks 5th in the NFL by allowing 290.5 total YPG. The Lions did gain 352 yards against Chicago last week — but they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And in their last 7 games at home, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests.

Minnesota (8-2) will be facing a Lions’ team that defeated them last Thanksgiving by a 16-13 score. Detroit has won their last four games on Thanksgiving — but this will be motivated Vikings team that looks to destined for the playoffs that will be looking to avenge a 14-17 loss to this Lions team back on October 1st. Minnesota has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road game when playing with revenge from a loss where they scored no more than 14 points. The Vikings enter this game coming off a 24-7 win over the Rams — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 28 games after a straight-up win. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. Look for the Vikings ground game to run all over this Lions’ run defense that is faltering without Ngata anchoring things in the middle. The Vikings rushed for 171 yards against the Rams — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Together, these team trends produce our specific 96-22 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Minnesota-Detroit Fox-TV Special with the Minnesota Vikings (107) minus the points versus the Detroit Lions (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Red Hawks (105) minus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (106). Miami (OH) (4-7) has lost two of their last three games after their 27-24 upset loss to Eastern Michigan last Wednesday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Red Hawks have now failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. Miami (OH) now goes on the road where they are just 1-4 this season — but they are outgaining their opponents by +19.4 net YPG despite winning just once away from home. The Red Hawks have covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record at home. Miami (OH) has also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range — including covering the point spread in four of their last five games with the Total in that range.

Ball State (2-9) enters this game coming off a 40-24 loss to Buffalo last Thursday — so they are playing on a very short five-day week. The Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Ball State has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of the last 13 games are a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Ball State surrendered 565 yards in that loss to the Bulls — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 36 of their last 53 games on their home field. Additionally, Ball State has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in the month of November. Lastly, the Cardinals close out their season tonight having failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against conference opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 121-41 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Miami (OH) Red Hawks (105) minus the points versus the Ball State Cardinals (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Bowling Green Falcons (103) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (104). Bowling Green (2-9) has lost two straight games with their 66-37 loss to Toledo last Wednesday as a 17-point underdog. The Falcons have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a conference opponent. Bowling Green has endured a -1 net turnover margin in each of their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 21 games after suffering a -1 net turnover margin in at least two straight games. The Falcons have exceeded expectations when on the road as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 35 road games in the month of November, Bowling Green has covered the point spread in 24 of these games.

Eastern Michigan (4-7) has won two of their last three games with their 27-24 upset win at Miami (OH) last Wednesday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after a close win by 3 points or less — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in six of their last nine games after a loss by a field goal or less against a conference rival. Eastern Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 52 games after a straight-up win. The Eagles averaged 6.49 Yards-Per-Play against the Red Hawks in that victory last week — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Lastly, Eastern Michigan does not retain a strong home field advantage. Not only have the Eagles failed to cover the point spread in 39 of their last 58 games at home but they have also failed to cover the point spread in nine of their last twelve home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 182-68 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Bowling Green Falcons (103) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (476) plus (or minus) the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (475). Seattle (6-3) has won five of their last six games with their 22-16 win at Arizona back on November 9th. This Seahawks team is battered with injuries with Richard Sherman and like Kam Chancellor likely out the season. But the team still has QB Russell Wilson and the group does have the benefit of having eleven days off to rest and prepare for this game. Seattle has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And while the Seahawks have held their last two opponents to just 34 and 51 rushing yards in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in each of their last two games. Seattle is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of November. And in their last 11 games played on Monday Night Football, the Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS.

Atlanta (5-4) has won two of their last three games after their defeated a depleted Cowboys team last week by a 27-7 score. Dallas is simply a weak football team without the services of running back Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith — so that win needs to be taken with a few grains of salt. We have the Falcons in that game (our 25* NFC Game of the Month) so were very happy with their blowout victory — but Atlanta has then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Atlanta has also played failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Falcons held the Cowboys to just 233 yards of offense in that victory — and they have then gone 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games on the road, Atlanta has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-28-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month is with the Seattle Seahawks (476) plus (or minus) the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (475). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (474) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (473). Dallas (5-4) limps into this game coming off an ugly 27-7 loss in Atlanta last week. I am well aware of the challenges this Cowboys team faces this week with losses of key personnel. Dallas is not only without running back Ezekiel Elliott who is serving the second game of his six-game suspension. The Cowboys are also without their best defensive player in Sean Lee along with perhaps the best left tackle in the game in Tyron Smith. Chaz Green attempted to take his place last week and failed miserably as the Falcons registered eight sacks in that game — that was one of the reasons why Atlanta was our 25* NFC Game of the Month. Green will not be relied on at left tackle in this game — but don’t be surprised if he is still on the field perhaps as a third tight end with the Cowboys looking to add blockers on the offensive line in this game. Dallas is in trouble with their missing pieces, the Elliott suspension and this now being the first of three games over the next eleven days over the Thanksgiving Holiday. Expect the Cowboys to come out as the proverbial “wounded animal” and play very well with their season on the line. Dallas has rebounded to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. And while the Cowboys had won their previous three games before their loss to Atlanta last week, they have then covered the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games after winning three of their last four games. And in their last 13 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points, Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of these contests.

Philadelphia (8-1) has won seven straight games after their 51-23 win over Denver back on November 5th. The bye week may have come at the worst time for this Eagles team that has been almost universally heralded as the best team in football. As it is, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after their bye week. And while the Eagles held the Broncos to just 226 yards of offense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 yards in their last game. Philadelphia had scored at least 34 points in their last three games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after scoring at least 30 points in three straight games. Moving forward, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of November. And in their last 6 games against fellow NFC foes, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. 10* NFL Philadelphia-Dallas NBC-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (474) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (472) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (471). Oakland (4-5) will be playing with a strong sense of desperation given their 4-5 record in the AFC playoff race. They enter this game coming off their 27-24 win in Miami back on November 5th. The Raiders should benefit from the extra week off to rest and prepare for this game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after their bye week. Oakland did surrender 395 yards of offense against the Dolphins — but they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Raiders did shut down the Miami rushing attack as they managed only 86 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, Oakland is 3-1-1 ATS.

New England (7-2) enters this game coming off 41-16 win at Denver last Sunday night. The Patriots have been practicing in Colorado Springs all week to get used to the higher altitude with this game being played on a neutral field in Mexico City. The Raiders have an advantage here having played and won a game in Mexico City last year against the Texans. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played in Weeks 10-13 of the regular season where they tend to become overvalued by zealous bettors. Asking the Pats to cover the point spread by at least a touchdown on a neutral field against a desperate team that was in the playoffs last year might be too much to ask. Lastly, the Raiders are supported by an empirical underdog angle that has been 75% effective over the last ten seasons. Oakland has been beaten by the point spread by 56.5 combined points over their last seven games — and underdogs in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range who have been beaten by the point spread by at least 49 points over their last seven games have then covered the point spread in 27 of the last 36 games if playing in the month of November. 10* NFL New England-Oakland CBS-TV Special with the Oakland Raiders (472) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (470) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (469). Denver (3-6) has lost five straight games after their embarrassing 41-16 loss to New England last Sunday night. The Broncos were only outgained by 57 yards in that game which typically indicates a closer game — but everything went wrong for this Denver team that blew this game (and our big play with the Under) due to terrible special teams play. John Elway labeled his team “soft” after that game — and his calling out his personnel should motivate the team to erase their losing streak and get back into the winning column as they are all playing for their jobs. As it is, the Broncos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss at home by at least three touchdowns. And while Denver has not covered the point spread in six of their last seven games, the Broncos have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Denver has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And while the “No Fly Zone” defense allowed Tom Brady to pass for 266 yards in that game, the Broncos have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Despite giving up 92 points in their last two games, this Denver defense still ranks 5th in the NFL by allowing only 293.6 total YPG.

Cincinnati (3-6) has lost two games in a row themselves with their 24-20 loss at Tennessee last week. This is the Bengals’ third straight game on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. This Cincinnati team is struggling on both sides of the football. Over their last four games, the Bengals are averaging just 227.8 total YPG. On defense, Cincy allowed the Titans to generate 180 rushing yards en route to their 416 total yards. The Bengals have ten failed to her the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Cincinnati was outrushed by 127 yards to Tennessee in that loss — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after getting outrushed by at least 75 yards. 3rd Down defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed their last three opponents to convert on 55.1% of their 3rd downs. This is a terrible spot for a team falling in the wrong direction on the road for a third consecutive week. 25* NFL AFC Game of the Month on the Denver Broncos (470) minus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (467) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (468). Buffalo (5-4) looks to pick themselves off the mat after their humiliating 47-10 loss at home to New Orleans last week. The Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss by at leas two touchdowns. Head coach Sean McDermott has decided to bench Tyrod Taylor to go with rookie Nate Peterman as his starting quarterback with the hope that the team can get off to better starts on offense with Peterman’s ability to throw the ball down the field to improve their vertical passing game. The former Pittsburgh Panthers’ QB completed 7 of 10 passes for 79 yards and a TD in relief against the Saints last week. Buffalo only had 129 passing yards last week — but they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Bills finished with just 198 yards of total offense last week — and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. 

Los Angeles (3-6) has lost two straight games after they blew a late lead in Jacksonville with their 20-17 loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Los Angeles defense surrendered 398 yards to Blake Bortles and the Jags’ offense — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Veteran QB Philip Rivers has passed the concussion protocol for this game — but the team has lost four games decided by 3 points or less under his leadership after losing a bunch of close games last season. The Chargers rushed for just 87 yards in that loss — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. The Chargers do return home but that has not been an advantage as they have not been able to attract a large following of fans to attend games at the StubHub Stadium. They have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Buffalo Bills (467) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (460) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (459). Minnesota (7-2) has won five straight games with their 38-30 win at Washington as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. The Vikings have then covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 32 games after a point spread victory. Minnesota is getting inspired play from QB Case Keenum who might have played his best game as a professional last week by completing 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards and four TD passes. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the stout Minnesota defense surrendered 394 yards in that contest, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Since Week 4 of the regular season, the Vikings are allowing only 270 YPG which is second best in the NFL. Now Minnesota returns home where they have covered the pint spread in 21 of their last 27 games which includes covering the point spread in ten of their last eleven home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Los Angeles (7-2) has won four games in a row with their 33-7 win over the Texans last Sunday. The Rams generated 443 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cove the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The final score was not indicative of just how close that game was (or could have been) with a Houston team that could not get anything going on offense with Tom Savage at QB. Los Angeles went into halftime with just a 9-7 lead — and they only won the first down battle by a 19-17 margin. The Rams have benefited from a light strength of schedule so far this year. Their two losses to Seattle and Washington featured team with explosive threats at wide receiver. This LA defense will be challenged this afternoon by Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs in Vikings’ wide receiving group. Moving forward, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 expected close gams where ethyl were listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, Los Angeles is just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games against fellow NFC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 118-29-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Rams-Vikings Afternoon Special with the Minnesota Vikings (460) minus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (459). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (452) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (451). Chicago (3-6) looks to bounce-back from their 23-16 upset loss at home to Green Bay last week as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bears have rebounded to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. They are getting better play out of rookie QB Mitch Trubisky who completed 21 of 35 passes for 297 yards and a TD pass against the Packers defense. In his last two starts at home in Soldier Field, Trubisky has averaged a 9.62 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt ratio along with a Passer Rating of 99.7. Chicago remains a tough team when playing at home as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in five straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also covered then point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Chicago has covered the point spread 6 times.

Detroit (5-4) enters this game coming off their 38-24 victory over Cleveland last week. The Lions are then just 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit has not been very good against the Bears against which they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 encounters. QB Matthew Stafford is just 3-5 against the Bears in his eight starts in Chicago while passing for just nine TD passes but throwing 11 interceptions and getting sacked 21 times. To compound matters, the Lions are struggling to stop the run as they have allowed 136.8 rushing YPG in their last four games. Detroit will also be without defensive lineman Ziggy Ansah who is out with an injury for this game. Moving forward, the Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record. And in Detroit’s last 14 games played on grass, they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 78-24-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* NFL NFC North Underdog of the Month with the Chicago Bears (452) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (451). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Texas Mean Green (404) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (403). North Texas (7-3) looks to build off their 45-10 win over UTEP last week as a 23.5-point favorite. The Mean Green has then covered the point spread in 4 of rather last 5 games after a straight-up win. North Texas is also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team stays at home with the opportunity to avenge their 38-31 overtime loss to the Black Knights in last year’s Heart of Dallas Bowl. The Mean Green are a perfect 5-0 at home with an averaging winning margin of +18.6 PPG due to an offense that scores 44.8 PPG along with averaging 517.8 total YPG. North Texas is outgaining their visitors by +84.4 net YPG on their home field. The Mean Green have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. North Texas has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against non-conference opponents.

Army (8-2) followed up their 21-0 upset win at Air Force two weeks ago with an upset 21-16 win over Duke last week as a 3.5-point underdog. The Black Knights have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And in their last 6 games after covering the point spread in at least two of their last three games, Army has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-25-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the North Texas Mean Green (404) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (403). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (323) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (324). Georgia (9-1) saw their perfect season go up in flames last week as they were thoroughly dominated at Auburn by a 40-17 score. They were outgained by -258 yards in that game as their defense surrendered 488 yards to the Tigers. Expect the Bulldogs to be flat in this game after seeing their proverbial bubble burst. That game finished above the 48 point Total installed for that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight home games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. The Bulldogs committed only one turnover in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after committing one turnover or less in their last game. Additionally, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. And the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games when laying more than three touchdowns. And in their last 4 games in the month of November, Georgia has failed to cover the point spread all 4 times.

Kentucky (7-3) looks to build off their 44-21 upset win at Vanderbilt last week as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats outrushed the Commodores by 172 net yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after outrushing their last opponent by at least 125 yards in their last game. Now Kentucky stays on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Wildcats have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road overall. Lastly, Kentucky has covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games as the underdog. 10* CFB Kentucky-Georgia CBS-TV Special with the Kentucky Wildcats (323) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (354) minus the points versus the Charlotte 49ers (353). Southern Miss (6-4) looks to build off their last 43-34 win at Rice last week. The Golden Eagles got the offense cranking by averaging 7.72 Yards-Per-Play for 517 total yards of offense against the Owls. Southern Miss has then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Golden Eagles have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last game. And in their last 9 games played on field turf, Southern Miss has covered the point spread 6 times. This team is dominating their opponents by averaging a +106.2 net YPG advantage so far this season. At home, the Golden Eagles are holding their opponents to just 299.6 total YPG.

Charlotte (1-9) comes off a 35-21 loss to Middle Tennessee in their last game. The 49ers had then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a loss at home. And while Charlotte allowed 202 rushing yards in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, while that game with the Blue Raiders finished Over the 50 point Total, the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a game that finished Over the Total. Charlotte has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after losing at least two straight to conference rivals. Furthermore, the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 57-25 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (354) minus the points versus the Charlotte 49ers (353). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (415) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (416). Michigan (8-2) plays the role of spoilers this afternoon. They are the best team that this Badgers team most difficult non-conference scheduled opponent turned out to be an awful BYU team before a light Big Ten conference schedule that avoided Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan State our of the East Division. The Wolverines have the 3rd best defense in the nation with only 254.8 total YPG allowed despite having already played the Nittany Lions and Spartans. They enter this game coming off a 35-10 win at Maryland last week. Michigan is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The offense has picked up since senior John O’Korn was benched for redshirt freshman Brandon Peters. The book had grown large on defending O’Korn who failed to develop the ability check-off his primary initial receiver. With Peters under center, the defense has had to defend the entire field again which has opened up the Wolverines ground game again. Over their last three games since Peters took over the starting QB job, Michigan is scoring 34.3 PPG while averaging 401.0 total YPG. He only needed to complete 9 of 18 passes for 145 yards with two TDs and no interceptions against the Terrapins — and the Wolverines are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after failing to pass for at least 170 passing yards in their last game. Michigan held Maryland to just 160 passing yards in their victory — and they are then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Wolverines are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Wisconsin (10-0) dominated Iowa in their 38-14 win over the Hawkeyes last week as a 12.5-pint favorite. But the Badgers are then 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by at least 20 points — and they are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Wisconsin has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a point spread win as a double-digit favorite. And in their last 10 games after scoring at least 37 points, the Badgers have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these contests. Wisconsin has played their last two games Over the Total — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing at least two straight Overs. This team is a precarious favorite against very good teams considering they have committed 19 turnovers. Unfortunately for the Badgers, it is their best players making these mistakes as QB Alex Hornbook with 12 interceptions and freshman running back Jonathan Taylor has six fumbles. Wisconsin is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And while the Badgers host this game, they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. 10* CFB Michigan-Wisconsin Fox-TV Special with the Michigan Wolverines (415) plus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (416). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Virginia Cavaliers (375) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (376). Miami (FL) (9-0) played their best game of the season last Saturday night in their emotional 41-8 upset win over Notre Dame. Look for this Hurricanes team to suffer a letdown after winning two big games at home against the Irish and Virginia Tech in the previous game. Miami has covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Remember, before playing beyond expectations in these last two games, the Hurricanes won four straight games decided by just one possession against Syracuse, North Carolina, Georgia Tech and Florida State who are not exactly the Murderer’s Row. Defense has been the calling card for Mike Richt’s team. They have held their last two opponents to just 109 and 102 rushing yards — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 39 of their last 61 games after not allowing more than 125 rushing yards in two straight games. And while the Hurricanes held the Irish to just 152 passing yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Miami has played seven straight games Under the Total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 games after playing at least two straight Unders.

Virginia (6-4) has lost three of their last four games after their 38-21 loss at Louisville last week as a 13.5-point underdog. But the Cavaliers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss on the road. Virginia has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 17 points. And in their last 12 games after losing two of their last three games, the Cavaliers have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. Virginia needs to shore things up on defense after allowing 493 yards to the Cardinals — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. With senior QB Kurt Benkert, Virginia has an experienced passer who can keep the Cavs competitive. They have covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 17 games as an underdog which includes covering the point spread in eight of their last twelve games as road underdog. Lastly, Virginia has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. 10* CFB Virginia-Miami (FL) ABC-TV Special with the Virginia Cavaliers (375) plus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (376). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (332) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (331). Central Florida (9-0) is one of three undefeated teams left in the FBS after their 49-24 win over UConn last week. The stakes are high for this Knights team — not only do they want to run the table to win the American Athletic Conference but they would also like to represent the non-Power Five schools in one of the New Year’s Six Bowl games while still holding out for an outside chance to make the College Football Playoff if more of the big boys suffer losses. But this is a tough matchup for a team that might be a bit distracted right now. Head coach Scott Frost is subject of rumors regarding the open head coaching openings in Tennessee and Florida. This team also has a huge matchup on deck next Friday with South Florida. And, frankly, the weather will not do this Florida team in favors although the temperature looks to be in the low 50s for this game so it could be worse. As it is, Central Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in the month of November. This team is also just 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Knights failed to cover the massive 39-point line against the Huskies last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. Sophomore QB McKenzie Milton did pass for 311 yards in the win over UConn — but UCF is then 12-27-1 ATS in their last 40 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. The Knights run defense surrendered 212 yards in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game.

Temple (5-5) looks to build off their 35-24 win at Cincinnati last Friday night as a 3-point favorite. The Owls have then covered the point spread in a decisive 35 of their last 52 games after a point spread victory. Temple rushed for 205 yards against the Bearcats defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. The ground game has improved with the insertion of redshirt junior QB Frankie Nutile as the starter over the last three games. Nutile has made the Owls’ passing attack more potent — he completed 19 of 30 passes for 224 yards and a TD pass against Cincinnati while adding another 28 rushing yards with a TD on the ground. Temple is scoring 32.3 PPG over their last three games with Nutile as the starting QB while averaging a robust 442.7 total YPG. The Owls defense has also been solid this season as they are holding their conference opponents -86 YPG below their season average. Temple has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games against conference opponents. The Owls have also covered the point spread in 20 of the last 28 games against teams with a winning record. Now this team returns home where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games. Temple has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games as the underdog — and this includes covering the point spread in 6 straight games at home as the dog. Lastly, the Owls have covered the point spread in 7 straight games in the month of November. 25* CFB American Athletic Conference Underdog of the Year with the Temple Owls (332) plus the points versus the Central Florida Knights (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (320) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (319). New Mexico (3-7) looks to snap their five-game losing streak tonight after their 55-14 loss at Texas A&M last Saturday. The Lobos have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 17 points. And while New Mexico has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Head coach Bob Davie certainly had his team pay close attention to improving their play on defense after they allowed 562 yards to the Aggies. The Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. New Mexico surrendered a whopping 499 passing yards to Texas A&M — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Furthermore, while the Lobos allowed the Aggies to average 8.52 Yards-Per-Play, they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 26 of their last 39 games after allowing at least 7.25 YPP in their last game.

10* CFB play on New Mexico minus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (318) plus the points versus the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (317). Western Kentucky (5-5) has lost three straight games with their 30-23 loss at Marshall as a 10-point underdog last Saturday. The Hilltoppers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Western Kentucky outgained the Thundering Herd on the road by 34 yards in that game but Mike White threw an interception that was returned for a 45-yard touchdown that was the winning difference in that game. It has been a disappointing season for the two-time Conference USA Champions under first-year head Mike Sanford — but this team still looks to get bowl eligible to salvage their season. The Hilltoppers have still covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games in conference play. Despite their 5-5 .500 record, Western Kentucky is outscoring their opponents by +1.3 net PPG while outgaining their opponents by +17.8 net YPG. Behind their senior QB, they are dangerous home underdogs. White leads an offense that ranks 13th in the FBS by averaging 316.4 passing YPG. White has throw at least 41 passes in each of his last three games — and his team has covered the point spread in 5 straight games after playing at least two straight games where they had at least 30 passes. Furthermore, the Hilltoppers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 home games as an underdog of no more than 7 points. And in their last 11 games in the month of November, Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 8 of these contests.

20* CFB play on Western Kentucky plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Pittsburgh Steelers (312) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (311). Pittsburgh (7-2) has won four straight games with their 20-17 win at Indianapolis last week as a 10.5-point favorite. The Steelers are then 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now Pittsburgh returns home after playing their last two games on the road — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on their home field at Heinz Field. Surprisingly, the Steelers have twice as many games on the road as they have at home where they will be playing just their fourth game this season. But Pittsburgh is outgaining their opponents by +132.3 net YPG at home this season based on a stout defense that is holding their opponents to only 243.0 total YPG. The Steelers boast an underrated defense that is allowing just 16.4 PPG along with only 284.4 total YPG which are both 2nd best in the league. Le’Veon Bell rushed for just 80 yards on 26 carries in that game as the Steelers managed just 88 yards in that game — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. This team did flex their muscles on defense as they held the Titans to just 267 total yards of offense. Now Mike Tomlin’s team plays on a short week — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on Thursday Night Football.

Tennessee (6-3) has also won four straight games with their 24-20 win over Cincinnati last week as a 4.5-point favorite. But the Titans are just 14-36-2 ATS in their last 52 games after a straight-up win. Tennessee generated 416 yards of offense in that contest — but they are then 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Titans did allow 255 passing yards in that victory — but they are then 8-20-3 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Despite their 6-3 record, Tennessee is being outscored this season while only outgaining their opponents by +0.4 net YPG. They have played three of their last four games at home but now they go on the road where they are being outscored by -6.3 PPG while being outgained by -43.7 net YPG. The Titans offense has particularly struggled when away from home as they are scoring just 18.2 PPG on the road while averaging only 260.5 total YPG. Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games on the road. And in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Titans have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month with the Pittsburgh Steelers (312) minus the points versus the Tennessee Titans (311). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (305) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (306). Bowling Green (2-8) has lost three of their last four games with their 38-28 loss at Buffalo as a 7-point underdog last Tuesday. The Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread defeat. Bowling Green freshman QB Jarrett Doege did complete 28 of 43 passes for 294 yards with 3 TDs in that game — but the Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now Bowling Green returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games at home — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in four straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Falcons have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games as the underdog, Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

Toledo (8-2) looks to bounce-back from their 38-10 loss at Ohio last Wednesday as a 3-point favorite. The Rockets have rebounded to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after a loss by at least 28 points. Toledo has also covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game.  And while the Rockets allowed 532 yards of offense in that game, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after surrendering at least 450 yards in their last game. Now this team goes on the road still on control of their destiny to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game. Toledo has covered the point spread in 16 of the last 21 games on the road. And in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record, the Rockets have covered the point spread 10 times. 10* CFB Toledo-Bowling Green ESPNU Special with the Toledo Rockets (305) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (307) plus the points versus the Miami (OH) Redhawks (308). Eastern Michigan (3-7) had a started a late drive last Wednesday trailing by a 35-30 score in Muskegon before senior quarterback Brogan Roback threw his fifth interception of the game that the Chippewas returned for a touchdown to close out a 42-30 victory for Central Michigan despite being 1.5-point underdogs to the Eagles. This Eastern Michigan team has lost seven of their ten games this season despite ranking 37th in the FBS in points allowed (22.5 PPG) 33rd in the FBS in total defense (351.0 YPG) and 15th in the FBS in passing yards allowed (177.7 passing YPG). This team also ranks 37th in the FBS in passing YPG on offense (269.5 passing YPG) behind Roback — so this team puts up production that should be seeing much better results. The Eagles lost six straight games in the middle of the season all decided by one scoring possession with three of these losses occurring in overtime. Look for Eastern Michigan to bounce-back with a good effort as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 road games against teams with a losing record at home. This team will also be motivated with revenge from an upset loss to the Redhawks last year by a 28-15 score despite being 7-point favorites.

Miami (OH) (4-6) looks to build off their 24-17 win over Akron last Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Redhawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss. Miami (OH) has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Redhawks have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing no more than 20 points in their last contest. Miami (OH) held the Zips to just 273 points in that victory — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Lastly, while the Redhawks host this meeting with the Eagles, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Eastern Michigan-Miami (OH) CBS-Sports Network Special with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (307) plus the points versus the Miami (OH) Redhawks (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (310) minus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (309). Northern Illinois (7-3) looks to build off their 63-17 win over Ball State last Thursday as a big 29.5-point favorite. The Huskies should build off their momentum as they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games are a straight-up win — and they are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games after a win by at least 20 points. Northern Illinois is also 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Huskies have been dominant at home where they are 4-1 with an average winning margin of +19.0 PPG due to an offense that scores 35.0 PPG. Northern Illinois outgains their visitors by +130.4 net YPG. This team has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games as a home favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points. And in their last 29 games in the month of November, the Huskies are 20-8-1 ATS.

Western Michigan (6-4) enters this game coming off a 48-20 win over Kent State last week as a 20.5-point favorite. The Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Western Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Broncos now go on the road where they are just 2-2 while being outscored by -6.5 PPG. Additionally, Western Michigan is being outgained by a whopping -125.3 net YPG when on the road. To make matters worse for the Broncos, their sophomore starting QB Jon Wassink will be out until perhaps their bowl game with a collarbone injury. Freshman QB Reece Goddard was serviceable in his absence but completed only 8 of 19 passes for 97 passing yards. The Broncos easily defeated the Golden Flashes last week thanks to three defensive touchdowns. Lastly, Western Michigan typically struggles against the Huskies as they are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings with them while having not covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 trips to Northern Illinois. Together, these team trends produce our specific 95-31-6 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Wednesday Daily Discounted Dal with the Northern Illinois Huskies (310) minus the points versus the Western Michigan Broncos (309). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kent State Golden Flashes (304) plus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (303). Central Michigan (6-4) has won three straight games with their 42-30 upset win over Eastern Michigan last week as a 1.5-point underdog. The Chippewas eked out that game by intercepting a pass with under a minute to go that was returned for a touchdown that negated a potential Eagles winning (and point-spread producing drive). Central Michigan enjoyed a +4 net turnover margin in that game that negated the fact they surrendered ten more first downs to Eastern Michigan. The Chippewas look due for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after an upset win over a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. Central Michigan has also failed to over the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a game where both teams scored at least 30 points. Additionally, while the Chippewas has played three straight games that finished Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a game where they scored and allowed at least 30 points. Moving forward, Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Chippewas have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record on the road. This Central Michigan team may be 6-4 but they are only outgaining their opponents by +8.1 net YPG. The Chippewas have benefited from a +0.7 net turnover margin this season which is 17th best in the FBS. They have won all three of their games decided by one scoring possession — so this is a team that has been pretty fortunate to get to their 6-4 record.

Kent State (2-8) has lost three straight games with their 48-20 loss at Western Michigan last week. All three of these losses were by at least four touchdowns — but they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after suffering three straight losses by at least 17 points. Part of the problem for the Zips has been the ground game as they have been outrushed by -145.7 rushing YPG over their last three games. Akron has then covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after being outrushed by at least 125 yards over their last three games. A -3 net turnover margin for the Zips agains the Broncos certainly did not help last week — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after enduring -3 or worse net turnover margin. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-17 ATS combined angle for this situation. This is the home finale for Akron tonight — and this could be head coach Paul Haynes last game with the team in his 5th season after beginning the year on the proverbial hot seat. Expect a spirited effort from this team that should help them keep this game closer than expected against an overrated Chippewas team. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Kent State Golden Flashes (304) plus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (303). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Akron Zips (302) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (301). Ohio (8-2) scored a huge emotional win last week with their 38-10 upset win over Toledo in a game that will likely be the precursor for a rematch between these two teams in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game next month. The Bobcats have now won and covered the point spread in four straight games with their winning the MAC’s East Division all but secured — but these circumstances may contribute to a letdown for Frank Solich’s team. As it is, Ohio has failed to over the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a win by at least 20 points. All four of their victories on their winning streak has been by at least 17 points — but the Bobcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. Additionally, Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the points spread in at least four straight games. The Bobcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after winning at least four straight contests. Furthermore, Ohio rushed for an incredible 393 yards against Toledo which was 340 more rushing yards than what the Rockets were able to muster. Not only have the Bobcats then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after outrushing their opponent by at least 200 yards but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they being outgained by -49.2 net YPG while only outscoring their home hosts by +2.5 PPG which betrays their 3-1 record away from home.

Akron (5-5) looks to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Miami (OH) last week as an 11-point underdog. The Zips have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss. Akron has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Zips have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. QB Thomas Woodson did not play in that game against the Redhawks after being suspended on game day by head coach Terry Bowden. Redshirt freshman Kato Nelson was solid in his place despite not having the benefit of practicing with the first-team starting unit that week as he completed 19 of 38 passes for 218 yards with a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown as well. Bowden has not indicated if Woodson will be available to play or if it will Nelson again under center tonight. IF Nelson does go, he will benefit from the week of practice — and he will be facing a Bobcats’ pass defense that ranks 102nd in the FBS by allowing 252.2 passing YPG. Being at home will also help Nelson and this entire Zips team where they are 3-1 with an average winning margin of +12.8 PPG. Akron has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games agains teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Zips have covered the point spread in six of their last seven games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after covering the points spread in four of five of their last six games. Lastly, the underdog has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Together, these team trends produce our specific 109-37 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Ohio-Akron ESP2 Special with the Akron Zips (302) plus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (301). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (275) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (276). Carolina (6-3) looks to build off their 20-17 upset win over Atlanta last Sunday. The Panthers eked out the game despite being outgained by -25 net yards to the Falcons. Despite winning two straight games, this Carolina team has scored only 40 combined points over their last three games. Running back Jonathan Stewart is averaging only 2.8 Yards-Per-Carry over those three games. Moving forward, the Panthers are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a point spread win. And while the Panthers allowed 355 yards to the Falcons, they are then just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games. Furthermore, Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Miami (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss to the Raiders last Sunday night. Despite the loss, the Dolphins did show some signs of like on offense by generating 395 yards of offense. QB Jay Cutler played his best game in a Dolphins uniform by completing 34 of 42 passes for 311 yards and 3 touchdown passes. Getting wide receiver DeVante Parker healthy and back on the field certainly helped as he caught 5 passes for 76 yards. Miami is 2-0-2 ATS in their 4 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. The Dolphins allowed 379 yards in that contest — and they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Miami did hold the Raiders to just 84 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 41-14-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Miami-Carolina ESPN Special with the Miami Dolphins (275) plus the points versus the Carolina Panthers (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (274) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (273). New England (6-2) returns to action after their bye week coming after their 31-13 win over the Los Angeles Chargers as a 6.5-point favorite two weeks ago. The Patriots is a precarious road favorite laying close to a touchdown. New England has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 trips to the Mile High City to face the Broncos. Furthermore, in their last 6 games in the month of November, Denver is just 1-4-1 ATS.



Denver (3-5) should be playing with a chip on their shoulder after their ugly 51-23 loss at Philadelphia last week as a 7-point favorite. That was the Broncos third straight game on the road — and they looked flat and tired early in that game after playing on a short week for Monday Night Football. Now this team returns home where they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games. It all starts with this defense playing better after surrendering 419 yards to the Eagles. Denver has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. And while they allowed 197 rushing yards last week to Philadelphia, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Denver Broncos (274) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (273). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Atlanta Falcons (270) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (269). Atlanta (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 20-17 upset loss on the road at Carolina last week as a 3-point underdog. The Falcons finally return home back to their new Mercedes-Benz Stadium after playing the last three games on the road. Julio Jones practiced this week and should be in better health for this team that really needs a signature win to rebuild their mojo. Despite last week’s loss to the Panthers, this Atlanta team is still in fine shape in the NFC playoff race with a 4-1 record against NFC opponents and five games remaining still against their NFC South rivals. The Falcons have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against fellow NFC rivals. They need to get their ground game going after rushing for just 53 yards last week. Atlanta has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The Falcons defense surrendered 201 rushing yards to Carolina — but they are then 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game.

Dallas (5-3) will be playing their first game without running back Ezekiel Elliott who finally begins serving his six-game suspension. I have no doubt that the other Cowboys players will step up in his absence. But it will be very difficult to replicate his productivity. In his 24 games with Dallas since turning pro, Elliott has averaged 24 touches per game for 130 yards from scrimmage while averaging one touchdown and seven first downs per game. Over their last five games, the Cowboys are converting 50% of their 3rd downs with Elliott playing a key role in that success. Not only is Elliott a good runner but he is a solid blocker against the pass rush while being a great receiver out of the backfield. Alfred Morris is a solid professional replacing him but he is simply not a receiving threat as he has caught only four balls wearing a Cowboys uniform after catching just six balls in his time with Dallas. Furthermore, the Cowboys have suffered a major injury with their All-Pro left tackle Tryon Smith out for this game. In general, bettors overreact to the impact of injured players (as I told clients worried about the injuries to the Ohio State linebackers yesterday morning). But injuries in the NFL are beginning to have more of an impact (and it is one of the reasons that I more often delay my final decisions on some of Sunday selections). The loss of Smith is devastating not only because he is an All-Pro but because his backup Chaz Green is kind of a disaster — and he is being asked to play left tackle which is a far cry from his normal position as a backup guard. This Cowboys’ team entered the year without the same depth on offensive line as they enjoyed last season. Dallas comes off a triumphant 28-17 win over Kansas City last week. The Cowboys (with Elliott) generated 375 yards against the Chiefs defense — but they are then 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while Dallas allowed 255 passing yards last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Cowboys have covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 road games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. 25* NFL NFC Game of the Month with the Atlanta Falcons (270) minus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (269). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Houston Texans (267) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (268). Los Angeles (6-2) has played two games that were nearly perfect as they followed up their 33-0 shutout win over Arizona with a 51-17 shellacking of the Giants in New York. Now as a double-digit favorite approaching two touchdowns, the Rams are ripe for a flat performance. QB Jared Goff completed 14 of his 22 passes for 311 yards while leading his team to 473 yards of offense. But Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after passing for at least 250 yards. Now this team returns home where they are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the host team — and they are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Rams are just 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games in the month of November.

Houston (3-5) has lost two games in a row with their 20-14 loss to Indianapolis last week as a 6-point favorite in their first game without QB DeShaun Watson. The Texans have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss. Houston is also a decisive 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Texans have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after losing two straight games. Look for the team to play smart and hard to keep this game closer than expected. Lastly, Houston has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games on the road as an underdog. 10* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Houston Texans (267) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (268). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Minnesota Vikings (251) minus the point(s) versus the Washington Redskins (252). Washington (4-4) pulled off a minor miracle last week in traveling to Seattle and seeing Kirk Cousins orchestrate a late rally to steal a 17-14 upset win over the Seahawks despite being an 8-point underdog. The Skins won that game despite being outgained by 193 yards of offense. Washington managed only 244 yards of offense against the Seahawks last week after generating only 285 yards of offense the previous week against the Cowboys — and they are just 3-12-3 ATS in their last 18 games after failing to gain more than 250 yards in their last game. This Skins team has been ravaged with injuries — particularly on the offensive line. And while this team is starting to get healthy again, they are ripe for a big letdown after the long trip back east. Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Skins have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. And in their last 6 games at home, Washington has failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

Minnesota (6-2) will be rested and refreshed for this game after enjoying their bye week after their 33-16 win at Cleveland in London back on October 29th as an 11-point favorite. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a point spread victory. Minnesota has also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win. This team continues to get good play out of QB Case Keenum who is improving under center in offensive coordinator Pat Shurmer’s offense. Keen completed 27 of his 43 passes against the Browns for 288 yards and two TD passes. He led an offense that generated 375 yards in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 38 of their last 53 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Over their last four games, the Vikings are averaging 132 rushing YPG. The play of the Minnesota defense has been even better. They are the only team in the NFL that is in the Top Five in Yards-Per-Play Allowed and Points Allowed per Drive. The Vikings’ defense ranks 3rd in the NFL by holding their opponents to just 16.9 PPG. And in their last four games, Minnesota has allowed only 59 combined points for a 14.8 PPG average. Defense travels — so expect the Vikings to cover the point spread against the Skins. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Minnesota Vikings (251) minus the point(s) versus the Washington Redskins (252). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (262) plus the point(s) versus the New York Jets (261). Tampa Bay (2-6) has been one of the big disappointments in the NFL this season. Perhaps being the subject of HBO’s Hard Knocks contributed to this team mistaking their potential with actual accomplishments. This team laid an egg last week on the road in New Orleans in 30-10 loss where QB Jameis Winston was acting strange both before the game in a licking his fingers rallying cry to taking part in some antics with opposing players. That led to a scuffle that eventually got wide receiver Mike Evans kicked out and suspended for this game. But I think hitting rock bottom will help this team this week. Winston is out for at least this week to rest and heal his bum shoulder after the proverbial visit to Dr. Andrews in Birmingham. Backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been capable in his absence as he has a Passer Rating go 95.7 while tossing four TDs to just two interceptions and completing 62.5% of his passes. The Buccaneers managed only 200 yards last week to the Saints but they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay allowed 407 yards to New Orleans — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Bucs are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games in the month of November.

New York (4-5) returns to the football field after their upset 34-21 win over Buffalo two Thursdays ago. It is surprising to see the Jets as a road favorite midway through the season when they were considered by many to be at risk of going 0-16 after an uninspiring offseason. The Jets allowed only 63 rushing yards to the Bills in that victory — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Now New York goes back on the road where they have committed seven turnovers in four games while allowing 398.5 total YPG. The Jets are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Lastly, this New York team has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games played in November. 20* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (262) plus the point(s) versus the New York Jets (261). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Chargers (257) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (258). Jacksonville (5-3) enters this game coming off their triumphant 23-7 win over Cincinnati last week as a 6-point favorite. The Jaguars have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Jacksonville has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Jaguars held the woeful Bengals to just 136 passing yards along with just 148 total yards of offense. The Jacksonville defense is great — but they are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game while also being 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Jaguars have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Los Angeles (3-5) looks to bounce-back from their 31-13 loss in New England back on October 29th as a 6.5-point underdog. The Chargers will benefit from the extra week of rest and preparation for this game. This team had been on a three-game winning streak before stumbling against the reigning Super Bowl Champions. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Led by Malcolm Gordon, the Chargers rushed for 157 yards against the Chargers — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. On defense, this team is 4th in the league in sacks led by rising star Joey Bosa. The Chargers have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in five of their last six road games against teams with a winning record at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 62-23-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Road Warrior Wipeout with the Los Angeles Chargers (257) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (258). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (264) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (263). Buffalo (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 34-21 loss in New York against the Jets two Thursdays ago back on November 2nd. This is a key game on the Bills’ schedule with two road games against the Chargers and Chiefs following up before a showdown back at home against the Patriots. This team adds two nice weapons on offense with wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin set to play his first game with the team along with tight end Charles Clay returning from his injury. The Bills only rushed for 63 yards against the Jets but these added pieces to the passing game should help open up the running game. Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games at home.

New Orleans (6-2) has won six straight games with their 30-10 win over Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point favorite. And while the Saints have covered the point spread in all six of those games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after winning six straight contests. Now the Saints go on the road to play in what will be cold weather in Buffalo that will likely dip under 40 degrees by the 4th quarter. QB Drew Brees has lost seven of his last ten starts in cold weather. Lastly, New Orleans has actually failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on field turf with perhaps bettors slow to recognize that their formula for success is running the football rather than the speed game in their Super Bowl run that thrived indoors of the fast turf. 10* NFL Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Buffalo Bills (264) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (263). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (218) plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos (217). Colorado State (6-4) looks to bounce-back from their 16-13 upset loss at Wyoming as a 4-point favorite last week. The Rams are 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 games after a straight-up loss. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after now allowing more than 20 points in their lsat game. That was the second straight upset loss for this Rams team after they lost to the Air Force by a 45-28 score as a 10-point favorite the previous week. Colorado State has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering two straight upset losses as the favorite. The Rams have also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games at home after losing two of their last three games. Colorado State did rush for 235 yards in their loss to the Cowboys — and they are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now the Rams return home where they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Furthermore, the Rams have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 21 games in the month of November, Colorado State is 15-5-1 ATS.

25* CFB Mountain West Conference Underdog of the Year with Colorado State plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (166) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (165). Miami (FL) (8-0) looks to build off their 28-10 win over Virginia Tech last week as a 2-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a straight-up win. Miami has also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. The Hurricanes rushed for 219 yards last week against a stout Hokies defense last week — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. This team also played their best game all season against the run by holding Virginia Tech to just 102 rushing yards on a low 2.4 Yards-Per-Carry average. On paper, this Hurricanes defensive line was supposed to be one of the best in the nation. While the numbers are not as impressive, they know they will be challenged by this Notre Dame offense that emphasizes a power rushing game. Miami has cord the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games against teams outside the ACC, the Hurricanes have covered the point spread all 7 times.

10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Miami plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (159) plus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (160). TCU (8-1) looks to build off their 24-7 win over Texas last Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Horned Frogs have then covered the point spread in a decisive 29 of their last 44 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. TCU has played five straight games Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing at least four straight games Under the Total. Once again, head coach Gary Patterson has developed an outstanding defense. The Horned Frogs are the number one run defense in the nation and they have not allowed more than 70 rushing yards in four straight games. TCU has then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 29 games after allowing no more than 75 rushing yards in two straight games. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Horned Frogs have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Norman to face the Sooners. And in their last 8 games as the underdog, TCU has covered the point spread 6 times.

10* CFB play on TCU plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (178) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (177). Alabama (909 remained undefeated last week by taking care of business against their arch rival LSU with their 24-10 win as a 20.5-point favorite. The Tide may be due for an emotional letdown being a road favorite of around two touchdowns. But this team is dealing with some injuries particularly on the defensive side of the football. There are some vulnerabilities this year’s Nick Saban team is displaying. They were actually outgained in yardage while losing the first down battle to the Tigers. The ability of sophomore QB Jalen Hurts to effective throw the football down the field remains an issue. Hurts complete only 11 of 24 passes last week for 183 yards while the Tide managed only 299 total yards of offense. Furthermore, while Hurts added another 44 yards on the ground, this team may becoming a little too dependent on him for their offense. Alabama did not turn the ball over against LSU — but they have they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after not turning the ball over in their last game. The Crimson Tide has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing 20 points or less in their last contest. Alabama now goes on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 23 road games as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. The Tide have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games played on grass, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread 8 times.

Mississippi State (7-2) looks to build off their 34-23 win over UMass last week. The Bulldogs may have been looking ahead to this game as they were big 33 point favorites in that game against the upstart Minutemen. Mississippi State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games following a non-conference opponent. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games after playing a game at home. The Bulldogs stay at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Mississippi State has also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 26 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team crushed LSU on the road earlier this season — and they have a dual threat QB in Nick Fitzgerald and these type of quarterbacks have given the Crimson Tide trouble in the past. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog in the 7.5 to 14 point range. Lastly, the home team has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 encounters between these two teams. 10* CFB Alabama-Mississippi State ESPN Special with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (178) plus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (177). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (170) plus the point(s) versus the Washington State Cougars (169). Washington State (8-2) enters this game coming off their 24-21 upset victory at home against Stanford as a 1.5-point underdog. But now this Cougars team goes back on the road for the fourth time in their last six games after a front-loaded home schedule. Washington State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after playing their last two games against Pac-12 foes. This team has lost their previous two games on the road by three touchdowns at Arizona and by 34 points at California. And while they helped the Cardinal to just 93 rushing yards (with Bryce Love still nursing an injured ankle), the Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing at least 100 rushing yards in their last game.

Utah (5-4) looks to build off their 48-17 win over a UCLA team without QB Josh Rosen last week. The Utes were 9.5-point favorites in that game — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win while they are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, Utah has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. QB Tyler Huntley looks comfortable under center again after missing a few games — he completed 15 of 22 passes for 234 yards with four TD passes while adding another 93 rushing yards on the ground. On defense, the Utes defend the pass well as they hold visiting QBs to just a 55% completion mark and only 190 passing YPG. Utah has covered the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Utes have covered the point spread in a decisive 52 of their last 78 games after playing a game where a combined 60 points were scored. Utah is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Utes have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Utah Utes (170) plus the point(s) versus the Washington State Cougars (169). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Auburn Tigers (188) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (187). Georgia (9-0) remained the number one team in the nation after their 24-10 win over South Carolina last Saturday. The Bulldogs are perpetually talented but rarely seem to put it all together. This season, they may have caught a fortuitous break when sophomore Jake Eason was injured early on which cleared the way for freshman Jake Fromm to take over under center. While these are both 5-star prospects, From has been more decisive in choosing where to pass the football than Eason who too often seemed uncomfortable in the pocket. But now with the weight of the world on this team and program after finishing 8-5 last year, look for Georgia to play very tight in this showdown. This is the football program that let Mark Richt go after a 10-3 campaign two years ago. Expectations versus reality is a common conflict in many football programs but perhaps that clash is no stronger than with this Bulldogs team that still remembers the glory days of Hershel Walker when he was rushing the football during Ronald Reagan’s first term as President of the United States. But Georgia has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning at least eight straight games. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 24 games after winning at least three straight games against SEC opponents. And while Georgia held the Gamecocks to just 270 yards in that win, they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after no more than 275 yards in their last game. Moving forward, I worry about this freshman QB being asked to make big plays in a hostile environment when the stakes are sky-high. Fromm has not passed more than 26 times in a game this season with the Bulldogs relying very heavily on their ground game led by Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. Georgia has rushed for at least 242 yards in each of their last six five games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after rushing for at least 225 yards in their last game. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games are rushing for at least 225 yards in three straight games.

Auburn (7-2) has a strong defense that ranks 9th in the FBS by holding opponents to just 16.9 PPG and only 307.2 total YPG which is 14th in the nation. The Tigers limit their opponents to only 126.4 rushing YPG which is 24th in the FBS. Auburn enters this game coming off a 42-27 win at Texas A&M last Saturday as a 14.5-point favorite. The Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games are a points spread win. Additionally, Auburn has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games are scoring at least 35 points against a conference rival. And in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points, the Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS. Furthermore, Auburn generated 493 yards against the Aggies defense — and they are then 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game so this offense should continue their momentum in this contest even after the injury to running back Kamryn Pittway. Kerryon Johnson ran the ball 29 times for 145 yards as the full-time feature back. Auburn has averaged 39.0 PPG with 493.0 total YPG over their last three games — and they have then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 36 games after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. The Tigers have won six of their last seven games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after winning three of their last four games. Now this team returns home after playing their last three games on the road where they are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 contests. This team is a perfect 4-0 at home this year whole outscoring their opponents by a 39.5-12.5 scoring margin while outgaining these opponents by +253.2 net YPG due to the offense averaging 529.2 total YPG. The home team has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in this series. Lastly, Auburn is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against SEC foes. 25* CFB SEC Game of the Year with the Auburn Tigers (188) plus the points versus the Georgia Bulldogs (187). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Wisconsin Badgers (186) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (185). Iowa (6-3) comes off a huge upset win over Ohio State last week where they demolished the Buckeyes by a 55-24 score despite being a 21-point favorite. It is not often we witness a team cover the point spread by 56 points — and that is even rarer when that team was an underdog in their triumph. Expect a big letdown from this Hawkeyes team that benefited from a +4 net turnover margin courtesy of J.T. Barrett’s four interceptions in that game. Iowa has failed to over the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Hawkeyes have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. Additionally, Iowa has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games after not turning the ball over in their last game, the Hawkeyes have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of those games. This team tends to suffer letdowns under head coach Kirk Ferentz. They generated 24 first downs last week against the Buckeyes while holding the ball for 34:11 minutes of that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after accumulating at least 24 first downs while having the football for at least 34 minutes in their last game. Now Iowa goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home.

Wisconsin (9-0) looks to build off their 45-17 win at Indiana last week. Style points will be on the mind of head coach Paul Chryst as he hopes to use this nationally televised game to impress Condoleezza Rice and the other football “experts” on the Playoff Committee turned to ABC for this game. The Badgers forced three turnovers in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, Wisconsin returns home where they have covered the point spread in 40 of their last 62 games in the second half of the season. The Badgers have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing at least two straight games on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has oared the points spread in 26 of their last 38 home games in Weeks 10 through 13 of the regular season in the colder conditions. The Badgers have not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing at least 17 points in five straight games. And in their last 17 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, Wisconsin has covered the point spread 12 times. 20* CFB Iowa-Wisconsin ABC-TV Special with the Wisconsin Badgers (186) minus the points versus the Iowa Hawkeyes (185). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Navy Midshipmen (168) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (167). Navy (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 34-26 loss at Temple back on November 2nd as a 6.5-point favorite. The Midshipmen have rebounded to go 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they are an impressive 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games at home. Navy has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games in the month of November. And in their last 12 games with the Total set at least at 63, the Midshipmen have covered the point spread 10 times.

SMU (6-3) has not faced a spread triple option team this season — and they tend to struggle against this Navy offense. The Mustangs lost to the Midshipmen last season by a whopping 75-31 score in a game where they surrendered an incredible 496 rushing yards. The SMU run defense has not been very good this season as they are allowing 5.5 Yards-Per-Carry which is a scary sign when trying to defending this Navy option offense that is averaging 6.2 YPC at home this year. The Mustangs have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against the Midshipmen — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of the last 5 trips to play Navy in Andover. SMU enters this game coming off their 31-24 loss to Central Florida as a 14-point underdog. The Mustangs have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after covering the point spread as an underdog. And while that game with the Golden Knights finished below the 76 point Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, while SMU is averaging 501.7 YPG over their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. 10* CFB SMU-Navy CBS-Sports Special with the Navy Midshipmen (168) minus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (167). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Ohio State Buckeyes (144) minus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (143). Ohio State (7-2) played their worst game of the season last wee in Iowa City in what resulted in a 55-24 loss to Iowa as a 21-point favorite. The Buckeyes may have been emotionally flat after overcoming a seemingly endless string of mistakes and misfortunes the previous week before upending a Penn State team they were otherwise dominating at the line of scrimmage. More mistakes confounded this Ohio State team as they had a -4 net turnover margin with QB J.T. Barrett throwing four interceptions. This does not happen much to Urban Meyer nor these Buckeyes — look for them to take out their frustrations on the Spartans. Ohio State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least three touchdowns to a conference rival. The Buckeyes have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite. Additionally, Ohio State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit upset loss as a favorite of at least 6 points. In general, the Buckeyes have are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, Ohio State has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after enduring a net turnover margin of at least -2 in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after suffering a net turnover margin of at least -4 in their last contest. Laying more than two touchdowns may seem like a lot for the team that just upset Penn State. I take the analytics in college football with two or three grains of salt (short answer why: limited sample sizes, unreliable comparative data, and the fundamental limitation of using Yards-Per-Play as the defining metric as opposed to Points-Per-Possession which is much more illuminating for College Basketball). With the caveat, the deeper analytics place Ohio State as the second best team in the nation behind Alabama. If they put together a mistake-free game, they can crush opponents like Michigan State when playing at home.

Michigan State (7-2) enters this game coming off their 27-24 upset victory over Penn State last Saturday as a 9.5-point favorite. Sparty was the beneficiary of the Turnover Gods in that game as they picked off three Nittany Lion passes in that contest. But the Turnover Gods are fickle — and Michigan State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. There are concerns for the Spartans regarding their defense after that game where they allowed 466 total yards of offense. Penn State averaged 6.75 Yards-Per-Play — and Michigan State has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 18 road games after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. The Spartans is also 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Michigan State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road. And in their last 7 games when playing on field turf as opposed to the (heavy) grass in East Lansing, the Spartans are just 1-5-1 ATS. 25* CFB Saturday Afternoon Special Feature with the Ohio State Buckeyes (144) minus the points versus the Michigan State Spartans (143). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Tech Red Raiders (155) minus the points versus the Baylor Bears (156). Texas Tech (4-5) has lost four games in a row with their 42-35 loss to Kansas State in overtime last Saturday. The Red Raiders should bounce-back here as they have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 40 games after a loss at home. And Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. QB Nic Shimonek completed 34 of his 53 passes for 405 yards in that loss — and the Red Raiders have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. This game will be played on a neutral field in AT&T Stadium — and Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 63.5 to 70 point range. The Red Raiders have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played in the month of November. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, Texas Tech has covered the point spread 5 times.

Baylor (1-8) won their first game of the season last week with their 38-9 win at Kansas as a 7-point favorite. But the Bears have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. Baylor has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a victory by at least 20 points in their last game. And in their last 6 games after not allowing no more than 20 points in their last game, Baylor has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Lastly, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Texas Tech Red Raiders (155) minus the points versus the Baylor Bears (156). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (141) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (142). Duke (4-5) has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game after their 24-3 loss at Virginia Tech back on October 28th. The Blue Devils have lost five straight games against tough ACC foes that those Hokies as well as Miami (FL) and Florida State which helps explain why QB Dougie Jones has completed only 45% of his passes in this losing streak. Jones was completing 67% of his passes before this slide — but he now faces a Black Knights defense that allows opposing QBs to complete 61.9% of their passes. Army did not face a pass last week either when facing the spread triple option from Air Force. Duke managed only 183 yards against Virginia Tech — but the are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. The Blue Devils have also covered the point spread in 12 straight games when playing on field turf. And in the last 29 games in non-conference play, Duke is 22-6-1 ATS. Head coach David Cutcliffe does a great job preparing his team for the spread triple option with Georgia Tech always on their schedule along with many of the service academies. The Blue Devils have held their last seven triple option offenses to -41 Yards Per Game below their season average — and they have covered the points spread in their last 6 games against Georgia Tech, Army and Navy who all run this style of offense.

Army (7-2) has won five games in a row with their 21-0 win at Air Force as a 6.5-point underdog last week. But the Black Knights are then 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a straight up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Army has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. Now the Black Knights return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games. Army has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home against FBS foes. 10* CFB Duke-Army CBS-Sports Network Special with the Duke Blue Devils (141) minus the points versus the Army Black Knights (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (122) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (121). Stanford (6-3) looks to bounce-back from their 24-21 loss at Washington State last week as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense struggled in that game by generating just 198 yards of offense in snowy conditions. Freshman QB K.J. Costello completed just 9 of 20 passes for 105 yards in that loss with star running back Bryce Love rushing for a season-low 69 yards in that loss. Love is recovering from an ankle injury that kept him out of the previous game — but another week of recuperation should help him tonight. What will also help this team is returning home where they will be playing just their fourth game all season on their home field in Palo Alto. Playing in their comfortable home stadium in front of their home fans should make a big difference for this team on offense. They are 3-0 at home while scoring 47.0 PPG along with generating 519.3 total YPG. The Cardinal has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Look for Stanford to bounce-back with a big effort tonight playing the role of the spoiler while also motivated to avenge a 44-6 loss to Washington last season. The Cardinal has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a straight-up loss. Stanford has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. Additionally, while the Cardinal has not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of the last 8 games after not meeting point spread expectations in two straight games. Furthermore, Stanford has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after a loss by 7 point for less against a conference rival. And in their last 7 games played on a Friday night, the Cardinal has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests.

Washington (8-1) has won two straight games with their 38-3 win over Oregon last week. The Huskies have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. And while they have won their last two games at home by 35 and 21 points respectively, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two straight home games by double-digits. Furthermore, the Ducks managed only 31 passing yards last week in their big loss to the Huskies — but Washington has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Now the Huskies go back on the road for the first time since losing by a 13-7 score in Tempe to Arizona State — and that was a Sun Devils defense that the Cardinal scored 34 points along with 501 yards of offense. Together, these team trends produce our specific 75-24 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Stanford Cardinal (122) plus the points versus the Washington Huskies (121). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bearcats (120) plus the points versus the Temple Owls (119). Temple (4-5) played their best game of the season last week with their 34-26 upset win over Navy last Thursday as a 6.5-point underdog. But the Owls have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. This team has received a spark on offense with Frankie Nutile starting at QB for the last two games. But after facing Army and then Navy, the redshirt junior will see a much better pass defense from these Bearcats that had their opponents to juts 208.0 passing YPG which is 40th in the nation (and 2nd in the American Athletic Conference). Part of Temple’s success un Nutile’s first two starts has been they have turned the ball over only once in those games. But that may change with this team now playing in a hostile environment in front of a nationally televised audience. The Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not turning the ball over more than once in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight games after not turning the ball over more then once in two straight games. This will be the first time this team faces a passing offense since October 14th where they lost at home to UConn. And in their last 10 road games as the favorite laying 3 points or less, Temple has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

Cincinnati (3-6) snapped their four-game losing streak last week with their 17-16 upset win at Tulane on Saturday. This team may be finding a winning formula on offense after rushing for 208 yards against the Green Wave. Freshman Gerrid Doaks rushed for 149 yards to complement senior Mike Boone in the backfield. The week before, the Bearcats rushed for 249 yards in their overtime loss to SMU. The Bearcats have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And while Cincinnati has not forced more than one turnover in any of their games all season, they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not forcing more than one turnover in at least four straight games. Lastly, the Bearcats have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 38-11 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Temple-Cincinnati ESPN2 Special with the Cincinnati Bearcats (120) plus the points versus the Temple Owls (119). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (111) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (112). Seattle (5-3) looks to bounce-back from their 17-14 loss as an 8-point favorite on Sunday against Washington that snapped a four-game losing streak. This team is banged up with a host of players questionable for tonight while their safety Earl Thomas already declared out for this game with a hamstring injury. But I still look for the Seahawks to rally around each other to win this game decisively. Seattle has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after suffering an upset loss as the favorite. And while the Seahawks have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. This team still has QB Russell Wilson who has led this team to 437 and 479 yards in their last two games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after gaining at least 375 yards in each of their last two games. And Seattle has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in Weeks 10-13 of the regular season under head coach Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 appearances on Thursday Night Football. And in their last 4 trips to Glendale to face the Cardinals, Seattle has covered the point spread in all 4 games.

Arizona (4-4) has won two of their last three games with their 20-10 loss at San Francisco as a 2.5-point favorite. But the Cardinals have then played to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. And while this team has covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. With a backup QB in place with Drew Stanton in for the injured Carson Palmer and running back Adrian Peterson being relied on despite being on a short week after carrying the ball a remarkable 37 times on Sunday, this team may struggle on offense. Now they return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November. And in their last 7 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 98-27 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Seattle-Arizona NBC-TV Special with the Seattle Seahawks (111) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Eastern Michigan Eagles (109) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (110). Eastern Michigan (3-6) had been snake-bit this season by suffering a six-game losing streak where each game was determined by 7 points or less. Three of those games were lost in overtime — and they lost by just a combined 23 points in those six contests. The Eagles did rebound last week with a dominant 56-14 win over Ball State last Wednesday as a 25-point favorite. Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread win. The Eagles generated 488 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Despite their losing record, this Eastern Michigan team is outscoring their opponents by +4.3 net YPG while outgaining them by +29.9 net YPG. They entered the season 5th in the FBS with 86% of the tackling production returning from last year — and they rank 29th in the FBS by allowing just 20.3 PPG led by a pass defense that limits their opponents to only 180.2 passing YPG. On offense, senior QB Brogan Roback leads an offense that averages 276.8 passing YPG which is 31st in the FBS. This combination has helped the Eagles go 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games on the road — and this includes a 9-1-1 ATS mark in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record.

Central Michigan (5-4) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 35-28 upset win at Western Michigan as a 3.5-point underdog. The Chippewas have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. And while their last two games have seen a combined 63 and 65 combined points scored, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after playing two straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Despite their winning record, Central Michigan is being outscored by -0.3 net PPG. They struggle to stop the run as they allow their opponents to rush for 205.8 rushing YPG which is 109th in the FBS. At QB, graduate transfer Shane Morris from Michigan has been inconsistent with 11 interceptions and just a 55.2% completion mark. The Chippewas return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, Central Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-21-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Eastern Michigan-Central Michigan ESPN2 Special with the Eastern Michigan Eagles (109) minus the points versus the Central Michigan Chippewas (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Ohio Bobcats (108) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (107). Toledo (8-1) has won five straight games after their 27-17 win over Northern Illinois last Wednesday as a 7.5-point favorite. That win most likely ensured that the Rockets will represent the MAC West in their Championship Game with them being one-game up while holding the tie-breaker against the Huskies in that division. This team might be susceptible to a letdown now. As it is, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning at least five straight games. The Rockets have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 gams after winning at least three straight games in conference play. And while Toledo generated 527 yards against the Northern Illinois defense, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. The Rockets’ only loss this season was at an undefeated Miami (FL) team — but they have also pulled out both their games decided by one scoring possession. This team did take a big blow on offense when their top wide reciter Cody Thompson suffered a season-ending leg injury since that loss to the Hurricanes that could play a role tonight. The favorite in this series has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings between these two teams — including last year when the Rockets were upset by a 31-26 score despite them being the home favorite laying 15 points.

Ohio (7-2) has won three straight games with their 45-28 win over Miami (OH) as a 6.5-point favorite back on Halloween. The Bobcats typically build off their momentum under head coach Frank Solich as they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a straight-up win. The Bobcats have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Ohio has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Sophomore QB Nathan Rourke continues to develop as he continued 21 of his 33 passes for 294 yards with 3 TDs while adding another 3 TDs with 54 yards on the ground — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. This team has one of the best offenses that Solich has overseen in his thirteen years at Ohio as they rank 8th in the nation by scoring 41.2 PPG. The Bobcats ground game is 22nd in the FBS by averaging 232.9 rushing YPG — and they should find success against this middling Rockets run defense that ranks 59th in the FBS by allowing 164.4 rushing YPG. On defense, Ohio ranks 21st in the nation by holding teams to just 123.0 rushing YPG. And while their pass defense is giving up more yards (with opponents usually passing more because they are trailing on the scoreboard), the Bobcats are 2nd in the MAC with 22 sacks. Ohio will be tough in this night game which will be their last game at home this season. The Bobcats are outscoring their visitors by +26.0 PPG while outgaining them by +129.4 net YPG. Lastly, this dangerous home dog has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when getting the points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 83-31 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Mid-American Conference Underdog of the Year on the Ohio Bobcats (108) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (107). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (101). Miami (OH) (3-6) has lost four of their last five games with their 45-28 loss last Tuesday on Halloween as a 6.5-point favorite. The Redhawks have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 gams after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Miami (OH) allowed the Bobcats to pass for 294 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after allowing at least 280 yards in their last game. Despite their losing record, Miami (OH) is outgaining their opponents by +25.0 net YPG. The Redhawks have lost all four of their gamed decided by one scoring possession or their record might be very different entering this game. This team returned seventeen starters from a group that won six of their last seven games last season — and 80% of that roster were underclassmen so this is a disappointing year so far. But three straight wins gets this team bowl eligible still. They need to get going on offense after rushing for only 98 yards last week — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Backup QB Billy Bahl had a good game by completing 28 of 51 passes for 350 yards with 3 TD passes — and the Redhawks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last contest. With junior QB Gus Ragland questionable for tonight’s game, Miami (OH) looks to be in capable hands with the junior Bahl. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of November.

Akron (5-4) has won four of their last five games with their 21-20 upset win over Buffalo as a 3-point underdog back on October 28th. The Zips have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after pulling off an upset victory over a conference rival — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games after an upset win as a home underdog against a MAC foe. Despite their winning record, this Akron team is being outscored by -2.3 PPG — and they are being outgained by -109.4 YPG due to a defense that ranks 106th in the BFS by allowing 444.0 total YPG. The Zips did average 6.8 Yards-Per-Play in their win over the Bulls — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after averaging at least 6.75 YPP in their last game. QB Logan Woodside passed for 286 yards in that won — but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now this Arkon team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games with the Total set in the 49.5 to 52 point range. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-22-1 ATSc combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Akron-Miami (OH) ESPN2 Special with the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102) minus the points versus the Akron Zips (101). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bulls (104) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (103). Buffalo (3-6) may be a surprising favorite of more than a touchdown despite having won only three games and being on a four-game losing streak after their 21-20 loss at Akron back on October 28th as a 3-point favorite. That was the second-straight 1-point loss on the road for this Bulls team that has lost four games this season by 4 points or less. They lost that game against the Zips despite outgaining them by +87 yards in that losing effort. Despite their losing record, Buffalo is outscoring their opponents by +1.2 PPG while also outgaining these teams by +7.3 net YPG. Injuries at quarterback have impacted this team with them having to take the redshirt off freshman Kyle Vantrease earlier this season. But redshirt sophomore QB Tyree Jackson who started last season in nine games is healthy again and back under center after completing 34 of 50 passes for 313 yards in that narrow loss to the Zips. The Bulls generated 454 yards against Akron — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Now this Buffalo team returns home where they are outscoring their opponents by +6.5 PPG while outgaining them by +70.3 net YPG — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home. Additionally, the Bulls have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range. Much remains on the line for this team that can become bowl eligible if they win their remaining three games.

Bowling Green (2-7) won just their second game of the season last Tuesday in their 44-16 win at Kent State as a 1.5-point favorite. A +4 net turnover margin made a big difference in that victory. But the Falcons have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Bowling Green did rush for 227 yards in their victory over the Golden Flashes last week — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. Defense is the biggest weakness of this team as they are allowing 35.3 PPG along with 496.7 total YPG which ranks 110th and 123rd in the FBS respectively. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. And in their last 7 games played on turf, Bowling Green has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-7 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Bowling Green-Buffalo ESPNU Special with the Buffalo Bulls (104) minus the points versus the Bowling Green Falcons (103). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Green Bay Packers (474) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (473). Green Bay (4-3) has had an extra week to rest, recuperate many of their injuries and install a better game-plan for QB Brett Hundley after their 26-17 loss to New Orleans back on October 22nd. In Mike McCarthy we trust on this one as we look for his offensive coaching staff with him to have developed schemes that can better take advantage of Hundley’s skill set. The former UCLA QB has talent — and he should also benefit from the extra few days of preparation. The Packers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after their bye week. This Green Bay team did rush for 181 yards against the Saints defense — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Packers also have work to do on the defensive side of the football after giving up 485 yards to New Orleans — but they have covered the point spread in 38 of their last 54 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Being at home in Lambeau Field gives them a big advantage as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Green Bay has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC North opponents.

Detroit (3-4) has lost three straight games with their 20-15 loss at home to Pittsburgh last Sunday night as 3-point underdogs. The Lions have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. This team also allowed 392 yards to the Steelers — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Detroit travels back to Lambeau Field which has been a House of Horrors for this franchise. In Matthew Stafford’s last six starts in Green Bay, he has lost five of these games — and Stafford has overseen only three victories in his thirteen career starts against the Pack. Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in Green Bay. And although the door is wide open for this team in the NFC North with the Aaron Rodgers and Sam Bradford injuries along with the Bears starting a rookie QB, this is a franchise that never is able to step and meet the challenge at hand. The Lions have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games against NFC North opponents. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, the Lions have failed to cover the point spread 7 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 104-37 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Detroit-Green Bay ESPN Special with the Green Bay Packers (474) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (473). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (472) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (471). After a brutal afternoon (and Saturday) being on the wrong of too many blowouts, some may say that it takes a brass set to back on another bad team. In this instance for Sunday Night Football, both teams have significant flaws — but it is Miami (4-3) that comes off the humiliating 40-0 loss at Baltimore two Thursdays ago in a game reminiscent of what we saw this afternoon. Most bettors don’t want to bet on bad teams as if that is the question the proposition of the point spread line is asking. Even if they sometimes get the answer right, most bettors lose in the long run because they are asking the wrong question regarding the nature of the point spread proposition. The job of the professional handicapper is to identify the correct question and then offer the likely answer. In this instance, we can’t let some terrible results from some bad teams this afternoon influence how we view tonight’s game (although don’t be surprised if a flood of action on the Raiders comes in tonight as both the favorite and the team that did not get blown out in their last game). This too shall pass — and while results will vary, consistency in the methodology regarding how to handicap these games pays dividends. For tonight, the more appropriate question is this: are home teams hitting close to rock bottom in their previous game more or less likely to win or be within a field goal or so against another struggling an underachieving team? Like Thursday night with a surprising Jets team, I look for the Dolphins to play one of their best games of the season. Head coach Adam Gase took a stand with his roster this week after trading their starting running back Jay Ajayi for his consistent inability to learn the playbook for his pass-blocking assignments. Miami will be fine in their backfield with a good young running back in Kenyan Drake taking over as the lead back. Jay Cutler comes back to be under center this week and he will get his best passing target back in DeVante Parker. Matt Moore was unable to run this offense as he passed for just 176 yards last week while leading the offense to just 196 yards in Cutler’s absence against the Ravens. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to gain at least 200 yards — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to pass for at least 150 yards. Additionally, while Miami has trailed in their last three games by at least one touchdown at halftime, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games when that has been the case. I take into consideration these team trends because they help to define the personality of a team and a franchise.

Oakland (3-5) is a precarious road favorite as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. They have lost five of their last six games after their 34-14 loss at Buffalo last Sunday. The Raiders have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Oakland was out rushed by 112 yards to the Bills in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after being outrushed by at least 75 yards. This lack of a credible ground game has forced the Raiders to rely on Derek Carr who has passed for 313 and 417 yards in each of his last two games. But Oakland has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after they passed for at least 300 yards in two straight games. Lastly, the Raiders have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games against the Bills. Together, these team trends produce our specific 102-24 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Oakland-Miami NBC-TV Special with the Miami Dolphins (472) plus the points versus the Oakland Raiders (471). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Dallas Cowboys (470) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (469). Dallas (4-3) has likely had a focused week of practice this week with the expectation that they would be without Ezekiel Elliott who looked to begin his six-week suspension for this game. The rest of this team knows they will need to step up their level of play and pick up the slack with Elliott not available. The fact that Elliott’s suspension has been delayed once again in the courts serves as a big bonus for this team that needs to secure as many wins as they can before eventually losing Elliott which remains likely this season. The Cowboys enter this game coming off a 33-19 win at Washington last week as a 3-point favorite. Dallas has then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread win. This Cowboys offense is clicking on all cylinders as they have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. Dallas has covered the point spread in 9 of their lsat 12 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Elliott ran the ball 33 times last week against the Skins for 150 yards and 2 TDs. Dallas generated 169 rushing yards in that contest — and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Elliott and company should thrive when facing this suspect Chiefs run defense that ranks 28th in the NFL by allowing 131.1 rushing YPG. The Cowboys return home after two straight wins on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after winning two straight games on the road. They are just 1-2 in AT&T Stadium this year — but they are outgaining their visitors by +84.3 net YPG.

Kansas City (6-2) snapped a two-game losing streak on Monday with their 29-19 win over the Broncos. That result was a bit deceptive with the tone of that game started with an early 45-yard interception return for a touchdown. The Chiefs lost the first-down battle by a 23-16 margin while getting outgained by a 364 to 276 mark. Defense is a significant issue with this team as they rank third-to-last in the NFL by allowing 392.2 total YPG. Kansas City allowed 177 rushing yards to the Broncos in their victory — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games are allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Chiefs have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Lastly, Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games played on the first Sunday after playing on Monday Night Football. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Kansas City-Dallas CBS-TV Special with the Dallas Cowboys (470) minus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs (469). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Denver Broncos (451) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (452). Philadelphia (7-1) is the hottest team in the league right now having won six straight games after their 33-10 win over San Francisco last Sunday. With the team now adding Jay Ajayi from Miami, the Eagles look primed to make a Super Bowl run. But underneath the surface, this still looks like a vulnerable team. They only managed 304 yards of offense against the 49ers and it was a late 37-yard interception return for a touchdown that changed the tenor of a game that was close and low-scoring in the first half. The season-ending injuries to left tackle Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks will also hurt this team when they face better competition. The Eagles have won their last two games by double-digits after their 10-point win over Washington the previous week. But Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning two straight games at home by double digits. And while the Eagles held rookie QB C.J. Beathard to just 238 yards of total offense last week, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last game. That game with the 49ers finished below the 45 point Total as well — and Philly has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 7 games in the month of November, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of these games.

Denver (3-4) looks to bounce-back from their 29-19 loss at Kansas City for Monday Night Football. The Broncos allowed an early 45-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown that set the tone for that game. Denver actually won the first down battle by a 23 to 16 margin while outgaining the Chiefs by 88 yards in that game. A -3 net turnover margin did the Broncos with QB Trevor Siemian throwing three interceptions. That is why Siemian has been benched with Brock Osweiler now under center. No, Osweiler will not make Denver fans think they are witnessing the resurrection of John Elway although he did play well in relief in a handful of starts for Peyton Manning in their Super Bowl year a few years ago. Remember when some were calling for Osweiler to stay as the starting QB in the playoffs even when Manning got healthy again? Osweiler’s biggest assignment is not to turn the ball over to let this outstanding Broncos defense flex their muscles like they did against the potent Chiefs defense who managed only 276 yards on Monday. Denver leads the NFL by allowing only 261.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games in a Sunday game after playing on Monday Night Football. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games, they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in 3 straight contests. Denver did rush for 177 yards against the Chiefs defense — and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after rushing for at least 150 yards. Additionally, the Broncos have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games as an underdog. They have also covered then point spread in 13 of their last 21 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Lastly, Denver has covered the point spread in 4 straight meetings with the Eagles. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-27-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* NFL Big Dog Surprise with the Denver Broncos (451) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (457) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (458). Jacksonville (4-3) has won two of their last three games with their 27-0 shutout win at Indianapolis back on October 22nd. The inconsistent Jaguars team is just 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 4 games after not allowing more than 14 points, Jacksonville has failed to cover the point spread in all 4 games. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home against teams with a losing record. While this team plays great defense, they are an unreliable favorite when asked to lay close to a touchdown.

Cincinnati (3-4) has won three of their last four games with their 24-23 win over Indianapolis last Sunday. That game finished above the 44 point Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. This team needs to get their ground game going after managing only 58 rushing yards on 21 carries against the Colts. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Cincinnati has not rushed for more than 86 yards since gobbling up 110 yards five games ago on the road at Green Bay. The Bengals have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in four straight games. Cincinnati can lean on their defense that ranks 5th in the NFL by holding teams to just 295.0 total YPG. Defense travels which makes this team capable road warriors and explains why the Bengals have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 8 road games with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range, Cincinnati has covered the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-37-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Road Warrior Wipeout with the Cincinnati Bengals (457) plus the points versus the Jacksonville Jaguars (458). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (454) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (453). Los Angeles (5-2) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 33-0 shutout victory over Arizona last week as a 3-point favorite. This success has prompted the Rams to be a road favorite of at least a field goal in this contest — but that is a precarious position for this young team to be in. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Additionally, LA held the Cardinals to just 196 yards in their shutout — but they are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing no more than 250 yards in their last contest. And while QB Jared Goff led the offense to accumulate 425 yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games.

New York (1-6) has had an extra week to recuperate and prepare for this game after their 24-7 loss against Seattle back on October 23rd. The Giants have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. New York is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while the Giants managed just 177 yards of offense against the Seahawks, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to generate at least 250 yards of offense. This team is a mess with injuries all over the place. This offense will have to run the ball more while utilizing their tight ends like they did in their upset victory over Denver and their top statistical defensive unit in the league. The Giants have covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, New York is 5-2-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 68-16-5 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New York Giants (454) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (453). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (455) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (456). Tampa Bay (2-5) will be playing with desperation this afternoon after they were upset last week against another divisional rival at home against Carolina as a 1.5-point favorite. The Buccaneers have lost four in a row with critics blaming the old canard regarding this team lacking an “identity” on offense. A healthier Jameis Winston will help as he has been banged up over the last few weeks. The good news is that Winston has practiced more this week than he has since getting injured and he claims he is feeling better. Tampa Bay has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Tampa Bay also needs to get their running game going with Doug Martin back from his suspension. The Bucs have not rushed for more than 90 yards in each of their last four contests — and they have then covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in at least three straight games. Tampa Bay is 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in the month of November. The Buccaneers are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 30 road games after losing five or six of their last seven contests, Tampa Bay has failed to cover the point spread in 21 of these contests.

25* NFC South Game of the Month with Tampa Bay plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 10:45 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Fresno State Bulldogs (402) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (401). Fresno State (5-3) suffered a big letdown last week as they followed up their big upset road win at San Diego State by laying the proverbial egg last week at home against in UNLV by a 26-16 score despite being a 22-point favorite in that game. Look for the Bulldogs to rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Now this team hosts BYU in this out-of-conference game — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference. And in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, the Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS. Additionally, Fresno State has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home. Despite losing at home last week, the Bulldogs remain 3-1 at home while outscoring their opponents by +34.5 PPG based on an offense that scores 46.2 PPG. Fresno State is still outgaining their opponents by +205.8 net YPG.

BYU (2-7) snapped their seven-game losing streak last week with their 41-20 win over San Jose State. The Cougars’ stagnant offense woke up in that game as they generated 598 yards of offense in that contest. But BYU has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Cougars have failed to over the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 4 games on the road, BYU has failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 58-6-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Night Late Show Bailout with the Fresno State Bulldogs (402) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (401). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (405) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (406). Colorado State (6-3) looks to bounce-back from a 45-28 loss to Air Force last week as a 9.5-point favorite. The Rams are an impressive 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a double-digit loss at home. Colorado State has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games. The Rams have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record, Colorado State has covered the point spread 10 times. This team will also have revenge on their mind after the Cowboys upset them by a 38-17 score as a 5.5-point favorite in their meeting last October 1st.

Wyoming (5-3) enters this game coming off a triumphant 42-3 win over New Mexico last week. But the Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a victory by at least 20 points. And while Wyoming has won four of their last five games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after winning at least three of their last four games. And in their last 16 games in the month of November, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread 12 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 102-32-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Colorado State-Wyoming CBS Sports Network Special with the Colorado State Rams (405) minus the points versus the Wyoming Cowboys (406). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Oklahoma State Cowboys (392) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (391). Oklahoma (7-1) enters Bedlam on a three-game winning streak with their 49-27 win over Texas Tech as a 20.5-point favorite. last week. Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 22 of 34 passes for 281 yards and 4 TD passes in that contest to lead the Sooners to 617 yards of offense. But this Oklahoma team has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest — and in their last 8 games after passing for at least 280 yards, they have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. But defense has been a problem for this team as they are letting their opponents average +29 YPG above their offensive average for the season. Four of their opponents have generated at least 400 yards against this Sooners’ defense. Now this team goes on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. And in their last 5 games against Big 12 foes, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

Oklahoma State (7-1) has won four in a row with their 50-39 win at West Virginia last week as an 8.5-point favorite. The Cowboys have then covered the point spread in a decisive 28 of their last 38 games are scoring at least 50 combined points in their last game. Oklahoma State generated 462 yards in that contest — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Cowboys held the Mountaineers to just 62 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 100 rushing yards in their last contest. And in their last 6 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, Oklahoma State has covered the point spread in 5 of these contests. 20* CFB Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Fox Sports 1 Special with the Oklahoma State Cowboys (392) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (391). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (7-1) looks to build off their 24-10 win over Georgia Tech last Saturday as a 14-point favorite. The pressure is on now for this team with the College Football Playoff rankings now out. One more loss for this Tigers team probably eliminates them from consideration to finish in the Final Four — and that makes this trip to Raleigh pretty precarious. As it is, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of November. Clemson is also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC opponents. Furthermore, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after playing their three previous games against conference opponents. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 20 games when favored in the 3.5 to 7 point range. And in their last 7 meetings with the Wolfpack, they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games.

NC State (6-2) looks to bounce-back from their 35-14 loss at Notre Dame last Saturday. The Wolfpack managed only 263 yards of offense against the Fighting Irish — but they have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. NC State managed only 50 rushing yards in that game which contributed to them losing the rushing battle to Notre Dame by -163 yards. The Wolfpack have then covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 games after being out-rushed by at least 150 yards. This team returns home where they played great in upsetting Louisville a few weeks ago. NC State is 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games at home against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 5 games against ACC foes, the Wolfpack have covered the point spread 4 times. Lastly, this team should be very confident despite last week’s result since they will remember taking this Clemson team with DeShaun Watson to overtime in their house before losing by a 31-24 score. 10* CFB Clemson-NC State ABC-TV Special with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (325) plus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (332) minus the points versus the Syracuse Orange (331). Florida State (2-5) hit a low point this season with their 35-3 loss at Boston College last week as a 6-point favorite. A -3 net turnover margin helped to do the Seminoles in for that game in this lost season that started with a loss on a neutral field to Alabama where they lost sophomore QB Deondre Francois for the season with a knee injury. Florida State then lost three of their next five games by a combined 13 points before collapsing against the Eagles last week. But this is also a team that has endured the most difficult schedule in the country. It is time for Jimbo Fisher’s team to circle the wagons and rally to still earn the right to attend a bowl game this season. They have yet to win at home in three games but are outgaining their opponents in yardage in these games. Look for this team to finally break through with a decisive victory. The Seminoles are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after failing to score at least 20 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games in the month of November, Florida State has covered the point spread 7 times.

Syracuse (4-4) comes off a 27-19 loss at Miami (FL) as a 17.5-point underdog back on October 21st. The Orange surrendered 344 passing yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record, Syracuse is just 0-3-1 ATS. This will be a tough assignment for this Orange team that has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against the Semioles. 10* CFB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Florida State Seminoles (332) minus the points versus the Syracuse Orange (331). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (416) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (415). Penn State (7-1) saw their bubble-burst last week in Columbus where they blew a series of leads en route to their 39-38 loss at Ohio State as a 7-point underdog. Despite opening the game with a 97-yard kickoff return for a touchdown along with a +2 net turnover margin, the Nittany Lions were outclassed in this contest as they were outgained by -246 net yards. We had a big play on the Buckeyes and it is a shame that we were not rewarded with a winning ticket given how thoroughly dominant they were at the line of scrimmage in this game. Blank slate this week from that setback — and this is a Nittany Lions team primed for a letdown with their College Football Playoff chances now likely to be vanquished. As it is, Penn State is just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 gams after a straight-up loss. The Nittany Lions have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss on the road. The Penn State defense was also exposed in this game as they surrendered 529 yards in that contest — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least 525 yards in their last game.

Michigan State (6-2) looks to bounce-back from their 39-31 upset loss at Northwestern last week as a 2-point favorite. The Spartans have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss. This team is getting improved play out of their sophomore QB Brian Lewerke who completed 39 of 57 passes for 445 yards and 4 TD passes while passing another 30 yards with his legs in that losing effort. Michigan State has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games after passing for at least 325 yards in their last game. Sparty has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games on their home field. And in their last 6 home games after playing at least three straight games against Big Ten foes, this team under head coach Mark Dantonio has covered the point spread in all 6 games which earns them the moniker of a dangerous dog in this spot. Lastly, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games in the month of November. Together, these team trends produce our specific 61-22-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Michigan State Spartans (416) plus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (415). Best of luck for us — Frank.