I will take all the points I can get here.  I dont think Indiana will lay down despite their QB being out for the season now.  They have a replacement who was a 4star and will be just fine.  This line would have been maybe 4 or so with that QB healthy but adjusting this much is crazy.  Once again do we know how good Wisky is?  I dont think so and Indiana's defense is good. 

I like Iowa St here this week.  I think most are going to look at them in a let down but I seem this totally different.  This team is pumped up and wanna end this on a high note and make a statement entering the Big 12 Championship team.  WVU is a team that has is 6-2 ATS and they have had a nice season themselves.  WVU has played 3 road conference games and have lost them all and only covered one which was pretty lucky @ Texas.  I love the momentum of the Cyclones here and believe they take care of business.  

I think it's fair to say that Oklahoma St has been a pretty lucky team to say the least.  They have some very narrow wins over Iowa St by 3 and Kansas St by 2 in which they could have easily lost both games.  Also with this line not moving at all I think odds makers are telling you a story here.  TCU has won 3 of their last 4 games and their loss was at West Virginia and they were 3 point dogs in that game and now they are roughly getting the same here.  Oklahoma St has failed to cover in 4 straight games.

So this is a strict fade of Texas as last week was a dream crusher to them.  With them losing to Iowa St they wont be able to play for the Conference Championship which is major let down for them and quite frankly why do they care about this game?  Kansas St has played well in this series going 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 meetings.  Kansas St has lost 4 straight games but they are 6-3 ATS this season

This will definetly be a sharp vs public type of game here.  Everyone now has teen Tom Brady in two prime time games simply wet the bed. They will for sure run to grab the Chiefs here based on those. results.   The Chiefs just aren't as good as anyone is making them out to be.  They have now survived back to back close games to the Panthers and Raiders and really could have easily lost both of those.  Chiefs are just 3-2 ATS on the road.  Also the Chiefs don't present a rush defense like the Rams did where Brady will have more time to pick them apart. 

I like the Broncos here in this spot.  They showed me something last week facing a red hot Dolphins team.  Yes, the Saints won and covered as the Falcons and Ryan were an absolute no show. However, I wasn't extremely impressed with Hill at all and just think since they covered this line is inflated.  The Saints only scored 24 on a very bad Falcons defense.  Denver is much better here and also the Saints have the Falcons again next week.  Weird spot for the Saints to be in here, I will take the points with Denver.

yea, the Cardinals haven't looked great the last few weeks and were extremely lucky against the Bills.  I think though we are getting a very cheap price here with them.  Murray is still having a great year and with the Patriots result last week it tells me they have thrown in the towel on the season.  That Texans team is flat out horrible and the Patriots were a no show.  Cardinals have a lot riding on their season and following a Thursday night loss with extra time to prep here I think they win this one and cover the short number.

I am really shocked this opened this low.  Last week the Vikings opened up a 7 point favorite vs the Cowboys and I had Dallas as they won outright.  Well now you're telling me that this Panther team without McCaffrey and possible a backup QB are better than Dallas?  No way I'm buying that at all.  Cook is going to have a field day against one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.  I know Thelin is on the Cover list but it shouldn't matter.  I really love this bounce back spot for Minnesota as they still have a legit chance at the playoffs. 

I had the Colts last week as they won and covered against the Packers in OT.  The Titans also won and covered abasing the Ravens in OT.  I really like these quick division revenge games.  These teams met just two games ago on a Thursday and the Colts really took it to them.  I think everyone will jump back on board them here.  The Titans still put up 157 on the ground vs this good Colts defense so I think the score was pretty misleading.  Tannehill played a horrible game which is what cost them.   This is a FG either way at most and wouldn't be shocked if the Titans won at their place this time around 

Alright the Chargers finally got win and now. lets back them here.  Every single game they have lost has been one possession.  The Chargers you could make the case for here that they are the best 3-7 team ever.   This team has talent across the board and I think will present problems for the Bills and their weak defense.  Buffalo coming off their bye probably feeling pretty fat and happy right now with a 7-3 start.  Their whole division just lost last week so giving them more cushion.  This isn't a Bills team I think should be laying near touchdowns to many teams at all.  They also play a. ton of close games as 6 of their. last 7 have been by one possession.  

I'm taking the Jets here in this game.  If you have watched the Dolphins since Tua has been starting you know they have been pretty lucky since a lot of their touchdowns have came fro their defense.  Tua got benched last week but now are starting again.  There. is plenty of film out and I think with this being a division game the Jets will be motivated.  Jets were also skinned 24-0 in the first meeting which I think provides a little extra edge as well. 

I believe the Aggies here will be able to name their score.  This LSU team brings in one of the worst defenses in the country and I think Jumbo would love to run it up on them.  The main reason I believe that is because last year LSU did that to them winning 50-7.  You better believe they wanna return the favor.  Also LSU has some injuries on defense in the secondary which is a huge concern.  The Aggies have been rolling since the loss to Bama. I think they put their foot down.

I will take Ole Miss here in the Egg Bowl.  You know Lane would love nothing more than to make a big time statement win at home vs new head coach Leach as well.  I just think the talent is clearly on the Ole Miss side here.  Their offense is tough to stop if you remember they scored 48 on Bama.  Granted their defense isn't great but they do make enough plays and any turnover they make you pay for it.  I trust Lane to pull out all the tricks here for a big time win for this team. 

This is an ugly game for sure but does Northwestern really deserve to be laying this many points on the road?  They are off a huge win over Wisconsin which I did back them last week in that win.  This sets up for a let down here especially given the fact that Michigan St has looked bad.  I will give them a bump here because they are coming off their bye and surely will have a different type of gameplay here going forward.  I dont see NW really scoring a ton as they only have one game over 27 points.  If they get to that number I love Michigan St to hang tough here.

I will take my chances here with Texas St getting all these points against everyones favorite team right now.  Coastal has covered every game so far this season and the betting public can't get enough of them.  They had a late pick six last week in order to. cover.  Texas St is off a nice win as an underdog over Arkansas St.  In fact Arkansas St have covered 4 straight games.  Also this game last year was Coastal -7 at home vs Texas St.  This line is clearly inflated.  Give me Texas St.

Here is another situation where I wonder how hard it will be for Oklahoma St to bounce back from.  They didn't just lose to Oklahoma last week they were beat down.  Those losses can have a big effect on a team.  Texas Tech is an interesting team as they have played a tough schedule.  They lost @Iowa St and Kansas St and were smaller dogs in both those games.  I think both those teams are better than Oklahoma St and that was a healthy K St team before they lost their QB.  Oklahoma St escaped wins vs Iowa St and Kansas St or else this could easily be a team that has lost 4 straight.  I think they are overrated.  

I like Maryland here in this spot.   This team will be extremely hungry as they haven't played for the last two weeks.  I think we. dont know how improved this. team is.  They won. as 17 point dogs and 25 point dogs vs Minnesota and Penn  St.  Granted neither of those teams are great but they still won outright.  Indiana is coming off their Super Bowl facing Ohio St last week and they gave it their all only losing by 7.  I just think for. them to get back up here is extremely difficult.   Also Indiana has a major look ahead next week @ Wisconsin.

I just think this line is crazy.  Nebraska goes from a two touchdown favorite to a two touchdown dog?  That is a big time. overreaction.   I'm not saying they dont have their issues but really?   Iowa's offense isn't exactly lighting up the scoreboard as they have benefitted big time in their last 3 games from turnovers.  This is a big rivalry game. and I think Frost will have them ready to  play.  Iowa will. look to. dominate on the ground like always.   This line was only.  3.5. last season and Iowa had a better team than they do. now.

I was on the Cowboys last week as they beat the Vikings straight up as a 7 point underdog.  The thing here is now Dalton is back healthy and more comfortable.  This  Cowboys team still has a ton of talent and that was on full display.  They beat literally one of the hottest teams in the league and that says something.  This Cowboys team still believes they can win this division and why not. I'm going to ride the momentum here of that win and believe it carries over here.  Dallas had their worst game of the season vs the. Football Team in scoring 3 points.  Cowboys out for some revenge on Thanksgiving.

I really like the Chiefs here in this spot Sunday night.  They have had this game circled on the schedule since they lost to them.  In. fact it has been the only. team to lose as a double digit favorite this season.  We all know Andy Reid is by far the best coach in the league or world for that matter off the bye.  The. Chiefs will be taking big time shot down the field to. expose that Raiders secondary.  I think they build a lead and that changes the Raiders gameplay as they want to control it on the ground again.  Mahomes and company make a statement win.

I like the Colts here in this game.  This is a team I really haven't looked to back much because of Rivers, but I think they are underrated right now.  This defense can flat out play and they are playing with a ton of confidence.  I think the Packers are extremely overrated and it proved last week as they struggled with a horrible Jags team.  Their defense is an issue but in large part it hasn't been shown because of their level of competition.  Indy can control the game on the ground here which I think is the key.  Also give me the way better D ,Colts win this game and cover the short number.

I like the spot here for the Cowboys.  yes, their defense is awful but I believe this is the ultimate sell high spot on the Vikings right now.  They have won and covered 3 straight games and all of these were against division teams.  Cowboys are off the bye now and do have some players healthy on defense.  I could really see the Vikings struggling out of the. gate here on the short week.  This is also one of those games that a lot of people will be picking in survivor pools.  If you follow that closely you know that in recent weeks teams that will be most selected have flat out struggled big time win the game example Packers last week.  Cowboys are a live dog 

I know Darnold is out in this game but I the Chargers laying double digits?  This is simply just too many points here. The Jets have covered 2 of their last 3 games and I have to question where the heads of the Chargers are after yet another single digit loss and essentially being eliminated from the playoffs last week.  Also the Chargers were favored by 8 over the Jags and covered but that was extremely misleading as the Jags lead that game late in the 3rd.  I wouldn't be shocked here if the Jets did something crazy and won this game.  They dont wanna be that team that has zero wins so I still think they will put forth an effort.

I'm adding the Football team here in this game today.  Cincy was in a great spot last week off their bye and flat out failed to show. Yes, the Football team got down. @ Detroit by 21 but clearly there is a lot of fight left in them and that is what you're looking for with these kind of teams. late in the season.  They fought back tied it and had a chance to win.  Also worth noting is the fact that the Football team has such a much better defense and they will be coming at Burrow left and right as he has one of the worst OL in the league

let's take Oklahoma here.  I just think this is a discount on them and in this series.  This has also been a big rivalry that has been extremely lopsided.  Oklahoma has won 5 straight and 7 of the last 8 in this series.  Oklahoma St has only covered twice during that span.  I think OU is now finding their speed as their offense woke up scoring 53,33,62,62 the last 4 games.  I'm not saying they will get that high but they clearly are clicking and this will by far be the best offense that the Cowboys have seen so far.  Oklahoma St has been outgunned 3 games that they have won outright.  I think their record is a little misleading given that.  OU rolls here

Grab this one now as I think we see sharp money move this as the week goes along.  Everyone will love Liberty here as they are ranked and undefeated and catching points.  Everyone will also remember the fact that they went on the road @ Va Tech and pulled the upset as a 14.5 point dog.  Well clearly now they are getting some respect.  NC played at Va Tech also and was only a 6.5 point dog so based on those lines this one should be 8 so we are getting a discount because of Liberty's undefeated record.  Also the fact that NC St won't be looking past them because of that win over Va Tech

I can't believe this line at all.  Tennessee is 2-4 and have lost 4 straight but that has them extremely undervalued here.  They lost to Georgia and Bama in 2 of those games so you can't fault them there.  I also think this Auburn team is overrated as they won two games vs Arkansas and Ole Miss that they shouldn't of based on calls.  They are getting a ton of respect because of. their most recent performance vs LSU.  Auburn has Bama on deck which is their biggest game of the year every year.  Tennessee is a live dog here

I like Iowa St here.  I know this a role that Campbell hasn't great in being favored by double digits.  I just think Kansas St wills struggle here with their. backup QB who. has 5. TD's and 5 interceptions. since. stepping in.  He clearly isn't anything special and I believe struggles big time against this Iowa St defense.  Both teams are off the bye.  Iowa St will be motivated here still playing for. the conference title hopes and also a. revenge game from last season.  

All I have heard all week is how Wisconsin is going to just beat down Northwestern.  When I hear these types of statements it always makes me look the other way.  First, do we actually know how good Wisky is by beating Illinois and Michigan?  Second odds makers are saying that Northwestern and Michigan are even based on the two lines this week and last.  There is no way I believe that at all.  This has been a series dominated by the dog going 6-1 ATS the last 7 meetings.  Badgers 1-5 ATS L6 games @ Northwestern

I will take the points here but I also dont mind Penn St on the ML.  I know most will question how much Penn St will have any interest but I still think Franklin will get them to play hard here.  This team outgunned Nebraska by over 200 yards and lost another game as they did the same vs Indiana.  If you have. watched Iowa you can't trust Petras their QB at all here.  He has 3 TD's to 4 INT's this season which is horrible considering who they have played.  Penn St defense is just outside the top 25 against the run which is what Iowa likes to do.  Wrong team is favored here

I normally don't look to play teams laying this big of number but I can't pass Nebraska up here.  I think Frost knows the importance here of rally opening up the playbook and really try and put it on Illinois.  I think this because of Mccaffrey running the show now and he just brings something different to the table that Martinez doesn't.  The team clearly responded with him and I think that is huge for them going forward.  We see them open it up here build some confidence and put it on this bad Illinois team. 

Coming later

So we are seeing the lowest total on the board this week and getting a dog of more than touchdown?  Yes, we. can all agree the.  Patriots are down and they needed a. comeback against the Jets as. everyone witnessed.  Alright, flip this situation and ask yourself. do you like what you. have seen from Baltimore on offense so far? I think it's safe to say that Baltimore can score around mid 20's.  To me if that's the scenario, then worst case that the Patriots are live for a back door even if they only have 14 points.  I trust Bellichick here in a prime time game to have his team ready

I like the Bengals here in this spot.  We all can clearly agree that Pitt is no where. near as good as their undefeated record.  Last week they struggled big time. against a pathetic Cowboys defense.  The Steelers offense has scored over 300 the last 3 games and I think this is difficult here for them coming off three 3 straight road games as well.  Cincy is fresh off their bye and had a big win going into their. bye week.  I look for the momentum to carry them. here.  Burrow is the real deal and he will move the. ball on them.  

Everyone right now seems to love the Dolphins.  Yes, they have been a nice surprise to say the least.  I. just think now we are seeing them in a role that they are use to being in.  This will only be the 2nd time all season that they have been favored and it was against the Jets the first time.  Yes, the Chargers have lost several close games but I think they rise to the occasion here.  Miami has multiple injuries at RB and WR.  I also think the fact that Miami keeps scoring defensive TD's has them inflated.

Alright this is a big time bounce back spot here for Detroit.  They  have lost.  back to back games but right now IMO they are playing the worst team in football in the Football team with the. fact that Alex Smith is now their starting QB.  This offense is just brutal and while. Smith's comeback story is nothing short of phenomenal but he has looked flat out terrible and simply isn't mobile.  Detroit here isn't eliminated from playoff contention yet and I think they bounce back with a big one in a great spot.

So this is a classic type of game here.  San Jose St historical has been one of the worst teams over the last how many years now.  Well they. are now 3-0 SU and ATS and getting all sorts of love right now.  This is the first time in like 40 years that San Jose St has been 3-0.  Their starting QB is also in question here which is worth noting.  UNLV. has yet to win a game and also yet to cover.  I think that has them extremely under valued here.  UNLV is now catching more point to a worse team than they have played so far.  I like all these points here

Boy this line sure is a weird one.  South Carolina was just catching less points against a legit top 15 in Texas AM.  This is a huge overreaction especially given the fact that Ole Miss has the worst defense in the league and they only have two wins as well.  I trust South Carolina here in a great bounce back spot vs a bad team here.  

Here is another spot where we have a unranked home favorite vs a ranked road dog.  I know SMU is a solid team and Im not. taking anything away from them.  I think people don't trust Tula simply because they haven't played as many games only 4.  They are coming off another bye week as well. Remember when they were suppose to play Cincy they were -3 favorites.  We all know how good Cincy is so I feel like we are getting a discount here with Tulsa.  Tulsa has won 4 of the last 6 in this series and the two they didn't win they still covered. 

This one is a head scratcher to me.  Northwestern is now ranked but they have beat Maryland, Iowa and Nebraska and the Iowa and Nebraska game were both coin flips.  I think the wrong team is favored here.  Purdue didn't play last week so they. have extra time to prepare here.  Also Purdue might be without. their  stud Moore but they. already. beat Iowa without him week 1.   I like Purdue to get the win outright here

This is the biggest let down of the season and probably will be throughout the season with Notre Dame here.  We all saw everyone storm the field last week after they took down Clemson in OT.  It was a pretty lucky comeback as they scored TD with under a minute left.  This BC team is the real deal here.  They are 5-3 SU and ATS.  It was no surprise that last week they barely won against Cuse as they were looking ahead to this game.  Also worth noting that BC QB is a Notre Dame transfer.  Talk about motivation. 

I like Sparty here in this game as Indiana is definitely very fat and happy.  Who would have thought just two weeks that the Hoosiers would be laying a TD on the road. here?  This seems to. be a big time overreaction here.  Sparty got blown out last week @ Iowa as it was a get right game for Iowa.  I'm buying Indiana at all here if you remember game 1 they were outgunned big time by Penn St and should have lost that game.  I think Sparty is live here to. win outright

I love the Bucs here Sunday night.  They clearly had this game circled as we saw their no show performance on Monday night against the Giants.  I love this spot for the Bucs because they have this game circled as. they lost week 1 and it was Brady's fault as he threw. the pick 6 that sealed the game.  I also think the betting public will love that. Thomas and Sanders will be back this week so they think the Saints will score well I dont it see it that way.  The Saints O and Brees check downs dont scare the Bucs.  I trust Bucs in the revenge game 

I like the Cardinals here in this game.  I like people are going to big time overreact to what they saw vs the Rams last week.  The Dolphins were very lucky having multiple defensive/special teams touchdowns.  The offense couldn't get over 200 total yards for the game.  Now, they dont have a running game at all with cluster injuries at that position.  AZ coming off the bye week and the look ahead line last week was 6.  There is no reason to downgrade the Cardinals for not playing.  I think they roll here in this spot.  

I think the betting public will love them some Raiders here this week.  Yes the Raiders have surprised a lot of people this season but I also think they are over valued here as the look ahead line was the Chargers -3 last week.  So with Vegas winning and Chargers losing in horrific fashion no one will want the Chargers who could easily be above 500 here.  I think this is the ultimate rally the troops game as the coaches will be preaching they still have a chance at the playoffs if they win this game which they do.  A loss here would mean season over.  max effort here for the Chargers. 

I like the Panthers here in this game.  First, they return their stud CMC and he clearly matches up very well against the Chiefs here as they struggle against the run.  The Chiefs I doubt are that interested here as their bye week is looming.  Carolina and Teddy will take. care of the ball which is. why he covers. so well as a dog.  They have the longer week to prepare here coming off Thursday night.  I see Carolina scoring in the 20's which will be enough to cover here easily.  

I like the Titans here which won't be a popular pick by any means.  Let's look at it as the Bears are 5-3 and 5-3 ATS and everyone loves their defense as it keeps them in games.  I think oddsmakers are clearly tilting their hand here to what they feel about the Bears.  The Bears also have big time cluster injuries on their OL that is already one of the worst in the league.  Titans are undervalued here and they do score 30 ppg.  With the Titans losing to the Bengals last week everyone will write them off.  I love them this week.  Bears also off an OT loss which is more difficult 

I know I missed a better number here with Stanford but I still like them at this price.  I think. people just tend to think Oregon is this high flying scoring offense.  This team lost Herbert and we see how good he is now in the NFL and I just think it's tough for them to replace him.  Also Oregon has a lot of key players sitting out this season because of COVID so they have inexperience everywhere for a team laying this many points.  They also have a new OC as well.  I trust Stanford and Shaw here in a nice bounce back season.  

I think now is the perfect time to fade the Razorbacks here.  They area perfect 5-0 ATS this season and now are being over valued plain and simple.  Their two wins are against Ole Miss and Miss St who are both ugly teams.  The Vols have lost 3 straight and that has them extremely underrated.  However, two of those losses were against Georgia and Bama so you can't fault them here.  I expect a motivated Vols team here off the bye 

Every year we see this Clemson team really play down to their competition and that is the wake up. call they need.  Well last week their stud Lawrence has COVID backup QB now in and they were missing several key starters on defense.  Well they had this huge look ahead and just won the game but didn't look pretty.  Notre Dame will be a popular dog pick this weekend based on everything I mentioned.  I think they are highly overrated and have escaped some ugly teams so far.  This Clemson D is legit and Book for. ND won't know what hit him.  Clemson wins easy

I like South Carolina here in this spot.  I have been pretty spot on here with both of these teams this season.  I think this line is inflated.  The Aggies are getting a lot of respect and I think it's because they beat Florida a few weeks back.  The Gamecocks are a lot better than getting credit for and I believe it's because of their last game @ LSU when LSU was due for a big time performance.  South Carolina is now off their bye and are allowing some fans which I think is crucial here for this big game.  Give me the points here

I like Florida here in this game. First, I think they have the better athletes here on both sides of the ball.   I thin both of these teams are equal which adds value to the the 3.5 here.  Florida's defense might be a little suspect for some but I trust them to handle an offense who isn't exactly lighting it up.  Bulldogs on O have a lot of question marks for me look at last week only scoring 14 against a bad Kentucky team.  Florida offense though will be something that Georgia hasn't seen.  Yes, they played Bama but this Gators offense is scary good.  They are averaging 42 ppg and I think will put the Bulldogs out of their comfort zone in style of play.  I will take the 3.5 that's on a neutral field here 

This one really stood out to me.  Who is TCU exactly to be laying near double digits?  I mean Kansas St was only favored by 1 over Tech and that was @ Kansas St was at home.  Now Tech is catching 9.5 at a worse team?  This seems to be an overreaction here with TCU beating a very bad Baylor team.  Tech is more than capable here of winning this game outright.  History in this series proves that as well as only one game since 2015 that this series has been. decided by more than 3 points.  

I had Northwestern in a winner last week vs Iowa as they won outright.  I honestly wasn't extremely impressed with them as I think Iowa is a bad football team.  I also will make the case that this is a extremely motivated Nebraska group here and they didn't get to play last week because of COVID with Wisconsin.  So they are very hungry here following that loss to Ohio St.  They actually hung tough for the. first half.  I think this line drops closer to kick.  Will take the points 

I know this is an ugly one here but I will take the Bears.   First, no one will want anything to do with. them after the Monday showing where they didn't score a TD on offense.  Well, this line is clearly inflated here and the Saints are no good.  What the Saints love to do the Bears D will be able to control in Karmara.  I also think worth noting that the Bears were pinned deep a handful of times inside their own 5 which is difficult for any team.  Great bounce back spot and I think the Bears really put forth a big effort.

I will take Seattle here in a nice bounce back spot.  I was against them last week on the Sunday night game and they lost in OT.  The thing is though they could have easily covered if it weren't for the personal foul on the field goal that resulted in a first down.  They also had a TD called back in OT.  So they had several things go against them in covering and off a loss I trust Wilson.  I think San Fran is getting a ton of respect here for the last two weeks beating the Rams and Patriots.  San Fran still has a ton of injuries and I like Seattle in this spot.

This line here is one of the biggest knee jerk reactions we are seeing.  So I had Denver and lost last week but the Chiefs have 3 defensive/special teams TD which is super lucky.  In fact Denver out gained KC for the game.  The Chargers were 8.5 point favorites over the Jags last week and Jacksonville was actually leading late in the third so with the Chargers covering it was misleading on their end.  So they are saying that if this game were played in @ LA that the Chargers would be favored by nearly the same as the Jags?  No way not buying it.  Denver bounces back here.  Herbert is good but being a road favorite now against a division rival?  Denver is the play here

The Titans. just suffered their first lost to the Steelers but this team is vastly overrated IMO.  Let's look at their first 3 wins.  They beat the Broncos by 2, Jags by 3 and Vikings. by 1.   I mean these are bottom team who they barely beat.  Also they were favored by 3 @ Minnesota and I think this Bengals team is better than them right now.  The Bengals should have won last week as the Browns scored with just seconds left in the game.  Burrow is the real deal and the Titans D isn't anything special.  This is simply way too many points here

This will clearly be a sharp/square game here.  Everyone and their mother will be all over the Steelers here as they are undefeated.  I just love this situation for the Ravens coming off the bye week.  It's interesting to me how really not many are talking about this team at all right now.  I'm not taking anything away from Pitt but lets look at the lines.  The Titans were favored by 1.5 over them and you are telling me that the Ravens are. only 2 points better than Tennessee?  I dont buy that clearly.  I think Ravens win this easily

I believe this is the buy low spot on the Bills.  They didn't look good at all last week vs the Jets but that game was extremely misleading as the Bills outgained them by over 200 yards but couldn't find the end zone.  I just think the Patriots had the perfect situation last week and quite simply failed to respond.  They were coming off a bad loss to the Broncos at home and had the chance to respond vs the Niners and failed to. against all the. injuries. they have.  Buffalo I believe shows this division is now theirs in a big way

This is just a great spot here to back the Dolphins.  I know many will have questions about why make this. move to Tua so early considering the Dolphins have a legit chance to make the playoffs.  To me it shows the confidence they have in him.  I also think this is the worst spot for the Rams here.  First, they are on a short week coming off the MNF win over the Bears, but their travel schedule has just been brutal as this is their 5th time on the east coast of the season which is a ton. They have their bye week following and I think this is the ultimate let. down spot here.  Miami will be more motivated coming off their bye.

I was on North Carolina last week in an easy win and cover against NC St as they nearly put up 600 yards of offense.  This team had their wake up call losing to Florida St as a double digit favorite.  I just think their offense is going to be hard for Virginia to keep up with.  The Cavs dont exactly light up the scoreboard averaging just 23 points while UNC is just over 38.  The Cavs also have a big time issue of taking care of the ball.  I think with them trying to keep up will cause problems and lead to some turnovers.  

Grab Now...

This is a vastly improved Missouri team.  I have back them their last two games in both winning and covering efforts.  This team is clearly playing. with some major confidence.  I also think this is the right spot. for them even though Florida is coming off the bye.  Well, Florida had a bunch of Covid issues and not sure how much practice they have had which is a concern.  Throw in the fact that they have a major look ahead in Georgia next week and I think Mizzou can. keep. it within this number.  Florida's defense has been very bad so far this season.

I really like that spot here for the Hokies.  They are coming off their worst performance of the season losing as a double digit favorite against Wake Forest.  On the other hand Louisville is coming off by far their best performance by waxing Florida St.  They also got Florida St at the right time with them coming off that big win over UNC from the previous week.  Va Tech is now a lot healthier as they had Covid go through the team.  I really like the bounce back spot here for the Hokies 

This line really says it all about what odds makers think of Oklahoma St.  I had Iowa St last week and grabbed an early number and they covered.  Iowa St shot themselves in the foot more than Oklahoma St won that game.  Texas has the better defense here plus I think this is a big time game moving forward for Coach Herman and staff.  Longhorns. get the so called upset here

I was against Iowa last week in a winner and I will be against them again here.  It's clear to me that oddsmakers dont think highly of this team.  Last week Purdues head coach was announced out and their best play Moore was late in the week and the line didn't move at all.  Thats a telling sign to me.  NW beat up on a bad Maryland team and did what they had to.  I think NW will control the clock here as the Iowa defense is not very good.  NW has revenge on their mind from last season.  This is a veteran group and I think they are better team.

BC is a very much improved team this season and their record indicates that sitting at 4-2.  Clemson is the best team in football right now and I dont think its close.  that's why when going against them you need to pick your spots.  They have their biggest game of the year on deck @ Notre Dame next week and I think they just coast here.  Every year as well they always have a game where they let a team hang around.  I just really like the spot to take all the points here with BC.

So here we have a classic example here.  The road dog and ranked team in Kansas St is 4-1 and an underdog? Hmmm everyone will love Kansas St and that is exactly what makes me like the other side.  Kansas St first has a backup QB and this will be his first true road test.  Also Kansas St some would consider lucky as they have been outgunned in every game but the Kansas game.  WVU on the other hand has outgained every opponent but have two losses.  The spot as well is in big time favor for WVU as they are coming off a loss and have this game circled and. Kansas St has a big game on deck with undefeated Oklahoma St coming to town

I will take the Cardinals here as they were flexed to the Sunday night game.  Seattle is getting way too much respect here for me.  So oddsmakers are saying that the Cardinals would be 6.5 or more point dogs @ Seattle suggesting that AZ is worse than the Vikings?  No way that is the case.  Seattle has been very very lucky to say the least.  Murray will expose this very bad defense with some big time plays. This is way too many points here.  This game will easily be one of sharp vs square games 

I really like the Broncos here in this game.  This team showed me a lot last week going into New England and winning outright.  In fact the game wasn't even as close as the final score might indicate.  They have the injury bug but are now getting some pieces back on defense which is key vs the Chiefs.  This is a short week for KC against a division rival and throw in the fact it's suppose to snow a lot, I think Denver can really keep this close.

I'm going to lay it here with the Patriots in a great bounce back spot.  This team was simply flat last week and you can blame a lot of that on not being able to practice and prepare and it clearly showed.  This Niners team is coming off a big win over the Rams but exactly how good are the Rams?  There is no one that Belichick can prepare more for than a QB that he use to have.  Both teams are battling some injuries but I do trust Cam and Belichick more here

Coming later

I like the Browns here in this spot.  I think most will be scared to back the Browns here as they were blown out against the Steelers last week.  I think this is the perfect spot and match up for them here.  The Browns love to establish the run and no better team to do so than against the Bengals.  The Bengals did cover in the first meeting with a gross and meaningless backdoor.  Bengals are banged up right now and I like the bounce back spot here for the Cleveland 

I like Carolina here as the Saints are still getting way too much respect for me.  Yes, they are off their bye week but laying over a TD against a division rival seems crazy.  I was against the Panthers last week as the Bears came in and won outright.  Well the Saints dont present that much of a problem on defense and Teddy should have no issue moving the ball.  I think we get an all out effort here from Carolina give me the points.

I think Missouri is a live dog here.  I had them a couple weeks ago as they won outright as two touchdown underdogs vs LSU.  They aren't getting any credit here.  Their first two losses were too Bama and Tennessee clearly both quality teams.  Kentucky could easily be 3-1 but I don't love the spot for them coming off a big time win over a rival in Tennessee as they were 6 point dogs.  This Missouri team is improved and I wouldn't be surprised if they won outright

I like Pittsburgh here getting double digits.  Basically they are saying that Pitt is the same as Louisville and quite frankly that isn't anywhere near the truth. No one will want anything to do with Pitt here because they have lost 3 straight, but two of those losses came by 1 point and the other was last week @ Miami losing by only 12.  They are clearly better than their record indicates.  This will be Notre Dame's first road game as well and their offense does worry me.  I expect a low scoring affair here.

I believe the wrong team is favored here.  In fact Purdue opened up the favorite here in this game and with the Brohm news as he won't be coaching because he tested positive the line quickly flipped.  I'm not sure about that.  Purdue returns 17 starters and will be one of the most improved teams in the Big 10.  Iowa has a lot to replace and too many questions on offense for me for them to be laying points right out of the gate here.  Purdue wins this game outright

Iowa St to me is the best overall team in the Big 12 and will gladly take the points here with them.  I think people still have that first game in their mind as they were upset in week 1.  They also have big time revenge from last season as Oklahoma St was a double digit dog and won outright in Ames.  Oklahoma St simply doesn't deserve to be favored here as they haven't proven anything yet this season.  Yes, they had a ton of talent returning but it hasn't translated to the field.  I think Iowa St wins outright

I like the Longhorns here in this game.  This is the ultimate buy low spot here on Texas.  They have lost two straight games but still have a ton of talent.  I also think Baylor here will be the square dog of the week.  Baylor has played WVU and Kansas and couldn't have looked any less impressive in those games.  Texas has revenge on their mind from an ugly loss last year 

I think this line is really telling you the story here.  UNC is coming off their ugliest game of the season with a loss @ Florida St.  I trust Mack here to have them ready for a big time performance here.  NC St at a glance is 4-1 and has had some good showings.  NC St will be missing their starting QB who has been really solid this season with over a 60% completion ratio and 8 TD's to just 2 INT's.  His leadership and accuracy will be missed.  UNC does struggle. against the run but NC ST isn't great at it and I think they will put all sorts of pressure on the back up QB.

So Auburn is 2-0 at home and 0-2 on the road and I definitely believe that is playing into the line here plus the fact that they lost week @ South Carolina.  I just think this is a great matchup for them here this. week.   This Ole Miss team has big holes in their defense giving up 6.2 yards per carry.  I think that will play right into Auburn's hands here.  I know last week Ole Miss QB struggled throwing 6 picks  and sure he can do better but that's hard to get out of your head IMO.  Auburn won't have any issue scoring and I will lay the short number.

I like the Bucs here.  I know most will be in love with the Packers here sitting undefeated and coming off their bye week.  Throw in the fact Tampa lost in the prime time game Thursday against the Bears and most people lost money with them. But, the biggest thing here is that last week Tampa was -3 in this game now just based on one game we are seeing near a 6 point move?! That's crazy to me.  Packers have beat the Lions, Vikings, Saints and Falcons.  Which one of those wins impress you?  Exactly none of them

I will go back with the Bengals here.  I lost last week with them but if you told me Baltimore would score 27 I would have bet Cincy covers that game easily.  Well, they failed to show up on offense here. Rivers shouldn't be laying more than a TD against anyone right now.  I just really like the bounce back spot here for Cincy.  Colts have faced a very easy schedule so far and I think that has inflated their defensive numbers.  Burrow bounces back with a solid game here

The Lions season here isn't lost quite. yet.  They know this is the game that they have to win if they have any hopes here and with coming off the bye week I expect a big effort.  The Jags defense is in for a long day here against Stafford.  You just have to wonder where the Jags heads are after losing back to back road games to winless teams at that time in Cincy and Houston.  It's a long up hill battle for the Jags and give me the desperate team

I like the Bears here in this matchup.  I think Carolina is now riding a little too hot as they have won 3 straight games as an underdog and now they are favored and begging for action.  I just worry about this Carolina offense against a very good D and that is exactly what the Bears bring in here.  Chicago might have their issue on offense but Carolina doesn't have a good D and I think Foles will take care of that.  Bears win this game outright

This line is just too high.  I get it the Eagles haven't looked by any means but I think they will be big time motivated here.  First, they actually gained new life with the Dak injury as now the Eagles are the front runner for the division.   Throw in the the fact the Ravens are coming to town and the Eagles know the importance of this game.  They are getting healthier as well. Ravens offense just isn't clicking right now this year ranking 24th in the league.  I think its smart to look the opposite way here getting more than a TD at home.

Late add info coming 

I'm just not convened that this Alabama team is that good especially on defense.  Last week Ole Miss went up and down the field on them and now they have to play a Georgia team who clearly looks the part right now.  This Georgia defense is giving up 2.8 yards per rush which is key a Bama loves to establish the run.  Georgia has a well balanced attack here that will create problems for this Bama defense based on what I have seen so far.  I wouldn't be surprised if Georgia came away with victory here.

Late Add

I think last week showed what this team was capable of and I had them vs Florida as they won outright as a 6.5 point dog.  I know with this line dropping it's sharp money but I have a hard time seeing why.  Miss St put everyone on notice week 1 with a big win over LSU well now that win doesn't look very good.  They have followed that up with back to back losses to Arkansas and Kentucky who as well will be considered bottom teams in the SEC.  Jimbo has a veteran group here and I dont think a letdown is in store.  

I'm taking South Carolina here and actually believe this game should be more of a PK.  This team is being undervalued here.  They took a good Tennessee team down to the wire in week 1 but the turnovers were the difference.  I also think Auburn is very overrated here as they should have lost last week vs Arkansas but the refs messed up big time.  South Carolina will move the ball against this weak secondary.  I think they win this one outright 

I was hoping for more points. here but will take the 6 as I dont see it going higher.  This is about the worst spot you could ask for if you're a Tennessee fan.  They are coming off a big time emotional game vs Georgia and now face Kentucky who they clearly won't be as up for but the key here is they have Alabama on deck setting up a big sandwich spot here.  I think this Kentucky team is very undervalued as they did outgain Auburn week 1 but lost the turnovers 3-0.  They lost to Ole Miss by 1 in a coin flip and held an high power offense with Leach and company to just 2 points.  

I think the jury is still out on this Miami team.  A few weeks back Miami went on the road @ Louisville and won which looked like a big time win at that time but now that win just looks bad. Miami first true test was last week and I was against them and Clemson just blew the doors off them.  This Pitt team is 2 points from being 5-0 and being extremely undervalued since they have lost 2 straight.  What I love here is that Pitt is giving up 1.7 yards per rush which will be great as King is a run first QB.  I think Pitt is a live dog here

I really think this Chargers team is a lot better than most want to believe or give credit for.  They should have beaten the Chiefs and Bucs letting leads slip away in both games.  I’m not impressed at all with the Saints and Brees.  They can sure put up points still but they don’t look the same when you watch them. 

I think the Browns here are the right side.  I'm not overreacting to last weeks big win over Dallas as their offense came alive.  The Colts have played one of the weakest schedules in the league and lets not forget they did lose to the Jaguars. The Browns are playing with some major confidence right now winning 3 straight.  I know the Colts D is ranked #1 but I think that is a fluke because of who they have played.  Big statement win coming from the Browns this week

I had the Dolphins last week in a losing effort but they were clearly the fight side vs Seattle.  They covered 90% of the game but a mistake late cost them the cover.  This 49ers team is just really messed up right now.  They looked flat out horrible Sunday night vs the Eagles.  While I know jimmy G is back, I know he isn't 100%.  The Dolphins will move the ball and score here against the banged up defense of San Fran.  

I'm taking the Falcons here in this game.  Yes, they are 0-4 but they should be an was 2-2 right now and because of that we are getting good value.  Falcons last week were 3.5-4 point favorites and now this line has dropped big time.  Carolina has won back to back games as a dog and no one wants any piece of the Falcons right now.  Atlanta has won 4 straight in this series.  

I'm taking the Redskins here in this game for several reasons.  The Rams are in one of the toughest travel spots you could ask for.  They are currently playing their 3rd game on the East Coast in 4 weeks.  That is extremely hard for a team. Throw in the fact that I dont think they will be that motivated here as well.  I actually think the Redskins will be motivated because they switched QB's finally and are starting Kyle Allen who will be an upgrade.  This Washington defense is the real deal and can contain the Rams. 

The Bengals here are being very much under valued.  Burrorw has made this team a competitive team and while they may not win a lot of games they will be in a lot of games.  I love the Cincy is coming off their first win of the season giving them plenty of confidence.  Lamar Jackson is also a little banged up right now and definitely isn't 100% here.  Jackson also hasn't covered at home vs the Bengals either.