The Titans are getting to much respect from last weeks win over the Jags as they caught them in the perfect spot after the Jags beat the Patriots.  Titans still have QB issues as neither is 100% healthy.  I also like that the Colts got Wentz back but didnt cover even though they should have sine they actually dominated them in yards.  Let's be honest in today's game how many teams win a game let alone not get blown out after only passing for 83 yards?  Eagles win easily

Well another great situational play here.  Oregon is coming off a just a brutal loss to Stanford last week as they were dominating that game and let it slip away which is extremely hard to bounce back from.  Throw in fact we have a much improved Cal team this season and they are coming off a bye I think the wrong team is favored here.  Cal wins this game SU

I think Toledo is in over their heads here.  This team is legit and they have play makers as we have already witnessed.  They are also coming off a bye after a dominating win @ UCLA.  Some other key factors here is that this will be Toledo's first road game and throw in the fact that this will be a super super late kick compared to east coast time for these kids which is a factor that goes under looked IMO.  I think Fresno has their way with them from the start.

I look for the Sun Devils to be hungry here and blow out a bad Oregon St team.  ASU is coming off two close losses but both of those were on the road.  Herm has changed the culture down their and this team can still win the south.  I think Oregon St is really deflated after last week because they probably thought that was their one chance to get a win.  

Little upset I missed an earlier and better line but Notre Dame found a QB in Book and I dont think odds makers are making a big enough adjustment for him.  Throw in the fact ND has dropped the past 2 games against Stanford I believe they have this one circled.  Also Stanford is in a tough spot coming off a crazy win @ Oregon a game they shouldn't have been in at all and they used a ton of energy in that monster come back.  I think Notre Dame wins easily

I think Iowa St is in a world of trouble here against TCU.  The Horned Frogs will be extremely pissed after losing two in a row to Ohio St and @ Texas.  Some will argue that this is a let down spot but I don't think it will be as they can still win conference.  They also will want revenge as they had a game slip away from them @ Ames last season in one they should have won.

So a lot of people including myself may have pegged Washington St wrong as I though they would be the 2nd worst team in the conference.  I think they are now getting too much respect because they have covered every game so far.  I also love that Utah is coming off their bye week and will be more than motivated here as they want revenge from last year

I like Texas Tech here who seems to have figured out things out especially on defense.  Texas Tech went into Oklahoma St last week as a two touchdown underdog and just throttled them.  The most important thing is that they held them to 17 points.  I love backing teams who won as a road dog and then return home as a home dog.  They seem to ride the momentum when this happens and I believe Tech wins out right

Let's go ahead and grab the Vikings here.  These are still the two best teams in the NFC and I think Minnesota was clearly caught looking ahead and before they knew it they couldn't come back.  The public based on those results will be all over the Rams since they have covered every game.  Mind you the Rams were just favored by this much against a lesser team in the Chargers.  Here is the main key and that is the Rams are battling so many injuries.  Talib is out for sure and sounds like Peters isn't going to play.  They lost other key players as well on that defense and that will be the main difference.  I wouldn't be surprised if the Vikings bounced back and won

Here is one of the classic situations as we have a 0-2 home team giving points.  This Seattle team is desperate as they know you simply cant fall to 0-3 as you have a very very slim chance of making the playoffs.  Wilson is their leader and I think he steps up in a must win game.  Also Dallas looked good on national TV against the Giants and so did their defense but Eli is absolutely terrible right now so how much stock do you put in that.  Sounds like Seattle will get some of their starters back and a huge effort will follow

Odds makers are still giving the Saints a lot of respect because so many were extremely high on this team to begin the season.  Falcons didn't struggle at all last week in the red zone against a much better defense in the Panthers.  The Saints so far lost to the Bucs and should have lost to the Browns last week.  Clealry they are thinking a big bounce back, but I'm not sold that the Saints are that good.  I like what the Falcons found on offense last week and to keep that going 

I like Carolina here in this spot after losing to the Falcons.  They hung in there really tough despite some key injuries.  They are now healthier while the Bengals lost a key piece in RB Mixon who I think meant a lot to that team than what people realize.  The Panthers have a stout defense and I believe they will hold Cincy in check.

This is one of those fishy lines that we all know the public will jump all over.  I think Washington responds here with a better effort even though last week didn't look very well.  The Packers played their you know whats off and ended in a tie with the Vikings.  Rodgers is clearly not 100% and I don't think the Packers D is anything special.  Also throw in the fact this is their first road game of the season.   This has upset written all over it

This line to me is the biggest over reaction of the week.  The look ahead line was Chiefs -4 and since Mahomes is rolling right now putting up crazy numbers their line is moving up.  San Fran last week was a very misleading final as they were up 17 with under 9 minutes left and gave up two TD's to win by 3.  San Fran was everyone's darling team this year and now it seems everyone is writing them off since they haven't covered yet.  I totally expect Jimmy G to have a field day with a Chiefs secondary I think is suspect at best

This is a great spot to fade the Broncos here who are 2-0, but could clearly be 0-2.  They beat a down Seahawks team and Raiders in the final seconds.  Keenum is going to get ate alive against this nasty Ravens defense.  Throw in the fact the Ravens have had extra time here as well.  This may seem high but I think the Ravens are legit a top team in the AFC especially.  

I had the Colts last weekend at the Skins catching a TD and they won out right.  Indy was driving week 1 with a chance to score against the Bengals and could easily be 2-0.  It goes to show what Luck does mean to this team.  

The Eagles so far have had some defensive issues to say the least and Luck and put up the yards.  Also I think the fact that Wentz returns this week is inflating this line.  I dont think he is 100% healthy and not sure how in sink everyone will be with him.

I will take my chances with the Colts catching a TD

With this line going up so much I have to take Eastern Michigan here. I was on the Aztecs last week in a SU winner as an underdog vs Arizona St.  Now the spot and situation has flipped here.

SDSU as mentioned coming off that big win in a let down spot but more importantly have a big rivalry game with Boise St up next.  EMU is no team to sleep on as they went into Purdue and won SU.  I think Purdue is a better team and SDSU and with the lines nearly being the same I will take the points with a live dog here.

My only loss last week in college was going against LSU. I will go against them again here as I believe the motivation won't be there and this is a huge let down spot following a late second FG win over highly ranked Auburn on the road.

LA Tech is coming off a bye week so that is a big key as well.  This team isn't a easy push over and they can move the ball averaging 6.9 yards per play.  LSU also right now has some injuries on their defense and I don't expect them to be full strength and probably even sit a couple to get ready for all SEC play coming up.  LA TECH is the right side here

UNLV is a much improved team here and I have already back them twice winning both times.  This team will have no problem moving the ball on Arkansas St.  I would also argue the talent level is better on the UNLV side of the ball.  UNLV with nip and tuck with USC week 1 going into the 4th quarter.  I know USC is down but still they have the athletes.  Arkansas St was pretty fortunate to have a win last week as they were +2 in turnovers which was the difference in the game  

I have to take Texas AM here who I believe is the 3rd best team in the SEC behind Georgia, but I think it's close.  With that, it's clear the Bama is now being way over valued.  Clearly yet again they are the best team again in the country and have had no problems so far.

I dont expect Bama to have any problems here more or less, but at least the Aggies have proven themselves to compete with the best as they took Clemson down to the wire. Bama was favored less playing against Louisville and Ole Miss who are both a lot worse than Texas AM.  

Bottom line this is simply way too many points and with what we have seen from Texas AM you have to take all the points

How interested will the Buckeyes be in this game after having a very hard fought battle against TCU where they were on the ropes?  I'm guessing not very interested at all.

Ohio St doesn't face teams that run the option all that often so that is different for them to prepare for.  Also Bosa their best defensive player is sitting out this game which does help Tulane a lot.  This game similar to Clemson and GA Southern last week will be played on the ground and a fast clock.  Ohio St classic sandwich spot with Penn St on deck. 

I think we are getting a nice discount on Ball St here.   I back this team two weeks ago @ Notre Dame as a 33.5 point dog and they only lost by 8.  I will give WKU a little credit here as they should have won against Louisville as it was a misleading final.

The main thing here for me is that WKU is without their starting QB here.  I also like the fact that Ball St lost to WKU last year so revenge is for sure on their mind.  WKU already has their struggles on offense only averaging 16 ppg.  Ball St is averaging 450 yards per game and I dont see them having any issues here.

I will bite here and take Virginia who I think is vastly improved especially on offense.  They are averaging nearly 450 yards per game and 6.7 yards per play.  Virginia is still be underrated by the odds makers here as they have covered every game so far. 

Louisville I think most are giving a pass too because they have played Bama and got blown out like everyone else has.  Well they haven't covered a spread yet this season and should have lost last week as they were completely out played by Western Kentucky.  

I think Ohio who is one of the better teams in the MAC is similar to Louisville they handled them easily winning by 14. 

This Browns team is could easily be 2-0 if they had a kicker.  They took the Steeler down to the wire in week 1 tying the game and lost last week blowing lead against the Saints.  

I think the Jets are still getting some respect because of week 1 Monday Night Football against the Lions scoring all those points.  The Browns defense is legit and I believe they will cause all sorts of problems for Darnold here.  The Browns know this is the game they can win and ultimately will win.  

Neither one of these teams covered last week but I actually felt the Giants had a real shot at winning the game as the Cowboys were dominated by the Panthers.  Dallas was clearly hurting last week as they have a lack of weapon.  I also think their defense is up to a bigger task facing a team with a lot more play makers.  Giants win this game outright

This one here surprises me as the Redskins are getting that much respect for drumming the Cardinals.  I'm not high at all on the Cardinals this season this is an overreaction especially since the Skins have some injuries which are their WR's.  The Colts blew the game last week in the 4th quarter but really controlled a majority of that game.  They also out gained the Bengals by 50 yards.  

Really like the Falcons here to get the job done.  They struggled in the red zone @ Philly but I think that gets cleaned up as the Panthers are hurting on defense right now with some key injuries.  They will also miss Olson their TE for a few weeks.  Atlanta has had extra time to prepare here since they played on Thursday and that will show.  Also I'm not high on the  Cowboys this year and Carolina couldn't pull away from them last week

This to me is a bit of a stretch especially after game.  The Jets were 6.5 to 7 point underdogs and now they are favored by a field goal at home?  That seems like an overreactio.  I was impressed with Miami last week as I did have them.  They are a much better team with Tannehill running the show.  I believe this game is a coin flip so I will take a full field goal

The Chiefs were very very impressive last week @ the Chargers.  I just think this will easily be the public play of the week based on last weeks results alone.  The Steelers couldn't have looked much worse as they had 6 turnovers.  When doing that in the NFL you normally lose the game and by a blowout.  So yea, it was the Browns but give them credit as they still has a 21-7 lead with 8 minutes left in the game.  Big Ben will clean up his act and Pitt responds with a big effort 

Here is a weird line and an over reaction.  I had Arizona St last week and they pulled the upset over Michigan St.  Well, after seeing Sparty struggle week 1 vs Utah St and now @ ASU you have to wonder how overrated they are.  Also, ASU was projected by Vegas with a 4.5 win total this season, which means they were underdogs in this game at the start of the season.  Now just after 2 games they are favored on the road?  Maybe they are just this much better but this is a huge overreaction IMO and I will take the live dog

This is a much bigger game for Texas here now after laying an egg to Maryland in week 1 and just edging by Tulsa last week.  Herman knows the importance of this game as simply he was brought into this position to compete and win these types and he has underachieved so far.  USC is clearly rebuilding after they struggled week 1 vs UNLV and last week @ Stanford.  Texas has revenge on their minds and they get it done this weekend 

I think this Buffalo team is being underrated in the MAC this season.  They have returned a good nucleus from last season and the spot here is what really intrigues me. 

EMU is getting way too much credit for beating Purdue last as that was misleading because Purdue out gained them but EMU won the turnover battle.  It is also worth noting that game was played in some bad weather as well. 

More or less I think Buffalo is a play on team here as they will be under valued for several weeks. 

I truly believe the line tells the story here.  I'm not buying that LSU win over Miami at all in the first week.  First, it was a little misleading as Miami actually out gained them in the game and LSU won the turnover battle 2-0.  

The next thing is, how good do we truly believe Miami is?  Well I don't think they are that good this season but since they were ranked high LSU gets all the credit here.  

I was very impressed with Auburn week 1 vs a very good Washington team.  Their defense will get after the one dimensional LSU offense here.  Auburn was a 6 point favorite on the road last year and lost now the revenge will play a factor.  I think Auburn destroys them.

I was against Notre Dame last weekend in a win as they struggled with Ball St.  Granted they werent that interested in the game, but this week they better show up.  Vandy looks improved big time so far this season and the main reason is because of their offense. Midd Tenn and Nevada are smaller schools, but they aren't exactly dumpster fires and Vandy really put it to them.  I dont think Vandy gets blown out and their defense alone will keep them with a great chance to pull the upset IMO

Is there anything good to say so far about this Florida St team?  I sure dont think so.  They just gave up 475 yards in the air to Samford and only won by 10.  Cuse has revenge on their minds from last season blowing a game @ FSU.  Cuse will have no problem here putting up the points and they should be favored IMO.  

This was on I had circled coming into the week.  GA Southern isn't world beaters everyone knows that, but they have played well so far covering both games.  They run the option and that is the reason I like them here because they are going to be having the hurricane weather roll through.  With the weather I expect this game to be played a lot on the ground.

Also throw in the fact that Clemson just came off a thrilling win @ Texas AM last week.  This isn't the most ideal spot for them.  The motivation won't be there to blow them out as well.  I expect this number to drop as we go along

I had the Bengals last week in a winner and will back them again here.  I think this team is a playoff team no doubt about it.  I also think the betting public will fall in love with the Ravens since they did blow out the Bills who are the worst team in football.  I just think they are being underrated here at home in this division game and I will take them catching a point. 

I'm not high on the Cowboys at all this season.  Some might argue they are tired of hearing how bad they will be, but the players they have surrounding Dak just aren't capable. Their WR's are possible the worst in the league and I'm not sure how good that defense will be.  I think Carolina isn't getting enough respect here and at 2.5 I will gladly take them

This is honestly more of a play against the Titans.  I don't think they should be favored.  IMO both of these team are 7 or 8 win teams therefore the home team should get a little nod.  Tannehill is returning and that is a bright spot or at least a lot better than Cutler.  I don't trust the Titans and I think they are a play against this season 

So all the hyper and talk is about Jimmy g and company.  Sure he hasn't lost as a starter and yes the team played different last year, but some of those late games were meaningless for the Niners.  I think the Vikings have the best balanced team in the league on both sides of the ball.  The Niners will have zero chance of running the ball against the Minnesota.  I like the upgrade with Cousins at QB as he will have something to prove.  Minnesota gets up early and San Fran cant play catch up

Andrew Luck is really getting some serious respect here in this game.  Maybe he does come out and light it on fire, but I will be willing to go against and have him prove me wrong here.  Cincy will be an improved team here and I think AJ Green gets back to his normal ways.  The Colts still have a lot of questions on defense and with that I will take the points with Cincy 

I love the Giants here this week catching 3 at home.  I think this game should be a PK at the very least.  Giants are coming off their worst season in a long time, but I think they are due for a huge bounce back.  I'm not buying that the Jags can repeat this season and I dont trust Bortles.  Giatns have added big time improvment to the offensive line and I love the draft pick of Barkley at RB.  I think the Giants win outright tomorrow. 

This is just a weird game here.  Michigan St looked bad last Friday night as a huge favorite over Utah St just beating them by 7.  They now travel and play a super late kickoff for them which will be 9:45 CT plus a 100 degree day.  ASU is a big question mark as a lot of people have pegged them one of the worst teams in the conference.  I just think this spot is good and I maybe Michigan St isn't as good as their ranking 

I backed UNLV last week against USC catching a ton of points and they covered fairly easily.  I will go back to them again here laying a massive number.  I just think UTEP is just flat out awful.  They could easily be one of the worst teams in the last 10 years.  UNLV will score a bunch in a hurry.  This is UTEP knows they are horrible and I expect them to be distracted by Vegas itself not focusing on the game.

Iowa St here will be very motivated after what happened last year to them in their own stadium giving this game away.  I like the group of players they have returning with some major athletes on offense which will give the inexperienced Iowa defense fits.  I didn't come away sold on Iowa last week either but the betting public will be all over them as they did cover and will love to lay the short number at home.  I think Iowa St wins outright

Now that this game has hit the crucial number of 10 I will gladly back the Gamecocks.  Jake Bentley is a stud QB and let's not forget this team finished with 9 wins last year and two of their 4 losses were too playoff teams last season.  Georgia has so much to replace on defense I just dont trust them laying a big number here.  This is a rivalry game and I think the Gamecocks believe they belong and I see them responding here

Here is another game where we all know where the betting public will be.  I leaned Notre Dame last week and upset obviously I didn't pull the trigger, but what is the Irish motivation here after having a huge win vs Michigan?  Ball St returns 13 starters and I think they will be a play on team for a while as the markets have them priced wrong.  Notre Dame I see just trying to control the game on the ground run clock get the win and move on. Therefore, I see Ball St being able to put up at least 14 points and that alone will give them an easy cover

I'm going to take the number here with Rutgers.  I think the betting public will be in love with Ohio St here since not only did they cover but they scored a ton of points in 77 to be exact.  The betting public loves teams that score we all know that.  I think this Rutgers team is vastly improved this season especially on defense with 8 starters back.  Texas St isn't great I get that, but they held them to under 200 total yards.  

Ohio St had a lot of motivation last week with everything that has gone on during the off season.  The players were eager to get out there and make a statement.  Now that is game over I dont think they will be that motivated for this game.  

Let's go with Arkansas St here catching a ton of points.  This team is a very good team and one of the best outside the power 5 conference.  I also think the motivation is gone here for Bama as they rolled Louisville last week.  Bama will likely play the back ups earlier here.  I also think Arkansas St can score twice  which means Bama needs another huge offensive output, but like I mentioned I doubt the motivation will be there to do so

I really like Miami Oh here in this matchup.  I actually think they should be favored.  Miami Oh returns 16 starters from last year.  I actually think this team played a ton better than their 5-7 record. Gus Ragland is a very good QB probably the second best in the MAC.  They also reutrn arguably the best WR in the MAC.  There is also a huge revenge factor here as Miami outplayed Marshall everywhere but the scoreboard last year.  

I think Marshall will have a good team again this year but they have to replace a QB that entered the draft early in Litton.  Throw that in as well and now playing a true road game out of the gate, I think it will be a challenge for Marshall.

Wrong team favored lets take Miami Oh

There is no doubt which team here has the most talent in USC.  They are having to replace an All American highly thought after Sam Darnold.  USC will be starting a highly touted freshman and while all signs point to him being a stud you just never know.  Also a couple key injuries on the OL looks like some starters out.  Also missing a couple from the secondary.  More importantly USC has a huge look ahead next week with Stanford on deck.

UNLV returns 14 starters from a team that was 5-7 and should have had 6 and with a little luck 7 wins.  True sophomore QB Armani Rogers returns this year and he was the Mountain West freshman of the year last year.  UNLV has improved a lot since Sanchez has taken over.  They aren't world beaters but they can score a couple times and keep it within this big number.

For those who do follow me on twitter, I have talked about this Cal team for the season and I think they are a play on.  Cal returns 10 starters on offense and 7 on defense.  This team improved a ton on the 1st season head coach in Justin Wilcox.

They finished 5-7 last year but had a loss in OT and back to back 3 point losses both on the road to Stanford and UCLA.  I think we see them take a huge leap forward and I wouldn't be surprised if they won 8 games.

North Carolina could end up being the worst team in the Coastal Division of the ACC.  This team won just 3 games last year and only have 12 starters back.  2 of their wins were against non Division 1 teams.  I see them struggling against a vastly improved team in Cal

The more I look into this game I have to take Northern Illinois.  Iowa lost All-Americans on defense and those guys just dont walk through the door every day at Iowa.  None of their LB's have started a game and they are facing a experienced offense with 8 starters back.  

Iowa will also be without 2 starting offensive linemen which won't bold well going against Sutton Smith who was an All-American last year at DE and should have a hay day.  Northern Illinois went on the road last year and won @ Nebraska so they wont be afraid here. 

To me this game here is all about perception.  I think Ole Miss is getting credit because of their name and also that they are in the SEC.  The thing here is though Ole Miss had the worst offense in the SEC last year and quite frankly I don't see it improving much.  Yes, I know Texas Tech doesn't have a great one either but they also face a tougher style to defend.  Tech has a better defense and I think Kingsbury knows this the year to put up or shut up.  He needs this win over an SEC school

Well this is an obvious choice here but Colorado St was just awful losing to Hawaii at home.  Hawaii wasn't expected to do anything this season and they dominated the game. If Hawaii can expose the Rams on defense like that Colorado shouldn't have a problem themselves.  

I also don't like this spot here for Colorado St having to play such a fast turn around rivalry after being deflated.  Colorado is a little raw on offense but they do have junior college transfers in and I do like their QB Montez who returns.  This is a rivalry game so Colorado won't be letting up here.  

I do like this Michigan St team this year I will be clear about that.  I just don't think they should be laying this much to a experienced team like Utah St who returns 9 on offense and 7 on defense.  I really Jordan Love their QB who started the final 6 games of the regular season as a true freshman.  

Michigan St is going to be a lot of people's sleepers picks to make the Big Ten title game which I understand.  While their defense is solid they did only average ppg on offense last year.  I see Utah St scoring at least twice here which would put Sparty scoring 40 or more to cover

Well, the first play of the season will be on Purdue.  This team had new life built in them last season as first year head coach Jeff Brohm did just a terrific job winning 7 games and also a bowl game.  

This Purdue team last year lost the opener to Louisville by 7, @ Wisconsin by 8 @ Rutgers by 2 and Nebraska by 1.  They could have easily on 9 games.  

Purdue's biggest question will be on defense but it's not like Northwestern is a juggernaut on offense.  Also I like that Thorson is playing now coming off an ACL tear which is keeping this line low.  

Northwestern won 10 games last year but I think a lot were a fluke.  They won 3 straight games all in OT.  What are the odds of that?  

Let's take Purdue to get the season going!

Now that this line has dropped down to me there is no choice but only to take the Patriots.  Let's look at how much love the Eagles are getting now.  They were home dogs in both of their playoff wins and now on a neutral field and are nearly the same amount as a dog as they were at home.  There is one thing that is the biggest factor to me and that is the fact that the Patriots are familiar with this territory and Brady just wins plain and simple.  There is just to much hype for me surrounding the Eagles defense right now.  I also think that Foles will come back down to reality here and the pressure will get to him on this stage. 

I actually shocked at this line when it came out.  I did have the Vikings last week as they won on maybe the craziest last play we have ever seen for the fact it wasn't a hailmary.  They were not only very lucky to win, but to also even cover the 4 I had them at.  Now they are favored by over a field goal on the road in a game for the Super Bowl?  

Nick Foles isn't getting enough credit here plain and simple.  He is more than a capable QB here and the fact he has a great defense behind him at home.  I honestly thought the Eagles would be -1 here or so.  I really expect this line to drop a lot closer to game time 

I think the Vikings have a huge home field advantage here in this game.  The Saints are a fast team that play indoor on the turf.  The conditions here dont favor them at all and especially Brees for that matter.  Vikings to me have the best defense in football.  They were 6-1 ATS at home this season as well. Saints just an average football team on the road with a 4-4 record 

I will take the Eagles here at this price.  I just think we are seeing a huge over reaction to from last week with the Falcons.  Nick Foles is more than capable starter here as he went 2-0 when taking over for the Wentz injury.  I say 2-0 because I don't count their last regular season game against the Cowboys as they were resting guys and nothing to play for there.  Eagles have the better defense and will gladly take the 3 points here with the home team

Really like Alabama here tonight.  I just think the match up is bad for Georgia.  The Bulldogs won't be able to run the ball like they did against a bad Oklahoma defense.  Bama will shut that down in a hurry and make the freshman QB Fromm beat them with his arm.  I also dont think that is possible and if Bama get's up early I think playing catch up will be extremely tough for them.

We have two different styles here, but this just feels like Mayfield and Oklahoma just seem to be on a mission.  Georgia will be tested in a way they haven't been this year especially on defense.  I know people think that win over Auburn was huge, but this Oklahoma team has a lot better weapons and it all starts at QB.  I will take the points and believe Oklahoma wins outright

The Titans have everything to play for here as if they win the game they are in the playoffs.  I don't think the Jags will be that motivated as they are locked in the 3 spot for the playoffs.  Jags are also banged up especially on offense right now which doesn't serve well for Bortles who is hit and miss anyways.  When it comes to this point of the season you have to look for the motivation edges

The Chargers are on the outside right now looking in, but the fact they have hope I give them the edge.  I think the Raiders will have called it a season now after last week.  I know this is a division game, but Oakland will have a very hard time stopping the high powered Chargers offense.  

So Seattle goes on the road as 4.5 point dogs last week and wins at Dallas and are now 9 point favorites?  That seems like a huge over reaction to last weeks results.  This is a huge rivalry here that goes unnoticed as well.  Also Seattle is still extremely banged up especially on defense.  I like what I have seen from the Cardinals down the stretch beating the Titans and Jags.  Seattle probably wins but not by double digits

Pretty upset I missed a good number on this game, but either way I still like the 49ers here.  The Rams are obviously content where they are and why wouldn't they be.  I have backed San Fran the last 4 weeks ever since Jimmy G has taken over and am 4-0 in doing so.   The 49ers clearly have new life and are excited about it. With Goff, Gurley out on offense and practically all the key starters out on defense I think San Fran wins going away 

This is another game here that I do give more of a motivation edge to Atlanta as they need this game to make the playoffs. Carolina is already in and granted they could move up but even they realize that the Saints losing to the Bucs is unlikely.  I think the Falcons get revenge here and remember Atlanta was -3 at Carolina so big adjustment has been made.  

Like Penn St here today.  So far in the bowl season we have seen the Big Ten just dominate and I think that will be the case here again.  Penn St is better on both sides of the ball here.  The Penn st offense is one that I could make a case for Washington hasn't seen the likes of so far.  

I'm not going to fault TCU much for losing two of their 3 games this season against Oklahoma who is the hottest team in all of college football right now.  Stanford here is very one dimensional and TCU has the defense to shut down the running game.  

The Giants I totally see throwing in the towel here.  They are coming off back to back division games and gave everything they had last week vs the Giants and came up short.  I don't think they will have any interest here.  The Cardinals have actually been playing hard despite not making the playoffs.  They have beat two playoff teams in the Titans and Jags in the last few weeks

I have cashed on the 49ers the last 3 weeks ever since Jimmy G took over.  They have been a underdog in 2 of those games and just beat a playoff team in the Titans last week.  I think the Jags are being overrated here.  I know Bortles has played better, but traveling across country here I don't trust him.  The 49ers have a solid defense as well and can keep Bortles in check.  I wouldn't be shocked if Jimmy won another one

I know I know the Browns.  You have to realize who they are playing as well here.  The Bears are nothing special especially on offense.  The weather is another factor here that will keep the scoring at a premium.  The Browns will be the more motivated team here trying to get their first win of the season

I'm not buying into the Lions here at all.  This game should be a lot closer to a PK, but is over reacting to the Bengals 3 straight losses.  The Lions have benefited from turnovers that is the only way they win games just like at the beginning of season.  Wouldn't be shocked in Cincy wins SU

Like the Saints here in this rivalry.  First, they will want revenge from a couple weeks ago as they had a chance to win the game SU, but Brees through a pick in the end zone late.  The Saints are just a different animal at home.  The Falcons are on a short week also coming off Monday night division rival against the Bucs in a game they just looked pathetic in. 

Let's go with the Cowboys here tonight.  I think they are starting to heat up here being back in playoff contention and cant afford any slip ups.  They will give everything they have here knowing that Zeke is coming back next week.  Cowboys were impressive last week and the Raiders have nothing to slow them down

For me simply you cant ignore the situation here for the Patriots.  First, they are coming off a bye and they are great in that role.  Also last week they didnt have Gronk for Monday night and now he returns.  The Steelers defense has major flaws now as we saw what the Ravens were able to do and a large part of that is because of the Shazier injury

Really like San Fran here today against the Titans who are one of the most overrated teams in the league.  San Fran has been a whole different team since Jimmy G took over and I have backed them on both occasions.  The key here why I know San Fran hasnt quit is the fact that they have won two consecutive road games  

This Oregon team would have been a legit top 20 team this year if their QB Herbert was healthy for a full season.  He came and to no surprise they score 48 and 69 to finish off the season.  This team is just different when he is running the show. Boise played one of the easiest schedules you could have asked for this season.  This team simply isn't built for a big come from behind.  

North Texas is a very overrated 9 win team here.  Just look at their defensive stats giving up 5.2 yards per rush and 8.4 yards per pass.  Those are very bad numbers given that Troy averages nearly 5 yards per rush.  Also people are forgetting at this is the same Troy team that beat LSU during the season.  

This seems obvious here which is always scary, but I think the Rams respond here.  I do like this Eagles team a lot but I think their schedule has helped them out a lot.  Last week against the Seahawks was the first game in their last 6 games they played a team with a winning record.  Well they lost that battle.  Rams are behind them here for home field advantage which I think plays a role here as well

I dont believe that this Jets team deserves to be favored over anyone.  They have won one road game and that was against the Browns.  I know Denver has had a rough go at it, but I think they give a good effort here in a game they believe they can win.  

Like the Panthers here because it seems like they have been over adjusted.  The Vikings were 3 point dogs @ the Falcons last week and are now 3 point favorites against a very similar team.  This game is Carolina's season IMO we get huge effort. 

I backed the Niners last week as a underdog and they won SU.  I think this is great value because the Niners are't tanking.  They want to play well now with Jimmy G under the helmet.  I also think he is so much better than Savage for Texans

Let's take Dallas here as I think after last weeks win over the Redskins gives them the confidence to still believe they can make the playoffs.  The Giants are a mess right now firing their coach last week.  I think Dak has a breakout game here against a pretty poor Giants defense 

This to me is just pure over reaction.  The eagles are currently the hottest team around covering in blowout fashion.  They now have to travel to maybe the toughest Home field in Football to win at.  The Seahawks have a lot to play for still while the Eagles pretty much have things locked up.  We get a big effort from Wilson here

Love the Saints here as I’m not a believer in this panther team.  I think the Saints have it figured out here and will just pour the points on.  Carolina really struggles on offense so any empty possessions will only put them further behind the 8 ball.  Saints win in a blowout

The Vikings are now the hottest team in the league right now.  I know the Falcons have had a couple lucky breaks playing teams when they aren't at their best, but I like them here in this spot.  Their yards per play are the best in the NFL again.  Getting this team at home under a field goal I think is a steal and too hard to pass up

I'm not a fan of this Lions team as I think they are extremely overrated.  They benefited earlier in the season because they had the best turnover differential for the first few weeks.  I just think Baltimore has the defense here to get shut down Stafford and company.  Also the Lions recent wins you can't be excited about, Browns, Bears and Packers.  

I think we are seeing two different directions for the teams in this game.  Jimmy G is finally starting for the Niners and obviously that is an upgrade and I think the Niners will be excited here to have some new blood in their lineup.  I think the Bears are throwing in the towel now losing and not covering 4 straight.  This should be a PK will gladly take the FG 

All Wisconsin does is win Football games.  Yea, they don’t have the flashy type players but they do all the little things correct and that is why they are successfull. Ohio St offense has been rolling since their loss @ Iowa.  I dont think Barrett who isn’t 100% can get the explosive plays against Wisconsin and their #1 ranked defens.

Love Georgia here getting revenge from earlier this season.  Auburn has now beat both Georgia and Bama and are now getting prices like that.  Both those games were at home though

Now Georgia is catching 3 because of that when they were 2.5 point favorites the first time around.  The line has been adjusted by 9-10 points and that is way too many. 

Georgia wins this game out right on a neutral field

Another revenge game here.  Yes, I know the Sooners have been rolling but I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see TCU win this game outright.  They have a legit defense and the Sooners defense is one I don’t trust at all.  Mayfield is getting a lot hype right now also because he will Win the Heisman and I think most people will lay this number no problem based on the first go around but I think it’s much closer

Like Oakland here laying st short number.  They will bounce back from a bad performance last weekend against the Patriots.  The broncos are still trying to find a QB and their season is over.  If they were in a so called bounce back spot it would have been a few games ago.  

Last week the Jaga seemed like they pulled away as they covered the number but the Browns had plenty of chances to tie that game.  The Browns do what they normally do in giving the other team a defensive TD.  The cardinals season is on the line here today.  They have enough on defense here to shut the Jags down as their offense relies heavily on Fournette.  We will see a huge effort from them today.  This is a one score game either way

I'm just not buying the fact that Stanford is a superior team.  They are getting a lot of respect because they have beat Washington at home.  I still think in the back of Notre Dame mind that if things fall right and they have a great performance they still have an outside shot of getting in.  

I think the wrong team is favored here in this game as Arizona has really struggled on the road this season.

They are getting a lot of credit because they have Tate at QB.  I also think ASU will want revenge from last season.  The Sun Devils defense is much improved this season.  I like ASU to win outright