Utah St is a good story this season losing the first game of the season and now winning 10 straight.  The last few weeks their competition has been suspect at best.  While they should have lost last week on the hail mary if it wasn't for the guy stepping out of bounds.  I think Boise is a very tough place to go on the road and win.  They havent been talked about much this season but I think they get the job done 

This game means more to one team here and that is the Aggies.  I say that because under first year head coach Jimbo Fisher he wants to have a big signature win and he knows what this game does for a fan base.  LSU I dont trust in this tough environment facing a good Aggies defense.  

This is pure a motivation spot here.  After losing 4 straight heading into last week Miami didnt give up on their season blowing out Va Tech on the road.  I think that is a huge play on sign here against a Pitt team with zero motivation.  They have already locked up their spot in ACC title game vs Clemson next regardless of what happens here.  That is a huge angle here and Miami has played its best ball at home with a 4-1 record

I had UCLA last week in a winner over their rival in USC.  That game was clearly circled which now they are getting respect from odds makers but this is a let down spot as well.  The key here is that Stanford really had a bye week because of the wildfires their game with Cal was cancelled.  They got healthier with that and should be able to really wear down this poor UCLA defense 

I just think there is too much value to pass up on here now with Ohio St.  Yes, the Buckeyes have looked like crap we all know that.  I just think Meyer will have his guys ready here and with it cross some key numbers I had to take them.  Harbaugh is trying to do something he hasnt done yet which is win a huge game especially a big road game. Maybe Michigan does win but I doubt its a blowout

This Washington St team has been disrespected by odds makers all year long.  I know most aren't giving them a shot in the playoffs but I think these players feel that way and throw in the fact this is a big time rivalry game where Washington has beat them, the Cougars will pour it on this underachieving Husky team this year. 

I think the wrong team is favored here.  West Virginia had a heart breaking loss last week @ Oklahoma St, but this team is so much better at home.  I cant back a team in the Sooners that has been torched all year long.  Their defense is awful.  Also worth mentioning that WVU can still make the Big 12 title game.  Give me WVU

I will take Nebraska here as believe it or not they do have a small chance to make a bowl game with a win to get to 5 wins.  I think we are seeing teams heading in different directions and this is an overreaction to Iowa blowing out Illinois last week.  Frost knows the importance here of this rivalry going forward and ending the season on a positive note.  If Nebraska didnt win that game last week I wouldn't have liked them but the momentum they have I like this number 

I'm going to go with the Lions here on Thanksgiving.  I think the Bears are in a very difficult situation here playing a national televised game against the Vikings in a big win.  Now they are without their QB here.  I think the Lions believe they can still salvage their season evident last weekend beating the Panthers.  Lions will miss their RB Johnson dont get me wrong, but I think they have enough to get by facing Chase Daniel now 

This line really smells but have to take KC here.  I know that since the game was switched to LA it actually didn't go up high enough considering it was 2.5 3 for a neutral field game.  KC has the explosive offense here that will tear apart the Rams IMO.  The Rams have really struggled here a lot on defense lately.  This game feels like a coin flip either way so will gladly take the 4

Odds makers are telling you that these two teams are the same on a neutral field.  I'm just not buying that.  The Bears have had a nice season and are winning games I just think they are extremely overrated right now.  This Vikings team is a lot healthier now and are coming off their bye week which helps.  Lets also be honest about how easy the Bears scheudle has been so far as well.  This could be a PK by game time 

This is just too many points to pass up on here with the Eagles.  The Saints are now the hottest team in football especially with the blowout last week.  While they may be the best team in the league we are getting a huge effort here from the Eagles after a poor showing on national tv against the Cowboys.  This game will for sure be a Pro's vs Joe's 

I think Luck has now answered everyone who has doubted him throughout the season so far.  They have won 3 straight and arent getting any respect on their home field.  I also think this is a classic let down spot for the Titans here coming off a big monday night win over the Cowboys and last week destroying the Patriots.  This is a Titans team not that long ago that lost on the road to Buffalo 

I think the Texans are an overrated football team, but given this situation I have no choice but to take them.  They are riding hot here winning 6 straight games and they are also coming off their bye week getting healthier.  The Skins are just dismantled with injuries across the board especially on their OL and that is where the Texans will make it tough for Smith all day long.  Houston wears them down and pulls away 

Purdue has went through some things this week with their coach leaving for his alma mater, but I still think he gets them to play hard here.  Wisconsin has big time QB issues here and after last weeks performance I think they have shown their season is over.  With this being Brohm's last home game and also the seniors I think the effort will be there.

I was on Tennessee last week in an easy winner as they beat Kentucky straight up.  I think they do the same here on their final home game to become bowl eligible which is a big thing for this team and also their coach.  Missouri is getting a lot of respect because of their high powered offense but with what the Vols have shown here recently on defense I thin they can control them  

I think Kansas St puts forth a pretty big effort here which could be Snyder's last home game.  Texas Tech has to be deflated here coming off 3 straight losses but they are more importantly coming off back to back rival games against Oklahoma and Texas both at home where they put forth big effort.  I doubt they have much interest here.  Throw in the fact they are starting a backup QB as well.  

It really seems like USC has mailed it in for the season now.  I think the players know Coach Helton is on his way out after the season and possibly before.  UCLA this is a crucial game fore first year coach Chip Kelly for recruiting purposes and also just so save some face for a down year.  UCLA rises up and knocks off their rival

I really love the Gophers here in this spot.  They have everything to play for here trying to become bowl eligible and that was evident last week as they drummed Purdue.  Northwestern is in a terrible spot here with nothing to play for as they have locked up the Big Ten West race.  Coach Fleck will have his guys ready and they win this game SU 

The wrong team is favored here as Nebraska has played a lot better than their record shows.  I also love the fact that this team despite having a bad record has really turned it on and not given up on the season.  They have covered 5 straight games and I expect them to beat a Sparty team that is struggling at QB right now which is leading to their offensive struggles 

I think we continue to see the meltdown here from Kentucky off that Georgia loss 2 weeks ago.  I faded Kentucky last week and they were terrible in defeat to Tennessee.  Mid Tenn will want this game and they are playing their best football right now.  I still think Kentucky is deflated and quite frankly there is nothing for them to play for.  Throw that in with their offense that struggles big time.  This is too many points 

I'm going to take the Seahawks here even though I know both teams are very desperate.  The Seahwks have played a lot tougher schedule and their losses have came to @ Bears twice to Rams and the Chargers.  All those teams are playoff teams.  They actually had a shot in 3 of those 4 to win outright.  Packers are 0-4 on the road and just aren't very good outside Rodgers.  

I like the Giants here tonight against the Niners.  I think we are seeing an overreaction to the Niners beating the Raiders in a blowout fashion.  The Giants are saying all the right things still coming off their bye week about still making the playoffs.  While it may not happen I like where their heads are at 

To me this is the easiest over reaction of the week.  Bears are coming off a blowout win in a game they didnt get to 200 total yards.  That is about as misleading of a game as you will find in the Pro's  The Lions were less underdogs at a better team in the Vikings last week so we are getting a ton of value I feel.  This is a big game for both teams and Stafford is the better and proven QB getting a TD is very hard to pass up.

To me there is no choice but to take the Bucs here.  They have major cluster injuries on the OL with 3 starters out and possibly 4.  I think they realize that their season is surely over now as well.  The Bucs D isn't great but they will get pressure now with those OL out for the Skins.  Thompson their RB is out so is Richardson their WR with fellow WR Crowder questionable.  I just think the Bucs offense will still be able to put up points and the Skins are so limited they cant play catch up here 

This is an ugly one I know but I will take Arkansas here at home in the night game.  This is jsut a terrible spot for LSU as their dreams were crushed last week getting shut out against Bama and knocked them out of the playoff picture.  I highly doubt they care at all about playing a 2 win Arkansas team.  While the Razorbacks wont be going to a bowl I see them laying everything on the line here to salvage the season.  

Cincy is one of the most improved teams in the country and I will back them here.  Now, I realize they do have a huge game on deck against UCF, but I dont think they over look USF here who brings in such a bad defense.  USF has only covered the number once in their last 7.  They have seemed to throw in the towel after dropping that game at Houston following a 41-17 loss to Tulane at home which is a bad sign.  Cincy in the night game with a very good defense wins this one easy 

I believe we are seeing two teams here heading in the opposite direction.  It's seems pretty clear that Miami has thrown in the towel after beating their rival Florida St.  They have lost 3 straight since that game and the most they have scored in the last 3 weeks is 14 points.  This team seems pretty disinterested.

Ga Tech on the other hand is playing their best football of the season winning 4 of their last 5 games and scoring over 35 points in 4 of them as well.  I also believe Tech has had this one circled after letting one slip away last year @ Miami losing by 1.  

This is strictly a spot play here and I look for Tennessee to be up while Kentucky to be down.  Kentucky had their dreams crushed last week at home against Georgia as they would have had a chance to play for the SEC title now they really have nothing to play for here at all.  Tennessee on other hand I feel this team is looking to finish their season strong and make a bowl and would love nothing more to play spoiler here to Kentucky.  This is one of those games based on the spot you kinda throw the stats and everything out the window.

I have backed this Iowa St team several times now since they lost their 2nd string and now Purdy who was their 3rd string has now taken over and really changed the whole season.  I just think now the price is getting a little out of hand.  Iowa St went from small dogs to small favorites and since they covered a big number last week they are getting a lot of love.  Baylor is coming off a nice win last week vs Oklahoma St as a home dog.  The weather I think will impact this game as well as it will be played more on the ground.  I also think Iowa St will be looking ahead to the match with Texas next week as it could put them in the Big 12 title game 

This game is a very odd line after looking at it.  So last week Old Dominion was a 4.5 point dog to at home to Mid Tenn St who is leading the other side of the conference and now they are over 2 touchdown dog?  Old Dominion out gained them last week putting up over 500 yards of offense, but they had 5 turnovers that really did them in.  North Texas is actually eliminated from playing for the conference title as UAB pretty much has it wrapped up.  ODU still is fighting for a bowl game and I think the effort will be there and this is an overreaction to last weeks game 

I really don't think this game will be close at all.  Texas AM returns home where they are 4-1 ATS and will be hungry here coming off back to back losses.  Last week the Aggies lost to Aubrun by 4 as 3.5 point dogs, but they actually dominated the stats having over 400 total yards compared to 270.  Ole Miss is just flat out terrible on the road giving up 500 yards a game.  I think the Aggies can take some frustration out here and blow them out

This is just too many points for Dallas to be laying.  Both teams are coming off bye weeks here and are motivated, but how much home field does Dallas really have? We are also seeing an extremely low total here which makes you believe low scoring.  I also trust Vrabel here more as a coach over Garrett.  The Titans have a great defense and I wouldn't be surprised to see an outright upset here.

Well we saw a great effort from the Packers last week coming off their bye week.  I think we get another one here.  I know Dix is gone from their secondary, but normally you dont see the full effects of a trade like that until a few weeks down the road.  I also think Rodgers wont have any problem picking apart this Patriot defense which isnt anything special.  The Patriots have some injuries all way the across the board which is a concern.  Yes, I know New England at home under a full TD is dangerous but give me the more desperate team

I got the worst of this line obviously because of the trade that took place with the Broncos sending Thomas to the Texans.  I'm honestly still not worried here.  I'm not a believer in this Texans team just look at who they have beat in this 5 game winning streak.  Colts, Cowboys, Jags, Bills and Dolphins.  They were actually very lucky in 3 of those games.  I think the Broncos put a max effort here with their bye week next.  

The Steelers are starting to play better football here as of late and the Ravens not so much.  I just think Pitt has big time revenge on their minds here.  Carolina who doesn't have a great offense really put it to the Ravens last week.  

Odds makers are saying that right now on a neutral field that these two teams are even and I'm not buying that all.  I actually expect this line to drop a lot come Sunday 

I know people are going to think this is an overreaction to taking the Bucs but I dont see it that way.  They clearly are way better with Fitzmagic at QB than Winston.  Yes, the Panthers were the right side last week but they were in the underdog role and now they are 7 point favorites against a division rival with a huge Thursday night game on deck?  The Bucs can score with anyone and I believe they keep within the 7 

I'm going to take the Browns here.  I think the general public will view the coaching situation here as a major let down for Cleveland.  I don't see it that way.  With the firing of their 2 coaches there will be a lot of emotion which means maximum effort here. This just seems like the ultimate flat spot here for the Chiefs coming off that Denver game.  Granted they were nearly the same amount of favorites vs the Broncos at home as they are the Browns on the road.  I will take the points here who are 3-1 ATS at home this season 

I simply trust Chris Peterson here to get the Huskies back on track after last week.  Believe it or not Washington still controls their own destiny in the PAC 12 North as they still play Washington St at the end of the year.  Stanford really gave that game away up 14 which I think this is a tough spot to bounce back from.  Stanford's numbers they really struggle on the road.  I know they won @ ASU recently but that game was extremely misleading as ASU out played them.  The Huskies D will shut this offense or lack thereof down

This line really does surprise me here as I thought it would come done.  La Tech is easily one of the better teams outside the Power 5.  I was on this team earlier in the year when they played at LSU as a 18.5 point dog and lost by 17 but it was actually closer than that.  Now they are getting 24 to a lesser opponent.  Miss St is coming off a big win over ranked Texas AM but the other key here is that they have Bama on deck next week.  Will take the points all day in this spot 

I was on Florida last week in a loser against Georgia, and that final score didnt really indicate how close it was.  It was clearly the turnovers and where they happened that turned the game.  If you watched this you know what I am talking about.  

I just think here we are going to see Missouri throw in the towel especially after last week.  Missouri let one slip away against highly ranked Kentucky in the 4th where they lead all game.  That is such a tough one here with going on the road next.  Drew Lock has also struggled big time against better competition and this will be the best defense he has faced.  Florida will create turnovers and Missouri wont be able to play catch up

I really like this Michigan and you know somehow they aren't really being talked about much considering how good they are.  This defense wont have an issue here at all shutting down Penn St who relies so much McSorley. I think people are forgetting Michigan's only loss was to Notre Dame in week 1 who isn't a bad loss by any means.  Michigan is coming off their bye week as well and will want revenge from an ugly loss last year.  Also dont think that isn't in the back of Harbaugh's mind as he will run this score up no doubt about it 

I like Purdue here for several reason.  2 weeks ago they had one of their biggest wins in program history in beating Ohio St so it's no surprise that they lost to Michigan St.  I just think the spot here will be very hard for Iowa to bounce back from after they had a late turnover 1st and goal which could have grabbed them a win @ Penn St.  Those losses are tough for anyone.  Purdue also plays a style that Iowa generally struggles with.  Purdue bounces back here

This spot is just sooooo good I cant pass it up.  Georgia Southern is coming off a huge win in destroying App St as 11 point dogs winning that game by 20.  Now they travel to LA Monroe who is off their bye week which you need to prepare for the option and they are playing a lot betting winning  straight.  Also Ga Southern has a huge game on deck with Troy.  

I will say little upset I didn't get the best of the number on Maryland but I do think this line drops and wouldn't be surprised to see the Terps go off favored here.  Michigan St was in a great spot last week as they were catching Purdue coming off their biggest win in years.  I know Sparty can stop the run but I'm more worries about their offense and their backup QB who was very shaky last week and now on the road I simply wont trust.  This Maryland team has athletes and are bowl hungry.  They also just fired their coach which I think actually helps this team as he hasn't been around this season

The Saints burnt me last week and they are getting to much respect here.  They were down 17-7 going into the 4th and had a lucky come back in my eyes.  They will now play back to back road games which is difficult.  I know people will say revenge here, but the Vikings are rolling right now and they can slow down that Saints offense.  Minnesota isn't getting the headlines or respect because most are remembering that Bills loss but that game I feel woke them up.  Prime time game in a tough place to play I will take the Vikings 

I like the Niners here to get some revenge here.  CJ has looked a lot better as of late and I think he will be eager as he torched AZ but the 5 turnovers cost them the game the first time around.  San Fran is just flat out the better team and the Cardinals seem to be in shambles.  This offense simply cant do anything.  49ers are a hungry team with revenge I will take them here

This one wont be popular at all but I think everyone is just counting out Oakland when I believe they got rid of some locker room issues.  The Colts beat the Bills easily does that mean we should overreact to anything?  The Raiders are coming off their bye week so we can agree that the effort will be there.  The Raiders just a few weeks ago were favored by 2.5 over a better Browns team than the Colts IMO.  Now the Colts are favored by 3?  Seems like quite the adjustment here I will take a hungry Raiders team. 

I really like the Steelers here as I feel they will be out for some revenge especially Big Ben.  The Steelers dominated the first game but gave up a big lead in large part because of all the turnovers.  That simply won't happen this time around as they are pissed about that tie.  Yes, the Browns have a different QB now in Mayfield, but I think this season is starting to take it's tole on them already.  They have played 3 of their last 4 games in OT.  The Steelers won't be looking past this Browns team 

Getting nearly double digits with the Jets team seems just crazy.  I think both of these teams are pretty similar.  The Bears are getting a lot of hyper because of the Mack trade and the defense upgrade.  I also think this is a difficult spot for the Bears to bounce back from after completing a hail mary against the Patriots and being tackled at the one yard line.  Miami with a back up QB put up over 500 total yards and the Bears defense numbers wise isn't as good as what people make them out to be.  I think this will be a tight game  

No choice here IMO but to take Stanford.  I was on Washington St last week and I believe it's fair to say that that could be their biggest win ever given the circumstances since game day was there.  Washington St has covered every game and we all know the betting public loves that especially now given what we saw last week vs Oregon.  Stanford has had extra time to prepare here as well which is huge.  I also like the revenge angle with Stanford will swallow the Field Goal

Maybe I am way off on this game but the wrong team is favored here.  Texas AM has two losses on the season oh and they are too Clemson and Bama are those two teams any good?  Miss St has struggled big time especially Fitzgerald at QB.  Miss St has scored over 10 points just once in the last 4 games.  The Aggies defense will have no problem here eating them up.  This one seems so easy it is scary, but no opting but to take the Aggies who are all around better in every category 

I like Missouri in this spot against Kentucky.  Missouri had a rough patch but they played Georgia and Bama during that stretch.  I just think they can outscore Kentucky here and the Wildcats just dont have the QB to play catch up.  Their offense really struggles even though they have a good running game.  Lock is trying to showcase is stuff for the next level and I believe Missouri wins in a route

So Georgia is still being given a lot of respect because of their ranking.  Maybe they just haven't shown it yet, but from what we have seen there is no way I wanna lay it.  Georgia has played one hard team so far and they were beaten badly against a LSU team who struggles at the QB position.   Well I think Florida has just as good of defense oh and they beat that LSU team SU.  Both teams coming off the bye this game clearly means everything in the SEC East plus the revenge angle is well in play here with Florida.  I think we see a very close game and wouldn't be surprised to see Florida win out right

This game here is one where we have an undefeated team on the road catching a full TD.  I just think USF has been very lucky.  Look last week they beat an awful UConn team by just 8 as 33.5 point favorites.  Let's look at a couple games these teams have in common.  Houston won @ East Carolina 42-20 and USF beat them at home by just 7.  Houston also demolished Tulsa while USF beat them by 1.  Houston is by far the better team and the line is telling the story.

This line is really of to me.  Iowa St might be just 3-3 but they are playing like a top 25 team if you have watched their last 2 games.  They found their qb in stud freshman Purdy who last time out just tore about a top 10 team in West Virginia.  Thought this line would be closer to 7.  Iowa St is coming off a bye as well.  People will argue that Texh will want revenge well should have wanted it last year as well after giving up over 60 two years but failed to do so.  Iowa St wins easily 

There is some Purdue money here coming in which doesn't surprise me a whole lot.  But, we have another team coming off one of if not their biggest win ever in thumping Ohio St on national TV last week.  I think Sparty responds with a strong effort here after laying an egg last week to their rival in Michigan.  This is a great bounce back spot for them and a huge let down spot for Purdue.

This is a late add, but I do like the gophers here tonight.  I was against them last week in a winner as Nebraska destroyed them.  The thing is though even if it was Nebraska's first win they have played a lot better than their record indicates.  I look for the Gophers to bounce back here as I believe Coach Fleck knows the importance of the situation here tonight.  I also dont trust Indiana as a favorite and especially on the road given the fact they are coming off a very hard fought game in Penn St

This is a big game in the Sun Belt here as both of these teams are undefeated in conference play.  I look for Ga Southern to be able to keep it within the 10 here. I think since App St is the house hold name for the average bettor that they tend to get inflated lines.  The numbers on both of these teams pretty similar and with that I will side with the home dog on a week day and we all know how profitable they have been over the years. 

So we will have a huge public play I believe here on the Saints here with their offense.  I just don't trust them on being away from home against the best defense in the league.  Baltimore will also have no problem putting up points on this Saints defense either.  I know everyone remembers what happened on Monday night vs the Redskins but that was an emotional game as Brees became the all time passing leader.  The Ravens are coming off 3 straight road games so they will be hungry here.  

We are clearly seeing a Jags team that plays very well at home and just terrible on the road.  The past two games have been flat out awful but that is creating some value here for us.  I would gladly lay -2 with the Jags on a neutral field against the Texans.  I'm not putting much stock into the Texans and their 3 game winning streaking beating the Bills, Cowboys and Colts.  This team still struggles on offense and a pissed off Jags defense will be hungry after last week.  How quick we forget that the Jags handled the Patriots easily on their home field 

I really like what I saw from Wentz and the Eagles last Thursday against the Giants.  I know the Giants are nothing special but it was still a division game and a desperate team.  I think thaat game and the extra time mean a lot here as Wentz is starting to look like his normal self again.  I'm not sold on the Carolina team at all who has won all their games at home. Their defense is terrible giving up 6.2 yards per play.  Mind you this Carolina team needed a 63 yard field goal at home to bet a bad Giants team and they were coming off a bye 

This is such a cheap price here considering if these teams would have played several weeks ago Vikings would have easily been 6-7 point favorites on the road here.  They are starting to click like everyone thought they would.  I'm just not buying the Jets scoring a lot of points the past two games against the Broncos and Colts.  The Vikings are the better team all the way around and I believe they control this from the get go

Let's take the Bucs here as I think they are undervalued in this game.  They have lost 3 straight games but 2 of those came down to the wire and could have gone either way.  The Browns really struggled last week an I think the Mayfield effect is over.  Tampa doesn't have a great defense as we all know but the Browns offense isn't world beaters either.  Winston leads them to a win and gets back too .500 ball

I had USC last week as they were laying 7 against a ranked team in Colorado and won that game.  I just dont trust them on the road here in a tough environment.  Utah has had an extra day here but more importantly they haven't forgot about that 1 point loss last year @ USC in a game they lead 21-7 at half.  We have already seen USC struggle on the road against teams like Stanford and Texas and they also barely beat a bad Arizona team.   

I think one could make the case this is the biggest game in Washington St history for the fact this is the first time that College Gameday is here.  The Cougars have really surprised everyone and since they have covered every game that does worry me, but I think the spot is worse for Oregon coming off a huge win over Washington, but were very lucky to do so.  Oregon has quite faced an offense like this one yet and throw in the fact that Washington St is coming off a bye I really like them here

I know it's always a bold task to go against Bama especially this year, but there are several things here why I like Tennessee.  First, Tua is clearly hurt and isn't 100% which is a big factor.  Also they have their bye week next before hosting playing @ LSU which I think they are looking ahead to especially given how good LSU has been so far.  I really like what I saw from Tennessee last week coming off their bye week @ Auburn and winning SU as a double touchdown favorite.  

This is the game where the Cornhuskers get their first win.  I'm not quite sure how they let last week slip away from them but they did.  I also think they haven't forgotten the beat down that Minnesota gave them last year.  The Gophers also have some big injuries including cluster ones now at the RB position.  Nebraska is hungry and motivated to get their first win which I think they get and can cover this small number

So we have an undefeated Cincy team at 6-0 who is now ranked on the road facing a 4-3 Temple team and they are underdogs?  Cincy has been a nice surprise not taking that away from them, but they have also benefited from an easy schedule.  Temple has played a lot tougher schedule and I think they get the job done and aren't over looking Cincy here. 

I really like the Patriots here on Sunday night.  They will be more than motivated here for several reasons.  One is simply they are facing an undefeated team in the Chiefs.  Second, is that they want revenge from last season losing at home to them in a ugly game.  Patriots are now healthier and with the addition of Gordon, Brady will pick apart that shaky defense the Chiefs have.  Mahomes has cooled off a little bit since the first 3 games.  When Patriots are this short of price at home you have to take them especially given the situation 

I like the Ravens here to bounce back after losing in OT to the Browns.  I think they had a little hang over from beating the Steelers the week before.  I know most will look at this game and say its the Ravens 3rd straight road game which is hard don't get me wrong, but the matchup here is in their favor and the 2.5 line is very key.  The Titans proved to me last week who they really are losing to the Bills.  I think they are very overrated and their offense won't be able to do a lick against this defense.  

This one really stood out to me and luckily I grabbed the best of the number.  This Rams team is best team in the NFL but this spot here isn't ideal by any means.  They played a hard fought road game @ Seattle last week, so 2nd consecutive road game plus it's going to be cold and possible snow.  Denver is clearly a team that plays better at home and this is a game they will be up for.  I also really like their running game here against the Rams who haven't been as strong as what people might think.  Rams also suffered two concussions to Kupp and Cooks and they are questionable.  Denver keeps this close 

The Cardinals grabbed their first win last week vs San Fran but it wasnt because they tore it up.  They benefited from +5 in turnovers which was the factor.  The Cardinals barely got over 200 yards against them.  Do you see this offense having much success against this Vikings team?  I sure don't  I also think Minnesota wont take them lightly because they already lost at home as a big favorite once.  Vikings jump on them early and roll.

It looks like you could probably wait and maybe get 4 here closer to kick, but it has crossed the key number for me.  I do realize the Dolphins have some injuries to the OL and that is a concern.  I just cant ignore the fact though that this look ahead line was Miami -1 and the Bears didn't even play last week.  Miami controlled 85% of the game last week @ Cincy before not only losing but not covering either which is creating some value.  The Trubisky hyper train is getting too full for me.  I will take Miami now at this price

So the classic situation again with the ranked undefeated team catching a full TD?  Colorado has played no one.  Should we be impressed with them barely escaping @ Nebraska or beating ASU last week after ASU couldnt punch it in from the 1 yard line?  USC is coming off their bye week setting up for a major rally the troops game.  The talent level belongs to the Trojans and Coach Helton knows his job is on the line.  

Miami is one of the most overrated teams in the country and love fading them here in this spot.  They are coming off a huge win over their in state rival in Florida St who is down.  They only won by 1 point as 2 touchdown favorites.  If you have watched this Miami this season they dont pass the eye test and I think Virginia will want some big time revenge here in this night game.  Virginia is also coming of their bye here with this one circled.  I wouldn't be shocked if Virginia won outright

West Virginia has played one of the easiest schedules so far and I think they lose this game.  Iowa St last weekend impressed me a ton as they went on the road and made a switch to their 3rd string QB Purdy who wasn't afraid of the moment and was the best player on the field.  Iowa St will be up for this game here and they won't be scared as they have played a brutal tough schedule so far.  They gave Oklahoma fits and that was the first week with their back up who was no good especially compared to this freshman.  The team rallies around Purdy and they win outright

I like Cal in this game as last week was very misleading against Arizona.  Cal dominated the stats against them but ended up losing.  The price is right now as they want to take it out on UCLA as Cal needs win to get to a bowl game.  UCLA is a bad team and they gave all they had last week vs Washington as they made a big come back but came up short losing by 7.  Cal is the better team and the number is too good to pas up.

People all said that Oregon isn't impressive because they had played no one.  While that may have been so I think they want to win that big one.  A few weeks back they let that Stanford game slip away as they completely dominated it but ended up blowing a big lead in a weird change in that game.  Oregon is coming off the bye as well which is huge.

 Also how good is exactly Washington?  So the week 1 Auburn game looks terrible now.  They just won @ UCLA by only 7 and beat ASU by 7.  This will be their toughest test by far and they simply dont deserve to be favored based on their performances this year

Despite both thsese team have bad records I think Miami Oh is clearly the better team here.  They have played a much tougher slate.  They played a tough Marshall team, a surprisingly good Cincy team and @ Minnesota to start the year.  I like last weeks performance blowing out Akron as an underdog.  Kent St is just pathetic especially on defense allowing 6.7 yards per play.  I also think Miami Oh is bowl hungry and they have this one circled as they let it slip away on the road losing by 3 as an 8.5 point favorite.   

Eastern Michigan is a team no one is looking to back right now.  They have lost 4 straight since upsetting Purdue as a double digit dog.  EMU has lost 3 straight games by each 3 points which clearly they could have won have them undervalued here.  EMU will also want revenge from a close loss last year.  They won't have a problem moving on a terrible Toledo defense who give up 6.2 yards per play. 

Another huge factor here is just look at the strength of schedule.  The only two tough teams Toledo has played they were blown out.  EMU has played 5 straight teams who will be going to bowl games this season.  Wrong Team is favored here because of record 

I get it the Giants haven't looked anything special, but should they really be underdogs here?  They just lost on a 63 yard field goal as time expired and the Panthers were coming off a bye. I think this is the ultimate game here for the Giants as a do or die to the season.  The effort will sure be there beings how no one has ran away with this division yet.

The Eagles are flat out terrible on defense and I'm not sold by any means with them laying points.  Their two wins are against Atlanta and Indy which is nothing worthy of laying 3 against a division rival.  

Giants were 3 point dogs just two weeks ago against a much better team in the Saints

I really like the Texans here this week facing their in state rival in the Cowboys.  They finally got the monkey off their back with an OT win.  The Texans have had a rough schedule here with 3 of the first 4 being on the road.  In fact they have been in every ball game losing 3 games by a combined 15 points.  Dallas is 2-2 with both wins coming at home but they look different on the road and I think they should have lost last week which is keeping this line lower than it should.  Dak has no weapons has everyone has talked about.  I look for the Texans to thrive off that win last week 

I think odds makers are making a big mistake here.  The Vikings are wanting revenge from last season and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if they got it here.  Philly just hasn't looked the same so far this season and their offense is banged up.  Vikings still have a great defense and can hold them in check.  I also love the fact Minnesota is coming off the Thursday game with extra time while Philly is off an OT loss.  Vikings are more the desperate team here with revenge on their minds 

Really like the Steelers here in this spot as it feels like a must win situation.  The biggest difference here is that Pitt will have zero problems moving the ball on a Atlanta team that is extremely banged up right now and cant stop anyone.  Atlanta coming off 3 straight home games and the game they played on road when healthy was @ Eagles on grass in week 1 and boy did they struggle.  Pitt wins easily 

This is a situational spot play at its finest.  The Broncos are coming off a Monday night game against their big time rival in the Chiefs in a game they should have won actually.  Now they travel east coast for an early kick against a hungry Jets team.  Denver could easily be 0-4 as they escaped week 1 and 2 both at home in the final seconds against the Seahawks and Raiders not exactly great teams.  The spot is perfect for the Jets and I believe they get it done 

I'm not a believer at in the Packers this season.  This team should only have 1 win.  I'm also not putting much stock into last week over the Bills.  Lions probably should have won last week @ Dallas but they did cover the number.  Remember two weeks ago when everyone wrote them off and they blew the doors off New England.  The Packers have injuries to the WR position and Rodgers is clearly not 100%.  I think Stafford will torch their defense as well. I think the Lions will go off favored here

This is just too many points for me to pass up here.  The only negative for me here is the fact this is played at night.  I do think Vandy is a sneaky good team though with a very good defense.  This Vandy team hung right in there on the road @ Notre Dame.  This is a lot like last week where I dont see Georgia scoring 40 therefore if they dont then I need Vandy to get to 10 basically which I easily see happening.  Georgia has a huge on deck game with LSU as well

I jumped on this one early as we have a highly ranked undefeated Kentucky team catching points? HMM... This is a night game in College Station in which they won't be over looking.  The Aggies have two losses but were to Bama and Clemson to playoff teams.  This is one of those that Kentucky gets behind early and simply cant play catch up.  I trust Jimbo a lot more here and this is a big game for him now

So Colorado gets ranked this week because they are 4-0 and they have played such a terrible schedule.  The wrong to me is favored here.  Colorado has played Nebraska and UCLA as their toughest games and that isn't a joke.  

ASU to me right now is the best PAC 12 south team.  They have beat Michigan St lost by 7 @ SDSU and @ Washington.  I think ASU knows the importance of this game right now to control the south.  I think the Buffs stats are misleading due to the fact that their schedule has been so easy.  

LSU is by far the most overrated team in the country.  They are outside of my top 10 and therefore I will play Florida.  Everyone knows both teams have a solid defense.  LSU was extremely out played @ Auburn and that win actually doesn't look that great now.  I trust Mullen here the head coach at Florida coming off back to back road conference wins which is very impressive.  This is one of those statements games for a new coach to make his imprint and I believe they win this outright

Iowa St is in a world of trouble here this game I think.  They failed to reach 200 total yards despite forcing 3 turnovers against TCU last week.  Give them credit they hung tough but that score was misleading a bit.  I also think this is the game where Oklahoma St scores a ton and the back up QB for Iowa isn't capable of putting up those type of points.  Oklahoma St jumps on them early here and keeps the pedal down

NC St isn't getting a lot of love here, but I do think they have the better talent here.  They are lead by stud QB Finley who is one of the top QB prospects this year.  He is airing it out right now and averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. The similar style BC faced to this team would have been @ Purdue and Purdue blew them out that game.

Last week BC had a misleading final against Temple as the Owls outgained them.  They also struggled against a bad Wake Forest and team and as I mentioned were blown out by Purdue.  This will be by far their toughest test and I think the Wolfpack destroys them

I will take Texas here as we have seen this same song and dance again in this game.  Texas is coming in underrated and I think because they let the gas off the pedal last week @ Kansas St.  The public now has a love affair with Murray the QB for OU but this will by far be his toughest test.  I trust Herman here and we have seen the improvements as the season has gone along with Texas and their defense.  OU has a pathetic defense that won't be able to stop Texas at all.

I was on the Patriots last weekend as they blew out the Dolphins.  I will back them again here as they are facing a Colts team coming off a heart breaking loss to the Texans.  The main reason though is that the Colts have injuries up and down the board.  Not being 100% when facing Brady is always a scary situation.  Luck still has issues in my mind throwing the deep ball and with no weapons here I think he is in trouble 

Well, we all know who the betting public will be all over here and that is the high powered offense of the Chiefs.  In this prime time game @ Denver this is simply too many points.  The Denver defense will be all over Mahomes here.  I also dont trust the Cheifs defense as they have gave up their fair share of yards so far.  I think Denver can really control the clock here with some long drives and keep Mahomes off the field.  Not calling for the upset, but I think Denver keeps it very close 

This is a circle the wagons game for the Giants here after winning their first game last weekend.  While it may not look that impressive right now beating the Texans the confidence it gave them will be huge.  Remember this is the same line the Giants were week 1 against the Jags who are better than the Saints.  Also with the Saints coming off that big division win over Atlanta leads to a little let down.  Saints defense simply cant be trusted.  I think OBJ has a huge game

I was on the Browns last week as a winner as Baker saved the day, but now will fade them even though they have extra time to prepare.  The Raiders are a very very desperate football team right now and this is a absolute must win.  The Raiders have been in every game so far this season, but the ball hasn't bounced their way yet.  With what Baker came in and did was impressive no doubt but I also think this leads the public to their side.  

I think now the betting public will back off the Patriots after what they saw on Monday night football against the Lions.  There is no doubt Miami could actually be 0-3 but since they have won and covered every game they are being over hyped.  The fact that they haven't blown anyone out besides being +6 in turnovers so far says a lot.  The Patriots have owned Miami at their place over the last several seasons and I think they do so again