I will New Mexico St especially since they didn't cover last week vs Bama.  This line is most definitely inflated simply because of the result last week.  Odds Makers are saying that on a neutral that Kentucky is only a a 2 touchdown dog and I would bet Bama at that number every time.  I also question the motivation here for Kentucky coming off a nice game last week with their rival in Louisville on deck.  

I will take the 49ers here.  This team had two huge fumbles last week from their TE and WR that really flipped the game vs the Cardinals.  The Rams I know dominated the stats against the Titans but their OL has me worried here.  Stafford hardly had anytime and I also wonder if the OBJ situation will serve as a distraction.  The Rams will be one of the most public plays of the week and the books know it.  This game goes down to the wire. 

I love the Chiefs here in this game.  I was against the Raiders last week as I felt that everything going on within the team would be a distraction and I believe that was true.  I think they are a play against for the remainder of the season.  Yes, the Raiders have played the Chiefs hard in the past but also remember that those lines were a lot bigger.  We are getting a discount simply because once against the. Chiefs don't cover the game.  Mahomes in Prime Time I think we get a big effort

I will take the 3.5 here with Seattle.  You better believe that the Seahawks will be the most motivated team here as they still feel there is a chance for them to make the playoffs.  Their all everyone in Russell Wilson returns and the Packers are still facing questions regarding Rodgers. The Packers to me simply dont pass the eye test.  I think they are very much overrated and a large part of their numbers is because of how easy their schedule has been so far. 

I was hoping for a 3 and got it here with the Vikings.  No one in the NFL this season has played more close games than the Minnesota Vikings.  I still believe this is a good team and trust that they can get back on the right path.  The Chargers still have major issues against the run and I believe Cook won't have an issue.  The Chargers were laying a short number to Philly and were in a dog fight as they kicked the game winner as time expired.  Vikings just took a very good Ravens team to OT and in fact should have won blowing a 24 pt lead in the 2nd half.  Overall the better team is the Vikings give me the points.

Let's take the Colts here this weekend against the Jags.  So the Jags shocked everyone last week and upset the Bills.  I do think that was very fluky as the final score was 6-9.  The Colts are literally one of the hottest teams in the league that no one is talking about.  They have won 4 of their last 6 games while the two losses both came in OT.  They aren't being priced high enough simply because of their record.  I think this is a blowout 

Now that the Cowboy had their mouths punched I think this week is a great bounce back spot.  I'm really not scared laying this number.  The Falcons are extremely one dimensional and that will be the difference here.  I dont think the Falcons beating a 3rd string QB does anything or should mean much here.  Cowboys offense bounces back in a big effort, mind you they are still #1 overall offense in the league.  

The dreaded team without a win.  Yes, the Lions here are a play off the bye week.  I firmly believe this is a let down spot here for the Steelers following a Monday night win over the Bears.  The Steelers were outplayed big time by the Bears and the reason they didn't lose was honestly because of the refs plain and simple.  The Steelers have a huge slate of game coming up and this type of team shouldn't be laying more than a TD.  In fact they haven't covered a game yet when being favored this year.  Love the spot for the Lions expect a big effort.

I will take Washington St here catching 14 against Oregon.  yes, everyone will say that the Ducks have everything to play for since they are in the playoff as of right now.  I think Washington St has a ton also as if they win this game they will move to first in the PAC 12 north.  The Cougars are much improved and have covered 6 straight games.  They are also off their bye week and I love the extra time with how meaningful this one is

I was against Wake Forest last week in a winner and I really wonder where their heads are following that all out effort last week.  Yes Wake Forest controls their own still but who else does as well?  Yes, NC St will pass Wake if they win this head to head which I believe they will.  Wake has a high powered offense no doubt but wow is their defense extremely bad.  NC St is a very well balanced team and even though they aren't a powerhouse on offense they won't have an issue moving it here.

So last week Washington was a 7 point dog to Oregon who many know that is in the college football playoff and odds makers are implying that ASU and Oregon are basically the same team? I'm not buying it here.  Washington has under achieved off the offensive side of the ball but their defense is legit and I believe they will want to make a bowl game.  They played very hard last week in just a 10 point loss to Oregon.  I think a great spot to back them here

I like the Gophers here.  They laid a complete egg last week in losing to Illinois last week.  After the hot start Iowa has really cooled off not covering 3 straight games.  Iowa is without their starting QB in Petras and most are happy but I still have a lot of questions on exactly how good the back up is? I mean you would trust the coaching staff that the starter is better right? This game means a lot to both here as the winner still could win the West.  I will take the points

Give me the 7 here with WVU.  This has been a series that West Virginia has owned winning 5 straight SU.  I think they are undervalued here simply because of last week, but that was Oklahoma St and they are a good team.  Kansas St getting a little too much love off 3 straight wins give me all the points here in a close game.

Do I wish this was a night game in Happy Valley, absolutely.  However, I still think there is great value here with Penn St at home.  This team will be more than up for this game.  Reason why I like the line is remember just a few weeks back Michigan at -3 at Nebraska well you're telling me that Penn St is barely better than the Cornhuskers?  Not buying it.  This Penn St D is nasty and I think will be the biggest difference here in this game.

I still believe that Oklahoma is by far the most overrated team in the country and yes they haven't lost yet.  This team just keeps escaping close games.  The Sooners defense has been horrible on the road giving up 6.9 yards per play which is beyond pathetic.  Baylor losing last week wasn't a complete shock as IMO they were clearly looking ahead here

I will roll with Louisville here who I think is a cheap price at home.  Just a few weeks ago this team was -3 vs a very good Virginia team.  Cuse has played well this season and they are getting respect because they are 8-1 ATS.  This has been a series owned by Louisville and I dont expect it to change. 

I will lay the number here what most people might think will be square.  Here is the thing though that the oddsmakers simply aren't going to make a team as hot as the Titans a huge dog.  Henry I would argue means more to their team than anyone else.   Throw in the fact the Titans secondary is very banged up and with Stafford he will have an air day.  Also, the Titans WR group isn't 100% healthy and with Ramsey on Brown there is anther advantage for the Rams.  I think the Rams will put it on them as the Titans simply won't bring enough to the table on offense 

I like the Niners here this week.  I backed them in the first meeting in a losing effort but that was with trey Lance at QB.  The Niners offense did show some things that had been missing last week. The thing about the Cardinals is obviously the health of Kyler Murray but their defense right now doesn't look great.  Also remember two weeks ago they were 3 point dogs @ the Browns and now are laying points against a similar team and division rival.

I was already leaning the Giants here and yes I know they are on a short week and yes I know the Giants are generally a team you play away from home.  I just dont buy into all the Raiders right now and given the situation with what took place with Ruggs following the Gruden thing I think we are seeing a big distraction here from the Raiders.  I know the Raiders are off their bye week but I think in this case this is a bad bye week given everything.  Giants win this game outright.

The Vikings aren't getting any respect here following that loss to the Cowboys and a backup QB.  The narrative now is that the Vikings are no good and the season is over.  I think this is a prime bounce back spot for the Vikings here.  The Ravens are off their bye week and that is playing into its also.  Here is the main thing though the Ravens, yes Ravens are the worst team in the NFL against the Pass.  The Vikings know that and will make that a priority with their two stud WR's.

I love the Bengals here this week.  Yes, they lost to the Jets and I get it's a terrible loss.  I also think we are getting a discount with them here.  The Bengals blew an 11 point lead in that game in the in the final 5 minutes.  The Browns are a team that seem to have a lot going on right now inside in the franchise.  The Browns really are struggling on offense right now failing to score over 20 points in three consecutive home games.  Bengals will be motivated and they want to enter their bye week the following week on a very high note. 

I think this is now the hardest spot of the year for Michigan.  They had their Super Bowl last week vs Sparty and it was an all out effort.  That is what we like to call the dream crusher loss and I think it will be hard for them to get up this game.  They know Indiana is no good and 20.5 here given the spot is very difficult.  Also Penix the Hoosiers QB is suppose to be back this week

I really believe Texas is now a fade for the rest of the season.  This team no doubt is talented, but they can't get it done.  This is no 3 straight losses for them and 3 huge games in a row.  They are facing Iowa St at the wrong time this week in a night game.  I fully expect Breece Hall to control this game for the Cyclones as the Longhorns ranks 118th against the run.  Cyclones roll here

I just simply love the spot here for South Carolina.  Florida is coming off their dream crusher loss last week to Georgia.  I just believe that type of loss is a difficult one to overcome.  That being said they had an all out effort the week before vs LSU also.  South Carolina is off their bye week so they will be fresh and ready and I think they keep it close here

I am going to take Iowa here as I believe this is their buy low spot.  They are coming off back to back losses and yes one could say they might think the season is over, but this is quietly a rivalry game.  Northwestern is just no good at all at offense ranking 107th overall vs a Iowa defense ranked 9th.  This is a big mismatch here and I believe the Hawkeyes blow them out

I have had a pretty good feel for this Miss St team.  I had them last week as they beat up Kentucky.  I think here is a great spot to back Arkansas now.  Everyone is quick to forget how Arkansas jumped out to a hot start.  They had 3 tough losses in a row but  those were all too good teams in Georgia Ole Miss and Auburn.  Arkansas off the bye week, I love the spot here

I will take the points here with Purdue.  First, we all know that Sparty will be one of the biggest public plays of the weekend with their win over rival Michigan.  They were outgunned by over 150 yards in that game making it pretty misleading.  I think following that is very difficult.  Also Purdue ranks 16th in the country in passing offense while Sparty against the pass is 127.  I think Purdue is prime here for another upset. 

West Virginia no doubt last week benefit big time from so horrible calls in beating Iowa St.  Oklahoma St does have a very solid D and suspect at best offense.  I think the Cowboys have been pretty luck so far this season winning a lot of close games and the fact they have covered 6 straight here makes me believe they are one valued.  WVU playing with confidence and this isn't a let down spot playing another home game. 

I like UNC here this week.  I mean this is just one of  those glaring lines that stand out.  Here we have a top 10 team undefeated against a 4-4 team and the ranked undefeated team is an underdog. I had UNC in a loss last week but I was impressed and they did have their shot to cover that game.  Wakes defense here is no where near as good and I really believe that Howell torches them

I love the Vikings here on Sunday night.  Both teams are off the bye here and the notion is that Dallas is great and the Vikings have under achieved.  Well, the Vikings had two coin flip losses to the Cardinals and Bengals both on the road.  How good do those losses look now and in fact they should have won both.  The betting public can't get enough of Dallas here since they have covered every game.  Cousins is playing awesome and Dak is banged up.  This Cowboys secondary I believe will get torched and not create the fluky turnovers that have saved them so far.

I love the buy low spot here with Denver.  They started the season the 3-0 but now have dropped 4 straight games which is why we are getting a discount here.  So trust two weeks ago the Broncos were -5 again the Raiders.  So you're telling me Washington is better than the Raiders?   Jeduy also returns for Denver which is a major upgrade for them as they had cluster injuries to the WR position.  This Washington team is no good.

I think this is the ultimate flat spot here for the Seahawks.  They are off two primetime games in the underdog role which were both big efforts and they lost both but did cover.  I just wonder now where their heads could be sitting at 2-5.  The Jags I believe are hungry after coming out of their bye week with their first win of the season in London.  Seahawks defense is no good here and Lawrence will move the ball.  

I love the Chargers here in this game coming off their bye week after they got punched in the mouth entering it bye the Ravens.  I think that was a wake up call for them and a great time to get things right.  The notion here is that the Patriots are still an average football team and I simply dont buy it. They have 3 wins and 2 are against the Jets and the other one was very lucky beating the Texans another rookie QB after they made a big comeback.  I think Herbert and company blow the doors off them here

I like the Colts here in the rematch game.  I'm honestly not surprised they are favored now with they have been playing.  The Colts had a tough start going 0-3 but since have been really good and actually should be 4-0.  They blew a huge lead on Monday night football two weeks back to the Ravens.   This is the week I think the Titans injuries do catch up with them especially in the secondary.  They are off two all out games in the beating the Bills and Chiefs.  Throw in the revenge factor and I think it's a perfect recipe for the Colts to win

Give me the Bears here.  So San Fran was projected by most to be a playoff team.  Well, they started 2-0 by beating the Lions and Eagles well how good do those look now?  Exactly those wins mean nothing but here they are still favored on the road.  The Bears got beat by the Packers and Bucs their last two games so what they are both playoff teams.  Do people forget they went into Vegas and beat the Raiders?  Jimmy G brings nothing to the to table and the Bears D will be fine here.  Bears had 5 turnovers and I love the bounce back spot for them here

I was against NC St last week as I thought they were overrated and they lost outright at Miami.  I think this still holds true here being a 7 point favorite over Louisville.  NC St by beating Clemson who now we know isn't that good is still getting respect from that win.  Louisville's last two losses have been to Wake by 3 and Virginia by 1.  This team is extremely undervalued.  

Alright I finally feel now is a good time to back UNC.  We all know how much hype this team had around them with Howell being the can't miss QB prospect.  Well they have been favored  in every game this season and didn't live up to expectations but now are dogs and I will take them here.  Notre Dame getting some credit for the USC blowout win is why. ND best player Hamilton their safety a top 5 pick next year is out this game and that is a huge huge loss for them.  UNC in this role now yes please.  

I will take the Rams here and the points as we know the betting public will be all over Boise laying a short number here.  Boise just isn't the same type of team we are use to seeing.  Their defense especially gets gashed on the ground a ton and that is why I think Colorado St wins this game outright.  They will control the clock here for the game.  I also think this game means a lot more the the Rams players and coaches than it does Boise who is having a down year.  Boise has a big look ahead game with Fresno next week also

I will gladly take Nebraska here in this game.  I think the Huskers are in a great bounce back spot here against Purdue.  This team for sure wants to make a bowl game and the effort will be here coming off their bye week.  Purdue still getting credit for the win at Iowa which is keeping this line lower than it should be.  Huskers are 3-1 ATS at home this season.  I think Purdue has trouble moving it here against a pretty good Nebraska D.

I had Miami last week in a winner and I really like them here again this week.  This team hasn't quit despite having a very poor start and that is exactly what you are looking for when back a team of this nature.  They beat NC St outright last week as a home dog.  Pitt is off a big win for them beating Clemson.  I think this is the biggest flat spot for them.  I think Miami is live here as well.

I will take Texas here and the points.  I think we are getting a very good discount here for the fact they have lost back to back games but were very much in both of those games.  Texas is off the bye which I think was very much needed following those two games.  I know Baylor is as well but I would argue that the bye came at the wrong time as they have been rolling.  Texas wins outright.

I will take the Badgers here.  I think Iowa is still a public loved team with their ranking.  if you have watched most of their games it has clearly been the defense winning the games.  Their offense is horrible and even off a bye I don't expect them to move the ball against the Badgers defense.  Badgers still control their own here and I fully expect them to win this game.  

I really like the direction the Colts are heading right now.  Went seems to be al to healthier now than the beginning of the season and TY Hilton being back is a huge upgrade for them.  I love the way the defense is playing.  I dont understand the respect for the Niners here maybe it's because they are coming off a bye.  They have shown nothing this season and to be laying more than a FG with zero home field suggests they are clearly better and I dont buy it.  

I will gladly back the Texans here in this game.  It's pretty wild to get a team getting 17 in the NFL but it does happen every year.  I just literally hate the spot for AZ here.  That was an all out effort as a dog to remain undefeated last week @ the Browns.  The Cardinals were +3 in turnovers last week and the Texans were -3 in turnovers.  In the NFL you just simply can't overcome that.  The Cardinals though have a huge and I mean huge look ahead on deck here with the Packers the next game.  I also don't think that the Cardinals defense will be getting after Mills like the desperate Colts did.  Also, let's say the Cardinals are dominating up 33-10 that means the back door is still wide open.  I see the Cardinals starting slow here.

This is a good matchup here for the Eagles.  The Raiders who I backed last week were extra motivated and it showed as they handled their division rival.  I think it's fair to say that Denver is clearly overrated from their 3-0 start.  I believe you back the Raiders as dogs as 3 of their 4 wins have came in the dog role and fade as favorites as they haven't covered in two games in that role.  The Raiders secondary is really banged up and Hurts with weapons on the outside can expose them. The DL for Philly is where they are good and the Raiders OL quite frankly is under par.  This game will be very competitive.

 I will take the Titans here.  I was really hoping they would lose on Monday night because that would add more value with them here in this game.  This is more of a play against the Chiefs though.  I have had a great read on Kansas City this year not missing a side for or against them in any game that I have taken.  The Chiefs defense is just bad and last week in a must win game they were trailing at halftime vs Washington.  Mahomes is also making some very careless turnovers right now but it isn't being talked about.  I'm no fan of the Titans secondary but they did enough against Josh Allen and see no reason why they can't against Mahomes. 

I will take the Bengals here in this division matchup.  This team is very much improved especially on the OL and defense.  I dont think anyone had the Bengals D ranking in the top 10 through the first 6 weeks.  I have the Ravens last week and I thought it was simply to take them because the Chargers are so bad on the ground.  Well Baltimore punched first then the Chargers failed multiple 4th down conversions and it really set them behind all game.  let's go back two game to the Monday night game as the Ravens should have lost to the Colts.  Went through for nearly 400 yards and I believe that Burrow will be doing the same.  The Bengals are 4-2 with their two combined losses being by 3 points each.

Grab the 3!  I can't believe the Falcons are favored here at all.  First, the look ahead line here was -2.5 for the Dolphins so what changed?  Well the Falcons had a bye and the Jags hit two 50+ yard FG's to beat them.  It was also the first game back for Too last week.  I think we are seeing a big time overreaction here to the Dolphins losing.  Mind you they were missing their 2 best pieces in the secondary and they are back this week. 

I will take the 7.5 with the Jets here.  This line not moving at all tells me all I need to know about this side.  This will probably be the #1 pubic play of the week in the Patriots.  I think the Jets have actually improved a little.  Heres the thing in the first meeting though the Jets out gained the Patriots but the biggest thing was the 4 turnovers for Wilson.   I believe he cleans that up the 2nd time around.  The Patriots I think are in a bad spot here with the way they lost to Dallas in OT last week. 

I simply dont understand this line.  I know that USC has under performed this season no doubt about it, but you're giving me 7?  Ok, so ND went off as a dog at Va Tech is there really a gap between Va Tech and USC?  I dont think so at all.  I know the public is down in USC but this is a rivalry game and they are coming off a bye.  After their first two losses this season they have won and covered the next game.  

I really like Miami here Saturday night.  Yes, things haven't gone their way to say the least this season we can all agree.  I actually think King was overrated at QB and it has become clear to me that they haven't gave up even with him out.  So they lose to Michigan St and Bama but mind you they were favored by 6 over Sparty.  Now they are catching 3 against NC ST.  I get adjustments need to be made but this is too big of one.  Miami has still played hard like I mentioned losing by 2 to Virginia and 3 to UNC their last two games.

I think we are seeing a highly over valued undefeated UTSA team who has now moved into the rankings.  I think most people will just look at the records in blindly take the team who hasn't lost and has covered every week game but 1.  The thing is though LA Tech is a quality team and have played really good competition.  They lost to Miss St by 1, SMU by 2 and @ NC ST by 7.  Clearly in all those games. Just two weeks ago UTSA were 3.5 point dogs on the road to Western Kentucky and now are laying 7 to a better team.  

Here is another game this week where we have the unranked home team favored over the ranked road team.  I will always took to the favorite in this situations and this one definitely makes sense. SDSU could have easiest slipped up last Friday at San Jose St winning in double OT.  I think Air Force is going to present a different type of challenge with running the ball here.  SDSU also made QB change which is very weird timing for this and I dont believe they should have.

When you look at this game from the surface level you see a 2-4 team vs an 0-5 team.  There is on glaring difference though and that is WKU has played some great competition.  They lost to Indiana by 2 lost to Michigan St by 17 which was a lot closer than the final indicated and UTSA by 6 in a game they put nearly 700 yards of offense.  FIU is just a bad team folks and I truly believe WKU will name their score here

I liked BYU early and wish I grabbed a better line but will still play them here.  They are coming off two hard losses and I trust them being a good team to really respond and bounce back here.  Also, the main thing here is that Wazzu had a big time shake up this week firing their leach coach and others.  I believe that serves as a big distraction here for them and not in a good way. 

I know I know Clemson has looked bad to say the least so far this season with a very sub par offense.  However, it's safe to say that they still have big talent gap here.  Plus if this game were played several weeks ago what would this line be?  I would say Clemson by double digits.  Clemson D is still very very good and I believe will more than keep them in the game.  Dabo you better believe he knows he's an underdog here and they will be motivated. 

I love Iowa St here this weekend.  Well for beginners Iowa St is non ranked and favored by over a touchdown vs a top 25 team? Iowa St numbers are extremely good as their two losses they dominated the boxscore and Vegas knows that.  Oklahoma St is being so overvalued here with them coming off a Texas road win last week.  Iowa St defense will be the difference maker here and I dont expect the Cowboys to score very much at all.

Oregon just hasn't been clicking as of late surviving their last 2 games by 7 each game.  Here is another classic example of an Oregon team being ranked #10 in the country and are a underdog.  I love these types of games.  UCLA is much improved this team believes that they can win the South division.  I think we see them make a big time statement win here.

This is mostly a spot play here for Wisconsin.  Yes, I know the Badgers have been horrible on offense and in large part because of Mertz and how bad he has been.  With Purdue beating Iowa last week I think that will have the Badgers full attention here.  I think that is a hard game for Purdue to follow up with another performance like that.  It's also important to know that Wisky has been favored every game this season well clearly now their lines are finally at an all time low and even vs a lower opponent

I will gladly take the Raiders here in this game.  I am actually shocked at this line. Two weeks ago the Raiders were +3 at the Chargers on MNF and now are +4 @ Denver?  So you're telling me Denver is better than the Chargers?  I think this is a big time overreaction here to the Gruden situation.  I actually think this fires up the Raider team as well.  Denver was 3-0 because of their easy schedule and actually won on the road at Pitt which Denver didn't do.  I think the Raiders win this outright

I will take the Patriots here.  Yes, the Patriots played bad and maybe weren't so focused last week but it was a hard spot for them coming off that Sunday night performance vs the Bucs.  The Patriots have a great defense and we have seen it in effect this season.  Here is the things the Cowboys have a horrible defense but they are forcing turnovers making it look like they are well, but they are giving  up plenty of yards.  This has upset of the week written all over it

I love the Browns here this week.  The Browns are the only team in football with an offense and defense in the top 5.  I think the Browns are literally the perfect matchup here against the Cardinals.  The Browns are the #1 ranked rushing team in the league while the Cardinals are ranked 28th against the rush.  I think this is the perfect combo to leave Murray and company of the field.  Browns win by 7

I love the Chiefs here.  I have had a pretty good feeling on this Chiefs team and had them in their only cover @ the Eagles a couple weeks.  What people are forgetting here is how hard the Chiefs schedule has been to start the season.  Let's back them here against a bad team in the league with one of the worst secondaries in football.  I think we get a very pissed off Mahomes and company and they look to get right here this week

I will gladly take the Texans here in this game.  First the Colts are coming off a big time devistating loss on Monday night blowing a double digit lead against the Ravens.  This is a division game here and I just dont see how the Colts really blow them out.  The Texans may not be great but they play hard and actually should have won last week vs the Patriots.  At this big number I will take the Texans.

I think the Chargers will be the public dog of the week.  The Chargers now are everyone's kind of sexy team and yes they are playing the part very well.  Also everyone saw Monday night the Ravens struggle with the Colts and had a crazy comeback OT win.  Well here is the thing.  You wanna know who the worst team is in the league against the rush?  Yup, it's the Chargers.  I think the Ravens style and gameplan here they will march up and down the field here.  Give me the Ravens

Im putting a lot of faith in Iowa St here with Campbell.  I think the bye week came for them at the right time to try and figure out their offense.  Their defense is still one of the best in the country and I think they will contain Kansas St.  Mostly Iowa St has shot themselves in the foot this season with mistakes or special teams errors.  I think Purdy gets right and this team gets back into the Big 12 race as most aren't talking about them anymore 

I will fade Oklahoma here off that crazy win over Texas.  The fact they won was very lucky and the fact they covered was nothing short of a miracle.  This Oklahoma team is vastly overrated and I know they made the QB change which I do think that provides a spark.  However, they are still laying crazy numbers.  TCU I do trust and their offense will move the ball on this Oklahoma defense.  You're going to give me nearly two TD's with TCU?   I will gladly take

I will lay it here with Alabama.  I mean last week as everyone knows that Bama lost and they were favored by more actually in that game.  Texas AM is better than this Miss St team.  I also think the style that Leach loves to play fits right into the hands of Saban and company.  Saban doesn't lose and I guarantee he has his boys ready this week and makes a statement.  

This line is way out of control here.  So last week BYU losses to Boise giving them their first loss of the season.  We are seeing a big time overreaction here though.  Baylor last week was favored by 2.5 over WVU and blew them out.  Well you're telling me that BYU is worse than WVU? In way am I buying that at all.  Baylor has Texas on deck.  I love BYU here

Michigan St is one of the most overrated teams in the country here.  They are undated but should have lost a couple weeks back to Nebraska.  I think Indiana is live here for the upset Saturday.  The Hoosiers have lost to Cincy, Iowa and Penn St.  That isn't anything to hang your head-on as all those teams are very good.  Penix being out I believe helps the Hoosiers and he has simply been a shell of himself this season coming off that injury.  

Alright I love the price here for LSU.  I mean just two games ago they were favored -3 over Auburn. Is there a huge difference between Auburn and Florida right now?  I sure don't think so but you are going to give me 10?  I will gladly the Tigers here and all the points.  

I will take all the points here with this UCF team.  The love for Cincy right now is just out of control.  yes, the Bearcats are a great team but now laying 3 touchdowns against a more than capable team here in UCF. I know Gabriel being out has something to do with this but UCF has just as good of athletes here.  Cincy is 4-1 ATS and UCF is 1-4 ATS.  The love from the public will be there and this is why I side with UCF

Give the Aztecs credit here for winning every game so far this season.  There is no doubt that their undefeated record is playing into this line.  They have each played New Mexico St and the line differential for those games were that SDSU should be -5 on a neutral but now are -8 @ San Jose?  They are way off and we are getting big time value here.  Remember that San Jose St was 13.5 point dogs @ USC to start the season

I will take the Eagles here and the points.  We all know the Bucs are really banged up here in the secondary and I backed the Dolphins last week in a losing effort.  I think here though where the Eagles have the edge is that they have a QB that can move the ball down field with Hurts.  I fully believe they will score points here and keep it within this key number of 7.  

I will take the 49ers here in this game.  So the Cardinals had a great performance last week vs the Rams and props to them.  However, lets not overreact to just that one game.  They were very sluggish against the Jags and should have lost to the Vikings.  I just think with a week to prepare for Shanahan and I believe his guy in Lance I think the Niners are live here.  This team will expose the Cardinals on the ground as their rush defense is pretty bad.  

I will gladly take the points here with the G Men.  This team made a crazy comeback and won in OT. I love the fact that they didn't give up and came away with a win giving them some extra confidence.  The Cowboys on offense are very good no doubt.  Everyone thinks their defense is much improved but it's only because of turnovers.  Their D is still very bad and in fact one of the worst in the league.  They give yup a ton of yards and with the Giants getting back some healthy WR's, I expect Jones and company to move the ball down the field.  This is a division game and love getting touchdowns with the dog.

I am honestly shocked this line didn't open hire.  Now I know the look ahead was a pick em in most spot but to me this Chargers team is underrated.  I had them Monday night vs the Raiders and they were in full control of that game.  Their only loss was against the Cowboys in week 2 in which they controlled that game but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board.  To me this Chargers team is just really really good. They pass the eye test and I love both sides of the ball.  Losing Flynn as their coach is clearly and upgrade.  Lay the short price with the Chargers 

The Eagles are one of the best teams in the league in the classic yards per play differential averaging +1.2 more per play.  I think that has the Eagles extremely undervalued here.  Also the Eagles have lost to the Cowboys, Chiefs and Niners all 3 of those teams are good and most likely 2 will be playoff teams.  I was against Philly last week but I actually was impressed with their offense.  Also the Eagles and Panthers both have played at Dallas.  The Eagles were 3.5 point dogs and Panthers last week were 4.5.  Neither team covered but that is saying the Eagles on a neutral would be -1 just based on the closing lines.  Well if so then adjust for Carolina at home should be -1 or -1.5.  Hmm we are getting +4.  Give me the Eagles

I really like the Dolphins here this week.  Yes, the Dolphins have looked pretty bad and it's clear to say that they will be one of the biggest under achievers for this season.  I know their offense has looked bad but I do expect them to have success here.  The main reason is because the Bucs secondary has all new face and they have cluster injuries everywhere.  Also, the spot here isn't great for Tamps coming off that Brady homecoming game @ New England.  This is a let down spot.  The Bucs ardent a covering team either just 1-3 ATS this season and the only one they covered they were very lucky against the Falcons with two pick sixes in the 2nd half.  I think the Dolphins can take care of the ball and move it here.  

I really like the Bengals here this week.  To me the Packers dont pass the eye test at all and they most certainly aren't a top 10 team.  Their best CB is out this week and now their 2nd best LB is out.  I think this injures are big for a defense that isn't very good.  This Packers team should be 2-2 if it weren't for a absolute miracle win @ San Fran.  The Bengals are vastly improved and it starts on defense as they bring in a top 10 ranked unit.  Tee Higgins returns for the Bengals and Burrow is the real deal.  I think the Bengals win this game outright, I love them

The Saints have no business at all being favored on the road.  They currently have the 2nd worst rated passing offense in the league.  Well, the worst part of the Washington D has been their pass defense but clearly the Saints won't be prime to expose that here.  I just think the wrong team is favored.  Yes, most had higher hopes for Washington but I think now is the time to back them.  

The Michigan love is getting a little out of hand here now.  I will gladly take the 3.5 with the Huskers here in a night game.  I really believe this win this one outright and this the Frost moment if you will for the team going forward.  Michigan is improved I give them credit and and they are 4-1 ATS while the Huskers are 5-1 ATS.  Michigan will be the darling public side now being highly ranked and laying a short price.  I believe they fall flat here in Lincoln

I will happily take Penn St in this game.  Iowa has been a team that has just feasted off turnovers this season.  Penn St only has 3 turnovers on the season and Clifford has improved a ton which was needed if Penn St wanted to make the leap forward this season which they have done.  I dont think Iowa gets the short fields like they have with their offense.  Penn St defense is also no joke.  Iowa is creating all the turnovers they need to win this game.  Wrong team is favored.

I just think Virginia is the better team overall here.  Louisville to me just doesn't have enough here vs this Virginia team.  Virginia is better on both side of the ball.  I also really love the spot here for Virginia having on a Thursday so they have plenty of time to prep for this one.  That win at Miami for Virginia was enough to save their season and I believe they win outright.

This is a big number here for the Vols to be laying.  They are coming off a huge blowout win over Missouri but more importantly they were dogs in that game. Missouri is showing that they are one of the bottom team with Vanderbilt in the SEC.  Now Tennessee is laying double digits?  I think way too big of an adjustment here as has been made.  Both defenses here are pretty good so I dont expect a ton of points. The underdog has thrived in this series going 9-1-1 ATS last 11 games.

I can't believe this Michigan St team is laying points on the road.  The betting public will be all Sparty here as they come in undefeated.  Throw in the fact Rutgers is off back to back losses against Michigan and a ugly blowout at Ohio St last week, this is setting up for a nice Rutgers ML play as well.  Rutgers was getting 15 last week vs Ohio St and you're telling me there is only a 10 point difference between Sparty and Ohio St??  No way I'm buying that.  Rutgers is the right side here

I will take Texas here in this game.  I truly believe that Oklahoma currently is the most overrated team in the country.  Outside of the beat down of Western Carolina the Sooners have had all their others games be pithing 7 points or less.  They are bound to have another close not go their way. Texas is 4-1 ATS while the Sooners are 1-4 ATS.  I just couldn't be any less impressed with Oklahoma and I really trust Sark here in his first rivalry game to make a statement.  

I'm going to lay it with the Chargers.  They went on the road to Washington in week 1 and handled their own then actually outplayed Dallas big time lost by 3 but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board and you have to upgrade that performance based on what we have seen from Dallas.  Last week they went o the road and beat KC.  This Chargers team is really good IMO.  Raiders are undefeated with 2 wins coming in OT.  I think their luck runs out here

Love the 49ers here this week.  The 49ers were -3.5 to the Packers last week and now laying less to Seattle and we all know that Green Bay is better than the Seahawks.  49ers should have won that game and if they did I firmly believe this line is 4 or 4.5.  This is great value here under the key number of 3.  The Seattle defense is the worst in the league right now and that is playing the Colts, Titans and Vikings not exactly world beaters on offense. 

I really like the Giants here in this game.  They are the desperate team here sitting 0-3.  You could make the case though that they should be 2-1 losing two close games back to back weeks.  I just dont believe the Saints and company deserve to be laying more than a TD to anyone.  We haven't seen anything special on offense from the Saints as Winston doesn't even have over 400 passing yards this season.  Way too many here, give me the G Men

I have been pretty spot on with this Chiefs team so far in the early on.  I really like them here though to get the job done.  The Eagles on a short week and just flat out looked horrible.  Sure, I maybe overreacting some but the offense has really done nothing so far with Hurts outside of Atlanta week 1.  I think we get a pissed off Chiefs team and really focused here and I fully expect them to score in the 30's which should cover this number easily

I like the Vikings here in this game.  We could easily make the case that this team should be 3-0 and at worst 2-1.  Now I know that this line is suggesting that the Browns and Seahawks are equal based on last week but I think the Vikings finally had their outbreak game.  Cousins is playing great right now and Cook should be back.  The Browns were down to Tyrod Taylor and the Texans before he got hurt and had to leave the game.  Last week they destroyed a horrible Bears team.  Minnesota wins outright

I really like the Colts here in this game.  Indy just 2 weeks ago was getting 3.5 to the Rams and they lost by 3.  Granted I know that was at home but that is also the best team in football.  Since the Colts haven't won a game yet that is why they are dogs.  I believe this Dolphins team has serious issues on offense. Last week the Raiders spotted them 14-0 in the first and Miami went flat.  The importance of this game for Indy to avoid 0-4 is huge.  I think they win outright

I will take the Huskers here in this game. Nebraska is a team that gets a ton of hate but yet all they have done is cover 4 straight games.  They should have won last week @ Michigan St.  Here is the reason this team has a legit defense and no one is talking about them.  One dimensional NW won't be moving the ball and the Huskers will have huge chunk plays on the ground as the Wildcats have already been exposed to that.

Sparty is off back to back all out games here vs Miami and Nebraska.  They should have lost last week and I think are due for a let down here.  I had Western Kentucky last week vs Indiana and they covered and had a chance to win that game outright losing by just 2.  I think the Hilltoppers give Mich St all they want here

I think this line stinks and it's not moving with everyone be all over Oklahoma St.  The Cowboys could easily be 1-3 as they won some coin flips their first 3 games.  Baylor I will admit the score last week was misleading as Iowa St did dominate the game and ultimately special teams cost the Cyclones the game.  I do think Baylor is a sneaky team here and that is what this line is telling you.   Also Iowa St has a top 5 defense in the country so you can't really blame them for not moving the ball great. Oklahoma St has Texas on deck which is a huge look ahead.

I will gladly take La Tech here in this game catching all these points.  I had them in week 1 vs Miss St and they only lost by 1 point as a 23 point dog.  I just love the situation here as NC St is coming off a massive massive win over Clemson and you know they are celebrating all week here.  I fully expect a let down. I just dont see the motivation here at all for the Wolfpack as they just wanna win this game.

I do like this WVU team but I dont want any part of them laying more than a TD.  Tech just got embarrassed last week vs Texas so I think they really are motivated for a bounce back here.  WVU I could see coming out a little flat with an all out effort last week vs Oklahoma in a game they could have won. WVU might be a tad better but give me the 8 here. 

So we get Cincy off the bye here and this is absolutely the most circled game of the year for them.  The bye week scheduled here is no accident.  Also Notre Dame pulling away last week was extremely misleading with the final score.  Notre Dame had a kick return for a TD and if they dont get that then I think this game is totally different.  They have been very lucky all year long.  It catches up with them this week against a very good Cincy team