This might be the worst spot of any team this week in the NFL.  Everyone saw last week how bad the Broncos blew out the Cowboys.  Of course they will be jumping back on board here as just a 3.5 point favorite.  The Broncos have played their first two games at home and were lucky to escape with a win over the Chargers.  The Bills actually have a solid defense as well and it's not like the Broncos are stellar on offense.  The Broncos also have the Raiders on deck here in a huge division rivalry.  

Really like the Browns here this week to get their first win of the season.  I'm not going to fault the Browns for being 0-2 as they have faced the Steelers and the Ravens as you could make a case that they are both in the top 5 for AFC teams.  The Browns lost by 14 last week despite out gaining the Ravens by 49 yards a large part of that was because of 5 turnovers.  The Colts don't have anywhere near a defense like that to be worries about.  The Colts had business even being in last week's game vs the Cardinals.  They were outgained by 123 yards.  I also think it's hard for them to bounce back here losing in OT the way they did.  Also the Browns have a huge edge in the trenches as well .

Love Stanford here in this spot.  So they are playing their first home game of the season against a rival in UCLA and coming off back to back losses.  I dont believe motivation will be a problem here.  Stanford losing to SDSU last week isn't a big deal to me as simply turnovers cost them and they are also in a sandwich spot coming off of USC and having UCLA on deck here.  UCLA barely beat Texas Am week 1 and it looks like they are a bottom 5 team in the SEC.  Their defense ranks 123rd in the country and there are major problems here.  They give up 6.2 yards per play while Stanford average 7.5 yards per run.  I think the Bruins defense get worn out as Stanford can have some big long drives by controlling the ball.  

I had Miss St last week as my game of the week and that cashed easily with a huge win over LSU.  Now they seem to be getting a lot of credit and I consider Georgia the 2nd best team in the SEC.  Georgia backup Jake Fromm went into a very tough place one of the hardest in college football in Notre Dame and came away with the win.  Maybe Miss St is the real deal and I do like Fitzgerald their QB, but I will need to see how they handle a big win before I can back them again in another tough SEC game. 

This is one of those game that will go under the radar here.  I think Cuse will be able to move the ball as LSU is dealing with some injuries right now.  Also take into fact that LSU got blown out last weekend at Miss St which I had as my top play.  I believe this is a flat spot here.  Cus offense can generate points.  I'm not sure where LSU heads are right now.  

If this game was played 2 weeks ago Michigan would be favored by 20+ points.  Now that Purdue has had a little bit of success everyone seems to be jumping on board but I'm not buying into it quite yet.  The fact that Michigan didnt cover the last two weeks after beating Florida shouldn't be surprise.  They were in a major let down spot vs Cincinnati after that game and had to play an option team in Air Force that are hard to adjust to.  I think now that Purdue is on fire they will have Michigan's eye.  The talent level is greater on Michigan and yes they still have Harbaugh as their coach.  

I really think is the perfect spot to back Nebraska here as people are selling them.  While, this team may not be very good you have to remember they are playing Rutgers.  Last week they had two early pick sixes which dug them a hole they couldn't get out of.  I think this week calls for desperate measures here and we will see the Cornhuskers respond.   

I like the Giants here to redeem themselves on another national spotlight game.  Yes they struggled Week 1 on offense but I think they figure it out Week 2 even if OBJ doesn't play.  I don't trust Stanford in this situation as they were very lucky Week 1.  It's also a big time spotlight and we all know how he folds in this games

I might be on the wrong side of this game because it begs you to take the Packers.  I just think they will want revenge here in a big way after losing last here to go to the Super Bowl.  Also the Falcons are in a new stadium and do we actually know how big of advantage that will be?  I was very impressed with the Packers defense in week 1 vs the Seahawks.  They may not win outright but getting a field goal given the circumstances I will gladly take 

I had the Rams last week as a Top Play winner.  I will gladly back them again here this week.  I think the general public won't give them enough credit because Luck was out.  I just think this Rams team is so much improved all the way around including the coaching which is huge.  The Redskins are going to prove to be the worst team in the NFC East and probably one of the most disappointing in the league this season.  I could see this line climbing big time get on the Rams here.  

The betting public will be in love with the Cowboys here especially coming off a sunday night national TV victory over the Giants.  I'm not sure the Cowboys deserve to be favored in this situation given the fact the Giants were missing their best player in OBJ.  Also, the Broncos defense is no joke here either and I think Dak will struggle against it.  

I know the Patriots are probably the best team ever to back after a loss let alone getting embarrassed on their home field.  However, at this line we could care less if they win the game but shouldn't be favored by 7.  I think their defense has major problems and Brees who I will give a pass to because I think the Vikings are a legit top 5 defense in the league.  It's no secret Brady is missing weapons as well.  While I know the Saints defense isn't anything to write home about I don't think they were any worse than what we saw from New England.  

We all know the Chiefs had the most impressive performance of week 1.  The question is can they follow it up.  I do think this Chiefs team is good but to me they are getting way to much respect to another top 10 team in the NFL.  I am very high on the Eagles this season and I had them last week vs the Redskins.  Their defense is very impressive and Wentz will take a huge step forward this year.  It's not easy for teams to come off a national stage like that especially against the Patriots and be able to back it up.  

I think this is a game here that will be under the radar.  This Miami Oh team I believe can play for the MAC title this year by winning the eastern side of their conference.  This team is 0-2 ATS and should have won and covered easily in week 1 against Marshall as it ended as a very misleading final score.  I'm not very high at all on the Cincy team and since they did cover the number against Michigan I think we are getting the benefit of the doubt here.  They were never in that game being outgained by 214 yards.  Miami only lost by 7 last year at Cincy being 14.5 points dogs.  Miami is way more of a veteran group here and I believe they respond in a big way

Huge rivalry game here at night with the home team wanting revenge.  Everyone seems to be jumping on the Clemson wagon again wand while I do like this team I think it's a big overreaction from last week as I'm not buying into Auburn at all.  If you remember lat year in Death Valley Louisville should have won that game and I believe they do get the job tonight as they have the biggest difference maker in the game and that is Lamar Jackson.  

This is one of those weird games that you see a ranked team on the road as a short favorite, but do they really deserve to be favored here?  Both teams have played pretty easy opponents, but if I had to be picky Vandy has played the hardest in Mid Tenn St.  This Vandy team returned a lot of key starters from last year.  I'm not that high on Snyder and his Wildcats even though he will have them ready.  I think there are some issues on defense here giving up 4.1 yards per play given their weak competition.  This is also a night game here for Vandy and I think they will respond. 

I will back the Bulldogs here as I feel this line is just a huge over reaction based on team name alone in LSU.  They have played absolutely no one in their first two game and neither has Miss St but that shouldn't make LSU a TD road favorite in a very hostile environment here.  The Bulldogs granted haven't played anyone extremely tough but scoring 57 and 49 is taking care of business.  Both defenses have been rock solid so far and I just really like what I have seen from Nick Fitzgerald at QB.  I expect this line to drop throughout the week

Oklahoma couldn't be in a worse spot here coming off the biggest win of the year so far in football upsetting Ohio St at the Horseshoe.  Now they have to play a gritty Tulane team that run the option.  While Oklahoma is obviously the more talented team, playing against the Option is never easy and often not prepared much for.  The OU lineman will be chopped all day and quite frankly I see the coaches playing a lot of their backups here so no one gets hurt.  There is also zero, I mean zero motivation here for the Sooners to blow them out and not to mention they start conference next week with Baylor and will be looking forward to that

The Cyclones were my free pick last week at +3 vs their rival the Iowa Hawkeyes.  They ended up losing a heart breaker in OT after blowing lead late in that game.  Most will think they could come out flat, but I think this team is very much improved under the 2nd year coach in Campbell.  Akron is a average team in the MAC with no home field advantage at all.  Iowa St will be a surprise team come conference play and they simply aren't getting enough credit here.  

As the day goes on I think we will see this line start to climb.  Yes, the Saints have made some big moves and they brought in a huge name in Peterson the former Viking.  They do have Drew Brees still but losing Cooks and Snead is suspended I think those two he will miss on the outside.  Also the Vikings have one the best defenses in the league along with one of toughest stadiums to play in.  I don't trust the Saints defense at all as it has been a major problem 

To many people are making a big deal out of this Zeke situation and I believe he will respond in a big way.  The Giants have also been doing a lot of talking lately and I dont think that will serve well for them.  There is also this over reaction about the Giants owning the Cowboys and I just simply don't believe that will be the case!  

This Rams team did the best thing in the world in letting Jeff Fisher go.  He IMO was the worst NFL coach and cost them team a ton last year.  I think this team will be refreshed and Gurley will be used in a useful way this year.  Now the Colts are a team I am down on even with Luck.  Now they have to worst starter in the league in Scott Tolzein under the helmet.  The Rams have a very good defense and will eat him alive

I'm very high on this Eagles team this year as I love the addition of Alshon Jeffrey at WR.  Carson Wentz did have a good rookie season and I think he has a huge season this year.  To me the Eagles have the best defense in this division.  I also think the Redskins are simply overrated this season as they lost key play makers in Jackson and Garcon.  I also dont trust what is going on in their organization with Cousins.  

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK!

I love the Titans here week 1 against the Raiders.  This Raiders are being overrated here coming of last season.  They simply had everything go their way as they were tied with the Chiefs in turnover differential which as most know that will balance out.  They were also a perfect 6-0 in close games last season.  I think the Titans have something to prove here and they should be able to control the ball on the ground with Murray and Henry as they had the 3rd best rushing attack last year.  The better defense here is the Titans.  I also think we see a very improved Marriota as well 

Not very high on this Boise St team team this year and I think Wazzu will want revenge from last year.  Luke Falk is a QB to keep your eye on this season with their pass happy offense and I dont think this Boise St team is made for high scoring affairs anymore.  Boise simply doesn't have the talent level there anymore.  

While Missouri does worry me a little bit on the defensive side of the ball I think they will step up here against a below average offense.  South Carolina's points were fraud last week only having 12 first downs for the whole game.  They were also very fortunate to run the opening kick back for a TD.  NC St really picked them a part and Drew Lock is not a QB that you want to give time in the pocket.  I believe Lock lights their secondary up and the only reason this line isn't higher is because SC did come away with the win

Auburn seems to be everyone's flavor this week for an underdog.  I think people are under estimating how tough an environment Death Valley is to play in.  Is Clemson as good as they were last year obviously not, but they still have enough pieces here and I trust Dabo here to get the job done.  Auburn has a lot of hype coming into this season and maybe they are legit, but I will need them to prove me wrong before I back them in a game like this  

Really like the Wolfpack here against Marshall.  Both teams had very misleading scores last week.  NC St dominated South Carolina out gaining them by 258 yards and the fact they lost shows the bad luck they had.  South Carolina only had 12 first downs for the game and they ran the opening kick back for a TD.  Marshall on the other hand should have lost easily as they returned 2 kicks for TD and even a pick six in the 3rd quarter.  I think Marshall will have their hands full big time here getting stops.  NC St pours it on them

The price is right here to back Sparty especially given this situation.  Michigan St is on the bounce back this year and a horrible season.  I know people will say Sparty has Notre Dame next, but that's before a bye week so they won't be looking ahead IMO.  Western Michigan is getting a lot of love because they played USC tough.  Well now we have a big travel issue here that I always look for early.  Western Michigan has success on the ground vs the Trojans, but that plays right into Sparty's hands as they only gave up 67 on the ground.  Lay the number!

I think the wrong team is favored here in this game.  There are 3 teams to me this year in the MAC to keep an eye on and that is Miami Oh Toledo and Northern Illinois.  I have this Miami Oh team winning the MAC East here this year with 16 returning starters.  They won 6 games last year after starting the season 0-6.  3 of those were very close losses.  I really like their QB in Ragland here as well.  

Marshall is a team that is projected to be nothing special by any means in Conference USA.  They only won 3 games last year and were 2-6 in the conference.  They also only return 11 total starters from that bad team which doesn't bold well.  

The Trojans only return 4 on offense but the main piece is their QB Sam Darnold who most consider the best QB in college football.  I love how they finished the season winning 9 straight after starting 1-3.  They also return 6 on defense that had the 3rd best defense in the Pac 12.  

This is mostly a play against Western Michigan a team I will look to fade this season as we all know they lost their coach in PJ Fleck to Minnesota.  They lost their stud WR Corey Davis #5 overall pick in the NFL Draft.  They also lost their QB Zach Terrell who was very good himself.  When small schools lose that much and don't have top notch recruiting classes to fill their shoes.  

If most of you listened to my win season total podcast I am very high on Notre Dame this year.  Last year simply everything went wrong they lost every close game and Brian Kelley is on the hot seat where I expect him to bounce back.  Notre Dame returns 8 on offense and 7 on defense and will be out for blood this season.

Temple is a team that simply careered it last year winning 10 games going 7-1 in conference.  Well after that great season being covering machines also, they lost their coach to Baylor and lost a ton of talent as they only return 4 starters a piece on each side of the ball.  I think their defense especially up front will get man handled and wore down as game goes on

Talk about one of the most experienced teams in the country returning 16 starters.  What I really like is that they have everyone back on both lines expect one guy!  They NC St team should have beat Clemson last year losing in OT, only lost to Florida St by 4.  Finley is more than a capable QB now that he is an upperclassmen.  

I simply don't trust South Carolina for the fact I don't trust their overrated head coach in Will Muschamp.  Sure he does return a lot but this team beat absolutely no one last season.  Their offense was 2nd worst in the SEC.  The value lies with the Wolfpack because this game is being played on a neutral field here.  I expect sharp some to drive this up

I just think we are getting very good value because of the way Texas played last season.  There is a new guy and in town now and Tom Herman is very highly regarded coming over from Houston.  What he did with that program was extremely impressive.  He gets a ton of talent on Texas especially returning 10 on defense.  They also return their stud QB who was only a true freshman last year in Shane Buechele.  

Maryland comes to town with 2nd year coach in Durkin who did win 6 games last year but they beat Howard FIU UCF Rutgers Purdue and Michigan St.  None of those teams were any good.  They only return 6 from the 2nd worst defense in the Big Ten last year.  I believe they simply get torched as Herman will want to make a statement 

This is a huge year for the Sun Devils and Todd Graham.  He is easily one of the top 5 coaches on the heat seat this year following a 5-7 season.  The major problem was their defense last year as they got in shootouts and couldn't stop anyone.  That was a key for them this off season and expect them to be a lot better on that side of the ball.  They won't have any problem scoring here tonight against a New Mexico St who gave up 47.9 points per game on the road last season and lost every single road game.  This has a major blowout written all over it tonight.

I realize this is the public side and that is always scary for a single game that will take lots of action.  I simply can't go against Brady here.  Atlanta has had a great season no doubt but they are being over valued coming off back to back blowout.  The key here for me is that the Falcons secondary wont be able to stop Brady whatsoeve.  The Patriots have the big time advantage on defense and that will be handy facing the #1 ranked offense.  Brady get the jobs tonight 

I'm going to take the points here also with the Steelers as I believe this is the worst match up for the Patriots.  Pitt can really control the game with Bell on the ground and they also have Big Ben who is very familiar with these situations.  I'm not sure New England will have an answer for Brown on the outside.  The Patriots are a great team no doubt, but this one team that matches up very tough for them

This is just to many point here for this Falcons team to be laying. The Packers are the hottest team in football.  I did have concerns about their defense, but my concern is gone after what I saw last week.  The Falcons don't have a very good secondary and that won't suit well against Aaron Rodgers who is on fire right now.  These teams did play earlier this season Falcons were only favored by 3 and won by 1.  I see another tight and fully expect this line to drop

The Packers are everyone's hot team but they suffered a huge blow last week losing Jordy Nelson.  This offense just isn't the same without him.  Also the Packers secondary is very banged up which is a huge red flag going against Dallas and their run game.  packers also have no one who can match up with dez on the outside 

This line is jumpin for a reason.  I missed the good opener but still like it here. The Falcons are wanting revenge from how the first game ended between these teams earlier in the season. The key for me is that the Falcons offense is absolutely rolling right now and the Seahawks clearly miss Earl Thomas who was their leader in the secondary. Seahawks will have a hard time stopping them

I know it's hard to go against Bama as they have proven they are capable of blowing about any team out.  This Clemson team IMO is the only team I believe is capable of up beating them.  We all know about Watson the stud QB for the Tigers.  He has revenge on his mind from last year and wont scared of the moment.  Bama has a freshman QB and now a big question mark with Kiffin leaving.  Replacing an OC is an extremely hard thing to do especially given the shortness of time and take into count the magnitude of this game.  That's a big red flag for me here.  Clemson has the 2nd best defense behind Bama.  I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see Clemson come out on top here

It's simply to hard to pass up on the value here with the Sooners.  IMO they have the edge everywhere.  Auburn is extremely one dimensional and that will cost them in this game.  OU is playing their best football of the season right now while Auburn is limping into this game.  The Tigers get blown out by Bama lose to Georgia and barely beat a bad Vanderbilt team @ home by just 7 while favored by 25.  Auburn will have no answer for the Sooners on offense. 

I love the Trojans here in this spot against Penn St as I think this will be a blow out from the get go.  It really reminds me a lot of the Iowa Stanford game from last year.  Penn St won the Big 10 and now are getting nearly a TD? It shows you what Vegas actually thinks of this team.  USC is one of the hottest teams in all of college football and they by far have a lot more talent.  Sam Darnold will expose this secondary in a big way lay the points

I'm going to back the Hawkeyes here as I believe the only reason Florida is favored is because this game is in their home state.  Florida really struggles on offense and the Hawkeyes are very good against the run.  Iowa finished their season very strong after they were embarrassed at Penn St by beating Michigan SU and blowing out Nebraska by 30.  

I missed a chance to grab a really good number but I still like the Falcons to lay it on the Saints here.  Falcons still have a lot to play for as they want that bye first week.  This line started low because the Saints winning and covering back to back weeks which created value for the Falcons.  Atlanta had no problem thumping them the first time around.  I see no reason why it doesn't get ugly this time either 

The Chiefs haven't gotten the respect they deserve throughout the course of the season.  I was against the Chargers last week @ the Browns and what do you know the Browns got their first win.  This Chargers team is done and I know some may think they will show up because its a division game.  The Chiefs still have a lot to play for here and I see a max effort coming from them.  

I like the Eagles here as the Cowboys plain and simple have nothing to play for.  I knew this line would be going up and surely enough it is.  The Eagles still have a sour taste in their mouth from blowing a big lead @ Dallas and losing in OT.  That loss was to the starters and now Dallas will be resting a lot of guys.  Take the Eagles 

I really think the wrong team is favored here tomorrow night.  Ohio St is a quality team no doubt, but I wasn't really impressed with them this year.  They actually should have lost to Michigan and wouldn't even be here if the "spot" was different.  Clemson has the better defense the better QB and overall the better athletes.  I will gladly take the field goal here

I realize Kentucky won their last two game to get here, but they are simply over matched in my eyes here.  Georgia Tech is playing with a ton of confidence.  They ended the season in great fashion winning @ Va Tech, blowing out Virginia and then beating rival Georgia at their place.  This is an option team and everyone knows it.  Generally people say when you have a lot of time to prepare for it you can stop it.  Well, this Kentucky team is terrible against the run giving up nearly 5 yards a carry.  I think they are in for a long day!

I was really surprised when this bowl line opened up a full TD.  This match up alone will sure as motivation for Florida St here.  Michigan is getting a lot of respect because of the season they had and how close they were to beating Ohio St.  Talent wise I actually think FSU has the better talent and they are playing in their home state as well.  Dalvin Cook will be a RB Michigan hasn't seen all year.  I really expect this line to drop closing to game time so grab the points now 

I think the wrong team is favored here in this spot.  Georgia will get a lot of love because of being in the SEC, but the SEC East was a terrible conference this year and the Bulldogs did nothing that impressed me.  Georgia lost to rival Georgia Tech @ home to end the season they struggled against UL Lafayette, should have lost to Kentucky in only winning by 3.  TCU was 3-9 ATS this season and teams that struggle ATS covering less than 35% of spreads cover over 60% in the bowl season.  

I was hoping this number would some how get to 6, wishful thinking I guess.  This Pitt team is getting a lot of credit and respect because of one game and that was beating Clemson.  There is one glaring reason I can't back Pitt here and that is because of their defense.  Pitt is giving up 6 yards per play and are actually being out gained by 5 yards a game, definitely not a sign of a 8-4 team.  Northwestern plays the type of ball that will keep Pitt's offense off the field with long possessions on offense.   

I was all over this line early when I heard the new of Gopher players being suspended.  It is clear that Minnesota doesn't have an interest in this game and are missing starters on the defensive side against a pass happy team.  Also Minnesota has never seen a tempo like this and I expect a route to say the least from the get go here

This Temple will be getting a lot of love here as they have gone a College Football best 12-1 ATS.  I just don't like the situation here for them to blow out Wake Forest.  They are playing the same place they just won their conference title at which may not seem like much, but it is a factor for me big time.  Also their HC has left for Baylor which is a big distraction as I have already gone against one school in Houston with their coach leaving and we all know how that worked out.  

The betting public is now off the Cowboys as they have failed to cover 4 in a row now.  The Cowboys are still a far superior team than the Lions are.  The Lions I feel like are one of the biggest frauds in the NFL.  This team has benefited from playing an extremely easy schedule and actually aren't very good on the road.  Lions were just 4 point dogs last week @ Giants an failed to cover and now are practically the same against a better team.  

I like the Chiefs here tonight as they still have everything to play for and aren't getting enough credit because last week they were in a very tough spot vs the Titans.  This Chiefs defense will have no problem shutting down an offense well if you consider it an offense.  Denver will struggle to move the ball Chiefs just make plays week in and week out.  

Christmas Eve Saturday Night Top Play!

The Bengals are getting a lot of respect for the last couple weeks. They played the Steelers very hard and probably should have won that game.  Well now their season is over and this isn't a division rival. Last week the Texans found something and that was backup QB Tom Savage.  The switch clearly motivated this team and they have everything to play for as they are fighting for the playoffs

The Packers are rolling right now winning 4 in a row and since they let the Bears back into the game failing to cover that has created some value here. The Vikings are a mess right now and are eliminated from the playoffs and even though this is a division game it's hard for me to see them get up here.  Rodgers will want to lay it on them here and I fully expect that to happen

I know I know this will be my first time backing the Browns, but this is a terrible situation for the Chargers here.  They have nothing to play for and I highly doubt they will have any interest here playing @ Cleveland.  The Browns are desperate for their first win and I see it happening this week.  

I will back the Bills here as I feel the Dolphins are being overrated.  Mat Moore had a career game @ the Jets and I don't believe he can repeat that performance two weeks in a row.  The Dolphins are one of the hottest teams right now, but given this situation I don't trust them.  Rex will have his guys ready as he is fighting for his job sake. 

I'm not so sure the wrong team is favored here.  I know Idaho just won last night as a big underdog and they are in the same conference as Troy, but I'm not buying much into the conference as a whole.  I think the MAC is way better than the Sun Belt.  I also like Ohio coming off a hard fought loss to undefeated Western Michigan in which they did have a chance to win at the end.  Ohio has the better defense here as well.  Troy has been getting torched on the ground and that doesn't serve well come bowl season.  Frank Solich is also the better coach here.  I will take Ohio and the points 

I really like the Chargers here in a big rivalry game against the Raiders.  They  would love nothing more to play spoiler here and really make the Raiders sweat the last couple weeks.  When these teams met earlier in the season @ Oakland, the Raiders were favored by 3.5 then and the Chargers only lost by 3 despite being -3 in turnover.  I don't trust this Raiders defense at all especially against a pass happy team like San Diego.  

I will lay the point here in a division game on the road.  I normally never do that, but the Steelers are simply on fire right now winning and covering 4 in a row.  The reason this line isn't higher is because the Bengals have covered two in a row themselves.  Big Ben and Bell will get the job done today.

I realize this is a public play no doubt, but I believe this line has dropped simply because of the weather.  Granted it's going to be very cold there, but the Packers still have everything to play for.  Rodgers is simply to good and this Bears defense isn't anything that will scare him.

I like the Aztecs here catching the points.  This is mainly based off motivation alone here as Coach Herman left Houston for Texas which I feel was a big distraction for this team as they under achieved this season.  Also now they head to Vegas and I looked at their roster they only have two kids on that team west of Texas.  I'm pretty sure for most of them it will be their first time in Vegas and when they had dreams of possibly playing in final four series or even a New Years Day Bowl I don't seem them interested here.  SDSU is playing hard and there is no better evidence than them winning @ Wyoming for their conference championship as they just lost there 2 weeks prior.  Pumphrey is a load at RB for the Aztecs and I know the Cougars have a solid D, I question again the effort level here with everything that has gone on

I will take the Packers here as a home underdog with a ton to play for yet.  Teams that have scored over 40 points in the previous week haven't covered any time the following week.  Also Rodgers is a perfect 14-0 in December home games.  That right there is enough for me to back the Packers.  

Grab This Now...will be going up

I said grab this line early for my subscribers and sure enough this line has gone up to 3 now.  The Steelers are still one of the best teams in football and when their back are against the wall Tomlin responds big time as we saw what happened last week.  Take the Steelers 

This is more of a play against the Panthers as I believe they are officially throwing in the towel after last weeks performance against the Seahawks.  Where the Panthers really struggle is in their secondary and that plays right into the red hot hands of Phillip Rivers.   

I like the value here with the Titans even though Siemian is returning this week.  I still have doubts that he is actually 100% to go here as well.  The Broncos are just brutal on offense right now as they were lucky last week since Bortles through another pick 6.  This Titans team is very underrated and have a great defense as well that is healthy.

This won't be a popular play, but I will take the Jags here as a live home dog IMO.  This Vikings team relies so much on their defense because they can't score enough points.  It's hard for me to lay any points with a team that struggles to get to 20.  The Jaguars even though they have a bad record they are playing well as they have outgained their opponents by over 300 yards the last 5 games.  That is very impressive!

I like this Chiefs team here tonight as they continue to prove me wrong.  I feel the Raiders will be getting plenty of love, but this team is extremely lucky with that bad defense.  They made a crazy come back being down 20 + more points against the Bills.  It's also worth noting that the Chiefs already have had their way with the Raiders a few weeks back and I expect the same result here tonight 

I'm going to take another favorite here simply because their season is on the line.  The Cardinals sit 4-6 overall and still have chances at the playoffs, but that would require a win against the Redskins and I see them doing exactly that.  Cousins doesn't have his blanket Jordan Reed tomorrow which is a bigger loss than most people believe.  This Cardinals defense is still superior and I don't Cousins on the road at all.  

I absolutely love the Steelers here as they are in a must win situation with their AFC North still up grabs.  I call this a must win because they have two hard road games up next which bringing in the 8-3 Giants I feel will motivate them.  The Giants are one of the luckiest teams in the NFL besides the Chiefs, Raiders and Lions.  They have only played one road game in the last 6 weeks and that was last week @ the terrible Browns.  Big Ben will tear this overrated defense a apart and I see a very easy victory here for the Steelers

The Falcons simply have one of the best offenses in all of football and some could argue if not the best.  I don't trust in the Chiefs has they have been out gained in 5 of their last 6 games.  During those 6 games they havent played what I would consider an explosive offense.  The Chiefs defense is a strong unit no question, but I see their offense letting them down in a big way 

Packers have a ton of momentum right now as they won Monday night @ the Eagles.  I see that momentum carrying over here as the Vikings just lost Thursday night.  With that the Packers have a lot to play for here.  The Texans are one of the most overrated if not the most overrated teams in the league and there is absolutely no way they can keep up here with a determined Aaron Rodgers.

In some of my other statements regarding games this weekend,  I have mentioned I am fading what I consider the overrated teams in the NFL.  The Lions fit that description to a tee as they have been trailing every game heading into the 4th quarter.  Dont let that 7-4 record fool ya this team is not good at all as they just lost to the Texans on the road a few week back.  Take the Saints here in a blowout  

I believe the wrong team is favored here tonight.  Wisconsin QB is banged up and still isn't listed to go although I do expect him to play.  Penn St is on a roll here the last 8 games averaging over 40 ppg and their QB Trace McSorely is on fire as well with just 2 INT's dating back to Sept 24th.  I see Penn St pulling this one out

I love the Huskies here tonight as they have a ton to play for considering they are in the 4th pot for the playoffs.  This team is 4th in country right now in scoring and have key play makers on the defensive side of the ball in fact 5 that rank inside the top 100 for NFL draft which is very impressive.  Colorado is still getting a lot of respect because they are 10-2 and 10-2 ATS this yar, but they don't want a shoot out here.  Washington has the better QB in Jake Browning who I feel is a top 5 college QB, they also have the better coach in Chris Petersen who is no stranger to big games.  I love the Huskies to make a statement win with the whole country finally getting a chance to watch them!