Rating: 2 Units

Minnesota starter, Berrios struggled away from Target Field last year, going 3-7 with a 4.85 ERA in 15 road starts. A relentless offense has allowed Philadelphia to overcome some spotty starting pitching but one exception was Eflin, who struck out nine and gave up only three hits across five scoreless innings to win at Washington on Tuesday. The Florida native, who will turn 25 on Monday, thrived at Citizens Bank Park last season by compiling an 8-3 record with a 3.33 ERA in 12 home starts. Eflin will be making his first career start against the Twins.

Rating: 2 Units

Price isn't the same guy who once led me to a $300K DFS payday. However, he's still capable of outpitching Weaver and stopping the bleeding here. While he did manage to hit a home run, Weaver really struggled (on the mound) in his first start, allowing five runs (4 earned) through just 4 1/3 innings. That translates to an 8.31 ERA and 1.848 WHIP.

Rating: 2 Units

It’s only the start of the season and while it’s clearly still much too early to push the panic button, there’s still a massive sense of urgency from the Cubs coming into this one. During the losing slide Chicago has allowed 55 runs, including last night’s series opening 13-10 setback to Milwaukee. The struggling visiting side catches a break today facing Corbin Burnes (0-0, 7.20) who gave up four runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Cards in his opener. Hamels is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 career starts vs. the Brewers (has 92 K’s over 100 innings opposed.)

Rating: 3 Unit MLB Play of the Day

Williams is 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA in nine appearances (six starts) against the Reds who hand the ball to Tanner Roark (0-0, 6.23 ERA). The 32 year old right-hander was tagged with three runs on six hits over 4 1/3 frames against Milwaukee in his first start of the season. Roark owns a 4.70 ERA in seven career outings (four starts) against Pittsburgh. Pirates are 7-1 in Williams' last eight home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Reds are 8-27 in their last 35 road games.

Rating: 2 Units

Toronto starter Thornton went 32-19 with a 4.23 ERA in 88 games (78 starts) in the minors, although he was only 9-8 with a 4.42 ERA at Triple-A Fresno last season. Cleveland starter Bieber is the Indians' fifth starter but only has worked out of the bullpen so far since Cleveland was given two early off-days. The 23-year-old gave up a run over two frames Sunday in Minnesota after going 11-5 with a 4.45 ERA in 20 appearances (19 starts) as a rookie last season. Rowdy Tellez (2-for-3) is among a handful of Blue Jays with limited exposure to Bieber, who beat Toronto in his only game against them last year after yielding three earned runs in 6 1/3 frames.

Rating: 2 Units

Nola struggled to get untracked in the early going of his second straight Opening Day start, surrendering an RBI single in the second inning and issuing a career-high five walks before settling down to pick up the win in a 10-4 victory against Atlanta on Thursday. Nola handcuffed Washington last season, striking out 35 batters in five starts (33 2/3 innings) en route to posting a 3-1 mark while limiting the club to a .200 batting average.

Rating: 2 Units

Arizona starter Zack Greinke was roughed up by his former team to open the year, getting shelled for seven runs over 3 2/3’s innings in the loss to the Dodgers. But note that the Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 games at Petco Park. Additionally note that Greinke has made 22 career starts vs SD, going 11-2 with a 2.20 ERA as well (team record is 16-6). The Padres’ Eric Lauer went six scoreless vs. the Giants in his season opener, but he faces an entirely different team in the Diamondbacks potent hitting line-up.

Rating: 2 Units

Cahill gave up four runs in six innings while losing his first start to Oakland as four of the six hits were for extra bases (two homers, one triple and one double). Gonzales allowed three earned runs with four strikeouts and one walk in each of his first two starts. Gonzales went 3-0 with a 3.34 ERA in six starts versus the Angels last season .

Rating: 2 Units

Peacock earned a spot in the rotation after going 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA in five spring-training games (four starts).  The 31-year-old Peacock is 2-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 16 career games (seven starts) against Texas and has limited Elvis Andrus to four hits in 21 at-bats. Smyly missed the past two seasons following Tommy John surgery. The 29-year-old native of Arkansas is set to make his first start since Sept. 26, 2016, when he pitched five innings against the Chicago White Sox while witih Tampa Bay. Michael Brantley is 5-for-12 against Smyly, who owns a 1-2 record and 4.96 ERA in five career games (three starts) versus Houston.

Rating: 2 Units

The Chicago Cubs hand the ball to right-hander Kyle Hendricks (2018: 14-11, 3.44 ERA) who is 1-0 behind a 2.33 ERA in four career outings (three starts) against the Atlanta. He was 7-4 with a 3.41 ERA in 16 road starts last year and the Cubs are 4-0 in Hendricks' last four road starts. The Braves turn to Sean Newcomb (2018: 12-9, 3.90 ERA). The 25 year old southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.17 ERA in three career meetings with Chicago and the current Cubs are hitting a combined .348 over 46 at bats against him. We can also note that Newcomb struggled with his command during spring traning,  walking 14 in 21 innings of work. The Cubs are 7-2 in their last nine road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rating: 2 Units

After a breakout season in 2017, Davies took a step back last season as he battled injuries. The 26-year-old earned a rotation spot with a solid spring - save for one disastrous outing in which he made an ill-fated mechanical tweak to his delivery. Davies is 3-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 starts against the Reds. Roark gets a change of scenery after spending his first six major-league seasons in Washington, where he had mixed results. He won 15 games in 2014 and 16 in 2016, posting sub-3.00 ERAs both years, but had his share of struggles the past two seasons.

Rating: 2 Units

Atlanta’s first-round (fifth overall) pick of the 2017 draft, Wright gets his first major-league start after making four relief appearances late last season. The 23-year-old allowed three runs on four hits in six innings out of the bullpen in 2018, walking six and striking out five, and earned Sunday’s start with a strong spring that unraveled in his final two appearances. Wright finished 8-9 with a 3.46 ERA in 27 games between Double-A Mississippi and Triple-A Gwinnett last season. Arrieta’s first season in Philadelphia was marked by stark ups and downs, such as a 0.90 ERA in May, a 6.66 ERA in June, a 2.80 ERA in July and a 6.39 ERA in September. The 33-year-old went 1-5 with a 6.35 ERA and 10 homers allowed in 45 1/3 innings across his final nine starts. Arrieta, who posted a 5.79 ERA and 1.36 WHIP across four spring-training starts, went 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two starts last season against Atlanta.

Rating: 2 Units

Chicago starter, Hamels enjoyed a career revival after going from the Rangers to the Cubs last season, going 4-3 with a 2.36 ERA in 12 starts for Chicago after the trade. The 35-year-old struggled at home before the trade, posting a 1-7 record and a 6.41 ERA in 10 starts at Globe Life Park. Hamels will face a former team for the first time in his career when he takes on the Rangers for the first time since 2008. While Texas starter, Lynn had success against Chicago early in his career, but he is 0-4 with a 6.40 ERA in his last 10 starts against them. The 31-year-old is 6-7 with a 4.62 ERA in 20 games (19 starts) against the Cubs, but he hasn’t beaten Chicago since 2013. Lynn is making his debut in his new home park.

Rating: 2 Units

Cleveland starter, Carrasco notched at least 14 victories and 200 strikeouts for the third time in four seasons in 2018, finishing one win short of a personal best while fanning a career-high 231 batters over 192 innings. The 32-year-old Venezuelan enjoyed similar success during spring training, going 3-1 with a 3.79 ERA while registering 22 strikeouts over 19 frames. Nelson Cruz (7-for-22, two homers) and Jorge Polanco (6-for-15) both have fared well versus Carrasco, who went 2-3 with a 3.51 ERA in six starts against the Twins last season.

Rating: 2 Units

Boston starter Rodriguez saw team go 19-4 in his starts LY, earning $1,387 (6th-best among all starters). Seattle's Mike Leake is 1-3 with a 5.30 ERA vs Boston in six starts (teams are 1-5).

Rating: 2 Units

Flaherty went 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four starts against the Brew Crew last season and allowed just two runs while fanning 22 through 12 frames here at Miller Park. Right-hander Freddy Peralta (2018: 6-4, 4.25 ERA) will start for Milwaukee. He lost his lone decision against St. Louis last season while conceding three runs in six innings of a 5-2 defeat on Aug. 17. The Cards' went deep three times in yesterday's contest despite offseason acquisition Paul Goldschmidt going 0-for-3 with three strikeouts

Rating: 2 Units

Minnesota right-hander Jose Berrios finished last year with 202 strikeouts through 192 1/3 innings of work. Berrios was 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA and a .197 AVG in three starts against Cleveland last year while fanning 17 through 17 frames. The Twins are 21-6 in Berrios' last 27 home starts and 10-4 in his last 14 starts against divisional foes. Cleveland counters with right-hander Corey Kluber who compiled a 20-7 record and 2.89 ERA in 2018. He was 1-1 with a 4.34 ERA in three starts against Minnesota and served up three homers through his 18 2/3 innings on the mound. The Indians are 1-4 in Kluber's last five road starts. Cleveland lost 10 of its 11 free agents during the off-season and will begin the season with Francisco Lindor, second baseman Jason Kipnis and outfielder Bradley Zimmer on the injured list. Minnesota will also have a different look since last year, but it has added several interesting pieces. This is a good enough price to back the home team.

Rating: 2 Units

The Chicago Cubs and Texas Rangers begin the season with different sets of expectations when they open the 2019 campaign with a three-game interleague series starting Thursday in Texas. Chicago has won eight of 15 meetings and is visiting Arlington for the first time since 2010. The Cubs return all eight regular starters from a team that ranked fourth in the National League in runs (761) last season, but they’re looking for more consistency and production from the middle of the order. Chicago especially could get a boost from 2017 NL MVP Kris Bryant returning to form after being hampered by a shoulder injury for much of 2018. The Rangers hope first-year manager Chris Woodward can turn around a rebuilding club that went 67-95 and finished last in the American League West a year ago. Texas is in the midst of a youth movement, but the lineup still boasts a veteran presence with Shin-Soo Choo, Elvis Andrus and Asdrubal Cabrera, who was signed to take over at third base following Adrian Beltre’s retirement.  Chicago starter, Jon Lester will make his third straight Opening Day start and the eighth of his career as he looks to continue to pitch at a high level. The 35-year-old was 11-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 15 road starts a year ago.

Rating: 2 Units

Price threw 13 pitches in relief during Friday’s Game 3 and was up in the bullpen Saturday, but manager Alex Cora decided to go with the former Cy Young Award winner and save ace Chris Sale for Game 6 if needed. Price has been outstanding in his last two starts of the postseason, throwing six scoreless innings against Houston to end the American League Championship Series and limiting the Dodgers to two runs and three hits over six frames in Game 2.

Rating: 2 Units

Rick Porcello always gives a solid performance and it shows as the Red Sox have a nice profit with a 24-11 team record in his starts. More importantly, he has the relentless Red Sox offense behind him. This year, they are an incredible 91-40 vs. righties and are excellent on the road as well at 56-30. The Dodgers were OK at home, but with their expectations, they lost a ton of money both at home and vs. righties. They are scoring just 2.9 runs per game in their last seven games with a paltry .564 team OPS. Boston should deal them another blow tonight.

Rating: 2 Units

Jhoulys Chacin has been excellent in his last three starts, allowing one run in 16 innings with 12 strikeouts. Look for Brewers’ manager Craig Counsell to be on the ball to maximize these two pitchers. The Dodgers have scored only 18 runs in the six games in this series. Walker Buehler hasn’t been as successful with nine runs allowed in his last 12 innings. Milwaukee is an excellent 75-48 vs. righties this year, scoring 4.6 runs per game.

Rating: 2 Units

In relatively even matchups, it’s hard not to be tempted by the big underdog odds. Nathan Eovaldi may not carry the cache of his former Yankee teammate, but he has been good against the Yankees of late. In his last three starts against them, all in the second half of the season, he held them scoreless for 16 innings with 13 strikeouts and just six hits allowed. Luis Severino has been better of late, but this Red Sox offense was as good as it gets against righties with an 87-39 record and some of the best profits around.

Rating: 2 Units

This pitching matchup is friendly for Dodgers as knocked around Mike Foltynewicz for four runs in two innings with two home runs allowed in Game 1 of this series. Add in his regular season start against the Dodgers and that brings it to eight runs allowed in seven innings with four home runs. Rich Hill has faced the Braves twice in the last two years, allowing just two runs in 13.1 innings. The Braves gave themselves a chance last night, but the ride should end here.

Rating: 2 Units

Things have not gone well for Keuchel as he was tagged for six runs in 11 innings on 14 hits. His last three starts of the regular season didn’t give us much reason for optimism with a 6.23 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. Mike Clevinger was outstanding at the end of the season, but like Keuchel, neither of his starts vs. this opponent was a success. Houston rocked him for eight runs in 11.2 innings with 15 hits and seven walks allowed. Houston’s offense was great on the road this year with 5.2 runs per game.

Rating: 2 Units

LA was at their best against lefties this year with a 40-25 record and have scored over six runs per game in their last seven games. Atlanta was only five games over .500 at home this year which is not super impressive and Sean Newcomb’s 5.12 ERA here doesn’t make me feel more confident. Walker Buehler was outstanding in his first playoff start when he allowed no runs and just one hit against the Rockies and he will be fired up to get another win here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Brewers were massively profitable against righties and on the road, so getting them at a nice underdog price with a chance to end this series has to pique my interest. German Marquez is having an incredible year, but Milwaukee beat Colorado in his two starts against them back in August and May, scoring seven runs in 11.2 innings with 20 base runners allowed. The Rockies have been flying all around the country and at some point that has to catch up to you. They haven’t scored much with just four runs total in their last three games.

Rating: 2 Units

In David Price’s last three starts against the Yankees, they wrecked him for 14 runs in 14.2 innings. Masahiro Tanaka wasn’t much better with nine runs in 14 innings. Boston was outstanding vs. righties at home, scoring 5.8 runs per game while both team have scored over seven runs per game in their last seven games.

Rating: 2 Units

Carrasco faced the Astros twice this season, allowing eight earned runs in 13.1 innings of work. While he did win one of those starts, how much credit can we give for a win with five earned runs in 5.2 innings? Gerrit Cole pitched in that series, getting a no-decision with three earned runs in seven innings. Houston won Cole’s last three starts heading into the postseason with Cole allowing six total runs in 18 innings with an impressive 25 strikeouts

Rating: 2 Units

It’s tough to go against Clayton Kershaw, but the odds are steep on a pitcher who has allowed eight runs in his last 11 innings, as great as he is. Last night didn’t go well for the Braves, but they are still a quality road team and are better than they showed. Anibal Sanchez was huge for them this year and is a big reason why they are in this series to begin with. The Dodgers may be great against 4-seam fastballs, but Sanchez lives on his cutter so he has a good chance of frustrating them and giving his offense a chance.

Rating: 2 Units

The Yankees acquired JA Happ for games like this and he was so good in the regular season for the Yankees that we are going to trust him here. In his 11 starts for the Yankees, he pitched to a 2.69 ERA in 63.2 innings with 63 strikeouts. He also held the Red Sox to five earned runs in 22.2 innings this year. Chris Sale starts for the Sox and has been ramping up to build to this moment. He was outstanding at home this year with a 2.11 ERA and 1.00 WHIP and will be ready for this big moment.

Rating: 2 Units

Jhoulys Chacin got the job done a few days ago against the Cubs in their game 163. While he may not be asked to go deep today, the quality of his pitching will be good. Tyler Anderson had a nice season, but he had a 5.02 ERA on the road and has allowed 12 runs in his last 9.2 innings in this park against the Brewers, with one of those starts coming in August. The Rockies aren’t hitting much right now, with two runs scored in four of their last five games.

Rating: 2 Units

The Astros did lose a ton of money at home this year as befitting a team with ultra-high expectations, but their performance vs. righties was a big deal too and they finished 30 games over .500 in that situation. There is no doubt that Corey Kluber is as good as it gets, but this Cleveland team had a huge benefit of being in the worst division in baseball. They actually had a losing record in games against non-AL Central teams. Houston had the best run differential in baseball at +263, way better than even the Red Sox. Justin Verlander ended the season on a high note, allowing one earned run in his last 19 innings with 32 strikeouts and just two walks.

Rating: 2 Units

San Diego has been terrible at home and vs. lefties this year with records of 29-49 and 18-37, respectively, and they face a pitcher who has beaten them three times this year. Robbie Ray has held them to seven runs in 15 innings with 20 strikeouts and eight hits allowed. Ray has been at his best on the road with a 2.95 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 55 innings leading to a 7-4 team record. His opponent, Joey Lucchesi, hasn’t fared so well. The young lefty has lost all five of his starts against the Diamondbacks, giving up 18 runs in 23.2 innings on 38 base runners allowed. The D-Backs have won 12 of 18 contests against San Diego this year.

Rating: 2 Units

Wainwright will be making his second start since spending nearly four months on the DL with an elbow injury. The 37-year-old was not especially sharp in his five-inning stint against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday, giving up four runs and seven hits, including a pair of home runs. Wainwright is 5-5 with a 2.69 ERA versus Los Angeles but is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in three starts at home this year.

Rating: 2 Units

Rockies starter Senzatela is 4-6 with a 5.01 ERA. He’s been more “miss” than “hit” this year and note that he’s been pretty terrible on the road by going 1-4 with a 4.92 ERA to this point. While San Francisco starter, Rodriguez is 6-3 with a 2.35 ERA. He comes in off a strong start against the Braves and overall the rookie has been fantastic this year (especially at home where he’s 4-2 with a 2.12 ERA.)

Rating: 2 Units

Twins starter Kyle Gibson didn’t hit the plate much against the Yankees in his last start, but he can afford to be less nibbly against the Royals’ lineup. In 175 at-bats against Gibson, the Kansas City hitters have a woefully low .349 Slugging Percentage. Keep the ball down and have it pounded into the ground. It’s not 1973-1994, when Kaufman Stadium was AstroTurf and the ground outs would be singles. Meanwhile, no doubt Jake Junis has gradually improved from awful to serviceable as the season has progressed. His ERA has been lowered from 5.03 to 4.28 over the last four-and-a-half weeks and he has gone 9-7-8 innings in his last three starts, without walking a batter.

Rating: 2 Units

Roark has endured a miserable season, leading the NL in losses and hits allowed (176) two seasons after going 16-10 with a 2.83 ERA. The 31-year-old went 3-2 with a 2.78 ERA in six starts during August but has struggled in two September outings, giving up 11 runs on 20 hits in 9 2/3 innings. Roark is 1-2 in three appearances against the Braves this season, allowing 13 hits in 14 innings with six walks, and giving up a walkoff homer in a June 3 relief appearance.

Rating: 2 Units

This Marquez kid on Colorado keeps going out there and throwing low-hit, low-run games. He has nine consecutive quality starts, and some of them were a lot better than just 6 innings allowing 3 runs. He has only three wins in that span because the Rockies don’t score much for him. They got 0 for last night’s starter and now they have to face ace Madison Bumgarner, when Bumgarner is coming off two sub-par starts on the road. His home ERA, however, is 1.49. The Giants, offense depleted after losing Posey and McCutcheon, has scored only 28 runs in the last 12 games.

Rating: 2 Units

Each lineup has a high Batting Average Against today’s opposing starter. The Pirates have hit Zach Davies for a .341 average and .906 OPS. (The best team OPS in Major League Baseball this season is Boston’s .788.) The Brewers have a .312 Batting Average Against Ivan Nova, who has allowed 2 home runs to Jonathan Schoop and 3 home runs to Travis Shaw, who have only 13 and 16 at-bats against him.

Rating: 2 Units

Berrios' winless streak reached six starts as he lost his third straight outing Saturday despite allowing just one run and three hits in six innings against Kansas City. The setback dropped the 24-year-old Puerto Rican to 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA in three turns versus the Royals this season and 2-2 with a 4.53 mark in eight career starts. Berrios has not won since defeating Kansas City at home on Aug. 4, when he gave up two runs and five hits over seven frames.

Rating: 2 Units

Scherzer is a leading contender to win his third consecutive NL Cy Young Award and with good reason, leading the league in wins, strikeouts (271), WHIP (0.88) and hits per nine innings (5.9). The 34-year-old is 5-1 with a 2.12 ERA in 10 starts since the All-Star break, and while he has allowed three earned runs in each of his past three starts, he has struck out 11 hitters in each of his past two outings. Scherzer is 2-1 in four starts against the Braves this season, posting a 1.67 ERA with 30 strikeouts.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 12-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 16-5 in Diamondbacks last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 4-0 in Corbins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 7-1-1 in Corbins last 9 road starts, 4-1 in Corbins last 5 starts during game 3 of a series, and 3-1-1 in Corbins last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Rating: 2 Units

The Braves are 25-12 in their last 37 during game 3 of a series, 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record, and 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 road starts.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pirates are 11-5 in their last 16 Wednesday games,  5-1 in Taillons last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 8-2 in Taillons last 10 road starts, and 14-5 in Taillons last 19 starts during game 3 of a series.

Rating: 2 Units

The Dodgers are 23-7 in their last 30 during game 3 of a series, 21-8 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record, 5-2 in their last 7 road games, 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter, and 11-5 in their last 16 overall.

Rating: 2 Units

The Rockies are 14-5 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 21-8 in their last 29 vs. National League West, 18-7 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 23-9 in their last 32 home games, and 18-8 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Rating: 2 Units

Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 road games, 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter, 25-9 in their last 34 vs. American League Central, and 20-8 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Astros are 22-6 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 45-17 in their last 62 road games, 46-19 in their last 65 vs. a team with a losing record, 35-17 in their last 52 vs. American League Central, 37-18 in their last 55 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and  53-26 in their last 79 road games vs. a team with a losing record..

Rating: 2 Units

Since allowing 23 runs during a rocky five-start stretch, Keuchel is 8-2 with a 2.57 ERA over his last 15 outings dating to June 16. He posted his third consecutive quality start versus Minnesota last time out, limiting the Twins to one run (zero earned) and five hits over six innings. Ian Kinsler is 10-for-33 with a homer against Keuchel, who is 0-1 with a 9.88 ERA in three appearances (two starts) versus Boston.

Rating: 2 Units

The Mets have gone 12-16 in DeGrom's 28 starts w/ his own personal record being 8-8. But his ERA is 1.68 and his WHIP is 0.963. Those numbers rank 1st and 3rd in the NL respectively. DeGrom has allowed more than 3 ER in only 1 of those 28 starts. That was back in April. That means he enters Sunday on a 25-start streak of allowing 3 ER or less. He went at least six innings in all but two of those 25 starts.

Rating: 2 Units

Teheran is so far 9-7 with a 4.05 ERA. He comes in off a sub-par outing against the Rays on Wednesday, but overall the veteran has been solid this season. Note though that he does come in sporting a rather pedestrian 5-5, 4.56 ERA record on the road. Arizona starter, Buchholz is so far 7-2 with a 2.05 ERA. He most recently gave up one run off four hits while striking out four over five innings in a no-decision to the Dodgers on Sunday. That’s now four straight outings in which Buchholz has allowed one or fewer earned runs.  In addition, Buchholz has been awesome at home this season as well by posting the sparkling 3-0, 2.53 ERA record to this point.

Rating: 2 Units

Berrios remains three victories away from matching the career high of 14 he set last season as his winless streak reached five starts last Saturday, when he was tagged for five runs on three hits - all homers - and three walks in four innings at Texas. The last triumph by the 24-year-old, who also hails from Puerto Rico, came at home against Kansas City on Aug. 4 as he allowed just two runs and five hits over seven frames. That win was the second in as many turns versus the Royals this season and improved him to 2-1 with a 4.99 ERA in seven career starts against the club.

Rating: 2 Units

The two aces from last night gave up two runs each and then the bullpens put the game Over the total. Like we said, it’s two good-hitting teams. Somebody out there on the hill is going to struggle, maybe a couple or three of them. Charlie Morton returns from the DL for this. He allowed 9 runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. He’s probably not ticketed for 7 or 8 frames tonight. The Red Sox batters have combined for a .330 Batting Average Against Morton. Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez doesn’t go deep into his starts, and the Astros batters have combined for a .400 Batting Average Against him.

Rating: 2 Units

Scherzer is only 1-1 over his last six starts despite posting a 2.08 ERA and striking out 50 over 39 frames, including Monday's no-decision versus St. Louis in which he allowed three runs and fanned 11 across seven innings. The three-time Cy Young Award winner, who leads the majors in strikeouts (260) and innings pitched (193 2/3), paces the NL in wins and WHIP (0.88). Bryant is 1-for-10 with seven strikeouts against Scherzer, who fanned 11 in seven scoreless frames on Aug. 12 versus the Cubs.

Rating: 2 Units

Corbin is 0-1 over his last three starts despite allowing just four runs and 12 hits while recording 24 strikeouts in 18 innings during the stretch. The 29-year-old is 6-3 with a 3.25 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 14 home starts. Corbin is 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA in eight career appearances (six starts) against the Braves.

Rating: 2 Units

Nola suffered his first loss since July 14 on Sunday after allowing four runs for just the third time this season in an 8-1 setback versus the Chicago Cubs. The 25-year-old struck out 11 in that contest, the same number he fanned over seven innings in a 4-2 win on Aug. 17 as he improved to 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA in four starts against the Mets in 2018. Kapler shuffled the pitching rotation to move up Nola, who is in line to face the first-place Braves on two occasions later this month.  New York starter, Matz saw his winless stretch extend to five outings on Saturday despite striking out a career-high 11 batters against San Francisco. The 27-year-old, who yielded one run over seven innings for the second straight trip to the mound, has struggled in a pair of outings versus Philadelphia this season -- posting an 0-1 mark after surrendering seven runs on 10 hits in seven frames.

Rating: 2 Units

Cole stumbled out of the All-Star break by going 0-3 in his first four starts, but he has bounced back by permitting nine earned runs over his last four outings and posting a 3-0 mark in that span. He won his second straight start Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, striking out nine and giving up two runs over 5 2/3 innings. Cole beat Boston with seven innings of three-run ball on June 1.

Rating: 2 Units

The Dodgers are 77-29 in their last 106 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 63-27 in their last 90 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 60-28 in their last 88 vs. National League East, 66-31 in their last 97 games vs. a left-handed starter, and 85-40 in their last 125 vs. a team with a losing record.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against a team (SAN FRANCISCO) that is a poor NL hitting team (AVG =4.50), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games is 204-173 over the last 5 seasons. 54.1% (28.4 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Cubs are 21-6 in their last 27 during game 2 of a series, 19-8 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter, 4-0 in Montgomery's last 4 Tuesday starts, and 4-1 in Montgomery's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) who is an ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts is 75-27 since 1997. 73.5% (36.7 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Chicago White Sox are coming off an 8-0 win over the Boston Red Sox on Sunday. They have won seven of 10, 13 of 19 and 18 of 30 and I like the price on another White Sox win here Monday afternoon with Reynaldo Lopez (5-9, 4.51 ERA) on the mound. The 24 year old right-hander limited the Yankees to one run and five hits in seven innings his last time out and the White Sox have won each of his last three starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Michael Fulmer (3-10, 4.71 ERA) who is 0-5 with a 5.90 ERA in his past seven starts and 2-4 with a 6.06 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (ST LOUIS) with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games is 87-24 since 1997. 78.4% (42.9 units)

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against any team (LA ANGELS) with an average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA

Rating: 2 Units

Teheran has not lost in his past six starts, going 2-0 with a 3.47 ERA and a .179 opponents batting average while striking out 33 in 36 1/3 innings. The 27-year-old gave up four runs Tuesday against Tampa Bay, the most he’s allowed since surrendering seven on July 24, but for the second consecutive outing walked just one hitter. Teheran beat the Pirates on Aug. 22 in Pittsburgh, giving up one run on two hits with five strikeouts over seven innings.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) after a one run loss against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games is 121-52 over the last 5 seasons. 69.9% (48.5 units)

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PHILADELPHIA) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), playing on Sunday is 109-47 over the last 5 seasons. 69.9% (43.9 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 vs. National League West, 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter, 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record, and 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) who is an average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games is 154-99 since 1997. 60.9% (57.5 units)

Rating: 2 Units

Rodriguez returns after spending almost seven weeks on the DL with an ankle injury to make his 20th start of the season - the fourth straight season with at least that many. The 25-year-old Venezuelan did not give up a run in his previous three starts in July, allowing 10 hits and four walks combined over 17 innings. Nicky Delmonico is 1-for-3 with two RBIs versus Rodriguez, who is 0-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, 6-2-2 in Indians last 10 vs. American League East, 5-2-2 in Indians last 9 games following a win, and 40-18-5 in Indians last 63 Saturday games.

Rating: 3 Units

Playing against any team (OAKLAND) who is an average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA

Rating: 3 Units

The Yankees are 64-23 in their last 87 home games, 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter, 24-11 in their last 35 Monday games, and 68-32 in their last 100 games on grass.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) that is a below average hitting team (AVG

Rating: 2 Units

Greinke has allowed more than three earned runs in just one of his last 12 starts. That one time came in an American League ballpark. For the record, the Diamonbacks did win the last time Grienke took the hill, beating San Diego by a score of 4-3. Greinke gave up just five hits in six innings in that one. Greinke has a 0.979 WHIP here at home. He's seventh in the NL in ERA (3.06) and fifth in strikeouts with 165.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter, and 10-3-2 in Astros last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter. While the Under is 6-2 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter, and 7-2 in Penas last 9 starts on grass.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against road teams (TEXAS) what is an ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games is 45-20 over the last 5 seasons. 69.2% (24.4 units)

Rating: 2 Units

Velasquez should be well-rested -- he's failed to pitch beyond four innings in each of his last three starts, although a lengthy rain delay limited him to four innings of one-run ball at Washington on Tuesday. The current three-start drought preceded a superb stretch in which he was 3-0 with two runs and 12 hits permitted in his previous four starts. Morales is 2-for-6 with a home run against Velasquez.  Estrada hasn't been especially sharp but he won his last two starts against Baltimore and Kansas City -- the two worst teams in the majors -- despite giving up seven runs and 13 hits in 12 innings. He has struggled with the long ball over his last three outings, surrendering five homers. Carlos Santana is 4-for-7 with a home run off Estrada, who is 3-5 with a 4.91 ERA in 11 starts at home.

Rating: 2 Units

LeBlanc is so far 7-3 with a 4.04 ERA. He’s been scuffling over the last two weeks though and while he’s a very respectable 6-2 with a 3.55 ERA at home, note that LeBlanc is a very pedestrian 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA on the road. Ray is so far 3-2 with a 4.91 ERA. He comes in off back-to-back decent outings and while he’s been better on the road that at home this season, I think the veteran will step up here in this favorable match-up and continue to build upon his recent form. Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight night home games in which its a favorite in the -125 to -160 range.

Rating: 2 Units

The A's continue to march to a probable playoff berth in the American League. After dropping the series opener here in Minnesota on Thursday, they beat the Twins rather easily last night, winning by a score of 7-1. It should be even easier tonight going up against a beleaguered starter like Stephen Gonsalves, who in his big league debut last week gave up four runs in just an inning and a third (threw 55 pitches). The A's counter with Michael Fiers, who has been perfect since coming over from Detroit. He's 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his three starts (0.655 WHIP) and should easily mow down this Twins lineup.

Rating: 2 Units

The White Sox have won three of the last four meetings between these Central division rivals but the Tigers were able to win nine of 10 contests to begin the season series. Giolito has a 6.88 ERA in three starts against Detroit this season

Rating: 2 Units

Nick Pivetta (7-10, 4.66 ERA) will take the ball for Philly. The right-hander held the Blue Jays to two runs, four hits and two walks while striking out seven in five innings back in May, and he owns a solid 3.31 ERA in day games on the season. Toronto turns to right-hander Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.52 ERA) who has missed more than two months due a finger injury. Sanchez has really struggled in his three rehab starts, posting a 6.55 ERA and 11/10 K/BB ratio over 11 innings of work.  Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Rating: 3 Units

Playing on home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games is 122-77 over the last 5 seasons. 61.3% (46.7 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 38-18-2 in Astros last 58 during game 1 of a series, 3-0-1 in Keuchels last 4 starts with 5 days of rest, 4-1 in Keuchels last 5 starts during game 1 of a series, and 4-1-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Rating: 4 Units

Foltynewicz has flourished this month, going 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA, only six walks and 28 strikeouts in 26 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old, who has matched the career high in victories he set last season, scattered four hits and struck out nine over seven scoreless frames against Colorado on Saturday, but Atlanta's bullpen was unable to hold the lead. Foltynewicz won both of his previous starts against Miami this season, posting a 0.69 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 13 innings.

Rating: 2 Units

Fulmer is making his first start in over a month. He'd been on the DL with an oblique strain. Fulmer's only start against the White Sox this year saw him throw 5 1/3 scoreless innings. Though he'll be limited to somewhere around 70 pitches tonight, I expect Fulmer to come out motivated in his return to the mound. On the other hand, I really can't make a case for White Sox starter Lopez to pitch well in this spot. He's given up 10 runs in his last two starts, which have spanned just seven innings (total). Lopez has started against the Tigers four times this year and has yet to win. Detroit is actually a winning team at home this season with a 34-31 record that has netted them a solid +11.7 units

Rating: 2 Units

The Over is 7-2 in Royals last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 10-4 in Royals last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter, and 7-3 in Royals last 10 road games.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) that is a poor AL offensive team (=4.50), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season is 59-31 over the last 5 seasons. 65.6% (29.2 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Over is 20-7 in Tigers last 27 vs. National League Central, 8-3 in Tigers last 11 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter, and  30-13 in Tigers last 43 inter-league home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 11-4-2 in Astros last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts on grass, 5-0 in Morton's last 5 road starts, 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts overall, and 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall, 4-1 in Reds last 5 on grass, and  5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

Rating: 2 Units

The Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 20-7 in their last 27 Tuesday games, 11-4 in their last 15 interleague home games, and 10-4 in their last 14 games following an off day.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against any team (ST LOUIS) having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record is 89-53 over the last 5 seasons. 62.7% (38.9 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series, 21-8 in their last 29 home games, 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) that is an ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts is 64-36 over the last 5 seasons. 64.0% (31.3 units)

Rating: 2 Units

The Astros are 13-3 in Verlanders last 16 road starts, 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 12-4 in Verlanders last 16 starts vs. American League West, and 37-16 in their last 53 road games.

Rating: 2 Units

Playing on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) that is a terrible offensive team - scoring

Rating: 2 Units

The Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 75-1 in Taillons last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-1 in Taillons last 6 Sunday starts,4-1 in Taillons last 5 starts vs. National League Central, and 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Under is 16-5 in Braves last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning record,  6-2-1 in Braves last 9 during game 4 of a series, and 14-5 in Braves last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Reds are 2-6 in Castillos last 8 starts during game 3 of a series, 1-4 in Castillos last 5 Sunday starts, 1-6 in Castillos last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game, and 0-4 in Castillos last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.