I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pelicans are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 20-point loss, at Indiana, on Thursday, the champs are going to be in an angry mood. This is their regular season home finale, so they'll have some added motivation to close things out with a big win. While the Warriors had yesterday off, the Pelicans are off a game at Phoenix and playing their third game in the past four days. The Warriors have absolutely dominated New Orleans over the past five years. Expect that to continue here. 

I'm playing on TORONTO (10* PERS FAV). The Raptors got back on track with a big win against Boston on Wednesday. That victory snapped an extended ATS skid and I expect them to build off it here. While the Raptors had last night off, the Pacers are off a victory over the defending champs. That game had been preceded by a 4-game trip out West for the Pacers, three games in California and the final game in the high altitude of Denver. This will mark the Pacers' seventh straight game in a different arena than the one in which they played their previous game. Playing their third in four nights, against a Raptor team which is a dominant 32-7 here at Toronto, expect it to catch up to them. Raptors roll. 

I’m playing on TORONTO (10* MAIN EVENT). Both teams played and lost yesterday. Today, I expect the Raptors to be the team which bounces back with a big win and cover. The home team has won all three meetings in the season series. The Raptors took the game here at Toronto by a dominating 111-91 score. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS the past five times that they hosted the Celtics. Expect them to continue that dominance, improving to 33-15 ATS their last 48 divisional games along the way. 

I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). Its true that the champs have struggled of late. Its true that Curry remains out. Iguodala, too. Don't expect that to slow them down Saturday night though. Off three straight losses and having dropped two of this season's three meetings against Sacramento, Durant and co. are going to be all business here. The Warriors have won 15 of their last 16, when off an 'upset' loss. They're also 29-20-1 ATS (39-11 SU) the past 50 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Dating back to 3/8 win over the Spurs, the Warriors have only won three games. All three of those victories came by double-digits. Expect another big win here. 

I'm playing on DALLAS (10* BEST BET). Off Wednesday's 10-point loss to the Lakers, I expect the Mavs to bounce back with their best effort on Friday. The Mavs are 12-4 ATS their last 16, off a double-digit loss. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 41-20-2 ATS their last 63 in that situaion. Having lost all three of this season's meetings with Minnesota, the Mavs are going to be hungry. A look at the Twolves last six road games reveals that NONE of them resulted in a victory of more than five points. In fact, they were just 2-4 SU in those six road games. With the T-Wolves just 6-14 ATS their last 20 overall and potentially looking ahead to their next game (Utah) I'm grabbing the points with the revenge-minded home team. 

I'm playing on ORLANDO (10* BEST BET). These teams have been involved in three close games this season. All three were decided by five points or less. In each case, the home team finished on top. Playing at home, where they've dominated the Nets in recent seasons, I expect the Magic to have the advantage this evening. While Orlando's 15-21 home record is certainly nothing to get excited about, its considerably better than the Nets 10-27 mark on the road. Expect the well-rested Magic to improve to 10-4 ATS their last 14, when facing a team which allows 106 or more points per game. 

I'm playing on MIAMI (10* BEST BET). While the Cavs have won their past four, they've been terrible (15-40-1 ATS!) as favorites this season. The Heat, on the other hand, are a solid 22-15 ATS when listed in the underdog role. The Heat are also 41-22 ATS the past few seasons, when facing a team with a winning record, during the second half of the season. During that same stretch, Miami is also a healthy 70-48-2 ATS when playing in the revenge role. The Heat lost by two the last time these teams met. Expect them to give the Cavs all they can handle once again, with a great shot at the outright upset. 

I'm playing on UTAH (10* BEST BET). After failing to qualify for the 'Big Dance,' t would have been easy for either of these teams to pack it in. Neither have done so. Each has put together an impressive run to get here. I believe that that the Utes bring a little more to the table though. Off a victory over St. Mary's last game, note that Utah was only the second team (Gonzaga also did so) to defeat the Gaels on their home floor this season. The Hilltoppers have been all over the place this season. Costa Rica, Bahamas and last week in LA, prior to their visit to Stillwater. While they've had plenty of time off, I believe that all the travel will finally take a toll. Expect the Utes, last team left standing from the Pac-12, to finish on top.

I'm playing on DENVER (10* MAIN EVENT). Back in late December, the 76ers upset the Nuggets, at Denver. I expect the revenge-minded Nuggets to bring their 'A game' for Monday's rematch. Note that Denver is an outstanding 7-3 ATS the past 10 times that it attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. Its true that the Nuggets are playing Game 5 of a 7-game road trip. However, they've had the past two days off, after winning at both Chicago and Washington. Note that the Nuggets are 8-3 SU the last 11 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. Knowing the final two games of the trip (at Toronto and at OKC) are going to be difficult, I expect the Nuggets to go all out here. Expect AT LEAST a cover, the Nuggets improving to 6-3-1 ATS the past 10 times that they were off three or more consecutive road games. 

I'm playing on OKC (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Needless to say, this is a huge game in the Northwest Division. After a lengthy winning streak, the Blazers have dropped their last two. Facing a revenge-minded OKC team which is quietly playing some of its best basketball, I expect Portland's losing streak to reach three games. Off a win over Miami last time out, the Thunder have quietly won seven of their past eight. They were 5-2-1 ATS in those games. Having dropped all three games in the season series and sitting one game behind the Blazers in the standings, the Thunder are going to be extremely hungry. Their 26-11 home record is considerably better than Portland's 19-15 mark on the road. OKC finishes on top.

I'm playing on TEXAS TECH (10* MAIN EVENT). Admittedly, the Wildcats are a very strong team. However,  I believe the same can be said of the Red Raiders. Nova did pull away late for a double-digit win against WVU. However, the Mountaineers gave them all they could handle almost the entire way. Keep in mind that this may be the Raiders' best team. They've beaten Kansas this season and they're going to come in confident that they can win this game. Expect the Raiders to improve to 8-4 ATS the last dozen times that they played with one day's rest, or less, in between games. 

I'm playing on DUKE (10* SWEET 16 GOY) The Orange deserve a lot of credit for beating a good Michigan State team. Upsetting TCU was also impressive. In both cases, they were able to slow down the tempo and play excellent defense against an opponent which was unfamiliar with their style. This time, however, they face a team which knows how to beat them. The Blue Devils already hammered the Orange by 16 points a month ago. Including that loss, each of Syracuse's last three losses all came by 'double-digits,' each by a minimum of 15. While the Orange are obviously an extremely stingy team, the Blue Devils' advantage on the offensive side of the ball is much bigger. The Blue Devils are playing at a very high level right now; their last six victories have all been by double-digits. They've come by an average of 19.5 points

I'm playing on INDIANA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Pacers were 2-0 against the Clippers last season, winning by an average of 15 points per game. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to finish on top again this evening. The Pacers had yesterday off. They also have tomorrow off. Additionally, they haven't played back-to-back games (two games in two days) for more than two weeks. Off a loss last time out and knowing they'll face these same Clippers in less than a week, at LA, I expect a highly motivated effort from the Pacers.  The Clippers also had yesterday off. However, unlike their hosts, they've had to play b2b games a couple of times recently. That means that this will mark their sixth game in the past nine days. The Pacers are 21-11 ATS (25-7 SU) when listed as favorites. Expect a win and cover for the home team. 

I'm playing on K-STATE (10* MAIN EVENT). Kentucky comes in on a roll. Always well coached and with always loaded with excellent athletes, Kentucky has to feel fortunate with the way things are working out. I fully expect them to receive a very tough test here though. Note that prior to blowing out Buffalo, which had been "trash-talking," Kentucky's previous three victories had all come by five or fewer points. I've stated several times that I felt the Big 12 was the strongest conference, "from top to bottom," this season. While they may have gotten a fortunate matchup with UMBC, with four teams from the Big 12 in the Sweet 16, its clear that the (K-State) Wildcats are "battle-tested" from conference play. KSU has been playing without its top player, Dean Wade. However, as of Monday morning, Wade stated the following: "I am like 98 percent sure I will play. I don't know if they can keep me out of this one. This is big time. I'm excited. It gives me another couple of days to heal. I am starting to feel a lot better. My day-by-day gets a lot better. This gives me a few more days to heal and recover." Its true that Kentucky has historically dominated K-State. However, Weber has been here before. His team has a score to settle and he's looking to prove his critics wrong. I expect Weber to have his team ready and I expect them to take this game down to the wire with a great shot at the outright upset. 

I'm playing on ORLANDO. I won with the Magic when they hosted the Raptors on Tuesday. At the time, I mentioned that they'd been quietlly competitive here at Orlando. Once again, they've got a favorable schedule. While they had yesterday off, the 76ers are off a Wednesday game vs. Memphis. Playing their third game in the past four days, it should be easy for the 76ers to take their hosts lightly. The Magic are going to be hungry though; the 76ers beat them by double-digits in each of this season's meetings and the Magic are going to be looking to show they can play with them. I'm grabbing the points. 

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. The Bucks are considerably better at home than they are on the road. Monday's loss at Cleveland, which will have them in an 'angry' mood, dropped the Bucks to 15-19 on the road. However, they've won back-to-back games here at home, where they're a healthy 22-14. While the Bucks had yesterday off, the Clippers are off a big 'TV' game at Minnesota. This will be their sixth straight road game. They'll be playing their third game in four days and their fifth game in the past seven. With the schedule in their favor, expect the Bucks, who know they'll face these same Clippers at LA in less than a week, to bounce back with a big win and cover. 

I'm playing on ORLANDO (10* BEST BET). With a game against the Cavs on deck tomorrow, it should be easy for the Raptors to look past the lowly Magic tonight. The Magic come in well-rested. Unlike their guests, they don't have to play tomorrow. Yes, the Raptors did beat them by 13 here a couple of weeks ago. However, that was the ONLY one of the the Magic's last 10 games, here at Orlando, which resulted in a double-digit loss. (Orlando was 5-5 in those games, the other four losses all came by nine or less.) Even with that result, the Magid are still a healthy 10-3 ATS their last 13 against teams which score 106 or more ppg. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. 

I'm playing on WVU (10* 2ND RND GAME OF YEAR). The Mountaineers get a very favorable matchup here. I expect this well-coached team to take full advantage. The Herd come in hot and they're victory over Wichita State shows that they're worthy of respect. Still, the battle-tested Mountaineers, now 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 NCAA tournament games, 9-3 ATS when favored in the -9.5 to -12 range, are going to simply be too much for them. The Herd allowed an average of 79 ppg. Playing against much tougher opposition, the Mountaineers allowed 69 ppg. 

You may recall that these two schools, which are less than 200 miles apart, used to play each other twice annually. The series stopped a few years back (2014) and there was some bad blood in the process. After the Marshall coach said "we're back" and called him "afraid,"  WVU coach Huggins responded with: "He can say I'm afraid all he wants. I've probably coached 1,116 more games than he has. It's ridiculous to say something like that. We're afraid. Yeah, we're really afraid. It's crazy, you know? We’ve beaten Duke. Mike is a pretty good coach. Was I afraid? I wasn't afraid playing Duke. Played Boeheim. We used to play him every year. Great coach. I wasn't afraid. Why would I be afraid? The thing that’s most laughable, and I'll get in trouble for saying it I know, but I'm to the point in my life where I really don't care. How about this? ‘We're back.’ That was their sixth loss in a row. ‘We’re back.’ ‘We're back’ all right. Honestly it's laughable ..... "

Huggins and the Mountaineers did get to face Marshall in 2015, after that exchange. WVU won by 18. Expect the Mountaineers, 14-7 ATS their last 21 (excluding pushes) lined games against teams which allow 77 or more points per game, to keep the pedal to the medal the entire way, en route to another convincing victory.

I'm playing on TEXAS TECH (10* PERS FAV). The Red Raiders received a tougher test in the first round than the Gators. Those results have helped in keeping this line very low. I feel that low number is providing us with excellent value with a very strong Texas Tech team. Sure, the Raiders were tested. That can be a good thing. They responded to that test by pulling away for a 10-point win, narrowly missing the cover. Note that they're 11-2 the past 13 times that they were off a game in which they allowed 60 or fewer points, 21-4 their past 25 in that situation. The Big 12 was tough this season. Yet, the Raiders thrived. They hit 46.4% of their field goals on offense. Florida, by comparison, hits 43.4%. On the other side, the Gators allow opposing teams to hit 42.7% of their field goals, while allowing 69.2 ppg. Texas Tech, on the other hand, allows 64.6 ppg, opposing teams hitting a mere 40.6% of their field goals. Arguably stronger on both sides of the ball, expect the Red Raiders to punch their ticket for the next round, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on NEW YORK (10* BEST BET). As bad as the Knicks have been, I believe that they're providing us with plenty of value today. Even with a win last time out, the Hornets are still only 11-22 on the road. I don't believe that they should currently be "laying a touchdown" away from home, regardless of the venue. Note that the Knicks' 16-17 home record is considerably better than Charlotte's road record. Not surprisingly, the home team is already 2-0 in the season series. The Knicks won by five, as 2-point underdogs, in the earlier game here. They're 4-1 SU/ATS their last five as a host in the series. With the Knicks at 3-1 ATS in home games when the O/U line was set at 220 or higher, I'm grabbing all those generous points. 

I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* BEST BET). I won with the Hornets in their last game. However, tonight they're laying points, not getting them. That said, I now feel that the value has shifted to their opponent. While neither team will be going to the playoffs, the Hawks come in playing with 'triple revenge,' having lost all three of this season's earlier meetings. The Hornets have won just one of their past seven games and that lone SU victory was a non-cover at Phoenix. Off four straight losses and with their next six games on the road, the Hawks know that they need to take advantage of a struggling guest, now playing out the string. If not, it could be a long time before they win again. Expect the Hawks the hungrier team, as they earn AT LEAST a cover and improve to 12-6 ATS the past 18 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. 

I'm playing on TEXAS TECH (10* GAME OF YEAR). From top-to-bottom, the Big 12 was arguably the best conference in the country this year. Despite playing in that highly competitive conference, Texas Tech still managed to earn 24 victories. Having been here four of the past five years and with Texas Tech slumping down the stretch, the Lumberjacks will be a popular upset pick. Don't buy into that. Expect the Red Raiders' much tougher schedule to pay dividends on Thursday evening, along with the fact that the game is being played in Dallas, the superior team pulling away for a convincing victory. 

I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* GAME OF MONTH). Sure, the Lakers are playing well of late. However, getting the champs at this low a line, with the schedule in their favor, is a steal. Of course, the low line is a result of the injuries to Curry and Green. Obviously, those are two significant losses. However, Durant is still going to be the best player on the floor and he's still got enough of a supporting cast to take care of business here. Note that Kuzma hurt his ankle for LA in the third quarter of last night's game. He did return to play in the fourth but it was "clearly bothering him." (according to Lakers reporter Mike Trudel) Even if he goes, its going to be tough to be 100% effective, when playing the second game of a b2b situation, on an ankle thats anything less than 100%. Render him less effective than normal and the Lakers are in trouble; with Ingram out, Kuzma has been doing a lot for them. Either way, note that the Lakers are just 4-6 ATS (3-7 SU) when playing the second of b2b games. Off b2b losses, the champs are going to be in an angry mood. They've only lost two in a row one other time this season and they responded with an 18-point win. The Warriors, whp are well-rested here, are 13-1 SU their last 14, off a loss when favored. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on HARVARD (10* BEST BET). Both teams are disappointed to be here. However, while Harvard has itself - and perhaps fate (Seth Jones injury) the Golden Eagles are feeling 'snubbed.' As of this writing, the status of Harvard's Seth Jones remains up in the air. He's a great player and the Crimson could certainly use him tonight. While he was in pain when he left the game against Penn, the knee injury didn't appear that bad - he was also seen shooting on the sidelines of yesterday's practice. So, its definiitely possible that he goes. Either way, the Crimson are an extrenely stingy team. They allow 66.5 ppg. By comparison, Marquette allows 78.5 ppg. Harvard limits opposing teams to a 42.2% fg shooting percentage. Marquette, on the other hand, allows teams to connect on 47.6% of their field goals. With Harvard its last 7-2-1 ATS as an underdog and Marquette feeling disappointed/snubbed at not making the NCAA Tournament, I'm grabbing all those generous points with the superior defensive team. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA GULF COAST (10* MISMATCH). Do the Cowboys deserve to be in the NCAA Tournament? Probably, in my opinion. Regardless of what side of that debate you might be on, they absolutely feel snubbed. Of course, they'll say all the right things about still wanting to come and show everybody how good they are tonight. They surely want to do exactly that. After suffering that type of disappointment and dealing with all the emotion, thats a lot easier said than done though. Regardless of what they say, its likely going to be hard for them to get up for this game. The Eagles have absolutely thrived (20-5 ATS L25!) as underdogs over the years and they've also had plenty of succes in March. Having score more than 90 points nine different times this season, this is a team which can score points with the best of them. While they'd also like to be in the NCAA Tournament, at least they know its their fault they're not there. I expect them to be the hungrier team tonight and am grabbing all the points I can get. 

I'm playing on RHODE ISLAND (10* MAIN EVENT). These teams split a pair of regular season meetings, each winning on its home floor. I expect the Rams to have the advantage in this afternoon's rubber game. While Davidson is playing well, I don't think the Rams are getting enough respect. Not only are they the #1 seed but they're also the defending champs. The Wildcats, on the other hand, are in their first finals since coming over to the A-10. Look for the Rams' big game experience and championship pedigree to show through, as they become the first repeat A-10 champs since Temple did so from 2008-2010, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on VIRGINIA. The Cavs already dominated the Tar Heels in the regular season meeting. I expect them to finish on top once again this evening. UNC is just 5-9-1 ATS its last 15 tournament championship games. The Tar Heels are also just 4-6-2 ATS the last dozen times that they faced a team which allows 64 or fewer points per game. Of course, at just 53.1 ppg allowed, Virginia falls into that category. Defense wins champiionships. At least, today in the ACC. Expect the #1 seed to make a statement. 

I'm playing on DENVER (10* GAME OF WEEK). The home team has easily won both meetings so far this season. The Lakers won by 18, at LA. The Nuggets won by 15, here at Denver. Not surprising, given that the Nuggets have a 24-10 record here, as compared to an 11-20 mark on the road.The teams will face each other again, at LA, on Tuesday. Knowing that to be the case, I expect the Nuggets to go all out to again "hold serve" at home. Not only do the Nuggets score more than 111 ppg here, they also allow just 105.6 ppg. By comparison, the Lakers allow a whopping 113.4 ppg on the road. Off b2b losses and with four losses in their past six games, the Nuggets are going to be hungry. Expect them to bounce back, improving to 9-4 the last 13 times that they were off an "upset" loss, while covering the reasonable number along the way. 

I'm playing on TOLEDO (10* PERS FAV). The Eagles may have had the edge in the regular season. However, I expect the Rockets to emerge victorious, when it really matters. Both teams won yesterday. Eastern Michigan beat Akron by nine points. Toledo won by only two, against Miami Ohio. While the Eagles' win was arguably more impressive, I expect Toledo's very close margin of victory to work in its favor here. Its also worth pointing out that the Rockets are an outstanding 46-24 ATS their last 70 lined games, when playing with one day or less of rest in between games. (During the same stretch, Eastern Michigan is just 31-44 ATS when doing so.) Thats ancient history though. Right now, this year's Toledo team scores 80.1 ppg on the road while Eastern Michigan score just 68.7 ppg on the road. Expect the Rockets to dictate tempo and for them to finish on top. 

I'm playing on WKU (10* VIOLATOR). The Blazers managed to eke out a cover yesterday. However, they're stepping up significantly in class here and I expect them to stumble. WKU is 3-0 ATS its last three on a neutral court and 5-1-1 ATS its last seven, after allowing 80 or more points in its previous game. Even with yesterday's victory, the Blazers are just 2-10 ATS their last 12 neutral site games. I'm laying the small number with what I consider to be the superior team. 

I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* VIOLATOR). The Nets are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. At the end of a road trip, the Nets figure to be already looking forward to getting home. Off four straight losses, the Hornets can't afford to look ahead to anything. They know that they absolutely need to take care of business here. The Hornets hosted the Nets a couple of weeks ago. Laying -8.5, they won by 15. Expect another double-digit victory here.  

I'm playing on OKLAHOMA (10* PERS FAV). Its true that the Sooners had some trouble at the betting window, during the regular season. However, I believe that they'll prove to be a superior team than their instate rivals this evening. The Cowboys closed out the season off b2b wins. However, they haven't won three straight Big 12 games all season. While the Cowboys are 1-5 SU their past six March games, the Sooners are 9-2 SU their last 11 in March. They've got the much stronger offense (86 ppg vs. 76.9 ppg) and I expect that to ultimately prove the difference here.

I'm playing on PORTLAND STATE (10* BIG SKY CONF TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR). The Hornets somehow managed to win both regular season meetings. However, when it really counts, I expect the Vikings to win big. Portland State had a good season, finishing with 19 wins. With four wins in their final five games, the Vikings come in with some positive momentum. With this game being played at Reno, a neutral site, its worth noting that this is a team which is comfortable playing away from home. In fact, they had a better record on the road than at home this season, the only team in the Big Sky which can make that claim. At the PK80 Invitational, a neutral site, the Vikings went toe-to-toe with the likes of Duke, Butler and Stanford. They were 3-0 ATS in those games, covering vs. Duke, very nearly upsetting Butler and beating Stanford outright. The Hornets, on the other hand, were a dismal 1-17 away from home, that lone win coming at Portland State. An experienced team, hungry to take the next step, expect the Vikings to avenge those regular season losses in convincing fashion. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* VIOLATOR). I liked what I saw from the Bulls in their last game, a 108-100 win over Dallas. While Boston obviously represents a step up in class from the Mavs, I stil expect the Bulls to carry their positive momentum into this evening's game. Off a loss last time out, the Celtics are just 5-5 their past 10 games. The Bulls, who have had a couple days off since the Dallas win, are 7-4 ATS when playing with exactly two day's rest in between games. Going back further finds them at 22-14 ATS in that situation the past couple of seasons. While they lost at Boston, the Bulls already beat the Celtics here. They were listed as 5.5 point underdogs yet won outright by 23. We're getting considerably more points to work with here and I expect AT LEAST another cover. 

I'm playing on MIAMI OHIO (10* MAIN EVENT). These teams just faced each other here on Friday. Down at halftime, the Bobcats rallied for a 75-66 victory. They also won (92-87) when they hosted the RedHawks a few weeks ago. However, I expect the RedHawks to have the advantage this evening and feel that they're favored for good reason. Even factoring in Friday's result, the Bobcats are still just 3-11 on the road. They get outscored by an average of 79.5 to 71.1 on the road. On the other hand, the RedHawks are still 8-5 here at home, outscoring teams by average of more than 10 points (77.9 to 67) per game. The RedHawks are 11-7 ATS the past 18 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. Expect them to punch their ticket for the next round, at Cleveland, improving on those 'revenge' stats along the way.

I'm playing on FLORIDA STATE (10* GAME OF YEAR). This is a huge game for the Seminoles and I expect them to respond with their very best effort. Senior guard Braian Angola had this to say: "It's one of the most important games of the season. We definitely need to win." Not only will the Noles be honoring their seniors but they'll also be looking to bolster their NCAA Tournament resume. They could certainly use the extra win here. Also, any chance of avoiding playing in the opening round of the ACC Tournament relies on a victory here. Senior Phil Cofer noted: "I think myself and everyone else is definitely locked in. They know that we need this win to move on to the next thing." Look for the Noles, who were upset at BC in January, to send out their seniors in style, improving to 5-1-1 ATS (6-1 SU) the past seven times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. 

I'm playing on OKLAHOMA. The Cyclones upset the Sooners when these teams met at Iowa State. With this evening's rematch being played at Oklahoma, I expect the revenge-minded Sooners to return the favor. Throw in the fact that the Sooners are playing their final regular season home game AND that the Cyclones swept them last season and we should have an extremely motivated OU team. Note that the Sooners are 14-9 ATS (17-6 SU) the past 23 times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. The Cyclones average 73 ppg on the road, while allowing more than 80. Expect them to be unable to keep up with a motivated Sooner team which averages 92.7 ppg here at home. Revenge-minded Sooners pull away for a double-digit win. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* BEST BET). Talk about insulting. The Mavs are 7-20 on the road. Yet, they're favored (slightly) at Chicago. I expect the Bulls, 13-17 at home, to take that slight personally. With a 3-0 ATS mark their past three games, admittedly, the Mavs have played fairly well recently. However, playing hard against OKC, only to come up a point short in a 111-110 loss on Wednesday, figures to take a toll on them here. Plus, when you're playing out the string, its easier to get up for a home game against a conference opponent which is going to the playoffs, then for a road game against a non-conf, non-playoff opponent. The Bulls are 6-4 ATS when playing with two day's rest. Going back further finds them at 22-16 ATS, when off three or more consecutive losses. Expect them to take advantage of this favorable matchup. 

I'm playing on MISSOURI STATE (10* MVC GAME OF YEAR). Teams from this "play in game" typically don't advance too far. However, the Bears aren't the typical "play in" team. Led by Alize Johnson (#1 in rebounding in the MVC, #5 in scoring) this team was, in fact, the preseason favorite in this conference. This is a team which defeated (25-5) Loyola, which ran away with the conference regular season title. The Bears beat the Crusaders by seven points, as an 8-point favorite, when the teams met in the regular season. While I still feel that they're the superior team, due to their poor finish, we're getting much better line value this time. With a chance at a "fresh start," expect the cream to rise to the top, Johnson and co. elevating their game and advancing to the next round.

I'm playing on SAN ANTONIO (10* GAME OF MONTH). I really like how this one sets up for the home team. One of the potential problems with betting on the Spurs, when they are playing either the front-end or the back-end, of a back-to-back situation, is that healthy starters often get rested. However, with this being an "isolated" game, thats unlikely to be the case here. Not only did the Spurs have the past couple of days off but they also get the next couple of nights off. In other words, while Leonard remains out indefinitely and Gasol may miss with injury, all "healthy" players should be good to go. With a 22-6 home record, they're still playing excellent basketball here. To their credit, the Pelicans have continued to play very well since Cousins went down. I expect a number of recent hard-fought OT games to catch up with them here though. After playing an OT game against Miami on the 23rd, the Pelicans played another OT game at Milwaukee two days later. Even with a day off Tuesday, this will still be their fourth game in the past six days. The Pelicans  have actually beaten the Spurs in two of the past three meetings. However, all three of those games were at New Orleans. The Spurs have beaten the Pelicans each of the past five meetings here at San Antonio, taking each of last season's games here by double-digits. The Spurs have been "laying double-digits" in all four of the last four meetings here. We're getting a much lower line to work with here and I feel thats providing us with excellent value. 

I'm playing on GEORGE WASHINGTON (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). The Colonials lost their last road game, a 62-53 setback at St. Louis. However, since an ugly loss to Davidson to begin the month, they've turned the corner here at home. Last game here, they beat Richmond by 26 points. Their previous game here saw them beat VCU by 24. Before that? An 11-point win over La Salle. Stepping down in class to face a Fordham team which has struggled all season, the Colonials have an opportunity to post another big win in their regular season home finale. I expect them to make the most of that opportunity. While the Rams may go all out to try and win Saturday's home finale, its been tough sledding on the road. Fordham averages less than 60 points per game away from home and its last four road losses have all come by double-digits. More of the same here. 

I'm playing on DENVER (10* MAIN EVENT). Given their outstanding home record, the Nuggets aren't getting much respect here. Even with a close loss 119-114 against Houston last time out, the Nuggets are still 24-8 here. Speaking of Houston. While the Nuggets have tomorrow off, the Clippers have a big showdown vs. the Rockets on deck tomorrow. The Nuggets, who beat the Clippers by double-digits each of the last two meetings (40 combined points) here, are 11-4 SU the past 15 times that they allowed 115 or more points in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on KENT STATE (10* MISMATCH). I believe that the Golden Flashes, who have dominated the RedHawks here over recent years, are going to want this one a little more than their guests. While Kent State will be playing its regular season home finale, Miami Ohio plays its home finale in its next game. The RedHawks' home finale will come against instate rival Ohio, which recently upset Miami Ohio. Speaking of "revenge games," the Golden Flashes will be looking to avenge an earlier loss at Miami. The RedHawks are 1-3 SU/ATS the past four times that they were listed as road underdogs of three or fewer points. The Golden Flashes are 2-0-1 ATS (3-0 SU) the past three times that they were listed as home favorites of three or fewer points. Expect them to improve on those stats here.

I'm playing on WEST VIRGINIA (10* MAIN EVENT). The Red Raiders have the higher ranking but I believe that the Mountaineers are favored for good reason. You may recall that WVU was ranked as high as #2 in the country this season. The Mountaineers achieved that ranking by winning 15 straight. The team that beat them? These same Red Raiders. Needless to say, WVU hasn't forgotten that 1-point loss. That led to a stretch where they lost five of six. The team is playing better now though, having won two in a row and five or seven. In addition to wanting to avenge the earlier loss and continue their current winning streak, the Mountaineers are playing their final home game of the regular season. The Mountaineers are going to want to close out their home season in style. Catching the Raiders off three straight losses, I expect them to do exactly that. 

I'm playing on BROOKLYN (10* PERS FAV). The home team won and covered both meetings in this series last season. In a battle of struggling teams, I expect homecourt to again prove significant. While the Nets "only" get outscored by 3.2 ppg at home, the Bulls get outscored by 8.9 ppg when playing on the road. The Nets come in well-rested. They're 4-2 SU/ATS the past six times that they played with three or more day's worth of rest in between games. Going back further finds them at 14-9 ATS their past 23 in that situation. Expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* MAIN EVENT). While they came up short vs. Charlotte on Friday, the Wizards have been decent without Wall. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I feel that they're offering excellent value on Sunday evening. While Washington had yesterday off, the 76ers are off a win against Orlando. They'll be playing their third game in four days here. The Wizards, who lost 122-105 on Friday, are 5-2 SU/ATS the last seven times that they were off a double-digit loss. They're also 8-5 ATS (10-3 SU) after allowing 115 or more points in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats here.

I'm playing on WESTERN CAROLINA (10* PERS FAV). The Catamounts overcame a 16-point deficit to win 81-79 at Charleston back on 12/30. That result will likely have some backing the revenge-minded Bulldogs. However, the Bulldogs are only 7-17 SU the past 24 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss and I believe this game will have significantly more meaning to the Catamounts. For starters, its their regular season home finale and the Catamounts will be honoring their six senior players. They'd like to send them out on a high note. Also, WCU badly wants to snap its losing streak, before entering the (conference) tournament. Perhaps most importantly, while the Bulldogs are already locked into a first round matchup, the Catamounts are trying to secure a top-6 seed. That's important as it would allow the Catamounts to avoid a first round game in the tournament. Note that WCU has won 12 of the last 14 meetings including four of the last five in Cullowhee. Also note that the Catamounts have thrived in the favorite role, going 13-4 ATS (15-2 SU) the past 17 times that they were laying points. Expect a highly motivated effort, as they improve on those stats this afternoon. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* GAME OF WEEK). If Ole Miss beats Tennessee this afternoon (Vols are -4) then Auburn will already have clinched at least a share of the SEC regular season title. Regardless of what happens in that earlier matchup, I expect the Gators to be the team which comes ready to play. The Gators have dropped three in a row, for just the second time this season. With a road game on deck, they know they have to "stop the bleeding" here. Note that the Gators beat a strong Cincy team, the only previous time that they'd lost three in a row this season. Including that 66-60 victory, they're an impressive and profitable 34-14 ATS over the years, after failing to cover the spread in their previous three games. That includes a 5-2 SU/ATS mark in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. While Auburn can score with the best of them, the Gators have arguably the superior defense. Expect them to rise to the occasion and come away with an important victory. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* ANNIHILATOR). The home team has won both meetings. I expect homecourt to again prove significant. With their 117-115 win here earlier, the Bulls are 4-1 SU/ATS their last five as a host, 8-2 SU (7-3 ATS) their last 10 in the series overall. While the 76ers, who had been hot, may have preferred to just keep playing, the break figures to have come at the right time for the Bulls. They're 8-2-1 ATS their last 11, when playing with three or more day's rest, 2-0-1 ATS their last three. Lets not forget that the Bulls still have more wins at home than the 76ers do on the road. All things considered, this number is generously high. I'm taking the points.

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* BEST BET). If the Panthers want a chance of snapping their skid and earning a conference victory, this is their chance to get it. After tonight, their final two games come against Virginia and at Notre Dame. Needless to say, this represents a far more winnable game. I expect a highly motivated effort from the Panthers as they go all out to get the win. The Demon Deacons are 10-17, 3-9 away from home. The Deacons haven't won a road game in 2018. Their last road win came way back in mid-December and that was by only four points, at Coastal Carolina. With an O/U line in the mid 140s, note that Wake Forest is 2-5 ATS when playing a game with an O/U line in the 140s while Pittsburgh is 6-4 ATS when doing so. Last February's game (at WF) was decided by only four points. The previous February's game here at Pitt. was decided by only five. I'm expecting another close one and am grabbing all the points I can get. 

I'm playing on TEXAS A&M (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). The Bulldogs come in on an impressive roll at the betting window. Last time out, they knocked off instate rival Ole Miss by 17 points. That marked their seventh straight ATS victory. I expect that streak to get snapped on Tuesday. Note that this is the second time this season that the Bulldogs were coming off a game against Ole Miss. After their first game against the Rebels, the Bulldogs followed it up with a 17-point loss in their next game. That was their most lopsided defeat of the season. Recent ATS streak notwithstanding, the Bulldogs are still just 1-6 SU on the road, in 2018. They've also struggled the past 2+ seasons, as road favorites in this range. The Aggies are off back-to-back losses. However, both of those came on the road. In their most recent home game, they beat Kentucky by double-digits. Their previous home game, before that, was a 23-point win over South Carolina. In fact, they've won five straight at home and the last four of those victories all came by double-digits. The Aggies have thrived as home favorites in this range. While they lost at Miss. State last season, the Aggies had beaten the Bulldogs four straight times before that, including all three here at home. Expect homecourt to be the difference once again.

I'm playing on WRIGHT STATE (3* VIOLATOR). These teams are at opposite ends of the Horizon Conference. The Raiders have enjoyed an excellent season and sit on top of the standings. They're 20-8 overall, 13-2 when listed as the home team. The Vikings, on the other hand, check in with a 8-21 record, a dismal 1-14 mark when listed as the road team. They figure to have trouble scoring this evening. While the Raiders allow a mere 59 points per game at home, the Vikings score just 63 ppg on the road. Normally, for a mismatch like this, the Vikings might hope the home team would overlook them. However, thats not happening here. Not only is this the Raiders' final home game of the reg. season, but they also lost at Cleveland State earlier this month, when listed as 9-point favorites. Arguably the low point of their season, the Raiders haven't forgotten. They're 10-6 ATS (11-5 SU) the past 16 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss and I expect them to improve on those stats in "blowout fashion" here.

I'm playing on CAL (10* SHOCKER). While the Bears have admittedly had a tough season, I don't believe that Stanford deserves to be laying this many points on the road. The Bears beat Oregon State in their last game here. Nobody has beaten them by more than single-digits here since Arizona did so a month ago. The Cardinal are playing their third straight road game. They lost each of the first two, failing to cover in either. They're 0-4 on the road over the past month. With an O/U line in the low 140s, note that Stanford is 0-8 SU and 0-7-1 ATS its last eight, when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 140 to 144.5 range. The Bears, who already won by three at Stanford, have beaten the Cardinal by double-digits each of the past two meetings here at Cal. Expect them to give their guests all they can handle once again. 

I'm playing on IDAHO (10* FALSE FAVORITE OF THE MONTH). This is a big game in the Big Sky Conference. I like the Vandals, who rallied for a 10-point win last time and who have now won five straight, to come out on top. There was no clear cut favorite in the Big Sky entering this season. Both these teams knew they'd be in the mix. Sure enough, they're #1 and #2. While Montana is already 20-6, note that ALL six of those losses came away from home. Last time out, the Grizzlies lost at Eastern Washington. That defeat snapped a 13-game winning streak and an undefeated record in conference play. While many will expect the Grizzlies to immediately bounce back, thats often easier said than done. Note that the Grizzlies were only 4-7 ATS off a conference loss, the past couple of seasons. Montana averages 73 ppg on the road while allowing 69.6. Idaho, on the other hand, averages 78.2 ppg at home, while allowing 66.8. Expect homecourt to ultimately prove the difference, the surging Vandals making it six straight. 

I'm playing on ST. BONAVENTURE (10* MAIN EVENT). The Rams won big when these teams met at Rhode Island. Not surprising, as they've been perfect on their home floor this season. They've been tough to beat away from home, too. But not unbeatable. In addition to losing a neutral site game at Virginia, the Rams have lost at Nevada and Alabama. The Bonnies, who have won seven straight overall, have also been very tough to beat on their home floor. Their only loss here came in the first game of the season, way back in early November. Since then, they've been perfect here. Expect them to get some payback this evening.

I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). While the Lakers spent yesterday getting destroyed by Anthony Davis and the Pelicans, the T-Wolves had the day off. The Lakers have now allowed 130 and 139 points in their last two games. Note that they're now 0-4 SU/ATS their last four, after allowing 130 or more points in their previous game. Going back further finds them at an ugly 2-10 ATS (1-11 SU) their last 12 in that situation. The T-Wolves, 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 home games when the O/U line was set at 220 or more, have already hammered the Lakers twice this season. Expect another double-digit win tonight. 

I'm playing on UCONN (10* VIOLATOR). Both teams are much stronger at home. While Tulsa held serve on its home floor, a narrow 90-88 (2 OT) victory, I expect the revenge-minded Huskies to get some payback this evening. The Huskies are a perfect 6-0 SU the past six times that they were listed as favorites. Tonight's line is low enough that a SU victory should also result in an ATS win. Tulsa has trouble scoring on the road and the Huskies are stingy (65.7 ppg, 39.5% fg) here at home. UCONN bounces back. 

I'm playing on SDSU (10* PERS FAV). These teams are both much better on their home floor. The Cowboys won and covered at Wyoming in late December. Playing on their home floor, I expect the Aztecs to return the favor. I won with the Aztecs in their last home game, a 31-point destruction of Air Force. The Aztecs had entered that game off a blowout loss. They've since lost back-to-back road games, most recently getting blown out at Nevada. Once again, I expect homecourt and the home fans to provide the boost they need to bounce back. The Aztecs are 7-2 SU/ATS in home lined games. They outscore teams by an 81.1 to 60.5 margin here at home. On the other hand, Wyoming gets outscored by a 78.2 to 75.2 margin on the road. The Aztecs are 4-1 SU (3-1 ATS in lined games) after allowing 80 or more points. They beat the Cowboys by nine the last meeting here and I expect an even bigger margin here. 

I'm playing on MIAMI (10* MAIN EVENT). The Cavs are obviously having an excellent season. However, I believe that the Canes are catching them at the right time. After losing against V-Tech last time out, many will be banking on Virginia to bounce right back. Thats going to be easier said than done though, as this has become a very difficult venue to play at. The Canes have lost only one game here all season. That was against Duke, more than a month ago. Since then, they've beaten every team that has visited here. The Canes are off a loss at Boston College, a defeat which damaged their tournament resume. A win here and that loss will be forgiven/forgotten. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* ANNIHILATOR). These teams will meet again at Houston, after the All Star Break. The Wolves know that winning that 2/23 game will be difficult. They also haven't forgotten that the Rockets hammered them there a few weeks ago. That makes "holding serve" important here, if they'd like to prove that they can hang with one of the top teams in the league. Of course, they're also fighting to hang on to top spot in their division. While the Rockets are an impressive 20-7 on the road, the Wolves are an even better 23-6 at home. With an O/U line of 222, note that the Wolves are an impressive 7-1-1 ATS their last nine, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 220 or more. Expect them to improve on those stats here.

I'm playing on UNC-GREENSBORO (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Southern Conference is strong this season and these two teams are leading the way. Each has been excellent at the betting window. The Buccaneers are on top and won when the teams met at ETSU. However, lets not forget that this Buccaneers team lost a lot from last season. The Spartans came up just short against ETSU in last season's conference tourney and they haven't forgotten. They're 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in home lined games this season. After allowing a mere 48 points last time out, note that the Spartans are also 8-1 SU (6-1 ATS) the past nine times that they'd allowed 60 or fewer points in their previous game. Off three straight double-digit wins, their confidence is at an all-time high. With an O/U line in the low-mid 130s, as of this writing, note that the Spartans are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS the past five times that they played a home game with an O/U line ranging from 130 to 134.5. Can you say: "Payback time?"

I'm playing on CHARLOTTE (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). While the Raptors are on a nice roll, I expect them to have their hands full on Sunday afternoon. Off back-to-back divisional wins and having won four straight overall, the Raptors could be starting to get a little complacent. On other hand, the Hornets are going to be in an angry mood. Not only have the Raptors beaten them in both this season's meetings but the Hornets have also lost their last three games in a row. This is just the Hornets' third 3-game skid since early December. They answered the previous 3-game losing streaks by beating the Thunder by 13 and the Knicks by 18. 

I'm playing on DALLAS (10* VIOLATOR). These teams will meet at LA in less than two weeks. Playing at home, where they hammered the Lakers in both meetings last season, I expect the Mavs to "hold serve" this evening. Yes, I successfully went against the Mavs last time out. However, that was on the road against the defending champs, who were coming in angry off b2b losses. Now, the Mavs are at home and facing a Laker team which just shook up its lineup. While it remains to be seen how Thomas will work out, he hasn't been playing well offensively this season and his defense has been a liability. Meanwhile, Clarkson and Nance were both providing solid minutes. While Ball remains out for LA, the Mavs are expected to have Barnes back in the starting lineup. While the Lakers get outscored by an average score of 112.2 to 106.5 on the road, the Mavs outscore teams by a 102.2 to 101.6 margin here at Dallas. The Mavs are 36-20-2 ATS the past 2+ seasons, off a double-digit loss, 7-4 ATS their last 11 in that situation. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA STATE (10* GAME OF WEEK). Both teams earned important victories last time out. The Bruins significantly improved their tourney resume with an impressive road win at Arizona. The Sun Devils got back on track with a critical win against fellow bubble team USC. In what should be a high-scoring, up-tempo game, I look for homecourt to ultimately make the difference. Though some might be surprised to see them favored here, lets not forget that the Sun Devils have already beaten the likes of Kansas and Xavier. They've also got wins over teams like San Diego State, K-State, Vanderbilt and St. John's. While Arizona State outscores teams by an impressive 85.8 to 69.5 margin at home, the Bruins give up 81.1 ppg (while scoring 81.8) on the road. I like the way in which the Sun Devils beat USC. They hit a 3-pointer to tie the game with less than a minute left, then hit the game winner with just over a second left. Thats the type of victory that a team can build positive momentum from. With the Bruins just 7-19 ATS their past 26 road games when the O/U line was in the 160s, expect the home team to finish on top. 

I'm playing on BALL STATE (10* MAC GAME OF YEAR). The Cardinals will be looking to avenge an 88-80 (OT) loss, suffered at Kent State on 1/23. Additionally, they'll be looking to snap a 15-game skid in the series. Playing at home, where they've beaten the likes of Notre Dame and where they've only lost once all season, I expect them to finally get some "payback." While they're 9-3 at home, the Golden Flashes are just 3-9 away from home, 2-7 in true road games. 

I'm playing on DETROIT. While they haven't covered the spread in all those games, the Pistons have quietly won five in a row. Needless to say, the move to pick up Blake Griffin is currently looking pretty good. Facing Griffin's former team should provide plenty of incentive to make it six straight. With the recent win streak, the Pistons are a solid 18-10 at home on the season. On the other hand, the Clippers are below .500 (11-13) when playing on the road. While both teams had yesterday off, the Pistons also have tomorow off while LA will play at Philadelphia. Expect homecourt to make the difference, the Pistons continuing to roll while covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* TNT MAIN EVENT). The Mavs are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. While the Mavs kept things close, at Dallas, the last time that these teams met, the Warriors won the first two meetings by 30 and 15 points. I'm expecting another lopsided affair here. The Warriors weren't crisp last time out and got a wake-up call with a blowout loss against the Thunder. That marked their second straight defeat, the first time thats happened this season, and should ensure that they're "all business" here. While Durant remains a game-time decision, Curry, Green, Thompson (who will be celebrating his bday) and co. bring more than enough to the table, even if KD sits. Expect the Warriors to bounce back, improving to 6-1 ATS (7-0 SU) the past seven times that they were off a double-digit win. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* MAIN EVENT). While I respect the Bruins, I believe that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Wildcats are off a loss at Washington. Now, however, they're back home, where they're undefeated on the season. Not only do the Wildcats average an impressive 85 ppg here, connecting on 53.7% of their field goals, but they also limit visiting teams to just 67.6 ppg. By comparison, the Bruins allow a high 81.9 ppg, when playing on the road. The Cats won by 11 when these teams last met, a March game at Las Vegas in the Pac-12 Semi Finals. The gap is wider now than it was then and I'm expecting another double-digit win.

I'm playing on DETROIT (10* VIOLATOR). This is a tough spot for the Nets. Already banged-up, they lost Chris Lavert to injury in a hard-fought loss against Houston on Tuesday. Now, in addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, they'll also be playing their third game in the past four days. Going back a little further shows that this will mark the Nets' sixth game in the past nine days. Thats one extra game than the Pistons, who had yesterday off, have had to squeeze into the same stretch. The Pistons' lineup is now considerably stronger with the addition of Griffin. Last time out, they hammered Portland by 20. The fact that the Nets upset them here a few weeks ago should ensure that the Pistons are fully focused. Expect them to avenge that loss in blowout fashion, improving to 6-3-1 ATS the past 10 times that they attempted to avenge a home loss.

I'm playing on ST. BONAVENTURE (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Bonnies have owned the Billikens the past couple of seasons. All four meetings have all gone the way of Bonnies. Last season, they won by 15 and 19 points, respectively. While the Bonnies were favored by double-digits for both last season's games, tevening's line is lower. Its also come down from its opener, as of this writing, providing us with excellent line value. The Bonnies outscore teams by a 79.7 to 63.7 margin on their home floor. On the other hand, the Billikens get outscored by an average score of 69.8 to 62.6 margin when playing away from home. Expect them to have trouble keeping up, the Bonnies covering the relatively low number, while continuing their recent dominance in the series. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). What a difference two months can make. When these teams met a couple of months ago, at Nebraska, the Gophers were favored by nine points. Now, playing at home, Minnesota has only opened as a slight favorite. I believe that is providing us with excellent value on the revenge-minded home team. While they did manage a win at Wisconsin last time out, the Huskers are still below .500 on the road. Expect homecourt to be the difference, the Gophers bouncing back with a much-needed victory. 

I'm playing on OKLAHOMA (10* MAIN EVENT). The Mountaineers won and covered when they hosted the Cowboys back on 1/6. However, with this evening's rematch being played at Oklahoma, I expect the Sooners to return the favor. While the Mountaineers have been mediocre away from home, the Sooners are undeated at home. They're scoring an impressive 97.5 ppg here, too. Note that the Sooners are 16-3 SU and 13-6 ATS the past 19 times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. Its true that the Sooners have failed to cover three straight. However, the two previous times that they failed to cover three in a row this season, the Sooners responded by beating Kansas and Wichita State. Expect them to bounce back once again. 

I'm playing on DETROIT (10* PERS FAV). The schedule-maker is again helping the Pistons. While Portland is off a hard-fought Sunday afternoon loss at the buzzer, at Boston, the Pistons had Sunday off. In addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, the Blazers will be playing their third game in four days. It will also mark their fifth game in seven days. Factor in that the first of those was in LA, in the Western Time Zone, and that's a pretty difficult week. The Pistons swept the Blazers last season and they've thrived against teams from the West this season. They're 11-6-1 ATS in non-conference action. Expect them to imrprove on those stats here. 

I'm playing on PHOENIX (10* BEST BET). After winning big against Dallas two games ago, the Suns stumbled last time out. I expect them to bounce back with a much better effort on Sunday afternoon. Both teams had yesterday off. However, while the Suns also have tomorrow off, the Hornets have a game at Denver. While they're tough to beat at Charlotte, the Hornets are just 7-15 on the road. Expect the Suns to give them all they can handle with an excellent shot at the outright upset. 

I'm playing on SAN DIEGO STATE (10* VIOLATOR). Air Force is in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a loss last time out, their fourth in five games, the Aztecs are going to be in an angry mood. Facing an Air Force team which they limited to 38 points here last season should be the perfect opponent to take their anger out on. When the Aztecs do win, they tend to win big. Their most recent two wins came by 19 and 36 combined points. In fact, every one of their victories since Christmas has come by double-digits. The average margin of victory in those games was 21. Each of the home wins has come by 19 or more. Air Force, meanwhile, lost its last road game by 22 points. Thats nine double-digit losses on the season. Ten after tonight. Look for the Aztecs to bounce back big, improving to 7-2 ATS in home lined games along the way. 

I'm playing on DETROIT (10* PERS FAV). The home team has won and covered both meetings this season. We should see more of the same here. While the Heat are off a hard-fought loss at Philly yesterday, the Pistons had yesterday off. They didn't cover last time out but did win, Griffin fitting in nicely. All the Pistons' new star did was deliever 24 points and 10 rebounds, without committing a turnover. Now, they've had a chance to work together a little more, he should have another big game. The Pistons are 14-9-2 ATS the past 25 times that they faced a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. Catching the Heat playing their their road game in the past four days, expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on COLORADO (10* SHOCKER). Off three straight losses, the Buffaloes are going to be in an angry mood. I expect them to take it out on a Utes team which is still stinging from a 1-point loss at Arizona and which is now playing its third straight road game. Coming so close at Arizona, only to come up short, figures to have a lingering effect. While they do deserve some credit for managing a win at Arizona State, the Utes are still 1-3 in four 2018 road games. Speaking of Arizona State, off their only previous 3-game slide, the Buffaloes returned home to beat ASU by nine points, the 90 points they scored representing their most in conference play. Also, note that the Buffs are an outstanding 19-7 SU/ATS the past 26 times that they were listed as home underdogs (or pick'em) of three or fewer points. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort once again. 

I'm playing on BROOKLYN (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Lakers won when these teams met at LA earlier. Playing at home, I expect the Nets to avenge that loss this evening. While the Lakers have seven wins on the road, the Nets have nine at home. One of those came last time out, a fairly impressive 116-108 win over the 76ers. On the other hand, still playing without Lonzo Ball, the Lakers have been blown out in back-to-back games. With Brook Lopez returning to Brooklyn, one might think this game could have some extra meaning for LA. Lopez, though still starting, is frustrated with inconsistent playing time down the stretch though. He saw just nine mins. in the 22-point loss at Orlando. I prefer the way things are looking in Brooklyn. Revenge-minded Nets make it two in a row.

I'm playing on TORONTO (10* VIOLATOR). Playing their first game without Wall, the Wizards upset the Thunder last time out. Don't expect a repeat performance against this disciplined Raptor team. The Raptors have been on the verge of "taking the next step" for a few years. With the Cavs perhaps a little weaker, they see this year as their chance. At 34-15, they've been playing well nearly every time out, regardless of venue. They outscore teams by a 111.1 to 103.8 average margin overall and that includes a 109.8 to 105.6 mark on the road. Note that the Raptors are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS their last four visits here, too. They were underdogs for both games here last season, yet won 114-106 and 113-103. With the Wizards just 2-8 SU/ATS their last 10, when off an upset victory, I expect the Raptors to continue their recent success here, covering the small number along the way. 

I'm playing on NORTHEASTERN (10* PERS FAV). The Northeastern women's team recently hammered the College of Charleston women's team here, winning by 22 points. Tonight, I expect the men to do the same. The Cougars won big when these teams met at College of Charleston. However, the Huskies are a perfect 7-0 SU, going 5-1-1 ATS, the past seven times that they attempted to avenge a road loss. This season, the Huskies are outscoring teams by a commanding 77 to 63 margin here. Not surprisingly, they're 5-1 ATS here in lined games. That stingy homecourt defense figures to present problems for the Cougars, who are averaging just 65 ppg, on only a 40.3% mark with field goals, when playing on the road. Payback time. 

I'm playing on ATLANTA (10* REVENGE GAME OF MONTH). These teams have met twice so far this season. With both games played at Charlotte, its not surprising that the Hornets won each of them. This evening's game is being played at Atlanta though and I like the revenge-minded Hawks to come away with the cash. While the Hornets are a somewhat respectable 14-14 at home, they're an ugly 6-15 on the road. Note that Charlotte lost Marvin Williams to injury last time out. Williams isn't a star but he is a solid starter who does a lot for them and who is likely to be missed here. The Hawks scored an upset of Minnesota last time out. Not bad considering that the T-Wolves entered that game in first place in the northwest division. Expect them to be at their best once again. 

I'm playing on GEORGE WASHINGTON (10* PERS FV). I successfully played against the Colonials when the lost at VCU recently. Admittedly, as I acknowledged at the time, the Colonials have really struggled on the road. However, they're a much stronger team here at home. Last time on this floor, they beat George Mason by double-digits. The Dukes are another team which they match up well against. Note that GW has beaten the Dukes five straight times here. Duquesne has gotten off to a decent start. However, its off back-to-back losses and I expect things to start to unravel. A relatively eash schedule has made them seem better than they really are. To their credit, the Dukes played the Rams tough, at Rhode Island, last time out. However, the fact that they fought hard only to come up short, figures to take a toll on them here. Note that the only previous time that they played the second of b2b true road games, the Dukes lost by double-digits. Overall, they're 1-3 in true road games, the long victory coming at Fordham. Look for homecourt to make the difference as revenge-minded GW comes through with a much-needed victory. 

I'm playing on TORONTO (10* ANNIHILATOR). These teams met a couple of weeks ago, at Minnesota. Some of you will likely recall that game, as we won with Minnesota. Here's an excerpt from the analysis of that game:

"... I like how this one sets up for the home team. The Raptors are off a hard-fought, physical affair against the Spurs last night. They're now playing their third game in the past four days. The T-Wolves, on the other hand, had yesterday off. Off b2b losses, they're going to be in an angry mood. They'll also be happy to return home, where they're a healthy 18-6 on the season. The Wolves have beaten the Raptors here each of the past two seasons and they're arguably a stronger team now than they were for either of those games .... With the schedule in they're favor, expect another win and cover for the Wolves this evening." 

Tonight, however, the shoe is on the other foot. Tonight, the Raptors are the team which is playing at home. Tonight, its the Raptors who come in rested. Tonight, its the Wolves who played last night and who are playing their third game in four days. In fact, the Wolves, who are excellent at home but below .500 on the road, will be playing their fifth game in the past seven days. Look for the rested, revenge-minded Raptors to improve to 19-4 at home, picking up the cover along the way. 

I'm playing on DENVER (10* MAIN EVENT). While I respect the Celtics, I like how this one sets up for the Nuggets. Boston checks in off a hard-fought loss at Golden State, taking the defending champs down to the wire. Up next, the Celtics have a "divisional revenge game" against the Knicks. That could easily have them less than 100% focused on tonight's game at Denver. That'll prove costly though as the Nuggets are an excellent 19-6 at home. The Nuggets played the Celtics tough at Boston earlier, losing by six. The Nuggets also won by 20, as 2.5 point underdogs, when they hosted the Celtics last season. Playing with revenge from the mid-December loss and catching the Celtics at the "right time," expect another win and cover for the Nuggets on Monday.

I'm playing on WISCONSIN (10* GAME OF MONTH). When these teams met on 1/9, at Nebraska, the Huskers were favored by -1.5 points. The Huskers would go on to win by a 56-50 margin. Since that time, the Huskers have won four of six, covering the spread in each of their past four. Wisconsin, on the other hand, has only played four games since the loss at Nebraska. The Badgers lost three of those. A closer look reveals that all three of those losses came on the road, where the Badgers have admittedly struggled. They won their lone home game, during that stretch, by 25 points. In fact, since a 12/9 loss vs. Marquette, the Badgers have won six straight games here, the last five of those coming by double-digits. While the Huskers have been playing better of late, they're still just 2-6 SU in true road games. The Badgers have dominated the Huskers here, including an 11-point win last season and a 15-point win the prevous season. Expect homecourt to make the diference, as they bounce back with a much needed victory. 

I'm playing on NORTHERN IOWA (10* BEST BET). These teams played a close one at Northern Iowa earlier. While the Panthers were favored by five, the Ramblers won that 1/7 meeting by six points. That dropped UNI to 0-4 in conference play, at the time. It also marked the Panthers' sixth straight loss. They'd go on to lose their next one too. Since then, however, UNI has turned things around. Off a double-digit win last time out, they've now won three of their last four. Even when they were losing, the Panthers were competitive. None of their last seven games resulted in a double-digit loss. With Wichita State having left the conference, Northern Iowa was expecting to be a team which challenged for the MVC title. While things obviously didn't start too well, the Panthers still believe that they can beat any team in the conference. For that to be the case, they know they're going to need to beat the Ramblers. Look for the revenge-minded Panthers to give their hosts all they can handle Sunday afternoon, with a shot at the outright upset.

I'm playing on IDAHO. While the Vandals have failed to cover in three straight, this should be an excellent spot for them to "get healthy." The last time that the Vandals had failed to cover three in a row, they responded with a 7-point win and cover at Eastern Washington. In fact, they're 7-1 ATS the past 2+ seasons, after failing to cover their previous three. Now they'll host a struggling North Dakota team which is playing its fourth straight on the road. Last time out, facing the same Eastern Washington team which Idaho defeated, the road weary Fighting Hawks lost by 24. While the Vandals allow a mere 65 ppg (40.1% fg) on their home floor, the Hawks give up a whopping 89.7 ppg (51 fg%) on the road. The Vandals already won by 17, at North Dakota, on 12/29. While North Dakota would obviously like to avenge that loss, I don't see it happening. Not here. Not tonight. Expect a double-digit win for the home team. *Top Big Sky Conference play

I'm playing on DENVER (10* PERS FAV). With a series of more difficult games on deck - next four games come against BOS, OKC, SA and GWS - the Nuggets know that they absolutely need to take care of business here. The Nuggets, who are 18-6 at home, had Friday night off. They also have Sunday off. There's no reason not to be fully focused. On the other hand, the Mavs, 6-16 on the road, are off a late Friday night game vs. Portland. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, they'll be playing their third game in the past four days. With the venue and schedule in their favor, expect the Nuggets to come away with the win and cover. 

I'm playing on CLEVELAND (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Cavs haven't covered in some time but this should be an excellent spot for them. Back home and well-rested, they're going to be in an angry mood. Not only have the Cavs lost six of seven but the Pacers have already beaten them in all three of this season's meetings. Keep in mind, however, that the Pacers are still a sub-500 team on the road while the Cavs are still 16-6 at home. Also, note that the Pacers are just 5-9 ATS their past 14, when off a double-digit win. Enough's enough. Revenge-minded Cavs bounce back big.

I'm playing on DENVER (10* VIOLATOR). The Nuggets come in rested, as they've had the past two days off. Monday's win over Portland brought them to 17-6 here for the season. They get tomorrow night off. Having already lost at MSG, they're full attention will be on the task at hand. The Knicks earned a somewhat fortunate cover last time out, as they were down 18 late but rallied to lose by only 10. Still, it was their second consecutive double-digit loss and their 13th loss in 17 games. This is the 6th leg of a 7-game road trip and they're growing a little road weary. Knowing that they'll wrap up the trip at a slightly less formidable venue (Phoenix) tomorrow, they could easily pack it in a little early here, if/when they find themselves down big again. The Nuggets have dominated the Knicks here for years, including a 13-point win last season. More of the same here.

I'm playing on WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE (10* PERS FAV). The Penguins won and covered when they hosted the Panthers on 1/4. Playing this evening's rematch on their home floor, I expect the revenge-minded Panthers to return the favor. The Panthers were right there for the game at Youngstown State, as the game went back and forth. The Penguins opened up on a 15-4 run before the Panthers answered with a 21-5 surge of their own. Ultimately, the Penguins prevailed. However, they have a lot more trouble winning on the road. In fact, they're 0-3 SU/ATS their last three on the road and a dismal 1-13 SU in road and neutral site games overall. The Panthers snapped a 4-game skid with a win and cover vs. Wright State last time out. The losing streak in the rear-view mirror, look for them to get some payback with another win and cover tonight. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* MAIN EVENT). While they had yesterday off, the Bulls could still be feeling the effects of Monday's double-OT loss at New Orleans. Those type of defeats hurt both mentally and physically. With that loss, the Bulls are 7-17 on the road. The 76ers, meanwhile, are a more respectable 11-9 at home. Looking to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, expect the 76ers to earn the win and cover here. 

I'm playing on ST. BONAVENTURE (10* A-10 GAME OF YEAR). While they're dropped four of their last five, including one to St. Joseph's, the Bonnies are better than their recent results indicate. Playing with recent 'revenge,' I expect them to prove that this evening. The Hawks are just 1-5 SU in six true road games. That lone victory came by four points, back in November, at Illinois-Chicago. While the Hawks may have won this season's earlier meeting, the Bonnies have dominated the series in recent seasons. Expect them to bounce back with a double-digit win.  

I'm playing on GOLDEN STATE (10* ANNIHILATOR). Playing the fifth leg of a 7-game road trip, the Knicks are starting to grow a little road-weary. Last time out, they got blown out by 20 points, at LA, by the Lakers. They've now allowed 115 or more points in five of their last seven games, allowing a minimum of 104 in all seven. That type of defense isn't going to serve them well against an angry Warriors team which averages 116 ppg on the season and which is coming off a loss last time out. The Warriors, who haven't lost two in a row all season, are 9-0 SU the past nine times that they were off a SU loss, when listed as a favorite. Expect them to improve on those stats, picking up the cover along the way. 

I'm playing on TEXAS TECH (10* PERS FAV). After playing three of their last four on the road, the Red Raiders will be happy to return home. Indeed, while they lost all three of those recent road games, they're undefeated on their home floor. On the season, the Red Raiders have beaten the likes of Kansas and WVU from within the conference while also taking down teams from the ACC and Big Ten. Off back-to-back losses, they're going to be in an angry mood. Like their hosts, the Cowboys are much better on their home floor. In fact, they're 0-3 SU/ATS in true road games. Those losses came by an average of 13.3 points, too. Off a close win over rival Oklahoma, I feel the Cowboys could suffer a slight emotional letdown here. The Raiders are 16-9 ATS (24-1 SU) the past 25 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -9.5 to -12 range. Expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on TCU (10* MAIN EVENT). With four losses in their last five games, this is a critical game for the Frogs. That's particularly true given that they play three of their next four on the road. The Mountaineers are tough but they're not unbeatable. Their last road game resulted in a loss at Texas Tech. Off a blowout win of Texas, it could be easy for them to overlook the Frogs, if only a little, and get caught looking ahead to their next game, a showdown vs. Kentucky. The Frogs could easily be undefeated here. They lost by one against Oklahoma and by four against Kansas. They've beaten every other opponent here while also winning all three of their neutral site game. Last home game resulted in a 23-point win over Iowa State. Expect them to rise to the occasion.

I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* ANNIHILATOR). I like how this one sets up for the home team. The Raptors are off a hard-fought, physical affair against the Spurs last night. They're now playing their third game in the past four days. The T-Wolves, on the other hand, had yesterday off. Off b2b losses, they're going to be in an angry mood. They'll also be happy to return home, where they're a healthy 18-6 on the season. The Wolves have beaten the Raptors here each of the past two seasons and they're arguably a stronger team now than they were for either of those games. With the schedule in they're favor, expect another win and cover for the Wolves this evening.

I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Buffaloes won by double-digits when they hosted the Huskies last February. I'm expecting another big win here. Off b2b victories and now 4-1 its last five, Colorado comes in playing its best basketball of the season. Washington, on the other hand, is off b2b losses. Note that the Huskies are just 1-5 ATS when playing with one or less day's rest in between games. While the Huskies have been mediocre on the road, he Buffaloes have been dominant at home this season. They're 5-1 SU/ATS their last six, when listed as a home favorite in the -3.5 to -6 range. I expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on UTAH (10* VIOLATOR). The Knicks won by five when these teams met at NY back in November. Playing at home, where they've beaten the Knicks three straight times, and coming in with some positive momentum, I expect the Jazz to return the favor. While both teams are #10 seeds at the moment, the Jazz arguably need this one more, as they're further back from the 8th spot in their conference. Behind an excellent effort from Mitchell, the Jazz are off a big win at Sacramento, giving them some new hope that the playoffs aren't completely out of reach. With Wednesday's loss at Memphis, the Knicks are now just 5-16 on the road. The Jazz also often have trouble on the road. However, they're a solid 13-8 here at Utah. In beating the Knicks here each of the past three seasons, the Jazz have won by an average of 11 points. Sorry Knicks' fans. I don't mean to keep picking against your team but I'm afraid things are going to get worse, before they get better. Jazz roll.

I'm playing on CAL IRVINE (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Anteaters got on track last time out, a 74-57 victory at CS-Northridge. On the other hand, the Mustangs lost by 12, at Hawaii. Though they've had a week off since then, returning home from Hawaii isn't always the easiest on a team. In the Mustangs case, they're just 8-15 ATS their last 23, off a conference loss. During that span, they're also 0-3 ATS (1-4 SU) in five games, when playing with seven or more day's rest in between games. With an O/U line in the low-mid 130s, the pace should favor the Anteaters. UC Irvine is 30-19-1 ATS its last 50, when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. During that span, the Mustangs are just 9-22 SU/ATS when playing a game with an O/U line in the 130s. The Anteaters haven't forgotten that the Mustangs upset them here last year. Payback time tonight.