I'm playing on RICE. Both these teams really struggle on the road. Playing at home, I look for the Owls to have the advantage.

Southern Miss, which loss by 16 at North Texas last time out, is 2-7 on the road. Note that ALL seven of those losses have come by a minimum of seven points. Six of them were by double-digits and they came by an average of 15 points. In other words, the Golden Eagles are accustomed to getting blown out on the road. 

While the Eagles manage a mere 53.2 ppg on the road, the Owls score 80.7 here at home. Overall, Southern Miss is scoring 65.9 ppg in conference play while Rice is scoring 78.1.

Admittedly, wins have been few and far between for the Owls of late. That said, when this team wins, they tend to win by a fairly comfortable margin. Four of the Owls' last five victories have come by at least eight points.

These teams meet against at Southern Miss on 2/25 and the Golden Eagles will have a much better shot in that one. For this game, playing on their own floor, I look for the Owls to effectively dicate the pace and for the Eagles to have trouble keeping up. 10* CUSA GOY

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While I successfully played against the 76'ers last night, I believe this will prove to be a much better spot for them.

Yesterday, I noted that the 76'ers could easily get caught looking ahead to a "rare winnable game" (this one) tomorrow night. Perhaps they did as they were never really in the game against the Wizards.

The Nets also played last night. Unlike the 76'ers, they gave it everything they had and earned an upset win over the Kings. Given last night's results and the fact that Brooklyn won this season's previous meeting, I believe that the 76'ers may well be the "hungrier" team tonight. 

While both teams are in a b2b spot, the Nets will also be playing their sixth game in the past nine days. By comparison, the 76'ers will be playing just their fourth game in the past 10 days. Big difference.

The 76'ers arent favored often but they tend to fare well when they are. In fact, they're 5-1 SU/ATS the last six times that they were listed as home favorites of three or fewer points. I expect them to improve on those stats here. 10* Personal Fav

I'm playing on Charlotte. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. I expect another victory for the home team here.

Both teams have been rolling recently. The Heat upset the Mavs at Dallas last time out and are now 5-1 their last six. The Hornets upset the Cavs last time out, their fifth win in their last seven. 

The Hornets are a modest 25-22 ATS the past couple of seasons off an upset win. Nothing noteworthy about that. However, that record looks a lot more impressive when compared to Miami's ugly 7-17 ATS mark in the same situation. 

While the Heat won by 10 at Miami, the Hornets returned the favor with an 18-point victory here at Charlotte. In fact, the Hornets have beaten the Heat three straight times here now. They're expecting/hoping to get Walker back tonight and I believe the small line is providing excellent value. 10* Personal Favorite 

I'm playing on Orlando. Don't look now but the Magic have quietly started to play better. The Magic have covered three straight. They lost by only three at OKC last time out. You may recall that I played on them in their most recent home, an outright win over Boston. Those results should give the Magic some confidence here, as will the fact that they lost by only two when these teams played at LA earlier. 

The Clippers, who are playing without Griffin, lost against Minnesota last time out. They've won both their last two road games. However, both of those victories came by only two points. In fact, only one of their last five road games has resulted in a win by greater than two points. 

You might be surprised to learn that the Magic actually have a winning record (10-8) against teams from the West. That's translated to an impressive and profitable 13-4-1 ATS mark at the betting window. I believe they're catching the Clippers at the right time and I expect at least another cover tonight. 10* Best Bet

I'm playing on the Wizards. These teams both just lost against the Warriors. While the Wizards lost by double-digits, the 76'ers lost by only three. That may have some scratching their heads as to why the Wizards are laying nearly double-digits here. However, I believe there's good reason why they're such large favorites. 

While they occasionally show some flashes, the 76'ers still have the worst record (7-42) in the league, by far. They followed up their closs loss vs. the Warriors by getting destroyed by 38 points in their next game. This team still has issues. 

Recent struggles notwithstanding, the Wizards are still a very capable team. They're also desperate for wins to get themselves into the playoffs. They can't let opportunities like this one get away from them.

Fast-paced games tend to get away from the 76'ers and this one's expected to be high-scoring. Philly is just 32-56 ATS, excluding pushes, its last 78 when the O/U line was 210 or greater. 

If/When the 76'ers get down here, they could easily get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's game, as they have a rare winnable home game against Brooklyn. Washington, on the other hand, can't afford to let up in this one, no matter what happens. 

The Wizards have dominated the 76'ers. They won the last meeting by 29 points and they won the last two here at Washington by 13 and 35 points. I'm expecting another rout. 10* B.M.  

I'm playing on VANDERBILT. The Aggies come in with the higher ranking. However, I expect the Commodores to be the team that comes away with the victory.

Admittedly, the Commodores have had real trouble against top tier opponents. That's what makes tonight's game that much more important. Remember, this is a Vanderbilt team which began the season with a top 20 national ranking. The Commodores want what the Aggies have. 

The Aggies are tough and are having a great season. All three of their losses have come away from home though and I believe they're coming into a hostile environment which hasn't been kind to them. 

The home team has won the last two meetings in the series with the Commodores taking three of the last four in the series overall. The Aggies have yet to win here as a member of the SEC. Vanderbilt is 

Vandy is 4-0 ATS the last four times that it failed to cover in its previous three games, most recently blowing out Auburn by a 75-57 score. I expect the Commodores' best effort again here. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on Southern Illinois. The Shockers are a very strong team. They've dominated the conference for years, they've been a pointspread covering machine since before Christmas and their coach is on the verge of winning more games than any coach in school history. Everyone else knows all that too though and I believe thats led to a bit of an inflated line here. I also believe that the Salukis are going to show up ready to play.

While the Shockers get the majority of the attention in the MVC, up until their last game, the Salukis had quietly been playing very well themselves. From 12/12 through 1/24, they went 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. The lone setback was a blowout home loss against these same Shockers. The Salukis were embarrassed in that one and they should be determined to give a better effort here.

After the blowout loss against the Shockers, SIU coach Hinson had this to say: I'm really disappointed. I can't come in here and talk about one player -- not one player played well today. In order for us to beat a team like Wichita State we have to have lots of players play well." He continued: "We got punched and we didn't get back up off the mat. That's the first time that's happened this year."

Note that was the Salukis' worst defeat since they lost by 83-47 against Illinois State in Feb of 2013. Guess what happened in their next game? Listed as double-digit underdogs, the Salukis beat Wichita State outright! (That 64-62 win was the last time that the Salukis have beaten W.S.)

Admittedly, the Salukis didn't play too well last time out, losing by 11 at Northern Iowa. That was on the heels of a disappointing OT loss against Evansville though, so a letdown wasn't that surprising. I expect that effort to provide a wake-up call.

As Hinson noted: "If this is not a wakeup call for us, then we're going to have issues."

The Salukis have the best road record in the conference. I look for them to give the Shockers a tougher game than most will be expecting. 10* best bet

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Its always a bit nerve-wracking going against the Warriors. They're a great team, one which is capable of making other teams look bad, regardless of venue. That said, I feel we're getting strong value with the home underdog here.

While they'll be without their coach, I expect the Wizards to come ready to play. They badly need wins and they don't want to get embarrassed here. They lost by seven at home against the Warriors last season. 

The Warriors aren't invincible. They very nearly lost at Philadelphia a couple of games ago. They've done a great job of maintaining focus but it still may be easy for them to overlook Washington here. Note that the Warriors, who have OKC up next, have been far more dominant against the West. They're actually only 8-11-1 ATS against the East. 

We have to go back a long way, as the Wizards haven't been this big a home underdog in years, but Washington is 11-4 ATS its last 15 as a home underdog in the 9.5 to 12 range. Look for this one to be closer than expected. 10* best bet

I'm playing on RICHMOND. At first glance, this line may seem a little high. However, I believe there's a big talent difference between these teams and I look for it be evident this evening.

True, the Patriots have a star in Shevon Thompson. At 6-11, 240+, Thompson is indeed a load. The backcourt is weak though and that's a big reason for the 7-14 record. The Patriots, who are 1-7 their last eight overall, have won only one true road game all season. Five of their last seven losses have come by a minimum of 11 points. 

While the Patriots manage a mere 64.4 points per game on the road, the Spiders score 81.5 here at home. Richmond, which has wins over teams from the ACC, Pac-12 and MVC, tends to win fairly big when it wins. Six of the Spiders' last seven victories have come by greater than 10 points, five of those by 15 or more. 

The big wins have primarily been a result of strong shooting. The Spiders hit 49.2% (51.1% at home!) of their shots, which is the best mark in the conference and 12th best in the country. Pretty impressive when considering that they've played a few very good defensive teams. They've had at least six straight games where at least four players have recorded double-digits in scoring. I don't feel Thompson and co. will be able to contend with that type of scoring and depth. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on MICHIGAN. The Hoosiers come in with the higher ranking. However, I believe the Wolverines, who have won four straight, are favored for good reason. 

Homecourt has been important in this series and its been important to both teams this season. The Wolverines are 6-4 on the road but an impressive 11-1 at home. The Hoosiers are a perfect 13-0 at home but just 5-4 on the road. 

Last year, the Hoosiers beat the Wolverines by three at Indiana. However, the previous season, the Wolverines won by four in Ann Arbor. 

The Hoosiers are 0-2-1 ATS (0-3 SU) the last three times they were road underdogs of three or fewer points. During the same period, the Wolverines were 5-2 SU/ATS as home favorites of three or less. Look for the Wolverines to protect their homecourt, covering the small number along the way. 10* GOW

I'm playing on BAYLOR. The home team won both meetings in this series last season, the Bears covering in both. The Longhorns eked out a 2-point win (as 3.5 pt favs) at Texas. However, the Bears destroyed them by a 83-60 margin in the game here at Baylor. This one may not be that lopsided but I expect the end result to be the same.

As it was in last year's meetings, home court has been important to both these teams this season. Texas is 11-1 at home but only 3-6 on the road. Meanwhile, Baylor is 3-3 in road games but 13-1 at home. While the Longhorns get outscored on the road, the Bears are beating teams by an average score of 81.7 to 63.6 at home. 

To their credit, the Longhorns have been playing well. They've won five of six (4 of those wins came at home) and they've covered four straight. That said, lets remember that this Texas team is still missing center Cameron Ridley. I expect his absence to have an effect here. Keep in mind that the Longhorns have the worst rebounding margin (-0.3) in the Big-12. That plays into Baylor's strength as the Bears have the best rebounding margin (+9.9) in the conference. With the Bears able to dictate tempo on their home floor, I expect that significant frontcourt advantage to be the difference tonight. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on ATLANTA. While both teams played yesterday, I like how this one sets up for the home team.

The Mavericks had their hands full with a depleted Phoenix team almost the entire game yesterday, eventually pulling away in the fourth. On the other hand, the Hawks lost badly yesterday and that should give them some added hunger/motivation here. They've got a favorable stretch of games coming up and they know they need to take advantage. Starting tonight.

Yes, both teams played yesterday. However, the Hawks had the previous two days off, last playing on 1/28. That's not the case for the Mavs. Prior to yesterday, their most recent game came on 1/29. That puts them in a three games in four nights spot here. It'll also be their fifth game in the past seven.

While the Hawks may seem a little down at the moment, keep in mind that they've still won seven of their last nine on this floor. ALL seven of those victories came by a minimum of seven points, five of them coming by double-digits. (Won by 17, 28, 15, 19, 7, 9 and 21 points) In fact, they won those games by an average of 16.6 points. Laying -8.5, they beat Dallas by 17 points here last season. Another double-digit win won't surprise. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on INDIANA. The Cavaliers are playing well right now, seemingly happy with their new coaching situation. They dropped their first game under Lue but have since won four straight. On that 4-game winning streak and off a double-digit win over the Spurs, many are likely to be jumping on the bandwagon tonight. However, I expect Lebron and co to have their hands full, as the Pacers are always at their best when Cleveland comes to town.

While everyone knows the Cavs are winning, the Pacers are quietly coming around. Myles Turner has proven to be a major addition while Monta Ellis has found his old form. Indeed, over the past two games, Ellis is averaging 28.5 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists and 4 steals. His return as a viable scoring threat should help ease some of the burden on team star, Paul George.

With the Cavs laying this many points, one might assume that their road record is much better than Indiana's home record. That's not the case though. The Pacers are 15-7 at home. The Cavs are 15-9 on the road. The Cavs outscore teams by an average of 4.6 points away from Cleveland. However, the Pacers outscore teams by an average of 6.1 points here at home.

Note that the Cavs, 7-11 ATS off three or more consecutive SU wins, are just 7-14-1 ATS the last 22 times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range.

The Pacers gave the Cavs everything they could handle when the teams met at Cleveland earlier in the season. The Cavs escaped with a 4-point win. Games at Indiana have been a different story though. In fact, the Pacers have beaten the Cavs 10 straight times here. Seven of the 10 Indiana victories came by double-digits, all came by at least four. I'm grabbing the points. 10* Best Bet

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This is essentially a "must-win" game for the Panthers. This is team that I feel they can handle and I expect them to respond with their best effort.

The Panthers, who lost at Clemson last time out, have now dropped three of five. Their next three opponents, two of which they'll face on the road, are all very good. Virginia, Miami and UNC are a combined 50-9. That means that a loss here would be catastrophic.

Knowing the importance of this game, I expect the Panthers to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way and for them to be all business right out of the gate. Jamie Dixon noted: "We've got to come out and get defensive stops early ... "

To their credit, the Panthers have been at their best off a loss this season. In fact, they're a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS in that situation. Off an early season loss against Purdue, they responded by blowing out Duquesne. Laying -9, they won by 21. More recently, off a loss at Louisville, they hammered Boston College in their next game. Laying -19, the Panthers won by 23. Off a loss against NC State, they answered with an outright win (as a small underdog) at Florida State.

The Panthers haven't forgotten that they lost in OT at VT last season. The Hokies bench outscored the Panthers' bench by a 55-10 margin here. That won't be happening again here. This is a young VT team, one which lost both its leading scorer and rebounder from last year. Both transferred. Adam Smith hit a 3-pointer to force OT and then hit another with 3.6 secs left in OT, for the win. The Hokies don't have him any more though.

Virginia Tech has played well three games in a row but they came up short each time. Those type of hard-fought losses can catch up with a young team like the Hokies. Facing a determined Pittsburgh team, I expect it to here. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on ORLANDO. These teams just met at Boston a couple of days ago. The Celtics pulled away for a big win. Back home, I expect the revenge-minded Magic to return the favor.

Off five straight wins, the Celtics are admittedly playing well. They've got a "revenge game" against a divisional opponent (NY) on deck though and I feel it may be easy to look past lowly Orlando, particularly after they just handled the Magic a couple of days ago. Note that even with Friday's cover, the Celtics are still just 2-4 ATS after three or more consecutive wins. 

While the Celtics could get caught patting themselves on the back a little, the Magic figure to be desperate. Victor Oladipo noted: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast ... we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."

The Magic, who just wrapped up a 3-game road trip, are 15-9 ATS the last couple of seasons, after playing their previous three on the road. During that time, they're 17-10-1 ATS as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. 

The Magic have also fared well as a host in this series. A 110-91 win earlier this season brought them to 4-1 SU/ATS their last five home meetings with the Celtics. While I'll gladly take the points, I'm expecting an upset. 10*

I'm playing on GEORGETOWN. The Friars come in with the higher ranking. However, I believe that the Hoyas are favored for good reason. 

The Friars actually have a better road record than they do at home. In fact, they're one of only four teams in the country that's undefeated on the road. (They did lose a neutral site game.) That doesn't mean that will continue though. I expect them to finally taste defeat on the road here.

While they've previously been good at bouncing back from losses, the Friars' loss in their last game figures to be a bit deflating. That's because they fought all the way back from a 17-point deficit, pulling within three, only to still come up short. 

Conversely, the Hoyas were able to erase an 11-point deficit in the final 2:32 of their last game. Unlike Providence, they found a way to win. John Thompson III noted: "I like the way our guys kept fighting. There was a lot of adversity coming from a lot of different angles throughout the game and I liked the way we kept fighting and kept plugging. In the locker room, every single person made a play, a winning play, to help us win this game."

That type of comeback and performance ("every single person making a play") can build momentum for college teams and I expect it to have that effect on the Hoyas today. 10* GOM

I'm playing on KANSAS. I was looking what people were saying in a few previews for this game and the general feeling seemed to be that Kentucky would come away with the win. While its true that the Wildcats are the hotter team at the moment, I believe that the Jayhawks are favored for good reason. 

The Jayhawks have had this game circled. The Wildcats embarrassed them 72-40 at the Champions Classic last season. The previous meeting saw Kentucky beat them in the national title game. 

Last year's game was at Indianapolis but today's rematch will be at Phog Allen Fieldhouse, an extremely hostile environment. In the past nine seasons, only three teams have won here. Under Self, the Jayhawks are 200-9 here. 

Calipari had this to say of the venue: "Going to Allen Fieldhouse, these guys will experience something they will never experience in their life in that building. There is no pro arena like that. There's no other arena we’re going to walk into that's going to be that bad."

The Jayhawks, who allowed 85 points on Monday, are 46-24 ATS (excluding pushes) their last 70 lined games after giving up 80 or more points in their previous game. Payback time at the Phog. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on INDIANA. The Nuggets have played well recently and they're coming off an upset win at Washington last time out. However, I expect them to find things considerably more difficult this evening.

The Pacers got back on track last time out. Their 19-point rout of Atlanta provides some positive momentum. Having lost their previous three, the Pacers know they can't afford any letdown here though, particularly with the Cavs on deck. Note that there shouldn't be any looking ahead to that game. Not only is it on Monday (as opposed to tomorrow) but the Nuggets just beat the Pacers, at Denver, less than two weeks ago. So, the Nuggets should have the Pacers' undivided attention.

The Nuggets, who are playing the final leg of a road trip, are just 4-9-1 ATS off an upset win. They're not going to like what they find here. 10* Personal Fav

I'm playing on FLORIDA. Admittedly, the Gators have had trouble against ranked teams. Beating West Virginia won't be easy, either. The Mountaineers have been one of the best defensive teams in the country this year. That said, I believe the Gators will find a way.
 
True, the Mountaineers won by double-digits last time out. However, a closer look shows that they committed 18 turnovers, missed 13 free throws and hit less than 43% of their shots.
 
The Gators have been very tough to beat on this floor. They're undefeated here in 2016 and have only one loss here all season. In their last home game, the Gators won by 32 points.
 
The Gators catch a break in that WVU senior forward Jonathan Holton will be suspended for this game. Considering that he'd been averaging a double-double (12.3/10.3) the last three games, his absence figures to be significant. Look for the Gators to take advantage. 9* Breakfast Club

I'm playing on UCLA. The Bruins have really struggled on the road and they lost a close one (3-point loss in double-OT) when these teams played at Washington. They've been much better at home though and I expect them to exact some revenge for the New Year's Day defeat.

While they lost to USC in their last game here, the Bruins beat a talented Arizona team their previous game here. They beat Kentucky by double-digits on this floor back in December and the Wildcats were #1 at the time. In other words, when they bring their best, they can beat any team here. The manner in which they lost the 1/1 game, combined with the fact that the Bruins are looking up at the Huskies in the conference standinds, should ensure we get their best effort tonight. 

The Huskies have benefitted from the fact that two of their first three conference road games have come against Washington State and Arizona State. Their only Pac-12 road game against a strong team (Arizona) resulted in a 32-point loss. 

The Bruins have dominated the Huskies here in recent seasons, beating them by 22 here last year. They're 4-1 SU/ATS their last five in the "revenge" role, going 12-4 ATS (13-3 SU) their last 16 in that role. Payback time. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on INDIANA. The Pacers have struggled at the betting window of late but this should be a good spot for them to get back on track.
Both teams just faced the Clippers. However, while the Pacers played LA on Tuesday, the Hawks had to face them yesterday. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Hawks will now be playing their third game in the past four days, their sixth game in the past nine days and their ninth game since 1/15. That's a pretty tough stretch, when considering it included a trip out west. By comparison, the Pacers will be playing just their seventh game since 1/15.
 
Yes, the Pacers have lost three in a row. However, they haven't lost four in a row all season. Each of the previous four times that they lost three straight, they responded by snapping the streak in the fourth game. Three of the four victories came by double-digits. The only game played here at Indiana, after losing three straight, resulted in a double-digit win. I believe the signs point to another big bounceback.
 
Even though they came up short, the Pacers got a monster game from Paul George last time out. That's an encouraging sign as they need George to play like the star that he is. The emergence of Myles Turner has also been a bonus. Additionally, the defense played much better last time out.
 
Indiana coach Vogel noted: "We know we're close, we know we've done some good things. We're not getting blown out every night," Vogel said. "We haven't won nearly enough for our liking but we feel like we're doing the right things to start put us in position to start winning games again."
 
Note that the Hawks are only 8-12 ATS the last 20 times that they were listed as road underdogs of three or fewer points. During the same span, the Pacers were 8-4-1 ATS as home favorites of three or less. It should also be noted that the Pacers have been very competitive against winning teams; they're 15-5 ATS their last 20 against teams with a winning record.
 
While they've had real trouble at Atlanta over the years, the Pacers handled the Hawks here last month. With the schedule in their favor, I look for more of the same this evening. 10* GOW

I'm playing on DREXEL. The Tigers had their way with the Dragons when these teams met at Towson two weeks ago. I expect a much different result for tonight's rematch at Philadelphia.

The Dragons have played a tough slate of games lately. Including the game at Towson, their last four games have come against the top four teams in the Colonial Athletic Conference. Three of those games were on the road, too. The lone home game was against UNC Wilmington. The Dragons were competitive (leading at halftime but lost by 6) but came up short. The result notwithstanding, it was encouraging that the offense "woke up" and topped the 70 point mark. 

The Tigers are no slouches either and are actually 3-1 on the road in conference play. That said, they've been inconsistent with their effort. They've also ost five times away from home, compared to just twice at home. Note that three of their road/neutral wins have been by four points or less and that they've also lost a pair of road games by two points or less. In fact, with the exception of a few blowout losses, all their road games have been quite close. Note that the Tigers are just 1-3 SU/ATS off a conference win. Last time they were coming off a victory, they managed only 37 points their next game.

Drexel leads the series, 48-18, and has won 23 of the 30 meetings here in Philadelphia. The Dragons won by four here last season. I like their chances of an upset here. However, with a real possibility of this being another close one, I'll happily grab the points. 10* Best Bet

I'm playing on UTAH. I won with the Bears when these teams met at Cal a few weeks ago. However, I'm expecting a much different result for tonight's rematch.

After a slow start, off three straight wins, the Utes have started to hit their stride. The Utes, who have solid non-conf wins over teams like San Diego State, BYU, and Temple, not to mention a big win vs. Duke, have only lost on their home floor once all season.

Cal has also thrived at home. In fact, the Bears are perfect when playing at Berkeley. However, the Bears are just 1-6 on the road.

In addition to the change in venue, another big difference from the 1/3 meeting is that Cal will now be without star guard Tyrone Wallace. Wallace put up double-digit points in the first meeting, while leading the team in assists (6) and steals (2). The 6'5 senior averages 33+ minutes with a 15.4/5.4/4.6 line this season after doing the same 17.1/7.1/4.0 last season. This is the Bears' first road game since he got hurt and I believe that he'll be missed.

The Utes are an impressive 70-42 ATS over the years when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on UTAH. These teams met just over a week ago at Charlotte. While it took them two overtimes to do it, the Hornets managed to win that one. With this evening's rematch being played at Salt Lake City, I expect a much different result.

Including the game vs. Utah, the Hornets have seen three of their last five go to OT. I expect it to catch up with them tonight.

The Jazz finally got Derek Favors back last game. While he played only 19 points, he did manage 14 points. Teams can sometimes struggle in the first game when a star returns from a lengthy injury - and the Jazz were upset by the Pistons. However, Favors now has a game under his belt and his return only makes this team stronger.

The Jazz are 20-5 all time here against the Hornets, including a perfect 8-0 the last eight meetings here.

Speaking of perfect, the Jazz are a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS off an upset loss this season. Despite facing some tough teams, they won those six games by a combined 63 points, too, an average of greater than 10 per game. I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on MASSACHUSETTS. The Hawks are rolling. The Minutemen are slumping. Those results have led to a very high line. I believe that it will prove to be a little too high.

While most will be expecting a blowout, a look as the Minutemen's last four losses shows that none of them came by greater than a dozen points. The Minutemen get outscored by an average of 5.4 points on the road, the Hawks outscore teams by an average of 8.2 ppg here at home.

To give some perspective to how high this line is, consider that the Hawks were just laying -11 points against La Salle in their last game. La Salle has the worst record in the conference. When UMass played AT La Salle, it was the Minutemen which were favored. UMass won that game, too. Yet, they're laying a much higher line tonight. Granted, that's mostly to do with the fact that Hawks are now playing at home, in front of what figures to be a fired up crowd.

UMass coach Derek Kellogg thinks that may be just what the Minutemen need though: "...we've fared well in places when there's been some decent crowds, other than maybe Dayton Davidson had a good crowd that was on top of us and our guys responded. Maybe that's what we need, to go on the road and play a top-30 RPI team who's going to have a great home court advantage."

Overall, this has been a close series over the years. In fact, the Hawks haven't beaten the Minutemen by more than 11 points since way back in 2005 and they've played 17 games since that time. Don't be surprised if this one also proves closer than expected. 10* best bet

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. I successfully played against the Bucks in each of their last two games, road losses at Houston and New Orleans. Returning home to face a struggling Orlando team, I like their chances of getting back on track here.
To their credit, the Magic are still playing hard. That hasn't been enough though. They're 0-6 SU their last six games and 1-10 their last 11. Counting yesterday's game as an ATS loss, (Magic won or pushed vs. overnight line but lost vs. closing line) Orlando is now an awful 2-10 ATS its last 12 games.
 
Normally, if I thought a team was still "playing hard," I might expect them to snap out of their ATS funk. However, this is a very difficult spot for them. Not only are they playing the second of b2b games (they're already 0-2 SU/ATS in b2b spots in 2016, losing by 31 combined points) but they're also off their second straight OT loss, which can get demoralizing. Last night, the Magic gave everything they had and were leading by four points with less than 20 seconds to go.
 
Tobias Harris noted: "Its very disappointing. Two games we felt we had the game in our hands and we let it slip away." Harris and Vucevic both played more than 39 mins last night. Their three top guards played 35, 37 and 38 respectively. Sure, Skiles would like to win his return to Orlando. However, Kidd, back behind the bench for the first time in 18 games, wants to prevent that from happening every bit as much.
 
The well-rested Bucks, who average nearly 50 points per game in the paint, should be licking their chops to face an Orlando team which gave up 70 in the paint last night. They've won three straight at home and they'll be looking to avenge a November loss at Orlando. Payback time. 10* Personal Fav

I'm playing on KANSAS. The Cyclones have won three of the last four in this series. However, prior to that, Kansas had won 18 of 19. I expect things to return to "normal" tonight.

The fact that the Jayhawks lost their last two road games may keep a lot of people off them here. However, I expect it to provide them with some added motivation, as they look to show the national audience that this is still a team fully capable of winning anywhere.

Kansas coach Bill Self held a meeting for his four best players prior to the Jayhawks last game. The team responded with a 9-point win over Texas, erasing an early 12-point deficit. Though that wasn't quite enough of a margin to cover the spread, it still allowed the players to regain their confidence. They were dominant in the second half and I look for them to build off that here.

The Cyclones have a talented starting lineup and they obviously are going to really want this one. That said, they've experienced some growing pains since the coaching transition; I feel the Self vs. Prohm matchup favors the visitors. I also feel the Jayhawks have a little more depth and won't view it as an upset when they finish on top. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. If they can get this game in, I feel that it will favor the home team. The Wizards have had plenty of time off. The Celtics played last night and will now be playing their third game in the past four days. Going back further finds that Boston will be playing its 9th game in the past 14 nights. This will just be Washington's sixth game, during the same period.
True, yesterday's game was pretty "easy" for the Celtics. However, they still had to play - and they still had their schedule thrown off by the weather. (That game was supposed to be played the day before.) I won't be surprised to see it effect them here.
 
While the snowstorm has obviously been less than ideal and some may be concerned with the long layoff, note that the Wizards are 3-0 SU/ATS when playing with three or more day's rest in between games.
 
In addition to having the schedule and venue in their favor, the Wizards are playing with triple revenge, having lost all three of this season's series meetings. Payback time. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. The Raptors upset the Clippers at LA earlier this season. I believe that they caught the Clippers at the right time for that one and that they'll find they're facing a far more formidable opponent in Sunday's rematch.
The Clippers were mired in their worst stretch of the season when the Raptors faced them back in November. The loss to Toronto was their third straight setback and dropped them to just 2-7 in their previous nine. Things have changed a lot since then though, as the Clippers have only lost eight more games combined since that time. Instead of coming off b2b losses, the Clippers check in off a 28-point win.
 
While they've been on a nice roll recently, the Raptors are just 5-11 ATS (6-10 SU) the last 16 times that they were listed as home favorites of three or fewer points. Don't be surprised to see their winning streak come to an end. 10* best bet

I'm playing on New Orleans. Situation favors the home team here. Off back to back double-digit wins and winners of four of their last five, the Pelicans are arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to yesterday, one could have said the exact same thing about the Bucks. The Bucks were off b2b double-digit wins and had won four of their previous five. Milwaukee lost a hard-fought game at Houston last night though. The fact that they battled all the way back, only to still fall short, makes it hard to take. Off that close loss and now playing the final leg of a 4-game road trip, I feel that they may not have enough left to contend with Davis and co. A look ahead to the return trip home - and the expected return of coach Jason Kidd - may also be in order.

Davis, who has 67 points in his last two games, had this to say of the team's recent play: "We're just playing desperate. That's it. That's how we've got to play from here on out. Like coach said, in a couple weeks we're going to see where our season goes - whether it's just playing it out or every game matters."

New Orleans has owned the Bucks here. I expect more "desperate" play, leading to another win and cover. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on OREGON. I won with the Ducks when they knocked off #25 USC on Thursday. This afternoon, I'm expecting more of the same against the Bruins.

Last year, the Ducks were led by a superstar in Joseph Young. This year's team is far more balanced. They've got four players averaging in double-figures. As I mentioned on Thursday, the Ducks haven't lost on this floor for more than a year. This season, they're outscoring visiting teams by a 80.1 to 65.5 margin here. A win this afternoon figures to vault them back into the Top 25.

On the other hand, the Bruins have a sub-500 (4-5) road record, going an ugly 2-7 ATS. They've allowed an average of 81.3 points per game on the road, which I expect to spell trouble this afternoon.

It was almost exactly one year ago (1/24/15) that the Ducks crushed the Bruins by a 82-64 margin here. I won't be surprised to see hisotry repeat itself with another double win for the home team. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on UCONN. This is a huge game for both teams. For starters, they're all excited about getting to renew their old rivalry against each other. More importantly, they could both really use the win to help their Big Dance resume. That said, I believe the Huskies need it a little more and I expect them to be a little hungrier.

The Huskies have beaten Michigan, Ohio State and Texas but have lost against Syracuse, Gonzaga and Maryland. A victory here gives them a winning record against non-conference teams likely to be in the top 100 in RPI.

The Huskies haven't forgotten losing the double-OT thriller the last time that these teams met. UConn coach Kevin Ollie noted: "That was a good game [against Georgetown in 2013]. I didn't like the ending of the game, that kind of stuck in my mind ... Thank God, we've got another chance [Saturday] to get another win against a great program. We've got a great opportunity to get a great win."

I look for the Huskies to earn that "great win," improving to 5-1 ATS the last six times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. 9* breakfast club

I'm playing on HOUSTON. The Bucks come in as the hotter team. However, I believe the Rockets will be the "hungrier" team this evening.
 
Off three straight wins, the Bucks may be patting themselves on the backs a little. They've already guaranteed themselves at least a split on the current road trip. With a game at New Orleans on deck tomorrow night (Houston has tomorrow off) I could see this young team not showing up fully focused here. Keep in mind that they're still 7-18 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 104 to 96.1.
 
Also note that the Bucks are just 2-8 ATS the last 10 times they were off three or more consecutive SU wins AND just 4-19-1 ATS (4-20 SU) the last 24 times that they limited their previous opponent to 85 or fewer points.
 
Focus should not be an issue for the Rockets as they know they need to get back on track. I don't mind the fact that Howard won't be available either. Harden has been the man in recent games against Milwaukee and he'll need to be again here. The Rockets star was quoted as saying: "We've been through this situation before. Guys are going to have the opportunity to step up and play extra minutes, so just take advantage of it. Every go on this roster is preparing themselves for a situation like this ... It's just a matter of us regrouping and getting a win (Friday)." I expect Harden and co. to do just that, covering the small number along the way. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on BROOKLYN. Admittedly, the Nets are pretty brutal. I won with them when they beat the Knicks here on 1/13 though and I believe they're offering plenty of value again tonight.
 
The Jazz, who remain without one of their top two players in Favors, aren't the same team on the road. In fact, Brooklyn has more home wins (7) than Utah does road ones. The Jazz are only 6-15 away from Utah, getting outscored by a 99.9 to 95.8 average. They're already 0-2 on their current trip and they play at Washington tomorrow night. The Nets have tomorrow off. Note that Utah went to double-OT in the first of those games and single OT in the next. Disheartening losses.
 
The Nets are 12-9 ATS the last couple of seasons as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. This year's team is a respectable 9-6 ATS against teams from the West. I like their chances of improving on those stats tonight. 9* best bet

I'm playing on IONA. The Gaels recent struggles at the betting window have helped to play a part in bringing this line down. I feel that this will be a good spot for a break-out game. Note that Iona was laying -9 points in this matchup here last season and -12 the year before. In fact, this is the lowest line, when the Gaels were the host in this series, since back in 2007.
 
Even with a loss in their last game here, the Gaels are still 7-1 on this floor and they've still outscored visiting teams by 10 points per game here. Yes, they'll be without Washington (suspension) but they've still got plenty of offensive firepower. Much more than St. Peter's. While the Gaels average 79.8 points (84.6 at home) per game, the Peacocks average a mere 68.6 points, just 277th in the country.
 
Off b2b overall losses, with a road game (Fairfield) on deck AND knowing that they'll play at St. Peter's in less than two weeks, the Gaels know they can ill afford another loss. I expect them to be all business tonight, controlling the tempo and cruising to a win and cover. 10* Personal Fav

I'm playing on OREGON. The Trojans come in with an impressive record and a lofty ranking. Clearly, they're a much improved team from the one that Oregon swept (again) last season. I still believe that the Ducks are favored for good reason though. Lets not forget that Oregon hasn't lost on this floor for more than a year.
 
Off an upset of rival UCLA and ranked in the top 25 for the first time since 2008, I believe the Trojans could be ripe for an emotional letdown.
 
Oregon, which lost at Colorado last time out, has done a great job at bouncing back from a defeat. The Ducks are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS off a loss this season. I expect coach Altman to have his team fired up and for the Ducks to continue their dominance in this series. 10* Personal Fav

I'm playing on CHICAGO. Clearly, the Warriors are an elite team. Betting against them each game so far this season would have resulted in significant losses. They've shown some chinks in their armor recently though. Prior to Monday's blowout win at Cleveland, the Warriors had actually dropped two of three games outright and had gone 0-1-3 ATS their previous four. I believe this will be another good spot to go against them.
The Bulls got back on track with a momentum-building win at Detroit on MLK Day. They'll be highly motivated for the opportunity to knock off the mighty Warriors on National TV, particularly with the Warriors having already beaten them out west. The Bulls are 11-2 SU their last 13 when playing with "revenge," going an impressive 69-27 (SU) in that situation the past few seasons. While they were "only" 13-6 SU their last 19 games here, a closer look shows that only one of those 19 games resulted in a loss of greater than six points. I expect them to give their guests all they can handle with an excellent shot at the outright win. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. With a 16-3 record (5-1 in conference) the Salukis are starting to believe that they're an NCAA Tournament team. True, the schedule has been pretty soft. However, that doesn't change the fact that winning builds confidence.
 
Speaking of "confidence," the Sycamores may be lacking a little as they were thumped by 20 points last game, their winning streak snapped in blowout fashion.
 
The Salukis, who are 3-0 SU/ATS as home favorites of 3.5 or fewer points this season, know they need to hold serve at home in this one (teams play again at Indiana State on 2/10) and they haven't forgotten that the Sycamores swept them last season, upsetting them here last January. I look for them to come away with the win, covering the small number along the way. 10* January MVC G.O.M.

I’m playing on the Utah State Aggies as my 10* Best Bet.

Utah State plays host the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Tuesday night. The Aggies overcame a big injury to Grayson Moore to score a second straight win, knocking off Colorado State Saturday. While losing Moore up front is a tough pill to swallow, we like Utah State building on this momentum – especially catching points at home. Coach Tim Duryea is looking to go smaller with a possible four-guard set, which should up the tempo for an Aggies offense averaging just over 73 points per game. Chris Smith stepped up big for USU, scoring 35 points for a shorthanded side against the Rams. The Rebels have also won two straight games but both of those wins came at home. UNLV lost its first two MWC road tests and is scoring only 67.8 points per road game, compared to 81.1 points at home.

I’m playing on Utah State as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday.

I’m playing on the Virginia Cavaliers as my 10* Personal Favorite.

The Virginia Cavaliers host the Clemson Tigers in an ACC showdown Tuesday. The Tigers are building some momentum in the conference with five straight wins, including some big-name victims like Louisville and Duke, while covering the spread in each of those contests. Clemson is impressive but now is the opportune time to go against the Tigers with their stock so high. And nothing throws a team for a loop like Tony Bennett’s Cavaliers. Virginia is one of the toughest defensive teams in the country, allowing just over 61 points per game. On offense, Virginia plays a methodical pace which sucks the shot clock and really takes opponents out of their rhythm. The Cavs average only 63.5 possessions per game, panning out to a 73.2 scoring average on 49 percent shooting. Virginia is eager to get back on track after a loss at Florida State this weekend and we see them slowing down the red-hot Tigers.

I’m playing on Virginia as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday.

I’m playing on the Washington Wizards as my 10* Personal Favorite.

The Washington Wizards welcome the Portland Trail Blazers to the nation’s capital, with the Blazers fresh off a loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. While many would see Portland ripe to rebound from that embarrassing defeat, we believe this is the beginning of a slide for the Trail Blazers, who wrap a three-game Eastern road trip in DC. Defense has been the Blazers’ biggest issue, allowing their last two opponents – Philly and Brooklyn – to score 114 and 104 points respectively. Washington has much more firepower than those Eastern rivals, ranked 10th in the NBA in points per game. The Wizards had won four in a row before losing to Boston Saturday and are a strong bounce-back bet, having covered in 11 of their last 13 games coming off a loss. The Wizards have also covered in seven of their last eight home stands against Portland.

I’m playing on Washington as my 10* Personal Favorite Monday.

I’m playing on the Utah Utes as my 10* Personal Favorite.

Utah is hoping some home cooking can heat up its offense when the Oregon State Beavers come to Salt Lake City Sunday. The Utes haven’t been sharp in recent games, averaging just under 58 points on 37.5 percent shooting the last three outings. Utah is in a tough spot against the Beavers, at 1-3 in Pac-12 play, making this a desperation game for the Utes. Oregon State comes into Sunday off a road loss at Colorado. With this game being their second straight road stop at high altitude, the Beavers could be running on fumes by the second half. This is just their fourth true road game of the season and OSU has struggled against the Utes, with Utah going 4-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head meetings.

I’m playing on Utah as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday.

I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet.

The Sixers are home to the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday, having covered in two straight games including an OT loss to the Bulls last time out. Philadelphia continues to dwell in the NBA basement and because of this, oddsmakers are handing over piles of points to them on a nightly basis. The value on the 76ers is starting to bubble up again especially in this matchup with a Western opponent. Perception between the two conferences is a wide gap, but the Blazers aren’t a strong team and will be playing the second night of a back-to-back after visiting the Brooklyn Nets Friday night. The Sixers have been a great play in non-conference games with a 10-6-1 ATS mark versus the West this season.

I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Best Saturday.

I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Main Event.

Houston has a chance to pick up a resume win when LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers comes to the Toyota Center Friday. The Cavaliers will be in letdown mode, coming off a tough contest in San Antonio Thursday night. The Rockets will look to pick up their already up-tempo pace against the tired legs of Cleveland. Houston ranks eighth in offensive pace and averages 105 points per game as a host. The Rockets are peaking at the right moment to upend the Cavs, winning five in a row while covering the spread in three of those games. Cleveland has struggled in the second half of back-to-backs, going 0-4-1 ATS in their last five contests without rest.

I’m playing on Houston as my 10* Main Event Friday.

I’m playing on the Iona Gaels as my 10* MAAC Game Of The Month.

Iona looks to extend its home winning streak when it hosts the Monmouth-NJ Hawks Friday. The Gaels picked up their 26th win inside Hynes Athletics Center with a 90-80 victory over Marist last weekend. Iona has won five in a row but has only covered in one of those games. Despite that ATS drought, we like the value with the Gaels in a big MAAC matchup with the Hawks. Gaels star A.J. English is back to full strength after missing time with a hand injury, averaging almost 21 points on 45 percent shooting in his four games back. Also back is fellow guard Deyshonne Much, who had 21 points versus Marist. Things are clicking for the Gaels and we love them at home with this short spread.

I’m playing on Iona as my 10* MAAC Game Of The Month Friday. 

I’m playing on the Los Angeles Lakers as my 10* Main Event.

The Lakers step into the lion’s den against the Golden State Warriors – a matchup of the West’s worst versus its first. However, that’s where the value lies in this game. Oddsmakers are pulling truckloads of points to Los Angeles, which has been one of the better bets in recent weeks. Thanks to some huge spread and some better-than-expected play, L.A. has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 games including an outright win and cover versus New Orleans. The Warriors are in action Wednesday, playing in the thin air of the Pepsi Center in Denver. That should leave the defending champs feeling extra fatigued in this second stop of back-to-back road stops. We don’t think the Lakers have an upset in them but they are playing well enough to stay within this mountain of points.

I’m playing on L.A. Lakers as my 10* Main Event Thursday.

I’m playing on the Santa Clara Broncos as my 10* Best Bet.

The Broncos are hosts to the Pepperdine Waves in WCC action Thursday. Pepperdine comes into this matchup off a huge win over St. Mary’s, taking a 67-64 win over the Gaels, snapping their eight-game winning streak. That sets the Waves up for a letdown spot in this tough road tilt. The Broncos are fresh off a win against San Diego in which they knocked down better than 51 percent of their looks in that win over the Toreros. Santa Clara has covered in five of its last seven games and is a solid bet against conference foes, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine WCC games.

I’m playing on Santa Clara as my 10* Best Bet Thursday.

I’m playing on the Gonzaga Bulldogs as my 10* Personal Favorite.

The Bulldogs bring a seven-game winning streak into this home showdown against BYU Thursday, but haven’t been the most reliable side against the spread in that stretch – covering in just four of the six lined games. However, the Cougars will get special attention from Gonzaga, considering BYU stunned the Bulldogs in Spokane in the finale game of the regular season last year. That snapped a 41-game home winning streak – something that's not lost on the Zags. Brigham Young has only three players back from that upset and run small after 6-foot-11 center Nate Austin. The Cougars will have issues against an angry Gonzaga frontcourt, led by standouts Domantas Sabonis and Kyle Wiltjer, who run 6-foot-11 and 6-foot-10 and outclass most forwards they meet.

I’m playing on Gonzaga as my 10* Personal Favorite Thursday.

I’m playing on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as my 10* Personal Favorite.

The Fighting Irish are reeling after dropping two of their last three, including a home stand against Pitt last time out. However, we love the situation Notre Dame finds itself in Wednesday night hosting a Georgia Tech team coming off one of its biggest wins in recent seasons. The Yellow Jackets upset No. 4 Virginia last time out, opening the door for a huge letdown spot from the Cavaliers. Notre Dame is one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the country, knocking down over than 40 percent of its outside looks. Georgia Tech could find itself buried early on if it comes out flat after such a big win.

I’m playing on Notre Dame as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday.

I’m playing on the Brooklyn Nets as my 10* REVENGE ANNIHILATOR.

Things are going south in Brooklyn, with the franchise doing some housecleaning the past week – firing its head coach and GM. Often times a shift like this can shake a team from its slumber, and with the media doing its best to lambast the Nets, the spreads will climb for Brooklyn. That’s what we’re dealing with Wednesday when the Knicks come to the Barclays Center. New York will be playing the second night of back-to-back games, taking on the Celtics in a physical affair at home Tuesday. The value on the Nets is coming full circle and with the Knicks in a perfect situational spot, we can’t resist pulling the trigger on Brooklyn as a home underdog.

I’m playing on Brooklyn as a my 10* REVENGE ANNIHILATOR.

I am playing on MINNESOTA. Minnesota is simply getting too many points from oddsmakers to ignore in this spot and I think the Gophers keep it close in this Big Ten matchup on Tuesday.

Minnesota will be playing with a little desperation in search of its first conference win of the season while Nebraska could have a slight letdown after earning its first conference game over Rutgers in the Huskers' last outing.

This seems to be a great matchp for the Gophers also after they hammered the Huskers in Nebraska in their last meeting last season, 60-42. 10* Main Event

I am playing on CREIGHTON. Blue Jays head coach Greg McDermott is calling this game against No. 9 ranked Providence one of the biggest games for the Jays since they've entered the Big East and I think home court will help propel them for the victory.

I'm expecting public money to head toward Providence in this one but the sharps know Creighton is a strong team laying a tiny number and is well worth the play here. The Jays have covered seven of their last nine games are absolutely blazing hot shooting in recent games.

Creighton has shot 49.6 percent from the field and 38.8 percent from long range and it's that 3-point shooting that I feel really gives them the edge here over Providence. The Blue Jays are also scoring 90 points per game at home this season and they own the reigning Big East player of the week, Maurice Watson Jr. who scored 40 points last week to go with 18 rebounds. 10* Personal Favorite

I am playing on the CELTICS. I fully expect to see a huge effort from Boston Tuesday night after losing a heartbreaker on Sunday to Memphis after holding a 21-point lead in that game.

The Celtics have dropped to 19-18 after a five-game winning streak in late December and they know they have to get back to that form to keep the playoffs on the radar - especially against so-so Eastern teams like New York.

Boston owns the No. 2 defensive rating in the NBA and I feel they'll clamp down on the Knicks on Tuesday. They lost the first two games of this three-game road trip, to Chicago and Memphis, and they'll be playing desperate basketball to salvage something from the roadie. 10* BEST BET

I am playing on BROOKLYN. This is simply a case of the Nets getting way too many points with the advantage of home court and I like them to cover the number on Monday.

Brooklyn is 6-3 against the number this season as a double digit dog so they've had some success this year when oddsmakers give them too much leeway. I fully expect the Nets to give one of their best efforts of the season in their first game after the club fired its head coach Lionel Hollins and reassigned GM Billy King on Sunday.

Often in these spots, we see teams come out motivated in a huge effort in the next game after firing a coach, both to prove itself to the new bench boss and because the onus often ultimately falls on the players for the firing. Assistant coach Tony Brown will be the interim coach for the rest of the year, so it should help that the team doesn't have a brand new personality to get accustomed to.  

I think we might also see Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich look to use as much of his bench as he can in this game if San Antonio gets a lead. San Antonio plays back to back road games Monday and Tuesday when they face New York a night after Brooklyn. Popp has been known take this tactic in the past and it could be a prime spot for a backdoor cover even if San Antonio pulls away early. 10* Best Bet 

I’m playing on the Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Best Bet.

Portland hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday, aiming to put an end to a three-game skid. The Blazers have dropped three in a row at home – a rare feat for a franchise that prides itself on a home-court edge inside the Rose Garden. Portland hasn’t had much trouble scoring the basketball in the past two games – putting up totals of 98 and 108 points – but hasn’t been able to get it done on defense. They catch Oklahoma City at an opportune time Sunday, with the Thunder playing a string of weaker opponents, beating up on the likes of the Lakers, Bobcats, Suns, Bucks and Nuggets during their 6-1 winning stretch - and losing to the Kings. We’re looking deeper into this streak and have watched OKC struggle at time against these opponents, most recently fighting for a 4-point win over the hapless Lakers. Oklahoma City has failed to cover in four of its last five versus Western Conference opponents and is just 10-11 ATS in conference games this season. We see another close game for a Thunder team that isn't as good as its current record would indicate.

I’m playing on Portland as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. 

I’m playing on the Minnesota Timberwolves as my 9* Afternoon Annihilator.

The Timberwolves are licking their wounds coming off a one-sided loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday. Minnesota backs into this home game against the Dallas Mavericks on a five-game losing skid, but oddsmakers are handing the T-Wolves a ton of points and we can’t help but see the value in this matchup. The Mavericks are wrapping a three-game trip in Minnesota, so we expect them to start looking ahead to their next home stand. That happens to be against LeBron James and the Cavaliers. That’s followed by a showdown at Oklahoma City, so Dallas has plenty on its plate and we are expecting an unfocused Mavs side Sunday. Dallas is coming off a loss at Milwaukee and has been softer on defense in opposing arenas, allowing 103 points per game on the road compared to just under 99 at home. The Mavericks are also getting burned by turnover issues in recent games, coughing up the ball 14.3 times per game in their last three and 16 times in the loss to the Bucks. Those giveaways will equal easy points on the other end for Minnesota.

I’m playing on Minnesota as my 9* Afternoon Annihilator Sunday. 

I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet.

The Sixers hold great value hosting the Toronto Raptors Saturday. Toronto, which played at Washington Friday night, finishes a three games in four nights stretch in Philadelphia and is playing the fourth stop of a five-game road trip that started with a loss to Cleveland Monday. We expect the Raptors to be a little worse for wear against the 76ers, who celebrated a win over Minnesota Monday before losing to Atlanta Thursday. Philadelphia has a young and athletic frontcourt led by Nerlens Noel and Jahlil Okafor, who can be a handle for smaller opponents. Toronto lacks a true big-body center and will lean on Jonas Valanciunas to bang with those big men Saturday. The Raptors have been beaten up inside in recent games, allowing an average of 42.7 points in the paint over their last three contests heading into Friday. Toronto has relied on second-chance looks off offensive rebounds this season, and that’s something the Sixers have cut back on in recent outings.

I’m playing on Philadelphia as my 10* Best Bet Saturday.

I am playing on the Atlanta Hawks. Sports betting is all about catching spots where are you are ahead of the oddsmakers' adjustments and I feel we have a perfect opportunity like that Saturday night when the visiting Bulls come to town.

I've been watching Atlanta play recently and even though the club has lost two of its last three games, the Hawks have been playing much better team basketball and I've been waiting for them to break out. That break out came in their last game against the Sixers when they erupted for 126 points in a 28-point win where Atlanta piled up 36 assists.

That's the Hawks team we got used to seeing last year and I feel they are way undervalued Saturday night as Chicago comes in hot on a six-game winning streak. I feel that luck is about to run out for a Bulls squad that I feel will be playing on tired legs in its fifth game in nine days going up against a Hawks team playing fantastic hoops as a unit.

Atlanta's Kent Bazemore is averaging 20.3 points over his last four games and I'm expecting another big effort from him Saturday night in an Atlanta victory where they are laying a small number. 10* Personal Favorite

I’m playing on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as my 10* GAME OF THE MONTH.

The Fighting Irish welcome the No. 21 Pitt Panthers to South Bend Saturday, looking for their fourth win in the last five games. Notre Dame is coming off a victory at Boston College, covering as a 9-point road favorite with a one-sided 82-54 victory. The Irish are among the top scoring teams in a conference setting the pace offensively in the nation, and face a potent attack in Pitt, which is putting up just over 85 points per game. Plenty of pundits are calling for a shootout between these two former Big East rivals and whenever you have that in the cards, you have to lean toward to the home side in their own gym. Notre Dame is averaging 83.3 points at home – almost 10 points more than on the road – and shooting just under 52 percent inside Purcell Pavilion. Pitt has struggled away from home since joining the ACC, taking a 4-13-1 ATS road skid into this matchup. Notre Dame has covered in seven of the last nine head-to-head matchups with Pitt and we see the Irish adding to that total Saturday with a convincing home win.

I’m playing on Notre Dame as my 10* ACC GOM. 

I’m playing on Kent State as my 10* Personal Favorite.

The Golden Flashes come into this home stand against the Buffalo Bulls on a three-game tear, thanks in large part to an offensive surge centered around star forward Jimmy Hill. The Mid-American first teamer dropped 18 and 21 points in his last two games, igniting 104 and 87-point efforts from Kent State. Having Hall at the middle of the playbook has allowed the Golden Flashes to drop it into the post and condense opposing defenses, opening looks for perimeter players. Kent State can really run it up against a Buffalo defense allowing a MAC worst 75.4 points a night. The Bulls have allowed opponents to knock down 43 percent of their shots and with a perimeter-focused defense, that leaves plenty of room for Hill to operate inside. Last year, he scored 16 and 18 points in the two meetings with Buffalo, while dominating the glass on both ends.

I’m playing on Kent State as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday.

I'm playing on UCLA. Off back-to-back losses to start Pac-12 play, the Bruins figure to be in a foul mood tonight. Granted, they'll be facing a far more formidable opponent - but they'll also be doing it at home. They haven't started off 0-3 in conference play for as long as I can remember (last time was 34 years ago) and I expect their very best effort tonight. Before panicking about the winless conference start - or about a visit from the #7 Wildcats - keep in mind that UCLA has already defeated the likes of Gonzaga and Kentucky. Lets also not forget that last year's team, which advanced to the Sweet 16, also lost its first two conference games. Even with the loss at WSU, the Bruins are still a healthy 10-5 SU/ATS the last 15 times that they were off a Pac-12 setback. The Wildcats won both meetings last season. Neither of those were here at Westwood though. Payback time at Pauley Pavilion. 10* Best Bet

I'm playing on CHICAGO. Bulls lost a close one at Boston last month. They weren't playing well at the time, as that was their third straight SU loss and fourth straight ATS loss. What a difference a month can make. The Bulls enter tonight's game off five straight wins, having covered the spread in four of those, each of the last three. While that streak figures to come to an end in the relatively near future, I don't expect it to be tonight. The Bulls had last night off while the Celtics are off a hard fought and disappointing loss vs. the Pistons. This will be their third game in the past four nights. The Bulls are 9-1 SU the last 10 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. I expect them to improve on those stats, covering the small number along the way. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Both these teams have struggled of late and both view tonight's game as an opportunity to earn a rare victory. Playing at home, I believe the T-Wolves will have the edge. This will already be the fourth meeting of the season. The teams split the first two at Denver. Then, the Nuggets won the most recent game, a 112-100 "upset" here at Minnesota. Note that the T-Wolves were favored by -6.5 points for that one, so we're getting a far more favorable line tonight. The fact that they lost that the most recent meeting, and that it was here, puts the T-Wolves in one of their best roles. The Wolves check in at a profitable 38-20 ATS their last 58 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. They skipped Tuesday's regular practice to instead "discuss strategy" and I expect it pay dividends on the court tonight. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on GEORGIA. Off a loss to begin conference play, the Bulldogs are chomping at the bit to get back at someone. The Tigers should represent the perfect opponent as Georgia is 3-0 SU/ATS against Missouri the past couple of seasons. The two most recent meetings, both here at Georgia, saw the Bulldogs win by scores of 68-44 and 71-56. I expect another double-digit victory for the home team tonight. The Tigers have only played two true road games and they lost those by an average of 24 points each. Factoring in neutral court games, they're 0-5 on the road. The Bulldogs are stingy defensively and capable offensively. Yante Manten (16.6, 7.5) has emerged as a bigtime force inside while Frazier, Gaines and Mann form a strong backcourt, one which combines for 39+ points per game. That should be more than enough to take care of business against a young Missouri team playing its first SEC game of the season. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on DALLAS.

The Kings had their way with the Mavs when these teams met at the end of November. However, that game was at Sacramento and the Kings were well-rested. Tonight's meeting sets up differently. Not only is the venue now at Dallas but the well-rested Mavs will host a Kings team which played at OKC last night and which will be playing in its third different city in the past four days. Off a 10-5-98 loss vs. New Orleans on 1/2, which was preceded by a New Year's Day loss at Miami, the revenge-minded Mavs should be motivated for a big effort in order to secure their first win of the year. They've 9-3 ATS after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game and 3-0 ATS when coming off a SU loss as a favorite. Payback time.

10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on SYRACUSE.

The Tigers are off an impressive win over Florida State. However, they're just 7-11-1 ATS the past 2+ seasons off a conference win. Additionally, that victory came at home. On the road, the Tigers are 0-3, losing by 11 at UNC, by 23 at Georgia and by six at Minnesota. Including neutral site games, they're only 1-4 getting outscored by an average of 76 to 68.2. Coming off losses at Miami and at Pittsburgh, the Orange have also struggled on the road. However, they've been much better as the home team. The Orange won by 13 against the Tigers here last season. Motivated to avoid their first 0-3 conference start since the mid-90s, another double-digit won't surprise.

10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on MILWAUKEE.

This is a lot of points to be getting with a team which has won back-to-back games (road wins @ Indiana and Minnesota) and which has a winning record on its home floor. The Bucks did get blown out at San Antonio a few weeks back. However, they're playing better since then, haven covered 10 of their last 15. While the Spurs are clearly playing very well, the Bucks aren't intimidated by anyone and their win over the Warriors on this floor should give them the confidence that they can pull off the upset tonight. Grab the points.

10* Best Bet

I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA.

The Tar Heels have won five straight in this series and they've won seven of the past eight here. Each of the last five meetings (all UNC wins) has been decided by at least four points. The Tar Heels won their last two visits here by five and six points, respectively. This year's UNC team can score points with the best of them; they're averaging 89 points over their past five. They turned up the defensive intensity in the second half last time out, rallying from a 9-point deficit. Leading scorer Johnson noted: "We just decided to get some stops and win. That was the biggest thing. We wanted to just stop, I mean we were scoring and doing what we needed to do. We just needed a couple of stops to get a win. And that's what we did." I believe The Tar Heels will build some positive momentum from that victory and that they'll again be too much for the Noles, who are off a 9-point loss at Clemson, to handle.

10* Main Event

I'm playing on CALIFORNIA.

The Utes bring the higher ranking into this evening's contest. However, I feel that the Bears are favored for good reason. The Bears haven't lost at home yet and they're chomping at the bit at the opportunity to take down a ranked opponent here. While the Utes have already done some good things (like beating Duke) they're also off a tough 70-68 OT loss at Stanford on Friday night, a game which saw them miss their final seven free throws (3 in OT) while committing 19 turnovers. I won't be surprised if they suffer negatively from that setback tonight. Cal, on the other hand, comes in off a momentum-building blowout of Colorado, its second straight double-digit victory and fourth straight cover.

10* Personal Favorite 

I'm playing on INDIANA.

These teams have split a pair of meetings at Detroit. Including those results, the Pistons are an impressive 11-5 at home. They aren't nearly as good on the road though. Indeed, they're only 7-10 SU/ATS away from Detroit. Note they're just 6-14 SU/ATS the last 20 times that they played a road game with an O/U line in the 200 to 204.5 range. They'll be facing a Pacers team which outscores teams by an average margin of 103.2 to 97.2 here. I feel the number could easily be higher and am expecting a win and cover for the home team.

10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on OKLAHOMA.

These teams both bring top 20 rankings into this evening's contest; each is very capable. I like how the Sooners match up against them though. Iowa State's biggest weakness is arguably defending the three-point shot (currently last in the Big 12 in that category) and that's a strength of the Oklahoma offense. The Sooners can get it done on the defensive end of the floor, too. Only two teams have shot better than 40% against them and teams are shooting only 35.6% (2nd best in the country) for the season.

10* Main Event

I'm playing on BYU.

The Gaels are off to an impressive start. However, they arguably haven't played as difficult a schedule as BYU. I expect their recent trip to the islands to provide the battle-tested Cougars with an edge. Yes, they did lose an OT game against Harvard. However, they bounced back by dominating New Mexico by 30 and then controlling a solid Northern Iowa team, en route to an 8-point win. While the teams have split the past six meetings, the three St. Mary's victories have come by an average of only 4.3 points, four of the six meetings being decided by seven or fewer points. Watching this one also going down to the wire won't surprise.

10* Best Bet

I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS.

The Clippers easily. handled the Pelicans when the teams met last month. That was at LA though. The Clippers had Blake Griffin in the lineup and they were playing with a day's worth of rest in between games. None of those things are true for this evening's rematch. This time, the Clippers are off a game last night, while facing a rested Pelicans team. This time, the Clippers on the road. This time, they'll be sans Griffin; he had 20 points, six boards and six assists in last month's meeting. This is arguably worse than just a typical b2b spot for the Clippers, as they'll be playing their fifth game already since Christmas. The Pelicans have won three straight games on this floor. I expect them to make it four in a row, covering the small number along the way.

10* GOW

I'm playing on UTAH STATE.

While I'm generally not one to back too many road favorites, the Aggies have a number of advantages here. They're both the superior shooting and the superior rebounding team. While they may have handled "Life Pacific" last time out, this is not a good Spartans team. Their previous win came against "Antelope Valley." The Aggies had some trouble against the likes of Duke and BYU, going through a 4-game stretch where they went 0-4 at the betting window. That stretch has toughened them up for conference play though. Facing lesser opposition, they're off three straight double-digit wins. A blowout of North Dakota State (a team which is stronger than SJ State) last time out brought them to a profitable 26-12 ATS their last 38 when laying points. They've hammered this team for years and they won by 22 here last season. I see another double-digit win in the cards.

10* Personal Favorite  

I'm playing on HOUSTON.

The situation favors the home team here. The Hawks are off a big game at Indiana last night. The Rockets will play with two day's worth of rest. That's noteworthy as they're an impressive 23-5 SU and 20-8 ATS the past couple of seasons when playing with exactly two day's rest. A narrow loss at New Orleans last game notwithstanding, the Rockets are showing signs of coming around. They're 4-2 SU/ATS their last six. They've also won seven straight here at home, covering the last six of those. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to extend their streak here for at least another day.

10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on WISCONSIN.

The Boilermakers boast a talented team and enter conference play with considerably higher expectations than the Badgers. They know winner here is never easy though. I don't expect it to be easy tonight either, as I expect the Badgers to be extremely hungry. In their first game under new coach Gard, the Badgers nearly blew a 30-point second half. That caused Ethan Happ to comment: ''It was embarrassing to our program. It was embarrassing to us. I know it made me sick. I'm sure it made the other guys sick as well. We cannot play like that in the Big Ten season and expect to win at any point in the game.'' Look for them to Badgers to be much better, en route to at least a cover.

10* Main Event

I'm playing on PHOENIX.

This is a tough spot for the Cavs. They battled the Warriors on Christmas Day and then had to play Portland the very next day. That makes this their third road game in four days and they know that they'll play at Denver tomorrow night. While the Suns also played Boxing Day, they had enjoyed both Christmas Eve and Christmas Day without playing. They also get tomorrow off. Motivated by a loss against the lowly 76'ers, I expect the Bledsoe-less Suns to bring their best effort en route to at least a cover.

10* Best Bet

I'm taking the points with BELMONT.

The Crusaders boast the superior record and come in as small favorites. I won't be surprised to see the Bruins come away with the upset though. Belmont gave the Crusaders all they could handle when the teams met at Valparaiso earlier, losing by just four as 9-point dogs. That result should provide them with such confidence. They're a much better team here, where they're already 3-0 and an outright win for the revenge-minded Bruins is definitely not out of the question.

10* Best Bet

I am playing on MEMPHIS (vs LA Lakers) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Sunday @ 6:05 PM ET - Of course it goes without saying that the Lakers are one of the worst teams in the league but they have gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Memphis. That said, the Grizzlies certainly won't overlook the Lakers as they don't want another tight victory here; Memphis wants a blowout. The Grizzlies are coming off of back to back losses at Washington before Christmas and then at Charlotte yesterday. As a result, there is no doubt that Memphis will bring plenty of intensity to the floor Sunday against the Lakers. Only once this entire season has Memphis had a lost streak go further than two games. That said, they will be ready to pound LA on Sunday. The Lakers come into this game with a 2-5 ATS mark as a road dog set in a range of 9.5 to 12 points. The Lakers are also 0-5 ATS against Southwest Division opponents this season. Look for ATS loss #6 to come in on Sunday as the Lakers are in the wrong place at the wrong time. It's the perfect spot for Memphis to impose their will 

I am playing on OHIO STATE (vs South Carolina State) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Sunday @ 6 PM ET - South Carolina State comes from the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC). Not only is that one of the weakest conferences in the nation, the Bulldogs also are among the bottom half of the teams in the conference. Last season South Carolina State went 11-22 on the year and this season, despite playing a weak schedule, they are off to another rough start with a 5-8 mark thusfar. Last season the Bulldogs had trouble with their offense. Though the offense has improved early this season, South Carolina State is not defending well and they will have all sorts of trouble trying to stop the talented players a Big Ten team like Ohio State has. The Buckeyes are only 7-5 on the season but they've played some tough opposition early this season. Also, five of Ohio State's seven wins have come by a margin of at least 20 points. This is another game that has blowout written all over it for the Buckeyes. This is Ohio State's final tune-up before Big Ten conference action gets underway (they face Minnesota Wednesday) and the Buckeyes will make sure they're ready to go by giving the full 40 minute performance against an overmatched Bulldogs team Sunday. Ohio State is 3-0 ATS this season and 9-3 ATS the last three seasons combined in home games with a total set in a range of 135 to 139.5 points. 

I am playing on UTAH (vs LA Clippers) as my *10 NBA Game of the Week on Saturday @ 9:05 PM ET - The Jazz catch the Clippers in a tough scheduling spot here as the Clips battled with the Lakers in the late game on Christmas Day yesterday. Utah definitely has the edge in terms of being rested for this game while the Clippers had to travel from LA to Salt Lake City for this tough back to back game. The Jazz already defeated the Clippers in LA earlier this season and are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 home games against the Clips. Utah comes into this game on a 4-2 straight-up and ATS run in home games. The Jazz are 3-0 ATS this season in home games with a total set in a range of 195 to 199.5 points. Utah's most recent game was a loss by a margin of 18 points at Golden State on Wednesday. The Jazz are 3-1 ATS this season when off of a loss by a margin of 10 points or more. The Clippers are off of a win against the Lakers last night but they did fail to cover the spread and are now 4-8 ATS this season in road games. As a road favorite of 3 points or less, the Clippers are on a long-term 31-53 ATS run. Look for the Jazz to improve to 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in Saturday games this season with another big home win as they take advantage of a scheduling situation that is very favorable for Utah. 

I am playing on OKLAHOMA (vs Harvard) as my *10 Personal Favorite on Friday @ 9 PM ET - With Oklahoma off of a tight win over Hawaii (by just 3 points), there is some line value created here. The line on the Sooners for Christmas Day has been kept lower than it should be. Oklahoma is undefeated on the season and, prior to the win over Hawaii, the Sooners prior 8 wins came by an average margin of 26.4 points per victory. That said, covering 14 against an over-matched Harvard team should not be a problem. The Crimson lost an 'all-everything player' with the loss of Wesley Saunders from last season's team. It's evident this has impacted Harvard as they are only 5-6 this season. The Crimson just don't have the offensive firepower to keep up with Oklahoma. While Harvard is averaging 67 points per game this season, the Sooners are averaging 87 points per game this season. Harvard is 3-5 away from home this season while Oklahoma comes into this one undefeated. Don't be fooled by the Crimson allowing just 51 points to Auburn. In their four prior games, Harvard allowed 76.5 points per game. The Crimson won't be able to stop Oklahoma and this one will be all Sooners as Harvard continues to show they are below the level of the teams here that recently produced 5 straight Ivy League titles and four straight appearances in the Big Dance. Oklahoma got their "wake-up call" against Hawaii and that means the Sooners won't take Harvard lightly.

I am playing on HOUSTON (vs San Antonio) as my *10 Main Event on Friday @ 8:05 PM ET - The Rockets host the Spurs with a shot at revenge in this heated rivalry. These teams are separated by less than 200 miles and, as a result, there is certainly "no love lost" between these rivals. The Spurs managed to win each of the last three meetings between the clubs last season and that means payback is the order of the day for Houston on Christmas Day. The Rockets are off of a loss at Orlando but had won 10 of their 14 prior games. As strong as the Spurs have been this season, it is still difficult to justify San Antonio being favored by a big margin on the road against a tough rival. In the Rockets current 10-5 run their last 15 games only 2 of the 15 games was a Rockets loss by a margin of more than 6 points. San Antonio is on an 18-25 ATS run in divisional games. The Rockets are on an 8-4 ATS run this month and have covered 44 of 69 games the past three seasons when their prior game was a non-conference game. After playing very solid defense for three straight games (all wins) Houston really let up on the defensive end in their loss at Orlando. Look for the solid D to resume on their home floor on Christmas Day and the Rockets should absolutely be in this game all the way Friday evening. That means great line value is being offered with the points in this one.

I am playing on PHOENIX (vs Denver) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Wednesday @ 10:05 PM ET - The Suns host Denver in the perfect spot for a blowout. The Nuggets hosted the Lakers last night and then had to travel west for one final game before a Christmas break. It's more than just a back to back as it's also a lookahead to some time off for Denver. The Phoenix situation is different as they were off yesterday and that game the Suns even more time to think about the bad loss they had at Utah on Monday. in that game Phoenix got drilled by 21 points. The Suns are 5-2 ATS this season when off of a loss by 10 points or more. Phoenix also is 21-10 ATS the past three seasons combined when off of a defeat by a double digit margin. The Suns are 26-16 ATS in their last 42 games against teams from the Northwest Division. Denver has lost 5 of 6 (and gone 2-4 ATS) in their games against teams from the Pacific Division this season. The Nuggets are only 2-4 SU in the 2nd night of back to backs this season. Also, Denver has lost 3 of 4 in the 2nd night of a back to back when the first game is at home (thin air in Denver) and the 2nd game is on the road (always tough to travel for a back to back). Situation is great here for a Phoenix win by a double digit margin. 

I am playing on BAYLOR (vs New Mexico State) as my *10 CBB *Game of the Month* on 8 PM ET - The Bears are a surprising 0-4 ATS on the season and that is certainly helping to keep this line lower than it should be. That, plus the fact that Baylor is off of a rare straight-up loss (just their 2nd of the season) has me going with a very strong play here. The Bears are a solid 8-2 on the season but they are angry as they are coming off of an ugly loss at Texas A & M by a 19 point margin. Now Baylor is back home and ready to get the bad taste out of their mouth after being embarrassed by the Aggies. The Bears go from facing one Aggies to team to hosting another Aggies team. New Mexico State visits Waco Wednesday night. The Aggies are off of back to back wins but the recent road win they had was their first of the season as they are 1-3 SU and ATS in road games this season. New Mexico State is on a 4-9 ATS run against Big 12 opponents and also an 8-14 ATS run as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. Baylor, coming into this season, had gone 4-1 ATS when they entered a game having to failed to cover each of their last three games. The Bears also are 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS when they are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Baylor is not happy at all with what transpired at College Station and the Bears will respond in a huge way Wednesday. New Mexico State came into this season having lost four of their top six scorers from last season's team. It shows as the Aggies already have 5 losses on the season.

I am playing on CALIFORNIA (@ Virginia) as my *10 ESPN2 Main Event on Tuesday @ 9 PM ET - The Golden Bears, based on this line, certainly are not getting the respect they deserve as a solid Pac-12 team is off to a 9-2 start to the season. Of course Virginia is 9-1 on the season and certainly ranks among the top teams in the country so far this season. However, Cal is a formidable foe that can challenge the Cavaliers in this one. The Golden Bears entered this season projected by some to be a Sweet Sixteen level team. Cal has tremendous talent and is well-coached. The Bears come into this game having won 5 straight games. One of their two losses this season came by just four points. The Golden Bears are shooting the ball very well this season. On the other end, the California defense has been exceptional ever since the aforementioned 4 point loss. That defeat followed Cal's only other loss this season and those back to back defeats seemed to be a wake-up call for the team. The Golden Bears are on a long-term run of 8-4 ATS as a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. The Cavaliers are off of a big win over Villanova by a final count of 86-75. The Cavs are 2-5 ATS the last three seasons when they are off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. After that big win, it is hard for Virginia not to be a little "flat" here and the Golden Bears have the talent to be dangerous underdog in this situation.

I am playing on DREXEL (vs Pennsylvania) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Tuesday @ 7 PM ET - Nice contrarian angle here as the 1-8 Drexel Dragons face a 5-5 Pennsylvania team. The quick reaction here would of course be to go against the team that has such a poor record so far this season, especially considering that the Dragons are laying points here. However, Drexel has played the much tougher schedule early this season and there is a lot of value with the Dragons in this spot. Penn is off of a win but previously had lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Quakers also have a lookahead in effect here as it is hard to get excited about playing a 1-8 team when you have a big game on deck with Villanova up next. All of these are Philly-area teams but the Wildcats are the top team in the area of course. The Quakers defense has faded lately with weak performances and that is a concern heading into a match-up with a Drexel team that is so hungry to get back into the win column. While Penn comes into this game off of a win, the Dragons have lost back to back games and are suffering through an ugly 1-8 start to the season. Penn is on a 10-15 ATS run in road games. Drexel has played mostly neutral site games and road games early this season so they are happy to be back on their home floor here and I look for that to show up with a big home win for the Dragons Tuesday.

I am playing on GONZAGA (vs Pepperdine) as a *10 Main Event on Monday @ 9 PM ET - These teams have similar records with Pepperdine at 7-4 while Gonzaga is at 8-3. However, that is where the similarities start and stop with these teams. The Bulldogs are a powerful team in a good spot ready to dominate on their home floor. Gonzaga is off of a win Saturday but they were not happy about their perimeter defense in that game as they allowed Tennessee to hit nearly 50% of their threes. Look for a stronger defensive effort tonight from a Bulldogs team that had given up just 64 points or less in 7 of their first 10 games this season. Gonzaga is hosting a Pepperdine team that is only 3-4 away from home this season. Also, the Wave have faced a much weaker schedule so far this season. Pepperdine is off of a strong defensive effort in their most recent game but they are 0-3 ATS this season when they are off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. Even though Gonzaga is on short rest here they have gone 19-9 ATS the last 3 seasons combined when they are playing with one day or less of rest. The Bulldogs blasted the Wave by 18 points the last time they met and that was on a neutral floor last March. At home, this one gets even uglier in terms of a blowout win for Gonzaga. 

I am playing on HOUSTON (vs Charlotte) as a *10 Blue Marlin on Monday @ 8:05 PM ET - Very small number on the home favorite Rockets and I am going to step in and take full advantage. Houston has won five straight games on their home floor and not enough weight has been given to their home court edge in looking at this match-up. The Hornets have lost 7 of their 11 road games this season. Also, this is not an easy spot for them. Charlotte has allowed 50% or better shooting from the field in their two most recent road games. The Hornets won't be able to slow down a high-powered Rockets offense that has been firing on all cylinders recently. Charlotte has failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games while Houston has covered 7 of their last 10 games. This is a classic case of Hot versus Not and I''ll grab the Hot!

I am playing on TORONTO (vs Sacramento) as my *10 NBA Personal Favorite on Sunday @ 6:05 PM ET - This is a very manageable number for Toronto. On Sunday, the Raptors are hosting a Kings team that is only 2-9 on the road this season. That said, laying about 5 points with a Toronto team that is 8-4 in home games this season is truly a good value. The Raptors play this game with revenge from a road loss at Sacramento last month. Toronto is 10-2 ATS this season when playing with revenge. The Raptors are off of a 108-94 win at Miami and Toronto has gone 6-1 ATS this season when off of a game where they scored 105 points or more. The Kings enter this game off of a road loss at Minnesota and that brings Sacramento's current run in road games to 1-3 ATS and 0-4 straight-up. The Kings were favored against the Timberwolves and Sacramento has gone 8-14 ATS when they are off of a straight-up loss as a favorite. The Kings also are on a 7-16 ATS run against Atlantic Division opponents and a 13-23 ATS run in December games. Look for the Raptors to roll at home in a game that is set up well to be ALL Toronto!

I am playing on WRIGHT STATE (vs Bowling Green) as a *10 CBB Main Event on Sunday @ 4:30 PM ET - Wright State's overall record may not look impressive but they are a tough out on their home floor. The Raiders have won 3 of their 4 home game this season and their average margin of victory in the 3 wins was 3 points. Wright State is hosting a Bowling Green team Sunday that is off of a road loss where they allowed 95 points last Saturday. Home court makes a huge difference in College Basketball and I see a big edge with Wright State laying a small number in this one. The Raiders have won 21 of their 33 home games the past three seasons. The Falcons could be impacted by the long layoff here and they are 6-10 ATS when they enter a game off of 7 or more days of rest. Bowling Green also is on a 7-12 ATS run in road games with a total set in a range of 135 to 139.5 points. Just like it what happened at Detroit last weekend, the Falcons defense does them in again this weekend as Wright State rolls at home. 

I am playing on GONZAGA (vs Tennessee) as my *10 Main Event Saturday @ 11 PM ET - Tennessee has played solid defense this season. The Bulldogs have played even better! The Volunteers have shot the ball well this season, Gonzaga has shot the ball even better. You can see where I am going with this. As respectable as the Vols play has been early this season Tennessee is still not on par with the level that this Gonzaga team is at. Additionally, the Bulldogs have the home court edge here. While it is considered a neutral site game there is no denying the venue being the KeyArena in Seattle, WA certainly favors the Zags. The Volunteers have a long-term mark of 38-57 ATS in neutral court games the last three seasons. As you would expect, Tennessee struggles against elite defensive teams. The Vols are 7-17 ATS the past three seasons when they a face a team that is allowing an average of 64 points per game or less. Gonzaga is 15-8 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. The Volunteers have won all five games on their home floor this season but they've lost all four games away from home! The Bulldogs are allowing just 61 points per game this season and the Vols are allowing 75 points per game. The better defense and the 'home court edge' on this 'neutral court' will lead to a huge home win for Gonzaga.

I am playing on HOUSTON (vs LA Clippers) as my *10 Best Bet Saturday @ 8:05 PM ET - Though this is a revenge spot for the Clippers it is also a poor scheduling spot for them and that gives the Rockets a huge edge here. The Clips were battling hard in San Antonio last night while Houston had an off day on the calendar. This is not only a back to back spot for the Clippers but also it is the 7th game for LA in the past 11 days. The Rockets come in rested and ready to defeat the Clippers for a 5th straight time. After falling behind 3 games to 1 in their series against the Clips in the post-season, the Rockets rallied to win three straight games to take the series. Houston then followed that up with a 4th straight win over the Clippers when the Rockets beat them in LA in their first match-up of the season. Now the 2nd match-up also favors Houston based on the scheduling dynamics here. The Rockets are 5-2 SU and ATS in games against the Pacific Division this season. The Clippers allowed 115 points to the Spurs last night and the Clips have gone 2-5 ATS this season after a game in which they gave up 105 points or more. 

I am playing on PHOENIX (vs New Orleans) as my *10 Blue Marlin on Friday @ 10:35 PM ET - The Suns have hit a tough stretch and are a tough 11-16 on the season but New Orleans is 1-7 ATS this season against teams with a losing record. The Pelicans have a 7-18 record on the season and there is great line value here with Phoenix as a small home favorite. The Suns have a 7-6 straight-up record in home games this season while the Pelicans had lost 12 of their 13 road games before a surprising road win at Utah on Wednesday night. With New Orleans off of an upset win on the road and Phoenix off of an ugly road loss at powerful Golden State, the set up is perfect for a big Suns home win here. Phoenix is 4-2 ATS this season - and 20-10 ATS the last 3 seasons - when they are off of a loss by a margin of 10 points or more in their prior game. When the Suns allowed 105 points or more in a game, they've responded by going 45-32 ATS in their next game. Look for Phoenix to get back on track tonight as they take advantage of New Orleans off of a rare road win. The Pelicans, with only two road wins all season, are certainly unlikely to put together two straight victories away from home. 

I am playing on OREGON (vs Long Beach State) as my *10 CBB Blue Marlin on Friday @ 9 PM ET - The 49'ers lost all five starters from last season's team. Long Beach State has battled hard to try and quickly recover without all those pieces. The 49'ers have been helped by some solid Junior College transfers. But it takes time for a team to gel after so much roster turnover. Long Beach State is off of a win but it was against a weak foe and, prior to that, the 49'ers had lost 6 of their 8 prior games. Look for Long Beach State's losing ways to quickly return as they now step up big in class again to face a tough Oregon team. The Ducks are 8-2 on the season and off a blowout win over Cal Irvine. 5 of the Ducks 8 wins this season have come by a margin of at least 15 points. Oregon is on a 10-3 ATS run as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The 49'ers are allowing 80 points per game in road games this season while the Ducks are allowing just 64 points per game in home games this season. Look for that to be a key tonight as the Oregon offense simply proves to be too much for a Long Beach State team that struggles to get defensive stops. 

I am playing on ATLANTA (@ Boston) as my NBA *10* Game of the Month on Friday @ 7:35 ET - The Hawks will be surging with confidence when they hit the floor in Boston tonight as they scored 127 points on 61.5% shooting from the floor in their win versus Philadelphia on Wednesday. The Hawks are catching the Celtics at a good time as they are off of back to back losses including a deflating 119-116 loss at Detroit on Wednesday. Boston has lost three of their last four games and has shot poorly from the field in four of their last five games. In a home game with the total set in a range of 200 to 204.5 points the Celtics have gone 2-5 ATS this season and 13-20 ATS the past three seasons cumulative. The Hawks blasted by 24 points in the last meeting between these clubs last month. Atlanta has outshot the Celtics from the field by a substantial margin in each of the last four meetings between these teams. With the Hawks also coming off of the hot shooting night Wednesday, Boston's defense is truly in trouble here. Atlanta has taken full advantage when facing weaker defenses this season as Atlanta has gone 9-4 ATS this season in games against teams allowing 99+ points per game on average. The Hawks are 18-8 ATS in road games with a total set in a range of 200 to 204.5 points this season. Atlanta also has a 26-11 straight up record in December games the past three seasons. Look for another big December win tonight on Friday for Atlanta and grab the points with the Hawks. 

I am playing on HOUSTON (@ LA Lakers) as my *10 TNT *Main Event* on Thursday @ 10:35 PM ET - After back to back losses in a tough back to back situation at Denver and then Sacramento, the Rockets have now had a day off and are rested and will take advantage of facing a Lakers team that just won for only the 4th time in 25 games this season. That sets this situation up perfectly for the Rockets to come in and dominate. The Lakers had lost their two prior games by a combined 51 points before notching their rare win over Milwaukee on Tuesday. Of course the Lakers were helped by a situational edge there as the Bucks were off of their massive upset win over Golden State that ended the Warriors unbeaten season. The Lakers took advantage of the situation and got the win over a 'flat' Bucks team. Thursday the Lakers certainly will not be facing a flat team as the Rockets are ready to end their 2 game losing streak. Houston had won 7 of 9 before these two losses and they'll pulverize a Lakers team that has not won two straight games all season. Lakers are 1-4 ATS this season when off of a game where they scored 105 points or more. LA is 5-12 ATS the last three seasons when they are off of a win by a margin of ten points or more. The Rockets entered this season with a 19-9 ATS mark when they are off of a loss by ten points or more. With a powerful Rockets team off of a big loss and a weak Lakers team off of a big win, the set up for a huge Houston win is perfect here.

I am playing on WEST VIRGINIA (vs Marshall) as my *10 ESPNU *Main Event* on Thursday @ 7 PM ET - Two teams at opposite end of the spectrum early this season and I see no reason for that to change in Thursday night's match-up. Marshall enters with a 2-6 ATS mark on the season while West Virginia is a sparkling 5-1 ATS so far this season. The Mountaineers are allowing an average of only 59 points per game on the season. The Thundering Herd are allowing an average of 83 points per game. The big difference in the way these two teams play defense is also going to be the big difference maker in how this game plays out as it should turn into an absolute rout. The Thundering Herd have won 3 straight games but those victories have come against weak competition. Marshall started the season with 6 straight losses and they got pounded by the tougher competition they faced. This is, without a doubt, the toughest match-up that the Thundering Herd will have had so far this season and that is why I look for them to have their worst loss of the season and that means a loss by 25 or more in this one. West Virginia will not show mercy to an in-state foe and the Mountaineers are off of a blowout win by 42 points in their most recent game. West Virginia already has five wins by margins of at least 33 points so far this season. Another blowout is on tap for Thursday night.

I am playing on PHOENIX (@ Golden State) as my *10 ESPN *MAIN EVENT* on Wednesday @ 10:35 PM ET - This is the first game for Golden State since their unbeaten start to the season finally came to a close in their loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. Though many may predict a Golden State "bounce back" here, I believe the opposite will be true. Many Warriors admitted to being glad that the pressure of the unbeaten run is finally no longer an issue. In my opinion, Golden State will no longer have that same incentive on the floor that they did during the ridiculously long winning streak they had to start the season. Are they likely to win this game tonight? Yes. But will it be a huge blowout win covering this inflated number? I doubt it when you consider the circumstances. The Warriors are happy to finally be back home after a long trip back east and they just want to 'grind out' a win tonight. The Suns are off of a loss at Dallas but previously had won three of their last four games. In all their games dating all the way back to Thanksgiving, the Suns have only lost one game by more than 10 points and that was to Golden State. Looks like a little revenge is on order for Phoenix tonight. The Suns are 20-9 ATS when off of a loss by 10 points or more. Also, Phoenix is 4-1 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more. The Warriors are likely to win tonight but the final score should be much closer than what this spread would lead you to believe.

I am playing on DETROIT (vs Boston) as my *10 NBA *Blue Marlin* on Wednesday @ 7:35 ET - Tough back to back spot for the Celtics who put up only 77 points last night at home against the Cavaliers. Now Boston has to try and keep pace with a Pistons team that has shot the ball well in many of their recent home games.. Overall, Detroit has scored at least 102 points in 7 of their last 9 games. The Pistons will be looking to bounce back after losing a tight one to the Clippers on Monday. Also, Detroit plays this game with home loss revenge as the Celtics got the better of them in their most recent meeting. Boston's straight-up record is 13-29 when they are off of a loss by 10 points or more in their prior game. Overall, on the road, the Celtics have lost 61 of their last 96 games. With the short line on this game on the Pistons and a sparkling 9-3 ATS mark at home this season, Detroit is the play here. The Pistons are a perfect 3-0 ATS this season as a home favorite of 3 points or less. This is Detroit's last home game until after Christmas so all their energy and focus will be going into bouncing back from the loss to the Clips with a big home win tonight.